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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-16-17 | Kansas State -3.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 54 m | Show |
Kansas State scored 32 points per game last season and have already put up over 100 in two games against weak opponents. Vandy is not going to give up a ton of points, but the Wildcats are very efficient and balanced on offense. QB Jesse Ertz was a 1,000 yard rusher in 2016 and an efficient passer (4 TD to 0 INT this year; 13.8 yards per attempt). They are deep at the RB and WR positions. I also like FB Winston Dimel who is an absolute load. The Commodores are without last season’s star Zach Cunningham but are very well-coached and disciplined. The Commodores are also off to a fast start on offense and QB Kyle Shurmur is picking up where he left off late last season. He already has 7 TD's & 0 INT's this season and looks like he is developing into a legitimate SEC QB. I worry a bit about the ground game as star RB Ralph Webb has only averaged 2.8 yards per carry so far while playing against two sub-par defenses. The Wildcats are really solid on defense and have no weakness. They are opportunistic and Shurmur will have to be very careful when throwing down the field in the passing game. Kansas St appears to be the better team across the board. The margins are slim, but I prefer the balance on offense and the mobile QB. I like the talent on the defense and the special teams are excellent. Derek Mason is a rock solid head coach so that cancels out the Snyder factor. Kansas St is +6 in turnover margin so far and I feel that they will make an extra play on defense and or special teams to win this by a TD or more. Kansas State -3.5 |
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09-16-17 | LSU -7 v. Mississippi State | Top | 7-37 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 19 m | Show |
On Saturday LSU travels to face Mississippi St. The Tigers have looked pretty good so far with a 2-0 start, but have not been tested as of yet. The same can be said for the Bulldogs who started the campaign with victories over Charleston Southern and Louisiana Tech. If LSU can run the ball effectively vs the Bulldogs’ this one could be over quick. Running Back Derrius Guice is off to a fine start with 224 yards rushing and QB Danny Etling has completed over 70% of his passes so far without throwing a pick. It remains to be seen how explosive this LSU attack can be, but they get to face a defense this Saturday that was one of the worst in the SEC last season (32 ppg allowed). Mississippi St has allowed well over an average of 400 yards per game over the past three seasons. The Bulldogs Nick Fitzgerald is a fantastic runner and dangerous when down the field in the passing game. However, LSU certainly has the speed to stop him from going nuts. I like the way RB Aeris Williams looked the first two weeks, but then again, this is LSU we are talking about. Back is star LB Arden Key even if he is not at 100%. That is a big plus for the Tigers who will need him as DL Rashard Lawrence appears to be unavailable. Overall I think the Bulldogs can hit some big plays based on the mobility of Fitzgerald, but find it hard to believe they will have sustained success. LSU -7 |
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09-12-17 | Dodgers v. Giants +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
This is pick 2 of 2 of Ricky's Tuesday Double-Dog 2-Pack. A situational and system bet for Ricky, the Giants are getting incredible value on the runline to not lose by 2 or more. Due to the circumstance of this game with the heralded Los Angeles Dodgers in a nose dive nearing 12 straight losses and ace Kershaw on the mound, the odds have over adjusted and the expected value play lies with the Giants. The Dodgers seemed destined to re-write history with this losing slide and today we are betting against that, but with a 1 run buffer. San Francisco Giants +1.5 (+130) Runline |
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09-12-17 | Tigers +1.5 v. Indians | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
This is pick 1 of 2 of Ricky's Tuesday Double-Dog 2-Pack. A situational and system bet for Ricky, the Tigers are getting incredible value on the runline to not lose by 2 or more. Due to the circumstance of this game with Cleveland going for 20 straight wins and Kluber on the mound, the odds have over adjusted and the expected value play lies with the Tigers. Win streak records stand for a reason and today we are betting against that, but with a 1 run buffer. Detroit Tigers +1.5 (+165) Runline |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 95 h 31 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings -3 (buy the hook if your line is -3.5) Full analysis coming soon |
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09-10-17 | Giants +4.5 v. Cowboys | 3-19 | Loss | -110 | 708 h 9 m | Show | |
The Giants will be coming to Jerry World Sunday Night Football to face the Cowboys with or without several stars in the mix. Giants superstar receiver Odell Beckham Jr. suffered a scary knee/ankle injury in preseason and hasn't practised since, however signs are pointing to him playing despite listed as Questionable; as is fellow starter wideout Brandon Marshall with a shoulder injury. Ezekiell Elliot faces league suspension and it's still unknown if he'll play - obviously a huge x-factor. We do know the Cowboys will be without both starting DE's which is huge for the Giants sluggish O-Line. While the Giants run game and o-line still look suspect after some really bad preseason games, I really like their defense this year and I think that be the difference maker for them in Week 1. New York Giants +4.5 |
