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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-19 | Spurs -4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-107 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies won, 99-90, here on Saturday vs. the Pelicans, and will try to make it two-in-a-row tonight when they take on their historical nemesis. The Grizzlies haven't had much success vs. San Antonio, as they've won just 10 of the previous meetings, though they were victorious in the last meeting, back on January 9. Unfortunately for Memphis, this is a horrible situational spot, as they will face a desperate San Antonio squad. The Spurs' annual Rodeo Road Trip is not off to a good start, as they've lost the first four games of this eight-game trek, including a 20-point loss at Utah on Saturday. But I love the Spurs to bounce back tonight, and blow out Memphis, as San Antone is 20-12 ATS in its Rodeo Road Trip games, if it's rested and off a loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS if it was also playing with revenge. Even better: the Spurs are also 18-0 ATS off back to back losses, if they (i) lost by more than 11 points on the road in their previous game, (ii) were not getting 3+ points, and (iii) were playing an opponent off an ATS win. Take San Antonio minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-12-19 | Rider v. Quinnipiac | Top | 88-98 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Quinnipiac. The Broncos have lost their last four games, and they were favored in those four games by 4.5, 8, 9 and 7 points. But off those string of losses, we'll step in and take the Broncs on the road this evening. For technical support, consider that road teams off four upset defeats have covered 77.2% over the past 29 years. Take Rider. |
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02-11-19 | Mavs v. Rockets -10 | Top | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas, as Houston falls into 133-81, 95-59 and 67-25 ATS systems of mine. Yesterday, the Mavericks came back from a 15-point, 4th-quarter deficit to upset the Portland Trail Blazers, 102-101. Off that upset win, we'll go against the Mavericks on the road tonight, as they're 11-29 straight-up, and 14-25-1 ATS on the road off an upset win, including 1-7 SU/ATS their last eight. Meanwhile, Houston comes into this game off a home loss to OKC. And Houston is a super 33-7 straight-up, and 28-12 ATS off a home defeat if the Rockets owned a winning record. Finally, the Rockets play this game with revenge from two losses earlier this season to Dallas. And Houston is 13-0 ATS when playing with double-revenge against foes with a win percentage from .400 to .800. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-19 | Clippers v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 120-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the LA Clippers. Los Angeles stormed back from a 28-point deficit to shock Boston, 123-112, as an 11.5-point road underdog. But off that upset win, we will fade the Clippers tonight. Los Angeles is an awful 1-15 straight-up and 2-14 ATS as a non-division underdog off a win, including 0-7 ATS off an upset win. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are a strong 10-3 straight-up and 11-2 ATS their last 11 vs. foes off an upset win, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the T-Wolves were off an upset win. Finally, the Clippers are a horrid 47-73-3 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a revenge-minded opponent. With Minny playing with revenge from an 11-point loss to the Clippers earlier this season, we'll lay the points. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-19 | East Carolina +14 v. South Florida | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over South Florida. The Bulls are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak. And among their wins in this stretch was a 20-point blowout of East Carolina on January 26. We'll take the double-digits in this rematch, as college basketball teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have covered just 51 of 142 if they defeated their opponent by 14+ points earlier in the season, and their opponent is off a loss by 14+ points. With East Carolina, indeed, off a 65-49 loss to Wichita in its last game, we'll grab the points with the Pirates on Sunday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-19 | Siena v. Rider -5.5 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Siena. Rider has dropped its last seven games to the point spread, and has lost its last three, overall. That's the bad news. The good news is that the Broncs still only have four losses in Metro Atlantic Conference play, which ties them in the loss column atop the conference with Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Canisius, and today's opponent, Siena. And they'll likely be favored in six of their final seven Conference games, so they still have a great shot to finish with the #1 seed in the MAAC Tournament. We'll lay the points with the Broncs this afternoon, as they fall into a 54-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Also, Siena's a horrid 10-27-1 ATS when playing an opponent off an upset loss. Lay the points with Rider. |
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02-10-19 | La Salle v. George Mason -6 | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over La Salle. The Explorers have won four straight games to move their record to 7-14 on the season. This afternoon, they'll take on a George Mason team coming off back to back losses. Unfortunately, the Explorers have covered just 2 of 15 off four straight covers since 1990, including 0-7 ATS since January 9, 2008. Meanwhile, George Mason is 51-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses. And the Patriots are also a fantastic 49-19-3 ATS off a loss when playing an opponent which is not a winning team, including 13-0 ATS their last 13 if their opponent is off a win. Take George Mason. |
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02-09-19 | Washington v. Arizona State -1 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on ESPN TV, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington. Arizona State had an awful game its last time on the court, as it lost by 21, at home, to Washington State. We had a big play on Washington State in that game, so we weren't wholly surprised. Here, though, we'll back the Sun Devils, as they're 19-10 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset home defeat. Moreover, ASU falls into a 195-130 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in their previous game. Take the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-19 | Nebraska +11 v. Purdue | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, on the Big 10 TV Network, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Purdue. The 'Huskers have lost their last five games all as favorites -- and are 0-6 SU/ATS their last six, overall. We'll grab the points with Nebraska, as College basketball teams have covered 88.2% on the road over the past 27 years off 4 (or more) upset losses. Take the Cornhuskers. |
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02-09-19 | Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee +6.5 | Top | 55-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Old Dominion. The Blue Raiders have won and covered three straight games. And they fall into several "momentum" systems of mine, with records of 27-2, 22-2 and 46-14 ATS since 1990. Even better: the Blue Raiders are a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. the Monarchs since 2014. Take Middle Tennessee + the points. |
