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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-16 | Pistons v. Wizards +2 | 108-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards used a physical brand of basketball for an big time win vs the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing which sets up well for their meeting with Stan VanGundys Motown crew..My won matchup discrepancy charts tell me a story of a Washington team that can compete and beat a team like the Detroit Pistons. Washington has 4 straight here at home in this series, and Im betting on another victory tonight. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Wizards - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) are a bankroll expanding 103-59 ATS for a 64% conversion rate. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-16-16 | Florida Atlantic +21 v. Miami (Fla) | 56-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Miami is off a huge win last time out, clobbering SC State vy a 82-46 count, but the Canes have a history of failure for their betting backers in the followup, as they are 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games after a blowout win by 30 points or more. Florida Atlantic upended Ohio State last time out, by a 79-77 count and this program has proven in the recent past the big name teams don;t scare them as is evident by FLA ATLANTICs 14-4 ATS L/18 mark when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last few seasons, and are 9-1 ATS versus top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.  Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-15-16 | Bulls v. Bucks -2 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls prepare to face off on back-to-back nights, beginning this Thursday. The key to this game will be the Bucks ability to stop the downtown three shots, as they rank 2nd in the league in stopping 3s. The Bulls are dead last in the league shooting the trey, (30.7%) and do a majority of their work on the inside, where HC Kidd and company are well prepared to be physical. The Bucks have lost three straight but are 21-10 ATS L/31 after 2 or more consecutive losses and get the nod here in this spot as short home favorites. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-15-16 | College of Charleston +3 v. East Carolina | 53-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
 East Carolina has covered only one of their L/6 home games, and are far from solid favs. I expect the more experienced College of Charleston to have the advantage here between two similar defensive sides. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 42-25 ATS L/67 in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better.COLL OF CHARLESTON is 29-9 ATS L/38 in road games in December games. Play on the College of Charleston to cover 1 unit reg selection   |
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12-14-16 | Arkansas State -2 v. Tennessee-Martin | 87-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-14-16 | East Tennessee State +3 v. Mississippi State | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-14-16 | Pacers v. Heat -1 | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Heat conclusively ended a five-game losing streak by defeating the Washington Wizards 112-101 on Monday night and Im betting they are ready to turn the trick again this Tuesday night versus a very inconsistent Indiana team. I know the Heat are without the injured Waiters and Winslow, but this team is still more capable than many pundits believe. Meanwhile, Indiana has some key injury issues of their own and will be without starting guard Monta Ellis (groin), who has been ruled out for this three-game road trip. Reserve guard Rodney Stuckey (knee) is questionable and less than 100% after being hurt against the Hornets this past weekend, and he will be missed. From a trends perspective is must be noted, that INDIANA is 1-13 ATS L/14 in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins, this season. ( Indiana won their L/game 110-94 at home last time out) Play on the Miami Heat won to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-14-16 | UL-Lafayette +9.5 v. Georgia | 60-73 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Lafyette has won 8 straight and are rolling and will not be easily disposed of. LA-LAFAYETTE is 17-6 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive wins. Georgia in their L/49 games against above .500 opponents like Lafayette the average score deficit clicked in at 68 to 67.9 which is a 0.1 ppg margin of victory, and in Georgia's L/9 vs a dominant rebounding team like Lafayette, the average score that was registered is 71.6 to 70.1 ppg. Take the points with Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-13-16 | Knicks v. Suns +3 | 111-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Knicks are coming off wins Friday against the Sacramento Kings and Sunday against the Los Angeles Lakers, giving them four straight wins on the road, and have won 7 of their L/8 games overall. However, with that said, all good and bad runs must come to end, and I won't be surprised if it happens here in Phoenix tonight, as my own proprietary programs actually give the Suns an edge on home court in head to head player to players matchup discrepancy chart.  NBA Road favorites like the Favorites - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are a bankroll depleting 21-48 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70%. Take the points with the Phoenix Suns |
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12-13-16 | North Carolina Central +11 v. LSU | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
12-13-16 | Monmouth +3.5 v. Memphis | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Memphis enters this game off a big win vs UAB last time out, but are just is 3-12 ATS L/15 off a home win. Meanwhile, Monmouth is on a big time 7-0 SU run, and enter this game with some huge momentum, and will not be easily disposed of by a team in a letdown situation off a quality win. |
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12-13-16 | Wolves +7 v. Bulls | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Thibodeau, who went 255-139 in five seasons with Chicago, takes on his former team for the first time as an NBA coach since the Bulls fired him. You can bet he would love nothing more than to get a little revenge here, no matter what his political correct statement will be to the media. Here is an interesting quote: "He used to tell us in the locker room, 'You got to hate those guys, you got to stick it to them,'" Bulls forward Taj Gibson told the Chicago Tribune. "So, I know he's going to come in here and have those young guys ready and waiting. It's kind of a nerve-wracking feeling because you know that guy knows everything about you. He knows all your moves. It's going to be a good prep. END QUOTE.  Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-13-16 | Magic +7.5 v. Hawks | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Orlando may not inspire alot of betting support, but they have cashed 5 of their L/7 road games. Meanwhile, Atlanta has shown themselves to be a very inconsistent commodity, and have failed to cover 4 straight at home, and are just 1-5 ATS in their L/6 overall and recently lost 10 of 11 games. Even when well rested like they are here, the Hawks are just 3-9 ATS L/12 with 3 or more days rest. From a series perspective the Magic are 4-1 ATS L/5 in Atlanta and 8-3 ATS L/11 meetings with the underdog in this matchup going a sparkling 20-9 ATS L/29 meetings. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-12-16 | Lakers +8.5 v. Kings | 92-116 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The inconsistent Kings enter this tilt against the LA Lakers off two fourth-quarter crashes when they host the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday at the Golden 1 Center. Falling apart is a key to the Kings last few seasons, and they really cannot be trusted as favorites. Their star Cousins , has looked exhausted at times this season, and now as the Kings play their 3rd game in 4 nights, are in deep vs a tenacious , hard working LA Lakers team , that despite of slumping a of late, are more than capable of keeping this game close, and getting us a cover. ( 4 of the Lakers 5 recent losses have been decided by 6 points or less) SACRAMENTO is 31-47 ATS L/78 when playing against a team with a losing record and is 8-23 ATS L/30 in December games over the last few seasons. Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-12-16 | South Carolina +2.5 v. Seton Hall | 64-67 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Unbeaten 19th-ranked South Carolina will be without its best player when it takes on Seton Hall on Monday in the Under Armour Reunion at Madison Square Garden. However, despite of this S.Carolina is a deep team and quite capable of operating without the suspended Thornwell in the lineup. Meanwhile, the Pirates are off a 60-57 victory vs California in a Pearl Harbor Invitational game played in Hawaii, and Im sure suffered some jet lag, and now after a 5 day lay off that will have them rusty, against a tenacious opponent, their at a disadvantage. Play on the South Carolina Gamecocks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-12-16 | Nuggets -2 v. Mavs | 92-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Denver Im betting will take a lesson from several teams that recently came to Dallas thinking they could dominate against a struggling team without alot of effort, and be fully focused tonight. Dallas is without starters forward Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles strain) and center Andrew Bogut (right knee), plus reserve guard J.J. Barea (left calf strain) and are at a disadvantage, as is evident by losing 13 of their L/16 SU . Look of Denver, to come in here and take this tilt.DENVER is 23-11 ATS L/34 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game like Dallas.DALLAS is 8-20 ATS L/28 after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more like the the Nuggets. Play on the Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-12-16 | Bucks +8.5 v. Raptors | 100-122 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Bucks enter this game against the Raptors off two straight losses, but prior to that had won 5 of 6 games, while beating the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers and losing by 1 point to San Antonio. With that said, it must be noted MILWAUKEE is 21-9 ATS L/30 after 2 or more consecutive losses, and have shown themselves viable opponents against some top tier competition. I know the Raptors are a fine team, but I am betting the Bucks make them work hard for a win tonight. Take the points with the Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-12-16 | Wizards v. Heat +1.5 | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Both these teams are fairly evenly matched in my opinion, no matter what the W/L column suggests, with home floor being the difference maker. I know the Wizards recent successes because of a small ball lineup makes them look like viable options, but Miami despite of a current slump matchup well against them.Miami HC Spolestra is 22-9 ATS L/31 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. The Wizards have not dealt well with success of late as is evident by a 3-16 ATS L/19 after 2 straight games committing 7+ more less turnovers than opponents and is 8-25 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less against Milwaukee last time out. Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-11-16 | Nevada +4.5 v. Washington | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Nevada has been playing some top tier basketball this season, and have won 7 of their L/8 overall and off a 91-69 victory vs Bradley last time out.( Nevada is 9-2 ATS off a win by 10 points or more) Meanwhile Washington has lost 3 straight, and are off a one sided loss against Gonzaga last time out on the road. It must be noted that Washington is 4-16 ATS L/20 after playing aroad game, and 3-11 ATS L/14 after a loss on the road. |
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12-11-16 | Florida +3 v. Florida State | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
  Three straight blowout wins by Flordia State over lower tier sides George Washington, Southern Mississippi and Nicholls State by an average of 41 points, does not properly prep the Seminoles to deal the Gators. After watching Florida lose to Duke, by 10 points, I saw a very strong side, that if they are focused and control mental lapses can compete with the best teams in this country, and are once again solid underdogs in this spot vs a their instate rivals. FLORIDA ST is 14-34 ATS L/48 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games and 6-15 ATS L/21 when playing their 3rd game in a week and 22-41 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less.
Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection   |
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12-11-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bills | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 26 m | Show | |
Sunday's matchup between rust belt rivals Pittsburgh and Buffalo sets up a situation where a Steelers team that is on a three game winning streak uses its momentum to take out their hosts the Bills.Pittsburgh a side that has won 6 straight stats battles,controls its fate over the final four weeks of this season, and cannot afford a single loss, and will play like its sudden death. The Bills (6-6) are not out of the playoff picture, but things look dim. When looking at the matchup the main issues that Buffalo's has is a ugly pass offense that ranks last in the NFL .Im betting they will have trouble again this week, keeping up with a balanced Pittsburgh attack, that can score through the air or with the ground game. ( Steelers are 9-1 SU L/10 vs the Bills). |
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12-11-16 | Cardinals -2 v. Dolphins | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami is a over rated side, and have lost the stats battles in 4 of their L/5 games. They entered last week with 6 straight wins, before falling apart in a 38-6 smack down at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. Now the Fins go against a Arizona side with a 5-6- 1-record and are in a no mistake free zone. HC Arians and company can not afford another loss if they hope to get into the play offs, so they will be primed to get a victory, and will be ready to play with some heart and soul. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are 1-9 ATS L/10 vs below .500 NFC visiting sides, and have only covered 5 o their 19 vs the NFC West. MIAMI is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season .MIAMI is 0-10 ATS L/11 in December games and is 0-6 ATS L/6 after allowing 35 points or more last game. Cards HC Arians is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in December games as the coach |
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12-10-16 | Nets v. Spurs -14.5 | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Spurs enter this game against Brooklyn having  won the L/13 games the two teams have played in San Antonio, dating back to 2002. The Spurs were 2-0 against Brooklyn last season, winning 102-75 in their home opener on Oct. 30, 2015 and adding another lopsided 106-79 victory at Barclays Center on Jan. 11, 2016 winning SU by an average of 27 ppg. Now with the Spurs coming off a loss last time out, in a loss on the road to Chicago 95-91, to end a huge 13 game road win streak will now be primed to bounce back. Im never make a habit of laying DDs, with my NBA selections, but this one merits a lay the lumber type of bet. Play on the Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-10-16 | Mavs +13 v. Rockets | 87-109 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Despite missing forward Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles), guard J.J. Barea (left calf) and center Andrew Bogut (right knee) the Mavericks have shown a great deal of resiliency behind a top tier brand of tenacious basketball as was the case last time out against Indiana in a 111-103 victory. I expect that same tenaciousness and never say die attitude , to help buoy the Mavericks to a cover tonight vs a Houston side that I am sure is over looking them. Rockets are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games. NBA Home favorites like Houston  - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% plus or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) for a go against 78% conversion rates. Play on the Mavs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-10-16 | Jacksonville State +1.5 v. Louisiana-Monroe | 83-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State has 3 returning starters and are a tough team to play against . LA Monroe has 1 returning starter and are in a rebuilding mode. JACKSONVILLE ST is 34-18 ATS L/52 in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season and 13-5 ATS L/18 in road games and 11-3 ATS L/14 in road games in non-conference games. HC Richard of LA Monroe is 14-29 ATS 43 as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. |
