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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns -3.5 | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Phoenix 3:35 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Phoenix -3.5 (5*) The Clippers will be playing on 1 day of rest following the completion of 4-3 series win over #1 seed Utah. The Clippers exerted a ton of physical and emotional energy after overcoming a massive 22-point deficit to eventually win by 11. Now they must face the #2 seed Suns on the road who have been off since last Saturday’s 125-118 win at Denver which accomplished a 4-game sweep over the Nuggets. Phoenix has gone 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS this season as a favorite versus a team with a win percentage of .600 to .750.Unfortunately, the Suns veteran point-guard Chris Paul has been ruled out of the opening game of this series due to COVID protocols. That is certainly a huge loss, but it’s already factored into the line. Phoenix has enough quality depth to get by in the short term without Paul. Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-18-21 | 76ers -3 v. Hawks | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
76ers @ Hawks 7:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: 76ers -3.0 (5*) Everything points to an Atlanta win and cover tonight. The Hawks are 22-3 SU and 20-5 ATS during their last 25 home games. They have overcome 18 and 26-point deficits to win the last 2 games which have catapulted them to a 3-2 series lead. Yet, they find themselves as a home underdog in Game 6. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting, especially so if it looks to good to be true. NBA Playoffs betting history shows that away favorites in Game 6 of a series have been extremely successful during the past 11 seasons. Any NBA Playoffs Game 6 road favorite of 2.0 or more has gone 18-2-1 ATS since the 2010 postseason. That includes 6-0 SU&ATS if the away favorite is coming off a loss, and with an average victory margin of 21.2 points per game. Bet on Philadelphia for a 5* wager. |
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06-16-21 | Clippers v. Jazz -7 | 119-111 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Clippers @ Jazz 10:00 PM ET Game# 582-583 Play On: Jazz -7.0 (5*) The Clippers will be without the services of start Kawhi Leonard tonight who has been sidelined by a knee injury. As soon as the sportsbooks received that news, they immediately adjusted the line from Utah -2.5 to -7.0 and rightfully so. If not for Leonard’s gigantic performances in Games 6 and 7 of the Dallas series, the Clippers would be in the early stages of their offseason. The Jazz have displayed an extremely strong home court this season by going 35-6 SU and 26-14-1 ATS in Salt Lake. Utah will look to rebound from back-to-back losses in Philadelphia which evened the series at 2-2. Any NBA Playoffs #1 or #2 seed (Utah) Game 5 home favorite of 2.5 to 8.0-points, and they’re coming off away underdog ATS losses in Games 3 and 4, and their Game 4 defeat came by 8 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 12-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory came by 18.4 points per game. Bet on the Jazz minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-16-21 | Hawks v. 76ers -7 | 109-106 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Hawks @ 76ers 7:30 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: 76ers -7.0 (5*) The 76ers missed a golden opportunity to take a stranglehold of this series in Game 4 when they blew an 18-point 2nd half lead and lost 103-100 which evened the series is at 2-2. However, Philadelphia is a perfect 8-0 SU&ATS in their last 8 as a home favorite of 10.5 or less following a loss, and they won those contests by 16.8 points per game. As a matter of fact, during the previous 2 seasons the 76ers have been arguably the best home team in the NBA. Throughout that time span, the 76ers are 62-10 straight up and 42-26-4 ATS when playing at home. Conversely, Atlanta is 0-6 SU&ATS since the 3rd week of March as an underdog of 3.5 or greater and they lost by a lopsided margin of 20.4 points per game. Bet on the 76ers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-15-21 | Bucks v. Nets +2.5 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Bucks @ Nets 8:30 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Nets +2.5 (10*) With the expected absences of Nets stars James Harden and Kyrie Irvin, this line has been adjusted accordingly. Here’s the thing with Brooklyn, they’ve played a good portion of this season with at least 1 of their superstars unavailable. So this is nothing new for the Nets and role players who are expected to step up. Brooklyn has gone 17-0 straight up in their last 17 conference home games and they won by a decisive average of 14.3 points per contest. The Nets are a perfect 5-0 SU&ATS at home during this postseason and beat those opponents by an average of 15.7 points per game. This will be another chapter in the story of the Bucks choking in the playoffs. Specifically speaking, if Milwaukee doesn’t win tonight with the Nets being shorthanded, then how can we expect them to realistically win this series. This answer is they won’t today’s game or this series. Bet on the Nets plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | Jazz +5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-118 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Jazz @ Clippers 10:00 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Utah +5.0 (10*) The Western Conference’s top seed Utah is coming off Saturday’s humbling 132-106 road loss to the #4 seed Clippers. However, the Jazz still lead this series 2-1 and I look for them to rebound with a strong effort tonight. Additionally, Utah has gone 12-1 straight up in their previous 13 after allowing 120 points or more during its last game. Considering the Jazz are an underdog, that’s an in-season team trend I just can’t ignore. The Clippers are coming off a 4-3 series win over Dallas during opening round action and lost 3 home games while doing so. Any NBA Playoffs #1 seed that’s a conference road underdog of 5.5 or less who’s coming off a loss by 11 to 26 points in their previous contest, and they have a season win percentage of .755 or worse, resulted in those road underdogs going 12-1 ATS (92.3%) since 2002. Those underdogs were also 9-4 straight up in those contests. Bet on Utah for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 56 h 23 m | Show |
Montreal @ Las Vegas 9:05 PM ET Play On: Las Vegas -1.5 (+110) (10*) Since falling behind Toronto 3-1 in their first round series versus Toronto, Montreal has reeled off 7 straight wins. Yet, the sportsbooks seem undeterred and unimpressed by the Canadiens recent success based on the money line for Game 1 versus Las Vegas. The strategy is working since were have seen a high volume of money line bets come in on Montreal at this early of a juncture. Las Vegas will be battle tested after beating Minnesota in 7 games and #1 seed Colorado in 6. Bet on Las Vegas -1.5 on the puck-line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +3 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
76ers @ Hawks 7:30 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (5*) The Hawks are coming off a 127-111 home loss in Game 2 and now trail the 76ers 2-1 in this series. However, Atlanta is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS during its last 10 at home after playing their previous game at home. Additionally, despite their Game 3 home loss, Atlanta is 13-1 in their last 14 and 21-3 during its previous 24 home games. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia is 0-5 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 4.0 or less and they went over the total in their previous game. They loss those 5 contests by an average of 9.2 points per game. Bet on the Hawks plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
Bucks @ Nets 3:30 PM ET Play On: Bucks +2.0 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a narrow 86-83 win in Game 3 but failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Bucks season win percentage to .645 and dropped Brooklyn to .666. This sets up a terrific NBA betting angle which fits perfectly into Game 4 of this Eastern Conference semifinal series. Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that scored 113 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) that’s coming off a road loss but still covered as an underdog, and they scored 111 points or fewer in that previous contest, resulted in those NBA home teams going 59-5 (92.2%) straight up since the 1993-1994 season began. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it back the home underdog in this contest. By the way, those home teams also went 46-14-4 ATS during those 64 games regardless of what the point-spread was. Bet on the Bucks plus the small number for a 10* Top Play. |
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06-12-21 | Jazz v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Utah @ LA Clippers 8:30 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: LA Clippers -4.5 (10*) The Clippers are coming off a 117-111 loss at Utah to put them in a 2-0 series hole. However, NBA Playoffs betting history indicates that home favorites down 2-0 in a series have been extremely profitable over the past 29 years when cast into the precise situation displayed below. Any home favorite of 3.0 to 8.5 in Game 3 of a playoff series that’s down 2-0, and their loss in Game 2 came by 6-points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 38-14 ATS (73.1%) since the 1992 postseason began. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-12-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Orioles (Lopez) @ Rays (Hill) 4:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Rays -1.5 (+102) (5*) Baltimore is coming off last night’s 4-2 loss at Tropicana Field and they’ve now lost 11 consecutive away games. During that futile road stretch, Baltimore lost 9 of those 11 games by 2 runs or more. The Orioles Jorge Lopez has made 5-day-games starts this season and posted an uninspiring 5.76 ERA during those appearances. By the way, Baltimore is a dismal 9-19 during day games in 2021. Tampa Bay has gone 4-0 versus Baltimore this season and outscored them by a cumulative score of 36-16. The Rays have gone a tremendous 19-6 during day games this season. Furthermore, Tampa Bay is a sizzling hot 21-5 in their last 26 games played. The Rays Rich Hill has compiled a microscopic 0.68 ERA throughout his previous 7 starts. The Rays bullpen has a brilliant 1.38 ERA during its last 7 games while also striking out 33 in 24.0 innings of work. Bet on the Rays for a 5* run-line wager. |
