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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-20-16 | Hawaii v. UC-Irvine -2.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a battle for first place in the Big West Conference and one of Irvine's biggest home games ever. A rare sellout crowd is expected. |
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02-20-16 | Warriors -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 115-112 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Golden State is the best team in basketball. The Warriors haven't dropped two in a row all season - and I don't see it happening here. The Warriors should be extremely focused and fired-up following a shocking 137-105 road loss to Portland Friday night. The Trail Blazers are tough at home and brought their "A" game. The Warriors were rusty and not as focused as they should have been coming off All-Star break. |
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02-18-16 | Jazz v. Wizards | Top | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
The Wizards started slow last season, but ended up finishing 10 games above .500, earned the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs and swept the Raptors in the first round. |
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02-17-16 | Houston -5 v. Tulane | Top | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Tulane is coming off a 94-87 overtime home win against Memphis as seven-point 'dogs. Does this suddenly make the Green Wave a good team? No. Tulane is six games under .500 on the season and just 3-10 in the Atlantic Athletic Conference despite that victory. The Green Wave are 1-6-1 ATS the past eight times they have gone against an opponent with a winning record. |
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02-16-16 | Ball State v. Miami (OH) +2.5 | Top | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Ball State is favored on the road for the first time since its opening away matchup back on Nov. 13 against Bradley, who beat the Cardinals, 54-53. The Red Hawks not only have revenge motivation but focus shouldn't be a problem either after they were embarrassed, 93-49, on the road against Toledo this past Saturday. Prior to that the Red Hawks had won and covered three of four, including the past two two. |
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02-15-16 | Oakland -1 v. Wright State | Top | 89-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At stake here is sole possession of second place in the Horizon League, which means a lot because the top two seeds in this conference tournament draw double byes. |
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02-14-16 | West -5 v. East | Top | 196-173 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show |
Normally I don't get involved with All-Star games, but this game is an exception. |
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02-14-16 | Bradley +18.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Illinois State is coming off three wins and covers, the last two as double-digit 'dog winners against MIssouri Valley Conference leader Wichita State at home - Â coming from 18 points down to do it - and winning at Evansville this past Thursday. The victory against Evansville moved Illinois State into second place in the league. Now the Redbirds get a well deserved home rest stop against Bradley, which is second-to-last in the conference. |
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02-13-16 | CS-Northridge +11 v. UC-Irvine | Top | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Cal-Northridge can't match Cal-Irvine's defense, but the Matadors average more points, shoot better from the floor and have a far better free throw percentage than Irvine. |
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02-11-16 | Pelicans v. Thunder -11.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
New Orleans doesn't have the defense to control the Thunder. The Pelicans rank 24th both in points allowed and defensive field goal percentage. Oklahoma City ranks No. 2 in the NBA in scoring at 109.9 points a game and has been averaging 112.4 points during its last 15 games. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are each playing at high levels and the Thunder have the big bodies in Serge Ibaka and Steven Adams to slow down Anthony Davis. Durant is averaging 36.3 points during his last three games. |
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02-10-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 134-139 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I like Brad Stevens a lot. But there exits a huge talent gap between Stevens' Celtics and the Clippers. LA has enough star power to go 18-4 despite not having Blake Griffin the last 22 games. The Clippers don't need Griffin to beat Boston on the road especially given the circumstances of the matchup. |
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02-09-16 | Wizards +2 v. Knicks | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
The Knicks are broke and interim coach Kurt Rambis isn't going to fix them. Rambis was horrible when he coached the Timberwolves from 2009 to 2011 and he takes over a bad situation that isn't likely to get resolved until next season, certainly not during the brief period before All-Star break. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +4.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 324 h 5 m | Show |
Five times Denver has been an underdog this season. Five times the Broncos have covered winning four of those games straight-up. |
