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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +4 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 140 h 15 m | Show |
The Chargers are 1-3, but have outscored their opponents by 13 points. The Raiders are 3-1 and have outscored their foes by two points. |
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10-08-16 | BYU v. Michigan State -5.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
Life as an independent isn't easy these days. BYU is experiencing that. The Cougars have played one of the toughest schedules in the country and now play in the Eastern Time Zone for the second time in two weeks. |
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10-07-16 | Saskatchewan +7 v. Ottawa | Top | 32-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
Forget the records here that show Ottawa leading the Eastern Division with a 6-6 record and Saskatchewan last in the Western Division at 3-10. |
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10-03-16 | Giants v. Vikings -4 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 174 h 56 m | Show |
Maybe the oddsmaker hasn't caught on yet. But the Vikings' home field advantage, with their new indoor $16 billion stadium, is worth four points right there and these teams are not even. The Vikings are much better. |
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10-02-16 | Panthers -3 v. Falcons | Top | 33-48 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 31 m | Show |
Carolina already has more regular season losses than it did during last year's regular season. That's because the Panthers have gone against two of the top defenses in the NFL - Broncos and Vikings. |
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09-29-16 | Dolphins v. Bengals -7 | Top | 7-22 | Win | 100 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
There is more than a touchdown class difference here factoring in Cincinnati's home field advantage. This is made more by the Dolphins traveling on a short week and their multiple injuries. |
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09-27-16 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Sitting one game behind the Giants for the second wild-card spot in the National League, the Cardinals desperately need to win this home game. The Reds embarrassed the Cardinals, 15-2, on Monday night. |
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09-25-16 | Redskins +4.5 v. Giants | Top | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 109 h 50 m | Show |
I want desperate teams, especially taking this many points in a division matchup. It's circle-the-wagons time for the 0-2 Redskins. |
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09-24-16 | Oklahoma State +8 v. Baylor | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 32 m | Show |
I haven't been impressed with Baylor, which has played weak competition and didn't cover any of its three games. Facing Northwestern State, SMU and Rice is not a good non-conference buildup to stepping up against Oklahoma State. It's not stepping out to say the Bears played the weakest non-conference schedule of any Big 12 team. |
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09-23-16 | USC v. Utah -3 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 1 m | Show |
The wheels are coming off USC under Clay Helton. The Trojans are 1-4 since he was named permanent coach during last season. The Trojans have bad chemistry and face a Utah squad big on revenge after losing to the Trojans, 42-24, last year. The Utes were 6-0 entering that game, ranked seventh in the country. |
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09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -125 | 154 h 58 m | Show |
This line is too short. The Bears are much superior to the Eagles. The line doesn't reflect that because it's just Week 2 and the oddsmaker is swayed by how well Eagles rookie quarterback Carson Wentz looked opening week and the Bears losing and not covering versus the Texans. |
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09-18-16 | 49ers v. Panthers -13 | Top | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 110 h 21 m | Show |
I see this as a clear kill spot for the Panthers and I want to lock in now before the number hits 14 - which it will and then probably still go higher. Â |
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09-16-16 | Montreal v. Hamilton -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -112 | 32 h 23 m | Show |
These two teams met two months ago and Hamilton buried Montreal, 31-7, despite not playing an "A" game, or having quarterback Zach Collaros. |
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09-11-16 | Vikings -3 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 1078 h 8 m | Show |
Minnesota is much superior to Tennessee in all facets except quarterback and that includes coaching. The Vikings have their sights set on reaching the Super Bowl. Their roster is very strong with lots of young defensive talent, Adrian Peterson to take the pressure off Shaun Hill, more wide receiving threats and an upgraded offensive line. |
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09-11-16 | Bears +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 1078 h 51 m | Show |
I'm skeptical of Brock Osweiler and a banged-up offensive line that is likely to be without star left tackle Duane Brown. I'm certainly not swallowing the hype on Osweiler. |
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09-10-16 | Washington State +10.5 v. Boise State | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 36 m | Show |
