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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NLCS GOY) If you're watching this game, then you know the story lines of each team to this point, as well as the cast of characters on each side. Zach Wheeler has been better than Zach Gallen so far in the post-season, but honetly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these starters to come out on top in this pressure packed situation. Gallen definitely benefits from throwing at home. Wheeler has experience, but we say this starting pitching matchup (for all intents and purposes), is a "wash." Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in the playoffs and it's one that we've found that the oddsmakers have a hard time in properly quantifying into a line at times. Arizona has definitely wrestled back the momentum in this series after going down 0-2 in Philadelphia to start and to get an extra 1.5 runs of insurance at this price is just too good to to turn down in the end; so that's the play, Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Arkansas State +10.5 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 53 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOY) We think this contest will be much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in this Sun Belt Conference matchup on Saturday night and while we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one coming "right down to the wire." Coastal Carolina is a big road favorite here at 3-3, but it's just 1-2 SU on the road. Arkansas State is 3-3 as well, which includes going 2-1 SU/ATS at home. CC is off a 27-24 win at Appalachian State with a walk-off FG win and now here the Chanticleers are big favs on the road. Overall they average 30.2 PPG, while allowing 23.7. Arkansas State is off a 37-3 loss to Troy. Overall the Red Wolves average 22.2 PPG, while allowing 36.5. But those numbers are skewed because of the blowout. Strength of schedule has to be called into question for both sides heading into this one; no outright, but MUCH closer than expected so grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Buffalo v. Kent State +7 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 2 m | Show |
10* Kent State (MAC GOM) Buffalo is 2-5 and Kent State is 1-6. Buffalo is 1-2 SU on the road this year, but 3-0 ATS. The Golden Flashes are only 1-1 ATS at home, but we're expecting the home side to give the visitors everything they can handle in this one. The Bulls are off a 24-14 loss to Bowling Green, while the FLashes are off a 28-14 setback to EMU. Buffalo is led by Cole Snynder, who has 1,337 passing yards and an 11:6 TD:INT. Michael Alaimo has 881 passing yards and a 2:4 TD:INT for the Flashes. Kent State's offense revolves primarily around the run, keep your eyes on Gavin Garcia and Jaylen Thomas. Kent State's offensive numbers have been terrible, but we just can't give the putrid Bulls any credit here in this matchup as such a big favorite on the road. This one is more evenly matched in our estimation and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is indeed on Kent State! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Arsenal v. Chelsea +0.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show |
10* Chelsea on the spread option (EPL GOW) In an important clash at Stamford Bridge this Saturday, we're expecting a very competitive battle. Arsenal is 6-0, while Chelsea is 3-3. Chelsea is 11th place in the EPL and it returns from the international break having posted B2B victories, including allowing just one goal in doing so and by hammering Burnley 4-1 in its last outing. Now back home and refreshed, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Gunners are off a tight 1-0 win over Manchester City and we believe they're now finally primed for a letdown here. For all the situational reasons listed above, we're on Chelsea on the spread-option! AAA Sports |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana +5.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOW) While we're not ruling out an outright victory, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can here with Indiana. The Scarlet Knights are just one win away from eligibility, but they're going to have their hands full here with the 2-4 Hoosiers in our estimation. Indiana is 2-1 SU and ATS at home and definitely plays a lot "better" in front of the home town crowd. The Scarlet Knights have been ATS covering machines so far this season, but now the public is overwhelmingly on Rutgers this weekend, and our contrarian ways definitely will "kick in" here and have us loving our play on the home side even more. Rutgers just doesn't blow teams away, it averges only 23.7 PPG, while being suffocating defensively so far in allowing only 18.2. Indiana is averaging 14 PPG, while allowing 33.4. After back-to-back blowout road losses, Indiana mercifully returns home to play a much more manageable opponent. At 2-4, the odds are against the Hoosiers of making a bowl berth, but clearly they aren't throwing in the towel at this point. And of all the games remaining, this home contest vs. Rutger is likely the most "winnable" of them all. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is obviously possible, but grab the points, because the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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10-20-23 | SMU v. Temple +21 | Top | 55-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Temple (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that or anything, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to grab the points. SMU is off B2B wins, including a 31-10 victory at ECU last weekend as a big favorite, covering the 12-point spread. Now they're once again a heavy favorite on the road, but we think this spread is now just a bit too large. Temple is off a 45-14 loss at North Texas. SMU QB Preston Stone had 250 yards and three TD's in his last game, but the run game sputtered with just 58 yards. Temple is averaging 270 yards passing and 112 yards rushing per contest. The Owls will be sticking around late here and we're fully expecting the back door to be left wide open down the stretch. SMU is the better team here, but this spread is now too large in our estimation; the play is Temple! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Arizona on the runline yesterday and where that play came up short, we're expecting this Game 2 contest to now deliver the goods in "rocking chair" fashion. We won't rule out an outright victory here obviously either, but at this decent mid-sized price, getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance is just too good to turn down in our opinion. The D-Backs go with Merrill Kelly (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.79 WHIP), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (2-0, 1.42, 0.87.) Very evenly matched teams and clubs and in a contest that we seeing being decided late, or even in extras, we're indeed laying the price for Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* WKU (CONF. USA GOW) WKU is coming off a 35-28 win over Louisana Tech, while Jacksonville State enters off a 31-13 home loss to Liberty. Hilltoppers' QB Austin Reed and WR Malachi Corley are a force to be reckoned with offensively for WKU and I think they'll keep their team competitive late in this one. Jacksonville State likes to run the ball, but the Hilltoppers have been decent defensively this year in stopping the run, especially in the red-zone. The Gamecocks are led by Malik Jackson offensively, he already has 578 rushing yards. Jacksonville State has also been dominant defensively, but there are a few injury issues on offense this week, with both QB's Zion Webb and Logan Smothers listed as questionable. WKU also has a 100% redzone efficiency rate this season. Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is WKU! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Dallas is 3-2 and coming off a humbling 42-10 loss at San Francisco last week. We think the Cowboys will once again struggle here on the road vs. the hungry 2-2 LA Chargers, who are coming out of their bye week ready and focused. Dallas only gained 197 yards last week and despite allowing a season-high 42 points in the setback, the defense still ranks No. 7 in the league. But Dak Prescott and the offense looked terrible as well and we just think that Just Herbert and company have a major advantage in every metric and on both sides of the ball here this afternoon. Look for "home field" to be a big advantage and prove to be a difference-maker for the Chargers on Monday night! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLCS GOW) If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the story line for each club up to this point, so there's no reason to give you a breakdown of how each club got to this point. You likely also already know the cast of characters for each side, the coaches and the players and also each team's strengths and weaknesses. We're just here to tell you why we think that the D-Backs can pull off the upset here, or at the very least, keep it close enough to cover on the runline option. And it's simple, the starting pitching matchup is very even, but we definitely think that Zac Gallen (2-0, 3.18 ERA) will be able to easily match his counterpart Zach Wheeler (1-0, 2.08) inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
10* Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Detroit is 4-1, while Tampa is 3-1. Home field will prove to be the difference here between these evenly matched teams in our opinion. The Lions do have the quality Week 1 win over the Chiefs, but their other victories haven't been super impressive, including last week's 42-24 win over Carolina. Jared Goff has been decent with 1,265 passing yards and a 9:3 TD:INT. The Lions concede 21.4 PPG. The Bucs enters focused and fresh out of their bye week. QB Baker Mayfield has 882 yards passing and a 7:2 TD:INT. But the Bucs have been downright awesome defensively so far, conceding just 17 PPG. Todd Bowles is a great defensive coach and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
