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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-17 | Auburn +4 v. Oklahoma | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 537 h 37 m | Show | |
In games like this defense wins out over offense. Look for the Tigers top tier D, and their abilty to run the ball, to slow down the Sooners explosive offense. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a neutral field favorite over the last 3 seasons losing SU by almost 10 points per game. Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-02-17 | Thunder +2 v. Bucks | 94-98 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
 The young inconsistent Bucks are in over their hands full tonight against Westbrook and Oklahoma City, which has won five of its last six games and is coming off a 114-80 victory Saturday over the Los Angeles Clippers.Oklahoma City's offense has been aided by the return of Victor Oladipo, who was sidelined for the last nine games with a right wrist injury. In previous matchups Oklahoma City has looked superior to the Bucks, as is evident by sweeping its two meetings with the Bucks last season and have won three in a row against Milwaukee overall. It must be noted that NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Thunder - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a above .500 record on the season are a bankroll expanding 66% ATS for their backers over a 116 game sample size dating back to the 2011/12 campaign. MILWAUKEE is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games dating back to last season. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-02-17 | USC -6.5 v. Penn State | 52-49 | Loss | -108 | 458 h 11 m | Show | |
ROSE BOWL - Rose Bowl Stadium - Pasadena, CA According to my own stats and numbers and power rankings USC is the most under rated team in the country. I do acknowledge, that Penn State got progressively better this season, and showed a great deal of tenacity when going down early to Wisconsin in the Big 10 Championship game, before coming back for the win. But allowing a sometimes pedestrian Wisconsin side to light them like they did, for 31 points does not bode well for their chances against a explosive USC offense that is also bolstered by a  solid defense,  that allowed top tier Washington Huskies just 13 points in a 26-13 road win. HC Franklin, of Penn St is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) USC is 7-1 ATS and on a perfect 6-0 ATS run as a favorite this season.USC is 9-2 ATS L/11 vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. Play on USC to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-01-17 | Packers -3 v. Lions | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 25 m | Show | |
The Lions enter this game off two road losses, including a 42-21 smash down at the hands of the NFC's top team, Dallas, on Monday night. Now on short rest , and with their starting QB Stafford in a funk having thrown four interceptions in the past three games since suffering ligament damage 3 weeks ago to his right middle finger vs Chicago , the Lions look like fade material vs a Packers side in top form. I know the Lions have won last six home games, but have had to come from behind all 6 times to get the win, but I am betting their luck is set to come to abrupt end in this spot. NFL Road teams like Green Bay - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season, 23-5 ATS. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-01-17 | Spurs -4 v. Hawks | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Both Atlanta and San Antonio enter the game on a winning runs. Atlanta has captured two straight victories after its 105-98 victory over Detroit on Friday. San Antonio has won four straight after smacking down Portland 110-94 on Friday. This matchup features, Hawks HC Budenholzer a disciple of Popovichs system in San Antonio, where he was an assistant for 19 seasons. What makes this relevenat to todays matchup, is that he runs the same system, as the Spurs, but without the same standout talent and chemistry. So in a head to head matchup, guess who has the edge? While anything can happen, when two NBA opponents clash, my own propieatary programs/ player matchup discrepency charts suggest the Spurs win 9 out of 10 times by 5 points or more as visitors or at home. It must be noted Atlanta is 0-6 against the Spurs in Budenholzer's four seasons behind the Hawks bench and the franchsie has lost 11 straight meetings in this series, and Im betting nothing changes today. From a long term NBA trends chart: Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games are a bankroll expanding 129-66 for a 66% conversion rate for their betting backers (dates back 21 seasons) SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season, winning by an average 13 ppg, which happened last time out vs Portland 110-94. |
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01-01-17 | Raiders +2 v. Broncos | 6-24 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 21 m | Show | |
The Raiders a team that has won 8 of their L/9 games can secure the division title and a first-round bye in the playoffs with a win in the regular season finale against the Broncos. Needless to say the Raiders will be hyped up to perform, even though they are without starting QB Carr who broke his leg last week. The Raiders still get a decent QB in backup Matt McGloin,, including a punishing offensive line that cleared the way for a 114-yard game by running back Latavius Murray in the first meeting against the Broncos and explosive WRs ceivers Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Meanwhile, Denvers Coach Gary Kubiak said he plans to play both quarterback Trevor Siemian and his backup, Paxton Lynch, the Broncos' first-round draft pick, which Iam betting results in a methodical and muted offensive performance from the Broncos. Road teams like the Raiders - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season are 23-5 ATS since 2011. DENVER is 2-9 ATS L/11 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season.- OAKLAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.DENVER is 0-6 ATS L/6 in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-01-17 | Cardinals v. Rams +6.5 | 44-6 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 19 m | Show | |
Arizona had a horrible season, well below expectations, but came out one final time last Sunday, and upset Seattle. But now on the road for a second straight week, and in an emotional letdown state vs a lowly side that will keep them from being motivated, Im betting they fail to get the cover .Arizona is 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS away following Seattle, and is also 0-8 SU away in fi nal games of the season. LA Rams to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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01-01-17 | Jaguars v. Colts -4.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 48 m | Show | |
The Indianapolis Colts take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in a game , that I am betting sees a conclusive Colts victory. Both don;t have play off aspirations, but both would obviously like to end their seasons on a high note. I know Jacksonville, after the firing of their coach, came out pumped up and delivered a resounding victory, vs Tennessee last week, by a 38-17 count. But it must be noted that NFL Road underdogs or pick like Jaguars - off a upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog against opponent off a road loss, which Indy sufferred last week. are 19-48 ATS in their follow up game for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS L/22 in road games off a home win by 10 points or more and is 7-20 ATS L/27 after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. The Jaguars are also 0-13 SU off a win, when going against .400 or less competition and 0-10 SU in final away games. Meanwhile, Colts QB Andrew Luck is 20-3 lifetime SU/ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including 12-0 SU/ATS against a below .500 opponent. Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | Clippers +5 v. Thunder | 88-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Clippers come into Saturday's contest having lost five straight games, including Friday's 140-116 setback to the Houston Rockets. The team has struggled because of exhaustion, and an adjustment to some injuries. However, this Clippers team must not be underestimated and still pose a threat to opponents, expecially when they get into desperation mode. I know Oklahoma City is playing fairly well, and have super star Westbrook on their side, but he has a tendency to lose his temper, as is evident by 10 technical fouls so far this season. Disciplined teams like LAC, know how to aggrevate a guy like this, and make life difficult for him , taking flow away from a team that depends far to much on their one man band. With that said, Im betting on the Clippers getting us the cover in this spot. It must be noted that the L/3 meetings in this series have been decided by 2 points. Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | Pepperdine v. Portland -5.5 | 60-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Pepperdine enters this road game in a let down situation after getting clobbered by Gonzaga last time out. The Wave exerted alot of energy in that game and still lost 92-62 as 24 point dogs. Now going against a Portland hoops program that has owned them of late- winning 3 straight in this series and 2 straight here as hosts, and a overall 5-0 ATS L/5 record in this series Im betting on the home team getting it done again. College Hoops Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Portland - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a lower tier defensive team (78 PPG or more) are a bankroll expanding 42-12 ATS for their betting backers for a 78% conversion rate. |
