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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee +8 v. Detroit | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Milwaukee enters at 8-5. I'm going to stop short in calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this game coming "right down to the wire." Detroit is 6-8, and 4-0 at home, but I think the Titans'll have their hands full today. The Panthers won't be lacking motivation after starting out 1-4 on the road. They fell 83-61 at Oakland most recently. Detroit is coming off a win over Green Bay, but previous to that it dropped three in a row. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar. Look for the hungry Panthers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS victory; grab the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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12-30-22 | Buffalo v. Michigan State -15 | Top | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BEST OF BEST) I think the 6-6 Bulls, who are 0-2 on the road, will stumble and fall here after winning five of their last seven. MSU is 4-1 at home already, and it comes in red hot after three straight victories. The Bulls were blown out in both of their road games already this season and everything points to another beatdown here; look for MSU's defense to be the big differnce-maker and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | CS Bakersfield +10.5 v. Cal-Riverside | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
l0* CSU Bakersfield (BIG WEST GOY) UC Riverside won its last game, beating Portland at home, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight. Cal State won't be lacking for motivation today after falling 56-48 to Fresno State. This is a battle of strengths, as the Highlanders have the better offense, while the Roadrunners have the better defense. But with a tougher game at Long Beach State up next, I think the home side'll get caught looking ahead and ultimately take the foot off the gas in the second half. Look for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is CSU Bakersfield! AAA Sports |
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12-28-22 | Colorado State +6.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Colorado State is 8-5 and New Mexico is 12-0. I'm not calling for an outright upset here, but I do think the stage is set or a much closer/tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Rams look to rebound off a 73-64 loss at USC. They average 76.2 PPG. New Mexico is averaging 84.5 PPG after smoking Prarie View A&M by a score of 94-63. But note that New Mexico is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home win in which it score 90 or more points in. Look for the Rams underrated defense to keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | George Washington v. Washington State -11.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Washington State (ULTIMATE BEATDOWN) George Washington is 6-4 and Washington State is 4-6. This is part of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic Tournament. The Colonials are coming off an 83-71 win over Coppin State, while the Cougars fell 65-59 to Baylor as ten-point dogs. Previous to their most recent win, the Colonials had lost two straight. They're averaging 75.7 PPG, while allowing 70.4. Washington State is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 63.9. WSU has played the stiffer competition and I think it'll finally take advantage of this favorable matchup and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Washington State! AAA Sports |
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12-21-22 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +9.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
10* BC (ACC GOM) Virginia Tech is 11-1, while Boston College is 6-6. VT is coming off a very satisfying 80-72 win over UNC to kick-off Conference play, and I think it'll have a bit of a mental letdown here in the second half against BC, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is coming off a 75-59 loss at Duke. The Hokies' numbers, including their record, are a bit skewed as well, as their non-conference strength of schedule was just 288th in the country. BC just ended a four-game slide with a 63-56 win over Stonehill. Now that the Conference schedule has arrived, we'll see these teams numbers normalize moving forward. I'm not calling for the outright or anything, but say the stage is set for a dramatic battle until the end; grab the points, the play is Boston College! AAA Sports |
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12-20-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi +17 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 58-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
10* TEXAS A&M CC (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think that 7-4 Oklahoma State will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent here to its X-Mas break and then its big matchup vs. Kansas before the New Year. Corpus Christie is now 6-5 after its 104-69 win over Schreiner. The Cowboys have been trading ATS wins/losses over their last six games, and I expect this pattern to continue. Corpus Christie is averaging 64.5 PPG, while allowing 72.5. OKS is averaging 70.8 PPG, while allowing 61.8. But as I mentioned, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "trap" for the home side; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Texas A&M! AAA Sports |
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12-19-22 | South Dakota +1.5 v. UMKC | Top | 45-62 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* South Dakota (GOW) South Dakota has lost three straight, and I expect it to break that slide and find a way to deliver here on the road Monday. The Coyotes are coming off a tight 89-88 loss to Coastal Carolina. The good news was they made 50 percent of their shots from the floor, including 48.5 percent from range. Expect this deadly accuracy to be the difference-maker tonight. KC is five games under .500 following a six-point loss to Green Bay, shooting only 35.9 percent. The Coyotes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Roos are just 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss; the play is South Dakota AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Colorado State +11.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (BEST OF BEST) Colorado State is 7-4, while Saint Mary's is 9-3. The Rams are coming off a 115-72 home win over lowly Peru State College, but I think they'll take that confidence and momentum on the road with them here and keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Saint Mary's is coming off a win over New Mexico State. Colorado State has the offense to hang with the Gaels, but so far the Rams have struggled on the defensive end. That's the difference here, but I think that the Gaels will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today towards the X-Mas break, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points the play is CSU! