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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-25-19 | Wizards v. Magic OVER 217.5 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* Play on the OVER in Wizards-Magic Washington played last night, putting them at a bit of a disadvantage tonight in Orlando. They did cover last night vs. Golden State, which was good for me as I had them plus the points. But, truth be told, it was a bit of a "lucky" cover with a late three-pointer getting the Wizards inside the number. Golden State scored 126 points last night on almost 57 percent shooting. Orlando isn't the offensive juggernaut that Golden State is, but they can surely take advantage of an already suspect Wizards defense playing with some tired legs. Washington already allows 117.9 PPG on the road and is near the bottom of the league in efficiency on that end of the floor. Then there's the fact the Over is 26-11 for the Wiz when they're playing a second game in two nights. That includes 5-2 this year. Orlando has gone Over in each of its last six games. These teams met twice in November. Both games went Over as 225 and 226 total points were scored. Play OVER Washington-Orlando AAA |
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01-22-19 | Hurricanes v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER in Carolina-Calgary Few teams in this league are as hot as the Flames right now. I don't mean just figuratively either. Literally, Calgary has won 9 out of its last 11 games and because of that they'll head into the All Star Break in first place in the Pacific Division. Only Tampa Bay has more points. But tonight's game may not be as easy as the oddsmakers think as Carolina just did the same thing Calgary did in its last game. That would be go to Edmonton and win by three goals. After the Flames beat the Oilers 5-2 on Saturday, the Hurricanes did it by a score of 7-4. The pair of high-scoring efforts from these teams have led to a high total for tonight's contests and an excellent "value" play on the Under. Carolina doesn't score nearly as much as it should given the number of shot attempts they typically produce. The Flames have seen their last seven games all go Over, but Carolina is 6-1 to the Under when facing a team with a home win percentage of .600 or greater. Play UNDER Carolina-Calgary AAA |
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01-22-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 228 | Top | 114-123 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a *10* play on the UNDER in Portland-OKC. As with most games out West, this one is important as Portland and Oklahoma City come into Tuesday tied for third place in the conference. The Trail Blazers have won three in a row, but this is a tricky spot as they played last night in Utah. They beat the Jazz 109-104, largely on the back of a strong third quarter where they scored 39 points. Overall, it was a strong shooting night for them. The Thunder also played a road game on MLK Day and had little difficulty defeating the Knicks, doing so by a final score of 127-109. This Thunder team has been strong defensively for much of this year as it ranks near the top of the league in defensive efficiency. They too shot well yesterday. But I look for both offenses to struggle a bit in the second game of a back to back. Portland is already 6-1 Under when playing with no rest. Impressive for both teams is that their play on the defensive ends seems to improve in this situation. The Blazers are allowing just 101.7 PPG when unrested. OKC allows only 102.7 PPG. Play UNDER Portland-Oklahoma City AAA |
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01-21-19 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER in Blues-Kings These are two poor teams that don't score much, so betting the Under seems to be a logical move. No team has scored fewer goals this season than have the Kings. Over the last six games, they've had just one game with more than two. They've scored five total in the last three, all of which were road games. They also gave up seven in Colorado on Saturday, a game where I said to take the Avs. That number (of goals allowed) will certainly come down today as they go from facing a club with the top line in the sport (and that Avs' line accounted for 3 goals & 3 assists) to St. Louis, who is just 25th in the league in scoring. Seven of the Blues previous eight games have stayed Under, the one exception coming when they gave up five goals to Boston. The Kings aren't capable of producing that kind of firepower, so don't look for much scoring in this one as the Under is 7-3 the past 10 meetings. The Under is also 12-3-1 in St. Louis last 16 road games. Play UNDER St. Louis-Los Angeles AAA |
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01-21-19 | Thunder v. Knicks UNDER 228 | Top | 127-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER in OKC-NY! Oklahoma City had not been playing well lately, so Saturday's result in Philadelphia was quite welcome. Paul George's four-point play (in the final seconds) gave the Thunder a 117-115 win. It was just their second win in seven games. Theoretically, it should be an easy win this afternoon. They face a Knicks team that has lost 20 of its last 23 games. Two of those three wins were in overtime, the other against the Lakers, who didn't have LeBron. But I would be leery of laying points in such an early start time. I do expect this to be a low-scoring game though. The Knicks haven't broken 106 points once in the last five games. The Thunder have been one of the top defensive teams this season. They currently rank 3rd in efficiency. Again, this all sounds like an OKC blowout here, but I look for the Thunder to be a bit "off" offensively in this one. The Under is 4-1 the last five times they have been off a SU or ATS win. Play UNDER Oklahoma City-New York AAA |
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01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves OVER 227 | Top | 114-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER Phoenix-Minnesota I think we can count on these two to produce a high-scoring game. Phoenix is a very poor defensive team, one of the worst in the league in that regard. When they take their losing act out on the road, they give up almost 118 PPG. I played against the Suns yesterday as they went down 135-115 at the hands of Charlotte. Something very similar could take place here today in Minnesota as the Timberwolves aren't shy about scoring (113.9 PPG) nor are they the toughest team defensively either. Two games ago, they gave up 149 points to Philadelphia, who shot almost 60% for the game. They've given up at least 116 four times in the past five games. The Over is 16-5 in Minnesota's last 21 games overall, which includes 7-2 the last nine at home. The Over is also 7-1 the last eight times they've been off a SU defeat and Friday they did lose to San Antonio, 116-113. I project both teams to score at least 115 points in this matchup. Play OVER on Phoenix-Minnesota AAA |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | Top | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 101 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER between New England & Kansas City. The Over on last Sunday's Chargers-Patriots game, my only play on a NFL total for the whole weekend, won easily. As you may have read when buying this selection, was a LOCK by halftime, a WINNER by the third quarter & ended up going Over by THREE touchdowns! New England had 35 points by halftime and then was able to take its foot off the gas. The amount of scoring done by the Patriots does decline greatly on the road. But the good news for this week is that they won't have to score nearly as many points this week for the game to go Over. Not when faced with Kansas City's offense, which ranked 1st in yards per game, per play and points during the regular season. When these teams met in the regular season, it was 43-40, a win for New England. Maybe this game isn't as high scoring. But I don't think they'll combined to score 30 less points, do you? The Over is 6-1 in the Patriots last seven playoff games. Play New England @ Kansas City OVER. AAA |
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01-19-19 | Cavs v. Nuggets UNDER 219 | Top | 102-124 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNDER Cleveland-Denver Being that they are 17-point underdogs, Cleveland probably doesn't stand much of a chance here. It definitely doesn't help that they just played last night in Utah (lost 115-99). Those around the league will tell you that the Utah-Denver back to back set is among the most treacherous in the league. A bad team like the Cavs isn't going to fare well. But the pointspread is also really high, so that's why I'm staying away from playing the side, even though I just won with Denver Thursday night as they blew out the Bulls by 30. I expect this to be a bit more of a low-scoring affair as Cleveland is pretty bad offensively, especially with such limited options. The roster is really thin right now, Kevin Love the most notable absence. Given this game is probably going to be a blowout, look for scoring to slow down late and the game to stay Under. Play UNDER Cleveland-Denver AAA |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots OVER 46.5 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 142 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Over in Chargers-Patriots The Chargers scored 23 points on the Ravens in the Wild Card Game, but they certainly didn't come easy. It was five field goals and a touchdown (with a 2-pt conversion). But keep in mind that was the best defense in the league they were facing. I got the distinct impression that had they been facing most other defenses, Philip Rivers and the offense would have scored a lot more points. Los Angeles averages 26.8 points per game and is one of the top teams in yards per play. So what I'm saying is that they should score more this week against the Patriots than they did last week vs. the Ravens. Of course, New England should score plenty as well. Tom Brady and the Pats offense were a lot more effective at home this year, so it's huge getting this game in Foxboro. They were the league's only unbeaten team at home (8-0) and a big reason for that is they averaged 32.9 PPG here. Only the Rams and Saints averaged more points at home this year. While each team has gone Under in its last three games, the Chargers had to play Baltimore twice (and a Denver team that isn't very good on offense) while the Patriots played two bad offensive teams (Jets, Bills) and a road game vs. the Steelers. Play OVER on Chargers-Patriots AAA |
