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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-01-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-93 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The series is tied at 2-2 following a 116-11 Clippers win on Sunday. Both teams have won one at home and one on the road, and I like the Mavs to bounce back with a win and cover as a road favorite in LA here in Game 5. Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Mavericks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games. Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 4* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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05-01-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 199 | Top | 84-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* HEAT/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The last two games have seen just 188 and 190 points, respectively. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair as the Boston Celtics look to wrap up the series with a win as a double-digit favorite. Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 playoff games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-30-24 | Predators v. Canucks -115 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
5* NHL WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Vancouver Canucks are holding a 3-1 lead in the series, and I think they'll get another win to wrap it up on home ice tonight. They came from behind to get the win in Game 4, and the Preds will find it very difficult to regroup after that letdown. Additionally, note that the Canucks have won seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Predators. 5* PLAY ON THE CANUCKS.  |
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04-30-24 | Braves -123 v. Mariners | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Atlanta Braves to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Seattle in the opener of this series. Braves right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) has been nearly unhittable with just two runs and 14 hits allowed against 24 strikeouts over 25 innings of work. His career numbers against the Mariners are not pretty, but he has not faced them since 2019 ... Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) is 0-3 with an ERA of 5.40 in his three home starts in 2024. 4* PLAY ON THE BRAVES. |
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04-30-24 | Pacers -4 v. Bucks | Top | 92-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/BUCKS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The banged-up Milwaukee Bucks have had no answer to the Indiana Pacers, who have won three straight since losing Game 1 of the series. The Pacers have scored 125, 121, and 126 games, and they have major incentives to close out this series before the Bucks get healthy. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I don't see how this series will end any other way than with a gentleman's sweep for the Denver Nuggets. Sure, they've looked far from dominant in this playoff series, but I expect them to come through with a complete outing after taking a 119-108 loss in Game 4. They had won 11 straight meetings with the Lakers prior to that loss, and I love the situational trends: Nuggets are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves v. Suns UNDER 211.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season. The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.  |
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04-28-24 | Bucks v. Pacers -9.5 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BUCKS/PACERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Bucks won the opener of this playoff series, but it's been all Indiana Pacers since and I like the Pacers to win and cover here in Game 4. The Pacers won by three points in OT as a 6.5-point home favorite in Game 3, but the bookmakers are still making them an even bigger favorite in this game, which says a lot, IMO. The banged up Bucks have been without Giannis Antetokounmpo for the past six games, and now Damian Lillard is listed as doubtful and Khris Middleton listed as probable. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-27-24 | Panthers -120 v. Lightning | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Florida Panthers are going for the sweep of this series, and I think the Tampa Bay Lightning are done and dusted at this point. The Panthers match up very well against Tampa Bay and have now won seven of the last eight meetings. Add the psychological factor of being 3-0 down, and I don't see the Lightning being able to muster up the energy to win even one game. 5* PLAY ON THE PANTHERS. |
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04-27-24 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
5* NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Nationals opened this series with a 3-1 win Friday night, and I expect another low-scoring affair in Game 2 of the series. The Nats have scored a total of only eight runs through their last four games, and Miami right-hander Edward Cabrera (1-0, 3.27 ERA) has impressed in his two starts in 2024, with only four runs allowed and 17 Ks over 11 innings of work. The Marlins have been limited to a total of four runs through their last four games and Nats rookie left-hander Mitchell Parker has allowed just two runs with 12 strikeouts over 12 innings on the mound. Miami is averaging 2.4 R/9 vs. left-handers and Washington 3.7 R/9 vs. right-handers. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-27-24 | Thunder -107 v. Pelicans | Top | 106-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* THUNDER/PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New Orleans Pelicans will. more or less, be fighting for their playoff life here after dropping two games in OKC, but I like the Thunder to win as a short road favorite at Smoothie King Center. The Thunder have won six of the last seven head-to-head matchups outright, while going 5-2 ATS, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Pelicans. Pelicans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Thunder are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-26-24 | Clippers v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 96-93 win in LA, and I don't see them giving up the precious homecourt advantage right away. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Mavericks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-25-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expect to see a fired-up and desperate Philadelphia 76ers team after dropping two games in New York. They're significantly stronger at home at Wells Fargo Center than on the road, and this is a must-win game for the Sixers, as going down 0-3 would be devastating.  76ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 76ers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-25-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are off to a fairly slow 14-11 start, but they're coming into this game riding a three-game winning streak, including 4-1 and 11-2 wins over the Washington Nationals. I expect another easy Dodgers win in the finale of this three-game series. The Nationals hand the ball to left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-1, 3.60 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on six hits over four innings when he faced the Dodgers last year. The Dodgers counter with rookie right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-1, 4.50 ERA), who has been a strikeout machine with 30 Ks over 22 innings. The Dodgers have lost four of his five starts, but I think that'll make them more motivated to step up for him today. 4* PLAY ON THE DODGERS -1.5. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder -7.5 | Top | 92-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PELICANS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder to bounce back with a big game after just barely getting a win in Game 1. That loss must be deflating for the Pels, who must feel like that was their chance to steal one in OKC. I stand by what I said in my Game 1 analysis, that these two teams are a lot closer in skill than the seeds would suggest, but the situation warrants a play on the Thunder. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Tigers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit right-hander Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.44 ERA) has recorded 18 Ks while allowing five runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts combined. The Tampa Bay Rays counter with Shawn Armstrong (1-1, 4.09 ERA) who has made two starts and eight appearances on the season. Armstrong will serve as the opener before handing over to a bullpen that has gotten better following a slow start to the season. The Rays' bats have been quiet for some time, and I would not be surprised if the Tigers also come out flat tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-23-24 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | Top | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers opened the series with a dominant wire-to-wire win, but the bookmakers are still making the Dallas Mavericks are road favorite here in Game 2. I agree with that as I expect a big bounce back game from the Mavs while the Clippers are at risk at coming out overcondident following their big win. Mavericks are 9-3 ATS sa favorites off a loss of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-22-24 | Magic v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cleveland Cavaliers won the opener of this series 97-83, and I don't think the Magic will be able to keep this one close either. The Cavs are 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and they've been reliable as home favorites this season. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -134 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Bruins opened this series with a 5-1 win and they've now won eight straight head-to-head matchups with the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Leafs are 4-7 with a negative ROI of -20.7% as road underdogs on the season while the Bruins are 9-3 with a solid ROI of +29.5% as home favorites laying no more than -150. 5* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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04-21-24 | Blue Jays +115 v. Padres | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Toronto Blue Jays are going for the sweep of this series, following a 5-1 win on Friday and a 5-2 win on Saturday. The Padres' scoring woes are likely to continue against Toronto right-hander Chris Bassitt, who has allowed just two runs on nine hits with 13 Ks over 13 innings in his last two starts. Meanwhile, San Diego right-hander Joe Musgrove has surrendered three runs or more in four of his five starts this season, and he has walked seven batters in his last two starts alone. 5* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. |
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04-21-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers have the higher seed and, as such, homecourt advantage in this battle between the No.4 and the No.5 seed in the West, but I, much like the bookmakers, make the Mavs the better team. That the Mavs are a road favorite here in the opener of this series is quite telling, and I don't think they'll let us down. Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Mavericks are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-21-24 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET This is a low total, and if we combine the spread with the total the bookmakers project the Celtics to win 111.5 - 97.5. I think Heat will score 100+, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to cover the number; the Celtics are an offensive juggernaut that has scored 130+ points in back-to-back games while barely breaking a sweat. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-20-24 | Suns +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SUNS/WOLVES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The No. 3 seed, the Minnesota Timberwolves, finished the regular season with the better record, but the Phoenix Suns won all three meetings. Much like the bookmakers, I have Phoenix as the better team, and I think they'll start this series with a bang. Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 4* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are one of the most well-coached teams in the league, and they always show up in the playoffs. The betting market overvalues the Chicago Bulls following their dominant win over an Atlanta Hawks team that is well below playoff material. I'll gladly take Miami to cover this short number. 4* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-19-24 | White Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs through their last two games, but they're still 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games. The Chicago White Sox are averaging a pathetic 2-1 runs per nine innings on the season, and Philly right-hander Spencer Turnbull (1-0, 1.80 ERA) is off to a terrific start to the season. As for White Sox starter Garett Crochet (1-2, 3.57 ERA), the left-hander had allowed just four runs through his first three starts before giving up five runs in a 5-0 loss to Cincinnati in his last start. It was still a decent outing, though; Crochet had 10 Ks against four hits and three walks over his 4 2/3 innings on the mound. Crochet leads the American League with 31 strikeouts entering play on Thursday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-18-24 | Oilers v. Avalanche -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
5* NHL WEST CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Colorado Avalanche have lost four of their last five games, but they have been dominant on home ice throughout the season long and they're in a revenge spot after taking a 6-2 loss in Edmonton earlier this month. The Oilers will be playing the second of back-to-back games after falling 5-2 to the Arizona Coyotes on Wednesday while the Avs have had plenty of time to prepare since their 4-3 OT loss in Vegas on April 14. 5* PLAY ON THE AVALANCHE. |
