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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-20 | Elon +15.5 v. Northeastern | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Elon. I think 4-10 Elon, which enters having lost three straight, will be the much "hungrier" team today. Northeastern is 8-6, but complacent after three straight victories. Both teams put up similar offensive numbers, 72 and 68 per contest. The Phoenix also shoot a sharp 37.5 percent from range. They're led by Marcus Sheffield, who is averaging 16.9 PPG. The Huskies are the better team, but after their 88-72 smoke-job of James Madison, I think this one sets up as a "trap" vs. the lowly Phoenix. Key Trends: - Elon is already 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - Northeastern is only 1-3 ATS at home this season. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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01-02-20 | James Madison v. NC-Wilmington +3.5 | 64-60 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play on NC Wilmington. James Madison is 0-2 in CAA action and I think it's ripe for the picking here for the hungry Seahawks. NC Wilmington is also 0-2 in conference play, but it enters on a dismal seven-game overall losing streak. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting the home side to risk life and limb tonight to pull off the minor upset here. Note that the Dukes are only 1-3 on the road this year, while UNC Wilmington is 4-3 at home. Key Trends: - James Madison is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Dukes are already just 2-5 ATS this season after playing a home game. - UNC Wilmington is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog or pick. The verdict: I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this contest. That said, grab the points! |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +11.5 | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CASH-BOMB is on San Jose State. I think 13-2 New Mexico comes into this one complacent vs. hungry 4-10 San Jose State. The Spartans come in off a confidence building 83-68 win over Pepperdine as well, with guar Brae Ivey scoring a career high 23 points. UNM most recently got the better of UC Davis 74-69 on Sunday, anchored by 20 points from Corey Manigault. The Lobos though struggled to pull away and depth is a concern with a couple lingering injuries to two starters. Key Trends: - SJSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a victory in which it won and held its opponent to 70 points or less in. - The Lobos are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The verdict: The Spartans only lost to ranked Utah State by 12 points and they come in off their biggest win of the year. The Lobos on the other hand are starting to show "cracks in the armor" after their extended run. I think the "hungrier" team keeps it closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe here; grab the points! |
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12-31-19 | Mavs v. Thunder OVER 219.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Mavs/Thunder. The Thunder are 17-15 and are better than most thought they'd be. They come in off a big win over the Raptors as well and they'll be looking to kick this Mavericks team while it's down, as Dallas enters off a humbling loss to the Lakers. That said, clearly Luka Doncic and company will be out to atone for their lacklustre performance last time out. The Thunder average and allow right around 109 PPG. Dallas averages 116. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 16 on the road already this season. - OKC has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after playing two straight on the road. The verdict: I like the Mavs to push the pace from start to finish and I look for the home side to respond; play the over! |
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12-30-19 | Pistons +10 v. Jazz | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Detroit Pistons. These teams are moving in opposite directions. The Pistons have lost six of seven, while Utah has won seven of eight. Detroit won't be lacking for motivation here today though and I do indeed feel that this sets up as a trap/look-ahead spot for the now complacent home side. Utah enters off a 120-107 win over the Clippers as well, which further lends itself to this being a "letdown" spot for the Jazz in my opinion. Key Trends: - Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - Utah is only 6-8 ATS at home this season. - The Jazz are just 2-4 ATS this year off a road victory. The verdict: I like the "hungrier" team to keep this one tight until the final moments; grab the points! |
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12-30-19 | NC-Wilmington +8.5 v. Drexel | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on NC Wilmington. UNCW is 5-9 and Drexel is 7-7. The Seahawks though have dominated this mathcup, as they've won seven of the last eight SU, including going 5-2 ATS in the last seven. That said, Drexel won the last game last year by 12 points as a 4.5 point favorite, meaning that the "revenge factor" also comes into play here for the visiting side. UNCW averages 73 PPG The Dragons come in off a loss as wel to Charleston on Friday and I think they're set up for a letdown here as well. Key Trends: - UNCW is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Drexel is just 2-4 ATS at home this year. The verdict: I think the high-flying Seahawks keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points! |
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12-29-19 | Maine +15.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on Maine. This is Maine's biggest road trip in program history and I think it'll make the most of it. The Black Bears come in under the radar here, most recently they lost 74-53 to UMass. Nedeljko Prijovic was a stand out in the setback with 15 points. Hawaii is led by Eddie Stansberry with 16.5 PPG, but with the New Year break coming up, followed by conference play after, I think the Warriors definitely get caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent today. Key Trends: - Maine is 7-2 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games following a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing. - Hawaii is just 2-4 ATS in its last six home games a 15 points or more home favorite vs. a non-conference opponent. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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12-28-19 | Nets v. Rockets -9 | Top | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Houston Rockets. Both teams are coming off poor efforts. The Nets though are injured and have zero momentum and I think that trend of futility gets carried over here. Most recently Brooklyn fell 94-82 to the lowly Knicks. The lone bright spot was Spencer Dinwiddie, who had 25 point sin the setback. Overall Brooklyn averages and concedes 111 PPG. The Rockets won four in a row before an X-Mas Day upset at Golden State, falling 116-114. Russell Westbrook had 30 points in the setback: "We were up by 13 in the first half and for some reason we decided to start fouling them and putting them on the line and that cost us," coach Mike D'Antoni said. "Defensively we gave up 64 points in the first half and that's not good enough." Key Trends: - Houston is 9-1 ATS in its last ten when playing on two days rest. - The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of more than ten points. - Brooklyn is only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The verdict: The Rockets were embarrassed on National TV in front of the whole world just a couple of days ago and now they get a chance to annihilate this injured Nets team. Expect a blowout! |
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12-27-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST is on the Milwaukee Bucks. After getting embarrassed on X-Mas Day in Philadelphia, I look for the Bucks to bounce back here and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hawks. Whether Giannis Antetokounmpo plays or not tonight, I like Chris Middleton and the Bucks to deliver the goods here. Milwaukee has incredible depth and it's defense is going to be able to slow down this weak Hawks' attack. ATL most recently lost in Cleveland and it enters the post-X-Mas break with zero momentum. Overall the Hawks concede 118.6 PPG, the worst in the NBA. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 off an upset loss as a favorite (including 3-1 ATS this season.) - ATL is just 3-5 ATS this year revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: This one has all the makings of an epic blowout; lay the points! |
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12-26-19 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 220 | Top | 115-121 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGERS is on the UNDER Blazers/Jazz. Two teams hungry for a victory collide in this one and when the smoke does finally clear, I believe this one will fall well below the posted number. Portland comes to town rested after its four game win streak was snapped inexplicably by the New Orleans Pelicans. The Jazz though are in the exact same boat, as their five-game win skein came to a crashing halt with a blowout loss to the Heat in their last outing. From an overall "situational" stand point, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this year when the total is greater than or equal to 220. - Utah has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four this year after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a run and gun "shootout." Play the under! |