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01-13-19 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER in Canes-Preds The puck will drop early in Raleigh Sunday afternoon, but don't expect many goals to be scored in this one. That statement may surprise you if you've been paying attention to either of these two teams lately. Nashville has scored three or more goals in eight consecutive games while Carolina, who always preaches high shot volume, has scored four or more times in five of its last six games. But this early start time should work against the skaters on Sunday. I should also point out that the Predators allow the fewest number of goals per game in the entire league. And while the Hurricanes often get a lot of shots on goal, they don't convert at even close to a league average rate. Their shot percentage (7.4%) for the year is dead last in the league. Nashville is playing its sixth straight road game, so fatigue could very well be a factor for them today. The Under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between these teams. Play UNDER Nashville-Carolina. AAA |
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01-12-19 | Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 196.5 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over Memphis-Miami. You normally don't see a total this low in the NBA, although the last time the Heat and Grizzlies faced off, the number was actuall slightly lower. Being that first matchup went Over, oddsmakers had to adjust their number at least a little bit, but it's still not high enough in my estimation at below 200 points. Now I understand the Memphis has not hit 100 in any of its last three games, all of which resulted in Unders. And Miami was held under 100 in back to back losses before beating Boston 115-99 Thursday night. But Heat games are averaging more than 211 points this season while Grizzlies games are at 203.4. Seven of Miami's last nine games have gone Over. The Grizzlies last game, a surprise 96-86 win over San Antonio, saw them shoot 41.1% and hold the Spurs to 36%. Such percentages are not likely to be repeated. In fact, in the Grizzlies previous game before that, they allowed New Orleans to shoot almost 56%. Play OVER on Memphis-Miami AAA |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 212 | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Under Celtics-Heat The Celtics looked very good last night in dispatching Indiana 135-108. But despite "lighting it up" offensively against one of the league's top defensive teams, I wouldn't look for the C's to be nearly as prolific tonight. For starters, they may not have to be as the Heat have failed to score 100 points in back to back games. The game is also in Miami, not Boston. The Celtics are just 1-5 ATS this season in the second game of a back to back. Both sides have been going Over a lot recently, so we have a total that's at least a couple points higher than it should be. These teams went the entire 2018 calendar year without facing one another (last meeting was December 2017), so there's an unfamiliarity here. Boston does remain one of the league's better defensive teams and Miami isn't too far behind, joining them in the top 10 in efficiency. The Celtics are working on a streak of holding three straight opponents below a 43.0 FG% and that should continue tonight. But I wouldn't look for Boston to come anywhere close to the red hot shooting (56.9 FG%) from last night, which was their highest scoring game of the year. Miami didn't have a single player with more than 15 points Tuesday against Denver. The Under is 7-2 in Boston's last nine games vs. a team with a losing home record. Play UNDER on Boston-Miami AAA |
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01-09-19 | Bucks v. Rockets UNDER 226 | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER in Bucks-Rockets This should be a really good game on ESPN tonight as the 23-16 Rockets host the 28-11 Bucks. After a really good regular season last year (led the league with 65 wins), the Rockets got off to a slow start this year. But they've really turned things around recently, going 12-2 SU since December 11th with a big 125-113 win over Denver taking place on Monday. Milwaukee has a legit claim to being the best team in the league right now, though a loss to short-handed Toronto over the weekend certainly was disappointing. But the Bucks bounced back by beating Utah 114-102 Monday night. The expectation for tonight will be plenty of points, but something you may not be aware of is that Houston is playing at a much slower pace this year (28th in # of possessions per game). They are also still without Chris Paul. Milwaukee doesn't score nearly as much on the road as they do at home. Thus the Under has gone 6-1 their last seven road games. Play UNDER Milwaukee-Houston. AAA |
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01-07-19 | Knicks v. Blazers OVER 220 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
This is a *10* Play on Over Knicks-Blazers Portland is 7-0 Under its last seven contests. But the Knicks are 3-0 Over in their last three, so only one trend can continue. Given how bad New York is on defense, their trend is the more likely to continue in my estimation. The Knicks are second to last in defensive efficiency this season and are also giving up more than 115 points per game. On the road, they're allowing 117 points per game and the Blazers should make them pay for that sloppy defense here tonight. The Knicks are 4-0 Over so far this season after playing three straight games on the road. That includes the 119-112 win over the Lakers two nights ago. Considering the Lakers did not have LeBron, that's still a lot of points to give up. This is the second time these teams will have played this season. The first resulted in an Over with Portland winning 118-114. I feel that - combined - the teams can manage the same number of points here. Play OVER New York-Portland AAA |
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01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 41 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over Chargers-Ravens The 12-4 Chargers and the 10-6 Ravens just met two weeks ago with Baltimore holding LA to its worst offensive game of the season. The Bolts finished with just 198 total yards and no play went for more than 17. They scored only 10 points and their one touchdown came on a drive that started on Baltimore 17-yard line after a fumble. The Ravens ended up winning 22-10, sealing the deal with a defensive touchdown. Despite the inferior record, they get to be the home team this team by virtue of winning their division. Look for the sequel to be higher scoring than the original. Yes, Baltimore's defense is most definitely "for real," but the Chargers are one of the few (maybe the only?) team to play better on the road than at home. Philip Rivers posted the second best QBR in the league in road games this year. Also, Baltimore ran for "only" 159 yards in the first meeting. Though the Chargers are the first team that gets to see Lamar Jackson twice, don't expect their defense to have the same success the second time around. That previous rushing yardage total was the lowest for any of Jackson's seven starts and I expect the Ravens offense to be closer to 200, a number they've already cracked five teams with him as the starter. Play the OVER in Chargers-Ravens AAA |
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01-05-19 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 239 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
This is my *10* Total of the Week on UNDER Golden State-Sacramento I shouldn't need to tell you that this is a really high total and that a lot would have to go "right" for the game to go Over. Of course, we are talking the Warriors and Kings, so it's not like a high O/U line is that shocking. The last time these Pacific Division rivals faced off, Golden State won a 130-125 game. That was a little over three weeks ago and the game started very fast paced with the score being 42-38 (in Golden State's favor) after the 1st quarter. I'm expecting a much slower start tonight and thus a lower scoring game. The Warriors should come in focused after blowing a 20-point lead at home to Houston Thursday. Look for them to take their frustrations out on the Kings. That doesn't necessarily mean on the offensive end though. It's the defense that failed them down the stretch vs. the Rockets. I expect them to concentrate more on that end of the floor here. They've lost three in a row at home, the last two both coming in overtime as a result of last-second shots. A small sample size, but the Warriors are 2-0 Under after giving up more than 130 points in their last game. Sacramento is on a three-game losing streak. The only other time this year that they lost three in a row, the next game (a win) stayed Under. Play UNDER Golden State-Sacramento AAA |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 49 | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 74 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 7* play on the Under in Colts-Texans. In my writeup on the side of this game, I established that I don't the Colts offense is in for a very successful game Saturday in Houston. The Texans defense is very strong against the run as they allow 3.4 yards per carry, which was the best mark in the NFL. To reiterate, the two times these teams played in the regular season, Indianapolis ran for just 91 yards. That wasn't their average per game, mind you. That was the total number of rush yards in two games (50 + 41). In three of the last five games, the Colts ran for 50 yards or less. Houston allows only 17.0 PPG at home. While I obviously expect them to win this game, look for them to have a somewhat limited day offensively as well. Over the last seven games, the Colts gave up more than 21 points just twice. The Under was 5-2 in those seven games, including the one here in H-town. The Under is also 8-1 the last nine times the Colts have played a team with a winning record. It's 5-1 their last six Wild Card games as well. Houston has seen the Under hit in five of its last seven home games and 13 of its last 18 against AFC teams. Play UNDER on Colts-Texans. AAA |