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12-31-16 | Gonzaga -17.5 v. Pacific | 81-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
12-31-16 | Ohio State v. Clemson +3.5 | Top | 0-31 | Win | 100 | 56 h 24 m | Show |
PLAYSTATION FIESTA BOWL - Univ of Phoenix Stadium - Phoenix, AZ Alot has been made of Ohio States HC Urban Meyers 45-3 record with more than a week to prepare for an opponent, but what few are saying, is that Clemson handed Meyer one of those losses.  With that said, I expect QB Watson Heisman Trophy finalist who showed off his star abilities in last seasons national championship game when he smashed Alabama's vaunted defense for 405 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air to once again be the catalyst for a Clemson cover . Also look for the Tigers to use the Northwestern successful blueprint that was used earlier this season vs Ohio States assumed to be dominant secondary. On D, Im betting a Clemson side, that had 46 sacks (2nd in the nation) to give Ohio States offense enormous trouble. HC Swinney of Clemson is 8-0 ATS L/8 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season and is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. Play on the Clemson  TOP SELECTION - Bowl Game of the Year |
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12-31-16 | Cavs v. Hornets | 121-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers enter this tilt vs the Charlotte Hornets winning eight of their last 10 games . The Cavs swept the two home games against Charlotte in Cleveland this season,and overall the Cavs have won eight of the last nine games in this series since James returned to Cleveland. The Cavs during that winning run have beaten Charlotte by an average of 9.6 points in the eight victories.CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, which has just happened. CLEVELAND is 26-11 ATS L/37 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days . Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | Morehead State +3 v. Tennessee-Martin | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
12-31-16 | San Francisco -1 v. Santa Clara | 58-72 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
12-31-16 | Appalachian State +4 v. Texas State | 58-67 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
Kaspar is 7-16 ATS  versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game  like App State. Play on App St to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -13.5 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
12-31-16 | Utah State +2 v. Air Force | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The Falcons have lost 7 of their L/9, and have not faired well against decent teams. Meanwhile, Utah State has lost 2 in a row, but have played a higher quality opponent and are very ready to compete and win here.  Utah State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. AIR FORCE is 2-12 ATS L/14 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -2 | 69-54 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS L/6 at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and s 0-6 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Florida Atlantic is 5-0 ATS L/5 meetings and my own propietary prgrams suggest that they win and cover again. Florida Atlantic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-31-16 | LSU v. Louisville +3.5 | 29-9 | Loss | -115 | 452 h 14 m | Show | |
BUFFALO WILD WINGS CITRUS BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL |
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12-31-16 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Georgia Tech | 18-33 | Loss | -115 | 452 h 14 m | Show | |
TAXSLAYER BOWL - Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL |
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12-30-16 | Mavs +18.5 v. Warriors | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas looked tenacious in a come from behind victory vs the LA Lakers last night, and will be playing a back-to-back for the seventh time this season when it faces the explosivrWarriors this Friday night. The Mavericks have lost on the second night on all six previous occasions, falling by an average of 14.5 points, but the linesmakers, have decided, that a premium should be added in here because of facing their facing Dubs. Im personally betting this line is slightly bloated, and gives us a slight mathematical edge against the number from an underdog perspective. Also from a league wide NBA trend, it must be noted, that NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - a top tier 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better conversion rate) against a lower tier 3PT defense (36.5% or less), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier rebounding team (5.5 reb/game or less pg) are just 13-45 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate. So with that said, lets not underestimate the Mavs abilities to cover this number. With Dallas, playing solid D, lately, and the fact that they are 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games , Im recommending we take the points. Note: Golden State has failed to cover 7 of their L/11 overall. Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | 76ers +11.5 v. Nuggets | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Denver enters this tilt against lowly Philadelphia playing decent basketball at the moment , winning 5 of their L/7, but Im still not personally sold on them yet, especially from a bettors viewpoint after they failed to cover four straight games. In recent meetings, the Sixer have covered 3 of the L/4 matchups and 2 straight here in Denver, and Im betting they make a game out of this tilt, and get us the cover in the Mile High City. DENVER is 5-19 ATS L/24 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS L/26 in road games after playing a game as a road underdog.  Play on the 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | Bucks v. Wolves | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this game against Milwaukee continuing find ways to lose, thanks to an inability to pace themselves. This has been evident by losing 10 games so far this season, after at some point in those losses leading by 10 or more points. Until they address their conditioning issues, they remain fade material. I know the Bucks also have their own problems, holding leads, but from a player matchup viewpoint have an edge in this matchup. In the Bucks last trip to the hardwood vs Detroit last time out, they pulled off a 119-94 win and have momentum entering this tilt. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bucks - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 34-9 ATS dating back 20 seasons. MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS L/52 in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season like the Bucks and are 1-8 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season.MINNESOTA is 6-21 ATS L/27 in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season. MILWAUKEE is 23-9 ATS L/32 in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games, which has just happened. Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | Pistons +3 v. Hawks | 98-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Earlier this month the Detroit Pistons smashed the Atlanta Hawks 121-85. and showed me they matchup well in head to head competitions. I know the Motown crew have not played well of late, and Atlanta has been playing better overall since that last meeting. However, with that said, their are constants that can not be ignored, which include style and player to player matchup descrepencies. I expect HC Van Gundy of the Pistons will know exactly how to neutralize Atlanta center Dwight Howard, whom he previously coached at Orlando. Also by recommending we take the points with Detroit tonight, Im also betting that the Hawks will be tired after their brutally physical battle with the NY knicks last time out. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS in home games in December games this season. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | Clippers v. Rockets -5 | 116-140 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Clippers are an elite team , but their dealing with some injury problems at the present time, which hinders thier progression, as is evident by losing four straight games. With G Chris Paul nursing a nagging injury, and playing limited minutes, and JJ Redick sidelined recently because of hamstring problems, and Blake Griffin still out with recurring injury problems, this banged up crew does not have the same bang for a bettors buck as they did earlier this season. Thus going up against a top tier team, like Houston , makes for an opportunity to fade the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Rockets are a team that consisently come out on fire and try to take substanial leads, so they can rest players later in games, which makes them even more dangerous because of how fresh they are in closing out games as well. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force -13 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 385 h 16 m | Show | |
