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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 2 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 10* play on New England Patriots. |
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10-17-21 | Vikings v. Panthers UNDER 46 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 42 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State +5.5 v. Texas | Top | 32-24 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) Texas held a 28-7 after one quarter in last week's matchup with Oklahoma. It all went downhill from there though as the Sooners came back to win 55-48. I think it will be tough for the Texas players to recharge mentally and physically after that battle, and here they'll face an undefeated 5-0 Oklahoma State team that already has a road win as an underdog at Boise State. Cowboys' running back Jaylen Warren rushed for 125 yards and two touchdowns on 36 carries in a 24-14 home victory over then-No. 21 Baylor on October 2, and he should have a big game against a Texas defense that's allowing 200+ rushing yards per game. Additionally, the Okie State has a big rest advantage coming off its bye week. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Texas. 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY* The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly. As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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10-10-21 | Dolphins v. Bucs UNDER 48 | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 16 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-21 | Maryland v. Ohio State UNDER 71 | Top | 17-66 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL) The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-07-21 | Rams -129 v. Seahawks | Top | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 14 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - RAMS @ SEAHAWKS TNF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Rams to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Arizona while we also fade Seattle who avoided a three-game losing streak with an upset win at San Francisco. Additionally, the Seahawks have a ton of injuries which will make playing on a short week rather difficult. Seattle has the worst total defense in the league giving up 444.5 ypg, and the worst run defense, The Rams rank fourth in the league in passing (298.3 ypg) and sixth in scoring (28.8 ppg), and QB Matt Stafford just bounce back after having a season-low passer rating of 89.5 against the Cardinals. Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Rams are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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10-03-21 | Giants +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one. While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game. It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. 10* play on New York Giants. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
CFB MAJOR WAGER - TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE) Both Arkansas State and Georgia Southern are 1-3 SU on the season, but the Red Wolves are 3-1 ATS while the Eagles are only 1-3 ATS. I think the road team has a good chance at winning outright at Allen E. Paulson Stadium on Saturday. Arkansas State QB James Blackman has had a great start to the season, coming into this week averaging 7.4 yards per pass attempt and the Red Wolves ranking 7th in the nation with 360.5 passing yards per game. Georgia Southern has struggled to stop the pass, and UL Lafayette QB Levi Lewis threw three touchdown passes in a 28-20 win at Georgia Southern last week. The Red Wolves have their issues on the defensive side of the ball, but I think their explosive offense will get them the W (at least ATS) in this one. Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Red Wolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. 10* play on Arkansas State. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3.5 | Top | 51-14 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* IOWA @ MARYLAND FRIDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BREAKER Both No. 5 Iowa and Maryland have started the season 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Terps have not really been tested since opening the season with an underdog win against West Virginia, but they've gotten the job done while putting up some solid numbers on both sides of the ball. Iowa opened the season with a couple of wins against two competitive teams in Indiana and Iowa State, but it has looked kind of sluggish in its last two games. Iowa had to claw back from a halftime deficit in last week's 24-14 win against Colorado, and the Hawkeyes put up only 278 yards of total offense, just barely outgaining the Rams. Maryland's explosive offense is averaging 519 yards of total offense per game, and while those numbers are skewed due to the strength of schedule, I do like the home team to keep this close. 10* play on Maryland Terrapins. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*) The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-26-21 | Seahawks v. Vikings +2 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 23 m | Show |
NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE) The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game. Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +5.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 28 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - NOTRE DAME @ WISCONSIN CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Notre Dame is coming into this contest an undefeated 3-0 on the season. This will be the Fighting Irish's first game as an underdog, but I like them to keep it close against a Wisconsin team that lost outright as a 5.5-point home favorite against Penn State on September 4. The Badgers are phenomenal against the run, but their secondary is vulnerable and Notre Dame QB Jack Coan can sling it, averaging over 300 passing yards per game with nine TD passes on the season. 10* play on Notre Dame. |
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09-19-21 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK I think the Saints are getting way too much respect here after putting a 38-3 beating on the Packers in their season opener. Carolina did not look too shabby either as it opened the season with a solid 19-14 victory against the New York Jets. Sure, the Jets are one of the weakest teams in the NFL, but Carolina is at home for a second straight week while the Saints are on the road in a potential letdown spot. The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and the underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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09-19-21 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 49.5 | Top | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 57 h 52 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK Both teams are coming into this contest a perfect 2-0 straight up and against the spread. The 22nd-ranked Auburn has not really been tested though, coming into its contests as a 37-point favorite against Akron and a 49.5-point favorite against Alabama State. I don't think the Tigers are way overrated after blowout out a couple of no-name teams, and I don't think they are quite prepared for what they're about to come up against in this one. No. 10 Penn State opened the season with a 16-10 road win as a 5.5-point underdog at then-No. 12 Wisconsin and it defeated Ball State 44-13 last time out. The Lions really impressed in their win against the Badgers, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. I think they'll slow down Auburn's untested offense enough to win and cover. Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Nittany Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Nittany Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Penn State Nittany Lions. |
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09-18-21 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 52.5 | Top | 8-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH The No. 6 Clemson Tigers have allowed a total of only 13 points through their first two games of the season. Georgia Tech put up 45 points in a 28-point victory last week, but as a 20-point favorite against Kennesaw State. While Georgia Tech's defense has not really been tested yet, giving up only giving up 123.5 passing yards per game (8th) is impressive, and it's a better number than Clemson's 133.5 (13th) passing yards per game allowed. Under is 6-2-2 in Yellow Jackets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-12-21 | Packers -4 v. Saints | Top | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 0 m | Show |
TOP-RATED PACKERS @ SAINTS WEEK 1 NFL BOOKIE BREAKER Aaron Rodgers is, despite a turbulent offseason, back under center for the Packers. They return very much the same core, unlike the Saints whose long-time QB Drew Brees has retired. On top of that, star-wide receiver Michael Thomas has been placed on the physically unable to perform list as he continues his recovery from foot surgery. |
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09-11-21 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S CFB GAME OF THE WEEK - IOWA VS IOWA STATE TOP PLAY No. 10 Iowa opened the season with a dominant 34-6 win as a 3.5-point favorite against Indiana while No. 9 Iowa State just barely beat Northern Iowa as a four-touchdown favorite. Those results are working in our favor here as we're getting Iowa State at a good number while putting Iowa in a potential letdown spot. There's just no way the Cyclones are coming out as flat here in this big-time rivalry game, so let's take advantage as the bookmakers and the public overreact to last week's results. Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. 10* play on Iowa State. |
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09-11-21 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 41 | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 52 h 18 m | Show |
CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK College Football games between two academy teams are usually low-scoring affairs, and I don't see why this matchup between the Air Force Falcons and the Navy Midshipmen would be any different. Both teams will run the ball which will keep the clock ticking, and while Navy struggled on the defensive side of the ball in its 49-7 loss to Marshall last week, Air Force does not pose the same threat. Air Force is loaded with talent and experience on defense, so the Mids won't put up many points. Under is 20-6 in Midshipmen last 26 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in September. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-04-21 | Alabama v. Miami-FL UNDER 61.5 | Top | 44-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BAMA @ MIAMI-FL BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming into the season opener against Miami-Florida as a sizeable favorite. That Bama will come out ahead is a foregone conclusion, but I think they'll win with their defense rather than their offense. Bryce Young is taking over at quarterback to replace Mac Jones, and with only three returning starters on offense, it might take a couple of games for their offense to click. Defensively though, Bama looks solid with seven starters back, led by linebackers Will Anderson Jr. and Christian Harris and cornerback Josh Job. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
CHIEFS VS BUCS SUPER BOWL LV *BEST OF THE BEST* The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a three-point favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. I think the value is on the underdog. While the Chiefs have an edge offensively, the Bucs defense is one of the best in the league and going against Tom Brady in big games is rarely a winning proposition. We can also note that Tampa Bay has home field advantage, and even though there will be a limited amount of fans at the game, at least they are very familiar with the stadium. Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 63 h 8 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR The Chiefs did not cover the double-digit spread against the Browns in their Divisional Round matchup, but I think they'll win and cover a much smaller number here against the Bills. As of this writing, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is in concussion protocol, but I fully expect him to be activated. "(Mahomes) took all the snaps and he feels good, so we're just going to follow this protocol as close as we possibly can," Chiefs coach Andy Reid told reporters Wednesday. Looking at stats, it looks like the Bills can go toe to toe with KC offensively, but I hold the Chiefs as the more complete team. Also, it feels like they've been cruising along most of the season why pure stats do not tell the whole story about their performance. KC held nine opponents to 20 or fewer points, and even though Bills' QB Josh Allen has had a spectacular season, there is a risk of the pressure getting to the inexperienced signal caller in this one. These teams met in Buffalo earlier in the season, and Kansas City won 26-17. Take KC. (If you can buy down to -2.5, do it. This pick will be graded as -3). 10* play on Kansas City. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
*BEST BET ALERT* BUCS @ PACKERS NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME The Bucs looked solid in their 30-20 win over the Saints in the Divisional Round, but I think the Packers will be too much to handle. The Bucs rank only 21st in the league agains the pass, and here they'll face MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers. I also think Green Bay's defense is not getting as much credit as it should, and note that even though TB put up 30 points on the board last week, they had only 300 something yards of total offense. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BUCS @ SAINTS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY The New Orleans Saints have defeated their NFC South rivals twice this season, but I would not be surprised if Tom Brady and the Bucs come through now when it really matters. Tampa's offense is clicking and the team has averaged 35.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak and put up 30+ on a tough Washington defense last week. The Saints have one of the best running backs in the game in Alvin Kamara, but I think he'll struggle agains the Bucs top-ranked run defense. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 14 m | Show |
RAVENS @ BILLS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE MONTH The Buffalo Bills win over the Colts in the Wild Card Round was not quite as dominant as their run they closed out the regular season on, but they got the job done in the end. I think they match up rather well with the Ravens who had some early trouble of their own with the Titans in their Wild Card Round game. The Bills offense is the hottest in the NFL, and while the Ravens can run the football, they rank dead last for passing yards per game which is not great when playing from behind, which I think they will here. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama OVER 74 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
OHIO STATE VS ALABAMA CFP CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BEST OF THE BEST The Alabama Crimson Tide limited Notre Dame to 14 points in their semi-finals matchup, but here they'll face a much more accomplished offense in Ohio State. The Buckeyes put up 49 points on Clemson, and QB Juston Fields completed 22-of-28 passes for 385 yards and six TDs against only one INT. Bama is an elite team, but it ranks only 76th in the nation against the pass. The Buckeyes are even worse at 103rd in the country, and they gave up 400 passing yards to Tigers' Trevor Lawrence in the win last week. I think we'll see both QBs air it out and drive up the score. This is a massive number, but the bookies just can't make it big enough IMO. 10* MAX BET on OVER. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 49 h 47 m | Show |
RAVENS @ TITANS 10* NFL. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Baltimore Ravens closed out the regular season winning five straight games straight up and covering the number in each of their last six. Their hot run is a big reason why they are a favorite on the road at Tennessee, but I'm not buying it. 10* top play on Tennessee. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8.5 | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 62 h 33 m | Show |
WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ WAS @ TB 10* SIDE First of all, Washington's offense is admittedly absolutely trash as they rank 30th in the NFL for total offense with 317 yards per game, but their defense is truly elite. Here they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that has had no trouble picking apart subpar defenses, but also struggled at times against tougher opponents. We can also note that Bucs veteran QB Tom Brady has been far from at his best in primetime games this season, and one of his weapons, star wideout Mike Evans, is questionable. The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite while the Football Team are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. 10* game of the year top play on Washington. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42.5 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ RAMS @ SEAHAWKS 10* TOTAL This is a low number, but note that NFL games with a total lower than 45 points went 37-17 (68.5%) to the under this season. As for these two teams, the Rams are 12-4 to the under on the season and they rank No. 1 for scoring defense and passing yards allowed while Seattle's defense has quietly been one of the best in the league over the last month. Through their last four games, the Seahawks have allowed, 3, 15, 9 and 23 points. In the two regular season meetings between these two teams we saw 39 and 29 points scored. I expect this to be another low-scoring affair, especially as Rams' QB Jared Goff won't be 100% if he even suits up at all. 10* game of the year top play on UNDER. |
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01-03-21 | Chargers -3.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* MAJOR WAGER ATS TOP PLAY The 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs have the division title and the No. 1 seed already locked up going into the final week. They have announced that they will rest QB Patrick Mahomes and other stars are likely to get the week off as well. The 6-9 LA Chargers are not going to the postseason, but they are heading into this contest on a three-game winning streak and rookie QB Justin Herbert keeps putting up impressive numbers. Herbert passed for 311 yards and one touchdown in his NFL debut against the Chiefs in Week 2, a 23-20 OT loss. He should have good success against KC's backups. 10* play on Los Angeles Chargers. |
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01-03-21 | Ravens v. Bengals OVER 44 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
*MAJOR WAGER ALERT* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - REG SEASON The Cincinnati Bengals offense has come alive here at the end of the season, putting up a combined 64 points in back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh and Houston. Quarterback Brandon Allen threw for a career-high 371 yards and two touchdown in a 37-31 win at Houston last week. Their defense remains a liability though, and here they'll face a Ravens side that has averaged 37 ppg through a four-game winning streak. The Ravens need a win to have a shot at a playoff berth, so there's no question whether they will bring it or not while the Bengals would love nothing more than to play spoiler for their division-rival. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-02-21 | Kentucky -130 v. NC State | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
EARLY GATOR BOWL 10* BEST BET - LIVE ON ESPN 12 ET The NC State Wolfpack are 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS, but I think they'll come up short here against Kentucky in the Gator Bowl. The Wildcats are only 4-6 SU nd 4-5-1 ATS, but they've played a tough schedule facing teams like Georgia, Alabama and Florida. The Wildcats are averaging a solid 187.4 rushing yards per game (46th), and I think they'll run over this NC State defense. 10* play on Kentucky ML. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -115 | 92 h 23 m | Show |
OHIO STATE VS CLEMSON 10* SUGAR BOWL TOP PLAY I think we're getting tremendous value on the #3 Clemson Tigers as a mere touchdown favorite over #4 Ohio State in the Sugar Bowl and College Football Playoff semifinal. The Buckeyes went undefeated through six games but did not face much competition. Even so, they gave up 261 passing yards per game (103rd) and now they'll face Heisman Trophy favorite, Trevor Lawrence. Clemson has one loss on the season, an OT loss at Notre Dame, a game Lawrence missed sitting in COVID quarantine. Clemson defeated Ohio State by six as a 2.5-point favorite in the 2019 College Football Playoff semifinal. The Buckeyes are talented but not as talented as the Tigers. 10* play on Clemson. |
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12-31-20 | West Virginia v. Army +7 | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
