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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-12 | OAK ATHLETICS v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
The Oakland starter Bartolo Colon has been brilliant in 4 starts on the road this season posting a 0.86 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. All 4 of those games went under the total. Colon has seen all 8 of his starts on the road go under the total in the last 2 seasons when the total is between 7.0-8.5. This is an Oakland team that's hitting a paltry .214 as a team on the season.
The Tampa starter Hellickson has seen all 3 of his home starts go under the total while posting an excellent 0.83 ERA in the process. Hellickson has seen 15 of his 17 home starts the last 2 seasons go under when the total is between 7.0-8.5. Although the Tampa Bay bullpen has a lofty ERA as a team it's been mostly due in part to some horrible performances on the road. The relievers have compiled an excellent 1.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home this season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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05-05-12 | Philadelphia: V Worley v. Washington: G Gonzalez UNDER 6.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia starter Vance Worley has been super in 5 starts this season in posting an excellent 1.97 ERA. Worley has been even better than that in his last 3 starts posting a 0.90 ERA and going 3-0. Philadelphia has gone under the total in 17 of 22 games the last 2 seasons when the total is either 6.0 or 6.5.
The Washington starter Gio Gonzalez has been terrific for his new club posting a brilliant 1.82 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 5 starts. In his last 3 starts he's also been even better posting a 0.95 ERA and 0.84 WHIP with all 3 going under the total. The Nationals are hitting an anemic .176 as a team over their last 7 games. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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05-04-12 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 204 | Top | 84-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
In spite of a history of both teams having explosive offensive talent when these clubs meet the score hasn't always measured up in that regard. In the last 26 meeting between the two 20 have gone under the total including 5 of the last 6 played in Denver. The Lakers have gone under the total in 21 of their last 27 games versus a team with a winning record. Denver has gone under the total in 20 of their last 27 versus teams with a winning record. The Lakers have shown the ability in the first two games to slow the game down into a half court affair and take away the Nuggets potent up tempo style. I can't imagine that George Karl has found the solution overnight in how to overcome that. In addition playing at a high altitude in which most teams struggle with when traveling to Denver, it wouldn't be in the Lakers best interest to get into an up and down affair. Play on this game to go under the total.
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05-04-12 | Cincinnati: J Cueto v. Pittsburgh: K Correia UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The Cincinnati starter Johnny Cueto has been terrific this year in 5 starts posting an excellent 1.39 ERA with 4 of the 5 going under the total. In 15 career starts versus the Pirates Cueto has posted a stellar 2.70 ERA. The Reds are hitting a paltry .216 as a team on the road this season.
The Pirates starter Kevin Correia has posted a stellar 2.42 ERA this season in 4 starts with 3 of those going under the total. In spite of a recent hitting surge the Pirates have played on the low side of the ledger for the majority of the season. Both of these bullpens have been excellent this season. Play on the under. Any road team with a total of 7.0 or less that has gone 5 straight games with less than 10 hits in each of them, and their bullpen gave up no earned runs in their previous game has seen 58 of those 82 games (70.7%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. |
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05-03-12 | PHILADELPHIA GM3 v. NEW JERSEY GM3 OVER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
The Devils have gone over the total in 15 of 20 games this season following a road win. The Devils penalty killing in the playoffs has left a lot to be desired as they're allowing the opposition to convert on 10 of their 38 chances (26.3%). The Devils have scored 3 goals or more in 7 of their 9 playoff games.
The Flyers have gone over the total in 15 of their 21 games over the last 2 seasons following a loss by 2 or more goals. The Flyers power play has been super in the playoffs scoring on 13 of 34 chances (38.2%). The bad news is that opponents are converting 27.8% of their power plays versus the Flyers converting 10 of 36 chances with a man advantage. The Flyers have gone over the total in 5 of 6 games in the playoffs when the total is 6.0 or less. Any road team with a total of 5.5 that's playing with revenge from a loss of 2 or more goals, and they're playing their 3rd game or less in the last 10 days has gone over the total in 56 of 81 games (69.1%) since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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05-02-12 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 6 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
The Philadelphia starter Roy Halladay hasn't seen any of his 6 career starts versus Atlanta go over the total. In those 6 starts Halladay has posted an outstanding 1.72 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. The Phillies have been anemic offensively this season without the services of Chase Utley and Ryan Howard who've both started the season on the DL. Philadelphia has scored 3 runs or less in 13 of their 24 games this season. The Phillies have gone under the total in 17 of 21 games over the last 2 seasons when the total is 6.0 or 6.5.
The Atlanta starter Tommy Hanson has seen 6 of his 7 career starts versus Philadelphia go under the total. In those 7 starts Hanson has posted a stellar 2.23 ERA. The Braves have seen just 1 of their last 7 overall go over the total. Atlanta has seen 26 of their 37 games go under the total over the last 3 seasons when the total is 7.0 or less. The home plate umpire for tonight's game will be James Hoye. Hoye is widely regarded as a pitcher friendly umpire with a large strike zone. In his last 10 games behind the dish Hoye has seen 9 of the 10 go under the total. In the last 3 years all games that Hoye has been behind the plate has seen 44 of 66 (66.7%) go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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05-02-12 | Arizona: J Saunders v. Washington: E Jackson UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The Arizona starter Joe Saunders has been superb this season in posting a microscopic 0.90 ERA in 4 starts. Saunders has seen all 4 of his career starts versus Washington go under the total while posting a very good 2.89 ERA in the process. Saunders has seen 14 of his 17 starts go under the total the last 2 seasons versus opponents that are hitting .245 or less as a team.
The Washington starter Edwin Jackson has seen 3 of his 4 career starts versus Arizona go under the total while posting a very good 3.33 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in those outings. Jackson enters tonight in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a 2.61 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals are hitting a dismal .180 as a team over their last 7 games. Washington has gone under the total in 30 of 40 games the last 2 seasons when facing a left-handed starter. Any team that's coming off 2 wins in a row by 4 runs or more in each, and is facing an opponents that has scored or allowed 5 runs or less in each of its last 4 games has seen 39 of those 52 games (75%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Any team with a total of between 7.0-8.5 that averages 4.1 runs per game or less while scoring 2 runs or less in each of their last 2 games, and is facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or less has seen 64 of those 89 games (71.9%) go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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05-01-12 | Pittsburgh: C Morton v. St Louis: Wainwright OVER 7 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
The Pirates haven't exactly been an offensive machine this season as evidenced by only 4 of their first 22 games going over the total. However over their last 7 games their bats have started to come alive hitting a very good .283 as a team. Pittsburgh has gone over the total in 16 of 22 games over the last 2 seasons following a win by 4 runs or more. The Pittsburgh starter Charlie Morton has pitched very well in his first 4 starts of the season. However Morton has struggled in his career versus St. Louis posting a lofty 5.80 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 10 starts.
The Cardinals have gone over the total in 6 of 9 home games this season with much attributed to their .303 batting average as a team in that role. St. Louis has been a mild surprise this season after losing Albert Pujols in free agency in addition to Lance Berkman going down early with an injury. One of the unpleasant surprises has been the horrible pitching line on Adam Wainwright in his first 4 starts. Wainwright in his last 3 starts alone posted a huge 8.36 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. it's clear that the Cardinals right-hander hasn't come close to returning to his prior form after missing the entire 2011 season due to elbow surgery. Wainwright hasn't seen any of his previous 12 starts versus the Pirates stay under the total. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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05-01-12 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls OVER 175.5 | Top | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Three of the 4 meetings between these two clubs have gone over the total this season. Philadelphia has gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 games. The 76ers have scored 97 points or more in 5 of their last 8 games. They've also allowed 95 points or more in 6 of their last 8. Philadelphia has also exceeded the number in their last 6 following a SU loss and 11 of their last 12 following an ATS loss. Chicago has gone over the total in 10 of 11 this year versus teams that average 83 shots or more per game. The average combined score in those 11 games was 198.8 ppg. The Bulls have also gone over the total in 9 of their last 10 versus teams with a better than .500 winning percentage. Play on this game to go over the total.
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05-01-12 | NEW JERSEY GM2 v. PHILADELPHIA GM2 UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
The Devils have gone under the total in 37 of 56 games the last 3 seasons after allowing 4 or more goals in their previous game. New Jersey has also gone under the total in 13 of 17 games the last 3 seasons after a game when both teams scored 3 or more goals. The Flyers have gone under the total in 18 of 26 home games the last 2 seasons after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Everything points to this game going over based on what's transpired recently especially with the Flyers. The general public is aware of that and in turn hammered the over wagers. It's never as easy as it looks.