NOVA HOME LOANS ARIZONA BOWL - Arizona Stadium - Tucson, AZ The Air Force Falcons finished their season with an overall record of 9-3 and enter their Bowl game on an impressive 5-game winning streak and will ride that momentum into this tilt. Offensively, the Falcons were led by their rushing attack that ranked 3rd in the country,and will take advantage of a team that depends on their defense to be competitive but allowed and average of 36.7 ppg in their L/3 games. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games overall S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game by an average of 20.7 ppg. S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games and 4-15 ATS L/19 in the second half of the season. College Football teams like Air Force - excellent rushing team (4.8 YPR or more) against a terrible rushing defense (4.8 YPR or more) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight game are 36-9 ATS L/45. Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | Nebraska +3 v. Tennessee | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 574 h 2 m | Show | |
FRANKLIN AMER. MORT. MUSIC CITY BOWL - Nissan Stadium - Nashville, TN From a power ranking standpoint in a cross conference reference guide I have created for Bowl season, tells me a story of an under appreciated Nebraska side, that looked tired in the later part of the this season. Now rejuvenated I look for them to give an extremely inconsistent Tennessee team a real run for the money in the Music City Bowl and get us the cover. Nebraska's HC Riley is 21-8 ATS L/29 when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest. All College Football teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Volunteers - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are just 7-31 ATS L/38 dating back to the 2011 campaign. Play on Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | North Carolina +3 v. Stanford | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 236 h 24 m | Show | |
 updte: Stanfords Christian McCaffrey expected to miss Friday vs. North Carolina ( Personal NC HC Fedora is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game in all games he has coached .N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS L/9 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons. College Football teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Stanford - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, in non-conference games are just 5-26 ATS dating back 10 seasons, for a go against conversion rate of 83%. Play on the North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-30-16 | TCU +1 v. Georgia | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 429 h 13 m | Show | |
AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL - Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN- TCU vs Georgia -Â |
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12-29-16 | Mavs +2.5 v. Lakers | 101-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Los Angeles enters this game in a funk after having dropped five of its last six and 13 of 15 games in December and once again look like fade material vs a hard working Dallas team , that despite of a ugly road record, have already recorded an away win vs the Lakers this season by a 109-97 count back on Nov8. A  lack of solid Defense has haunted the young Lakers this season, as is evident by ranking 27th in points allowed with 110.3 ppg and last in opponents' field-goal shooting at 47.8 percent before Wednesday's games. The Lakers also rank 25th in turnovers at 15.3 per game and once again I feel they are not sharp and sinking further in the abyss. I must also be noted that Dallas does their best work vs below .500 oppoents as their 14-1 SU record vs losing sides indicates. LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS L/8 off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog and are are 3-17 ATS L/20 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. Dallas has won 5 straight meetings in LA. Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Northern Colorado +3.5 v. CS Sacramento | 69-53 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
SACRAMENTO ST is 1-7 ATS L/8 in all games this season and is 4-13 ATS L/17 after a game where they made 78% of their free throws. Play on N.Colorado to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -24 | 62-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Pepperdine enters its West Coast Conference opener  against one of the most explosive teams in the Country Gonzaga on a seven-game losing streak and are  without two of its top players because of injuries and once again look like cannon fodder. Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Thunder v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies own a solid 20-14 SU record despite of playing without the injured Mike Conley, Zach Randolph, Chandler Parsons and Vince Carter, thanks a tremendous work ethic and top tier defense. Even despite of a recent 4-6 record the last 10 games, the Grizz still have shown exceptional overall resiliency and character especially on defense as is evident by, allowing only 98.1 points per game -- fourth best in the league. Yes, the Grizz have struggled a little defensively of late, but are still very solid and can easily return to top form , when motivated, like they will be tonight. Now in comes, the streaking Oklahoma City Thunder who are on a 4 game winiing run. At first glance the line, because of this looks odd, because of all the media attention super star Wesbrook and the Thunder are getting. But the linesmakers make very few errors , and as can been seen have shaded in the home team as short favorites and rightly so in my betting opinion. MEMPHIS is 11-1 ATS L/11 in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more, which happened last time out. OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-13 ATS L/16 as a road underdog of 3 points or less. Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Kentucky v. Ole Miss +10.5 | 99-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Eighth-ranked Kentucky (10-2) opens Southeastern Conference Thursday when the Wildcats travel to Oxford to face Ole Miss (9-3).Im betting the difference maker as far as the line is considered, woll come via  a Ole Miss team that leads the SEC with a plus-6.6 rebounding margin, ranking second best in the league at 42 rebounds per game. The Rebels have out rebounded 11 of 12 opponents this year. OLE MISS is 38-19 ATS L/57 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct 80%). OLE MISS is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game .OLE MISS is 17-4 ATS L/21 as an underdog of 10 or more points. Play on Ole Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Southern Illinois -1.5 v. Bradley | 51-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
S ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons winning SU by an average of 17.4 ppg. S.Illinois HC Hinson is 20-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached. Play on Southern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Green Bay v. Cleveland State | 76-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Green Bay to cover  1 unit reg selectionÂ
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12-29-16 | Butler -9 v. St. John's | 73-76 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Butler (11-1) has recorded two top tier wins over No. 18 Arizona (69-65) and No. 16 Indiana (72-71) as well as knocking off then-No. 22 Cincinnati (72-65) so far this season. The Bulldogs have defeated their opponents by an average of 14.5 points and once again look like vialble favorites in this spot vs a below average St.Johns hoops program.. Road teams as an favorite or pick like Butler - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/game or more), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower, are 33-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate going back 20 seasons. Play on Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-29-16 | Tennessee +9.5 v. Texas A&M | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
TENNESSEE is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game and 12-4 ATS L/16 versus top tier teams like Texas A&M - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State +2 v. Texas A&M | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 532 h 49 m | Show | |
ADVOCARE V100 TEXAS BOWL - NRG Stadium - Houston, TX Im a big Bill Snyder fan , and will back his side here today, vs a downtrodden Texas A&M Aggies side, that had a disappointing year, after some great expectations. TEXAS A&M is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record and 1-8 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game like Kansas State.TEXAS A&M is 0-8 ATS L/8. Texas A&M HC Sumlin is 0-9 ATS L/10 off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival which happened against LSU last time out and 1-9 ATS L/10 against a top tier team with a win % of between .600 and ,750. Play on Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-28-16 | Nets +10 v. Bulls | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls are in a deep funk and find themselves buried deeply in skid that has seen them lose 6 of their L/7 games overall. They now face a Brooklyn team, that might seem like easy opponent to get back into the win column against. That might be true, in alot of ways, but I personally believe this line is bloated considering both sides current form. Recently the Nets played three straight games, against Golden State, Toronto and Cleveland, and after playing that very high level of competition went out and beat a decent Charlotte side last time out. Teams like the Nets searching for a winning identity, will benefit greatly from going against top tier teams repeatedly , and than when playing struggling teams will find the sledding much easier. So what Im betting on today, is for Brooklyn to make a game out and s they use their recent experiences from battling the leagues elite to their benefit in this tilt. From a long term league trends perspective it must be noted that NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points like the Bulls - exhausted team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are just 63-110 ATS for a go against betting conversion rate of 64%. CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS L/45 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-28-16 | Knicks +4 v. Hawks | 98-102 | Push | 0 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Atlanta and New York continue to play very inconsistent basketball , but one team according to current form and my own power rankings, has the advantage in this matchup. New York won the first game 104-94 on Nov. 20 at Madison Square Garden and matchs up very well vs Atlanta in a player to player discrepancy chart. NYK lost to Boston last time out 119-114, snapping a 2 game winning streak, but are a bankroll expanding 12-2 ATS L/14 after allowing 110 points and is 8-1 ATS L/9 after a game where both teams scored 105 points. Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-28-16 | Wichita State -10.5 v. Indiana State | 80-72 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