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06-11-21 | Suns +2 v. Nuggets | 116-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (5*) The loss of starting guard Jamal Murray has shown up in this series already. The Nuggets wer able to get by without Murray in their opening round series against Portland. However, that can be attributed to Portland being an average to below average defensive team. On the other hand, the Phoenix Suns are allowing 98.5 points per game in these 2021 NBA Playoffs. That includes holding opponents to 98 points or fewer in 4 of their 8 postseason contests. Conversely, Denver is allowing an alarmingly high 120.2 points per game during postseason action while also allowing opponents (Portland, Phoenix) to shoot 48.4% and make an extremely high 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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06-11-21 | 76ers v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 127-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: Atlanta +1.5 (10*) The Atlanta Hawks are 13-0 in their last 13 home games. Yet, the Hawks find themselves as a small home underdog in today’s Game 3 of this Eastern Conference Semifinal series. It must be noted, since the start of the 2018-2019 NBA season, Atlanta is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS when playing at home versus Philadelphia. That includes a 112-94 blowout win in their only home game versus Philadelphia this season. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 63-9 at home. However, they’re an uninspiring 29-40 on the road during that identical time frame. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-11-21 | Padres v. Mets -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Padres (Snell) @ Mets (DeGrom) 7:10 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Mets -1.5 (+147) (5*) The Padres Blake Snell has been great at home this season. Unfortunately for Snell, his start today comes on the road where the southpaw has struggled mightily. Specifically speaking, Snell is 0-6 in his team starts on the road with an alarmingly high 9.70 ERA and 2.11 WHIP. The Padres are just 3-8 in their last 11 games and that includes 0-4 on the road. The Padres are averaging just 2.7 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. What can you say about Jacob DeGrom that hasn’t already been mentioned? DeGrom has made 9 starts this season while recording a microscopic 0.62 ERA and 0.57 WHIP. Furthermore, DeGrom allowed 1 earned run or less in all 9 starts. The Mets bullpen has been terrific at home while registering a staff 1.69 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and they’re a perfect 5-5 in save opportunities. New York is 15-5 at home this season and includes 9-1 during their previous 10 at Citi Field. Bet on the Mets for a 5* run-line wager. |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks -3.5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Nets @ Bucks 7:35 ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Bucks -3.5 (10*) After losing and failing to cover each of the first 2 games of this series, the Bucks will be extremely desperate tonight for a win, and I for one believe they will be up to the task. Furthermore, they will be out to atone for a humiliating 125-86 loss in Game 2 at Brooklyn this past Monday. It’s worth noting, since the start of the 2018-2019 season, Milwaukee is 5-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or less following a game in which they scored fewer than 100 points, and their average margin of victory was by a decisive 14.6 points per contest. This will be a spot where Brooklyn will miss the absence of star point guard James Harden not being available due to injury. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of 3.0 to 6.5 that’s playing in a Game 3 and is down 2-0 in the series, resulted in those home favorites going 22-7 (76%) ATS since 2004. Bet on the Bucks minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-08-21 | Clippers +3 v. Jazz | Top | 109-112 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Utah 10:05 PM ET Play On: LA Clippers +3.0 (10*) The Clippers showed resilience in overcoming a 3-2 series deficit against Dallas in opening round action. As a matter of fact, the Clippers went 3-0 SU&ATS on the road during that Western Conference Quarterfinal series. The Clippers faced a tougher opponent in Dallas than Utah faced against an extremely young Memphis team. That will pay dividends for the Clippers at least early in this series. Bet on the Clippers plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-07-21 | Nuggets v. Suns -4.5 | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
Denver @ Phoenix 10: 05 PM ET Play On: Phoenix -4.5 (5*) These teams both overcame series deficits during opening round action to advance. However, the Suns have gone a dominating 16-2 straight up over their last 18 home games while also going a profitable 12-6 ATS in doing so. Additionally, Phoenix defeated the defending world champion Lakers in 6 games and held them to 100 or fewer points scored on 4 of those occasions including 92 or less 3 times. Denver enters this series with a season win percentage of .653 while Phoenix is currently at .705. The Suns are coming off an opening series clinching 113-100 win over the Lakers. This sets up an NBA Playoffs super betting angle which is displayed below. Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, any Round 2 opening game home favorite of 4.0 to 11.5-points (Phoenix), and they have a win percentage of .700 or better, versus an opponent (Denver) with a win percentage of .662 or worse, resulted in the home favorites going 25-3 ATS (89.9%). Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks +3 v. 76ers | 128-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Philadelphia 1:05 PM ET Game# 571-572 Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (5*) There is no analysis today due to time restrictions. |
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06-05-21 | Bucks +4 v. Nets | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Play On: Milwaukee +4.0 (10*) There will be no analysis today due to time restrictions. |
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06-03-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Lakers | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Suns @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Suns +2.5 (5*) Even if Anthony Davis is cleared to play tonight, he won’t be anywhere close to 100%. The Suns are coming off 2 wins over the Lakers in which they held them to point totals of 92 and 85. As a matter of fact, Phoenix has held the Lakers to 92 points or fewer in 3 of the first 5 games of this series. Los Angeles shot a miserable 34.5%% at Phoenix in Game 5 during its 115-85 blowout defeat. NBA Playoffs betting history shows that Game 6 road teams coming off lopsided home wins more times than not prevail. This is also a Suns time that’s shooting an impressive 48.8% for the season Any NBA team that has an offensive field goal percentage of 48.0 or better on the season, versus an opponent that shot 35% or worse in the previous game, resulted in those teams going 56-12 (82.5%) straight up since 1996. This straight up angle contains additional value since it backs the underdog in this matchup Bet on the Suns plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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06-02-21 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Jazz | 110-126 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Utah 9:35 PM ET Play On: Memphis +9.5 (5*) It’s tough to close out a series and the young Grizzlies will keep this game much closer than many would think. The public will overwhelmingly back Utah as a large chalk tonight but I am going the opposite way and with utmost confidence in doing so. Bet on Memphis plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-01-21 | Lakers v. Suns -5 | 85-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
LA Lakers @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Phoenix -5.0 (5*) The Lakers will be without its star Anthony Davis tonight and this line has been adjusted accordingly. The Suns took advantage of Davis going down early in Game 4 in Los Angeles and walked off with a 100-92 win as a 6.5-point underdog. I look for them to carry that momentum into their home arena in Game 5 where they’re 15-2 in their last 17. Furthermore, the Suns are 12-2 ATS this season as a home favorite of 6.0 or less. The Suns have held the Lakers to only 100.0 points per game throughout the first 4 in this series. Bet on Phoenix minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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06-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | 140-147 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Portland @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Portland +2.0 (5*) This current and opening point-spread speaks volumes to me. We have a #3 seed as an extremely small favorite versus a #6 seed in a series that’s tied 2-2. With no surprise to me, public betting has heavily wagered on the Nuggets thus far. I am of a contrarian mindset when it comes to handicapping this game. Portland will be fully confident after coming off a blowout win in Game 4 and knowing Game 1. Bet on Portland plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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06-01-21 | Celtics +12.5 v. Nets | 109-123 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Boston +12.5 (5*) This is an extremely high number to cover in a playoff game even for an excellent team like Brooklyn. As a matter of fact, since 1990 any NBA Playoff favorite of 12.5 or more that’s playing in Game 5 of a series and is coming off an away favorite cover, resulted in those teams going 0-6 ATS. That’s how rare and unsuccessful these substantial favorites are. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 5 wager. |
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05-31-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Nationals (Ross) @ Braves (Morton) 5:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Braves -1.5 (+109) (10*) Washington starter Joe Ross is 0-3 in his last 3 road team starts this with a terrible 8.52 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Nationals enter today on a 4-game losing streak and scored only a combined 4 runs in that stretch including being held scoreless twice. The Braves were rained out yesterday and are coming off a 13-2 blowout loss on Saturday at Citi Field in New York. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 23-8 following a game in which they scored 2 runs or less and outscored their opponents by 2.7 runs per outing. Atlanta pitcher Charlie Morton has displayed superb form over his last 3 starts while posting a 2.04 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.Bet on the Braves for a 10* run line wager. |
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05-30-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +3 | Top | 106-81 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas missed a golden opportunity to get a stranglehold of this series following a home loss on Friday. Nevertheless, it served as a wakeup call and I look for a strong effort from the Mavericks at home on Sunday. Furthermore, the Mavericks are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games following a loss. That bodes well for betting value when considering they're a small underdog today. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-30-21 | Knicks +5 v. Hawks | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
This series has 7 games written all over it. With that being said, I am look for the Knick to have a strong performance today being that they're currently down 2 games to 1. At the very least this one comes down to the final few possessions. I wouldn't be shocked at all to see New York win straight up. However, let's not get greedy and take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on New York plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-29-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Utah @ Memphis 9:35 PM ET Game# 577-578 Play On: Memphis +5.5 (10*) The Grizzlies enter Game 3 of this series on a 5-game home winning streak. Memphis is coming off a 141-129 loss to Utah in Game 2 which evened this series at 1-1. The Grizzlies have gone 7-1 straight up in their last 8 games this season following a road loss by 10 points or more. Memphis is also 3-0 SU&ATS this season in that previously mentioned situation when they were an underdog and won by 15.0 points per game. Furthermore, regardless of the point-spread, Memphis is 13-2 SU&ATS during their previous 15 games following a loss by 10 points or more. The Grizzlies are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog despite losing 4 of those 5 contests straight up. However, those 4 straight up losses came by only a combined 7 points. Conversely, Utah has gone 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS during its last 6 road games following a win by 10 or more. Bet on Memphis plus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-28-21 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Giants (DeSclafani) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 10:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) (5*) The San Francisco starting pitcher Anthony DeScalafani has pitched very well for the Giants this season when assessing his overall resume. Nonetheless, his last start came against the Dodgers, and he allowed an alarmingly high 10 earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings pitched. As a matter of fact, since 2018, DeScalafani is 0-3 in his team starts versus the Dodgers with a massive 15.09 ERA, and he failed to reach the 5th inning in any of those outings. The Dodgers have caught fire after going through a disappointing start to their 2021 campaign. The Dodgers are 13-2 during their previous 15 games and 10 of those wins came by 2 runs or more. Los Angeles has also won 10 of its last 11 at home. Walker Buehler is 6-0 in his career team starts versus San Francisco with a 2.57 ERA. Buehler has pitched extremely well in 9 starts this season with a 2.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP while averaging an impressive 6.5 innings pitched per outing. Bet on the Dodgers for a 5* run-line wager. |
