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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-12-17 | Vikings v. Redskins +1.5 | 38-30 | Loss | -104 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday. Simply put, I don't expect the Vikings offense to show up in Washington on Sunday afternoon. While the Vikes defense is good, I'm not convinced it is good enough to win a game all on its own. The Redskins turned in arguably their best, and certainly their gutsiest effort of the season last week in Seattle. But it's all for not if Washington can't follow it up with another strong showing here against the Vikings. As far as I'm concerned, this is a winnable game for the 'Skins and they'll treat it as such. With the suspension to Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott the door is open for the 'Skins to take a run at the NFC East. But they'll need to play better at home down the stretch, where they've only managed to split four games this season. Note that the home team has won the last four meetings in this series. Take Washington (10*). |
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11-12-17 | Chargers v. Jaguars OVER 40.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
AFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Jacksonville on Sunday afternoon. The last time we saw the Chargers they were struggling to a 21-13 loss in New England two weeks ago. There were some positives to take from that setback, however, most notably the performance of RB Melvin Gordon who ran for 132 yards and a score. While the Jaguars defense has been terrific as a whole this season, it has still allowed the opposition to run for just shy of five yards per rush. I expect Gordon to turn in another strong performance here, which obviously works to help open things up for Philip Rivers and the passing game as well. On the flip side, Jags RB Leonard Fournette was suspended for last Sunday's game. He'll be back tomorrow and I expect him to run like a man possessed. Like the Jags defense, the Chargers have been stout, but not particularly strong against the run, giving up 4.6 yards per rush. Fournette should set up the Jags aerial attack here. We're dealing with a reasonably low total in what should be a competitive game on Sunday afternoon. Take the over (10*). |
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11-09-17 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 41.5 | 22-16 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Seattle and Arizona at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. 'Overs' continue to cash at an amazing clip in NFL primetime games and I'm not about to go against that trend on Thursday night, even as two familiar, defensive-minded foes prepare to go at it in Arizona. Seattle couldn't get anything going offensively until the fourth quarter in an eventual loss to Washington last week. The Redskins threw everything they had at the Seahawks and came away winners. This time around, I expect to see the Seahawks offense get loose against a Cardinals defense that made quick work of the lowly 49ers last Sunday. Offensively, Arizona has received a spark from veteran RB Adrian Peterson. This is a different offense than we saw a few weeks ago, even with Drew Stanton under center. We saw an ugly 6-6 tie between these two teams the last time they squared off (in another primetime affair) last season. I'm expecting more in the way of offensive fireworks this time around, however. Take the over (10*). |
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11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers OVER 42.5 | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Green Bay at 8:30 pm et on Monday. A big adjustment to the total here in the absence of Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. The last time these two teams met last season we saw a total north of 50 points. While I'm not anticipating an outright shootout in this one, I do believe we'll see both offenses do enough to push the final score 'over' the conservative total. The Lions couldn't get anything going last week, but that was against a steadily improving Steelers defense. Here they'll be up against a Packers 'd' that may be caught trying to do too much in the absence of Rodgers. On the flip side, coming off the bye week, I'm expecting a much sharper performance from the Packers offense, even with Brett Hundley under center. This is still an offense with plenty of talent, particularly at the wide receiver position. We've seen the Lions defense get throttled before, and I won't be surprised if it happens again. Take the over (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Kansas City at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the short number with the Cowboys as they host the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Dallas was given a boost late in the week as it was announced that Ezekiel Elliott would be reinstated for this Sunday's game. I expect to see Elliott run wild on Sunday afternoon. We saw plenty of cracks in the Chiefs defensive armor two weeks ago against Oakland and while they did respond well last Sunday night, that was against a hapless Broncos offense. Different story here as they go up against a Cowboys offense that is dangerous to say the least. Dallas has scored a whopping 73 points in winning back-to-back games but needs this one here at home to avoid falling back to .500 on the season and likely losing ground on the division leading Eagles. I like their chances. Take Dallas (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Bengals as they hit the road in search of their fourth win in five games on Sunday afternoon. While the Jaguars are off to a terrific start this season, there's no real intimidation factor at play for road teams playing in Jacksonville. Yes, the Jags defense has been outstanding, but I do think we'll see the Bengals come up with a gameplan to relieve the pressure on Andy Dalton and open up the running game for rookie Joe Mixon. This game has the potential to go back and forth all afternoon long. I believe we're getting terrific value with a Bengals squad that is coming into its own. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Bengals v. Jaguars OVER 38 | 7-23 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Jacksonville on Sunday as I anticipate an RB showdown between Joe Mixon and Leonard Fournette. Mixon hasn't been happy with his involvement in the Bengals offense, but here I look for him to take a central role as Cincinnati aims for its fourth win in five games. The Jaguars defense has been fierce to be sure, but the Bengals are playing with some confidence and I believe they'll come up with a gameplan to relieve the pressure on QB Andy Dalton. Despite their struggles this season, there's no question the Bengals still have plenty of offensive playmakers. Meanwhile, lost in the play of the Jags stellar defense has been the steady production of the Jacksonville offense. I'm confident they'll keep it rolling against a Bengals team that just allowed 23 points against a weak Colts offense last Sunday. Note that the last meeting between these two teams reached 56 total points. Take the over (10*). |
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11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on New York plus the points over Los Angeles at 1 pm et on Sunday. Just don't like the situation here for the Rams as they travel across the country, off of their bye week, for an early game against what should be a very beatable opponent in the Giants. New York is off its bye as well, which came on the heels of a lifeless performance at home against the Seahawks. After getting outgained by well over 200 total yards against Seattle, there's no question New York had plenty to work on during the week off. The Rams have been a big surprise this season, reeling off five wins in their first seven games. I still believe they're a little vulnerable in a spot like this though - a game they're expected to win, on the road no less. Situations like this haven't come up for Los Angeles all that often in recent years. I'm calling for a tightly-contested affair in New Jersey. Take New York (10*). |
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 43 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
NFL AFC East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Buffalo and New York at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'm anticipating a relatively low-scoring affair between these AFC East rivals on Thursday night. The Bills have scored 30+ points in back-to-back games but those came against reeling defenses in the Bucs and Raiders. Different story here as save for a fourth quarter lapse against the Dolphins, the Jets defense has held up pretty well. Keep in mind, the first meeting between these two teams this season totaled only 33 points. Offensively, New York has put up 48 points in its last two contests. That type of production isn't sustainable given the makeup of its offense, however. At least in my opinion. The Bills added WR Kelvin Benjamin prior to the trade deadline but it's unlikely he'll make an immediate impact. On the flip side, the Jets will aim to turn this into a slugfest. At home, they'll have a puncher's chance of doing just that. Take the under (10*). |
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10-30-17 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
NFL AFC West Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Kansas City at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday night. Two familiar AFC West foes will go at it in this one and I'm expecting points to come at a premium. The Denver defense is in full bounce-back mode after struggling against the Chargers and Giants in the last two weeks (of course they haven't had much help from their offense staying on the field). The Chiefs got torched for 31 points in Oakland last week. Things won't get much easier on Monday as the Broncos will likely open up the playbook coming off a shutout loss. The last meeting between these two teams came on Christmas Night last year, as the Chiefs rolled to a 33-10 victory. The 'over' has actually gone 3-0-1 in the last four meetings in this series. That only sets us up with a posted total higher than it should be in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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10-29-17 | Texans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 38-41 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Houston at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. Deshaun Watson will generate plenty of action in favor of the Texans in this one but I don't believe Houston is in a favorable spot as it heads to the Pacific Northwest to take on the Seahawks. The Texans are coming off three straight home games in which they scored points in bunches. Here, I don't expect them to draw the Seahawks into a shootout, however. Note that Seattle has allowed just 35 points over the course of its current three-game winning streak. Note that in two of those three wins, the Seahawks outgained the opposition by well north of 200 total yards. Watson may find some success moving the football in this one, but I believe we'll see the Texans struggle to finish drives with 7's on the board. Take Seattle (10*). |
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10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills OVER 46 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Buffalo on Sunday afternoon. Oakland's defense continues to struggle, not coming close to living up to the expectations that were set prior to the start of the season. Now the Raiders will have to handle a confident Bills offense that just put up 30 points in a winning effort against the Bucs. Oakland's offense came to life last week at home against Kansas City after lagging for weeks. Derek Carr is back in sync with his receivers and Jared Cook has added another element to the offense at TE. When these two teams met last season they combined to score 62 points in Oakland. Different venue this time around, but same result as far as the o/u goes. Take the over (10*). |
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10-29-17 | Falcons -6 v. Jets | 25-20 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Jets are in a tough spot here as they try to rebound from a devastating blown opportunity in Miami last Sunday. They don't draw an ideal matchup as the Falcons are in a big bounce-back spot following their beatdown at the hands of the Patriots. We're being asked to lay a considerable number of points here, but I believe the line could be even higher. Look for the Atlanta offense to have its way with a Jets defense that has played over its head so far this season. At 3-3, it's not desperation time for the Falcons yet, but if they want to contend for the NFC title, this is probably a win they need to pick up. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 37.5 | 0-40 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Baltimore at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Baltimore on Thursday night. When it comes down to it, I'm just not convinced either team can finish a lot of drives with 7's on the board playing on a short week. Miami staged a huge fourth quarter rally at home against the Jets last week, ultimately scoring 31 points in victory. Keep in mind, the Fins had put up just 61 points in their previous five games combined. On the flip side, the Ravens continue to sputter offensively, save for a breakout against a depleted Raiders squad a few weeks back (we cashed with Baltimore in that game). Baltimore has been held to 20 points or less on four different occasions this season. Last year, these two teams combined to score 44 points in a Ravens rout here in Baltimore. I'm anticipating a more competitive game this time around, and that lends itself to a lower scoring affair in my opinion. Take the under (10*). |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles UNDER 49 | 24-34 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in this NFC East showdown on Monday night. Most expect the Redskins to get lit up in this one, given the fact that they're without their top corner in Josh Norman and also considering they allowed 24 points against a pitiful 49ers offense last Sunday. I expect Washington to make the necessary adjustments here, however, noting that it will be facing a familiar foe. The Eagles have allowed 27 points or less in all six games so far this season and gave up just 17 points in their season opener against these same Redskins. Philadelphia has gotten terrific running from LeGarrette Blount since losing Darren Sproles to injury. I look for the Redskins to do a better job of bottling up the Eagles ground game on Monday though. You would have to go back to December of 2015 to find the last time a matchup in this series toppled the total we're working with at the time of posting. Take the under (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Broncos -1 v. Chargers | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver over Los Angeles at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Chargers last week as they pulled off the outright upset in Oakland but I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the Broncos as they find themselves in their own bounce-back spot off an ugly home loss to the Giants last week. Of course, Denver has already defeated Los Angeles once this season, brushing the Chargers aside despite a late comeback in Week 1. I’m not sold on the Chargers, in spite of the fact they’re coming off back-to-back wins. While their defense has held up fairly well from day one, their offense has only looked good in short bursts. Here, they’ll be up against an elite Broncos defense that should be extremely motivated after getting lit up by a pedestrian Giants offense last Sunday night. The oddsmakers have this game pegged as a toss-up. I simply feel that only one of these teams is a true contender in the AFC West, and that’s the Broncos. This is a win they need and I’m confident they’ll get it. Take Denver (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Cowboys -6 v. 49ers | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over San Francisco at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. The Cowboys are reeling off back-to-back losses against the Rams and Packers, both they get an excellent get right matchup in San Francisco on Sunday, against a winless 49ers squad that has to be extremely frustrated on the heels of so many close losses. Each of San Francisco’s last five losses have come by three points or less. Now the 49ers return home to face a highly-motivated Cowboys team that many had pegged as a Super Bowl contender entering the season. It’s still far too early for the Cowboys to push the panic button. I believe the bye week came at the right time for Jason Garret’s squad and fully expect them to put forth a much sharper performance than we saw in high-scoring losses to the Rams and Packers. We’re being asked to lay a considerable number on the road, but I believe it’s warranted. Take Dallas (10*). |
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10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +4.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. Perfect situation sets up here as everyone was so impressed by the Saints in their 52-38 beatdown of the Lions last Sunday while the Packers suffered a serious blow to their season, losing QB Aaron Rodgers to a broken collarbone. As a result, the Saints roll into Lambeau Field as considerable favorites on Sunday afternoon. I’m not sure the betting marketplace has got it right in this particular case. The Saints are a young team on the defensive side of the football, and while they have come into their own, they might be a little overconfident as they prepare to face the Packers inexperienced starting QB in Brett Hundley. Green Bay is a talented, well-coached football team, and one that owns a unique and strong home field advantage. Even without Rodgers, I’m willing to take a shot with the Packers for at least one game. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 47 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Night Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Oakland at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Oakland on Thursday night. The Chiefs are a little banged up following a physical, losing effort at home against the Steelers last Sunday. We saw the Pittsburgh defense do an excellent job of slowing down what had been an explosive Chiefs offense, and I expect to see some carry-over from those struggles as the reeling Raiders know exactly what is on the line in this AFC West showdown. Oakland got off to an impressive 2-0 start this season, but has since lost four games in a row, never scoring more than 17 points. Of course, an injury to QB David Carr contributed to that. He's back now, but didn't look all that in sync with the rest of the offense last Sunday and now faces a quick turnaround against a familiar opponent. The Chiefs defense has really only struggled in one game this season, that coming on the road against the Texans two weeks ago in a contest where they jumped ahead big early. I'm anticipating more of a nip-and-tuck affair on Thursday night, even with all the offensive weapons on both teams. Last season's two matchups totaled 36 and 34 points. Take the under (10*). |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans OVER 48 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 25 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indianapolis and Tennessee at 8:30 pm et on Monday. This is an ugly Monday Nighter on paper but I believe the oddsmakers are correct in setting a relatively high total. Neither defense inspires much confidence. The Colts offense has started to show signs of life now that Jacoby Brissett has settled into the starting role, at least until Andrew Luck returns, which could be any week now. On the flip side, the Titans offense has been struggling, and was forced to turn to Matt Cassel last week. Marcus Mariota should be good to go on Monday and should give this offense a spark. The most recent matchup between these two teams was relatively low-scoring, reaching only 41 points, and that game saw an inflated posted total north of 50. Keep in mind, the 'over' had gone a perfect 3-0 in the previous three meetings in this series. Expect a return to 'normal' here. Take the over (10*). |
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10-15-17 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Oakland at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I simply feel it's going to be tough for the Raiders to get rolling again from a standing position on Sunday afternoon against the rival Chargers. L.A. has taken positive strides in the last two weeks, falling by just two points against the Eagles before defeating the Giants on the road. Oakland has lost three games in a row, scoring just 37 points in the process. The Raiders are expected to get QB Derek Carr back this week but how effective will he be after missing time? The Chargers defense has actually held its own this season, allowing 26 points or less in all five games. Meanwhile, the Raiders were torched for 30 points against the Ravens just last Sunday. This has been a tightly-contested series in recent years, and I'm comfortable grabbing the points again in this spot. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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10-15-17 | Lions v. Saints UNDER 50 | Top | 38-52 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Detroit and New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in the Big Easy on Sunday afternoon. The Lions have been involved in two low-scoring road games already this season, totaling 34 points in New York (against the Giants) and 21 points in Minnesota. We saw the Lions defense get roughed up by Cam Newton and the Panthers last Sunday, but I expect a strong bounce-back performance here. Meanwhile, the Saints young defense has started to round into form, allowing just 13 points over their last two games combined. This is a unit that dealt with some early season headaches but has settled in of late, and draws a favorable matchup against a Lions offense that isn't exactly firing on all cylinders. We're dealing with a relatively high total here, just as we did in last year's matchup in New Orleans - a game that reached only 41 points. Take the under (10*). |
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10-15-17 | Bears v. Ravens -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 25 m | Show |
My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. More than anything else, I like the coaching edge the Ravens have in this matchup with John Harbaugh going up against John Fox. As far as I'm concerned, Fox is a sitting duck in Chicago, with the Bears continuing to struggle. They had a few things going for them early in the season, including RB Tarik Cohen, who looked like a breakout star. However, teams have held him in check in recent weeks, leaving the Bears offense without many weapons to turn to. QB Mitchell Trubisky gave them a bit of a spark on Monday night against Minnesota, but it's not sustainable as far as I'm concerned. The Ravens defense has come back around this season and is playing some of its best football in years in spite of that ugly showing three weeks ago in London. As long as the Ravens offense can at least be competent in this matchup, Baltimore should have little trouble brushing aside the lowly Bears. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -125 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Carolina minus the points over Philadelphia at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Panthers in this spot. Carolina was embarrassed the last time we saw it play on this field, dropping a blowout decision at the hands of the division rival Saints. Here, I anticipate a much better showing from the Panthers as they aim for their third straight victory. The Eagles are rolling along nicely right now, winners of three games in a row. They weren't challenged in last week's rout of the struggling Cardinals at home but they'll face a much tougher test here. I see this as the game where the Eagles really missing RB Darren Sproles. While Philadelphia has complimented QB Carson Wentz with more weapons this year, I'm not sure we'll see Wentz reach the heights he has over the last couple of weeks. I'll call for the Panthers to turn in their most complete effort of the season to date. Take Carolina (10*). |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears UNDER 40 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show |
NFC North Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Chicago at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I simply feel that this total has been set too high. The Vikings are obviously missing a number of key pieces on offense. It showed last week as they managed only seven points in a home loss against the Lions. I don't see them picking themselves up off the mat on offense this week as they hit the road for the first time in three games. Meanwhile, the Bears will turn to Mitch Trubisky at quarterback. It's the right move to displace an ineffective Mike Glennon but I'm not sure we'll see them light up the scoreboard with Trubisky at the helm either. Yes, the Bears have a dynamic ground attack led by Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen but I look for the Vikings vaunted defense to hold that duo at bay. Take the under (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Ravens +3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Baltimore plus the points over Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Ravens in an underdog role as they come off back-to-back no-shows and hit the road to face the reeling Raiders in Oakland. Many considered the Raiders to be a Super Bowl contender prior to the start of the season but that was with a healthy Derek Carr under center. With Carr sidelined and the Raiders ground game struggling, I'm not sure they're deserving of the favorite role on Sunday afternoon. I like the coaching edge the Ravens have in this contest with John Harbaugh matching x's and o's with Jake Del Rio. If there ever were a spot for the Ravens to prove their worth on both sides of the football, this is it. I'm not sold on the Raiders winning with E.J. Manuel at quarterback. Their defense can only carry them so far. I like the Ravens in a grinder on Sunday afternoon. Take Baltimore (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Jets v. Browns +1 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday. The line has flipped in this one but I don't believe the move is warranted. The Browns are coming off an ugly blowout loss at home against Cincinnati last Sunday but I'm confident they'll bounce back against the Jets this week. I had Cleveland pegged as a surprise team at the start of the season but it certainly hasn't played out that way as it remains winless. I still see potential in the Browns, however, and QB DeShone Kizer in particular. Meanwhile, the Jets are who we thought they were. Yes, they're off to a respectable 2-2 start but I don't believe they're a quality football team. Here, I expect them to fall back to earth as they hit the road for the first time in three games. The Jets got past the Browns by a field goal here in Cleveland last season. The shoe is on the other foot this time around. Take Cleveland (10*). |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
NFL AFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Bengals as they host the surprising 3-1 Bills on Sunday afternoon. I expect Buffalo's lead atop the AFC East to be short-lived. The Bills caught a favorable spot against the Broncos two weeks ago at home, and managed to stage an upset win. Last week's victory came as more of a shock, however, as they went into Atlanta and beat the defending NFC champions. While they have all the momentum in the world heading into this one, I expect to see them fall flat against the Bengals. Cincinnati earned its first victory of the young season last week in Cleveland. They can't be satisfied after that blowout win, however. Cincinnati does own a solid home field advantage and its been years since it last opened the campaign with three consecutive losses at home. The pressure is on in some sense but it's not as if anyone is running away with the AFC North. The road team has won in this matchup in each of the last two seasons. This time around, it's the Bengals that have revenge on their minds as they suffered a 16-12 home defeat against the Bills last year. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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10-05-17 | Patriots v. Bucs +6 | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tampa Bay plus the points over New England at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. The Patriots are generally a good bet coming off a loss. We won with New England following its home opening loss to the Chiefs, as it rolled past New Orleans the next week. I'm not sure we'll see the same story play out here, however. The Pats defense is struggling, and it's a major problem right now. The Bucs have the type of offense that is capable of taking advantage. While I'm not sure how well the Tampa Bay defense will hold up against a New England offense that is sure to add a few wrinkles, I do believe that unit can do enough to keep the Bucs in the game. These two teams haven't met since the 2013 season, and there's no question a lot has changed on the Bucs side of the equation. New England has issues that aren't likely to get sorted out in four days. I like the Bucs to be a thorn in the Pats side on Thursday night. Take Tampa Bay (10*). |