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12-26-19 | Wizards v. Pistons -6 | Top | 102-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* REVENGE U OF THE U is on the Detroit Pistons. They say "revenge is a dish best served cold." Washington has already taken the first two meetings between these teams and it enters off a rare road win over the Knicks in its last game. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Detroit on the other hand enters off another terrible peformance, this time falling at home to the 76ers. The Pistons are desperate for a victory and they play with the "double revenge" factor. I think the revenge angle works here tonight. Key Trends: - Washington is an unbelievably bad 10-21 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days rest. - Detroit is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. The verdict: The stage is set for a massive lop-sided blowout for the home side here; lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Nuggets | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Pelicans. The Pelicans come in under the radar today. Yes it's Christmas Day, but I believe that works in favor of the visitors, who won't be around familiar faces to distract them earlier in the day. New Orleans enters off an impressive 102-94 road win at Portland as well and I believe it carries that momentum over. After seven straight victories, I believe the Nuggets do indeed get caught flat-footed here. To sum it up, this one has "trap" written all over it for the home side in my opinion. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after holding its previous opponent to 95 points or less. - Denver is only 3-4 ATS as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range already this season. The verdict: I think the Pels hang on X-Mas day; grab the points! |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers -2 | 111-106 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the LA Lakers. This is a revenge game for the Lakers after they fell to the Clippers in these team's respective season openers. Clearly it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but the Lakers have come a long way since that first game and with the entire team expected to be given a clean bill of health, I believe the "revenge factor" works tonight. Key Trends: - The Clippers are 0-3 ATS already this year after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. - The Lakers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season. - The Lakers are 9-4 ATS in revengin a loss vs. an opponent (including 6-1 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as the favorite.) The verdict: I like The King to get the better of The Claw tonight; play on the Lakers! |
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12-25-19 | Rockets -11 v. Warriors | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Rockets The Warriors are coming off two straight victories. Golden State's success these days revolves around the play of D'Angelo Russell and while he's playing admirably, I think he'll be completely short-handed here to handle the red hot Rockets, who have won four straight. The Rockets have plenty of fire-power with James Harden and Russell Westbrook, but the issue has been making the two "gel" and have a working chemistry. That does seem to be finally happening now, which is scary for the rest of the league. With a chance to put on a show for the World, I look for these two polarizing players to take over this contest. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-1 ATS already this season after four or more SU victories. - GS is only 6-8 ATS at home this year. - The Warriors are a poor 40-61 ATS in their last 101 after covering the spread in their previous game (including just 4-9 ATS this season.) The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the 76ers. Milwaukee comes in off a 117-89 home win over Indiana, while Philadelphia crushed Detroit 125-109 on the road on Monday. This is the first matchup of the year between these Eastern Conference heavyweights and while the Bucks did take two of the three meetings last season, I think that the home court advantage on X-Mas Day can't be ruled out as a major deciding factor once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Bucks are also interestingly only 1-3 ATS this year after three straight covers as the favorite. - Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a home dog. The verdict: It wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but after losing two of three last year, I think the 76ers offer great value to steal this one at home on X-Mas day; play on Philly! |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -3.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Boston Celtics. I like Boston to find a way to get the job done here. The C's come in focussed after their 119-93 destruction of the Hornets on Sunday, while the Raptors enter off a tough 120-115 OT loss on the road in Indiana. Boston already beat the Raptors 112-106 at home earlier in the year and I expect a similar result here as well. Overall the C's are averaging 111.2 PPG and conceding 103.2. THe Raptors are averaging 112.1 PPG and conceding 106.4. The Raptors though are playing with injuries to key players, including Paskall Siakam and Marc Gasol. Key Trends: - Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a win percentage above .600. The verdict: The Celtics have had a couple days off to prepare for this game and I look for the surging visiting side to deliver the goods on the national stage; lay the points! |
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12-23-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland is quietly dominating right now and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. The Blazers enter having won four in a row and five of their last six. Damian Lillard has scored 27 or more in his team's five straight victories, while big man Hassan Whitesite has double double efforts in ten straight games. The Pelicans are coming off a loss to Golden State on Friday and with an X-Mas day matchup which was supposed to showcase their dynamic rookie up next, I believe they suffer a predictable letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage bleow .400. - New Orleans is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. The verdict: The Blazers last six victories have come by at least seven points or more; expect that strong trend to continue tonight vs. the hapless Pels! |
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12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 123-102 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks fell 129-114 in Miami, but I think the offer great value here to push the Bucks to the limit here. Milwaukee enters off a highly satisfying win at home over LeBron James and the Lakers and with a game the following night at home vs. Indiana, before their X-Mas day game at Philadelphia, would anyone fault the Bucks for having a letdown/look-ahead?! Key Trends: - Milwaukee is only 4-7 ATS this year after a non-conference game. - New York is 7-2 ATS already this season in revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: It's a "trap game" for the Bucks in my opinion and I like the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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12-21-19 | North Florida v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Syracuse. I like 6-5 Syracuse to lay the hammer down on the North Florida Ospreys today. Elijah Hughes and Joseph Girard III led the way in a 74-62 victory against Oakland in the Dome on Wednesday. Hughes had 23 points, while Girard III added 20 points to go along with seven assists. Note that the Orange are 21st in assist turnover ratio (1.36). North Florida is 7-6 and it enters off a 98-81 loss to FSU last time out. Four players average more than ten points for the Ospreys, but I still think they'll have difficulty keeping pace with the Orange in the Carrier Dome tonight. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference home games as a 13 point or higher favorite. The verdict: This is a bad matchpu for the Ospreys, who struggle against good three-points shooting teams (note that Hughes is fourth in 3-point field goals made (40) and fifth in 3-point field goals per game (3.64) in the country.) Lay the points! |