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09-10-17 | Panthers -5.5 v. 49ers | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 170 h 26 m | Show | |
The Panthers are expected to make some noise this year and with that in mind losing on opening week to what is believed to be a bottom feeder team this year is not an option. The 49ers are in rebuild mode with a bright future, but I don't expect them to turn it around in Week 1 of the new era. In the mean time they will manage with Hoyer at the helm, veteran receiver Pierre Garcon out wide, and Carlos Hyde at running back; yet they aren't going to blow anyone away. Expect their defense to excel more than anything with additions of Reuben Foster and Soloman Thomas, but overall they will have a lot of work to do. The Panthers have some weapons in newly drafted Christian McCaffrey, wideout Kelvin Benjamin, tight end Greg Olsen, and of course for MVP Cam Newton who's said to have a lot of pep in his step throughout preseason. The defense is solid with Kuechly and Davis at linebacker and Johnson at line. Both corner backs have a full season of work under their belt and should be much improved this season. Playing on the road is never easy, but I'm going to side with the team who has a returning Quarterback, Head Coach, Tight End, and Receivers versus a team who's full of new faces. Especially in Week 1. Carolina Panthers -5.5 |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals +2.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-35 | Loss | -120 | 812 h 60 m | Show |
Last year around this time the Cardinals were thinking Super Bowl and bettors were all high and mighty on them going the distance. They ended up falling flat even missing the playoffs. It was a monumental disappointment for players and coaches - a feeling they don't want to experience again. A new year and a new outlook, the Cardinals won't be coming into this season thinking they are entitled like they did last year. Ricky feels bad for their opponents as I can see the Cardinals playing every game with a chip on their shoulder. In fact Ricky believes it started in Week 16 of last season when they beat Seattle in Seattle 34-31 and then in Week 17 when they demolished the L.A. Rams in Los Angeles 44-6. Now in Week 1 of the 2017/18 NFL season they visit the Lions in Detroit and are getting points. This is not the team you want coming into your house Week 1, nor do you want to be favoured against them which is only fuelling their motivation even more. Look for David Johnson to keep the linebackers inside the box and then for the play-action to really open up the secondary with one or two long bombs to John Brown. On the defensive side of the ball, CB Peterson will lock down Marvin Jones Jr. and Safeties Tyrann Mathieu and Tyvon Branch will provide over the top help on Golden Tate. I can also see Chandler Jones making it hard for Detroit RB's to get to the outside and linebacker Karlos Dansby being a force in the middle forcing Stafford into some long 3rd downs which will be prime INT situations for the Cards. Shop around and get the best line you can, I was able to get Cardinals +2.5 but anything up until -3 I would be comfortable with. Good luck! |
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09-10-17 | Steelers -8 v. Browns | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers open up the 2017/18 campaign on the road against divisional opponent the Cleveland Browns. Ben Roethlisberger and crew will look to make another run for a championship this season with all weapons go. Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant and Eli Rogers makeup a mean receiving core and we may even see a little of 2nd round draft pick JuJu Smith-Schuster. With respect to the running game, Le'veon Bell is arguably the best running back in the league. The defense is rounding into shape with new additions Watt and Dupree along side with Shazier. The Steelers officially sit at #5 in the NFL Power Rankings. Meanwhile the Browns are coming off a 1-15 season and still don't have a reliable QB to go with. They drafted nicely, but it will take time for this ship to right itself. The Browns officially sit at #30 in the NFL Power Rankings. Pittsburgh Steelers -8 (play up to -9.5) |
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09-10-17 | Falcons -7 v. Bears | 23-17 | Loss | -100 | 167 h 5 m | Show | |
With the Chicago in rebuild mode from the top down and Atlanta coming off a brutal SuperBowl loss which they've surely been thinking about all summer, expect this one to get away from the hometown Bears quickly. This is what you call the opposite of a SuperBowl hangover. All of the Falcons frustrations after last years' big game has been bottled up since February and it's about to unload on what is expected to be a bottom feeder team in the 2017/18 NFL season - the Chicago Bears. All of Atlanta's weapons are back and healthy. The two headed monster that is Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman is a lot for any team to handle. Their rapidly improving TE Austin Cooper has a really high ceiling, some say as much as former all-pro Falcon Tony Gonzalez. Julio Jones needs no introduction. And at QB Matty Ice only seeks another Super Bowl run. So the only question left being is 7 points too much to lay on the road in Week 1, I think not. Atlanta Falcons -7 (safe up to -9.5) |
