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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-25-20 | Iowa State v. Auburn -8.5 | 76-80 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ Auburn 12:00 PM ET Game# 607-608 Play On: Auburn -8.5 (5*) For starters, Iowa State is a dismal 0-5 SU&ATS this season as an underdog of 5.0 or more, and they lost by an average of 19.7 points per contest. Iowa State is also 0-4 this season in true road games and failed to cover 3 of those outings. There defensive play in those 4 games was atrocious which is evidenced them allowing opponents to shoot a combined 48.4% and includes 44.9% from 3-point territory. After suffering their first 2 losses of the season, Auburn bounced back in their previous game with a 13-point home win over South Carolina. That victory improved their home record to a perfect 11-0 this season. Since last the beginning of last season, Auburn is 11-0 at home following a home win while winning by a massive 26.7 points per game. Bet on Auburn minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-25-20 | Missouri v. West Virginia -12 | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Missouri @ West Virginia 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: West Virginia -12.0 (5*) Missouri has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its last 3 road contests and lost by an average of 17.7 points per game. They averaged only 59.3 points scored per game and shot a miserable 33.9% during those trio of defeats. West Virginia comes in red-hot having gone 5-0 SU&ATS during their previous 5 games while winning by an average of 27.8 points per outing. During this current win streak, the Mountaineers have held opponents to a mere 54.4 points scored per game and limited them to just 33.1% shooting. Missouri will have a difficult time with the Mountaineers constant aggressive defensive pressure, and especially in light of their recent offensive struggles in away games. Bet on West Virginia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-25-20 | Illinois +4 v. Michigan | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Illinois @ Michigan 12:00 PM ET Game# 609-610 Play On: Illinois +4.0 (5*) These are 2 teams headed in opposite directions. The 21st ranked Illini was in a similar situation on Tuesday as a 5.5-point road underdog against unranked Purdue. They stepped up to the challenge with an impressive 79-62 blowout win. That victory extended their win streak to 5 games and improved the Illini to 6-2 in Big 10 action. Michigan started the season 6-0 and has gone 5-7 since. As a matter of fact, the Wolverines are 0-3 SU&ATS during their previous 3 games. Michigan is coming off Wednesday’s disappointing effort 9-point home loss to Penn State. During this present losing streak, they’ve allowed opponents to shoot an alarmingly high 51.3% while also allowing a lofty 79.0 points per game. Michigan has shown a concerning vulnerability is defending the interior since conference play began. One of Illinois’ strengths is a strong post play. Bet on Illinois plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-23-20 | Florida International v. Old Dominion OVER 138 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
FIU @ Old Dominion 7:00 PM ET Game# 605-606 Play On: Over 138.0 (10*) FIU has played 6 conference games and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per contest. The Golden Panthers have scored 78.2 points per game and made an exceptional 40.8% of their 3-point attempts during conference action. Old Dominion has gone 4-1 over this season when there’s been a total of 132.0 or greater. The Monarchs have chosen to play at a much faster pace than usual of late. During their previous 3, ODU is averaging a robust 61.7 field goal attempts per game. Any college basketball road team (FIU) with a total of 130.0 to 139.5 that scored 80 points or more in their previous game, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .200 to .400, resulted in those games going 26-5 (83.9%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 31 contests was 135.3 and there were 144.4 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-22-20 | North Dakota State v. South Dakota State OVER 141.5 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State Game# 823-824 Play On: Over 141.5 (10*) North Dakota State has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, they’ve averaged 83.8 points scored per contest, shot 51.4% from the field, converted on 38.7 of their 3-point shots, and made 87.7% of its free throw attempts. South Dakota State has averaged a robust 82.4 points scored, shot 52.7%, made 44.4% of its 3-point shots, and converted on 75.3% of their free throws over the course of the last 5 games. Since the start of last season, South Dakota State has gone in all 6 of its home games when there’s been a total of 140.0 to 149.5, and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total. |
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01-21-20 | Georgia v. Kentucky OVER 144.5 | Top | 79-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Georgia @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Over 144.5 (10*) Georgia has gone over in all 8 of its games this season when there’s been a total of 150.0 or less. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 158.8 points scored per game. Kentucky has witnessed 6 of their last 7 games going over the total. These teams just met on 1/7 at Georgia with Kentucky winning 78-69 and that game went over 142.0. There were a combined 43 free throw and 119 field goal attempts in that contest. I look for a similar fast paced game tonight with plenty of free throws as well. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-20 | Temple v. SMU -4.5 | 52-68 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | Houston v. Wichita State -3 | 65-54 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -7 | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | Missouri +6 v. Alabama | 74-88 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | Colorado v. Arizona -6 | Top | 54-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
01-18-20 | Toledo v. Akron -5.5 | 99-89 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | South Carolina v. Texas A&M -1.5 | 81-67 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
01-15-20 | Auburn v. Alabama +2 | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Auburn @ Alabama 9:00 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: Alabama +2.0 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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01-15-20 | Virginia v. Florida State -6.5 | 50-54 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Virginia @ Florida State 7:00 PM ET Game# 791-792 Play On: Florida State -6.5 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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01-15-20 | Seton Hall +5 v. Butler | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Seton Hall @ Butler 6:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Seton Hall +5.0 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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01-14-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State +4 | 77-63 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas Tech @ Kansas State 8:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Kansas State +4.0 (5*) Both teams are near mirror images of each other. They’re both terrific defensively but lack offensive firepower and efficiency. Kansas State is 7-8 this season. However, 6 of their 8 defeats have come by single digit margins. Texas Tech is 0-3 SU&ATS this season in true way games. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-14-20 | Ole Miss v. Florida OVER 136.5 | 55-71 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Ole Miss @ Florida 7:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Over 136.5 (5*) Florida has gone over the total in 9 of its last 10 and that includes each of their previous 4. Those last 4 Gators contests average a combined 170.5 points scored per game. Ole Miss has gone over in 5 of its last 7 with a combined average of 139.7 points scored per game. I’m anticipating a plethora of free throw attempts tonight based on the corresponding numbers from each team’s last 5 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-11-20 | Kansas State v. Texas OVER 122.5 | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Kansas State @ Texas 8:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: Over 122.5 (10*) Kansas State is coming off a 59-57 home loss to TCU. It marked the 2nd straight games that the Wildcats had scored 61 points or fewer. Kansas State has gone 8-1 over the total since last season after scoring 65 or less in their previous 2 contests and there was a combined average of 134.1 points scored per game. Texas is coming off a 72-62 home loss to Oklahoma in a game in which they attempted only 7 free throws. The Longhorns have gone over in all 7 of their games during the past 3 seasons following a contest in which they attempted 7 free throws or fewer. Those 7 games averaged a combined 162.7 points scored per contest. Texas is allowing only 61.5 points per game this season. However, during the past 2 seasons Kansas State has gone over in all 6 of their games when facing an opponent that’s allowing 64.0 points or less per contest. Any college basketball team (Texas) with a total of 129.5 or less that coming off a conference home loss, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a home loss, resulted in those contests going 38-8 (82.6%) over the total during the past 3 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-20 | BYU v. St. Mary's UNDER 138.5 | 84-87 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