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02-07-16 | Clippers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami is playing well and is healthier than it has been. However, the Clippers are a level higher and have been in Florida since Friday when they defeated the Magic, 107-93. So the Clippers shouldn't be bothered by the early start and difference in time. |
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02-04-16 | Texas State +8 v. Georgia State | Top | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is more than just a case of taking points in a matchup of two bad Sun Belt Conference teams. Both schools ranked in the top 25 in defense, but lack height and struggle to score while playing at a slow pace. |
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02-01-16 | Bulls +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-105 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
The Bulls are due to play better and Utah hasn't won three games in a row all season. |
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01-31-16 | Warriors -10 v. Knicks | Top | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I see a kill spot here for the Warriors after they narrowly escaped the 76ers last night, winning 108-105. The Warriors almost blew a 24-point lead. Look for a more focused effort after that scare especially now that they've settled into East Coast time playing their second of three road games in a row. |
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01-30-16 | New Mexico v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 88-83 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Boise State is 10-1 at home. New Mexico is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 road contests, 2-8 ATS when playing against a home opponent with a winning record. |
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01-28-16 | VMI v. Mercer -13.5 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Mercer is frustrated after two straight road overtime losses. The Bears can take advantage of their angry mood being in a kill spot at home against overmatched VMI, which is 6-12 SU and 2-9 ATS. The Keydets have failed to cover during their last seven road games and nine of their past 10 away matchups. VMI's last four road losses have been by an average of 25.5 points. Â |
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01-27-16 | Thunder v. Wolves +8 | Top | 126-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
Spot, situation and double revenge motivation factor heavily in this matchup for the Timberwolves. |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | Top | 18-20 | Loss | -115 | 153 h 10 m | Show |
Both defenses are very good. The difference - and it's huge - is quarterback. Tom Brady is 38, but remains in the argument for best quarterback in the league. No quarterback threw for more touchdowns. |
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01-23-16 | Utah State v. San Diego State -7 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
San Diego State has won and covered the past five in this series. Look for that string to continue. The Aztecs have won by an average of 17.5 points the past two times hosting Utah State - and that was when the Aggies had Stew Morrill coaching them. |
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01-21-16 | Gonzaga +3 v. St. Mary's | Top | 67-70 | Push | 0 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
Picked to finish fourth in the West Coast Conference, Saint Mary's has been one of the surprise teams going 15-2 despite losing its five senior starters and 80 percent of its scoring and rebounding from last season's 21-10 team. |
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01-20-16 | Heat v. Wizards -4 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Washington has revenge for an embarrassing 97-75 home loss suffered to the Heat early this month. Look for the Wizards to get their revenge in a big way as this is a horrendous spot for the banged-up Heat. |
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01-18-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -3 | Top | 132-98 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Golden State, San Antonio and Cleveland are without question the elite of the NBA right now. The timing of this matchup, though, is well suited for the Cavaliers. |
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01-15-16 | Heat -2.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a huge letdown spot for the Nuggets, coming off a home victory against Golden State two nights ago. It was only the Warriors' third loss of the season. The Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS following a cover and 2-7-2 ATS when playing on one day rest. |
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01-14-16 | Cavs +7 v. Spurs | Top | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
No pearls of wisdom for this choice. The oddsmaker opened San Antonio minus 5 1/2 and the marketplace has driven the number up to seven. That's a buy number for me. It's just too much value to overlook Cleveland. |
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01-12-16 | New Mexico +6 v. UNLV | Top | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
A disappointing 0-3 start in Mountain West Conference action has caused a lot of upheaval at UNLV. The school fired head coach David Rice two days ago. This will be he Rebels' first game under interim coach Todd Simon, who is not expected to get the permanent job. |
