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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-17 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total.
Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-17 | Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total. |
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03-08-17 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 211.5 | Top | 91-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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03-03-17 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 214 | Top | 135-130 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total.
It's that time of year again... the stretch run in the NBA regular season. Teams are jockeying for playoff position, and preparing for the post-season. That means more attention to detail, and a lot more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Historically we know that playoff basketball tends to be significantly lower scoring than the regular season, but I believe that trend starts right now. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in six straight, and eight of their last 10. They host the Cavs, who have gone under in four of their last five. These two teams have trended over in recent meetings (7 of the last 10), but tonight's total is far higher than it was in an of those previous games. In fact, the listed total was under 200 in six of those games, and never higher than 208. The Hawks have more to play for, at home and sitting just 2.5 games out of first in their division. Atlanta ranks in the Top 10 in the league in points allowed, and the bottom 10 in points scored. They've gone under in four of their last five home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 222 | Top | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Celtics host the Cavs Wednesday, and both teams are gearing up for a playoff run. This time of year we see teams step up the intensity on defense, especially in games like this. Boston has lost two of three games since the break, and the Celtics scored an average of less than 100 points in those games. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially at The Garden where they've failed to reach the total in the last four meetings. Cleveland won nine of 11 games in February, and they've gone over in five straight road games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all five of those games though, and it's far higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings in this series. Boston's leading scorer Isaiah Thomas is ice cold since the All Star break, shooting just 31.4 percent from the field in three games. He's not the only one struggling, Al Horford has totaled 10 points on 5-of-20 shooting the last two games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-17 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 200 | Top | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Heat have won 16 of their last 18 overall, but they face a tough test on the road in Dallas tonight. Both these teams are battling for a playoff spot, and Dallas has won three of their last four home games. The Mavs rank 4th overall in the NBA allowing just 100 points per game, and they rank 30th in scoring, averaging just 97.8 points per game. Dallas is coming off a 96-83 home win over New Orleans, and they held DeMarcus Cousins to just 12 points in that game. History favors the Heat, who have won four of the last five in this series. All five of those games saw fewer than 200 points scored, and I expect another defensive battle tonight. The under is 7-1-1 in the Mavs last nine games against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has gone under in five of it's last seven against Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-17 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 213 | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total.
The Atlanta Hawks have come out of the All Star break in a slump. They lost their last game 108-86 at Orlando, and they've scored an average of 86.6 points per game while losing three straight. It won't get any easier tonight, playing on the road at Boston. The Celtics are 20-8 at home, and the have covered the spread in three straight home meetings with Atlanta. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in four straight meetings. The Celtics have gone under in nine of their last 10 home games when returning from a road trip. The total for tonight's game is higher that it was in each of the last 10 meetings. This time of year, when you have two teams jockeying for playoff position, you expect more emphasis on defense. The Hawks have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and I expect another low scoring game here at the Garden. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-17 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 215.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
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02-15-17 | Hawks v. Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 84-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@LAC to go UNDER the total.
The Clippers appear to have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game versus Atlanta as winners of three straight on the road. They put on a defensive clinic in an 88-72 win at Utah on Monday. Blake Griffin scored 26 points, pulled in 10 rebounds and dished out six assists, and the Clippers held the Jazz to just 32.2 percent shooting. Both the Clippers and the Hawks rank in the top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring, and both teams are coming off impressive defensive performances. Atlanta allowed Portland to score just 97 points in regulation in an overtime win at the Moda Center Monday. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five meetings at Staples Center, and the under is 16-7-1 in Hawks last 24 versus Western Conference teams. This looks like a let down spot for the visitors, and I expect the Clippers to grind out a win at home against Hawks team that is 1-5 ATS in it's last six versus the Pacific Division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | Top | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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02-12-17 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 210 | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NO@SAC to go OVER the total. |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers OVER 214 | 98-115 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHA@POR to go OVER the total.