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think the 5-5 Vanderbilt Commodores will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points they've been afforded. NC State is 9-3, but I believe it'll have its hands full here in the Legends Of Basketball Showcase in Chicago this evening. Vanderbilt lost a tough game to Grambling 64-62 despite winning the rebounding battle 37 to 29. They're a great defensive team and I expect a rebound here. NC State's opening schedule was weak. It now enters having lost two of its last three. They're coming off a 92-73 win over Furman, but this is a huge step back up in competition. NC State's offensive numbers are a bit skewed in my opinion, as ultimately I feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Vanderbilt! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Weber State +5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* Weber State (MAULING) Weber State is just 3-7, but I think it'll give 5-4 Cal Poly Slo everything it can handle tonight. Weber State broke a five-game slide with an 82-58 win over St. Martin's last time out. The Wildcats are averaging 65.8 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Dillon Jones leads the nightly charge with 65.8 points per game. Cal Poly is 5-4 after a 74-68 loss to Washington last time out. The Mustangs average 66.8 PPG, while allowing 64.1. Alimamy Koroma averages 12.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. Both teams have been challenged early in their sechedules. The Wildcats won't roll over here. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Weber State! AAA Sports |
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12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine v. Santa Clara -1.5 | Top | 74-86 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara (BEST OF BEST) I think this one favors 9-3 Santa Clara. The Broncos lost this game last year by a score of 69-64, but I expect them to dig deep here and to snap a six-game losing slide in this series. UC Irving is 7-3 after a road win over South Dakota. The Anteaters are now averaging 80.1 PPG. The Broncos average 72.8, but their superior defensive play is the difference-maker for me in this contest. Lay the short-points, but expect a decisive win; the play is Santa Clara! AAA Sports |
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12-14-22 | Georgia State +21 v. Auburn | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (UPSET SHOCKER) Auburn is now 8-1 after a poor loss to Memphis on Saturday, and I think it could still be mentally caught up on that setback. Ultimately I believe Georgia State will have an opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door. It's basically a TRAP game, because after this they have a game at the 7-3 Washington Huskies, so I also think the Tigers could be caught looking ahead to that much more high-profile contest. Bruce Pearl's team has been great, but they were held to just 38.1 percent shooting from the floor from Penny Hardaway's Memphis side, and that included just 25 percent from range. The Tigers were also outscored 50-24 in the paint. So far Auburn is averaging just 73 points per game, which is 173rd in the country. If the Tigers are going to repeat as SEC Champions, then they're going to have to try and find some more offense. Georgia State is just 5-4 and it's coming off a 66-46 loss to Northeastern on December 4th. The 20 point loss was the Panthers worst of the season (but note that Georgia State is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after a straight up and againast the spread loss of 20 or more points.) Clearly Auburn is the better team, but I just think this is a bad spot for the Tigers and a great one for the Panthers. I'm obviously not calling for the outright upset, but I do think the stage is set for a tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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12-13-22 | UMass Lowell v. Rhode Island +2.5 | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (MAULING) Umass Lowell River i scoming off a 68-59 win over St. Francis. It's averaging 82.2 PPG, but so far the Hawks haven't played anyone of any significance. Rhode Island is now 3-7 after a 77-67 win over Army as a 7-point favorite. The Rams average 64.9 PPG. Their strength of schedule definitely has been more difficult though. Let's not overreact to early numbers. This is a game which Rhode Island can win outright, but I think we're getting a gift here with the points; the play is the Rams! AAA Sports |
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12-12-22 | Monmouth +22 v. Syracuse | Top | 71-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (SHOCKER) Outright win? Of course not. I just think that the 1-9 Monmouth Hawks will comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread they've been afforded here. Syracuse is 6-4 after its big 83-64 home win over Georgetown. It has a home game against Cornell up next. I think the home side will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas in the second half. Monmouth averages 61.5 PPG, while Syracuse averages 73.3. Expect a much tighter game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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12-11-22 | St Francis PA +16.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 66-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* St. Francis (MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the backdoor will be left wide-open for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the large amount of points that it's been afforded here. St. Francis comes into this game with a 3-7 record. So far the Red Flash average 74.2 PPG, while allowing 74.3. Hawaii is 5-3. It averages 67.5 PPG, while allowing just 59.8. The Red Flash offense will test Hawaii here and it's the difference-maker in the end. Despite how well the Warriors are playing defensively, I'm expecting a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is St. Francis PA! AAA Sports |
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12-10-22 | Louisville +10 v. Florida State | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) We have a couple of really poor teams colliding here in ACC action on Saturday afternoon. Louisville is 0-8 SU/ATS, while FSU is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS. Louisville is only averaging 57.4 PPG, while Florida State is averaging 65.5. These teams are both terrible defensively. Both have more questions than answers. I have no trust whatsoever that Louisville can pull off a road upset, but at the same time, I don't trust the Seminoles either to cover such a large spread. For this selection, expect it to be a tight competitive affair throughout, but grab the points; the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota +4.5 | Top | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Golden Gophers. This is Michigan's first true road game of the season and I think it'll struggle in this difficult road venue. The Wolverines return from their 73-69 loss to No. 19 Kentucky in London as well, so travel and the fatigue factor becomes an issue as well. UM has lost three of the last four in this series as well. This is a big game for Minnesota, playing here at Williams Arena for the first time since Nov. 17th. Last year Minnesota beat the Wolverines 75-65 in Ann Arbor for the first time since 2011. The average margin of victory between these teams over the last ten games is 3.2 points. This one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last; so grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-07-22 | Connecticut v. Florida +4.5 | Top | 75-54 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Florida (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Florida is 6-3 and UConn is 9-0. This is going to be a competitive battle, one which I see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last. The Huskies are coming off a 74-64 win over Oklahoma State. So far UConn is averaging 82.9 PPG, while allowing 58.7. The Gators come in off an 89-51 win over Stetson. Florida average 81 PPG, while conceding just 69. Yes, UConn is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine overall, but looking back finds is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine true road contests. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four in this series head-to-head and as I stated off the top, while the outright win isn't out of the question, I'm going to grab the points in a contest that has all the makings of a competitive "nail-biter;" the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-06-22 | Tex A&M Commerce v. Wyoming -12.5 | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (ULTIMATE BLOWOUT) For a number of different reasons, I expect Wyoming to lay a beating on Texas A&M Commerce. Wyoming is 3-5 and Texas A&M Commerce is 4-5. The Lions are coming off a 93-84 loss to Denver. They're averaging 70.1 PPG, while allowing 66.3. Their level of competition needs to be taken with a "grain of salt" though to thi s oint. Wyoming is coming off consecutive defeats to Santa Clara and Grand Canyon. The Cowboys are averaging 72.3 PPG, while conceding 69.9. Wyoming though has faced much stiffer competition. This is a great matchup for the Cowboys, and because of their difficult start, I don't expect them to take the foot off the gas at all tonight. With the home side keeping the pdeal to the metal until the final horn, all signs point to a lop-sided destruction; lay the points, the play is Wyoming! AAA Sports |
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12-05-22 | North Dakota State +16 v. Portland | Top | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* North Dakota State (MAULING) The North Dakota State Bison come in "under the radar" here after starting 1-8 and on a four-game slide. That includes a 78-70 loss to Eastern Washington on the road in their most recent. But I think the 7-4 Pilots will come in complacent here and "look past" their lowly opponent today after a 90-69 home win over North Dakota in their most recent outing. If we looked only at these team's offensive and defensive numbers, then we'd come to the conclusion that the Pilots are the much better team. And they are. But this is a bad spot for them to cover this many points. I think the Bison keep this one close enough for sure to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; the play is North Dakota State! AAA Sports |
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12-04-22 | Stanford +5 v. Arizona State | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOY) Stanford is now 3-5 after an 80-66 home loss to UCLA in its most recent action. The Cardinal average 66.5 PPG. Arizona State is 7-1. It's coming off an upset 60-59 road win at Colorado as a 4.5-point underdog and I think a predictable letdown is in the cards here tonight for the home side. The Sun Devils are averaging a slightly better 72.2 PPG. ASU comes in a bit complacent here and also gets caught looking ahead to its neutral site game against Creighton next week. It's a "trap" for the Sun Devils. No such luxury for the Cardinal though. Stanford is struggling on offense, but makes up for it defensively in holding opponents to just 65.4 PPG. I think this is going to come down to the wire, as I said off the top, I think this is a great "spot" for the visitors; grab the points, the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (NON-CONF GOM) Outright win?! While anything is of course possible, my official call here will be to grab as many points as you can with the 1-5 Frenso State Bulldogs. The UC Irvine Anteaters are 6-2 and I think they come out complacent here and get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent this evening to two weeks off, before a conference matchup at 6-2 Santa Clara. Clearly, the Bulldogs don't have the luxury to look past anyone or to take the foot off the gas at any point in this game. I like betting on motivated teams. I think the Anteaters are primed for a classic letdown. I'm banking on this one being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-03-22 | Oral Roberts v. Tulsa +4 | 77-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Tulsa (SPECIAL) Oral Roberts is 5-3 and Tulsa is 2-4. I think that home floor can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one. Oral Roberts is coming off a loss to Utah State. It averages 84.1 PPG, but its competition to this point needs to be taken into account. Tulsa is off a loss to Oklahoma State. Overall the Golden Hurricane are averaging 70.2 PPG. Their schedule to this point has been more difficult. This is a battle for the PSO Mayor's Cup, and I think Tulsa will correct some of its issues and, at the very least, take it right down to the wire; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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12-02-22 | Boston University v. Merrimack +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Merrimack (MID-MAJOR MAULING) These teams are evenly matched. They always play to tight, competitive affairs, as the last two head-to-head matchups have been decided by a grand total of just three points. We can expect a similar battle until the end tonight, and that's why I'm definitely grabbing the points in this matchup. BU has now dropped three in a row, so it comes in with zero momentum. Merrimack may only average 56.4 PPG, but it's only allowing 56.3. I think Boston is completely over-priced here, so I'm grabbing the points; the play is Merrimack! AAA Sports |
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12-01-22 | Illinois State +12.5 v. Murray State | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I definitely think that this spread is a few points too large. Illinois State is 2-5. It's on a four-game SU losing streak after a 57-44 home loss to Rhode Island. The Racers are the better team, but they're just 3-3 after Saturday's 69-66 road loss to Chatanooga. So far the Redbirds are averaging 61.3 PPG, while allowing 67. Murray State is averaging 76.3 PPG, while allowing 70.5. I think Illinois State's defense will keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Redbirds! AAA Sports |