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01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson +7 | Top | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 136 h 0 m | Show |
Now that plus 7's are on the board, I'm pouncing on Clemson, unbeaten this season and winners of 17 in a row. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs -3 v. Texans | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 125 h 44 m | Show |
Kansas City is the hottest team in the NFL winning 10 in a row. The Chiefs beat the Texans by a touchdown at Houston in Week 1 and nothing has changed. The Chiefs still are the superior team. The Texans are just thrilled to have reached the playoffs courtesy only of being in the worst division. Prop Bet (Taken from Westgate) |
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01-08-16 | Valparaiso v. Oakland +2.5 | Top | 84-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
Valparaiso and Oakland were picked to be the top two teams in the Horizon League this season in the preseason poll. Now they get together in this nationally televised matchup on ESPN2. |
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01-07-16 | Michigan v. Purdue -7.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
I'm fine with Purdue even if Michigan's senior star guard Caris LaVert is going to play. He's the Wolverines' best player leading them in scoring, rebounding and assists. He injured his left leg two games ago and missed Michigan's last game this past Saturday. The Wolverines were able to overcome his absence by blowing out Penn State at home. |
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01-06-16 | Duke v. Wake Forest +8 | Top | 91-75 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Wake Forest certainly can hang in against Duke given its depth and being battle tested. Duke's depth is down with Amile Jefferson out. The Blue Devils are down to about a six-man rotation while Wake Forest can go 11 deep. |
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01-05-16 | Kings v. Mavs -5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
Rarely do the defensively-challenge Kings find themselves in a letdown spot. This is one of those rare occurrences. The Kings, who rank last in defense surrendering nearly 108 points a game, upset Oklahoma City on the road, 116-104, last night. That ended a 14-game Kings lost streak against the Thunder on the road. |
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01-04-16 | Celtics -6.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a circle-the-wagons game for Boston following consecutive home losses to the Lakers and Nets. |
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show |
The Raiders have a history of playing their long-time hated division rival tough and I expect that to be the case again. Oakland has covered seven of the past nine times playing in Kansas City. The teams are 5-5 during their past 10 meetings. Only once in the last eight years have the Chiefs swept the Raiders. Unlike previous seasons, the Raiders under their first-year coach Jack Del Rio have showed resolve while playing much better on the road. They have a winning away mark and have covered in four of their last five road matchups. Not once have the Raiders lost by more than five points on the road this season. The Chiefs realize that Denver isn't going to lose to San Diego so they won't be winning the AFC South Division title. Both their game and the Broncos game kick off late so the Chiefs will be distracted doing some scoreboard watching. If the Broncos break out early against the Chargers - and they are double-digit favorites at some books - it wouldn't be surprising if Andy Reid starting resting starters in order to have them fresh for next week's playoffs. The Raiders really want to finish 8-8. All of their quotes this week point to that - and those quotes come across to me as sincere. I see the Raiders playing with a lot of energy and emotion. They are fortified with extra rest having played last Thursday. The Chiefs are banged up with their two best edge pass rushers, Justin Houston and Tamba Hali, questionable. Oakland led Kansas City by six points in the fourth quarter when they met four weeks ago. But Derek Carr had a meltdown with three turnovers and the Chiefs won by a misleading 34-20 score. Carr has proven himself this season making giant steps going from game manager to dangerous playmaker. I like him far more than Alex Smith. The Chiefs are 9-0 in their last nine games, 7-2 ATS. They also are plus 19 in turnover ratio during this time. They are more about precision and takeaways than some dominant opponent. The Raiders can definitely hang with them if not pull the outright upset. |
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01-01-16 | Colorado +8 v. California | Top | 65-79 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Nothing against California. I have great respect for the talent on the Golden Bears. But Colorado is very good, too. The Buffaloes are 11-2 and are as good as many envisioned two seasons ago. The respect, lost last season, hasn't caught to them yet providing value for this Pac-12 opener. |
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01-01-16 | Tennessee -8 v. Northwestern | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Not only do I like fading a Big Ten team against an SEC foe, but Northwestern doesn't have nearly enough offense to hang within double-digits of Tennessee. |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Clemson has won 16 in a row and buried Oklahoma, 40-6, last season in a bowl game despite missing Deshaun Watson. So I don't comprehend this line. At worst, these two teams are even. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -120 | 326 h 27 m | Show |