Any home team with a total of 5.5 that's coming off 2 consecutive wins versus division opponents, and they're playing just their 2nd game in 5 days has gone under the total in 31 of 43 of those games since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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05-01-12 | Boston Celtics v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 173 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
The Hawks have gone over the total in 15 of their last 18 games. The hawks have gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 as a home favorite. The Celtics have gone over the total in 19 of their last 27 following a game they scored 35 points or less in the 1st half of their previous game. If you are concerned over the low scoring output by the Celtics in the opening game of the series don't be. The Celtics have gone over the total in their last 4 games following a game they scored 74 points or less. The fact that Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen won't be in the lineup tonight won't as big a deal as many of the so called experts think. i look for other players to step up in their absence in this one isolated game.
Any road team with a total of between 170.0-179.5 that's coming off a road loss, and will be playing in their 4th game or less in the last 10 days has seen 68 of those 95 games (71.6%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. |
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04-30-12 | Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers OVER 187.5 | Top | 78-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Indiana coach Frank Vogel has made it very clear that he was extremely disappointed in his team's inability to push the tempo in the opening game of this series. In not so many words he indicated that will be a priority in game 2. In addition the Pacers aren't going to shoot 34% from the field like they did in the opening game. The Magic are a much better shooting team than they showed in the opening game of the series when they went just 39% from the field. Orlando has also gone over the total in 13 of their 16 games this season following a road win with an average combined total score of 197.5 ppg. I look for this to be a much more entertaining contest with plenty of offense and be in sharp contrast to what we saw in the opening game.
Any team with a total of between 180.0-189.5 that's coming off a game where there was a combined 175 points or less, and is facing an opponent that's coming off a game where there was a combined 175 points or less has gone over the total in 28 of 34 games (82.3%) since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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04-28-12 | OAK ATHLETICS v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Both of these teams have played on the low side in recent games. The Orioles have gone under the total in their last 5 and have hit a paltry .222 as a team over their last 7 games. Baltimore has gone under the total in all 8 games this season versus a right-handed starting pitcher. Oakland has gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 games and they're hitting a horrible .202 as a team on the season. The A's have also gone under the total in 10 of their last 11 following a game they scored 5 runs or more, and 14 of the last 16 went under after a win. Both teams have had stellar performances from their bullpen. Both slated starters have pitched very well in the early going. Home plate umpire Eric Cooper has seen 5 of the last 6 he was behind the dish go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total.
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04-28-12 | Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers OVER 191.5 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
This Pacer club has scored 102 points or more in 9 of their last 10 and 14 of the last 16 games. Orlando has turned to a perimeter shooting team since the loss of Dwight Howard for the season. They have very capable three-point shooters in Ryan Anderson, Jason Richardson, and Jameer Nelson. The loss of Howard also has hurt them on the defensive end of the floor. These teams saw 3 of their 4 regular season meetings go over the total.
Any team that's coming off a division SU loss versus an opponent off a road SU loss in which they scored less than 80 points has gone over the total in 30 of 39 games (76.9%) since the start of the 2007-2008 season. |
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04-26-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 209 | 131-102 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Minnesota has gone under the total in 11 of 14 games this season when the total is between 200.0-209.5 with an average combined total score of 196.5 ppg. The T-Wolves have gone under the total in all 11 games the last 3 seasons after getting 10 or less offensive rebounds in each of their previous 2 games with an average combined total score of 195.2 ppg. Minnesota has gone under the total in their last 4 and 8 of their last 10 overall.
Denver has gone under the total in 19 of their 27 games in the last 2 seasons when playing 4 or less games in their last 10 days with an average combined total score of 203.7 ppg. The Nuggets have gone under the total in 9 of their last 12 and 11 of their last 15 overall. All teams playing in a April game with a total of 200.0 or more, and they went under the total by 18 points or more in their previous game has seen 55 of those 79 games (69.6%) go under the total since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-25-12 | Washington Capitals v. Boston Bruins UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Boston has gone under the total in 17 of their 23 home games over the last 2 seasons when coming off a road game that both teams scored 3 or more goals. Washington has gone under the total in 27 of their 36 road games over the last 2 seasons when playing on 2 days of rest. With everything on the line in this Game 7 look for this one to be played very tight defensively thus producing a low scoring affair.
Any road team with a total of 5.0 or less that's scored 3 or more goals in their last 2 games, versus an opponent that's played 2 straight games where a combined 7 or more goals was scored in each has gone under the total in 63 of 100 games (63%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-24-12 | Sacramento Kings v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 210 | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
In my professional opinion I truly believe the Kings will be hard pressed to score 90 points this evening. They will be without the services of Demarcus Cousins (17.8 ppg) who's serving a 1-game suspension for too many technical fouls, and Marcus Thornton (18.7 ppg) who's out with a quadricep injury. The Kings have gone under the total in 18 of their 24 games the last 2 seasons after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 with an average combined score of 202.9 ppg.
The Thunder will be without the services of James Harden (16.8 ppg) who was the recipient of a vicious elbow to the head from Ron Artest in Sunday's double overtime loss to the Lakers. The Thunder has gone under the total in 10 of 11 games this season after playing their previous 2 games as a road favorite. The average combined score in those 11 games was just 190.1 ppg. The Thunder have gone under the total in 3 of their last 4 with the only over coming in their previous game that went double overtime and was tied 87-87 at the end of regulation. The Thunder have been very good defensively at home this season holding opponents to 95.6 ppg. and 41.9% shooting from the field. It would be hard for me to fathom Scott Brooks allowing both Kevin Durant or Russell Westbrooke playing major minutes in this contest considering his team is pretty much locked into the #2 seed in the West. These two clubs have met three times this season with 2 of the 3 going under the total. The only over came in their first meeting of the season when the total was just 203.0 and 207 points were scored. The other two meetings produced 204 and 195 points. With a combination of three key players missing from this game tonight, and the fact the three average a combined 53.3 ppg combined in addition to all the other above mentioned facts we'll be in a very favorable position. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-21-12 | Orlando Magic v. Utah Jazz OVER 194 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
The Magic have put up some impressive offensive numbers in recent games in spite of the loss of star center Dwight Howard who's out for the rest of the year after undergoing back surgery. In their last 3 games alone the Magic averaged 103.7 ppg. and shot a very good 48.6% from the field. Even more impressive was the fact that their last 2 opponents were Boston and Philadelphia. The 76ers are #2 and Boston is #3 in scoring defense in the NBA. Orlando has gone over the total in their last 5 non-conference games this season when the total was 190.0 or more. The Magic are #3 in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage at 37.8%. Those 5 games averaged a combined score of 210.0 points per game.
Utah has been no slouch offensively in recent games as well. In their last 5 games the Jazz has averaged 104.2 ppg. and shot a blistering 43.2% from beyond the three-point line. The Jazz are #6 in the NBA in scoring offense in the NBA at 99.4 ppg. Since the start of the 2009-2010 season all 4 meetings with Orlando have gone over the total with an average combined score of 213.7 ppg. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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04-21-12 | Washington Wizards v. Miami Heat UNDER 194.5 | Top | 86-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
The Heat have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games with an average combined score of 177.0 ppg. The Heat have held 10 of their last 12 opponents to 99 points or less while scoring just 99 points or less in 9 of the 12. Washington has gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 while scoring 93 points or less in 4 of those 5 contests. Washington has held 14 of their last 19 opponents to 99 points or less.
Any road team with a total of between 190.0-199.5 that went over the total by 18 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent that's gone under the total by 36 points or more in their last 5 games has seen 78 of those 122 games (63.9%) go under the total since 1996. |
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04-21-12 | Minnesota Twins v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
The Twins have gone over the total in their last 4 games with an average combined 11.0 runs per game. The Rays have gone over the total in their last 4 and 7 of their last 8. In those last 8 games there has been a combined 11.1 runs per game scored. James Shields struggled in his only start at home this season and posts a lofty 4.69 ERA in 9 career starts versus the Twins. He doesn't figure to get much help from the Rays bullpen that's posted a horrible 8.63 ERA and 2.04 WHIP as a staff. The Twins starter Carl Pavano has posted a 5.22 ERA in his first 3 starts this season. Pavano has been prone to the long ball so far allowing 4 home runs in 20.7 innings of work. Play on this game to go over the total.
