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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-23 | Lakers +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Lakers. The Lakers made it to the Western Conference Final last year, as they really "came together" over the second half. They then lost to the Nuggets, who would go on to win their first ever NBA Championship in franchise history. The Nuggets are expected to be without forward Michael Porter Jr. in this one, as he also sat out the entire pre-season. Denver is going to be distracted here raising the banner, and I think the Lakers have revenge on their minds here right out of the gate and will be bring their "A" game on Opening Night. While I do think the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with LA. Good luck, NP |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOW on the OVER Heat/Nuggets. Miami is/was the "surprise" team of the NBA Playoffs, without question. Can the Heat dig deep here on pull of another titanic upset? Maybe, they've already done that several times. Miami though has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses vs. an opponent. Nikola Jokic is about to prove to the World that he's the best player on the planet right now. I don't see Denver playing a suffocating defensive game, instead I look for the Nuggets to be the aggressors here. This number is now too low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. Miami responded well in Game 2 after a defeat in Game 1, and that's exactly what we're expecting here as well after the Heat lost both SU and ATS in Game 3. Note that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. It's also 4-1 ATS in its last five coming off a SU/ATS home loss as a dog. With a chance to even up this series, we're looking for MIAMI to do just that (but grab as many points as you can!)Â Good luck, TIR |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -135 v. Heat | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 36 h 40 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Nuggets moneyline. The value swings from one game to the next. We're going to suggest bypassing the spread here, and instead taking Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets on the moneyline. Denver has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. We never expected Miami to get swept. The Heat are resilient and well-coached. But we can now expect Denver to be the team to make the necessary adjustments here heading into Game 3. We feel great about this one, the play is DENVER on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, TIR |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. Do or die here essentially it feels like for Miami. We had a play on the Heat in Game 1, and no matter how good or bad a team is playing, it'll always be difficult to win a contest when you only get to go to the free throw line twice. Despite that though, Miami came just a three-point basket away from covering in Game 1. Suffice it to say, we're expecting a lot more calls to go the Heat's way here in Game 2. Note as well that Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. Denver may win this Game 2, but it's going to be a battle until the final horn. So grab as many points as you can! Good luck, TIR |
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06-01-23 | Heat +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 21 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. The Heat have surprised every team they've played in Game 1 of each series in the Playoffs, and we have every reason to believe that that trend will continue here in the Finals. No one in the World can slow down Nikola Jokic right now, but the rest of the Nuggets are going to have to step up if Denver is truly going to win this series. The Heat are great defenders, and they're efficient outside shooters. We expect Miami to throw its "best shot" at the Nuggets here in Game 1. Will "rest" lead to "rust" for the Nuggets?! The answer is: maybe! Either way, we expect this one to be a lot closer than what the bookmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, the play is MIAMI. Good luck, TIR |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. We had a play on the OVER in Game 6. That came up short obviously. With nearly 80% of the early money/bets on Miami in Game 7, we're going to go full-on contrarian mode here in Game 7 and go the other way. We've collectively felt that "momentum" in sports is a very real, almost tangible factor, and it's a factor that becomes even more important during the playoffs. It's also one in which we've come to learn that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line, and that's definitely the case here in Game 7 in our opinion. Jason Tatum and the Celtics are on the verge of history and the NBA itself would love nothing more than a Boston/Denver Final. Lay the points, the play is indeed on BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 211 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -108 | 37 h 41 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Celtics/Heat. We've been on Boston over the last two games, but here in Game 6 back in Miami, we're going to avoid a side an instead focus on the total. While the last two games have gone UNDER the number, we're expecting a much more wide-open offensive affair here, as Miami looks to rebound and wrap this series up in South Beach. Note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Miami will now have to be the aggressor, and push the pace, and with the Celtics now following suit, everything points to this Game 6 total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later. The play is indeed on the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-25-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. A chance! A small sliver of hope! That's what Boston needed, and that's what the Celtics produced for themselves in Game 4's blowout 116-99 victory. "Momentum" in sports, especially in the playoffs, is a very real, almost "tangible" factor that we've felt that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying. Clearly, Jimmy Butler and the Heat have been the surprise team in the East this year in the Playoffs, but we expect Jayson Tatum and the home side to duplicate their Game 4 performance here at home, and even better it here in Game 5. And finally, with the majority of the public money/bets on the Heat, we're "going the other way" in true contrarian fashion. Lay the points, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 216.5 | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER. All three games in this series have gone OVER the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 4. Note that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number still in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. The C's have also seen the total go UNDER in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Miami has also seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last ten in the same position. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 113-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite at home against an opponent. LA won't be going to the Finals, but it's not going to get swept either. Lay the points, the play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 214 | 102-128 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics/Heats UNDER. The first two games of this series have flown well OVER the number in the Heat's back-to-back upset victories on the road, but with the shift in venue, we're finally expecting a much tigher, and ultimately more defensive affair in Game 3. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an oppponent. Expect Boston to be risking life and limb today on the defensive end and look for a lower-pace overall. This number is high, the play is the UNDER! Good luck, TIR |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 7 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. No need to overthink this one. This now becomes the Lakers most important game of the entire season. An 0-3 hole would be too difficult to navigate out of. Home floor advantage will prove crucial here in this one though in our opinions. The Nuggets are a sub-par 21-25 SU/ATS on the road this year. The Lakers are a solid 30-18 SU and 27-19-1 ATS in LA. This is how six out of ten of The Insiders Room crew sees this one unfolding. The play is the LAKERS. Good luck, TIR |
