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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-29-18 | Saints -7 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -117 | 82 h 47 m | Show |
SAINTS @ COWBOYS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER (10* TOP PLAY) The New Orleans Saints are coming off a successful two-game homestand during which they beat Philadelphia and Atlanta by a combined 55 points. They have won five consecutive games by double digits and I think they'll keep rolling here in the first of what will be three consecutive road games when visiting Dallas Thursday night. The Saints are a phenomenal 9-2 ATS on the season, and while the Cowboys have covered the spread in three straight games I just don't see them keeping up with the Saints explosive offense. Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record and Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has been sacked a league-high 38 times and I don't see Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliot having much success at moving the chains against a solid Saints rush defense which hasn't allowed an individual player to rush for 100 yards for more than a calendar year. Even Rams' Todd Gurley managed just 68 yards rushing in a 45-35 loss to New Orleans on Nov 4. 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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11-25-18 | Giants v. Eagles -5.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -108 | 74 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) SIDE The Philadelphia Eagles should be extremely fired up for this matchup with NFC East rivals NY Giants as they look to bounce back from a 48-7 beating in New Orleans last time out. The Giants are obviously are nowhere near as good as the Saints, and they're in a letdown spot after back-to-back triumphs and claiming a 38-35 home win over the Buccaneers last week. NY won despite giving up 510 total yards of offense, and we can expect a big game for Philly QB Carson Wentz who threw three touchdown passes in a 34-13 win over the Giants in New York on October 11. Philadelphia has covered the spread in 14 of the last 21 meetings and is in need of a win here to save its season. I think the home team will come through and win in blowout fashion. 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL The Boston College Eagles host the Syracuse Orange Saturday afternoon, and I expect to see an entertaining shootout. The visitors are 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging 40.6 ppg on the season despite putting up just three in a loss at Notre Dame last time out. Syracuse quarterback Eric Dungey missed most of that game with an upper-body injury and is questionable here, but backup QB Tommy DeVito should be able to put up decent numbers against a BC defense which has allowed more than 600 passing yards through its last two games. Defensively, the Orange have struggled on the road all season allowing an average of 34.6 ppg and they gave up 463 yards against the Irish last time out, including 171 yards on the ground. The Eagles running game ranks 46th in the nation and RB A.J. Dillon ran a season-high 37 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns against FSU last week. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) SIDE There is plenty at stake here with winner of this contest going to the Big Ten Championship Game next month in Indianapolis. The No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes have won 14 of the last 16 meetings with No. 4 Michigan, and I'm happy to take the points on the home team in this matchup. Michigan's defense is as good as it gets, but here it'll face one of the most explosive offenses in the nation. QB Dwayne Haskins threw for 405 yards and three TDs against Maryland last week and has thrown for over 400 yards in four of his last six games. Add a running back tandem of J.K. Dobbins and Michigan native Mike Weber and it's easy to see why the Buckeyes rank 8th in scoring, putting up 41.6 ppg. We can also note that the Wolverines lone loss so far came on the road, and while they're 3-1 SU away from home they've covered the spread in only one of those games. 10* play on Ohio State Buckeyes. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 61 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The Atlanta Falcons are coming off back-to-back losses despite giving up a total of just 50 points in the two contests combined. They've failed to break 20 point scored in each of those games and here it'll face a New Orleans side which has allowed a total of only 21 points through its last two games. The Saints are the highest scoring team in the league and have scored 45+ points in three straight games, but even while the first meeting of the season finished with a total of 80 points scored I highly doubt this contest will break 60 considering both teams recent results. Falcons are just 1-3 SU and ATS away from home this season and under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Under is 4-1 in Saints last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 10* play on UNDER in New Orleans. |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 39 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The LA Chargers are among the league's hottest teams having won six on the bounce and permitted only 66 points over their past five games for an average of 13.2 ppg. Here they'll face a Denver team which has won just one of its last seven games and been held to 20 points or fewer in five of its nine games on the season. The Broncos defense is still pretty solid though and linebackers Von Miller and Bradley Chubb have combined for 17 sacks, the most by a pass rushing duo in the NFL this season. We can also note that they're coming off their bye so they've had plenty of time to figure out how to stop the Chargers. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -125 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 98 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) This is a major let down spot for the Tennessee Titans after putting a 34-10 beating on the Patriots last week. They're 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and here the Titans will face AFC South rival Indianapolis which has won three on the bounce and is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Colts have averaged 36 ppg during their current winning streak. QB Andrew Luck has thrown for 10 touchdowns during that stretch and at least three TD passes in each of his last six outings. Prior to a couple of losses to the Titans last year, Indy had claimed 11 straight victories over Tennessee. The Colts have covered the spread in six of the last seven when holding home field advantage and that's a trend likely to continue. 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida OVER 60.5 | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL Two red hot teams with explosive offenses will clash at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando Saturday night, and I expect to see plenty of fireworks on both ends of the field. UCF Knights are perfect 9-0 on the season and amassed 500 yards of total offense in a 35-24 triumph over Navy last week. They rank third in the nation in total offense at 543 yards per game and put a 51-23 beating on the Bearcats last year. Cincinnati is 9-1 on the season and can lean on one of the best defenses in the country, but this will without a doubt be the biggest test yet, and in front of a national television audience at that. Keep in mind that the Bearcats allowed three touchdown passes in a 35-23 win over South Florida last week and over is 7-1 in Knights last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-17-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech -5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) The Virginia Cavaliers have won four of their last five games, but they've failed to cover the spread in each of their last two. Here they'll face a Georgia Tech team which is 5-1 SU and ATS through its last six games, winning and covering all games when closing as a favorite. Virginia relies on its defense, but it gave up 253 rushing yards in a 23-13 loss to Pittsburgh two weeks ago. Georgia Tech leads the nation in rushing offense at 362.4 yards per game, and while it has already clinched a bowl berth I still think the Yellow Jackets will be fired up for this one. "We still have a lot to play for," Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson told reporters after Saturday’s 27-21 victory over Miami. "We are playing a lot better now than we were playing earlier in the year. We kind of dug ourselves out of the big hole we dug ourselves in." They surely don't want to risk losing the momentum, so I like the home team to win in an impressive fashion. 