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05-28-21 | Nets -7.5 v. Celtics | 119-125 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 563-564 Play On: Brooklyn -7.5 (5*) Brooklyn won the first 2 games of this series by comfortable double-digit margins. Now they find themselves as a sizable road favorite in Game 3. It may seem like a tall task to expect them to cover a hefty number against a team that clearly has their backs against the wall. However, recent NBA Playoffs betting history would suggest otherwise. Additionally, the Nets have gone a sizzling hot 7-0SU&ATS during its previous 7 and won by an average margin of 12.4 points per game. Conversely, Boston is an uninspiring 5-11 SU&ATS over their last 16 games. Any NBA playoffs road favorite of -6.5 or more that’s playing in a Game 3 during the first 3 rounds, resulted in those away chalks going 24-3 (88.9%) ATS since the 2012 postseason. Bet on Brooklyn minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-28-21 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Royals (Bubic) @ Twins (Dobnak) 8:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Twins -1.5 (+125) (5*) The Twins are finally looking like the team I thought they would be while winning 6 of their previous 7 games. Minnesota pitcher Randy Dobnak had a successful 2021 debut start last Friday at Cleveland when he pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball in a 10-0 Twins win. Dobnak is 3-0 in his career team starts versus Kansas City with a sparkling 2.87 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The Royals starter Kris Bubic has looked sharp in his only 2 starts of the season. However, Bubic has made 2 career starts versus Minnesota and both came last season. During those outings, Bubic posted a sizable 7.05 ERA and atrocious 2.48 WHIP. The Royals bats have been silent for the most part over their last 4 games. Throughout that stretch, the Royals averaged only 2.0 runs scored and 6.0 hits per game. Bet on the Twins for a 5* run-line wager. |
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05-28-21 | Knicks v. Hawks -4.5 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
New York @ Atlanta 7:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Atlanta -4.5 (5*) Atlanta has gone 6-0 ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of -5.5 or less and they won by an average of 11.7 points per game. Atlanta is coming off a 101-92 which even this series up at 1-1. The Hawks are an outstanding 6-0 SU&ATS ATS this season when playing at home following a road loss in which they scored 115 points or fewer. They won those 6 contests by an average of 12.0 points per game. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of -2.0 to -5.5 that’s playing in Game 3 of a 1st round series that’s tied 1-1, and they’re coming off a loss 6 points or more in which they scored 97 points or less, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since the 1992 postseason. The average margin of victory in those 12 games was 10.8 points per contest. Bet on Atlanta for a 5* wager. |
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05-27-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Denver @ Portland 10:35 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Portland -3.5 (10*) Portland is coming off a 128-102 loss to Denver on Tuesday which evened this series up at 1-1. Despite that defeat, Portland has gone an impressive 11-3 in their previous 14 games. Furthermore, the Trailblazers are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a substantial margin of 24.3 points per game while doing so. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite of -2.0 or more with a winning record that’s playing a Game 3 in the first round and is coming off a loss by 8 points or more which evened the series at 1-1, versus an opponent (Denver) with a win percentage of .595 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1993. The home favorites won those 13 contests by a decisive margin of 11.7 points per game. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-27-21 | Suns v. Lakers -6.5 | 95-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Suns @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 553-554 Play On: Lakers -6.5 (5*) The Lakers are coming off a 109-102 win at Phoenix on Tuesday which evened this series up at 1-1. Now we have the #7 seed Lakers (44-31) as a sizable home favorite tonight against a #2 seed Phoenix Suns (52-22) team who finished 9.0 games ahead of them in the Pacific Division standings. The sportsbooks are inviting you to take the underdog in this situation and we’re not falling for that trap. It’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting and making a contrarian pick in this contest makes the utmost most sense. Any NBA Playoffs home favorite with a win percentage of .512 or better that’s playing in Game 3 of an opening round series and is coming off a Game 2 win where they allowed 111 point or fewer, and that win evened the series at 1-1, versus an opponent (Suns) with a win percentage of .620 or better, resulted in those home favorite going 8-0 ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those 8 wins came by 13.0 points per game. Bet on the Lakers minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz -9 | 129-141 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Utah 10:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Utah -9.0 (5*) Utah is coming off a surprising and rare 112-109 home loss in Game 1 of this series. Case in point, Utah is 31-6 at home this season and 63-19 during its previous 82 played in Salt Lake City. Counting the postseason, Memphis has a record of just 41-34 (.547). Any NBA playoff home favorite of -6.0 to -11.0 (Utah) that’s playing in Game 2 of a series while coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 9 points or fewer, and they’ve won 59 games or more of its last 82 played at home, versus an opponent (Memphis) with a win percentage of .625 or worse, resulted in those home favorites of 6.0 to 11.0 going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1996. The average margin of victory in those 12 contests came by a substantial 20.7 points per game. Bet on Utah minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -8 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: Philadelphia -8.0 (10*) Philadelphia took Game 1 of this series with a 125-118 win but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. They barely missed the cover despite allowing Washington to shoot 55.7% from the field. That kind of shooting performance by the Wizards is highly improbable to occur again tonight against a usually stout defensive team like Philadelphia. I am also extremely confident that that Washington will continue to have few if any defensive answers in slowing down Philadelphia. During their 4 games versus Washington this season, Philadelphia has averaged 126.5 points per contest while shooting a sizzling hot 53% and includes 42.7% from 3-point range. Any NBA Playoff home favorite of 3.0 to 10.5 (Philadelphia) that’s playing Game 2 of a series, and they are coming off a home win in which they failed to cover by 3.5 points or fewer, resulted in those home teams going 13-0 SU&ATS since the 2007 postseason, and the average margin of victory came by 16.5 points per contest. Play on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-25-21 | Lakers v. Suns +2 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
LA Lakers @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) Phoenix won the opening game of this series 99-90. The Suns have now won 15 of their last 16 home games. Conversely, the Lakers are 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Any NBA home team playing in an opening round Game 2 of a playoff series that’s coming off a home win by 7 points while allowing less than 100 points, and they possess a win percentage of .615 or better, resulted in those home teams going 48-6 (88.9%) straight up since 2000. This NBA Playoffs straight up betting angle takes on added value since it supports the underdog in this contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-24-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Cardinals (Kim) @ White Sox (Lynn) 8:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: White Sox -1.5 (+115) (10*) The St. Louis lefthanded pitcher Kim is 5-1 in his team starts this season with a shiny 2.73 ERA. However, he’s yet to reach the 6th inning in any of those outings. That is problematic when considering the Cardinals bullpen has a cumulative 7.46 ERA and 2.01 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The White Sox Lance Lynn has been terrific in 7 starts this season while posting a 1.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has been solid at home this year while recording a staff 3.38 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and amassing 75 strikeouts while walking just 13. The White Sox have gone an extremely profitable 24-3 when facing lefthanded starters since last season began. They have faced 12 southpaw starters in 2021 and averaged 8.0 runs scored per game while smashing 17 home runs. Putting that home run number in perspective, Chicago has hit only 27 home runs in 33 games when facing right-handed starters. Bet the White on the run-line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-23-21 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 118-125 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Washington @ Philadelphia 1:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Philadelphia -7.5 (10*) For starters, Philadelphia enters this opening game of the series with a full week of rest. Conversely, Washington will be playing their 3rd game in 5-days. That’s a huge advantage to Philadelphia in that specific category. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a dominating 37-3 straight up in conference home games and they also went a profitable 27-13 ATS (67.5%) in those contests. Furthermore, if those conference home tilts took place after Game 55 of the season, the 76ers were 9-0 SU&ATS and won by a decisive 18.7 points per contest. Since the 2016-2017 season began, Philadelphia has gone 9-0 straight up at home versus Washington, and 3-0 ATS if they were favorites of 7.5 or more. Additionally, the 76ers won all 3 meetings against Washington this season. During those 3 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia averaged a sizable 127.0 points scored per game, shot a sizzling hot 54.3% which included an extremely impressive 47.4% from 3-point territory, and held a +7.3 rebound per game advantage. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Portland @ Denver 10:35 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland +1.5 (10*) For starters, I don’t see the Nuggets having any sustained success this postseason without Jamal Murray (21.2 PPG). Based on this current line, the sportsbooks are in agreeance with my opinion. Let’s not forget, Murray averaged a sizable 26.5 points scored per game, shot 50.5%, made 45.3% of his 3-point attempts, and was 89.7% from the free throw line during 19 playoff game a year ago. He was the main cog in leading Denver to the Western Conference Finals where they lost to the eventual world champion Lakers in 5 games. As a matter of fact, Murray had 4 games of 40 or more points during last year’s playoffs. Portland finished the season by winning 10 of their previous 12 games. It’s by no coincidence that they caught fire once they had both starting guards Damien Lillard and C.J. McCollum on the floor at the same time. McCollum missed an extended period of this season due to injury. The former Lehigh star played in just 47 of Portland’s 72 games this season. However, he did average a career best 23.1 points per game this season. McCollum has averaged 20 points or more during the previous 5 postseasons. His running mate Damien Lillard average 28.8 points and 7.5 assists per game during regular season action. The Blazers point guard also averaged 7.2 free throws per contest and made 92.8% of those attempts. Lastly, Portland was an extremely profitable 11-3 SU&ATS on the road this season when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Portland for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs +5.5 v. Clippers | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas @ LA Clippers 4:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Dallas +5.5 (5*) Despite losing their regular season finale 136-121 at Minnesota, Dallas won 12 of its last 16 games. Furthermore, the Mavericks are 4-0 straight up during their previous 4 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 18.0 points per contest. Dallas also won 2 of the 3 regular season meetings versus the Clippers and defeated them during last year’s playoffs in 7 games. The Clippers enter the postseason having gone 4-6 straight up in their last 10, and 3-8 ATS during its previous 11 games. Bet on Dallas plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-22-21 | Heat +5 v. Bucks | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Miami @ Milwaukee 2:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Miami +5.0 (5*) I loved the way Miami finished the regular season while going 12-4 SU&ATS during its last 16 games. This is a Heat roster that has mostly stayed intact from the one that advanced to last year’s NBA Finals, and they also defeated Milwaukee 4-1 in the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Heat were also an extremely profitable 15-5 ATS during the 2020 NBA Playoffs. Miami has shot 50% or better in 8 of their previous 10 games. The Bucks have allowed 121.4 points scored per game, permitted their opponents to shoot 47.8%, and make an alarmingly high 45.9% of their 3-point attempts throughout its previous 5 contests. Bet on Miami plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards -3 | Top | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Indiana @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Washington -3.0 (10*) These teams have met 3 times during regular season action and Washington walked away a winner on each occasion. The Wizards finished regular season play winning their last 4 and 9 of its previous 10 home games. The Wizards are coming off Tuesday’s 118-100 loss at Boston. They’ve gone 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 as a home favorite following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 14.0 points per game. During their 3 regular season matchups against Indiana, Washington averaged a massive 143.0 points scored per game, shot 58.4% from the field, and made an extremely impressive 46.3% of its 3-point attempts. Bet on Washington minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-19-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Pirates (Cahill) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 7:45 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (-105) (10*) The Cardinals are 4-0 versus Pittsburgh this season and all those wins came by 3 runs or more. St. Louis will go with their ace Jack Flaherty on Wednesday and he’s been sensational thus far in 2021. Specifically speaking, Flaherty is 8-0 in his team starts with a stellar 2.47 ERA and 0.95 while all those wins came by 2 runs or more. Furthermore, the Cardinals hurler has made 3 starts at Busch Stadium this year while recording a dominating 0.95 ERA and 0.52 WHIP during those outings. Flaherty is also 8-2 in his career team starts versus Pittsburgh with a 2.47 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. St. Louis is 11-1 in their last 12 as a money line favorite. The Pirates Trevor Cahill is 0-4 during his team starts at night this year with a terrible 9.33 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. Bet on the Cardinals as a 10* Top Play run-line wager. |
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05-19-21 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Rockies (Gonzalez) @ Padres (Musgrove) 4:10 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Padres -1.5 (-119) (5*) The Rockies have dropped the first 2 games of this series which makes them an abysmal 2-16 on the road this season. As a matter of fact, 13 of their 16 road losses (81.3%) have come by 2 runs or more. The Rockies Chi Chi Gonzalez has made 4 road starts in 2021 with and had an awful 7.23 ERA during those appearances. Gonzalez has made 2 career starts at Petco Park and his massive 15.19 ERA during those outings certainly is alarming. The Rockies bullpen has a dismal 7.30 ERA and 1.66 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The only team who has had Joe Musgrove’s number this season has been the San Francisco Giants. During his other 6 starts Musgrove has collected a brilliant 1.59 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has been superb at home season long with a combined 2.34 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 124 strikeouts in 104.0 innings. San Diego enters today winners of 5 straight and 8 of their last 9 games. Bet on the Padres for a 5* money line wager. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | Top | 117-144 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Charlotte @ Indiana 6:35 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Charlotte +3.0 (10*) Charlotte is unequivocally the healthier team in this matchup All you have to do is look at the Pacers current injury report below resembles the 1222-page book titled “War and Peace” written by Leo Tolstoy. The last time these teams met was on April 2nd at Indiana and Charlotte walked away with a decisive 114-97 win and did so as a 5.0-point underdog. Furthermore, the sportsbooks currently have this as virtually an even game despite Charlotte entering today on a 5-game losing streak. This just in, they just aren’t that kind or careless when setting a line. Bet on Charlotte for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-17-21 | Rockies v. Padres -1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 118 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Colorado (Gray) @ San Diego (Darvish) 10:10 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: San Diego -1.5 (+118) (10*) Colorado is an abysmal 2-14 on the road this season and 12 of those 14 losses came by 2 runs or more. Furthermore, since 6/21/2019, Colorado has gone 26-64 on the road and 50 of those defeats were by 2 runs or greater. Colorado’s Jon Gray has made 2 road starts this season and had a lofty 6.30 ERA in those outings. The Rockies are coming off yesterday’s gut wrenching 7-6 home loss to Cincinnati in a game they led 6-1 after 7 innings. Once again the Rockies terrible bullpen imploded in that loss and they now have a massive 9.39 ERA with a 1.91 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Padres have won 5 straight at home versus Colorado and held them to a combined 9 runs scored while doing so. You Darvish has been remarkable during his last 6 starts with an exceptional 1.47 ERA and 0.81 WHIP during 43.0 innings pitched. The Padres have won 6 of their last 7 and averaged 7.0 runs scored per game during that stretch. The San Diego bullpen has been terrific all season and they’re averaging well over a strikeout per inning. Bet on San Diego for a 10* Top Play run line wager. |
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05-15-21 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Royals (Minor) @ White Sox (Rodon) 7:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: White Sox -1.5 (+115) (5*) I hate siding with an overwhelming bet public side like the White Sox are an will be today. However, I am making an exception in this instance. The White Sox will be facing Kansas City lefthander Mike Minor today. Since the start of last season, the White Sox are an incredible 23-1 when facing southpaw starters and outscored those opponents by a decisive average margin of 4.2 runs per game. Kansas City is an atrocious 1-12 in their last 13 games. Furthermore, 9 of those 12 losses have come by 2 runs or more. Speaking of lefthanded starting pitchers, Carlos Rodon will be on the mound for Chicago today. Rodon has been superb this season while going 5-0 with a microscopic 0.58 ERA while striking out 44 batters in 31.0 innings of work. The White Sox bullpen has a stellar 2.31 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Chicago has averaged a healthy 7.0 runs scored per game during their previous 7 outings. The White Sox enter today having won 7 of its previous 8 games. Bet on the White for a 5* run line wager. |
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05-13-21 | Kings +8 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Sacramento @ Memphis 8:05 PM ET Game# 573-574 Play On: Sacramento +8.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season, any team (Sacramento) coming off home wins by 10 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they have a win percentage of .340 or better after game 27 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or worse, and that team (Memphis) is coming off a straight win as an underdog, resulted in those teams going 28-1 straight up. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs the sizable underdog in this contest. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-12-21 | Blazers +2 v. Jazz | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Portland @ Utah 9:35 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Portland +2.0 (5*) This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a Utah team which is a dominating 31-4 at home this season as a short favorite versus an opponent they blew out twice already this season, and they are ahead of by 10.0 games in the standings. However, after further examination, Portland has won 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 heading into tonight’s game. That includes going 5-1 SU&ATS on the road. Bet on Portland plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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05-12-21 | Cardinals v. Brewers -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 130 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Gant) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 7:40 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Brewers -1.5 (+130) (5*) On the surface, the Cardinals John Grant has registered an impressive 2.17 ERA in 7 starts. However, he also has an extremely high 1.71 WHIP during those outings. Those disproportionate number indicates Gant has wiggled out of a plethora jams thus far, and the probability of that continuing is low. Brandon Woodruff has been sensational in 6 starts this season with a 1.19 ERA and 0.64 WHIP through 6 starts. This will be his first start of the season versus St. Louis. Nonetheless, he made 2 starts against the Cardinals last year had a stellar 1.80 ERA in 15.0 innings pitched. The Brewers bullpen has performed well over their previous 7 games while posting a 0.85 WHIP with 35 strikeouts in 27.0 innings of work. Bet on the Brewers for a 5* run line wager. |
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05-11-21 | Suns v. Warriors +5 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Golden State +5.0 (5*) The Suns are just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road favorite of 8.0 or less, Conversely, Golden State has gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog this season and won by an average of 9.6 points per game. Bet on Golden State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-11-21 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Detroit +7.5 (10*) I know the Pistons roster has been ravaged by injuries to key personnel. However, Minnesota laying this many points in this precise betting situation is a bit much. The Pistons are 0-2 SU&ATS in their last 2 games. Nonetheless, Detroit is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this season following ATS losses in each of their previous 2 games, and they won straight up on 3 of those occasions. Detroit is 20-49 (.289) this season. Minnesota is coming off a 128-96 road win at Orlando and covered with ease as a 7.5-point favorite. That win improved their season record to 21-47 (.309). This sets up an extremely profitable NBA straight up betting angle which heavily favors the home underdog in this contest. Any home team with a win percentage of .285 or better (Detroit), versus an opponent who has a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they are coming off an ATS win in which they (Minnesota) covered by 19.5 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 49-7 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-10-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -8 | 124-125 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 517-518 Play On: Atlanta -8.0 (5*) Washington is a red-hot 15-5 straight up and 16-2-2 ATS during their previous 20 games played. Having said that, they will be without the services of star guard Bradly Beal (hamstring) who is 2nd in the NBA at 31.4 points per game. Hence, the lofty number the Wizards are catching today. Atlanta has gone an incredible 14-0 ATS in their last 14 this season as a home favorite of 2.0 or more with an average victory margin of 13.1 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-07-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Royals | 3-0 | Win | 108 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