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04-20-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 214 | Top | 103-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
The Thunder has gone under the total in all 9 games this season following a game that they were a road favorite. The average combined score in those 9 games was 186.3 ppg. In 31 road games this season the Thunder has averaged a combined score of 197.0 ppg. In 31 home games this season the Kings have averaged a combined score of 205.7 ppg. In the two meetings between these two clubs this season the combined score were 204 and 207. All of these above stats and number are extremely supportive of our selection tonight.
Any team with a total of 210.0 or more that has failed to cover it's last 10 games by a combined 48 points or more, and has a winning percentage of between .250-.400 has gone under the total in 28 of 37 games (75.7%) since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Any team with a total of 210.0 or more that's allowing 103 points or more points per game on the season, and they are coming off a loss by 20 points or more has seen 90 of 135 games (66.7%) go under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-18-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 207.5 | Top | 109-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
The Suns have gone under the total is 13 of their 17 games this season following a game where there was a combined 205 points or more scored. They average combined score in those 17 games was 194.5 ppg. The Thunder have gone under the total in 10 of 12 games this season following 2 straight games on the road, and if they were a favorite in those 2 road games they went under the total in all 8 of those games this season with an average combined total score of 183.5 ppg. The Thunder have also gone under the total in 8 of their last 11 overall and 10 of the last 14 on the road.
Any road team with a total of between 200.0-209.5 that's coming off road SU favorite loss, they have a better than .500 winning percentage, and are facing an opponent with a better than .500 winning percentage has seen 56 of those 79 games (70.9%) go under the total since 1996. Any team in the month of April with a total of 200.0 or more that went under the total by 18 points or more in their previous game has gone under the total in 53 of 76 games (69.7%) since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-18-12 | Utah Jazz v. Portland Trailblazers OVER 198 | Top | 112-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Portland has gone over the total in 9 of 10 games this season when revenging a home loss. The Blazers have gone over the total in all 7 homes this season versus a division opponent with an average combined score of 215.0 ppg. Portland has exceeded the total in 9 of their last 13 games overall. Utah has gone over the total in 32 of their 47 games over the last 3 seasons versus a division opponent with an average combined score of 209.8 ppg. The Jazz have also seen 19 of 29 games this season go over when the total is between 190.0-199.5. These two clubs have seen 6 of their last 7 meetings in Portland go over the total.
Any road team with a total of between 190.0-199.5 that's allowed 100 points or more in each of their last 2 games, and is facing an opponent coming off a game where there was a combined 225 points or more scored has seen 46 of those 65 games (70.8%) go over the total since 1996. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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04-17-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 199 | Top | 112-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
The first thing I need to address is that I am fully aware that Kobe Bryant is doubtful tonight. In my humble opinion without Bryant in the lineup the Lakers perimeter defense has suffered much more than their offensive production. The Lakers have allowed opponents to shoot a blistering 50% from beyond the three-point line over the last 5 games. Los Angeles has scored 103 points or more in 5 of the last 7 and 6 of the last 9 games. They've also allowed opponents to score 97 points or more in 5 of the last 7 games. For the better part of the season the Lakers haven't been a good three-point shooting team. However, over the last 5 games they shot a very good 41.3% from beyond the arc.
San Antonio has gone over the total in 21 of their last 31 overall. The Spurs have scored 105 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games. The men from the Alamo are #2 in the NBA this season in three-point field goal percentage at 39% and have been even better than that in recent weeks. San Antonio has gone over the total in 18 of 25 road games over the last 2 seasons when the total is 200.0 or more. The Spurs have also gone over the total in 8 of their last 10 as a road favorite. San Antonio has also gone over the total in 18 of 24 games the last 2 seasons following a game they made 9 or more three-point shots. Play on this game to go over the total. |
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04-16-12 | Dallas Mavericks v. Utah Jazz OVER 193.5 | Top | 121-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
These two teams have seen 5 of their last 6 meetings go over the total including all 3 encounters this season. Dallas has gone over the total in 14 of 18 games the last 2 seasons when playing back-to-back road games with no rest. The Mavericks have gone over the total in 15 of their last 20 overall and 9 of their last 11 on the road. Utah has gone over the total in 12 of 15 games the last 3 seasons following 3 straight games on the road. The Jazz have averaged 207.3 ppg. in those 7 contests. Play on this game to go over the total.
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04-15-12 | Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 208 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
The Rockets have gone under the total in 21 of 29 games over the last 2 seasons as a road underdog of 6.0 or less, with a average combined score of 200.4 ppg. The Nuggets have seen 5 of their last 6 and 7 of their last 9 games go under the total.
Any team that's playing with revenge from a home loss, the total is between 200.0-209.5, and they're facing an opponent with a winning percentage of better than .500 has seen 112 of those 168 games (66.7%) go under the total since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-14-12 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 206 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
The Pacers have gone under the total in 16 of their 22 games the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 99 points or more per game. The average combined score in those 22 games is 196.1 ppg. Indiana has also gone under the total in 40 of their 63 games over the last 3 seasons when playing with no rest. The average combined score in those 63 games is 196.6 ppg. Milwaukee has gone under the total in 13 of their 17 home games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The average combined score in those 17 games is just a paltry 180.3 ppg.
Any road team with a total of between 200.0-209.5 that's outscoring the opposition by an average of 3 or more points per game on the season, and is facing an opponent coming off a SU win by 10 points or more has seen 54 of those 82 games (65.9%) stay under the total since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-13-12 | New Jersey Devils v. FLORIDA UNDER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
New Jersey @ Florida 7:05 ET
Play On: Under 5.0 New Jersey has gone under the total in 13 of their 15 road games over the last 2 seasons after giving up 2 goals or less in each of their previous 4 games. Florida has gone under the total in all 10 games over the last 3 season off a win by 3 goals or more against a division opponent. Florida has also gone under the total in 12 of their 15 home games over the last 2 seasons following a home win in which they scored 4 goals or more. Any team entering a game with a 4-game unbeaten streak and they have a winning percentage of between .510-.600, versus an opponent that has a less than .500 winning percentage in the 2nd half of the season has seen 57 of those 80 games (71.2%) go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-11-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Denver has gone under the total in their last 4 and 6 of their last 7. The Nuggets have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 101 points or less. Minnesota has gone under the total in 6 of their last 8 while scoring 94 points or less in all 6 games that went under. Denver has seen its last 6 contests all go under the total we they're installed as the favorite. The Nuggets have also gone under the total this season in 11 of their 14 home games following a contest in which a combined 205 points or more were scored.
Any team that's failed to cover the spread in 7 or more consecutive games has seen 47 of those 68 games (69.1%) go under the total since the start of the 2007-2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-10-12 | Kansas City: D Duffy v. Oakland: G Godfrey OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Neither one of these starting pitchers are of the dominating sort. Oakland has gone over the total in 25 of their 32 home games over the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 4.2 or less rpg. The average combined runs per game in those 32 contests was 9.3. Kansas City has gone over the total in 17 of their 24 games over the last 2 season when their previous game had a combined 4 runs or less being scored. The average runs per game in those 24 contests was 11.0 per game. Play on this game to go over the total.
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04-10-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 195 | Top | 90-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The Bobcats are dead last in the NBA in scoring offense while Cleveland ranks 24th out of 30 in that same category. The Cavaliers have gone under the total in 25 of their 34 games the last 2 seasons after having lost 4 of the last 5 games. Charlotte has gone under the total in 15 of their 19 games over the last 2 seasons following a loss by 15 points or more. Charlotte has also gone under the total in 10 of their 11 games the last 2 seasons following a game they trailed by 15 points or more at the half. Cleveland has scored 90 points or less in 8 of their last 10 games while the Bobcats have scored 93 or less in 9 of their last 12. Play on this game to go under the total.
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04-09-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 209 | Top | 114-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
The Suns have gone under in all 8 games the last 2 season following a game they were outrebounded by 20 or more. Phoenix has also gone under the total in 21 of their 30 road games versus teams with a less than .500 winning percentage over the last 2 seasons. Phoenix head man Alvin Gentry has seen 14 of 18 games go under the total in April with the Suns. Minnesota has gone under the total in 29 of 42 games the last 3 seasons versus teams that attempt 24 or less free throws per game. Minnesota head coach Rick Adelman has seen 23 of 30 games go under the total in his NBA head coaching career off 2 consecutive SU favorite losses.