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12-20-19 | Mavs v. 76ers -8 | Top | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the 76ers. I base my picks on many different things. This one has to do primarily with common sense. Dallas won its first game over the Bucks without star player Luka Doncic in the line-up, but the team has predictably struggled since. I believe that trend continues here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Mavs are fresh off a 109-103 loss at home to Boston. And the 76ers come in focussed, as after a five-game win streak, they enter having lost two straight. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. - Dallas is interestingly just 5-7 ATS in non-conference games this year. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the LA Clippers. The Rockets got out to an 11-3 start, but they've since fallen off, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Russell Westbrook is struggling to find chemistry with James Harden as he's averaging only 22.8 percent shooting. Also note that the visitors come to town with significant injuries to key players (Eric Gordon and Gerald Green.) Houston's defense has been atrocious this year and I think that the home side is going to go for the jugular tonight. The Clippers are 21-8 and they play with revenge here after falling to the Rockets in Houston earlier in the year. Paul George didn't play in that one and LA has had to deal with several injuries to open the season. But all key players are back and available to go in this contest. Key Trends: - LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home. - Houston is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict: Chemistry issues, poor defense and injuries come back to haunt the Rockets tonight; lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | William & Mary v. St. Joe's +1.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on St. Joes. William & Mary enters at 8-3, while the St. Joseph's Hawks are just 2-9. After winning four of five though, I think the visitors come in complacent. However, the Hawks have lost five straight and I believe they'll be risking life and limb, pulling out all the stops as they try to get off the schneid and back into the winners circle. The bottom line though is that the Tribe have played a very weak schedule, and the Hawks have played a more difficult one. Key Trends: - St. Joe's is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 85 or more points (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - W&M is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after having won four of its last five SU. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at home; grab the short points! |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on Western Illinois. EIU claimed a 68-66 OT win over WIU last year. Suffice it to say, I think that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Panthers come in a 5-4, while the Leathernecks are 2-7. EIU averages 78.3 PPG, but defense has been a liability. WIU comes in off a hard-fought 90-86 loss to Evansville, but I think it carries that momentum over here as it looks to break the three game slide in this series. Key Trends: - WIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as an undredog. - WIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning SU record. - EIU is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road. The verdict: Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but let's grab the points! |
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12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! |
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12-14-19 | Fresno State v. Cal Poly OVER 134.5 | Top | 62-37 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the OVER Fresno State/Cal Poly. These are two teams hungry for a win. Fresno State is 2-7 and Cal Poly is 2-8. The Bulldogs come in off a tight 69-63 loss to Cal on Wednesay, led by 21 points from New Williams. For the season the Bulldogs average 70.6 PPG and they allow 70.2. The Mustangs broke a five-game slide with a 70-66 win over Sienna last time out and I think that first year coach John Smith's team can build off that performance at home. Key Trends: - Fresno State has seen the total go over the number in all three games it's played in this year as a favorite. - Cal Poly has seen the total soar over the number in 13 of its last 16 as a home dog. The verdict: This one has the feel of a wide open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced "chess match." Play the over! |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-14-19 | Evansville v. Green Bay -2 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay. Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd. The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far. Key Trends: - The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more. - The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points! |
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12-13-19 | Colorado v. Colorado State +5.5 | Top | 56-48 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Colorado State. I think the 7-2 Colorado Buffalos will have their hands full with the 7-5 Colorado State Rams. CSU comes in off a win, while Colorado enters off two straight losses. Most recently the Buffs fell 79-76 to Northern Iowa. Tyler Bey leads the way for Colorado with 13 points, 11 boards and 2.1 assists per game. CSU is led by Nico Carvacho with 13.3 points, 9.9 boards and 2.2 assists per night. Carvacho had 12 points in his team's most recent 72-68 home win over South Dakota State. Key Trends: - The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. - The Buffaloes are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games. The verdict: The Rams are not a push over this year and they come in off a confidence building victory which I believe gets carried over here. The outright is possible, but let's grab up the points! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! |
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12-11-19 | Cornell +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Cornell. The Cornell Big Red are just 1-7 and the Colgate Raiders are 6-4. The Big Red though won't be lacking for motivation as they attempt to snap a seven-game skid, including four losses by three points or less, vs. the reigning Patriot champion. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging team bests of 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds for Cornell, numbers that raise to 23.3 ppg. and 12.0 rpg over the last three. Colgate is 5-0 at home, but it comes in off a 93-82 OT loss at Niagara, which snapped a five-game win streak. How will the Raiders respond? I think another letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - Cornell is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a five games or more unbeaten streak. - Colgate is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 following an OT loss of ten points or more. The verdict: I think the Big Red match up well here; grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on Texas Tech. The mighty 9-0 Louisville Cardinals are going to have a fight from start to finish on their hands here from the 5-3 Texas Tech Red Raiders in my estimation. Texas Tech has lost three straight, so clearly it'll be desperate for a win here and what better opponent to try and pull the upset against? Louisville averages 77.1 PPG and it concedes 57.6. Eight different players hit a three-pointer in the Cardinals most recent win over Pittsburgh. Texas Tech most recently lost 65-60 in OT to DePaul (Terrence Shannon Jr. was a bright spot in a losing cause with 24 points.) Note though that Texas Tech hasn't lost four straight non-conference games since 1991. Overall the Red Raiders average 79 PPG and concede 65.1. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 non-confernece games (including only 3-4 ATS this season.) - Texas Tech is 21-15 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think the home side matches up well and I think its determination bridges the gaps; that said, grab the points! |
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12-09-19 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 212.5 | Top | 104-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. Oklahoma City comes in off a 108-96 win at Portland just last night, so I think it'll predictably struggle to put up much of a fight in this difficult road venue and in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Would anyone blame the Thunder for having a letdown here either after winning four of five? The Jazz have taken a step back on the defensive side of the ball of late, but they're still conceding only 106 PPG on average. Utah got back on track after a three-game slide with a win over the Grizzlies last time. With three whole days off to prepare for this one, I like the Jazz to come out and lock down on the defensive side. Key Trends: - The Thunder have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Jazz have seen the total go under in all three games vs. division opponents already this year. The verdict: The numbers and the overall situation all point to the "under" as the savvy call here in my opinion! |
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12-07-19 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Suns/Rockets. These teams play little defense and each gets out and pushes the pace. That said, I still believe this number is too high. The Suns come in off a high-scoring OT win over the Pelicans in New Orleans, but they're still only 2-3 in their last five. After the marathon last time out, I think Phoenix takes a predictable step back here. The Rockets' James Harden is averaging 38.7 PPG this year. Russell Westbrook is coming off a triple double in a victory at Toronto. After the big win over the defending champs on the road, this does also potentially set up as a bit of a trap. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seeen the total go under in four of five thi syear when the total is greater than or equal to 230. - Houston has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 in the same position. The verdict: Addmitedly, these two teams are trash on defense. But I think the situation that each finds itself in coming into this one will help in contributing it to finally being a bit more of a defensive battle; play the under! |