BYU @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Under 138.5 (5*) BYU has seen 5 of their last 6 games go under the total. The Cougars defensive prowess was a huge contributor to those low scoring affairs. During that previous mentioned 6-game stretch, BYU has allowed just 54.7 points per contest and held their opponents to a miserable 36.2% shooting from the field. St. Mary’s is 7-1 at home this season while allowing just 60.5 points per game in doing so. The Gaels have been solid defensively throughout their last 5 contests while allowing opponents to shoot only 39.7% which includes 26.3% from 3-point territory. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-09-20 | UMKC +2 v. UT-Rio Grande Valley | 64-76 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
UMKC @ UTRGV 8:00 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: UMKC +2.0 (5*) UTRGV has lost 5 straight and all of those came on the road. They’re a dismal 1-10 this season versus Division 1 teams. Conversely, UMKC is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games with the last 2 coming as a favorite. Any college basketball road team that covered as a favorite in each of their previous 2 games and is facing an opponent coming off 3 or more losses with all those played on the road, resulted in those road teams going 26-4 ATS (86.7%) since 1997. The road teams also won 23 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on UTRGV plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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01-08-20 | Bradley v. Evansville +1 | 72-52 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Bradley @ Evansville 7:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Evansville +1.0 (5*) Bradley is 0-3 SU&ATS during true road games this season while losing by 12.0 points per contest. Evansville is 5-2 at home and their defeats each came by exactly 2 points. This is an Evansville team that won at Kentucky earlier this season when the Wildcats were the #1 ranked team. There’s one common opponent that these teams have faced this season. Evansville defeated Miami-Ohio by 14 while Bradley lost to them by 16. Bet on Evansville for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-20 | Florida v. South Carolina OVER 136 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Florida @ South Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Over 136.0 (5*) Both of these teams are foul prone, and each has been very good at getting to the free throw line. South Carolina has seen its last 5 average a combined 47 free throw attempts per game. Conversely, the previous 5 Florida games have averaged a combined 50 free throws per contest. Both teams enjoy playing up tempo and the pace of this game should be conducive to a high scoring game relative to the current total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville OVER 144 | 58-74 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Miami @ Louisville 7:00 PM ET Game# 603-604 Play On: Over 144.0 (5*) Miami has seen 5 of their last 6 go over the total and there were a combined 154.3 points scored per game. The Canes have also gone over in 6 of 7 this year in games played on the road or a neutral site. Louisville has witnessed 3 of its last 4 going over. Since 2016, all 5 games played between these ACC rivals have gone over the total, and that includes Louisville’s 87-74 win at Miami this past November. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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01-07-20 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan -4.5 | 67-68 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 7:00 PM ET Game# 627-628 Play On: Central Michigan -4.5 (5*) The bad news is Central Michigan is 0-6 on the road. The good news, they’re 8-0 at home and covered 4 of the 5 games which had a line. Lastly, CMU is averaging over 100 points per game on their home floor. Northern Illinois is coming off an upset win at Buffalo in a game they were an 8.0-point underdog. The Huskies aren’t likely to pull off 2 road upsets in as many games against an opponent with a strong home floor. Bet on Central Michigan minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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01-04-20 | San Diego State v. Utah State -3 | Top | 77-68 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
San Diego State @ Utah State 10:00 PM ET Game# 773-774 Play On: Utah State -3.0 (10*) Undefeated San Diego State has been a huge surprise thus far and is currently #13 in the country. However, the Aztecs find themselves as a 3.0-point underdog in this contest against unranked Utah State. The Aggies have been historically strong when playing on their home floor. This season has been no different with them going 8-0 at home while outscoring their opponents by a massive 40.2 points per game. Bet on Utah State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-04-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona -10.5 | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Arizona State @ Arizona 9:30 PM ET Game# 767-768 Play On: Arizona -10.5 There’s no analysis on this game. |
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01-04-20 | Oral Roberts v. Nebraska-Omaha +1 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts @ Omaha 8:00 PM ET Game# 753-754 Play On: Omaha +1.0 (5*) There’s no analysis on this game. |
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01-04-20 | Iowa State v. TCU -3.5 | 79-81 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Iowa State @ TCU 6:00 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: TCU -3.5 (5*) There’s no analysis on this game. |
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12-19-19 | Wofford +17.5 v. Duke | 57-86 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
Wofford @ Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Wofford +17.5 (5*) Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games which includes a loss to Stephen F. Austin. They won the other 3 straight up against Georgia State, Georgetown, and Winthrop with all those victories coming by 13 points or fewer. This will be Duke’s first game since a win over Virginia Tech 13 days ago so don’t be surprised if they come out of the gate a bit rusty. Wofford is coming off Sunday’s huge 68-64 upset win at North Carolina. That victory was their 5th in a row. During this current unbeaten streak, the Terriers have allowed just 61.6 points per game while limiting their opponents to a lousy 38.4% shooting and 26.2% from 3-point territory. Bet on Wofford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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12-18-19 | Tenn-Martin v. Baylor OVER 147 | 63-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
UT-Martin vs. Baylor 10:00 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Over 147.0 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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12-18-19 | Utah State -8.5 v. South Florida | 76-74 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
South Florida vs. Utah State 7:45 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Utah State -8.5 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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12-18-19 | Richmond -4 v. Old Dominion | 62-59 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Richmond @ Old Dominion 7:00 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Richmond -4.0 (5*) There will be no analysis on today’s college basketball picks. |