Washington State under Mike Leach has been at its best versus strong competition and as a road 'dog, both of which are in play here. The Cougars are 7-1 ATS the past eight times versus above .500 opponents and have covered 12 of the last 15 times as an away underdog. |
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09-10-16 | Saskatchewan +10.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 100 h 19 m | Show |
Saskatchewan isn't going anywhere at 1-9. The Roughriders' season is essentially finished - except for this game. This is going to be their Super Bowl. |
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09-08-16 | Panthers -3 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 276 h 26 m | Show |
I see the Panthers getting their revenge on the Broncos after losing to Denver in the Super Bowl. Carolina didn't lose the Super Bowl based on talent. The Panthers out-gained the Broncos by 121 yards and had 10 more first downs than Denver. |
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09-05-16 | Braves v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
The Nationals return home where they have beaten the Braves 21 of the past 26 times. |
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09-04-16 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +4.5 | Top | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Winnipeg is hot with four straight victories that have coincided since Matt Nichols was installed as its starting quarterback. Saskatchewan is 1-8, 3-6 ATS. |
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09-03-16 | LSU -9.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 14-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 4 m | Show |
First it's important to note this game isn't in Madison. It's in Green Bay at Lambeau Field and LSU expects to have 30,000 fans. The seating capacity is 80,735. So almost half the crowd will be for the Tigers. |
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09-02-16 | Colorado State v. Colorado -8.5 | Top | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 35 h 8 m | Show |
Colorado has its best team since 2007 with 18 returning starters. Colorado State could have its worst team in five years. Yet because some look upon this matchup as some sort of in-state rivalry, the spread is less than double-digits. |
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09-01-16 | Rams +4.5 v. Vikings | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 46 h 27 m | Show |
The last week of preseason is a crapshoot. I usually don't get involved. But I can't see the Vikings being prepared at all to play after seeing quarterback Teddy Bridgewater suffer serious injuries at practice on Tuesday. That had to be devastating for the team. Vikings coach Mike Zimmer has to be careful how much he plays veteran Shaun Hill in this game now because Hill is the new Vikings starting quarterback. This means most of the quarterback playing time in this game going to undrafted free agent  Joel Stave and Brad Sorensen, who was just cut by the team before Bridgewater went down. Rams coach Jeff Fisher has been treating the preseason more serious than other coaches trying to build up momentum and optimism for the Rams in their first year since returning to Los Angeles. The Rams hold a quarterback edge with Case Keenum, Jared Goff and Sean Mannion. All three of those are much better than Stave. |
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08-28-16 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Calgary | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
It's a rough to fade Calgary, but the Stampeders have a bit of a cushion in the West Division and could be in letdown mode. |
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08-26-16 | Steelers v. Saints -3 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
Both Pittsburgh and New Orleans are 0-2 in preseason. |
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08-26-16 | Winnipeg +2.5 v. Montreal | Top | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 98 h 8 m | Show |
Montreal has the second-worst record in the Canadian Football League. The Alouettes were 1-5 in their last six games - with all the losses occurring by double-digits - until they upset Ottawa last Friday as nine-point road 'dogs. |
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08-25-16 | Angels v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Jered Weaver and J.A. Happ are both 33. But that's where the similarity ends.No pitcher has more wins than Happ, who is 17-3 with a 3.05 ERA. Happ has turned his career around to where he's a serious Cy Young candidate. Weaver, on the other hand, has lost his fastball and is on a continuing decline. |
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08-16-16 | Dodgers v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 15-5 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
If given 1 1/2 runs, the Phillies would be 13-3 in their last 16 games. They still hold playoff hopes and have won their past four games. |
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08-14-16 | Texans +3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
These two teams just had a joint practice on Friday and the Texans looked good during it reinvigorated from a day off on Wednesday and by the less humid weather than they are used to. |
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08-12-16 | Browns +3 v. Packers | Top | 11-17 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