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12-07-19 | Cleveland State +18.5 v. Kent State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* D vs G is on Cleveland State. Am I predicting an outright upset for the 4-5 Cleveland State Vikings vs. the 7-1 Kent State Golden Flashes? I'm not. I simply feel that Kent will get caught looking past this hungry Vikings team. Most recently the Flashes beat Detroit 92-57. Cleveland State won't be rolling over here. Note that the Vikings had won three in a row before losing at home to Toledo 80-65 on Wednesday. The Vikings' offense has been better of late, topping 65 points in their last three games, led by Algevon Eichelberger, who averages in double figures. Key Trends: - Cleveland State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home loss. - Kent State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points in the process. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team keeps this one more competitive that what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | Oklahoma v. North Texas +6 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on UNT. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Tulane v. Southern Miss | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Southern Miss. USM returns from the Bahamas hungry for a win in this rivalry game. The Golden Eagles though return home battle tested, having already played heavyweights No. 7 Gonzaga, No. 13 Seton Hall and Alabama in consecutive nights. One player to watch out for for the home side is LaDavius Draine, who had back-to-back double digit games to open the Bahama tournament. Tulane was only 4-27 last year, but first year head coach Ron Hunter has the Green Wave looking like a completely different team in the early going, thanks in large part to some key transfers. That said, I think Tulane will get caught off guard here from this hungry home side. Key Trends: - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Green Wave a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven off a home win by ten points or more. - Southern Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: Clearly the outright is in the cards here, but let's grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | VMI +18 v. Duquesne | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on VMI. I think the 6-0 Duquesne Dukes get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. The VMI Keydets though come in under the radar here, as they've quietly won three of their last four. These teams haven't played since 2017 and the Dukes scored the 77-61 win. Duquesne is riding high after big wins over Indiana State, Air Force and Loyola Marymount in the Junkanoo Jam in Bihimi.  Key Trends: - VMI is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the +18.5 to +24 points range. - Duquesene is only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite. The verdict: VMI had three losses by three or fewer points in its first five games, so its win/loss record could in fact be a lot better. No outright, but considering everything I believe that this is far too many points to be giving up to the Keydets; grab the points! |
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12-04-19 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Evansville | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Western Illinois. Western Illinois' two-game win streak came to an end vs. KC last time out, falling 68-67. That was after being down by as many as 18 in the firs thalf. Ben Pyle scored a game-high 21 points in a losing cause. I think the Leathernecks carry that momentum over here though as they try to score their five ever SU victory over Evansville. Four starters are averaging double figures for the visitors though: Kobe Webster (16.3 PPG), Zion Young (15.4), Ben Pyle (12.7), C.J. Duff (10.8) Key Trends: - Note that five of WIU's games have been decided by seven points or less this year. - The Purple Aces are just 2-4 ATS this season as a favorite. - Evansville is only 1-3 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I believe the Purple Aces are going overlook their lowly, but hungry opponent today; grab the points! |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! |
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12-02-19 | Suns v. Hornets UNDER 225.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Suns/Hornets. From both situational and trend based stand points, I think this sets up great for a lower-scoring defensive battle. The Suns are dire need of a victory here as they've lost three straight. The Hornets had won two in a row before falling 137-96 to the Bucks on Monday. Charlotte shot just 36% vs. Milwaukee. Key Trends: - Phoenix has seen the total go under in four of its last five on the road. - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in five of its last six as a home dog. The verdict: Two teams hungry for a victory battle tooth and nail and this one stays WELL under the number once the final horn sounds! |
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12-02-19 | Miami-FL +8 v. Illinois | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Miami Florida. This is part of the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. This is a big game for the Hurricanes who are 0-3 vs. Top 100 teams to open the season. Miami has allowed 79 PPG over its last two losses, but overall the defense has been decent. Overall Miami is averaging 62.3 PPG. The Illini average 88.3 PPG in the earliy going, but that's largely been due to the level of competition. Key Trends: - Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog or pick - Illinois is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, find a way to keep this one competitive late; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 96-137 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is the UNDER Hornets/Bucks. Charlotte only averages 105.7 PPG this year as it looks to find an identity after guard Kemba Walker left. Note that the Hornets have failed to score over 102 points in three of their last five. Devonte' Graham has been a bright spot by averaging 13.3 PPG. The Bucks average a league-leading 119.4 PPG, but note that forward Khris Middleton is expected to sit this one. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total dip under in four of five off an upset win as an underdog. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in interestingly its last five games after back-to-back no ATS cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is a tad high; play the under! |
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11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! |
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11-28-19 | Providence v. Long Beach State +17 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on LBSU. Providence is 4-2, most recently defeating Merrimack 93-56. LBSU enters off a humbling 104-67 loss on the road in Arizona. The Friars average 80 and the 49ers allow 77. Key Trends: - However note that Providence is just 14-24 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-3 ATS this season). - The Friars are also a poor 3-6 ATS in their last nine after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court affairs. The verdict: The 49ers won't be going down without a fight here. LBSU has faced some tough opponents in the early going and I don't think it'll be intimiated here; grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! |
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11-27-19 | Kings +9.5 v. 76ers | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Sacramento Kings. This is the Kings third game in their last four days, the final of their four-game swing. Sacramento will be fired up here to finish up strong in my opinion and take down a vulnerable looking 76ers side which comes in off a humbling defeat in Canada. Most recently Sacramento fell 103-102 to Boston on Monday. Buddy Hield had 11 3-pointer in the setback. 76ers star Joel Embiid was held scoreless in his team's loss in Toronto. Key Trends: - Sacramento averages 105.3 PPG. - Philadelphia averages 109 PPG. The verdict: Sacramento is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. non-conference opponents, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. Sacramento is playing a lot better of late and it has five players averaging in double figures. This one has "battle" written all over it, grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -107 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the OVER Pistons/Hornets. The Pistons beat the Magic last time out, allowing a season-low 88 points. Orlando was in a bad spot there though with a recent injury to star player Nikola Vucevic. Charlotte won't be resting on its laurels here though as it looks to break a five-game slide. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here as well afer a 109-106 loss to Charlotte at home at the start of the year. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go over in four of five this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. - Charlotte has seen the total go over nine of its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the overall situation finally points to more of a "shootout" between these two clubs which normally struggle to put points on the board; play the over! |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! |
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11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! |