10* play on Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 98 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL SIDE) This is just an awful spot for the Tennessee Titans, playing on a short week and in a let down situation following a 28-14 beatdown of the Cowboys as a 7-point dog at Dallas Monday night. Here the Titans will face a New England side off six straight triumphs while going 5-1 ATS. The Pats have scored 30+ points in five of those games with the lone exception a 25-6 walk in the park victory at Buffalo. Are the Patriots unbeatable? Certainly not, but I'm confident they'll win this by at least a touchdown. Patriots are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 52 h 38 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB SIDE) The Ohio State Buckeyes have lost just one game all season, but they're coming off a couple of disappointing outings and have failed to cover the spread in five straight games. I think the bookmakers are undervaluing the Buckeyes due to their recent ATS performances, and I'm well happy to back the visitors in this matchup. The Buckeyes offense is among the best in nation averaging 369.1 yards per game in the air and they rushed for a season-high 229 yards in last week's 36-31 win against Nebraska. They've scored plenty of points in recent games but have failed to cover the spread due to poor defensive displays. OSU should however have little to fear from a Michigan State offense averaging only 23.4 ppg, and MSU junior quarterback Brian Lewerke has thrown as many INTs (8) as TD passes on the season. The Spartans rely heavily on their D which ranks 16th in scoring defense by allowing 19 points per game, but I don't think they'll be able to stop this high-powered Buckeyes offense. 10* play on Ohio State Buckeyes. |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse OVER 68.5 | Top | 23-54 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S BEST WEEK 11 FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Louisville Cardinals took a 77-16 beating at Clemson last week. I think they'll give up plenty of points again when visiting Syracuse Friday night. The Cardinals gave up 661 total yards to the Tigers and here it'll face a deadly offense that ranks No. 15 nationally with 478.2 yards per game. Syracuse is averaging 43.3 points per game on the season and senior dual-threat quarterback Eric Dungey has recorded 23 touchdowns, 13 via the pass and 10 by the run. Louisville's defense ranks dead last in the ACC and 115th nationally allowing 462.8 yards per game. The Orange have lost the last two meetings by a combined score of 118-38, so I expect them to look for revenge and keep pressing the pedal to the metal and keep scoring points to the very end pushing this game over the total. 10* play on LOU @ SYR OVER. |
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11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks -120 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL SIDE) The Seattle Seahawks stumbled out of the gate, but they've won four of their last five including an impressive upset victory at Detroit last week. The Seattle defense has allowed only 17 points through its last two games and I think the Seahawks will be too much for the visitors to handle in this matchup. The Chargers are coming off their bye week and have four straight triumphs under their belt but were actually outgained by the Titans despite winning 20-19 last time out. They allowed Tennessee to rumble for 164 yards on the ground which could spell trouble here against a Seahawks side which ranks fifth in rushing and accumulated 176 yards on the ground against Detroit last week. Chargers QB Philip Rivers is having a big season, but the way Seattle's D has played lately I think it'll be able to contain him. We can also note that Chargers leading rusher Melvin Gordon missed their last contest and it's unclear whether he'll be back from his hamstring injury. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-04-18 | Texans v. Broncos UNDER 46 | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 101 h 33 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL TOTAL) I'm confident we'll see a low-scoring game when the Denver Broncos host the Houston Texans Sunday afternoon. Houston owns one of the best run defenses in the league while Denver limited KC to just 49 rushing yards last week. On top of that, both teams rank in the top half against the pass and Denver is tied for second in the NFL with 24 sacks on the season. We can also note that Houston will have to do without wide receiver Will Fuller who will miss the rest of 2018 with a torn ACL. Under is 1-3 for Houston on the road and also 1-3 for Denver at home on the season. Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-03-18 | Alabama -14.5 v. LSU | Top | 29-0 | Win | 100 | 56 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (CFB SIDE) The No. 1 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide are perfect 8-0 SU on the season and have scored 50 points or more on six occasions. They've been favored by 22.5-points or more in all their games, and that's one reason why I don't think they'll look past 4th ranked LSU here in their first "test" of the season. I could throw out a bunch of stats like how Bama averages 54.1 ppg while allowing only 15.9 ppg and how sophomore quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has 25 TD passes vs. 0 interceptions, but at the end of the day it all comes down to whether Bama will care enough to beat LSU in a blowout. "(LSU) is one of the best teams in the nation," Alabama coach Nick Saban said during a press conference. "I think they're very elite in a lot of ways in terms of the way they play defense. Their offense is very efficient. They've really done a great job this year and the quarterback (Joe Burrow) plays well for them." Yeah, Saban will have them ready and the Tide will roll. 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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11-03-18 | Louisville v. Clemson OVER 59.5 | Top | 16-77 | Win | 100 | 48 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB TOTAL) The No. 2 Clemson Tigers are perfect 8-0 SU on the season and amassed 524 total yards in a 59-10 triumph at FSU last week. Here they'll face a Louisville Cardinals side which has allowed 160 points in its last three contests and got lit up for 56 points and 591 yards in a 21-point loss to Wake Forest last week. On a positive note, Louisville piled up a season-high 532 total yards of offense and I would not be surprised to see Clemson go easy on them on the defensive side of the ball here as they're likely to rout their opponent anyway. Clemson won last season's meeting 47-21, and I expect a similar score this time around. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 133 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 8 ATS *BEST BET* The Washington Redskins are coming off back-to-back wins over Dallas and Carolina to improve to 4-2 on the season. Here they'll face a NY Giants team which is tied for the worst record in the league at 1-6 with the 49ers and Cardinals. The Giants will play on a short week following a 23-20 setback at Atlanta Monday night. Rookie running back Saquon Barkley failed to reach 100 total yards for the first time in his professional career and is likely in for another tough matchup Sunday afternoon. Washington ranks No.3 in the NFL against the run giving up only 87.3 ypg and held Dallas' Ezekiel Elliott to 31 yards overall on 14 carries last week. New York couldn't exploit an Atlanta D which had given up 32.0 points per game heading into Monday, and I'm more than happy to back the hotter team with the better defense in this contest. 10* play on Washington Redskins. |
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10-27-18 | Iowa +7 v. Penn State | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 76 h 6 m | Show |
IOWA @ PENN STATE AFTERNOON ASSASSIN (10* TOP PLAY) I think the Iowa Hawkeyes are spotted way too many points to pass up on when they visit the Penn State Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon. Penn State had lost back-to-back games outright before finally getting back in the win column with a 33-28 win at Indiana last week. They still failed to cover the 14-point spread though and were actually outgained by 137 yards. Here the Nittany Lions will face an Iowa team with a ton of momentum as it's going for a third straight win. The Hawkeyes D has been excellent all season and held Maryland to 47 passing yards along with 68 rushing yards in a 23-0 triumph last week. Penn State can run the ball, but it won't be enough here against a rush defense that is giving up an average of only 2.7 yards/rush attempt. I'm well happy to take the points on the underdog in this matchup. Trends supporting Iowa: Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. 8* play on Iowa Hawkeyes. |
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10-27-18 | Army v. Eastern Michigan OVER 47.5 | Top | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 72 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CFB TOTAL) - MIKE'S TOP RATED *BEST BET* FOR OCTOBER! The Army Black Knights will pay a visit to Eastern Michigan Eagles Saturday afternoon. I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this contest. Army beat the Miami RedHawks 31-30 in double overtime its last time out, and as usual it did most of its damage on the ground with 347 rushing yards. On the season, the Black Knights own the 2nd best running offense in the country and we can note that Eastern Michigan gave up 227 rushing yards to Ball State last week. The Eagles still won the game 42-20 and scored three touchdowns through the air, and Eastern Michigan QB Tyler Wiegers should have decent success here as well against a vulnerable Army secondary. Eastern Michigan averages a decent 29.5 ppg on the season while Army averages 32.3 ppg. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -6.5 | Top | 51-24 | Loss | -111 | 37 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CFB) - MIKE'S BEST CFB ATS BET FOR OCTOBER! The Western Michigan Broncos host the Toledo Rockets Thursday night. I predict an easy win for the home team. The Broncos are coming off a convincing 35-10 road win against Central Michigan to make it six straight wins. They limited Central Michigan to 269 total yards of offense while doing most if their damage on the ground with 305 rushing yards. They can attack through the air as well though and junior QB Jon Wassink has collected 1980 passing yards with a 16:6 TD to INT ratio on the season. Toledo has struggled to stop the run as well as the pass and gave up 326 passing yards in a 31-17 home loss to Buffalo last week. It has failed to cover the spread in four straight games and been outgained in each of its last six. WMU can move then chains both ways and should have no trouble to outscore this weak Toledo side. Trends supporting WMU: Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* play on Western Michigan Broncos. |