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11-30-22 | Purdue v. Florida State +15 | Top | 79-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* FSU (BLOOD-BATH) This of course is part of the BIG 10/ACC Challenge. Outside of the Final Four Tournament, many college basketball fans enjoy this stretch of the season more than any other. Regardless, for this one we have two teams on completely opposite ends of the spectrum. Purdue is 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread, while Florida State is 1-7 straight-up and 1-7 against the spread. The Boilermakers already have wins over Duke, Gonzaga and West Virginia. They've held three teams to under 60 points so far this season. Zach Edey is the main man, averaging 21.7 points and 12 rebounds per game. Florida State has had a miserable start to its season. Its only win was against Mercer. The Seminoles have actually failed to score 60 points in four of their seven games. One bright spot has been the play of Caleb Mills who averages 12.6 points and 3.2 assists per game. This isn't about picking a straight up winner. This is about which team can cover with the spread, and for me, I just think that the public hammering the Boilermakers left right and center. just whenever they're playing now, while at the same time they see how much Florida State has struggled, and both of those factors have combined to make this spread a few points larger than it really should be; I'm going to grab the points with FSU! AAA Sports |
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11-29-22 | Alcorn State v. Grand Canyon -12.5 | Top | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Alcorn State is 3-4 SU, and Grand Canyon is 5-2. The Alcorn State Braves average 62.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. I expect them to have their hands full today. Dominic Brewton leads the nightly charge for the Braves with 13.1 points and 5.6 boards per game. The Antelopes are averaging 72.9 PPG, while conceding just 55.1. They have a deep and experienced team led by Jovan Blacksher Jr, who averages 11.3 points and 2.5 boards per game. These teams have a similar opponent this year. Alcorn State upset Wichita State, but Grand Canyon lost to it. But let's not overreact to early season results. This is a mismatch and I like the Antelopes to deliver at home; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-27-22 | Dartmouth +4 v. Texas-San Antonio | Top | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Dartmouth (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Dartmouth Big Green are 1-4 and the UTSA Roadrunners are 4-2. Dartmouth is off a tight 69-64 loss to Incarnate Word. Dusan Neskovic leads the nightly charge with 13.4 points and 4.2 rebounds per game for the Big Green. Dartmouth has no issues scoring, entering averaging 77.4 PPG. UTSA averages 65.5. The Roadrunners are coming off a humbling 75-55 loss to Grambling State. Japhet Medor leads the team with 12.7 points and four assists per game. Dartmouth though is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six after an ATS loss, while UTSA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage below .400. Dartmouth's defense catches a break this week. I say the outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-26-22 | Iowa v. TCU +6 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* TCU (TOURNEY GOW) This is part of the Emerald Coast Classic in Niceville, Florida. Iowa is 5-0 thi syear after beating Clemson 74-71 last time out. So far the Hawkeyes are averaging 96 PPG, while conceding 65. Kris Murray leads the nightly charge with 23.8 points and eight rebounds per game. TCU is 4-1 after beating Cal 59-48 last time out. The Horned Frogs went on to force 19 turnovers in the victory. So far they're averaging 77 PPG, while allowing 65.5. Mike Miles Jr. leads TCU with 20.5 PPG on average. Iowa let a big lead slip away late against Clemson, and almost stumbled last time out. Look for the Horned Frogs aggressive defensive play to be the difference maker here; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | North Dakota State v. Northern Colorado +2.5 | Top | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (MAULING) We have a couple of 1-4 teams going head-to-head here, but I believe this is a contest that favors the visiting side. North Dakota State is coming off its first win of the year, albeit over Crown College. UNC lost to CO Christian in its last outing. Northern Colorado matches up well with North Dakota State. Also, the Bears have hit 69 or or more points in three of their last four games. UNC is the more motivated side and I expect it to pull away for a comfortable win/cover; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-25-22 | Idaho +13.5 v. Pacific | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
8* Idaho (SPECIAL) Idaho ia only 1-5 SU, including 0-3 ATS on the road. It's also just 1-4 ATS. The Vandals have many issues, but I still think that 2-3 Pacific is overvalued here. The Tigers are 0-2 SU/ATS at home, so the home floor advantage is not a factor whatsoever in this particular matchup. Idaho is off a high-scoring 82-71 loss to Cal Poly Slo. The Vandals can score, averaging 73.7 PPG. Pacific averages 83.6. These defenses are both pretty terrible, so let's call that area a "wash." Look for the hungrier Vandals to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch AAA Sports |
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11-24-22 | Fresno State +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Fresno State is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS. Vanderbilt is 2-3 SU/ATS. The Bulldogs are averaging 58.4 PPG, while allowing 61.4 Isaih Moore is averaging 12.8 points and 6.8 boards for Fresno State. The Commodores are averaging 70 PPG, while allowing 66.5. Jordan Wright leads the nightly charge for Vanderbilt by averaging 11.3 points and 3.8 assists per game. This is the consolation game in the Wooden Legacy tournament and I think the Bulldogs are primed for a breakout performance here. On the flip-side, I think this has been a big disappointment for Jerry Stackhouse and the Commodores. Both teams are coming off tight losses. I'll caution reading too much into their respective offensive and defensive numbers so early. I think the Bulldogs superior defense though will "win the day" here; that said, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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11-23-22 | Louisville +7 v. Cincinnati | 62-81 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Louisville (SPECIAL) Louisville is 0-5 SU/ATS, but I believe it can, at the very least, keep tonight's contest close enough to cover with what I feel to be a generous spread. Cincinnati is 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS. The winner will take seventh spot in the Maui Jim Invitational. The Cardinals are coming off a 70-38 loss to Texas Tech. Jae'lyn Withers led the way in a losing cause with seven points and five boards. Cincinnati is coming off an 81-53 blwout loss to Ohio State as a 3-point underdog. The early numbers for both teams have been terrible. I think these teams are definitely evenly matched. In a contest that I see being decided late though, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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11-22-22 | Tenn-Martin +4 v. Arkansas State | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Tennessee Martin (SPECIAL) The Tennessee Martin Skyhawks are 3-3, and the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-2. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TN-Martin is coming off a win over Prairie View, while Arkansas State is off a loss to UC Davis. The Skyhawks had 43 second-half points in their last win, I think they can keep that offensive momentum rolling here against a Red Wolves side that just lost 75-60 to UC Davis. The Skyhawks have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but as stated off the top, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | Rhode Island +10 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (NON-CONF GOW) These teams are closing out the first round of the Cayman Islands Classic on Monday night. Rhode Island is 1-2, and it's coming off its first win of the season in 74-64 victory over Stonehill. K-State is 3-0, most recently handling Kansas City by a score of 69-53. Rhode Island has some talent in players like Abdou Samb, averaging over ten points per game in the early going. The Cougars are only allowing 55.3 PPG, which is the lowest in the country so far, but that's been in part due to the level of competition it's faced. Markquis Nowell averages 3.3 steals per game for the Wildcats. Rhode Island isn't going to win this game, but I expect the Rams to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Nebraska -20 | Top | 58-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BLOWOUT BOB) For a number of different reasons I expect Nebraska to blowout Arkansas-Pine Bluff this afternoon. The Golden Lions are 1-5. They average 65 PPG. They're off a 67-58 loss at Cleveland State. Nebraska is now 2-1 after a 70-50 loss at St. John's as a 9.5-point underdog. The Huskers average 68 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS win. Nebraska on the other hand is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. teams with losing road records. Look for the Huskers to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as I expect the Golden Lions offense to struggle here; lay the points, the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | Bryant v. Florida International +3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* FIU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 2-1. Bryant is averaging 77.5 PPG and allowing 44.5. The Bulldogs competition to this point has to be called into question though. FIU has so far averaged 82 PPG, while allowing 82.3. The Bulldogs just got crushed by FAU on the road though. One of their two wins was against a division 2 opponent. FIU is definitely not as good as FAU, but the Golden Panthers are shooting the ball well right now, and I expect that to be a difference-maker here at home; grab the points, the play is Florida International! AAA Sports |
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11-18-22 | Lafayette v. Maryland-Baltimore County -1 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
10* UMBC (LATE INFO PLAY) These are two bad teams, but this is a matchup that I believe favors UMBC. Lafayette is 0-3 and UMBC is 1-2. The Leopards are off a 63-59 loss to Saint Joseph's. CJ Fulton is the leading scorer with an average of 13.3 PPG. Overall Lafeyette averages 60.3 PPG. The Retreivers are off a 94-64 loss to Princeton. Colton Lawrence leads the nightly charge for UMBC by averaging 14.7 points per game. UMBC is averaging 74.3 PPG. The Retreivers are also 5-1 ATS their last six at home. The Leopards are overvalued here on the road and getting too much respect from bettors after starting the season 3-0 ATS. Look for UMBC to take care of business here; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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11-16-22 | Southern Indiana v. Notre Dame -14.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Notre Dame (BLOOD-BATH) Southern Indiana is 1-1 and Notre Dame is 2-0. The Screaming Eagles are off an upset 71-53 home win over Southern Illinois as a ten-point underdog. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? It was a greart victory, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here. The Screaming Eagels are still ranked fourth in the weak Ohio Valley Conference. The Irish are off an 88-81 win over Youngstown State. ND has yet to cover a spread this season, but that's only helped in driving today's line a few points lower that it normally would/should be. I'm taking advantage. this is a total mismatch. Look for the Irish to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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11-15-22 | Dayton v. UNLV +5 | Top | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNLV (BOB) Both teams are 2-0. Dayton beat SMU on Friday by a score of 74-62, while UNLV got the better of Incarnate Word by a score of 88-63. The Flyers didn't have their best outing, but still managed to win last time out: ''The thing that impressed me most was that they stayed poised,'' Dayton coach Anthony Grant said. ''This was a back-and-forth, highly contested game. I think we had at one point a 13-point lead in the second half that they erased. I think our guys understood what they needed to do. They didn't get rattled.” They only shot 30.8 percent from range in the victory. UNLV shot 55.4 percent overall in its latest win. But UNLV head coach Kevin Kruger was more impressed with the defensive effort: "I thought it was a really great effort defensively. Again, forcing 25 turnovers is what gets things going for us. I'm really proud and happy for them. We shot it well, shared the ball, got it in the paint, kicked it out, swung it, drove it - a lot of good plays for each other. We were able to get downhill and get to the free throw line, so that's going to have to be our M.O. offensively, just sharing it, driving and kicking, relocating, but all-in-all I thought it was a pretty good night for us." I think these teams are evenly matched for the most part and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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11-14-22 | Monmouth +27.5 v. Illinois | Top | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Monmounth-NJ (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Outright victory? Of course not. I just think the Illini will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the Hawks the opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that they've been afforded in this one. Illinois is off an 86 to 48 win over Kansas City as a 25.5-point favorite. But with a game at Maryland up next, followed by Texas, I say this is a bit of a look-ahead spot as well for the home side. Monmouth is 0-2. It fell 89-42 at Virginia last time out as a a 24.5-point underdog, but it matches up much better with Illinois. But as I said, no outright here, but the conditions are definitely right for a much tighter battle than what this spread would initially indicate; that flips the value to the undervalued underdog, so grab the points with Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Washington +6.