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09-09-17 | Houston v. Arizona | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show |
Houston will be playing their first game of the season after having their opener vs UTSA cancelled due to Hurricane Harvey. The Cougars have been explosive on offense in recent years and should continue to pile up the points in 2017. Houston will miss QB Greg Ward but have the benefit of former Texas A&M QB Kyle Allen leading the way. The Cougars bring back their leading rusher Duke Catalon and receiver Linell Bonner who will both be major problems for the Wildcats. A very important factor, they bring back 5 of 5 starters on the offensive line. Arizona will look to do better than 2016 in which they allowed 38 points per game and over 6 yards per play and had their first losing season under head coach Rich Rodriguez. Things did not get off to a good start in week one as they allowed 562 yards to Northern Arizona despite getting the victory. This is a miss-match across the board and a surprisingly low spread. Houston PK (play up to -3) |
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09-09-17 | Utah -1 v. BYU | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 13 m | Show |
23rd ranked Utah started the year off with a 37-16 win over North Dakota while the Cougars are off to a 1-1 start following a win over Portland State where they didn't cover a 35 point spread (winning by only 14) and a blowout loss to LSU 0-27. Utah brings a balanced offense to the table in this one. QB Tyler Huntley looked good last week as did running back Zach Moss (128 yds) and wideout Darren Carrington (127 yds). They seem to have a lot of momentum heading into this game.The BYU defense has only six returning starters and I feel that they are over-matched from a talent and speed standpoint. QB Tanner Mangum is a decent QB, but he does not have much to work in the passing game. The leading receiver so far is TE Matt Bushman and he only has 99 yards after two games. I see no reason why the Utah defense cannot shut the Cougars down for the most part and make it really difficult to sustain drives. The Utes’ defense only allowed 24 points last season and 129 yards per game rushing while collecting 43 sacks. Utah has won the last 6 head to head matchups. Utah -1 (play up to -3) |
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09-09-17 | Georgia +4.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 47 h 58 m | Show |
The Georgia Bulldogs disposed of a very good Appalachian St. team in the season opener and this program looks quite strong again in 2017. The bad news is they will be without starting QB Jacob Eason and will turn to freshman Jake Fromm. The good news is Fromm got a lot of work last week and has a great running game to rely upon as he'll be handing the ball off to running backs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. The Notre Dame defense has yielded a ton of rushing yards over the past four seasons (182,176,171,168) and the secondary hasn't stood up much better picking off just 8 passes. So despite a rookie QB for the Bulldogs I think they'll have success on offense. The Bulldogs returns 10 starters on defense (9 with the injury to DB Malcolm Parrish) and have a rock solid defense with a defensive-minded head coach. As good as QB Wimbush and the Irish looked in week one you have to think that Georgia's D will give them some problems. Coming off only four wins in 2016, I don't see the Irish rebounding right away against tier I competition. Georgia +4.5 (play down to +3.5) |
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09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 19 m | Show |
New quarterbacks add to the intrigue as No. 21 Virginia Tech and No. 22 West Virginia square off Saturday at FedEx Field in Landover, Md. The Hokies are going to start redshirt freshman Josh Jackson at QB who provides a dual threat for the Mountaineers to account for on Sunday. Floriday transfer Will Grier is more than ready to make a name again, this time with the Mountaineers. He was 6-0 as a starter as a freshman before testing positive for performance-enhancing drugs, being suspended for a year, and then transferring. The Hokies bring back last season’s leading rusher RB Travon McMillian as well as excellent WR Cam Phillips; he has 165 career catches for 2,063 yards on pace to become the school career record-holder in receptions and receiving yards. Virginia Tech has more identifiable stars on defensive coordinator Bud Foster's unit. Cornerback Brandon Facyson and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds are considered second-round prospects by NFLDraftScout.com. The Hokies are expecting big things from Edmunds, who made 106 tackles last season, including 18.5 for loss. Linebacker Andrew Motuapuaka, who had 114 tackles and three interceptions last season, is another standout. The Hokies defense is excellent no doubt and should provide all kinds of problems for the Mountaineer offense, we only hope Grier doesn't prove to much. Don’t forget West Virginia played against big boy defenses twice last season and scored 17 vs Kansas St and 14 vs Miami. Virginia Tech -4 |
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09-02-17 | Florida State v. Alabama -7 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
