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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-16-13 | Michigan State v. Nebraska OVER 41 | 41-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Any team with a total of 42.0 or less that went under the total by 21-points or more in their previous game and has a winning record on the season, versus an opponent who also has a winning record has seen 35 of those 46-games (76.1%) since the beginning of the 1992 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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11-15-13 | Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat UNDER 206.5 | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
Any team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that has an offensive field goal percentage of 46% or better on the season, and their rebounds per game differential is -3 or worse has seen 65 of those 92-games (70.7%) go under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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11-13-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 209 | 103-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Any road team with a total of 200.0 or more that's playing their 2nd game in 5-days, and they're coming off a home win by 3-points or less has seen 22 of the 25-games (88%) go under the total since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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11-13-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 201 | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Any team with a total of 200.0 or more that comes off 2 or more ATS wins in a row, versus an opponent coming off 6 or more ATS wins in a row has seen 29 of those 36-games (80.6%) under the total since the beginning of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go under the number as a 5* selection.
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11-05-13 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 213.5 | 104-123 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Lakers have seen 19 of their 26-games go under the total in the last 3 seasons versus opponents that averages 103 points or more per game. The combined average total score in those 26-games is 196.0. The Dallas Mavericks have seen 17 of their 23-games go under when the total is 210.0 or more with Rick Carlisle as their head coach.
Any road team with a total of 200.0 or more coming off a home win by 3-points or less has seen 54 of those 69 games (78.3%) go under the total since the start of the 2009-2010 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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10-24-13 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 39.5 | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
The Panthers have gone over the total in their last 5 and 9 of their last 10-games versus a division opponent. Carolina has also gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 road games when the total is 44.5 or less. Panthers quarterback Cam Newton has been extremely efficient in the passing game the past two games. Newton has gone 35-43 (81.4%) for 446 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Tampa Bay has gone over the total in their last 2-games with much having to do with the play of rookie quarterback Mike Glennon. In the last 2-games Glennon has thrown for 529 yards and 4 touchdowns. Glennon has developed some very good chemistry with wide receiver Vincent Jackson. In the last 2-games Jackson has 19 receptions for 252 yards and 4 touchdowns. With starting running back Doug Martin out for the year with a shoulder injury looks for the passing game to be more of an emphasis this week. Tampa Bay has gone over the total in 15 of their last 21-games after allowing 250 or more yards passing in their previous game. Any home team with a total of 43.0 or less that's coming off 6 or more losses in a row and failed to cover their previous game by 17.0 or less, they allowed 15-points or more in that previous game, versus an opponent coming off 2 or more wins in a row that last of which they allowed 6 or more points has seen all 21 of those games go over the total since the start of the 1983 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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10-10-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
The Tigers starter Jason Verlnder has been lights out in his last 3 starts allowing 0 earned runs and posting an almost 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In addition Verlander has dominated Oakland in his last 8 starts posting a microscopic 0.98 ERA in those outings including a 0.49 ERA in the last 5 at Oakland. The Tigers have gone under the total in 20 of 26 road games the last 2 seasons when the total is 7.0 or less. The Oakland starter Sonny Gray was brilliant in Game 2 of this series pitching 8 scoreless innings while allowing just 4 hits and struck out 9. In 7 home starts this season Gray has posted an excellent 1.66 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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10-06-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