The Hornets are reeling, coming into Portland off four straight losses. Starting center Cody Zeller has missed all four of those games due to injury, and Charlotte has lost nine of 10 games without Zeller this season. They've struggled on defense in his absence, allowing over 110 points per game during their current losing skid. The Blazers have been a major disappointment this season, but they've won three of their last four, scoring an average of over 113 points in those games. The one loss came by just two points to defending Western Conference champs Golden State. Portland has won five straight home meetings with the Hornets, scoring an average of 115 points in those games. The over is 6-1 in the Blazers last seven versus teams with a losing record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-17 | Kings v. Rockets OVER 224.5 | 83-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@HOU to go OVER the total.
The Kings came up just short in a 122-119 loss at Philly last night, but DeMarcus Cousins continued his extraordinary play, scoring a whopping 45 points and pulling in 15 rebounds. Cousins scored 35 points in Saturday's win at Charlotte, and that was the second game of a back to back for the Kings. Sacramento has scored an average of 112 points per game over their last five (all on the road). It's going to take plenty of points to keep up with the Rockets in Houston tonight. The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA averaging over 114 points per game. Houston defeated Sacramento 132-98 at home back in December, and six of the last eight meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Neither of these two teams are too keen on playing defense, and they should both be content to play a fast pace high scoring game in Houston tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-17 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 205 | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
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01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets OVER 209 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
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01-26-17 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 202 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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01-25-17 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 204.5 | Top | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@DAL to go UNDER the total.
The Mavericks are coming off a blowout win over the Lakers, and they've held opponents to fewer than 100 points in four of their last five overall. Dallas only averages 96.6 points per game on offense (30th), but they have been one of the better defensive teams in league, allowing just 100 points per game (4th). They host the New York Knicks tonight, and the Knicks are struggling. New York beat the Mavs at home by a score of 93-77 at home in November, but had lost five straight in this series before that. Three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. Dallas has gone under in four of it's last five home games, and I expect another low scoring game in Texas tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 201 | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MEM to go UNDER the total.
The Raptors came up just short in a 108-106 home loss to San Antonio last night, and they have their work cut out for them on the road at Memphis in the second game of a back to back. The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four, but they will like their chances of getting back on track against a short-handed and tired opponent. Toronto's leading scorer DeMar Derozan didn't play last night, and isn't expected to play in Memphis. The Grizzlies are a tough team to score on at the best of times, ranking third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing fewer than 100 points per game. Toronto won the last meeting between these two teams in a shootout in Toronto, but they had gone under in five straight meetings prior to that. They've failed to reach the total in 13 of their last 17 trips to Memphis. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-16 | Grizzlies v. Celtics OVER 198.5 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@BOS to go OVER the total.
The Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 2nd in points allowed. Opponents are averaging just 97.7 points per game this season, but Memphis has lost four of it's last six, surrendering well over 100 points in each of it's last two losses. One of those games was a 112-109 home loss to the Celtics just seven days ago. They come into Boston tonight off a 112-102 loss at Orlando last night. Playing their second game of a back to back, the Grizzlies defense might not be at it's best. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in five of the last six meetings. Going back even further, the over is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and eight of the last 11 at Boston have gone over the total. The Celtics are hot, winning five of their last six, scoring an average of 108.9 points in those games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-16 | Lakers v. Hornets UNDER 213 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers.