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02-09-19 | California +15 v. Oregon State | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon State. We played on California on Wednesday, and got the $$$ when they covered the 16-point spread at Oregon. That was the 2nd straight cover for the Bears, and I look for them to win their 3rd straight "in Vegas" today, as they're once again a double-digit dog. The Beavers, meanwhile, were upset, 83-60, by Stanford, on Thursday. And they have covered just 3 of 12 at home when favored by 13+ points off a loss. Even worse: NCAA favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 28 of 80 conference games off a 21-point (or worse) upset conference defeat. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-19 | Idaho +14 v. Montana State | Top | 72-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Montana St. The Vandals come into this game off a 100-59 blowout loss, at Montana. And that was their eighth straight defeat (and seventh straight point spread loss). Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won their last two, and covered their last four The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bobcats and against the "cold" Vandals. But underdogs (or PK'em teams) off 3 SU/ATS losses, that gave up 99+ points in their previous game, have cashed 88% over the last 29 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, the Vandals fall into 135-88 and 403-217 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs off blowout losses. Grab the points with the Vandals. BIG SKY GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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02-09-19 | William & Mary +11.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Hofstra. The Tribe lost by 12 points, 72-60, at Northeastern, on Thursday. But they played a much better game earlier this season against this afternoon's opponent, when they lost by just 3 to Hofstra. 93-90. Generally speaking, road teams off double-digit conference losses have done very well over the past 29 years in a regular season's second meeting, if they narrowly lost the first meeting by 3 points or less. And William & Mary is also a strong 33-13-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS off a loss by 7+ points. Take William & Mary. |
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02-09-19 | Elon +17.5 v. Northeastern | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Northeastern. Elon was drilled, 102-61, by Hofstra, on Thursday. However, Colonial Athletic Association teams, off a 40-point (or worse) conference defeat, have cashed 80% of conference games since 1990. Likewise, Colonial teams off a conference defeat in which they gave up 90+ points, and failed to cover by 10+ points, have rebounded to go 64-34 ATS in Colonial Athletic Ass'n games. Take Elon. |
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02-09-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -13 | Top | 55-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Minnesota, as Michigan State falls into several of my favorite NCAA systems, including a 71-29 ATS angle, and a 58-18 ATS system. The Spartans had won 13 straight games (and covered nine straight) prior to their game at Purdue, on January 27. We played against Michigan State that afternoon, and easily got the $$$ when Purdue blew out MSU. The Spartans, however, didn't bounce back off that loss, and instead also lost their next two games -- both as double-digit favorites -- vs. Indiana and Illinois. I love the Spartans to bounce back today, as home teams have cashed 67% over the past 29 years off back-to-back losses as double-digit favorites, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Spartans. BIG 10 FAVE OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-09-19 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky. The Bulldogs were upset by LSU, 92-88, here in Starkville, on Wednesday. We'll grab the points with Miss State, as it's 19-3-1 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) off a straight-up loss, including 10-0 ATS when getting 4 or more points. Take Mississippi State + the points. PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-19 | Kent State v. Akron -4 | Top | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Kent State. The Zips return home tonight off a loss at Toledo. And the Zips hardly ever lose at home. They're 10-1 here this season, and 203-31 straight-up, and 98-78-4 ATS at home since 2004, including 9-3 ATS vs. .750 (or better) conference opponents. Akron's also 22-10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Take the Zips. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-19 | Cavs v. Wizards -10 | Top | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland. The Wizards play with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers, and they're 9-0 ATS this season at home when playing with revenge. And they're also 17-0 ATS their last 17 at home when playing with revenge if they owned a win percentage less than .485. That bodes well for Washington tonight. As does the fact that the Cavs are 8-16-1 ATS as underdogs of more than 9 points. Finally, since 1996, favorites playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, including an upset defeat in the previous meeting, have cashed 62% ATS in the regular season against teams off a point spread win. Take Washington. NBA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-19 | Quinnipiac v. Iona -3 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Quinnipiac. The Gaels have lost three straight, including an upset home loss to Siena last Saturday. Meanwhile, Quinnipiac upset Niagara, 84-73, on the road last Sunday. Unfortunately for the Bobcats, road underdogs off an upset road win have performed poorly vs. foes off upset home defeats. Since 1990, they're 57-204 straight-up and 110-145-6 ATS. And Iona's a perfect 8-0 ATS its last eight off a home loss. Lay the points with the Gaels. |
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02-08-19 | Canisius v. Rider -8.5 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Canisius. Rider's point spread losing streak has now reached six games, including back-to-back upset losses in its last two games. But this losing streak has triggered a 78% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, off back to back upset losses, that are matched up against losing teams. Take Rider minus the points. |
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02-07-19 | Jacksonville State -9 v. Tennessee-Martin | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks. Jacksonville State was upset, at home, by Austin Peay last Saturday. And that defeat lowered the Gamecocks' record inside the Ohio Valley Conference to 8-2, and moved them into a four-way tie for first place with Austin Peay, Murray State and Belmont. I love the Gamecocks to rebound off that loss, as they're 7-2 their last nine off an upset loss, and they're 95-66 ATS on the road if they're not off a SU/ATS win. Meanwhile, the Skyhawks have covered just 26 of their last 69 as a home underdog. Take Jacksonville State minus the points. |
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02-07-19 | South Florida v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 67-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over South Florida. The Mustangs come into this game off back to back losses to Wichita State and Cincinnati. But SMU was a road underdog in each of those two games; here, it's a home favorite. SMU is a super 22-10-1 ATS its last 33 as a home favorite, while it's covered just seven of its last 24 games away from home. Meanwhile, the Bulls are an atrocious 52-104-1 ATS vs. .725 (or worse) opponents when priced as an underdog of +1.5 to +8 points. Take the Mustangs. |
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02-07-19 | Washington v. Arizona +1.5 | Top | 67-60 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Washington. The Huskies have won their last 11 games, while Arizona has dropped its last three. But each of Arizona's last three losses were away from home, where the Wildcats were road underdogs. And Arizona's covered just one of its previous nine games as underdogs away from home. In contrast, the Wildcats are 21-8 ATS at home off back to back losses. And they're 6-1 ATS -- regardless of venue -- off 3 or more losses. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-07-19 | Washington State +16.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into this game off a big win over their rival, Arizona. But they have not fared well in the game immediately after playing their rival, as they've gone 17-29-1 ATS. Even worse for the Sun Devils: they're a horrid 7-27 ATS off a conference win, including 1-9 ATS as a favorite of -6 or more points. Take Washington State. |
