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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-15 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 199.5 | 69-119 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on MEM@GS to go OVER the total. The Grizzlies are coming off back to back wins that featured some uncharacteristically high point totals. They shot 50% from the field and 44% from beyond the arc in a 112-103 win over the Pacers in Indiana, and then they made a whopping nine three-pointers in a 101-91 win over the Brooklyn Nets. While those are impressive numbers for the Grizzlies, it's a far cry from what Steph Curry and the Warriors have been doing offensively. Jesse Schule |
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11-02-15 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 196.5 | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@BKN to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-01-15 | Mavs v. Lakers UNDER 214 | Top | 103-93 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DAL@LAL to go UNDER the total. |
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11-01-15 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 200 | Top | 95-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@BOS to go OVER the total. Take OVER. Jesse Schule |
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10-31-15 | Nets v. Grizzlies OVER 190 | Top | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@MEM to go OVER the total. The Memphis Grizzlies bounced back from an Opening Night loss to Cleveland by beating the Pacers in Indiana by a score of 112-103. The Grizzlies shot 50% from the field in the win over the Pacers, and 43.8% from three-point range. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and Brooklyn is coming off back to back losses to San Antonio and Chicago. The Nets gave up 100+ points in both of those games, and they have gone over in five straight when playing on 0 days rest. I think the number looks a little low here so early in the season, especially given that neither team has looked all that sharp defensively. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-15 | Knicks v. Wizards UNDER 205 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Washington Wizards will host the New York Knicks on Saturday night, looking to go 3-0 after picking up wins on the road at Milwaukee and Orlando. The Wizards have won seven straight against the Knicks, going 5-1-1 ATS in those games. Four of the last five meetings between the two teams have gone under the total, and Washington has failed to reach the total in seven of it's last eight when playing on 0 days rest. The Wizards were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA last year, allowing opponents to average just 97.8 points per game. The Knicks have scored 100+ points in both their first two games of the season, but they are likely to struggle on offense here in the nation's capital. They've seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-15 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 210.5 | 95-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@DEN to go UNDER the total. |
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10-30-15 | Nets v. Spurs UNDER 204 | 75-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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10-30-15 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 196.5 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@MIL to go OVER the total. |
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10-29-15 | Grizzlies v. Pacers UNDER 188 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-28-15 | Mavs v. Suns OVER 202.5 | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@PHX to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-28-15 | Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@POR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-28-15 | Cavs v. Grizzlies OVER 188.5 | Top | 106-76 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@MEM to go OVER the total. |
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10-28-15 | Knicks v. Bucks OVER 192 | Top | 122-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
his is a 10* play on NYK@MIL to go OVER the total. |
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10-28-15 | Jazz v. Pistons OVER 188 | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on DET@UTAH to go OVER the total. |
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10-28-15 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 206 | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 40 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on WAS@ORL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 214.5 | Top | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@GS to go UNDER the total. The defending champions will open the season at home against New Orleans, who they defeated in the first round of last year's playoffs. The Warriors swept that series, but failed to cover in three of the four games, and both games at Oracle Arena. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see history repeat itself here tonight, with the Warriors coming out flat after all the pre-game festivities. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings, and still we see an inflated number tonight. Jesse Schule |
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05-17-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 220 | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 36 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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05-05-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 197.5 | Top | 90-106 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@ATL to go OVER the total. |
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05-02-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 204 | 109-111 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SA@LAC to go UNDER the total. |
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04-29-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 190 | Top | 93-99 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Grizzlies fumbled in the fourth quarter in Portland in Game 4, blowing a late lead and allowing the Blazers to stay on life support in this series. They head back home to Memphis tonight though, and they've owned the Blazers at the FedEx Forum. Portland has lost eight straight visits to Memphis, and they didn't cover in any of those games. The Grizzlies defense has smothered the Blazers, holding them to an average of just 84 points in Games 1 & 2. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in both the previous two games in Memphis, despite the fact that the Grizzlies have seen the total go under in 24 of their last 27 home games. History tells us to expect a low scoring affair in Game 5, and I think the Grizzlies will close out the Blazers with their defense. Jesse Schule |