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04-18-24 | Rangers v. Tigers +100 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RANGERS/TIGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Detroit right-hander Kenta Maeda was slapped around by the Chicago White Sox in his season opener, but he has allowed only four earned runs on seven hits with 8 Ks over 11 innings in his last two starts. Maeda is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Texas Rangers who will counter with rookie Jack Leiter, the No. 2 pick of the 2021 draft, who will make his MLB debut today. Leiter made six appearances in spring training, one start, going 0-2 with a 4.26 ERA, and his minor league numbers are not very impressive. Texas bullpen has an ERA of 4.93 on the season, while Detroit's relievers have posted a very solid ERA of 1.76. We lost with Detroit yesterday, as three errors basically cost them the game. I expect a more focused effort in this game as they look to salvage a split in the series. 4* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF PLAY-IN GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia 76ers have had their season ruined by injuries, but we've seen just how dangerous they are when healthy down the stretch. They are a top 3 team in the East IMO, and while the Miami Heat are a feisty bunch, I don't think they'll stand a chance in this matchup and might need to give up on this early to save energy for the second-chance game against the winner of Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta Hawks.  5* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-17-24 | Rangers v. Tigers -138 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit left-hander Tarik Skubal has blanked his opponent in two of three starts on the season, and the Tigers won all three games. The Texas Rangers are 1-3 against left-handed starters. 5* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-17-24 | Pirates v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Pirates have been held to three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. Today, they'll face Luis Severino, who has limited the Pirates to one run over 11 innings in two previous meetings. Severino gave up six runs (three earned) in his season debut but has since allowed just two runs over 10 innings. The Bucs hand the ball to left-hander Bailey Falter, who, like Severino, has recovered after a rocky first start. In his next two starts since his season opener, he has allowed only one run on five hits over 11 innings. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-16-24 | Warriors -3 v. Kings | Top | 94-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF WILD CARD GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Sacramento Kings are stumbling into the postseason with only two wins in their last seven games, and now they're coming up against a Golden State Warriors team that is much better than its No. 10 seed would suggest. The playoffs always bring out the best of Steph Curry, and he's also great at elevating his teammates. The last three meetings were all decided by one point, but I think the Warriors will run away with this one. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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04-16-24 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Phillies opened this series with a 2-1 win, and I expect another low-scoring affair when they host the Colorado Rockies for Game 2 Tuesday night. Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez (2-0, 2.65 ERA) is off to a great start, and the Rockies are batting only .223 against left-handers. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is also off to a solid start, with eight runs allowed on 16 hits with a respectable 14 Ks over 14 2/3 innings of work. The Rockies have averaged 3.7 R/9 over their last five games, and the Phillies have averaged 3.1 R/9 over their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-15-24 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH The Detroit Red Wings have a shot at making the playoffs despite winning only three of their last 10 games. They are currently in a three-way tie with Washington and Philadelphia for the second and final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, and the Pittsburgh Penguins are lurking just one point behind, so realistically, they'll need to win out to have a chance. Still, with two games to go, both against a Montreal Canadiens team eliminated from playoff contention, the Red Wings must like their chances, and I expect nothing less than 100% focus tonight. The Red Wings are converting on a solid 23.16% of their opportunities to play with a man advantage, while the Habs are killing off only 76.36% of their penalties. I expect the Wings to win one by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE RED WINGS -1.5. |
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04-15-24 | Angels +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET Tampa Bay right-hander Zach Eflin has allowed 6, 1 and 5 runs through his first three starts of the season. With such inconsistency, I don't think the Rays should be this big of a favorite with Eflin on the mound, and without a reliable bullpen to back him up. The Rays relievers have a combined ERA of 6.23, which is dead last across the major leagues. 5* PLAY ON THE ANGELS +1.5. |
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04-13-24 | Lightning -135 v. Capitals | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Tampa Bay Lightning to bounce back from a shootout loss in Ottawa on Thursday. They are 21-13 SU with a +10.9% ROI off a loss on the season (9-3 SU with a +28.9% ROI as road favorites). The reeling Washington Capitals have lost seven of their last eight games. 5* PLAY ON THE LIGHTNING. |
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04-12-24 | Twins v. Tigers -122 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Detroit Tigers hand the ball to left-hander Tarik Skubal for his second start of the season. Skubal tossed six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox in his season opener before giving up four runs in 6 1/3 innings against Oakland in his second start. The Tigers won both games, and I like the Tigers to pick up another win here against a Minnesota Twins team that is cold on the plate. It's also worth noting that Skubal has allowed just five hits over 12 scoreless innings in his last two matchups with the Twins. 5* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-12-24 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/CAVS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Indiana Pacers following three consecutive wins. In their last game, the Pacers put a 140-123 beating on Toronto, but they are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Cleveland Cavaliers had lost three on the bounce before their 110-98 win over the Memphis Grizzlies Wednessday night. They'll be looking forward to close out the regular season with two home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-12-24 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Neither Atlanta left-hander Max Fried (0-0, 18.00 ERA) nor Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (0-1, 5.40 ERA) has had a good start to the year, and I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Marlins host the Braves for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. The Braves bats are red hot, and Miami scored five runs in a win over the Yankees in the Bronx in their last game. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-11-24 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 213.5 | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Celtics have had the No. 1 seed in the conference locked up for quite some time, and their only focus for now is to stay healthy, so they're unlikely to fight hard on the defensive end. The New York Knicks will be fired up as they push for the No. 2 seed in the East, and they are coming off back-to-back 120+ point games. Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-10-24 | Mavs v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Mavericks, who are in a potential flat spot following a 130-104 win in Charlotte last night, their fourth win and cover in a row. The Miami Heat will also play on short rest following a 117-111 win in Atlanta Tuesday night, but they have the homecourt advantage. Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-10-24 | White Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago White Sox are 7-3 to the under for the season, and that should come as no surprise as they're averaging a paltry 2.1 R/9. Tonight, they'll run into Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (1-0, 3.86 ERA) while countering with right-hander Erick Fedde (0-0, 2.79 ERA). Both pitchers are off to a solid start to the season, and I expect regression at the plate from both sides after combining for 12 runs yesterday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-10-24 | Nationals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 106 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals are coming off three straight wins as +137, +193 and +174 underdogs. There's no way they can keep the upsets coming like this, and tonight they'll face a San Francisco Giants team desperate for a win and looking to deny the Nats to sweep the three-game series. Nationals left-hander Patrick Corbin has allowed eight runs over 10 1/3 innings in two starts on the season, while Giants right-hander Jordan Hicks has allowed just one earned run over his 12 innings on the mound. Additionally, note that Corbin has lost his past two starts against the Giants while allowing 15 hits and 10 runs over just 7 2/3 frames. 4* PLAY ON THE GIANTS -1.5. |
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04-09-24 | Magic v. Rockets +3 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/ROCKETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a favorable spot to back the Houston Rockets to end a five-game losing streak. They're catching an Orlando team in a potential letdown spot following its 113-98 win over the Chicago Bulls last time out. Rockets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 4* PLAY ON THE ROCKETS. |
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04-09-24 | Orioles -136 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Baltimore right-hander Corbin Burnes has not disappointed through his first two starts with the team. The Orioles won both games, with Burnes allowing just three runs on 10 hits with 14 Ks over 11 2/3 innings. The Boston Red Sox are also 2-0 in Brayan Bello's two starts, but he has allowed six runs over 10 innings. While it was enough to defeat Seattle and Oakland, I think Boston and Bello will take an L here. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-08-24 | Golden Knights +106 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Vegas Golden Knights to bounce back from a humbling 7-4 loss as close to a -200 favorite in Arizona Friday night. They've had the whole weekend to mull over the loss, while the Vancouver Canucks were in action on Saturday when they lost 6-3 in LA. The Knights have won 10 of the last 13 matchups in Vancouver, and while the Canucks are coming into this game with the better record, I'm not convinced they're the better team. 5* PLAY ON THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS. |
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04-08-24 | Rays -135 v. Angels | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Rays roll into Los Angeles on the back of a pair of wins in Colorado. Tonight, they hand the ball to Zach Eflin, who limited Texas to one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in his last start. The Angels counter with left-hander Tyler Anderson who is coming off seven scoreless innings against Miami, but his career numbers against the Rays are ugly (nine runs allowed over 10 1/3 frames). The Rays are averaging 5.5 R/9 while batting .272 against left-handers on the season. 4* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BEST BET The defending champions, the UConn Huskies, are the first team since North Carolina (2016, 2017) to play in back-to-back title games. They're perfect 5-0 SU in their previous five title game appearances. Both teams are perfect against the spread in the NCAA tournament this year, but I make the Huskies an even bigger favorite for this matchup than the bookmakers do. 5* PLAY ON UCONN. |
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04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
5* STARS/AVS NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche are jostling for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. The Stars are currently sitting at No. 1, with the Avs in third and the Vancouver Canucks in the mix as well. The Avs have owned the Stars in recent seasons, and they've already defeated Dallas twice this calendar year. The Stars are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, while the Avs are only 2-4 in their last six, but I like the price we get on the Avs to bounce back from a 6-2 loss to the Oilers. 5* PLAY ON THE AVS. |
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04-07-24 | Thunder v. Hornets OVER 215 | Top | 121-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Oklahoma City Thunder are 44-32-1 to the over for the season, and I expect them to give us a strong effort on the offensive end tonight following a 126-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Over is 21-7 in Thunder last 28 games following a straight up loss. Over is 8-2 in Thunder last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-07-24 | Pelicans v. Suns -6.5 | Top | 113-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Phoenix Suns and the New Orleans Pelicans are heading into Sunday with almost identical records, but the Pels are going through a slump and coming off four consecutive losses. The Suns on the other hand are gearing up in time for the playoffs, and they're 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Pelicans are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-06-24 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Kings and the Vancouver Canucks clashed twice in March, with the Canucks winning 2-1 in LA and the Kings winning 3-2 in Vancouver. The over/under is 0-9-1 in the last 10 meetings, and I expect another low-scoring affair in this preview of a potential first-round playoff matchup.  The Canucks have not scored more than three goals in any of their last five games, and the Kings have scored three goals or fewer in four of their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
5* NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Alabama Crimson Tide have scored 89 points in back-to-back games, but tonight they'll face a UConn Huskies team that has held its last two opponents to 52 points each, and its last four opponents to 58 points or fewer. The Huskies will dominate the game and control the tempo, and I expect them to make this a relatively low-scoring affair. Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Under is 9-4 in Crimson Tide last 13 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | 76ers -12 v. Grizzlies | Top | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have been heating up as they've been getting healthier, but they still have to make up ground to avoid the play-in tournament. The Sixers are a lot more dangerous than their current 8th-seed would suggest, and I think they'll make light work of a Memphis Grizzlies team that will play on short rest following a 108-90 win over the Detroit Pistons last night. Additionally, the Grizzlies are in a potential letdown spot after three consecutive upset wins. 4* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-06-24 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
5* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets Saturday afternoon. Mets right-hander Luis Severino was slapped around for six runs (three earned) on 11 hits over five innings in his season debut. Mets right-hander Nick Martinez gave up three runs on six hits over five innings against the Washington Nationals in his first start of the season. The Reds have been swinging hot bats, and this looks like a good spot for the Mets bats to get going after a slow start to the season. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | Top | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Celtics are coming off three straight double-digit wins, and I think they'll keep pressing the pedal to the metal when they host the Sacramento Kings Friday night. The Kings will play on no rest and fatigue was already an issue yesterday when they fell apart in the second half of a 120-109 loss to the Knicks in New York. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. 4* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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04-04-24 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 133-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 1-4 in the last five meetings and the under is 35-16-1 in Rockets last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the New York Knicks to bounce back from three consecutive losses while at the same time fading a Sacramento Kinsg team that is coming off a pair of double-digit wins. Knicks are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Kings are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win. Kings are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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04-03-24 | Cavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Cleveland Cavaliers following their 129-113 win in Utah Tuesday night. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record, and they'll face a Phoenix Suns team that'll play in front of their hometown crowd for the first time since March 21. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-02-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Jazz | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back from a humbling 130-101 loss to the Nuggets in Denver. Tonight they'll take on a far easier opponent in a Utah Jazz team that is coming off a 127-106 loss in Sacramento and is winless and 2-7 ATS in its last nine games. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Jazz are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-02-24 | Angels v. Marlins -140 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I expect to see a hungry Miami Marlins come out fully focused as they're in desperate need of a win following an 0-5 start to the season. In his season debut, Marlins' right-hander Jesus Luzardo held Pittsburgh to two runs with eight strikeouts over five innings. Luzardo was 5-4 with an ERA of 2.99 in 19 home starts last season, and he has limited the Angels to two runs over 10 innings in previous meetings. Angels veteran left-hander Tyler Anderson will make his season debut today. Anderson typically struggles early in the season and owns a career ERA of 5.19 in Apri throughout his career 4* PLAY ON THE MARLINS. |
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04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 225 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns are coming into the week in sixth and eighth place, respectively. With both teams in need of wins down the stretch, I think we'll see a low-scoring game of playoff character when they clash on Monday night. Under is 21-6 in Pelicans last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-31-24 | Bulls v. Wolves OVER 212 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST vs. WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-31-24 | 76ers -11 v. Raptors | Top | 135-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SIXERS/RAPTORS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers are dealing with injuries, but they're still a much stronger team than the Toronto Raptors and I expect to see a focused and motivated Sixers team tonight as they look to end a three-game losing streak. 76ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Raptors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE SIXERS. |
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03-31-24 | Angels v. Orioles -150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Last season, the Orioles were a solid 36-19 (+$17.9% ROI) against left-handed starters, and they won 11-3 when they faced Angels' left-handed starter Patrick Sandoval in the season opener. They've outscored the Angels 24-7 through the first two games of this series, and I think they'll win easily again here against Angels' lefty Reid Detmers. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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03-30-24 | Clemson v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