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01-05-19 | Eastern Washington v. North Dakota State OVER 60.5 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the OVER in Eastern Washington-North Dakota State. The FCS Championship Game features a matchup of 12-2 Eastern Washington and 14-0 North Dakota State. The Bison are prohibitive favorites here and for very good reason; they'll be gunning for a record-tying seventh National Championship. Just like Alabama has owned the FBS under Nick Saban, NDSU has owned this level with all six championship wins coming since 2011. I don't think there's much value to be had playing the pointspread, but I do like the total as this should be a high-scoring affair at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX. North Dakota State is a machine running the football as South Dakota State found out in the semifinals three weeks ago. The Bison ran for 439 yards in that game and now face a EWU defense that is only so-so against the run and may even have its starting nose tackle. There were only three games this year where the Bison did not score 34 points. They've scored at least 44 four times in the last five games. Meanwhile, Eastern Washington just put up 50 in its semifinal win over Maine. It was the sixth time this year they scored at least 48 points in a game. Will they get that many here? Probably not, but playing catchup, they'll score enough to help get this one past the number. Play the OVER in Eastern Washington-North Dakota State AAA |
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01-02-19 | Oilers v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over Edmonton-Arizona. Expect plenty of goals in this one between the Oilers (18-18-3) and the Coyotes (17-20-2) as each team has really struggled to stop their opponents from scoring recently. Edmonton has allowed a total of 29 goals during a current six-game losing streak. They have given up at least four goals in every game. Arizona has allowed a total of nine goals in its last two games and four of its last five have gone Over the total. The Coyotes have scored 4 or more goals three times in those five games, so scoring shouldn't be a problem for them here on home ice against an Edmonton team that is already surrendering 3.5 goals per game on the road this year. But the problem is they also just gave up five goals in a losing effort to Vegas on Sunday. Arizona hasn't settled on who will be starting in goal (as of press time), but it's not as if any of the options are all that attractive. Edmonton is likely to go with Mikko Koskinen and he has an .861 save percentage his last four starts. Play EDMONTON-ARIZONA OVER the total. AAA |
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01-01-19 | Texas v. Georgia UNDER 59 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under in Texas-Georgia #15 Texas (9-4) meets #5 Georgia (11-2) in the Sugar Bowl, one of this year's better bowl matchups. I'm expecting a low-scoring game tonight in NOLA. Without a doubt, Georgia is going to be the best defense that the Longhorns will have faced all year. The Bulldogs allow just 18.2 points per game. Yes, they'll be missing their top corner (declared for NFL Draft) and coordinator Mel Tucker took the head coaching job at Colorado. But it's not like the Horns have the most explosive offense. On the other side, the Texas defense has had to deal with some very high-powered offenses this year in the Big 12. So they won't be intimidated here. The Under is 48-23 in the Longhorns last 71 games overall, including 19-7 the L26 games on field turf. They held Oklahoma below its season scoring average in the Big 12 Championship Game. Georgia has gone Under in 7 of its last 10 bowl games. Play TEXAS-GEORGIA UNDER AAA |
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12-31-18 | Northwestern v. Utah OVER 45.5 | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 7* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Northwestern/Utah. Northwestern finished 8-5 and the Utes were 9-4. Northwestern went to the Big Ten title game, but it would then lose to Ohio State. Utah also advanced to its conference final, but they’d suffer a setback (Washington.) With a chance to redeem themselves here, we’re expecting each of these hungry sides to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Wildcats’ QB Clayton Thorson had 267 passing yards in the loss to the Buckeyes. He also had two TD’s. Utah will be hungry to erase a 10-3 loss to the Huskies with a better effort offensively in this one. Previous to that the Utes had scored at least 30 points in three straight outings. Note that Northwestern has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six off a loss vs. a conference rival, while Utah has seen the total go OVER in three of four this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-29-18 | South Carolina v. Virginia OVER 53.5 | Top | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER South Carolina/Virginia. Virginia opened the year 6-2, but it finished 7-5. The Cavaliers can erase the stink of “what could have been” with a big victory today though and we’re fully expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. In their final regular season loss, QB Bryce Perkins had 259 passing yards and three TD’s, along with 112 rushing yards. The Gamecocks are coming off a 7-5 season and they hold on for an easy win over Akron in their finale. Note that the Cavs have seen the total go OVER the number in their last five neutral site games, while the Gamecocks have seen the total go OVER in seven of their last nine when playing with three weeks or more rest on a neutral field. This number is a little high, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-27-18 | Duke v. Temple OVER 54 | Top | 56-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Duke/Temple. Temple was 8-4 on the year, including 7-1 in AAC play, while Duke went 7-5, and 3-5 in ACC action. The Owls come in on top form having won three straight, outscoring their opposition 143-73 in those games. Overall Temple averages 35.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. Duke will be hungry here to get back into the winners circle after back-to-back “duds” to finish the season, falling 35-6 to Clemson and 59-7 at home to Wake Forest. The defense has been a problem for the Blue Devils, allowing 504 yards and 43 points per game average over its final three games. Note that Duke has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four non-conference games already this year, while Temple has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last ten played on “turf.” This number is low; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-26-18 | Kings v. Clippers UNDER 236.5 | Top | 118-127 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U ART OF WAR on the under Kings/Clippers. These teams push the pace and they don’t put a lot of stock into playing defense, but regardless of those facts, we think this particular posted total is a little high. The Kings are 18-15 and the Clippers are 19-14. Both teams to this point have far exceeded expectations to this point. Sacramento though is just 1-4 vs. division rivals this year and it’s given up 130 or more in two of those defeats. Clearly the Kings are going to have double down defensively if they hope to break that string of futility. The Clippers have already beaten the Kings in a high-scoring shootout earlier in the year, but I’ll point out that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight this year after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games, while the Kings have seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 23 in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 35 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Broncos/Raiders. With nothing to play for, not even the role of spoiler, we look for these teams to simply “go through the motions” tonight. Denver Broncos coach Vance Joseph will be reportedly fired at the end of the season, so the entire organization is in upheaval right now. Jon Gruden completely blew up his roster and the Raiders will be in rebuilding mode for a few years. As mentioned off the top, these teams have nothing to play. Note that Denver has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 19 on the road, while Oakland has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five as a home underdog of seven points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics UNDER 221.5 | Top | 103-119 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER between the Hornets/Celtics. Boston is desperate to reverse its fortunes after a three-game slide. Big man Al Horford is expected to make his long awaited debut for the C’s. Charlotte inched its way back over the .500 mark with an impressive 98-86 win over Detroit. The Hornets have doubled down on the defensive end of late, as they’d hold the Pistons to just 39 percent shooting, while also forcing 22 turnovers. And that doesn’t bode well for a Celtics team which has struggled with offensive consistency all year, averaging 109.3 points per 100 possessions. Boston though has been stout defensively, allowing 103.4 points per 1005 possessions, which ranks third in the NBA. Note that Charlotte has already seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven off a home win of ten points or more, while Boston has seen the total go UNDER in 21 of 37 in trying to revenue a SU loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles OVER 45.5 | Top | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 90 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Eagles. From a situational stand point, we think this one sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Both teams have struggled at times to put points on the board this season. Each relies heavily on its defensively play. Houston