10* Browns (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) As the title of this pick implies, the basis of this selection is us going against the general betting public, which has overwhelmingly backed the 49ers on the road here, because Cleveland will be playing without DeShaun Watson. Cleveland though comes out rested off its bye, and I think the Browns will be competitive here at home with tough defensive play. This game will be won in the trenches and by field position. Expect San Fran to be running the ball a lot today behind Christian McCaffrey. But the Browns allow the fewest yards in the NFL. PJ Walker will be a game manager, but we expect that to be more than enough for the home side to walk away with the comfortable cover; so grab the points, the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show |
10* MSU (BIG TEN GOY) Here's a great spot for MSU to pull of an outright upset! And while that scenario is definitely a possibility in our opinion, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. MSU is 2-3 and Rutgers is 4-2. The Spartans are coming out of their bye, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an 11-point loss to Wisconsin. MSU looked pretty bad in its 16-13 loss to Iowa back on September 30th, with QB Noah Kim passing for 193 yards and three INT's. RB Nathan Carter though looked great with 20 rushes for 108 yards. It's also interesting to note that the road team has covered in each of the last six games between these teams. Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt finished with 181 yards, one TD and an INT in the 24-13 loss to Wisconsin and we think he'll have a difficult time here vs. MSU as well. Rutgers has in fact scored 13 or less points in two of its last three games. The Spartans have had plenty of time to prepare for this one and that's going to play a big part in the outcome as well in our opinion; grab the points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Stanford +12.5 v. Colorado | Top | 46-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Colorado is 4-2 after a dramatic 27-24 win at ASU last week on a last-second field goal. But with their bye, followed by a game at UCLA, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot here facing the lowly 1-4 Cardinal and off that big win, but it's also a "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game." Clearly, Stanford's hopes of reaching eligibility are essentially zero to none already, but it won't be rolling over here and catches the Buffs and Coach Prime right at the correct moment. Colorado isn't going to the National Championship and running up the score here isn't going to impress anyone. They just need wins for a better bowl berth at the end of the day, and in our opinion, all signs do indeed point to the home side taking the foot off the gas in the second half and leaving the back door open just enough for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one; grab the points, the play is indeed on Stanford! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY) Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS BOB) Arizona has a shot at eliminating the Dodgers here and we're expecting that to happen. That said, for this price, we can't turn down the home side on the runline option. Arizona has scored nine first-inning runs so far in this series, and we're expecting this very real momentum that it's created to be carried over here. Often we've found that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying in factors like "momentum" into a line, and that's definitely the case here with Arizona, which is clearly "firing on all cylinders" right now. LA hands the ball to Lance Lynn, while the home side counters with Brandon Pfaadt. Each has struggled, but Arizona's home field advantage, its bullpen and its offense has been "on point" of late and because of that, we're going to play Arizona on the runline option here in Game 3 of this NLDS! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | UTEP +2.5 v. Florida International | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
10* UTEP (SUPER BLOWOUT) We think the 1-5 UTEP Miners will find a way to deliver the goods here on Wednesday night on the road at FIU. The Panthers enter are 3-3, including 0-3 in C-USA play. So far the Miners are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while allowing 28.2. QB Gavin Hardison has 947 passing yards, five TDs and seven INTs. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Panthers are averaging only 20.7 PPG, with QB Keyone Jenkins with 1,258 passing yards, five TD's and six INT's. The defense concedes 27 PPG. UTEP's strength though is the run game, which ranks 64th in the nation, and FIU is already allowing an average of 208.8 YPG on the ground. UTEP's defense is also 32nd in the country vs. the pass, and FIU's strength on offense is the passing game, which has so far averaged 221.3 YPG. UTEP will control this one and find a way to get the job done! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF-USA GOW) Louisiana Tech is 3-4, while MTSU is 1-5. Why then are the Blue Raiders favored here? The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something, and that's that the Blue Raiders have played a tougher schedule to this point. And that's the case. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 35-28 loss to WKU. QB Jack Turner has 849 passing yards, four TD's and four INT's. Overall the teams concedes 28 PPG. MTSU is off three straight losses, falling 31-23 to Colorado State, 31-10 to WKU and 45-30 to Jacksonville State last week. QB Nicholas Vattiato has 1,576 passing yards, nine TD's and six picks. The defense has so far allowed 37.2 PPG, but take in mind that includes a 56-7 loss at Alabama to open the season. The Blue Raiders are the "hungrier" team in this fight and we're expecting a full four-quarter effort; lay the points, the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS GOW) Arizona is rolling, and dangerous and we think it's once again undervalued in this matchup. After steamrolling the Brewers in two games, the D-Backs smoked the Dodgers 11-2 in Game 1. Now with the superior starter on the hill (in our opinion anyways), we feel that Arizona has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The visitors hand the ball to ace Zac Gallen (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has had difficulties with the Dodgers this year, but he's off the great start vs. the Brewers and this is a case of "that was then, and this is now!" The Dodgers' bullpen was taxed in Game 1 and now they turn to Bobby Miller (11-4, 3.76,) who has been great in his rookie year, but who clearly is in unchartered territory here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cowboys (NFC NON-DIV GOM) Two really good teams collide here on Sunday night and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Dallas is 3-1, while San Francisco is 4-0. The 49ers beat Arizona at home last week, while the Cowboys hammered the Patriots at home. This is a revenge game for the visiting side, which fell 19-12 in the divisional round of last year's playoffs. So far Dak Prescott and the Cowboys average 31 PPG, while allowing only 10.3. Brock Purdy and the 49ers average 31.3 PPG, while allowing just 14.6. This really is a case of "Any Given Sunday," as it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to come out on top in this one. For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can; the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings +5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-CONF GOY) Note that since 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as the full-time starting QB for KC, the Chiefs are are 17-19 ATS as a road favorite. Despite stumbling at home on Opening night, the Chiefs now enter Week 5 at 3-1. The Vikes though are on the ropes at 1-3, and clearly they'll be risking life and limb here to pull off the minor upset and avoid the 1-4 hole. After three straight losses the Vikes got back on track in last week's 21-13 road win at Carolina. A road game at division rival Chicago won't be easy the following week, so this becomes an almost "do or die" scenario for the Vikes already. KC has won three straight, but it certainly looked shaky in last Sunday night's 23-20 victory at the Jets as a 9-point favorite. With a quick turnaround and a Thursday night game up next at home vs. the Broncos, this not only sets up as a "letdown" spot for KC, but also a "look-ahead" position as well in our opinion, and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game." The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -1.5 | Top | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* FALCONS (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 2-2, but we can't understate how important that we feel that the home field advantage will prove for the Falcons in the final outcome of this non-conference contest. Houston is off a 30-6 win at home over Pittsburgh, and we're expecting a predictable letdown hereon the road now. Atlanta is off a 23-7 loss in London to Jacksonville in its last outing. So far Houston has gotten great play from QB CJ Stroud with a 6:0 TD:INT. Overall Houston is averaging 24 PPG, while allowing 19.8. The Falcons are led by RB Bijan Robinson and a run game that averages 128 YPG. ATL has so far averaged only 15.5 PPG, while allowing only 19.25. Look for Desmond Ridder to settle down here at home and for ATL's elite defense to finally get to Stroud. While the rest of the public goes one way on this contest, we're going the other; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) In no way are we suggesting that New York will win this game outright, but we do however feel this is a great situational play