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* Eastern Washington (ASSASSIN) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. Eastern Washington is 0-2 to open the season, so the Eagles will be super motivated here to try and snap the slide. THey lost 74-60 to a better Yale team last time out. Steele Venters led the way with 15 points for Eastern Washington. Hawaii is coming off a 72-54 home win over Mississippi Valley State, unable to cover the large 25.5-point spread. I think the Warriors are overvauled here again today vs. the Eagles as well, despite the much smaller point spread. Eastern Washington is 37-15-1 ATS in its last 53 road games and 23-3 ATS in its last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. In a contest that I seeing coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Eastern Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Illinois State -5.5 v. Northwestern State | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (BLOOD-BATH) The Redbirds are 1-1, including 1-0 on the road. They're 0-2 ATS, but I expect them to not only win today, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Overall Illinois State is averaging 61 PPG, while allowing 60. Luke Kasuble is the man to keep your eyes on tonight, he's so far averaging 16 points. Nortwestern State is 1-1, and 1-0 at home. The Demons are averaging 64 points and allowing 63. Isaac Haney leads the way with 17.5 opints and seven boards. The Redbirds are better defensively in the early going, and I think they matchup well here. Look for Illinois State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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11-11-22 | Houston v. St. Joe's +22.5 | Top | 81-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Saint Joseph's (BEST OF BEST) The Houston Cougars are 1-0 oafter an 83-36 win over Northern Colorado. While that was a "cake walk," I expect the Hawks to put up more of a fight here. This is Saint Joseph's first game of the season, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up. Houston utterly blew out UNC, with Marcus Sasser leading the way with 21 points. Last year Houston finished with a 26-5 regular season record and it averaged 75.8 PPG. The Hawks finished 11-19 overall last year. They averaged 67.6 PPG. Ejike Obinna is 6 foot 10 and he averaged 12.1 points and 7.9 boards per game last season. He'll play a bigger role this year. The Cougars are going to move to 2-0 after this game, but this is WAY too many points to be giving up to what I predict will be a slightly improved Saint Joseph's team this season; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | UMass Lowell v. Columbia +7 | Top | 89-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Columbia (NON-CONF GOM) UMass is 1-0 after its 108-43 destruction of Fisher College. Obviously, we have to take the victory with a "grain of salt." Columbia is 0-1 after a 75-35 loss to Rutgers as a 19-point underdog. It's difficult to get a firm read on either team at this point, but I'd say the best plan of action is not to "overreact" to either team's results after the first game. These team's offensive and defensive schemes are similar and in a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Columbia! AAA Sports |
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11-09-22 | Florida A&M +22 v. Portland | 54-91 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
8* FAMU (SPECIAL) Florida A&M is 0-1, while Portland is 1-0. The Rattlers are off an 80-45 loss to Oregon in their season-opener, but the Pilots are definitely not on the same level as the Ducks. Jordan Chatman and Jordan Tillman combined for 16 points in that one. Portland is off an 89-62 blowout win over Louis and Clark. Vasilije Vucinic and Mike Meadows each had a team-high 18 points. But FAMU is a much better team than Louis & Clark. FAMU is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine on the road and a whopping 10-2 ATS in its last 12 following a SU loss of 20 or more points. I like the Pilots this season, but I expect them to take the proverbial foot off the gas pedal down the stretch; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue -26 | Top | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) In the story of David vs. Goliath, David somehow manages to kill the giant. In today's story though, Purdue (the Giant), will take no mercy in my estimation on lowly David (Milwaukee.) This is a talent discrepancy of epic proportions, and because of that I'll suggest a play on Purdue to cover the large spread. 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey will be a difficult matchup issue for the Panthers. Edey averaged 14.4 points and 7.7 boards in just 19 minutes last year. He'll be the focal point this season though. Milwaukee has a new coach in Bart Lundy and 13 new players. The Panthers are picked to finish No. 9 in the Horizon League. Milwaukee is off a satisfying win over the Milwaukee School of Engineering just last night, so expect a complete letdown here today vs. "Goliath." Lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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11-07-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* PFW (NON-CONF GOW) I just think this is too many points for Juwan Howard's new team to cover. Yes, leading scorer and rebounder Hunter Dickinson is back again this season, but four of the other five starters are gone. The Wolverines are still ranked No. 22, but I expect some chemistry issues in the early going. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but the Mastadons return an experienced line-up which I think will do some damage here on the National stage. The Mastadons tied for the Horizon League regular season championship last year. They're the co-favorites this year with UNK. Jarred Godfrey was their top player last year, and he returns along with three other starters. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is PFW! AAA Sports |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | 81-77 | Loss | -116 | 134 h 48 m | Show | |
9* DUKE (SPECIAL) UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Southern Utah +4.5 v. UTEP | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (SPECIAL) Here's one that I expect to come right down to the wire. Southern Utah is 21-11 this year, while UTEP is 20-13. The Thunderbirds beat Kent State to advance to this point, while the Miners beat Western Illinois. In the Kent State matchup, the Thunderbirds came from behind to win 83-79, led by 27 points from Dre Martin. The Miners won their matchup against the Leathernecks by a score of 80-54, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS victory of 25 or more points. Southern Utah's offense has hit 79 or more points in three of its last four and while I do think an outright upset is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Thunderbirds! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show | |
9* NOTRE DAME (ASSASSIN) It's a No. 11 seed vs. a No. 3. Notre Dame opend up with a double OT win over Rutgers in the First Four, and they carried that momentum over into their victory over Alabam in the first round. I look for the Irish to carry that confidence and momentum over to this one as well. Texas Tech smashed Montana State in its opening match on Friday, but now it faces a much tougher challenge in Notre Dame. The Irish lost 87-80 to the eventual champion VT Hokies in the ACC Tournament, but they sure looked great in their 78-64 victory over the Tide. Texas Tech has the No. 1 defense in the country, but the Irish have the No. 28 ranked offense in terms of efficiency rating. Texas Tech is ranked No. 43. The Irish come in looking fresh and while I don't think they'll win SU, I do think they'll cover with ease; grab the poitns, the play Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Villanova | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show | |
