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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-02-21 | Blazers +2 v. Wizards | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland plus the points over Washington at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. We won with the Blazers in Chicago on Saturday and I won't hesitate to back them again on Tuesday as they once again find themselves as a short underdog on the road. The Wizards are coming off a thrilling three-point win over the Nets on Sunday but will be hard-pressed to top that 149-point outburst here. Keep in mind, that was just their fourth victory of the season and first since January 11th. After dropping a tough one in Milwaukee last night, look for Portland to bounce back here. Take Portland (10*). |
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02-01-21 | Kings v. Pelicans -3.5 | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans minus the points over Sacramento at 8:05 pm et on Monday. I like the rebound spot for the Pelicans here as they look to get back in the win column after a blowout loss to the Rockets on Saturday. That was a clear letdown spot for New Orleans as it had just won two games in a row, including an upset victory over the Bucks one night earlier. Here, the Pelicans should respond with a positive effort against a middling Kings squad. Sacramento has gone 2-1 on this road trip so far, with its last two games settled by a grand total of just three points. Off those two tight, emotional contests, look for the Kings to suffer a bit of a flat spot here. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-31-21 | Jazz +2 v. Nuggets | 117-128 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah plus the points over Denver at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. The Jazz just keep rolling along, having not lost a game since way back on January 6th. Here, they go on the road to face what can only be considered an overrated Nuggets squad at this point. Denver had won five games in a row before dropping a 10-point decision in San Antonio last time out. Keep in mind, the Nuggets recent winning streak came against struggling opponents in the Suns (twice), Mavs and Heat. Utah continues to be an undervalued commodity despite its scorching hot play. Take Utah (10*). |
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01-30-21 | Blazers +2 v. Bulls | 123-122 | Win | 101 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on Portland plus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Saturday. I like the Blazers to bounce back from Thursday's narrow three-point loss in Houston as they head to Chicago to face the Bulls on Saturday night. Chicago was put in its place in consecutive home setbacks against the Lakers and Celtics, bringing a halt to a three-game winning streak in the process. The Blazers will be looking to snap a two-game skid of their own in this spot, noting that they've yet to lose more than two games in a row this season. Take Portland (10*). |
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01-27-21 | Kings v. Magic -1.5 | 121-107 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Sacramento at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. We won with the Magic two nights ago and I won't hesitate to go back to the well with them again here as they draw a winnable matchup against the Kings. Sacramento is coming off a win over the Knicks, but that was last Friday. Its last two games were scheduled to be played in Memphis but were postponed due to Covid protocols. The Kings haven't won a road game since posting a two-point victory in Denver back on December 23rd. Now they travel across the country after four full days off to face a Magic squad that is looking to find some consistency and post consecutive wins for the first time since January 4th and 6th. I like the upside the Magic offer after a tough stretch, noting that they could just as easily be entering this game on a four-game winning streak after a couple of heartbreaking two and three-point setbacks over the weekend. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-26-21 | Knicks +11 v. Jazz | Top | 94-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on New York plus the points over Utah at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. I have no problem fading the red hot Jazz here as they aim to extend their eight-game winning streak, but do so with an eye on a three-game in five-night stretch against the Mavs and Nuggets up next. The Knicks betting bandwagon was loading up on the heels of three straight victories last week but has since cleared following consecutive losses to the Kings and Trailblazers. I expect New York's best effort here as it tries to avoid a losing four-game road trip before a couple of off days. Note that New York took the first meeting between these two teams this season, by double-digits no less, back on January 6th at home. While the Jazz will be looking to get their revenge here, I'm still not sure a losing squad like the Knicks will garner their complete attention. Take New York (10*). |
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01-25-21 | Hornets v. Magic +2 | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Monday. We missed the mark with the Magic last night as they fell on a buzzer-beater in the first half of this back-to-back set. I won't hesitate to go back to the well with Orlando here as it is well-positioned to rebound against a beatable Hornets squad. The Magic controlled proceedings much of the way last night before falling apart in the fourth quarter. With that being said, they still managed to tie the game up with eight seconds remaining. Their motivation level will certainly be high on Monday night as they look to get back in the win column at home. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-24-21 | Hornets v. Magic -1.5 | 107-104 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Sunday. The Magic have been scuffing along, having dropped seven of their last eight games overall but they have an excellent opportunity to get back on track against a sliding Hornets squad on Sunday evening. Note that Charlotte has lost four games in a row. Orlando is coming off a narrow overtime loss on the road against the Pacers last time out and should be able to use that performance as a springboard, noting that it had won the game prior to that, albeit by a single point against the lowly T'Wolves. Take Orlando (10*). |
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01-22-21 | Knicks +4 v. Kings | 94-103 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on New York plus the points over Sacramento at 10:05 pm et on Friday. The Knicks continue to get no respect from the oddsmakers as they check in as an underdog in Sacramento on Friday night. Of course, the narrative will be that they're in for a letdown after last night's double-digit win over the Warriors, but I don't see it happening. New York is back to the .500 mark on the season and this is without question a winnable game against a Kings squad mired in a 5-10 start, having dropped four in a row and six of their last seven overall. Yesterday Sacramento got word that its next two games after this one, scheduled to be played in Memphis, have been postponed. That serves as another distraction for a team that certainly doesn't need any given its recent struggles. Look for the Knicks to keep rolling here. Take New York (10*). |
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01-21-21 | Pelicans +7 v. Jazz | 118-129 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Utah at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. The Pelicans suffered a third quarter lapse in Tuesday's meeting between these two teams, and it ultimately cost them in an eventual 16-point loss (that result was actually flattering as the Pelicans closed the gap in garbage time in the fourth quarter). I do expect a strong bounce-back performance from New Orleans here. Note that while Utah took three of four meetings between these two teams last season, they did so by a combined six-point margin. We're catching that many points in this game alone with the number potentially moving higher closer to tipoff. Despite their 5-8 record, I do think the Pelicans have the potential to be an improved team and I'm confident head coach Stan Van Gundy will have them ready following an off day in Utah yesterday. I'll call for the Pels' to at the very least take this one down to the wire against a red hot Jazz squad. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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01-19-21 | Thunder v. Nuggets -9.5 | 101-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Oklahoma City at 9:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Nuggets have been scuffing their heels all season, off to a disappointing 6-7 start although we did cash with them last Thursday night in their double-digit win over the Warriors - the same Warriors team that stunned the Lakers last night in Los Angeles. Here, I look for a focused effort from Denver as it looks to close out its three-game homestand on a winning note before heading out on the road for five games. Oklahoma City was expected to be a bottom-feeder in the Western Conference this season but has surprised by going 6-6 through 12 games including a 5-1 mark away from home. The Thunder really got rolling out east earlier this month, reeling off four wins in five games on the road but since then they've gone just 1-2 with both losses coming by double-digit margins. I believe their lack of depth catches up with them in this spot as they play their fifth game in eight nights against a highly-motivated Nuggets squad that has the talent to win this one going away provided it stays focused. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-18-21 | Wolves +8 v. Hawks | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Atlanta at 2:35 pm et on Monday. The Hawks have lost six of their last seven games overall and now return home off a three-game road trip that got limited to two due to a Covid-related postponement in Phoenix. The T'Wolves have just three wins in 11 games this season and now have to deal with the absence of numerous key cogs, including Karl-Anthony Towns due to a positive Covid diagnosis. I do look for them to step up in his absence on Monday, however, and we're being given a generous helping of points to work with. After blowing a double-digit fourth quarter lead and losing by 11 points against the Grizzlies last time out, look for Minnesota to bring its best effort on Monday afternoon. Take Minnesota (10*). |
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01-17-21 | Pelicans v. Kings +2 | 128-123 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Sacramento plus the points over New Orleans at 9:05 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the home side in this matchup of two struggling Western Conference teams. New Orleans enters this game having dropped five in a row. In spite of that, it finds itself in a bit of a letdown spot off consecutive games against two of the West's best teams in the Clippers and Lakers in Los Angeles. The Pelicans will also be looking ahead to back-to-back tough games in Utah up next. The Kings have lost their last two games and four of their last five overall. They've been home since January 6th and will be up for finishing this homestand on a high note before playing seven of their next eight contests on the road. I believe the case can be made that the wrong team is favored in this one. Take Sacramento (10*). |