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05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 111-105 | Push | 0 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Heat/Celtics. While Game 1 flew well "over" the number in the Heat's 123-116 upset win as 8.5-point underdogs, we're expecting a much tigher and overall defensive affair here in Game 2. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Miami continues to defy the odds, but we're expecting Boston to double-down big time on the defensive end here. While Game 1 flew well OVER the number, all signs point to Game 2 staying well UNDER once it's all said and done. Good luck, TIR |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Lakers/Nuggets. Denver looked good in its 132-126 win over the Lakers in Game 1. Some won, some pushed and some lost against the closing line on the spread, but obviously the total sailed well "over" the number of 222.5. Now the expectations are here in Game 2 that we'll see another shootout, but we're thinking the opposite here in fact. Tonight's total is almost five points higher than the Game 1 total, so that's significant. Being successful in the playoffs is about making adjustments, and the Lakers will be doubling down defensively here in Game 2, after Denver's frantic pace to open Game 1. LA has also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss agianst an opponent. Denver only averages 115.8 points per game, which is middle of the pack, whiel allowing 112.5, which ranks eighth. The Lakers have now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is also significant to note, as LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. LA averages 117.2 points per game, while allowing 116.8, but thoe averages dip for the Lakers when they're on the road. The Lakers are 22-26 on the road, while the Nuggets are 41-7 at home. The two big men, Nikola Jokic and Anthony Davis were huge for both teams in Game 1. Look for more of the same here in Game 2 obviously, with each team running its offense through its big man. But with that said, we're expecting a more methodical pace here in Game 2, a more defensive affair all around for sure, and because of that we're taking advantage of what we feel is a now overinflated line because of the high-scoring shootout in Game 1. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-17-23 | Heat v. Celtics -7.5 | 123-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. The bottom line here is that we think the longer lay off for the Heat will ruin their chemistry. With the majority of the public money on the Heat, we love this contrarian play on the Celtics. This is very similar to Game 7 between the 76ers and the Celtics, in which Philly was an 8-point dog and nearly 70% of the public money was on the dog. Of course, Boston went on to win easily by a score of 112-88. We expect a similar style blowout here in Game 1 of the ECF. Lay the points, the play is BOSTON. Good luck, TIR |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 48 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Lakers/Nuggets. To be succinct with our analysis, we're expecting this series to be dominated by the big men. We're also expecting the Lakers to be ready to guard the perimeter. We also expect a "feeling out" period to open up this Game 1. When you add it all up, we're absolutely expecting a more methodical pace here in Game 1 and a slower-paced affair means less shots and less shots = less points. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 200 | 88-112 | Push | 0 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER 76ers/Celtics. A big game here obviously, as the winner will move on to face the Heat in the ECF. The total has gone over in four of the six games, and we're expecting a shootout here in the finale as well. Note that Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. We're expecting an efficent offensive outing from each side, and as such, look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -140 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. Would the NBA like to see this series go 7 games? Maybe, but I think what they'd rather see is a couple "new faces" in the Finals this year. And that's about to happen in the Western Conference in our opinion, as we expect LA to dig deep here and to find a way to deliver here at home. So far, the home floor advantage has proved good for the Lakers. Golden State was terrible on the road all year and we think it'll once again struggle. The Lakers are also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. For this play however, six out of then of The Insiders Room crew are steering clear of an actual against-the-spread wager, but instead bypassing that and taking LA to win this game straight-up on the money-line option. Good luck, NP |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Nuggets. If Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets are going to finally take the next step and get over the hump, they're going to have to find a way to win on the road in the Playoffs. Denver's achilles heel all year has been its play on the road, but we're finally expecting the Nuggets to deliver here. Phoenix is just too thin after their starters, and does not have the depth anymore at this point of the series to compete in our opinion. So far the home floor advantage has proved critical in this series, but we expect that trend to end here. Jokic has won the MVP in B2B years, but here is a moment for him to once again take center stage and show the World why he is in fact the best player on the planet. While we feel the outright win is possible, the official play will be to grab the points. The play is DENVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. It's do or die, time to put up or shut up. The Heat and Jimmy Butler are feeling confident and talking trash. Butler recently called himself the best player on Earth, who isn't bothered by either double OR triple teams. Miami is cocky now after going 9-2 ATS in the Playoffs (including the Play-In Tournament), including win seven straight ATS. Those facts though have only helped in driving this spread a little lower than it normally would be though in our opinion. New York has lost four straight ATS, and two straight SU (but note that the Knicks have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent.) We're expecting the home side to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, so grab the points. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Nuggets. In the playoffs, when it gets down to just a few games, at some point even the most contrarian capper will be on a public side or total. And that's the case here for sure, but it's warranted. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we think the "thin air" of Denver will favor the Nuggets. They're deeper and more acclimated. The Nuggets are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Everything points to Nikola Jokic and company finally bouncing back in a big way. Lay the points, the play is DENVER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-08-23 | Knicks +4.5 v. Heat | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. We've been surprised, like most, at how well the Heat have played to this point. New York though has responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. The Knicks have lost three straight ATS, and that's also significant to note here, as New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We think this'll be a battle until the final buzzer, so grab the points. The play is indeed on NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-07-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +3 | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the 76ers. Philadelphia upset the Celtics 119-115 as a 10.5-point dog in Game 1 in Boston without Joel Embiid, but the 76ers now find themselves in a 2-1 hole after B2B losses, including a 114-102 home loss here in Game 3. Note though that Philly is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent. The strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams is reflected in this line, but we often find that bookmakers have a hard time properly quantifying certain factors into their process when releasing them. And that's the case here, as the 76ers will be risking life and limb to avoid the 3-1 hole and heading back to Boston. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The play is PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | Top | 86-105 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. Tied up 1-1, we're expecting a very tight battle here in Game 3. Yes, the Heat were 30-15 SU at home, but just 17-25-1 ATS. THe Knicks were 26-18 SU on the road and 28-15-1 ATS. New York won Game 2, perhaps because the Heat were without Jimmy Butler, who is now dealing with an ankle injury. He won't be at 100% health moving forward for the rest of the playoffs. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Suns. For all intents and purposes, it's do or die for Phoenix today, as clearly an 0-3 hole to open this second round series would be just too big of a hole to climb out of. Denver utilized home-court advantage for two solid wins and covers, but the Nuggets are just 20-23 SU/ATS on the road this season. The Suns are 30-14 SU at home and 24-20 ATS. Phoenix though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge back-to-back losses vs. an opponent. We think that KD and Booker lead their team to a win and cover here in Game 3. Lay the points, the play is PHOENIX. Good luck, TIR |