WVU VS ARMY 10* LIBERTY BOWL NCAAF TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The West Virginia Mountaineers have an elite defense that ranks #5 in total defense, but they are better at stopping the pass than the run. The Black Knights is all about moving the sticks on the ground and finished fourth in the country this year in rushing, averaging 281.3 rypg. Much like West Virginia, Army also has an elite defense that ranks #2 in total defense. WVU is averaging only 26.8 ppg, and I think they'll struggle to put up enough points to cover the number in what should be a defensive battle. Mountaineers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as a favorite. Black Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog. 10* play on Army. |
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12-29-20 | Oklahoma State v. Miami-FL +1.5 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NCAAF) - OKST VS MIA CHEEZ-IT BOWL TOP PLAY The 18th-ranked Miami-FL Hurricanes had won five straight before getting humiliated in a 62-26 loss to North Carolina in their regular-season finale. "Our kids have a bad taste in our mouths after that game," Hurricanes coach Manny Diaz said. The Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points and I expect Miami to show up for the Cheez-It Bowl matchup with the #21 Oklahoma State Cowboys extremely motivated. The Cowboys closed out the regular season with a 42-3 rout of Baylor. They did so without star running back Chuba Hubbard who has opted to skip the rest of the season to prepare for the NFL draft, but they certainly could have used him in this one. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. 10* play on Miami-FL Hurricanes. |
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12-27-20 | Panthers v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 130 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CAR @ WAS 10* TOP PLAY The Washington Football Team saw a four-game winning streak come to an end last week. They still covered the spread in the 20-15 loss to Seattle, and I think they'll get back to their winning ways by beating Carolina as a favorite this week. While the Panthers are usually money as underdogs (especially on the road), they are also usually spotted more points than this. Washington's defense is truly elite and held Seattle to 20 points last week while Carolina put up only 16 points against at Green Bay. Panthers are 6-15 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on Washington. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | Top | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
DOLPHINS @ RAIDERS 10* TOP PLAY ~ PRIMETIME SATURDAY The Miami Dolphins are rolling, but this looks like a letdown spot following a satisfying 22-12 win over division-rival New England Patriots. They need to win out to ensure a playoff spot, but here the Dolphins are asked to fly across the country to face a Raiders side coming off a pair of disappointing home losses to the Colts and the Chargers, defeats that all but ruined Vegas' playoff aspirations. The Raiders have had extra time to prepare since they played on Thursday last week, and I think they'll show up for this one. The Fins have been winning without playing all that great. Their turnover differential is insane in recent weeks, and regression has to be just around the corner. Look for the Raiders to play spoiler at home in a nationally televised primetime game. 10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 51 | Top | 33-52 | Loss | -111 | 36 h 6 m | Show |
VIKES @ SAINTS CHRISTMAS DAY NFL 10* TOP PLAY The Saints' QB Drew Brees is less than 100% dealing with rib and lung injuries and he'll be without a major weapon in All-Pro receiver Michael Thomas who is on injured reserve. I think they (much like the Vikes) will run the ball a lot which will eat a lot of time off the clock. The Saints defense is elite and ranks fourth against the run, bad news for the Vikes who go as running back Dalvin Cook goes. Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 road games. Under is 7-2 in Saints last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
HAWAII VS HOUSTON NEW MEXICO BOWL 10* TOP PLAY Hawaii is a tough team to beat on the island. On the mainland, not so much, and the Rainbow Warriors can't be too excited about this traveling spot as they head to Frisco, Texas to take on the Houston Cougars in the New Mexico Bowl on Christmas Eve. Note that Hawaii averaged 26.0 ppg on the season overall, but only 17.0 ppg on the road while allowing 28.0 ppg. Houston put up 38.0 ppg through its road games. The Cougars have lost their last three bowl games, which I think will make the players all the more excited to claim this one. 10* play on Houston. |
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12-21-20 | Steelers v. Bengals +14.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
STEELERS @ BENGALS 10* NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Steelers would clinch the AFC North title with a win, which I do think they'll finally get following back-to-back losses. Still, the Steelers are hardly rolling at the moment, and this looks like too many points to cover. While the Bengals are eliminated from playoff contention, note that they'll be looking to make up for a 36-10 loss to Pittsburgh on November 15. Cincy has had an extra week to prepare, coming off its bye following a 30-7 loss to Dallas on December 13. The Bengals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home and I think they'll show up for this one. 10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. |
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12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -3 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -114 | 83 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BEARS @ VIKES 10* TOP PLAY The Chicago Bears are coming off a 36-7 rout of Houston, and all of a sudden they are getting just a field goal at Minnesota here in Week 15. The Bears had lost six straight prior to that win, and here they'll face the same Vikings team that beat the Bears 19-13 at Soldier Field on Nov. 16. The Vikes had won back-to-back games before coming up short at Tampa Bay last week, dropping just the second game in the last seven contests. Well, the Bears are no Bucs, and I like the Vikes to bounce back big here against their NFC North rival. Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Vikings are 38-13 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss. Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 15. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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12-19-20 | Northwestern +20 v. Ohio State | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP TOP PLAY I think the #4 Ohio State Buckeyes are asked to cover too many points when they take on the #14 Northwestern Wildcats in the Big Ten Championship on Saturday afternoon in Indianapolis. OK, we (and the rest of the world) know that the Buckeyes will be pushing the pedal to the metal for as long as they can in order to impress the committee to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff. The public will no doubt be all over the Buckeyes which in itself is as good of a reason as any to fade them. Northwestern will no doubt try and shorten the game, and I'm not sure the Buckeyes will even be allowed the opportunity to run up the score. Additionally, note that this Northwestern defense ranks in the top five against the pass, run, overall, and scoring defense and it has held opponents to a league-low 14.6 points per game. Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Northwestern. |
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12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | Top | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NEBRASKA @ RUTGERS 10* NCAAF TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I like the Rutgers Scarlet Knights to cover the number and perhaps even win outright when they take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers in Piscataway, N.J. Friday night. Rutgers is 3-1 ATS in its last four games and defeated Maryland 27-24 in OT as a 3-point underdog last time out. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. As for the Cornhuskers, they are coming off a 24-17 loss as a 9-point favorite over a short-handed Minnesota team. They've been favored twice this season and lost both outright. Nebraska is averaging only 22.4 points per game which ranks near the bottom of the Big Ten. I don't think they'll be able to put enough points on the board to cover the spread. 10* play on Rutgers. |
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12-13-20 | Texans -115 v. Bears | Top | 7-36 | Loss | -115 | 60 h 46 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - TEXANS @ BEARS 10* TOP PLAY The Houston Texans look like a great bet against the Chicago Bears this Sunday. The Bears have dropped six straight games and rank 30th in the NFL for total offense, despite putting 30 points on the board against Detroit last week. Their defense is not the same stingy Bears D we have grown used to in recent years. This looks like a particularly bad matchup; since Week 8, they have allowed 7.7 yards per pass attempt (second-worst in the NFL) while Texans QB Deshaun Watson has thrown for 8.9 yards per attempt (best in the NFL) during that same time period. The Texans had covered the spread in three straight games won back-to-back straight up (against New England and Detroit) before coming up short both SU and ATS against the Colts last week. Texans are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. 10* play on Houston Texans. |
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12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Troy | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF) - MAJOR WAGER 10* TOP PLAY The No. 13 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS on the season. Last week they came through with a quality 22-17 victory over BYU and they will face No. 19 Louisiana in the Sun Belt championship game next week. I like Coastal Carolina to ride the momentum and make light work of Troy this weekend. The Trojans snapped a three-game skid with a 29-0 rout of South Alabama last week to move to 5-5 on the season. Coming off a win, I don't think the urgency will be there for the Trojans, and if they're not at the very top of their game then Coastal Carolina will coast to a victory. Coastal Carolina is oh so close to its first-ever undefeated regular season. I don't see them letting their guard down now, and I'm well happy to lay less than two touchdowns on the hottest team in the nation. 10* play on Coastal Carolina. |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams -5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