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10-02-17 | Redskins +7 v. Chiefs | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Kansas City at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Redskins as they try to hand the Chiefs their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football. Washington couldn't have looked much better in last week's primetime win over the Raiders. I came away more impressed by the Redskins' defense than anything else in that victory. I certainly expect that defense to play with a chip on its shoulder here as all we've been hearing about all week is how explosive the Chiefs offense has suddenly become. I'm not convinced Kansas City's offensive prowess is sustainable. Remember, a the start of the season a lot of folks were wondering whether Alex Smith was the right man for the job under center. There's some pressure on the Chiefs now as the league's last remaining undefeated team. I expect the Redskins to keep this one within arm's reach for four quarters. Take Washington (10*). |
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10-01-17 | Giants +3 v. Bucs | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Tampa Bay at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Giants as they try to earn their first win of the season on Sunday afternoon. Last week we saw the Giants offense finally wake up in the fourth quarter of a tough last second loss in Philadelphia. I do believe the G-Men have a lot to build on following that spirited contest. New York's defense is better than it showed in that loss and I'm confident we'll see a bounce-back in that regard against the Bucs. Tampa Bay got bullied in an ugly road loss in Minnesota last Sunday. The Bucs offense does concern me and should certainly concern the Giants. However, they still haven't sorted out their ground game and until they become multi-dimensional, I'm not sure their aerial attack can really take off. This is certainly a must-win game for the Giants. Maybe they're too dejected to pick themselves up off the mat, but this has always been a proud franchise, and I don't believe we'll see them go down without a fight this season. Take New York (10*). |
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10-01-17 | Eagles v. Chargers -1 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Philadelphia at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I'm not quite as high on the Eagles as some in the early going this season. Yes, they're off to a promising 2-1 start but they almost blew it against a struggling Giants squad last Sunday and they're already dealing with a number of key injuries. The Chargers desperately need a win to at least gain something from their three-game homestand, in their new home no less. Los Angeles did outgain the Chiefs in last week's two-touchdown loss and remember its first two losses this season came by a combined five points. I look for the Chargers to finally get their ground game going against a vulnerable Eagles defense. On the flip side, the L.A. defense is better than it has showed, and I see this as a favorable matchup. Eagles QB Carson Wentz has been rolling, but he faces some resistance here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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10-01-17 | Bills v. Falcons OVER 48.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Buffalo and Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. This will probably be a popular play on Sunday but that doesn't mean it's the wrong one. The Bills finally got their offense in gear against the Broncos vaunted defense, scoring 26 points in a somewhat surprising victory. Here, I look for them to build on that performance against a Falcons defense that has allowed 4.8 yards per rush so far this season. The Buffalo defense has held up well to this point, but that unit will be in for a test here. The Falcons didn't play their best game last week in Detroit but still managed to score 30 points. Through three games, all victories, the Falcons have put up a whopping 87 points this season. The last time they faced the Bills four years ago they scored 34 points in a thrilling overtime victory on the road. We're dealing with a fairly high posted total but I believe it could be even higher. Take the over (10*). |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 45.5 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Chicago and Green Bay at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'm not anticipating anything resembling a shootout between the Bears and Packers at Lambeau Field on Thursday night. Chicago has seen the 'under' cash in each of its first three games this season. If the Bears are going to stick around in this game, they're going to need to do it on the strength of their defense. The dynamic RB duo of Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard can only carry them so far. I expect to see the Packers stack the box and force Mike Glennon to beat them downfield in this one. The Bears defense should find some success against a makeshift Packers offensive line that struggles to keep Aaron Rodgers upright. Rodgers did pull off a nice comeback win against the Bengals last Sunday, making it look easy late. But don't be fooled, this offense is still a bit of a work-in-progress here in the early stages of the season, largely due to that banged up offensive line. The 'under' has cashed in two of the last three meetings in this series. Take the under (10*). |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Cardinals | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Arizona at 8:30 pm et on Monday. Many believe the Broncos laid out the blueprint for beating the Cowboys last Sunday as they loaded up the box and forced Dak Prescott to beat them, which he didn't do. Even if the Cardinals employ a similar gameplan here, I'm not sure they'll get similar results. Look for a much better performance from Prescott this week. The same goes for Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps more importantly the Cowboys defense, which got shredded by a pedestrian Broncos offense. The Cardinals are fortunate to be 1-1 after outlasting the Colts in overtime last week. I wasn't high on this team at the start of the season (we successfully faded them backing the Lions in Week 1) and I'm certainly not high on them now with their best offensive player, RB David Johnson, sidelined. There's no denying Arizona has a terrific defense. I'm just not convinced it will be enough against a highly-motivated Cowboys squad on Monday night. Take Dallas (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Raiders -3 v. Redskins | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
NFL Sunday Night Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland minus the points over Washington at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I’ll lay the points with the Raiders in Washington on Sunday night. Perhaps no team was more hyped leading up to the start of the season than the Oakland Raiders. So far, so good as they’re off to a perfect 2-0 start with convincing wins over the Titans and Jets. I like the fact that the Redskins are coming off a road win on the west coast last week as that helps support them as a small underdog in this spot. I simply don’t see this as a favorable matchup for a team that has plenty of flaws. Note that in last week’s victory over the Rams, QB Kirk Cousins threw for only 179 yards and a touchdown. The Redskins ground game ran wild, but that was against the Rams. Here, they’ll face a tougher challenge against a Raiders defense that limited Titans running backs to just 69 yards on 18 rushes two weeks ago (last week’s game against the Jets wasn’t a good comparison). Also note that Redskins RB Rob Kelley was forced to leave last week’s game due to injury. Washington hasn’t had much of a home field advantage in recent years and while the Raiders will get tripped up at some point, I don’t expect to see it happen here. Take Oakland (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks v. Titans UNDER 41 | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Seattle and Tennessee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘under’ in Nashville on Sunday afternoon. Seattle’s offense has sputtered out of the gates this season and until it finds a ground game, it might be a while before it starts scoring points in bunches again. There’s really nothing intimidating about the Seahawks offense right now. The o-line is weak, the wide receiving corps is pedestrian at best, and TE Jimmy Graham is inconsistent at this stage of his career. The good news is, Seattle’s defense is still above average and should be able to handle this matchup with the Titans. We won with the Titans in last week’s rout of Jacksonville. Things really got out of hand for the Jags in that one, but I’m not sure Tennessee was quite as dominant as the final score indicated. I’m still not sold on this Titans offense, which will lean heavily on its ground attack this Sunday. Defensively, the Titans aren’t an elite team, but they’re serviceable, particularly against a Seahawks offense that is still working things out. We’re dealing with a low total but I believe it could be even lower. Take the under (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Seahawks +3 v. Titans | 27-33 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Tennessee at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. We won with the Titans last week in Jacksonville but I won't hesitate to switch gears as they host the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon. In Week 1, when we backed the Raiders minus the points here in Tennessee I made the point that I didn't believe the Titans were deserving of all the hype. Yes, they play in a watered down AFC South division so there's a good chance they reach the playoffs, but that's where it ends. Here, they'll be up against a highly-motivated Seahawks squad coming off back-to-back less than impressive games to open the campaign. I simply feel that Seattle is more comfortable regardless of the way this one unfolds. The Titans would probably like to turn it into a high-scoring affair, feeling they have the edge on offense, but I'm not convinced it plays out that way on the field. It won't be easy, but I'm confident the Seahawks stay inside the number at the very least and more than likely win outright. Take Seattle (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers OVER 46 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between New Orleans and Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday. Neither of these offenses put forth their finest effort last Sunday but I’m confident we’ll see both units bounce back to a certain extend this week. The Saints aren’t going to win many games on the strength of their defense this season. That may be an understatement. While New Orleans has faced a tough schedule to open the season, the fact is, it hasn’t even come close to slowing anyone down. I expect a similar story to unfold here. On the flip side, the Panthers offense couldn’t have looked much worse last week. Cam Newton is still shaking off the rust and the ground game really hasn’t taken off yet. This looks like a tremendous ‘get right’ opportunity for this unit, however, even without TE Greg Olsen. I believe this total is a shade lower than it should be. Take the over (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Broncos -3 v. Bills | 16-26 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Bills are 1-0 at home, but that victory came against the lowly Jets. The Broncos resume is far more impressive as they've reeled off back-to-back home wins over the Chargers and Cowboys. While hitting the road and heading East isn't easy, I expect them to be up to the challenge. Denver is playing with a lot of energy on both sides of the football right now. This is a team that seems to be rejuvenated under the guidance of first year head coach Vance Joseph. As for the Bills, they hung tough against the Panthers last Sunday but that had little to do with their own play and more thanks to the Panthers disjointed start to the season. Things get tougher in this spot and I don't believe the Bills can stick around for four quarters. Take Denver (10*). |
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09-24-17 | Saints v. Panthers -5.5 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Month. My selection is on Carolina minus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Panthers didn’t do their backers any favors last week as they escaped with an ugly home win over the Bills. Despite losing TE Greg Olsen to injury in that game, I expect them to turn in a much sharper performance this Sunday as they draw a favorable matchup against a struggling Saints defense. We’ve cashed tickets fading the Saints in each of the last two weeks, noting that the potential is there for them to be one of the league’s weakest teams this season. The offense is still good, but certainly not great. And here New Orleans will run into a Panthers defense that has feasted on the 49ers and Bills over the last two weeks. Yes, Carolina will be taking a step up in class against Drew Brees and company this week, but perhaps not as significant of one as most believe. Last week’s result may have spooked the betting marketplace when it comes to the Panthers. I’m confident we see them respond favorably here. Take Carolina (10*). |