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01-15-21 | Mavs +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Milwaukee at 7:35 pm et on Friday. The Mavs have been in catch-up mode ever since starting the season with consecutive losses. They've certainly done a nice job lately, reeling off four straight victories entering Friday's showdown with the Bucks. I expect them to give Milwaukee all it can handle in this one. Unlike the Bucks last few opponents (their current three-game winning streak has come at the expense of the Cavs, Magic and Pistons), the Mavs aren't going to beat themselves. Dallas ranks eight in the NBA in fewest turnovers per offensive play. By contrast, the Bucks actually rank 17th in that category. Also note that the Mavs are top three in the league in opponents effective field goal percentage. It's not as if Dallas has faced a soft schedule either. The Mavs opponents have included the Suns, Lakers, Clippers, Heat, Rockets and Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Bucks have gone 1-3 SU in their four toughest matchups to date, against the Celtics, Heat (twice) and Jazz. Outside of that they really haven't been challenged. This should be a tightly-contested affair. Take Dallas (10*). |
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01-14-21 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver minus the points over Golden State at 10:05 pm et on Thursday. I'll lay the points with the Nuggets as they return home to host the Warriors on Thursday night. The Denver bandwagon effectively cleared in last Thursday's overtime loss to the Mavs but the Nuggets quietly rebounded with consecutive wins after that, before falling to the Nets in Brooklyn earlier this week. Here, I expect to see Denver bounce back in a big way against a Warriors squad that has somewhat surprisingly righted the ship of late, winning four of their last six games to pull back over the .500 mark. I didn't like the way they faded in the second half against the Pacers last time out and believe they could be in for a rude awakening here after playing each of their first seven January games at home. Take Denver (10*). |
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01-13-21 | Mavs v. Hornets +4.5 | 104-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Dallas at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Hornets just keep rolling along, winners of four games in a row entering Wednesday's matchup with the Mavericks. They might be catching Dallas at the right time as the Mavs return to the floor following a postponed game due to Covid concerns on Monday in New Orleans. The Mavs had won three straight games heading into that postponement but could certainly be off their game here, especially with a clear look-ahead to a showdown in Milwaukee on Friday night. I simply feel Dallas is laying a couple of points too many in this spot. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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01-12-21 | Spurs -1.5 v. Thunder | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Oklahoma City at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Thunder are coming off a 4-1 road trip that saw them sweep a pair of games in New York against the Knicks and Nets over the weekend. Now I expect them to suffer a letdown as they return home to host the Spurs on Tuesday night. San Antonio had its three-game winning streak snapped last time out in Minnesota. Demar Derozan's likely absence will give the rest of the Spurs an opportunity to step up and fill the void on Tuesday night and I'm calling for a strong bounce-back perfromance before they return home for consecutive games against the Rockets on Thursday and Saturday. Take San Antonio (10*). |
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01-09-21 | Hawks -4 v. Hornets | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Hawks as they look to get back at the Hornets after suffering a 102-94 loss in this same matchup on Wednesday night. Atlanta fell behind by 16 points after the first quarter in that game and never really recovered. It was certainly an off shooting night for the Hawks as they knocked down just 38% of their FG attempts and shot 7-of-40 from beyond the arc. Trae Young contributed just seven points. Needless to say, I expect a strong bounce-back effort from Atlanta here as it looks to snap its three-game skid. Heading on the road might be a good thing for this team right now as they might have gotten a little high on the horse after a red hot start to the campaign. Charlotte is still just 4-5 on the season and will be playing the second of back-to-back nights after delivering a second straight outright underdog win on the road in New Orleans last night. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-06-21 | Rockets +2 v. Pacers | 107-114 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My selection is on Houston plus the points over Indiana at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Rockets are coming off a poor showing against the Mavs on Monday - a disappointing result after they swept a back-to-back set with the Kings. I do expect Houston to bounce back on Wednesday, however, as it catches Indiana returning home following an overtime win in New Orleans two nights ago, having alternated wins and losses over its last four games. For the Rockets, this is a key road tilt before returning home for their next three games. I expect a positive response from both James Harden and John Wall after the duo combined to shoot 9-of-27 from the field on Monday night. While controversy has swirled around Harden as he looks to get out of Houston, his play hasn't showed it as he is averaging 33 points and 10.8 assists per game this season. Take Houston (10*). |
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01-06-21 | Wizards +7 v. 76ers | 136-141 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Washington plus the points over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Wizards could easily suffer a letdown here off a big upset win in Brooklyn on Sunday but having had two days off since that contest, I'm confident we'll see them use that victory as a building block. After all, the Wiz are off to a rough 2-5 start so they can ill afford to let down their guard, especially against a 76ers squad that has posted a 6-1 record. Keep in mind, this is a rematch from opening night, when the 76ers turned in a near-flawless performance yet still only won by six points. The Wizards were without sophomore Rui Hachimura in that game which is notable as he has been a steady contributor since returning, scoring 14.3 points per game and adding nearly four rebounds per contest. Also notable has been the steady improvement of Washington C Thomas Bryant, who has scored 28, 18 and 21 points over his last three games, hauling in 14 rebounds in Sunday's win over Brooklyn. The 76ers are obviously off to a tremendous start but they've also faced a fairly light schedule. Of their seven games, four have come at home and the list of teams they've faced is as follows; Washington, New York, Cleveland, Toronto, Orlando and Charlotte (twice). I look for the Wizards to give the Sixers a run in this one. Take Washington (10*). |
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01-05-21 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +9 | Top | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Los Angeles at 8:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Lakers had little trouble brushing aside the Grizzlies two nights ago, cruising to a 14-point victory. Keep in mind, Memphis shot just 41% from the field and got to the free throw line only eight times in that contest. The 14-point margin of victory for the Lakers was probably a little flattering for the Grizzlies in actual fact. Here, I look for the Grizzlies to turn in a better showing, while the Lakers turn in less than a peak performance with an eye on a three-game in four night stretch beginning on Thursday. There will obviously be games where the Lakers conserve a little energy over the course of this unique 2020-21 season, and this might just be one of them. The Grizzlies have actually held their own since losing star sophomore Ja Morant to injury. He went down early in their eventual overtime win over the Nets on December 28th. Including that game, they've gone 2-2 since losing Morant. This is a key spot for the Grizzlies as they aim to give themselves at least a chance of posting a winning homestand, with two winnable games against the Cavs and the perceiveably Durant-less Nets up next. Take Memphis (10*). |
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01-04-21 | Knicks v. Hawks -6 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over New York at 7:35 pm et on Monday. The Knicks got past the Pacers in an early season revenge spot on Saturday night thanks to shooting the lights out and dominating the glass. I don't expect them to do either of those things on Monday as they head to Atlanta to face the Hawks. Atlanta should be in a foul mood after an extremely poor second half showing against the Cavs on Saturday (we won with the Cavs in that game). The Hawks jumped out to an early lead but couldn't make it stand up. Perhaps the fact they were playing on the second of back-to-back nights after closing out a tough two-game split in Brooklyn played a role. While the Hawks bandwagon mostly cleared after that loss to Cleveland, I expect them to respond with a big effort on Monday night against the upstart Knicks. One thing we know is while Atlanta is off to a solid start, it certainly isn't good enough to overlook a team like New York. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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01-02-21 | Cavs +7 v. Hawks | 96-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Saturday. While we've been high on the Hawks in the early going this season, I see this as a fine spot to fade them as they return home following a two-game set in Brooklyn. We're going to see all kinds of odd scheduling quirks over the course of this unique 2020-21 season. Here, Atlanta returns home on no rest after playing the Nets twice in three nights in Brooklyn. The Hawks managed to split those two contests and now I'm not sure we're going to see a peak effort from them against the Cavs on Saturday night. Cleveland has been an Eastern Conference doormat in recent years but is off to a fine 3-2 start this season, getting far more consistent production from its starting five than we've been used to seeing. We actually won by fading the Cavs in their most recent game - a 20-point loss in Indiana on New Year's Eve. That was an excellent spot for the Pacers, however, and Cleveland could have made a game of it were it not for an off night from the free throw line (it shot 13-of-24). Take Cleveland (10*). |
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01-02-21 | Creighton -4 v. Providence | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Creighton minus the points over Providence at 12 noon et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the 11th-ranked Blue Jays on Saturday as they travel to face Providence. Creighton's only two losses this season have come against Kansas and Marquette by a combined six points so the blemishes on its 7-2 overall record are minor to say the least. This game will feature a real contrast in styles with the Blue Jays preferring a more up-tempo game compared to the Friars slow-it-down mindset. Note that the Friars rank 224th in the country in possessions per game. By contrast, Creighton ranks 72nd in that category. I'm just not sure the Friars will have enough possessions to keep pace with Creighton here, noting that the Blue Jays rank 19th in effective field goal percentage while Providence sits 141st. Take Creighton (10*). |