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10-21-18 | Panthers v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -119 | 100 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR *BEST BET* The reigning Super Bowl champions Philadelphia Eagles found their groove last week and delivered a 34-13 beatdown at New York Giants. Here they'll face a Carolina Panthers team which took a 23-17 loss at Washington in Week 6, and I like Philly to win and cover the spread in this matchup. We can note that Carolina is 0-2 on the road this season while Philly is 2-1 at home, the lone loss a 23-21 setback to Minnesota in Week 5. Philly QB Carson Wentz has been getting better and better throughout the season and finally looks fully recovered from a devastating knee injury that he suffered last year. Wentz threw for three TDs last week and owns an 8-to-1 TD/INT ratio on the season. The Panthers can do plenty of damage on the ground with their 4th ranked rushing offense, but the Eagles are 2nd at stopping the run and I think Philly has the edge in this game, particularly with the momentum from last week's blowout win. 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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10-20-18 | Virginia +7.5 v. Duke | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR The Virginia Cavaliers look like a live underdog as they visit Duke Blue Devils Saturday afternoon. The Cavs upset No. 16 Miami 16-13 at home last Saturday. They rank a solid 25th in the nation in scoring defense, holding opponents to 19.2 points per game. Duke is coming off a 28-14 triumph at Georgia Tech, but was actually outgained 354-304 in that contest. The Blue Devils gave up 229 rushing yards and Virginia is more than capable of moving the chains on the ground, averaging a solid 183.0 ypg. All in all, this is a lot of points to cover in what should be a low-scoring game. Trends supporting Virginia: Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. 10* play on Virginia Cavaliers. |
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10-14-18 | Rams v. Broncos UNDER 52.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 125 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* WEEK 6 TOTAL The undefeated LA Rams are coming off a 33-31 road win at Seattle. While spectators might hope for another shootout at Denver on Sunday, I expect to see this game stay under this somewhat bloated total. The Broncos have lost three straight and struggled to put points on the board during their skid, managing only 14 against the Ravens, 23 against the Chiefs and most recently 16 against the Jets. Rams defense hasn't been as terrific as it can be in recent weeks, but LA is still giving up an average of only 19.6 points on the season, good for seventh in the NFL. Additionally, the Broncos are likely to try and move the chains primarily on the ground which will eat time off the clock. Under is 8-2 in Broncos last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 9-3 in Rams last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -112 | 122 h 9 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR The Chicago Bears should be well rested and ready to go as they're coming off their Week 5 bye. They trounced Tampa Bay 48-10 last time out and have now won three straight since losing their season opener at Green Bay. The Miami Dolphins are trending in the opposite direction, coming off back-to-back losses to the Pats (38-17) and the Bengals (27-17). QB Ryan Tannehill threw two picks against Cincinnati and he has five INTS and four fumbles on the season. I expect him to get roughed up plenty by Chicago defensive end Khalil Mack who has recorded a sack and fumble in four straight games. The Dolphins offense rank rank 30th in the NFL with an average of only 288 total yards per game and here it will come up against arguably the best defense in the NFL with Chicago giving up an average of only 294.5 yards of total offense. We can also note that Miami is highly unlikely to have any kind of success running the ball against a Bears rush defense that ranks #1 in the NFL. Bears QB Mitch Trubisky was outstanding his last time out, massing 354 passing yards with six touchdown passes against the Bucs. Miami’s rush and pass defense both rank 20th in the NFL and I think points will come fast and easy for the visitors. 10* play on Chicago Bears. |
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10-13-18 | Purdue v. Illinois +10.5 | Top | 46-7 | Loss | -108 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* ATS ANNIHILATOR The Illinois Fighting Illini are coming off a 38-17 triumph at Rutgers, and I think they're spotted way too many points to pass up on as they host the Purdue Boilermakers Saturday afternoon. Purdue is coming off its bye week, but perhaps it could have come at a better time instead of following back-to-back wins. The momentum is now gone, and here the Boilermakers will face a feisty D which forced three turnovers against Rutgers last week and has recorded 12 takeaways on the season. I expect Illinois defense to keep this close. 10* play on Illinois. |
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10-12-18 | Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 43.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S FRIDAY NIGHT TOP RATED TOTAL The Air Force Falcons visit the San Diego State Aztecs Friday night, and I expect to see this game go over the total. Air Force is coming off an impressive 35-7 win over Navy. It rolled up a 399 yards of total offense in that contest and ranks 15th in the nation in rushing by putting up 255.2 yards per contest. The Aztecs boast a stingy D, but I think Air Force can find openings on the ground. Offensively San Diego State is very balanced, entering this contest ranked 115th in the nation in passing offense and 55th in rushing. Note that Air Force was torched for 436 yards of total offense in a 28-25 loss to Nevada two weeks ago so don't be surprised if San Diego State does the same. Air Force is giving up only 22.0 ppg on the season and San Diego State 19.8 ppg. With the over/under 1-4 for both teams on the season the publice expecting a low-scoring contest, the total has been set way too low. We take the contrarian rout here and back the over. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-07-18 | Dolphins v. Bengals -6 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 100 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFL SIDE FOR OCTOBER I really like the Cincinnati Bengals as a home favorite against Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon. The Bengals are coming off an impressive 37-36 win at Atlanta and they've scored at least 34 points in each of their three wins this season. QB Andy Dalton keeps putting up big numbers and torching defenses. He completed 29-of-41 passes for 337 yards with three TDs and an INT against Atlanta and has passed for 1197 yards with 11 TDs and six INTs on the season. I don't think the Bengals will have any trouble to pile up the points against a Miami team that was off to a 3-0 prior to getting exposed in a 38-7 loss to the Patriots last week. The Dolphins managed just 172 yards of total offense while giving up 449 yards of total offense in the defeat. Miami ranks 30th in the league in total offense and should not be able to keep up with this explosive Bengals team. Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bengals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* NFL Game of the Month Side: Cincinnati Bengals ATS. |
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10-07-18 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 47.5 | Top | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 99 h 33 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL FOR WEEK 5 The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a solid 26-14 win at Pittsburgh. They shut out the Steelers in the second half and held one of the most potent offenses in the league to just 284 yards, 14 first downs and 19 rushing yards. On the season, Baltimore is giving up only 16.8 ppg. Cleveland is coming off a 45-42 loss at Oakland, but such high-scoring games are usually few and far between for the Browns. The highest scoring team through their first three games put just 21 points on the board and I expect their D to step up again here after a subpar outing. Note that under is 7-1 in Browns last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Browns have had plenty of success on the ground this season, entering this contest ranked 2nd in the league with 152.8 rushing yards per game. The bad news for them is that Baltimore's rush defense ranks 4th, allowing only 82.5 ypg and I'm still not convinced that rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield can hurt a defense like Baltimore's. 10* NFL Total of the Week: BAL @ CLE UNDER. |