12-28-16 | Virginia +3.5 v. Louisville | 61-53 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
No. 6 Louisville will host No. 12 Virginia Wednesday night at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky., in the Atlantic Coast Conference opener for both teams.When Louisville and Virginia meet it is usually very physical and slow paced. The Cardinals and Cavaliers,  , have played four times the last two seasons.Average score Virginia 60, Louisville 50 and Im betting on Virginia having the edge again getting points.VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-28-16 | West Virginia +3 v. Miami (Fla) | 14-31 | Loss | -115 | 387 h 51 m | Show | |
RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL-West Virginia vs Miami |
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12-28-16 | Wake Forest +8 v. Florida State | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
Seminoles 12-1SU had an amazing non conference record, but Im betting they wont be as dominating, in the ACC opener Wednesday at home against Wake Forest Demon Deacons team, which has won four of its last five and is coming off a 110-76 smash down of LSU on Dec. 22. Wake Forest is led offensively by 6-foot-10 sophomore John Collins, who averages 17.3 points and 10.4 rebounds and Im betting he's the catalyst behind a Deacons covers in this spot. HC Manning of Wake Forest is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in all game. Florida St HC Hamilton is 12-33 ATS L/45 after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-27-16 | Baylor +8.5 v. Boise State | 31-12 | Win | 100 | 394 h 10 m | Show | |
MOTEL 6 CACTUS BOWL - Chase Field - Phoenix, AZ Baylor vs Boise State Im betting Baylor pounds away with their ground game against Boise State, and take advantage of a program that has not faired well against teams that can move the chains consistently on the ground, going just 3-12 ATS L/15 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing or more yards/carry . Boise State in their L/game of the season, lost 27-20 to Air force, and have shown a propensity to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel at key junctures of games this season. Look for Baylor to lull their opponents to sleep with a slow methodical approach and pace. Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection  |
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12-27-16 | Rockets -1.5 v. Mavs | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
 Houston enters this road game vs Dallas with a 12-2 SU record in its past 14 games. The Rockets saw their 10-game winning streak end on Dec. 20 with a 102-100 home loss to the San Antonio Spurs and are 2-1 since and Im betting they now start to roll again behind an explosive lineup. Meanwhile, Dallas, despite of being competitive against lower tier teams, are just 1-14 SU this season vs a above .500 teams , and have lost both meetings to the Rockets this season. HOUSTON is 16-4 ATS L/20 versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - allowing 99+ points/game this season, winning SU by 13.2 ppg and averaging 119 ppg in offense. It must be noted that DALLAS is 0-11 ATS when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season and have lost by an average of 16.7 ppg. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Play as high as -6. |
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12-27-16 | Illinois +4 v. Maryland | 59-84 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
Both these teams are playing at a very high level, with Illinois winning 6 straight and Maryland on a 5 game win streak. According to my own proprietary systems the Terps should only be a 1 point favorites, thus giving us value on this line in a game that should be very very close. MARYLAND is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after a win by 15 points or more dating back to last season.ILLINOIS is 10-1 ATS L/11 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-26-16 | 76ers +9.5 v. Kings | 100-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
It seems the pudits are all giddy, after the Sacramento Kings won their third game in a row. With their super star Cousins under the microscope for another one of his patented tirades, Cousins with a chip on his shoulder came out like a whirlwind, and has helped his team look good of late averaging 36 ppg. But , Im throwing up a caution flag , caveat emptor for Kings bettors buying into their recent successes, as this team over the last few years, almost always finds a way to crash and burn, and what a perfect spot for them to do so, here against a team Im betting they over look, the rebuilding and down trodden Philadelphia 76ers.  76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Pacific.Kings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Kings are 19-40-2 ATS in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.. 76ers are 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Sacramento. Play on Philadlphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-26-16 | Pacers +2 v. Bulls | 85-90 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Indiana has lost two straight and have yet to lose three straight during this current campaign and will primed to make sure that does not happen tonight as they face the very inconsistent Chicago Bulls. Note: NBA teams -Favorites like the Bulls - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 20-44 ATS since the 2011 campaign. Meanwhile, the Bulls have lost three straight and 6 of their L/7 overall and are on tired legs after traveling to Texas to play the San Antonio Spurs on Christmas Day. Chicago has really struggled with their flow on offense, as is evident by not eclipsing the 100 point plateau in 5 of their L/7, and this will be their downfall tonight . INDIANA is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. division opponents.CHICAGO is 14-26 ATS 40 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-26-16 | Hawks v. Wolves +1 | 90-104 | Win | 102 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Alanta enters this game getting alot of respect from the linesmakers, despite of looking like they did not mathup well against Minnesota the last time they met, in Georgia back on Dec 21, losing 92-84. My own propietary programs make Minnesota a -3 favorite here, and Im betting they take this game by at least that amount tonight. ATLANTA is 9-20 ATS L/29 after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, which happened in a upset win last time out vs Denver.  NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Hawks - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss against a division rival have failed to covered 23 of the L25 times dating back to the 2011 campaign.  Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-25-16 | San Francisco +5 v. San Diego State | 48-62 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
SF has won 10 of their L/12 and has really been playing some tremendous basketall with a never say die type of attitude attached to their wins and losses. The two losses have come by 6 and 4 points respectively and Im betting they will be competetive again today vs a slightly over rated SD State side, that is not playing at the same level as their opponents at the moment. Neutral court teams as an underdog like SF - after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 31-7 ATS L/38 for a 82% conversion rate dating back to the 2011 campiagn. San Diego is 2-11 ATS L/13 December games dating back three seasons.  Play on San Francisco to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Chiefs | 10-33 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 23 m | Show | |