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05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | 100-127 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Lakers. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1, and that cashed by a single bucket. Off that close victory, we'll now focus on a side here in Game 2. The Lakers are getting even more points here in Game 2 vs. this revenge-minded Warriors side that's struggling with depth. The Warriors got a boat load of three-point production from their top players, but it still wasn't enough. I think Golden State is going to have a hard time slowing down the Lakers moving forward, who will be even more confident here in Game 2. The Warriors defense has taken a major step back and we think the visiting side can once again take advantage. Grab as many points as you can though. The play is LA. Good luck, TIR |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 217 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER 76ers/Celtics. Boston has seen the total go OVER the number in five straight playoff games now after dropping the opener of this one 119-115 as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Celtics have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. The 76ers got the job done last time out without Joel Embiid somehow, but we can expect Boston to double-down on the defensive end here now in Game 2. Previous to the Game 1 "over," the 76ers had seen the total go UNDER in three straight vs. the Nets, and we're now expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2 finally as well. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks. Clearly, New York will be risking life and limb to get into shooting and passing lanes today to avoid the 0-2 hole and then heading to South Beach for the next two in this second round Eastern Conference series. The Heat won outright in Game 1, but an expected "letdown" is about to happen here. In fact if you recall, Miami had an immediate letdown in Game 2 in their first round in Milwaukee after pulling off the upset in Game 1 as well. The Heat were in fact terrible on the road this year and we think that star Jimmy Butler is likely playing on fumes at this point after carrying much of the offensive load over the last three games. It's a perfect storm for the revenge-minded home side. Lay the points, the play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Celtics. Why is this line so large? The 76ers are expected to be without star center Joel Embiid in Game 1, and that's going to be the difference-maker in the end for us. He's so crucial to everything that Philadelphia does, and Boston will absolutely have no mercy here in trying to send an eary message. A blowout win here in Game 1 puts pressure on the 76ers to perhaps bring back Embiid earlier than they would have wanted. Who knows. But the 76ers would have the luxury to rest Embiid again in Game 2, if they can somehow find a way to win in Game 1. But that's not going to happen in our estimation. This is a golden opportunity that we expect the C's to take advantage of, so lay the points, the play is Boston! Good luck, TIR |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Knicks (10*) We think the Heat are going to take a step back in the opener of this series aferr their big upset win over the Bucks. The Knicks upset of the Cavs was less of an upset. New York is the deeper team. Miami was just 19-25 on the road, while the Knicks were 25-18 at home. The Knicks won 3 of 4 in the regular season series. The Knicks are also 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with winning records. We're thinking that the "home floor" advantage really will be critical in this series. Lay the points, the play is NEW YORK. Good luck, TIR |
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04-29-23 | Suns +3 v. Nuggets | Top | 107-125 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
8 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Suns. The majority of experts and the public are quick to back Denver here, but we here at The Insiders Room believe that KD and the Suns will throw their "best shot" at Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets in Game 1 and while we do think an outright upset is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Phoenix has to try and "split" out here over the first two gams, and we say that the best opportunity to do that, will be here in Game 1. While the majority go one way, we're going the other. The play is PHOENIX. Good luck, TIR |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Grizzlies. Early on the Lakers were the value play in this series, but now that it's worn on, and off a victory at home to push this to a Game 6, we feel that that value has now swung around in favor of the hungry underdog visiting side. Memphis was favored to win this series and we're expecting it to, at the very least, take Game 6 right down to the wire. An excting Game 7 back in Memphis would be just what the NBA wants as well. Outright win?! Anything is possible of course, and this is just a couple of buckets worth of points. But the value comes down to grabbing the points. The play is the GRIZZLIES. Good luck, TIR |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +7 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hawks. The Hawks got the walk-off winner from Trae Young in Game 5 and we're expecting that momentum to carry over here in what we anticipate will be a highly competitive Game 6. ATL outscored Boston by 12 in the fourth-quarter. Young has found his confidence and groove. And now the Hawks welcome back Deonte Murray. The Celtics continue to "play down" to the level of the Hawks and we believe they'll once again have their hands full here today. Grab the points, the play is ATLANTA. Good luck, TIR |
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04-26-23 | Heat +11.5 v. Bucks | Top | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. We had a play on the Heat in their Game 4 outright victory, and we say that Miami won't go down without a fight here either. The oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe that the Heat are just going to roll over here in Milwaukee and give the Bucks this game, and then try to wrap it up in Game 6 at home. But clearly, we're not buying that angle whatsoever. The bottom line is, Miami currently has the best player on the floor right now in Jimmy Butler. The Bucks have had issues containing the three-point shooting from the Miami guards, and that fact has been the difference-maker so far in this series. Miami is a deep, experienced and well-coached team. We say this is a few too many points for the Bucks to cover. Grab the points, the play is MIAMI. Good luck, TIR |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 230 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Hawks/Celtics. Boston is on the verge of closing out this series. The Hawks are injured and now massive underdogs here on the road. Boston has won and covered in three of the four games, including in Game 4's 129-121 victory. The last two games in this series have flown OVER the number, but we're expecting a more methodically-paced affair here in Game 5. The Hawks have struggled with their shooting on the road, especially in this series. Key players now injured for ATL as well. Look for the Celtics to play tough defense here as they close out this series in five games in front of the home town crowd. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. Yes the Bucks have Giannis, but Milwaukee definitely appears to missing some chemistry right now. Not the case for Miami, which is playing arguably its best basektball of the season right now. Despite how well you did in the regular season, the Playoffs are all about timing, chemistry and staying healthy. Miami has the advantage in all of those categories right now. The Heat earned the coveted split in Milwaukee, and then destoryed the Bucks 121-99 in Game 3. Game 4 will be tighter, but in a contest that we envision being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The play is MIAMI. Good luck, TIR |
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04-23-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hawks. Boston looked great at home defending the Hawks' efficient shooting from the floor, but now back here in Atlanta, the home side looked great in Game 3. We say that momentum carries over here into Game 4. Outright win? Of course anything is possible, but in a contest that we see being decided late, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. Good luck, TIR |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Heat. We're expecting the Heat to bounce back here and, at the very least, take Game 3 right down to the wire. Miami upset the Bucks in Game 1, but then fell in Game 2. The Bucks were good on the road, finishing 26-15, but the Heat were their best at home this season, going 28-15 SU. That's why the Game 1 upset was so important. There's on way Miami goes down in Game 3 without a bitter fight until the end. Grab the points, the play is MIAMI. Good luck, TIR |
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04-21-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +5.5 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Hawks. Boston was/is the cream of the crop in the East, but we aren't expecting the C's to sweep the Hawks. It's now or never for Trae Young and company, who uncharacteristically struggled to shoot the ball efficiently over the first two games. ATL was 24-17 at home though this year and while the Hawks may not win this game outright, we're absolutely expecting the most competitive battle so far. The Celtics have now won six straight ATS dating back to the regular season. In their final regualr season games, they played ATL and won and covered in that one as well. Note that Boston is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The Hawks are also 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Grab the points, the play is Atlanta. Good luck, TIR |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Warriors (10*) TO be the champ, you gotta beat the champ. We really liked Sacramento at home over those first two games, but now that the series has shifted to Golden State, we're expecting Stephen Curry and company to bounce-back here, despite Draymond Green getting suspended. The Kings were good on the road, but the Warriors were once again exceptional at home this season, going 33-8. Golden State is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two more straight losses vs. an opponet. With their backs against the wall, we expect the Warriors to respond in a BIG way tonight. Lay the points, the play is GOLDEN STATE. Good luck, TIR |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the Grizzlies. We really like the Bucks here in Game 2, but with the injury to Giannis, we're now steering clear of that contest and instead focussing in here on the Lakers and Grizzlies. The Lakers are healthier than they've been all year, and they were able to pull off the slight upset in Game 1, but we're full expecting the Grizzlies to bounce back here in their biggest game of the season. Clearly the home fav will be risking life and limb here to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole and heading back to LA for Game 3. The Grizzlies were 35-7 SU at home this year. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for MEMPHIS to dig deep and deliver here in Game 2. Good luck, TIR |
