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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-19 | Utah Valley v. Denver +3 | Top | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* MID MAJOR MAULING is on Denver. Denver plays with revenge after allowing the Utah Valley Wolverines to score 98 points in last year's 23 point loss. Denver most recently fell 74-63 to Colorado State, but I expect a bounce back performance in this revenge spot. Key Trends: - Utah Valley is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 on the road. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home dog or pick. The verdict: Look for the home side to catch Utah Valley flat-footed here and to avenge last year's humbling setback, with the core of that group on the floor tonight; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Heat v. Lakers -8 | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* BEATDOWN is on the LA Lakers. Miami won three in a row before dropping a game in Denver in the first game of its trip. The Nuggets were desperate for a win in that one, but the Heat bounced back nicely in Phoenix last night, destroying the Suns 124-108. The Lakers are dominating themselves, leading the Western Conference at 6-1. LA is playing with a chip on its shoulder this year as it tries to bury last season's disappointing effort. LeBron James is going to be playing with a chip on his shoulder as well tonight as he faces his former team which he won two championships with. I believe that Miami does come in tired and I absolutely expect the Lakers to have no mercy in this one. Key Trends: - Miami is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 off a win by ten point or more as an underdog. - LA is 53-40 ATS in its last 93 vs. good offensive teams which average over 106 points per game. The verdict: The conditions and the trends/numbers all point to a home side rout here in my opinion; lay the points! |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. A couple of hungry 2-5 teams battle it out on Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. Cleveland is desperate for sure after losing three in a row. The Wizards on the other hand look poised for a letdown after they broke a three-game skid with a win over the Pacers last time out. The Cavs got smoked at home by Dalls, but they looked much better even in defeat to the Celtics, eventually succumbing 119-113. I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this "on again, off again" Wizards side. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off two or more consecutive home losses. - Washington is a terrible 16-21 ATS in its last 35 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think these teams are evenly matched, but I believe the Cavaliers are "hungrier." Grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Florida Atlantic v. Miami-FL -12 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
FAU is 1-0 and Miami Florida is 0-1. The Hurricanes got thrashed by Louisville on Opening night, while the Owls beat Division II Flagler College. The Hurricanes have dominated this series though, coming in with a 23-1 all time record, which includes a convincing 75-55 decision last season. I expect a similar result here. FAU is coming off its worst season season 2010/11, finishing 17-16 last year and while it does return four starters, it still does not match up well at all here vs. Miami. The Hurricanes finished 14-18 last year, so after the opening day loss, posting a convincing blowout victory here is basically essential for Jim Larranaga's team. Key Trends: - Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. - FAU is only 8-20 ATS in its last 28 following a SU win. The verdict: Miami has too much size and talent for the Owls to keep up with. Throw in last year's sub-par campaign and the opening night loss and I expect this one to be ugly from start to finish; lay the points! |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has won five straight and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here as it takes to the road to face the lowly Hornets. Charlotte however has quietly been playing much better of late, coming in having won three straight, most recently an OT victory over the Pacers. Key Trends: - The Celtics average 110.3 PPG, and they allow 104.7. - The Hornets average 107.9 PPG, and they allow 113.6. The verdict: Note though that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference, while Boston is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. This is Kemba Walker's first game played in Charlotte since he abandoned the team and I expect him to struggle in this hostile environment; grab the points! |
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11-06-19 | Long Beach State +16.5 v. UCLA | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT is on LBSU. Both teams are looking to rebuild. UCLA has new faces and a new head coach after a down year. LBSU finished strong, but it also have for the most part an entirely new line-up. I think UCLA has some growing pains under new coach Mick Cronin and with nothing to lose, I expect the 49ers to take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - UCLA is just 8-16 ATS in its last 24 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think chemistry is an issue for UCLA early; grab the points! |
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11-06-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +3.5 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Pittsburgh. Last year FSU was a four seed in the NCAA Tournament and it made it to the Sweet 16. FSU though starts with back-to-back tough road games, tonight in Pittsburgh followed by one at Florida. I think this sets up well for us on Opening Night, as the hungry home side will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the minor upset. FSU's top two scorers and rebounders left fo the NBA as well. Pitt won two of its final three games to end the season last year and it returns three of its four top scorers. Key Trends: - FSU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite or pick. - Pittsburgh is interestingly 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games played in the month of November. The verdict: It's opening night for these teams and I believe the situational factors working in favor of the home side are the difference maker; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Chicago Bulls. I think the hungry home side takes the Lakers down to the wire in this one. LA comes in off a win vs. the Spurs. Chicago enters off a loss to the Pacers. Anthony Davis and LeBron James have been great in the early going for LA, but after the fantastic duo, the Lakers are kind of thin due to continued injuries. Chicago has six players averaging in double figure and its disappointing start to the year gives the home side an added sense of urgency. Key Trends: - The Lakers are still just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Bulls are 15-10 ATS in their last 25 as a home dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Expect Chicago to come in focussed and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Appalachian State +18.5 v. Michigan | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Appalachian State. Both teams have new head coach's as we open the season. I think the transition will effect the Power 5 school more than the mid major though. Michigan is now led by Juwan Howard, while App State is led by Dustin Kerns. App State does return four starters though, which is a major advantage to open the season. Michigan has three returning starters. Key Trends: - App State is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road dog in the 12.5 to 18 points range. - Michigan is only 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the same points range. The verdict: I like th experience that App State brings to this one and on Opening Night, I believe that's the difference maker in this matchup; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Western Illinois +21.5 v. Indiana | Top | 65-98 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* play on Western Illinois. Western Illinois returns its top scorer in Kobe Webster, who averaged 17 PPG. Western Illinois is small compared to Indiana, but it shot the ball well from thee point range last year. The Hoosiers finished 19-16 last year, so expectations are tempered somewhat this season. Key Trends: - Western Illinois is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 non-conference games. - Indiana is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 non-confernece contests. - I think the Hoosiers get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Louisville v. Miami-FL +7 | 87-74 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Miami Florida. Outright win? Probably not. But I do think that Miami Florida has enough firepower to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Miami is coming off its first losing season under head coach Jim Larranaga, who enters his tenth year as boss. Louisville went 20-14 last year and it was ousted in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The Cardinals have an awesome line-up this season and they've been ranked as No. 5. Note though that it starts the year without junior forward Malik Williams and highly touted freshman David Johnson. Miami has new faces in the line-up, but it returns the ACC's second leading scorer from a year ago in Chris Lykes. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road. - Miami Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five at home. The verdict: Miami lost to Louisville by 17 last year, so the revenge factor also comes into play; grab as many points as you can! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Phoenix Suns. I like the under-rated home side to push the pace and to take care of business vs. Philadelphia, which narrowly escaped in its first road game of the year in Portland. The Suns are already 5-0 ATS this year. Joel Embiid is once againg out for Philly though as he serves the final game of his suspension for fighting. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is the seventh worst in the NBA in defending the three point shot, allowing 37.6 percent. - The Suns score 19.5 percent of their points off turnovers, tied for the third most in the NBA. - Phoenix allows the second least 3-pointers in the league (9.1 PG). The verdict: With games at Utah and Denver upcoming, I think this Eastern Conference power house that's already down its main offensive weapon, comes in and "looks past" this vastly improved Suns side; grab the point/s! |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 134-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Bucks/Wolves. I believe the Wolves struggle with their offense here without Karl Anthony Townes in the line-up, who is serving a three-game suspension for fighting. The Bucks are 4-2, while the Wolves are 4-1. When making my O/U picks (in all sports), for the most part I look at the overall "situation" that each team finds itself in coming into the contest. The Wolves won their first game without Townes, but the last thing they can do here is turn this one into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Bucks. Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. clubs with winning records. - Minnesota has seen the total dip under in interestingly 23 of its last 30 contests played in the month of November. Does this stat matter? Probably not...but it doesn't hurt! The verdict: I expect the home side to try and slow the pace of this one down and as such, I'm on the "under!" |