USC is a team few opponents want to match up against in a bowl game. Wisconsin doesn't have the quarterback and skill level to beat the Trojans, especially when traveling to the West Coast to take on USC in its natural environs of Southern California. |
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12-28-15 | Central Michigan +4.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 14-21 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
I've always given credit to Minnesota for being a well-coached feisty team. I like the Gophers - when they are 'dogs not favorites. I'm not a fan of their quarterback, Mitch Leidner. He has just three more touchdown passes than interceptions on the season and completed less than 58 percent of his throws. Central Michigan has the far better quarterback, Cooper Rush, and the superior offense. Only 10 quarterbacks threw for more yards this season than Rush. |
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12-27-15 | Packers v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 8-38 | Win | 100 | 145 h 9 m | Show |
Given Arizona's home field advantage, the line is short here. Arizona ranks with Carolina and New England as one of the three best teams in football. Those three teams are complete teams without a weakness. The Packers are at a "B" level closer to "C" than "A" with their struggling passing attack. The Packers have been outgained on the season. |
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12-26-15 | Tulsa +14 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Much is being made of this being coach Frank Beamer's final game for Virginia Tech after 29 years. Truth be told, Beamer should have retired a few years ago because the Hokies have been going downhill. They were just 6-6 this season not clinching a bowl berth until their final regular season game. They are just 16-15 during their last 31 games and 7-15-2 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games. |
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12-25-15 | Clippers -11.5 v. Lakers | Top | 94-84 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
The Clippers are a frustrated, bully type team. They've had problem beating elite teams while smashing bad clubs such as the Lakers. The Clippers are on a three-game losing streak having lost to the Spurs, Rockets and Thunder, 100-99, this past Monday. They haven't played since. I see the Clippers releasing their pent-up frustrations on the hapless Lakers. The Clippers seem to get a sadistic glee in pounding their long-time city rival. They've beaten the Lakers seven straight times winning by an average of nearly 25 points a game. In five of the last seven matchups, the Clippers have won by 23 or more points. The Lakers have nowhere near the talent to compete against the Clippers facing Blake Griffin, Chris Paul and DeAndre Jordan. The Clippers also have a far more talented bench. Note, too, there is no home-court advantage for the Lakers as both teams play at Staples Center. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -3 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
Cincinnati hopes to rebound from a disappointing season with a win here in the Hawaii Bowl. Don't look for that to happen. The matchup, spot, coaching and intangibles all clearly point to San Diego State, which enters this matchup red-hot winning nine in a row while coming within 1 1/2 points of also being 9-0 ATS. |
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12-23-15 | Kings v. Pacers -6.5 | Top | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a stop-the-pain game for the Pacers and the spot sets up right. |
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12-21-15 | Santa Clara +4.5 v. Pacific | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Pacific is trying to unravel itself from a major mess involving academic misconduct. The fallout being the Tigers are 1-8 with their head coach and an assistant coach suspended indefinitely. There isn't a lot of incentive either even though this is their West Coast Conference opener as the Tigers are under a postseason ban as part of the sanctions. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show |
Only once in seven games have the Cardinals lost on the road. They have the passing attack and pass defense to easily cover this number against the Eagles and win their eighth consecutive game. |
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12-19-15 | New Mexico State +4 v. UTEP | Top | 73-53 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
New Mexico State had no problem with Texas El-Paso just 17 days ago, winning 73-59 at home. The Miners couldn't stop Pascal Siakam, who scored 24 points and pulled down 23 rebounds. |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 103 h 22 m | Show |
Dallas can't win with a quarterback as bad as Matt Cassel under center against a quality opponent such as the Jets. The Cowboys are 1-6 in Cassel's seven starts. All of the losses except one have been by more than three points. |
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12-18-15 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 88-97 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
Memphis matches up well to the Mavericks as evidenced by the Grizzlies covering four of the last five in this series, including defeating Dallas, 110-96, at home on Nov. 24.