This total is this low for a reason. The general public has certainly taken the bait and has been hammering the over. The Pirates Francisco Liriano is 10-2 in his home team starts with an outstanding 1.45 ERA. Liriano has been untouchable in 3 starts versus the Cardinals this season posting a microscopic 0.75 ERA in those outings. The Cardinals starter Joe Kelly has been lights out in 7 road starts this season posting a terrific 1.08 ERA. Kelly has been rock solid in 3 starts versus the Pirates in 2013 posting an excellent 1.00 ERA in those outings. This one has all the ear marks of an old fashioned low scoring pitcher's duel. In this case it will hold true to form. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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10-03-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 6.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh starter A.J. Burnett has struggled mightily in 3 starts at Busch Stadium this season posting a monster 11.48 ERA. Burnett has seen 12 of 15 road starts go over the total in the last 3 seasons versus an opponent with a winning record. Since the start of the 2012 season the Cardinals starter has been less than dominant when facing the Pirates. Despite a strong outing in his most recent start versus Pittsburgh during the above mentioned time span, Wainwright has posted a lofty 4.91 ERA, and allowed 7 home runs in 33.0 innings of work. These two clubs have seen 6 of their 8 meetings at Busch Stadium go over the total this season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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10-01-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
This one has all the ear marks of a good old fashioned low scoring pitcher's duel. The Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano has been terrific in 11 home starts this season posting an excellent 1.47 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. He's allowed just 2 home runs in 73 2/3 innings pitched at PNC Park. Included in those 11 home starts were two absolute gems versus the Reds. The Reds starter Johnny Cueto has been lights out in his 2 starts since returning from the disabled list. Cueto has dominated the Pirates throughout his career. In his last 13 starts versus Pittsburgh Cueto has posted a terrific 1.43 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. Excluding pushes Cueto has seen 18 of 24 road starts the last 2 seasons go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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09-12-13 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots UNDER 44 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 47 m | Show | |
When you consider the fact that 10 of the 16 games went over the total in the opening week of the season, and 10 of those 16 games closed at 45.0 or more, then this would be considered to be a low total by the precedent that's been set. When I examined the tape on both of these clubs opening games there was a few things that really stood out. The Patriots don't have a wide receiver on their roster that can stretch the field vertically. Newley acquired Danny Amendola who had 10 receptions for 104 yards in the season opener won't play this week due to an injured groin. The tight end position is no longer a threat with Araon Hernandez departed and Rob Gronkowski still sidelined with an injury. Shane Vereen who accounted for a combined 159 yards rushing and receiving last week is out with a broken wrist. On the other hand the Patriots defense looks to be rock solid as they held Buffalo to just 286 yards of total offense.
The Jets were about as fortunate as a team can be to escape with a 18-17 win in their opener versus Tampa Bay. They can thank their defense for a superlative effort to keep them in the game holding Tamap to a mere 240 yards of total offense. On offense the Jets had a less than impressive 304 yards of total offense. Rookie quarterback Geno Smith had decent numbers but he's far from a polished NFL quarterback, and will be facing a much tougher defensive team this week. Similar to New England the Jets lack a deep threat at the wide receiver position. Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 who comes off a straight up underdog win, they're playing in game 14 or less of the season, versus an opponent that comes off a straight up win but didn't cover the numbers as a favorite has seen 43 of those 52 games go under the total since the start of the 1984 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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09-11-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The St. Louis starter Lance Lynn has been in horrible form over his last 5 starts posting a large 7.57 ERA and 2.01 WHIP. Lynn has seen both of his starts this season versus the Brewers go over the total and he was a big contributor with his 6.55 ERA in addition to a large 2.00 WHIP. In 4 starts versus the Cardinals in 2013 Marco Estrada has been hammered in posting an 8.14 ERA and 1.86 WHIP. This one has all the ear marks of a good old fashioned slugfest. Play on over the total as a 5* selection.
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09-11-13 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Both of these starting pitchers has had a very good history when facing tonight's opponents. The Yankees starter Any Pettite has pitched brilliantly is his last 4 starts posting an outstanding 1.71 ERA in the process. The Orioles Scott Feldman has been lights out in his last 3 starts with a microscopic 0.86 ERA. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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08-29-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 9 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Baltimore starter Chris Tillman has seen his last 3 starts this season versus the Red Sox go under the total while posting an excellent 0.98 ERA. In his last 4 starts overall Tillman has displayed very good form in posting a 2.57 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP. The Orioles enter tonight hitting just .223 as a team over their last 7 games.