rebounded from a loss to the Colts to beat the Jets 29-22 last weekend. We look for DeShaun Watson and company to carry that momentum over here. Philadelphia enters off a much needed 30-23 road win over the Rams with Nick Foles under center last week. With nothing to lose, Foles and company will be given the green light today to test this tough Texans defense. Note though that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in six of seven off a road win vs. an opponent, while Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER in 14 of its last 23 after a SU victory. This number is low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Hawaii UNDER 61.5 | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER between Louisiana Tech and Hawaii. Hawaii had a great year, finishing 8-5, while Louisiana Tech was 7-5. Louisiana Tech backed its way into the bowl season with back-to-back losses to Southern Miss and WKU, while Hawaii won its final two games of the year over UNLV and SDSU. The Bulldogs will be leaning heavily on their run game while on offense to keep the Warriors offense off the field of play. The Warriors averaged 32.1 PPG, but Louisiana Tech allowed just 23.8. The longer time off throws a “monkey wrench” into the Warriors offensive chemistry in our opinion. Note as well that LT has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of five already this year as a road underdog, while Hawaii has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 219 | Top | 107-106 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER Thunder/Jazz. The Thunder have won seven of their last ten. Overall OKC averages 112.1 PPG and it allows 105.3. OKC has been pretty average on the road though, going 4-4 away from friendly confines their last eight. Utah won’t be going down without a fight. The Jazz have won two straight and they’re looking to get back to .500. Overall Utah averages 106.5 PPG and it allows 106.4. Overall the Jazz have won four straight at home. Note that Utah has seen the total go under in four straight home games after back-to-back SU/ATS wins, while OKC has seen the total go UNDER in 16 of its last 23 on the road. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers OVER 43 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Ravens/Chargers. This is a big game for both teams. The Ravens come in on top form, having won four of five since rookie QB Lamar Jackson took ver the job. Jackson isn’t asked to do too much, just to protect the ball, throw short crossing routes and use his legs when he gets into trouble. The Ravens rely on a strong run game and their No. 1 ranked defense. The Chargers are 11-3 and they come in having won four straight. Philip Rivers and company will be doing everything they can to get the defensive minded Ravens out of their comfort zone and with the home side pushing the pace at every moment possible while on offense, we’re expecting this total to sneak OVER sooner than later. Note as well that Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while LA has seen the total go OVER in three of four already this year off a division game. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army UNDER 60.5 | 14-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the UNDER Houston/Army. Houston’s star QB D’Eriq King went down in mid-November against Tulane with a knee injury and the Cougars ended the regular season with a dud in Memphis. Army finished 10-2 and it gets the job done with tough defensive play and one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. The Black Knights won’t be changing anything up here as they’ll be looking to control the pace of this one from the outset (in their most recent out the Knights held on for a 17-10 win over Navy). Note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while Army has seen the total go UNDER in interestingly five of its last six vs. the AAC. This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-21-18 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 211 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the OVER Pacers/Nets. Brooklyn is a vastly improved team. On both ends of the court. The Pacers are the No. 1 defensive club in the league, but they’ll be eager to get back on track after a tight 99-96 loss in Toronto, a game in which they led most of. Brooklyn comes in having won seven straight. Indiana is going to be forced to match pace here against a Nets team which is 10-6 at home. Note as well that the Pacers have seen the total go OVER in two of three this year after two or more straight SU losses, while Brooklyn has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last ten as a home underdog. This number is low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-20-18 | Rockets v. Heat OVER 208 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Rockets/Heats. Houston is 15-14. After a slow start, James Harden and company are now finally starting to look a little better. Especially on the offensive end. The last thing Houston will want to do here is to get trapped into playing the Heat’s “game” here. The Rockets are going to be looking to push the pace from start to finish. Most recently Houston beat Utah 102-97, while Miami enters off a 102-96 road win in New Orleans on Sunday. These are two teams which have struggled to put points on the board at times this year, but each is hungry and neither should be holding anything back. It sets up nicely from a situational stand point as a higher-scoring affair. Also note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of nine non-conference games this season, while Miami has seen the total go OVER in not surprisingly ten of its last 15 vs. good offensive teams which average more than 106 PPG. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-20-18 | Marshall v. South Florida OVER 51 | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER between Marshall/USF. I think the extra time off for USF, which opened the season 7-0, but which finished 0-5, will do it good here. The Bulls will have had time to game-plan and to get a handle on their QB situation (with starter Blake Barnett a question mark still.) Marshall finished 8-4 and is the more complete team on both sides of the ball. We’re expecting a wide open affair between these two hungry teams. Note as well that Marshall has seen the total go OVER the number in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while USF has seen the total go OVER in five of its last six as an underdog. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-19-18 | Thunder v. Kings UNDER 237.5 | Top | 132-113 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the UNDER Thunder/Kings. The Thunder are 19-10, but they play with double revenge here against the 16-14 Kings. OKC enters off a 121-96 home win over Chicago, while Sacramento looks to get back on track after a 132-105 loss in Minnesota on Monday. Overall the Thunder aveage 111.4 PPG and they allow 105 (that’s fifth in the NBA). The Kings average 115.4 PPG and they allow 116.4. Clearly on most nights that’s not going to get the job done. This one doesn’t have the feel of a “shootout” to us. Note as well that OKC has seen the total go UNDER the number in all five games it’s played in this year in the “double revenge scenario,” while Sacramento has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of eight already this year after scoring 105 points or more in five straight games. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State UNDER 54 | Top | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between Ohio and SDSU. Both teams rely on a strong run game while on offense. The Bobcats’ entire offensive identity revolves around star RB AJ Oullette, who had 1,142 rushing yards and 12 TD’s this season. SDSU is ranked fourth nationally in stopping the run, but Ohio will have little choice here. The Aztecs were hampered by injury this year, but RB Juwan Washington is back to play in this one and he’ll be out to make a statement in our opinion. Note as well that Ohio has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after two or more SU wins, while SDSU has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four vs. teams with winning records. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 49 | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Saints/Panthers. New Orleans is 11-2 and it still needs some victories to earn the bye with LA sitting with the identical record. The Saints own the tie-breaker, but clearly Brees and company can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point. Carolina opened the season 5-1, but at 6-7, it still is completely in the playoff hunt with three other clubs tied with an identical record. We’re fully expecting these “hungry” sides to open up the playbook and to push the pace from start to finish. Note as well that New Orleans has seen the total go OVER the number in its last three after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games, while Carolina has seen the total go OVER in five of six at home already. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-16-18 | Lakers v. Wizards UNDER 232 | Top | 110-128 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Lakers/Wizards. The Lakers come in off a big win in Charlotte just last night and we think they’ll be predictably “gassed” here. The Wizards made moves over the weekend to acquire Trevor Ariza to help their terrible defensive play and now the team will have to go through another adjustment period as they try to work him in (won’t be playing tonight). This is a great situational play, but also note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 19 this year vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Washington has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last 11 after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-16-18 | Packers v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Packers/Bears. Green Bay put on an impressive performance in its 34-20 home win over the Falcons, but consistency on the road has been a big issue for Green Bay. And now the Packers face a revenge minded Bears team (lost 24-23 in the first meeting), which comes off its best defensive performance of the year in its 15-6 home win over the Rams. Green Bay is averaging 24.2 PPG and its allowing 23.6, while Chicago is averaging 27.6 PPG and allowing 19. Note that Green Bay has already seen the total go UNDER in all three games that it’s played in this year as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER in 13 of its last 22 at home. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Georgia Southern OVER 47.5 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -105 | 154 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Georgia Southern/EMU. EMU finished 7-5, but with three straight victories to end the season. Georgia Southern also comes in with a ton of momentum after finishing 9-3 and back-to-back winver over Georgia State and Coastal Carolina. Last week Georgia Southern QB Shai Werts and RB Wesley Fields would combined for 226 rushing yards and two TD’s. EMU’ QB Tyler Wiegers finished with 1,887 passing yards and an 11/3 TD/INT. Note though that EMU has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already this year after two or more SU wins, while Georgia Southern has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last eight when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49 points. Look for each of the Eagles to open up the playbook and for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets OVER 41 | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 71 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the OVER between the Texans/Jets. The Jets have nothing to play for this season, but the players have everything to play for for next year. The Jets will be trying to build some momentum and something positive for 2019 and they’d love nothing more than to play spoiler to the Texans, who are looking to rebound after their nine-game win streak was snapped last week against division rival Indianapolis. Houston once again has a great defense, but the big difference has been the improved play of QB DeShaun Watson, who has 3,298 yards and 22 TD’s this year. Jets’ rookie QB Sam Darnold returned last week vs. the Bills and New York broke a three-game slide with a 27-23 win. There’s no reason not to think that Darnold and company won’t carry that momentum over here. Note that Houston has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after a loss by three points or less, while New York has seen the total go OVER in four of five already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-14-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets OVER 216.5 | 98-109 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U BLOOD-BATH on the OVER Thunder/Nuggets. We’re expecting a shootout between these two elite Western Conference teams. These teams are better known for their offensive play, but they’ve improved dramatically on the defensive side this season. OKC though enters off a high-scoring 118-114 loss at New Orleans, while Denver comes in off a 105-99 him win over Memphis. Note that OKC has seen the total go OVER the numb run eight of 12 already this year after playing a road game, while Denver has seen the total go OVER in ten of its last 15 as a home dog of six points or less. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-13-18 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 211 | Top | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER Mavs/Suns. Dallas held on for a 114-107 win at home over Atlanta just last night and we think it’ll come in dog tired here. The Suns have been more competitive of late, but they’ll be desperate to reverse their fortunes here on the heels of a ten-game losing streak. Now that the Mavs play with revenge here after the Suns scored a rare 121-100 victory in the first meeting between the clubs. Dallas averages 110.1 PPG (middle of the pack) and it allows only 108. The Suns average only 102.2 PPG and they allow 114.1. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine in trying to revenge a road blowout loss against an opponent of 20 points or more. The overall condition and the numbers combine to make the UNDER the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 53 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Chargers/Chiefs. The Chiefs beat the Chargers in LA 38-28 in Week 1. The first thing that comes to mind when you think about these two teams is “high-scoring, gun-slinging” offenses. And why not? With Patrick Mahomes and Philip Rivers going head-to-head, there’s no doubt why this number has been posted so high. However, the short week and the extreme importance of the overall situation as far as playoff standings sets this up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Additionally note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 16 vs. the division and in its last two Thursday night games, while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 24 at home and in three of its last four after a win by three points or less. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-11-18 | Suns v. Spurs UNDER 218 | Top | 86-111 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* O/U ASSASSIN on the UNDER Suns/Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Phoenix has already seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten as a road underdog, while San Antonio has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seen off an upset win as a home underdog. The bottom line: The inconsistent Suns are in action on Monday night and we think they’ll struggle on the offensive end tonight. The Spurs have won back-to-back games here and have no need to push the pace, only to control; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-10-18 | Pelicans v. Celtics UNDER 230 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER Pelicans/Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense: The Celtics annihilated the Bulls in their latest match-up, but a return home sets up as a bit of a letdown spot. The last thing Boston wants to do is to turn this one into a “track meet” with the high-flying Pelicans anyways. New Orleans comes in off a tough game in Detroit just last night and we think it’ll be “gassed” here in the second game of the back-to-back. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears OVER 51 | Top | 6-15 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between the Rams/Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 16 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games, while Chicago has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four after an extremely close road loss of three points or less. The bottom line: Both of these first place teams still need victories to lock down a top playoff spot. All signs point to a higher-scoring affair; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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12-08-18 | Notre Dame v. UCLA UNDER 151.5 | Top | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER ND/UCLA. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Notre Dame has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 19 on the road and in nine of its last 13 as a road underdog or pick, while UCLA has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine after two straight ATS covers as a favorite. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-08-18 | Predators v. Flames UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Preds/Flames. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Nashville has seen the total go UNDER the number in 15 of its last 20 road games when the total is set at 6 or higher, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER in 27 of its last 42 after a win by two goals or more. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers OVER 215 | Top | 86-108 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the OVER Suns/Blazers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Phoenix has seen the total go OVER in 12 of its last 20 as a road dog of 12.5 points or more and in its last three following two straight losses against division rivals, while Portland has seen the total go OVER in eight of 13 as a favorite this year and in 12 of its last 20 following a road loss. The bottom line: Both teams come in off extended losing streaks and each has a very difficult upcoming schedule. With each pushing the pace from start to finish, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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12-04-18 | Spurs v. Jazz UNDER 214.5 | Top | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the UNDER Spurs/Jazz. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: The Spurs have seen the total go UNDER the number in 27 of their last 37 after playing two consecutive home games, while the Jazz have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five vs. teams with losing records. The bottom line: Utah comes home off a 102-100 loss in Miami, while the Spurs broke a two-game slide with a big win at home over the Blazers. The Spurs have been terrible on the road though and a predictable letdown seems imminent. This one has defensive battle written all over it. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Warriors v. Pistons UNDER 229 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the UNDER Warriors/Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that Golden State has seen the total go UNDER the number in 21 of its last 31 following a road loss (including in four of five this season), while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER in 14 of its last 23 as a home dog of six points or less. The bottom line: The Warriors come in off a high-scoring OT setback in Toronto and I think they come in “gassed” here. This number is high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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12-01-18 | Stanford v. California UNDER 48.5 | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 119 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between Stanford/Cal. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Stanford has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of its last 27 as a favorite, while Cal has seen the total go UNDER in 12 of its last 20 after playing two straight conference games and in four of five already this season after playing a game at home. The bottom line: The Stanford Axe is at stake. This game was supposed to be played in mid November, but the wildfires in California postponed it till now. Look for the offenses to come out a little flat. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-30-18 | Utah v. Washington OVER 43 | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -105 | 105 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the OVER between Utah/Washington. This is the Pac 12 Championship Game from Golden State. Utah posted a 35-27 come from behind win over BYU last Saturday, while Washington earned its way to the Championship by posting a 28-15 road win over WSU on Friday. The Huskies won 21-7 over Utah on the road in mid September, but we’re expecting a much more wide open and higher-scoring affair this weekend. Utah averages 30.8 PPG and it allows 19.2, while Washington averages 28 PPG, while allowing just 16.5. Two of the best defensive teams in the nation, but we still think this number is low, as note that Utah has seen the total go OVER the number in five of six already this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in five of its last six after a road win of ten points or more. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys UNDER 53.5 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ASSASSIN on the UNDER between the Saints/Cowboys. Dallas has been getting the job done over its three game win streak with a strong run game and highly improved defensive play. The last thing the home side can do is try to match pace with Drew Brees and company, who are still looking to lock up the first round bye. But with the home side committed to try and control the pace of this one from start to finish, we do indeed expect a lower-scoring affair. Note as well that the Cowboys have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last nine home games following a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-27-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 215 | Top | 85-117 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the OVER Lakers/Nuggets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong relevant/ATS stats and common sense: As note that LA has seen the total go OVER the number in three of four already as an underdog this season and in 12 of its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver has seen the total go OVER in 14 of its last 20 after three or more SU victories and in 15 of its last 24 off an upset win as an underdog. The bottom line: LA can score, it just can’t defend. The Lakers are out to atone for a loss to the Magic and at home and the Nuggets will be pushing the pace as well. This number is low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans UNDER 41.5 | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Titans/Texans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Tennessee has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of eight vs. conference opponents already this season and in three of four vs. teams with winning records, while Houston has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine after two or more SU wins and in three of its last four MNF contests. The bottom line: This is an important divisional contest and we’re expecting a classic, hard-hitting defensive battle. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-25-18 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 217 | Top | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the OVER Suns/Pistons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Phoenix has seen the total go OVER the number in 27 of its last 38 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous outing, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER the number in five of seven this year vs. teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Suns come in off an impressive 116-114 road win over the Bucks, while the Pistons also come in with momentum after a 116-111 home win over the Rockets on Friday. Expect these teams to push the pace and for this one to fly OVER sooner than later. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER between the Canucks/Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Vancouver has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven when playing the second game of a back to back vs. a Western Conference opponent, while LA has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine home games as a favorite in the -165 to -200 range. The bottom line: Vancouver comes in “gassed” after last night’s game and the defensive minded Kings clamp down; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Illinois v. Northwestern OVER 58 | 16-24 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U SUPER-BLOWOUT on the over Illinois/Northwestern. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Illinois has seen the total go OVER the number in all four games it’s played in this year vs. teams win winning records, while Northwestern has seen the total go OVER in five of its last seven vs. teams with losing records. The bottom line: The Illini have been crushed in five of their last six and they’ll try to reverse that trend in a tough venue. Northwestern is already bowl eligible, but on seniors night, we think this one has the feel of a wide-open shootout. Backed with the above trends, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the correct call. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 59.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Falcons/Saints. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four “Thursday night” games, while New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 15 after two or more SU victories. The bottom line: The Falcons are desperate for a win, as one more loss will essentially seal their fate. The last thing Atlanta can do is turn this into a shootout and expect to hang with Drew Brees and company. New Orleans has been amazing, but the short week lends itself to a letdown here. This one has UNDER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 40.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 9* play on the OVER Skins/Boys. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: Washington has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Dallas has seen the total spar OVER in three of four already this year. The bottom line: No Alex Smith? No problem. The veteran was struggling mightily and we don’t see much of a drop off for the Redskins. It’s “next man up.” Dallas though will be looking to avenge a loss in Washington and to continue its resurgence with a third straight victory. With both teams pushing the pace, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions OVER 45.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -109 | 71 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 9* play on the OVER Bears/Lions. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Chicago has seen the total go OVER the number in all three games vs. division opponents this season and in its last four after two or more SU victories, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER eight of its last 11 vs. the division and in five of its last seven vs. teams with winning records. The bottom line: Chicago can’t take the foot off the gas yet. The home side won’t go down without a fight. This one has OVER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams UNDER 63.5 | Top | 51-54 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that KC has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine non-conference road games in which the total is set at 57 or higher, while LA has seen the total go UNDER in nine of its last 13 non-conference home games when the total is 60 or higher. The bottom line: While many will be expecting a “shootout,” we think these hungry sides will play to much more of a defensive affair on the National Stage. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Raiders v. Cardinals UNDER 41 | 23-21 | Loss | -110 | 153 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U SPECIAL on the UNDER between the Raiders/Cardinals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in in six of its last seven as a road dog in the 3.5 to seven points range, while Arizona has seen the total go UNDER in four of five at home already this season. The bottom line: Nothing to play for here. Each benefits from losing for positioning in the draft. With both teams “going through the motions,” look for this one to stay UNDER the number. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Panthers v. Lions UNDER 51.5 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 150 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Panthers/Lions. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: Carolina comes in off a humbling loss in Pittsburgh, but it’s still in second in the AFC South. The Lions are only averaging 21 PPG and in our opinion, this one has UNDER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins OVER 42.5 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 150 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER Texans/Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Houston has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 15 vs. teams with winning records and in both games that it’s played in following its bye week, while Washington has seen the total go OVER the posted number in eight of 12 vs. teams with winning records and in five of its last eight a home dog of three points or less. The bottom line: We’re expecting a wide open “shootout.” Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-17-18 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 208 | Top | 98-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER Jazz/Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Utah has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven non-conference games still, while Boston has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine as a favorite. The bottom line: Both teams come in off games just last night, with the Jazz losing in Philly and the Celtics holding on for an epic win over the Raptors. This one has UNDER written all over it. AAA Sports |