 Kansas City enters this game having to take on a defending Super Bowl Champion that needs to win or a chance at a play off spot. It must be noted that defending chmaps have only failed to cover 2 of their L13 as underdogs off consecutive losses, which they have just endured and 4-0-1 ATS L/5 under those peremiters. Meanwhile, the Chiefs in my humble opinion are over rated and despite of being 10-4 are just 4-10 in the stats battles in those tilts, and are fortunate to have their current winning record. Im going against a KC side, that is producing ugly offensive numbers as they are No. 23 in offensive yards per game (331.4) and ranks 15th in points with an average of 22.8 points per game. They are No. 27 on third downs (34.8 percent) and No. 27 in the red zone (44.4 percent.) Meanwhile, the The Broncos are own one of the NFLs best Ds, allowing 310.9 yards per game (No. 2) and only 183 passing yards (No. 1). They are fourth in fewest points allowed, at an average of 18.4 points per game. Denver has won its lat two visits here and will take the cash for us again. Play on Denver to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-24-16 | Dolphins +5 v. Bills | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
Even without quarterback Ryan Tannehill, the Miami Dolphins remain a team that is finding ways to win. These types of tenacious teams are always good bets. The Dolphins (9-5) have won eight of their last nine games and control their fate in the AFC wild-card race and despite of not always looking pretty on the NFL Sunday stage, have muscled their way into a possible play off spot. Yes, I know Miami has not won in Buffalo since 2011, but interim QB Matt Moore was the Dolphins' quarterback for that game and has the experience needed to guide this Fins team to a cover and possible upset in Buffalo this Saturday.Miami relied on its running game to come back and beat Buffalo, 28-25, at home in Week 8, and Im betting RB Jay Ajayi who had 214 of the Dolphins' 256 rushing yards to be the catalyst again. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Fins - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season are 20-10 ATS or a 66% conversion rate. The Bills are 0-14 ATS as a favorite over a divisional opponent after a double-digit win as a favorite in which they had fewer than ten incompletions.  Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-24-16 | Redskins v. Bears +3 | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Washington has lost three of its past four games and look like very weak favorites this week vs a Chicago Bears team that has been fiesty of late despite of a ugly over all record. Quote: "Our guys keep believing," said Bears quarterback Matt Barkley, who will make his fifth start in place of injured teammates Jay Cutler and Brian Hoyer. "They never count themselves out. (It's important) just to keep that positive attitude in the huddle and keep that positive attitude on the sideline to know that we're still in it." ED QUOTE. I know QB Cousins of Washington is dangerous and explosive with a healthy WR Reed taking catches, but Reeds been hampered by a sore shoulder. Also the Bears pass D, is solid, as they counter with an above-average pass rush that features three players with at least seven sacks.  CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS L/7 vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att and 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play .CHICAGO is 11-0 ATS L/11 off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog, which happened against GB last week and is 11-2 ATS L/13 after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-24-16 | Titans v. Jaguars +5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
acksonville looks to spoil the Tennessee Titans current run towards a post season slot. Jacksonville has lost 9 straight, and this past Sunday fired Gus Bradley. But are still capable of packing a punch vs a Titans side that might be looking towards next week finale vs the Houston Texans.Titans coach Mike Mularkey had one consistent repeat message for his club this week: Don't overlook the Jacksonville Jaguars, but that 's easier said than done. I know the Jags don't give alot of betting backers confidence, and have some injuries and a new coach, but the lines-makers, despite of all this still only make the visiting Titans 4.5 point favorites and for good reason. It must also be noted they last time interim head coach Marrone coached back in 2014/14 he, was 5-0 ATS off consecutive losses and the Jags are a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 final home games of the season. Jacksonville Jaguars to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-23-16 | Heat +5 v. Pelicans | 87-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Heat enter this game against the Pelicans having swept the season series against New Orleans last year, winning 94-88 in overtime on Christmas Day , and took a 113-99 victory in New Orleans on March 22. I know that the Heat have a different makeup now, but what is important from a matchup perspective is that in the two victories against New Orleans, Hassan Whiteside averaged 16.0 points on .722 shooting, 15.5 rebounds and 3.5 block, and is expected to be in the lineup for Miami tonight. I know the Pelicans Anthony Davis is a great talent, but he cannot carry the Pelicans to wins all by himself, and with that said, Ill take the hard working Heat to get us the cover vs an exhausted one man band. ( NBA Home favorites like the Pelicans - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days are just 38-74 ATS over an extended 20 season sample size , for a solid go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors. MIAMI is 9-0 ATS L/9 after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games dating back to last season. New Orleans is 11-22 ATS as a favorite dating back to last season. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-23-16 | Lakers +5.5 v. Magic | 90-109 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are playing their worst basketball at home in front o their own fans, where they own a lowly 5-10 record at the Amway Center and have lost 7 straight here. Thats not a good omen for a Orlando team that fell asleep at the proverbial wheel in a loss to the New York Knicks 106-95 at Madison Square Garden on Thursday night Meanwhile, young and well conditioned Los Angeles will play the second night of a back-to-back to close out a seven-game road trip that started in Sacramento on Dec. 12. Needless to say this team is hungry and should give it their all tonight vs a team they matchup well against. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-23-16 | Georgia v. Oakland +2 | 79-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
This Oakland basketball program is the most under rated in the nation according to my own power rankings. The linesmakers agree with my assessments as they go against a SEC team ( Georgia ). With the Bulldogs coming off a big win vs GTech last time out, they could easily be in a letdown situation, vs a side that looks at this game as very important.OAKLAND is 20-7 ATS L/27 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game.GEORGIA is 2-9 ATS L/11 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less like Oakland.OAKLAND is 22-8 ATS L/30 as an underdog over the last few seasons. |
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12-22-16 | North Carolina-Asheville +14 v. Ohio State | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
UNC Asheville has won 8 of their L/10 , while Ohio State , has alternated wins and losses over their L/7 games, and are off a win last time out. Ohio States HC Matta is 8-18 ATS L/26 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game.  UNC Asheville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-22-16 | San Diego +6 v. North Texas | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
San Diego enters this game having won 4 straight, and 6 of their L/8 games overall, with the two very competitive losses coming against NM State and USC. Meanwhile, N.Texas has won 5 of their L/7, but their competition was not of the same calibre San Diego faced. My own propietary programs make N.Texas very weak favorites, and I won't be surprised by an out right upset. But with that said, the safest bet is to take the points. N TEXAS is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and 0-9 ATS L/9 after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons .SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons and from a long term perspective, 42-22 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. Play on San Diego to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-22-16 | Wright State +6.5 v. Murray State | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
 HC Scott Nagy is 8-4 at Wright State and 418-244 in 22 seasons overall and must never be underestimated. This is a top tier coach who gets the most out o his teams. The Raiders are shooting 40.4 percent on 3-pointers, which is the 28th-best mark nationally, and Im betting that will be the difference maker today vs a fast paced Murray program. Take the points with Wright State to cover 1 uniyt reg selection |
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12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers +1.5 | 109-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston beat Indiana 105-99 here at home back on Dec 12, and now have revenge on board here tonight and I am betting they get it. I know Boston has won three straight but they are far from consistent and has not won more than 3 games in row during the current campaign. Meanwhile, Indiana always seems to play their best hoops at home where they own a 11-4 SU mark, and must be respected playing as hosts on their own court. INDIANA is 15-5 ATS L/20 in home games revenging a same season loss. INDIANA is 35-22 ATS L/57 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pacers - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are a bankroll expanding 23-6 ATS for a 79% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. From a trend anomaly stand point it must be noted that the Celtics have lost 6 straight thursday night games. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho +15 | 50-61 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these teams enter this tilt on 7-0 ATS runs. Colorado State , however, finished their season with a 63-31 smash down of Mountain West ChampsSan Diego State, and have been made hefty favorites in part for the aforementioned win. Meanwhile, Idaho is still no push over, and are being disrespected by the linesmakers in this spot. Yes, I do know Colorado State showed off an explosive offense, during their campaign, but The Idaho defense limited three of its last four opponents to 14 or fewer points. |