Any team with a total of 200.0 or more that beat the spread by 30 points or more over the last 5 games, versus an opponent that failed to cover by 48 points or more over the last 10 games has seen 50 of those 68 games (73.5%) go under the total since the start of the 2006-2007 season. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-09-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 211 | Top | 84-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Golden St. has gone under the total in 13 of their 17 games on the road following a game they cored 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average combined score in those 17 games was 203.7 ppg. Denver has gone under the total in 18 of 25 home games over the last 2 seasons after allowing 105 points or more in their previous contest. The average combined score in those 25 games was 204.8 ppg. The Warriors have gone under in their last 4 overall while the Nuggets have done the same in 5 of their last 6.
Any home team with a total of 210.0 or more that's playing with revenge versus an opponent that's coming off a SU underdog win by 10 points or more has seen 27 of those 33 games (81.8%) go under the total since 1996. Any road team with a total of 210.0 or more that's coming off a home underdog SU win by 10 points or more has seen 23 of those 28 games (82.1%) go under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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04-07-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
The Nuggets have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 games with an average combined score of 196.6 ppg. Denver has also gone under the total in their last 4 and 6 of their last 7 as a favorite of 4.0 or less. Denver has gone under the total in 5 of 6 games this season as a favorite and with a total of 208.0 or more.
Golden State has gone under the total in their last 6 and 8 of 9 conference games this season when playing with no rest. The average combined score in those 9 contests was 197.0 ppg. The Warriors have also gone under the totals in their last 3 games overall with an average combined score of 195.0 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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04-07-12 | Chicago (A): J Peavy v. Texas: D Holland OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
White Sox (Peavy) @ Texas (Holland) 8:05 ET
Play On: Over 9.5 The Chicago starter Jake Peavy has seen 11 of his 13 starts go over the total in the last 3 seasons in the first 81 games of the season with an average of 10.5 runs per game scored in those 12 contests. In 3 career starts versus Texas Peavy has been awful in posting a whopping 8.81 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The Rangers have gone over the total in 15 of their 18 home games over the last 2 seasons with an average of 13.4 runs per game scored. Holland was terrible in 2 career starts versus the White Sox posting a monster 11.05 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. Any team that's playing in their first 12 games of the season that finished the previous season by winning 17 or more of their final 25 games, they had a winning percentage of between .540-.620 last season, and they're facing a team that had a less than .500 winning percentage last year has seen 79 of 117 (67.5%) of those games go over the total since 1997. Play on this game to go over the total of 9.5. |
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04-06-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 211.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This total is indicative of the fact that these two teams are the highest scoring clubs since after the all-star break. However, Denver's games have averaged just 195.6 ppg over their last 5, and the Suns in their last 5 average is 196.8 ppg. In addition the Suns have gone under the total in 18 of their 27 road games this season (192.6 ppg), and the Nuggets have gone under the total in 17 of their 27 home games (203.1 ppg).
Any road team with a total of 210.0 or more that's coming off a SU underdog win and has a better than .500 winning percentage has gone under the total in 39 of those 53 games (73.6%) since 2006. |
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04-05-12 | Florida Panthers v. Washington Capitals UNDER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Washington has gone under the total in 18 of their 26 home games this season versus team that allow an average of 4 or less power plays against them for the season. Washington has gone under the total in 25 of their 33 home games the last 2 seasons after allowing 2 or more goals in the 3rd period of their previous game. Florida has gone under the total in 19 of 28 road games over the last 2 seasons after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game.
Any team that's averaging 2.55 goals per game or less on the season, and has lost 2 consecutive games in overtime has gone under the total in 44 of those 62 games (71%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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04-04-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Any team with a total of 200.0 or more that has covered the spread by a combined 30 or more points over the last 5 games, versus an opponent that has failed to cover the spread by a combined 48 points or more over the last 10 games has seen 37 of those 50 (74%) games go under the total since the start of the 2006-2007 season.
Any team that has failed to cover the spread 7 or more games in a row has seen 47 of those 66 games (71.2%) go under the total since the start of the 2006-2007 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection. |
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04-03-12 | Phoenix Suns v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 214 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
In the two meetings between these two clubs this season both games easily went under the total. The scores were 96-88 (204.5) and 98-84 (196.5). This total is mammoth compared to the first 2 encounters mostly due in part to the Kings improved play on the offensive end. However, phoenix has gone under the total is 17 of their 25 road games this season with an average combined score of 193.1 ppg. The Suns have also gone under the total in 12 of their 16 games this season versus teams that average 18 or more three-point attempts per game with an average combined total score of 191.8 ppg. In addition the Suns have gone under the total in 20 of their 29 games on the road the last 2 seasons versus teams with a less than .500 winning percentage. In his head coaching career Alvin Gentry of the Suns has seen 27 of his 35 games in April go under the total with an average combined score of 193.0 ppg.
All teams that play in April with a total of 210.0 or more that went under the total by 18 points or more in their previous game has seen 50 of those 71 games (70.4%) go under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection. |
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04-02-12 | Kansas v. Kentucky UNDER 138 | Top | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
These are the top two teams in the country statistically in field goal percentage defense. Kansas has gone under the total in 17 of their 22 games this season on the road or those played on a neutral court. In addition Kansas has gone under the total in 18 of their last 22 NCAA Tournament games, and 8 of their last 9 postseason games overall. In their 5 NCAA Tournament games this year the Kansas defensive play has been stifling allowing teams to score just 59.2 ppg. and shoot a paltry 35.3% from the field. In the regular season meeting between these two clubs Kansas struggled offensively shooting just 33.9% from the field.
Kentucky has gone under the total in 16 out of 20 games this season when the total is between 130.0 and 139.5 with an average combined score of just 128.8 ppg. John Calipari has seen 12 of 15 games go under the total as coach of Kentucky versus teams that outscore their opponents by 12.0 ppg. or more on the season. In my professional opinion the defensive play of Kentucky has flown under the radar this season taking a back seat to their wealth of talent and athleticism they've shown on the offensive end. This game has all the ingredients of a very physical battle. In their regular season meeting in November Kansas attempted 27 free throws and Kentucky attempted 29. This was due in part to exactly to the above mentioned physical play. Both of these teams go about 7 deep so a tightly called game could put a damper on the quality of this contest. At this stage we're also looking at the best of officials in this title game, look for them to allow the players to play, and for their officiating not be the focal point of the outcome. Play on the under as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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04-02-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Washington Wizards UNDER 205 | Top | 112-98 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Washington has gone under the total in their last 11 games overall. The Wizards have held opponents to just 99 points or less in their last 7 games, while they've scored 99 points or less in 13 of their last 14 overall.
Any NBA team with a total of 200.0 or more in the month of April that has gone under the total by a combined 24 points or more over their last 3 games has gone under the total in 77 of 118 games (65.3%) since the start of the 2006-2007 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-31-12 | Ohio State v. Kansas OVER 136.5 | Top | 62-64 | Loss | -108 | 48 h 11 m | Show |
Ohio St. has gone over the total in all 4 of their NCAA tournament games. As a matter of fact the Buckeyes have gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 overall. The only under in that sequence was a near miss versus Michigan St. in a 68-64 loss when the total was 132.5. Ohio St. has scored 72 points or less in 9 of their last 10 games. Ohio St. has also gone over the total in 10 of 12 games this season when the total is between 130.0 and 139.5.
These two clubs met in Lawrence earlier this season and that game went over the total of 136.0 with the Jayhawks prevailing 78-67. Kansas snapped out of their offensive funk versus North Carolina in their last game putting up 81 points in the win. I look for that trend to continue in this game to make form a very entertaining high scoring affair. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-31-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
The Grizzlies have gone under the total in 16 of their last 22 games on the road when playing 6 or more games in the last 10 days. The average combined score in those 22 games is 188.2 ppg. Memphis has also gone under the total in 19 of their 28 road games the last 2 seasons versus teams with a less than .500 winning percentage, and that number improves to 9 of 10 under if that opponent has a winning percentage of between .400-.490. The Grizzlies have scored 93 points or less in 4 of their last 5, and allowed 98 points or less in 5 of their last 7. The average combined score in those 10 games is 187.5 ppg. The Bucks have gone under the total in 13 of their 16 games over the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 9 or less steals per game. The average combined score in those 16 games is just 183.5 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-31-12 | Los Angeles Kings v. Minnesota Wild UNDER 5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
The Kings have gone under the total in 14 of 15 games this season versus weaker teams that are being outscored by an average of 0.3 or more per game. The Kings have also gone under this season in 17 of 22 games versus opponents that average 2.55 goals per game or less. Los Angeles has gone under the total in 28 of 39 games this season when coming off 1 or more under. In their last 5 games Los Angeles is just 1 for 19 on the power play and has also killed 14 of 15 power plays against them. Los Angeles goalie Jonathan Quick has been terrific this season in posting a 93% save percentage. In 66 starts Quick has seen just 17 of those games go over the total. Minnesota hasn't seen any of their last 6 games go over the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-31-12 | Louisville v. Kentucky UNDER 137 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 46 h 39 m | Show |
Since game 15 of the season Louisville has gone under the total in all 10 games versus teams that allow 64.0 ppg. or less. The average combined score in those 10 games was a paltry 108.0 ppg. The Cardinals have gone under the total in 10 of their last 12 overall. You don't have to look far to find out why as the Cardinals have held 10 of those last 12 opponents to 62 points or less. In addition Louisville has scored just 64 points or less in 9 of those last 12.