White Sox (Rodon) @ Royals (Keller) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: White Sox -1.5 (+108) (5*) The Royals Brad Keller has an abysmal 12.46 ERA and 2.54 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Additionally, Keller has lasted 4 1/3 innings or less in 4 of his 6 starts this year. That’s not good news for Royals backers considering the Kansas City bullpen has been horrible over their previous 7 games with a staff 9.57 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, and they’ve surrendered 10 home runs in just 26 1/3 innings. Kansas City enters today on a 5-game losing streak and has been outscored 37-17 during that stretch. The White Sox Carlos Rodon has been dominant in his 4 starts this season while gathering a microscopic 0.72 ERA and striking out 36 batters in 25.0 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has a stellar staff 2.16 ERA and 0.90 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. Chicago is coming off a 1-0 loss at Cincinnati in their previous game. The White Sox have gone 12-2 this season following a loss in their previous game and outscored its opponents by a substantial average of 3.8 runs scored per game. Bet on the White Sox for a 5* run-line wager. |
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05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -2.5 | 131-129 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Toronto -2.5 (5*) This is a similar NBA betting scenario to today’s Chicago and Charlotte game. Washington enters this game having won 12 of its last 16 games, Toronto has lost 4 of their last 5, and it’s the Raptors as a favorite in this contest. Washing is coming off an emotional and energy draining 135-134 loss at Milwaukee last night. NBA road underdogs playing Toronto with no rest have gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 this season and lost by a decisive average of 26.2 points per game. Lastly, Toronto has gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and won by an average of 12.8 points per contest. Bet on Toronto minus the points as a 5* wager. |
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05-06-21 | Bulls -4 v. Hornets | 120-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Charlotte (Cole) 7:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Chicago -4.0 (5*) Here we have a Chicago team which has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 and has an uninspiring 26-39 season record, but still is a road favorite versus an opponent who is 32-33 including 17-4 at home. The home underdog should be the betting value, right? Well, it’s seldom that easy when it comes to sports betting. This one has trap inscribed all over it and the sportsbooks are begging you to take the home underdog. I been doing this too long and successfully to be lured in. Furthermore, Charlotte is coming off a win in their previous game, However, the Hornets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 5.5 or less following a straight up win and lost by an average of 12.0-points per game. Chicago is 2-0 SU&ATS versus Charlotte this season with a decisive average victory margin of 15.0 pooints per game. Bet on Chicago minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-05-21 | Suns v. Hawks +1 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: Atlanta +1.0 (10*) This will be a tough sport for even an excellent team like Phoenix. The Suns will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and are coming off yesterday’s 134-118 win at Cleveland. Teams that have faced the Hawks when playing with nor rest have gone 3-10 SU&ATS in their last 13 games this season. That includes 1-7 SU&ATS in the last 8 if Atlanta was playing with 1 or more days rest. Speaking of Atlanta, they have gone an extremely profitable 14-2 SU&ATS in their last 16 at home, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS during their previous 6. This will be an excellent opportunity to make a statement for Atlanta against an elite opponent that will be potentially vulnerable this evening. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play. |
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05-03-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers +4 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Denver @ LA Lakers 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: LA Lakers +4.0 (5*) The Lakers are coming off an embarrassing 121-114 home loss to Toronto in a game they were a 10.0-point favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 36-28. Denver is coming off a 110-104 road win over the Clippers. Any NBA home team with a winning record that’s coming off a home straight up loss as a double-digit favorite, versus an opponent coming off a road game in which both teams scored 100 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 30-3 (91%) straight up since the 2001-2002 season began. Since this straight up betting angle backs the underdog, it takes on even more significance. Bet on the Lakers plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-02-21 | Heat -5 v. Hornets | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami @ Charlotte 8:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Miami -5.0 (5*) Both teams are coming off games on Saturday. NBA favorites playing against a Charlotte team who is playing with no rest have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 this season with an average victory margin of 14.0 points per contest. NBA underdogs with no rest that are facing Miami have gone 0-8 ATS in their previous 8 this season and lost by 12.1 points per game. Furthermore, Miami is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a road favorite following a win, and Charlotte is 2-8 ATS during their last 10 as an underdog. Bet on Miami minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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05-01-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves +4.5 | Top | 140-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Minnesota +4.5 (10*) I cashed in with Minnesota as a 4.5-point home underdog on Thursday in their 126-114 win over Golden State. I am coming right back with them on Saturday. Minnesota has now gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 with 3 of those coming as an underdog. Minnesota is 2-0 SU&ATS this season versus New Orleans in games they were an 8.0 and 8.5-point underdog while winning both by comfortable double-digit margins. The Timberwolves are also 3-0 SU&ATS in their previous 3 at home and those wins came against opponents with a combined 109-80 (.577) record. Conversely, New Orleans has gone 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 as a favorite of 9.5 or less. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-29-21 | Raptors +3 v. Nuggets | 111-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Toronto @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Toronto +3.0 (5*) At first glance, the line in this contest jumped right off the screen at me. Despite the disparities in these team’s records, Toronto (26-36) finds itself as a small road underdog against an opponent with a stellar season record 41-21. It’s very rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. If it looks to good to be true in most instances that’s indeed the case. In my professional opinion, this matchup and current point-spread qualifies in that regard. Denver narrowly escaped with a 114-112 home win over New Orleans last night but failed to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. These teams met once this season and Toronto walked away with a convincing 135-111 on 3/24 as a 1.5-point underdog. Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any non-conference road underdog of 2.5 to 5.5 (Toronto) that’s playing before game 70 of their season, versus an opponent (Denver) coming off a home win in which it failed to cover as a favorite, resulted in those road underdogs going 13-0 ATS. Those underdogs also won 10 of those 13 contests straight up. Bet on Toronto plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-29-21 | Warriors v. Wolves +4 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Minnesota +4.0 (5*) Don’t look now but Minnesota is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games which includes a pair of wins over a Utah team (45-17) who owns the league’s best record. Minnesota was a 114-107 winner at Houston in their previous game. Golden State is coming off an atrocious effort during a 133-103 home blowout loss to Dallas. The Warriors are 0-3 ATS this season as a non-conference road favorite of 3.5 or less and lost 2 of those straight up. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, any home team (Minnesota) playing a regular season contest and it’s after game number 22, and they’re coming off a road win in which they scored 110 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (Golden State) coming off a home loss by 20 points or worse in which they allowed 117 points or more, resulted in those teams going 19-2 (90.5%) straight up. Since this NBA straight up betting angle supports the underdog in this contest it takes on added significance. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons +9 | 115-105 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas @ Detroit 8:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Detroit +9.0 (5*) Dallas will be facing a Pistons that has a poor season record of 19-43 (.306). However, the Mavericks are a terrible 1-11 ATS this season when facing an opponent with a win percentage of .250 to .400, and they lost 8 of those contests straight up. Furthermore, they were a favorite in all 12 of those contests. Dallas is coming off 2 consecutive games when they had exactly 92 field goal attempts. The Mavericks are 0-8 ATS this season after amassing 90 or more field goal attempts in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 11.7 points per contest. Detroit has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 at home. Additionally, Detroit has gone an extremely profitable 9-2 ATS this season as a home underdog of 5.0 or greater and won 5 of those contests straight up. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-28-21 | Lakers v. Wizards +1.5 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Lakers @ Wizards 7:35 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Wizards +1.5 (5*) Lakers star Anthony Davis is probable to return this evening. However, I highly doubt if he will see his normal workload in terms of minutes played due to his prolonged absence. The Lakers are coming off a 114-103 win versus an Orlando teams which is currently on a 6-game losing streak and also lost 12 of its last 13. Furthermore, the Lakers are 0-6 straight up in their previous 6 following a win and lost by an average of 12.7 points per game. The Wizards had their 8-game win streak halted their last time out in a 146-143 home overtime loss to San Antonio. Despite that defeat, Washing has won 5 of their last 6 at home and 10 of 13 overall. Bet on the Wizards for a 5* wager. |