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12-10-16 | Hornets v. Cavs -7.5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers will be wide awake and focused to play against a Charlotte side that is getting alot of love from the media pundits. When the Cavs are focused few teams in this league can compete with them, and tonight I expect they will be out to send a message to their upstart opponents. CLEVELAND is 18-7 ATS L/25 in home games against Southeast division opponents winning SU by an average of 14.6 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-10-16 | Nuggets v. Magic +3 | 121-113 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have had problems pacing themselves this season, and most recently ran out of gas vs Washington in a 92-85 loss, that saw them score just 12 points in the fourth quarter. The truth is that the Nuggets looked winded, and are fade material from my stand point vs the Orlando Magic tonight as they play the 5th game of a 6 game road trip. I know Orlando does not garner alot of respect from bettors, but in reality from time to time this season, have shown glimpses of brilliant play. I know Orlando is also fatigued as they play back to back tilts tonight, but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker in this tilt.  DENVER is 15-30 ATS L/45 after playing 2 consecutive road games.Orlando is 15-4 SU L/19 as hosts in this series. Take the points with Orlando 1 unit reg selection |
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12-10-16 | Tulane -1.5 v. Southern Miss | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is based on my own line predictions. |
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12-10-16 | Wichita State -3.5 v. Oklahoma | 76-73 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Wichita State owns a superb team, and a NCAA tournament threat if they stay healthy. Meanwhile, Oklahoma despite of a final 4 appearence last season, have shown some weaknesses at power forward, as Spangeler is now departed, and while the Sooners are still a fine side, Wichita State is looking very dangerous, and solid favorites here. |
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12-10-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis -2 v. Miami (OH) | 68-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
MIAMI OHIO is 7-18 ATS L/25 in a non-conference game. |
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12-10-16 | Ohio v. Iona +1.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
OHIO U is 7-18 ATS L/25 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Iona. HC Phillips of Ohio is 9-21 ATS L/30 after playing a home game, which they just did. |
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12-10-16 | James Madison +5 v. Western Michigan | 67-74 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Both these teams have struggled to start their current campaigns, but according to my own lines we have value with the visitor,JAMES MADISON is 13-4 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor passing teams, averaging or less 12 assists/game.JAMES MADISON is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road lined games. |
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12-09-16 | Pistons v. Wolves +2 | 117-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota looked really good against Toronto last night, but their inexperience and their lack of belief in themselves got the best of them last night, as they blew a lead to a strong opponent and eventually lost. Quote: The good teams are 48-minute teams," Timberwolves coach Tom Thibodeau said. "We're still not there...The fourth quarter is different. You have to understand that. The intensity of a fourth quarter is different. Your decision-making is different. We still have to figure that out. End Quote. With that said, despite of being on a short turn around, Im betting on this young well conditioned Wolves side to bounce back tonight, feeling like they need get some respect back. Meanwhile, Motown has played decently of late but off a muted loss last time out vs Charlotte scoring just 77 points in a 88-77 loss. It's hard sometimes for teams to go from a slow motion game speed to playing a uptempo game, which Minnesota is sure to bring to this tilt. It must be noted that the Pistons are just 15-26 ATS L/41 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game. Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-09-16 | Heat +13 v. Cavs | 84-114 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Despite being the defending champions and holding the best record in the East the Cavaliers have shown plenty of lapses so far this season, despite of a top tier record and numbers, and in the past have shown a propensity to play down to their opponents level, as is evident by a 16-29 ATS L/45 record when playing against a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, Miami is dealing with some injury woes, and trying to find an identity without Dwayne Wade , who is no longer with the team. But thanks to these injuries, it seems HC spolestra and company have found a take no prisoners idenity with the tough as nails Tyler Johnson who scored 27 points last time out, and attacks without fear of injury. This type of guy has a way of spreading his energy around a locker room , which transfers its flow onto the court. Tonight we have one side we have the media darling prima donnas ( Cleveland) and on their other side, a supposedly downtrodden side, that will I am betting elbow themselves into being competetive tonight and get us the cover. NBA teams that are Favorites of 10 or more points like the Cavaliers - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top- tier team (.750 or better ) playing a lower tier team (.250 to .400) are 51-96 ATS dating back 20 seasons . Play on Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-08-16 | Spurs v. Bulls +4 | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Spurs are 13-0 U and would love to tie the Golden State Warriors, record that saw then go undefeated in their first 14 road games last season. Meanwhile, the Bulls are in a bit of a slump and are coming off a 102-91 loss Tuesday at the Detroit Pistons, and could have been looking ahead to this game. But with veterans like Dwayne Wade and Jimmy Butler in the lineup, this Bulls team must not be under estimated, especially on their own floor. (Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 Thursday games and also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.) With this being The Spurs 7th road game in their L/9 games overall, Im sure they are getting road weary, and could ind this game challenging vs a side that is capable of upsetting some of the best teams in this league as was the case 6 days ago when they up ended the defending champion Cavaliers by a 111-105 count. SAN ANTONIO is 14-26 ATS L/40 versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season like the Bulls. Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-08-16 | Raiders +3 v. Chiefs | 13-21 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Kansas City and Oakland do battle tonight, in a AFC battle, that should be hard fought. The Chiefs despite of their current 7-1 run, have been through some brutal battles, and have lost the stats wars in their L/5 games and are pretty lucky to be on this big of a run. I know KC beat up up on the Raiders in a earlier meeting in the Black hole, earlier this season 26-10, but things are different now with super star QB Carr moving into top tier NFL status. With that said, the Raiders must be respected enough to get the revenge they seek. Oakland is a perfect 9-0 SU/ATS as a division road underdog of 6 points or less. We know how explosive Oakland can be on offense, but the D, has shown some inadequacies. But it must be noted that KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. lower tier defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.OAKLAND is 9-0 ATS L/9 as a road underdog . OAKLAND is 10-0 ATS L/10 in road games against conference opponents. Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Oral Roberts +20.5 v. Oklahoma | 66-92 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