Alabama rattled off 14 straight wins in 2016 before falling late to Clemson in last season’s National Championship Game. After a long off-season layoff, they finally get the opportunity to avenge that loss with a huge Week 1 clash against Florida State. Sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts stood out last season as an all-around force as he passed for 2,780 yards and 23 touchdowns and added 954 yards and 13 scores on the ground. I believe Hurts and the run game will be the difference maker in this game and widely the reason I'm back the Crimson Tide on Saturday night. Roll Tide's running game and mobile QB combination is very difficult to defend. And it should be noted, first-team All-American Minkah Fitzpatrick - a junior strong safety - is back after intercepting six passes last season. Florida State is a quality team and has has a top-notch defense returning 9 starters. However, the big issue is replacing all-everything back Dalvin Cook. As well, senior linebacker Matthew Thomas is in jeopardy of missing the game after not practicing the past three weeks. With respect to their QB Deondre Francois, he controls the game well but is a pocket passer only, allowing Bama to know where he'll be and game plan accordingly. Alabama -7 |
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09-02-17 | Wyoming v. Iowa -11.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 68 h 38 m | Show |
Iowa has a fantastic offense line and a pair of legit running backs in Akrum Wadley (1,081 yards and 10 TD) and Nevada transfer James Butler (1,336 yards and 12 TD) who both had fine 2016 campaigns. There is also quite a bit of depth behind those two men. The success in the running game should allow new QB Nathan Stanley to hit some shots down the field to a healthy Matt Vandeberg. Also note that RB Wadley caught 36 balls out of the backfield this season. There will be some nasty formations with Wadley and Butler on the field at the same time. Iowa front 7 is one of the best in the Big 10 and they are really tough at home. They return 8 starters on defense and have some real game changers on the DL and in the LB corps.This is going to be a stiff challenge for Wyoming QB Josh Allen and do not forget he tossed 15 int's last season including five in one game vs the Huskers. Allen is a really good QB and will make some plays but we find it hard to see the Cowboys staying close over four quarters particularly if Iowa plays ball control. Wyoming has given up 200+ yards per game on the ground seemingly every year. The Cowboys allowed 34 points per game for the 2nd straight season in 2016. Wyoming gave up 125 points in their final two road games last season. Put that altogether and this feels like a comfortable win for Iowa. Iowa -11.5 on the spread (don't play higher than -13.5) |
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09-01-17 | Charlotte v. Eastern Michigan -13.5 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 6 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan should not have any problems on offense. They have a much better defense, not to mention special teams and coaching. They also had the benefit of bowl practices last season and enter the 2017 campaign full of confidence and a desire to make noise in the competitive MAC West. Charlotte on the other hand will likely take a step back before they can take two steps forward. The Eagles won last season in Charlotte 37-19……Eastern Michigan is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as home favorites……Charlotte is just 6-14-2 L22 ATS Eastern Michigan -13.5 (play up to -14) |
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08-31-17 | Ohio State v. Indiana +21.5 | 49-21 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 25 m | Show | |
A stand out trend right off the bat: the Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings, aka the Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings. These two teams play each other virtually every year. Ohio State has won each year since 2009 and multiple other years there after. That's got to be tough on a program to be continuously beat by a rival school. If there was ever a chance for an outright upset, it might be on Thursday night. Where Ohio St. may stumble is the passing game and the ability of Ohio St to be balanced on offense. They will miss the reliability of Curtis Samuel and do not return anyone who had more than 300 yards receiving last season. If Indiana can just slow down the Buckeyes’ on 1st and 2nd down the game could get interesting. As mentioned as part of my Under pick, the Hoosiers defense looks awesome and it should be enough to hold the Buckeyes in check. Note: Indiana returns nine starters on their stop unit, seven of them seniors. Indiana +21.5 (play down to +21) |
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08-25-17 | Tigers v. White Sox +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
A strong situational angle has emerged in today's game following a crazy melee triple brawl yesterday between Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees. The Detroit minds and focus have been elsewhere since yesterday's game and they won't be game ready today surely. The White Sox now welcome to town the Tigers and despite their poor season long record they are under the radar today and will look to steal Game 1. No need to dive into the details in this one, we are merely playing against the Tigers here today based off yesterday's events. We'll take the generous runline odds to be safe, but expect a White Sox win straight-up. Chicago White Sox on the runline |