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09-21-17 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | 41-39 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over San Francisco at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. This is another in a long line of ugly Thursday Night Football matchups but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made. The Rams have been installed as rare road favorites in this one but I believe the line is warranted. Los Angeles is off to an even 1-1 start after opening with back-to-back home games. There's really no shame in that, even though the Rams failed to win in a favorite role against Washington last week. I simply feel the Rams have a lot more upside on both sides of the football than the 49ers do at this stage of the season. We actually won with the 49ers plus the points in Seattle last week. San Francisco's defense held up well in that game, but keep in mind, it was up against a Seahawks squad that is still figuring things out offensively. Much was made of RB Carlos Hyde running for over 100 yards, but consider that 60+ of those yards came on one run. While it's tough to envision the Rams posting a winning record through three games, it's also easy to forget that they opened last season 3-1, including road wins in Tampa Bay and Arizona. The Rams did drop both matchups against the 49ers but that should only serve to give them extra motivation here. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 39 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in San Francisco on Thursday night. Last year, the 49ers didn't post their third 'under' result of the season until November 13th. Here, they have a chance to do it before we even wrap up the third week of September. I don't see it happening, however. The Rams offense has been somewhat inconsistent but has at least shown it can move the football with Jared Goff under center. I'm not sure the 49ers defense is quite as good as advertised and might come in a little high on its horse following a strong showing in Seattle. Keep in mind, we did win with the 49ers plus the points last week. We saw some flashes of brilliance from the Niners offense in the preseason but that hasn't carried over into the regular season as they've yet to score a touchdown. That should change here. I expect to see both teams take some chances in this key early season division game, as they need to figure out what they have offensively and gain some semblance of an identity. The total has been slowly shifting downward and I believe it's reached the point where it's too low. Take the over (10*). |
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09-18-17 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over New York at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I felt the Lions were an undervalued commodity entering the season - that's why I chose to back them at home against the Cardinals last Sunday. I won't hesitate to get behind them again this week as Detroit heads to New Jersey to face the Giants. Will the Giants offense be fixed? I'm not so sure. Even if Odell Beckham Jr. is able to return I'm not convinced they'll be able to put points the board with any sort of consistency. New York's defense is good, but perhaps not good enough to carry the entire load. Meanwhile, the Lions aren't exactly accustomed to playing in the primetime spotlight, but here and now I believe they're the better team. The line doesn't indicate the same. Take Detroit (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Cowboys -2 v. Broncos | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. We missed the mark fading the Broncos on Monday night as the Chargers late rally fell short but I won’t hesitate to go back to the well and go against Denver again as it steps up in class to face the Cowboys on Sunday. Dallas dominated from start to finish in its season opener against the Giants last Sunday night. With that being said, the offense could certainly perform better this week. Jumping ahead early meant we didn’t see the Cowboys really open things up. They’ll be cautious against an elite Broncos defense this week, but I have more confidence in Dak and Zeke to make the big plays at key points of this game than I do in Denver’s underwhelming offense. I’ll certainly give the Broncos credit for putting 24 points on the board against the Chargers on Monday night, however I think the fact that they were held off the scoreboard in the fourth quarter, when they could have put the game away for good, was telling. Against an elite opponent like the Cowboys, I’m not convinced the Broncos will be able to come up with the big offensive plays they’ll need. While the Cowboys are known for their offense, it’s their defense that impresses me the most. This is still an underrated unit, one that I expect to see make a statement on Sunday afternoon in Denver. Take Dallas (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Cowboys v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 17-42 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Dallas and Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is certainly the marquee matchup on the Sunday afternoon NFL board and while everyone may be hoping for an entertaining, high-scoring affair, I’m expecting a defensive slugfest to develop. The Cowboys absolutely manhandled the Giants in a 19-3 victory last Sunday night. Eli Manning did complete 29 passes but for only 220 yards. Paul Perkins was New York’s leading rusher with a whopping 16 yards. In other words, the Cowboys defense appeared to be in midseason form. They draw another favorable matchup here as the Broncos have a terrific WR tandem in Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders but not much else. QB Trevor Siemian certainly doesn’t carry much of an intimidation factor. The Broncos defense sagged in the fourth quarter, but still held the Chargers offense in check for most of Monday’s game. Philip Rivers threw for only 192 yards and Melvin Gordon was limited to three yards per carry. Denver will face a tougher challenge trying to contain Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott on Sunday afternoon, but this is a unit that has stepped up in big games time and time again in recent years. Dak and Zeke will ultimately get theirs, but I don’t expect either offense to do enough to push this one ‘over’ the total. Take the under (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Jets v. Raiders -13 | Top | 20-45 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show |
AFC Blowout Game of the Month. My selection is on Oakland minus the points over New York at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. We’re being asked to lay a steep number with the Raiders on Sunday but I believe the price is warranted. We cashed a ticket with Oakland last week in its season opener in Tennessee. While there’s a chance the Raiders overlook the lowly Jets here, with this being their home opener I don’t see it happening. Oakland certainly appeared to be in midseason form last Sunday, making a pretty good Titans squad look average, on the road no less. Meanwhile, the Jets looked exactly how we thought they would look. They managed only 12 points with their lone touchdown coming on a one-yard Josh McCown touchdown run. That’s not encouraging. Despite attempting 39 passes, McCown threw for only 187 yards to go along with two interceptions. Their top rusher in the game was Bilal Powell, who managed only 22 yards on the ground. Not good. Defensively, the Jets are capable, but they’ll be up against a Raiders offense that still has room for improvement, even after putting 26 points on the board against the Titans last week. Marshawn Lynch shook off some rust, running for 76 yards on 18 carries last Sunday while Derek Carr was an efficient 22-of-32 for 262 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. It should only be a matter of time before the Raiders pull away for good in this one. Take Oakland (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a ticket fading the Titans last Sunday afternoon but I’ll switch gears and back them as they travel to face the Jaguars on Sunday. Jacksonville has one of the weakest home field advantages in the NFL, in fact it probably shouldn’t be considered an advantage at all. Yes, the Jags looked good in last week’s rout of the Texans in Houston but perhaps that had more to do with the Texans ineptitude than anything else. RB Leonard Fournette is going to be a force for the Jags for years to come and he showed flashes of that promise last Sunday afternoon. He’ll get his against the Titans as well, but I’m not sure it will be enough to overcome QB Blake Bortles’ ineffectiveness. Defensively, I see these two squads as mirror images of one another. However, motivation lies in the Titans corner following last week’s home loss to the Raiders. They’re behind the eight-ball off to an 0-1 start but can make amends with a big early season divisional win on Sunday, and I expect them to accomplish exactly that. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Patriots -6 v. Saints | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on New England minus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a ticket fading the Saints on Monday night in Minnesota and I won’t hesitate to go back to the well as they return home to host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon. To put it simply, I don’t believe the Saints are going to be a good team this season. Drew Brees is still an elite NFL quarterback but the talent around him is lacking. I certainly wasn’t impressed by the Saints offensive line on Monday night as Brees was under pressure for most of the game and open lanes were few and far between for New Orleans’ stable of running backs. The fact that Alvin Kamara led the team in rush attempts and earned a share of top spot in terms of rushing yards with 18 said a lot. Defensively, the Saints are relying on a lot of young, inexperienced players in key roles and that doesn’t bode well as they prepare to face a Pats squad that has been idle since last Thursday. New England got off to a roaring start before fading in the second half in an eventual rout at the hands of the Chiefs. Needless to say, they’ll have no shortage of motivation heading into this one. Drew Brees owns a 4-3 edge over Tom Brady in seven career meetings and I don’t need to tell you that will serve to sharpen Brady’s focus here. The Saints have owned a considerable home field advantage over the years, but perhaps not as significant in recent seasons. Here I don’t believe it will be enough. Take New England (10*). |
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09-17-17 | Bears v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 13 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Chicago and Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘over’ as the Buccaneers finally open their season at home against the Bears on Sunday afternoon. The Bears opened with a narrow 23-17 loss to the Falcons last week. There were certainly some positives to take away from that game, however. Yes, the defense held up well, limiting a very good Falcons offense to only two touchdowns, but I came away more impressed by the offense. Maybe ‘impressed’ is a bit of a stretch, but I liked the fact that they made an effort to push the ball downfield, with Mike Glennon attempting 40 passes, not to mention the emergence of RB Tarik Cohen as a versatile runner and pass catcher out of the backfield. RB Jordan Howard got plenty of hype leading into the season, but Cohen was certainly the more electric back last Sunday. It may not last, but for now, I believe the Bears have big play ability with their RB tandem. The Bucs offense has a chance to be really special this season. Adding DeSean Jackson was big, as was drafting TE O.J. Howard. Mike Evans is in line for a career year with QB Jameis Winston continuing his progression. While the Bears pose a tough challenge defensively, I believe the Bucs will be up for it. This total is a shade low as far as I’m concerned. Take the over (10*). |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Cincinnati at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. We won with the 'over' in last week's Thursday nighter but I won't hesitate to switch gears and back the 'under' this Thursday as two reeling squads in the Texans and Bengals do battle in Cincinnati. Both of these teams were flat out embarrassed in their respective home openers last week. Things won't get any easier for the Texans as they turn to rookie QB DeShaun Watson on Thursday night. Don't count on them opening the playbook wide for Watson in his first career NFL start, on a short week no less. Watson threw and interception and also lost a fumble against the Jaguars last Sunday. After giving the offense a spark on his first drive after taking over under center, he wasn't able to get much done the rest of the way. The Bengals were the only team to get shut out in their season opener. Without their full compliment on defense this week they could be in trouble against a lot of teams, but I don't believe that will be the case against the Texans. Offensively, the Bengals have nowhere to go but up. But how much progress will they make playing on a short week? That remains to be seen. This is a low total for an NFL regular season game - there's no question about that. However, I do believe it's warranted. Take the under (10*). |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals -6.5 | 13-9 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Houston at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. We're being asked to lay a pretty steep number given the Bengals didn't score a single point in their home opener against the Ravens last Sunday. However, desperation should play a role this week and I believe the Bengals draw a favorable matchup against the Texans at home. Cincinnati can obviously ill afford to start the season 0-2 at home. The Bengals were caught flat-footed against Baltimore last Sunday but I expect to see considerable improvement here. The Texans are a bit of a mess right now. They were already an afterthought in the AFC South race and last week's performance didn't do anything to change minds. DeShaun Watson will take over under center and make his first career NFL start on Thursday night. I'm not sure we'll see the Texans open up the playbook for the rookie, especially after he struggled to complete passes and committed two turnovers last Sunday afternoon. The SU winner has gone 33-2-1 ATS in all Texans games since the start of the 2015 season. I expect the Bengals to find the win column here, and I'll lay the points as well. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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09-11-17 | Chargers +3 v. Broncos | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Denver at 10:20 pm et on Monday. It's been a while since the Chargers have tasted success here in Denver - 2013 to be exact - but I believe they have a good shot at "upsetting" the Broncos here. L.A. didn't show much in the preseason. It got caught completely flat-footed in back-to-back home games to open the preseason before turning in a strong showing in its Week 3 'dress rehearsal'. I simply feel that the Chargers have a little more upside than the Broncos as we kick off the 2017 campaign. The Broncos will turn to Trevor Siemian under center again this season after he took the reins and performed reasonably well in the starting role a year ago. But can this offense take a step forward? I'm not so sure. As much as I like the Broncos defense, it is worth noting they'll be missing LB Shane Ray and DE Jared Crick. I don't believe we'll see the Chargers contend for the AFC West title when it's all said and done, but I am confident they can get the Anthony Lynn era off to a promising start on Monday night in Denver. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 43 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Denver at 10:20 pm et on Monday. I certainly expect the defenses to be slightly ahead of the offenses as the Chargers and Broncos renew their rivalry in Denver on Monday night. The Chargers have reason to be excited with an emerging defense led by pass rushers Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram. While this is a team that is still known for its offense with QB Philip Rivers at the helm, the fact is, it's the defense that will tell the story in Los Angeles this season. Meanwhile, the Broncos are what they are. Despite the presence of the dynamic WR duo of Thomas and Sanders, this is an offense that has its issues. QB Trevor Siemian isn't likely to light anyone up, certainly not a Chargers defense that is familiar with him after last year. Defensively is where the Broncos should continue to shine. Again, familiarity helps Denver's cause against a division rival to open the new season. That familiarity lends itself to a relatively low-scoring game here. Take the under (10*). |