as we expect the 1-3 Giants to catch the 3-1 Dolphins at the correct time to keep this one more competitive than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Miami beat Denver 70-20, but then came back down to Earth in last week's 48-20 beatdown division road loss at Buffalo. Daniel Jones has so far struggled for the Giants with a 2:6 TD:INT. He's been sacked 22 times already though. The defense hasn't been much better, so far allowing 30.5 PPG. Tua Tagovailoa as a 9:3 TD:INT, but the defense for the Fish is very worrisome, allowing 374.5 YAPG and 29.8 points per contest. This one takes on a very "do or die" feel for the Giants, who took a major step forward last year, but who have regressed so far this season. Look for Miami to take the foot off the gas in the second half and for the hungry Giants to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that they've been afforded here on the road in Week 5; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -14 v. Temple | Top | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* AAC GOY on UTSA. UTSA is 1-3, while Temple is 2-3. So why are the Roadrunners favored here by so much on the road? Simple, strenght of schedule to this point. Temple is off a road loss at Tulsa, while UTSA lost to Tennessee last weekend. The Roadrunners were without starting QB Frank Harris for a second straight week, but his backups did a great job in defeat, with Owen McCown finishing with 170 yards passing and two TD's. The defense allowed 519 yards, but UTSA finally catches a break here facing the Owls. Harris is listed as probable this weekend. Overall the Roadrunners are the better team here and we're expecting them to make the most of this opportunity. The Owls have a pass heavy offense, but the Roadrunners are generating sacks on 8.73 percent of opponent's drop backs, which is Top 30 in the country. Temple gave up 34 points to Miami in a loss two weeks ago, and then 48 to Tulsa last week. EJ Wanrer had 269 yards passing and two TD's on 50 attempts. The Owls have been terrible in the red zone as well. Look for the Roadrunners to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Bears +7 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 30 m | Show |
10* BEARS (GOW) The Bears are 0-4, blowing a 21-point lead last week at home to the Broncos and falling 31-28 as 3-point dogs. It's do or die for Chicago this week. Essentially, the season is already over, but for all intents and purposes, there will be zero chance of the playoffs at 0-5. Washington is 2-2, but it's now lost two straight after also choking away a big lead on the road to the Eagles. Both teams come in off terrible losses, but we still believe that the Bears will be the more motivated side here. The Bears got the best game of the season out of Justin Fields last week, going 28 of 35 for 335 yards and 4:1 TD:INT. Sam Howell on the other hand has a 5:4 TD:INT so far this year. We're giving Fields the advantage here and we believe that Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
10* Louisana Tech (GOW) WKU is 3-2, while Louisana Tech is 3-3. The Hilltoppers are 1-0 on the road, while the Bulldogs are 2-0 at home. WKU is off a 31-10 home win over MTSU. QB Austin Reed wasn't the most efficient, but finished 30 of 52 for 297 yards, two TD's and an INT. Louisiana Tech is off the 24-10 road win over UTEP. QB Jack Turner was much more efficient, finishing 9 of 20 for 152 yards and a TD. So far WKU is averaging 31.6 PPG, while allowing 29.2. Louisiana Tech is averaging 27 PPG, and conceding 25.7. Why is the line the way it is? The possiblility that Bulldogs' starting QB Hank Bachmeier may not play. Look for players though like RB Tyre Shelton, who has 318 rushing yards and three rushing TD's to step up this week. It's next man up for this hungry home side and while the Bulldos may fall short of winning outright, we're definitely expecting a full out battle until the very end; grab the points, the play is Louisiana Tech! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* Saints (NFC SOUTH GOM) Both NFC South teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a big leg up in the division. New Orleans though gets ready to welcome back dynamic RB Alvin Kamara, and we feel he'll be a big difference-maker in the outcome of this one. Tampa was riding high after two games, but it sure came back down to Earth in last week's loss. Tampa's defense has been great, but we feel it'll finally struggle here to keep Mayfield from looking terrible. Derek Carr is out for the Saints, but that just means that his equal in Jameis Winston steps up to take over, super motivated here to now maintain this starters role. We expect Mayfield to take another predictable step back again here in this difficult road venue; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Steelers v. Texans +3 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG GOM) Pittsburgh is 2-1 SU, while Houston is 1-2. The Steelers are off an impressive 23-18 win at Las Vegas as 3-point dogs, but with a home game vs. division rival Baltimore next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot after the upset road win, but also a look ahead spot. This is a "trap" game for Pittsburgh. Houston on the other hand comes in off its first win of the year, demolishing the Jaguars 37-17 as 7.5-point underdogs. While we do feel the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Nevada +25 v. Fresno State | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
10* Nevada (MW GOY) Outright win? Of course not! For us, this is an unbelievably great "situational" play. Nevada 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS, while Fresno State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Wolf Pack are off a 35-24 loss as a 17-point underdog at Texas State, but we feel they offer great value to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. With a game at Wyoming next week though, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but it's also a "look ahead." That = "trap game!" Look for the hungry Wolfpack to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 1-3, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in the final outcome of this contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement though, as Pittsburgh has won three straight in the series. Pittsburgh if off the 41-34 loss to UNC. QB Phil Jurkovec had 109 yards passing before leaving with an injury. So far the Panthers average just 17 PPG. VT is coming off a hard-fought 24-17 loss to Marhall. QB Kyron Drones had two rushing TD's, as well as throwing for 159 yards and no INT's. The VT run game posted 184 years, and we believe that the Panthers will have a difficult time slowing it down here as well; clearly the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Virginia Tech! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Oregon v. Stanford +27.5 | Top | 42-6 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 20 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Oregon is 4-0 SU/ATS, but with a week off next weekend, followed by a game at Washington, not only do we feel this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look-ahead" position. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" That's what we're basing this pick on, a great situational play as we do indeed feel this is a "trap." No such luxury obviously for 1-3 Stanford, who nealry pulled off the epic upset last week in a 21-20 home loss to Arizona as a 13-point underdog; no outright win, but closer than expected, so grab the points with the Cardinal! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Georgia v. Auburn +15 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
10* Auburn (SEC GOM) Georgia is 4-0, but 0-3-1 ATS. With nearly 90% of the money on the Bulldogs here though, we're going full on contrarian and going theother way with Auburn. The Tigers are 3-1 SU, and 1-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are B2B National Champs, but getting a little TOO much respect here in our opinion; grab the points, because this is a great situational play on Auburn! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Indiana +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 17-44 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOM) Maryland is 4-0 SU, and they've outscored their opponents 149-49 so far. We're not predicting an outrigh upet here or anything, but we do think there are plenty of reasons to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the hungry visiting side enough room to sneak in through down the stretch. Indiana is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. Not only is this a natural "letdown" spot after four straight wins and playing at home here as a huge favorite, but it's also a "look ahead" position for the Terps, who are on the road at Ohio State next week. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOY) After three straight SU victories, we believe the Lions come in complacent here, and they leave the back door wide open for the hungry 6-8 Riders to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is off the satisfying 37-29 road win at Edmonton. Saskatchewan comes in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 36-38 loss in Ottawa. Situationally we feel this one sets up well for us, with the public quick to jump on the Lions here. BC won this game here back on July 19th by a score of 19-9, but the Riders beat the Lions at home. This is the third and final game of the season series and we're expecting much more of a battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. For us to pull the trigger on a GAME OF YEAR, or GAME OF MONTH etc, it HAS to set up extremely well for whatever team we're on from a "situational" standpoint. And this one does for Saskatchewan; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Louisville v. NC State +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOW) Louisville is 4-1, and NC State is 3-1. In a battle that we see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Louisville may be 4-0 SU, but it's just 2-2 ATS, and 0-2 ATS on the road. NC State is 0-4 ATS right now, but here's a great opportunity for the Wolfpack, with the Cardinals getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at home vs. Notre Dame next weekend; the outright is possible, but grab the points with NC State on Friday night! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Packers (NFC NORTH GOM) They say that divisional games are the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Yes, Detroit may on paper have played the harder schedule to this point, but the bottom line here is that these teams are both 2-1. The winner of this game will have a clear leg up in the division. They'll play the reverse fixture in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. We expect Jordan Love to continue his progression here though and to get the better of his counterpart Jared Goff on the road, who has been consistently inconsistent away from friendly confines. A great "situational" play on the Packers! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Middle Tennessee State +6.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 2 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF USA GOY) We like MTSU to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door with what we feel is a generous amount of points afforded to it. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 SU, while Western Kentucky is 2-2. MTSU has played a tough schedule though, losing 56-7 to Alabama, 23-19 to Missouri and 31-23 to Colorado State. The lone victory was a commanding 35-14 victory over Murray State. The Blue Raiders are led by Nicholas Vattiato who has an impressive 916 yards and 7:2 TD:INT. WKU opened 2-0, but the Hilltoppers enter with zero momentum after two straight losses. Most recently they lost 63-10 to Ohio State and 27-24 to Troy. QB Austin Reed has 1,071 passing yards and 9:1 TD:INT. MTSU is the better overall team here, and much more battle-tested. Everything does point to an upset, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Cubs runline (BOB) We had a play on the Cubs on the runline last night, and while we think Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning tonight's contest outright as well, in the end we can't turn the overall value we feel we're getting by grabbing the desperate visiting side on the runline option again here. Chicago is fighting for a wildcard still, while ATL is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're once again all over Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Cubs RUNLINE (BOB) The Cubs have a lot to play for here with just six games left to go in the regular season. Chicago is trying to nail down one of the NL's final two WC spots. They're in a dog fight with Arizona and Miami. Atlanta is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed, so its less urgent for them here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we think Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00 ERA) and the visitors are the correct call here on the runline option vs. Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) and the contented home side; for all the reasons listed above, the plya is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Eagles -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 25-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* EAGLES FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: We also like the Eagles for the ENTIRE game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also like Philly for the overall ATS victory in this contest as well.)Â Both teams enter 2-0, but we're expecting the Eagles to really hammer Baker Mayfield and the home side from start to finish in this one. Philly has had a few extra days off after beating Minnesota 34-28 lats Thursday. Tampa is off a 27-17 win over the lowly Bears. Philadelphia has been involved in two one-score games, and because of that, we're expecting the visitors to take nothing for granted and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. With a road game at division rival New Orleans next weekend, the home side will also get caught "looking ahead;" the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +13 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (U OF THE U) The Cowboys are riding high at 2-0 after blowing out the Jets by a score of 30-10 last weekend, and we believe they'll get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Patriots next weekend. Joshua Dobbs wasn't terrible in last week's 32-18 home defeat to the Giants. While 0-2 SU, the Cards have been great for bettors in the early going by going 2-0 ATS. Teams that start 0-3 in the NFL to open the season have virtually zero chance of making the playoffs. Expectations were extremely low for the Cards going into the season, but we're expecting Josh Dobbs best game so far; grab the points, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Panthers +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
10* Panthers (BEST OF BEST) We base our picks on many different things. In our opinion, this is a great "situational" play. Carolina comes in desperate to snap its 0-2 slide to the season. Teams that start 0-3 have virtually no chance of even making the playoffs. It's hard to get a read on Seattle. It lost here terribly to the Rams in Week 1, before bouncing back with a 37-31 OT win at Detroit last week. With back-to-back high-profile road games at the Giants and Bengals, will Seattle get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent this weekend? The possibility is definitely there! It happened to the Hawks in Week 1. Whoever gets the start under center for Carolina, we expect this game to be decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
10* Falcons (ASSASSIN) Here's the bottom line with this play. We feel that Atlanta is getting little respect from the oddsmakers are 2-0, and we also believe there's been WAY too much hype surrounding the Lions before the season even started, and certainly still right now at 1-1. The Lions squeaked by the Chiefs on opening night 21-20. It was a really good win, but then the defense fell flat in 37-31 OT loss at home to Seattle. With a short week and a road game at Green Bay on Thursday night, the 2-0 Falcons are going to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | UNLV v. UTEP +2.5 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 18 m | Show |
10* UTEP (MONEY-BOMB) UNLV is 2-1 and UTEP is 1-3, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched teams has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab the points. UNLV is off a satisfying 40-37 home win as a dog and we believe it's primed for a letdown here. Starting QB Doug Brumfield was injured in the first quater, and while redshirt freshman Jayden Maiava was decent, the QB position is a concern here for the visiting side no matter who gets the start. UTEP is off a 31-10 loss at Arizona, following a 38-7 setback to Northwestern. The level of competition clearly needs to be taken into account here; senior QB Cavin Hardison had 228 yards and so far has 722 yards, four TD's and four INT's. But again, the Miners have faced some stiff competition early and while we do believe the home side can win this one outright, in the end the official play is to grab as many points as you can with UTEP! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (U OF THE U) A big divisional series, more so for the Jays though who are in a dog fight for the final AL Wildcard. Good news for Toronto fans though, the Jays have caught fire of late and we're fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Last night they won the opener by a score of 6-2. We're coming down the home stretch, and these types of games very much have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about them. In what we anticipate will be a very tight and competitive affair here today, we're going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; a great situational play, the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Florida State v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
10* Clemson (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida State is ranked No. 4 in the country and it comes into this game at 3-0. Clemson is 2-1, after a "brain fart" performance in Week 1 vs. Duke. The Tigers though have history on their side in this matchup, as they've won four straight at Memorial Stadium, while owning seven straight victories in the series overall. Here's a HUGE opportunity for Dabo Swinney to get right back into the ACC mix with an upset win here at home vs. surging Florida State. Grab the points, the play is Clemson! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State +6 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* San Jose State (SHOCKER) We think that 3-0 Air Force leaves the back door open just enough for the desperate 1-3 San Jose State Spartans to sneak in through down the sretch. Air Force is off a win over Utah State, rushing for 344 yards and five TD's on the ground. RB Emmanual Michel had 105 yards and three TD's. QB Zac Larrier rushed ten times for 58 yards and a score. San Jose State is 2-1 after falling 21-17 at Toledo last weekend. The Spartans actually held a 17-14 third quarter lead. Chevan Cordeiro has 228 yards and a TD, but also had a costly turnover. Note though that despite being 3-0 SU this year, AF is just 1-2 ATS. San Jose State's defensive numbers have improved dramtically over the last two games and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle until the end; grab the points, the play is San Jose State! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +5.5 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (BLOCKBUSTER) Home field advantage will come into play here for two teams playing their first Big Ten contest of the season. The Badgers are 2-1 and off a 35-14 win over Georgia Southern, while the Boilermakers are just 1-2, most recently off a 35-20 home loss to Syracuse. The Badgers' run game looks decent, but it's a little difficult to properly judge based upon the level of competition thus far. So far Purdue has allowed 132.7 RYP. Wisconsin is allowing 20.7 PPG, but again, the level of competition to this point has to be called into question. Hudson Card though will be looking to push the pace here for the Boilermakers, who are averaging 275 yards per game passing. Card has 825 yards passing and just one INT with 110 attempts. As stated off the top and mentioned throughout, we think Wisconsin is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we feel its numbers are skewed due to the level of competition; grab the points, the play is Purude! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (SUNBELT GOW) The Georgia State Panthers are 3-0 and we feel they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. They're off a 41-25 win over Charlotte, with Darren Graingers going 27 of 33 for 466 yards and three passing TD's, as well as rushing for 23 yards and a rushing score. Coastal Carolina is 2-1, it's coming off a 66-7 home win over Duquesne, with QG Grayson McCall going for 169 yards and a TD. The Panthers are averaging 39.3 PPG, while the Chanticleers are averaging 36.3. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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09-19-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Phillies are gunning for the TOP NL wildcard spot, and they won an important game last night in the opener of this series. In what we believe will be another tightly-contested and highly-competitive affair, the value in our opinion lies with the visitors on the "runline" option. Cristopher Sanchez (2-4, 3.40 ERA) gets the call for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider (17-5, 3.73 ERA) We'll argue that Strider is having an above average season, on a really good team. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ASSASSIN) We're going contrarian with this one. Carolina fell 24-10 at Atlanta in Week 1, while New Orleans held on for a 16-15 win over Tennessee at home, unable to cover the three-point spread. Honestly, both teams looked bad. Division rivals are always the most important though, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in our opinion. Derek Carr had 305 yards passing and a TD for the Saints, while Bryce Young was 20 of 38 for 146 yards, one TD and two INT's. With that awkward game out of the way though, we're expecting Young to settle down here at home. Carolina's defense held Atlanta to just 221 offensive yards. The Saints are still without Alvin Kamara as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots +3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY) Divisional matchups are always the most important and they almost always mean the most to the home side. And that's definitely the case here in our opinion, as we expect New England to win this game outright. That said, our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Miami fought tooth and nail with the Chargers on the road in Week 1 and it escaped with a thrilling 36-34 victory as a 3-point underdog. Now they face a New England team that comes off a tough 25-20 home loss to the high-powered Eagles. Lots of good things for Mac Jones and company though. The defense looked great and Jones finished with 315 passing yards. While the outright win is possible, the play is to grab the points with NEW ENGLAND. AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks v. Lions -4.5 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
10* Lions (SUPER BLOWOUT) The Seahawks surprised everyone last year, but in Week 1, they fell at home to division rival LA as a favorite. Now they're facing a confident and well-rested Lions team at home and all signs point to a big time blowout in our opinion. Hawks' QB Geno Smith was just 16 of 26 for 112 passing yads and a TD. The defense looked terrible, and we have a hard time seeing it slowing down Jared Goff and company in what will be a sold out Ford Field. Goff had 225 yards and a TD in their upset win on Opening night over the Chiefs. We're expecting a completely lop-sided blowout, so lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Texans | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
10* Colts (ASSASSIN) What do you base your picks on? We use many different methodologies and approaches. Sometimes we break a game wide open, looking at every player matchup and every statistic we can get. Other times though we like to "keep it simple." This week and for this game we're "keeping it simple" and giving this particular matchup the "eye test." We really liked what we saw out of the Colts in Week 1, as their young QB looks legit. The Texans looked inept in their 25-9 loss at Baltimore. Look for the Colts' progression to continue here and grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Kansas v. Nevada +28.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Nevada (NON-CONF GOW) Kansas is 2-0, and Nevada is 0-2. In no way shape or form are we suggesting that the Wolfpack are going to steal an outright win here or anything, but we do think that there's every reason to believe that the Jayhawks'll take the foot off the gas as they get caught looking ahead to a bye week next week, followed by games at Texas and Oklahoma State. No such luck obviously for Nevada, who despite being a massive underdog here, won't simply be rolling over. This is too many points to be giving up considering all of these strong situational circumstances listed above; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) This game means more to UVA after suffering a 24-17 defeat to Purdue last weekend as a 1-point favorite. With a tough game at Marshall after this, the Hokies will be risking life and limb here to avoid another loss. The Scarlet Knights are 2-0 SU/ATS, but their early numbers are skewed do the level of the competition. WIth a game at Michigan on deck next, not only does this set up as a possible "letdown," but it also sets up as a possible "look-ahead" spot. When you add those two things together you get "trap game." No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is on the Hokies! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Florida State v. Boston College +24.5 | Top | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOY) Do we think that Boston College will win this game outright?! We do not. Do we think the Seminoles will take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half of this game as they caught looking ahead to their game at Clemson next Saturday? Absolutely. This is a great situational play, one so strong that this pick will qualify as our 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR. BC lost this game 44-14 last year, but all signs point to a much more competitive game this time around; grab the points, the play is BOSTON COLLEGE. AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Orioles RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) A big divisional series here, and after yesterday's 4-3 loss in Game 1, we expect Baltimore to respond on Friday. The Orioles have now lost three straight, and note that Baltimore if 4-1 in its last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Zach Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here for the Rays. Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.98) will finally get a chance to bounce back here for his new team. We expect the veteran to match his counterpart. Great overall value here in getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance - the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Virginia +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10* Virginia (BLOOD-BATH) UVA is 0-2, while Maryland is 2-0. UVA though is coming off a 36-35 loss to James Madison as a 6-point dog and we believe it'll be able to carry that positive progression over here in Week 3 here as well. Maryland beat Charlotte 38-20, but was unable to cover the 24.5-point spread. We feel this Friday night spread is too large as well for the home side to cover, especially with a big televised game at Michigan State the following weekend, setting this up as a classic "letdown + look-ahead" spot! Virginia's backup QB was great, as Athony Colandrea had 377 passing yards and two TD's. Maryland's game was 17-14 going into the fourth quarter, as the Terps struggled in many facets. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Virginia! AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Navy +14 v. Memphis | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (AAC GOM) Navy is 1-1, while Memphis is 2-0. The Midshipmen beat Wagner 24-0 last week, unable to cover the 43.5-point spread. Memphis crushed Arkansas 37-3. Memphis won this game at Navy last year by a score of 37-13, but all signs point to a much tighter battle this time around in our opinion. With a game vs. Missouri on a neutral field next week, will Memphis get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there of course. Navy on the other hand has a bye next week, which works in our favor here this week as the team puts its entire focus onto this game. Navy runs the option attack, but QB Tai Lavatai had 161 yards passing, including a 45 yard pass to RB Anton Hall Jr. Let's not read too much into the Tigers' early numbers, also facing off against FCS Bethune-Cookman. We see the home side leaving the back door open just enough for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Navy! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 36 m | Show |