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12-16-15 | Bucks +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 90-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
The spot and situation set up perfect for Milwaukee. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS this season when playing without rest. The Bucks will be highly motivated after coach Jason Kidd ripped them for their embarrassing 113-95 loss to the Lakers last night. |
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12-15-15 | Rockets +2 v. Kings | Top | 97-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
The Rockets are 7-3 in their last 10 games snapping out of their early season funk. They match up well to the Kings - particularly James Harden - having defeated them seven consecutive times. Houston is 8-2 in its last 10 visits to Sacramento. |
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12-14-15 | Rockets -5 v. Nuggets | Top | 108-114 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
The Rockets are in double revenge mode against the Nuggets. Houston is much more together and playing far better than the last two times it played and lost to Denver, including being embarrassed at home by 20 points in its opening game.  |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -125 | 105 h 22 m | Show |
Chicago is fired-up and angry after blowing a home game to San Francisco this past Sunday. I like the Bears' coaching edge and situation advantage against Washington, which is traveling on a short week following a home loss on Monday night to division rival Dallas. |
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12-12-15 | UCLA +8 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
Gonzaga is far from in peak shape. The Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four home games. They lost to Arizona, 68-63, at home last Saturday and just nipped Montana, 61-58, at home this past Tuesday as 17 1/2-point favorites. |
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12-12-15 | Celtics v. Hornets -2 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
Charlotte is playing its best ball winning four in a row. The Hornets are giving up just 90 points per game during this span. Sparked by improved Kemba Walker and newcomer Nicolas Batum, who is enjoying a big comeback season, the Hornets have quietly won 14 of their last 19 and own the second-best record in the Eastern Conference. |
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12-11-15 | Cavs -3 v. Magic | Top | 111-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Orlando is much improved, playing far better defense under Scott Skiles than they did under Jacque Vaughn last season. The Magic's young players are developing well under Skills, too. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -7.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
It's difficult enough being the road team for a Thursday night game. It's especially difficult for the Vikings traveling to the desert following a mentally and physically draining 38-7 home loss to Seattle this past Sunday. |
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12-09-15 | Long Beach State +4 v. Pepperdine | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
I believe the wrong team is favored. Both teams are .500, but Long Beach State has played a far more difficult schedule, one of the toughest non-conference slates in the country. That's going to help the 49ers here. |
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12-08-15 | Rockets -4 v. Nets | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
It took the firing of Kevin McHale and getting Ty Lawson out of the starting point guard role, but the Rockets are finally coming on. They've won three in a row and five of their last six. |
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12-07-15 | Suns v. Bulls -6 | Top | 103-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Through the course of the long NBA season there are certain up and down spots. Phoenix is in one of the major down spots in its season both physically and mentally. |
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12-06-15 | Suns v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the rested Grizzlies against the weary Suns. Phoenix, with its small lineup, doesn't match up well to the physical Grizzlies. Phoenix has lost during its last seven meetings to Memphis. |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals -5.5 v. Rams | Top | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 148 h 30 m | Show |
The Cardinals have revenge for a frustrating 24-22 loss to the Rams in Week 4 when they had to settle for four field goals in four touchdown-less red zone trips. |
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12-05-15 | Magic v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
Orlando has won five in a row. The Clippers are going to be without star point guard Chris Paul and possibly starting shooting guard J.J. Redick. |
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12-04-15 | Nets +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 91-108 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
The Knicks are improved this season, but the Nets are way under the radar screen. The perception is the Nets are one of the  worst teams in the league. They fulfilled those low expectations and increased that perception by losing their first seven games, covering just once. |
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12-02-15 | 76ers v. Knicks -8.5 | Top | 87-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This may be the only time all season, but the 76ers are in a letdown spot. Philadelphia got the monkey off its back ending its 28-game losing streak by beating the Lakers, 103-91, at home last night. |
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11-30-15 | Nuggets v. Bucks -3 | Top | 74-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Bucks have revenge for a 103-102 loss to the Nuggets on Nov. 11. The Bucks were minus Michael Carter-Williams and Jabari Parker in that game. The Bucks have the defensive guards and depth to exploit Denver rookie point guard Emmanuel Mudiay, who is on pace to become the first player in league history to shoot less than 35 percent from the field and commit an average of three turnovers a game. |
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11-29-15 | Chargers +4.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 58 h 44 m | Show |