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12-17-19 | Purdue v. Ohio +8 | Top | 69-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Purdue @ Ohio 9:00 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: Ohio +8.0 (10*) Purdue is 1-3 on the road and at a neutral site this year. The Boilermakers are coming off a shocking 70-56 loss at Nebraska in a game they were a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Furthermore, Purdue center Matt Haarms went down with a concussion in that contest and is doubtful for today’s game. Haarms is averaging 10.5 points and 6.2 rebounds per game this season. Ohio is currently on a 4-game win streak which has improved their overall season record to 7-3. It’s rare that a team from the MAC gets to host a power conference school so look for that to provide added motivation for Ohio. Bet on Ohio plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-14-19 | Memphis v. Tennessee -6 | 51-47 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Tennessee 3:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Tennessee -6.0 (10*) #13 Memphis is an extremely talented yet very young team. However, they’ll be headed into a hornet’s nest in Knoxville today. #19 Tennessee is 7-1 and has outscored their opponents by 14.3 points per game. The Volunteers are also a perfect 5-0 at home and had an average victory margin of 22.0 points per game. Tennessee is laying as sizable number despite being ranked 6 sports below Memphis in the latest AP Poll. That raises a huge red flag for me since I unequivocally trust odds-makers over college basketball rankings. Bet on Tennessee minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-11-19 | Michigan v. Illinois -1 | Top | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 651-652 Play On: Illinois -1.0 (10*) This looks like a trap if there ever was one. We have an unranked team in Illinois that enters this contest having lost 2 in a row as a favorite over #5 Michigan. The books are begging you to take the ranked team in this matchup. I’m not falling for the bait with knowing that odds-makers aren’t generous, nor do they leave themselves vulnerable to public betting. Bet on Illinois for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-10-19 | Indiana v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Indiana vs. Connecticut 9:30 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: Connecticut +2.0 (10*) The Hoosiers are beneficiaries of a relatively soft schedule on their way to a 8-1 start. Their lone quality win came at home against #18 Florida State. They followed that up in their previous game with a 20-point loss at unranked Wisconsin. Furthermore, that loss was the first game not played on their home floor. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York. There will be a pro UConn crowd at the Garden tonight with many Huskies Alum in the area in addition to a reasonably short enough drive from Connecticut to downtown Manhattan. UConn owns a win over then national ranked Florida, and they also lost to #23 Xavier by a narrow 1-point margin on a neutral floor while covering as a 5.0-point underdog. Bet on Connecticut for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-04-19 | Texas Tech v. DePaul +2 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
Texas Tech @ DePaul 8:30 PM ET Game# 855-856 Play On: DePaul +2.0 (10*) Texas Tech has just 1 returning starter from last season’s team that lost in the national championship game. The Red Raiders are coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of Iowa and Creighton both of which are currently unranked. DePaul is off to an excellent 8-0 start to the season. They’ve had 3 notable road wins thus far over Minnesota, Boston College, and Iowa. Tonight will be a terrific opportunity for the Blue Demons to make a statement and make themselves relevant again. Bet on DePaul for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-25-19 | Northwestern v. Bradley -3 | 78-51 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Bradley vs. Northwestern 8:30 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Bradley -3.0 Northwestern has started the season with an uninspiring 2-2 record. Alarmingly, the Wildcats 2 losses have come against the likes of Merrimack and Radford with both occurring on their home floor. Northwestern has shot 37.7% or worse in 3 of their first 4 games. Since losing their opening game against St. Joseph’s, Bradley has strung together 4 wins in a row. The Braves also faced Radford, but unlike Northwestern, they came away with a 70-61 win. Bradley is averaging 81.0 points and 13 offensive rebounds per game thus far. The Braves are also converting on a sizzling hot 45% of its 3-point attempts and has gone an excellent 80% from the free throw line. Bet on Bradley minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-19-19 | East Tennessee State v. Kansas OVER 144 | 63-75 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
East Tennessee State @ Kansas 8:00 PM ET Game# 663-664 Play On: Over 144.0 (5*) ETSU is off to a 3-0 start. A major reason for their early success has been its offensive prowess. ETSU is averaging 77.3 points per game, shooting 51.2%, and had made 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. Kansas has shot the ball well from beyond the 3-point line thus far. The Jayhawks have knocked down an impressive 43.1% of its 3-pointers to begin the season. They’re coming off a 112-57 home win over Monmouth in their previous game. Since the beginning of last season, Kansas is 6-0 over the total following a game in which they allowed 60 points or less. Furthermore, under current head coach Bill Self, they’ve gone 21-6 (77.7%) over following a game in which there were a combined 165 points or more scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Oregon State +2.5 | 77-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma @ Oregon State 11:30 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Oregon State +2.5 (5*) Oregon State returns 4 starters from a team that went 18-13 last season. The Beavers are off to a fast start going 2-0 SU&ATS out of the gate. They’re coming off an impressive win over Iowa State during their previous outing. Thus far, Oregon State possesses a stellar 20:11 assist to turnover ratio. Conversely, although Oklahoma is also 2-0 SU&ATS, the Sooner assist to turnover ratio is a poor 11:12. Bet on Oregon State plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Texas-Arlington +5.5 v. Nevada | 73-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
UT-Arlington @ Nevada 10:00 PM ET Game# 805-806 Play On: UT-Arlington +5.5 (5*) Arlington is coming off an impressive 73-59 win over Tulsa in a game they easily covered as a 1.5-point favorite. This is an experienced Arlington team that returned all of its 5 starters from a team that went 17-16 a season ago and that includes 12-6 in the Sun belt Conference. They won’t be intimidated considering they already own a win over an AAC team. Additionally, this core group last year faced stern road tests at Indiana, Arkansas, Gonzaga, Missouri, and Texas. My point being is the moment won’t be to big for them against a Nevada program that advanced the NCAA Tournament “Elite 8” this past March. It must be noted, Nevada had to replace all 5 starters from last year’s elite team, and Steve Alford has taken over as head coach after Bill Musselman left for greener pastures. Bet on UT-Arlington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-12-19 | Long Beach State +13 v. Stanford | 58-86 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Long Beach State @ Stanford 9:00 PM ET Game# 799-800 Play On: Long Beach State +13.0 (5*) Long Beach State gave UCLA all they can handle at Pauley Pavilion in their season opener while losing by just 4 as a large 17.0-point underdog. The 49ers followed that up with an impressive 74-62 home underdog win and cover over San Diego. Long Beach forced 43 turnovers through its first 2 games. Stanford is 2-0 SU&ATS thus far after win over Montana and CS-Fullerton. However, they were a -13 combined in the rebounding department with both opponents holding an edge on each occasion. Bet on Long Beach State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-11-19 | Drake +11.5 v. Cincinnati | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Drake @ Cincinnati 7:00 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Drake +11.5 (5*) Cincinnati lost their season opener 64-56 at Ohio State last Wednesday and failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. The Bearcats showed very little scoring depth as 3 players accounted for 36 of their 56 points (64.3%) and none scored more than 13. They also went a dismal 14-23 (60.9%) from the free throw line. Drake returns 4 starters from a team that went 24-10 a season ago and was regular season co-champions of the Missouri Valley Conference. So, they won’t be intimidated whatsoever in a venue which has been tough to win at over the past 2 decades. Drake is coming off a convincing season opening 87-55 win over Kennesaw State and the Bulldogs easily covered as a 15.0-point home favorite. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is its ability to knock down 3-point shots at a high percentage. Having said that, Drake went 17-29 (58.6%) from 3-point territory during their season opening win. Granted they’ll be stepping way up in class tonight against a Bearcats program which has prided itself on playing suffocating defense. But the Bulldogs will keep themselves inside the number by knocking down it share of long-range shots. Bet on Drake plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-06-19 | Cincinnati +6 v. Ohio State | 56-64 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Cincinnati @ Ohio State 8:30 PM ET Game# 717-718 Play On: Cincinnati +6.0 (5*) Cincinnati returns 3 starters from last season’s 28-7 team. Yet, they’re the unranked team in this matchup when going up against #18 Ohio State. Furthermore, 1 of those 7 losses from last year was a 64-56 home defeat to Ohio State in their season opener. The Bearcats will be looking for revenge in what will be the basketball program’s first trip to Columbus since 1921. One of Cincinnati’s returning starters is last season’s AAC Player of the Year Jarron Cumberland (18.5 PPG). I expect Cumberland to be a key component in us cover this game. Bet on Cincinnati plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-05-19 | Kansas -2 v. Duke | 66-68 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Kansas vs. Duke 7:00 PM ET Game# 687-688 Play On: Kansas -2.0 (5*) Duke loses Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish from last year’s 32-6 team who all became early first-round selections in the 2019 NBA Draft. They have another strong class of freshmen that once again ranks among the best in the country. However, they’ll be facing an experienced and #3 ranked Kansas team. That experience will pay dividends in what will be the season opener for both teams. Bet on Kansas for a 5* wager. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Virginia 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Texas Tech +1.5 (10*) Texas Tech is coming off an impressive 61-51 win over Michigan State on Saturday. The Red Raiders are now a perfect 5-0 ATS during this NCAA Tournament and that includes their last covers coming as an underdog. Texas Tech is allowing a mere 55.8 points per game and have held opponents to just 36.4% shooting during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Virginia has been extremely fortunate in their previous 2 wins over Purdue in overtime and by 1 against Auburn. Both wins came via some last second heroics. Any NCAA Tournament underdog of 8.5-points or less that’s playing in the Sweet 16 or beyond, and they allowed 54 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 2009. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan State 8:49 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Texas Tech +2.5 (5*) I just love the way Texas Tech has competed during this NCAA Tournament. That’s especially the case on the defensive end of the floor. The Red Raiders have allowed a mere 57.0 points per game and held their opponents to 37.3% shooting during this NCAA Tournament march to the Final Four. That’s nothing new to Texas Tech fans who witnessed their team being #2 nationally in field goal percentage defense (36.9%) and #10 in 3-point defense (29.3%) this season. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -6 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Auburn vs Virginia 6:09 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Virginia -6.0 (10*) The public has fallen in love with the underdog Auburn Tigers and it’s reflected in the betting patterns for this Final Four contest. However, Virginia is healthier and the better team in this matchup. The Cavaliers haven’t been at their best during their 4 NCAA Tournament games, yet, they’re 2 wins away from a national championship. I look for the Cavaliers to be sharp as a razor today. Bet on Virginia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Lipscomb vs. Texas 7:00 PM ET Game# 727-728 Play On: Lipscomb +1.5 (5*) In case you haven’t heard of the Lipscomb Bison, they enter this NIT Championship Game with an outstanding 29-7 record. They own quality non-conference wins this season over SMU, TCU, Vermont, Davidson, UNC-Greensboro, NC State, and Wichita State. They also sustained narrow losses against NCAA Tournament teams Belmont and Louisville with each coming by a 4-point margin. This is a veteran Bison team that will also be seeking revenge stemming from last season’s 80-57 loss at Texas. Bet on Lipscomb plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-19 | Texas v. TCU -1 | Top | 58-44 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Texas vs. TCU 9:30 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: TCU -1.0 (10*) This will be the 3rd meeting of the season between these Big 12 rivals. TCU won and covered each of the first 2 and held Texas to a mere 58.5 points scored per game and a combined 39.4% shooting. TCU has won by 13 points or more in each of their first 3 NIT games. The Horned Frogs are allowing 69.9 points per games this season while Texas gives up 67.1 points per contest. Any college basketball team (TCU) that’s coming off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more and they’re and they’re allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, versus an opponent (Texas) that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game on the season, resulted in those teams going 96-16 (85.7%) straight up since 1997. Bet on TCU for my 2019 NIT Game of the Year. |
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04-02-19 | Wichita State v. Lipscomb OVER 150.5 | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 32 m | Show |
Wichita State vs. Lipscomb 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Over 150.5 (10*) During their first 3 NIT games, Lipscomb has averaged an impressive 89.7 points scored per outing while shooting a combined 51.9%. As a matter of fact, Lipscomb has shot 48.2% or better in each of their previous 7 games. Conversely, they’re also allowing 81.0 points per game during this 2019 NIT and opponents have eclipsed the 50% mark shooting on 2 of 3 occasions. Wichita State is currently 22-14 (.647) and Lipscomb is 28-7 (.800). Any NIT game with a total of 150.0 to 159.5, and both teams have a win percentage of .600 to .800, resulted in those contests going 24-6 (80%) over the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke OVER 150 | 68-67 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Michigan State vs. Duke 5:05 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Over 150.0 (5*) This is a classic case of reverse line movement. The total opened at 148.5 and despite 69% of money being bet on the under, the number has ascended to 150.0. Sometimes it’s best to keep things simple, and this is a prime example of such. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn v. Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Auburn vs. Kentucky 2:20 PM ET Game# 693-694 Play On: Kentucky -4.5 (10*) Auburn’s chances of winning this game took a huge hit when starting forward Chuma Okeke suffered a knee injury with 8 minutes left to play in the Tigers 97-80 blowout win over North Carolina on Friday night. At the time of his injury, Okeke amassed 20 points and 11 rebounds against North Carolina’s massive frontcourt players. Kentucky has beaten Auburn twice already this season. During those wins the Wildcats averaged 81.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 54.4% from the field. Furthermore, Kentucky held an enormous 76-50 rebounding advantage. That’s even more concerning for Auburn who will be without the services of Okeke. Bet on Kentucky minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | 75-80 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Purdue vs. Virginia 8:49 ET Game# 681-682 Play On: Purdue +4.5 (5*) Virginia has failed to cover in 2 of their 3 NCAA Tournament games. Furthermore, they barely earned their lone cover in a 12-point win as a 10.5-point favorite versus Oklahoma. On the other hand, Purdue has been exceptional in covering each of their first 3 games during this 2019 NCAA Tournament. Additionally, during their previous 2 wins, the Boilermakers averaged 93.0 points scored per contest while shooting a sizzling hot 53.8%. Any Elite 8 underdog of 5.0 or less who covered in each of their last 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going an unblemished 10-0 ATS since the 2005 NCAA Tournament. Bet on Purdue plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Gonzaga 6:09 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) Gonzaga is #1 nationally in scoring offense (88.2 PPG) and field goal percentage (52.8%). However, they’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s #3 nationally in scoring defense (58.7 PPG) and #1 in defensive field goal percentage (36.7%). Texas Tech has exhibited even tighter defense throughout their first 3 NCAA Tournament games. During that time, they allowed a mere 53.0 points per game while holding opponents to a combined 35.5% shooting. They covered in each of those contests and their average victory margin was 18.0-points per contest. Additionally, the Red Raiders have shot 48.1% during that identical time frame. I’m going with the Big 12 regular season champion in this one. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Duke | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Virginia Tech vs. Duke 9:39 PM ET Game# 669-670 Play On: Virginia Tech +7.0 (10*) Duke is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and that includes 1-4 ATS since Zion Williamson’s return from injury. Duke barely escaped with a 77-76 win over Central Florida in their previous game and were extremely fortunate to do so as a 13.0-point favorite. Virginia Tech is a whole different team with star point guard Justin Robinson in the lineup. Following a convincing home win over Syracuse earlier this season, Robinson missed several games due to injury and the Hokies weren’t nearly as efficient offensively. Nevertheless, they did manage to beat Duke without Robinson. Well Robinson is back and so are the Hokies. Additionally, Virginia Tech is 7-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site. This is a balanced Virginia Tech team that’s totally capable of pulling off an upset today. However, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Virginia Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Michigan State | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