PATRIOTS @ RAMS THURSDAY NIGHT NFL 10* TOP PLAY The New England Patriots are back in contention for a wild card after winning four of their last five games. Last week they put a 45-0 beating on the Chargers in Inglewood and wisely decided to stay on the West Coast for this Thursday night contest against the LA Rams. Still, playing on the road on a short week is never easy, and this will be a much tougher matchup against a Rams side that will be looking to avenge a 13-3 loss to the Pats in Super Bowl LIII. The Pats are not the dominant force they used to be, and I sense a possible letdown game after last week's rout. Additionally, note that while the Patriots defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, they're still mediocre at best on offense while the Rams rank top three in the NFL for both total offense and total defense. Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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12-07-20 | Bills v. 49ers -101 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
BILLS @ NINERS 10* NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This game will be played at a neutral site in Arizona, which will be the San Francisco 49ers home for the next five weeks due to COVID-19 regulations in Santa Clara County. The Niners still have hope of making the playoffs, and I think they will be determined to battle through the adversity starting with a win in this one. The Niners are getting healthier and were able to return wide receiver Deebo Samuel and running back Raheem Mostert from injuries last week. The result; a solid 23-20 win at division-leading LA Rams to improve to 5-6 on the season. Having Mostert available for this game will be huge as he should have good success running the ball on a Bills defense ranked 25th against the rush. The Bills have won four of their last five and covered the spread in three straight games, but I think they'll struggle against a Niners defense that quietly has been among the best in the NFL. Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Bills are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 49ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Monday games. 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers UNDER 48 | Top | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 54 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS 10* TOP PLAY The Los Angeles Chargers have an impressive QB in Justin Herbert, but if we exclude a 34-28 win over the Jets on Nov 22, then the Chargers have put up an average of only 21.3 ppg over their last three games. Perhaps teams are starting to figure out how to stop the rookie, and I think Herbert and the rest of Chargers offense will face a tough test here against New England. Sure, the Pats offense is not what it used to be with Brady under center, but you better believe Belichick will make sure their defense is still serviceable. Note that they were outgained 298-179 in total yards by Arizona last week, but still managed to grind out a 20-17 victory. Over their last three games, the Patriots have now allowed an average of 20.3 ppg while their offense is putting up just 20.8 ppg on the season. The Chargers are 3-8 SU on the season, 2-3 at home. Under is 11-2 in Patriots last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 14-6 in Patriots last 20 vs. a team with a losing record overall. Under is 13-6 in Chargers last 19 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-05-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -22 | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - BIG 12 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The #13 Oklahoma Sooners are a massive favorite in this Big 12 showdown with the Baylor Bears, but I am confident they will come through and cover the point spread for us. The 2-5 SU, 2-4-1 ATS Bears managed to end a five-game losing streak with a 32-31 home win as a five-point favorite over Kansas State last time out, but they have struggled on the road all season. The Sooners are 6-2 SU and ATS on the season and enters this contest on a five-game winning streak. They have held opponents to 28 or fewer points in four consecutive games following a dominant 41-13 home win as a seven-point favorite over rival Oklahoma State on November 21st. Oklahoma is one of the hottest teams in the nation and is scoring 45.5 points per game on the season (6th). Additionally, note that it ranks no. 1 for first-quarter scoring average. The Sooners have a solid rest advantage as last week's game against West Virginia was postponed to Dec. 12 due to COVID-19 issues while Baylor was in action last weekend. I expect a well-rested Sooners team to jump out to a big lead early and never slow down. 10* play on Oklahoma. |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 85 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL - CHIEFS @ BUCS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. I do like them to cover a very reasonable number here against a reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers side that has lost two of its last three straight up. Bucs QB Tom Brady looked his age in a 27-24 loss the Rams Monday night, completing only 26-of-48 passes for 216 yards with two TDs and two INTs. The Chiefs have scored 33 points or more in four straight games, and while their defense has not been at the very best lately, I don't think the Bucs are not in a good spot to take advantage. Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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11-28-20 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -9 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - 10* MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY As if the Ole Miss Rebels needed any more motivation for this rivalry game, they should come particularly ready to play today after having last week's scheduled contest against the Texas A&M postponed due to COVID-19 concerns. Well rested and healed up, the Rebels will have no trouble to beat up on a Mississippi State team that is in a potential letdown spot after leaving it all on the field in a hard-fought 31-24 loss to Georgia in Athens last week. The Bulldogs had failed to cover the spread in five straight games prior to that heroic outing which must have cost a lot of energy, especially as they had only 49 available scholarship players for the game. The Rebels rank 3rd in the nation for total offense and they have the 7th best passing offense. In their last two games, they've scored 54 and 59 points and quarterback Matt Corral has been red hot, throwing for a total of 925 yards in the two games. 10* play on Ole Miss Rebels. |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show |
EARLY TEXANS @ LIONS TURKEY DAY TOP PLAY This looks like a great spot to back the Detroit Lions as a home underdog to Houston Texans. Detroit coach Matt Patricia should have his Lions fired up for this one after getting humiliated in a shutout road loss at Carolina last week. D’Andre Swift returned to practice on Tuesday after being sidelined with a concussion, and he should be able to feast on the Texans' league-worst run defense. Houston is coming off an upset win over a mediocre Patriots team. I think the betting market is giving the Texans too much respect here, and that combined with the Lions recent outing sets up a nice buy-low sell-high spot. Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Texans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Texans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. 10* play on Detroit Lions. |
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11-23-20 | Rams +4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
RAMS @ BUCS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 10* TOP PLAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a 46-23 rout at Carolina. They are however only 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite and I think they're in for a tough game against the LA Rams on Monday Night Football. The Rams are coming off a solid 23-16 win over Seattle and they rank #1 in the NFL for total defense, holding opponents to an average of 296.4 yards per game. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. This game could very well go down to the last possession, and I'm well happy to take the Rams at this spread. 10* play on Los Angeles Rams. |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -6.5 v. Raiders | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -100 | 114 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CHIEFS @ RAIDERS MAX BET The Las Vegas Raiders are heading into this contest riding a three-game winning streak, but I think they're about to come back down to earth this week as the reigning Super Bowl champs Kansas City Chiefs are coming to town. The Chiefs are coming out of their bye week and can't be too happy about their last outing, a lackluster 33-31 win over Carolina. Note that the Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. I expect Andy Reid to have a good gameplan and his team fired up for this one. The Raiders on the other hand are in a potential letdown spot after an impressive 37-12 win over Denver. Note that the Raiders are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win and Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. |
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11-21-20 | Iowa -2.5 v. Penn State | Top | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - BIG 10 MAJOR WAGER The Penn State Nittany Lions are 0-4 on the season. They have allowed 36, 38, 35, and 30 points in the losses, and this week they'll face an Iowa team that has defeated Michigan State and Minnesota by a combined score of 84-14 over the last two weeks following an 0-2 start to the season. Penn State has struggled on both sides of the ball, and I'm just not sure how motivated the players are now with the shortened season all but over already. Hawkeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Nittany Lions are 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on Iowa Hawkeyes. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -120 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -120 | 35 h 24 m | Show |
WESTERN MICHIGAN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN 10* TOP PLAY Two undefeated 2-0 MAC teams will clash at Kelly/Shorts Stadium on Wednesday as the Central Michigan Chippewas host the Western Michigan Broncos. The home team has held its first two opponents to an average of only 294.5 yards per game and 18.5 points per game, and this will be the best defense Western Michigan has seen so far. I think the Chippewas will shut down a Broncos side that is getting a bit too much respect after averaging just under 50 ppg against soft defenses. Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Broncos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Chippewas are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. 10* play on Central Michigan. |