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02-07-19 | Detroit v. Northern Kentucky -11.5 | Top | 65-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit. The Norse were upset, 69-67, by Illinois-Chicago, on Sunday. But I love them to bounce back, at home, tonight, as they have cashed 63% as a favorite off an upset loss, and 78% as a double-digit favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. The Norse have covered four of the last five vs. the Titans, and have won the last two meetings by 28 and 22 points. Lay it. |
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02-06-19 | California +15.5 v. Oregon | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon. The Bears fall into one of my favorite NCAA systems, which has cashed 67.7% since 1990. And they are a live underdog tonight against an Oregon team which was blown out by 22 in its last game. Even better: the Bears have dominated this series, as they are 25-11-2 ATS in the last 38 meetings, including 17-3 ATS if they were off a point spread win. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-05-19 | Rider -6.5 v. Manhattan | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Manhattan. The Jaspers come into tonight's game off back to back wins over Fairfield and St Peters, while Rider was upset by Monmouth in its previous game. Unfortunately for the Jaspers, they're 0-11 ATS as underdogs of +5 or more points, if they were off a win, and their opponent was off an upset defeat. Additionally, the Broncs fall into a super 65-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Take Rider. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-04-19 | Bucks v. Nets +7.5 | Top | 113-94 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Milwaukee. The Nets have been one of the pleasant surprises this season. After going 28-54 last season (and 15-26 at home), the Nets are off to a winning start (28-26) this season, and would be seeded 6th in the Eastern Conference, if the season ended today. Brooklyn did lose its last two games -- to the Spurs and Magic -- but both of those were on the road. Tonight's game is back in Brooklyn, where the Nets have quietly won nine straight games (6-3 ATS), and 13 of their last 14 (10-4 ATS). Among Brooklyn's victims in this 14-game stretch were Toronto, Boston, and the Lakers (before LeBron James sustained his injury). On Monday night, the Nets will try to make it 10-in-a-row at home when they welcome the league's #1 team to Barclays Center. It's true that the Bucks have won 3 straight games. But Milwaukee is a horrid 51-105-4 ATS off 3+ wins, when playing a rested opponent, including 5-25 ATS their last 30 when their foe was off back to back losses. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-19 | Western Michigan +9 v. Central Michigan | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Central Michigan. The Broncos were blown out at home, 93-67, as a 1-point underdog, last Saturday. But off that defeat, we'll take the points with them on the road this afternoon, as single-digit College Basketball road dogs have covered 67% since 1990 if they failed to cover the spread by 25+ points at home in their previous game, and their opponent is off an ATS win. Additionally, Western Michigan falls into a 195-127 ATS system of mine. Take the Broncos. MAC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-19 | East Tennessee State v. Chattanooga +9.5 | Top | 77-64 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chattanooga Moccasins + the points over East Tennessee State. The Mocs have dropped their last 3 games, including an upset loss here, at home, to Western Carolina on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bucs are on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak. This will be the season's 2nd meeting between these teams. They met earlier this season in Johnson City, and the Buccaneers blew out the Mocs by 26 points. But that defeat has triggered my very best revenge system, which is 130-50 ATS since 1990. Even better for Chattanooga: NCAA revenge-minded teams have cashed 65% at home over the past 29 years if they lost by 24+ points in the season's first meeting, and were off an upset loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU/ATS win. Take Chattanooga + the points. Southern Conf. Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-19 | Hofstra v. Northeastern -1.5 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Hofstra. The Pride are 19-3 on the season, and have won 16 straight games, yet find themselves installed as an underdog for just the 4th time all season. And how did they do in their first three games this season when dressed up as an underdog? They lost all three, of course (so, they're 16-0 straight-up when favored this season). The Huskies come into this game with a 6-3 SU/ATS record inside the Colonial Athletic Ass'n. And they're 12-9 SU and 10-10 ATS, overall, this season. Since 1990, College teams on a 14-game (or better) win streak (like Hofstra) have covered just 35% when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent which doesn't have a losing ATS record. Take Northeastern to rout the Pride. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-19 | UCLA +7.5 v. Washington | Top | 55-69 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Washington. This series has been dominated by the Bruins, who have won eight of the past 10 meetings. And they've covered the spread in the last three, and nine of the last 12. UCLA also comes into this game off their two most impressive performances of the season. The Bruins blew out Arizona, 90-69, as a 2.5-point favorite last weekend, and then crushed Washington State, 87-67, as a 4.5-point favorite. That doesn't bode well for the Huskies, who have covered just 35% as home favorites in the last 29 years vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS wins, if the Huskies owned a winning conference record. Even worse: Washington falls into a negative 14-40 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on 10-game (or better) win streaks. Take UCLA + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-19 | San Francisco v. St. Mary's -5 | Top | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over San Francisco. St. Mary's should be in an ornery mood tonight, as it comes into the game off an upset loss to the Pepperdine Waves. The Dons upended the Gaels, in San Francisco, earlier this season. But St. Mary's is a jaw-dropping 28-7 ATS as a favorite, priced from -3.5 to -12 points, when playing with revenge. And it also falls into a 74-35 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses. Take the Gaels minus the points. |
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02-02-19 | Miami-FL +19 v. Virginia | Top | 46-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Virginia. We played against the Cavaliers on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with NC State as a 7-point road underdog. Here, of course, the Cavs are laying almost three times as many points to Miami, and we'll go against Virignia once again. The 'Canes are off four SU/ATS losses, including an 82-70 defeat to Virginia Tech on Wednesday. But Miami's a superb 53-20 ATS away from home, as a double-digit dog, if it didn't lose its previous game by more than 15 points. Take the Hurricanes. And it also falls into a 304-193 ATS system of mine. Take Miami. |
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02-02-19 | UL - Lafayette +4 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 79-96 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns plus the points over Coastal Carolina. We played against the Cajuns their last time out, as we took Appalachian St. +1 over Lafayette, and were rewarded with a 104-77 win. However, off that 27-point beat down, I look for La-Lafayette to rebound with an upset win of its own, this afternoon, as it falls into a 195-127 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off really bad losses. Moreover, the Cajuns are 7-0 ATS their last seven off a double-digit upset loss. Take Louisiana Lafayette + the points. |