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12-31-20 | Cavs v. Pacers -7.5 | 99-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Cleveland at 3:05 pm et on Thursday. These two teams check in with identical 3-1 records this season but I don't think there's any question Indiana is the superior squad. Keep in mind, the Cavs three victories have come against the Hornets, Pistons and Joel Embiid-less 76ers. While Collin Sexton and Andre Drummond have been impressive for Cleveland, I expect the depth of the Pacers to wear it out on Thursday afternoon. Of course there's a chance we see a Pacers letdown here off consecutive tough battles against the Celtics but I think there's a better chance we see a focused effort from Indiana given it dropped its most recent game against Boston by a 116-111 score. Indiana continues to get production from up and down its lineup - most recently registering six players in double-figures. The Cavs have been living off of extra possessions, ranking tops in the league in steals per game. Indiana, however, is top nine in fewest turnovers and I look for it to do a fine job of taking care of the basketball here. Take Indiana (10*). |
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12-30-20 | Hawks v. Nets -6 | 141-145 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. We've already backed the Hawks in all three games this season, going 2-1 ATS in the process, with our lone miss coming as a free play in Monday's win but non-cover against the Pistons. Here, I'll go the other way and fade Atlanta as it opens a two-game set against the Nets. Brooklyn is coming off a home loss to the Grizzlies but that was without both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving on the floor after they played big minutes against the Hornets the night previous. For a team like the Nets, who are certainly top-heavy and a little depth-shy, they're going to need to find reasons to motivated themselves over the course of this unique 2020-21 season. I do think the Hawks perfect 3-0 record will garner their attention and we'll see a focused effort as the Nets look to snap their two-game skid. I've sung the Hawks praises in the early going this season and have them pegged as a possible breakout team in the East, but they're not a top contender by any means. That should be evident in Tuesday's game against an elite Nets squad, albeit one that is still looking to find its footing. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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12-29-20 | Raptors v. 76ers -2 | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Raptors certainly haven't looked like a top contender in the Eastern Conference out of the gate this season, going winless through two games. I don't see this as an ideal bounce-back spot for the Raps as they stay on the road to face a 76ers squad that is coming off a blowout loss in Cleveland - a game in which they were without Joel Embiid after he experienced some back tightness in warmups. All indications are he will be back on Tuesday but even if he's not, I like the Sixers chances of handing the Raps a third consecutive loss. With Pascal Siakam still struggling (picking up where he left off in last summer's 'bubble' playoffs) and minimal bench production with key contributor Norm Powell having shot 2-for-16 through two games, Toronto is left looking for answers right now. I simply feel a better opportunity for it to get on track will come back in Tampa on Thursday against the Knicks. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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12-28-20 | Jazz v. Thunder +7.5 | 110-109 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Utah at 8:05 pm et on Monday. The Thunder were pegged by many to finish near the bottom of the Western Conference standings this season but they're off to a 1-0 start after defeating the Hornets in their opener on Saturday. I believe OKC is catching too many points again in this spot as it hosts its home opener against the 1-1 Jazz. It's worth noting that the Thunder posted eight blocks in their opener - that's more than the usually defensive-minded Jazz have recorded in their first two games combined (7). The Thunder also notched eight steals in their season debut - while they may lack the talent of a playoff contender, they're hungry and out to prove their many doubters wrong. That's often a recipe for success - at least early in the season. I do think OKC is catching Utah at the right time as the Jazz looked out of sync last time out and star guard Donovan Mitchell has shot just 12-of-39 from the floor through two games - clearly still shaking off the rust after a unique offseason. Take Oklahoma City (10*). |
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12-27-20 | Mavs +5 v. Clippers | 124-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Los Angeles at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. I'll grab the points with the Mavericks as they look to record their first victory of the season on Sunday afternoon. This is obviously a tough matchup against the undefeated Clippers but I expect the Mavs to be up for the challenge after pushing the Clips to six games in last summer's 'bubble' playoffs. Los Angeles shot the lights out in its most recent victory against Denver, hitting 55% overall, 50% from three-point range and 83% from the free throw line. The Mavs have their work cut out for them but should be much tougher on the Clips than they were on the Lakers when they allowed 56% shooting on Friday night. While we won with L.A. on opening night, that was in an underdog role against the rival Lakers. Off consecutive wins to open the campaign, I look for the Clips to sputter here. Take Dallas (10*). |
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12-26-20 | Raptors -1 v. Spurs | 114-119 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over San Antonio at 8:35 pm et on Saturday. The best thing for the Raptors may be to hit the road at this point after they opened their season with a disappointing 'home' loss to the Pelicans in Tampa. Toronto simply went ice cold from the field in the second half against New Orleans. I don't expect to see much carry-over from that performance here, however. Meanwhile, San Antonio lit it up in its season-opener against Memphis, scoring 130+ points in the process. Demar Derozan not surprisingly led the way in that contest. I'm not all that high on the Spurs and figure they're in for a bit of a letdown here. I'll bank on the Raps responding with a sharp performance on Saturday night. Take Toronto (10*). |
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12-23-20 | Hawks -1.5 v. Bulls | 124-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Chicago at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks endured another miserable season last year, ultimately ending up one of only eight teams to miss out on the 'bubble' invite this past Summer. While there will be no shortage of motivation in Atlanta, I believe the Hawks also have the pieces in place to take a significant step forward here in 2020-21. With a number of new faces in the mix there's reason to think that they could struggle in the early going as they try to find some chemistry but the preseason was encouraging as they were competitive in three of four games (in their lone blowout loss Trae Young made just four field goals in 26 minutes of action). I see this as the perfect opening night matchup for the Hawks as they travel to Chicago to face a Bulls squad that is also looking to turn things around following a dismal campaign. For the Bulls, I believe the road back to respectability might take a little longer. There's a lot to be excited about with Coby White ready to emerge as a star in the league and plenty of role players capable of stepping up around him. I'm just not convinced they have the offense to keep pace with the Hawks at this early stage of the season. Atlanta scored 112, 116, 106 and 117 in four preseason games with a real key being the steadying performances of veteran free agent acquisitions Danilo Gallinari and Bogdan Bogdanovic off the bench - something it has really been missing in recent years. Behind big opening night performances from Trae Young and Cam Reddish, look for the Hawks to prevail. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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12-22-20 | Clippers +3.5 v. Lakers | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on the Clippers plus the points over the Lakers at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. I'll take the points with the Clippers on opening night as they look to put an awful preseason behind them against the defending champion Lakers. There will be no shortage of motivation in the Clippers locker room this season after a 2019-20 campaign that turned out to be a disappointment. I think this is the perfect matchup for them to start the season with. While the Lakers showed flashes of brilliance in the preseason, I'm not convinced they're putting too much stock in this opening night result. As they work their way back into form, we'll grab the points with the underdog Clippers in a game where I fully expect them to bring their 'A' effort. Take the Clippers (10*). |
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12-22-20 | Warriors v. Nets -7 | 99-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Golden State at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday. While expectations are obviously quite high in Brooklyn with both Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving back healthy, I believe they're warranted. Meanwhile, the Warriors season essentially went by the wayside before it even started with Klay Thompson going down with a season-ending injury. While a healthy Steph Curry obviously means Golden State should be improved compared to last year, I don't like the roster they currently have assembled (note that Draymond Green is expected to miss the opener). Maybe Curry shoots the lights out and keeps this one competitive, but I think there's a better chance that the Nets run away and hide with a decisive opening-night victory. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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12-18-20 | BYU +7.5 v. San Diego State | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on BYU plus the points over San Diego State at 5 pm et on Friday. The Cougars are catching too many points in this matchup as they look to hand San Diego State its first loss of the season. Note that the Aztecs rank 215th in the nation in points allowed per game from three-pointers while BYU ranks 66th in points scored per game from three-point range. I do think there's a path to victory for the Cougars in this one as they match up well with the Aztecs in terms of rebounding at both ends of the floor. As you would expect, San Diego State ranks a solid 83rd in the country in total rebounding percentage but BYU is just behind it sitting 87th. It's not as if the Cougars have faced a cupcake schedule either. Here in December they've gone 3-2 in games against USC, St. John's, Utah State, Boise State and Utah. The potential is there for this game to go right down to the wire. Take BYU (10*). |
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12-09-20 | Furman +4 v. Cincinnati | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
My selection is on Furman plus the points over Cincinnati at 5 pm et on Wednesday. We've already won once with Furman this season, albeit in a far easier matchup against USC Upstate (the Palladins were laying 18.5 points in that game and won by 28). Here, I'll grab the points with the Palladins as they hit the road to face Cincinnati. The Bearcats are off to a 1-1 start and certainly haven't rounded into form just yet. Through two games (an admittedly small sample size) they rank T224th in the nation in pace rating and T171st in field goal percentage. By contrast, Furman appears to be in midseason form having knocked down 52.5% of their shots. The Palladins also rank 28th in the country in rebounds per game and an impressive 17th in assists. Cincinnati would undoubtedly have more of an edge in this matchup after getting a few more games under its belt but right now, I believe the case can be made for Furman to continue its undefeated start to the season. Take Furman (10*). |