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04-27-21 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 114 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Astros (Javier) 8:10 ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+114) (10*) Seattle starter Marco Gonzalez has made 4 career starts at Minute Maid Park in Houston and had a poor 6.41 ERA and 1.88 WHIP during those appearances. Since the 2019 season began, Houston has gone an incredible 17-1 at home versus Seattle and 12 of those wins came by 2 runs or more. The Astros starter Christian Javier has been dominant in 3 starts this season with a 1.32 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Bet Houston on the run line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4 | 96-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Denver 9:05 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Denver -4.0 (5*) Memphis is coming off road underdog straight up wins in each of their previous 2 games with the most recent occurring yesterday. Denver has a season record of 39-21 and they possess a strong home court advantage. The Nuggets have gone 58-24 (.707) in their previous 82 home games. The Nuggets are unequivocally playing their best basketball of the season which is evidence by them going 22-6 during their previous 28 games overall. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home favorites of 8.5 or less that have won 54 of more of their previous 82 games at home, versus an opponent coming off road underdog straight up wins during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a substantial average of 19.2 points per game. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-26-21 | Suns v. Knicks +2 | 118-110 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ New York 7:35 PM ET Game# 539-540 Play On: New York +2.0 (5*) Phoenix will be playing their 5th road game in 8 days and is coming off yesterday’s 9-point loss at Brooklyn. Their first 4 came on this trip came against teams with a combined record of 149-93 (.621). They certainly don’t get a breather tonight when facing a New York team which has gone 9-0 SU&ATS over their previous 9 games. The Knicks are also 14-2 SU&ATS this season at home when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0, and that includes 7-0 SU&ATS during its previous 7 in that exact role. Additionally, the Suns are 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 road games when playing with no rest. Bet on New York plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-26-21 | Spurs -3 v. Wizards | 146-143 | Push | 0 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: San Antonio -3.0 (5*) I can small a trap from a mile away when it comes to sports betting, and this matchup qualifies as such. We have a Washington Wizards team that enters today riding an 8-game win streak, yet they find themselves as a home underdog. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot home underdog. However, if it looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting most times than not it is. By the way, San Antonio has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 as a road favorite of 2.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 12.7 points per game. Furthermore, the Spurs are a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS this season as a road favorite versus an opponent coming off a straight up win. San Antonio arguably is in the middle of playing their best defensive basketball of the season while having allowed just 97.0 points per game over their previous 5 contests. Bet on San Antonio minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-25-21 | Suns +2 v. Nets | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Brooklyn 3:30 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: Phoenix +2.0 (10*) This will be the finale of an extremely 4-game in 7-day road trip for Phoenix. The Suns opened the trip with wins over 2 of the Eastern Conference’s elite team in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. They then laid an egg at Boston on Thursday losing to the Celtics 99-86. However, that was their 3rd road game in 4 days and were destined to fail following 2 huge wins. Now they come into today’s matchup against another Eastern Conference team and with 2 days of rest. Furthermore, the Suns are 9-0 SU&ATS in their last 9 following a loss and won by a decisive average of 14.8 points per game. The Suns will also be out to revenge a 128-124 home loss to Brooklyn on 2/16 in a game they squandered a 24-point lead. Furthermore, Phoenix has gone an unscathed 6-0 SU&ATS this season as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Speaking of Brooklyn, they’re coming off a 109-104 home win over Boston. However, the Nets have gone 0-4 straight up in their previous 4 following a win and lost by 11.0 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pelicans | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
San Antonio @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: San Antonio +3.0 (5*) New Orleans is coming off a 135-100 blowout win at Orlando in their previous game. However, the Pelicans are an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS this season as a home favorite of 7.0 or less following a game in which they scored 120 points or more and lost by an average of 7.0 points per contest. The Pelicans are also 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and were outscored by 10.6 points per game. San Antonio has been terrible at home but the opposite in away games. The Spurs have gone 16-9 (.640) straight up and 18-7 ATS (72%) on the road, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS in their previous 4 with an average margin of victory coming by 16.5 points per game. Furthermore, San Antonio is 4-0 SU&ATS in away games this season when facing opponents coming off a win by 6 points or greater. Bet on San Antonio plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Bulls +4.5 v. Heat | 101-106 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Chicago @ Miami 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Chicago +4.5 (5*) Miami is come off a 118-103 loss at Atlanta last night in a game they closed as a 6.5-point favorite. Miami is 0-5 SU&ATS in their previous 5 this season following a road loss by 10 or more and were outscored by a decisive margin of 15.8 points per game. Miami has also gone 0-7 ATS this season as a favorite of -4.0 to -9.0 following a game in which they allowed 109 points or more. Additionally, they lost straight up on 5 of those 7 occasions. Chicago has been an extremely profitable road underdog this season. When being cast into that exact role, they’ve gone 16-5 ATS (76.5%). Tightening things up even more, Chicago is 8-0 ATS and 6-2 straight up this season as an away underdog of 3.0 to 7.0 points. Yes, the Bulls will be without leading scorer Zach Lavine (27.5 PPG) for a 2nd consecutive game. Nonetheless, without Lavine in their previous contest they easily defeated Charlotte 108-91. Chicago has won 3 of their last 4 and held its opponents to 96 points or fewer in all 3 of those victories. Bet on Chicago plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-24-21 | Pistons +4.5 v. Pacers | 109-115 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Detroit @ Indiana 7:05 PM ET Game# 505-506 Play On: Detroit +4.5 (5*) Indiana is coming off a 6-point home win over Oklahoma City but failed to cover as an 8.5-point favorite versus a Thunder team is currently on a 13-game losing streak. You may be surprised to know that Indiana has gone a horrible 3-11 straight up and 1-13 ATS during its previous 14 home games. That includes 0-5 SU&ATS following a straight up win while being outscored by 9.8 points per contest. Detroit is coming off a 106-91 loss at San Antonio in their previous game in which they failed to cover as a 7.0-point underdog. That loss dropped their season record to a dismal 18-42. However, Detroit is 20-4 ATS this season following a game in which they failed to cover and won 12 of those contests straight up, and that includes 7-3 straight up and 10-0 ATS during its last 10 in that exact situation. Bet on Detroit plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-22-21 | Suns v. Celtics +1.5 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: Boston +1.5 (10*) Boston is coming off a disappointing 102-96 home loss to a 24-34 Chicago Bulls team. It was even more disheartening when considering that defeat halted a season high 6-game Celtics win streak. However, one can make a strong argument that they were caught looking ahead to today’s matchup against Phoenix (42-16) and tomorrow’s contest at Brooklyn (39-20). Furthermore, since the start of last season, Boston is a profitable 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less. Boston has also gone 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as an underdog of 2.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .700 or better. This is an extremely tough spot for Phoenix even as good as they are. This will be their 3rd road game in 4 days, and they’ll be playing with no rest. Additionally, they are coming off wins during their previous 2 against elite teams in Milwaukee and Philadelphia. Both those contests went right down to the wire with Phoenix beating the Bucks on Monday 128-127 in overtime and then yesterday’s 116-113 victory over the 76ers. NBA betting history over the past 25 seasons has proven that teams like Phoenix in this identical situation haven’t fared well straight up let alone laying points in away games. Since the 2012-2013 NBA season began, road teams playing with no rest that are coming off road wins by 5 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games played, resulted in those road teams going 0-12 straight up. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-20-21 | Nets v. Pelicans -2.5 | 134-129 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ New Orleans 7:35 PM ET Game# 521-522 Play On: New Orleans -2.5 (10*) Brooklyn will once again be without the services of James Harden. The Nets will also be without Kevin Durant who went out with a thigh injury in the 1st quarter of their previous game and did not return. Thus, the reason for Brooklyn being a road underdog against an opponent that has lost 3 straight contests. Despite going 2-3 in their last 5 games, the Nets still have an outstanding 38-19 season record. New Orleans will be out to revenge an embarrassing 139-111 loss at Brooklyn just 13 days ago. The Pelicans are coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite at Washington and New York. Those defeats dropped their season record to 25-32 (.439). Since the 1992-1993 NBA season began, any home favorite (New Orleans) with a win percentage of .400 or better that’s coming off back-to-back losses as a road favorite, and they’re playing with same season revenge stemming form a loss by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) who possesses a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 15-0 ATS. The home teams won those 15 contests by a decisive margin of 14.5 points per game. Bet on New Orleans minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-19-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Bucks | 128-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Phoenix @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (5*) Milwaukee is coming off a 128-115 home loss to Memphis as an 8.0-point favorite. That loss dropped the Bucs season record to 35-21 (.625). You may be surprised to know that the Bucks are now 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 at home and lost by 8.7 points per game. Phoenix is coming off an embarrassing 111-85 home loss to San Antonio in a game they were a consensus 8.0-point favorite. The Suns have proven to have a short memory following a disappointing performance. Specifically speaking, Phoenix has gone 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 this season following a contest in which it failed to cover by 7.0-points or more, and they won by an average of 13.4 points per game. Phoenix has also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous 5 as a road underdog of 5.5 or less. Since the 2016-2017 NBA season began, any road team (Phoenix) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 that’s coming off a loss by 29 or less while scoring 90 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Milwaukee) with a win percentage of .339 or better and they’re coming off a game in which it scored and allowed 105 points or greater, resulted in those road teams going 19-0 SU&ATS. The average margin of victory came by 10.8 points per contest. Bet on Phoenix plus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-18-21 | Wolves v. Clippers -10 | Top | 105-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Minnesota @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 581-582 Play On: Clippers -10.0 (10*) Minnesota is coming off a 119-111 home win over Miami. The Timberwolves have gone 0-13 straight up and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games