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11-14-18 | Blues v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Blues/Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that St. Louis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 23 after playing three consecutive home games, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last six after three or more consecutive losses. This number is high; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-13-18 | Canucks v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER Canucks/Islanders. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Vancouver has already seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 non-conference games, while New York has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four after allowing four goals or more. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-12-18 | Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 205.5 | Top | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER Jazz/Grizzlies. Utah has seen the total go OVER in three straight, but a tough game against the Grizzlies on the road points to a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. The Grizzlies are 5-0 at home and the Jazz are 4-2 on the road. Note though that Utah has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine after playing to three or more consecutive OVERS. This number is high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers OVER 6 | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Avs/Oilers. The Avs have lost five straight and the Oilers have lost three straight. These are two hungry Western Conference foes and we think each will be pushing the pace of this one from start to finish. Note that Colorado has seen the total OVER the number in seven of its last nine after four or more SU losses. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears UNDER 45.5 | 22-34 | Loss | -117 | 149 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Lions/Bears. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 19 at home and in four of its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. This number is high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse UNDER 69.5 | Top | 23-54 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between Louisville/Syracuse. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that Louisville has seen the total go UNDER the number i eight of its last 12 vs. teams with winning records, while Syracuse has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last seven off a win against a conference rival and in all six games that it’s played in of late after two or more consecutive SU wins. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-09-18 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the UNDER Jackets/Capitals. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that Columbus has seen the total go UNDER the number in 30 of its last 50 after a win by two goals or more, while Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of its last 19 at home when the total is set at six or higher. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers UNDER 52 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER Panthers/Steelers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Carolina has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last eight off a win against a division rival, while Pittsbugh has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 13 off a win against a division rival. The bottom line: Both teams playing at a very high level and each coming off an emotional divisional victory and playing on a “short week.” This one has defensive battle written all over it; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-06-18 | Oilers v. Lightning OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U DESTRUCTION on the OVER Oilers/Lightning. No rest for the wicked as far as Edmonton is concerned, as it enters off a 4-2 loss in the Nation’s capital last night. The visitors are going to be forced to match pace here if they want to keep up to the home side. Note that the Bolts have seen the total go OVER the number in 32 of their last 52 following a divisional contest. This one has high-scoring shootout written all over it; play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER Titans/Cowboys. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Tennessee has seen the total go OVER the number in 11 of its last 18 against teams with losing records and in seven of its last nine non-conference contests, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER in six of its last nine as a home fav in the 3.5 to seven points range and in its last three following its bye week. The bottom line: And both teams do indeed come out of the bye weeks. Both sides are desperate for victories and with each opening up the playbook, look for this one to fly OVER sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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11-04-18 | Packers v. Patriots UNDER 57 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 84 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER Packers/Patriots. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last six as a road dog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total go UNDER in three of four already this year as favorite in the same points range. The bottom-line: The Pats’ defense looked dominant in last week’s win over the Bills. The Packers’ defense also looked great in defeat to the Rams. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-04-18 | Texans v. Broncos UNDER 46 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 80 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the UNDER Texans/Broncos We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Houston has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven after two or more consecutive victories and in 13 of its last 20 on the road (including in three of four this year), while Denver has seen the total go UNDER in three of four at home already and in all three games that it’s played against winning teams this season. The bottom line: A very important game for both teams. Expect the defenses to be the main story line in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-03-18 | Stanford v. Washington OVER 46.5 | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER Stanford/Washington. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Stanford has seen the total go OVER the posted number in nine of its last 14 against teams with winning records and in seven of its last nine as an underdog, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four home games when the total in the contest is set between 42.5 and 49. The bottom line: This is an important game for both teams and we’re expecting a war until the end. Look for this one to sneak OVER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Raiders v. 49ers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 60 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF THE GAME on the UNDER between the Raiders/49ers. The Raiders have completely torn their team apart and their only mission will be to protect QB Derek Carr for the remainder of the season. The 49ers come in on a six game losing streak and struggled to put points on the board against a poor Cardinals defense last weekend. The short week clearly isn’t going to help these struggling sides. Note that Oakland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 23 as an underdog, while San Fran has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight off a loss against a division rival. Play on the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-31-18 | Ball State v. Toledo UNDER 62 | Top | 13-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the UNDER between Ball State and Toledo. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics: As note that Ball State has seen the total go UNDER the number in its last three as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range, while Toledo has seen the total go UNDER in nine of 14 off a win against a conference rival. The bottom line: Both team’s starting QB’s went out with injury last week as well. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-28-18 | Saints v. Vikings UNDER 54 | Top | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 35 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Saints/Vikes. Two of the top teams in the league collide on Sunday night and while these two clubs normally play to wild, wide-open “shootouts,” we’re expecting more of a conservative affair between these hungry teams on the national stage. The numbers support that as well, as note that the Saints have in fact seen the total UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after two or more consecutive SU wins, while the Vikes have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 12 as an underdog. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks v. Lions OVER 48.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER between the Hawks/Lions. Two teams coming off victories, but who are desperate for more collide on Sunday afternoon and in our opinion, offensive fireworks are in store. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish, expect this total to eclipse the number sooner than later. Additionally note that Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 14 as an underdog, while Detroit has seen the total go OVER in three of its last four as a home favorite of three points or less. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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10-28-18 | Bucs v. Bengals UNDER 54.5 | 34-37 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER between TB and Cincinnati. Both teams come in off losses and each is desperate for a victory. From a “situational” stand point, this one definitely sets up great for more of a “defensive” affair in our opinion. But further note that TB has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten non conference games and in nine of its last 13 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Cincinnati has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | Capitals v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the UNDER Capitals/Flames. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 14 road games when the total in the contest is set at six or higher, while Calgary has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of four already this year after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: Both teams enter off terrible losses, as Washington fell 4-1 at Edmonton, while at the same time the Flames lost 9-1 to Pittsburgh. With each side looking to atone for a sloppy defensive performance last time out and taking into account the above listed O/U trends, the UNDER is the savvy move in our opinion. AAA Sports |