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04-28-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 205 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-25-15 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 189 | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MEM@POR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-22-15 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 207.5 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@LAC to go UNDER the total. |
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04-22-15 | Portland Trailblazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189.5 | Top | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 43 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@MEM to go UNDER the total. |
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04-20-15 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 188 | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL@CHI to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-19-15 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189 | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on POR@MEM to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards UNDER 193 | 103-101 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on IND@WAS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-21-15 | Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 192.5 | 123-111 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-16-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 197 | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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03-14-15 | Boston Celtics v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 193 | 93-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BOS@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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03-07-15 | Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks UNDER 189.5 | 92-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on IND@NYK to go UNDER the total. The Pacers will play their second game in as many nights in New York against the Knicks. These are two teams heading in very different directions, as Indiana looks to get back to the playoffs a year after finishing first in the Eastern Conference, while the Knicks are focused on rebuilding. This is a big game for the Pacers, who currently occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, but are tied with ninth place Miami on points. Indiana has been on a tear lately, winning seven of it’s last eight overall. The defense has been stellar during that run, holding opponents to an average of just 89 points during that span. One of those victories came against New York, holding the Knicks to just 82 points on 39.5% shooting. New York has lost 10 of it’s last 12 overall, and hasn’t scored 100 points in any of those 10 losses. The two wins during that span both came on the road. Indiana has a history of stifling the Knicks, winning and covering in five of the last six head to head meetings. New York scored an average of just 89.6 points in those games. Given that this is a must win for the visitors, while the home team is just going through the motions, we should see Indiana dominated defensively. The Pacers have played six straight unders, while the Knicks have seen the total go under in four of their last five. Recent meetings between these two teams have been low scoring, going under in three straight and seven of the last 10. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls OVER 201.5 | Top | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@CHI to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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12-27-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 193 | Top | 110-85 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on IND@BKN to go UNDER the total. The Pacers lost at Detroit on Boxing Day, and it was a rather high scoring affair with the Pistons winning 119-109. Indiana isn't the powerhouse it has been in previous seasons, but the Pacers are still the stingiest team in the league, with an opponent's scoring average of 96.9 points per game. Jesse Schule |
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12-17-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 117-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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12-01-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz UNDER 209 | Top | 103-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. Only one of Denver's last six visits to Utah has failed to reach the total, but tonight's number is far higher than it was in any of those six games.
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11-28-14 | Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 191.5 | Top | 83-98 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-24-14 | Orlando Magic v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 200.5 | Top | 74-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@CLE to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-23-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 198 | Top | 91-107 | Push | 0 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@MEM to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-22-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 197 | Top | 106-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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11-14-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 195 | Top | 108-87 | Push | 0 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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11-14-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Orlando Magic OVER 195 | Top | 85-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MIL@ORL to go OVER the total. Six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the number, and tonight's total is lower than it was in any of those contests. The Bucks have played seven straight overs on the road versus teams with a losing record. Jesse Schule |
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11-12-14 | Orlando Magic v. New York Knicks UNDER 190.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@NYK to go UNDER the total. The Magic have failed to cover while losing four straight trips to New York, and they are just 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Knicks overall. Playing the back end of a back to back off such a tough loss looks like a spot where the visitors might lay down. Orlando has seen the total go under in 10 of it's last 11 road games versus a team with a losing record, and these two teams should struggle to put up enough points to go over a relatively high number tonight. Jesse Schule |
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11-11-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 197.5 | Top | 102-107 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-07-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Charlotte Hornets UNDER 191 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CHA to go UNDER the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 188.5 | Top | 118-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@PHI to go UNDER the total. |