this season following a straight up win. Furthermore, they were an underdog of 5.0 or greater in 7 of those 13 contests and went 0-7 ATS while losing by an average of 18.6 points per game. Minnesota is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games versus the Clippers and lost by 15.4 points per contest. The Clippers are 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 conference home games as a favorite and had an average victory margin of 17.6 points per contest. The Clippers are also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS this season as a conference home favorite of 8.5 or more with a winning margin of 16.5 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Golden State @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Boston -4.5 (10*) Golden State has been reinvigorated since Stephen Curry returned from injury. The Warriors are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4. However, hold the phone because 3 of those victories have come over Houston, Oklahoma City, and Cleveland. Those 3 teams have a combined season record of 54-113 (.323). Additionally, Oklahoma City is currently on a 9-game losing streak and Houston has gone an abysmal 4-31 over its last 35 contests. Boston is starting to like the team I thought they would be heading into this season. They have won 5 straight and covered each of their last 4 with 3 of those coming on the road. The Celtics are also 4-0 ATS iun their previous 4 as a home favorite of 3.5 or greater and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Bet on Boston minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-16-21 | Grizzlies -3.5 v. Bulls | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Chicago 8:05 PM ET Game# 545-546 Play On: Memphis -3.5 (5*) Something isn’t right with the Chicago Bulls who are far more talented than their 22-32 season record indicates. However, it’s not my job to figure out their issues rather than expose their flaws from a sports betting perspective. Chicago is 0-4 SU&ATS in their previous 4 games. The Bulls have also gone a dismal 0-6 ATS in their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 3.0 or more and lost by an average of 14.3 points per game. Furthermore, Since the 2019-2020 season began, Chicago is 0-7 SU&ATS at home when facing teams with a win percentage of .501 to .600 and lost by 10.0 points per contest. Memphis has thrived on the road within this point-spread parameter. Since the start of the season, the Grizzlies are a perfect 4-0 ATS as a road favorite of 1.5 to 5.0 and with a substantial average victory margin of 19.5 points per game. Memphis is a solid 10-7 in their last 17 games which improved its season record to 27-26 (.509). Bet on Memphis minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-16-21 | Clippers v. 76ers -2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
LA Clippers @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Philadelphia -2.5 (5*) The LA Clippers have gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Friday will mark the Clippers 3rd road game in 4 days. They are 0-4 SU&ATS during their previous 4 road contests when playing its last 3 on the road. Since the start of last season, Philadelphia has gone a terrific 50-7 straight up at home. Considering the short number, that dominating home court advantage shouldn’t be ignored. As a matter of fact, during that identical time frame, the 76ers are 17-1 SU&ATS as a home underdog or favorite of 5.0 or less. Additionally, Philadelphia is 8-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 or less when facing an opponent with a winning record and within that specific span of time. Bet on Philadelphia minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-14-21 | Heat v. Nuggets -6 | 106-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Miami @ Denver 10:05 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Denver -6.0 (5*) Denver is coming off 2 straight losses and that’s news within itself. The Nuggets haven’t lost 3 consecutive games all season and are 4-0 SU&ATS as a favorite following back-to-back defeats with an average victory margin of 20.7 points per contest. Miami is coming off last night’s 20-point blowout loss at Phoenix. Since 1/23/21, teams playing Denver with no rest are 0-6 straight up and lost by 13.0 points per game. The Heat are also 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 as a road underdog of 3.5-points or more and lost by 14.4 points per game. Bet on Denver minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-14-21 | Nets v. 76ers -8.5 | 117-123 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Brooklyn @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM ET Game# 501-502 Play On: Philadelphia -8.5 (5*) Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Blake Griffin have all been ruled out of this contest. Thus, the heavy number being laid by Philadelphia. The Nets are coming off yesterday’s win at Minnesota. However, they’re just 3-9 straight up and 4-8 ATS this season on the road when playing with no rest. Regardless, Philadelphia has been playing at an extremely high level in recent weeks. Specifically speaking, they’ve gone 22-5 in their previous 27 games. Since the start of last season, the 76ers are a terrific 49-7 straight up and 33-21-2 ATS in true home games. Bet on Philadelphia minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-13-21 | Heat v. Suns -3 | Top | 86-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Miami @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 579-580 Play On: Phoenix -3.0 (10*) Phoenix is coming off an 126-120 home win over Houston last night despite sleep walking through the 2nd half but failed to cover as a large 13.0-point favorite. Phoenix led that contest 81-58 at halftime and then were outscored the rest of the way by a 62-45 margin by arguably the league’s worst team. The Suns coaching staff was none too pleased with their 2nd half effort and especially so defensively. I look for Phoenix to come back with a strong response tonight that has won 6 of its last 7 and includes going 3-0 during their previous 3 away games. The good news for Phoenix heading into tonight’s game is they’ve gone 11-0 SU&ATS following an ATS loss and won by an average of 16.4 points per contest. The Suns have also gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 at home this season when playing with no rest with an average margin of victory coming by 12.6 points per contest. Conversely, home teams with a win percentage of .600 or better and are playing with no rest versus Miami are 3-0 straight up this season with an average winning margin of 9.4 points per game. Lastly, Phoenix has won their previous 8 home games and that’s significant considering the small number we’re being asked to cover. Bet on Phoenix minus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Denver @ Golden State 10:05 PM ET Game# 567-568 Play On: Denver -4.0 (5*) Denver is coming off last night’s embarrassing 105-87 loss to Boston in a game in which they were a 3.0-point home favorite. That defeat dropped their season record to 34-19 (.641). The Nuggets have gone 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 following a loss and won by an average of 15.3 points per game. Golden State is coming off a 125-110 home win over Houston. The Warriors have gone 1-5 SU&ATS in their last 6 following a win. Additionally, Golden State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 as an underdog of 6.0 or fewer following a win and lost by 20.3 points per game. Since the 2014-2015 NBA season began, any road favorite of 3.5 to 7.0 that’s coming off a home favorite straight up loss with a win percentage of .714 or worse, versus an opponent coming ogg a home win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those road favorites going 15-0 ATS. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 14.3 points per game. Bet on Denver plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-11-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -3.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Toronto @ New York 8:05 PM ET Game# 541-542 Play On: New York -3.5 (5*) Toronto is coming off a 135-115 win at Cleveland last night in a game they shot 61.6% and were 17-32 (53.1%) from beyond the 3-points line. The Raptors 3rd year pro Gary Trent Jr. scored a career high 44 points. It’s highly improbable that Toronto will come close to those impressive offensive numbers against a stout defensive team like New York. The Knicks have allowed 99 points or fewer in 17 of 53 games (32.1%) this season. Last night’s win halted an 0-7 SU&ATS road losing streak for Toronto. Furthermore, Toronto is 0-5 SU&ATS in their last 5 this season as an underdog of 6.0 or less while playing with no rest and lost by 11.7 points per game. Speaking of the Knicks, they’re 5-0 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite when facing an opponent who scored 112 points or more in their previous contest. The Knicks average line in those 5 home wins was -3.7 and they won by a decisive margin of 12.8 points per game. The Knicks are also 11-1 SU&ATS at home this season when their point-spread is -3.5 to +3.5 while outscoring those opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game. Bet on New York minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs +3 | Top | 135-115 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Toronto @ Cleveland 7:35 PM ET Game# 583-584 Play On: Cleveland +3.0 (10*) Toronto has gone an abysmal 0-7 SU&ATS in their last 7 away games and lost by an average of 12.9 points per contest. The Raptors are coming off Thursday’s 122-113 home loss to Chicago. Conversely, Cleveland is coming off back-to-back road wins by 24 and 27-point margins. These teams have met just once this season and Cleveland walked away with a 116-105 home win. Any NBA home team that’s coming off back-to-back road wins by 20 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 9 points or greater, resulted in those home teams going 46-1 straight up since the 1997-1998 season began. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Phoenix @ LA Clippers 10:05 PM ET Game# 569-570 Play On: LA Clippers -6.0 (10*) This seems to be a relatively high number when considering Phoenix leads the Clippers by 3.0 games in the Pacific Division standings. Nonetheless, this is where thinking like an oddsmaker will serve us well. The sportsbooks are inviting you to jump on the sizable road underdog with a superb season record of 36-14 (.720). When something looks to good to be true when it comes to sports betting it can be construed as a sucker bet on most occasions. Now let’s examine this specific NBA betting situation. Phoenix is coming off last night’s overtime home win over current Western Conference #1 seed Utah and did so as a 2.5-point underdog. The Suns had to expend a ton of emotional and physical energy to attain that huge victory. Not only will Phoenix being playing with no rest tonight, it’s also going to be their 3rd game in 4 days. Additionally, the Suns will be facing a rested Clippers team which also possesses an impressive 34-18 record, and they’re coming off a pair of double-digit home wins in their previous 2 games played. Any NBA home favorite of 10.5 or less (Clippers) that’s playing with 1 or more days of rest and is coming off a home favorite ATS win where they covered by 7.0-points or more, versus an opponent (Suns) playing with no rest and coming off a home underdog straight up win by 15 points or fewer, and they (Suns) have a win percentage of .250 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 12-0 ATS since the 1997-1998 season began. The average point-spread for those 12 favorites was -7.8 and their winning margin came by 16.8 points per game. Bet on the Clippers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz v. Suns +2.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Utah @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 561-562 Play On: Phoenix +2.5 (10*) This will be chance to make a statement for Phoenix versus a Utah team that currently has the best record in the Western Conference. Nonetheless, the Suns aren’t too shabby themselves when considering they’ve gone 27-6 straight up and 23-10 ATS over their previous 33 games. Phoenix will also enter tonight’s contest winners of 6 straight games. Dating back to last season, the Suns have gone an extremely profitable 8-1 SU&ATS as an underdog following a straight up win. Since the 1990-1991 NBA season began, home teams that have won 6 or more games in a row have gone 753-230 (85.3%) straight up. Bet on Phoenix plays the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -2.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Memphis @ Atlanta 8:05 PM ET Game# 557-558 Play On: Atlanta -2.5 (5*) Atlanta has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 at home and won by a decisive margin of 14.4 points per game. During that successful stretch at home, the Hawks averaged 118.1 points scored per game and shot 50.0% while also making a sizzling hot 43.1% of its 3-point attempts. The Hawks have also gone an impressive 13-4 straight up during their previous 17 games played. Memphis has gone 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 games in which the last 2 came as a road underdog. Their current win streak improved the Grizzlies season record to 25-23 (.521). Any NBA favorite of 6.5 or less (Atlanta), versus an opponent (Memphis) coming off back-to-back road underdog straight up wins in which they covered by 21.5 or less on each occasion, and they (Memphis) have a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those favorites going 24-4 ATS (83.3%) since the 2002-2003 season began. Bet on Atlanta minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-05-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. A's | 10-3 | Win | 104 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