5* CBB TOURNEY ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams are coming into this NCAA Tournament West Regional final matchup off impressive upset wins against the top-two seeds in the Sweet 16, but I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to be the team to move on to the Final Four. Clemson defeated Bama 85-77 in Tuscaloosa in November, but that was part of a rough five-game losing streak for the Tide, who are in a much better position now.  Bama scored 89 points on UNC last time out, and their 90.7 points per game is the best scoring average in the nation. Clemson has won as underdogs three times in the tournament, but this is where the Tigers run comes to an end. 5* PLAY ON ALABAMA. |
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03-30-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Atlanta Hawks who are coming off back-to-back double-digit upset wins over the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from losses to the LA Lakers and the New Orleans Pelicans. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCKS. |
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03-30-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like an ideal spot to fade a Montreal Canadiens team coming off three consecutive upset wins. Tonight, they'll face a Carolina Hurricanes team that is as solid as always, and coming off a 4-0 win over the Detroit Red Wings. The Canes are 4-1 SU as road favorites of -200 or more, and all wins came by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE HURRICANES -1.5. |
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03-30-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa -160 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* EPL SOCCER BOOKIE BU$TER Aston Villa is coming into the weekend in fourth place, which would give them a spot in the Champions League next season if the season ended today. Villa is desperate to get back on track after two winless games, and the team is a solid 10-1-3 home at Villa Park for the season. Wolves are a mid-table team, and I don't think the visitors can match the home team's motivation and hunger. 4* PLAY ON ASTON VILLA. |
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03-29-24 | Creighton +3.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S CBB TOURNEY SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR The Tennessee Volunteers are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 while the Creighton Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Vols have an edge of the defensive end, but they made only 33.8% of their shots when they knocked out Texas in the last round while Creighton has a lot of scoring threats. 5* PLAY ON CREIGHTON. |
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03-29-24 | Warriors -12 v. Hornets | Top | 115-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a fantastic spot to fade the Charlotte Hornets, who are coming off a 118-111 win as a 9.5-point underdog to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Since the All-Star break, underdogs off a win as an underdog are only 14-31 ATS, and the Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 11.0 or greater. 4* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS:Â |
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03-28-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays -125 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Toronto right-hander Jose Berrios is 3-4 with a 4.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Rays while Tampa Bay righty Zach Eflin is 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against Toronto. Eflin is solid though and finished last season 16-8 with a 3.50 ERA, so if Toronto has any edge on the mound at all (doubtful), the Rays make up for it with a better team overall and a big bullpen edge. 4* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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03-27-24 | Spurs v. Jazz -3 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the San Antonio Spurs following their upset win as a 12-point underdog to the Phoenix Suns on Monday. The Spurs are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win, and they'll face a Utah Jazz team looking to snap back from a 115-105 loss to the Dallas Mavericks. The Jazz are 19-9-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a double-digit loss at home and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE JAZZ. |
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03-27-24 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 221.5 | Top | 136-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Los Angeles Lakers will play on short rest following a 128-124 loss to the Bucks in Milwaukee last night. Tired legs typically equal high-scoring games for the Lakers, who are 8-0-1 to the over in their last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. The Memphis Grizzlies are coming off a 128-103 loss to the Denver Nuggets, and they've allowed 118 points or more in four of their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-26-24 | Mavs v. Kings UNDER 233.5 | Top | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY (10:00 PM) The Sacramento Kings will play on short rest following a 108-96 win over the Philadelphia 76ers and they have held their last five opponents to an average of 102.4 ppg. The Dallas Mavericks have also been feisty on the defensive end of late with only 105, 107, 97 and 105 points allowed through their last four games. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 55-27 in Mavericks last 82 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-26-24 | Oilers v. Jets +110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Winnipeg Jets return home from a five-game road trip which they wrapped up on a bad note with three consecutive losses. They're a solid 23-9-2 on home ice for the season though, and tonight they'll host an Oilers team that has dropped four of its last five on the road. 5* PLAY ON THE JETS. |
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03-26-24 | Warriors -120 v. Heat | Top | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
5* EAST vs. WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to fade the Miami Heat who are in a potential letdown spot after blowing the doors off the Cavs on Sunday while at the same time backing the Golden State Warriors to rally after back-to-back losses. Heat are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Warriors are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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03-24-24 | Warriors +3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
5* WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a 104-91 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, but I would not be surprised if they lost outright when hosting the Golden State Warriors Sunday night. When fully fit, the Wolves would have a massive advantage in the paint, but that will not be the case for this game. Karl-Anthony Towns is sidelined, and Rudy Gobert is listed as questionable. Additionally, Anthony Edwards is also listed as questionable while the Warriors are coming into the game at full strength. The Warriors will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 123-111 loss as a home favorite over the Indiana Pacers. Warriors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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03-23-24 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 119-147 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
5* WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET On Thursday, the Utah Jazz lost 113-97 to the Mavs in Dallas. They have scored 100, 104, 107, and 97 points in their last four games, all of which went under the total. The Houston Rockets have been involved in high-scoring affairs lately, but note that the under is 14-6 in the Rockets' last 20 Saturday games. Additionally, the under is 38-17 in the Rockets' last 55 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. This situation applies to this contest as they're coming off a 127-117 win over the Chicago Bulls. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-23-24 | Oilers -125 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Caps 7-3 as a road favorite on Wednesday, but they'll face a tougher test when they host the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday. This will be the third time they're a home underdog this season, and they lost the previous two (both against Carolina). Meanwhile, the Oilers are 16-12 as road favorites and 15-3 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent from the Eastern Conference. 4* PLAY ON THE OILERS. |
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03-23-24 | Gonzaga -4 v. Kansas | Top | 89-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* NCAAB TOURNAMENT ROUND OF 32 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Kansas Jayhawks barely scraped past Samford in a tight game on Thursday, and they've not looked quite right for some time. The Gonzaga Bulldogs, on the other hand, were as dominant as ever in their 21-point win over McNeese State. I see no reason why we wouldn't back the team that looks the part in this matchup. Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog. Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE GONZAGA BULLDOGS. |
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03-22-24 | Celtics -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 129-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Celtics beat the Pistons 119-94 in Boston on Monday and followed that up with a 122-119 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. The Pistons are coming off a 122-103 loss to the Pacers, and I don't see how they can keep it close against a Boston team that clearly has no intentions of slowing down or likely to look past any opponent. Celtics are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pistons are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. 5* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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03-22-24 | UABÂ v. San Diego State -6.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* UAB/SDSU CBB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The UAB Blazers are coming off an 85-69 victory over Temple in the AAC tournament championship game on Sunday, but today they'll face a much tougher opponent in the San Diego State Aztecs, who will be looking to gear up again following a string of disappointing results. The Aztecs went on a huge run in the tournament last year to reach the national title game, and I think they're a much stronger team than their recent results suggest. 4* PLAY ON SAN DIEGO STATE. |
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03-21-24 | Pelicans -135 v. Magic | Top | 106-121 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Both teams are hot and coming off convincing wins, but I like the New Orleans Pelicans to come through with a win as road favorites when they visit the Orlando Magic Thursday night. Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Pelicans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. 4* PLAY ON THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS. |
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03-20-24 | Kings -10 v. Raptors | Top | 123-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST vs. WEST GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Toronto will be playing on long rest following a 111-96 loss to the Magic in Orlando on Sunday, but they're still dealing with a ton of injuries, and with a 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games, clearly a team in tanking mode. The Sacramento Kings, meanwhile, are eyeing the postseason. They are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite, while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 5* PLAY ON THE KINGS. |
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03-19-24 | Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 232 | Top | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 107-105 win over Denver, and the under is 18-6 in the Mavs last 24 games following a straight up win. The San Antonio Spurs lost 122-115 to Brooklyn their last time out, but they have mostly been involved in relatively low-scoring games lately. Under is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 home games and 16-6-1 in Spurs last 23 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-19-24 | Rockets -8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 137-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST vs. WEST GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I like the red-hot Houston Rockets to come through with another big win when they visit the Wizards at Capital One Arena Tuesday night. The Wizards lost 130-104 to the Boston Celtics a couple of nights ago and are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Rockets are coming off an impressive 117-103 win over Cleveland. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 11-4-1 ATS in their previous 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE ROCKETS. |
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03-18-24 | Grizzlies v. Kings OVER 224 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Sacramento Kings took a 98-91 loss to the Knicks on Saturday. I expect to see more points when they host the Memphis Grizzlies Monday night. The Grizzlies have one of the worst scoring averages in the league and they play solid D, but I expect the high-paced Kings to drive up the tempo. Over is 28-12 in Kings last 40 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 5-1 in Grizzlies last 6 games as a road underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-17-24 | Celtics -10.5 v. Wizards | Top | 130-104 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Boston Celtics are coming off a 127-112 win over Phoenix on Thursday. They're 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games and outscored their opponent by 10 points or more in all wins. The Washington Wizards are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and were outscored by 10 points or more in all but one of the losses. The Celtics will play on two days of rest, while the Wizards will play on no rest following their 127-98 win in Chicago last night. This game has a major blowout written all over it. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. 5* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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03-17-24 | Florida v. Auburn -5.5 | Top | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