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09-11-17 | Saints v. Vikings -3 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
NFL MNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Minnesota minus the points over New Orleans at 7:10 pm et on Monday. I had this line pegged considerably higher than what we're looking at and won't hesitate to back the Vikings in their home opener. Minnesota didn't show much in the preseason, save for late in its primetime showcase against the 49ers in Week 3. However, I saw enough to know that they're capable of taking a step forward after an up and down 2016 campaign. Of course, the Vikes did a lot of good things last season. Most notably, QB Sam Bradford completed more than 71% of his passes while throwing 20 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Now with the addition of rookie RB Dalvin Cook, the offense has the potential to be better. Defensively, this is the year the Vikes young core should really step up. All most saw in the preseason was them getting lit up by a pedestrian 49ers offense, but that was the preseason. The Minnesota 'D' will come to play in the face of a tough challenge against the Saints on Monday night. New Orleans enters this campaign on the heels of a few tough seasons. I'm not sure the Saints have all the pieces in place to turn things around this year. RB Adrian Peterson returning to Minnesota will grab a lot of headlines, but I don't expect him to take over this game by any means. The Saints offense will be good, but I'm not convinced they can stick around for four quarters against a quality defense. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Falcons -6 v. Bears | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Falcons didn’t show much in the preseason but that’s of little consequence. This is a highly-motivated, and more importantly – supremely talented squad that should have little trouble brushing aside the Bears in front of a weary fan base at Soldier Field. Chicago has finally moved on from the Jay Cutler era but is Mike Glennon really a much better option? It’s only a matter of time before Mitchell Trubisky takes over the reins and a poor performance from Glennon here would certainly speed up that process. Outside of RB Jordan Howard I simply don’t see many bright spots for the Bears, and I’m confident they’ll be one of the league’s weakest teams this season. We’re being asked to lay a considerable number of points with a road team given it is Week 1 after all, but I have a tough time envisioning a story unfolding where Chicago keeps pace with Atlanta for four quarters. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Steelers v. Browns OVER 46.5 | 21-18 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Pittsburgh and Cleveland at 1 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘over’ in the ‘Dawg Pound’ on Sunday afternoon. For the first time in a long time, there’s some excitement surrounding the Browns in Cleveland. I do believe we’ll see the Browns offense take major stides forward with rookie QB DeShone Kizer this season. That’s not to say that we’ll see them run wild against a capable Steelers defense, but don’t count on Pittsburgh manhandling the Browns the way it has in years past. On the flip side, the Browns defense suffered a major blow losing first overall pick Myles Garrett to injury. That takes away a lot of the positive momentum this unit had been building through August. Cleveland will certainly have its hands full with an absolutely loaded Steelers offense that welcomes back WR Martavis Bryant to an already explosive group. I would have liked to have gotten this total a little lower, but it’s still playable at the current number. Take the over (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals v. Lions +2.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on Detroit plus the points over Arizona at 1 pm et on Sunday. I’m not as high on the Cardinals as some. It seems like Arizona is a perennial Super Bowl sleeper pick but this is a team that has had a tough time living up to expectations in recent years. Things won’t get any easier this year with an aging, oft-injured Carson Palmer under center. Yes, David Johnson is an absolute force out of the backfield but outside of his presence, does anyone else on this offense really scare the opposition? The Lions gave QB Matt Stafford a lot more money than expected and perhaps deserved. That should at the very least give him a shot of confidence, and I like the receiving corps he’ll be working with, even if that group isn’t loaded with star power. Watch for Kenny Golladay to take on a prominent role in the offense before too long, perhaps passing Marvin Jones on the depth chart eventually. Defensively, the Lions are better than most give them credit for. As I mentioned, the Cards aren’t going to intimidate them. I simply feel that the wrong team is favored in this NFC showdown. Take Detroit (10*). |
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09-10-17 | Raiders +3 v. Titans | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oakland plus the points over Tennessee at 1 pm et on Sunday. I had this game as a pk’em but the oddsmakers have elected to install the Titans as a small favorite. While I can understand the logic behind the line, that doesn’t mean I agree with it. A lot of folks have the Titans pegged as a playoff team in 2017. I’m not so easily convinced. A lot went right for Tennessee a year ago as RB DeMarco Murray performed better than expected and an ‘under the radar’ receiving corps came up big for QB Marcus Mariota. However, the Titans will have a bigger target on their backs this season, and it starts with this showdown with the Raiders – who carry plenty of hype and expectations of their own. Barring injuries, I do believe Oakland will make some serious noise in the AFC West this season. We saw the Chiefs come roaring out of the gates in Foxborough on Thursday but the Raiders are capable of looking just as impressive here. Take Oakland (10*). |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 48.5 | 42-27 | Win | 100 | 49 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Kansas City and New England at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'over' in Foxborough on Thursday night. Kansas City didn't show much in the preseason, yet still managed to score 30 points in two of its four games. First round draft pick Pat Mahomes saw the bulk of the action under center, but Alex Smith is still the starter, and I believe he has enough weapons at his disposal to remain the starter for the entire campaign - even if most believe otherwise. The Patriots have an excellent defense but I'm not sure they'll have an answer for Travis Kelce or the WR/RB duo of Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt. Keep in mind, the Chiefs scored at least 24 points on nine different occasions last season. On the flip side, the Chiefs also have an elite defense. But when have the Patriots ever backed down from a challenge. The Pats may have lost Julian Edelman for the season but their 'next man up' philosophy has always served them well. They're still loaded on offense with the addition of Brandin Cooks and the potential emergence of Chris Hogan. We're dealing with a fairly high total here but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons +3 | 34-28 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over New England at 6:30 pm et on Sunday. When in doubt, grab the points, and in this case, I feel the game could go either way but the value is with the Falcons in an underdog role. New England didn't exactly face a murderer's row in terms of opposition this season, and that has continued in the playoffs as it drew a favorable matchup against the Texans before the Steelers were essentially a no-show in the AFC Championship Game. Meanwhile, the Falcons have been going full throttle all season, facing a difficult schedule along the way, and that continued in the postseason as they went up against the Seahawks and Packers - two legitimate Super Bowl contenders. I don't believe the Falcons defense gets nearly enough credit for how well it has played this season. Yes, they've given up their share of points, but that's largely due to playing ahead so much, and forcing opponents into taking chances in catch-up mode. They've been involved in plenty of shootouts but more often than not, their defense has come up with big plays when it has needed to. This should be an entertaining contest from start to finish. I'm comfortable putting my money on a Falcons squad that hasn't been here before. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-22-17 | Steelers +6 v. Patriots | 17-36 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over New England at 6:40 pm et on Sunday. To put it simply, I'm not overly impressed by the Patriots. This New England squad doesn't carry quite the same intimidation factor it did in recent years - at least not in my opinion. The Steelers certainly won't be intimidated. This is a team that has regained its swagger over the course of the season, particularly on the defensive side of the football. We knew all along the Steelers could score, but last week we saw that they're more than capable of winning a slugfest as well. I do expect to see their offense return to form this week. Few teams have been able to slow down Le'Veon Bell out of the backfield and the Pats should be no exception. The Patriots are coming off a shaky performance against the Texans last week. It was as sloppy as we've seen New England in quite some time. Expect a sharper performance here, but I'm happy to grab all the points I can get with a Steelers squad that should stay within arm's reach for four quarters. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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01-22-17 | Packers +5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 49 m | Show |
NFL Playoff Game of the Year. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Atlanta at 3:05 pm et on Sunday. To put it simply, I don’t see the Atlanta Falcons reaching the Super Bowl. While they’re not exactly giving off a ‘happy to be here’ vibe leading up to the NFC Championship, I can’t help but feel they’re pleased as punch to not only be in the game, but hosting it no less. Meanwhile, the Packers have ‘been there, done that’, so to speak, and still have a sour taste in their mouth from that epic collapse in the NFC Championship Game in Seattle two years ago. Green Bay’s defense is vulnerable – that’s not up for debate. And the Falcons are certainly capable of taking advantage, as we saw last week when they shredded an undermanned but still formidable Seahawks defense. On the flip side, however, Aaron Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his career (that’s saying something) and getting support from all over the field, even in the absence of Jordy Nelson. The same can be said for Matt Ryan, but could he flinch given the high stakes of this game? It’s the biggest game of his career to date without question. In what should be a high-scoring affair, and in a game where the team that can come up with the most clutch plays in the fourth quarter likely wins, my money is on the one that has thrived on this stage before. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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01-15-17 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 44.5 | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Divisional Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘over’ between Pittsburgh and Kansas City at 8:20 pm et on Sunday. I’ll back the ‘over’ in Kansas City on Sunday night. We missed the mark with the ‘over’ in the Steelers blowout win over the Dolphins last Sunday. That was a tough roll of the dice as there were plenty of opportunities to send that one ‘over’ the number but turnovers essentially did us in. I expect a different story to unfold this week as the Steelers travel to Kansas City to face the Chiefs. This total has been dropping and it likely has a lot to do with the weather forecast, which is calling for cold temperatures and some precipitation. I’m not all that concerned about that. I think the key here is that the Chiefs offense is being underrated by the betting marketplace – at least in my opinion. The emergence of the versatile Tyreek Hill down the stretch made a big difference for this group and with Jeremy Maclin back to full strength as well, this is suddenly a team that doesn’t have to rely on its defense and ground game to grind out victories. The Steelers defense looked good against the Dolphins last week but let’s not get carried away as they were facing the likes of Matt Moore at quarterback. I do expect Pittsburgh to stick around in this game thanks to its own explosive offense, even if Big Ben isn’t 100% healthy. This is the first time Pittsburgh has had both Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell healthy for the playoffs, and their presence was certainly felt last week, and should be again here. Take the over (10*). |