The Boston starter John Lester has displayed excellent form over his last 4 starts posting a terrific 1.24 ERA in those outings. Lester has an outstanding resume when facing the Orioles going 15-2 with a 2.72 ERA. Any road team with a total of 9.0 or 9.5 that averages turning 0.8 or less double plays per game and has gone 5 games in a row leaving 7 men or less on base has seen 35 of those 49 games (71.4%) go under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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08-24-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
Boston (Lester) @ LA Dodgers (Ryu) 4:05 ET
Game # 977-978 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) The Boston starter John Lester is in terrific form in his last 3 starts posting an excellent 1.25 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Lester has seen 25 of his 34 career starts go under the total when he's installed as a money line underdog of +100 to +150. In the last 3 seasons the Boston southpaw has seen 10 of 11 starts go under the total when he's facing an opponent that draws 3 or less walks per game. The Red Sox have gone under the total in 23 of their 34 day games this season excluding pushes. The Dodgers starter Ryu has been superb in his last 5 starts posting a stellar 1.87 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In 11 home team starts this season Ryu has a stellar 1.78 ERA. Since game 82 this season the Dodgers have gone under the total in 29 of 44 games excluding pushes. Today's home plate umpire will be Dan Iassogna. Iassogna has seen 17 of his 25 games (68%) behind the dish this season go under the total. In the last 3 seasons Iassogna has seen 57 of 92 (62%) go under that total in that identical role. Any home team with a total of 7.0 to 8.5 that's allowed 1 run or less in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that's allowed 3 runs or less in each of their last 3 games has seen 36 of those 49 games (75%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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08-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions OVER 46 | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
This will be a dress rehearsal for both of these teams with starters seeing extended playing time. This is an unusually high total for a preseason game and for good reason. As a matter of fact that matches the highest total of any preseason contest since 1990. It's happened just 2 other times over the last 24 campaigns with both coming in 2005 and those games went over the number. Detroit has gone over the total in their last 7 preseason games as a home favorite with an average combined score of 50.3 points per game. The Patriots have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 preseason games as an underdog with an averaged combined 47.7 points per game scored.
Any home favorite of 5.0 or less playing in game 3 of the preseason with a total of 36.5 or more, and they scored 7 points or less in their previous game has seen 10 of those 12 games go over the total. There were 50 points or more scored in 8 of those 12 contests. Those 12 games averaged a combined 48.0 points per game scored. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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08-17-13 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
NY Yankees @ Boston 4:05 ET
Game # 915-916 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The Yankees starter Hideki Kuroda has been absolutely and positively lights out in his last 7 starts. In those 7 outings Kuroda has posted a microscopic 0.94 ERA in addition to a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Excluding any pushes Kuroda has seen 18 of his last 20 starts go under the total this season. The Boston starter John Lackey has seen just 1 of his 8 home starts go over the total this season while posting a stellar 2.15 ERA in the process. In those 8 outings Lackey has an excellent 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lackey has seen all 7 of his starts during the day in 2013 go under the total. Any American League team with a total of 8.5 to 10.0 that's hitting .265 or less as a team on the season, and they're hitting .33 or better in their last 3 games has seen 51 of those 68 games (75%) fo under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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08-13-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
The Angels starter Jason Vargas has struggled mightily in 3 career starts at Yankee Stadium posting a very large 9.42 ERA. Needless to say all 3 of those outings all went over the total. This will be Vargas' first start since going on the disabled list with a blood clot after his start on June 17th. Vargas has seen 11 of his 13 starts go over the total the last 2 seasons when he's installed as a money line underdog of +125 to +175. The average combined runs in those 13 starts were a whopping 11.9 per game. The Yankees starter C.C. Sabathia seems to be indicating that he's on the down side of his career based on his performance in recent starts. The Yankees southpaw has seen all of his last 4 starts go over the total while he posted a miserable 8.61 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. Sabathia has seen 17 of his 24 starts go over the total in the last 2 seasons when he's working on 5 or 6 days of rest.