8* OHIO STATE (BLOWOUT) Ohio State won't be going down with a fight. I like the Buckeyes to, at the very least, take the Villanova Wildcats right down to the wire here. Ohio State is off a 54-41 win over Loyola Chicago and I expect another tough defensive performance here. Zed Key and Kyle Young returned to the lineup for the Buckeyes in their last game and they made an immediate impact on the boards. If there's one area that the Buckeyes have an advantage over Villanova, it's on the glass. The Buckeyes live and die by the 3-ball, and they're darn good at shooting from range, but defending the perimeter is a Buckeye defensive speciality. This is a bad matchup for Villanova. This could be an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Ohio State! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5.5 | 93-86 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
8* BAYLOR Two good teams collide. But the Bears are better and I say they find a way to get the job done in the end. North Carolina took a poor loss to Virginia Tech in the tournament, but it bounced back in a big way in its 95-63 opening round win over Marquette. Brady Manek (28 points and 11 boards) and Armando Bacot (17 points and 10 rebounds) both posted double-doubles. Baylor hasn't lost B2B games all year. It actually lost to Oklahoma on March 10th, but then bounced back to hammer Norfolk State by a score of 85-49 in the first round. Matthew Mayer led the way with 22 points and six rebounds. Neither team has been perfect this year. Each has been susceptible to letdowns, but Baylor's superior defense is going to throw a monkey-wrench into UNC's well-oiled offense today; look for the Bears to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | CS-Fullerton +17.5 v. Duke | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Fullerton With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. It's David vs. Goliath here. At least the bookmakers believe this will be a bloodbath. However, I like No. 15 seed Cal State Fullerton to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch here vs. No. 2 Duke. The biggest reason I like this play is because Duke's defense is a major concern in this tournament, as it's ranked 46th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last month of the season; look for CAL STATE FULLERTON to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Chattanooga +7.5 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 107 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Chattanooga With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Chattanooga not only won the Southern regular season crown, but it also rolled its way through the Conference tournament. The reason why? Chattanooga loaded with veteran players and it has the length/size to keep up with Illinois star Kofi Cockburn. Illinois is solid and it likely will win this game SU, but it'll be a dog fight unitl the final moments; grab the points, the playis Chattanooga! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -15.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Purdue With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, the Yale Bulldogs have been decent defensively, but this Bulldogs team DOES NOT have the legs to keep up with the high-flying Boilermakers. The Bulldogs managed the upset over Princeton in the conference tournament, but the time off between games won't help with this underdogs chemistry. Purdue's defense isn't the best, but it doesn't have to be here. Yale is a small team, and Purdue is filled with giants. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Jacksonville State +16.5 v. Auburn | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Jacksonville State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. These teams feature a couple of really dynamic players in Auburn's Jabari Smith Jr. Smith and Jacksonville State's 6-foot-10 center Brandon Huffman and 6-foot-11 center Maros Zeliznak. I think Auburn will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas. Jacksonville State did lose to the only other ranked team it played this year, but it was a tight affair, as it lost 65-59 to Alabama in December. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Jacksonville State! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | New Mexico State +7 v. Connecticut | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
8* New Mexico State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. I think the outright win really is possible here for the No. 12 seed Aggies, who hold big advantages in offensive rebounding and also in free throw rate. New Mexico State is no slouch, as it won the WAC and it matches up well against the Huskies, as each team excels when running a slow-tempo offense. I say this one is much more evenly matched than what AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Georgia State +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Georgia State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. No outright, but I think the Zags take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half. The Bulldogs are among the best in the nation on both ends of the floor. No. 16 seeds are 1-143 all-time vs. No. 1 seeds. Georgia State though enters on top form and won't be intimidated after 10 straight wins. Georgia State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10, while the Zags are just 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7. This one is MUCH closer than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State v. Providence -2 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Providence With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. South Dakota State is a 30-win team that stormed its way through The Summit Tournament as well, but after a difficult exit from the Big East Tournament, I expect Providence to hit the "reset" button here in this golden opportunity to redeem itself. The Jackrabbits can score, but their lack of depth on the defensive end is the difference in this one; lay the short points, the play is Providence! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Colorado State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, Michigan avoided the First Four with a record of 17-14, but it sure shouldn't have. The Rams have been solid in the MW all year and they're the much better 3-point shooting team. The Wolverines have Hunter Dickinson down low, but I don't think that'll be enough today. Off a first round conference tourney loss to Indiana, Michigan should NOT be favored here; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5.5 v. Clemson | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
8* NC State (SPECIAL) I think 11-20 NC State will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it's been afforded. NC State backed its way into the conference tournament with 4 straight losses, but note that the Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 still after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Clemson finished 16-15. It won its final 4 games. Note though that the Tigers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more SU victories in a row. These teams played on January 8th and Clemson managed the 70-65 SU victory as a 1.5-point underdog, but I expect an even tighter battle this time around. This one has all the makings of a "nail-biter," so let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 64-67 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