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11-03-19 | Mavs v. Cavs +5 | Top | 131-111 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think the Mavericks come to Cleveland still "hung over" after their 119-110 OT loss at home to the Lakers. Luke Doncic had a huge night, but I think he'll be gassed and disinterested in this one vs. the perceived "lowly" Cavaliers. Note that Dallas onyl has three players averaging in double-digit points, so road trips and OT contests have an effect on team's like this. The Cavs enter off a 102-95 road loss to Indiana, a contest in which they held the lead for most of. Kevin Love was exceptional in a losing cause with 22 points and 17 boards. Jordan Clarkson was also impressive with 20 points off the bench. Key Trends: - Dallas is only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Mavericks are only 19-23 ATS in their last 42 following a SU home loss. - Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a division rival. The verdict: The Cavaliers have experienced big men which can challenge Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and I think the deeper bench of Cleveland is the difference in the end; grab the points! |
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11-02-19 | Wolves v. Wizards | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the Wizards. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. Clearly Minnesota is the "better" team, but after losing star player Karl-Anthony Towns to suspension for fighting in its previous outing, I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Minnesota also can't help but get caught "looking ahead" to its home game vs. the Bucks on Monday. Washington comes in off a 159-158 loss to the Rockets and it won't be lacking for motivation or confidence after that close setback. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 14-21 ATS in its last 35 as a road dog of six points or less. - Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two straight losses by six points or less. The verdict: I love Washington to battle tooth and nail here and take advantage of this temporarily "rudderless" Wolves team! |
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11-01-19 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 127-110 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Warriors. The Spurs struggled to score points in their 103-97 setback at the Clippers just last night. The Warriors are now without star Steph Curry after he broke his hands in their last game. The Spurs will try to take advantage, but the home side is going to have to go through some adjustments here as it looks to find an identity. This one has the feel of more of a "chess match," with a lot of "half court sets" being run on the offensive end. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 21 as a road favorite of six points or less. - Golden State has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 21 as an underdog. The verdict: San Antonio is tired and Golden State is "shell shocked." For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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11-01-19 | Cavs +8 v. Pacers | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Without Victor Oladipo, the Indiana Pacers are only an average team. Cleveland is at 100% health and it has veteran players performing at a high level right now. Most recently the Cavs beat the Bulls 117-11 at home, with six players scoring in double figures. Indiana comes in off its first win of the year, a 118-108 road victory over the Nets. Note though that the Indiana bench scored just 11 points in that victory. Key Trends: - Indiana is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. - The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. - The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory. The verdict: Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are both playing well for the Cavs and while I would not in fact be shocked by an outright upset here, in the end I'm going to grab all these points! |
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10-31-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 216.5 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Heat/Hawks. Despite the Hawks not having star Trae Young in the line-up, I think we'll see a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this particular matchup. The Hawks lost to Miami on Tuesday 112-97 and they'll be out for some immediate revenge. The Heat though will be looking to take advantage and to build on their 3-1 start to the season. Overall Miami is averaging 118 PPG, while conceding 110. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten after scoring 105 points or more in four straight game. - Atlanta has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 61 of its last 100 following a SU loss. The verdict: I like Atlanta to push the pace from start to finish as it looks to avenge the loss to the Heat on Tuesday; play the over! |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are still without Victor Oladipo, but I think the 0-3 visiting side finds a way to get the job done vs. the 1-2 Nets. Indiana enters off a 96-94 loss at Detroit, while the Nets come in off a poor 134-133 OT road loss to the Grizzlies. There are reports from Nets' officials that star Kyrie Irving's off-court antics and "mood swings" are very real and a major distraction. I believe the "hungrier" and more focussed side finds a way to get the job done tonight. Key Trends: - Indiana won't be lacking for confidence here as it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten in this series. - Brooklyn is 34-38 ATS in its last 72 vs. teams with losing records, including 0-2 ATS already this season. The verdict: Look for the more desperate team to deliver the goods, but in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks +9 v. Magic | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks are 1-3 and the Magic are 1-2. New York comes in off its first win of the year and I think the hungry visiting side will carry some of that momentum over here vs. a Magic team that's struggling with consistency in the early going. New York got the better of Chicago 105-98, while the Magic fell 104-95 in Toronto on Monday. RJ Barrett has been a stand out for the Knicks early an dhe had 19 points and 15 boards in the victory over the Bulls. Orlando opened the year with a win over the Cavaliers, but since then it's struggled and it's the only team in the league which hasn't scored 100 points in a game thus far. Key Trends: - New York is already 2-0 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Orlando is 30-39 ATS in its last 69 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think New York is finally figuring things out and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being extremely competitive throughout; grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Wolves v. 76ers UNDER 225 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the UNDER Wolves/76ers. Minnesota is 3-0. Philadelphia is 3-0. Two teams enter with a perfect record, but only one will leave with that mark in tact. Whoever comes out on top, I think the competitive nature of this one will help in driving this total well under the posted number once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - The Wolves have seen the total go under in 11 of their last 17 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The 76ers have seen the total dip uner in 20 of their last 32 home games as a favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Both teams are in the middle of the pack in scoring, but in the bottom half in three-point percentage. Expect this "war" to fall under at the end of the night! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Dallas Mavericks. Denver comes in off a 101-94 win at Sacramento just last night, while Dallas had a night off after suffering its first loss of the year in a 121-119 home setback to the Blazers. Dallas will look to push the pace here vs. this tired Nuggets side; note that the Mavericks average 116.7 PPG. Denver averages 108. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are interestingly only 9-21 ATS in their last 30 vs. the Southwest division. - Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. The verdict: Dallas is a vastly improved team with two dynamic European players which are difficult to stop. While the situation could even give the visitors an outright win here, in the end I'm going to grab the generous amount of points; play on the Mavericks! |
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10-28-19 | Nuggets v. Kings OVER 218 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* play on the OVER Nuggets/Kings. I think the 0-3 Kings push the pace from start to finish in this one. The Kings average 96 PPG and they concede 120. The Nuggets average 108 PPG and they allow 104. Key Trends: - Denver has seen total go over in 20 of its last 30 after a win by six points or more. - Sacramento has seen the total go over in nine of its last 13 after scoring 90 points or less in its previous contest. The verdict: I expect a faster paced, higher-scoring shootout in this one! |
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10-28-19 | Cavs +15.5 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