The Packers have lost and failed to cover in five of their last six preseason openers. Mike McCarthy doesn't care about these preseason openers. Hue Jackson does in his Browns coaching debut. |
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08-11-16 | Saints +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 22-34 | Loss | -115 | 65 h 13 m | Show |
They are in different conferences, but the Saints will have great familiarity with the Patriots since the teams have been jointly practicing. That's a big plus when taking points in a preseason game. The two teams met last preseason and New Orleans jumped out to a 15-0 lead before losing by two points. |
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08-06-16 | Edmonton +4 v. Ottawa | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
The defending Grey Cup champion Eskimos are finding out that repeating isn't going to be easy. They have lost their last two games - both as solid home favorites. It's the first time Edmonton has lost two in a row since 2014. |
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07-31-16 | Toronto +10.5 v. Ottawa | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
The number is inflated because Ottawa starting quarterback Henry Burris is back after missing five games with a finger injury, while Logan Kilgore makes his first start replacing injured No. 1 quarterback Ricky Ray for Toronto. |
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07-29-16 | BC +5 v. Calgary | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 58 h 49 m | Show |
Road teams have been gold this CFL season. B.C. has contributed to that going 2-0 SU and ATS in its two away matchups. The Lions aren't strong at quarterback, but they compensate for that with a league-leading running attack and outstanding defense that ranks No. 1 in fewest yards allowed per game. The Lions' ground attack can take advantage of Calgary's defensive line injuries making it easier for quarterback Jonathon Jennings to pick his spots. |
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07-25-16 | Montreal +7 v. Toronto | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -135 | 85 h 21 m | Show |
Road teams have been gold this CFL season going 13-3-1 and 15-2 against the spread through Thursday. Toronto has been part of this home field problem going 0-2 at their new BMO Field, losing by an average of 16 points to Hamilton and Ottawa. A crowd of less than 10,000 is expected so the Argonauts don't have a strong home field despite their new digs. |
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07-23-16 | Padres v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -129 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
I want to fade Edwin Jackson in the worst way while getting behind Max Scherzer. Of course the whole world wants to do this, too. So this is a way to get the matchup - laying 1 1/2 runs - without having to risk 3/1 odds. |
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07-21-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
Promising Julio Urias can only hope to be as dominant as Stephen Strasburg is right now. Strasburg is more than living up to his huge ceiling as he tries to become the first pitcher since Roger Clemens in 1986 to open a season 14-0. |
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07-09-16 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
Take the Padres out of Petco Park and they become a dangerous offensive team. San Diego is averaging 7.8 runs in its last six road games. |
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07-08-16 | Saskatchewan +11 v. Edmonton | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show |
This is just too many points for Edmonton to give up considering the defense and coaching of their opponent. |
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07-08-16 | Braves v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 11-8 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
The Braves ended a four-game losing streak by upsetting the Cubs in a rain-delayed, 11-inning makeup game Thursday. Now the Braves draw the rested White Sox, who were idle Thursday, and lefty Chris Sale. |
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07-01-16 | Winnipeg v. Calgary -8.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 78 h 15 m | Show |
Calgary is double-digits better than Winnipeg especially when playing at home. |
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06-29-16 | Phillies +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
The Phillies are playing much better. They've won four of their last six, including the first two games of this series. They would be 7-0 if given 1 1/2 runs during their last seven games. |
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06-18-16 | Reds v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
This is a kill spot for the Astros with everything lining up. But rather than lay such hefty juice, going the run line route makes sense. |
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06-16-16 | Warriors +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-115 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 44 m | Show |
It's my belief the Warriors are the superior team here when they have Draymond Green. He returns to action for this Game 6. |
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06-15-16 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 124 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