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11-25-19 | Alabama State +27 v. VCU | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Alabama State. Alabama State faces its second straight ranked opponent here today, most recently taking on Tennessee, both contests part of the Emerald Coast Classic. Alabama State has also faced Gonzaga this year, so to say its "battle tested" in the early going would be a big understatement. Tobi Ewuosho leads Alabama State in scoring at 14.8 points per game. VCU is 5-0 and it already has a win over then No. 23 LSU by a score of 84-82. The Rams also just posted a 30-point victory over Florida Gulf Coast. However with a game against Purdue on Friday, I think the Rams get caught looking past their opponent today. Key Trends: - VCU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a 25 points or more favorite following a four-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Alabama State to keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-25-19 | Wright State v. Weber State +8.5 | 72-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* ANNIHILATOR is on Weber State. The Weber State Wildcats are 1-2 to open the year. Weber State lost to a couple of pretty good schools though in Utah State and San Diego, before then bouncing back with a 130-50 destruction of West Coast Baptist. This is the team's sixth straight seaosn in a preseason tournament. Wright State comes in off a less impressive 81-55 win over Urbana on Wednesday. I think Wright State will have its hands full here vs. a Weber State team picked to finish second in the Big Sky by the media this year. Key Trends: - Wright State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Weber State is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after playing two straight at home. The verdict: I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | CS Bakersfield +27.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 49-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Cal State. Gonzaga is 5-0 overall this year and 4-0 at home, while CSUB is 2-3, losing both of its road games. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely feel that the Bulldogs will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. CSUB is coming off a 100-70 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Taze Moore, who is averaging 15 points and 3.4 RPG. Gonzaga enters off a tougher than expected 72-66 win over UT Arlington on Tuesday. The 72 points were a season low thus far. Key Trends: - CSUB is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - Gonzaga is interestingly just 27-30 ATS in its last 57 after playing two straight games as a favorite. The verdcit: Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter contest that what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Montana +13.5 v. Washington | 56-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Montana. The Montanta Grizzlies are 1-3 and the Washington Huskies are 3-1. Montana comes in off a shocking loss to Montana Tech, so it'll be extra focussed here after that embarrassing performance. Senior guard Sayeed Pridgett leads the Grizzlies with 18.5 points per game. UW comes in off a 72-53 victory over Maine. Freshman forward Jaden McDaniels averages another 12.3 points per game. Key Trends: - The Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. The verdict: After its wake up call in its last game, expect Montanta to press the pace of this one from start to finish. And also expect that to result in a comfortable ATS cover for the underdog; grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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11-22-19 | Houston +7.5 v. Oregon | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* play on Houston. The Cougars are 3-1 and the Ducks are 4-0. Houston averages 84 PPG in the early going and I think it'll push Oregon to the brink here. Most recently Houston came back from a 7-point deficit at half time to beat Rice 97-89, led by 32 points from Quentin Grimes. Overall Houston averages 84 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Oregon averages 81.5 PPG and it allows 63.2. Payton Pritchard is averaging 20.2 points per game to lead the Ducks. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. - Oregon is just 13-16 ATS in its last 29 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing all these points! |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Spurs/76ers UNDER. What do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it different for every sport? I use a number of different handicapping methodolgies when making my selections, but I think the overall "situation" that each of these teams finds itself in coming into this contest is going to lead to more of a defensive affair. The Spurs have lost seven straight and they'll be doing everything they can to try and get off the schneid. Clearly getting into a "shootout" with the home side is NOT what Greg Popovich and company will want though. San Antonio is thin after LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan, so instead the visitors will have to control the pace of this one throughout. And for the 76ers, they have the Heat coming to town tomorrow, followed by a game vs. the Raptors. This is a "trap game" for the home side and I do think it'll get caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - SA has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 34 after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. - Philly has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 off a win vs. a division rival. The verdict: This one has the feel of a "chess match," rather than a wide open "shootout." Play the under! |
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11-22-19 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Washington Wizards. This is the Hornets fourth straight on the road and they come in having lost two in a row, most recently at Brooklyn. Washington will look to take advantage and I think it comes in under the radar here after winning two of three. Charlotte's offense looked particualry horrible last time out, scoring just 40 points in the second half vs. Brooklyn. Washington on the other hand exploded for 75 points in the second half of its most recent victory over San Antonio. Key Trends: - Washington has the best offense in the NBA, averaging 119.7 PPG. - Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams which average over 106 PPG. The verdict: Washington is just as hungry and desperate as Charlotte is here for a victory and I think it's playing much better on both sides of the ball that its opponent today; lay the points! |
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11-22-19 | Utah State v. LSU +1 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on LSU. Utah State comes in off a relatively easy victory over UTSA, but I think it'll have its hands full with this Power 5 team. LSU comes in off a blowout victory over UMBC in its most recent matchup, its second straight win. Sam Merrill paces the Aggies with 17.4 PPG. LSU is led by SKylar Mays with 17 points and 6.8 boards per game. Key Trends: - Utah State is only 12-16 ATS in its last 28 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per game. - LSU is 2-0 ATS this year already off a home victory. The verdict: This final game of the opening day of the Jamaica Classic favors the high-powered offense of the Tigers in my opinoin. Grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the OVER Pelicans/Suns. New Orleans is finally starting to find its footing after having to start the campaign with Zion Williamson. New Orleans comes in off an upset win at home over Portland and I like it to keep the foot on the gas here as it looks to take advantage of a suddenly struggling Suns side which has dropped three of five. Brandon Ingram has been playing strong offensively for the Pelicans, as he averages a team-best 25.4 PPG. Note though that NO's still allows an atrocious 118.9 PPG on average. The Suns' once rosey start to the 2018/19 campaign is gone. Phoenix will be leaning heavily on guard Devin Booker to help them break the slide here; so far Booker leads the nightly charge with 25.4 PPG. Key Trends: - NO's has seen the total go over in three of its last four as a road underdog. - Phoenix has seen the total soar over in six of its last seven home games. The verdict: This one has wide open "shootout" written all over it; play the over! |
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11-21-19 | Green Bay +18 v. Wisconsin | 70-88 | Push | 0 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Wisconsin Green Bay. This is a second round matchup of the Legends classic and note that both teams will be moving on to the next round despite the outcome of this contest. The Phoenix have been off since a competitive 93-78 loss to New Mexico in the first round. Green Bay forced 18 UNM turnovers. Note that PJ Pipes averages 13.3 PPG. Wisconsin posted a 77-61 win over Marquette in its last outing. Brevin Pritzl led the way with 15 points in the victory. Note though that the Badgers are getting uneven production on both ends of the court to open the 2019/20 campaign, shooting 40 percent fro the floor and 33 percent from range. Key Trends: - Wisconsin Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its last ten as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - The Badgers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by 15 or more points. The verdict: No outright, but look for the Phoenix to post another solid effort and comfortable cover; grab the points! |