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11-04-14 | Charlotte Hornets v. New Orleans Pelicans UNDER 189.5 | Top | 91-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHA@NO to go UNDER the total. The New Orleans Pelicans will be playing their third game in four nights, and second in as many nights when they host Charlotte tonight. Both teams rank among the league's best in opponent's scoring average, and I think we should see a tight defense game here. Jesse Schule |
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10-31-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@IND to go UNDER the total.  The Grizzlies will come in with a mindset of improving their defense after allowing over 100 points in their opener. Tony Allen expressed his concerns in a post-game interview: "We have a lot of improving to do -- obviously executing on the defensive end," Allen said. "I felt there were a lot of times we could have closed them out and increased the lead. I thought we let our guard down."First game is out of the way, now we can look at film and see ways we can improve." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-15-14 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 195 | Top | 87-104 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Royals. Jesse Schule |
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06-12-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 197 | Top | 107-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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06-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 198.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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06-05-14 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 95-110 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-31-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 206 | Top | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go OVER the total. |
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05-30-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 182.5 | Top | 92-117 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@MIA to go OVER the total. GL, |
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05-27-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 207.5 | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 208 | Top | 97-106 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-24-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 182 | Top | 87-99 | Win | 100 | 47 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@MIA to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-21-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 212 | Top | 77-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
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05-20-14 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 184 | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
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05-15-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards OVER 180 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@WAS to go OVER the total. Here is what I said prior to Game 5: |
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05-13-14 | WASHINGTON GM5 v. INDIANA GM5 OVER 180.5 | Top | 102-79 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
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05-11-14 | INDIANA GM4 v. WASHINGTON GM4 OVER 180 | Top | 95-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@WAS to go OVER the total. GL, |
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05-10-14 | MIAMI GM3 v. BROOKLYN GM3 UNDER 189 | Top | 90-104 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
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05-09-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards UNDER 184 | Top | 85-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
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05-07-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185 | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
With their backs against the wall, I'm sure they will come up big defensively, but the offense might be a tougher fix. Paul George was just 4-of-17 shooting in Game 1, and Roy Hibbert was 0-for-2 with no points and no rebounds. I bet the over in Game 1, and was fortunate to get a late burst of points at the end, pushing the total over the very low number. Tonight's total is a little higher, and I think we might not see points come quite as easy in this game, especially in the first half. Jesse Schule |
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05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat OVER 191 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@MIA to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-05-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers OVER 183 | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@IND to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-03-14 | MEMPHIS GM7 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM7 OVER 184.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
10* |
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03-22-14 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 196 | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@CHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers are desperately trying to avoid setting a new record for futility, as they have now lost 23 straight. They've been fighting hard in recent games though, and playing much better defense. They came up just short against the Knicks last night, losing by a single point (93-92). Prior to that they lost 102-94 to the Bulls, who they will meet tonight in Chicago. With both teams playing in a back to back situation, I'm expecting the offense to suffer. Scoring in Chicago is tough at the best of times, as the Bulls allow an average of just over 92 points per game. The good news for Philly is, the Bulls also rank last in the NBA in scoring, averaging just over 93 points per game. We've seen these teams play low scoring games in previous meetings, with the under cashing in a winning ticket in seven of the last 10. The total for tonight's game is awful high when you take all this into consideration. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule
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02-26-14 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 223 | Top | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@LAC to go UNDER the total.
Two of the highest scoring teams face off tonight in L.A., and we saw the total open at 220. Money has poured in on the over, despite the astronomical number, driving it up even higher. Houston is playing it's second game in as many night's, and I am not sure we can count on the Rockets to score 110+ points against a Clippers team that defends well, and has one of the better home records in the NBA. I'm taking the UNDER due to the high number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Pelicans OVER 206 | Top | 123-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@NO to go OVER the total.