As great as Clayton Kershaw is, his record would be just 6-6 in his last 12 starts if the Dodgers were minus 1 1/2 runs. If there is one team that has been competitive against Kershaw it's the Diamondbacks. Kershaw is 11-8 against them with a 2.76 ERA. Kershaw is 1-6 during his last seven starts at Chase Field. |
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06-07-16 | Cubs v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 111 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Kyle Hendricks hasn't been nearly as good on the road as he has been at Wrigley Field. Hendricks is 1-3 with a 4.37 road ERA compared to 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA at home. This also is the Phillies' third look already at Hendricks having just faced him two starts ago. |
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05-27-16 | Twins v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
The Twins are even worse than thought. They are 5-20 in their last 25 games, owners of the worst road record in the American League at 4-19. They have lost the past seven times following an off day. |
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05-26-16 | Thunder +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 3 m | Show |
Yes, I know this is the Warriors' season and the Zig-Zag fully is in play here, which means Golden State is the side to play following two straight losses. Forget about last season when the Warriors won the championship. Forget the Warriors' record regular season. This is the present and simply put the Thunder are outrebounding, outshooting and even outhustling Golden Sate. The statistics for the series bear this out: The Thunder are shooting 45.6 percent from the floor to the Warriors' 44.4 percent, are plus 27 on the boards, plus six in steals, have 14 more blocked shots and have committed five fewer turnovers. Oklahoma City is the healthier team, has the momentum and its confidence level is at its highest. Contrast this with the Warriors, who are on the wrong end of an elimination game for the first time in Steve Kerr's two years. The Warriors are in uncharted waters. Their big men aren't playing well. Neither is Draymond Green. Stephen Curry isn't physically right, maybe playing at 70 percent since returning six games ago from a sprained right MCL. |
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05-23-16 | Cavs -6 v. Raptors | Top | 99-105 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
 OK, the Raptors got their measure of respect beating Cleveland, 99-84, at home in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Final series this past Saturday. |
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05-19-16 | Raptors +13 v. Cavs | Top | 89-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Never before have the Cavaliers blown out a team in the playoffs like they did Toronto in Game 1 winning by 31 points. The Cavaliers have yet to taste defeat in the postseason and they certainly can't be faulted for feeling overconfident in hosting the Raptors in Game 2. |
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05-16-16 | Thunder v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 108-102 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Thunder are getting a lot of kudos for knocking off San Antonio. But this is a bad spot for Oklahoma City. Remember what happened to the Thunder when they played at San Antonio in Game 1 of their Western Conference semifinal series? They were blitzed by 32 points. |
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05-12-16 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show |
I can understand a certain respect level for the Spurs and Gregg Popovich. But opening the Spurs a road favorite based on the past four games in this playoff series is just plain wrong.Â
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05-10-16 | Thunder +7 v. Spurs | Top | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Since Game 1, the Thunder have outplayed the Spurs winning two of the last three. Oklahoma City has the most talented player, Kevin Durant, and is the better rebounding team. Steve Adams has turned into a strong wildcard proving to be highly effective inside against San Antonio. |
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05-05-16 | Heat v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
The Raptors find themselves in a must-win spot here by virtue of losing Game 1, 102-96, in overtime at home this past Tuesday. A Toronto loss to Miami in this Game 2 could set up a Heat sweep with Games 3 and 4 in Miami. |
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05-01-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -8 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
A mere 12 hours after dispatching the Chris Paul and Blake Griffin-less Clippers in six games, the Trail Blazers left for the Bay Area to meet Golden State for this Sunday matinee. |
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04-29-16 | Clippers +10 v. Blazers | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
No Chris Paul, no Blake Griffin. No chance for the Clippers. We know this. They know this. But the Clippers still have enough pride and talent to not go gently into the night against one of the weaker and more inexperienced playoff teams. |
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04-27-16 | Hornets v. Heat -5.5 | Top | 90-88 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
I don't see upstart Charlotte beating the veteran Heat three straight times. Charlotte got back into the series by winning the last two - both at home.