Kentucky has gone under the total in 8 of their 10 games this season versus teams that allow 64.0 ppg. or less. The average combined score in those 10 games was 127.7 ppg. The Wildcats have also gone under the total in 15 of their 19 games this season when the total is between 130.0 and 139.5. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection. |
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03-30-12 | Portland Trailblazers v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 187.5 | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Portland has gone over the total in all 7 games this season when playing with revenge from a home loss. Those 7 games had an average combined score of 201.1 ppg. Portland has allowed 103 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games on the road. The Clippers have shot 50% from the field in their last 3 games while averaging 100.3 ppg. in the process. The Clippers have also allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or more in 3 of their last 5 contests. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-30-12 | Denver Nuggets v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 203 | Top | 99-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
The Bobcats are the most anemic offensive team in the NBA and nobody is a close second. Charlotte has gone under the total in 19 of their 25 games over the last 2 seasons when coming off a SU loss by 6 points or less. The average combined score in those 25 games is just 181.8 ppg. The Bobcats have scored 96 points or less in 11 of their last 12 games.
All NBA teams when the total is between 200.0-209.5 and they went under the total by 24 points or more in their previous game has gone under the total in 53 of 73 games (72.6%) since the start of the 2006-2007 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-30-12 | Washington State v. Pittsburgh OVER 128 | Top | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
These teams played a very low scoring lethargic game on Wednesday night. There's is no doubt in my mind that this was due to fatigue with both teams playing with just one day of rest and had to travel across the country form the Great Northwest after Monday night's 9:00 ET tip all the way to the east coast to play less than 48 hours later. I look for both teams to have more energy tonight and that to translate into a more efficient offensive effort. Both of these teams have each shot a red-hot 43% from beyond the three-point line over their last 5 games. Pittsburgh has gone over the total in 8 of their 9 home games over the last 2 seasons following a home SU win. The average combined score in those 9 games is 137.6 ppg.
Any college basketball road team with a total of between 120.0-129.5 that's covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, and both teams in the contest have a winning percentage of between .510-.600 has seen 37 of those 49 games (75.5%) go over the total since 1997. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-29-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 200.5 | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The Lakers have gone under the total in 22 of 32 games over the last 2 seasons versus a team that averages 20 assists or more per game. The average combined score in those 32 games is 193.8 ppg. Oklahoma City has allowed 97 points or less in 5 of their last 6 overall.
Any team that has a winning percentage of .750 or better that's covered 3 of their last 4 games, and the total is between 200.0-209.5 has seen 57 of those 81 games (70.4%) go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection. |
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03-29-12 | New Orleans Hornets v. Portland Trailblazers OVER 185 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
The Hornets have shot 50% or better from the field in 5 of their last 8 games. Portland averages 101.6 ppg. at home this season. The Blazers have allowed opponents to score 103 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games.
Any road team that's playing with revenge of a road loss by 10 points or more, and has a winning percentage of between .250-.400 has seen 63 of those 89 games (70.8%) go over the total since 1996. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* selection. |
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03-29-12 | Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat OVER 188.5 | 85-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Mavericks have gone over the total in 8 of their last 10 games. In their last 4 games on the road Dallas has allowed 99 points or more. Miami has gone over the total in 12 of their last 13 games after scoring 90 points or less in their previous 2 games. The Heat averages 102.6 ppg. and shoots 49.4% from the field at home this season.
Any home favorite with a winning percentage of between .600-.750 that's coming off a road SU loss by 10 points or more, and is facing an opponent with a better than .500 winning percentage has seen 55 of those 78 games (70.5%) go over the total since 2006. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* selection. |
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03-29-12 | Washington Capitals v. Boston Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Washington has gone under the total in 11 of their 13 games this season following a home loss. In addition if that home loss was by 2 or more goals that stat improves to 6 of 7 under with an averaged combined 3.1 goals per game. Boston has gone under the total in 24 of their 35 home games over the last 2 seasons following a game in which there were a combined 7 or more goals scored.
Any home team with a total of 5.5 that's coming off a home win by 3 or more goals, and is facing an opponent coming off a home loss by 3 or more goals has seen 41 of those 57 games go under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-28-12 | Detroit Red Wings v. Columbus Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
Columbus has gone over the total in their last 4 games with an average combine 7.5 goals per game being scored. Columbus is dead last in the NHL in scoring defense. Columbus has gone over the total in all 8 games since Game 42 this season versus teams that allow 19% or more of their power play chances against them to be converted. The average combined goals in those 8 games is 7.0 per game. Detroit isn't nearly as stingy in goals allowed since starting goalie Jimmy Howard has been on the shelf. Detroit has gone over the total in 10 of 12 games this season versus teams that allow 3.0 or more goals per game.
Any game that involves 2 starting goalies with a save percentage of 89.5% or less, and it's game 41 of the season or beyond has seen 39 of those 56 games (69.6%) go over the total since the 2006-2007 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-28-12 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 201 | Top | 88-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Minnesota has gone under the total in 10 of 12 games this season versus teams that are being outscored by an average of 3.0 ppg. or more. The average combined score in those 12 games is just 184.1 ppg. The T-Wolves have also gone under the total in all 7 games this season versus teams that average 91.0 ppg or less with an average combined score of 179.3 ppg. Charlotte is the most anemic offensive team in the league in spite of their recent stretch of going over the total. The Bobcats have scored 96 points or less in 10 of their last 11 games. Minnesota has scored 100 points or less in 5 of their last 6 on the road. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-28-12 | Washington State v. Pittsburgh OVER 132 | Top | 53-57 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Pittsburgh has gone over the total in all 4 games in the CBI thus far. They have especially been dynamic in their 2 home games in this tourney averaging 81.5 ppg. and shooting a sizzling 53.6% from the field. Washington St. is averaging 70.6 ppg. and shooting a brisk 50.0% from the field over their last 5 games. Both of these teams are considered above average 3-point shooting teams. The Panthers have gone over the total in 17 of their 22 games under Jamie Dixon following 2 consecutive road games. The Cougars have gone over the total in 18 of 27 games under Ken Bone after 3 consecutive games in which they committed 14 turnovers or less in each contest. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-25-12 | Kansas v. North Carolina UNDER 143.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
What gets overlooked with both of these teams is their ability on the defensive end of the floor. Both clubs are amongst the best in the nation in both scoring and field goal percentage defense. North Carolina will be without point guard Brandon Marshall (801 ppg./9.8 apg.) for the 2nd straight game. Marshall has a double-double in 5 of his last 6 games. In games on the road and on a neutral court this season Kansas has gone under the total in 17 of those 19 contests. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection. selection.