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12-08-20 | Morgan State v. Iona -9 | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iona minus the points over Morgan State at 3 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with Iona as it takes on Morgan State on Tuesday afternoon. The Gaels have split a pair of games against Seton Hall and Hofstra this season. I like the way they've made it tough on the opposition at the defensive end of the floor, recording 12 blocks through two games. Iona certainly needs to do a better job of finishing offensive possessions and taking care of the basketball after yielding 19 steals through its first two contests, but we did see it show some improvement in that regard last time out. Morgan State is 1-1 on the season as well but it's lone victory came over little-known Lincoln (PA), and it came by just eight points in a game where the Bears gave up 90+ points. Through two contests, the Bears have notched just six blocks at the defensive end of the floor. After allowing Lincoln to shoot 50% from the field and get to the free throw line 30 times last time out I suspect they'll have their hands full with Iona here. Take Iona (10*). |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut +1 v. USC | Top | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
ESPN Game of the Month. My selection is on Connecticut over USC at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the upside with UConn in this matchup as it catches USC coming off a big early season win over BYU. The Huskies are off to a 2-0 start and have recorded 34 assists and 15 blocks. They've shot just 15-of-45 from three-point range but I certainly anticipate some positive regression in that regard moving forward. USC checks in shooting just 58% from the free throw line and averages fewer than three steals per contest while committing nearly 16 turnovers per game. The Huskies have been far more active defensively, noting the block total earlier and the fact that they're averaging eight steals per game. Take Connecticut (10*). |
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12-02-20 | Incarnate Word v. Wyoming -16 | 83-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
My selection is on Wyoming minus the points over Incarnate Word at 9 pm et on Wednesday. I see this as a blowout in the making as Wyoming looks to bounce back from a tough two-point loss suffered at the hands of Texas Southern on Monday. This is the perfect 'get right' spot against Incarnate Word, which has split a pair of games this season with its lone win coming off little known Our Lady Lake - a team that lost its opener by 39 points against Rice. IW shot 27-of-41 from two-point range in that victory but was actually outscored 12-9 on second chance points and 21-8 on fast break points. While the Cardinals dominated the paint in that game, that isn't likely to continue here - noting that they were outrebounded 37-28 and outscored 42-26 in the paint in their first game against aforementioned Rice - a 15-point loss. Wyoming has shot well through two games, while also racking up 36 assists. The Cowboys have the talent to stretch out the margin, as evidenced in their season-opening 36-point rout of Mississippi Valley State. Take Wyoming (10*). |
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12-01-20 | Cleveland State +9.5 v. Toledo | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Cleveland State plus the points over Toledo at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Cleveland State has yet to hit the floor this season while Toledo already has three games under its belt. The common line of thinking is probably that the Rockets have the decided advantage here, as evidenced by the lofty pointspread. I feel that the spread will prove too high, however. Note that Toledo held up well in its three-game in three days stretch to open the campaign thanks in large part to some terrific shooting from beyond the arc. While the Rockets shot a miserable 39% overall against Xavier last time out, they connected on 53% of their three-point attempts. I think it's worth noting that they've recorded a grand total of just six blocks through three contests. While that has had something to do with the fact that they've faced two tough opponents in Bradley and Xavier, sandwiched around a cakewalk against Oakland, I do look for Cleveland State to find plenty of room to operate in the paint in this one. The Vikings have unfortunately been perennial losers in recent years but I do believe the potential is there for some progress in 2020-21 thanks to plenty of returning talent. Toledo is ripe for a letdown here following that near-upset of Xavier. Take Cleveland State (10*). |
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11-28-20 | USC Upstate v. Furman -18.5 | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Furman minus the points over USC Upstate at 2 pm et on Saturday. I'll lay the points with the Palladins as they look to move to 2-0 on the season and do so in convincing fashion against USC Upstate. Furman was enjoying a terrific 2019-20 season until Covid shut things down, going 25-8 overall and 13-5 in conference play. Contrast that with USC Upstate, which was one of the worst teams in the nation a year ago, going 1-15 in conference play and 6-26 overall. The Spartans won just once in 16 tries away from home. If their first game this year is any indication, 2020-21 is likely going to be a struggle as well. USC Upstate lost its opener by double-digits against little known Southern Wesleyan. Meanwhile, Furman is coming off a 95-62 rout of Tusculum, but certainly has room for improvement after shooting just 6-of-21 from three-point range and committing eight turnovers. Take Furman (10*). |
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11-27-20 | Abilene Christian v. Austin Peay +2.5 | 80-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
CBB Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Austin Peay plus the points over Abilene Christian at 2 pm et on Friday. We missed the mark with Austin Peay yesterday as the Governors eked out a one-point win over East Tennessee State. Thanks to getting the victory, that uneven performance shouldn't be difficult to wipe from their minds as they get right back out on the court on Friday afternoon against a quality Abilene Christian squad. The Wildcats absolutely throttled ETSU in their season debut two days ago, pulling away on the strength of 13 made three-pointers. I certainly expect to see some regression from ACU in that department on Friday. Note that while the Wildcats shot better than 56% from three-point range in that season-opening win, they only managed to connect on 40.8% of their field goal attempts overall. We've yet to really see the Governors get going but when they do, they have the potential to bust out in a big way. Terry Taylor already appears to be in midseason form having poured in 46 points while grabbing 28 rebounds through two games. Jordyn Adams had a nice season debut but shot a miserable 2-of-11 from the field and contributed just seven points and four rebounds yesterday. Expect a big bounce-back performance from him on Friday. This is by no means a layup for Austin Peay, but after yesterday's close call, I expect to see it bring its best effort to the floor and that should be enough to earn the cover. Take Austin Peay (10*). |
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11-26-20 | East Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -5.5 | 66-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
My selection is on Austin Peay minus the points over East Tennessee State at 2 pm et on Thursday. This looks like a layup and we certainly hope it plays out that way on the court. Austin Peay is one of the favorites, if not the favorite in the Ohio Valley Conference this season. With a ton of returning talent led by standouts Terry Taylor and Jordyn Adams who both declared for the NBA Draft before withdrawing and instead electing to return to Austin Peay for what could be a special season for the Governors, this is a team to watch in the early going. They will need to shake off some rust after posting a narrow victory in yesterday's opener against Nebraska-Omaha. East Tennessee State on the other hand has had to restock virtually the entire cupboard following a tremendous 2019-20 season that had it primed to go bracket busting in March before Covid concerns took hold. It's going to be a bit of a road back for for the Buccaneers and that was certainly evident in yesterday's blowout loss to Abilene Christian. The Bucs shot worse than 30% from the floor in that game. They were blown out despite holding a decisive edge on the boards. While we can expect some improvement in their second game, they're also facing a tougher matchup. While Belmont and Murray State gets much of the press in the Ohio Valley Conference, Austin Peay is set to stake its claim this season. Look for a convincing victory for the Governors on Thursday afternoon. Take Austin Peay (10*). |
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11-25-20 | Drake +5.5 v. Kansas State | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on Drake plus the points over Kansas State at 2 pm et on Wednesday. I'll grab the points with Drake in this opening day showdown in Manhattan. The Bulldogs went an impressive 20-4 last season but in recent years it almost seems as if the Missouri Valley Conference has fallen out of favor with most bettors. Consider them an 'under the radar' team as we open what is sure to be a unique 2020-21 campaign. Kansas State is coming off a miserable season and while it will undoubtedly be stronger, I don't expect Bruce Weber's squad to come roaring out of the gates. Drake has the size to match up well with the Wildcats and I look for this one to go down to the wire. Take Drake (10*). |
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10-11-20 | Lakers -5 v. Heat | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Finals Game of the Year. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Miami at 7:30 pm et on Sunday. Game 5 on Friday night had very much the look of a 'last stand' of sorts from Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat. Left exhausted at the end of that thrilling affair, I'm not convinced the Heat can keep pace with the Lakers for four quarters on Sunday night. Lebron James' critics have once again come out of the woodwork following that missed opportunity to close this series out in Game 5 - despite his 40-point, 13-rebound performance. I certainly expect another positive response from Lebron (and perhaps more importantly, his supporting cast) here. The Lakers have essentially controlled this series from the jump and I'm not going to knock them for slipping up in their first shot at closing out the series on Friday. Miami has shown plenty of resiliency throughout these playoffs and has proven to be the very definition of a 'tough out'. However, now we're dealing with a very reasonable price to back what is sure to be a determined Lakers squad eager to bring an end to 'bubble life' and deliver the Larry O'Brien trophy back to Los Angeles. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My selection is on Denver plus the points over Los Angeles at 9 pm et on Tuesday. While the nature of that Game 2 loss may have broken most teams, I don't expect the Nuggets to fold the tent. Denver has shown plenty of resiliency throughout the playoffs and should bounce back here as it has a lot of positives to build on following Game 2. While I also lean to the 'under' in this matchup, I'll stick with the side and back the Nuggets to at the very least take this one down to the wire. Take Denver (10*). |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Denver at 9 pm et on Tuesday. The Clippers clearly got caught looking ahead to a date with the rival Lakers at halftime of Game 6, ultimately blowing a 16-point lead en route to an eventual double-digit loss. L.A. really couldn't have played much worse. It only serves to make bouncing back that much easier on Tuesday as I'm confident the Clips motivation level will be sky-high and I expect their play to match it. Give Denver all the credit in the world, first battling its way through a tough series against the Jazz and now giving the favored Clips all they can handle in another seven-game series. We have, however, seen L.A.'s ability to reach another gear in this series and there's simply too much on the line as a franchise to lay another egg on Tuesday night. All of that has certainly been factored into the line, but I still look for the Clips to cover the number. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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09-03-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 97-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Denver at 9 pm et on Thursday. I really think this is a blowout in the making as the weary Nuggets take on the Clippers just one day removed from outlasting the Jazz in what was an opening round war of attrition. Los Angeles is well-rested, and likely to keep rolling after rounding into form in the latter stages of the first round. The Clips didn't exactly come roaring out of the gates here in the "bubble" but they didn't have to. Here, I look for them to get off to a blazing start to the second round as they do a far better job of containing Jokic and Murray than the Jazz did in the Nuggets last series. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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08-30-20 | Celtics v. Raptors -2.5 | 112-94 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Toronto minus the points over Boston at 1 pm et on Sunday. I look for the Raptors to get an early jump on the Celtics in this series as they return from an extended layoff on Sunday afternoon. Boston looked a little disjointed at times early in its series against the 76ers but got stronger as it went on, ultimately prevailing against an undermanned Philadelphia squad. This should be a different story as it faces the challenge of a full-strength Raptors squad that is playing some of its best basketball here in the "bubble". All indications are that Kyle Lowry's ankle should be good to go for Game 1, with a few extra days off helping him get ready for the opener. Take Toronto (10*). |
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08-25-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6.5 | 111-154 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Clippers on Tuesday night as they bounce-back from a very disappointing overtime loss on Sunday afternoon. Luka Doncic simply took over that game on Sunday, turning in a performance for the ages with his running mate Kristaps Porzingis sidelined. Now I look for a big response from Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers as they look to take back control of the series and silence some of their doubters in the process. A big early lead may have been the worst thing that could have happened to the Clippers on Sunday as they let down their guard against the undermanned Mavs and ultimately paid the price with an 'L'. Look for a sharper, more focused effort from the Clips on Tuesday. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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08-20-20 | Heat -4 v. Pacers | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over Indiana at 1 pm et on Thursday. We won with the Heat in Game 1 of this series and we'll come right back with them again in Game 2 on Thursday afternoon. This is a mismatch as far as I'm concerned, even if it didn't look that way in the early stages of the series-opener. Once the Heat settled in they were able to essentially do whatever they wanted and ultimately stretch out the margin against the Pacers in Game 1. There's little reason to expect anything different on Thursday. The 'zig-zag theory' produced a 3-1 ATS record in yesterday's playoff contests, but I expect a different story to unfold on Thursday. Take Miami (10*). |
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08-18-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Pacers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
My selection is on Miami minus the points over Indiana at 4 pm et on Tuesday. I'll lay the points with the Heat as they open their first round playoff series with the Pacers on Tuesday afternoon. This will actually be the third meeting in just over a week between these two teams with each side winning one of those matchups. Both games were ultimately blowouts but we can put a lot more stock in Miami's 114-92 win back on August 10th as the second matchup saw most key cogs sit. The Pacers have enjoyed a nice run here in the "bubble" but I'm much higher on the Heat and had this line pegged 1.5 points higher than we're dealing with at the time of writing. Take Miami (10*). |
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08-17-20 | Mavs v. Clippers -6 | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Dallas at 9 pm et on Monday. I'll lay the points with the Clippers in the opener of their series with the Mavericks on Monday night. After getting off to a rocky start here at Disney dropping two of their first three contests, the Clippers turned it around winning four of their last five. That included a 15-point rout of the Mavericks on August 6th. Dallas has been marred by inconsistent play, particularly at the defensive end of the floor, here in the "bubble" and I simply don't see it getting off to a roaring start to the playoffs against a Clippers squad that will be looking to make a statement right out of the gates. All things considered, I believe we're being asked to lay a very reasonable number with the vastly superior team on Monday night. Take Los Angeles (10*). |
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08-17-20 | 76ers +6 v. Celtics | 101-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Philadelphia plus the points over Boston at 6:30 pm et on Monday. The Celtics were red hot near the tail-end of regular season play in the "bubble", reeling off four straight wins before falling with most of their key cogs resting in their finale against the Wizards. Here, they draw a tough opening round matchup against a 76ers squad they struggled against during the regular season, dropping three of four meetings. Of course, Philadelphia is a different team without Ben Simmons. That being said, the Sixers have held up well in "bubble" action to this point, particularly at the offensive end of the floor. They've learned to play without their star guard and I believe they enter the playoffs with a big chip on their shoulder against the favored Celtics. Look for a tightly-contested affair in Game 1 on Monday. Take Philadelphia (10*). |
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08-17-20 | Nets +10 v. Raptors | 110-134 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn plus the points over Toronto at 4 pm et on Monday. I'll grab the generous helping of points with the Nets on Monday as they aim to take their first step in dethroning the defending NBA champion Raptors. While that will be a tall task indeed, here we're only looking for Brooklyn to give Toronto a run. The Raptors are generally slow starters in playoff series' having gone an absolutely dreadful 4-15 SU and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 series openers. The Nets have been one of the most undervalued commodities in the "bubble". While they have a ton of absences, there's no question they've come together and played their best basketball of the season here at Disney. The Raps win Game 1 but it should be close. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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08-06-20 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | Top | 99-114 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over Phoenix at 4:05 pm et on Thursday. This is an ideal spot to fade the red hot Suns as they come off a thrilling buzzer-beating win over the Clippers two days ago. Phoenix has gone a perfect 3-0 since the NBA restart to keep its slim playoff hopes alive. Here it faces a less talked about but equally hot opponent in the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have also gone a perfect 3-0 since the restart but the difference is Indiana has been a quality team all season long. The Suns will certainly draw the Pacers attention here after that huge upset victory over the NBA title contending Clippers. I believe we're being asked to lay a relatively short number with the much better all-around team. Take Indiana (10*). |
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08-05-20 | Raptors v. Magic +6.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando plus the points over Toronto at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. The Raptors have impressed through two games since the restart, notching wins over the Lakers and Heat. I believe there's a chance we see them overlook the Magic on Wednesday, however, as they have a date with the Celtics looming on Friday. Orlando has gone 2-1 here in the 'bubble' but is coming off a double-digit loss against the Pacers last time out. While Toronto will be looking to sweep the 'season series' with the Magic I expect it to be in tough. Take Orlando (10*). |
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08-05-20 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Jazz | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Utah at 2:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have struggled since the restart, going 0-3 but they've been competitive in all three games. They're coming off their worst effort though against the Pelicans last time out so I look for them to come out strong in this winnable game against the Jazz on Wednesday. Utah will certainly be motivated coming off back-to-back losses but I simply feel they're being asked to lay too many points in this spot. Note that this will be the first of a three game in four days stretch for the Jazz. Look for this one to go down to the wire. Take Memphis (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nebraska +14.5 v. Indiana | 64-89 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
My selection is on Nebraska plus the points over Indiana at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday. This is simply far too many points for a mediocre Indiana squad to be laying against Nebraska on Wednesday night. The Huskers have been mired in another down season, winning just seven of 31 games to date but this is essentially their national championship game and I do expect them to leave it all on the floor. After consecutive beatdowns at the hands of Michigan and Minnesota on the road I look for them to relish the opportunity to face an Indiana squad they stayed within eight points of back in January. The Hoosiers have won just four games since the start of February. take Nebraska (10*). |
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03-11-20 | Nuggets v. Mavs -1 | 97-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
My selection is on Dallas minus the points over Denver at 8:05 pm et on Wednesday. I look for the Mavs to bounce back from last night's double-digit loss at the hands of the Spurs as they return home to host the Nuggets on Wednesday. Denver is without question a formidable opponent but I like the significant edges Dallas holds in pace, three-point shooting and rebounding in this matchup. This is an important, albeit brief two-game homestand for the Mavs off back-to-back losses. The Nuggets haven't won consecutive games since February 23rd and 25th and while they're off a victory over the Bucks last time out, that wasn't quite as impressive as it appears on paper as Milwaukee was without Giannis. Take Dallas (10*). |
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03-10-20 | St. Mary's +9 v. Gonzaga | 66-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