So why back a San Diego team that is 2-8 and has lost six in a row as a monster 50-Dime play? A combination of Philip Rivers, a due factor and the Jaguars being overpriced. |
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11-28-15 | Nets +10 v. Cavs | Top | 88-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
The won-lost record is terrible, but quietly the Nets have covered seven of their last eight games. They are 4-0 ATS this season when getting 10 or more points. |
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11-28-15 | Ohio State v. Michigan | Top | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan State didn't do Michigan any favors beating Ohio State last week ending the Buckeyes' 23-game winning streak. The Buckeyes are going to be super focused now and ready for this game and not just because of the long-time intense rivalry. Ohio State has proven itself on the road covering 71 percent of its last 56 road games. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers +1 v. Cowboys | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Sometimes the best handicap formula is just the most obvious. Carolina is better than Dallas and it's not even close. |
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11-22-15 | Jets -3 v. Texans | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
Not only are the Texans on a short week in an emotionally distracting week following their Monday road upset win against the Bengals, but backup T.J. Yates is their quarterback for this game. |
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11-21-15 | Kings v. Magic -2.5 | Top | 97-91 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
The oddsmaker continues to underrate the Magic and he's doing it again in this matchup. |
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11-20-15 | 76ers +10.5 v. Hornets | Top | 88-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
The 76ers' losing streak is now at 22, including 0-12 this season following a humiliating 112-85 home loss to Indiana two nights ago. |
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11-18-15 | Wolves v. Magic -3 | Top | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Orlando is one of the most improved teams in the league as its young talent matures and reaches its potential. The oddsmaker hasn't fully grasped how good Orlando is as the Magic own the best point spread mark in the NBA at 8-3 ATS. |
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11-17-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Nets | Top | 88-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is Brooklyn's first home game in 11 days. The Nets just returned from a four-game road trip where they beat the struggling Rockets and nearly upset the Kings and Warriors during their past two games. |
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11-16-15 | San Diego State v. Utah -5 | Top | 76-81 | Push | 0 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Power-ratings-wise I have Utah favored by more than this line.  Look for San Diego State to have problems containing Utah center Jakob Poeltl. The Utes are going to be tough especially with the improvement made by sophomore forward Kyle Kuzma. |
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11-15-15 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 39-32 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 8 m | Show |
The Seahawks haven't lost a game coming off a bye since 2012. I don't see them losing at home either in this matchup. Seattle is 4-4. Arizona is 6-2. Obviously this is a must-win spot for Seattle. |
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11-15-15 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Memphis is a disappointing 4-6. But the Grizzlies have taken care of business when playing bad teams beating the Pacers early in the season before Indiana got turned around, beating the Nets and Kings by double-digits and holding a fourth-quarter 10-point lead on Portland this past Friday before winning by just one point. |
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11-14-15 | Washington State +10.5 v. UCLA | Top | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
Everything is in place for Washington State to pull the upset and defeat UCLA. Even if that doesn't happen, the Cougars should definitely be able to hang in. To get double-digits is a nice bonus. |
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11-13-15 | Rice v. California -15.5 | Top | 65-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
California has won its last nine opening games. That streak should easily continue against Rice. |
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11-13-15 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -6.5 | Top | 100-101 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Neither team is playing well. The difference is the Grizzlies are a proven playoff contender with the same solid core that made them one of the best teams in the NBA. The Trail Blazers are a stripped down version that can't match the Grizzlies' front line and lacks depth. |
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11-11-15 | Clippers v. Mavs +7 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is the home game the Mavericks have had circled ever since DeAndre Jordan backed out of his word to come to Dallas. After Jordan verbally agreed to sign with the Mavericks in free agency, various Clippers personnel came to his home and convinced him to change his mind. |
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
San Diego isn't nearly good enough to overcome its multitude of injuries to beat many teams by more than a field goal, including the Bears. |
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11-09-15 | Bulls -7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
The winless 76ers are as bad as they have been during their last two tanking seasons. |
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11-08-15 | Lakers v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 95-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
The records show the Lakers to be 1-4 and the Knicks 2-4.Â
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11-07-15 | Hawaii v. UNLV -9.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show |
I've never been in the habit of laying points with UNLV, but circumstances make this a bargain spot to back the Rebels.