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04-25-16 | Mavs +14.5 v. Thunder | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Down 3-1 to the Thunder, I don't see the Mavericks' proud veterans mailing in this game. Dirk Nowitzki and Co. have a lot of pride and are much better coached under Rick Carlisle than Oklahoma City is under rookie NBA coach Billy Donovan.Â
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04-24-16 | Warriors -8 v. Rockets | Top | 121-94 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show |
I expect Stephen Curry to play - and play well. He has recovered from his sprained ankle. The Warriors are due for a good shooting game. They averaged an NBA-best 48.7 percent from the floor during the regular season, but have shot just 42.9 percent in Game 1 and 43 percent in Game 3. Houston is not a strong defensive club. Only five clubs gave up more points per game than the Rockets. The Warriors received their wake-up call and the Rockets got their measure of respect during Thursday night's 97-96 Houston victory. Despite that loss, Golden State still has defeated Houston 14 of the past 16 times. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS following a victory. |
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04-22-16 | Spurs -11.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 96-87 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
No home-court isn't going to matter. Neither is better execution. The crippled Grizzlies are simply totally overmatched by the Spurs. It's not a fluke San Antonio has held the Grizzlies to an average of 71 points in jumping out to a 2-0 series lead. The Spurs are one of the greatest defensive teams ever.Â
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04-17-16 | Pistons +11 v. Cavs | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
This isn't your normal No. 1 versus No. 8 seed matchup. Cleveland has the big names - LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love - but the talent gap between these two clubs isn't as large as perceived. |
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04-16-16 | Celtics v. Hawks -5 | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 26 m | Show |
Brad Stevens has gotten as much of his limited Celtics team as possible. The Celtics lack Atlanta's front-line talent - especially dealing with Al Horford and Paul Millsap - and lack the size to take advantage of the Hawks' rebounding weakness.Â
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04-11-16 | Kings v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
Phoenix actually is playing well winning back-to-back road games and covering four of its last five. |
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04-06-16 | Nets +15 v. Wizards | Top | 103-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
We know the Nets are playing the string out. But let's be realistic about the Wizards, too. They are three games below .500 and 3 1/2 games out of the final playoff spot in the East behind Detroit with five games remaining. |
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04-03-16 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | Top | 111-136 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
After 54 consecutive regular-season home victories, the Warriors finally lost at Oracle Arena knocked off by the Celtics, 109-106, in their last game two nights ago. How will Golden State respond? I believe they respond in a big way with a blowout home victory against Portland, a team that dealt the Warriors their most lopsided loss of the season back in February. |
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03-31-16 | Celtics v. Blazers -3 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
Since Jan. 10, only Golden State and San Antonio own better home records than Portland's 16-3 mark. Not only do I believe the Trail Blazers are better than the Celtics, but they are home and in a better spot. |
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03-30-16 | Warriors -5 v. Jazz | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
The Warriors are chasing the 1995-96 Bulls for best record in a season. They are far superior to Utah. The spread is low enough to back Golden State. |
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03-29-16 | Oakland -6.5 v. E Tennessee State | Top | 104-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I have no doubt Oakland is superior to East Tennessee State. My hesitation about backing Oakland in this Vegas 16 Tournament - the most minor of all the post-season  tournaments - is how motivated will the Golden Grizzlies be after having their sights set on reaching the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2011. |
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03-27-16 | Wizards -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Absolutely must-win spot. Revenge angle. Better team. All of those fit why I like the Wizards to steamroll the Lakers. |
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03-25-16 | Gonzaga -4 v. Syracuse | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
These two were long shots entering the NCAA Tournament, but here they are in the Sweet 16. I believe Gonzaga is for real while Syracuse is a tier lower than the Bulldogs catching several breaks to reach this point. |
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03-24-16 | Cavs v. Nets +8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
I'm going to fire now on the Nets anticipating that Tyronn Lue is going to rest some of his key Cavaliers, maybe even LeBron James, which would likely result in a lower number. The Cavaliers are playing for the fifth time in seven days and off a hard-fought 113-104 home win against Milwaukee last night with James and Kyrie Irving each logging at least 37 minutes. |
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03-22-16 | Hornets v. Nets +6 | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