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02-02-19 | South Carolina v. Georgia -2 | Top | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over South Carolina. The Bulldogs were blown out on the road, 70-60, by Arkansas, on Tuesday. However, Georgia is a super 45-24 ATS off a double-digit defeat on the road, including 9-2 ATS when priced from PK to -3. And it also falls into a 60% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that don't have a winning record. Take the Bulldogs. |
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02-02-19 | Memphis +1.5 v. South Florida | Top | 78-84 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers over South Florida, as they fall into a 140-63 ATS system of mine. The Tigers dropped to 5-3 in AAC Conference play this past Wednesday when they were upset by Tulsa, 95-79. I look for the Tigers to rebound this afternoon, as they're an awesome 42-24-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 13-6-1 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, the Bulls check in off a 20-point win at East Carolina last Sunday. But they've covered just 14 of 43 conference games off a road win. Take Memphis. AAC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-01-19 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 122-136 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets. (Analysis to follow.) |
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01-31-19 | Cal Poly +7 v. UC Riverside | Top | 71-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Riverside. These two teams met just 8 days ago in San Luis Obispo, and the Highlanders upset the Mustangs, 74-51, as a 2.5-point underdog. I love Cal Poly to avenge that upset loss tonight, as it falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 77-23, 41-8 and 187-89 ATS since 1990. Even better: Big West conference teams have cashed 90% of conference games since 1997 when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) upset home defeat earlier in the season, if their opponent had a losing record inside the conference. With Riverside currently 2-4 in Big West play this season, we'll fade Riverside and grab the points with Cal Poly SLO. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-31-19 | Nets v. Spurs -7.5 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Brooklyn. The Spurs won on Tuesday night here, at home, vs. Phoenix. But coach Gregg Popovich wasn't pleased with the victory. After the game, he lambasted his team for its lackluster effort and said, "They out-played us, out-coached us, out-physicaled us, out-executed us....We had no respect for them or for the game. We didn't play with each other. It was a pathetic performance, and Phoenix got robbed." I expect the Spurs to give a much better effort tonight after that verbal spanking. It also won't hurt matters to get DeMar DeRozan, their leading scorer (21.5 ppg), back as he missed the last three games. San Antone is a fantastic 31-5 straight-up (including 15-0 the last 15 here at home) and 24-8-2 ATS vs. the Nets since March 6, 2003. And the Spurs are 64-28 ATS at home vs. winning Eastern conference foes that are not off a SU/ATS loss. Take San Antone. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-19 | LSU v. Texas A&M +6 | Top | 72-57 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over LSU. We had a big play on Texas A&M on Saturday vs. Kansas State, and were rewarded with a 65-53 upset win. That victory has triggered a very strong 104-43 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off wins. LSU has covered just 5 of its last 19 SEC games where it was a road favorite, including just one of 12 when it was priced from -2.5 to -6 points. Take Texas A&M + the points. |
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01-30-19 | Fresno State v. Wyoming +12 | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno State. Wyoming falls into 408-252 and 374-229 ATS systems of mine. Additionally, the Cowboys are a terrific 44-27 ATS as home underdogs, while Fresno is a poor 24-41-1 ATS as a conference road favorite. Take Wyoming. |
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01-30-19 | SMU v. Wichita State -3 | Top | 83-85 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over SMU. Wichita is having a down year, as it's 8-11. It's currently riding a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But we'll step in and take the Shockers as a small home favorite, as Wichita has covered 64% over the last 29 years at home vs. winning opponents, if Wichita was on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. Take the Shockers minus the points. |
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01-30-19 | Missouri v. Auburn -14.5 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Missouri. The Tigers are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, including an upset loss at Mississippi State on Saturday. But i love Auburn to rebound tonight, at home, as SEC Conference home favorites are 57-33 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 29-11 ATS vs. SEC Conference foes off a loss. Take Auburn to blow out Missouri. SEC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-19 | Illinois State +5 v. Drake | Top | 69-55 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds + the points over Drake. The Bulldogs upset Valparaiso, 70-59, in their last game. And that was the fourth straight win and cover for Drake. Unfortunately, though, for the Bulldogs, Missouri Valley Conference teams off a double-digit upset win, and 4 SU/ATS wins overall, have covered just 18% over the past 29 years. And Drake also falls into negative 49-128, 59-133 and 56-112 ATS systems of mine. Take the Redbirds + the points. MVC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-19 | Richmond v. St. Louis -9.5 | Top | 84-81 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Richmond. The Spiders are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, including an upset home defeat to St. Bonaventure, on Saturday. And St. Louis is also on a losing streak, as it's lost its last two games to Davidson and Duquesne. Thus, something will have to give tonight. And we will back the home team, as double-digit Atlantic 10 home favorites have covered 60% of conference games over the past 29 years if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was also off a loss. Even better: St. Louis is 9-0 ATS off back to back conference defeats. Take the Billikens to blow out Richmond. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-19 | West Virginia +12 v. Iowa State | Top | 68-93 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Iowa State. The Mountaineers fall into a 405-244 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain teams with losing records, as well as a 304-192 ATS angle. West Virginia has lost its last two games SU/ATS. But Big 12 Conference teams, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have gone 98-72 ATS as underdogs over the past 29 years vs. Conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record. Take the Mountaineers + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-30-19 | Marquette v. Butler -3 | Top | 76-58 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Marquette. The Bulldogs have owned Marquette over the years. They've won and covered five straight in the series, and are 11-1-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings, including 6-0 ATS here at home. It's true that Butler has lost its last 2 games SU/ATS. But it's 31-14 ATS at home off back to back ATS defeats. Take the Bulldogs minus the points. |
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01-29-19 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -2 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama minus the points over Mississippi State. The Tide has dominated the Bulldogs here in Tuscaloosa, with a 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS record since 2001. That's one reason I favor 'Bama tonight. Another is that it lost at Baylor, 73-68, on Saturday.  And the Crimson Tide has gone 42-21-5 ATS at home since 1990 off a loss, if it wasn't favored by 4 or more points. Take Alabama. |