The Lakers are struggling after starting the season 10-10. They've lost nine of their last 10 overall, and PG DeAngelo Russell is still dealing with a knee injury that will keep him off the floor in Charlotte. The Hornets return home from a five game road trip, and they've won three of their last four at home. They held opponents under 100 points in all three of those wins, and they've held the opposition to an average of just 99 points in their last seven overall. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Hornets have gone under in five of their last seven overall, and 19 of their last 28 when playing on two days rest. The under is 6-2-1 in the Lakers last nine road games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-16 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYK@MIA to go UNDER the total. The New York Knicks are just 2-6 on the road this season, and they have failed to cover in nine of the last 10 in this series with the Heat. New York's 15th ranked offense is averaging 5.5 points fewer on the road than it does at home. The Heat are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 28th overall, averaging just 97.1 points per game. Miami's defense though is ranked 6th in the NBA, holding the opposition to an average of 98.8 points per game. The Heat are coming off a 99-92 loss at Portland, failing to reach the total for the fifth time in their last 10 games. These two teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings, and tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. Putting it in perspective, neither team has scored 100 points in the last four meetings, and the Knicks haven't reached the century mark in any of the previous 10 meetings. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Heat v. Blazers OVER 214 | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@POR to go OVER the total. Portland is one of the highest scoring teams in the NBA, averaging over 110 points per game. They've scored an average of more than 121 points while winning two of three during this current home stand. They give up an awful lot of points as well, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing opponents to average more than 113 points. The Miami Heat are not known for their offense, but they come into Portland off back to back road wins at Denver and Utah. The Heat shot 51.2 percent in a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday. These two teams have gone over the total in nine of the last 13 meetings, and the over is 12-1 in Portland's last 13 home games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-16 | Lakers v. Grizzlies UNDER 200.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@MEM to go UNDER the total. |
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11-30-16 | Hawks v. Suns UNDER 209.5 | Top | 107-109 | Loss | -119 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 210 | Top | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@CHI to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-30-16 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 195 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
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11-30-16 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 197.5 | Top | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@BOS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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11-28-16 | Jazz v. Wolves UNDER 196 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
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06-10-16 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 206 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go OVER the total. After both the first two games of this series failed to reach the total, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 3 in Cleveland. The pace of play in the first two games should have resulted in a higher score, but Cleveland just kept on missing shots. The Cavs shot 52.7 percent from the field in Game 3, and they were 12-of-25 from three point range. Still the total for Game 4 remains much lower than it was in the first two games, and I think after three straight lob-sided games, we might finally see a competitive contest here in Game 4. Surely the Splash Sisters have to be better, and they have plenty to prove after going a combined 4-of-16 from beyond the arc in Game 3. The over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-05-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | Top | 77-110 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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06-02-16 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 210 | Top | 89-104 | Loss | -103 | 57 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go OVER the total. |
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05-30-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 88-96 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-28-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 221 | Top | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total. Â Jesse Schule |
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05-27-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 113-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@TOR to go OVER the total. After three of the last four games in this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 6 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the three games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 6. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to close out the series, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 road games, and 12-6 in their last 18 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 221 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-25-16 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 198.5 | Top | 78-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this was an over-correction, and this of all games looked like one that should see more scoring. Sure enough Game 4 went over (105-99). None of the first two games in Clevleand were close, but I expect a better effort from a confident Raptors team here in Game 5. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a pair of losses, but I think the better bet is on the total. The trends show that the over is 8-3 in Cavaliers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 12-5 in their last 17 Conference Finals games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-23-16 | Cavs v. Raptors OVER 196.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go OVER the total. After the first three games of this series went under, the bookmakers have adjusted with a much lower total for Game 4 in Toronto. I think this is an over-correction, and this of all games looks like one that should see more scoring. None of the first three games were close, but I expect the Cavs to respond after an embarrassing loss in Game 3. The Raptors should continue to play well, behind the solid play of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, and the dominance on the boards by "Big Business" (Bizmack Biyombo). Many betters will be taking the Cavs to bounce back after a double-digit loss (the Zig Zag Theory), but I think the better bet is on the Cavs to simply be more competitive, thus pushing the total over. The trends show that the over is 9-3-1 in Cavaliers last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-16 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-133 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@OKC to go UNDER the total 1st half. Do you remember when the Thunder upset the Warriors in Game 1? Perhaps the Warriors convincing 118-91 win in Game 2 has made us forget about how well the Thunder have played. Oklahoma City returns home with the series tied 1-1, and they are an underdog in Game 3. We've seen the Warriors deal with their fair share of adversity in this post-season, and they've made a habit of playing poorly in the first half on the road. They trailed at the half in both of their games in Portland, and they failed to get to the locker room with a lead at the half in both road games in their first round series versus Houston . Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. The Warriors got off to a great start in Game 1, but they struggled in the second half allowing Oklahoma City to come from behind to record the upset. Stephen Curry still isn't 100%, and he was just 1-of-1 from the field in the fourth quarter. The Warriors have a habit of slow starts to games, and I really think these teams will struggle to reach this enormous number in the first half of Game 2.