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11-06-15 | Nuggets +18 v. Warriors | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
It's dangerous to step in against Golden State. But this is a clear flat spot for the Warriors. |
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11-03-15 | Northern Illinois +8 v. Toledo | Top | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
Toledo is unbeaten at 7-0. But I'm not convinced the Rockets are better than Northern Illinois. |
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11-02-15 | Grizzlies +9 v. Warriors | Top | 69-119 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
 Memphis has proven it can hang with Golden State taking the defending champions to six games in the playoffs last season, including winning Game 2 at Oracle Arena, 97-90. The Grizzlies have their same cast of rough customers that helped them to finish in the top five in defensive scoring each of the last four years. This figures to be a fierce, intense battle with the Grizzlies out for revenge. Memphis has covered in seven of its last 10 visits to Golden State. The Warriors haven't seen a defense this good yet. Golden State has looked good in going 3-0. But two of the victories came against 0-3 New Orleans, which ranks last in defense, has injuries and point guard Jrue Holiday playing limited minutes. The Warriors' other victory occurred against the struggling 0-3 Rockets, who rank 25th defensively and 28th in defensive shooting percentage. Steve Kerr has yet to return to the bench and big man Andrew Bogut is questionable. |
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11-01-15 | Packers -2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 10-29 | Loss | -123 | 105 h 38 m | Show |
Both teams are 6-0 and off byes. The Packers' 6-0 is real. The Broncos' 6-0 is bogus. |
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11-01-15 | Montreal +8.5 v. Edmonton | Top | 22-40 | Loss | -118 | 65 h 57 m | Show |
Edmonton is trying to clinch the Western Division. But the Eskimos are going to have problems doing that against Montreal. |
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10-31-15 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
The Pelicans have revenge for last season's playoffs when the Warriors swept them four games. New Orleans did cover three of those matchups, though. |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | Top | 56-41 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
Clemson is sitting at 10-0 having destroyed Miami, 58-0, in its last game and with its biggest game of the season on deck versus Florida State on Nov. 7. |
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10-29-15 | Hawks -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Let's not overreact to one game. The line is shorter than normal for this matchup because the Hawks lost their opener on Tuesday at home to the Pistons while the Knicks upset the Bucks on the road last night. |
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10-27-15 | New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 95-111 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
The Pelicans have been waiting all offseason for this opening matchup after Golden State ended their season by sweeping them in the playoffs. New Orleans did cover three of the four playoff games and I see the Pelicans covering here, too. |
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10-25-15 | Cleveland Browns v. St Louis Rams -5.5 | Top | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 82 h 56 m | Show |
This is my Favorite's Play of the Month. I'm not surprised the line has gone up since I released the play as the Rams clearly are the right side. The Browns have gone hard three straight weeks losing 30-27 to the Chargers, beating Baltimore in overtime and losing in overtime last week to the Broncos. Cleveland doesn't have an abundance of talent. The Browns' skill position players are among the weakest in the league. It takes a supreme effort for the Browns to hang in against most opponents. |
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10-24-15 | Utah +3.5 v. USC | Top | 24-42 | Loss | -103 | 52 h 60 m | Show |
Utah is in its fifth year in the Pac-12 and can play with the big boys. The Utes are 6-0 and it's a strong 6-0. They are the only team in the Pac-12 South without a loss. |
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10-23-15 | Utah State v. San Diego State +5 | Top | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
San Diego State is playing its finest football limiting its last three opponents to an average of 9.3 points per game. The Aztecs have held opponents to 162.7 yards per game this month, lowest in the FBS for October. |
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