10* Giants (SUPER BLOWOUT) Both teams advanced to the second round of the playoffs last year before then falling. Dallas has some talent to replace on offense this season though, and we've never been a big fan of Dak Prescott's. Dallas looks poised for a big step back this year after flailing once again last season. The Giants exceeded expectations by finishing 9-8 and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points (but note, we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset or anything either); the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 145 h 55 m | Show |
10* Eagles FIRST HALF (NON-CONF FH GOW) NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we still like this game as well for the entire game. Philadelphia was 14-3 last year and it then lost in the Super Bowl to the Chiefs by the slimmest of margins. The Pats were 8-9. Mac Jones and the Pats should do a lot better in his third year and with a new OC, but the Eagles are primed to hit the ground running in our estimation. What's the best way to take the crowd out of this game, which will be hyped becuase of a Tom Brady ceremony? Burying them in the first half. And that's exactly what we're expecting the dynamic Jalen Hurts and company to do; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens -10 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
10* RAVENS FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) NOTE: We also like Baltimore for the entire game, so if you don't have half time lines available, we're also suggesting a play on Baltimore for the ENTIRE game. The Ravens have had a busy off-season, including locking up Lamar Jackson, signing Odell Beckham Jr. among other moves. Houston has CJ Stroud, who could go on to become the next John Elway, but he's going to be in over his head here on the road in this difficult road venue; the play is BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Bucs v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -113 | 142 h 11 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-DIV. NFC GOY) Baker Mayfield's career is on the line here. It's now or never for Mayfield, and he'll likely be without his top receiver in Mike Evans. There's plenty of off-field drama going on in Tampa and we expect Minnesota to take advantage of that fact here in Week 1, coming in as the more prepared team will result in a decisive and lop-sided decision. The Vikes won the NFC North last year and while they have a few question marks here and there, everything points to a comfortable win and cover here at home in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | SMU +16 v. Oklahoma | Top | 11-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
10* SMU (UNDERDOG BOB) This is a non-conference matchup and we feel that SMU will be able to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. SMU is off a 38-14 win over Louisiana Tech, while Oklahoma annihilated Arkansas State by a score of 73-0. SMU though was up 31-0 at halftime in its game before taking the foot off the gas in the second half as it was caught looking ahead to this much more difficult game. Oklahoma though is the one going to be get caught "looking ahead" to its game at Cincinnati next week. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with SMU! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | Notre Dame v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
10* NC State (ANNIHILATION) The Irish are 2-0, but now they finally get tested this weekend. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion. The Wolfpack won't be rolling over here at home after their 24-14 win over UConn last Thursday and with the advantage of a couple of extra days rest. Notre Dame had no problem with Tennessee State last week, and with a week off before a game at home vs. Ohio State on September 23rd, this for sure sets up as not only a "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." This is a great "situational" play on NC State! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Illinois +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) Both teams enter at 1-0. Illinois is coming off a 30-28 win over Toledo, while Kansas beat Missouri State 48-17. Last year the Fighting Illini had the best defense in the country, but after the team lost its entire secondary to the NFL in the offseason, there's going to be a transition period obviously. QB Luke Altmyer had 211 yards passing and two TDs. Jalon Daniels could very well make his debut for the Jayhawks today, but if he does, we're expecting some "growing pains" for himself here as well as he gets "up to speed." Daniels had an 18:4 TD:INT last year before getting injured. Jason Bean looked good last week vs. Missouri State, but clearly this Illinois defense, despite being a shadow of its former self, is a huge step up in difficulty. An outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Lions +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 104 h 47 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lions finished 9-8 last year, while the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl, their second in the last four years. The Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes is always an X-Factor despite who is on his line-up, but with six key starters from last year's record-breaking offense gone, there's going to be a small amount of transition time here for the KC offense to find the same chemistry as it clearly had last season. The Lions' defense was their weak-point all year, but the unit made big strides in the second half of the season, allowing just 20.2 PPG. Detroit is ready to hit the ground running and won't at all be intimidated here. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 178 h 8 m | Show |
10* Duke (MONEY) Clemson comes to Duke here to open the season on Monday night off an 11 win campaign. Duke though really turned things around in 2022 under Mike Elko’s first season, finishing with nine wins. Clemson will feel that the 11 win season was a step back, while Duke's nine win campaign was one of its best of all time. The bottom line here is, Clemson is not the National power that it once was. The public is always quick to back the Tigers, but this matchup is more evenly matched than it appears in our opinion. Four of the Blue Devils losses last year were of the one-score variety. WB Riley Leonard is back, and we think he'll keep his team competitive late; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Duke! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -111 | 146 h 15 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ROUT) Outright upset? Maybe, but after going 1-11 last year, Northwestern won't be lacking motivation today. Ben Bryant came over from Cincinnati to be the man under center and to refresh this offense. What better opponent to go up against to open the season than Rutgers, which went 4-8 last year? The Scarlet Knights once again have more questions than answers coming into this season. The Rutgers defense is its strength, but we're expecting this to be a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +7 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 51 m | Show |
10* South Alabama (ASSASSIN) South Alabama was an amazing 12-1 ATS last year, and we're expecting it to get out to a quick start in 2023/24 as well. Tulane finished 13th in rushing a year ago, but the Jaguars finished 8th in rushing defense. South Alabama was 10-3 overall, but it fell to WKU in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall the Jaguars allowed just 21.3 PPG. The Green Wave conceded 22.2. In a contest that we believe will "come down to the wire," we're grabbing the points; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Toledo +9.5 v. Illinois | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 148 h 46 m | Show |
10* Toledo (SITUATIONAL BLOODBATH) Toledo has a stout offensive line and we think it'll be a difference-maker in being able to push around Illinois and hang and be competitive late. This was the MAC's best defense last year and that's going to be enough against this Illinois team on Saturday in our estimation. Toledo has the talen to run as well. Illinois is a great defense as well, so points will be at a premium. No matter which way you look at it though, this is a few too many points; grab the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Bowling Green +10 v. Liberty | Top | 24-34 | Push | 0 | 141 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (UNDERDOG SHOCKER) Liberty is a huge favorite here, but note that it was just 6-7 ATS. When favored by ten or more points, the Flames did not cover the spread once out of six times last season. Bowling Green was just 4-8-1 ATS, but with a low turnover in personel, the Falcons are expected to take a small step forward this year. Bowling Green was an underdog of 10 or more points in four different games last year and the Falcons went 2-2 ATS. We're not predicting an outright, but we definitely feel this is a few too many points for Liberty to cover here in Week 1; grab the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Stanford v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -120 | 130 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (NON-CONF GOW) Stanford has a ton of potential with new head coach Troy Taylor, whose Sacramento State team averaged around 500 yards per game. However, it's going to take time to build that chemistry, and that's where we ultimately see the door being open for the Warriors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. The Warriors lost at Vanderbilt last weekend, but covered the spread. Stanford is a total rebuild and there are so many question marks, that we expect the home side to be able to move the ball and be competitive. We'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Louisville -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 39-34 | Loss | -108 | 127 h 12 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOM) It would be difficult for Georgia Tech to be any worse than it was last year, so it will for sure be improved this season. However, that improvement is relative of course. Louisville does have plenty of new faces, including at head coach (Jeff Brohm) and defensive coordinator (Ron English), but the defense finished No. 1 in the nation in sacks last year, and this unit will have its way with the ACC's worst offensive line in tackles allowed for a loss. QB Jack Plummer has plenty of talent around him as well. These are the types of games that Louisville needs to run up the score on early, to allow its backups and wannabe's quality playing time in the fourth quarter; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -7.