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04-18-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 229.5 | Top | 106-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on the OVER Hawks/Celtics. Atlanta lost Game 1 by a score of 112-99. Note that the Hawks have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. It was a poor shooting night for ATL, which was just 5 of 29 from range. We expect an improvement here in Game 2. The Celtics looked great on both ends of the court. With the quicker tempo and overall pace, we're expecting this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, TIR |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
6 OUT 10 CONSENSUS on the UNDER Warriors/Kings. We're expecting a more defensive affair here in Game 2 between these two teams. Sacramento managed the 126-123 home victory, which isn't totally surprising, as the Warriors went just 11-31 on the road this year. Note though that Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Warriors have to be kicking themselves after controlling Game 1 for the majority, only to let it slip away late. Look for the defending champs to come out with a new tactic here, as they look desperately to avoid the 0-2 hole. This number is now a bit TOO high. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, TIR |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Minnesota. Outright win? Anything is possible, but in a contest that we see being decided late, we're going to recommend to grab the points. The Wolves have two competent big men to battle Nikola Jokic with Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns. The Nuggets went just 2-5 down the stretch and were just 7-10 since March 8th. These division foes faced each other four times and went 2-2 SU, but the Wolves were 3-1 ATS. No outright here, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is the WOLVES. Good luck, TIR |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings -110 | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
9 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS PLAY on the Kings (MONEYLINE.) The Warriors have won three of the four matchups between these interstate rivals this year, but this is one that favors the home side in our opinions. The Kings fans haven't had playoff basketball since 2006, so we're expecting Sacramento ride the wave of emotion here in Game 1. Sacramento had a break out year and took the foot off the gas in the final weeks due to having the third spot locked up. Look for Sacramento to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win. The play is the KINGS. Good luck, TIR |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 15 m | Show |
10 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS Cavaliers FIRST HALF. The Knicks actually won the season series 3-1, but now that the playoffs are here, 10 out of 10 Insiders all align on the Cavs to take control of Game 1 here. Especially in the first half. Note, that if you don't have access to HALF TIME lines, we still like the CAVS for the full game as well. Julius Randle is listed as questionable for this game, which, clearly, is not great for New York. If he does play, he'll be far from 100% healthy. The advantage swings to Donovan Bailey and the hungry home side. The play is CLEVELAND in the FIRST HALF (or FULL GAME.) Good luck, TIR |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 32 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 9/10 CONSENSUS REPORT on the Wolves. Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves are scheduled to square off against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's Oklahoma City Thunder at the Target Center on Friday night, and this is one that favors the home side according to 9 out of 10 Insiders. Minnesota fell to the Lakers, but with a chance for redemption on their own floor, we love the Wolves to take advantage. These teams played four times and the Wolves went 3-1 in the regular season. This is just a bad matchup for OKC. The Thunder are super thin beyond Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Josh Giddey, and we believe this finally catches up to them here. Lay the points, the play is the WOLVES. Good luck, TIR |
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04-14-23 | Bulls v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 91-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10/10 CONSENSUS REPORT on the Heat. We watched the Bulls/Raptors Play In game on Wednesday night, and we're still scratching our heads on how the Bulls managed to pull off the come from behind upset. It was just a complete meltdown by the home side. Miami lost to Atlanta, which captured the seven seed, but Jimmy Butler and company now have a golden shot for redemption. Butler now gets to stick it to his old team, just like DeMar DeRozan did to the Raptors. The Insiders Room crew has come to an ultra-rare 10 out of 10 full consensus for this play on the HEAT. Good luck, TIR |
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04-12-23 | Thunder v. Pelicans -5.5 | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Pelicans. The Pels were 3-1 SU in this season series, and 2-2 ATS. OKC went 45-34-3 ATS this year, but just 2-8 ATS over its final ten games. The Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last five as an underdog. The Pels were only 39-42-1 ATS this year, but they went 6-3-1 ATS in their final ten. New Orleans has come together over the last month, adjusting without Zion Williamson in the line-up, while OKC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road as well. I think the Pels tight defensive play, combined with their efficent home shooting will be too much for the Thunder on the road here. Lay the points, the play is the PELICANS. Good luck, NP |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* PLAY-IN TOURNEY GOY on the Heat. The Heat are 3-1 in the season series, and I believe that the home floor advantage will ultimately prove to be the difference in this one. Atlanta was just l7-24 on the road, while the Heat were 27-14 at home. These guys played to several tight battles during the regular-season, but I anticipate Miami comfortably pulling away for the win and cover. Miami's defene was second in the NBA, allowing just 109.8 PPG, and in this crucial spot here at home, I think Trae Young and the Hawks will have a very difficult time moving the ball. Look for MIAMI to cover in front of the home town crowd. Good luck, NP |
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04-06-23 | Thunder -6 v. Jazz | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHWEST GOY on the Thunder. Both teams are still in the mix for the Playoff tournament, but I say that this is a contest that favors the desperate visting side. This one will definitely have a playoff like atmosphere. Each team enters on a three-game losing streak. But despite having soiled the sheets down the stretch, the Thunder still have a Golden opportunity here, as they can clinch a spot in the playoffs with victories in their final two games at Utah here tonight, and then at Memphis on Sunday. The Jazz have been covering games for bettors of late, as they've covered in four straight, but they've lost seven of their last eight straight-up. Utah has to catch up to Oklahoma City, but it also has Dallas just ahead of it, and the Mavericks own the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Thunder are off the 136-125 road loss at Golden State, but they've been competitive even in defeat here down the stretch. The Jazz are off the dishearteing 135-133 overtime loss to the Lakers. That's a huge mental letdown for this young team, which battled back from ten points down in the final two minutes of regulation to force the extra period. Oklahoma City has won two of three in the season series. I think the Thunder are the correct call here again in this crucial playoff like contest. So that's my read on this one, lay the points, the play is the THUNDER. Good luck, NP |