The Clippers are coming off a win over the Thunder in a shootout in OKC on Sunday. They won by a score of 125-117, and they have now seen seven of their last eight games go over the total. They play their second game in as many nights in New Orleans tonight, and they'll face a Pelicans team that has lost five of it's last six. New Orleans has been hit hard by the injury bug, without three top players in Jrue Holliday, Josh Smith and Ryan Anderson. Previous meetings have tended to be high scoring games, with 11 of the last 14 meetings in New Orleans going over the total. The Clippers have also won six of the last seven outright, and they are just a small favorite as the road team here tonight. I expect L.A. to continue scoring buckets at a frantic pace, winning in another high scoring affair. Take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 192.5 | Top | 89-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10*
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02-12-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 200 | Top | 83-104 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors are coming off a home win over the Pelicans, and bettors had to settle for a push in that game. They would win 108-101 as a seven point favorite, and tonight they are favored by a similar margin. They welcome the Atlanta Hawks to town, and Toronto may be catching the Hawks at a good time. Atlanta has lost four straight, and they have managed to score an average of just 86.5 points during that span. Fatigue could also be a factor, as the Hawks played last night in Chicago, losing to the Bulls by a score of 100-85. The Raptors are 10-3 over their last 13 home games, and they rank in the top 5 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing an average of just 97.1 points per game. Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record, and Atlanta is a team that really struggles on the road. Playing the final game before the All Star break is also a spot where the road team might not be motivated to give 100%. The total for tonight's game is higher than it has been in each of the last seven meetings between these two teams, and the way the Hawks have played recently, I don't expect them to score enough points to reach such a high number. Take the Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 199 | Top | 80-119 | Push | 0 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Pacers lost on the road in Orlando last night by a score of 93-92, but they are back home tonight to take on Denver. The Nuggets are coming off back to back losses on the road in New York and Detroit. It won't get any easier for Denver tonight, as they will be without starting PG Ty Lawson, who is sidelined with a rib injury. Their injury woes don't end there, as Andre Miller, Nate Robinson, Danilo Gallinari and JaVale McGee are already on the IR. Denver seems destined to struggle offensively, playing the league's top defense on the road with such a depleted lineup. The opening total for this game is a little higher than we would normally see for a Pacers game, and that's likely because the Nuggets have trended toward high scoring games. The Pacers have seen the total go under at a rate of 6-1-1 in their last eight versus teams with a losing record. We should see the Pacers grind out another win here at home in a low scoring game. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic OVER 188.5 | Top | 92-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
10*
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01-31-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 198 | Top | 120-95 | Win | 102 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@BKN to go OVER the total.
The Thunder have won nine straight, including a win over the Heat in Miami on Wednesday. Kevin Durant's 30+ points streak now sits at 12 games, and he's hoping 13 will be his lucky number tonight in Brooklyn. Oklahoma City has averaged 109 points per game during their recent winning streak, covering the spread in eight of those nine contests. The Nets saw a five game winning streak come to an end when they lost at home to Toronto on Monday by a score of 104-103. They should have their hands full with Durant and the Thunder tonight, as according to Lebron James: "Individually, he can't be stopped by any one-on-one player," James said. "There's nobody that can guard him one-on-one." That appeared to be the case in Miami when the Thunder handed James and the defending champs a decisive 112-95 defeat Wednesday night. The way Durant is playing, I think you'd have to really think twice about betting against him any way, shape or form. I think KD will get his share of points, and this game will be a high scoring affair. Take the Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 194 | Top | 92-116 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SAC@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Sacramento Kings are coming off a victory at home over the Cavs, in the most one-sided game in the NBA so far this season. The Kings won by a 44 point margin (124-80). The Kings have to feeling good about themselves after winning three in a row, but they are in a tough spot tonight. The Pacers are the best home team in the NBA, with a record of 18-1 in Indiana. The Kings are just 4-9 on the road, and while they have played better lately, this appears to be a let down spot after such a lopsided victory in their last game. The Pacers lead the league in opponent scoring average, allowing an average of just 87.9 point per game. Nine of their last 10 games has gone under, and the total in tonight's game is higher than it was in most of those previous games. Don't be surprised to see another dominant home win for the Pacers, as the Kings are likely to come out flat. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 186.5 | Top | 66-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Wizards have been terrible at the Verizon Center lately, but for some reason they have been unstoppable on the road. Washington has won seven of it's last eight away games, but they are up against the Pacers tonight, who own the league's best home record. Indiana is getting it done with the NBA's best defense, with an opponent scoring average of just 88.6 points per game. They don't need to score a lot when they keep the opposition below 90 points, and that's a good thing, because the Pacers offense ranks among the league's worst, averaging well below 100 points per game. The offense suffered in Atlanta with Lance Stephenson sitting out with a sore knee, and the Pacers assists leader is not expected to return tonight. The Pacers have won seven of the last eight meetings with Washington, but the Wizards have covered the points five times during that span. Five of those eight games also landed below the number, which was lower than tonight's total in each of the last three meetings in Indianapolis. I expect to see the Pacers add to their home wins total, but I think it's asking a little much to for these teams to reach the listed total. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-14 | Detroit Pistons v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 198 | Top | 91-112 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes.