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03-25-12 | Baylor v. Kentucky OVER 147.5 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
Kentucky has scored 73 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games. The Wildcats have also allowed 71 points or more in 4 of their last 5. Baylor has scored 68 points or more in their last 10. The Bears have also allowed 70 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games. Both of these teams like to play fast even if it means sacrificing something on the defensive end. Play on this game to go over the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-24-12 | Pittsburgh Penguines v. Ottawa Senators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
The Senators have gone through a goal scoring drought of late scoring just a combined 2 goals over their last 3 games. Having said that Ottawa can ill afford to get into a wide open game versus a potent offensive team like the Penguins. Ottawa has also gone under the total in their last 5 games versus an opponent that scored 5 goals or more in their previous game. This will have the feel of a playoff game tonight with the Senators battling for their playoff lives and the Penguins battling the Rangers for the #1 overall seed in the Eastern Conference. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-24-12 | Carolina Hurricanes v. Detroit Red Wings OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
The Red Wings have gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 home games. Carolina has gone over the total in their last 4 on the road and 9 of their last 11 away. This has all the earmarks of an entertaining high scoring affair. Play on this game to go over the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-24-12 | Florida v. Louisville UNDER 131 | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
The Cardinals have been playing lights out on the defensive end for the last 4 weeks now. Louisville has gone under the total in 10 of their last 11 games overall. The Cardinals haven't put up huge numbers offensively during that stretch and they haven't needed to with their suffocating defensive play. Florida has gone under the total in their first 3 NCAA Tournament games and have allowed 58-points or less in all 3. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-22-12 | Louisville v. Michigan State UNDER 125.5 | Top | 57-44 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
These two clubs are amongst the finest defensively in the nation. Louisville has gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games with an averaged combined score in those 10 contests at 116.8 ppg. The Cardinals have held 9 of their last 10 opponents to 62 points or less while scoring 61 points or less in 7 of their last 10. Michigan St. is #17 nationally in scoring defense at 59.4 ppg and #3 nationally in field goal percentage defense at 37.9%. This contest has all the makings of a game that's played in the fifties. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play.
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03-22-12 | Wisconsin v. Syracuse UNDER 120.5 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -108 | 49 h 20 m | Show |
The Syracuse zone will be very effective in holding down the scoring of the perimeter shooting Badgers. It will also make it easier for Wisconsin to hold the ball for the majority of the shot clock which is how they like to play, as opposed to facing man to man pressure defense. When Syracuse has lit the scoreboard up this season it has been mostly due in part to their defense creating turnovers and an outstanding transition game. They won't be as fortunate in this contest as plain and simple the Badgers don't turn the ball over often. Both of these teams are ranked amongst the nation's elite in defensive statistical categories. Syracuse has gone under the total in 12 of their last 15 games versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. Wisconsin has gone under the total in 7 of their last 9 non-conference games. The Badgers have also gone under the total in 9 of their 13 games this season when the total is 117.0 or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play.
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03-21-12 | Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 186 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Golden St. has gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 road games. The Warriors went from having one of the most dynamic backcourts in the NBA with Stephen Curry and Monta Ellis to a team that has few options offensively. Curry is sidelined indefinitely due to a nagging ankle injury, and Ellis was shockingly traded at the deadline to Milwaukee. New Orleans has gone under the total in 4 of its last 5 following a game they scored 100-points or more. The Hornets have also gone under the total in 20 of their last 29 as a home favorite. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-20-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 206 | Top | 116-87 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
The Bucks have gone over the total in their last 6, 11 of the last 12, and 24 of the last 30. In their last 6 games Milwaukee has scored 104-points or more in each. With the acquisition of Monta Ellis from Golden St. coupled with point guard Brandon Jennings the Bucks all of a sudden have one of the most dynamic backcourts in the NBA. Portland is a different team offensively in the Rose Garden averaging a robust 103.6 ppg and shooting 47.1% from the field. The Blazers haven't been interested in playing on the defensive end over their last 5 games allowing 102.4 ppg, 49.4% shooting from the field, and 42.7% from beyond the three point-line. Both of these teams are excellent free throw shooting teams with Milwaukee at #1 (79.6%) and Portland #3 (78.8%) in the NBA. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-18-12 | Norfolk State v. Florida OVER 144 | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Norfolk St. has jelled offensively at the right time of the year scoring 71 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games including 86 in their first round upset of Missouri. In their last 5 games alone the Spartans have shot 48.7% from the field and 40.0% from beyond the three-point line. In spite of struggling offensively a bit in their opening round win over Virginia the Gators still remain a dynamic offensive team. In Florida's defense their first round opponent Virginia has made a lot of teams look bad offensively this season. The gators are 29th in the nation in both scoring offense (76.1 pp.) and three-point shooting percentage (38.4%). Florida has gone over the total in 15 of their last 17 non-conference games and 9 of the last 11 following a SU win by 20-points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-18-12 | Creighton v. North Carolina OVER 160.5 | Top | 73-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
This contest features two of the nation's highest-scoring teams, so expect some fireworks here. The Bluejays lead the country in field goal percentage (50.7 percent), and also top all remaining NCAA Tournament teams in assists per game, with 17.8 dishes per contest. The squad averages 79.4 ppg, a mark good enough for ninth in the nation. The Tar Heels currently rank second in the nation in scoring, pouring in a whopping 81.8 ppg. UNC owns a 45.9 percent mark from the field as a team, and boasts three players with a double-digit scoring average.Styles make fights and both of these teams like the up tempo pace. Creighton is one of the best three-point shooting teams in the country. North Carolina excels in transition and is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the land with their huge front line. This total is as high as it is for a reason. Close to 70% of the public has opted for the under in this contest yet the number has gone up instead of down which would be the norm in that scenario. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-16-12 | Lehigh Mountain v. Duke OVER 149 | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Lehigh has shown it can play with the big boys in their non-conference slate. The Engineers put up 77-points on Iowa St., 81 on Michigan St., and 73 versus St. John's. Lehigh averages 75.6 ppg. which ranks 29th nationally. Lehigh finished the season by shooting 40.3% from beyond the three-point line over their last 5 contest. Lehigh is also #3 nationally in free-throw percentage at 77.6%. This is one of Duke's weakest defensive teams in recent memory. However, The Blue Devils are still #15 in scoring offense mostly due in part to a lethal three-point shooting game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 100* Top Play selection.
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03-16-12 | Alabama v. Creighton OVER 135.5 | Top | 57-58 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
Creighton is excellent at being able to get teams to play at the pace they want and that's up tempo basketball. The Blue Jays are an offensive machine that is an excellent three-point shooting team. The flip side of that equation is the fact they're also a terrible defensive team and will have their difficulties today versus a more athletic Crimson Tide team. Alabama is noted as a strong defensive club which enabled the books to open this number at 135.0 a very low number for a game involving Creighton. However, of money virtually being split right down the middle on this total it has risen all the way up to 138.0. The sharp money has gone to the over and I couldn't agree more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-15-12 | New Mexico State v. Indiana OVER 156 | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
We have two teams that love to light up the scoreboard in this contest. New Mexico St. is the #11 team nationally in scoring offense (78.5 ppg.) and Indiana is #19 (77.3 ppg.). The Hoosiers are also #2 nationally in 3-point field goal percentage (43.3%) and #14 in free-throw percentage (76.2%). New Mexico St. not only shoots well from the field at 47.2% they're also #5 nationally in offensive rebounding. The Aggies have scored 79-points or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Indiana has scored 75-points or more in 5 of their last 10 games, that's a major accomplishment considering the quality of defense that's played in the Big 10. Indiana has gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. New Mexico St. has gone over the total in 10 of their last 14 as an underdog of 6.5 or less. take me to the moon Alice! Play on this game to go over the total as a 100* Top Play selection.
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03-14-12 | Manhattan v. Albany NY OVER 145.5 | Top | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
The Albany Great Danes have a dynamic scorer Gerardo Suero. The 6-4 junior converted 46.4 percent from the floor this year, putting up 21.6 ppg (sixth nationally). Consistency was the key for Suero, who posted 20+ points on 21 occasions this year, en route to All-AEC First-Team honors. Manhattan has one of its own top offensive players in guard George Beamon who averages 18.6 points per game.