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11-21-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +21 v. Pittsburgh | 41-66 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Arkansas Pine Bluff. This is the second of four games as part of the Rocket Mortgage Fort Myers Tip-Off. Pittsburgh comes in off a relatively easy win over Monmouth on Monday, but I think it gets caught looking past lowly 0-4 Arkansas Pine Bluff in this one. After this game the Panthers travel to Fort Myers Florida for the championship rounds of this tournament and I think it's the foot in the door that Pine Bluff needs to pull off the comfortable cover. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference home games as a favorite of 19.5 points or more. - Arkansas Pine Bluff is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more SU losses. The veridct: Expect this one to be competitive well into the second half and grab up all these points! |
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11-21-19 | Duquesne v. Indiana State +6 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Indiana State. Duquesne is 3-0, but I think it'll have its hands full with the 0-3 Indiana State Sycamores tonight. This is the opening round of the Junkanoo Jam. The Dukes are allowing 53 PPG in the early going and averaging 72.7. Baylee Steele averages 12.7 PPG for the Dukes. Indiana State has so far averaged only 68 PPG, while conceding 82.0. Jordan Barnes has been a bright spot by averaging 12.7 PPG. Key Trends: - Duquesne is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral court games. - Indiana State is 4-0 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: Competition for each side has skewed these team's early offensive and defensive numbers. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! |
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11-20-19 | Troy State +18 v. Texas A&M | 52-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Troy. Troy is 1-3 and it comes in off its first win of the season, an 84-57 victory over Carver. While I'm clearly not expecting an outright upset, I do think the Trojans will keep this one close till the end. The Aggies come in off a terrible performance, getting destroyed 79-49 by Gonzaga. Key Trends: - Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. - Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: I think the Aggies come in dejected and still caught up on that performance and I look for Troy to take advantage; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Cornell +20.5 v. Syracuse | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Cornell. I like three big underdogs in CBB on Wednesday night, including this play on 1-3 Cornell at 2-1 Syracuse. The Big Red lost to DePaul by 21 points, but I think they'll put up more of a fight here. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging 15.3 PPG for Cornell in th eearly going. Elijah Hughes and Buddy Boeheim lead the way for the Orange. Four players average in double-digit for Syracuse and while it most recently beat Seattle by 22 points I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Key Trends: - Cornell is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a blowout loss by 20 points or more in its previous outing. - Syracuse is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The verdict: The Orange have one more "cream puff" after this before it gets into the meat of its regular season. I think the home side takes the foot off the gas and I expect the hungry Big Red to cover comfortably; grab the points! |
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11-20-19 | Columbia +9.5 v. St. John's | 63-82 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Columbia. St. John's comes in with a 3-1 record and Columbia enters with a 1-3 record. The Scarlet Knights come in off their first loss of the year though in an upset setback to Vermont. Columbia has already faced some stiff competition, most recently falling to the defending National champs in their last outing. The battle tested Lions have also faced Lafayette and Wake Forest: "Obviously, I'm not happy with the result, but this was a great experience for our guys to go up against the defending national champions," said coach Jim Engles. Suffice it to say, I believe this early experience is going to help in keeping this game competitive until the final moments. Key Trends: - Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. - St. John's is just 15-23 ATS in its last 38 as the favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that this one sets up very well for the Lions and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much closer battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to belive; grab the points! |
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11-19-19 | Montana State v. Grand Canyon -6.5 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on Grand Canyon. Carlos Johnson and the Grand Canyon Lopes are just 1-3, while Montanta State is 4-1. But overwhelming ATS trends/numbers lead me to believe that Johnson and the home side are about to break out in a big way tonight. Key Trends: - Montana State is 0-2 ATS in its last two after scoring 55 points or less. - Grand Canyon is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less. The verdict: I'm banking on the hungrier team finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the points! |
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11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 222 | Top | 114-95 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Warriors/Grizzlies. The Warriors have lost seven straight, most recently a 108-100 loss to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Grizz have been better than expected this year, but they come in off a terrible 131-114 home loss to Denver. There's nothing positive to say about Golden State, as all of its star players are injured. The Warriors are terrible on both ends of the court, but especially on the offensive side. Memphis has also struggled defensively this year, but the hungry Grizz clearly catch a break here facing this terrible Warriors' offense. Key Trends: - Memphis has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 24 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: With each side doubling down defensively, expect this total to stay well below the posted number; play the under! |
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11-19-19 | Furman v. Alabama -4 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Alabama. Furman is 4-0 to open the season, but I think it'll have its hands full here with 1-2 Alabama. Furman won its most recent game, 83-81 at home over Southern Wesleyan, but now they face a Tide team in a foul mood after its 93-79 loss at Rhode Island most recently. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 22.3 PPG this year for Alabama and I think he's a big matchup issue for the Mid Major today. Key Trends: - Furman is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog. - Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: This is a big test for Alabama first year head coach Nate Oates, but I think he has the personel to get the job done here; lay the short points! |
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11-18-19 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 108-132 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Blazers. Portland's lost three of its last five, but it comes in off a convincing full four quarter effort vs. the Spurs and I look for that momentum to get carried over here. Note that the Rockets will not have star Russell Westbrook in the line-up tonight. Overall the Blazers average 112.8 PPG. The Rockets continue to get unreal play from James Harden, but Houston gets rather thin after that. Key Trends: - Portland is already 3-0 ATS this year as a road underdog. - The Blazers are 62-47 ATS in their last 109 after one or more SU victories. - The Rockets are already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done here; grab the points! |
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11-18-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +16.5 v. South Dakota | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on SIU Edwardsville. SIUE came back from an 11-point second-half deficit to post a 57-55 victory away from friendly confines Saturday at Incarnate Word. Mike Adewunmi led the way with 12 points. South Dakota comes in off a relatively easy 88-69 win over Texas Southern, but I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent after improving to 4-0. Key Trends: - SIU Edwardsville is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games after holding its previous opponent to 55 points or less. - South Dakota is only 5-10 ATS in its last 15 off a home win by ten or more points. The verdict: I think SIUE matches up better vs. South Dakota than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGERS is on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets come in off a win over the Nets at home and I think they'll get the better of the home side in this one. Memphis has won three straight, but it doesn't match up well at all here vs. Denver. Nuggets' center Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 5.8 assists per game this season. Ja Morant has been great for Memphis during this win streak, but I believe the rookie will have his hands full with Denver's Jamal Murray. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing straight up record. - Memphis is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Memphis comes back down to Earth here after its big upset win; lay the points! |