This is a natural letdown spot for the Hornets traveling to play a weak foe less than 24 hours after a stunning 91-88 home victory against San Antonio last night. The Hornets came from 23 points down to pull out the improbable win against the Spurs. There is a fatigue factor, too, for the Hornets playing for the fifth time in seven days. |
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03-21-16 | Bucks v. Pistons -7 | Top | 91-92 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
A 94-85 home loss to Utah last night puts the Bucks 10 games under .500 and six games out of the last playoff spot in the East with a dozen games left. So, no, the Bucks aren't going to make the playoffs. |
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03-20-16 | Northern Iowa +6.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Northern Iowa has a lot of things you look for in an underdog at this point of the season: The Panthers have NCAA Tournament experience, are well-coached, are hot with 13 wins in their last 14 games (12-1-1 ATS), rank 12th in the country defensively, rank 17th in free throw percentage and can make 3-pointers. They also have beaten a number of top teams, including North Carolina, Iowa State, Stephen F. Austin and Wichita State twice. Yet the Panthers are downgraded because they are a mid-major and because of their miraculous 75-72 first-round upset victory against Texas when Paul Jesperson hit a buzz-beater from beyond half court. Perhaps the Panthers don't have the fancy talent that some of the major conference teams have. But there are intangibles at work here. Ben Jacobson has been Northern Iowa's coach the past 10 seasons - and he's not going anywhere. He has honed an effective, close-knit system with excellent team work and chemistry. The Panthers are not about individuals. They fit well into a team structure. This might sound like a cliche, but teamwork can't be underestimated with an underdog at this late point of the season. Texas A&M had not been to the NCAA Tournament since 2011 until this season. The Aggies were lucky to meet Green Bay in the first round, a team that doesn't play good defense at this high level. Northern Iowa holds foes to 63.2 points a game. The Panthers are 8-0-1 ATS the past nine times playing opponents with a winning percentage above .600. |
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03-20-16 | Clippers -7 v. Pelicans | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
The Clippers are in angry mood after Doc Rivers justifiably ripped his team following a 113-102 road loss to Memphis last night. The Clippers were beaten straight-up as double-digit favorites.Â
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03-19-16 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +10.5 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
The Clippers are less awesome minus Blake Griffin. They don't have the star power to cover double-digit type road spreads in letdown spots, which this matchup is for them.Â
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03-17-16 | Yale v. Baylor -5 | Top | 79-75 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
The monster difference between the Big 12 - arguably the best conference in the nation - and the Ivy League doesn't merit this short of a spread. |
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03-15-16 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 55-79 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne is well rested and excited about making its first NIT appearance since elevating to Division I status 16 years ago. |
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03-14-16 | Pelicans v. Warriors -15 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Short-handed New Orleans is way overmatched to begin with and the situation makes it worse. |
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03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Nearly decimated New Orleans gave it all it had before losing in overtime to Memphis last night. The Pelicans have lost five players for the season, including key cogs Tyreke Evans and Eric Gordon. All but one of New Orleans' starters played at least 41 minutes last night. Anthony Davis logged 47 minutes. Top reserve Ryan Anderson went nearly 37 minutes. Point guard Norris Cole didn't play and is questionable for this matchup. |
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03-11-16 | Colorado State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
Both teams have strong offenses, but Fresno State is better defensively and is the fresher team. The Bulldogs also are peaking at the right time winning nine of their past 10, including their last seven games. |
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03-09-16 | Knicks +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 128-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Phoenix is 3-2 in its last five games and coming off an impressive 109-100 road win against the Grizzlies this past Sunday. But don't for an instant think the Suns are any good. They aren't. Neither are the Knicks. This is bad on bad and the point spread has become out of whack here. |
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03-08-16 | Pennsylvania +16 v. Princeton | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
Penn has depth and is much improved from last season. The Quakers nearly upset Princeton as seven-point home 'dogs losing 73-71 in overtime back in January. The Quakers blew an 11-point lead with four minutes left. |
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03-07-16 | Magic v. Warriors -14 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
I want the Warriors off their most shocking and worst-played game of the season, a 112-95 road loss to the Lakers Sunday afternoon. The Warriors haven't shot as bad from 3-point range as they did against the Lakers - 4-for-30 - since December of 2013. |
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03-06-16 | Wisconsin +6 v. Purdue | Top | 80-91 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