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05-17-16 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 84-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 223.5 | Top | 108-102 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@GS to go UNDER the total. |
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05-13-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total.  |
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05-11-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 188.5 | Top | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Raptors blew a late lead in Game 4 in Miami, and they return home deadlocked at 2-2 in their series versus the Heat. Coming off such a tough loss, I expect Toronto to come out strong with a big first half in Game 5. Both teams have lost their starting center, but Toronto is in far better shape with Bizmack Biyombo scoring 13 points and pulling in 13 rebounds in 31 minutes in Game 4. The Raptors are also getting big minutes off the bench from Cory Joseph and Terrence Ross, who combined to score 28 points in the loss at Miami. With DeMar DeRozan battling a thumb injury, the pressure is on Kyle Lowry to carry the load. He scored 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting in Game 3, but he fouled out with just 10 points in Game 4. Expect a bounce back performance from the Raptors PG at home tonight. Four of five games in this series have gone to overtime, and still the total has gone under in each of the last three games. The Heat have gone under in eight of their last nine overall, and Toronto has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 12. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-16 | Raptors v. Heat UNDER 190 | Top | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-06-16 | Cavs v. Hawks UNDER 200 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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05-03-16 | Heat v. Raptors UNDER 191 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@TOR to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-02-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 98-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. "The Oklahoma City Thunder had little trouble getting past the Mavs in the first round, winning the series in five games. The final three games in that series all went over, and the Thunder averaged 122 points in those games. They can't expect to enjoy that same success in San Antonio, where they lost both meetings during the regular season. Three of the four games in the season series went under, and the Spurs won 102-98 in overtime in the last meeting. San Antonio is by far the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just 92.9 points per game. They only allowed the Grizzlies to average 71 points in their two home games in the first round. The Thunder played well defensively in the first round, holding the Mavs to 93.8 points per game." |
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05-02-16 | Hawks v. Cavs UNDER 200.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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05-01-16 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 189.5 | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. This series has seen more than it's fair share of low scoring games, with five of the six games going under the total. We saw just 184 points scored in Game 6, and I really don't think we can expect more than that tonight in Game 7. Toronto did a decent job defending Paul George, holding him to 21 points on 5-of-14 shooting in Game 6. Indiana scored just nine points in the fourth quarter in Toronto in Game 5, but the total did go over for the first time in the series. Despite a heavy trend of low scoring games in these playoffs, and five of six games going under in this series, we still saw a higher total in Game 6 than we saw in Game 5. DeMar DeRozan is averaging just 15.8 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting in this series, while Kyle Lowry has shot just 27 percent from the field in three home games against the Pacers. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-30-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 201.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -107 | 67 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-29-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 195 | Top | 83-101 | Win | 100 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-27-16 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 196.5 | Top | 108-98 | Win | 102 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@LAC to go OVER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-26-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 199 | Top | 83-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-24-16 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 217 | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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04-23-16 | Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 194.5 | Top | 83-100 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@IND to go UNDER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 181.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@MEM to go OVER the total. |
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04-22-16 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 200.5 | Top | 103-111 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-22-16 | Cavs v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 | Top | 101-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@DET to go UNDER the total. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Pistons made 15 three-pointers in Game 1, shooting a staggering 51.7 percent from beyond the arc. They shot better than 50% from the field, hanging around in a close game decided by just five points. I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here in Game 2, or for the rest of the series for that matter. The Cavs were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season, holding opponents to well below 100 points per game. The trend so far in these playoffs has been that points have been hard to come by. The under is 9-4 through the first 13 post-season games, and only one of five Game 2s has gone over. In fact, we've seen fewer points scored in Game 2 than in Game 1 in all five series that have played twice so far. The Pistons led by seven points early in the fourth quarter of Game 1, and that should be enough to convince the Cavs that they need to be a lot better defensively here in Game 2. The Pistons still think they can win this series: "We don't care who you put in front of us," Reggie Jackson said. "We fear nobody and experience is going to be our best teacher. We're going to learn on the fly. We think we have a chance." I expect a battle here in Game 2, with both teams grinding it out for every possession." The Pistons three-point shooting cooled off significantly in Game 2, hitting just 4-of-17 from beyond the arc. They were held to just 37 points in the second half, and I expect another defensive battle in the Motor City tonight. Jesse Schule |