It was almost exactly a year ago that I published a piece discussing the incredible ATS trends of the Pac-12's Utah Utes. A year later and nothing has changed, Utah is still cashing tickets at an amazing clip. The Utes are 7-1-1 ATS this year, and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 road games. Despite the fact that they mopped the floor with Oregon State, and came very close to upsetting the Oregon Ducks, they are actually an underdog here in Washington tonight. The Huskies are a scrappy team, and I like backing them in the role of an underdog. I did just that when they played Arizona on Saturday, and they held their own, losing 71-62 to the # ranked Wildcats, easily covering a 20-point spread. The Utes came very close to upsetting the Wildcats in Arizona last year, but a controversial call took the potential game-winning shot off the board, and Arizona went on to win in OT. The didn't have much trouble with the Huskies in Washington though, cruising to a 74-65 win as an 11 point dog. The Utes are 12-2, and their two losses have both come by just two points. The Huskies are just 2-2 at home, and they have covered the points once in their last eight home games. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5 | Top | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total.
This is a revenge match for the Pacers, after losing to the Toronto last week in Canada. The Raptors held the Pacers to just 82 points in that game, and I cashed in a winner on the under there. This figures to be another low scoring affair, as Toronto's defense has been stellar of late. They have only allowed over 100 points once in their last eight games, the exception was a 102-97 loss to the defending champions in Miami on Sunday. The Raptors rank 7th in the NBA in opponent scoring average, allowing just 97.5 points per game so far. The Pacers though are the league's best defensive team, and that's especially true in Indiana. The Pacers have held opponents to fewer than 100 points in nine straight games, seven of those games went under. Toronto has also been a good bet to go under lately, failing to reach the total in four straight. These teams have seen the total go under in five of their last six meetings. Such trends can't always be trusted of course, but what raises an eyebrow here is that the books seemingly have failed to adjust, as the total here tonight, is actually higher than the average number over the past 10 meetings. Chances are, two of the best defensive teams in the NBA are going to struggle to reach such a number. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 190 | Top | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Hawks are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Golden State, losing on the final shot of the game by a score of 101-100 on their home floor. Now they turn around and play a back to back on the road in Chicago. Don't expect to see a lot of offense in this game, as the Bulls are still one of the best defensive teams in the league, especially at home. Chicago has seen seven of it's last 10 game overall go under the total, and five straight against teams with a winning record. Eight of the last nine head to head meetings between these teams has seen the total go under, yet we see a total that seems fairly high for this game. With the Hawks in a let down spot, playing on consecutive nights, I don't expect them to be firing on all cylinders offensively against this elite Chicago defense. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Washington Wizards UNDER 195 | Top | 101-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@WASH to go UNDER the total.
I took the under in the Raptors last game, an upset win over the Indiana Pacers. Toronto won that game by a score of 95-82. The victory was their fourth in a row, and they have allowed an average of just 86 points in those games. The Wizards have also trended toward low scoring games recently, averaging 92 points while losing four of five home games. Toronto is also among the NBA's best defensive teams, allowing opponents fewer than 100 points per game, ranking 9th in the NBA in opponent scoring average. Five of the last six meetings between these two teams have gone under, and the total in tonight's game is at least as high as it was in any of those previous meetings. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 193 | Top | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total.