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01-29-19 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 62-51 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin. The 'Huskers have been exceptionally strong at home over the years, and especially when favored by three points or less. Since 1990, the 'Huskers are 41-16 ATS. Even better for Nebraska: the Badgers are a poor 21-45 ATS as a Big 10 road dog of +6 or less points. Take Nebraska. |
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01-29-19 | Wizards -7 v. Cavs | Top | 113-116 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland. Cleveland won at Chicago, 104-101, on Sunday, to snap its six-game losing streak, and improve to 10-41 on the season. One of the things I love to do is play against certain bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games. And tonight's situation is especially attractive, as the Wizards will be playing with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers last month. Since 1995, NBA teams off a win, with a W/L percentage less than .200, have cashed just 33% against revenge-minded opponents. Take the Wizards to blow out Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-29-19 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +3 | Top | 66-63 | Push | 0 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Toledo. These two teams met just 2 weeks ago in Toledo, and the Rockets won, 71-59, as an 8-point home favorite. The Red Hawks are a home dog tonight, and are also off 3 SU/ATS wins (all as an underdog). That bodes well for Miami, as Mid-American Conference home teams, off 3 SU/ATS wins, and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, have cashed 75% since 1990 when not favored by more than 5 points. Here, of course, Miami is an underdog. Take the points. |
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01-29-19 | Virginia v. NC State +8 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Virginia. This is a great match-up tonight between the 16-4 Wolfpack and the 18-1 Cavaliers. Virginia's covered the point spread in each of its last 10 games. But this will be a tough spot to get #11 in a row, as Virginia is playing the 2nd of back to back road games. And College Basketball teams off 10+ ATS wins are a soft 29% ATS the past 29 years if they were playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take the Wolfpack + the points. |
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01-29-19 | Tennessee v. South Carolina +9 | Top | 92-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Tennessee. The #1-ranked Volunteers have reeled off 15 straight wins, including an 83-66 blowout of WVU on Saturday. Unfortunately for Tennessee, NCAA basketball teams off 14 straight wins, and a win by 14+ points in their previous game, have cashed just 35.2% since 1990 as road favorites vs. foes off a SU loss. Take South Carolina. |
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01-28-19 | TCU v. Texas Tech -5 | Top | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over TCU. This is a great match-up tonight between two teams that have each lost just four times this season. The key factor, though, will be Texas Tech's home court. The Horned Frogs have played three road games this season as an underdog, and they've yet to win straight-up. Indeed, since 2015, the Horned Frogs are 1-20 straight-up, and 3-16-2 ATS when priced as a road underdog of +4 to +11 points. That doesn't bode well for them tonight in Lubbock, where the Red Raiders rarely lose. Texas Tech is 59-8 straight-up and 27-20-2 ATS at home since Feb. 28, 2015, including 17-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win. The Red Raiders also fall into a 148-66 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites with winning records. Lay the points with the Red Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-28-19 | Nets v. Celtics -10 | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Brooklyn. The Celtics had their five-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Golden State. Of course, nobody's defeated the Warriors for 3 1-2 weeks, so there was no great shame in losing that game. Tonight, Boston will look to avenge a defeat suffered to Brooklyn two weeks ago. I believe it will, as Boston is a perfect 12-0 ATS at home vs. division rivals, if Boston wasn't favored by more than 13 points. Additionally, Boston's 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. division rivals. And it's a super 49-22 ATS off a home loss when matched up against division foes off an ATS win. Finally, the Celtics fall into 135-66, 42-12 ATS revenge systems of mine. Take Boston. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-27-19 | Bucks v. Thunder -1 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee. The Bucks have won six straight games. However, not a single one of those six victories came against a team which currently has a winning record. That, of course, won't be the case today, as Milwaukee has to take on the team which sits in 3rd place in the Western Conference. It's true that the Bucks own the league's #1 record this season. But the Bucks have especially excelled against the Eastern Conference, as they're 17-10-3 ATS vs. the East (compared to 9-8 ATS vs. the West). Likewise, OKC has also excelled vs. Eastern Conference foes this year, with a 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS record. Even worse for the Bucks: they're a wallet-busting 3-18 ATS their last 21, and 19-51 ATS their last 70, off 3+ wins when playing a Western Conference foe. Take Oklahoma City to blow out Milwaukee. NBA TV Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-19 | Houston v. Tulsa +7.5 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Houston. The Cougars are ranked 17th in the country with a 19-1 record. And they blew out East Carolina, 94-50, in their previous game this past Wednesday. But off that 44-point win, we will fade the Cougars on the road tonight. Indeed, since 1991, teams with a win percentage greater than .900, off wins by 40+ points, have cashed just 27% as favorites vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Tulsa. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-19 | Utah v. California +5.5 | Top | 82-64 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Utah. The Bears lost here, at home, to Colorado on Thursday night, while Utah won and covered its 3rd straight game,with an upset victory at Stanford. The Pac-12 Conference has seen its teams cash 75.7% ATS since 1990 if they were off a loss as a home underdog, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-19 | Northern Illinois v. Akron -4 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Northern Illinois. The Huskies pulled off a big upset over Buffalo, as a 9.5-point home underdog, on Tuesday. But off that win, we will fade Northern Illinois this evening, as the Huskies fall into a negative 17-46 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off big upset wins. Additionally, the Zips have won 13 of 14 home games vs. N. Illinois (and has gone 8-2-2 ATS their last 12 lined games vs. the Huskies). Take Akron. |
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01-26-19 | Texas State v. Georgia Southern -2 | Top | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Texas State. The Eagles come into this game off an upset loss to Texas Arlington, on Thursday. The good news, though, for Georgia Southern is that it's cashed 69% as a single-digit favorite off an upset loss. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are a poor 2-10 ATS in Conference games off back to back point spread wins. Lay the points with Georgia Southern. |
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01-26-19 | Wyoming v. Boise State -15 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Wyoming. The Broncos enter this afternoon's home game off back to back upset losses (and 3 losses, overall). I look for Boise to bounce back in a big way today, as Mountain West Conference home favorites off back to back upset losses have cashed 65.2% since 2000, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced as a 12-point (or greater) favorite. And Wyoming is an awful 47-85-2 ATS away from home off a home win, including 19-51 ATS vs. foes off a loss. Take Boise State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-19 | Kansas State v. Texas A&M +4.5 | Top | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Kansas State. We played on the Aggies as a double-digit road underdog in their last game, on Tuesday, at Florida, and got the $$$ when the Aggies lost by just nine. We'll come right back with A&M as a home underdog this afternoon, as A&M is 31-17 ATS as a home underdog since 2002, including 7-2 ATS their last nine. And Texas A&M has cashed 25 of 31 non-conference home, or neutral court games off a straight-up loss. Take the Aggies + the points. |