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04-20-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 201 | Top | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-19-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 205.5 | Top | 72-89 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-17-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 203.5 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 206.5 | Top | 88-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@BOS to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-13-16 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 201.5 | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@MIL to go UNDER the totaL. The Indiana Pacers have nothing to prove in their final game of the season, as they already know where they will play in the first round of the playoffs. We should expect the Pacers to rest their starters here in Milwaukee, but don't expect the Bucks to treat this like a meaningless game. After a frustrating season, finishing at home on a positive note would be big for the Bucks. They have a solid 23-17 home record, and should be more than capable of beating the Indiana bench players. Even at full strength, the Pacers aren't a great road team with a record of 18-22 outside Indiana. They've failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games, and they have gone under in six straight when playing on back to back nights. The Bucks have gone under in seven of their last nine in Milwaukee. |
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04-12-16 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 205 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-09-16 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 207 | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@ATL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. |
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04-08-16 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 194.5 | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-07-16 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 206 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOW) play on CHI@MIA to go UNDER the total. Last week's big bet in the NBA was on the under in a game between the Bulls and the Pistons, and that Bulls lost that game at home by a score of 94-90. They now sit 2.5 games back of the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and whatever slim hopes they have will end tonight if they lose in Miami. The Heat are in a battle for one of the top four spots, trailing Boston by just half a game. Miami is coming off a 107-89 home win over the Pistons, putting on another defensive clinic. The Heat rank 4th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, surrendering just 98.3 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in six of the last eight. Nine of those 10 games saw a total below 200, and tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Rockets v. Mavs UNDER 208.5 | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@DAL to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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04-06-16 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 208.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@ORL. Jesse Schule |
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04-05-16 | Pistons v. Heat UNDER 204 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@MIA to go UNDER the total. |
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04-03-16 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 209.5 | 107-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@LAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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04-03-16 | Mavs v. Wolves UNDER 207.5 | 88-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@MIN to go UNDER the total. |
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04-02-16 | Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on DET@CHI to go UNDER the total. |
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04-01-16 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 194.5 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-31-16 | Bulls v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-30-16 | Heat v. Lakers UNDER 207 | Top | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@LAL to go UNDER the total. After a string of uncharacteristically high scoring games, the Miami Heat got back to business on Friday, defeating the Orlando Magic by a score of 108-97. They followed that up with another under in a home win over Brooklyn three days later. I cashed in with the winning total in both those games, and I still think bookmakers are offering an inflated total in tonight's game at LA. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in four of the last five meetings, and nine of the last 11. Most of those games saw a total below 200, and only once did we see a number as high as we see tonight. They've failed to reach the total in four straight meetings at the Staples Center, and the Lakers failed to score 100 points in all of those games. The Heat only broke the century mark once during that span, and that was a 101-95 win on Christmas Day 2013. Miami's defense is ranked 4th in the NBA, allowing opponents to average just over 98 points per game. The Lakers offense is ranked 29th, and they scored just 70 points on 30.6 percent shooting in a home loss to the Wizards on Monday. Rumors of a divided locker room have surfaced, and a rookie PG DeAngelo Russell is at the center of the controversy. The 19 year old appears to be responsible for secretly recording a private conversation with a teammate, and the embarrassing contents of that conversation have since become public. This is a complete disaster for the Lakers, and a situation that isn't going to go away any time soon. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 214 | Top | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@CLE to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-29-16 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 202 | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on CHI@IND to go UNDER the total. The Bulls are coming off a heartbreaking 102-100 home loss to Atlanta last night, which puts them 2.5 games back of the Pistons, who currently hold the eighth and final playoff spot in the East. They have nine games left two play, but six of those will be played on the road. Tonight's game at Indiana looks like a let down spot for the banged up Bulls, and the Pacers are one of the teams they are trying to catch. The Pacers have won three straight home games, limiting opponents to an average of just 86 points in those victories. Jesse Schule |