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11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -114 | 33 h 36 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 10 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY This contest features two teams in very different spots, with the San Francisco 49ers off a humiliating home loss to Green Bay on Thursday night while the New Orleans Saints put a 38-3 beating on the Bucs on Sunday night. I think this sets up a perfect buy low, sell high spot here, selling the Saints in a potential letdown spot while buying an angry and disappointed Niners side with extra time to prepare. Additionally, the 49ers are getting healthy after dealing with a ton of injuries over the last couple of weeks. 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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11-14-20 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -10.5 | Top | 42-59 | Win | 100 | 80 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF) - 10* SEC MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The South Carolina Gamecocks are coming off a pair of blowout losses, first taking a 52-24 beating at LSU followed by a 48-3 loss at Texas A&M. I think they're in big trouble again here in Week 11, facing an Ole Miss team that has had an extra week to prepare and thrashed Vanderbilt 54-21 as a 17-point favorite last time out in a game where QB Matt Corral had over 400 passing yards, six TDS and no interceptions. On the season, Ole Miss ranks sixth in the nation in total offense; it has totaled 600+ yards in three of its six games and it put up 48 points on Alabama just over a month ago. South Carolina on the other hand is struggling to move the ball and it has yet to name a starting quarterback for this contest. Colorado State graduate transfer Collin Hill started the first six games but is now facing competition from former starter Ryan Hilinski and four-star freshman Luke Doty. “All three of those guys will have an opportunity to play this weekend,” Gamecocks coach Will Muschamp announced. "Whoever practices the best, most productive person who is going to help us win football games will have that opportunity." I'm happy to lay the points here as Ole Miss should win this one by two touchdowns, at the very least. Gamecocks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. 10* play on Ole Miss Rebels. |
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11-12-20 | Colts +2 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 59 h 44 m | Show |
COLTS @ TITANS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY The Indianapolis Colts took a 24-10 loss to Baltimore in Week 9, their second loss of the season. I think they'll bounce back with a win here Thursday night, facing a Tennessee side who had lost back-to-back games before beating the Bears by a touchdown last time out. It was far from a dominant performance from the Titans though as they were held to 11 first downs and racked up only 228 yards of offense in the win. The Colts' defense is elite, ranking third in scoring defense (20.0 ppg) and first in yards allowed per game (290.0 ypg). Colts are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tennessee. 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Bills | Top | 34-44 | Loss | -118 | 100 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 9 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four straight games and their offense has cooled off significantly since a hot start to the year, averaging only 18.9 ppg over their last four games. While Seattle admittedly has a lot of issues defensively I don't see Buffalo being able to capitalize, and on the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have been cooking all season long and they own the best scoring offense in the NFL. Additionally, the Bills are coming off a hard-fought divisional win against the Patriots who pushed them to the limit while the Seahawks had a much easier week, convincingly handling the Niners. Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-07-20 | West Virginia +6.5 v. Texas | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - BIG 12 BOOKIE BREAKER MAX BET The West Virginia Mountaineers are fourth in the country in total defense, allowing only 255.7 yards per game. Last week they held No. 16 Kansas State to 225 yards of total offense and 10 points while forcing three interceptions in a 27-point blowout. Texas is coming off a 41-34 OT win as a 3.5-point underdog to No. 6 Oklahoma State in Stillwater despite being outgained 530-287. They are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings, and I like the Mountaineers to make this a close one. 10* play on West Virginia. |
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11-05-20 | Packers -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 61 h 14 m | Show |
PACKERS @ 49ERS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY Both teams are coming off losses, but I like the Green Bay Packers to be the team to get back in the win column. The Packers took a 28-22 home loss to Minnesota last Sunday, an extremely disappointing loss for the Packers, but they should not have much trouble with a Niners side that will be without its starting quarterback (Jimmy Garoppolo, star running back (Raheem Mostert) and one of the league's best receivers in George Kittle. Defensively, they're missing DB Richard Sherman and DL Nick Bosa among others. Last week, San Francisco lost 37-27 at Seattle and I think the Packers offense will be able to run riot and put up a similar amount of points here Thursday night. Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 8 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Green Bay Packers took a 28 point loss to Tampa Bay in Week 6, their lone loss of the season, but bounced back in a big way with a dominant 35-20 triumph at Houston last week. Here in Week 8, the Packers are back home at Lambeau Field following back-to-back road games, and I like them to come through with a blowout win over a Minnesota team that seemingly has waived the white flag for this season already, not even halfway through the schedule. Sure, the Vikes are coming off their bye week and it is a rivalry game, but they've shown very little to suggest they'll be able to put up a fight against a Packers team that has steamrolled several opponents and beat Minnesota by nine points on the road in Week 1. Minnesota ranks 28th in the NFL for total defense giving up 410+ yards per game while Green Bay ranks 2nd in the NFL for points scored. This is a mismatch all around. Take Green Bay to cover a touchdown. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State v. West Virginia -3.5 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - BIG 12 BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY The No. 16 Kansas State Wildcats are 4-1 SU and ATS on the season but their offense rank just 71st for total offense with 369.6 yards per game and senior starting QB Skylar Thompson has been ruled out for the remainder of the season after undergoing surgery. Their defense ranks 67th with 427.8 yards allowed per game on average. Kansas State does have a big edge on special teams, but it won't be enough to take down West Virginia. Here the Wildcats will face the stingiest defenses in Big 12 (5th in the nation), and the Mountaineers should be particularly fired up as they look to bounce back from a disappointing 34-27 loss at Texas Tech despite holding the Red Raiders to 348 total yards. Kansas State on the other hand is in a potential letdown spot after defeating Kansas last week. 10* play on West Virginia Mountaineers. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
FALCONS VS PANTHERS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY The Carolina Panthers (3-4) host the Atlanta Falcons (1-6) in a battle between NFC South teams Thursday night. I think we have several reasons to believe that the final score for this contest will go under the total. Atlanta is allowing 29.6 points per game on the season, but it has held its opponent to 23 points in three straight games, including a 23-16 loss to Carolina in Week 5. The Falcons are a pass-heavy team, but the Panthers rank 10th in the NFL against the pass. Carolina has really struggled o move the ball on the ground in recent weeks, and here it'll face an Atlanta defense that ranks 6th in the NFL against the pass. The Panthers will have to rely on QB Teddy Bridgewater to move the sticks, but he can only do so much without a rushing threat to take some of the pressure off of him. The Panthers rank 25th in the NFL for points scored per game, averaging only 23.1 ppg, and with this being a Thursday night game, both teams have had less time than usual to come up with creative game-plans on offense. Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 Thursday games and 5-1 in their last 6 games in October. 10* play on UNDER 49.5 points. |