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01-26-19 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia State -8 | Top | 71-77 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington. The Panthers come into today's home game off an upset home loss to Texas State, which was their 2nd straight upset defeat. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have won and covered five straight games, including a road win at Georgia Southern on Thursday. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, NCAA teams playing back to back games away from home have covered just 27% since 1990, if they were on both a 5-game win streak, and a 5-game ATS win streak, and their foe was off an upset loss. Take Georgia State minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-26-19 | Virginia v. Notre Dame +12 | Top | 82-55 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers were my preseason choice this year to win the National Championship (at 22-1 odds), and they're looking good so far, including nine straight point spread wins since December 19. But we will fade the Cavaliers this afternoon, as teams off 9+ covers have cashed just 38% since 1993 if they were favored away from home. Take the Fighting Irish. |
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01-26-19 | Illinois +9.5 v. Maryland | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Maryland. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden, in New York City. The Illini lost at home to Wisconsin, on Wednesday, to drop to 5-14 SU and 7-12 ATS. But they're a super 69-44 ATS off a conference loss, if they were matched up against an opponent also off a loss. And they also fall into a 404-244 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing records. Take Illinois. |
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01-25-19 | Wolves v. Jazz -10 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota. This is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves. Minnesota will be playing its 3rd straight road game, and was on the road last night against the Lakers. Meanwhile, Utah had last night off after defeating the Nuggets, here at home, on Wednesday. Since 1993, .583 (or worse) teams have gone 42-80 ATS on the road when playing without rest off back-to-back road wins against a rested opponent. And if its opponent had a .500 (or better) record, then our 42-80 ATS stat moved to 22-52 ATS. Take the Jazz minus the points. NBA Elite Info Play. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-24-19 | Idaho State +15 v. Montana | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Montana. The Grizzlies return home off back to back road blowout wins over Northern Colorado and Idaho, while Idaho State comes into tonight's game off two SU/ATS losses. Still, we will grab the points with the underdog tonight, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 63% the past 29 years as double-digit underdogs vs. foes off back to back 15-point SU/ATS road wins. Additionally, the Bengals fall into one of my favorite systems which is 402-216 ATS since 1990. Take Idaho State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-24-19 | Hofstra v. James Madison +7.5 | Top | 85-68 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Hofstra. The Pride have won 14 straight, and are 7-0 inside the Colonial Athletic Association. But we will fade them tonight, as single-digit road favorites have covered just 35% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS home wins, if they owned a 7-0 or better conference record. Additionally, the Dukes fall into 408-251, 373-228, 81-50 and 304-191 ATS systems of mine. Take James Madison + the points. |
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01-24-19 | Michigan State v. Iowa +5 | Top | 82-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan State. The Spartans have won their last 12 games, including a 22-point win over this Iowa squad, and have covered their last eight. So, it's no surprise they've been installed as a big road favorite vs. the 16-3 Hawkeyes. However, Iowa is 15-0 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog of +1.5 (or more) points, if it's matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win, with a winning point spread record. Take Iowa. |
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01-24-19 | Chattanooga v. Furman -13.5 | Top | 58-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Chattanooga. The Paladins were ranked among the Top 25 earlier this season, when they were 12-0. But they've gone 3-4 since, including back to back road defeats last week. The good news for Furman is that it's back home tonight, where it is 9-0 straight-up this season. And the Paladins are 33-12-1 ATS their last 45 at home. And they also fall into a 42-14 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams with strong home courts off losses. Lay the points over Chattanooga. |
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01-24-19 | Nebraska-Omaha v. IUPU Ft Wayne -3.5 | Top | 85-79 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Fort Wayne Mastodons minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha. The Mavericks have won their last four games. But they were favored in each of those games. They're not favored tonight. And the Mavericks are 3-13-1 as underdogs of more than 3 points. Even better: Fort Wayne is 19-3 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins. And Fort Wayne falls into an 86-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses. Take the Mastodons. |
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01-23-19 | San Jose State v. Wyoming -6 | Top | 46-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over San Jose State. After failing to cover the spread in each of their last three games (each as a double-digit underdog), the Cowboys get to step down in class and face a team which is actually worse than itself, as San Jose is just 3-14 this season. And that bodes well for Wyoming, as home favorites have gone 94-67 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses as double-digit underdogs. Take Wyoming. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-19 | Missouri v. Arkansas -7 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri. The Razorbacks are back home after going on the road last week to Tennessee and Mississippi, both currently ranked among the Top 20. And the Razorbacks lost each of those two games SU/ATS, which stretched their losing streak to 4 games SU/ATS. We'll lay the points tonight, as SEC Conference home favorites, off 4 ATS defeats, are an awesome 60.9% ATS in conference games since 1990. And Arkansas is also 47-23-2 ATS at home off a road loss, if the Razorbacks were an underdog in their previous game. Lay the points with Arkansas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-19 | East Carolina +19 v. Houston | Top | 50-94 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Houston. The Pirates lost by a whopping 51 points to these Cougars in the last meeting. And that defeat is one of the reasons why I like the underdog here, tonight, as underdogs of +9.5 (or more points) have covered 62% in conference games with revenge from losses by 43+ points. Take the Pirates + the points. |