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03-28-16 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 193 | Top | 75-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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03-28-16 | Nets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-26-16 | Hornets v. Bucks UNDER 204 | 115-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NBA play on CHA@MIL to go UNDER the total. Ladies and gentlemen.. it's DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN this March. If anyone thinks for even a second that The Iceman's recent success is the product of "luck", "chance" or "coincidence"... THINK AGAIN! - March 2013: 89-60 +$10,549 The Milwaukee Bucks will return home after three straight losses on the road, and they host the red hot Charlotte Hornets. While the Hornets came up just short in Detroit last night, they've won 17 of their last 22 overall. One reason for Charlotte's success in it's top 10 ranked defense, that allows opponents to average just 101 points per game. The Bucks don't often reach the century mark, and they come in averaging just 92.5 points per game while losing five of their last six overall. |
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03-25-16 | Magic v. Heat UNDER 211 | Top | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ORL@MIA to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-23-16 | Jazz v. Rockets OVER 199.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@HOU to go OVER the total. |
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03-23-16 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-101 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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03-22-16 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 202 | 100-107 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MEM@LAL to go UNDER the total.  Take UNDER. Jesse Schule |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 206 | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@DET to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule |
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03-20-16 | Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 | Top | 94-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@MIL to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's game versus the Bucks in Milwaukee as winners of four of their last five. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 87.6 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 96.7 points per game. They face a Milwaukee team that averages under 100 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NBA in scoring. The Bucks are much better defensively than they are on offense, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Utah's leading scorer Gordon Hayward has missed two of the last three games with plantar fasciitis. He played 37 minutes against the Bulls last night, scoring just nine points on 4-of-13 shooting. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the Bucks lost 84-81 at Salt Lake City in the most recent meeting. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-16 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 217 | Top | 79-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
his is a 10* play on GS@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are the NBA's best defensive team, holding opponents to an average of just 92.5 points per game. They are still undefeated at home, and they host the League's top team in a marquee matchup on Saturday night. This is a revenge spot for the Spurs, who lost 120-90 at Golden State earlier this year. Note that even that high scoreline wasn't enough to reach the total for tonight's game. In fact, not one of the last 10 meetings between the two teams has seen enough points to reach this inflated number The Warriors are gunning for a record, but this might be one game that they are willing to concede. If things get out of hand early, I think it would be wise for Steve Kerr to rest his starters here in the second game of a back-to-back. If the roles were reversed, you can bet that's would Greg Popovich would do. The under is s 9-3 in Spurs last 12 overall, and four of the Warriors last five visits to San Antonio have failed to reach the total. The Warriors have failed to reach the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-16 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 198 | Top | 69-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Jazz are back on track, coming into tonight's home game versus Phoenix off three consecutive wins. They've played stellar defense, allowing an average of 92 points per game during that span. The Jazz own the league's 2nd ranked defense, allowing an average of 97 points per game. The Suns aren't exactly a prolific scoring team, ranking 22nd in the NBA in scoring. Three of the last four meetings between these two teams have failed to reach the total, and the under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. The Jazz may need to be even better defensively tonight, missing their leading scorer Gordon Hayward. The under is 27-13-1 in Jazz last 41 home games versus teams with a losing road record. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schue |