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10-06-18 | Eastern Michigan +4.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 73 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* WEEK 6 SIDE The Eastern Michigan Eagles are way underrated by the the bookmakers and the public here after three consecutive losses. Note that their last two defeats have come by just three points in OT and they're 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I like the Eagles to cover the spread at Western Michigan Saturday afternoon as the Broncos are in a completely opposite spot, clearly overrated by the bookmakers and public following three straight wins. The Broncos have won four straight against EMU, but needed OT to get past the Eagles in Ypsilanti last year. WMU second-year head coach Tim Lester: “They’ve had one of the hardest schedules in our league and they’ve battled every team, Lester said. "San Diego (State) is a great team, Northern (Illinois) is a great team, Buffalo’s a great team. They are a physical bunch. I think on defense they are really exceptional, so it’s going to be unbelievable test for us as the games get tighter and tighter.” EMU defeated Purdue as a 15-point underdog on Sep. 8 and I would not be surprised to see them win this one outright. 10* play on Eastern Michigan Eagles. |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs -3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
CHIEFS @ BRONCOS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY* The Kansas City Chiefs are travelling to Mile High City undefeated 3-0 on the season. They're the league's highest-scoring team having scored 38 points or more in each contest and average a healthy 295.0 passing yards per game. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has 16 touchdown passes and no interceptions. Denver has struggled to stop the pass, and while KC has surrendered 30.7 points per game I don't think the Broncos have the weapons to hurt them. Note that Denver quarterback Case Keenum has passed for just three touchdowns against five interceptions and he's coming off a season-low 192 yards passing at Baltimore. Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. Broncos are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings and 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Denver. 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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09-30-18 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 51 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 60 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE MONTH (10* TOTAL) The Pittsburgh Steelers have been involved in two shootouts already this season, and I'm confident we'll see a high-scoring game when they host the Baltimore Ravens Sunday night. The Ravens opened the season with a 47-3 thumping of Buffalo and have scored 50 in their last two games combined to make it a season average of 32.3 ppg. Baltimore averages 292 ypg through the air and Pittsburgh ranks among the worst against the pass, giving up 288.0 yards per game. Offensively the Steelers are doing just fine and their 453.3 yards of total offense per game is 2nd only to Tampa Bay. Ben Roethlisberger has found the end zone seven times and thrown for 1,140 yards and James Connor has been the go-to man in the backfield with 222 yards and two scores. Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings at Pittsburgh and the Steelers won last season's meeting at Heinz Field 39-38. 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH: OVER. |
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09-30-18 | Texans +2 v. Colts | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 100 h 3 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (TOP RATED 10* SIDE) The Houston Texans will be desperate for a win here after opening the season with three straight losses. They're 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 4 and should get the job done when visiting the Colts Sunday afternoon. Houston's offense has been a bright spot and ranks eighth in the NFL with 397 total yards per game. The Colts D gave up 379 total yards in a 20-16 road loss to the Eagles last week and I think Houston QB Deshaun Watson will tear them apart in this contest. Watson notched 385 passing yards with two TD’s against one INT against the Giants last week and we can also expect Houston to do a lot of damage on the ground against a Colts’ D that allows 106.0 rushing yards per game. The Colts offense rank in the bottom 10 of the NFL in several offensive categories and collected only 209 total yards last week. Colts QB Andrew Colt owns a poor 5:3 TD/INT ratio on the season and their running game is among the worst in the league. Great value on the visitors. 10* NFL SIDE OF THE WEEK: Houston Texans. |
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09-29-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern OVER 46.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -117 | 76 h 26 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE MONTH (10* TOTAL) The Northwestern Wildcats host the Michigan Wolverines Saturday afternoon. While we may not see a massive shootout, I'm very confident we'll see this game fly over the total we're offered. Michigan ran for 285 yards and accumulated 491 yards of total offense in a 56-10 triumph over Nebraska last week. QB Shea Patterson has recorded seven touchdowns and just one interception over his last three games. Over is 19-8-1 in Wolverines last 28 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 9-3 in their last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Northwestern is coming off its bye week and blew a 21-3 halftime lead to take a 39-34 home loss to Akron its last game. QB Clayton Thorson completed 33-of-52 passes for 383 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions against the Zips and the Wildcats average a solid 424 yards per game of total offense. Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last four games following a bye week and I think they can put up decent numbers against Michigan. 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH: OVER |
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09-29-18 | West Virginia -3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 42-34 | Win | 100 | 73 h 9 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE WEEK (10* ATS) The No. 12 West Virginia Mountaineers will be putting their perfect 3-0 start on the line when they visit a Big 12 rival, the No. 25 Texas Tech Raiders, Saturday afternoon. Texas Tech tops the nation with 623.5 yards per game while West Virginia is eighth at 545.3. WVU is by far the better defensive team though; note that the Red Raiders are allowing 437 yards per game (110th) while WVU is giving up an average of only 304 yards and 12.3 points per game. Texas Tech has won three straight since dropping its season opener and thumped then-No. 14 Oklahoma State 41-17 on the road last week. I think that triumph has made the Red Raiders overvalued by the bookmakers in this matchup, particularly in what could be a let down spot. West Virginia has claimed four straight in the series, including a 46-35 win last year. Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on West Virginia Mountaineers. |
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09-27-18 | Vikings +7 v. Rams | Top | 31-38 | Push | 0 | 37 h 36 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOBALL ~ VIKINGS @ RAMS *TOP PLAY* The LA Rams will host the Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum Thursday night. The Rams are coming into this game undefeated while the Vikings are coming off their first loss of the season following a 2-0 start. The Vikings took an embarrassing 24-16 loss as a 16.5-point home favorite against the Bills last week. Perhaps they underestimated the Bills and took a win for granted. That won't happen here though, and there's plenty of talent in this Minnesota team which is considered a serious Super Bowl contender. I like the Purples to bounce back with a big performance here against an LA Rams team which no doubt is good, but also overrated by the public and the bookmakers after opening the season with routs of Oakland, Arizona and most recently LA Chargers. Take the points on the visitors. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-24-18 | Steelers v. Bucs -113 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* STEELERS @ BUCS MONDAY NIGHT MONEYMAKER The winless Pittsburgh Steelers have struggled big time defensively through their first two games. The Pitt D allowed Kansas City's Patrick Mahomes to throw six touchdown passes last week and Tampa Bay QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has opened the season with consecutive 400-yard, four-touchdown performances. Fitzmagic has been awarded NFC Offensive Player of the Week in both weeks and should have another big game Monday night. Note that the Steelers have covered the spread only once since linebacker Ryan Shazier suffered a spinal injury in December and their top cornerback Joe Haden is banged up. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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09-23-18 | Broncos +5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 21 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (10* SIDE) The Baltimore Ravens annihilated the hapless Bills in their season opener, but they came out flat at Cincinnati last week and failed to fully climb out of an early 21-0 hole, eventually losing 34-23. I think the Ravens are in for a tough game here against the Denver Broncos who have opened the season with home wins over Seattle and most recently Oakland. Denver has looked solid on the defensive side of the ball and limited the Raiders to just 92 rushing yards last week. Baltimore has not posed much of a threat on the ground through the first two games which means the Broncos can focus on shutting down Baltimore QB Joe Flacco who was sacked four times against the Bengals. Offensively the Broncos are dangerous on the ground and rank 2nd in the NFL in rushing with 314 yards on the season. Case Keenum is perhaps not an elite QB, but note that this Baltimore D allowed Bengals Andy Dalton to throw for 265 yards and four touchdowns last week. In addition, Baltimore cornerback Jimmy Smith is facing a multi-week suspension from the NFL because of an apparent violation of the league's personal-conduct policy. Broncos are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games in Week 3. 10* NFL Game of the Week (side): Denver Broncos. |