Any team with a total of 8.5 to 10.0 that has an on-base-percentage of .260 or less over their last 3 games, and averages 4.2 or less runs per game on the season, versus an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 or less has seen 53 of those 75 games (70.7%) go over the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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08-08-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 37 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Any NFL preseason home team with a total of 37.0 or more has seen 19 of those 22 games (83.4%) go under the total since the start of the 2003 year. If they are a favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less in that identical situation the number improves to all 15 of those contests going under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 3* selection.
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08-07-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay starter Archer has seen his last 5 starts all go under the total while compiling an excellent 1.18 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in the process. The Raus have seen their last 7 games all go under the total. When the Rays have less than 10 hits in their previous game they've gone under the total in all 8 of those games this season. The Arizona starter Randall Delgado enters tonight in very good form ver his last 3 starts posting a 1.74ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Delgado has seen 19 of his 26 starts go under in the last 3 seasons when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Diamondbacks have gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 overall and 34 of 53 times at home this season excluding pushes. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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08-06-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 105 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Toronto starter Josh Johnson has had a nightmare of a season. Johnson has seen his last 4 starts all go over the total while enduring a monster 14.06 ERA and 2.31 WHIP in the process. In spite of last night's 3-1 low scoring affair Toronto has gone over the total in 11 of their 14 road games this season versus opponents with a losing record. There's no denying that Felix Hernandez has been absolutely dominating in recent starts on top of being in the midst of an excellent season. However, many would be shocked to know the seemingly invincible "King Felix" has an atrocious 13.03 ERA and 2.79 WHIP in 2 career home starts versus the Blue Jays. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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08-06-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
The Detroit starter Justin Verlander has been nowhere near as dominating this season as he's been in past seasons. Verlander has seen his last 3 starts all go over the total while displaying poor form in the process. In those 3 outings Verlander has posted a lofty 6.62 ERA and a large 1.94 WHIP. Veralnder has seen all 3 of his starts versus the Indians go over the total this season while posting an unimpressive 5.82 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. As a matter of fact Verlander has seen 15 of 21 starts go over this season when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Cleveland starter Justin Masterson has had a terrific season thus far. However he's struggled mightily in 2 starts versus the Tigers with a 7.71 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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08-05-13 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
posting a lofty 6.48 ERA and allowing 5 home runs in just 22 1/3 innings. In 5 starts on the road this season Perez has had a very difficult time as evidenced by his 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Perez has allowed 6 of the 7 home runs he's given up this season on the road all in just 27.0 innings of work. In spite of a strong performance in his last outing which came ironically versus Texas the Angels starter Jerome Williams has been extremely shaky in his last 6 starts. In those 6 outings Williams has posted a monster 9.12 ERA and 2.14 WHIP while allowing 7 home runs in 25 1/3 innings.
Any American League road team with a total of 8.0 to 8.5 that has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less and a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.50 to 1.60 on the season has seen 33 of those 45 games (73.3%) go over the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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08-04-13 | Washington Nationals v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee starter Kyle Lohse has been magnificent in his last 11 starts posting a stellar 2.13 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lohse has seen just 5 of his 23 starts this season go under the total. The Washington starter Taylor Jordan has seen all 3 of his road starts this season go under the total while posting a very respectable 3.37 ERA. Jordan has been even better in his 4 road team starts with a 2.45 ERA and a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Nationals have gone under the total in 22 of their 34 games this season as an underdog of +100 or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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08-02-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
The San Francisco starter Madison Bumgarner has seen his last 8 starts all go under the total while posting an excellent 1.58 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in the process. He doesn't figure to get much run supports from a Giants club which has scored 3 runs or less in 9 of their last 11 games. The Tampa Bay starter Archer has seen his last 4 starts go under the total while posting a microscopic 0.29 ERA in doing so. Included in those 4 starts were 2 complete game shutouts. Archer has seen all 5 of his home starts go under the total this year with much due in part to a sparkling 1.74 ERA and 0.90 WHIP from the Rays right-hander.