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11-17-19 | CS-Northridge +13 v. Richmond | Top | 62-90 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on CSUN. The 0-4 CSUN Matadors come in under the radar here and steal one comfortably ATS in my opinion vs. the Richmond Spiders. Terrell Gomez led the scoring for CS-Northridge with 23 points in a 116-70 loss to Auburn most recently. The Spiders come in content after an OT win over Vanderbilt last time out. Note that both of Richmond's victories have come in OT, meaning that the team is having difficulties closing out and it could easily be 0-2 right now as well if not for a few lucky bounces. Key Trends: - CSUN is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing with one or less days rest. - Richmond is a terrible 6-14 ATS in its last 20 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think Richmond is going to have a fight on its hands until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Hawks +13 v. Clippers | Top | 101-150 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Atlanta Hawks. Paul George is out for this one for the Clippers, so the Kawhi Leonard/George first game together is going to have to wait a little longer. The Clippers are only 7-5 and the Hawks are just 4-7. The Hawks are short-handed, but they still have Trae Young and I look for desperate Atlanta to try and take advantage of a Clippers team which also enters without key pieces. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 50-30 ATS in its last 80 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. - LA is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game which gets decided in the closing moments. As such, grab as many points as you can! |
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11-16-19 | St Bonaventure +7.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are 0-3 to open the year, while the Scarlet Knights are 3-0. Note though that Rutgers does not actually have the true "home court advantage" here, as this game is being played in Toronto as part of the James Naismith Classic tournament. The Bonnies enter off a 78-65 oss at Siena, with Dominick Welch a bright spot with 21 points. The Scarlet Knights were 7-13 in conference play last year and only 14-17 overall. Rutgers first three opponents are suspect though (Bryant, Niagara and Drexel.)Â Key Trends: - The Bonnies are 2-0 ATS in their last two after going 65 points or less in three straight games. - St. Bonaventure is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after faling to cover the spread. - The Scarelt Knights are only 2-7 ATS in their last nine after conceding 65 points or less in two straight games. The verdict: I think this one comes down to the wire and as such, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-15-19 | Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 v. Mercer | Top | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on the Florida Gulf Coast. The FGCU Eagles won't be lacking for motivation here after they fell 55-49 to Dartmouth last time out. FGCU went into half tied at 29-29 as well. Sophomore Zach Scott leads the nightly charge with 16.3 PPG. Mercer is only 515 miles from the Mercer Campus. Mercer has won two in a row, but over lowly Columbia International and Kennesaw State (the Bears did lose their opener at Saint John's 109-79.) Ethan Stair leads Mercer with 20.3 points and 9.7 rebounds. Key Trends: - FGCU is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games after two or more SU losses. - Mercer is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine home games after back to back SU victories. The verdict: I think the hungry Eagles matchup well here. This spread is low and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend grabbing the points in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -106 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the under Spurs/Magic. The Magic did much better than everyone expected last year and Orlando had high hopes coming into this season. But the Magic haven't looked good to open the 2019/20 campaign. That said, Orlando enters off its best performance of the year in pulling away for a 112-97 win over the 76ers. Nikola Vucevic posted a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds. The Spurs come in off back-to-back terrible efforts, allowing 135 points in a loss to Boston, before then falling 129-114 to the Wolves. DeMar DeRozan led San Antonio with 27 points, five rebounds, and a couple of blocks. Key Quote: Spurs' coach Gregg Popovich clearly frustrated by his team's lack of defensive effort of late and said this after his team's last loss: "They executed, they were unselfish, and they made 3s. They had a lot of guys that played well, and they were aggressive. From our end, I think we were very challenged defensively, another poor outing." The verdict: I think both teams double down on the defensive end and I look for this competitive match to fall well below the posted number once it's all said and done; play the under! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. I like the hungry Bulls to put up a fight and to take this one down to the final moments. The Bulls are actually playing their best ball of the year so far, having won two of their last three, including a 113-93 road victory over the Hawks in their most recent. I think this is a "trap" for the Bucks, who return home for their first game after a four-game trip, most recently barely holding on for the 121-119 victory over the lowly Grizzlies. Key Trends: - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a home win by ten points or more (just hammered the Knicks.) - Milwaukee is interestingly only 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after three consecutive non-conference contests. The verdict: Chicago is dealing with a couple injury issues, but the Bucks get caught looking past their lowly opponent. Grab the points and expect a competitive affair! |
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11-14-19 | Alabama A&M +35 v. Cincinnati | Top | 53-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ATS BLOWOUT is on Alabama A&M. I think that the Bearcats get caught looking past the lowly Bulldogs tonight. Alabama A&M enters off a 74-52 loss to UAB, while Cincinnati comes in off an 81-59 victory over Drake. Key Trends: - Alabama A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a 20 points or more loss in its previous outing and as a 30 or more point underdog. - The Bearcats are a poor 2-7 ATS in their last nine at home. The verdict: With another cream puff vs. Illinois State up next before a game vs. UCLA, I think Cincinnati coasts in this one; grab all these points! |
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11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -3 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* BEATDOWN is on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers got caught "looking ahead" to this game last night in Sacramento, falling 105-94 to the surging Kings. But I think that Damian Lillard and company will rebound here and take advantage of a depleted Raptors side. After beating the Lakers, the Raptors wound up losing 98-88 to Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers. Both Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry were out with injury and each is questionable here as well. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous game. - The Blazers are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: I think the desperate home side lays everything on the line and I believe that effort will be more than enough to cover the handful of points tonight; play on Portland! |
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11-13-19 | Grand Canyon +10.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Grand Canyon. I think SDSU gets caught looking past its lowly opponent here. The Lopes hit the road for the first time this year after two straight losses at home. Most recently GCU fell to Illinois 83-71: "We just are trying to get better every day," Lopes head coach Dan Majerle said. "It was better (vs. Illinois) but we've still got a long way to go. The schedule doesn't get any easier so we have to find a way." SDSU on the other hand comes in off a satisfying 76-71 win at BYU and a 77-42 victory over Texas Southern. As stated off the top, I think this one sets up as a "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the home side. Key Trends: - GCU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - SDSU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a win by six points or less. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected! Grab the points! |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Spurs. The Wolves barely held on for a 120-114 win over the Pistons on Monday and I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. this Spurs team which has dropped two in a row. In fact note that San Antonio has lost four of its last five. San Antonio has looked shaky of late, but I think the visitors match up well today vs. Minnesota and I like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge to bounce back tonight. Anthony Wiggins and Karl Anthony Townes have been bright spots for the Wolves, but Minnesota gets pretty thin after them. Key Trends: - The Spurs are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 after two or more consecutive SU losses. - The Wolves are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: I expect San Antonio to finally "show up" tonight in this very winnable game; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Pepperdine v. CS-Northridge +5.5 | Top | 94-82 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CS Northridge. This is the Matadors home opener and I expect them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. CSUN lost 87-67 at Oregon State and then 97-70 at New Mexico. A little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion though. Terrell Gomez is averaging a team-high 16.5 points so far for the Matadors. But if recent history is any precedence, then CSUN has to be loving its chances as it won this game 90-83 last year. After falling 87-71 at Cal, the Waves bounced back with a 77-73 win over UC Irvine last Saturday, but I believe they'll struggle to contain this determined home side. Key Trends: - Peppderine is just 1-5 ATS in its last six after a win by six points or less. - The Wave are only 1-3 ATS in their last four as a road favorite. - CSUN is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog in the 3.5 to six points range. The verdict: Expect this one to come down to the wire and grab as many points as you can! |