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09-22-18 | Navy -6 v. SMU | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE WEEK (10* SIDE) The Navy Midshipmen opened the season with a shootout loss at Hawaii, but they've bounced back with back-to-back wins since. Here they'll face an 0-3 SMU squad (outscored 133-55 in the process), and I think the Mustangs will take another beating here. Navy ran for a total of 484 yards in a 51-21 blowout victory over FCS member Lehigh last week. Malcolm Perry accumulated 223 of those yards (three scores) and last year the senior quarterback ran for 282 yards on 33 carries with four touchdowns against SMU. The Mustangs took a 45-20 loss at Michigan last Saturday and gave up 197 yards and two scores on the ground. On the season, they're giving up 170.7 ypg on the ground (83rd). They rank near the bottom nationally in total offense and I don't think they'll be able to keep up with Navy in this matchup. CFB Game of the Week: Navy Midshipmen. |
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09-16-18 | Vikings +102 v. Packers | Top | 29-29 | Push | 0 | 124 h 48 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE MONTH (10* SIDE) The Minnesota Vikings opened the season with an easy 24-16 home win against the 49ers while the Green Bay Packers just barely beat the Bears 24-23 at home Monday night. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers left the game with a knee injury but returned in the second half to help the Packers come back from a 20-0 deficit. We can however note that Green Bay coach Mike McCarthy either could not or would not say anything specific Monday regarding his starting quarterback's knee injury or his status for Week 2. Rodgers will most likely be banged up even if he makes it to the field, and that simply can't be good against a Minnesota team which features among the best passing defenses in the league. I like the Vikings to win this game no matter Rodgers' status. 10* NFL SIDE GAME OF THE WEEK: Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-15-18 | Fresno State v. UCLA OVER 49.5 | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE WEEK (10* TOTAL) ~ LATE KICK OFF! The UCLA Bruins didn’t play well defensively in their last game as they gave up 485 yards in a 49-21 loss at Oklahoma. Here they'll come up against a balanced Fresno State team which opened the season with a 79-13 rout of Idaho followed by a 21-14 loss at Minnesota. The Bulldogs lead the nation with eight takeaways (5 interceptions, 3 fumbles) and that could spell big trouble for UCLA and its coach Chip Kelly who is still undecided on a starting quarterback for this contest. I think Fresno State will get plenty good opportunities in good field position leading to fast scores, but UCLA should be able to put up its fair share of points on the board as well. Over is 14-6-1 in Bulldogs last 21 non-conference games and 21-10 in their last 31 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Bruins last seven games in September. 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK: OVER |
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09-15-18 | Alabama -21 v. Ole Miss | Top | 62-7 | Win | 100 | 105 h 30 m | Show |
COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE WEEK (10* SIDE) The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide have won their first two games of the season by a combined 87 points. I think they're in line for another blowout victory here when visiting Ole Miss Rebels Saturday afternoon. Sure, the Rebels are also undefeated after beating up Texas Tech and Southern Illinois, but note that they've allowed 557.5 yards on average in these first two games. They were limited to a field goal in a 66-3 blowout loss to Alabama last year, and I don't see Ole Miss being able to stop Bama this year either. 10* CFB Game of the Week: Alabama. |
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09-10-18 | Rams -4.5 v. Raiders | Top | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT RAMS @ RAIDER 10* BEST BET The Oakland Raiders are coming off a 6-10 campaign and I think they're in for a tough season here after trading away linebacker Khalil Mack to Chicago. The LA Rams meanwhile finished with an 11-5 record last season and are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball. Jared Goff and Todd Gurley forms a formidable one-two punch on offense and Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh leading the defense. 10* play on LA Rams. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7 | Top | 3-47 | Win | 103 | 156 h 21 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a perfect 5-0 preseason, and I think they'll ride the momentum to easy victory against the Buffalo Bills at home in Week 1 of the regular season. The Bills salvaged a 2-2 preseason record with a 28-27 win at Chicago last week, but this is a team without much talent and the they're still undecided whether to start Josh Allen or AJ McCarron under center. The Bills will need to rely on running back LeSean McCoy, but the Ravens aggressive D has an advantage all across the board and should be able to keep the Bills caged. There will be few surprises from the Ravens and John Harbaugh know exactly where he has his team after five preseason games. They have a strong go-to QB in Joe Flacco and a solid running game which ranked 11th in the NFL last year. Buffalo finished the 2017 season with the fourth worst rushing defense in the NFL and gave up plenty of yards during its preseason games. Also, let's not underestimate the home field advantage here with a hostile crowd guaranteed to make it difficult for the visitors. 10* NFL Game of the Week: Baltimore Ravens. |
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09-08-18 | Arizona v. Houston -3.5 | Top | 18-45 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
EARLY ARIZONA @ HOUSTON GAME OF THE WEEK (10* CFB SIDE) The Houston Cougars racked up 581 yards of total offense in their 45-27 home win over Rice in the season opener. I expect another comfortable win for Houston here as they host Arizona in Week 2. The Wildcats are coming off a 28-23 home loss to a rather weak BYU team and dual-threat quarterback Khalil Tate didn't get much done. Houston returns only 10 players while Arizona returns 16 from last season, but I think the home team has a clear edge in this matchup. 10* play on Houston Cougars. |
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09-07-18 | TCU -22.5 v. SMU | Top | 42-12 | Win | 100 | 85 h 0 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TCU @ SMU BEST BET The TCU Horned Frogs opened the season with a dominant 55-7 triumph over Southern Jaguars. They outgained their opponent 499-185 in that matchup and look good to record another blowout win here at SMU Mustangs Friday night. SMU took a 46-23 road loss to North Texas in Week 1 and surrendered 530 total yards in the process. The Mustangs were one of the worst defensive teams in the country last year (allowing an average of 36.7 points per game), and here they'll face an explosive TCU offense with a solid quarterback and three running backs that can all do big damage. 10* play on TCU Horned Frogs. |