My selection is on St. Mary's plus the points over Gonzaga at 9 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab the points with the Gaels as they try to defeat the Zags for the first time in three tries this season in the WCC Championship Game on Tuesday night. Keep in mind, St. Mary's suffered its worst home loss in the Randy Bennett era, falling by a 90-60 score earlier this season. The Gaels did do a better job last time against the Zags, going on the road to face them on Senior Night and ultimately falling by just 10 points in a game that was within five points in the latter stages of the second half. The Gaels went six minutes without hitting a field goal during one second half stretch in that game. The fat that they still only lost by 10 points was telling. Off a thrilling one-point win over favored BYU last night, I look for the Gaels to hang tough in this one. Take St. Mary's (10*). |
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03-09-20 | Hornets +4.5 v. Hawks | 138-143 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Monday. I think there's reason to be optimistic when it comes to the Hornets right now. Of course, it would be easy to dismiss Saturday's upset win over the Rockets as a fluke - or that they simply caught Houston a down night. However, we've seen a positive trend from Charlotte as it has been competitive in each of its last six games since suffering an embarrassing blowout loss in Indiana on February 25th. This will be the Hornets first road test this month. They've actually won four of their last five games away from home. The Hawks have lost three straight games and Trae Young has cooled considerably, scoring 25 points or less in each of his last four games. Take Charlotte (10*). |
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03-08-20 | Lakers v. Clippers -2.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over the LA Lakers at 3:35 pm et on Sunday. The Lakers have certainly posted some statement wins lately with those including Friday's victory over Giannis and the Bucks. I look for them to fall short on Sunday, however, as they take on the rolling Clippers at Staples Center. The Clips have won six games in a row and enter this one well rested having last played on Thursday night in Houston - a game where they didn't really need to expend a ton of energy after building a 23-point halftime lead. Kawhi and co. got the better of the Lakers in their last meeting on Christmas Day and I expect more of the same here. Take the LA Clippers (10*). |
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03-08-20 | East Carolina v. UCF -7.5 | 62-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
My selection is on UCF minus the points over East Carolina at 2 pm et on Sunday. This is a tough spot for East Carolina to get up for after suffering a blowout loss against UConn last time out. The Pirates recently enjoyed a four-game ATS winning streak (we cashed with them twice over that stretch) but the bloom is off that rose after the lopsided loss to the Huskies. UCF should be confident having already gone on the road and defeated East Carolina earlier this year and also coming off a big home win over SMU. Keep in mind, East Carolina has won just once in 11 tries away from home this season. Look for the Knights to win this one going away. Take UCF (10*). |
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03-07-20 | Butler v. Xavier -2.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My selection is on Xavier minus the points over Butler at 8:30 pm et on Saturday. I'll back the Musketeers as they look to end the regular season on a high note against Butler on Senior Night on Saturday. I like the motivational edge for Xavier here coming off a loss against Providence and facing a Bulldogs squad that is riding high off back-to-back wins. Note that Butler has won just four times in 10 tries away from home this season, with no victories in their last three road tilts. Take Xavier (10*). |
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03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
My selection is on North Carolina plus the points over Duke at 6 pm et on Saturday. I simply feel this is too many points to be giving North Carolina in what is essentially its 'National Championship Game' in a rare non-NCAA Tournament appearing year. The first game between these two teams was an instant classic in Chapel Hill and while this one may not be quite as tight, we're still dealing with a boatload of points in our back pocket. There's no denying the Blue Devils are the superior squad in this rivalry this season but motivation will play a factor here and I'm confident the Tar Heels can hang. Take North Carolina (10*). |
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03-06-20 | Valparaiso v. Loyola-Chicago -4.5 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Loyola-Chicago minus the points over Valparaiso at 7:05 pm et on Friday. I'll lay the points with the Ramblers on Friday night as they look to advance in the MVC Tournament. Loyola-Chicago has been one of the conference's elite teams all season (along with Northern Iowa) and should be on a collision course to face the Panthers in St. Louis this weekend. It was an up and down season for Valpo and I just don't see it rising to the occasion against a superior opponent here. The line has shifted in favor of the Ramblers for a reason but I think we still have some value to take advantage of. Take Loyola-Chicago (10*). |
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03-05-20 | Illinois State +3 v. Drake | 65-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Illinois State plus the points over Drake at 7:05 pm et on Thursday. There is a pretty big gap between these two teams when it comes to overall record, but much of Drake's success came earlier in the year. In fact, the Bulldogs last victory away from home came way back on January 22nd at Evansville - arguably the MVC's worst team. Illinois State went 3-4 over its last seven games but it's worth noting two of those losses came by exactly three points while two others came against two of the conference's elite teams in Northern Iowa and Loyola-Chicago. The Redbirds do have some injury/illness concerns with Keith Fisher III possibly slated to miss this game but that has been factored into the line with Drake favored. Early round 'upsets' aren't uncommon in the MVC Tournament. Take Illinois State (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Pelicans +7 v. Mavs | 123-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Dallas at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Pelicans suffered a disappointing loss at home against the T'Wolves last night but should bounce back on Wednesday night in Dallas. Zion and the Pelicans should have no trouble getting up for a game against Luka Doncic and the Mavs. Last night was simply a brutal motivational spot for New Orleans coming off Sunday's showdown with Lebron and the Lakers - a ho-hum Tuesday night home game against the lowly Wolves. Different story here. Expect a competitive game. Take New Orleans (10*). |
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03-04-20 | Florida -2.5 v. Georgia | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
My selection is on Florida minus the points over Georgia at 7 pm et on Wednesday. Georgia has gotten itself on a bit of a roll but I think the Dawgs will be in tough when they host the Gators on Wednesday night. While Georgia has won three of its last four games, keep in mind two of those wins came against Vandy and struggling Arkansas. Florida has lost consecutive games away from home but those defeats came at the hands of Kentucky and Tennessee. The Gators should be in a foul mood here coming off that narrow five-point setback against the Vols. Take Florida (10*). |
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03-02-20 | Blazers v. Magic -7 | 130-107 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Portland at 7:05 pm et on Monday. The Magic have a lot of upside right now and I look for them to easily brush aside the Blazers on Monday night. Orlando checks in sixth in the NBA in offensive rating over its last five games. While it sits just 20th in defensive rating over that stretch, the Blazers have been even worse, ranking 24th. Portland is also just 22nd in offensive rating over its last five contests. Take Orlando (10*). |
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03-01-20 | Wichita State v. SMU -1 | 66-62 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on SMU minus the points over Wichita State at 4 pm et on Sunday. Travel day on Sunday. Full analysis will return on Monday. Take SMU (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Memphis v. Tulane +5 | 74-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Tulane plus the points over Memphis at 8 pm et on Saturday. Memphis is in a letdown spot here off consecutive down-to-the-wire big games against Houston and SMU, splitting those two contests. We know Tulane is capable of rising to the occasion at home, where it has defeated the likes of SMU and Cincinnati. Look for the Green Wave to rise up once again here as they take down the Tigers in an underdog role. Take Tulane (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Arkansas v. Georgia +1 | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
My selection is on Georgia plus the points over Arkansas at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is playing excellent basketball right now with its lone blemish over its last three games coming in overtime at South Carolina last time out. With tough games against Florida and LSU on deck, it's imperative that the Bulldogs earn a 'W' in this spot. We won with Arkansas last Saturday at home against Missouri but that win didn't come easy, and this is obviously a much tougher matchup, on the road no less. Take Georgia (10*). |
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02-29-20 | Northern Iowa -3.5 v. Drake | 70-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
My selection is on Northern Iowa minus the points over Drake at 6 pm et on Saturday. The Panthers continue to fly well beneath the national radar but there's no question, they're as good as it gets in the Missouri Valley Conference this season and while they draw a tough matchup on the road on Saturday, I'm confident we'll see their surge continue. Drake enters having dropped each of its last two and six of its last nine games overall. Northern Iowa took the previous meeting between these two teams by double-digits back in early February. Take Northern Iowa (10*). |
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02-27-20 | Indiana v. Purdue -6 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Week. My selection is on Purdue minus the points over Indiana at 7 pm et on Thursday. This is a solid bounce-back spot for the Boilers as they aim to snap a four-game losing streak against an Indiana squad coming off back-to-back wins. Purdue's big issue lately has been its inability to knock down shots. The Boilers have shot worse than 40% from the field in three straight games entering this contest. Keep in mind, two of those games came on the road against Ohio State and Wisconsin. Here at home, Purdue shoots better than 47% on the season. Indiana is a miserable 2-10 ATS when revenging a home loss over the last three seasons, outscored by nearly nine points per game on average in that situation. The Hoosiers are also just 44-74 when on the road after winning two of their last three games going all the way back to 1997. Take Purdue (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Boise State +3.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Boise State plus the points over UNLV at 11 pm et on Wednesday. The choice to fade UNLV is an easy one for me tonight. The Runnin' Rebels are coming off a monumental upset win on the road against then-undefeated San Diego State on Saturday. There's no question UNLV has been playing well, but it still owns a mediocre 15-14 overall record this season and sits 5th in the Mountain West Conference, one spot behind tonight's opponent, Boise State. The Broncos have lost only two games since January 18th, one on the road against Utah State and one at home against aforementioned San Diego State - two teams that own a combined 50-8 record this season. Boise State took the first meeting between these two teams by a 73-66 score back on January 8th. Look for the Broncos to at the very least take this one down to the wire as well. Take Boise State (10*). |