My 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams are 1-1. Am I calling for an outright upset here? I definitely AM NOT. That said, I do think that Kevin Love and the hungry Cavaliers can keep this one a lot closer than what this monster spread would suggest. So far the Cavs average 98 PPG and they concede just 97. The Bucks have scored 122 PPG in the early going and allowed 121. Key Trends: - Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. - The Bucks are just 13-14 ATS in their last 27 after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think the Cavs' tough defensive plays keep them in this contest late; grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Magic +5 v. Raptors | 95-104 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Orlando Magic. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Magic, who got bounced in the first round by the Raptors in the playoffs last year. Orlando is 1-1 after hammering Cleveland at home, before then falling to the Hawks on the road. So far Orlando is averaging 96.5 PPG and it's conceding 94.1. Toronto has so far averaged 114.0 PPG, while allowing 116.0. Those early numbers are skewed from a couple high-scoring contets, including an OT affair though. Key Trends: - Orlando is 10-5 ATS in it slast 15 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. - Toronto is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing. The verdict: So far Toronto has looked pretty good without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but I think that the depth that Magic bring here, along with the motivational factors working in their favor, proves to be too much for the defending champs to handle tonight; that said, grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Pacers -1.5 v. Pistons | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are 0-2 and the Pistons are 1-2. Indiana is playing without Victor Oladipo again, but it plays with revenge here after falling 119-110 at home to Detroit in its opener. The Pacers come in desperate and revenge minded and I believe those motivational factors will be more than enough to take out the "on again, off again" Pistons, who are playing without their star Blake Griffin. Key Trends: - Detroit is 0-7 ATS In its last seven when playing on one days rest. - The Pistsons are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. - The Pacers are 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive losses. The verdict: Look for the above situational and trend based factors to be more than enough for Indiana to get the job done tonight; lay the short points! |
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10-28-19 | Bulls v. Knicks +1 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the New York Knicks. The Bulls are 1-2 and are coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors. The Knicks are 0-3 and they'll be desperate to get off the schneid here. If not now, when? This is the perfect opponent to get untracked against and I expect the desperate home side to deliver the goods. So far on the year the Bulls are averaging 104.9 PPG and conceding 113.8. New York is averaging 104.6 and allowing 113.4. Key Trends: - The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. - The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four after a double-digit loss at home. The verdict: The Bulls have lost eight of their last 11 at MSG and I think that strong trend carries over here vs. this hungry home side; grab the point/s! |
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10-27-19 | Heat +6 v. Wolves | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF BEST OF THE BEST is on the Miami Heat. Miami went to OT with the Bucks in Milwaukee last night and it left with a 131-126 victory. If this was even one month from now, I'd definitely be going against Miami here as the second game of a back-to-back vs. a red hot Wolves team which returns home after a 2-0 road trip to play its first in Minnesota is clearly not an easy task. But we're still in the first week of the season and these are the top athletes in the World. I'll argue that the victory yesterday will in fact help Miami in this one and while the outright victory may not happen, I'm definitely expecting a war until the final bucket. Conversely, I think the Wolves have a letdown here in their first game in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - Miami is 14-10 ATS in its last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. - Minnesota is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a blowout victory of 20 points or more. The verdict: I like Miami's depth to carry the team to another solid cover at the very least in this one; grab the points! |
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10-26-19 | Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 223 | Top | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Raptors/Bulls. The Bulls came from behind to knock off the Grizzlies 110-102 last night. Toronto had the lead for most of the game in Boston, but it then fell flat in a 112-106 setback. While still only the start of the season, I think each team comes in "gassed" after their respective decisions last night and because of that, I'm absolutely expecting much more of a defensive battle than what this large O/U line would suggest. This one sets up great for the under from a situational stand point. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 off a loss to a division rival. - Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of its last 22 home games when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 220. The verdict: The situation and the numbers/trends both point to the under as the correct call in this one! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Celtics. Toronto played from behind on Opening Night vs. the Pelicans, managed to take it to overtime and then managed to cover the large 8 point spread. The Raptors got the job done on their own floor vs. a horrible team, but I think they're going to predictably struggle here on the road vs. a good team, which is out for its first win of the season after falling 107-93 in Philadelphia on Opening night. Yes Kemba Walker struggled for Boston in that one, but a small adjustment period is fully expected. With a night off to absorb the loss, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here vs. its divisional opponent. Key Trends: - Boston is 5-0 ATS at home the last five in this series. - Toronto is only 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 125 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I'm banking on Boston bouncing back and laying a beating on the defending champs; lay the short points! |
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10-24-19 | Hawks +1.5 v. Pistons | Top | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit upset Indiana 119-110 last night, but I think it'll have a hard time keeping pace with the Hawks this evening, who come in focussed and fresh for the new season. Detroit is without the services of star player Blake Griffin for the first few weeks and after Andre Drummond's career performance in last night's victory, I think this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it. I like Trae Young and hungry Hawks to push the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - ATL is 43-30 ATS In its last 73 as a road dog. - Detroit is 0-2 ATS in its last two off an upswet win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: I expect the Hawks to roll to a sizeable victory; play on Atlanta! |
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10-23-19 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Heat | 101-120 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies now belong to Jonas Valanciunas and No. 2 overall pick Ja Morant. Jae Crowder and Grayson Allen have a lot of potential in the back-court as well. Jimmy Butler is in Miami, but the Heat lost Hassan Whiteside and Josh Richardson. Key Trends: - Memphis is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Miami is only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the opportunity is here for the underdog to win outright, but in a game which should be a full on war until the final horn, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Wolves +3.5 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Wolves. The Nets are without Kevin Durant, but they still have Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Jordan and Taurean Prince. How will the Nets perform with all of these new faces? And without Durant? That's yet to be seen of course. While the Wolves lost a couple faces (Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson), their core of star players remains in tact. I believer Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggis can keep their team competitive in this one. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as road dog of five points or higher. - The Nets are only 38-43 ATS the last two years on their own floor. The verdict: Outright victory? Possibly. But in a game which I seeing being a competitive war until the final horn, I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-23-19 | Celtics +5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-107 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Boston Celtics. Last season the Celtics finished 49-33 and finished fourth in the conference. With new point guard Kemba Walker in place to "steady the ship" off the court, I think Boston can improve on that record this year. Boston's Marcus Smart is expecting an all out war: "It's gonna be a dog fight," Smart said. "You can't come in looking pretty, you can't come in scared to get hit. You gotta be ready to get in there, get your nose bloodied a little bit." Boston has plenty of talent and clearly has the ability to win this one outright. Philadelphia went seven games with the Raptors last year in the playoffs, only to be outdone by Kawhi Leonard's last second shot. I think these teams are very evenly matched and while the 76ers obviously have the home court advantage, I do definitely expect a war until the end. Key Trends: - Boston won this series 3-1 last year. Every game in that series was close as well, except the first one. The verdict: Look for these two Eastern Conference contenders to battle tooth and nail until the final horn; grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Cavs +8.5 v. Magic | 85-94 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Now that Cleveland has had a full year to adjust without the King in the line-up, the Cavaliers should be able to improve upon their horrible 19-63 record from last year. The Magic won the Southeast Division with a record of 42-40. Collin Sexton scored 18 PPG last year for the Cavs and he had a solid preseason. Cleveland is a young team that won't be lacking for motivation here. Markelle Fultz has participated in preseason action for the Magic, but he's not been cleared to play here yet. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 14-20 ATS as a home favorite in its last 34. The verdict: Both teams are dealing with injuries and each has new faces. I think the hungry visiting side will at least take this one down to the wire; grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Bulls v. Hornets +3.5 | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Charoltte Hornets. The Hornets will start the year without Kemba Walker in the line-up, but they catch a break facing the Bulls out of the gate. Chicago is loaded with potential (Lauri Markkanen and Zach LaVine), but it's still coming off a 22-60 campaign. Marvin Williams and Cody Zeller are Charlotte's leading return scorers. Key Trends: - Chicago is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite. The verdict: Michael Jordan has cleaned house with his team, but there's still plenty of young talent surrounding Zeller and Williams (Malik Monk, Miles Bridges and Dwayne Bacon). I'm banking on this competitive affair being decided by whichever teams has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New Orleans Pelicans. Yes New Orleans is without Zion Williamson, but guess what? The Raptors are without possibly the best player in the entire World in Kawhi Leonard to open the season. You'd better believe that Jrue Holiday and company are going to be out to prove that they can still win without their star rookie on the floor. Toronto has plenty to prove as well this year after the departure of Leonard, but I believe Toronto will have difficulites with chemistry to start. New Orleans' combination of Holiday and Lonzo Ball give New Orleans the best defensive combo in the NBA on paper. That doesn't bode well for Kyle Lowry in my opinion. Key Trends: - Toronto was just 3-5 ATS last year in games without Leonard and in which the opposing team was able to limit Lowry to under 40 percent shooting. The verdict: Outright victory? Anything is possible on Opening Night, but in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up all these points! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210 | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 62 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Raptors/Warriors. I had a three game report in Game 5 as well and I played the exact same three plays. The Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the “over.” What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times by every talking head out there? These team’s strengths and weaknesses are well know to even the most casual basketball fan and if you’re wagering on this contest, you don’t need me to break down individual player match ups or to tell you how many rebounds Draymond Green had in Game 5. I like Golden State in Game 5 whether KD played or not, and I do here as well. I simply can’t see Toronto taking all three games from the Stephen Curry in his own building. The improved play of DeMarcus Cousins in Game 5 is big heading into Game 6. I like the Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the OVER in Game 6. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 17 this year as a road underdog of six points or less. - The Raptors have seen the total go over in 19 of 30 this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent which scored 100 or more points in. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 20 of its last 30 following a road victory. The verdict: I think the Warriors have to “shoot” their way to a victory in Game 6. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. I had a three game report in Game 5 as well and I played the exact same three plays. The Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the “over.” What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times by every talking head out there? These team’s strengths and weaknesses are well know to even the most casual basketball fan and if you’re wagering on this contest, you don’t need me to break down individual player match ups or to tell you how many rebounds Draymond Green had in Game 5. I like Golden State in Game 5 whether KD played or not, and I do here as well. I simply can’t see Toronto taking all three games from the Stephen Curry in his own building. The improved play of DeMarcus Cousins in Game 5 is big heading into Game 6. I like the Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the OVER in Game 6. Key Trends: - The Raptors are inexplicably just 9-13 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. - Golden State is a perfect 3-0 ATS the L2 years when facing elimination in a series. The verdict: Toronto’s opportunity to put this series away is going to have to wait until Game 7. Lay the points! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors +3 v. Raptors | 106-105 | Win | 101 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Do or die. Now or never? The Warriors, whether they play with Kevin Durant or not tonight, clearly won’t be going down without a fight here. And I think that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor. Note that GS is 2-0 ATS in its last two when facing elimination. Key Trends: - Golden State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 following a home loss. - Toronto is just 9-17 ATS this season after covering three of its last four vs. the spread. - The verdict: I think Toronto has difficulty closing out Golden State here. Grab as many points as you can! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. This is the third pick of my 3-game NBA Game 5 report. I’m also taking the Warriors for the FIRST HALF and for the entire game as well. And if you read my analysis on those selections, you know what I’m expecting the desperate visiting champs to push the pace from the “get go.” Clearly the Warriors can’t just sit back and hope that things work out, they’re going to have to dictate the pace of this one and with the home side matching pace, from a situational angle, this one definitely sets up as more of a “shootout” than “chess match” in my opinion. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in four of its last five in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponent of the points or more. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year after two or more straight road victories. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the over! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -103 | 39 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Stephen Curry couldn’t get the job done by himself in Game 3, as sharp-shooter Klay Thompson was sidelined with injury. While KD still won’t be in the line-up tonight, Thompson is back. I think this is going to prove to be a major difference for the Warriors as I look for Golden State to push the pace from start to finish. The Raptors are deep in unchartered territory now and having already earned the split, I believe a letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - The Raptors are still just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight playoff games as an underdog in the four to 10.5 points range. - Golden State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss. - The Warriors are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with an above-.600 road record. The verdict: Toronto seemed to be in control of this series after Game 1, but Game 2 was all Golden State. With their backs once again against the wall, I look for the Warriors to bounce back. Lay the points! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the over in Game 4. I took the over in Game 1, the under in Game 2 and then the over in Game 3. With their backs against the wall and with Klay Thompson returning though (after missing Game 3), I believe the Warriors push the pace as they look to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole. Golden State can ill afford to rest on its laurels, instead it’s going to have to play frantic and with purpose. Everything points to a a bunch of points being put on the board tonight! Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total soar over the number in eight of its last 13 playoff road games following an ATS road victory. - Golden State has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 following a home ATS/SU playoff loss. The verdict: The Warriors were just fine without KD in the line-up vs. the Blazers, but without Thompson in the line-up, they just couldn’t keep pace with Toronto in Game 3. Thompson’s back and I expect the “Splash Brothers” to try and set the tone early. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 213 | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 61 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. I had a play on the over in Game 1 and the under in Game 2. Both have been close, but in Game 3 I’m expecting more of a wide-open shootout. Golden State looked great defensively in the second half of Game 2 and it was the primary reason it was able to tie this series up. Toronto had success in Game 1 because it pushed the pace and dictated the tempo. The visitors can’t let Golden State do what it wants and expect to win obviously, so I’m expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. Golden State as well seems to shoot better at home and I expect head coach Steve Kerr to give Stephen Curry the “green light.” From a situational point of view I think this one definitely sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in seven of its last 11 road playoff games following an ATS/SU home loss. - Golden State has seen the total fly above the posted number in 12 of its last 20 after a five points or more road playoff victory. The verdict: Toronto’s role players were a “no show” in Game 2 after the big Game 1 performance, but a return to form is imminent with that veteran core. I think this one sets up as a “shootout” in Game 3, play the over! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Warriors/Raptors. I had a play on the “over” in Game 1, but in Game 2 I expect much more of a defensive affair. The Raptors got a huge effort from Paskal Sikiam, which turned out to be the difference in Toronto’s victory. A repeat performance is likely out of the question though. Draymond Green was torched in Game 1 defensively for the Warriors, but I think he and the Golden State bench/role players make the necessary adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Raptors continued their strong defensive play in Game 1 and I don’t think there’s any reason not to believe that trend won’t carry over in Game 2 as well. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine home games after a two games or more unbeaten streak. - The Warriors have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 road games after losing by five or more points in a playoff contest. The verdict: I think the Warriors double down defensively today. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 106 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest. Sometimes it leads to rust. Other times though it has the opposite effect. And that’s exactly what I expect here. The Warriors won’t be playing with Kevin Durant, but they still come in off the 4-0 sweep of the Blazers and are very well rested. Toronto has also had a couple extra days off after taking care of the Bucks in six. I’m expecting a very fast pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in three of four already this year when playing with three or more days rest. - Toronto has seen the total sail over in eight of its last 12 when playing with three days rest. The verdict: Golden State lost both regular season games to the Raptors. This is going to be an interesting Final and in Game 1, all signs point to a shootout. Play the over! |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. I think that the fact the Bucks are facing elimination will push the visitors to push the pace from the opening tip until the final horn. The Raptors have been exceptional defensively over the last three games, but if Milwaukee has any hopes of pushing this series to a decisive Game 7, it’ll have to take Toronto out of its “comfort zone.” I think Game 6 finally sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine road games following a two games or more SU losing streak. - The Raptors have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 16 home games following a two games or more SU/ATS win streak. The verdict: With the visitors setting the early tone, I definitely am expecting a faster paced, higher-scoring affair in Game 6. Play the over! |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 217 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Raptors/Bucks. The Raptors will try to break the “home court advantage” trend in Game 5. So far it’s meant everything in this series. Toronto star Kawhi Leonard was able to rest for a big part of the fourth quarter and I think he’s going to be a difference maker here again. Milwaukee is suddenly on the ropes as it’s high-powered offense has hit the wall. Clearly the Bucks are going to be looking to reverse their fortunes and with the prolific home side pushing the pace from start to finish, I definitely feel that Game 5 sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in three of four already when tied in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: As stated off the top, I think the home side pushes the pace of this one from start to finish. All signs point to the over as the correct call in Game 5! |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Despite the Bucks taking three of four in the regular season series, I think that home floor is going to matter in this series. So far over the first three games that pattern has held true and in my opinion, I think the Raptors can now build off their dramatic double overtime Game 3 victory. Key Trends: - The Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home playoff games following an OT SU/ATS victory. - Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. The verdict: Toronto has made major adjustments defensively and with Kawhi Leonard playing at such a high level, I have a hard time seeing the visitors matching pace in Game 4. While the outright is clearly possible, I’m grabbing the points! |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +4 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. I believe I’m one of the best around when it comes to using “motivation” when trying to uncover value handicapping. These teams split four regular season meetings and it appeared that the Blazers would have a legitimate shot at pulling for an upset against the Kevin Durant-less Warriors, but down 3-0, that would now appear to be nothing more than a “pipe dream.” I don’t think that Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum have enough left in the tank to pull off a series upset, but I definitely think that Portland has enough pride left to take a single game. Key Trends: - Golden State is already only 4-6 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. - Portland is 5-1 ATS as home underdog this year. - The Blazers are already 3-1 ATS this season when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. These teams split four regular season games, but so far it’s been all Golden State to open the WCF. And the Warriors are doing it without star Kevin Durant as well. But I think home court will prove to be the difference maker for the Blazers in Game 3. Game 1 was a blowout, but Portland had every chance to take Game 2. Now on its home floor, I look for it to redeem itself finally. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU win. - The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home game vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict; With their backs against the wall, I look for the Blazers to finally step up and answer the bell. Lay the short points! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 218 | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Blazers/Warriors. While Game 1 went under the number in Golden State’s 116-94 win, I expect a much more wide-open offensive affair in Game 2. Portland was definitely sluggish after its Game 7 series win in Denver only 48 hours previous. But with that difficult game out of the way, I expect to see a much livelier Blazers team tonight. Golden State will be going for the jugular and it’s offense has in fact looked better since Kevin Durant went out with injury in the series win over the Rockets. No question this one sets up great for a higher-scoring “shootout” in Game 2. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go over in 17 of 29 already this year in trying to revenge a loss where its opponent scored 100 or more points. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 23 of its last 34 when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: Damian Lillard has struggled over his last three games, and I don’t expect that trend to continue at all for the Blazers’ All Star. Look for Portland to come out and push the pace. This number is low, play the over! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The regular season results between the clubs. Kawhi Leonard’s Game 7 winner over the 76ers was awesome, but I think the visitors, who went just 1-3 vs. the Bucks in the regular season, will come out flat here in Game 1. The Bucks are well rested after their demolition of the Celtics and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 8-10 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - The Raptors are only 10-11 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. - Milwaukee is 27-18 ATS at home this season. - The Bucks are 8-1 ATS in the playoffs thus far. The verdict: At some point Milwaukee is going to slide ATS, but not here in my opinion. Look for the Bucks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Blazers/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No Kevin Durant. I think the All Star’s absence catches up to the Warriors here. Portland is deceivingly good on the defensive end I believe and the last thing the visitors will want to do is to turn this one into a “track meet.” From a situational stand point, I think Game 1 of the WCF’s definitely sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in five of its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Golden State has seen the total go under in 18 of 28 this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: While filled with offensive talent, I believe the circumstances and trends clearly point to the under as the correct call in Game 1! |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 following a SU win of more than ten points. - Toronto is 6-0 in its last six following a SU loss of ten or more points. - The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss. The verdict: Note that the home team has taken four of the six games in this series (it’s also interesting to note that the home team is 105-28 in Game 7 situations in the history of the league.) It’s difficult to win Game 7 on the road and the 76ers achilles heel all year has been their performance away from friendly confines. The numbers/trends and the overall situation both point to the Raptors as the correct call tonight. Lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -5.5 | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 6-7 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Blazers are only 3-9 ATS this season off a win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 7-3 ATS this season when playing on two days rest. - The Nuggets are 20-10 ATS in their last 30 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Denver enjoys one of the best home court advantages in the league, and I think it matters here in Game 7 of the second round. Look for the home side to buckle down on the defensive end and to pull away for a comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 212.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Blazers/Nuggets under. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten when playing with two days rest. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in seven of ten when playing with two days rest this year. - Denver has seen the total go under in seven of ten this year off a road loss by ten points or more. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this season after allowing 115 points or more. The verdict: Fatigues plays a factor in this pick for sure. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 211.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Rockets. Will home floor prove to be the difference again for the Rockets? So far the home side has won every game on its home floor and while Game 5 went “under” the number, I look for Game 6 to be a much more wide-open affair. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in six of seven already this year when leading in a playoff series. - The Rockets have seen the total go over in all three games that it’s played in so far in the playoffs when trailing in a series. The verdict: Despite Kevin Durant sitting, I’m expecting the defending champs to pour it on here. It’s do or die for the Rockets, who will also clearly have the foot on the gas from start to finish. With each team pushing the pace, I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver has looked like the better team over the last two games and I believe that trend continues in the Pacific Northwest tonight. Outright victory? Not out of the question obviously, but in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing the points. Key Trends: - Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a blowing win by 20 or more points. - Portland is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Denver is too deep and it’s bench is now playing better than Portland’s. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if an outright occurs! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors -125 v. 76ers | 101-112 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Toronto is 3-0 ATS in its last three attempts in trying to close out a playoff series. - Philadelphia is only 12-13 ATS this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 110 points or more in. - The 76ers are only 7-14 ATS in their last 21 revenging a blowout loss of 20 points or more (including 0-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in the playoffs and the rest of his team is feeding off of him now. Philadelphia big man Joel Embiid is having difficulty with the one-two matchup of Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol and I have a hard time seeing the home side remaining very competitive. With a chance to end this series here and now, I believe the Raptors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the short points! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 213 | 101-112 | Push | 0 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. I have a play on Toronto as part of my three game report as I believe it’s going to try and end this series here and now. Look for Toronto to come out firing and expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 21 in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent (including in all three such instances this season). - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in nine of 14 this year already as a road favorite of six points or less. The verdict: Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in the playoffs and the rest of his team is feeding off of him now. Philadelphia big man Joel Embiid is having difficulty with the one-two matchup of Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol and I have a hard time seeing the home side remaining very competitive. With a chance to end this series here and now, I believe the Raptors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the short points! |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Sometimes it means nothing and sometimes it means everything. Golden State destroyed the Rockets at home in Game’s 1 and 2, before Houston returned the favor on its home floor in Game’s 3 and 4. I believe this strong trend continues here. Key Trends: - Houston is just 19-25 ATS on the road this year. - Golden State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to finally come out firing tonight and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218 | 91-116 | Win | 102 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Cold Kyrie Irving. As Kyrie Irving goes, so go the Celtics. Or so it would definitely seem. The Celtics All Star had a monster Game 1 and Boston went on to victory. Since then though the Bucks have made adjustments and Irving is currently going through his worst three-game shooting slump of his playoff career. Nothing’s going to change here in this difficult venue in my opinion. Clearly Boston can’t turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the high-flying Bucks, so with the visiting side also doubling down defensively, everything definitely points to a defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in five of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 20 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: If the Celtics season ends tonight, clearly it won’t be without a fight until the end. Play the under! |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-14 ATS as a six points or less road dog this year. - The Blazers are a poor 1-3 ATS this season off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. - The Nuggets 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of six points or less. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: As this series winds on, I think that home floor will prove to be significant. The Nuggets dominated this series in the regular season and while they’ve had issues at points, they have the home floor advantage with three games remaining after hanging tough for the Game 4 victory. Look for that momentum to roll and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 89-125 | Win | 104 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over in 30 of 49 this year after failing to cover the spread in its previous game. - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in eight of 12 this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Raptors have seen the total go over in five of seven off an upset win as a road dog this season. The verdict: This has been an all out war. Besides Kawhi Leonard though, most of the “stars” for both of these teams have struggled with consistency. I think that changes here as the series winds on. It’s been a back and forth battle to this point and I don’t see that trend changing here. Everything points to a shootout in my opinion! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the 76ers. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a home loss. - The 76ers are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS off a loss vs. a division rival this season. - Toronto is 21-24 ATS as a home favorite this year. - The Raptors are 0-2 ATS this year already when tied in a playoff series. The verdict: These teams continue to respond to each other and I believe that trend continues in Game 5. Outright victory? Probably not. But in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab all these points! |
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05-06-19 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uneven numbers. For the Warriors sharp-shooters. Despite Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson missing at least two-thirds of their three-point attempts in each of the last four games, Golden State almost took a 3-0 lead in this series. I expect these numbers to start getting corrected quick fast in a hurry. Look for Curry and Thompson to be pivotal in tonight’s game. Key Trends: - Golden State is 37-25 ATS in its last 62 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Houston is just 3-9 ATS this year after allowing 120 or more points in its previous contest. - The Rockets are a dismal 9-17 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more. The verdict: Look for the defending champs to start hitting some shots in this series. Grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. After losing in four OT’s in Game 3, I think the desperate Nuggets once again leave everything on the floor and find a way to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Clearly these two teams are very evenly matched, but I think the “revenge” angle works here. Key Trends: - Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a close loss of three points or less to an opponent. - Portland is just 2-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are only 1-4 ATS this year after a close win by three points or less. The verdict: I think the home side stumbles after its big Game 3 win. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, let’s grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Injury to Pascal Sikium. You can’t lose your second leading scorer and not feel the effects. Especially at this time of year. Especially just after the injury occurring. Toronto looked poor before the Sikium injury and now I believe it’s lack of overall scoring talent will prove too much for it to overcome vs. this 76ers side which is clearly firing on all cylinders. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 7-9 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last five when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: The Raptors continue to garner much too much respect from the oddsmakers in my opinion. Play on Philadelphia! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Clearly for the Rockets that is. Houston can ill afford to go down 3-0 to the defending champs in this series. The Rockets need to change the tone of this one right away and I expect to come in the form of a high-intensity “push” from start to finish in Game 3. The Warriors won’t be going down without a fight, but their inconsistencies on the road can’t be ignored either. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 21-23 ATS on the road this season. - Houston is 22-15 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Rockets are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS this year when playing with double revenge. The verdict: I like James Harden and Houston to lay it all on the line tonight and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points! |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Bad matchup for the Blazers. It has been of late despite the Game 2 victory. The Blazers have been better at home than on the road, but they’ve had their difficulties with the Nuggets as Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven played in Portland and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine between the clubs overall. This series has the feeling of being a very “back and forth” one. Key Trends: - Denver is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Portland is just 3-7 ATS this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are 0-4 ATS this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever one of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks +2 v. Celtics | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston rolled to victory in Game 1, but Milwaukee was prepared in Game 2 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over on the road tonight (note that Milwaukee was 26-15 ATS on the road this season.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already 10-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Bucks are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 120 points or more. - Boston is a poor 14-18 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Milwaukee got caught off guard by Boston’s defensive intensity in Game 1, but minor adjustments in Game 2 allowed the Bucks to hit 20 three points in their absolute destruction of the Celtics. I expect the visitors to employ an identical game plan in Game 3. Grab the points! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214 | Top | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Raptors/76ers. Both teams have looked impressive in their victories and poor in their defeats. With the shift in venue, I think we’re going to see a “shootout” here. The Raptors have bodied up well against the high-flying 76ers so far, but the numbers/trends point to much more of an offensive affair in Game 3. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 17 this year in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent. - Philadelphia has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of 21 this year after a win by six points or less. The verdict: This has been an interesting series so far and I predict another intestine game here. With each team expected to push the pace, look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later. Play the over! |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. This was my “key angle” in Game 1 as well, as I’d go on to state that: It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-18 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 13-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. - The Nuggets are 22-16 ATS this year after two or more SU victories. The verdict: I think this is a bad matchup for the Blazers and I like the home side to take advantage again here. Lay the points and expect a blowout! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 36 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. I think it works here. I think overall that Houston would beat the Clippers in a seven game series and LA ave Golden State plenty of issues in its six-game opening round series win. With a chance to still earn the split, I think that James Harden and company will at the very least, keep this one competitive again until the final moments. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-0 ATS this year in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponents. - Golden State is only 17-26 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Warriors are already 1-3 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, I’ll recommend grabbing the points! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Rockets/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Rockets looked good defensively in Game 1 despite the loss. The Warriors looked good defensively as well in the victory. I expect an identically hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring affair in Game 2 as well. Will the shift in venue to Houston lead to a higher-scoring shootout? Perhaps. But for this one, everything points to another “under.” Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 this year as a road dog. - The Rockets have seen the total go under in 18 of 29 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. - Golden State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 after a win by six points or less. The verdict: All signs point to a “ground hog day” from Game 1 on the total. Play the under! |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Boston/Milwaukee. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Say whatever you want, but after their Game 1 demolition, if the Bucks don’t recover here and earn the victory, then they’re going to obviously be in a heap of trouble heading back to Boston down 0-2. Milwaukee came into this series as the highest scoring team, but the Celtics aggressive defense proved to be the difference in Game 1. With Milwaukee pushing the pace from the outset, Boston is going to have to keep up in Game 2 though. This one has shootout written all over it. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go over in 15 of 22 this year off a road win. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in five of its last six off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. The verdict: I was surprised by how easily the Celtics dominated the Bucks in Game 1, but I expect Milwaukee to respond with a much better, four-quarter effort in Game 2. This number is low, play the over! |
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04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - The Blazers are a poor 11-17 ATS this year as a road dog. - Portland is just 2-4 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 12-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think Denver’s depth proves to be the difference in Game 1 at home. Lay the points! |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | 94-89 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Just a bad matchup for Philadelphia. Toronto’s aggressive defense has been the difference in this series of late. The Raptors took three of four in the regular season and then they steamrolled the 76ers in Game 1. This is a terrible matchup for the 76ers, whose big man Joel Embiid has his hands full with the duo of dominant veteran centers Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is a poor 8-11 ATS this year trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 after two consecutive home wins by ten points or more. The verdict: Expect Toronto’s superior defense to once again be the difference maker in Game 2 and lay the points with confidence! |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Finally something to prove. For the Warriors that is. It would be easy to write an argument for the Rockets, as they come in off a relatively easy series victory, while Golden State struggled at times vs. the Clippers. The Warriors also came out on top of the Eastern Conference Finals vs. the Rockets last year after being down 3-2. Golden State won the West, but it struggled with issues all year. Golden State also lost big man DeMarcus Cousins in the win over LA. But the core of the Warriors remains and I still think that it’ll be more than enough to take care of James Harden and company again. At least in Game 1. Chris Paul has been a shell of his former self all season and I think he’ll struggle slowing down Steph Curry and crew. Key Trends: - Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less. - The Rockets are only 1-3 ATS this season when playing with three or more days rest. - The Warriors 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. The verdict: I think Golden State plays with a chip on its shoulder here. Lay the points! |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Celtics/Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest leads to rust. Both teams looked impressive in their first round series victory. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG and they allowed just 91.8. The Bucks averaged 121.8 PPG and they conceded only 98. I think each doubles down on the defensive end after a few extra days off between series. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in all three of its games this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 23 of its last 36 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: Everything points to a defensive battle in my professional opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 86-90 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. In Game 7, I think it’s going to matter. Each team has two wins at home and one on the road in this series. Denver was much better at home than on the road this season as well. The Spurs had the experience advantage in this series, but I think Denver’s youth and its home floor advantage proves to be the difference here. Key Trends: - San Antonio is just 11-14 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 17-13 ATS revenging a loss vs. an opponent this year. - The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a loss by ten points or more. The verdict: I’m expecting Jokic and company to step up and deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Spurs/Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. The Spurs laid it all on the line in Game 6, which went “over” the number. I had a play on San Antonio in that one. This has been a difficult and back and forth series and I believe each team is “gassed.” Expect these two defensive minded clubs to play to a classic defensive affair in Game 7. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under in eight of 12 this year after a blowout win by 15 or more points. - Denver has seen the total dip under in nine of 12 this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This number is a little high in my opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | 76ers +6 v. Raptors | 95-108 | Loss | -102 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Philadelphia’s white hot offense. The Raptors were able to slow down Orlando, but Philadelphia comes in averaging 122.4 PPG. Toronto took three of four in the regular season, but Philadelphia faced the much stiffer test in the first round vs. the Nets and I think it carries that momentum over here in this evenly matched contest. Key Trends: - Toronto is 0-8 ATS in its last eight when playing on three or more days rest. - Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS this season revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: I’m not calling for the outright upset, but I do expect this one to be decided in the final moments. Grab the points! |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +10 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LA Clippers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die for the Clippers. Down 3-1, LA has now pushed this to a Game 6 at home and if you’re a Warriors fan, you should probably be worried. Clearly the Warriors are still going to win this series, but Golden State looks ripe for the picking down the road. LA doesn’t have a letdown this time around and once again pushes the defending champs to the brink! Key Trends: - Golden State is just 20-23 ATS on the road this year. - The Warriors are only 8-13 ATS vs. division opponents. - The Clippers are now 4-1 ATS in their last five when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: I’d love to see another upset, but am not calling for that. Grab as many points as you can though in a contest which I see coming right down to the wire! |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Spurs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. I think it’s going to matter here. The Nuggets have been anything but dominant in this series, but after back-to-back victories, I think Denver will come up short here. San Antonio finished 32-9 at home this year. Coach Gregg Popovich has coached in 281 playoff games, while the Nuggets head coach Mike Malone coached his very first postseason game in Game 1. Denver is the youngest team in the NBA playoffs and it hasn’t even been in the postseason since 2013. I think the visitors struggle to close out this series on the road. Key Trends: - Denver is a poor 21-22 ATS this year after playing a home game. - San Antonio is 7-2 ATS this year when playing with “double revenge” vs. an opponent this season. The verdict: Do or die, now or never. Use whatever phrase you want, but I expect the Spurs to step up and deliver the goods. Lay the short points! |
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04-24-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 59 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the LA Clippers. Key Trends: - LA is 24-18 ATS on the road this year. - The Clippers are 17-10 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - LA is 19-11 ATS this year after allowing 110 points or more in three straight games. - GS is just 17-25 ATS at home. - The Warriors are a poor 13-14 ATS this season off a road victory. The verdict: The Clippers covered at home in Game 4 and I think they’ll take Game 5 down to the wire as well. Golden State comes in complacent here in my opinion and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright win, I think that all signs point to a very competitive battle. Grab the points! |
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04-24-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -8 | 93-100 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home cooking. I think it matters in Game 5. These teams split four regular season meetings, but Houston rolled out to three straight convincing victories before falling flat in Game 4. Clearly the Rockets can’t give the Jazz any more hope, so with the home side doubling down with their effort to end things here and now, I expect a similar style blowout as what we saw in Game’s 1 and 2. Utah’s achilles heel has been its play on the road and I expect that trend to continue. Key Trends: - Utah is 1-4 ATS this year already off an upset win as a home underdog. - The Jazz are an inconsistent 20-24 this year after a game where they covered the spread. The verdict: Expect Houston to put the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! |