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09-06-18 | Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 45 | Top | 12-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* FALCONS @ EAGLES *BOOKIE BREAKER* The Phildelphia Eagles managed to overcome a late season-ending ACL injury to their star QB Carson Wentz last year and went all the way to beat New England Patriots in the Super Bowl. They could always lean a stingy defense that ranked first against the pass and third against the run in 2017, and I think the same will be true here in 2018. Wentz will miss the season opener against Atlanta Falcons, and the Eagles are also dealing with injuries to their receivers. We can also add in the fact that running back Jay Ajayi was held out in the final two games of the preseason and I think it's fair to assume that points will be hard to come by for the Eagles. Atlanta has an explosive offense, but I expect Philly's D to shut down the Falcons effectively. Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games overall. Under is 9-4 in Eagles last 13 games in Week 1. Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-01-18 | Cincinnati v. UCLA OVER 63 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL *TOP PLAY* New UCLA Bruins head coach Chip Kelly has been forced to deal with serious internal distractions ahead of the season opener with Cincinnati Bearcats Saturday night. Several players have been suspended for violating unspecified athletic department policies, and it has hit their defense the worst. They'll face a Cincinnati team which will return 13 starters, including its leading passer, rusher and receiver, and I expect to see the scoreboard light up plenty here at Rose Bowl tonight. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-01-18 | Oregon State v. Ohio State -38.5 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY GAME OF THE WEEK (10* CFB SIDE) Sure, Ohio State Buckeyes will be without suspended head coach Urban Meyer and they've lost QB J.T. Barrett to the NFL, but make no mistake, this is a very talented bunch who should cover the number against Oregon State. We'll see two super motivated quarterbacks battling for the Ohio State QB position with both sophomore Dwayne Haskins and redshirt freshman Tate Martell expected to see action. The Buckeyes can do a lot of damage on the ground as well returning sophomore J.K. Dobbins (1,403 yards last season) and junior Mike Weber (1,722 yards in two seasons). Oregon State went 1-11 last year and were third worst in the FBS in scoring defense, giving up 43 points per game. OSU meanwhile ranked 15th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 19 points per game. Huge advantages on both sides of the ball and home field advantage for Ohio State. 10* play on Ohio State Buckeyes. |
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08-31-18 | Syracuse v. Western Michigan +5 | Top | 55-42 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
TOP RATED SYRACUSE/WESTERN MICHIGAN BOOKIE BREAKER The Western Michigan Broncos look like live dog here in their season opener against Syracuse Orange Friday night. The Broncos averaged 33.9 ppg last year and returns QB Jon Wassink who threw for 1411 yards with 14 TDs and four INTs last year, despite suffering a season ending injury after just eight games. He should be able to do some damage against an Orange defense that allowed a total of 162 points in their final three games alone last year. We can also note that this is a huge game in many ways for new WMU head coach Tim Lester who is a former ‘Cuse offensive coordinator. 10* play on Western Michigan Broncos. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles +5 v. Patriots | Top | 41-33 | Win | 100 | 298 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S SUPER BOWL LII BEST BET The New England Patriots failed to cover the spread in their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game, and I predict another tight affair when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LII on Sunday. The Eagles have managed to overcome a season-ending injury to their star QB Carson Wentz, as backup QB Nick Foles has been able to get the job done backed up by a solid defense that has allowed a total of just 17 points here in the postseason. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 112 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - MIKE'S AFC TITLE GAME BEST BET We won with the Jacksonville Jaguars as my NFL Game of the Month when they defeated Pittsburgh outright in the Divisional Playoff, and I'm gonna back them to at the very least cover the spread again here against the New England Patriots in the AFC Title Game. The Pats had little trouble with Tennessee their last time out as Tom Brady was able to exploit Titans linebackers and safeties who had struggled much of the year in coverage, but here they'll face arguably the best defense in the NFL. We can can also note that the Jags feature the top-ranked running game in the league, led by Leonard Fournette who was tremendous in Sunday’s win against Pittsburgh accumulating 109 rushing yards on 24 carries with three scores. The Pats' Tom Brady is 7-0 lifetime against the Jaguars including two playoff victories, but the last encounter was back in 2015 and this Jacksonville team is cut from a different cloth, especially on the defensive side of the ball. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Conference Championships games and while they're likely to win this game outright, I absolutely think they're asked to cover way too many points. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 101 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) The Jacksonville Jaguars defense put up another outstanding performance when the Jags recorded a 10-3 home win against the Bills in the Wildcard game last week. I think their tremendous D will keep this AFC Divisional playoff matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers a close game, and getting a touchdown here is well worth a max bet. This will be the second meeting of the season and Jacksonville won the first encounter 30-9 here at Heinz Field in Week 5. The Jags forced five interceptions from Ben Roethlisberger in that matchup and limited the Bills to 263 total yards (including only 133 passing yards) and picked off the Buffalo QB twice last week. Jacksonville has allowed only 15.9 ppg on the season while the Steelers defense wasn't particularly sharp in the final stretch of the regular season, giving up rather big numbers to Baltimore, New England and Cleveland among others. Jacksonville features the top-ranked running game in the NFL led by Leonard Fournette who accumulated 181 rushing yards in the triumph over Pittsburgh earlier this season. We can also note that Pittsburgh star receiver Antonio Brown is questionable after he missed the last two games of the season with a lower leg contusion suffered against New England on Dec. 15. My NFL Game of the Month is a 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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01-08-18 | Alabama -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* CFB CHAMPIONSHIP BEST BET - BAMA vs. GEORGIA The Alabama Crimson Tide really did a number on top-seeded Clemson in the semifinals, putting a 24-6 beating on the Tigers. I think they'll take care of business again when taking on the Georgia Bulldogs in the College Football Playoff Championship at Atlanta Monday night. The Bulldogs managed to fight off Oklahoma last week, winning 54-48 in overtime. They did however give up 527 yards of total offense, and that won't cut it here against a Bama team that won't give up nearly similar numbers in return. Georgia relies heavy on the run, but Alabama leads the nation in rushing defense at 91.8 yards per game and limited Clemson to 64 yards on 33 attempts. Bama has the advantage on both sides of the ball IMO, and I would take Crimson Tide sophomore QB Jalen Hurts over Georgia's freshman quarterback Jake Fromm every day of the week. My selection is a 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PANTHERS @ SAINTS ATS ANNIHILATOR The New Orleans Saints have already defeated the Carolina Panthers twice this season, the most recent a 31-21 triumph here in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome back in December. They're coming off a 31-24 loss at Tampa Bay but are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 23-4 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Panthers fit the bill coming into this contest with a 5-3 road record for the season, but they took a 22-10 loss at Atlanta in their regular season finale and are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with New Orleans. The Saints own the league’s No. 2 offense and they've been able to torch Carolina on the ground in both meetings this season, gaining 148 and 149 yards respectively. New Orleans’ defense meanwhile turned in two of its best performances of the season against the Panthers. My selection is a 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 105 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) I think Atlanta Falcons plus the points look like excellent value here in their Wild Card game against the LA Rams. The Falcons have been in playoff mode for weeks while the Rams need to find a way to light their fire again after sitting QB Jared Goff, RB Todd Gurley, WR Cooper Kupp and DL Aaron Donald in the regular-season finale (a 34-13 loss to the Niners). The Rams have had a tremendous season considering this is a team that finished 4-12 last season, but they're still unproven in the playoffs while Atlanta has plenty of experience. Sure, Atlanta QB Matt Ryan has had a poor season, but this is still pretty much the same offense that carried the Falcons to the Super Bowl last year and its defense really stepped up in its 22-10 triumph over Carolina in the regular-season finale. My NFL Wild Card Game of the Week is a 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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01-01-18 | Alabama v. Clemson +3 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -115 | 347 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (CFB) The No. 1 Clemson Tigers and the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide will clash in a rematch of last year's National Championship game in the Sugar Bowl on New Years Day. Clemson won last year's matchup, and I'm well happy to take the points on the top ranked team here. The Tigers have had an excellent season and showed their class once again when they routed Miami-Florida 38-3 as a 12.5-point favorite in the ACC title game on Dec. 2. Alabama meanwhile took a 26-14 loss as a 6-point favorite at Auburn on Nov. 25 their last time out, and the Tide gave up 408 yards of offense in the process. Bama features the No. 1 ranked defense in the nation, but the defensive performance against Auburn was poor and Clemson just dismantled a terrific Miami-Florida defense. My CFB Game of the Year is a 10* play on Clemson Tigers. |