According to my own numbers and matchup discrepancies this number is beatable from an underdog standpoint. OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS L/30 as a favorite. Favorites of 10 or more points like the Sooners - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (20% or less ) are just 22-61 ATS since 1997. Play on Oral Roberts to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Nuggets v. Nets +5 | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Nuggets captured an away win against Philadelphia last time out , but don;t deal with success well as they are just 3-14 ATS L/17 off a road win dating back to last season and have been very inconsistent during their current campaign. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been a disaster this season , but took out a top tier LA Clippers team in a recent meeting by a 127-122 count, and have covered 3 of their L/4 games and showed themselves to be competitive on most nights. The Nets have also done well against Denver in the recent past winning 4 straight meetings SU in this series including the L/2 here in Brooklyn. My won matchup stats and power rating tell me we have value with the home dog here. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Missouri State v. SE Missouri State +9 | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Missouri State are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 away tilts, and go against a hard nosed SE Missouri State side that I am betting will stay close enough for a cover.  MISSOURI ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days  and is 12-28 ATS L/36  in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws. Play on SE Missouri State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Celtics v. Magic +1 | 117-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I really like the way this young Orlando team is playing and backed them last night in a 124-116 win vs Washington. With that said I like their chances against an above .500 Celtics side struggling on defense ranking 17th in defensive rating per 100 possessions. Meanwhile,the magic are one of the leagues top defensive teams 94.3 ppg per 100 possessions. |
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12-07-16 | Niagara +8.5 v. Kent State | 72-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Niagara is off a upset win last time out against Iona,  as 16.5 point road dogs. It must be noted that College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, in December games are 30-10 ATS L/40 in their folow up tilt. College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences have covered 32 of the L/41 times for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State is 9-22 ATS at home when the total is between 140 to 149.5. Play on Niagara to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Florida +8 v. Duke | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
JIMMY V CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY No. 5 Blue Devils meet No. 19 Florida in the second game of the Jimmy V Classic on Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York. Alot of hype surrounds this tourney game involving Florida and Duke, mostly because, Duke's two prized freshmen recruits will get their first big test. Center Marques Bolden and forward Jayson Tatum, both five-star recruits, were cleared to play Friday in the Blue Devils' 94-55 victory over Maine, but now will face a big step up in class. But despite of this talent, on the floor for the Blue Devils,  Florida is still a team, to be reckoned with, and not getting the respect they deserve on this line. With that said, Im recommeding we take the points. DUKE is 6-15 ATS L/21 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 turnovers or less per game.DUKE is just 2-10 ATS L/12 in all neutral court games. HC Krzyzewski is 48-64 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite. Play on Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Suns +7 v. Jazz | 105-112 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters this game vs host Utah with a 20-8 ATS L/28 record after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, which happened last time out in a loss to offensively explosive Golden State by a 138-109 count. HC Watson of the Suns, has covered  19 of his L/24 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and once again will have his troops ready to compete here in Salt Lake City. I know Utah has been hot, but Favorites like Utah - a hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, are just 57-100 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate. Meanwhile, NBA Road underdogs like Suns - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less, are 26-4 ATS. (The Jazz are off a 107-101 win vs the Lakers last time out). Play on Phoenix to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | 76ers +8 v. Grizzlies | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Nothing comes easy to the Memphis Grizzlies these days and despite of winning some close games and games that reach overtime , they are still being over rated by linesmakers. Hers is an interesting quote: People keep talking about it, but most of our games are close from key Grizz play," Gasol . "I can't remember a blowout. We feel comfortable in those situations because we trust our defense and we don't panic." While that great for his team, thats an indicator that getting points with a Memphis opponent is most like golden. Yes, even with lowly Philadelphia as our chosen side. In these teams lat meeting in Philly the Grizzlies eeked out at 104-99 win and Im betting on another close game tonight as key contributor Mike Conely remains side lines with a back injury. PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS L/36 in non-conference games dating back to last season and are 29-14 ATS L/43 after 7 or more consecutive losses. NBA Road underdogs like the 76ers - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Spurs v. Wolves +5 | 105-91 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs visit the Minnesota Timberwolves this Tuesday night in an affair, that will see this young side motivated to end the Spurs undefeated road record this season. The Spurs barely made it out of Milwaukee last time out 97-96 win to keep their 12-0 away record intact. Meanwhile, Timberwolves ended a four-game losing streak on Saturday with a victory over Charlotte to make it two straight wins, and now have some confidence on their side, vs a superior side. Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Magic +3 v. Wizards | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn by a 118-113 count as 6 point favs. Note: WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS L/32 after a win by 6 points or less and 1-9 ATS L/10 after scoring 110 points or more. Washington also consistently struggles with their D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents, that have won two straight and 3 of their L/4 on the road with the lone loss coming by 1 point at Memphis . Washington and Orlando each own a W in the series with the victories coming on the road. Orlando won 88-86 win on Nov. 5 in Washington. ORLANDO is 31-19 ATS L/50 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts . Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | St Bonaventure v. Hofstra +5 | 81-75 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Instate rivals Hofstra and visting St. Bonaventure go head to head tonight in a battle that I am betting favors the home dog. From a stat and power ranking standpoint , the line is dead on, But every now and than, I go against my own no edge lines, in such cases as this where rivals face off. What I also like about the Pride is their top tier shooting from beyond the arc . They are shooting 40.7% from the land of the trey, which is the 22nd best mark in the nation, which makes them a dangerous foe vs a capable offensive side like the Bonnies. Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Bonnies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.Pride are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Play on Hofstra to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | Hornets v. Mavs +5 | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game on tired legs as is evident by playing 6 games in 10 days. Their current run of 6 losses in 9 games while failing to cover 7 times during that span tells the story of a struggling team. Meanwhile, Dallas ,despite of some injury problems is playing competitive basketball, and off 4 straight covers including a solid win vs the Bulls last time out. Life without Dirk Nowitizki , a future hall of famer, is not easy pill to swallow for the Mavericks, but coach Carlisle is a top tier coach who can get the most out of a group, and Im betting he proves it here again tonight. CHARLOTTE is 45-72 ATS against Southwest division opponents. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points Charlotte- after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have not been good long term bets going 39-69 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 63%. Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | Colts -2 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
With Andrew Luck now expected to play, I have decided to pull the trigger on the Indianapolis Colts tonight in their battle with the downtrodden NY Jets.Colts still have a chance at the paly offs and will be playing with desperation. Meanwhile, despite of NYJ fans demanding a QB change, the Jets will once again go with the struggling Fitzpatrick who has thrown 13 interceptions in 10 games. Fitzpatrick has completed just 57.6 percent of his passes and looks unstable at best, and gives even more credence in my decision to lay it with Indy on the road. Andrew Luck is 19-4 SU and 16-4-3 ATS in division games and a perfect 8-0 SU of a Colts loss. INDIANAPOLIS is 25-12 ATS L/27 as a road favorite of 3 points or less and HC Pogano Pagano is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. lower tier teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.Â
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12-05-16 | Wizards v. Nets +6 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game averaging only 99 ppg on offense on the road, while, their defense continues to get lit up on an almost nightly basis. With that said, even lowly Brooklyn, a team scoring an average of 104 ppg as hosts this season, has a chance to upend a inconsistent opponent like the Wizards, especially considering the visitors have allowd an average of 105.8 ppg . Brooklyn did prove that they can play some decent hoops, when they smacked the LA Clippers by a 127-122 count, and once again according to my own numbers solid underdogs in this spot. Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | CS-Northridge +13 v. St. John's | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
CS Northridge plays a wide open style of basketball, and despite of a lackluster defense, won;t be detterred from bombing away from down town. These types of teams are always dangerous in back door cover situations. St,John's had lost 5 straight before coming up with a win last time out by a 95-75 score vs Tulane. Note: St.John's has failed to cover 6 straight when they combined for 155 points or more in a previous game. St.John's has also failed to cover 17 of their L/23 as home favorites of 9.5 to 13 points. Play on CS Northridge to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Kings +2 v. Knicks | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Sacramento (7-12) is 3-6 over its last nine games, but they have been very competetive in 5 of those 6 losses, and have covered 7 of their L/9 and must not be underestimated vs a Knicks (10-9) team that gets to much respect from the media pundits. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Kings - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days 60-21 ATS L/81. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Knicks - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 27-58 ATS over the L/5 seasons. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Georgia State v. Mississippi State -3 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots.GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 against SEC opponents losing SU by an average of 12.6 ppg. It must also be noted that GEORGIA ST is 0-9 ATS L/9 after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite which just happened. Play on Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 102 h 1 m | Show | |
Arizona might not inspire alot of bettors right now after a very inconsistent season, but according to my power rankings, Washington is over rated and in a bad spot this week.It must also be noted that teams playing in non-division contests following a Thanksgiving Day appearance have lost 35 of 56 games (SU) and since 1992 are just 9-21 ATS L/30 and 9-20-1 SU away after their big Turkey dinner.. With that said, for at least one game , I expect we see a vintage Cards team take advantage of a shabby Skins D, and for their own D, to stand tall in the desert vs a Washington offense that will not be running on a full tank of gas. |
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12-04-16 | SE Missouri State +24.5 v. Indiana | 55-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana has played 3 games in 5 days and enter this game on tired legs, giving a decent SE Missouris side a chance to stay close.SE MISSOURI ST is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Hoosiers and are 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game.  Road underdogs of 20 or more points SE Missouri State - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%) are 43-16 ATS for a 72% conversion rate.Â
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12-04-16 | Marquette +3 v. Georgia | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Georgia hosts Marquette on Sunday, in a nonconference tilt it has tended to lose in past seasons when the programmed missed the NCAA tournament. Georgia (5-2) has so far lost at Clemson — team that’s now 4-2 — and on a neutral court to No. 4 Kansas. Meanwhile, Marquette (5-2) have their two losses to Michigan and Pittsburgh, on neutral courts. It opened its season with a 24-point smash down on the road at Vanderbilt, while its other four wins were all routs of low- or mid-major teams. Bottom line: Analysing this matchup, and power rankings tells me a story, of two teams that are fairly evenly matched, but Im betting Marquette could easily eek out a win here, and more importantly as far as we are concerend a cover. Play on Marquette to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Lions v. Saints -5.