Any team with a total of 7.0 or less that's hitting .265 or less as a team on the season and has a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less, and they're facing an opponent with a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less has seen 110 of those 162 games (67.9%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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07-31-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Both of these starting pitchers enter tonight in bad form. The Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie has posted a lofty 5.21 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Guthrie has seen 20 of his 28 career team starts go over the total when he's working on 5 or 6 days rest. The Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has been terrible over his last 5 starts as evidenced by his large 7.50 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. The Twins have gone over the total in 14 of their 19 home games this season versus an American League opponent with an on-base-percentage of .320 or less on the year. In addition the wind will be blowing out to left center at 8 to 14 miles per hour.
Any home team with a total of 8.0 or 8.5 that's averaging 4.2 runs or less per game and has an on-base-percentage of .310 or less in their last 20 contests, versus an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70 has seen 43 of those 56 games (76.8%) go over the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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07-29-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
All the starts align in a row for this totals selection tonight. The Red Sox have gone under the total in 10 of their last 12 while the Rays have done the same in 14 of their last 18. Both of these pitchers enter tonight in very good form over each of their last 3 starts. The Rays David Price has seen his last 4 starts at Fenway Park all go under the total while he posted an excellent 1.45 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in the process. The Boston starter Felix Dubront has seen his last 3 starts versus the Rays go under the total with much having to do with him posting a stellar 1.98 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in those outings. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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07-26-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
The Brewers enter this series having gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 and 13 of their last 15 games. The Milwaukee starter tonight Wily Peralta is in excellent form to say the least off his last 4 starts as evidenced by him posting a microscopic 0.31 ERA in those outings. The Rockies have gone under the total in their last 5, 10 of the last 11, 13 of the last 15, and 20 of their last 25 games. Colorado will likely be without the services of their most potent hitter tonight Carlos Gomez (26 HRS/67 RBIS) who aggravated a sprained right middle finger in yesterday's 5-3 loss versus the Marlins. The Colorado starter Tyler Chatwood has seen his last 3 starts all go under the total while compiling an excellent 1.74 ERA in those outings. That's no fluke for Chatwood since 8 of his last 10 starts have gone under the total while he posted a 2.45 ERA in the process. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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07-23-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Minnesota starter Kyle Gibson is in terrible form off his last 3 starts posting a large 7.72 ERA, a 1.78 WHIP, and walked 9 while striking out just 6. The Angels starter Tommy Hanson hasn't started a game since 6/20/13. Before going on the DL Hanson displayed very shaky form with a 7.43 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hanson has seen just 1 of his 6 home starts go under the total this season with much having to do starts this season with much having to do with his lofty 6.16 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.
Any road team with a total of 8.0 or 8.5 that has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 or less on the season, and they're facing an American League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.50 to 1.60 on the year has seen 31 of those 43 games (72.1%) go over the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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07-20-13 | San Diego Padres v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The San Diego starter Edinson Volquez has 4 starts under his belt versus the Cardinals since 7/5/2011. Volquez has been less than impressive in those 4 outings posting a lofty 6.35 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. Volquez has also been rough up in his previous 2 starts versus the Giants and the Cubs allowing 12 earned runs in just 10 1/3 innings. The Padres have gone over the total in their last 4 games with an average combined 11.5 runs scored. The Cardinals have gone over the total in their last 3 games with an average combined total of 13.7 runs scored. The Cardinals starter Lance Lyn is in shaky form over his last 4 starts posting a lofty 5.76 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. The Cardinals are hitting a robust .324 as a team over their last 7 games. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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07-20-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Seatlle (Iwakuma) @ Houston (Bedard) 7:10 ET
Game # 923-924 Play On: Over 8.0 (10*) The Seattle starter Iwakuma has seen 5 of his last 6 starts go over the total while posting a lofty 6.25 ERA. Iwakuma has allowed a whopping 11 home runs in those 6 outings in 36.0 innings. The Mariners have scored 6 runs or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Seattle has gone over the total in 12 of their 16 games after winning 2 or more games in a row with an average of 10.3 runs scored. The Houston starter Erik Bedard is in shaky form over his last 3 starts posting a lofty 5.40 ERA and a large 1.92 WHIP. The Astros have gone over the total in 13 of their 18 games this season after losing 8 or more of their last 10 games with an average of 10.9 runs scored. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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07-20-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
The Dodgers starter Zach Greinke has been superb over his last 2 starts. In those 2 outings Greinke didn't allow any earned runs in 16.0 innings while giving up just 4 hits and walked just 3. The Dodgers have gone under the total in their last 5 and 9 of their last 10. The Nationals have gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 games. The Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts posting a 1.74 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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07-19-13 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This will be Jered Weaver
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07-12-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Oakland starter Parker has 2 career starts versus the Red Sox with both coming last season in which he posted an excellent 1.35 ERA. Parker has seen his last 5 starts overall go under the total while posting a very impressive 2.25 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, and a 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Oakland has gone over the total in just 1 of their last 8 games. The Boston starter John Lackey has seen just 2 of his 15 starts go over the total this season while posting an excellent 2.80 ERA in addition to having a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lackey has seen his last 7 starts go under the total versus opponents who average 4.7 or less runs per game.