Albany led the America East in scoring (71.9), field goal percentage (.445), three-point field goal percentage (.359) and free- throw percentage (.754). In addition their offensive numbers are much better than their season average when playing at home. The Great Danes have shot a blistering 48.4% from beyond the three-point line over their last 5 games. Manhattan has seen 5 of their last 6 games go over the total and 4 of their last 5 true road games surpass the number as well. In their last 5 games the Jaspers have averaged 75.0 ppg. and shot a torrid 40.6% from beyond the three-point line. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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03-10-12 | Cal Santa Barbara v. Long Beach State UNDER 132.5 | Top | 64-77 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
Both games between these two clubs this season went way under the total with combined total scores of 119 and 128. The totals in those two contests were 141.0 and 141.5. The books have lowered the total for tonight's contest quite a bit in comparison to the two regular season encounters and rightfully so. Long Beach has gone under the total in their last 6 games overall with combined total scores of 128 or less in 5 of those 6 contests. UCSB has gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games. Both of these teams have been outstanding on the defensive end over each of their last 5 games. The last 8 games played in this series have all gone under the total. Play on under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-10-12 | Bethune-Cookman v. Norfolk State UNDER 129.5 | Top | 70-73 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
Bethune Cookman will be playing their 4th game in 5 days which is not conducive to being sharp offensively. Not in as much as running the offense efficiently but due to heavy legs will effect their shooting which has been sizzling throughout this tournament. Norfolk St. is a very good defensive team holding opponents to just 40% shooting from the field and 30% from beyond the three-point line. The total is very low considering these teams played a 75-72 game during the regular season. However, the books aren't that generous to give you this huge of an advantage. With a lot at stake and on a neutral floor look for this to be a low scoring close affair. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-07-12 | Atlanta Hawks v. Miami Heat UNDER 188.5 | Top | 86-89 | Win | 104 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks have gone under the total in 12 of their last 13 games as a road underdog. The Hawks have gone under the total in 14 of their 20 road games this season with an average combined score of 181.0 ppg. Both of these teams have gone under the total in 7 of their last 9 games overall. The last 10 times these teams have played each other in Miami 9 of those contests went under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-07-12 | Toronto Maple Leafs v. Pittsburgh Penguines UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
With Toronto's playoff hopes hanging by a thread, and with last night's atrocious defensive effort in a 5-4 home loss to Boston, look for the Leafs to play a conservative playoff style game tonight on the road. Toronto also knows the Penguins are one of the few teams in the NHL that it wouldn't be in their best interest to get into a wide open style game with if they hope to come out on top. The Penguins also have a lot to play for tonight as they hold a 2-point lead over Philadelphia for the all important 4th seed in the East that would assure them home ice in the first round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. Contrary to public wagering I look for a low scoring affair tonight. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection.
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03-02-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 197 | Top | 72-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
This selection defies all logic but go does the line movement. San Antonio has played on the low side of the total in the majority of their home games this season. The Bobcats are about as anemic as you can be offensively. However, this total opened at 194.5 and has grown to 197.0 in spite of 80% of the market share wagering on the under. If someone knows something I don't know as it pertains to this total that's fine with me. In using the contrary approach in this one play on this contest to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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03-01-12 | Bradley v. Drake UNDER 126.5 | Top | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Bradley boasts the MVC's worst offense, as it ranks last in both scoring (61.5 ppg) and field goal percentage (.402). The shooting attack has been even worse of late, as the Braves have scored less than that average each time out during their current five-game losing streak (52.0 ppg). Taylor Brown had been one of the lone bright spots for the club (14.8 ppg, 6.4 rpg), until he went down with a torn ligament in his right big toe on February 15. Bradley has gone under the total in their last 7 games and 10 of the last 11.
Drake has also had a tendency to play on the lost side in the last month go under the total in 6 of their last 8 contests. The Bulldogs have been strong defensively over the last 5 games holding opponents to just 64.8 ppg., 39.3% shooting from the field, and a paltry 20.0% from beyond the three-point arc. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* Top Play selection. |
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02-29-12 | Chicago Bulls v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 192.5 | 96-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
There is no analysis on this selection.
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02-29-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks OVER 195 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
There is no analysis on this selection.
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02-29-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Detroit Pistons OVER 189 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
There is no analysis on this selection.
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02-28-12 | Florida v. Vanderbilt UNDER 139.5 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
You would think that with these two teams ability to shoot the three-point shot that it would be awfully difficult to wager on the under in this contest. However it's quite the contrary for me. The money market share on this contest shows 69% of the money being wagered on the over yet the total has dropped to 139.5 from its opener of 142.5. The sharp money including mine is going against the general public. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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02-28-12 | Mississippi v. Arkansas OVER 142.5 | Top | 77-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
The Ole Miss Rebels have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 on the road. The Razorbacks have gone over the total in their last 4 at home. The money market share on the total shows that 67% of the money in this contest has gone the way of the under. In spite of that the total has risen to 143.0 from its opening number of 141.0. If you want to be a sharp player then wager on this game to go over the total.
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02-27-12 | Kansas v. Oklahoma State UNDER 134.5 | Top | 70-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The Jayhawks have gone under the total in all 13 road games this season with an average combined total score of 127.1 ppg. Kansas is averaging 8-points less a game on the road than they are at home. Kansas is allowing just 59.0 ppg. on the road this season and is 7th in the nation in overall field goal percentage defense at 38.1%. Oklahoma St. has gone under the total in 13 of their last 17 home games, including 8 of 12 this season with a combined total score of 131.9 ppg. In spite of 67% of the market share wagering on the over in this contest this total has gone from it's opener of 137.0 to its current number of 134.5 at the time of this writing. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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02-26-12 | Iowa v. Illinois OVER 139 | Top | 54-65 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Illinois has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 games. They have been absolutely horrible defensively over their last 5 allowing 76.8 ppg., 53.0% shooting from the field, and an atrocious 49.4% from beyond the three-point line. Iowa has gone over the total in 8 of their 10 road games this season with an average combined total score of 148.5 ppg. The Hawkeyes have shot a sizzling 44.4% from beyond the 3-point line over their last 5 contests. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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02-26-12 | Indiana v. Minnesota UNDER 137 | Top | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
Although these two teams played a high scoring game in Bloomington in their first meeting of the season don't look for anything close to resembling that today. Indiana has gone under the total in their last 4 road games. Minnesota's home games this season have averaged a combined score of just 127.8 ppg. Play on this game to go under the total.
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02-23-12 | Orlando Magic v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 177 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
These two teams have seen their last 6 meetings go under the total with all 6 of those totals closing at 182.5 or less. The Hawks have been anemic offensively of late scoring just 89 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games. Their cause won't be helped this evening with all-star Joe Johnson (17.7 ppg.) out of the lineup with a knee injury. Atlanta has gone under the total in their last 5 home games when coming off a road trip of 7 days or more. Atlanta has gone under the total in 21 of their last 27 versus a team with a winning record, and 40 of their last 58 versus a division opponent.
Orlando has allowed 91-points or less in their last 6 games. The Magic have gone under the total in 18 of the last 21 versus a team with a winning record, and 40 of the last 55 versus a division opponent. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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02-22-12 | West Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 125.5 | Top | 44-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
I look for this game to be a hard fought and closely contested contest where points will be at a premium. The first time these two teams met this season in Morgantown on 2/8 the final was 55-51 and look for more of the same tonight. The Irish have seen 14 of their 21 games this season go under the total when there was a total posted. Notre Dame has gone under the total in their last 13 games versus teams with a better than .500 winning percentage. Ironically West Virginia has gone under the total an identical 13 times in a row versus opponents with a better than .500 winning percentage. Even more spookier is the fact that the last 13 times these two clubs have met every one of those contests have gone under the total. Take the Under.
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02-20-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Houston Rockets UNDER 187 | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
The Rockets have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6, 9 of the last 11, and 11 of the last 14. Houston has also gone under the total in their last 5 games when playing with no rest and 10 of the last 14 as a home favorite. Memphis has gone under the total in 11 of their 15 road games this season with an average total combined score of 180.2 ppg. The Grizzlies have gone under is 10 of their last 13 versus a conference opponent. In spite of the general public pounding the over in this contest (67% of the market share) the total has come down from it's opener of 189.0 down to 187.0 at the time of this writing. The sharps including myself are on the under tonight!
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02-16-12 | New Jersey Nets v. Indiana Pacers OVER 193.5 | Top | 88-93 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
These two clubs have met twice already this season and both games easily went over the total. The Nets have gone over the total in 7 of their last 9 games and allowed 99-points or more in 8 of those 9. New Jersey has gone over the total in 8 of the last 11 on the road, and in 8 straight versus teams from the Central Division. Indiana has allowed 97-points or more in their last 6 games. The Pacers have gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 as a home favorite and 19 of their last 24 versus teams with a less than .500 winning percentage. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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02-11-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. New Jersey Nets OVER 194 | Top | 103-89 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
The Spurs have gone over the total in 15 of their 20 games the last 2 seasons versus team with a field goal percentage defense of 46% or more on the season. The Spurs have gone over the total in 16 of their last 21 on the road versus teams that allow 99 or more ppg. The average combined score in those 20 games was 210.5 ppg. New Jersey has gone over the total in 15 of their 20 home games over the last 3 seasons following a loss by 15 points or more. The average combined score in those 20 games was 198.7 ppg. The Nets have also gone over the total in 10 of 12 games this seasons following 2 or more losses in a row. The Nets have gone over the total in 15 of their 20 games this season when playing their 6th game or more in 10 days. New Jersey has gone over the total in a 6 of their last 7 overall allowing 99 points or more in 6 of the 7. In their last 8 games the Nets have allowed 5 of those opponents to shoot 51% or more for the game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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02-09-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Denver Nuggets OVER 211.5 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
These two teams have seen 7 of their last 8 meetings all go over the total. There's nothing that leads me to believe that anything will change in this contest and I fully expect a high scoring entertaining affair. The Warriors have gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 when installed as an underdog. The Warriors have also gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 overall and has shot the three-ball at a blistering pace over that stretch. Denver has hit a bit of an offensive slump of late but look for them to get back in the groove at home tonight versus the perfect opponent to do so against. Play on this game to go over the total as a 25* top Play selection.