LSU vs. Michigan State 9:39 PM ET Game# 667-668 Play On: LSU +6.5 (5*) Despite losing their head coach Will Wade late in the year due to an indefinite suspension stemming from a rule’s infraction, LSU players haven’t let that affect their play on the court. The Tigers are an extremely profitable 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5. This is a very athletic and underrated LSU team. The Tigers have what it takes to give Michigan State all they can handle and then some. Play on LSU plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech +2 v. Michigan | Top | 63-44 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Michigan 9:39 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Texas Tech +2.0 (10*) Both teams are excellent defensively. The difference in this game will be Texas Tech is more consistent on the offensive end. The Red Raiders have scored 70 or more in 10 straight games. Conversely, Michigan has scored 70 or less in 14 of their last 19 games. Texas Tech is coming off a 78-58 win over Buffalo. Any Sweet 16 or Elite 8 underdog of 8.5 points or less that allowed less than 60 points in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 31-9 ATS (77.5%) since 2006. Bet on Texas Tech plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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03-24-19 | Oklahoma +11 v. Virginia | Top | 51-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. Virginia 7:45 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Oklahoma +11.0 (10*) Oklahoma has gone a terrific 12-1 SU&ATS versus non-conference opponents this season. The Sooners are coming off Friday’s 95-72 blowout over Ole Miss in which they shot a blistering hot 57.6%. Oklahoma is 6-1 straight up this season following a game in which they shot 50% or better. The Sooners have also gone a very profitable 8-4-2 ATS this season as an underdog. There’s nothing bad to say against Virginia except that I’m fading them today. Bet on Oklahoma plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Auburn -2 v. Kansas | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Kansas vs. Auburn 9:40 PM ET Game# 849-850 Play On: Auburn -2.0 (10*) Although Kansas was extremely impressive in their blowout win over Northeastern on Thursday, I haven’t been crazy about this 2018-2019 Jayhawks team, and especially when not playing on their home floor. Survive and advance appropriately fits Auburn’s opening round game after escaping with a narrow 1-point win over New Mexico State. Speaking of New Mexico State, that’s the same Aggies team that gave Kansas all they can handle during a 3-point loss in early December and entered the NCAA Tournament on a 19-game win streak. Auburn has gone an eye-catching 8-1 straight up this season when playing at a neutral site, and their only defeat came by 6-points against 2019 NCAA Tournament #1 overall seed Duke. Bet on Auburn minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-19 | Villanova v. Purdue -3.5 | 61-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Villanova vs. Purdue 8:40 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Purdue -3.5 (5*) St. Mary’s gave Villanova all they can handle in the opening round before falling 61-57 to the defending champs. It’s been quite apparent for quite some time now that this isn’t the same Villanova team which has captured 2 of the last 3 national championships. The Wildcats finished their regular season slate by going 3-6. They did win the Big East Tournament but 2 of their 3 wins came against teams not participating in this season’s Big Dance, and the other was by a slim 2-point margin over Seton Hall. Purdue has gone 17-4 in their last 21 games and entered the NCAA Tournament well rested after being upset in the Big 10 Tournament quarterfinals by Minnesota. As a matter of fact, all 4 of their losses during that previous 21-game stretch came against teams in the 68-team field. The Boilermakers are very good defensively and have held 6 of their last 9 opponents to less than 40% shooting. They will be facing a Villanova team today that has shot 41% or worse in 7 of its last 10 games. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Baylor +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 7:10 PM ET Game# 851-852 Play On: Baylor +14.5 (5*) I’m not going to waste mine or your time trying to conjure up ways to poke holes in Gonzaga’s resume. Quite frankly, the Bulldogs have very little if any weaknesses. Baylor has gone a very profitable 11-4-1 ATS as an underdog this season. As a matter of fact, the Bears have gone an even better 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.0-point or more. Today will be far and away the biggest underdog that Baylor has been all season. Their previous high was as a 10.0-point underdog at Iowa State when the Bears walked off with a 73-69 upset win. It’s also worth noting, Baylor is 8-1 straight up during the past 2 seasons when playing their 2nd game in 3 days. Baylor has also recorded 7 wins this season against teams that made this year’s NCAA Tournament. Conversely, Gonzaga was just 4-3 versus teams in the 68-team field while going a perfect 27-0 versus those that failed to make it. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Wofford +6 v. Kentucky | 56-62 | Push | 0 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Wofford vs. Kentucky 2:40 PM ET Game# 843-844 Play On: Wofford +6.0 (5*) Kentucky will once again be without P.J. Washington (foot) due to injury. Washington averages 14.5 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. The Wildcats didn’t miss him in the first round against an outmanned Abilene Christian team. However, Wofford will present a much tougher challenge. Wofford won’t be in awe of Kentucky or intimidated by the bright lights. Personally, I didn’t think they played their best against Seton Hall on Thursday but still walked off with a decisive 14-point win. Wofford is 30-4 this season and 3 of their only losses came against Kansas, Oklahoma, and Mississippi State who were all part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Wofford also won at South Carolina by 20. The Terriers have won 21 games in a row and have covered 8 straight contests. Wofford is one of the best shooting teams in the country and is 30-1 this season when they shoot 40% or better. Bet on Wofford plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-23-19 | Arkansas v. Indiana -5 | 60-63 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Arkansas @ Indiana 12:00 PM ET Game# 853-854 Play On: Indiana -5.0 (5*) Indiana lost at Arkansas 73-72 earlier this season and did so as a 3.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers won their NIT opening round game by a score of 89-72 over St. Francis (Pa.) and managed to cover as a 16.0-point favorite. This sets up a very favorable betting angle supporting the favorite Hoosiers which is illustrated below. Any college basketball favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Indiana) that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from and away favorite straight up loss, and they’re coming off a cover as a double-digit favorite, resulted in those favorites going 32-10 ATS (76.2%) during the past 5 seasons. Bet on Indiana minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Liberty v. Mississippi State -6 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show |
Liberty vs. Mississippi State 7:27 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Mississippi State -6.0 (10*) Liberty earned their automatic bid by winning 74-68 at Lipscomb as a 6.0-point underdog in their conference championship game. That victory improved the Flames season record to an outstanding 28-6 (.824). However, Liberty has yet to face an opponent this season which is part of the 68-team NCAA Tournament field. Mississippi State enters the NCAA Tournament with a solid 23-10 record. The Bulldogs own non-conference wins over 2019 NCAA Tournament teams such as Cincinnati (28-6), Wofford (29-4), and St. Mary’s (22-11). They also played 9 games against fellow SEC teams which are in the NCAA Tournament and won 3 of those contests. Any college basketball favorite (Mississippi State) with a winning record that’s facing an opponent with a win percentage of .800 or better, and they’re (Liberty) coming off a conference win as an underdog of 6.0 or more points, resulted in those favorites going 33-9 ATS (78.6%) since 1997. The average point-spread in those 42 games was 5.4. Liberty has been a trendy upset pick this week. Nevertheless, I firmly believe that’s fool’s gold. Mississippi State has seen 39.3% of their games played this season come against teams who are in the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The tougher schedule will pay huge dividends against an opponent that’s feasted on low level competition. Bet on Mississippi State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-22-19 | Georgia State +12.5 v. Houston | 55-84 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