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01-14-17 | Texans v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | 16-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘under’ between Houston and New England at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. I’ll back the ‘under’ in Foxborough on Saturday night. This play essentially comes down to the fact that I don’t believe the Texans are capable of producing much offense at all in this matchup. We did cash a ticket with the ‘over’ in their rout of the banged-up Raiders last week, and it had everything to do with a big first half from the Houston offense. But there’s no question it was the play of the defense that really set up the offense early on. While the big lead had something to do with it, the fact is, QB Brock Osweiler and the offense did very little in the second half. I like the Texans defense, but I don’t like their offense at all, plain and simple. The Patriots are known for their offense of course, and while I do expect them to hang a crooked number on the scoreboard on Saturday night, I’m not sure it will be enough to topple this total. There’s no reason for New England to go over the top in terms of running up the score, not here in the Divisional Round. The Texans defense will at least offer some resistance and I don’t see Bill Bellichick showing up Bill O’Brien – no different than we saw in the regular season meeting between these two teams – a game that could have been even more lopsided than it was – even without Tom Brady at the Pats’ disposal (note that we cashed a ticket on the ‘under’ in that game). Take the under (10*). |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons OVER 51.5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
My selection is on the ‘over’ between Seattle and Atlanta at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. I’ll back the ‘over’ in Atlanta on Saturday afternoon. We missed the mark with the ‘over’ in the Seahawks Wild Card victory over Detroit last week. The Seahawks offense showed up in that one but the Lions’ did not – it really was as simple as that. There was nothing particularly special about the Seattle defense on that night – the Lions simply didn’t pose any sort of challenge, with QB Matt Stafford struggling through a hand injury. This time around, the Seahawks will face a much more formidable challenge against one of the best offensive teams in the league. I don’t expect the Falcons to show any rust despite the week off. This is a team that has produced offensively all season long with few exceptions. While the defense has held its own for stretches, I do believe that unit will be tested by a Seahawks offense that is more than capable of scoring points in bunches. Yes, Seattle’s offense has been inconsistent, but that’s had a lot to do with QB Russell Wilson playing at less than 100% healthy. He’s arguably as healthy as he’s been all season right now, and we saw glimpses of what the ‘Hawks are capable of last week. Take the over (10*). |
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01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers UNDER 45 | 13-38 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Green Bay at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon. I simply believe that this total will prove too high. The oddsmakers have made a pretty big adjustment to the total after we saw a closing number of 49 points in the lone regular season meeting between the Giants and Packers - a game that totaled just 39 points here in Green Bay back in October. The Giants defense shifted into another gear down the stretch and I expect that strong play to continue in this one, even with Aaron Rodgers playing some of his best football for the Packers. On the other side, this play is more about the Giants offense, and the inconsistency of that unit rather than the effectiveness of the Packers defense. There's reason to believe the Pack can contain the Giants offense, just as they did in that regular season matchup. Take the under (10*). |
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01-08-17 | Giants +6 v. Packers | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Green Bay at 4:40 pm et on Sunday. The Giants are certainly a popular upset pick on Wild Card Weekend but that doesn't mean they're the wrong one. While I'm not going to call for the outright victory here, I do believe this has the makings of a classic, with the G-Men capable of taking the Packers down to the wire. The New York defense really doesn't get enough credit. This is a unit that has gone through plenty of changes in recent years, but keeps on ticking, with improvement in a number of areas this season, largely due to an influx of young talent. The Packers have gotten tremendous play from Aaron Rodgers, particularly of late, but I don't think he'll have an easy time of it on Sunday afternoon. Look for the Giants offense to make just enough plays down the stretch to keep this one inside the number. Take New York (10*). |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers OVER 45.5 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Miami and Pittsburgh at 1:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'over' in Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. Cold temperatures are in the forecast and that combined with the fact that the Dolphins are turning to backup QB Matt Moore is helping to keep this total in check. I believe it could be higher. Note that these two teams produced just 45 points in their regular season meeting in Florida. That one featured a closing total of 49.5 points. So the oddsmakers have made an adjustment here, I'm just not sure that it's warranted. The Dolphins ended the regular season with a thud, dropping a blowout decision against the Patriots. I do expect them to respond favorably on the offensive side of the football here, even with Moore at the helm. The Steelers don't tackle particularly well, and that opens the door for a Fins attack that does feature plenty of playmakers. On the flip side, I don't see the Fins defense slowing the Steelers three-headed monster on offense. For the first time, Pittsburgh has Le'Veon Bell, Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger all on the field for a playoff game. I don't believe they can be contained in this setting. The last meeting between these two teams here in Pittsburgh came back in 2013 and it totaled 62 points. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43 | 6-26 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Detroit and Seattle at 8:15 pm et on Saturday. This isn't the same Seahawks defense we're accustomed to seeing at this time of year. Sure, there were glimpses of the unit that has terrorized the league in recent years, but those glimpses were brief. While the Lions offense isn't likely to pose big problems for the Seahawks defense, it will do enough to help this total along. It's not as if the Lions haven't had a taste of playoff football. I expect a poised performance from Matt Stafford, aided by the veteran presence of guys like Golden Tate and Anquan Boldin. On the flip side, the Seahawks offense was explosive at times during the regular season, but also inconsistent. Russell Wilson and company did close things out on a positive note, scoring 53 points over their last six quarters of football. I like the matchup here against the Lions defense. We saw the Detroit 'D' wilt in the final two regular season games, perhaps worn down at the end of a long campaign in which it was asked to do an awful lot to keep games close and open the door for fourth quarter comebacks. Take the over (10*). |
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01-07-17 | Raiders v. Texans OVER 36.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Oakland and Houston at 4:35 pm et on Saturday. We've seen a major adjustment in the total here, at least compared to the regular season meeting between these two teams in Oakland. That game saw a closing total up around 45 points. Here we're looking at a number more than a touchdown lower. I'm not sure such a big move is warranted. Yes, the Raiders will be without QB Derek Carr. No, that doesn't mean they have no shot at winning this game, or putting points on the board. I think it's worth noting that we saw a similar scenario play out a couple of years ago when the Cardinals visited the Panthers in the playoffs, and were forced to turn to Ryan Lindley under center. Lindley was terrible in that game, but we still saw 43 total points in a 27-16 Panthers victory. Here, I believe both defenses are getting a little too much credit to be honest. The Raiders didn't record a single sack when the chips were down over the last two games of the regular season. Meanwhile, the Texans pass defense led the way all season long, but overachieved as far as I'm concerned. This is a game where the absence of J.J. Watt will be felt. Take the over (10*). |
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01-01-17 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 49.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Green Bay and Detroit at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I believe this total will prove too high, despite the first meeting this season totaling 61 points. Obviously everything is on the line here, with the NFC North title hanging in the balance. The Packers lit up the scoreboard last Sunday, but that was against a Vikings squad that has already checked out on the season. Here, they'll face a much tougher challenge. Detroit was torched for 42 points on Monday night in Dallas but is a far better defensive team than it showed in that one. Keep in mind, the 'under' had cashed in the Lions previous eight games. Take the under (10*). |
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01-01-17 | Jaguars v. Colts -4 | 20-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indianapolis minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll lay the points with the Colts on Sunday as they host the Jaguars, who are coming off a rare win - a blowout win, in fact, over the Titans last week. The Colts fell short in Oakland last week but did put forth a solid effort. They ultimately split their last two games on the road and check in with a respectable 7-7-1 ATS mark this season. Jacksonville has delivered the cash in back-to-back games but let's face it, the Jags are nearing the end of another disastrous season. I don't see them ending it on a high note here. The home team has won four straight meetings in this series. That trend continues here. Take Indianapolis (10*). |
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01-01-17 | Cowboys v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Dallas at 1 pm et on Sunday. There's little reason for the Cowboys to get up for this one. Yes, they'll be looking for a franchise-record in terms of wins in a season, but that means little in the grand scheme of things. We're going to see Dallas backups on the field most of the game, with Tony Romo seeing action among others. Meanwhile, the Eagles haven't quit on the season, and are coming off a big revenge win over the Giants last week. They've had extra rest having not played since a week ago Thursday, also playing into their favor with the Cowboys having just played on Monday night. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number with a suitably motivated team here. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 44.5 | 27-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
NFC North Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and Pittsburgh at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. Full writeups return on Tuesday. I'll back the 'under' in Pittsburgh on Christmas Day. Big rivalry matchup here, the Ravens are coming off back-to-back 'over' results but I don't expect the same story to unfold on Sunday. The Steelers are known for their offense but their defense has actually come up big for much of the season. I don't see either offense breaking loose for a big day at Heinz Field. Take the under (10*). |
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12-24-16 | Colts v. Raiders OVER 52.5 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 50 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'over' between Indianapolis and Oakland at 4:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the 'over' in Oakland on Saturday afternoon. The Raiders have been involved in back-to-back defensive slugfests but I believe it will be back to 'normal' this week. Neither of these teams will shy away from a shootout. Colts QB Andrew Luck is playing some of his best football of the season right now, and a big reason for that has been the fact that he's managed to stay upright, sacked only twice since returning from a concussion three games back. I don't believe that Indy will have a great deal of success slowing the powerful Raiders offense, however. We saw Oakland sputter in that regard last week as Derek Carr continued to battle an injured finger. That was against the division rival Chargers though. Here, there's a lack of familiarity in terms of the Colts middle of the road defense preparing for Carr. I look for the Raiders to have plenty of success finishing drives. This is one of the highest posted totals we've seen in the NFL this season but it's warranted in my opinion. Take the over (10*). |
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12-24-16 | Titans -4.5 v. Jaguars | 17-38 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tennessee minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm et on Saturday. Aside from the Browns, the Jaguars are pretty much the bottom of the barrel in the NFL right now. Jacksonville did put forth a good effort last week but ultimately fell a point short on a late touchdown in Houston. I don't see the Jags picking themselves up off the mat against the surging Titans here. Tennessee has won three straight games but it would be all for not if it can't keep it rolling against a very beatable Jags squad here. Remember, the Titans crushed the Jags by a 36-22 score in their first meeting this season. It could certainly be argued that Tennessee is playing better now than it was then. Jacksonville has no home field advantage whatsoever having gone 1-6 here this season. Meanwhile, the Titans have proven to be a gritty road team, having posted a 4-3 record. Take Tennessee (10*). |