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04-23-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -100 | 59 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Even numbers. I do indeed feel that these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest. The Spurs have led in all four games and have for the most part controlled the pace. San Antonio has already won in Denver in this series and I while the outright victory is clearly not out of the question here, I will in the end recommend grabbing the points in a game which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last. Key Trends: - San Antonio is 10-6 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - Denver is only 10-18 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more. The verdict: Expect a battle until the end and grab as many points as you can! |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 230 | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 57 h 18 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Nets/76ers under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. For the Nets obviously. After taking Game 1, Philadelphia has taken the last three from Brooklyn. The Nets will be looking to slow the pace of this one down whenever possible, as engaging in a “shootout” clearly hasn’t been working for them so far. I expect the visitors to try and do just that and it becomes my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - The Nets have seen the total go under the number in 30 of their last 45 after failing to cover three of their last four vs. the spread. - The 76ers have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven off a road win vs. a division rival. The verdict: The stage is set for a battle until the final horn. Everything points to the under as the correct call! |
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04-22-19 | Rockets -2 v. Jazz | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Smell the blood in the water. James Harden and the Rockets split their season series with the Jazz, but they’ve raced out to an insurmountable 3-0 series lead and with a chance to end it here and now and get rested up for the next round I expect them to make the most of it. Houston’s defense has been the difference maker so far in this series, as the Rockets have won 122-90, 118-98 and 104-101. Key Trends: - Houston is still 11-5 ATS this season after covering three of its last four vs. the spread. - Utah is only 14-16 ATS this year revenging a loss vs. an opponent which scored 100 points or more. The verdict: I think the Jazz have run out of gas. The writing is on the wall, lay the short points! |
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04-21-19 | Raptors v. Magic +5.5 | 107-85 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 23 m | Show | |
Ricky's 9* play on the Orlando Magic. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Essentially for the Magic. Orlando jumped out to a 1-0 series lead, but since then it’s been all Toronto. The Magic won’t want to go back to Toronto down 3-1, so with that in mind, I’m expecting a more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. Magic big man was a bright spot in defeat last time out, finally breaking out in this series with 22 points, 14 boards, six assists and three blocks. Key Trends: - Toronto is a terrible 3-8 ATS on the road as a favorite of six points or less this year. - The Raptors are still only 29-33 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - Orlando is 22-17 ATS at home this season. - The Magic are 10-7 ATS as a home underdog. - Orlando is 18-10 ATS this year revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Do or die, now or never. Grab the points! |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors/Clippers under. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go under in 23 of its last 36 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per game. - LA has seen the total dip under the number in four of five already this year in revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: I think both teams are fatigued at this point. The Clippers did rally from the massive come from behind victory in Game 2, but clearly the home side can’t get into a “shootout” with the Warriors and expect to win. I believe the home side doubles down defensively in Game 4. Play the under! |
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04-20-19 | Bucks v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 119-103 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Nothing to lose. Well, they’ve already lost the first two games of this series and they’ve already lost their super star Blake Griffin, so at this point its pretty safe to say that the Pistons have little to lose today. I like the home side to come out fired up and to ride the wave of emotion to a much more competitive outcome than what this spread would suggest. And the numbers support that theory. Key Trends: - As note that Milwaukee is already 0-2 ATS this year off two consecutive wins vs. division rivals. - The Bucks are also a mine-burning 3-5 ATS this season after playing four consecutive home games. - Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last six off two straight road losses by ten points or more (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Whether Griffin plays or not, look for the Pistons to go down fighting. Grab the points! |
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04-20-19 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Spurs | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky's 9* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Great in revenge role. I’ll admit that the Spurs have looked much better than I thought they would. When we look closer at the numbers though we find that San Antonio has a 32-9 home record, while Denver is only 20-21 on the road. The Spurs are better offensively, scoring 111.5 ppg to the Nuggets' 110.5 ppg, while Denver is better defensively, allowing 106.6 ppg to SA’s 109.9. Spurs have better percentages both in field goals (47.8% to 46.5%) and in 3-pointers (39.2% to 35%). However note that Denver is 4-1 ATS this year revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Key Trends: - Additionally note that Denver is 19-10 ATS in its last 29 off a road loss of ten points or more. - The Spurs are just 11-20 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more. The verdict: I think the desperate and talented visiting side has a legitimate shot at scoring the outright upset, but in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points! |
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04-19-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Blazers (CLASH OF TITANS) Key Trends: - Portland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 on the road. - The Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five when playing on two days rest. - OKC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning road record. The verdict: Russell Westbrook is a liability defensively. The Blazers Damian Lillard is averaging 30 points over the first two games and is outplaying everyone on the floor right now. OKC has allowed 109 points over its first two postseason games and I think it’ll have its hands full here again vs. this surging Blazers team. Grab the points! |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 210 | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 54 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Raptors/Magic. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven as a road favorite. - Orlando has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 17 when playing with two days rest. - The Magic have seen the total dip under in all four games this year off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. The verdict: These are two tough, defensive minded clubs and I’m expecting the home side to try and slow this one down and control the tempo from the outset. Magic big man Nikola Vucevic has so far been quiet in this series, but expect the home side to try and him much more involved moving forward. That means plenty of “half court sets” while on offense. The numbers and the conditions point to the under as the correct call! |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic +4.5 | 98-93 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Orlando Magic. Key Trends: - Toronto has been terrible in this spot, going only 11-14 ATS as a road favorite. That includes going just 3-7 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less. - Additionally note that the Raptors are a poor 8-10 ATS this season off a home win by ten points or more. - The Magic on the other hand are 8-3 ATS this year in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: The Magic have been competitive in this series despite big man Nikola Vucevic pretty much being a “no show” to this point. I think that’s going to change with the shift in venue though. He’s too good a player to be held down. I think the outright is very possible, but in the end let’s grab up all these points! |
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04-18-19 | Warriors -8 v. Clippers | 132-105 | Win | 100 | 58 h 16 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - History of success when dealing with adversity. Golden State dominated in its 121-104 home win in Game 1, but then collapsed in LA’s 135-131 historic come from behind win in Game 2. Can anyone say “letdown spot” for the Clippers here? The Warriors have won championships without DeMarcus Cousins and if they’re going to do it this season again, they’ll have to do it without the big man, as he tore his achilles in the Game 2 setback. Golden State though is filled with veteran talent and I expect it to step up and take advantage of this content Clippers side with a resounding victory. Key Trends: - The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five when playing on two days rest. - Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. - The Clippers are only 1-5 ATS in their last six after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The verdict: Andrew Bogut now steps up to seamlessly fill the void left by Cousins. Look for Steve Kerr and the defending champs to come ready to play in this one. Lay the points! |
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04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 237 | Top | 132-105 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Warriors/Clippers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. Game 1 went under the number in the Warriors victory, while Game 2 went well over the number in the Clippers historic come from behind win. I’m expecting a much slower-paced Game 3 though after the Game 2 shootout. The O/U trends below support that as well. Key Trends: - As note that GS has seen the total go under in five of six already this season in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of seven points or more. - LA has seen the total go under in seven of ten this season off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: Expect an all out way from the opening tip until the final horn and for this total to ultimately fall under once it’s all said and done! |
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