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10-25-20 | Steelers -125 v. Titans | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - STEELERS @ TITANS 10* MAX BET Two undefeated 5-0 teams will clash at Nissan Stadium in Nashville this Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers pay a visit to the Tennessee Titans. Their ATS records are quite different though, with the Steelers checking in at 4-1 ATS while the Titans are just 2-3 ATS. Tennessee has the hottest running back in the league in Derrick Henry, but here he'll run into a Steelers defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL against the run, allowing only 66.2 rypg. Sure, Tennessee's offense ranks 2nd in the league for total offense and points scored, but this will be the best defense it has seen all season. 10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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10-24-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -3.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -102 | 78 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - TOP RATED BIG 12 MAJOR WAGER The No. 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys are 3-0 SU on the season and they have covered the spread in back-to-back games after routing Kansas 47-7 on the road last week. The Cowboys held the Jayhawks to just 12 downs and 193 yards of total offense and the Cowboys have the 7th best total defense in the nation on the season. Granted, they have not really played offensive powerhouses, but I think they'll do a good job slowing down the No. 18 Iowa State Cyclones. On the offensive side of the ball, OSU quarterback Spencer Sanders is expected to make his first appearance since suffering an ankle injury in the Cowboys' season opener against Tulsa on Sept. 19. If Sanders is not a go, Shane Illingworth has filled in nicely. 10* play on Oklahoma State Cowboys. |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -3 | Top | 40-23 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 47 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 6 MAJOR WAGER MAX BET The Minnesota Vikings looked like the worst team in the league through the first two weeks of the season. They've bounced back nicely since, covering the spread in three straight games and arguably deserved to pick up their second win of the season when they took on the undefeated Seattle Seahawks last week. The Atlanta Falcons on the other hand is a hot mess, entering Week 6 with an 0-5 straight up record while going 1-4 ATS. Head coach Dan Quinn was fired after last week's 23-16 home loss to Carolina, but I'm not sure interim head coach Raheem Morris will have much impact on the team after only one week. Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is inconsistent, but I don't see him having any trouble carving up an Atlanta defense that ranks 31st in the league for passing yards allowed and Delvin Cook is always a huge threat moving the ball on the ground. Atlanta has been held to 16 points in back-to-back games, and I have no problem whatsoever laying just over a field goal on the Vikes. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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10-17-20 | Boston College v. Virginia Tech -11.5 | Top | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 59 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - TOP RATED 10* MAX BET The No. 23 Virginia Tech took their first loss of the season, a 56-45 setback at North Carolina. Their defense should have an easier ride here against a Boston College team that ranks 57th for points scored (25.8 per game) and 61st for total yards (355.5). The Hokies on the other hand rank 12th for total yards and have accumulated the 3rd most rushing yards in the nation with just under 300 rushing yards per game. Their passing game has not been quite as prolific, but the team is getting healthier after getting hit hard by COVID-19 absentees and QB Hendon Hooker is expected to be back under center from the start in this one. I think the Hokies will bounce back big time home at Lane Stadium, and the Eagles are in a letdown spot following an overtime upset win at Pittsburgh last week. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Hokies are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* play on Virginia Tech. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +2.5 v. Falcons | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 106 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - CAR @ ATL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The winless Atlanta Falcons are an absolute mess, and now they'll be asked to playing on a short week after taking a 30-16 loss to Green Bay at Lambeau Field Monday night. The Carolina Panthers on the other hand must feel pretty good about themselves after answering an 0-2 start with back-to-back outright underdog wins against LA Chargers and Arizona. While the Falcons have one of the most explosive offenses in terms of player talent in the NFL, they rank near the bottom of the league for virtually all defensive categories. On top of that, they're banged up on both sides of the football. The Panthers meanwhile are a solid mid-table for most stats and outgained the Cardinals by 182 yards in last week's 31-21 win. The Hawks are experts on finding ways to lose, and I'm not even sure they should be favorites in this matchup. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in October. Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. 10* play on Carolina Panthers. |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State +2 v. Kentucky | Top | 2-24 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY TESTS 4-0 RUN! We won big fading the Kentucky Wildcats last week when they took a 42-21 OT loss as a 6.5-point favorite against Ole Miss I'm fading them again here in this Week 6 matchup with Mississippi State. The Bulldogs opened the season with a 44-34 win as a 14.5-point underdog at LSU, but lost 21-14 to the Arkansas Razorbacks last time out despite outgaining their opponent by 125 yards. Three picks from QB K.J Costello put them in bad spots. Still, the Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the league, ranking 7th for total offense and no. 1 for passing yards and Kentucky has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season. I think the Bulldogs will be able to move the ball fast and easy giving them a good chance to win this one outright. 10* play on Mississippi State. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 44 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 3 m | Show |
BUCS VS BEARS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY The Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave up 31 points to the Chargers last Sunday, but they still own the 4th best total defense in the NFL giving up only 312 yards per game. The Chicago Bears are coming off a loss to Indianapolis, despite the defense doing its job allowing only 19 points on 289 total yards. Nick Foles replaced Mitch Trubisky under center but was not much of an improvement completing 26-of-42 passes for 249 yards and one TD vs. one INT. On the season, Tampa Bay is allowing only 5.1 yards per play (4th) and Chicago 5.2 yards per play (7th). Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 home games and 13-3 in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-04-20 | Bills -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 4 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Buffalo Bills are a perfect 3-0 SU on the season after defeating the Rams 35-32 last week. They rank fourth in the NFL for total yards offensively and QB Josh Allen is having a terrific year, entering Week 4 second in the NFL in passing yards (1,038), yards per attempt (9.1), passing touchdowns (10) and passer rating (124.8). The Raiders had opened the season with back-to-back wins before being "found out" in a 36-20 loss at New England in Week 3. They have conceded 24 points or more in each of their three games, and I don't see Bills having any trouble moving the ball against a Raiders defense that ranks 27th in total yards allowed at 406.0 per game. Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -17.5 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 38 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - TOP RATED SEC MAJOR WAGER The Texas A&M Aggies opened the season with a 17-12 triumph over Vanderbilt, but they were never even close of covering the 31.5-point spread. Here they'll face an Alabama side that could've/should've covered their 28.5-point spread at Missouri last week, but instead the Tide took their foot off the gas after opening a 35-3 lead. I don't think Tide coach Nick Saban was all that impressed and that he'll make sure his players stay 100% focused for the whole game against the Aggies. "I think it's pretty obvious that it was a good win for the opening game of the season," Nick Saban said. "Any time you can win a game in the SEC, you have to be happy about that. I thought we played well in the first half, which shows the preparation and focus the players had. We also didn't maintain our focus and enthusiasm throughout the second half, and it showed in our performance. Hopefully, we'll be able to get a lot of players to make improvement throughout the week so we can play better." Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Aggies are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games in October and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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09-27-20 | Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -103 | 126 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 3 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY These two teams have opened the season in completely different ways with the Arizona Cardinals 2-0 SU and ATS while the Detroit Lions are 0-2 SU and ATS. Does that mean that the Lions are due to win at least ATS in Week 3? I don't think so. Detroit's defense has been one of the worst in the league for the first two weeks giving up 425.5 yards per game (28th), and here they'll face an Arizona offense that has not skipped a beat ranking 6th in the NFL with 421 yards of offense per game. Of particular interest is Detroit's struggle to defend the run giving up a league-worst 204 rushing yards per game while Arizona has been extremely efficient moving the rock on the ground. Lions are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Cardinals are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on Arizona Cardinals. |
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09-26-20 | Iowa State -126 v. TCU | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 75 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF) - IOWA STATE VS TCU MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Iowa State Cyclones opened the season with a 31-14 loss as a 13.5-point favorite against UL Lafayette on Sept. 12. Usually so reliable QB Brock Purdy was awful, but I expect him to have a much better game here. Also, at least the Cyclones got a game under their belt unlike the TCU Horned Frogs who will play their season opener this Saturday. Iowa State came through with a 49-24 victory over the Horned Frogs in October last year in the last head-to-head matchup. Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Cyclones are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on Iowa State Cyclones. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +6 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
SAINTS @ RAIDERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY Two teams looking to build on season-opening wins will clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas Monday night. The host Las Vegas Raiders are coming off a 34-30 win at Carolina while New Orleans defeated Tampa Bay 34-23 at home in Week 1. The Saints may have put up 34 points, but they did not look all that great on offense. Quarterback Drew Brees had just 160 passing yards on 18-of-30 passing while six different players combined for 86 rushing yards. New Orleans star receiver, Michael Thomas, will miss this game after being ruled because of an ankle injury which will be a huge miss for the visitors. The Saints have an elite defense, but I expect to see a fired up Raiders team in its Las Vegas debut even without spectators in the stands. Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday night games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. 10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. |