8* MISSISSIPPI STATE (SPECIAL) This is each team's respective final regular season game. Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after an 81-68 loss to conference-leading Auburn in its last outing. The Bulldogs are now 17-13 overall, but they have a chance here to move to .500 today with their conference record sitting at 8-9. Texas A&M is off an 87-71 win over Alabama as a 10-point underdog. The Aggies are 19-11 overall and 8-9 in conference play. The Bulldogs average 71 PPG, while conceding 66.9, while the Aggies average 73 PPG, while allowing 66.9. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | North Alabama +12 v. Florida Gulf Coast | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* NORTH ALABAMA (SMACK-DOWN) It's the opener of the ASUN tournament and I expect the lowly 9-20 North Alabama Lions to put up more of a fight than what this line is suggesting. The Lions average 69.3 PPG. It's coming off 8 straight losses, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Lions play with revenge after a 92-60 loss to Florida Gulf Coast at the start of February. The Eagles have won 7 of their last 10 and 2 straight, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a tournament fav of 10 or more points. I say the Lions sneak in through the back door with all these points they've been given; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Green Bay v. Detroit -9.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* DETROIT (BEATDOWN) The Horizon League Conference tournament gets underway on Tuesday night and I expect the 13-14 Mercy to have no mercy on the 5-24 Phoenix. Detroit actually plays with revenge hera fter Wisconsin Green Bay inexplicably took the lone regular season contest at home (70-63.) Detroit was a big favorite in that one, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference loss against an opponent in which it was the fav. Detroit finished the season by going 6-4, and they were 8-1 at home. That one loss occured in their last game, so a big rebound is expected here in this revenge scenario. Lay the points, and expect a complete ATS beatdown from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
8* NEVADA (DESTRUCTION) The 12-14 Nevada Wolfpack won't be going down without a fight here vs. 22-5 Wyoming. Nevada could still move up a spot or two before the end of the season, while Wyoming still has an opporutnity to earn the No. 1 spot in the conference. Wyoming picked up a 10-point road win in January, but note that Nevada is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Nevada is off a tough 62-54 home loss to UNLV on Tuesday, which is important to note for us here, as the Wolfpack are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 off a SU home loss in which they were held to 55 or less points in. Wyoming is off a 61-55 road loss to Colorado State. I say the Cowboys get caught flat here and while I'm not predicting an outright upset, I'm definitely expecting a "nail-biter!" So grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
9* BAYLOR (U OF THE U) Kansas is 23-4 overall and 12-2 in Big 12 action, but after 4 straight wins, I expect it to stumble here in this difficult road venue vs. the revenge-minded Bears. Kansas is off a 102-83 win over K-State, while Baylor held on for a 66-64 win over OK State. The Bears play with revenge here though, and ULTIMATELY that's the reasoning behind this play. Baylor plays REALLY well in the revenge role. Kansas won 83-59 as a 2.5-point fav on its own floor at the start of the month, but the Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas-Little Rock +7.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
8* UALR This is the final Sun Belt homestand for UALR and I expect it to make the most of familiar surroundings this evening. Little Rock has finished a stretch of 6 of 8 games on the road. The Mountaineers have won 2 straight and 6 of the last 8 in this series, but Little Rock is 5-2 against App State on its own floor. This is UALR's final season in the Sun Belt. App State broke a 2 game slide witha 69-51 win over USA, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 55 or less points in. Home floor DOES matter here; grab the points, the play is Arkansas Little Rock! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Alabama -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* ALABAMA (DESTRUCTION) The Crimson Tide enter at 17-10 overall (just 7-7 in league action), while Vandy is 14-12 this season (and only 6-8 in conference play.) Bama is off a 90-81 road loss at Kentucky, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS setback in which it allowed 90 or more points in. Vandy is coming off a 72-67 home win over Texas A&M, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more straight ATS covers in a row (the Commodores have in fact covered in 6 straight.) Vandy averages just 69.3 PPG, while Bama averages 80.4. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Southern Utah -5.5 v. Northern Arizona | 79-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (DESTRUCTION) I think the 16-9 Southern Utah Thunderbirds will figure out a way to not only win this game against the 9-17 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, but to win it in blowout fashion. Southern Utah has split its last 6 games, while Northern Arizona has lost 6 of its last 8. The Thunderbirds average 79.7 PPG, while allowing 73.9, while the Lumberjacks average 68.9 PPG, while conceding 73.1. The road team is also a great 13-3 ATS the last 16 in this series. Interestingly, the Lumberjacks have lost by an average of 9.8 points this season when playing the role of underdog this season. Southern Utah is poor, but NAU is terrible; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Towson v. College of Charleston +4.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
8* CHARLESTON (DELIGHT) In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm going to grab up the points. I really do like COC in this spot though, so if you're feeling wealthy, I'd even consider sprinkling a little on the money line here. Towson is 20-7, while COC is 14-11. Towson just smashed UNCW, the first-placed team in the conference, by 24 points on Thursday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" True, Towson only sits a .5 game back of the Seahawks now for first place, but after that emotional win, I expect a predictable letdown here on the road vs. the under the radar Cougars. COC comes in off a 71-63 home loss to JMU as a 5.5-point fav. That's not good, but note that COC is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS off a SU home loss as a favorite. It also plays with revenge here after a 74-67 loss at the SECU Arena on January 20th. While I do indeed feel an outright upset is a possibility, the call here will be on COC and the points! AAA Sports |
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