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12-22-16 | Southern Miss v. San Diego State -19.5 | 51-66 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Southern Miss were clobbered by 22 points or more in 3 of their L/ 5 games. and today against San Diego State look very much like canon fodder again as my own numbers make the Aztecs 24.5 point favs, thus giving us value on the line! |
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12-22-16 | Siena +2.5 v. Hofstra | 64-84 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
These teams are evenly matched , as the lines-makers estimate and I will not be surprised if this goes down to the final buzzer and Siena notches the SU win. HOFSTRA is 4-16 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Siena.SIENA is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. HOFSTRA is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games after scoring 80 points or more 0-6 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more. Siena to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-22-16 | IUPU Ft Wayne -9 v. Detroit | 93-86 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
DETROIT is 1-11 ATS L/12 versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. IUPU-FT WAYNE is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. Play on IPFW Wayne to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-22-16 | Canisius +11 v. St Bonaventure | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Canisius has won 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, St.Bonaventure has won 7 of their L/8. HC Witherspoon of Canisius is 9-0 ATS L/9 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games. CANISIUS is 47-24 ATS L/71 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. CANISIUS is 17-3 ATS L/20 in a road game where the total is 150 to 159.5 . ST BONAVENTURE is 8-19 ATS L/27 as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and s 8-23 ATS L/30 in home games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. Play on Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Rockets v. Suns +6 | 125-111 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Houston has played at a very high level for a long time, and previous to last nights heart breaking loss to San Antonio 102-100, had won 10 straight behind a take no prisoners offense. But now in a emotional letdown state, and pretty well exhausted after exerting all that energy during that above mentioned run, a down performance by the Rockets seems like a high probability event tonight in Phoenix. HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS L/22 after a division game and are just 14-25 ATS L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play on the Suns  to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Arkansas State +5 v. Alabama | 52-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas State enters this game against Alabama winning 9 of their L/10 games, and will not be dealt a loss easily. Meanwhile, Alabama is a program that does not inspire me at the moment, especially when going over some their performance stats against lower tier teams like St.Louis. Play on Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Thunder -2 v. Pelicans | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The king of the triple double Russell Westbrook and his Oklahoma City Thunder go into the Bayou tonight to take on the New Orleans Pelicans. Westbrook is averaging 30.9 points (first in the NBA), 10.9 assists (second) and 10.5 rebounds (13th) and Im betting he will once again be a catalyst for a Thunder win and cover here this evening. The Thunder took down the Pelicans 101-92 in Oklahoma City on Dec. 4 with Westbrook recording his fifth consecutive triple-double (28 points, 17 rebounds and 12 assists) and a similar rinse and repeat scenario is on tonights agenda. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Pelicans - off a road win, (which happened against the lowly 76ers las time out) a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. are just 21-54 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate, . Play on the Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Wizards v. Bulls -4 | 107-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Washington's been playing better of late, but did have a three game win streak end last time out against Indiana, with a last second score sinking their ship . That heart breaking event I'm betting will have a tired Wizards team playing their 7th game 11 days in a letdown situation this Wednesday vs a Chicago team trying to keep some momentum alive after a conclusive 113-82 victory over the Detroit Pistons on Monday night. I know the Bulls have been disappointing so far this season , but they do have wins, against San Antonio and upstart Detroit at home of late and must not be underestimated when hosting in the United Center as short favorites. (Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Drexel +2 v. Quinnipiac | 91-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
My own proprietary programs make Drexel a slight favorite here. Also according to my matchup discrepancy charts Drexel has the edge QUINNIPIAC is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%)DREXEL is 39-16 ATS L/54 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). Drexel to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-21-16 | Illinois -7 v. Missouri | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
llinois is coming off impressive win over a top tier BYU team last time out and that momentum will carry over into this rivalry game against Mizzou tonight. ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS L/10 after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games which just happened. ILLINOIS is 11-3 ATS L/14 versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots. MISSOURI is 6-17 ATS L/23 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) .  Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Nuggets +9 v. Clippers | 102-119 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Blake Griffin hurt again, which is bad news for the Los Angeles Clippers as they begin a three-game homestand Tuesday night against the Denver Nuggets who are on a three game winning streak.Griffin's loss occurs at a time when the Clippers aren't playing well as they are just 6-6 .500 during their L/12 tilts.Meanwhile, visiting Denver, is currently playing at a high level, which is evident by averaging 125.3 points during their streak. For the season, Denver is scoring 107.4 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the NBA, which makes them dangerous as underdogs of this magnitude. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Nuggets - averaging 7 or less steals/game on the season, first half of the season are 99-64 ATS for a 61% conversion rate. DENVER is 14-4 ATS L/18 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game and 14-4 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season and 23-12 ATS L/35 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game.DENVER is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games, and 11-1 ATS L/12 in road games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS L/18 off an upset loss as a road favorite which happened against the Wizards last time out. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Blazers -1 v. Kings | 121-126 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are not looking good, and their top player Cousins continues to be a walking media freak show with bizarre tirades that are well documented during his career. The Kings were punished in their last outing by a short handed Dallas side, by a 99-79 count on Sunday. The Kings own the leagues worst record, and things are spiraling out of control. I know the Blazers have not been playing great basketball, and have not lived up to expectations this season, but are more than capable of downing a downtrodden side like the Kings, whether talented or temperamental Cousins plays or not ( possible suspension). SACRAMENTO is 9-19 ATS L/28 in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game dating back to last season. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Spurs +1 v. Rockets | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Spurs enter into this game having responded well to their first road loss of the season on Dec. 8 at Chicago with four consecutive wins by an average margin of 16 points per game .Spurs remain one of the front runners for a league championship if they remain healthy, ranking in the top 10 in both offensive (sixth) and defensive (fourth) rating categories. Meanwhile, the Rockets are also red hot after claiming their 10th consecutive victory on Saturday night in a come from behind victory . They looked completely out of gas, before of gearing up into over drive and getting the victory. Now, the Rockets will have an extremely hard time continuing to play at a very high level vs a side that can take their flow away. Its hard for any team to run and gun for a such a long time, as the Rockets have and its not uncommon for such teams to hit a wall. That's what I am betting on happening tonight against the Spurs of San Antonio. It must also be noted that the loss of center Clint Capela for the Rockets, who suffered a left knee contusion against the Timberwolves, will also effect the chemistry of the Rockets . |