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02-26-20 | Magic -2 v. Hawks | Top | 130-120 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year. My selection is on Orlando minus the points over Atlanta at 7:35 pm et on Wednesday. The Hawks came roaring out of the All-Star break, delivering consecutive wins over the Heat and Mavericks on their home floor. They fell back to Earth on Monday, however, suffering a 17-point loss in Philadelphia, giving up a whopping 129 points in the process. I look for the Magic to add to their woes on Wednesday night in Atlanta. Note that Orlando is 13-5 ATS when facing teams that own a winning percentage of between 25% and 40% this season and 22-11 ATS when facing opponents that are outscored by at least three points per game over the last two seasons. In both of those situations, they've outscored the opposition by an average margin of nine points. It's also worth noting that the Hawks are a miserable 1-8 ATS after winning two of their last three games this season - outscored by a margin of nearly 16 points in that situation. The Magic have certainly been a streaky team and they come in having won three of their last four games overall, with the lone loss coming in an underdog role at home against Dallas. Take Orlando (10*). |
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02-25-20 | Celtics -7 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My selection is on Boston minus the points over Portland at 10:05 pm et on Tuesday. The Celtics are coming off a loss to the Lakers on Sunday but that doesn't take away from the fact they've been playing terrific basketball, winners of three in a row ATS entering this contest. We successfully faded the Blazers in their last game - a narrow three-point win over the lowly Pistons at home. Keep in mind, in their first game following the All-Star break they suffered a double-digit loss against the Pelicans. Portland is just 4-14 ATS as an underdog of between 3.5 and 9.5 points this season, outscored by over nine points on average in those contests. Despite the Blazers reputation as a team that likes to play fast, they've gone a miserable 11-23 ATS when facing teams that attempt at least 88 shots per game this season, with Boston falling in that category. Take Boston (10*). |
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02-24-20 | Suns v. Jazz -7.5 | 131-111 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
My selection is on Utah minus the points over Phoenix at 9:05 pm et on Monday. The Jazz are coming off back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Rockets here on their home floor but they do draw a 'get right' matchup with the Suns on Monday night. Note that Utah has gone 40-22 ATS the last 62 times it has played at home following a double-digit home loss. Phoenix is a miserable 19-35 ATS playing on the road against a winning team in the second half of the season over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of nearly 14 points in those games. The Jazz desperately need to turn things around before facing what will be a highly-motivated, and championship-contending Celtics squad in their next game. Meanwhile, Phoenix could have one foot on the plane as it prepares to return home for its next six games after completing this three-game in four-night stretch. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina +3 | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My selection is on East Carolina plus the points over Temple at 12 noon et on Sunday. East Carolina has been playing well but has nothing to show for it, having lost each of its last three games. The Pirates last two games came against two of the conference's best teams in Cincinnati and Memphis and they went a perfect 2-0 ATS, losing by a grand total of seven points. Here, the Pirates draw a winnable game against a Temple squad ripe for a letdown following a 93-89 overtime win over Connecticut (we won with the Owls in that game). Note that Temple has gone a miserable 5-15 ATS coming off a home victory over the last two seasons. Take East Carolina (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Nets -3 v. Hornets | 115-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Brooklyn minus the points over Charlotte at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Nets aren't going to be a popular bet as a road favorite in Charlotte on Saturday night but I see this as a great spot to back them coming off that overtime loss in Philadelphia on Thursday. Charlotte has surprisingly won three straight games following a five-game losing streak but those three wins, albeit coming on the road, came against the likes of Detroit, Minnesota and Chicago. Here, we play against underdogs coming off three or more consecutive wins in February, a trend that has gone 59-29 ATS since 1996. The Nets fall into an excellent 47-21 ATS situation in which teams are revenging a loss as a favorite of seven points or more against a team coming off at least two straight wins as an underdog. Take Brooklyn (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +3 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Georgia at 6 pm et on Saturday. Georgia is coming off a big upset win at home against Auburn earlier this week and as a result could get caught flat-footed on the road against Vanderbilt here. We won with Vandy against Tennessee last time out, as the Commodores took the Vols down to the wire in Knoxville. Note that Georgia has gone a miserable 4-12 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Bulldogs were outscored by 11 points per game in those contests. Vandy has dropped back-to-back meetings in this series but remains 14-5 straight-up against Georgia going back to 1997. At 5-2 ATS over their last seven games, but with only one outright win to show for it, look for the Commodores to get back in the win column here. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State +6 | 87-57 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Texas Tech at 6 pm et on Saturday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Iowa State in this matchup. The Cyclones are coming off a blowout loss at the hands of Kansas on Monday, but that puts them in a good spot here, noting that they've gone a perfect 6-0 ATS after suffering a 20+ point loss over the last three seasons, outscoring the opposition by more than 13 points per game. Texas Tech is a miserable 26-46 ATS the last 72 times it has hit the road after winning five or six of its last seven games, as is the case here. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse -5 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Georgia Tech at 4 pm et on Saturday. I like the bounce-back spot for the Orange here as they return home to host Georgia Tech on Saturday afternoon. Note that the Orange have gone 41-29 ATS under the guidance of Jim Boeheim when losing four or five of their last six games, outscoring the opposition by nearly seven points per contest. Georgia Tech has been outscored by over eight points per game when revenging a same season loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. Syracuse has faced a brutal recent schedule, look for it to shake loose with a much-needed win here. Take Syracuse (10*). |
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02-22-20 | North Carolina v. Louisville -9 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
My selection is on Louisville minus the points over North Carolina at 4 pm et on Saturday. Louisville shook off the cobwebs following back-to-back losses and absolutely throttled Syracuse last time out and I look for it to build off of that positive momentum here. North Carolina is simply playing out the string at this point, on the heels of six straight losses. Note that the Cardinals have gone 26-14 ATS, outscoring the opposition by nearly 10 points per game, after winning four or five of their last six games over the last three seasons. North Carolina is just 1-7 ATS when facing teams that allow 64 points or less per game this season, outscored by over seven points per contest in that situation. Take Louisville (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Houston v. Memphis +2.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
My selection is on Memphis plus the points over Houston at 2 pm et on Saturday. The Memphis bandwagon has all but cleared following a 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS stretch, including a narrow four-point win over East Carolina last time out. That was a clear flat spot against ECU but Saturday's game against Houston is another matter entirely. The Cougars are fresh off a 30+ point win in a revenge game against Tulsa. Note that Memphis has gone 10-2 ATS after losing two of its last three games over the last two seasons. Houston has won back-to-back meetings in this series, but Memphis remains a solid 28-13 straight-up int he last 41 matchups between the two. Take Memphis (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Missouri v. Arkansas -6.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
My selection is on Arkansas minus the points over Missouri at 1 pm et on Saturday. This is a terrific bounce-back spot for Arkansas as it looks to snap a five-game losing streak. Note that Missouri owns just one road win this season. The Tigers have gone a miserable 5-14 ATS when facing a winning opponent at least 15 games into the season over the last few years, getting outscored by an average margin of over 12 points in those contests. The Razorbacks have gone 58-36 ATS in all home games following a road loss going all the way back to 1997, outscoring opponents by more than eight points per game. Take Arkansas (10*). |
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02-22-20 | Kansas v. Baylor -2 | 64-61 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
My selection is on Baylor minus the points over Kansas at 12 noon et on Saturday. Maybe if these two teams meet again at some point down the road in March I'll re-evaluate my position but for now, I believe Baylor owns a significant edge over Kansas. Note that the Bears have gone 10-3 ATS following a double-digit win this season, outscoring the opposition by over 10 points per contest. They're an even stronger 6-0 ATS following a double-digit road win over the last two seasons. Kansas is coming off back-to-back wins as a double-digit favorite against Oklahoma and Iowa State. The Jayhawks are in a much different position here and I look for them to fall short. Take Baylor (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Indiana minus the points over New York at 7:35 pm et on Friday. I really like the way this one sets up for the Pacers as they head to Manhattan to square off against the Knicks. Indiana finally 'got right' with a much needed win over the Bucks in its last game prior to the All-Star break. Now the Pacers fall into a couple of terrific situations. They've gone 42-25 ATS after losing two of their last three games over the last three seasons. They're also 15-4 ATS the last 19 times they've given up 105 points or more in five consecutive games, as is the case here. The Knicks certainly haven't shown that same type of resiliency, going 35-52 ATS after losing two of their last three over the last three seasons. New York enjoyed a brief surge earlier this month but has since gone right back into the tank with losses to the lowly Hawks and Wizards. This is precisely the type of game the Pacers need to get up for and not overlook, as they begin a grueling stretch that will see them play seven of their next nine games on the road. Take Indiana (10*). |