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04-05-23 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 245.5 | Top | 119-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Kings/Mavericks. With just a handful of games to go, Sacramento is pretty much locked into the No. 3 spot. It's two games behind the Grizzlies with three games to go. It's four games up on Phoenix, who is in fourth. With Sacramento now looking towards the Playoffs, I believe we'll see this team come in a bit flat-footed here tonight. Dallas on the other hand is in 11th spot, 15 games behind Denver. This is a game that the Mavericks need to win after losing seven of their last eightl. They're off an exhausting and heartbreaking 132-130 OT loss at Atlanta last time out as well. The Mavs also play with revenge after a 133-128 OT loss to the Kings at home in February. I say the conditions are now correct for more of a defensive affair. A lot of things have to go "right" for teams to hit over 240 points, and I just don't see that happening tonight. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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04-05-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5 | Top | 131-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Pelicans. Memphis is the No. 2 spot after a 119-109 win over Portland last night. I think fatigue will be a major issue here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Pelicans come in off a 121-103 loss to Sacramento last night. They were a four-point favorite. New Orleans is now in eight spot, only a .5 game up on the Wolves. This is a huge game for the Pels, who also play with revenge after a 116-101 loss to Memphis in late December. In one of its most important games of the year, I look for NEW ORLEANS to put the foot on the gas and to avenge the earlier setback at ths same time. Lay the points. Good luck, NP |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut OVER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the OVER SDSU/UConn. I had a play on the OVER in SDSU's Final Four win over FAU. I expect another higher-tempo and ultimately higher-scoring affair here as well. SDSU will be forced to match pace with UConn, which is loaded with diverse offensive talent. Both teams have played to several UNDERS throughout their Conference and NCAA Tournament runs, but that fact has only helped in driving this Championship Game total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. I just think that if UConn does sit back and let the Aztecs control the tempo, and if this does turn into a full-court defensive battle, then it's a game that will favor the underdog here. So I don't see the offensively talented Huskies letting that happen. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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04-02-23 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 233.5 | Top | 134-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOM on the UNDER Lakers/Rockets. The Lakers are going to be back in the Playoffs this year. Currently they're in the eighth spot, a .5 game up on Minnesota. They've won two straight, including a crucial 123-111 victory over Minnesota last time out as two-point favs. LA has seen the total go OVER in three straight, which is significant for us to take note of here, as the Lakers have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. LA plays with revenge here as well after falling 114-110 at Houston as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-March, and that's also important to note, as the Lakers have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avvenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Houston has seen the total go OVER in three straight as well. All of these team's recent high-scoring affairs have helped in driving this O/U number a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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04-01-23 | Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 223 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Clippers/Pelicans. With just over a week to go in the regular season, neither team can afford to take the foot off the gas. Currently, the Clippers are in the sixth spot, and the Pelicans are in the eighth. LA had seen the total go OVER the number in four straight before a 108-94 loss at Memphis last time out. Note though that the Clippers have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 off a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. LA also plays with revenge after a 131-110 loss to New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite. And that's also important to note, as the Clippers have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Pels have won six of their last seven. They've seen the total go UNDER in three straight though (and note, New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.)Â Look for this faster-paced affair to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the OVER FAU/SDSU. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the nation. The reason they've advanced to this point is because of their incredibly tough defensive play. This fact however has only helped in driving this Over/Under line finally a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. FAU is off a high-scoring 79-76 win over KSU, and it'll look to duplicate that performance. SDSU though has seen the total go UNDER the number in all seven of its postseason games this year. Despite that though, note that the Aztecs have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row. The Law of Averages is flawed in many ways, but I do now finally expect some more efficient offensive play in this one to help in seeing this total eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-31-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 231 | Top | 138-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the OVER Kings/Blazers. With under two weeks left to go in the regular season, I believe being selective with your approach is a pretty sound strategy. Motivation plays a big factor for all teams at this point of the season. Some teams are dying for all the victories they can get, while others have thrown in the white towel. The Blazers won't be in the playoffs this year, but after falling 120-80 to Sacramento last time out just two nights ago, I'm expecting a much better offensive performance here. As note that Portland has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six after a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Sacramento has a few tough games to end the regular season, vs. Denver, New Orleans, Dallas and Golden State, so this is an opportunity it won't be looking past. I'm expecting the Kings to dupliate their offensive performance from last time out here, and with the Blazers matching pace, we can look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-29-23 | Pistons v. Thunder -11 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Thunder. Despite losing 137-134 as a ten-point favorite here at home to Charlotte just last night, I think the Thunder will dig deep and here and deliver in the second game of the back-to-back. OKC is now a 1/2 game back of the Lakers for ninth spot in the West. It's a log-jam at the bottom of the West standings, so it's going to be a fight until the finish with about six different teams. The Thunder though also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here after falling 112-103 at Detroit as two-point favorites at the start of the season. That's significant to note as OKC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Detroit has lost six straight. It covered against the Bucks at home as an 11.5-point underdog in its most recent setback, but I say the Pistons just "go through the motions" here on the road vs. this revenge-minded and motivated home side. The slide stops here for OKC. Look for the Thunder to go up early, and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points, the play is the THUNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-28-23 | Utah Valley +2.5 v. UABÂ | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT GOW on Utah Valley. Utah Valley has consistently been undervalued throughout the playoffs and that's the case again here in my opinion. The Wolverines average 76.7 PPG, while allowing 67.6. Can't take anything away from the UAB Blazers either, whose only loss in the playoffs came against FAU in the Conf. Champ. game. UAB averages 82.2 PPG, but it concedes 71.0. The Wolverines aggressive trapping style of defene will be the differnece here though in my opinion. I think an outright victor is possible, but in the end let's grab the points. The play is UTAH VALLEY. Good luck, NP |
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03-28-23 | Hornets v. Thunder OVER 229.5 | Top | 137-134 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Hornets/Thunder. As primarily a situational handicapper at heart, this one falls right into my "wheelhouse."Â Charlotte won't be in the playoffs this year, but it's arguably playing its best basketball of the season right now, having won three of its last four. That includes back-to-back wins over Dallas as a 15.5 and 12.5-point underdog respectively. The Hornets have now seen the total go UNDER the number in five straight, but note that Charlotte has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. OKC is currently in line for the "play in" Tournament, tied with the Lakers, and with Dallas right behind. The Thunder play with revenge here after falling 121-113 to the Hornets in Charlotte back in December. Note that the Thunder have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-27-23 | Bucks v. Pistons OVER 232.5 | Top | 126-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Bucks/Pistons. Detroit's seen the total go UNDER the number in six straight. But that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. The Bucks annihilated the Pistons 150-130 in regulation in January, and I'm expecting a similar style, run and gun offensive blowout here as well. The Bucks had won four of five before a 129-106 loss at Denver. With two really winnable games here, before a tough home game vs. the Celtics on the 30th (up next is at Indiana), I expect the Bucks too bounce back here and keep the pedal to the metal throughout. This is a great opponent to get back on track against. Expect a faster tempo and a look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-26-23 | Grizzlies v. Hawks UNDER 243.5 | Top | 123-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Grizzlies/Hawks. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting that trend to end here. This total is now just a bit TOO high. Memphis is coming off five straight victories, including posting a combined 281 points in back-to-back victories over the Rockets. That includes scoring 150 in its most recent (in regulation!) The Hawks aren't known for their defensive prowess, but note that the Grizz have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after five or more SU victories in a row. The Hawks have scored a combined 267 points over their last two games, going 1-1. Last time out it was a 143-130 victory over Indiana. They play with revenge here though after a 128-103 loss at Memphis as a 9.5-point underdog back in December, which is important for us to take note of here as the Hawks have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is now a little bit too high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas UNDER 149.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER Miami Florida/Texas. Miami Florida is coming off the 89-75 upset win over No. 1 Houston last time out. That's three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Note though that the Hurricanes have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last six after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Texas had played to five straight UNDERS in the playoffs before its most recent 83-71 win over Xavier. Suffice to say, I'm expecting another good defensive performance from the Longhorns today. I'm expecting a lot of half and full court pressure throughout, and as such, everthing does point to this total being a few points too high. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-26-23 | Mavs v. Hornets OVER 228 | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTRA-EARLY TOTAL on the OVER Mavericks/Hornets. Charlotte will look to play spoiler again here against the floundering Mavericks. The Hornets are off the 117-109 upset here over the Mavs as 15.5-point underdogs on Frida night. Note that the Mavericks though have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. It's all hands on deck for the Mavericks with just two weeks remaining in the regular season. I'm expecting a much more wide open and offensive affair here in the rematch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-25-23 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 241 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Jazz/Kings. A great situational play here. Sacramento has seen the total go OVER the number in four straight after its most recent 135-127 win over Phoenix just last night. Suffice it to say, I believe fatigue will now be an issue for the home side here in the second game of the back-to-back. Utah has seen the total go OVER the number in ten straight. That fact though has only helped in driving this particular total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. The Kings play with revenge after a 128-120 loss to Utah as 8-point favorites on March 20th, which is also significant to note here, as Sacramento has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* ELITE EIGHT TOY on the UNDER FAU/KSU. If this were a regular season game, I'd likely lean to the OVER, but the overall situation points to more of a defensive affair here in my opinion. K-State has seen the total go OVER in three straight now in the Tournament, but note that the Wildcats have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. After their tough 98-93 OT win over MSU last time out, I think the Wildcats will come in fatigued here finally. FAU has seen five of its six postseason games go UNDER the number, including in its most recent 62-55 upet win over Tennessee. It was another impressive defensive performance and I expect the Owls to once again be on top of their game defensively here. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-24-23 | 76ers v. Warriors -6 | Top | 112-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Warriors. The defending champs will now look to run the table and gain some momentum with just over two weeks left in the regular season. Golden State returns home after back-to-back road win/covers. The Warriors are 29-7 at home this season. They play with the added incentive of revenge here as well aftre falling 118-106 at Philly as a nine-point dog in mid-December. Note though that Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The 76ers won't be rolling over obviously. They're off a 116-91 win at Chicago. But with another tough one at Phoenix tomorrow night, Philly could very easily be caught and planning by looking ahead to that one. This one has "blowout" written all over it in my opinion. Lay the points, the play is GOLDEN STATE. Good luck, NP |
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03-24-23 | Suns v. Kings UNDER 240.5 | Top | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Suns/Kings. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. The Suns have lost five of their last six. They've lost six straight ATS. They've seen the total go OVER in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here as Phoenix has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Phoenix plays with revenge after a 128-119 loss as a three-point favorite here at home to Sacramento on March 11th. That's also important to note, as the Suns have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. The Kings are off back-to-back losses as well. They've also seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but note that Sacramento has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas OVER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the OVER Xavier/Texas. Texas has so far rolled through the Big 12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament having played to five straight UNDERS. The Longhorns are also 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS so far in the postseason. Note though that the Longhorns have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Xavier has played five postseason games as well and the total has gone 3-2 to the UNDER. The Musketeers though are off a impressive 84-73 win over Pitt last time out and I think they carry that offesive momentum over to this one. This O/U number is a little low in my opinion, as I expect a faster-paced affair that eclipses the total as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-23-23 | Gonzaga v. UCLA UNDER 145.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Gonzaga/UCLA. UCLA will be looking to slow this one down vs. the Bulldogs offense. Gonzaga is ranked 75th in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Bruins have the second-ranked defense in the country though, limiting teams to just 87.8 points per 100 possessions, while only averaging 74.1 PPG themselves. Expect a more methodical pace, and as a result, the play here is on the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST HALF BOOKIEKILLER on Tennessee. I think we're getting great value here on the No. 1 defense in the country in the FIRST HALF. The last thing Tennessee can do is give FAU any sort of momentum or confidence, so I'm expecting the Vols to really take control of this contest from the outset. FAU struggled against the 350th ranked defense in Fairleigh Dickinson last time out, and this is a major step up. The Vols assert themselves early here; the play is Tennessee in the FIRST HALF! (If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, then I also still LOVE Tennessee for the entire game as well, so also a play on TENNESSEE for the GAME.) Good luck, NP |
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03-23-23 | Cavs v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Nets. The Nets have now lost four straight, both SU and ATS. The play with the immediate revenge factor here after falling 115-109 here to the Cavaliers just two nights ago. Note that the Nets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog against an opponent. It's not all doom and gloom for the Nets though, as they still occupy the sixth spot, one game up on Miami and 4.5 games up on Atlanta right now. There's only 2.5 weeks left in the regular season as well, so its the final push for everyone. After this the Cavs enjoy two nights off before a home game vs. the lowly Rockets. I think they get caught looking ahead. While I do think an outright is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The play is BROOKLYN. Good luck, NP |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State -124 v. Kansas State | 93-98 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Michigan State (MONEYLINE). I'm taking Tom Izzo and the Spartans on the moneyline option. These teams are evenly matched. Michigan State has the better offense, while K-State has the better defense. Michigan State has faced better defenses though this season. The Spartans are shooting the three-ball well this year, but they were just 2 of 16 in their win over the Golden Eagles. I don't see that type of futility happening twice in a row though. Look for Michigan State's superior overall play on both ends of the court to be the difference. The play is MICHIGAN STATE on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP |
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03-22-23 | 76ers v. Bulls OVER 221.5 | Top | 116-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER 76ers/Bulls. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. That includes in their last game vs. each other just two nights ago in Philadelphia, where Chicago managed the 109-105 OT upset as an 8.5-point underdog. Despite going to OT, the total still stayed well below the posted number of 226.5 in that one. And now we have an over-correction here in Chicago in my opinion with a much lower number. Note that Phily has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Chicago has now won three straight. The Bulls are starting to play with confidence once again. I think the rematch here in the Windy City finally sets up as more of a wide-open and high-scoring OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-22-23 | Nuggets v. Wizards +7 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Wizards. I think this one sets up well for the Wizards. They play with revenge here after falling 141-128 at Denver as an 11-point underdog back in December. Washington has responded well in the revenge role, going 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Washington has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's also significant to note here, as the Wizards are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Denver is coming off a 108-102 win and cover at Brooklyn, but it hasn't been playing well overall of late, going just 2-5 in its last seven. It's traded wins and losses over this four-game road trip, and another letdown is imminent here in my opinion. And the combine the letdown with the "look-ahead," as the Nuggets will have two nights off before a home matchup vs. Milwaukee. It's a TRAP for the visitors and a "do or die" of sorts for the home side. I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I expect Washington to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points, the play is the WIZARDS. Good luck, NP |
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03-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Charlotte -4.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Charlotte. Charlotte is coming off a relatively simple 63-56 win over Radford yesterday, also going on to cover the five-point spread. The 49ers have been roughly a five-point fav in each game so far throughout this Tournament, and they've covered quite easily in each with a dominant defensive effort. It's been anything but easy for EKU though, which has played to three straight OT victories to advance, including a double OT win over Southern Utah last night. The last two games the Colonels have been underdogs. Fatigue is an issue for both sides obviously, but much more so for EKU. I just can't see this team having enough energy to overcome this aggressive 49ers defense. I smell a blowout here, so the play is indeed on CHARLOTTE. Good luck, NP |
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03-21-23 | Celtics v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER Celtics/Kings. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. I'm expecting a less intense offensive game than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. This is the end of a tough six-game Western swing for the Celtics and I think they're on fumes right now, especially after falling 118-117 at Utah in their most recent. And for the Kings, they saw their three-game win streak come to and end last night at Utah. Fatigue will play a major factor in the outcome of this contest for both teams. These teams played to a lower-scoring UNDER in Boston's win at home at the start of the season, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-21-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Southern Utah -3 | Top | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Southern Utah. Southern Utah got past rice to advance in the CBI, while Eastenr Kentucky needed OT to upset Indiana State 89-88 as a 6.5-point underdog. Southern Utah lost to Grand Canyon in the final of the WAC. Overall they shot 47 percent from the field and 35 percent from range. The Colonels upset Indiana State, but I expect a letdown here. Their weakness comes at the free throw line, where they rank 333rd in the country at 65.9 percent shooting. EKU has had to play two straight OT games. I say its out of gas here. Southern Utah shoots the three-ball well, and the Colonels strugge to defend it. Lay the points, the play is SOUTHERN UTAH. Good luck, NP |
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03-20-23 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 238 | Top | 120-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Kings/Jazz. I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Utah has won three of its last four. It's seen the total go OVER the number in seven straight. But that fact has just helped in driving this particular total here today a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion. When these teams played on January 3rd here, Sacramento managed the 117-115 upset win as a 2.5-point dog and the total stayed well "under" the number of 242.5. I'm expecting an even tigher, more defensive affair this time around though. Note that the Jazz have also seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Sacramento enters off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row (all on the road), but note that the Kings have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last six after playing to three or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Two hot teams collide, but I expect this competitive atmosphere to produce a defensive battle. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-19-23 | Clippers v. Blazers +4.5 | Top | 117-102 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF GOY on the Blazers. I like the Blazers to dig deep here and snap a five-game slide. Note that Portland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after playing to five or more straight losses in a row. Portland plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 118-112 to the Clippers here at home as four-point favorites back on November 29th. And that's definitely significant for us to take note of here, as the Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. The Clippers' four-game win streak came to end last night in a 113-108 home loss to the lowly Magic as 6.5-point favorites, and I'm expecting a small letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back, especially with an upcoming four-game favorable home schedule starting on Tuesday with two straight against the Thunder. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The play is PORTLAND. Good luck, NP |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (TOP DOG SHOCKER) Saint Mary's is battle-tested. So is UConn. The Gaels' defense is ranked 12th, with an adjusted efficiency margin of +21.94. The Gaels limit teams to just 91.3 points per 100 possessions. They are averaging 71.1 PPG as well, so I expect them to keep pace with a Huskies side averaging 78.7 PPG. This will be one of the Huskies most difficult defenses they've faced all year and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has it's hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is SAINT MARY'S. Good luck, NP |
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03-19-23 | Eastern Washington v. Oklahoma State -11 | Top | 60-71 | Push | 0 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Oklahoma State. Eastern Washington upset Washington State 81-74 as a nine-point underdog to advance to the second round of the NIT, but I am expecting a letdown here as the competition increases. Beating your weak instate rival is one thing, but taking out Oklahoma State is going to be quite another. l The Cowboys beat Oklahoma in the conference tournament, before bowing out to Texas. Then Oklahoma State opened this tourney with a 69-64 win over a potentially dangerous Youngstown State side. Great defensive play and efficient offensive play will be just too much for the Eagles to overcome this time around. This is a great matchup for OKLAHOMA STATE and I expect it to make the most of it, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Good luck, NP |
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03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz +4.5 | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP SITUATIONAL PLAY on the Jazz. Boston is now 3-1 on its current road trip after a 126-112 win at Portland last night. I do think that fatigue will be an issue here now in the second game of the back-to-back. And with an upcoming game at the high-flying Kings up next, it's also a natural "look-ahead" spot. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game. The Jazz have gone just 2-2 SU in their last four, but they're 4-0 ATS. They return home from a six game Eastern swing and have had four whole nights off to prepare for this one. The road ahead isn't going to get any easier for Utah either, so I expect it to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, the play is the JAZZ. Good luck, NP |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SHCKER on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won six of eight neutral site games this season and I think they're going to, at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Kansas also had a 6-2 record in neutral-site games this season. The Razorbacks were impressive defensively in their win over Illinois, holding it to just 27.6 percent from the floor. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is ARKANSAS. Good luck, NP |
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03-18-23 | Michigan +2 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Michigan. The bottom line here is that Michigan is ranked better in both shooting efficiency and effective field goal percentage. The Wolverines' defense is also ranked higher in most metrics. Michigan is also ranked in the top 10 for defensive rebounds per game. The eye test here for me says that Michigan is the better overall team. The play is the WOLVERINES. Good luck, NP |