The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA, holding opponents to an average of just 89 points per game. That likely comes as no surprise, but you might be surprised to learn that Toronto is also among the NBA's best defensive teams, allowing opponents fewer than 100 points per game. Indiana won at home last night by a score of 91-76 over the Cavaliers, and they be playing on the back end of a back to back tonight in Toronto. These teams have played low scoring games in recent meetings, with the total going under in seven of the last 10. Strangely, you have a total for tonight's game that is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Raptors won last night in Chicago by a score of 85-79. So we have a pair of teams playing on back to back nights, both ranking in the top 10 in opponent scoring average. Both teams held the opposition under 80 points last night. Fatigue could be a factor, especially with the potential for a New Years Day hangover. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 187.5 | Top | 95-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BKN to go UNDER the total.
After losing Derek Rose, the Bulls have also been hit with injuries to Luol Deng, Kirk Hinrich and Jimmy Butler. It's not surprising that Chicago has struggled this season, and they have really found life difficult on the road, with a record of 3-11. The injuries have certainly hurt Chicago's offense, as they've failed to score 100 points in 12 straight road games. The Bulls though are still every bit as tough defensively, ranking second in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 93.3 points per game. Chicago will be on the road in Brooklyn this Christmas, taking on a Nets team that is even worse off. Brook Lopez was the team's leading scorer, but he's now done for the rest of the year with a broken foot. Chicago has trended toward low scoring games at the best of times, even with it's stars in the lineup. The Bulls have seen the total go under in six of their last seven road games versus sub .500 teams. I expect that trend to continue here on X-Mas Day. Take the Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-13 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 211.5 | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@POR to go OVER the total. The Blazers are half a game up on the San Antonio Spurs for the top spot in the Western Conference, and tonight they host Houston, who is three games back. The Rockets haven't played since Sunday, when they defeated the Magic at home by a score of 98-88. Houston lost their last road game against the lowly Utah Jazz, and they are 5-4 overall on the road this season. The Blazers are 9-2 at home, and in the last week they have beaten the Pacers and the Thunder on their home floor. The last four times these teams face each other, the total went over the number. The Blazers have played more than twice as many overs as unders this season, and they face the highest scoring team in the NBA tonight. The Rockets lead the league in scoring, averaging over 107 points per game, but they haven't been nearly as impressive on the defensive side of the ball. Portland ranks second in the NBA in scoring, averaging over 106 points per game. They have scored 100+ in each of their last nine games overall. Take the OVER. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-11-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186.5 | Top | 81-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@CHI to go UNDER the total.
The Bulls have waited a long time for the return of Derrick Rose, but so far Rose has looked like a shadow of his former self. No doubt he will eventually get his swagger back, but as of now he's averaging just 14 points per game, on 32% shooting. The good news for Chicago is, they are still one of the best defensive teams in the league, especially at home. Chicago is allowing an average of 93 points per game this year, ranking third in the NBA. Opponents have only averaged 77 points per game in Chicago though, and the Bulls are still perfect (2-0) at home. The Cavs have lost 3-of-4 on the road, and have only scored an average of 85 points in those games. Kyrie Irving scored 39 points in an overtime victory over Philly on Saturday, but overall his numbers are way down from last year. This should be a let down spot for Cleveland, and I think they are going to struggle to get any offense going in Chicago. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-13 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 | Top | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total.
The Indiana Pacers are still undefeated at 5-0, and they will be a big favorite tonight as they host the Raptors. Strong defense is the signature of this Pacers team, and nothing has changed in that respect so far this year. The Pacers lead the league with an opponent scoring average of 84.4 points per game. Toronto though is underrated as a strong defensive club in their own right, and they rank 6th in the league, allowing an average of 95 points per game. Both teams will be playing their third game in four nights, and fatigue could be a factor. Toronto is 2-3, but all three of those losses came in games decided by single digits. In four meetings last season, three of those four games saw the total go under the number, and I am expecting to see that trend continue tonight. Take the UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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