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02-21-20 | Niagara v. Fairfield -3 | 60-61 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Fairfield minus the points over Niagara at 7 pm et on Friday. We've had some success fading Niagara this season and we'll go back to the well on Friday night as they hit the road to face Fairfield. The Purple Eagles actually enter this game riding a rare winning streak having defeated Canisius and Monmouth over their last two games. Don't get too excited though, both of those games could have gone either way and they still own just nine wins in 25 games this season. Fairfield has dropped three of its last four games overall but three of those contests were played on the road. I look for the Stags to bounce back in this revenge spot after suffering a 75-66 loss at Niagara back on January 3rd. Take Fairfield (10*). |
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02-20-20 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -17.5 | 54-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
My selection is on Gonzaga minus the points over San Francisco at 11 pm et on Thursday. When it comes to a team like Gonzaga laying a big number like this, you have to put a lot of weight in motivational factors. The Bulldogs have lost just one game all season and that came way back in November. The question becomes whether they're content to sleepwalk their way to another victory, or whether they want to go all out and win in blowout fashion. Here, I look for the Zags to bring their 'A' game. They come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season over their last few contests. They faced a rare situation where they were actually a road underdog against Pepperdine last time out, but still won by double-digits. I do think San Francisco will draw plenty of motivation, noting that Gonzaga only managed to beat the Dons by four in their previous meeting this season. Their last matchup on this floor, however, was not close at all with the Zags rolling to a 30-point win last February. San Francisco is in a tough spot here, trying to get rolling from a standing start having not played in a full week. The Dons have dropped three of their last four games overall. They'll be looking to win consecutive games for the first time since January. The last time they did that, the second game was an essential layup against lowly San Diego. Different story here. Take Gonzaga (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Rockets v. Warriors +10 | 135-105 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
My selection is on Golden State plus the points over Houston at 10:35 pm et on Thursday. It's easy to forget that the Warriors were actually playing a little better prior to the All-Star break, having gone 7-5 ATS over their last 12 games. They're hosting a Rockets team that will be looking for revenge after suffering a 116-104 loss on this floor back on Christmas Day. Keep in mind, Houston has gone just 56-84 ATS the last 140 times it has gone on the road revenging a double-digit loss. This game presents an opportunity for somewhat of a fresh start for the Warriors coming out of the break. The Rockets will need to get rolling again from a standing start after shooting 46.3% or worse while allowing opponents to shoot 48.8% or better in three of their last four contests. Take Golden State (10*). |
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02-20-20 | UCLA v. Utah -2 | Top | 69-58 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Pac-12 Game of the Year. My selection is on Utah minus the points over UCLA at 10:30 pm et on Wednesday. I'll lay the short number with the Utes as they look to earn a little revenge against UCLA on Thursday night. Note that Utah is 57-32 ATS the last 89 times it has avenged a same season loss in which it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here (UCLA beat Utah 73-57 on February 2nd). Fresh off back-to-back losses at Oregon and Oregon State, the Utes find themselves in a favorable spot here, having gone 36-17 ATS in their last 53 home games following two ore more consecutive losses. UCLA enters this game off three straight victories but that puts it in a difficult situation having gone 0-8 ATS the last eight times it has won three of its last four games, and a miserable 2-13 ATS following up two or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons. The Bruins hadn't come all that close to sniffing out a three-game winning streak in conference play prior to their recent surge. Now they're in uncharted territory as they go for their fourth straight win in Pac-12 play. I expect them to come up short. Take Utah (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Murray State -4 v. Eastern Illinois | 60-63 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
My selection is on Murray State minus the points over Eastern Illinois at 8:30 pm et on Thursday. I don't expect to see any sort of letdown from Murray State in this very winnable road game on Thursday night. The Racers have actually split their last four games following a long winning streak, but those last two losses came against two of the conference's best teams in Belmont and Austin Peay. Murray State successfully bounced back with a rout of Morehead State on Saturday and I look for it to keep things rolling here. Eastern Illinois has just one win to its credit over its last six games and that came against Morehead State as a six-point home favorite. While it's true its last two games (both losses) could have gone either way, there's really no excuse for dropping those two winnable games against SIU-Edwardsville and Tennessee-Martin. After taking the last meeting in this series by just three points at home back in January, the Racers will have their guard up in this one. Take Murray State (9*). |
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02-20-20 | Heat v. Hawks +6 | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Miami at 7:35 pm et on Thursday. The Heat took the spotlight on All-Star Saturday night last weekend with Bam Adebayo winning the Skills Challenge and Dennis Smith Jr. winning the Slam Dunk Contest. It's back to business for the Heat on Thursday as they head to Atlanta to face the lowly Hawks. I like the way this spot sets up for Atlanta, noting that it has gone 32-19 ATS after losing three of its last four games over the last two seasons. The Hawks also fall into a strong revenge angle in which teams that are revenging a road loss by 10 points or more, and coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more (Atlanta lost its last game by 22 points as a three-point favorite against Cleveland) have gone an incredible 36-10 ATS the last 46 times that situation has come up. The Heat have been sleepwalking lately, going 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games and I look for the Hawks to take advantage of that lull here. Take Atlanta (10*). |
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02-20-20 | Connecticut v. Temple | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My selection is on Temple over Connecticut at 7 pm et on Thursday. I like the way this spot sets up for Temple. Connecticut enters this game off a big win over Memphis last time out. Prior to that, the Huskies faced Cincinnati and SMU so it's obviously been a tough stretch and they managed to go 2-1. A letdown could certainly be in order on Thursday as they head on the road to face Temple. The Owls suffered a disappointing 20-point loss against Villanova on Sunday, bringing an end to a two-game winning streak. I like their chances of rebounding against a UConn squad that has gone 0-7 ATS after winning four or five of its last six games over the last three seasons. Temple has gone 64-43 ATS the last 107 times at home revenging a loss, as is the case here after it suffered a 15-point defeat against the Huskies earlier this season. Take Temple (9*). |
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02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
My selection is on Rutgers minus the points over Michigan at 7 pm et on Wednesday. I like the way this spot sets up not just as a play on Rutgers but as a fade of Michigan. The Wolverines ride a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into this one. Keep in mind, two of those wins came at home and the other came at a weak 6-19 Northwestern squad that sits 14th in the Big East. The Scarlet Knights will certainly be up for this matchup after suffering a 69-63 loss on the road against Michigan back on February 1st. The Knights have yet to post consecutive wins here in February, but their schedule has been tough with three of five games coming on the road. They remain undefeated at home this season and I expect them to keep that flawless record intact tonight. Take Rutgers (10*). |
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02-18-20 | Vanderbilt +13 v. Tennessee | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My selection is on Vanderbilt plus the points over Tennessee at 6:30 pm et on Tuesday. I'll grab all the points I can get with Vandy in this matchup. The Vols crushed the Commodores by 21 points on the road back in January but I do expect to see Vandy hang a little tougher this time around. The Commodores have lost three games in a row since their stunning upset at home against LSU. Note that those three games came at Mississippi State, home against Kentucky and at Florida. Vandy's prospects of ending that losing streak here aren't great, but I certainly expect it to get up for this rivalry matchup. The Vols have been more down than up lately, dropping five of their last seven games overall including a disheartening two-point loss at South Carolina on Saturday. Take Vanderbilt (10*). |
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02-17-20 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Kansas | 71-91 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My selection is on Iowa State plus the points over Kansas at 9 pm et on Monday. Kansas had no trouble disposing of Iowa State in their most recent meeting in January, rolling to a 26-point victory. I look for the Cyclones to provide a little more resistance this time around, however. Note that Iowa State is an impressive 49-29 ATS the last 78 times revenging a loss where it scored less than 60 points, as is the case here. The Cyclones are a perfect 7-0 ATS revenging a home blowout loss by 20 points or more. Kansas enters this game on a three-game ATS winning streak. The last time it won three in a row ATS it followed that up with a narrow six-point win as a 13-point favorite against Tennessee on January 25th. Given the Cyclones history against the Jayhawks (14-7 ATS last 21 meetings), I believe this line will prove too steep. Take Iowa State (10*). |
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02-16-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -3 | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
My selection is on Indiana State minus the points over Missouri State at 4 pm et on Sunday. I'll back the Sycamores on Sunday afternoon as they host a Missouri State squad that finds itself in a major letdown spot. The Bears have just two wins over their last six games and both came at home, with the most recent coming by 35 points against Drake. Note that they're a miserable 2-8 on the road this season. Indiana State will be in a foul mood here after suffering back-to-back losses on the road. Here at home, the Sycamores have gone a perfect 10-0 and I fully expect them to keep that flawless record intact. Note that Indiana State took the most recent meeting between these two teams by 10 points earlier this month. Take Indiana State (10*). |
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