Georgia State vs. Houston 7:20 PM ET Game# 815-816 Play On: Georgia State +12.5 (5*) Houston has shown to be a terrific team this season and may possibly even go deep in the tournament. However, Georgia State will be a very dangerous first round opponent and especially when being a double-digit underdog. Georgia State owns non-conference wins over St. Bonaventure who lost in the Atlantic 10 Final, East Tennessee State which was a NCAA Tournament bubble team and blew out Georgia by 24 on the road. The Panthers average 10 made three-point shots per game and have connected on 38.8% of those long-distance attempts on the season. The ability to make 3-point shots successfully is the great equalizer for college basketball underdogs. Georgia State defeated Texas-Arlington 73-65 in the Sun Belt Championship Game and held them to just 35.9% shooting. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS during the past 2 seasons following a game in which they held their opponents to 37% or worse shooting. Bet on Georgia State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Washington +3 v. Utah State | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington vs. Utah State 6:50 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Washington +3.0 (5*) The PAC-12 regular season champion Washington Huskies finds themselves as an underdog against arguably the 2nd best team from the Mountain West Conference. I realize that it’s been a down year for the PAC-12 but being an underdog in this game should provide plenty of incentive for the underdog Huskies. Washington loss in the PAC-12 Tournament Final to Oregon. However, the Huskies have gone a perfect 7-0 straight up this season following a loss. Washington has also been a huge money-maker under second year head coach Mike Hopkins. During his tenure, the Huskies have been an extremely profitable 38-20 ATS (65.5%). Washington will be facing a Utah State team that has shot a noteworthy 47.4% this season. Since 16, Washington is a perfect 12-0 ATS when facing an opponent which has a season shooting percentage of 45% or better. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Oregon v. Wisconsin -2 | 72-54 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
Oregon vs. Wisconsin 4:30 PM ET Game# 825-826 Play On: Wisconsin -2.0 (5*) Granted, Oregon has gone 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 games, and that includes winning 4 games in 4 days during last week’s PAC-12 Tournament. However, the level of competition in the PAC-12 compared to the Big 10 was far inferior this season. This is a very experienced Wisconsin team which has won 12 of their last 16 games. The Badgers have been solid defensively while allowing 67 points or fewer in 16 of its last 17 games. Bet on Wisconsin minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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03-22-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Texas Tech OVER 136.5 | 57-72 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky vs. Texas Tech 1:30 PM ET Game# 819-820 Play On: Over 136.5 (5*) Northern Kentucky has averaged 78.2 points scored and made an outstanding 40.5% of its three-point shots throughout their previous 5 contests. This will be just a fifth time all season that Northern Kentucky has been tabbed as an underdog, and they went over during the last 3 in that role. Those 3 contests averaged a combined 148.0 points scored per game. Texas Tech has been an exceptional defensive team for most of this season. However, thru their last 5 games they’ve allowed opponents to convert on 39.8% of their 3-point shot attempts. That can be problematic against a very good 3-point shooting team like Northern Kentucky. Conversely, Texas Tech has averaged a sizable 77.8 points scored per game over their last 5 outings while shooting 47.1% while doing so. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | Old Dominion v. Purdue -12.5 | 48-61 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Old Dominion vs. Purdue 9:50 PM ET Game# 759-760 Play On: Purdue -12.5 (5*) Old Dominion won the Colonial Conference Tournament but has really struggled offensively of late. During their previous 5 outings, ODU has scored only 56.4 points per game while shooting a miserable 36.4%. Conversely throughout their previous 5 contests, Purdue has allowed 62.4 points per game while holding its opponents to just 39.6% shooting while facing much stiffer competition compared to ODU. Purdue got off to a slow 6-5 start to the season. Since that time, they’ve gone 17-4. ODU will be able to hang around for awhile due to its stout play on the defensive end. However, Purdue will wear them down and pull away during the latter stages of this game. Bet on Purdue minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | Northeastern v. Kansas -6 | 53-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Northeastern vs. Kansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 783-784 Play On: Kansas -6.0 (5*) Northeastern is the #13 seed in the Midwest Region and is currently on a 7-game win streak. However, all 7 of those wins came as a favorite against Colonial Conference competition. The Huskies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 as an underdog this season. They’re also 0-3 straight up and 0-2-1 ATS this season versus 2019 NCAA Tournament teams (Vermont, Syracuse, Virginia Tech). Kansas is coming off a loss to Iowa State in the Big 12 Tournament Finals. They’ve gone 7-1 this season following a loss. This is one of those rare years over the past 2 decades in which the Jayhawks enter the NCAA Tournament with just modest expectations. It’s also the first time in 13 years they were unable to capture a Big 12 regular season title. Beware of the wounded animal. Any NCAA Tournament favorite of 3.5 to 9.5-points (Kansas) that facing an opponent (Northeastern) that’s a #13 through #16 seed that’s coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in the favorites going 47-17 ATS (73.4%) since 1997. Bet on Kansas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-21-19 | New Mexico State +6 v. Auburn | Top | 77-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
New Mexico State vs. Auburn 1:30 PM ET Game# 781-782 Play On: New Mexico State +6.0 (10*) Auburn won games in 4 days to win the SEC Tournament title which concluded with an upset of Tennessee in Sunday’s Finals. Now on just 3 days rest they’ll be facing an extremely dangerous New Mexico State team which has won 19 straight games. The Aggies are a dominating +13.8 rebounds per game over their last 8 outings. Conversely, Auburn is a -6 rebound per game in throughout their previous 6 contests. New Mexico State has shot 50.8% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. Auburn has allowed its previous 5 opponents to shoot a combined 47.8% and that includes an alarming 42.1% from 3-point territory. Bet on New Mexico State plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-20-19 | Sam Houston State v. TCU OVER 146 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Sam Houston State @ TCU 9:00 PM ET Game# 725-726 Play On: Over 146.0 (5*) TCU has gone over in 8 of their 11 games this season when there’s been a total of 145.0 or greater. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 159.7 points scored per game. The Horned Frogs have also made an impressive 39.2% of their 3-points shots through their last 5 games. Sam Houston State has been on fire offensively over their previous 5 games. During that time, they averaged 84.2 points scored per game while converting on a superb 43.6% of its 3-point shot attempts. As a matter of fact, they’ve averaged 12 three-point makes per game throughout that identical time frame. Unfortunately for them, as good as they’ve been offensively, they’ve been just as bad defensively over that exact stretch. Thru their last 5 outings, Sam Houston State is allowing 80.0 points per game while their opponents have collectively made 41.5% of their 3-point tries. Additionally, the opposition has averaged an enormous 25 free throw attempts per game as well. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-20-19 | Harvard +6.5 v. Georgetown | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Harvard @ Georgetown 7:00 PM ET Game# 723-724 Play On: Harvard +6.5 (5*) This is a very experienced Harvard team that won’t be in awe of playing on the road against a major conference opponent. They’re coming off a disappointing 97-85 loss to Yale in the Ivy League Tournament Final. However, Harvard is 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 games following a loss. The Crimson is also an extremely profitable 7-1 ATS this season in true road games as an underdog of 9.5 or less. Georgetown has been plagued by inconsistency this season. You never know what Hoyas team is going to show up. The one who’s beaten the likes of Marquette and Villanova, or a team that recently (3/6) lost to DePaul by 32. Georgetown has lost 5 times at home this season and 4 of those defeats have come in the last 9. Bet on Harvard plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-20-19 | Howard v. Coastal Carolina OVER 162 | 72-81 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Howard @ Coastal Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 741-742 Play On: Over 162.0 (5*) Howard has seen 2 of 3 go over this season when there’s been a total of 160.0 or greater and there were 170.7 points scored per game. Howard has gone under in their last 2 games. They’re 3-1 over the total this season after their previous 2 outings went under, and those games produced and average of 173.5 points scored per contest. Howard is averaging 80.6 points scored per game while shooting an excellent 45.6% from 3-point territory during their previous 5 outings. Those 5 contests also averaged a combined 44 free throw attempts per game. That’s significant since tonight’s opponent has made 76.2% of their free throws over their past 5 games. Coastal Carolina games have averaged an identical 44 free throw attempts per game throughout its last 5 outings. Coastal Carolina has witnessed their last 2 games both going under. They haven’t gone under the total in 3 straight games all season long. As a matter of fact, they’re 3-0 over the total this season following 2 straight contests going under and there were 166.7 points scored per game. Coastal Carolina has allowed 79.6 points per game throughout their previous 5 appearances. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-19 | Dayton +4.5 v. Colorado | 73-78 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Dayton @ Colorado 11:00 PM ET Game# 691-692 Play On: Dayton +4.5 (5*) Something must give in this one. Dayton is 7-3 SU&ATS in true road games this season and that includes a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS during their previous 4 away tilts. On the other hand, Colorado is an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 at home. Nevertheless, I like the consistency that Dayton has displayed on both ends of the floor throughout their previous 5 games. During that time, The Flyers are shooting an impressive 50% and have also allowed only 58.0 points per contest. As a matter of fact, Dayton has shot 48% or better in 8 of their last 9 games. The Flyers are coming off an upset loss to St. Louis in the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. Dayton is 8-1 ATS during the past 3 seasons following a straight up favorite loss and outscored their 9 opponents by an average of 10.0 points per game. Bet on Dayton plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-19 | Loyola-Chicago v. Creighton UNDER 136 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Loyola-Chicago @ Creighton 9:00 PM ET Game# 689-690 Play On: Under 136.0 (5*) Loyola-Chicago lost in the semifinals of the Missouri Valley Tournament which eliminated any hope of them replicating last season’s magical Final Four run. However, Loyola is 8-1 under the total this season following a loss and there were just a combined 125.1 points scored per game. The Ramblers are also 6-1 under this season when there’s been a total of 131.0 or greater with a collective 120.3 points scored per contest. The Ramblers prefer to play a slow-paced game and are allowing only 60.5 points per game on the season. Conversely, Creighton has witnessed 10 of their last 13 games going under the total. Bet on this game to go under for a 5* wager. |
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03-19-19 | Lipscomb v. Davidson OVER 149 | Top | 89-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Lipscomb @ Davidson 7:00 PM ET Game# 683-684 Play On: Over 149.0 (10*) The sharp money is on the over in this contest and that includes mine. Throughout their previous 5 contests Lipscomb has averaged a lofty 80.0 points scored per game while shooting 50% and converting on an excellent 39.2% of its 3-point attempts. Davidson is averaging a healthy 76.1 points scored per game at home this season. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-18-19 | Quinnipiac v. NJIT OVER 144 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac @ NJIT 7:00 PM ET Game# 661-662 Play On: Over 144.0 (5*) Quinnipiac has shot an extremely good 41.8% from 3-point rage throughout their previous 5 games. During that same 5-games period, NJIT has shot 48.0% from the field and made 37.6% of their 3-point shots. Each team has been highly efficient from the free throw line throughout those 5-game stretches. NJIT is coming off a conference tournament 78-55 loss to Lipscomb. Quinnipiac is coming off a 98-92 loss to Iona in the MAAC Championship game. Any college basketball road team (Quinnipiac) that allowed 85 points or more in their previous game, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 20 points or more, resulted in those games going 55-28 (66.3%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 83 contests was 144.9 and there were a combined 150.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State UNDER 131 | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Michigan vs. Michigan State 3:30 PM ET Game# 655-656 Play On: Under 131.0 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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03-17-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston UNDER 128.5 | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Cincinnati vs. Houston 3:15 PM ET Game# 653-654 Play On: Under 128.5 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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03-17-19 | Auburn v. Tennessee UNDER 147 | 84-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Auburn vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Under 147.0 (5*) There will be no analysis today. |
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03-16-19 | Florida State +8 v. Duke | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Duke 8:30 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Florida State +8.0 (10*) Duke revenged 2 regular season losses to archrival North Carolina by defeating the Tar Heels 74-73 in yesterday’s ACC Semifinals. Now they are laying a sizable number against a red-hot Florida State team they beat on the road in their only regular season meeting with the Seminoles. That surely equates to a potential emotional letdown despite the ACC crown being at stake. Since starting ACC play 1-4, Florida State has rebounded to win 14 of their next 15 games. Their only loss in that sequence came at North Carolina. There’s a ton of betting value today on the underdog Seminoles. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see an outright upset. However, I won’t be greedy and will gladly take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Florida State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-19 | Colorado +3.5 v. Washington | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Colorado vs. Washington 9:00 PM ET Game# 847-848 Play On: Colorado +3.5 (10*) Washington has gone 3-2 during their previous 5 games. However, they failed to cover on each occasion and were a favorite in all 5 contests. Colorado comes in red-hot having won 10 of its last 12 and that includes a current 5-game win streak. The Buffaloes will be playing with double revenge after losing both regular season meetings with Washington by margins of 7 and 9 points. The Buffaloes have been outstanding defensively during their present winning streak while allowing a mere 61.4 points per game and holding its opponents to 37.0% shooting. They also held an enormous +11.0 rebounds per game over their opponent throughout this present win streak. Bet on Colorado plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-19 | St. Joe's v. Davidson OVER 141.5 | 60-70 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
St. Joseph’s vs. Davidson 6:00 PM ET Game# 803-804 Play On: Over 141.5 (5*) There will be no analysis on this game. |
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03-14-19 | Louisville v. North Carolina UNDER 151 | Top | 70-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
Louisville vs. North Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Under 151.0 (10*) Louisville has gone under in their last 6 games when there’s been a total of 126.0 or greater. Those 6 contests averaged only a combined 126.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals have covered in each of their previous 3 games. Louisville is 8-0 under the total this season following 2 or more ATS wins in a row and there were a collective 133.6 points scored per contest. The Cardinals have struggled offensively throughout their last 5 appearances while scoring a mere 63.4 points per game while shooting just 37.3% which includes 26.9% from 3-point territory. North Carolina has garnered the reputation as an explosive offensive team and rightfully so. However, they’re vastly underrated defensively. As a matter of fact, during their last 5 outings they’ve held opponents to a collective 38.6% shooting. The Tar Heels have gone under in 5 straight games when there’s been a total of 148.0 or greater. North Carolina also went under during both of this season’s games against Louisville. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-14-19 | CS-Northridge +5.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
CS-Northridge vs. UC-Santa Barbara 3:00 PM ET Game# 761-762 Play On: CS-Northridge +5.5 (5*) Northridge lost both of their regular season games against UCSB. However, those defeats came by narrow margins of 2 and 6 points which enabled them to cover on both occasions. Northridge has averaged 76.6 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 41.6% from 3-point territory throughout their previous 5 games. Conversely, UCSB has allowed their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.1% of its 3-point shots. They say the great equalizer for a college basketball underdog is their ability to make a high percentage of their 3-point shots. Well, that certainly is applicable in this game. Bet on UC-Northridge plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-19 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Florida | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs. Florida 1:00 PM ET Game# 737-738 Play On: Arkansas +3.5 (5*) Arkansas enters SEC Tournament action on a 3-game win streak. During that successful stretch Arkansas averaged 80.0 points scored per game while shooting a red-hot 50.3%. They closed their regular season slate out with an 82-70 home victory over Alabama. The Razorbacks are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season following a home win by 10 points or more. They outscored those 7 opponents by a decisive average of 10.7 points per contest. Arkansas will be facing a Florida team that comes into postseason play on a 3-game losing streak. Bet on Arkansas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-14-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3.5 | 83-66 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