LA Dodgers (May) @ Oakland (Montas) 9:40 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: LA Dodgers -1.5 (+104) (5*) Oakland goes with righthander Frankie Montas in the opening game of this series. Montas made one start versus the Dodgers last season and was highly ineffective while allowing 5 earned runs in just 4.0 innings of work. Oakland’s confidence level can’t be too high right now after being swept in a 4-game series at home by Houston, and they were outscored by an alarming 35-9. After losing their season opener at Coors Field in Denver, the Dodgers rebounded to win the next 3 over Colorado and averaged 7.0 runs scored per game. Bet on the Dodgers on the run-line for a 5* wager. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Baylor vs. Gonzaga 9:20 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Gonzaga -4.0 (10*) College Basketball fans have been waiting for this matchup to take place all season and appropriately it occurs in the National Championship game. I cashed in easily with Baylor as a 10* Top Play on Saturday in their blowout win over Houston. I really like this Bears team, but Gonzaga can beat you in a vast assortment of ways. The Bulldogs are coming off their thrilling overtime win against a game and resilient UCLA team. It was the first time in 28 games that Gonzaga had not won a game by 10 points or more. The Bulldogs will be inspired by seeking their first ever national championship and after coming up short in the title game versus North Carolina in 2017. Additionally, Gonzaga will look to be the first team to finish undefeated and win a national championship since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Bulldogs had their scare against UCLA and now they’ll get back to their dominant self tonight. Bet on Gonzaga minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-04-21 | Warriors v. Hawks -2 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Golden State @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Atlanta -2.0 (5*) Golden State is coming off an embarrassing 130-77 loss at Miami and did so as a 5.5-point underdog. That dropped their season record to 23-26 (.469). Golden State lost 124-108 at home against Atlanta just 10 days ago. Star guard Stephen Curry wasn’t available in that contest due to a tailbone injury. Curry is expected to play tonight but I still don’t believe it will be enough against a surging Atlanta team that’s won 13 of its last 17 games. Atlanta is coming off an 8-game road trip which saw them go a respectable 4-4. They enter tonight with a 25-24 (.510) season record. The Hawks will be elated to return home where they’ve gone 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 and won by a decisive margin of 15.8 points per game. Any NBA team (Atlanta) with a win percentage of .361 or better who’s playing after game 22 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they (Golden State) are coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 26.0 points or more, resulted in those teams going 17-0 straight up since the 2016-2017 season began. The average margin of victory in those 17 contests came by 12.8 points per game. Bet on Atlanta minus the small number for a 5* wager. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
Houston vs. Baylor 5:15 PM ET Game# 801-802 Play On: Baylor -5.0 (10*) Houston is the first team in NCAA Tournament history that has won 4 straight games against double-digit seeds. However, they were lucky to escape with a 3-point win over Rutgers and nearly squandered a 17-point halftime lead before winning by 6 versus #12 seed Oregon State in their previous game. On both occasions they failed to cover. Conversely, Baylor is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with wins coming over the likes of #8 seed Wisconsin, #5 seed Villanova, and #3 seed Arkansas and the average margin of victory was 11.0 points per game. They covered each of those 3 contests as a favorite and averaged just 6.2 turnovers committed per game. Furthermore, Baylor is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting at 41.1% and #3 in offensive efficiency by scoring 123.0 points per every 100 possessions this season. Not only has the top seeded Bears had a tougher slate than Houston during the “Big Dance”, they also played in a significantly stronger Big 12 Conference than the American Athletic where Houston competes. Bet on Baylor minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-02-21 | Bucks v. Blazers +3 | 127-109 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Milwaukee @ Portland 10:05 PM ET Game# 559-560 Play On: Portland +3.0 (5*) Milwaukee will be playing their 3rd road in 4days. That’s always a challenge for a team in that position, let alone as a favorite versus an opponent with a .600 or greater win percentage better than halfway through the season. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Milwaukee has gone 0-7 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 5.5 or less versus an opponent with a win percentage of .571 or better. The Bucks lost those 7 contests by an average of 9.9 points per game. By the way, Portland will enter this contest riding a 4-game win streak. Bet on Portland plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Hornets +4.5 v. Pacers | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Indiana 8:15 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Charlotte +4.5 (5*) I had Charlotte last night and they let me down in a 21-point loss at Brooklyn. I am not going to let that deter me from coming back with them again today. Last night’s defeat dropped the Hornets season record to 24-23 (.511). Indiana has gone an abysmal 0-8 ATS and 1-7 straight up during their last 8 home games. The Pacers have a current season record of 21-25 (.457). Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season, any team with a win percentage of .510-600 that’s coming off a road loss by 20 points or more, and they are facing an opponent (Indiana) with a win percentage of .467 or worse, resulted in those teams going 27-4 (87.1%) straight up. Considering this straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this matchup it takes on added significance. Additionally, if those teams were an underdog in that previously mentioned betting angle, they were a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS in those contests and won by a decisive margin of 11.5 points per game. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-02-21 | Mavs -5.5 v. Knicks | 99-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Dallas @ New York 8:05 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Dallas -5.5 (5*) New York is coming off a 1-point loss at Minnesota on Wednesday in a game in which they squandered an 11-point lead heading into the 4th quarter. The Knicks have gone 0-6 SU&ATS in their last 6 this season as a home underdog of 1.5 or greater. The Knicks average point-spread during those 6 contests was +5.9 and they lost by an average of 11.6 points per game. Conversely, Dallas is 6-1 ATS and 7-0 straight up in their last 6 this season as a road favorite when facing an opponent that lost its previous game. The Mavericks outscored those 7 opponents by an average of 10.7 points per game. Bet on Dallas minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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04-01-21 | Hornets +2.5 v. Nets | 89-111 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Charlotte @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET Game# 533-534 Play On: Charlotte +2.5 (5*) Since the start of the 1998 NBA season, any road team (Charlotte) with a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0 and is coming off a division SU&ATS win in which they allowed 107 points or fewer, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) with a win percentage of .384 or better, resulted in those road teams going 27-3 ATS (90%). Those road teams also won 26 of those 30 games straight up. Bet on Charlotte plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Kings +2.5 v. Spurs | 106-120 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Sacramento @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET Game# 523-524 Play On: Sacramento +2.5 (5*) San Antonio has lost 5 of their previous 6 games. The Spurs have gone a solid 12-7 on the road this season but are just 11-14 at home. Sacramento enters this contest riding a 5-game win streak and that includes a 132-117 victory at San Antonio on Monday. The Kings won those 5 contests by an average of 11.4 points per game. During that successful stretch, Sacramento has scored 120.4 points per game while shooting a red-hot 53.9% and made an impressive 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet on Sacramento plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
New York @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 519-520 Play On: New York -3.5 (10*) New York is coming off a 98-88 home loss to Miami and failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 24-23 (.511). The Knicks have gone 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as a favorite following straight up loss. Their average line in those 8 contests was -3.6 and they won straight up by an average of 12.5 points per game. Conversely Minnesota enters today with a dismal 11-36 (.234) season record. Any NBA favorite of 3.5 to 9.0-points (New York) that’s playing after Game 11 of their season and is coming off a home SU&ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 3.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent (Minnesota) with a win percentage of .244 or worse, resulted in those favorites going 29-1 (96.7%) since the 2005-2006 season began. Bet on New York minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-21 | Blazers -7.5 v. Pistons | 124-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Portland @ Detroit 7:05 PM ET Game# 511-512 Play On: Portland -7.5 (5*) Detroit is coming off a 118-104 win over Toronto and did so as a 5.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, the Piston have gone a dismal 0-6 SU&ATS at home following a win by 7-points or more. All 6 of those losses came by 13-points or greater. Today will be the finale of a 4-game in 7-day road trip for Portland. They have gone 3-0 in the first 3 games of this trip. Portland is now a more than respectable 14-9 SU&ATS on the road this season. Portland has gone 20-5 straight up in their last 25 this season when facing teams with a losing record, and that includes 5-1 SU&ATS as a favorite of 5.5 or greater. Any NBA road favorite of 6.5 or more, versus an opponent coming off a win by 14 points or more, and they did so as an underdog of 9.5 or less, resulted in those road favorites going 14-0 ATS since the start of the 2015-2016 season. The average margin of victory in those 14 contests was 15.2 points per game. Bet on Portland minus the points for a 5* wager. |
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