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03-14-16 | Cavs v. Jazz OVER 194.5 | Top | 85-94 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@UTAH to go OVER the total. I bet on last night's Jazz game to go over in Sacramento, and here is what I had to say prior to tip off: "Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City." The Jazz return home to play their second game of a back to back against the surging Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have won six of their last seven overall, scoring an average of 114 points in those victories. They've won five of their last six versus the Jazz, and they've scored an average of 108 points in those five wins. These two teams have gone over the total in eight of the last 10 overall meetings, and eight of the last 10 at Salt Lake City. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-16 | Jazz v. Kings OVER 204.5 | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@SAC to go OVER the total. Because the Jazz are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, we often see the bookmakers adjust with a lower number, even in games against teams like Sacramento that tend to play a lot of high scoring games. I don't think they have paid enough attention to Utah's home/away splits though, as clearly their road record of 10-22 would indicate that their defense isn't that strong away from Salt Lake City. They catch the Kings in a slump, coming in as losers of eight of their last nine overall. During that span they played a tough schedule though, facing the Spurs twice, the Thunder, Grizzlies, Cavs, Clippers and Pelicans in New Orleans. Even in those losses they still averaged well over 100 points per game. Defense is the problem for Sacramento, ranking dead last in the NBA allowing opponents to average almost 110 points per game. The Jazz have lost seven of their last eight road games, and they allowed opponents to average well over 100 points in those games. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the two teams, and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Sacramento. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-16 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 207 | Top | 94-115 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total.  The Warriors are by far the highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 115 points per game. They've scored significantly more points at home, while remaining undefeated at 27-0. They scored 119 points in a win over Orlando in their last game, and have averaged 117.6 points in their last five at Oracle Arena. They host the Jazz tonight, and Utah has lost six of it's last seven on the road. The Jazz will be playing a quick turnaround in a back to back after a home loss to the Hawks last night, a tough spot to face Steph Curry and The Warriors. Curry dropped 41 points (seven three-pointers) in the win over Orlando. These two teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings, and the Jazz have gone over in nine of their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last eight when playing on one day's rest.  Take OVER.  GL,  Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Pistons v. Spurs UNDER 202 | Top | 81-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DET@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs are by far the best defensive team in the NBA, and they host a Detroit Pistons team tonight that is quite content to play a defensive style. The Pistons have held their last five opponents to an average of just 95 points. They've failed to reach the total in six of their last eight overall, and four of their last five road games. The Spurs are 28-0 at home, and they've been dominant defensively in the majority of those games. They tend to step up the defensive intensity against better teams, failing to reach the total in eight of their last 10 against teams with a winning record. They have just come back from a long road trip, and the under is 16-7-1 in their last 24 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-16 | Jazz v. Raptors OVER 193 | Top | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@JAZZ to go OVER the total. The Utah Jazz are a prime example of a Jekyll and Hyde team, playing great defense at home, but really struggling on the road. They've lost six of their last eight overall, and four straight on the road. They have not been a good bet in previous meetings with the Raptors, failing to cover in five straight versus Toronto. The Raptors scored an average of 106.4 points in those games, and they averaged 113 points in their home games during that span. The Jazz have surrendered 100 points or more in each of their last five road games. The Raptors have won 11 straight at home, covering the spread in eight of those games. Six of the last eight in this series have gone over the number. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-16 | 76ers v. Wizards UNDER 214.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@WAS to go UNDER the total. The Washington Wizards have won five of seven since the All Star break, much because of an improved defense. They've held their opponents to fewer than 100 points in each of the wins in that span, and odds are we'll see a low-scoring contest when they host the woeful Philadelphia 76ers Monday night. Philly has lost eight straight since a 103-98 win against the Nets on Feb. 6. It lost 130-116 at Orlando yesterday when it scored a season high while shooting 53.2% from the field. We're unlikely to see as many points tonight though as the the under is 4-1 in its last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and meetings with the Wizards generally have been low-scoring affairs. The Wizards defeated the 76ers 106-94 on Feb. 5 and 103-94 last Friday. Six of the last eight meetings in this series have stayed under the total with both teams playing on a back-to-back we're unlikely to see either team looking to drive up the tempo. The Wizards defeated a Cleveland team without the rested Lebron James 113-99 last night, allowing the talented Cavaliers to shoot just 40.0% from the field. The 76ers are the league's lowest-scoring team at 96.2 points per game and should pose little offensive threat. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-16 | Heat v. Knicks UNDER 198.5 | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIA@NYK to go UNDER the total. |
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02-27-16 | Nets v. Jazz UNDER 195 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BKN@UTAH to go UNDER the total. |
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02-26-16 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 214 | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Wizards have been playing a little better defensively lately, holding four of five opponents under 100 points before their loss at Chicago on Wednesday. They've had little trouble shutting down the Sixers, holding Philly to an average of just 88 points in the last five meetings in this series. The most recent meeting was a 106-94 home win just a few weeks ago. The Under is 13-5 in Wizards last 18 games playing on 1 days rest, and the total for tonight's game looks particularly high when you consider how poor the Sixers are offensively. Philly ranks dead last in the league averaging just over 95 points per game. They scored just 91 points on 39.8 percent shooting in a loss to Detroit in their last game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards UNDER 199 | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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