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game playing their best football of the season and have out stated their L/7 opponents since their bye week. Meanwhile, the Lions are off a crazy win thanks to last minute interception vs Minnesota on Thanks giving Day, after being down by 3 points with a few minutes left on the clock. With that said, I now expect the Lions to be in a letdown spot, after that emotional victory, It must also be noted the Saints are 3-17 SU in their L/20 post game situations after Turkey day and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5. NEW ORLEANS is also a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good offensive teams like the Lions - averaging 5.65 yards/play dating back to last season.DETROIT is 1-11 ATS L/12 in road games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games and is 8-26 ATS L/34 in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Heat +6.5 v. Blazers | 92-99 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami enter this road game against Portland having won two straight games, and look like they are coming together as a group. The heat really struggled on offense earlier this season, but are quickly improving, as is evident by, averaging 107 points the past four games, including a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday night.Center Hassan Whiteside ranks among the top 10 in the league in rebounds (first, 15.1), blocked shots (third, 2.56) and field-goal percentage (.559, ninth) while averaging a team-high 17.7 points. Im expecting he will be the catalyst in a Heat cover tonight. I know Portland offense has been explosive , but it must be noted that PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games and is 1-9 ATS L/10 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season and 1-8 ATS L/9 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season which happend last time out. Portland is just 3-10 ATS L/13 overall while, Miami has covered 7 of their L/11. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Pacific -3 v. CS-Fullerton | 77-78 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Maryland | 70-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Bulls -3 v. Mavs | 82-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
After back-to-back losses to drop an NBA-worst 3-15 SU, the injury riddled Mavericks once again look like bad bets tonight vs visiting Chicago. Ater watching Chicago down, Cleveland last night by a 111-105 count, Im betting on them coming out here with confidence and sending Dallas to the locker rooms for a cold shower. I know Bulls star Dwayne Wade wont play tonight, in Dallas, but thats a good thing, because his team mates will want will be wide awake, and understand the challange of playing a struggling team with nothing to lose, without their star. I really believe HC Hoiberg will have the Bulls primed to take down a three-win team with no let down scenario because their schedule after this tilt will be a see them embark on a difficult three-game stretch ahead against Portland and Detroit on back-to-back nights followed by a visit from the San Antonio Spurs side that is undefeated as visitors this season two nights after that. Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Auburn +4 v. UAB | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 16 m | Show | |
I was hoping to see this matchup this week, and low in behold I get my wish. According to my own data base matchups Wisconsin on a neutral field should be 4.5 point favorities, but on further considerations, my player to player and offensive/defensive unit correlations tell me that this could easily be a 6 point plus victory for the Badgers. Thus laying points here is a viable investment option. Note: Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook is said to be feeling better after a some light head trauma last week, and despite of his status being day to day, may pundits expect he will play in this big game. If not his so called back up Houston is a very viable option and in my opinion the superior QB. HC Franklin of Penn State is 0-9 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team .750 or better win %.  PENN ST is 20-43 ATS L/63 versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 or less yards/game like Wisconsin and 8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing on a Saturday this season. Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State -12.5 v. St. Louis | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
SAINT LOUIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game like Kansas State losing SU by ana verage of 22.5 ppg. Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Fairfield +8.5 v. Siena | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS L/14 after playing a road game and the hoops prgram is 40-21 ATS L/61 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Fairfield has covered 13 of their L/19 as visitors in this series. Fairfied HC Johnson is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Sienas coach Patsos is 1-9 ATS ( in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 . Fairfield to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Wofford v. Miami (Fla) -19 | 57-74 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Georgia State v. Idaho -6.5 | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 126 h 50 m | Show | |
Georgia State (3-8) has struggled this season, and are 0-5 on the road while averaging just 13 ppg on offense. Their rush D, has allowed an average of 236 ypg, when on the road, and thats not a good omen for this chances at a win or cover here vs a Idaho side that is 8-0 ATS L/8 when they rush for 150-to 200 ypg. IDAHO is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a losing record and 6-0 ATS when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) Play on Idaho to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Loyola-Chicago +6 | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Baylor +16.5 v. West Virginia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 125 h 50 m | Show | |
We have a good situation to bet into here with Baylor as big double digit underdogs. I know the Bears have not looked all that stable of late, but West Virginia despite of a win last week, against Iowa State have shown some late season defensive holes, and have allowed 218, 316, and 190 yards rushing in their L/3 and are looking tired as a unit. Thats something Baylor can take advantage of via a run game that has averaged 5.8 ypc on the road and an average 326 ypg. It must be noted that WV HC Holgorsen is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game which happend vs Iowa State last week. Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Xavier +5 v. Baylor | 61-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis +6 v. Ball State | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
IUPUI-Indiana Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Temple +3 v. Navy | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 122 h 54 m | Show | |
AAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Navy Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State +4.5 v. TCU | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 122 h 31 m | Show | |
Kansas State has proven a great deal to me this season, have already beaten up on Baylor in a road tilt this season. I have been impressed with their overall tenaciousness, and once again feel the Cats are solid underdogs this week vs a over rated opponent. It must be noted that TCU QB Kenny Hill hurt his foot last week, and if he plays will be less than 100% as is the case with RB Kyle Hicks with a rib injury. TCU is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points dating back to last season and has failed to cover their L/6 home games. Play on Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky -9.5 | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show | |
CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - LT Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY LA Tech beat W.Kentucy 55-52 in their first matchup this season at LA Tech. But now with revenge on board and front of what will be partisan home crowd I expect the tables will be reversed in a big way. With the ‘Toppers get revenge at home behind the arm of QB White and legs of RB Wales, and their more consistent defense will be the difference maker this week. W KENTUCKY is 12-4 ATS L/16 against conference opponents dating back to last season. A home team like Western Kentucky - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-8 ATS since 1991. Play on Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Wake Forest -2 v. Richmond | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