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12-31-17 | 49ers -3 v. Rams | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 65 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The San Francisco 49ers will be looking to close out the season with a fifth consecutive victory. They've looked like a completely different team since installing Jimmy Garoppolo under center and scored 44 points on one of the top defenses in the league in Jacksonville last week. "Since Jimmy G. got here, things have been a lot different," 49ers running back Carlos Hyde said. "Things have been feeling really good around here. It's been a good vibe. That energy in the locker room right now is really good. Guys are teeing off that and ready to play." I expect the Niners to keep rolling here when they visit the LA Rams Sunday afternoon. The Rams have played well lately, coming off back-to-back triumphs at Seattle and Tennessee to make it four win their last five games. They've clinched the NFC West championship and at least one home playoff game already though, and coach Sean McVay is expected to sit most of his key players here to ensure their health for the postseason. Quarterback Jared Goff, star defensive lineman Aaron Donald and even MVP candidate running back Todd Gurley are all expected to get some rest. The Rams defeated the Niners 41-39 at San Francisco back in September. Expect revenge for the Niners today. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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12-29-17 | Texas A&M v. Wake Forest -3 | Top | 52-55 | Push | 0 | 74 h 3 m | Show |
BELK BOWL BOOKIE BASHER The Wake Forest Demon Deacons aim to win bowl games in back-to-back years for the first time since 2007 and 2008 when they take on the Texas A&M Aggies here in the Belk Bowl. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 31-23 home loss as a 10.5-point favorite against Duke in their regular season finale on November 25, but had won back-to-back games prior to that. They're 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss and 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Texas A&M will play under interim coach Jeff Banks following the firing of Kevin Sumlin on Nov. 26. This is a very tough spot for the Aggies. Banks knows he won't lead the team next season with Jimbo Fisher set to take over, and the players will have to figure out however the temporary coach wants them to play. Texas A&M took a 45-21 loss at LSU in its regular season finale and was outgained by a massive 319 yards so there's not much positive going on in Texas A&M. Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 0-5 ATS in their last five against teams from the ACC. My selection is a 10* play on Wake Forest Demon Deacons. |
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12-24-17 | Bucs v. Panthers -9 | Top | 19-22 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 26 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The Carolina Panthers (10-4) are coming off impressive back-to-back triumphs against Minnesota and Green Bay to make it six wins through their last seven games. There's no time for rest though as they enter the week with the same record as the Saints at the top of the NFC South, but losing the head-to-head tiebreaker. Here they'll host a Tampa Bay Buccaneers that stood up well in Monday night's 24-21 loss to the Falcons, but this will be tough playing on short rest, facing a Carolina offense that is firing on all cylinders and averaged 32 points through its last five games. The Panthers have had plenty of success running the ball all season (4th in the NFL with an average of 135 rushing yards per game) and accumulated 151 rushing yards against Green Bay. The Bucs were just torched for 201 rushing yards by Atlanta. These two teams squared up in Week 8, a game the Panthers won 17-3 while holding Jameis Winston to only 210 passing yards with zero touchdowns against two interceptions. Motivation beats class, but the Panthers have the advantage in both aspects in this matchup with the 4-10 Bucs just looking to play spoiler in their last two games of the season. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons -6.5 v. Bucs | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL MONEYMAKER The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been torn apart defensively in recent weeks, giving up a total of 84 points through three consecutive losses while going 0-3 ATS. Here they'll host an Atlanta Falcons team that has won four of its last five games (lone loss against Minnesota) to put itself in a position where it still controls its own playoff destiny. The math is simple; If the Falcons win out in their last three games they will claim the NFC South title. The Falcons defeated the Bucs 34-20 home in Atlanta on Nov. 26 in a matchup where Matt Ryan was 26-of-35 for 317 yards while receiver Julio Jones had 12 receptions for 253 yards and two touchdowns. Tampa Bay's defense has struggled on the pass rush all season and ranks 32nd in the NFL with 17 sacks. Buccaneers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings. My selection is a 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots -3 v. Steelers | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 84 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL) The New England Patriots took a shocking 27-20 loss as a 10.5-point underdog at Miami on Monday, but I really expect them to show up here at Pittsburgh in a matchup that will likely decide home field advantage in the AFC. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won eight in a row, but they've needed late field goals to defeat Cincinnati and Baltimore the last two weeks. The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record and had covered the spread in six straight games before last week's defeat. The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. Bill Belichick won't allow the Pats to lose this game, especially after the debacle at Miami last week. My NFL GAME OF THE YEAR is a 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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12-16-17 | Georgia State v. Western Kentucky -6 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers closed out the regular season by losing four of their last five games, but all but one of those losses were as rather large underdogs and they defeated Middle Tennessee as a pick'em. The Georgia State Panthers dropped their last two games down the stretch, the most recent 24-10 as a 7.5-point favorite against Idaho. They failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games. Georgia State averaged just 19.7 ppg and I don't think it'll be able to keep up Western Kentucky's explosive offense, led by Senior Bowl invitee quarterback Mike White who has passed for 3,836 yards with 24 TDs and just seven INTs this season. Both teams rely on strong passing attacks, but WKU has a clear defensive edge in that aspect ranking 36th against the pass (201.1 ypg) while Georgia State is 92nd (242.4 ypg). Western Kentucky has plenty of experience and postseason momentum as its going for its 4th bowl win in a row. My CFB Game of the Week is a 10* play on Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots -10.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL NO-BRAINER The New England Patriots will be without suspended Rob Gronkowski, but I still they'll put away the Dolphins at Miami Monday night relatively easy. The Phins had lost five straight before defeating the reeling Broncos 35-9 last week. Miami took a 35-17 beating by the Pats on Nov. 26 and here it'll face a fired up Tom Brady looking to bounce back from a sub-par outing (not a single touchdown pass) in last week's 23-3 win at Buffalo. The Pats defense has been outstanding lately while Miami conceded a staggering 177 points during its five-game slide. Patriots are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine Monday night games. Dolphins are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-8 ATS in their last eight Monday night games. My selection is a 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +5.5 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 114 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) The Baltimore Ravens have quietly won three in a row to move to the second wild card spot in the AFC. They'll visit the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday night, and I think Baltimore should be able to keep this a close game. Note that the Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against AFC North rivals and 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pittsburgh came back from being down 17-0 to beat the Bengals 23-20 Monday night thanks to a last second field goal. Here it'll have to do without linebacker Ryan Shazier who was carted off the field early in that game with a back injury. I did not like what I saw from the Steelers on Monday, and we can note that they're just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. My selection is a 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 48 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 103 h 32 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) I expect both teams to pile up the points when the 8-3 New Orleans Saints host the 8-3 Carolina Panthers in an important battle for first place in the NFC South Sunday afternoon. The Panthers are riding a four-game win streak and they've scored a total of 80 points in the last two games alone. Over is 9-3 in Panthers last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and the Saints fit the bill entering this contest with a 4-1 home record. They've averaged 31.2 pgg home in the Superdome and the Saints will be eager to bounce back from a 26-20 loss at the Rams last Sunday after winning eight straight games prior to that setback. Over is 4-0 in Saints last four games following a straight up loss and 13-5-1 in their last 19 home games. Carolina’s defense has allowed plenty of passing yards in recent games and the Saints QB Drew Brees has averaged 313 passing yards with 12 touchdowns against three interceptions in his last four encounters with the Panthers. The Saints won the last meeting 34-13 at Carolina back in Week 3 and five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on CAR @ NO Over. |