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08-25-17 | Mariners +1.5 v. Yankees | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show | |
A strong situational angle has emerged in today's game following a crazy melee triple brawl yesterday between Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees. The Yankees minds and focus has been elsewhere since yesterday's game and they won't be game ready today surely. The Mariners now come to town completely under the radar and will look to steal Game 1. No need to dive into the details in this one, we are merely playing against the Yankees here today based off yesterday's events. We'll take the generous runline odds to be safe, but expect a Seattle win straight-up. Seattle Mariners on the runline |
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08-21-17 | A's v. Orioles -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 115 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
This game is not setting up well for the A's and Ricky is siding on a comfortable victory today for the O's. Baltimore starter Wade Miley is really coming around. Over his last 27.2 innings pitched his ERA is 3.90 with a 1.23 WHIP, while striking out 25 and allowing only 2 home runs. He's allowed only 7 earned runs total over his last 4 starts, look for a quality outing from him today. Oakland starter Chris Smith has not been great and pitching on the road in a night game in Baltimore won't help any. He's 0-6 on the year in games he's started and over his last 5 games has a 6.49 ERA with only 14 K's to 7 home runs. Look for the O's bats to get after Smith early and often in this one. Baltimore Orioles run-line |
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08-20-17 | Phillies v. Giants -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Ricky likes a comfortable win for the home team Giants late this afternoon. Giants ace Madison Bumgarner will toe the rubber today. He's been outstanding as of late with a 3-1 record over his last 5 games with a 2.25 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with 29 K's. Bumgarner will be facing a Phillies team that entered play Saturday with the worst batting average in the majors (.225) against left-handed starters. He's firing on all cylinders and with the Giants losing yesterday to this same ball club, expect revenge today in a big way. 25 year old Ben Lively will start for the Phillies, his first since July 5th. Recently recalled from AAA, he's 0-3 in his last 5 starts in the majors and his ERA is nearly double Bumgarner's over that same time span at 4.40. Lively's command is suspect with only 14 K's over his last 28 innings and his ball club in general has not been successful at AT&T Park - 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in San Francisco. The Giants are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss and are 16-5 in Bumgarner's last 21 Sunday starts. The juice is a little too high on the moneyline, so I recommend a play on San Francisco Giants run-line. |
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08-15-17 | Mets v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky has a late release tonight on the Subway Series: Mets vs. Yankees Game 2 Mets ace deGrom has 1 prior start at Yankees stadium back in 2015 and he didn't fair well losing 1-6, allowing all 6 of those runs over 5 innings on 8 hits including 3 home runs. Only Cespedes and Cabrera have seen the newly acquired Yankees ace Sonny Gray before, who has pitched to no run support in his first two starts on the road as the Yanks have only given him 1 run of offense. Ricky thinks the Yanks will explode to get Gray his first home win tonight against a rather weak Mets lineup, featuring several backups and AAA players. Certainly people are probably jumping at deGrom with + value available, but 'The Asian Assassin' knows the sharp money is coming in on the Yankees and that's where we are leaning tonight. Sonny Gray in his Bronx debut with the W in a comfortable fashion. New York Yankees Run-Line |
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08-13-17 | Astros v. Rangers +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky sees enough value on the home club Rangers to take them moneyline, however at only -125 juice the Run-Line insurance is the better play here. Despite very opposite win-loss records between starters Dallas Keuchel (9-2) and Andrew Cashner (7-8), their season long ERA's are quite similar at 2.87 vs. 3.36 respectively. But what really stands out is recent performance between the two. Over their last 5 games each, Keuchel has a 5.62 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP, meanwhile Cashner is 2.20 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Now three games back from the 2nd Wild Card spot in the American League, it's now or never for the Rangers. For them to win this series would be a huge boost to their ball club. If Texas can get out front early, they can get the home crowd on their side and really put pressure on the Astros. Texas +1.5 Run-Line |