RICHMOND is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots like Wake Forest. The Charity stripe effecincy of the Demon Deacons will be the difference maker today. Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Rockets +4 v. Nuggets | 128-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston has won 6 of their L/8 games, and is off a big win vs Golden State last night, in a 132-127 slugfest. The Rockets look like their for real, and are experienced enough not to let that victory go to their heads , and come out flat tonight. Heres a quote: "We're a resilient team," Rockets star Harden said on the TNT broadcast after Thursday's win. "Big-time win on the road and we have another one tomorrow. With that said, I'm betting the Rockets will be more than prepared to go back to work in this spot. Meanwhile, the Nuggets continue to struggle losing 8 of their L/12, and despite of being fast and mobile, their defense does not deal well with this kind of opponent, as was obvious in a recent 132-129 loss to Oklahoma State at home in the Mile High City. HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS L/10 after allowing 105 points or more this season.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season. DENVER is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Play on Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Clippers v. Pelicans +5.5 | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers came out focused and played extremely hard last night vs the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers, and took a well deserved road victory. But now after that big time game , I believe they will be in a bit of an emotional let down scenario, and more importantly on tired legs, after last nights supreme effort which leads into this being their 6th straight road game. |
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12-02-16 | Wolves +2 v. Knicks | 114-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Knicks took a closely contested 106-104 win on the road vs Minnesota last time out and now the visiting Wolves have revenge on board. The share fact that the Wolves are in desperation mode after losing and failing to cover 6 of their L/7 has me backing their motivation and chances to cover here tonight. Minnesota is 17-4 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points dating back to last season. All teams where the line is +3 to -3 New York - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 32-61 ATS.Road underdogs Minnesota - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Ohio +19 v. Western Michigan | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Michigan still undefeated smashed Toledo last week in a DD win despite of losing the stats sheet battle, and now the College football world expects another easy win for the Bronos this week vs the Ohio Bobcats. However, I am not going to follow the party line and instead in contrarian fashion, expect the Bobbies to make a game of this MAC Championship event. It must be noted that in the past the W.Mich has covered only 1 of 5 games after a 20 point or more victory, while Ohio has covered 5 of their L/6 as DD conference dogs. Also MAC Championship games with a favorite of 7 or more points has crashed and burned 5 of the L/6 times with undefeated teams going 0-3 ATS while losing 2 times. After last weeks showdown with Toledo, Western Michigan is a precarious emotional situation, and despite of that win , as mentioned above lost the overall stats battle. |
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12-02-16 | Canisius +4 v. Manhattan | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
I have watched the MAAC for a long time, and know these programs well. They have played each other tough, recently and another closely contested matchup will not be a surprise, as the linesmakers have indicated. I'm betting the points end up being golden here, as my power rankings suggest a possible out right upset. But Im on the take in conservtive fashion. Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | SIU-Edwardsville +26 v. Indiana | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
SIU-Edwardsville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Niagara +7.5 v. Marist | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Niagara to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Texas-San Antonio +8 v. Cal Poly | 47-59 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
CAL POLY-SLO is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season like Tex San Antonio and 4-14 ATs L/18 vs sides with top tier defenses allowing a 42% less FG conversion rate.CAL POLY-SLO is also a lowly 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games and 1-8 ATS with a total of 130 to 139.5. From a league wide database -CBB underdog like Texas San Antonio - off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 23-3 ATS since 1996. UTSA to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | CS Sacramento v. Pacific -9.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Saramento has not looked good to start their season, and are 0-6 ATS in their L/6. Meanwhile Pacific has shown promise and been competetive for the most part this season, against some strong teams like UCLA. Pacific is 4-0 ATS L/4 at home and 8-3 L/11 games following a loss which happened vs a pretty good Nevada hoops program last time out. My own number made Pacific 14 point favs, so laying 9.5 to 10 looks like a solid bet. CBB teams Pacific - lower tier shooting team 40% or less against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 44-14 ATS. Play on Pacific to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Magic -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 94-95 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
With Mike Conley injured the Memphis Grizzlies are at a disadvantage tonight vs Orlando. HC Vogel stresses defense, so a young Memphis side without its no.1 ball-handler could have big problems. . Not only is Memphis short handed but they are also exhausted after playing 9 games in 14 days.The Magic enter this game with confidence after upsetting San Antonio as road underdogs and are in a very good position to improve on the momentum of that victory.ORLANDO is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games in non-conference games. Play On Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Bucks v. Nets +6 | 111-93 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is a below average offensive team with a rating of 105.9. The Bucks are in the bottom third in scoring at 102.7 points per game and are far from solid road favorites. In the past and more recently they have shown glimpses of an upward trajectory as was the case last time out in a win vs Cleveland by a 118-101 score. But the Bucks have not dealt well with success in the past, and are 19-42 ATS L/65 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Meanwhile, Brooklyn enters this game with confidence after a 127-122 win vs the LA Clippers, and look like viable home dogs . In the first meeting of the season, Milwaukee recorded a 110-108 home victory on Oct. 26 and a repeat type game is highly likely with the points Im betting proving to be golden. Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Utah State +9.5 v. BYU | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | South Alabama -4.5 v. Southern Miss | 78-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Wright State +8.5 v. Georgia State | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My own power rankings suggest Wright State is a very under rated commidity at the moment and have looked very competitive in their games, and once again look like a good bet to cover vs Georgia State and for the catalyst behind this to be G Mark Alstork a very under appreciated offensive force. The Raiders have failed to cover only 2 of their L/9 non conference tilts. GEORGIA ST is 2-11 ATS L/13 when the total is 130 to 139.5 and is  2-10 ATS L/12 after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. Georgia State 1-6-1 ATS L/8 at home. Play on Wright State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Northeastern -3 v. Cornell | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Northeastern has been very competetive this season , winning against Boston U , UConn, Kent State. Which are good wins. Cornell has lost 5 of their L/6 and are fade material . Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Northeastern - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games are a bankroll expanding 82-45 ATS for a 65% conversion rate on the line. Northeastern to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-29-16 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston enters into this road game against UTah flying high, having made at least 10 3 pointers in 16 straight games. Breaking the record and getting 17 straight may not come so easily vs a Utah side, that generally plays a top tier defensive game and leads the league in scoring D, allowing just 93.4 ppg. The Jazz have also won 3 straight and are no pushovers, especially here at home. I know the visitors are explosive offensively , but I am betting defense and not offense is the difference maker tonight in Salt Lake City.Jazz are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game which happened last time out in a win vs Portland 130-114.  UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS L/30 when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season.Houstons HC D'Antoni is 22-40 ATS L/62 after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more . Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Rockets - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are just 36-71 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 66%. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-29-16 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Maryland | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Pitt comes in with a loss to SMU as the only blemish on its record this season, and that’s a respectable loss. Maryland’s still undefeated, but they’ve gone down to the wire against almost every opponent and will be lucky to win or pull away with a cover tonight, according to my own power rankings and matchup discrepencies. Getting to the charity stripe, and preventing others from doing the same is a strength of the Panthers. The Panthers are 36th in field goals conversion rate. Meanwhile, they also rank 15th in opponents’ field goals per free throw attempt, which shows their a disciplined group. This is key a projected close matchup, with getting points looking golden. MARYLAND is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games in non-conference games. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Maryland a hot team- after 6 or more consecutive wins, playing only their 3rd game in a week are a bankroll depleting 9-30 ATS L/39. Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-28-16 | Boise State +17 v. Oregon | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Oregon was ranked as high as No. 4 in the country before losses to Baylor and Georgetown and may not be ranked after tonight. Boise State, which beat Oregon 74-72 last season, lost to College of Charleston and Mississippi State before winning two straight against Western Michigan and Presbyterian and look like a strong bet getting points tonight. BOISE ST is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 100 h 58 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Philadelphia are in slumps, and both need a win here badly. The Packers have lost four in a row , while the Eagles have crashed back to Earth with losses in five of their last seven games, and last week at Seattle lost by 11 points. Hoever,  the Green Machine's other four losses have come by a combined 19 points. Those close games tell me nothing comes easy for the Eagles, win or lose , thus getting and taking points with another desperate team makes extreme sense.With both teams banged up and both are dealing with disadvantages, neither team has a solid advantage, other than home field advantage, which is desingnated via the line. But in a key game like this, Im betting on QB Aaron Rodgers out dueling Eagles rookie under center Carson Wentz. From a long term NFL trends perspective, Road teams like the Packers - off a road loss, in November games are 170-108 ATS L/278 games for a 61% conversion rate on the line. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like GB - off a road loss, a lower tier team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season, are 106 -60 ATS for a 63% conversion rate. Home teams like the Eagles - off a road loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more like the Packers are 72-120 ATS L/192 for go against conversion rate on the line of 63%. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Rockets v. Blazers +2.5 | 130-114 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Portland and Houston love to run and gun. Both shoot threes in machine gun fashion and play with wreckless transistional abandon. Today I am betting the difference maker will come via rebounding. The Blazers started out their season consistently playing lazy ball and getting out rebounded, but lately a new kind of tenaciousness has over taken the team, and they have won the rebound batte in 4 of their L/5 tilts. HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS L/33 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games dating back to last season. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Houston - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 35-71 ATS L/106 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors. Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Evansville +4.5 v. Middle Tennessee | 55-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
MUSIC CITY CHALLENGE - Final Rnd - Nashville Auditorium - Nashville, TN Projected score: Evansville 69 Midd Tenn State 66 Play on Evansville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Bucks -1 v. Magic | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Orlando enters this game struggling , with a 6-10 record, thanks to a very inconsistent offense, averaging just 91 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks own a 6-8 record, and are also an inconsistent side, but one thing they do have that the Magic do not, is a sometimes explosive offense that has averaged 101.5 ppg. Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Road favorites like the Bucks - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 29-8 ATS L/37 opportunities. Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | UAB +12.5 v. St. Mary's | 63-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
UAB returns 11 of 12 players, including four of five starters, from last season's 26-7 squad, which won the Conference USA regular-season title. With their experience, and hardcore never say die mentality Im expecting they do well, against a methodical SMU team that struggles with speed and bases its successes on their D. Look for the Blazers' 6-foot-8 Chris Cokley who is averaging 13.2 points on 58.7 percent shooting from the field,to be a key cog in UABs cover in this tilt. UAB is 11-1 ATS L/12 versus top tier defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less. Play on UAB  to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Nebraska +5 | 66-53 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. ACC opponents and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Scoring D, will be the difference makers here today vs Vtech, as the Cornhuskers rank 38th in the nation. In games against Dayton and UCLA the Huskers proved their worth physically and Iam betting the Hokies , wear down as this game progresses, levaing room for a Nebraska upset and more importantly a cover. Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Miami (Fla) +3 v. Florida | 56-65 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings these teams are dead even. Thus getting points is a strong option. FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS L/6 against ACC opponents.MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 against SEC opponents. Canes HC Larranaga is 26-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 . Play on MiamiFl to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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