5* SEC TOURNAMENT CBB GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET I like the Auburn Tigers to win and cover when they clash with the Florida Gators in the SEC Championship game on Sunday. Auburn has been heavily favored throughout the tournament, this is the lowest number they've been asked to cover, while Florida was an underdog to Alabama in the quarterfinals and a short favorite over Texas A&M in the semis. Florida won the first meeting of the season on Feb 10, but that was in Gainesville. I think Auburn's edge on the defensive end is too much for Florida to handle. 5* PLAY ON AUBURN TIGERS. |
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03-16-24 | Thunder v. Grizzlies UNDER 219.5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Memphis Grizzlies have had their season ruined by injuries, and they've been particularly limited offensively. Defensively, they've been doing just fine, holding opponents to a respectable 112.2 points per game (9th). Under is 36-17-2 in Grizzlies last 55 home games. Under is 9-4-1 in Grizzlies last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 games as a favorite. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-16-24 | St. Joe's +2.5 v. VCU | Top | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* ATLANTIC 10 TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The VCU Rams won 73-69 when they hosted the St. Joseph's Hawks on Feb 25. I think we'll see an even tighter game when they clash in the Atlantic 10 Championship Semifinal Saturday afternoon. The feisty Hawks are coming off wins as 2-point and 2.5-point underdogs against George Mason and Richmond, respectively, and their 3-point shooting will be a big problem for VCu to solve. 5* PLAY ON ST. JOE'S. |
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03-15-24 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The San Antonio Spurs have played reasonably well on the defensive end lately, with 113, 112 and 103 points allowed through their last three games. The Denver Nuggets are more than capable of running up the score if they want to, but I think they'll be satisfied just to do enough to get the win. Under is 16-5-1 in Spurs last 22 overall. Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games as a home underdog. Under is 22-8-2 in Nuggets last 32 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-15-24 | Mississippi State +10 v. Tennessee | Top | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MISS STATE/TENNESSEE CBB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Mississippi State Bulldogs came into the SEC Tournament on a four-game losing streak, but they opened the tourney with a 70-60 win over LSU. I think they can keep it somewhat close here against the Tennessee Volunteers, who enter the tournament Friday night. Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. 4* PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE. |
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03-14-24 | Knicks -11.5 v. Blazers | Top | 105-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* KNICKS/BLAZERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are coming off a 106-79 knockout of the Philadelphia 76ers. The Knicks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and the Portland Trail Blazers and their 10-23 home record fits the bill. 4* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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03-14-24 | Ohio State -130 v. Iowa | Top | 90-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* OHIO STATE/IOWA CBB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 4* PLAY ON OHIO STATE. |
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03-13-24 | Cavs v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
TOTAL OF THE YEAR ALERT - 5* NBA EAST v WEST MAX BET The New Orleans Pelicans have played lockdown defense lately, holding each of their last four opponents to 103 points or fewer and two of those opponents to sub-100 points. They'll have fresh legs as they've been off since Sunday, and the under is 17-6 in Pelicans last 23 games playing on 2 days rest. I expect the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back with a strong defensive effort after allowing 120 and 117 points in their last two games. Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-13-24 | Kansas State v. Texas -4.5 | Top | 78-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S KANSAS STATE/TEXAS CBB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Texas Longhorns defeated the Kansas State Wildcats 62-56 on Feb 19, and I think they'll get the win and cover when they clash in the Big 12 Tournament Wednesday night. Kansas State closed out the regular season with a win as an underdog against Iowa State, but was otherwise inconsistent down the stretch while the Longhorns were 3-0-1 AST in their last eight games, with three outright wins and the lone loss as an 8-point underdog at Baylor. 4* PLAY ON TEXAS. |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings OVER 236.5 | Top | 94-129 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BUCKS/KINGS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Bucks have the second-best scoring offense in the league and the Sacramento Kings are hardly known for their grit on the defensive end with 117.9 points per game allowed (23rd). Over is 17-4-1 in Kings last 22 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games playing on 1 days rest. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-12-24 | Pacers v. Thunder -6.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder are currently the No.1 seed in the West, and they're showing no signs of slowing down. They're coming off a dominant 124-93 win over the Memphis Grizzlies to improve to 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite. Additionally, they're 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Indiana Pacers defeated the Magic 111-97 on the road in their last game, but they're 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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03-12-24 | Oklahoma State v. UCF -4 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
MAX BET ALERT - 5* OKST/UCF BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (12:30 EST) I like the UCF Knights to win and cover the spread against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the Big 12 Tournament Tuesday afternoon. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss while the Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON UCF. |
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