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12-24-16 | Falcons -3 v. Panthers | Top | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Year. My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Falcons in Carolina on Saturday. The Panthers came up big in Washington on Monday night but now find themselves in a tough spot, playing on a short week with a number of their key cogs banged up, if able to play at all. That win over the Redskins had more to do with a terrible gameplan from Washington than anything else. Here, the Panthers will face a more focused Falcons squad that is coming off two of their best performances of the season, albeit against weak opposition. The Atlanta offense is absolutely rolling right now, and certainly had no trouble putting up 48 points against the Panthers earlier this season - that was actually a healthier Panthers defense than the one it will face on Saturday. The Falcons defense doesn't get a lot of respect but this is a capable group and one that I expect to see do a terrific job of containing a hobbled Cam Newton and the Panthers offense on Saturday afternoon. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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12-22-16 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 41.5 | 19-24 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Philadelphia at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Thursday night. The Giants have certainly rounded back into form, fresh off back-to-back wins over the Cowboys and Lions, allowing just 13 points in the process. Their offense has come up big when it has needed to, but hasn't been particularly consistent. I do feel they're in for a challenge here. The Eagles haven't played their best football lately, that's for sure. They've given up at least 26 points in five straight games. With that being said, they've allowed more than 27 points only once over that stretch. They've yet to allow more than 27 points in a home game this season. When these two teams met in New Jersey back in November, the Giants rolled to a 28-23 win, easily eclipsing the total. The Eagles were better-suited for a high-scoring affair at the time, however. Despite scoring 26 points against the Ravens last week, they're struggling offensively right now. All four meetings on this field since 2012 have totaled 36 points or less. I believe the relatively low total is warranted in this spot. Take the under (10*). |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington minus the points over Carolina at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Redskins on Monday night. It's not that I'm all that high on Washington, but I simply feel that the Panthers have too many question marks to support in a tough environment and little to play for other than pride. Both teams are coming off big wins last week, but the Redskins was more impressive as they went into Philadelphia and won while the Panthers defeated the Chargers at home. Washington hasn't been home since the Sunday before Thanksgiving, going 1-2 over its last three contests. The Redskins are still in playoff contention, however, and I believe we'll see them bring their 'A' game on Monday night. While Washington has become known for its offense, which has come a long way this season, it's the Redskins defense that has impressed me most. Look for them to handle the Panthers inconsistent offense and ultimately pull away for a convincing win. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-18-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on New England minus the points over Denver at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. This is the story of two teams heading in opposite directions right now, and I believe both squads stay on course on Sunday afternoon. New England is playing its best football of the season right now having not lost a game in over a month. Even without Gronk, the Pats offense continues to churn along while their underrated defense comes up big week after week. Mind you, the Pats haven't exactly faced a tough schedule of late and they come into this one playing on a short week after outlasting the Ravens on Monday. I believe they'll use that angle as motivation here, however, and I also feel that they're catching the Broncos at precisely the right time. Denver has dropped two of its last three games and really hasn't looked all that good since back in October. It's tough to defend a Super Bowl title as everyone is gunning for you on a weekly basis. The Broncos are certainly finding that out first hand this season. The home team has taken each of the last seven meetings in this series, although four of those contests have been won by the Pats. I believe the oddsmakers have got it right installing the Pats as a road favorite this time around, though. Take New England (10*). |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 51 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon Underdog Shocker. My selection is on Cincinnati plus the points over Pittsburgh at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Bengals at home on Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati has nothing to lose at this point. The Bengals find themselves out of contention but off back-to-back wins, and facing arguably their biggest rival in what amounts to their Super Bowl. I like their chances of giving the red hot Steelers a serious run. Pittsburgh will be facing a tough task here as it tries to extend its winning streak to five games following a gritty road win in Buffalo last Sunday. Consistency hasn't exactly been the Steelers calling card in recent years. I'm just not sure Pittsburgh is quite as good as it has looked over the last several weeks. The Bengals continue to boast a winning record at home this season. They haven't defeated the Steelers on this field since 2013 but they'll have ample motivation to pull off the upset on Sunday afternoon. I'll take all the points I can get. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 59 m | Show |
AFC North Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'm anticipating another low-scoring affair between these two AFC North rivals on Sunday afternoon. The first meeting between these two teams this season totaled just 40 points back in September. We're dealing with a much lower posted total this time around, but it's warranted in my opinion. The Steelers have been one of the best 'under' bets in the league this season, posting a 4-9 o/u mark. Their offense has been steady lately, but not particularly explosive. Meanwhile, their defense has been better than expected as a whole this season. The Bengals have put up 55 points over their last two games, but don't count on them keeping it up as the competition gets tougher this week. This is still an offense that is missing its top weapon in WR A.J. Green, not to mention versatile RB Gio Bernard. The good news for Cincinnati is it has delivered back-to-back wins and its defense is performing at a very high level. I look for that to continue on Sunday afternoon at home. Take the under (10*). |
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12-17-16 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 37.5 | 34-13 | Loss | -103 | 34 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and New York at 8:25 pm et on Saturday. We're dealing with a low total here, but I believe it's warranted. Both offenses have had their struggles and things won't get any easier playing on a short week, not to mention the fact that both units are without their regular starting centers at this stage of the season. Of course, Miami will also be without QB Ryan Tannehill. Veteran Matt Moore will get his first start since 2011 and while the offense should still run relatively smoothly with Moore at the helm, I'm not counting on a lot of explosive plays. Note that the Dolphins running game has virtually disappeared in recent weeks, severely hampering their ability to finish drives. The Jets offense has turned to Bryce Petty at quarterback. He may be the QB of the future but he hasn't done a great deal to instill much confidence this season. I have respect for both defenses. The Jets 'd' was lit up in a no-show against the Colts the last time they played on this field. They should make amends here. Take the under (10*). |
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12-15-16 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 38.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
NFC West Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and Seattle at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Seattle on Thursday night. Both of these teams are coming off ugly losses last Sunday. Now playing on a short week, both will look to clean things up. I'm not anticipating many offensive fireworks. The Rams offense has been awful this season, and I'm not sure a coaching change will make an immediate impact this week. Rookie QB Jared Goff continues to make strides, but he's coming off an ugly performance against the Falcons on Sunday. Don't expect the Rams to ask him to do too much against an opportunistic Seahawks defense on Thursday. Seattle has struggled to put points on the board with QB Russell Wilson hobbled for much of the campaign. He's finally healthy, and turned in a strong effort two weeks ago against a reeling Panthers squad, but had a really tough time in Green Bay this past Sunday. Expect the Seahawks offensive performance to fall somewhere in the middle of those two games here. The Rams defense has the talent and the familiarity with the Seahawks to hold up well playing on a short week - even on the road. Three of the last four meetings in Seattle have totaled 36 points or less. Take the under (10*). |
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12-12-16 | Ravens v. Patriots UNDER 44.5 | 23-30 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Baltimore and New England at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Foxborough on Monday night. The Ravens exploded for 38 points in a rout of the Dolphins last week - their second consecutive win. I'm not sold on this offense, however. We're talking about an offense that has been on a decline for years. The consistency just hasn't been there ever since Baltimore's Super Bowl run. I do like the make-up of the Ravens defense. This is an unheralded group but one that's capable of stepping up against one of the league's best offenses in primetime. The Patriots barely broke a sweat in last week's 26-10 win over the Rams. Lost in the success of the Pats offense has been the play of their defense. Note that New England has allowed 17 points or less in eight of its last 10 contests. We've seen plenty of inflated totals in primetime NFL action this season. While this number isn't all that high, I believe it will prove to be too lofty in a key AFC matchup. Take the under (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 51 | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 18 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday O/U Rout. My selection is on the ‘over’ between New Orleans and Tampa Bay at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. Not sure where the stops are going to come from in this game. Yes, the Bucs have won four games in a row, but their defense has been up and down. They’ve yet to face the potent Saints offense this year. New Orleans didn’t perform up to its own standards in last week’s ugly 28-13 home loss against the Lions. Drew Brees threw for a lot of yards, but had a tough time finishing drives in that one. I expect him to bounce back against a familiar opponent here, however. Meanwhile, the Saints defense remains their weakness, as has been the case for years. With Bucs QB Jameis Winston gaining confidence with each passing week, the ‘D’ could be in for a long afternoon in Tampa on Sunday. This is a high posted total to be sure, but I believe it’s warranted. Take the over (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -100 | 77 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Tampa Bay at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. The Saints laid an egg at home against a rolling Lions squad last Sunday. But I fully expect to see them bounce back in a big way as they travel to Tampa this week. There are questions lingering as to whether Drew Brees is less than 100% healthy after he struggled at times in last week’s game. I’m not overly concerned. The Lions boast a better defense than most are willing to give them credit for. Brees will be taking a step down in class against an inconsistent and familiar Bucs defense this Sunday. Tampa Bay has made some positive strides this season. That’s probably an understatement as the Bucs roll into this game riding a four-game winning streak – fresh off a big road win in San Diego last week. But now they travel back across the country and I’m not sure their familiarity with the division rival Saints helps their cause in this particular spot. The Saints may be 5-7 overall but they don’t feel they’re out of the running just yet thanks to playing three division games down the stretch, including two against these Bucs. They’ll play three of their last four games on the road, where they’ve gone 2-3 this season but they’ve been close in all of their losses. I simply feel that the wrong team may be favored here. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Texans v. Colts UNDER 46.5 | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 74 h 57 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Total Dominator. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Houston and Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday. We cashed a big ticket with the ‘over’ in the first meeting between these AFC South rivals back in October (and were fortunate to do so) but I won’t hesitate to switch gears this time around. The Texans offense has sputtered for much of the season, due in large part to the ineffectiveness of QB Brock Osweiler. Is there any reason to expect anything to change this week as they head into hostile territory with a division title virtually hanging in the balance? The Colts defense should be a confident group thanks to Monday night’s dominant performance on the road against the hapless Jets. It’s a boost that could be much-needed with LB D’Qwell Jackson suspended for the remainder of the season. The Houston defense has dealt with plenty of key injuries this season but has hung in there save for a few late game collapses recently. I’m not sure the Colts offense is quite as good as it showed on Monday night in New Jersey and look for the Texans defense to step up with a strong performance on Sunday afternoon. There’s a lot on the line in this game. I’m anticipating a hard-fought affair all the way. Take the under (10*). |