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02-09-12 | Mississippi v. Mississippi State OVER 136 | Top | 60-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
These two teams went over the total in their first meeting in Oxford with the Mississippi winning 75-68. Since that meeting both of these teams have shown improvement on the offensive end especially in the way of their three-point shooting. In the last 5 games the Rebels have shot a sizzling 42.1% from beyond the arc while the Bulldogs have been even better in that same span at 44.9%. Mississippi has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 contest while State has done the same in 4 of the last 5 with an average combined score of 150.0 per game. Play on this game to go over the total as my SEC 100* Total of the Year!
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02-06-12 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 196 | Top | 111-107 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Portland has gone under the total in 9 of their last 12 games. A large part of the contributing factors that have produced those results is the fact the Blazers have held 11 of their last 12 opponents to 97 points or less. Portland has gone under the total in 8 of their 9 games this season versus teams that average 20 assists or less per game with an average combined score of 183.6 ppg. One of the more underrated parts of Oklahoma City's impressive start to the season has been their play on the defensive end of the floor. As a matter of fact the Thunder have held 5 of their last 10 opponents to 39% or less shooting from the floor.
Any team (Portland) with a total of between 190.-199.5, they shoot between 43.5-45.5% from the floor on the season, they attempted 10 or more less free throws than their opponent in their last two games, and is facing an opponent with a field goal percentage defense of between 41.5-43.5 on the season has seen 22 of those 26 games (84.6%) go under the total since 1996. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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02-05-12 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots UNDER 54 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Giants have seen 5 of their last 6 games go under the total. The lone over came in the playoff game at Green Bay in a 37-20 win surpassing the total of 54.0. However, it should be noted that both of Green Bay's touchdown drives in that contest were aided by questionable 3rd down defensive penalties on the Giants. Those two penalties occurred with the Packers floundering in their own territory and resulted in 1st downs after the Giants had apparent stops that would've forced punts on both occasions. In their three playoff wins leading up to the Super Bowl the Giants have allowed just 13.0 ppg. In addition the Giants have recorded 9 sacks and created 6 turnovers in their three playoff wins.
The much maligned Patriots defense ranked next to last in total defense in the NFL during the regular season. It should also be pointed out that New England was in the middle of the pack (15th) in scoring defense at 21.4 ppg. They've covered up a lot of weaknesses on that side of the ball with a bend but don't break mentality. The Patriots pass rush has created 8 sacks in their two playoff wins. The last but not least factor in my strong opinion on the total is these two head coaches. Both Bill Belichek and Tom Coughlin are masters of when given ample time to prepare taking the opposing offenses strengths away while forcing them to operate out of their comfort zones. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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02-03-12 | Cleveland State v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 116 | Top | 65-47 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Cleveland St. has gone over the total in 10 of its last 11 lined games. The Vikings have gone over the total in 9 of their last 10 from game 15 of the season or beyond, versus teams that average 64 or less ppg. on the season with an average total score of 135.8 ppg.
Despite its offensive woes Loyola-Chicago's guard play has improved as of late as the backcourt tandem of Jordan Hicks and Joe Crisman has combined for 22.8 ppg on 52 percent shooting from the field in their last four outings. The Ramblers defensive numbers are a bit skewed as a result of their very soft non-conference schedule. They've allowed 63 points or more in 7 of their last 9 conference games which takes on significant importance considering how low the total is. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection. |
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02-02-12 | Utah Jazz v. Golden State Warriors OVER 196 | Top | 101-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
The Jazz have scored 96 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games. Utah has not been good defensively over the last 5 games allowing 103.2 ppg. The Warriors have gone over the total in 10 of their last 14, scored 99 points or more in 7 of their last 10, and allowed 100 points or more in 5 of the last 10. A lot of early sharp money has gone on the over in this contest including mine. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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01-24-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat OVER 204 | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
The Cavaliers have gone over the total in their last 6 games much do in part to their inept play on the defensive end. In their last 3 games alone Cleveland is allowing 113.3 ppg., 51% shooting from the floor, and 50% from beyond the three-point line. That's not good news considering they will be facing a Miami team that's scored 100 points or more in 11 of their 16 games this season. In the last 5 games the Heat is averaging 103.4 ppg, shooting 48.6% from the field, and a sizzling 47.7% from beyond the three-point line. Miami has gone over the total in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 12.5 or more all of which have taken place over the last 2 seasons. It's not like the Cavs have been a total bust offensively as they've scored 92 points or more in 6 of the last 7 with the only games they failed to do so was versus Chicago who's #1 in the NBA in scoring defense. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* top Play selection.
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01-23-12 | New Jersey Nets v. Chicago Bulls OVER 186.5 | Top | 95-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Even without Derek Rose the Bulls have gone over the total in their last 4 games. Tonight Rose will be back in the lineup which is very good news when it applies to this selection. Chicago shot 47% or better from the field also allowed opponents to shoot 47% or better in 3 of those last 4 games. The Nets have gone over the total in 7 of their last 10 games and have allowed 100 points or more in 7 of their last 9. New Jersey has also managed to scored 97 points or more in 6 of their last 10. The Nets are hitting a very good 39% from beyond the three-point line on the road this season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* selection.
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01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
The Giants' pass rush has come alive during this current four-game win streak with 17 sacks, including four of Aaron Rodgers last Sunday. The emergence of second-year Pro Bowler Jason Pierre-Paul, return of Osi Umenyiora for the Dallas game and the improved health of Justin Tuck have boosted one of the league's most fearsome units. unlike New Orleans the Giants have been able to get to the quarterback by just rushing four and keeping seven in coverage. San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith isn't going to find those favorable man on man situations that he encountered a week ago.
The 49ers, meanwhile, had the league's top rushing defense in allowing 77.3 yards per game as well as a pass rush led by rookie Aldon Smith's 14.0 sacks. San Francisco earned a reputation for delivering bone-crushing hits while tying for the league lead in creating 38 takeaways. San Francisco was also #4 in total defense and #2 in scoring defense in the NFL during the regular season. Since 1983 any road team coming off an straight up win by 14 points or more as an underdog, versus an opponent coming off a home straight up win, and the total is between 35.5-42.0 has seen 24 of those 29 (82.8%) games go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 100* Top Play selection. |
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01-21-12 | Colorado St v. Wyoming OVER 126.5 | Top | 51-70 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
We catch a very good number with the total here with the defensive numbers of Wyoming being the main reason why. However those defensive numbers are skewed because they are more indicative of the Cowboys deliberate style on offense more than tenacious play on the defensive end of the floor. In fact the Cowboys have gone over the total in their last 5 games while shooting 50.4% from the field, 41.3% from beyond the three-point line, and averaged 71.0 ppg over that span. The Colorado St. Rams are #4 nationally in three-point shooting at 43.7% and #9 in field goal percentage at 49.7%. In their last 5 games the Rams are red-hot offensively scoring 81.2 ppg. and shooting a sizzling 55.6% from the field. Both of these clubs are excellent free throw shooting teams as well with Colorado St. ranking #11 nationally and Wyoming #9 in that category. I look for the Rams to take chances on defense and speed the tempo up in the game to the pace they love to play it. In turn look for the Cowboys to get several easy baskets and wide open looks through the course of the game as a result. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play selection.
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01-15-12 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets OVER 206 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The Nuggets have been red-hot over the last 10 days shooting 55% or better from the field in 4 of their last 6 games. Denver has also allowed the opposition to shoot 51% or better in 3 of their last 4. The Nuggets have scored 117 points or more in 3 of their last 4. Utah has shot a very good 50% or better from the field in 3 of their last 4. The Jazz have gone over the total in 28 of their last 38 games versus a division opponent. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Top Play.
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