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03-17-23 | Arizona State v. TCU -5.5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on TCU. ASU managed a 98-73 win over Nevada in the FIRST FOUR, but I'm not reading too much into that final outcome. I think we can all agree that that Mountain West Conference is just terrible. TCU is a huge step up in competition. It beat KSU 80-67 in the Conference Tournament, before then falling to Texas 66-60. The Horned Frogs played in the much tougher conference and I expect them to completely slow down ASU's attack here today. Look for the FROGS to grind out the solid win and cover in this one. Good luck, NP |
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03-17-23 | Warriors v. Hawks UNDER 249 | Top | 119-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Warriors/Hawks. Two teams that play little defense and like to run other teams off the court collide here, but I still think this number is too high. Golden State has seen the total go OVER the number in five straight, and that's significant for us to note, as the Warriors have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last seven after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. Golden State is 36-34 overall, but just 7-27 on the road. Offensive consistency has been one of the main reasons. The Hawks are coming off two straight home losses here. Both games went OVER the number. They play with revenge after a 143-141 OT loss at Golden State on January 2nd, and note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. I expect the rematch to be a sloppy, and lower-scoring UNDER this time around. Good luck, NP |
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03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Xavier. These teams are similar, in that they like to shoot the three-ball; Kennesaw State is ranked 34th in the country with a 37.1 percentage, while Xavier is No. 3, with a 39.5 percentage. The Owls are just overmatched here. They've averaged 71.3 PPG over their last four games, but their competition has been weak. The Musketeers have averaged 76 PPG over their last four in the much tougher Big East conference. Look for the size and experience of the Musketeers to be just too much for the Owls to handle down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is XAVIER. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-23 | Magic +7.5 v. Suns | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Magic. Both teams come in on losing streaks and could really use a win here. I often talk about the revenge factor, as its often a great situational factor that can work in a team's and a bettors favor. But at times, the whole revenge angle just doesn't work. And that's the case here in this one, as Orlando did manage a 114-97 win over the Suns, but that was all the way back on November 1st. Phoenix was rolling with KD in the line-up, and then the Super Star went down and now the Suns are struggling with consistency. They have a tough three-game Western road trip upcoming, and I believe they get caught looking ahead and planning for that. I expect Orlando to keep this one close enough to, at the very least, earn the comfortable cover. The play is the MAGIC. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-23 | Northern Kentucky +18.5 v. Houston | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RND. 1 DOG on Northern Kentucky. Yes, Houston has a great defenese. But so does UNK. The Cougars could be without their leading scorer here in Marcus Sasser. If he does play, will he be at 100% health? UNK closed out the regular season and conference tournament well and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is NORTHERN KENTUCKY. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14.5 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Arizona. Princeton is completely overmatched here. This will be the best defense it's seen all season. Princeton faced only one NCAA Tourney team this year and it lost to Iona in December. Arizona faced seven different tourney teams throughout the season, including more than once, and the Wildcats went 10-2 SU vs. them. It's a mismatch. I say that Arizona keeps its foot on the gas until the final horn. Lay the points, the play is ARIZONA. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston v. San Diego State OVER 142 | Top | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST ROUND TOY on the OVER Charleston/SDSU. Both teams enter the NCAA Tournament having played to several "unders," but I expect those trends to end here this afternoon. Charleston is 31-3, including 11-2 on the road, while SDSU finished 27-6 overall. Charleston has five players averaging in double figures. SDSU won both the Mountain West Conference regular and Conference Tourney. Ultimately though I think that Charleston's pace will help in driving this total well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-16-23 | West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 136.5 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL WINNER on the OVER WVU/Maryland. I'm expecting a much more wide-open offensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. WVU is 19-14, but it's going for its fourth win in its last five games. Maryland started the season 8-0, and finished 21-12. WVU was decent defensively at home, but it struggled on the road. That'll be the case for both teams here in my opinion. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these teams are evenly matched. Expect that to result in a highly-competitive, but ultimately higher-scoring game than what this O/U line is suggesting. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP |
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03-15-23 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Utah Valley. I think Utah Valley sneaks in under the radar here. It finished 25-8, but was knocked out of the semifinals of the WAC Tournament to Southern Utah by a score of 89-88, squandering a 23-point second-half lead. The Wolverines will be eager to take out their frustrations here today with a concerted effort obviously. New Mexico finished 22-11 and was bounced from the MW semi's by Utah State 91-76. New Mexico has dropped nine of its last 13 games, while Utah Valley is in much better form. I think the outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the points with UTAH VALLEY. Good luck, NP |
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03-15-23 | Kings v. Bulls +2 | Top | 117-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Bulls. Chicago is coming off two straight road wins, beating Denver and Houston. I think the Bulls keep the momentum rolling here in this revenge-scenario. Chicago lost 110-101 to Sacramento on December 4th, and note that the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Kings just had their three-game win skein come to an end in a 133-124 setback at Milwaukee on Tuesday and with a game at Brooklyn tomorrow, I believe they're primed for another letdown here in Chicago. Grab the points, the play is the BULLS. Good luck, NP |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson OVER 147 | Top | 61-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST FOUR TOY on the OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/Texas Southern. With a chance to advance, I'm expecting a wide-open "shoot-out" between these teams. This total opened at 146.5 and it's already gone up a point. I'm going to follow this movement as I still don't think it's nearly high enough. Both teams move at a good pace, with Texas Southern 72nd in the nation in that category, and FDU rated 110th. Fairleigh Dickinson averages 78.3 PPG, and it concedes 76. The Knights need to push the pace to win. The Tigers average 69.7 PPG, while conceding 72.7. This is going to be a wide-open offensive affair in my opinion, as I expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 133 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Pittsburgh/Mississippi State. I'm expecting a very defensive affair here. With a spread like this, obviously the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched and they pretty much are. Pittsburgh averages 76.1 PPG, while allowing 70.5, while Mississippi State averages only 65.9 PPG, while conceding just 61. The Bulldogs will be looking to control the pace of this one obviously (managed just 49 points in a loss to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Tourney quarter-finals.) I'm expecting full and half-court pressure throughout. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP |
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03-14-23 | Bradley +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* Bradley (BLOWOUT) Bradley won the Missouri Valley Conference regular season crown, but lost in the Conference tournament and missed its change for a ticket to the Big Dance. With a chance for this veteran team to take out its frustrations here, I think the Badgers are going to be in trouble. Wisconsin finished 11th in the Big Ten. The Badgers lost in the first round of the Tournament to Ohio State, led by some terrible shooting. The Braves enter with a net scoring margin of +8, which is 31st in the nation. The Badgers end this game with a net scoring margin of +1.1 points, which is 151st. I think BRADLEY has every opportunity to win this game outright, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Good luck, NP |
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