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12-11-16 | Steelers -2 v. Bills | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 59 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh minus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday. We successfully faded the Bills in Oakland last Sunday and I believe they’ll be in tough as they travel back across the country to host the Steelers this week. Pittsburgh essentially controls its own destiny in terms of getting into the postseason and took a step in the right direction with a convincing home win over the Giants last week. Of course, for the Steelers it’s all about finding some consistency down the stretch. While Buffalo can present a hostile environment, particularly in December, I believe the Steelers will be up to the task. We saw plenty of frustration from Bills QB Tyrod Taylor when dealing with tough questions from reporters earlier this week. I’m in line with the majority in thinking Taylor might not be the guy to lead this team as the years go on. The Bills have put some good pieces in place to surround Taylor but it still hasn’t been enough to spark the offense on a weekly basis. Pittsburgh has plenty of veteran experience to lean on at this stage of the season. It hasn’t traveled particularly well but I see this as a big step-up spot against Buffalo. Take Pittsburgh (10*). |
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12-08-16 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 60 h 15 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Night Total of the Month. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Oakland and Kansas City at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. It would be easy to jump on the ‘over’ after watching these two offenses race up and down the field in their respective games last Sunday. But I’m going to go the other way, as I have respect for both defenses and don’t believe the Chiefs offense in particular is as good as it showed four days ago. Of course, playing on a short week also factors in as these Thursday night games always seem to trend to the ‘under’. The Raiders got off to a slow start against the Bills last Sunday but responded in a big way in the second half, ultimately cruising to yet another victory. Things will be a little tougher here, as they hit the road to face a Chiefs squad that already beat them by a 26-10 score in Oakland earlier this season (we won with Kansas City in that game). For the Chiefs, I believe they’ll face a lot more resistance against the Raiders than they did against the Falcons. Atlanta set the tone for that Sunday shootout early, scoring on its opening drive – yet the ‘over’ result was still in question in the final minutes of the fourth quarter. Given the fast start from both teams, it was surprising that the game ‘only’ reached 57 points. I expect a return to ‘normal’ here. This is obviously a big game for both teams. I’m anticipating a playoff atmosphere at Arrowhead and I don’t expect either team to give an inch. Take the under (10*). |
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12-05-16 | Colts v. Jets +2 | 41-10 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Indianapolis at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll back the Jets at home on Monday night. Yes, New York is mired in another disappointing campaign, but it hasn't thrown in the towel as evidenced by last week's narrow five-point home loss to the Patriots. Here, it will stay home looking to avoid an 0-3 slide at the Meadowlands, and I look for the Jets to turn in one of their best efforts of the season. The Colts are battling for their playoff lives, but simply put, I don't believe this is a playoff squad. As much as it will help to get Andrew Luck back on the field, I don't like the personnel the Colts field defensively and I haven't seen enough consistency out of their offense to believe they can go on the road and notch a big victory here. Keep in mind, the Jets have taken three straight meetings in this series since 2011. Their last loss against the Colts came as an eight-point underdog on the road in the 2010 playoffs. Take New York (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Redskins +2.5 v. Cardinals | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon Underdog Winner. My selection is on Washington plus the points over Arizona at 4:25 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Redskins plus the points in Arizona on Sunday afternoon. The Cardinals have been one of the league's biggest disappointments this season, going 4-6-1 SU and 3-8 ATS. I don't see their fortunes changing on Sunday when they host the 'Skins. Washington fell short against Dallas on Thanksgiving Day last week but that shouldn't strike much of a blow to its confidence. If anything, that narrow loss could give the 'Skins a boost in confidence as they stay on the road this week. Washington hasn't won a road game since early October, going winless in three games since. Keep in mind, the 'Skins haven't exactly faced a group of pushovers on the road over the last couple of months. The Cardinals have fallen well short of expectations largely due to the poor play of aging QB Carson Palmer. While he has the weapons in place to bounce back this week, I'm not sure we'll see it happen. These two teams are in much different places in their progression right now. Take Washington (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Chiefs +6 v. Falcons | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday Afternoon ATS Rout. My selection is on Kansas City plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Chiefs in Atlanta on Sunday. Kansas City appears to be in prime letdown spot off a big road win in Denver last Sunday night. But I'm not expecting the Chiefs to let down their guard in Atlanta this week. Keep in mind, we won with Atlanta last week in its rout of Arizona. It will face a much tougher challenge here, however. The Chiefs have certainly proved themselves on the road this season, going 4-2. Their 5-6 ATS mark doesn't tell the entire story as far as I'm concerned. This is a team that has been able to rise to the occasion and the table is set for another big performance here. We've actually cashed tickets in each of the Falcons last three games. I'm not sure that this is a trustworthy team from an ATS perspective. They've gone 7-4 ATS overall this season but check in just 2-3 ATS over their last five contests. Look for the Chiefs to do enough to stay inside the inflated pointspread at the very least on Sunday afternoon. Take Kansas City (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Chiefs v. Falcons UNDER 50 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Atlanta at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the 'under' in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon. Despite giving up 27 points in last week's wild overtime win in Denver, I still believe the Chiefs have one of the league's best defenses. The Falcons have been nothing short of explosive on offense this season but I believe they'll face considerable resistance in this one. Meanwhile, the Atlanta defense has been ripped on more than one occasion. However, this unit is coming off a strong performance last week against Arizona, and despite last week's outburst in Denver, the Kansas City offense is by no means a juggernaut. After losing Jeremy Maclin to injury the question lingered as to who would step up to produce in the Chiefs offense. That question was answered in the form of Tyreek Hill, who has been doing it all. But you can be sure the Falcons defense has been game planning for Hill all week long. I'm confident they'll be ready for what the Chiefs have to throw at them on Sunday. The last time these two teams met in 2012 we saw a closing total of 43. That game sailed 'over' the total with Atlanta rolling to a 40-24 road victory. I'm expecting a much different story to unfold on Sunday. Take the under (10*). |
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12-04-16 | Eagles v. Bengals -1.5 | Top | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Bengals at home in this battle of reeling squads on Sunday afternoon. In some sense, I consider Cincinnati to be the lesser of two evils at this point of the season. The Eagles are struggling off back-to-back losses and disappointingly out of the race in the NFC East after a strong start to the season. Playing on the road on a short week, I don't see them figuring things out. The Bengals are winless in their last four games but I give them credit for at least hanging in against the Ravens on the road last week. They're obviously missing some key cogs on offense right now but I believe their defense will lead the way in this particular matchup, while their offense does just enough. Despite injuries to A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard, the Bengals do still have plenty of options on offense, not to mention a quality quarterback in Andy Dalton. Meanwhile, the Eagles aren't getting much out of rookie QB Carson Wentz right now. We're being asked to lay a reasonable number with the home side in this one. Take Cincinnati (10*). |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 44 | 17-15 | Win | 102 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Minnesota at 8:25 pm et on Thursday. I'll back the 'under' in Minnesota on Thursday night. We won with the 'over' in the Cowboys Thanksgiving Day win over the Redskins, and also cashed with the 'under' and the Lions in the Vikes holiday affair. Here, I'm anticipating a fairly low-scoring contest. Yes, the Cowboys offense is scary good, and extremely efficient with the rookie tandem of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott leading the way. But they'll run into a tougher challenge than they faced last week as the Vikings return home in a foul mood, and with a top level defense. I don't have a lot of faith in the Minnesota offense. Sam Bradford struggled when it mattered most last Thursday in Detroit. The Vikes running game needs to get going, but I'm not sure they currently have the personnel in place to do so. The last time these two teams met in 2013 they reached 50 total points. Three years later, I expect a different story to unfold. Take the under (10*). |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Philadelphia at 8:30 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the points with the Packers on Monday night. Everyone is down on Green Bay right now. And perhaps rightfully so as the Packers have shown little life of late, going winless over their last four games. They just haven't been the same since that home loss to Dallas back in mid-October. I do like the Pack to respond favorably in this spot, however. There's really nowhere to go but up following back-to-back blowout losses on the road. While they're still dealing with some key injuries, that's been the case all season. There's no excuses at this point. The Eagles just aren't going to intimidate anyone. Yes, they're a perfect 4-0 at home (we've cashed some tickets along the way), but they've caught the opposition in some real favorable spots. Their offense has regressed as the season has gone on with rookie QB Carson Wentz struggling to regain his rhythm. I'm expecting a tightly-contested affair here. The Packers are down but not out. I don't see them going away quietly. Take Green Bay (10*). |
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11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
MNF Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Green Bay and Philadelphia on Monday. I'll back the 'under' in Philadelphia on Monday night. The Packers are coming off four straight high-scoring affairs. They've been absolutely beaten down in Tennessee and Washington over the last two weeks but I look for them to hold up better in this spot, particularly on defense. Keep in mind, the Eagles are struggling offensively with rookie QB Carson Wentz looking every bit like a first-year starter over the last several games. The Packers defense is better than it has shown over the last few weeks, only collapsing in the fourth quarter last week in Washington. The Eagles defense doesn't get enough credit. This is a solid unit that has been particularly stout at home, where Philadelphia has gone a perfect 4-0 this season. Even in last week's double-digit loss in Seattle the defense did all it could to keep the team in the game right into the fourth quarter. The last time these two teams met they combined to score 73 points in a Packers rout back in 2014 at Lambeau Field. The two teams are in much different places now, however, with the Packers offense looking disjointed and the Eagles more of a defense-first squad. I simply feel this total will prove too high. Take the under (10*). |
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11-27-16 | Chiefs v. Broncos -3.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Kansas City at 8:30 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Broncos at home on Sunday night. The Chiefs are riddled with injuries right now, particularly on the defensive side of the football. With that being said, none of their key cogs have been ruled out. But even if the likes of Peters, Poe and Hali can go, they won't likely be at 100%. Denver is coming off a thrilling, and unlikely, road win in New Orleans. I say unlikely because it trailed that game late in the fourth quarter. Add another notch to QB Trevor Siemian's belt after that performance. Defensively, the Broncos are getting healthier with Talib and Wolfe back on the field. And this is certainly a manageable matchup against a rather punchless Chiefs offense that recently lost WR Jeremy Maclin. This one won't come easy for the home side, but I do believe that the Broncos make the big plays down the stretch in this one as they secure a much-needed victory in the AFC West race. Take Denver (10*). |
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