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08-10-17 | Twins v. Brewers -1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Ricky's Top Underdog of the Day is in fact a favourite on the moneyline, but he's grabbing the generous +140 odds on the Run Line. Tonight we are going against the grain and siding with the Milwaukee Brewers. Losers of four straight (and 3 straight to their opponent), it would appear Ricky has lost his mind picking them on a run-line suddenly. But this is where the Asian Assassin shines - finding value when a line is inflated due to recent results. The Brewers lost both games on the road in this four game home-and-home series against the Twins and returned home only to get shut out 0-4 last night. The Brewers will try to salvage game 4 tonight by sending ace, Zach Davies (13-5 & 4.18 ERA) to the mound. Davies has allowed just four earned runs on 19 hits in 28 2/3 innings (1.26 ERA) over a four-game stretch - impressive to say the least. The Twins counter with Dietrich Enns who's made one appearance for the Triple-A Rochester for the Twins, allowing two runs over seven innings. Before that he was with the Yankees' Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre affiliate, going 1-1 with a 2.29 ERA in seven starts. With the Brewers quickly losing ground in the playoff race, their backs up against the wall in this series (risk of being swept), and polar opposites on the mound, expect a strong effort out of this ball club tonight and for them to win by a comfortable margin. Milwaukee Brewers Run-Line |
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08-09-17 | Marlins v. Nationals -1.5 | 1-10 | Win | 115 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky sees value here on the Run Line for Washington offering a generous +115 at most books. Gonzalez owns the Fish, going 2-0 with a really low ERA in three previous meetings this season. I like Washington's bats to punish an inferior starter in Conley, this should be a comfortable win for the home team. Additionally, Gonzalez with an incredible 2.02 ERA at home this year. |
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08-04-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Ricky really likes this game for the Giants and believes there is value in not only the moneyline, but also the Run-Line and that's what he recommends you bet. The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game in a pretty bad scheduling spot having played in Chicago last night against the Cubs in a long gruelling game which they won and in my betting experience it's better to fade a winning team in these spots due to added let down potential. The Diamondbacks game yesterday was delayed 3 hours and when it was all said and done the total elapsed game time was around 6 hours. That's not counting the 2 hours prior teams usually show up to the stadium and another hour after to leave. Then they had to jump on a flight to San Francisco which surely had to be re-scheduled. Ricky is unaware if they flew out late last night or early today, but regardless it's not ideal. Meanwhile the San Francisco Giants have been at home since August 1st and scored a convincing victory over the A's last night 11-2. Despite a poor season they seem to be playing with a sense of freedom as of late. They know playoffs is out of reach, so there is no pressure on them, they are playing the spoiler roll and that can be dangerous to opposing teams. As well, they have ace Madison Bumgarner taking the mound who pitched 7 shutout innings last game and looks to have found his form since his recent dirt bike accident in April. He's 13-3 over his last 16 home starts versus a winning record team and the Giants themselves are 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus winning teams. Take advantage of this prime situation and grab the San Francisco Giants on the Run-Line. |
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08-01-17 | Phillies v. Angels -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 170 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky's stepping out with a Run-Line gem and recommends you take the Angels -1.5 tonight versus the Phillies. At +170 the odds are too good to pass up in the event the home team wins in a rout. The Phillies kick off a 8-game road trip at Angel Stadium Tuesday night. Now 39-64 on the season, the Phillies have actually won 5 games straight so they did in fact have 30 more losses than wins just last week. They've lost 9 straight to the Angels and come into this one in a tough situational scheduling spot having to travel cross country to play a game on the road against a team who was off yesterday and will be very motivated coming back from a very disappointing road finish in Toronto. Also, their recent sweep was of the Braves so it's nothing to get too excited about. Pitching for the Phillies is RH Aaron Nola (8-6, 3.17 ERA) who's been a bright spot for them all season. This being an Interleague game, neither team sees each other much (last played in 2014) so I don't put as much weight into the pitchers as I would otherwise and I'll look at the favourable situation for the Angles. The Angels will be playing with extra motivation after blowing a win late (walk off grand slam) to Toronto on Sunday, the second of that series. It's time to make a run at the playoffs and it starts here at home with this extended home stand. Toeing the rubber for the Angels is RH Ricky Nolasco who's had several quality starts at home as of late despite a 5.72 ERA in his last 5 games overall. He brings his A game today and gets the Angels back on the winning track. Los Angels Angels m/s |
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