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 106 h 2 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota was 9-4 last season, and it won the Pinstripe Bowl. The Gophers averaged 28.2 points per game, while allowing 13.8. Nebraska went 4-8 and failed to make a bowl appearance. It gave up 27.6 points per game, while averaging only 22.6 per contest. The Gophers are interestingly 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a 7.5-point favorite. Nebraska will be a lot better under Matt Rhule, and tranfer Jeff Simms is a dangerous play-maker. Defense is an issue again this year though. This game will once again be decided in the trenches (Minnesota won this game 20-13 last year, unable to cover the large 14.5-point spread.) Nebraska's lines on both sides of the ball will need some work to get up to speed. Look for Minnesota's tough defense to be the difference-maker; lay the points on the Gophers! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | San Jose State v. USC -30 | Top | 28-56 | Loss | -108 | 558 h 23 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) If USC is going to take the next step as a program, it has to take advantage of these early season games, and hammer their lesser competition over the first three quarters, to give the backups and younger kids some real game time in the fourth, including Malachi Nelson and Miller Moss, among various other high-profile back-ups. It would be a massive wasted opportunity if the Trojans don't approach this game seriously and absolutely lay the hammer down over the first three quarters. SJSU finished 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS last year. With plenty of new faces, we expect the Spartans to struggle in this difficult road venue; lay the points, the play is the Trojans! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 558 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio (NON-CONF GOM) SDSU finished 7-6 overall last year and 5-3 vs. the Mountain West. In the end the Aztecs fell 25-23 to MTSU in the Hawaii Bowl last year. Ohio finished 2022 with a 10-4 record, and was 7-1 vs. the MAC. The Bobcats then went on to win the Barstool Arizona Bowl by a score of 30-27 in OT over Wyoming. Tim Albin won the MAC Coach of the year and quarterback Kurtis Rourke earned MAC Offensive Play of the year as well. With another tough game at home vs. LIU next week, we're expecting the Bobcats to be on top of their Game in Week 0. With a "cream puff" vs. Idaho State next, we're expecting the home side to get caught "looking ahead." While we feel the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Ohio! AAA Sports |
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08-19-23 | Patriots +2.5 v. Packers | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Patriots (ASSASSIN) The Pats lost 20-9 at home to Houston, but we'll caution in reading too much into that result, or any of the Week 1 results for any team, either good or bad. Green Bay got by Cincinnati 36-19, but we're expeting the Packers to have a much harder time moving the ball here against the Pats' tough defense. New England actually forced two turnovers on defense, including an INT that set up a field goal on their opening drive. The Pats signed Ezekiel Elliot to back up Rhamondre Stevenson. New England will use a vareity of QB's in this one. The Packers got 46 yards and a nine yard TD pass to Romeo Doubs from Jordan Love in last week's blowout victory, but we shouldn't expect a repeat performance here in this meaningless game. The majority of this contest will still be played by the backups and wannabe's, and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Marlins +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
10* Marlins runline (ASSASSIN) If the Marlins are going to make the playoffs, they'll have to win on the road, and they'll have to compete with the top teams in the league. Both of those factors will be on the line here in their trip to LA, and in a competitive opening contest that we foresee being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're going to grab the hungry Fish on the runline option. Sandy Alcantara (5-10, 4.09 ERA) is coming off his strongest outing of the year, giving up one run and striking out ten in a complete-game victory over the Yanks. It would appear that Alcantara has plenty left in the tank here now for a final push to the season (he owns a 1.69 ERA over his last four trips to the hill.) He hasn't fared well against LA in the past, but this is a case of that being then, and this being now. Tony Gonsolin (8-4, 4.24) counters for the home side, and he's coming off a strong outing against the Rockies, allowing one run over six innings. After 11 straight wins, we think LA is now complacent. No such luxury for the hungry Marlins though; the play is Miami on the runline. AAA Sports |
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08-18-23 | Bengals +6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 13-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals lost 36-19 to Green Bay last week, but we expect the Cincinnati offense to improve a lot this time around. The Falcons beat the Dolphins 19-3. The moral of the story here, is not to "overreact." Don't over-react to good or poor results from one week to the next in the preseason. Joe Burrow once again won't be playing for Cincinnati, but Jake Browning and Trevor Siemian were decent enough, despite the loss. The Falcons got a 79-yard punt return from Dee Alford last week. Logan Woodside was decent with 146 yards passing. But we just can't lay this many points with the Falcons, as we do expect Cincinnati to be a lot sharper all around here; play on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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08-16-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) After dropping three straight, including the first game of this series, we like the Phillies to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire, meaning that the runline option is the savvy call for sure here as far as making a play on the side. We don't trust the Jays to pull off the sweep. We think these starters are very evenly matched, with Philly going with Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.49 ERA), and the Jays countering with Kevin Gausman (9-6, 3.04.) Philadelphia comes in desperate to snap the three-game slide, and while we do believe the outright win is possible, the runline option at this price is the correct call in our opinion; the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-14-23 | Yankees v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Braves runline (BLOOD-BATH) The Yanks are just 60-58, including only 25-30 on the road and I believe that New York will not only lose this game, but it'll lost in blowout fashion. ATL is 75-42 overall, including 37-20 at home. NY just lost two of three to the Marlins over the weekend, including a late collapse in last night's 8-7 setback. With the thought of that crushing defeat fresh on the front of their collective mind, I say NY is ripe for the picking here. And I expect ATL to have no mercy. The Braves took three of four from the Mets, but dropped yesterday's contest by a score of 7-6. Clarke Schmidt (8-6, 4.23 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Max Fried (3-1, 2.50) counters for the Braves. We give Fried the big nod here in this matchup; lay the 1.5 runs on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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08-13-23 | Mercury +1.5 v. Storm | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
10* Mercury (BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on many different factors. Line movement, injuries, scheduling, trends. Many different things. For this particular one, we're keeping it "simple." Both these teams are terrible. Phoenix is 9-20, while Seattle is 8-21. Phoenix though has won two in a row and it also plays with revenge after losing 97-91 at home to the Storm as 4-point favorites back on August 5th, which is very significant to note here, as the Mercury are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent; clearly the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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08-12-23 | Sun v. Wings -1.5 | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wings (BOB) This one sets up well for the revenge-minded Wings in our opinion. Dallas has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's significant to note in this case, as the Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They also indeed do play with the "revenge factor" after falling 88-83 to the Sun as 3.5-point favs here back in July. With an upcoming game at Connecticut, it puts added importance onto this contest as well. The Sun just had their three-game win streak snapped in a lackluster 90-84 loss at Phoenix as 7.5-point favorites and we feel they're "ripe for the picking" here as well. And with the majority of the public money on the visiting side, that'll "seal the deal" for us in pulling the trigger and laying the short points with Dallas! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Packers v. Bengals +5 | Top | 36-19 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
10* Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER) The Bengals have "owned" the Packers in the preseason, going 5-11-1. Jordan Love may or may not even see time here in this one, and if he does, it'll be extremely limited. Joe Burrow is on the shelf, and there's a chance he'll miss Week 1. That means there's a QB competition in Cincinnati this preseason between Simian and Browning. The urgency in which this Bengals offense needs to get things figured out, turns out to the be the difference-maker here. The outright is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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08-11-23 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Burnley | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
10* Man City -1.5 (ASSASSIN) We'll have more stats to draw from as the season wares on, but overall this one sets up well for Man City to post a big blowout. Burnley has for sure come a long way under Vincent Kompany, but they're still severely overmatched in this one. Man City just lost to Arsenal in the FA Community Shield, so its going to be much more prepared here for this opener. It's lost talent, but Mancheter City still has more than enough to lay a beating on Burnley; lay the 1.5 goals and take Manchester City! AAA Sports |
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08-10-23 | Texans v. Patriots +3.5 | Top | 20-9 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* Patriots (BLOCKBUSTER) Houston finished last in the AFC South with a 3-13-1 record last season. New England missed the Playoffs for the second time in the last three years by finishing 8-9. Houston turns to new head-coach DeMeco Ryans, who turns to his new QB CJ Stroud. Not sure how much, or if any time Stroud will see in this opening game. The Pats offense is now being handled by former Texans' head coach Bill O'Brien. New England's strength was its defense last year, and we feel it'll be a difference-maker here at home in this meaningless preseason contest; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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08-08-23 | Astros -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* Astros RUNLINE (TOP VALUE) A big time matchup between AL leading teams. This is a big time starting pitching mismatch working in favor of the Astros though, and we believe Houston will not only win this opening game, but will do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the savvy call here. Baltimore has been great this year, but we still feel that when faced with the elite teams in the league, the Orioles will struggle. Especially their starting pitching. This is a mismatch on the mound. The Astros go with Framber Valdez (9-7, 3.07 ERA, 1.07 WHIP), while the visitors counter with Grayson Rodriguez (2-3, 6.09, 1.50.) Expect Houston to send an early message here with a resounding victory; grab the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-08-23 | Sparks v. Fever +1 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* Fever (REVENGE BLOWOUT) Two bottom feeders, but we like the way this one sets up for the Fever. LA is just 10-18, and off a rare 91-83 road upset at Washignton to snap a 3-game slide, everything points to an immediate return to mediocrity. The Fever are only 7-21, but here's an opportunity for them to score a victory and avenge an 81-68 loss at LA as 2.5 points dogs back in July (that's important to note though, as Indiana is in fact 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. And with the majority of the public money on the Sparks, we love the Fever to get back into the winners circle here tonight! AAA Sports |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres +1.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Padres runline (NL WEST GOM) We like the Padres to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread option. After droppping the opener 10-5, the Padres bounced back with an 8-3 victory last night. THis is the third game of a four-game series. Both starters are making debuts for their new teams, but we give the advantage to veteran Rich Hill (7-10, 4.76 ERA) here at home. He'll face off against the volatile Lance Lynn (7-9, 6.32.) Look for the home-field advantage to be the difference-maker here, and while clearly the outright is possible, we feel more comfortable laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is San Diego on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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08-03-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Browns | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 199 h 47 m | Show |
10* Jets (NFLX GOY) DeShaun Watson went just 1 for 5 in his first preseason series last year, and the Browns starting QB will likely see very little time here as well. Maybe one snap? Aaron Rodgers should see slightly more time, which obviously great works in four favor here. Cleveland's offense revolves around its run, but the Jets' strength defensively is stopping the rush. Finally, because this game will mostly be played by the back-ups and wannabe's, the advantage goes to the Jets again here with backup QB Zach Wilson playing with a chip on his shoulder after getting shoved to the side because of Rodgers coming to town; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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07-30-23 | Storm +3.5 v. Fever | Top | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
10* Storm (ASSASSIN) The Storm just snapped a lengthy losing streak with an 83-74 win at Chicago as 4.5-point dogs last time out, and we believe they'll keep that momentum roling here against the lowly Fever. Seattle plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after Indiana scored the 80-68 road win as a 2.5-point dog back in June. THe Fever are just 6-18 and off back-to-back road losses at LA. We feel the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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07-29-23 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Toronto | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 46 m | Show |
10* RIDERS (GOW) After winning the Grey Cup and despite a QB change, the Toronto Argonauts have so far not skipped a beat, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS as well. The Riders are 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS, but we're expecting the Riders to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give the unbeaten Argos a run for their money here in this NEUTRAL site affair in Halifax. This is a weird game in a way for both sides, as it'll be held in Halifax at a neutral location, dubbed teh Touchdown Atlantic Game. This is the first time these teams have met this year, but it's a double-revenge scenario as well for the Riders after losing both games last year (30-24 and 31-21.) Also note that Saskatchewan is 2-1 on the road this year. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Saskatchewan! AAA Sports |
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07-28-23 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hamilton (BLOOD-BATH) We like Hamilton to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and give Ottawa everything it can handle. The Ti-Cats are now 2-4, while the RedBlacks are 3-3. Hamilton managed a 21-13 win over RedBlacks in Week 5, and after back-to-back upset victories (both in OT!), everything points to a predictable letdown here for Ottawa. The Ti-Cats are the more desperate team in this fight and while clearly the outright victory isn't out of the question, the official call will be to grab the points with the TI-CATS in what we feel is a great overall situational play! AAA Sports |
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07-26-23 | Mystics +2.5 v. Lynx | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
10* Mystics (BLOOD-BATH) These teams are 1-1 this season, but the Lynx are 2-0 ATS. We like the Mystics to though, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and find a way to deliver the goods. They're 12-10 and coming off a quality 84-69 win over Phoenix. The Lynx are just 10-13 and they're off an awkward 98-81 loss to Las Vegas in their last outing. And with an ultra-tough East Coast road trip starting in New York, and then B2B games at Connecticut (followed by another home game vs. New York!), there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side; while the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Washington! AAA Sports |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa +5 v. Calgary | Top | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* RedBlacks (BOB) We think these teams are evenly matched, and in a contest that we envision being decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Ottawa plays with revenge here after falling 26-15 at home as 6.5-point dogs to the Stamps back in Week 2, and note that the RedBlacks are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Calgary came from behind to secure a 31-28 OT win over Winnipeg in Week 6, but note that the Stamps are still 0-2 SU/ATS at home this season; for all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can with Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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07-23-23 | Fever v. Liberty -11.5 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) This is a great situational play. New York is 15-5 SU and No. 2 in the Eastern Confernece, and while it's 5-1 SU in its last six, note that the Liberty are 0-5 ATS in their last five (but also note that New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row.) These teams just played in Indiana about ten days ago, and the Liberty managed to come out on top by a score of 98-87 in OT, unable to cover the 10.5 points. But all signs point to a comfortable cover here in our opinon after the Fever finally broke their eight-game slide last time out with an 82-76 road win at Washington (can anyone say letdown spot?!) Lay the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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