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12-20-16 | Northern Arizona +10 v. Illinois-Chicago | 65-75 | Push | 0 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Dikembe Dixson out for season ( ACL ) which is a key loss for Il Chicago. Their only game without him so far, saw them lose ,81-75 to Loyola Illinois. N ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.IL-CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS L/28 after a non-conference games. N.Arizona HC Murphy is 12-1 ATS L/13 in road games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds .McClain is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. Play on Northern Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Magic +3.5 v. Heat | 136-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Both Orlando and Miami do not inspire bettors , but Orlando is the superior side at the moment. Heat are just 2-7 SU in their L/9 and continue to be hampered by injuries, but even when healthy don't look to be a play off team. In a battle of bottom feeders, the visitor has the edge. Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Heat - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 9-34 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign. Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Memphis +5 v. Western Kentucky | 31-51 | Loss | -110 | 294 h 23 m | Show | |
BOCA RATON BOWL - FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL Memphis vs W.Kentucky Alot has been said about Western Kentucky, and its explosive offense, but their achillies heel is their defense that was torched by LA Tech twice this season for 50 plus points. I know the Toppers D numbers are stable, but that was against weak  to average opposition. Im betting that's going to be the Hilltoppers demise this week, vs a Memphis side ranked 17th in scoring offense (39.5 points per game) finished its season with a 48-44 upset over 18th-ranked Houston. The Tigers are led by junior QB Riley Ferguson, who compiled a amazing 152.2 passing rating (28 TDs, 3,326 yards). This will be a back and forth affair, but the Tigers will make a few more key stops that will be the difference maker today Play on the Memphis Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-20-16 | Northern Illinois +2 v. South Florida | 59-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
My own numbers make N. Illinois the favorite here by 3 points.S FLORIDA is 7-23 ATS L/30 in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 and is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. HC S.Florida Anntigua is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games in non-conference games and is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-19-16 | Pistons +3 v. Bulls | 82-113 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Detroit enters this game against Chicago off getting upset last time out as 4.5 point favortites vs Indiana by a 105-90 count. The team looked tired but after a couple days rest should be refueled and ready to come up with a big bounce back effort. It must be noted that HC Stan VanGundys Motown crew is 11-1 ATS in road games of an upset loss of 15 points or more as favorite . Meanwhile, the Chicago Bulls have lost three straight games, thanks in part to a struggling offense that has not score more than 97 points in those three games, and that has not eclipsed that output in 6 of their L/8. Tonight against a usually responsible Pistons defense, more problems shout be expected. Detroit beat Chicago 102-91 last time they met, on Dec 6th and have covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Windy City and look like viable wagering options again in this matchup. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection  |
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12-19-16 | South Dakota State +2 v. Drake | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
S.Dakota State enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 SU and two straight. Meanwhile, Drake has lost 7 straight games. These teams are currently operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Wins obviously don't come easily for Drake, and if they notch one here tonight,taking the points Im betting will be golden. My own numbers make S.Dakota State the favorite, thus according to these numbers the value rides with the road dog. DRAKE is 12-22 ATS L/34 dating back to last season.S DAKOTA ST is 23-10 ATS versus lower teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. College Hoops Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Drake - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are just 5-24 ATS going back to the 2011 season. South Dakota State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-19-16 | Wizards +6 v. Pacers | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
The Wizards are currently in top form, winning their last three games and five of their last six after a slow start to the season including last nights victory vs the LA Clippers by a 117-110 count. Now playing on back to back nights, and in a letdown spot off of late nights win, the lines-makers have shaded them in a 6 points dogs vs a side that has played well at home during the current campaign. Empirical thinking might have some leaning to the Pacers, but in my usual contrarian fashion, I'm looking at the dog in this spot. Washington is currently playing at a very high level, and running on high octane fuel like they are now, and looking like a play off team, Â I am betting they wont be easily disposed of.. Meanwhile the Pacers have shown a propensity to crash in burn on a fairly consistent basis. Â Yes, Indiana did win last time out but are just 1-4 ATS L/5 after a SU win. Â Wizards are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.Road team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.Underdog is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings.Pacers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Raiders -3 v. Chargers | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 53 h 34 m | Show | |
The Oakland Raiders visit the San Diego Chargers in a game that will feature two to the best QBs in the NFL. The Chargers Philip Rivers and Raiders Derek Carr. Both teams have offensive weapons, but Im betting on the Raiders being able to make a few more key stops, to pull off a victory here this Sunday. Chargers HC McCoy is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game, like the Raiders losing SU by an average of 8.9 ppg. SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. OAKLAND is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games against conference opponents. Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Saints +3 v. Cardinals | 48-41 | Win | 100 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week 26-23 in heart breaking fashion, the Arizona Cards are now out of the running for a post season birth and come home in a big time letdown situation. Now enters Drew Brees and the leagues No. 1-rated offense of the Saints, who are averaging 418.3 yards per game. I know Arizona has put big defensive numbers up this season, but they are dealing with some injury issues, and as mentioned above a motivational issue this week. Arizona has also failed to cover 4 straight final home games of the season and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 overall. NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS L/17 as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites Cardinals - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are a bankroll depleting 15-44 ATS in their followup for a 75% go against conversion rate on the line. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Kings v. Mavs -1 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Sacramento came into Dallas on Dec 7 and smacked the  Mavs with a 120-89 loss. Needless to say, the Mavericks will be primed to hand out some paybak, despite of being short handed. The Kings are coming off a upset win last time out vs  Memphis as underdogs , but their inconsistencies are well documented  as they they are led by a eraddict super star by the name of Cousins, who despite of his great talents can really stymie the flow of his team with bizarre tyrads against anyone and everyone. ( Cousins may miss today because of suspension, but his prescense is less than a positive for a team that lacks stability) DALLAS is 10-1 ATS L/11 in home games on Sunday games dating bakc 3 seasons. All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are just 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game for a go against conversion rate of 79% . Play on Dallas to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-18-16 | Gonzaga -10 v. Tennessee | 86-76 | Push | 0 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Gonzaga is on a big time 10-0 run behind an offense that is averaging 82.7 ppg and a defense that has allowed just 63.1 ppg. They go against a mediocre Tennessee Vols hoops program that can also score but the difference maker comes in transition and defense, where Gonzaga out shines the Vols. This will be the difference maker today, and what I am betting will be a subsequent cover for Gonzaga.