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01-23-19 | Raptors v. Pacers -5 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Toronto. The Pacers lost both meetings earlier this season to the Raptors. But each of those two defeats were on the road. Here, at home, the Pacers are 4-1 SU/ATS their last five vs. the Raptors. And they're 17-6 straight-up, and 13-10 ATS at home this season, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -10.5 points. And Indiana is also 15-0 SU/ATS since March 26, 2017 when favored at home vs. an opponent which defeated it in the previous meeting that season. I look for Indiana to run this revenge streak to 16-0 with a blowout win tonight. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-19 | Purdue v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 79-67 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Purdue. The Buckeyes have lost their last four games, both straight-up and ATS. But this 4-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered 103-54 and 209-128 ATS systems of mine. Even better: the Buckeyes were upset by Maryland, 75-61, in their last game. However, Ohio State is a super 37-16-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, while Purdue is 2-9 ATS in Big 10 games off a road win. Take the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-23-19 | Georgia +11.5 v. LSU | Top | 82-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over LSU. Georgia lost by 10 points at home to Florida over the weekend, and that was its 3rd straight defeat (both SU and ATS). I expect the Bulldogs to rebound tonight, as they're 6-0 ATS on the road off a home conference loss. And they're 8-1 ATS on the road off back to back ATS defeats. Meanwhile, LSU is a poor 29-56-3 ATS as a favorite of -8 (or more) points. Take Georgia. |
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01-22-19 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Fresno State. The Aztecs blew out New Mexico, 97-77, last Tuesday. And the Aztecs are a spectacular 78-32 ATS off a 14-point (or greater) win, if they're not laying double-digits, including 14-2 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +8.5 points. The Aztecs also fall into 407-251, 355-208, 372-228 and 317-178 ATS systems of mine. Take the Aztecs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-19 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -1 | Top | 53-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Ole Miss. Alabama took the AP Poll's current #1 team (Tennessee) to the wire on Saturday, before falling 71-68. But Bama still covered the 13-point spread. Tonight, they're a small favorite at home vs. Ole Miss, and I look for Bama to cover for the 8th time in 10 games tonight, as they fall into 161-93 and 142-60 ATS systems of mine. Even better: Alabama is an awesome 39-14-5 ATS off a straight-up loss when it is not favored by 5+ points. Take the Crimson Tide. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   |
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01-22-19 | Texas A&M +11 v. Florida | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Florida. The Aggies were blown out, 66-43, as a 4.5-point home favorite by Missouri, on Saturday. But I love A&M to bounce back on the road tonight. Over the last 29 years, the Aggies have cashed 72% on the road off a 12-point (or worse) loss, if they were playing an opponent off a win. And the Aggies also fall into a 401-216 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back defeats. Take the Aggies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-19 | Wichita State +2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 41-54 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers + the points over South Florida. Since 1997, the Bulls are a horrid 35-68-4 ATS at home in conference games when not favored by more than four points, if the Bulls were off a straight-up loss. The Bulls lost by nine to Houston here, at home, on Saturday, so we'll fade the Bulls tonight. Take Wichita St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-19 | Villanova v. Butler -1.5 | Top | 80-72 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Villanova. These two teams last met in last season's Big East Conference tournament. The Wildcats blew out Butler by 19 points in that game. But favorites, playing with revenge from a Tourney defeat of 14+ points, have cashed 58% since 1990 if they enter the game off a win. With the Bulldogs, indeed, off an 80-71 win over St. John's this past Saturday, we'll lay the small number with the Bulldogs. Take Butler. |
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01-22-19 | Bowling Green v. Eastern Michigan -1.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Bowling Green. The Eagles are 2-3 inside the Mid-American Conference thus far, while Bowling Green is unbeaten, at 5-0. And Eastern Michigan also has a losing record, overall, at 7-9. Yet the Eagles are favored. And, since 1994, losing teams (both inside the conference, and overall) have cashed 71% as favorites (or PK) vs. conference foes that have a conference record of 4-0 (or better). Take Eastern Michigan. |
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01-22-19 | Clemson v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Clemson. Florida State has lost its last three games, and was favored in its last two games. But the Seminoles have cashed 64.2% over the last 29 years off back to back upset defeats, including 71% when favored (or PK). And FSU also falls into a 67.2% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upset defeats. Take Florida State |
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01-22-19 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -1.5 | Top | 45-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are in a tailspin, as they've lost their last two games to Baylor and Iowa State, and they were favored in each. I look for Texas Tech to lose its 3rd straight game, as .780 (or better) teams have cashed just 35.4% away from home off back to back upset defeats. Take the Wildcats. |
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01-20-19 | Suns v. Wolves -10 | Top | 114-116 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Phoenix. The Suns are 11-36 this season, but one of their rare wins was against this Minnesota team. I love the T-wolves to avenge that defeat, as NBA double-digit underdogs (like Phoenix), with a win percentage less than .250, have covered just 42 of 116 games on the road vs. opponents playing with revenge from an upset defeat. That bodes well for the home club. As does the fact that the T-wolves are 18-7-1 ATS off back to back losses. Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -100 | 157 h 7 m | Show |
At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over New England, as the Chiefs fall into several of my very best Playoff systems, with records of 84-27, 25-6, 46-14, 91-35, 85-35 and 13-0 ATS since 1980. We played on both the Chiefs and Patriots big last week. And they both were able to take advantage of road-weary teams (Colts, Chargers) that were each playing their 3rd straight road game. Not surprisingly, the home-standing Chiefs and Patriots rolled to easy victories. For this game, however, the scheduling situation will work against the Patriots. This will be New England's first road game in 35 days, as it's been at home ever since it traveled (and lost) to Pittsburgh on December 16. Indeed, New England's been an awful road team this season. It went 3-5 SU/ATS in its eight road games. And its only impressive game of its three wins was at Chicago, where it survived to win, 38-31, as a 1-point favorite. Its other two road wins were against two of the league's bottom-feeders, Buffalo and the NY Jets. Its five losses were to the Jaguars, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers, and it failed to cover the spread in those five games by an average of 17.1 ppg. So, now let's put the Patriots' 2018 road record into context. In the previous two seasons, New England went 15-1 straight-up in its 16 road games, and 13-3 ATS (covering the point spread by an average of 6.18 ppg). It's clear that this year's edition of the Patriots is a far cry from the last two seasons, when it reached the Super Bowl both times. It's true, of course, that New England did defeat these Chiefs in Foxborough, in October. But Kansas City still covered the 4-point spread. And KC also has only lost one of its nine games straight-up in Arrowhead this season (29-28 vs. the Chargers), and covered the point spread at home this season by an average of 5.90 ppg. Last week, the Patriots rolled up 41 points vs. the Chargers, which was just the 2nd time New England scored more than 38 points this season. Unfortunately, New England also surrendered 28 to the Chargers. And in this Conference Championship round of the Playoffs, road teams are an awful 0-9 SU/ATS after scoring 27+ points the previous week at home, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 10 points in that victory. Even better: NFL revenge-minded teams have covered 62% in the Conference Championship round if they were playing at home with revenge against its opponent. Take the Chiefs to smash New England. NFL Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-19 | Hornets v. Pacers -7 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Charlotte. The Hornets blew out Phoenix, 135-115, last night at home, while Indiana downed Dallas, 111-99, here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. So, the Pacers will have a scheduling advantage tonight, in that they didn't have to travel. Indiana also plays this game with revenge from a 127-109 blowout loss in Charlotte, on November 21. And Indiana is an awesome 41-17-1 ATS when playing at home with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a jaw-dropping 14-0 ATS when favored. Take the Pacers. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-19 | Missouri State +4.5 v. Drake | Top | 63-74 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Drake. The Bears come into this game off an upset loss at the hands of the Evansville Aces. And the Bears also play this game with revenge from two upset losses to Drake last season. I look for a well-motivated Bears squad to pull the upset this afternoon, as teams off an upset loss, and also playing with revenge from two upset defeats the previous season, have cashed 63% the past 29 seasons. Take Missouri State. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-19-19 | Penn State +4.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Minnesota. It's true that Minnesota is 13-4, while Penn State is 7-11, but their disparate records result from the fact that the Gophers have played a much easier schedule. Indeed, Minnesota's Big 10 Conference games thus far have included games against Illinois and Rutgers. And just one (Maryland) of Minnesota's six Big 10 Conference foes thus far (and none of its non-conference foes) are currently ranked among the Nation's Top 25. In contrast, Penn State's Big 10 Conference slate has included five games against Top 25 opponents. And the Nittany Lions have played seven games against Top 25-ranked teams when you include their non-conference schedule. So, yes, Penn State has won just one game (Virginia Tech) this season against Top-ranked competition, but at least they've battled such teams. The upshot is that we have significant point spread value on the side of Penn State. Also, the Nittany Lions fall into 40-8, 402-243 and 18-0 ATS systems of mine. Take the Nittany Lions + the points. Big 10 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-19-19 | Tennessee Tech +17.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 48-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles + the points over Jacksonville St. The Golden Eagles come into this game off back to back upset losses, at home, while the Gamecocks are on a six-game win streak. I look for Tennessee Tech to cover this big number tonight, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 57% of conference games off back to back upset losses. Take the Golden Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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01-19-19 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Wisc-Milwaukee +2.5 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers + the points over IUPUI. The Panthers won, 81-69, as a home underdog vs. Illinois-Chicago on Thursday, and they're dressed up as a home underdog again tonight. We'll take the Panthers, as home dogs have covered 58% of conference games off a double-digit win as a conference home dog in their previous game. Take Milwaukee. |
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01-19-19 | Towson +6 v. Delaware | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Towson Tigers + the points over Delaware. The Tigers come into this evening's game riding a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak. Faithful followers know I will often play on teams mired in such streaks, and this game fits several of my very best NCAA Basketball systems, including one with a 77-27 ATS record. Throw in the facts that (i) road underdogs are 100-73 (58%) ATS in conference games, while on a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak, and (ii) Delaware has covered just 26 of 71 home games off an ATS win, and we have all we need to pull the trigger on the Tigers. Take Towson + the points. |
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01-19-19 | Virginia v. Duke -3 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Virginia. The Devils were stunned, 95-91, at home by Syracuse in their last game. And Duke was a 17-point favorite vs. the Orange! That was the first time (of 91 games) that Duke had lost at home to an unranked team while being ranked #1 in the AP poll. Now, the #1 Blue Devils (AP Poll) will face the team ranked #1 in the Coaches Poll, Virginia. We'll take the Devils, as they've cashed 65% over the past 29 years off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 15 points in that defeat. Take Duke. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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01-19-19 | California +17.5 v. Washington | Top | 52-71 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Washington. The Bears have lost six straight games, and have failed to cover four straight. Meanwhile, the Huskies are mirror opposites, as they've won their last six, and have covered their last four. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Huskies, but over the past 29 seasons, teams off 5+ wins and 3+ covers have cashed just 32% vs. foes off 5+ losses, and 3+ ATS defeats, including just 3 of 27 games when favored by more than 15 points. Additionally, the Golden Bears fall into 82-38, 186-88, 293-169 and 124-47 ATS systems of mine. Grab the points with California. Pac-12 Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-19-19 | Ball State -1.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Central Michigan. The Cardinals are 10-7 (and 1-3 in Mid-American Conference play), but favored over the Chippewas, who are 14-3 overall, and 3-1 inside the conference. It's counter-intuitive, of course, but road favorites with a worse conference record, as well as a worse overall record, have covered 71% of Mid-American Conference games. Even worse for Central Michigan: it's an awful 2-10-1 ATS in MAC Conference games as a home underdog with a winning record. Take Ball State. MAC GAme of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-19-19 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Cougars + the points over Hofstra. The Pride have won 13 straight games, but have not performed well over the years as a home favorite, as they're 31-54-1 ATS, while the Cougars have been solid as a road underdog, with a 76-48-2 ATS record. Additionally, Charleston falls into a 510-358 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with inferior records. Look for Charleston to snap Hofstra's long winning streak this afternoon. Take Charleston + the points. |
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01-19-19 | Richmond v. Davidson -10.5 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Richmond. The Wildcats have lost the last four meetings to Richmond, but fall into a 112-71 ATS revenge system of mine. Even better: they come into this game off a loss at St Joseph's. But Davidson is 12-5 ATS at home off a conference defeat. Take Davidson minus the points. |
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01-18-19 | Eastern Michigan +16 v. Buffalo | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the E. Michigan Eagles + the points over Buffalo. These two teams met in Ypsilanti just two weeks ago, and the Bulls came away with a 74-58 win. We'll take E. Michigan in the re-match, as revenge-minded Mid-American Conference road underdogs, off a straight-up loss, have gone 46-23 ATS against conference foes off a win. Take the Eagles. |
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