Yes, Purdue is tough at home. But the oddsmaker isn't giving enough respect to Wisconsin with a line this high. The Badgers have won 11 of their last 12 games - losing only to Michigan State during this span - while going 10-2 ATS. |
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03-06-16 | Blazers v. Pistons | Top | 103-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit played last night, but it's Portland that carries a high fatigue rating in this matchup. The Pistons were idle for two days before losing to the Knicks, 102-89, on Saturday. Now they return home where they have covered 64 percent of their games at The Palace of Auburn Hills. |
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03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
A month ago Avery Bradley hit a buzzer beater as the Celtics upset the Cavaliers in Cleveland, 104-103. The Cavaliers haven't forgotten. Not only is this a huge revenge spot for them, but it's a great situation, too. |
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03-01-16 | Kentucky -3.5 v. Florida | Top | 88-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Kentucky has much to prove on the road. I see the Wildcats bouncing back following a 12-point road loss to Vanderbilt by solidly defeating fading Florida, which has dropped three in a row and is 0-4 in its last four home games. |
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02-29-16 | Grizzlies -2 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
Memphis is 10 games above .500 and 4-2 since losing its best player, Marc Gasol, to a broken right foot. The Grizzlies are still a borderline playoff team without Gasol, at their best versus lower tier opponents such as the Nuggets. The Grizzlies have defeated Denver four straight times and are in a great spot to continue that streak. |
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02-28-16 | Heat +1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
The Heat have dominated the Knicks, winning eight of the past nine times, including going 4-0 SU and ATS at Madison Square Garden. |
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02-28-16 | Colorado State +3.5 v. Nevada | Top | 80-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Colorado State defeated Nevada Reno, 76-67, as three-point home favorites three weeks ago. Nevada Reno's star point guard Marquez Coleman played 33 minutes in that game. Colorado State, which often lives and dies with the 3-pointer, missed 24 of 32 from 3-point range in that game. The Rams did get 26 more rebounds than the Wolf Pack. |
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02-27-16 | Montana +2.5 v. Weber State | Top | 54-60 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
Montana is in position to grab its first regular-season win at Weber State since 2004. Weber State heavily relies on guard Jeremy Senglin and big man Joel Bolomboy. The duo has  accounted for 46 percent of the Wildcats' scoring. However, the 6-foot-9 inch Bolomboy suffered a knee injury in the Wildcats' last game and the senior power forward is not expected to play. |
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02-27-16 | Spurs v. Rockets +6 | Top | 104-94 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Even a well-coached, veteran team such as the Spurs can be excused if they are anxious to finally get home. This marks the final game of the Spurs' annual "Rodeo Road Trip." They are 6-1 in their last seven games, all on the road. |
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02-26-16 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | Top | 96-95 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
This is a big revenge spot for Indiana. The Hornets whipped the Pacers by 23 points on Feb. 10. That was the game, though, where the Hornets lost Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, their best defender, for the season.Â
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02-25-16 | Spurs -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
San Antonio is a very good team without Kawhi Leonard. But when they have Leonard, the Spurs rank with the Warriors as the top team in the NBA. Leonard came back last night after missing three games with a calf injury and helped spark the Spurs to an easy 16-point win against the Kings. Leonard will be less rusty now that he's had a game. Considering the class difference and matchup - the Spurs are 2-0 versus the Jazz this season winning by 25 and 37 points - San Antonio should easily be able to cover this number. |
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02-24-16 | Tennessee v. South Carolina -8.5 | Top | 58-84 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
 South Carolina is a dominant 14-1 at home this season. The Gamecocks have covered 14 of their last 17 at home, including going 9-3 ATS this season. |
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02-23-16 | UNLV v. Boise State -6.5 | Top | 69-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
First off, UNLV isn't very good on the road. The Rebels are 2-8 in true away contests this season. They've failed to cover in their last four road matchups. |
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02-22-16 | Warriors -7 v. Hawks | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
The Warriors aren't just great at home. They also are an NBA-best 25-5 on the road, including 18-11-1 (62 percent) ATS on the road. The Warriors also are 12-5 following a non-spread cover. |
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02-21-16 | Pelicans v. Pistons -5 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
The Pistons have covered 64 percent of their home games this season and have revenge for an embarrassing 115-99 road loss to New Orleans from last month. |
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02-20-16 | Hawaii v. UC-Irvine -2.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a battle for first place in the Big West Conference and one of Irvine's biggest home games ever. A rare sellout crowd is expected. |
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