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12-02-17 | Georgia +100 v. Auburn | Top | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) - MAJOR WAGER ALERT This game is not only for the SEC title, but the winner will almost certainly will move on to the four-team playoff to determine the national title. The Tigers won 40-17 when the teams clashed at Auburn three weeks ago (Georgia's lone loss this season), but I like the Bulldogs to come out ahead here at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Georgia. The Tigers have recorded a pair of easy victories since the loss to Auburn, so they've had plenty of time to prepare for this game both mentally and physically. The Tigers meanwhile have been forced to fight tooth and nail to go 5-0 following a 5-2 start, and while last week's 26-14 win as a 6-point underdog against Alabama is impressive, it also sets up a let down spot here. We can also note that Auburn might have to do without the SEC’s leader in rushing yards per game (127.6), Kerryon Johnson, as he's listed as day-to-day with a shoulder injury. My CFB Game of the Week is a 10* play on Georgia Bulldogs. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks v. 49ers +6.5 | Top | 24-13 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 56 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The San Francisco 49ers picked up their first win of the season in a 31-21 home triumph against the Giants in Week 10 before enjoying their bye week. I think they'll put a good fight when hosting the Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon. San Francisco Quarterback C.J. Beathard is coming off his best game of the season as he threw for for 288 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. Their defense ranks 29th in scoring defense and 27th in total defense, but they've looked better on the defensive side of the ball in recent weeks. We can also note that their biggest weakness is defending against the run, but the Seahaws does not pose much of a threat on the ground with QB Russell Wilson accumulating nearly three times as many rushing yards as offseason acquisition Eddie Lacy. Seattle has dropped two of its last three games and it took a 34-31 home loss to the Falcons last week. It won just 12-9 when hosting the 49ers in the season's first meeting and this should be another tight affair. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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11-25-17 | Washington State v. Washington -10 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) - MIKE'S TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER The Washington Huskies will host the Washington State Cougars in the annual Apple Cup on Saturday. The Huskies have won four straight meetings and defeated the Cougars 45-17 last year. They're 3-1 ATS at home against Pac-12 foes, covering spreads of 28, 18 and 17 points. The Cougars are coming off a by week and will win the Pac-12's North division with a victory over the Huskies, but I expect the home team to play spoiler. The Cougars are last in the Pac-12 in sacks allowed and Wazzu's dynamite defense is good enough to win this game for the home team IMO. My selection is a 10* play on Washington Huskies. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 155 h 38 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The Philadelphia Eagles had reeled off seven straight wins before entering their bye week, and I think they'll pick up right where they left off and take down the Cowboys at Dallas Sunday night. The Cowboys will have to do without their star running back Ezekiel Elliot due to suspension, and they really missed him in last week's 27-7 loss at Atlanta. They had won three straight prior to that, but their offense became way too one-dimensional without Elliott and QB Dak Prescott is likely to be under heavy fire once again here against a solid Philadelphia D. The Cowboys are just 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and I don't see them hanging around with the 8-1 Eagles. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on Philadelphia Eagles. |
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11-18-17 | Central Florida v. Temple +14 | Top | 45-19 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 17 m | Show |
CFB GAME OF THE WEEK The UCF Knights head to Lincoln Financial Field with a perfect 9-0 SU record, but I think they're in for tough game here against the Temple Owls. The cold weather in Philadelphia should be an advantage for the home team, and we can note that the Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in November and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games while the Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last four games November games. UCF has been asked to cover way too large spreads lately, going 0-3 ATS through its last three games. I really like the Owls chances of keeping this a close game. My CFB Game of the Week is a 10* play on Temple Owls |
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11-12-17 | Saints -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 41 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK The New Orleans Saints started the season 0-2, but they've reeled off six straight victories since and I think they'll make it seven in a row when they visit the Buffalo Bills Sunday afternoon. Buffalo does not have much to offer offensively, and the Bills have struggled on the defensive side of the ball lately as well. They gave up 34 points in last week's loss to the Jets and their D enters Week 10 ranked No. 20 in the overall NFL rankings and No. 26 against the pass. I don't see the Bills being able to stop QB Drew Brees and the rest of the Saints who rank 2nd in the NFL for total offense at 392.5 yards per game, and they're equally dangerous through the air and on the ground. The Bills are the only team in the AFC that's still undefeated at home this year, but the Saints got something special brewing this season. Als note that Bills are 12-26-2 ATS in their last 40 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while Saints are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. My NFL Game of the Week is a 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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11-11-17 | Oklahoma State -6 v. Iowa State | Top | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 26 h 39 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK The Oklahoma State Cowboys suffered a 62-52 loss to Oklahoma last week, but I think they'll bounce back with a win here at Iowa State. The Cyclones fell 20-16 at West Virginia last week and were outgained 524-350 in total yards. Here they'll face an offense that ranks second in the FBS in scoring average at 45.3 points, and Cowboys QB Mason Rudolph threw for 448 yards and five TDs while RB Justice Hill ran for 228 yards against Oklahoma. Prior to last week, Oklahoma State had outgained every opponent this season. The Cyclones meanwhile have failed to reach 20 points in either of their last two contests and I think the Cowboys offensive advantage will be too big for Iowa State to make up for. Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss. My CFB Game of the Week is a 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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11-06-17 | Lions -2 v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL DET @ GB The Detroit Lions have lost three straight games (0-3 ATS) following last week's 20-15 setback against Pittsburgh. They did not score a single TD despite five trips to the red zone and QB Matthew Stafford completing 27-of-45 passes for a total of 423 yards, but I think they'll do much better here against a Packers D that is allowing 348.9 total yards per game. Green Bay has even bigger offensive woes with QB Aaron Rodgers out for the season, and Rodgers' replacement, Brett Hundley, has four interceptions in his two games. Here he'll face a Detroit team that is third-best in the league with 10 interceptions and 16 overall takeaways, so this should be another tough matchup for the 24 year old. Hundley might not get much help from the Packers ground game either as Detroit's defense ranks fifth in rushing yards allowed per carry and seventh in rushing yards allowed per game. My selection is a 10* play on Detroit Lions. |
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