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11-12-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
My 9* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Brooklyn Nets. I think the Nets matchup well against the Jazz here and I think the visitors have a real shot at pulling off the outright upset. That said, in the end I'll grab the points. This is going to be Donovan Mitchell vs. Kyrie Irving and in that matchup, I give Irving the big advantage. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Utah is just 38-39 ATS the L2 years as a home favorite. The verdict: The Nets defense is its weak point, but the Jazz aren't known for running up the score. This is a great matchup and situational play in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs v. 76ers -11 | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavs broke a three-game losing slide by responding with back-to-back victories. Cleveland's wins though have been over the Wizards and Knicks. The 76ers struggled on their Western road swing, doing half of it without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up. Philly then returned home to bea the Hornets. Now fifth in the East, the 76ers won't be taking anything for granted here. Key Trends: - The Cavs average 107.1 PPG and the Sixers allow 106.2. - The 76ers average 111.00 PPG and Cleveland concedes 108.0. The verdict: Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive upset victories as an underdog and I'm not reading too much into its minor win streak here. After their sub-par road trip, look for the 76ers to keep the foot on the gas at home vs. this "lesser" competition; lay the points! |
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11-11-19 | DePaul v. Iowa -9 | Top | 93-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. DePaul is 3-0 and Iowa is 1-0. The Blue Demons started off hot last year as well, before then stumbling and finishing 15-15 overall. Now DePaul is re-working its team after losing most of its core group last year. Charlie Moore was picked up from Kansas and he's averaged 19 PPG, but beyond that the Blue Demons are thin. Iowa went to the NCAA tournament last year and it would advantage to the round of 32 before falling to Tennessee in OT. Luke Garza is now the main man in Iowa, he's put up 20 points and 12 boards in the opening win. Key Trends: - DePaul is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road underdog or pick. - Iowa is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 non-conference contests. - The verdict: I like Iowa to pull away comfortably in the second half as I look for its depth to ultimatley prove to be too much for DePaul to hang with; lay the points! |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL ROAST is on the UNDER Raptors/Lakers. The Lakers face a stretch of "easy" competition after the Raptors tonight. Toronto comes to town with star Kyle Lowry injured as well. After this LA faces the Suns in Phoenix, followed by home games vs. Golden State, Sacramento and Atlanta. The Lakers aren't even at full health, but clearly the biggest difference from last year's team to this seasons is the tough defensive play. LA's defense is being vastly under-rated here vs. this under-manned Raptors side in my opinion. Toronto's road ahead is MUCH more difficult. After this they're vs. the Clippers in the same arena, followed by contests in Portland and Dallas. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - LA has seen the total go under in 13 of its last 16 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Toronto is also without the services of big man Serge Ibaka due to injury. I have a hard time seeing the visitors adjusting and I believe they're going to get shutdown; play the under! |
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11-10-19 | Pacific v. Florida A&M +9.5 | Top | 76-54 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Florida A&M. This is the second game for both teams at the Outrigger Resorts Rainbow Classic in Hawaii. The Florida A&M Rattlers will be eager to get off the schneid here after starting 0-2. The Pacific Tigers are 1-1. FAMU lost 77-48 to USC in its opener, before then also losing 65-52 to host Hawaii to open this tournament (Kamron Reaves and Rod Melton had 11 points each in the setback.) Good news though is the face the Tigers, whose only win was a 69-47 victory over Division II Stanislaus State. Pacific then followed that up with a ten point loss to South Dakota to open this tournament. The verdict: FAMU outscored host Hawaii by seven points in the second half of its first game and I look for it to carry that momentum over here; grab the ample points! |
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11-09-19 | CS-Fullerton v. Stanford OVER 139 | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Cal State/Stanford. The three-point line in College Basketball was moved back at the start of the season. Has this truly effected totals early? Also note that the shot clock has been reduced to just 20 seconds on offensive rebounds, which is supposed to hurry the game up. Cal State Fullerton lost in a poor showing to BYU in its opener, so there's no question it'll be pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn here. The Cardinal enter off a victory over Montana to start their season. Cal State allowed BYU to shoot 49.1 percent from the field in its opener though, including 45.8 percent from range. Stanford is deep and I think its entire bench can produce today (note the Cardinal bench had 23 points in the season opening victory.) Key Trends: - Cal State has seen the total go over in seven of its last ten road games when the total is set between 135 and 140 points. - Stanford has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of its last six home games when the total falls between 135 and 140 points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a "shootout" is in the cards; play the over! |
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11-09-19 | Mavs v. Grizzlies UNDER 218.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL TOMAHAWK is on the UNDER Mavs/Grizz. Dallas lost outright at home to the Knicks last night and I think the offense will struggle to score here as well. If you can't score againt the Knicks, then who can you score on? The Mavs get really thin after Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and playing the second game of a back-to-back just doesn't bode well for the Mavericks already struggling offense. The Grizzlies don't have many offensive weapons either behind Ja Morant (Jaren Jackson Jr. averages 11 PPG.) If Memphis is going to pull off the slight upset here, it's going to because they clamped down and grinded it out. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the total go under in 57 of its last 90 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. - Memphis has seen the total dip under in 21 of its last 31 vs. division opponents. The verdcit: I expect a lot of half court sets from the home side while its on offense and when taking into account the rest of the above information, I'm absolutely expecting a hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair. Play the under! |
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11-09-19 | Rockets v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is coming off its best performance of the year in beating the Hawks on the road in Atlanta. After a lacklustre start to the season, Chicago's young and extremely talented pieces are finally starting to figure things out. Houston has two dynamic talents itself in Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the Rockets have already struggled with consistency on the road this year (a 155-154 OT loss in Washington.)Â Key Trends: - Houston is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after a cover as a double-digit favorite. - Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: The Bulls will view this as a real test and they'll be eager to build off their last performance. Their efforts tonight may not result in a SU victory, but I do think the stage is set for a battle until the end; grab the points! |
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