Baylor vs. Iowa State 12:30 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Baylor +3.5 (5*) Iowa State limps into the postseason by having gone 0-3 SU&ATS in its last 3 and 1-5 SU&ATS during their previous 6 games. Baylor went 2-0 SU&ATS in their 2 regular games against Iowa State this season and held a huge 77-54 rebounding advantage in those contests. Throughout the past 2 seasons, Iowa State has gone a dismal 1-8 straight up when playing with same season revenge. Bet on Baylor plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | Oklahoma State +4.5 v. TCU | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State vs. TCU Game# 667-668 Play On: Oklahoma State +4.5 (5*) TCU has lost 2 of their last 3 and 6 of its previous 8 games. The Horned Frogs are a dismal 0-5 ATS during their last 5 games as a favorite. Oklahoma State has covered in 4 straight and won their last 2 games straight up. Oklahoma State went 1-1 against TCU during regular season action but covered on both occasions. Bet on Oklahoma State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | California v. Colorado UNDER 137.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
California vs. Colorado 5:30 PM ET Game# 641-642 Play On: Under 137.5 (10*) These teams met once during regular season actions and Colorado defeated California 68-59. That game easily stayed under the total of 147.0. California has seen each of their last 4 games go under when there’s been a total of 135.5 or greater. Those 5 contests averaged just a combined 130.8 points scored per game. Colorado has witnessed each of their previous game games going under when there’s been a total of 147.0 or less. Those 6 contests averaged only a collective 130.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-13-19 | Arizona v. USC UNDER 139.5 | 65-78 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Arizona vs. USC 3:00 PM EST Game# 639-640 Play On: Under 139.5 (5*) Arizona has seen 5 of its last 6 and 7 of their previous 9 games go under the total. USC has recently been involved in low scoring affairs when odds-makers deem them to be in a relatively even matchup. Well this game would qualify as such since USC is currently a 1.0-point underdog. Specifically speaking, USC has gone 5-1 under the total in its last 6 games this season when their point-spread is between +3.0 and -3.0. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | Colorado State v. Boise State OVER 141 | 57-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Colorado State vs. Boise State 2:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Over 141.0 (5*) Colorado State has shot 50% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games. Boise State has scored an average of 77.7 points and shot a combined 49.4% during its previous 3 contests. I look for the combined point score in this one to approach 150 and possibly exceed that number. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-13-19 | Massachusetts v. George Washington +4.5 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
George Washington vs. Massachusetts 1:00 PM ET Game# 629-630 Play On: George Washington +4.5 (5*) Let’s face it, both these teams stink, and it’s highly unlikely that either will advance beyond the next round. However, one of these teams is going to cover this contest. Massachusetts has gone an abysmal 1-12 ATS this season as a favorite and was outscored in those contests by 4.3 points per outing. The Minutemen will be facing a GW teams which is being outscored by 8.4 points per game this season. Nevertheless, they’re 0-10 ATS during the past 2 seasons when facing teams that are being outscored by 4.0 or more points per game. GW has committed 9 turnovers or fewer in each of their previous 3 appearances. The Colonials are a very profitable 7-1 ATS this season after committing 14 turnovers or less in each of its last 3 games. Bet on George Washington plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-12-19 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga UNDER 141.5 | 60-47 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga 9:00 PM ET Game# 615-616 Play On: Under 141.5 (5*) These teams have seen their last 5 games played against one another all go under the total. That includes their 2 meeting this season which saw a combined 132.0 points scored per occasion. St. Mary’s scored just 50.5 points per game and shot a miserable 32.6% in losing both contests. St. Mary’s is allowing only 64.0 points per game against conference opponents this season. Conversely, Gonzaga has limited fellow WCC teams to a mere 60.1 points per contest. St. Mary’s has stayed under the total in 7 of their previous 8 and held opponents to 69 points or less in every instance. Gonzaga has given up 69 points or less in 13 of its last 14 outings. Tonight’s game is the West Coast Conference Final with the winner receiving an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. At the time of this writing, just 31% of bets made on this game have been placed on going under the total. Since 2010, any college basketball postseason final in which the actual number of bets made on the total was between 17% and 40% on the under, resulted in those contests going 115-56 (67.3%) under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-11-19 | San Diego v. St. Mary's OVER 128 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
San Diego vs. St. Mary’s 11:30 PM ET Game# 887-888 Play On: Under 128.0 (5*) St. Mary’s has witnessed their last 6 outings going under the total and there were just a combined 116.2 points scored per contest. The Gaels have been stout defensively throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing a mere 52.0 points per game and holding opponents to a miserable 36.6% shooting. San Diego has been excellent defensively during their first 3 games of this 2019 West Coast Conference Tournament and there were a collective 119.3 points scored per outing. During that 3-game stretch, San Diego has allowed only 49.7 points per game and their opponents combined to shoot an awful 30.6%. Monday will be San Diego’s 4th game in 5 days and that usually produces tired legs in addition to poor shooting numbers. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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03-09-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State OVER 136 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan @ Michigan State 8:00 PM ET Game# 649-650 Play On: Over 136.0 (10*) These teams are both terrific defensively. However, the last 4 games in this series have all gone over the total and there was a combined 145.8 points scored per contest. Michigan has gone over the total in each of their last 3 games. The Wolverines have also gone over during 3 of its previous 4 conference away games. Michigan State has won 4 of its last 5 games. During the past 2 seasons, the Spartans have gone over in all 9 of its home games after winning 4 of their previous 5 played. Those contests averaged a collective 158.2 points scored per game. Michigan State has averaged 76.7 points scored per outing and shot a red-hot 52.6% throughout its last 3 games. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-09-19 | Villanova v. Seton Hall +3.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Villanova @ Seton Hall 12:00 PM ET Game# 611-612 Play On: Seton Hall +3.5 (5*) Villanova has gone into bit of a late season swoon. As a matter of fact, the defending national champions have lost 4 straight road games. Conversely, Seton Hall has won 4 of its last 5 at home. The Pirates will be out to revenge an 80-52 blowout loss at Villanova earlier this season. Bet on Seton Hall plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-08-19 | Manhattan v. Canisius -4 | 65-69 | Push | 0 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Manhattan vs. Canisius 9:30 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: Canisius -4.0 (5*) This is Metro Athletic Association Conference Tournament quarterfinal game. These teams split the 2 regular season games played against one another with the road team winning on each occasion. Canisius will have a decided advantage tonight based on rest. The Golden Griffins haven’t played since last Friday’s 68-62 win over Siena. That victory improved their MAAC record to a very respectable 11-7. Conversely, Manhattan is coming off yesterday’s first round 57-53 upset win over Fairfield. The Jaspers will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days. Bet on Canisius minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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