Play on Gonzaga to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Clippers v. Wizards +5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards are finally starting to look balanced thanks to their offense and defense clicking at the same time. The Wizards are currently playing with confidence as they have won 4 of their L/5 and have covered 4 straight at home. Meanwhile the Clippers despite of winning four straight have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 games, and are just 2-5 ATS L/7 on the road and have failed to cover 8 of their L/9 against the Eastern Conference sides. Considering the current form of both sides from a wagering perspective, I will back the home underdog in this spot. ( The underdog has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings) LA CLIPPERS are 7-19 ATS L/26 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread and are are 11-27 ATS L/38 after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games which just happened! Play on Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Titans +5.5 v. Chiefs | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
Just one victory away from clinching a spot in the AFC playoffs, the Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. I am however, betting that win if they get it will come so easily. The 7-6 Titans will arrive in Kansas City with their postseason chances still alive and will play for their lives here today. I know the Titans QB Mariota is off a down game last time vs Denver, but the AFC's Offensive Player of the Month in November will bounce back in a big way. Last week, the Cheifs were lucky to stall the Raiders, in key red zone situations, but this week, they face a Tennessee side that owns the NFL's top offense in the red zone, scoring touchdowns on 71.4 percent of its 42 trips inside the 20-yard line . HC Reid of KC is 1-9 ATS in lifetime home games against AFC South division opponents. Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 12 m | Show | |
Cincinnati despite of suffering through a down year, have won and covered two straight, and have been very competitive in 6 straight games, losing by 1 , 4, and points in their losses. Today against their instate rivals the Steelers I expect we will see the very best of the Bengals, as they would love nothing more than to upset their play off expectations. PITTSBURGH is 5-16 ATS L/21 in road games after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games. CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS L/9 after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. The Bengals  are a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 home situations. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-18-16 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Texans | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston after suffering 3 straight losses snapped their losing streak with a 22-17 win vs the Indy Colts last week. Their running game and a grinding methodical effort got them to the promised land. But it must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game. I know Jacksonville may not inspire alot of bettors, but according to my own power ranking should only be 3 point dogs, here which gives us value on the line. Road underdogs or pick like the Jags - after 7 or more consecutive losses, in the second half of the season are 51-21 ATS for a massive 70% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | Evansville -9 v. Austin Peay | 77-69 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
EVANSVILLE is 13-2 ATS L/15 in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5. AUSTIN PEAY is 6-15 ATS L/21 in home lined games. Home teams as an underdog or pick like Austin Pea - a lower tier team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after a combined score of 155 points or more 2 straight games are just 17-46 ATS dating back 5 seasons. Evansville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | Marshall +8 v. Akron | 88-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Thundering Herd are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games, while akron has failed to cover 5 of their L/7.Marshall have two of the best players in the C-USA in Jon Elmore and Ryan Taylor and will be able to keep pace offensively, against a Akron side that had their flow muted in a 61-43 loss to Gonzaga last time out. Now after going out to the West coast and coming home with 6 days rest the Zips could show some rust. Marshall out scored Toledo 111-105 last time out.  MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals and is 15-6 ATS L/21 after a game where they covered the spread. Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis -5.5 v. Southern Utah | 101-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
OUTHERN UTAH is 6-15 ATS L/21versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and s 5-13 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season like IUPUI. SOUTHERN UTAH is 0-7 ATS L/7 after 2 straight games where they were called for 22 or more fouls losing SU by an average of 9.2 ppg. Last season IUPUI beat Southern Utah 82-68, with 3 returning starters in the lineup from last season, my own matchup discrepencies suggest another comfortable win.  IUPUI to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | Appalachian State v. Toledo -1 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 221 h 6 m | Show | |
CAMELLIA BOWL - Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL Toledo vs App State Both these teams are offensively capable, but according to my matchup analysis, the Rockets are better overall with their attack, and did their best work against superior opponents than the Mountaineers . Alot has been said, about App States D, but Toledo despite of being torched by a few explosive offenses, this season, are a stop unit that must not be under estimated. Appalachian State is 0-4 ATS in their last four games on field turf;TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS L/7 in non-conference games and 4-0-1 ATS L/5 vs Sun Belt opposition. Play on Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | Arkansas State +6 v. Central Florida | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 81 h 32 m | Show | |
AUTONATION CURE BOWL - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Arkansas State vs UCF - Arkansas State after a slow start to the season, really picked up alot of steam as the campaign progressed. On offense the Red Wolves have scored 30 or more in five of their last six games -- the only one without 30 points being the only loss in those six games. The Red Wolves defense was solid all season long, but got even better as the season progressed, and will give the Knights offense alot of problems. Meanwhile, UCF is 0-6 against Bowl teams this season and lost the stats war in 8 straight games to finish their campaign. Needless to say we have a bit of a false favorite scenario here. Note: The favorite has lost the L/4 UCF Bowl games.  Play on Arkansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -7 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
GILDAN NEW MEXICO BOWL - University Stadium - Albuquerque, NM New Mexico started the season very slowly but rebounded to go 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games to make a rare bowl appearance and will be pumped up to get a win.The Lobos have gotten to this point in the season behind a explosive top-ranked rushing attack. New Mexico, averaging 360.9 rushing yards per game, behind two 1000-yard rushers with Teriyon Gipson and Tyrone Owens, mowing over opposition defenses on a consistent basis .  The Lobos offense ranks No. 22-in the nation (37.83 PPG) against a UTSA Roadrunners defense that ranks No. 69 allowing an average of 28.33 PPG.  I expect the Lobos win this one with their rush attack by smashing and crashing and wearing down a UTSA Defense, that can be gashed for big yards . Hey guys, I know the Lobos D, is irrelevant and very porous, but New Mexico has found a way to win the war of attrition under similar circumstances this season, and will get the job done again in front of what should see them backed by a majority of the crowd in Albuquerque. CFB Home favorites like New Mexico  - excellent rushing team (4.8 YPR or more) against a team with a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games are 36-14 ATS dating back 24 years. |
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12-16-16 | Lakers -2 v. 76ers | 100-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Two teams struggling to keep their heads high, after very slow starts to their campaigns, go head to head tonight in the City of Brotherly Love as the Lakers visit the 76ers. After a promising start the Lakers have dropped eight straight games, and are desperate for a win, one I believe they can get tonight, vs a side they matchup well again, both form a physical and style of play standpoint. Meanwhile, while Philadelphia has covered 3 of their L/4 and recently notched back to back victories before losing last time out are a team in a emotional letdown spot after playing the Toronto Raptors hard in that above mentioned L. That makes the 76ers vulnerable to even hungrier team then themselves. NBA Road teams - where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - after 6 or more consecutive losses, a lower tier team (25% to 40%) playing another team with a below .500 record are bankroll expanding 26-7 ATS 79% for their betting backers. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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