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10-26-18 | Lightning v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* O/U SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER Lightning/Golden Knights. Two talented offensive teams which have elite goaltending go head-to-head and when the final horn sounds, we expect this total to sneak OVER the posted number. The Bolts’ Vailevskly and the Knights’ Fleury are two of the best goaltenders on the planet, but each of these teams also features plenty of offensive talent. This play however is primarily based on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats, as note that TB has seen the total go OVER the number in 22 of its last 31 after playing three consecutive road games, while Vegas has seen the total go OVER in 20 of its last 36 following a divisional contest. Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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10-25-18 | Dolphins v. Texans OVER 44 | Top | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Dolphins/Texans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U stats and common sense: As note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in 19 of its last 28 games played on a grass field, while Houston has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 14 against teams with winning records. The bottom line: Houston will be looking to deliver the knock out blow here and continue its surge after four straight wins. The Dolphins are down to their final gasp, but Brock Osweiler is going to be given the green light to “air it out” all night long. In the end, we look for this total to soar OVER once the final whistle sounds. AAA Sports |
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10-25-18 | Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 223.5 | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER Cavs/Pistons. The Pistons come in off a 133-132 OT victory at home over Philadelphia on Tuesday and we think they’ll come in “flat” here against their lowly opponent. The Cavs are 0-4 after last night’s disastrous setback at home and the Pistons are going to look to kick this team while its down. Detroit looks to move to 4-0, but I think the Pistons control the pace of this one from the outset and after his 50 point performance last time out, we think Blake Griffin has a much more “quiet” night on Thursday. Note as well that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in 16 of its last 25 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest. And with a home and home set against Boston starting on Saturday, Detroit will already be looking ahead and planning for that series. This number is a little high when taking all of the above info into account, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-25-18 | Ball State v. Ohio OVER 64 | Top | 14-52 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Ball State and Ohio. In 2015 Ohio won this matchup 48-31. We expect a similar final combined score here as well. Ball State is 2-2 in league action after a 42-20 setback to EMU last week, while Ohio is now 2-1 in MAC play after its 49-14 win over Bowling Green at home in its latest action. The Cardinals are ranked 67th in the country in points allowed and 97th in scoring with 25 PPG average. The Bobcats are averaging 36.3 PPG and they’re allowing 31. Ball State is going to have its opportunities to move the ball today against an Ohio team which will be happy to push the pace. Interesting to note that Ball State has seen the total go OVER in its last four games it’s played on a “Thursday night,” while Ohio has seen the total go OVER in its last two as a home favorite in the 10.5 to 14 points range. This number is a little low, play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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10-24-18 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 236.5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNDER Lakers/Suns. LeBron James and the LA Lakers are 0-3 SU/ATS to start the year, but they have a golden opportunity to change that tonight with a concerted effort over the lowly Suns. So far each team comes in having seen each of its opening contests soar OVER the number, but we finally believe that the conditions are right for more of a lower-scoring affair. Note as well that that LA has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last 11 road games after having also lost three or more games previously both SU and ATS. This number is high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-24-18 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Wolves/Raptors. So far each of these teams has seen the total go OVER the number in all three of their respective opening games (the Raptors are 3-0 and the Wolves are 2-1), but we’re finally expecting more of a defensive affair here. Look for each team to rest some players in this non-conference matchup. Also note that Toronto has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 following a three games unbeaten ATS/SU streak. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-24-18 | Mavs v. Hawks UNDER 233.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Mavs/Hawks. The Mavs have seen the total go OVER in two of three this year, while the Hawks have seen the total go OVER in all three of their games to date. We think these hungry non conference sides finally play to more of a defensive affair here though. The Hawks return home off their first win of the year, a big 133-111 victory in Cleveland for their first game of the year in front of the home town crowd. Note that ATL has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last nine after scoring 130 points or more in its previous outing. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 236 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Clippers/Pelicans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats: As note that LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in 24 of its last 40 when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 220, while New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven after scoring 140 points or more in its previous outing. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-22-18 | Giants v. Falcons UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Giants/Falcons. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS stats and common sense: As note that New York has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last 11 against teams with losing records and in 17 of its last 24 games played on “turf,” while the Falcons have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last ten off a win against a division rival and in their last four against an NFC East division opponent. The bottom line: New York obviously can’t get into a “shootout” with Matt Ryan on his home field and expect to win this one. With the visitors putting an added emphasis on their run game while on offense and taking into account the above strong O/U ATS stats, this number is indeed a little high in our opinion. Play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-21-18 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 58.5 | 10-45 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Bengals/Chiefs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that the Bengals have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten following an ATS loss (27-20 setback to the Steelers,) while KC has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last nine after allowing 40 points or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: We think these two normally high-scoring teams come out flat on Sunday night; play the UNDER. AAA Sports |
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10-21-18 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 41.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OVER Cowboys/Redskins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in 7 of its last 11 against teams with winning records, while Washington has seen the total go OVER in eight of its last 12 against division opponents. The bottom line: Both of these heated division rivals come in off victories and each will be leaving everything it has on the field of play today. We’re expecting a complete “shootout.” Play the OVER. AAA Sports |
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10-21-18 | Browns v. Bucs UNDER 51.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Browns/Bucs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER the number in 17 of its last 25 as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while Tampa Bay has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: These are two teams desperate for a win. The Browns can obviously ill afford to turn this into a “track meet” and expect to “hang” with the up-tempo Bucs. All signs point to this one sneaking UNDER once it’s all said and done. AAA Sports |
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10-21-18 | Lions v. Dolphins UNDER 46.5 | 32-21 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the UNDER Lions/Dolphins. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last ten non-conference games and in its last two following its bye week, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last eight when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: The Dolphins comes in off an impressive road win over Chicago and if it has any hopes in winning today, it’s going to have to duplicate its defensive performance against Matt Stafford and company. The Lions’s extra time off leads to “rust” here in our opinion as well. This number is a little high, play the UNDER. AAA sports |
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