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09-20-20 | Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 | Win | 102 | 103 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - SUNDAY FOOTBALL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The Houston Texans couldn't keep it close with the Chiefs at Arrowhead in their season opener, losing 34-20. They'll run into another powerhouse in Week 2, and I expect a similar outcome. The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a dominant 38-6 win over AFC North rival Cleveland. Sure, we don't know if beating the Browns actually have any merit yet, but the Ravens' offense sure was on point with 275 passing yards and three TD passes from Lamar Jackson and 107 rushing yards for the team. Patrick Mahomes had three touchdown passes against Hoston in the season opener, and Jackson should have plenty of success as well. Lay the points with the Ravens without hesitation. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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09-19-20 | Navy +7 v. Tulane | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF) - NAVY @ TULANE TOP PLAY The Navy Midshipmen got absolutely obliterated in their season opener when they lost 55-3 to BYU, in what was expected to be a close, game closing as just a 1-point underdog. Navy had no physical practices and no hitting preparation for their season opener, but now with a game under their belt, I expect a much better performance from Navy. We can also note that the Midshipmen are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight-up loss of more than 20 points. Tulane opened the season with an unconvincing 27-24 win as an 11.5-point favorite at South Alabama. A 14-0 fourth-quarter sealed the deal, but they were outplayed for three quarters and QB Keon Howard was just 14-of-30 passing for 191 yards and no touchdown passes. 10* play on Navy Midshipmen. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 22 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BUCS @ SAINTS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY The New Orleans Saints are just 2-7 SU (1-8 ATS) in Week 1 dating back to the 2011 season. I think they're in for another tough season opener here against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team with a new QB in Tom Brady at the helm and unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, LeSean McCoy, and Leonard Fournette joining the ranks. They boasted the best rush defense in the NFL last season, and while they've consistently been one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL over the last two seasons, they've brought in reinforcements and should be better against the pass this year. Considering no fans in the Superdome, no preseason games, and the Saints' Week 1 record in recent season, I'm happy to take the road underdog in this contest. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Monroe v. Army -21.5 | Top | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEN (NCAAF) - UL-MONROE VS ARMY MAJOR WAGER This will be the UL Monroe Warhawks' season opener while the Army Black Knights have a game under their belt already after routing Middle Tennessee 42-0 last weekend. The Warhawks' defense ranked No. 127 in the nation last season and have had their preparations interrupted by COVID-19 outbreaks within the program, losing precious time to prepare for Army's triple-option offense. Additionally, UL Monroe will be replacing long-time quarterback Caleb Evans with sophomore Colby Suits who will be making his first career start on Saturday, facing a sturdy defense coming off a shut out game ... The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Black Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September. 10* play on Army Black Knights. |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -109 | 320 h 12 m | Show |
SUPER BOWL LIV BEST BET I like the San Francisco 49ers to take down the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl. KC has a scary good offense, but let's not forget that San Francisco ranked eighth in the NFL in scoring defense (19.4 ppg) during the regular season, and it gave up just 30 combined points against the Vikings and Packers. Additionally, the Chiefs do not have much of a Plan B (no running game) if the Niners figure out how to stop QB Patrick Mahomes. On the opposite side of the ball, the 49ers have the firepower to match the Chiefs' explosive offense. QB Jimmy G is no Showtime Mahomes, but San Fran's running game averaged the second-most rushing yards per game through the regular season (144.1) and the team averaged 235.5 rypg in their two playoff wins. Note that the Chiefs' run defense is just 25th in the league and they are 2-3 in games where they gave up 150 yards rushing or more this season. 10* play on San Francisco 49ers. |
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01-19-20 | Packers +7.5 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP SIDE The Green Bay Packers took a 37-8 beating at San Francisco in Week 12, but if anything that was a wake-up call for the team. The Packers are undefeated SU and 4-2 ATS in their six games since, including a solid 28-23 win over Seattle in the Divisional Round. I think this matchup will be a lot closer than the first meeting of the season. While the Niners are a formidable team and a well-deserved favorite, winning by more than a touchdown in the playoffs just ain't easy. The Packers have a veteran QB in Aaron Rodgers who knows this might be his last chance to win another ring, so he'll be ready to do just about anything to win this game. Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS giving more than a touchdown this season. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-19-20 | Titans v. Chiefs UNDER 53 | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): MIKE'S CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL *BEST BET* The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a wild 51-31 win over Houston in the divisional round, but I think we'll see a much lower-scoring game when they take on the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game. Tennessee's two playoff games have seen just 33 and 40 points respectively, and we can note that the under is 5-2 in the Chiefs' last seven games. The Titans will rely on running back Derrick Henry to move the ball, and while he's likely to have decent success, it will also drain the clock and keep the ball out of KC QB Patrick Mahomes' hands. While the Chiefs are capable of explosive plays as seen in last week's shootout, note that the Titans have held their last two opponents to 12 and 13 points, despite facing the Pats and the Ravens! 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 180 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NCAAF): MIKE'S CLEMSON VS. LSU TOTAL *BEST BET* The Clemson Tigers top ranked defense limited the powerful Ohio State Buckeyes to 23 points in the Fiesta Bowl. That was the most points they've allowed all season, and I think they'll make life difficult for LSU in the NCAA Championship Game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans. The Tigers put up 63 points in their win over Oklahoma in the Peach Bowl, but the Sooners defense was extremely underwhelming. LSU QB Joe Burrow shredded Oklahoma with 493 passsing yards and seven(!) touchdown passes while also adding 22 yards and a score on the ground, but with two weeks to prepare you better believe Clemson coach Dabo Swinney will have done his homework on the Heisman trophy winner. As for the Tigers offense, that's not where the team's strength is. Sure, their 45.3 ppg ranks fourth in the nation, but that's against much worse teams than LSU. They can afford to turn this into a shootout, and I think the value is on the under in this matchup. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers -4 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 56 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS SIDE The Seattle Seahawks have been dinged up all season long, and a tough Wild Card matchup against the Eagles did not make the team any healthier. Here they'll face a well-rested Green Bay Packers team, and I expect a blowout win for the home side in this one. Seattle has struggled to stop the run all season, and that doesn't bode well for this matchup. Green Bay's running back Aaron Jones led the entire NFL with his 19 touchdowns (16 rushing TDs) and I think he'll enjoy plenty of success in this one. The Seahawks can't put all focus on stopping Jones though, as that would open up for veteran QB Aaron Rodgers who finished the regular season with a superb 26-to-4 TD/INT ratio. Rodgers is desperate for another Super Bowl ring, with the time running out. "I'm 36, I know what this is all about. This is an important opportunity for us. I feel like I got a lot of really good years left, but you never know. A lot of things happen from year to year. We've had some great teams that have been an injury away or a play away from being special, so I want to make the most of this opportunity." Seattle QB Russell Wilson has bailed out the team with his magic on several occasions this season, but he'll face an extremely hostile environment on Lambeau Field on Sunday. We can also note that the Wilson can't really rely on the ground game to pick up the slack with the team missing its top three running backs and GB was fairly effective stopping the run down the stretch. The Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Lambeau and the Packers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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01-11-20 | Vikings v. 49ers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED DIVISIONAL ROUND TOTAL The San Francisco 49ers defense was dominant at the start of the season but got worn down and faded down the stretch. They will be fresh and healthy following a bye week and I expect to see a low-scoring contest in their divisional-round matchup with Minnesota. The Vikings held Drew Brees and the Saints to 20 points in their wild-card matchup last week and the team ranks 6th in the NFL for points allowed. The Niners defense ranks second in the NFL for points allowed and no team is better at stopping the pass with the team holding opponents to 169.2 passing yards per game. Additionally, Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to choke in big games and I don't trust Niners' signal-caller Jimmy Garoppolo to have a big game in his first postseason outing. Under is 8-3-1 in Vikings last 12 playoff games. Under is 17-8-1 in Vikings last 26 games as a road underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 80 h 51 m | Show |
TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES BOOKIE BREAKER The Philadelphia Eagles won the division with a weak 9-7 record, and I'm not impressed with what I've seen of them during the regular season. They've been beaten up on both sides of the ball all season long and I'm not sure how much gas is left in the tank for this banged up Eagles team at this point. They'll face a Seattle side that is also far from 100% healthy, but it is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 road games and the Seahawks have covered four straight matchups at Philadelphia. The Eagles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog, and the Seahawks have already beaten the Eagles on the road this season, winning 17-9 in Week 12. I think we'll see a similar final score here in this first-round playoff matchup. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints UNDER 50 | Top | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 75 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED VIKES @ SAINTS TOTAL This number has moved up several points since the opener, and I disagree completely with the move. The Minnesota Vikings have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games, and QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to do poorly in prime time games. While this technically isn't a prime time game, he'll no doubt know that all eyes will on this game. Additionally, star tailback Dalvin Cook has missed the past two with a shoulder injury and the New Orleans Saints rank fourth in the NFL for rushing yards allowed. As for the Saints offense, they've scored 34 points or more in four straight games, but Minnesota owns a stronger D than any of the teams they faced during that stretch. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5.5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 84 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TITANS @ PATS BEST BET The New England Patriots stumbled over the finishing line of the regular season. They took a 27-24 loss to Miami last time out (where a win would've earned a first-round bye nonetheless!) and they're 1-4-1 ATS over their last six games. The Pats defense is still elite, but QB Tom Brady has finally starting to look his age. Here they'll face a Tennessee Titans team that has heated up remarkably since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter for Mariota in Week 7 and the Titans are 5-2 ATS over their last seven. With the momentum completely on the visitors side I think they'll give the Pats all they can handle at Foxboro this Saturday. 10* play on Tennessee Titans. |
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12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | Top | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 47 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 17 TOTAL The Baltimore Ravens have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs and are as a result expected to rest their starters. I don't see their backups moving the ball well against a Pittsburgh defense that is one of the best in the league, particularly with the Steelers highly motivated and still in the race for a wild-card spot. As for the Steelers offense, it's been lackluster all season long and ranks 30th for total yards and 26th for points scored. The Steelers have played seven straight unders and only three of their 15 games on the season have gone over the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-29-19 | Falcons +1 v. Bucs | Top | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 52 h 24 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED FALCONS @ BUCS BOOKIE BREAKER The Atlanta Falcons are coming off three straight wins and they've dropped just two of their last seven games. They're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and I like their chances of recording an upset at Tampa Bay in the season finale Sunday afternoon. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw a four-game winning streak come to an end with a 23-20 loss to Houston last time out. QB Jameis Winston threw four interceptions to put the total at 28 for the season, just three shy of his TD count. Atlanta's defense has been decent in recent weeks and Jacksonville QB Gardner Minshew was limited to 181 yards on 13-of-31 passing last week. Additionally, the Bucs are 0-2-1 ATS as a home favorite on the season and Atlanta should be fired up after losing a 35-22 home loss to the Bucs in Week 12. 10* play on Atlanta Falcons. |
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12-28-19 | Clemson v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 186 h 53 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NCAAF): MIKE'S STRONGEST BOWL BET 2019 - FIESTA BOWL I like the points on the Ohio State Buckeyes when they take on the Clemson Tigers in the Fiesta Bowl on Saturday. Despite the Tigers' experience, I give Ohio State the edge here as it's arguably the most complete team in the nation. It's also a team hungry for success while it won't be easy for the Tigers' to repeat last year's Championship win. Additionally, the crowd is expected to be pro-Ohio State with a projected 60%+ support for the Buckeyes. Both teams will end up trading punches, and I'm happy to take the points on the underdog in a contest that's likely to be decided on the final possession. 10* play on Ohio State Buckeyes. |
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12-27-19 | North Carolina -4.5 v. Temple | Top | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show |
NORTH CAROLINA VS. TEMPLE MILITARY BOWL *TOP PLAY* Temple head coach Rod Carey is 0-6 SU and ATS in Bowl games, and I think his Owl side will come up short both SU and ATS when taking on the North Carolina Tar Heels in the Military Bowl. North Carolina freshman QB Sam Howell leads the ACC in passing yards and passing touchdowns and closed out the season with five 300-yard games in his last seven outings. Temple has a solid pass defense, but I expect the Tar Heels have put up good numbers against other strong Ds and should find enough holes to exploit. As for Temple's offense, it can sputter at times and we can note that UNC held its last two opponents to a combined 17 points. Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. 10* play on North Carolina Tar Heels. |
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12-22-19 | Ravens -10 v. Browns | Top | 31-15 | Win | 101 | 79 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): EARLY RAVENS @ BROWNS *TOP PLAY* The Baltimore Ravens rolled up 430 total yards of offense when they steamrolled the NY Jets 42-21 last week and can clinch the top seed in the AFC with a win against the Browns this Sunday. Additionally, the Ravens will be looking to avenge one of their two losses on the season after falling 40-25 at Cleveland in Week 4. Baltimore has won 10 straight since while Cleveland is having yet another disappointing season, and most recently it has lost two of its last three. There's little to no chemistry in the locker room, and I don't see how they'll be able to hang around with a red hot and motivated Ravens side. Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Browns are 6-22-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Baltimore Ravens. |
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12-21-19 | Rams +6.5 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 83 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): TOP RATED SIDE FOR DECEMBER I absolutely love the points on the LA Rams when they visit the San Francisco 49ers Saturday night. They're in a massive bounce-back spot after taking a 44-21 beating by Dallas last Sunday, and while their playoff chances are slim to none at this point I still expect them to show up here looking to revenge a loss to their division opponent earlier in the season. As for the Niners, they fell to the surging Atlanta Falcons last week and are now tied with Seattle at the top of the NFC West (currently losing the tiebreaker). They face the Seahawks in a matchup likely to decide the division next week, and I think that's where their focus is, particularly with a dinged up defense (SF was without five defensive starters against the Falcons). 10* play on LA Rams. |
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12-21-19 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 37.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 16 TOTAL I think points will come at a premium for both sides at Foxboro this Saturday, and even though we're seeing a very low total I don't think the books can make this low enough. Buffalo is averaging only 20.9 ppg while the Pats have held opponents to 12.9 ppg and the Bills have scored 17 points in back-to-back games. As for New England, while it broke out for 34 points last time out, that was against the Bengals ... It had averaged only 17.6 ppg through its last five prior to that and the Bills defense ranks second to the Pats for points allowed at 15.9 ppg. Under is 7-0 in Bills last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Rams v. Cowboys UNDER 48.5 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NFL TOTAL FOR WEEK 15 I think Sunday afternoon's matchup between the LA Rams and the Dallas Cowboys will be a relatively low-scoring affair. Dallas has averaged just 13 ppg through a three-game slide, and here it'll face a Rams defense that has been one of the best in the league since acquiring star cornerback Jalen Ramsey. The under is 7-1 in the Rams last 8 games overall and 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-15-19 | Seahawks -6 v. Panthers | Top | 30-24 | Push | 0 | 101 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 15 SIDE The Carolina Panthers have dropped five in a row and have failed to cover the spread in four of those games. They are nowhere near the playoffs, have fired head coach Ron Rivera and turned the ball over four times in last week's 40-20 loss at Atlanta. There's little fight left in the team, and I don't see how Carolina will be able to keep pace with a Seattle Seahawks team that is 6-1 SU on the road and looking to bounce back from a humbling 28-12 loss at the LA Rams on Sunday Night Football. The Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December while the Seahawks are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games in December. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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