Any home team that |
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07-12-13 | Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9 | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Detroit starter Doug Fister enters tonight in terrible form off his last 4 starts posting a large 7.66 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. In those 4 outings Fister also allowed 5 home runs in just 22 1/3 innings. Fister has seen his last 2 starts versus Texas both go over the total with most of that attributed to his monster 13.00 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in those outings. Excluding pushed the Tigers have gone over the total in 28 of 44 home games this season while hitting a very good .302 as a team in the process. Texas enters this series having scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Texas starter Grimm is in horrible form over his last 7 starts with a very poor 9.30 ERA, a 1.79 WHIP, and allowed a whopping 10 home runs in just 33.0 innings. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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07-12-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
These two clubs have seen 31 of their 44 meetings over the last 3 seasons go over the total. The Cleveland starter Kluber has seen all 3 of his career starts versus the Royals go over the total posting a lofty 6.48 ERA in the process. The Kansas City starter Bruce Chen has seen his last 3 starts versus the Indians go over the total and posted a terrible 7.90 ERA in addition to a 1.90 WHIP in those outings.
Any team with a total of 8.0 or 8.5 that averages 4.2 or less runs per game while having an on-base-percentage of .320 or less in their last 20 games, and is facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20-4.70 has seen 77 of those 106 games (72.6%) go over the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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07-08-13 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
The Nationals bats have been booming over their last 4 games averaging 8.0 runs per game. All 4 of those games have gone over the total with an average combined run total of 13.3 runs. The Washington starter Dan Haren is in awful form over his last 4 starts posting a large 9.82 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. In his 2 starts versus the Phillies this season haren has been rocked for 7 earned runs in just 12.0 innings of work. Washington has gone over the total this season in 8 of their 9 games when the total is 8.5 to 10.0.
The Phillies starter John Lannan has seen his last 3 starts go over the total while posting a lofty 4.76 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. The Phillies have gone over the total in their last 5 games (11.4 rpg) and 12 of their last 14. Philadelphia has seen just 13 of their 40 home games this season stay under the total. These two clubs have seen 5 of their 6 meetings this season go over the total. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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07-07-13 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
The Texas starter Grimm has been in horrible form of late. Grimm has seen 5 of his last 6 starts go over the total while posting a large 9.31 ERA and 1.86 WHIP while allowing a whopping 9 home runs in 29.0 innings. Although Erik Bedard has displayed good form over his last 3 starts we must keep in mind that all of those outings came at home. Bedard has yet to show he can get it done on the road this season posting a lofty 6.69 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 8 starts. The Astros have gone over the total in 12 of 14 road games in the last 2 seasons when the total is 9.0 or 9.5 with an average combined 13.1 runs per game scored. The Astros bullpen is extremely weary after having to go 4.0 or more innings over the last 3 games. Bo Porter may have stick with Bedard longer than he really wants to in order to eat up some innings and take one for the team.
Any road team with a total of 9.0 or 9.5 that's hitting .240 or less as a team in their last 10 games, and their bullpen has pitched 4.0 innings or more in each of their last 3 games has seen 38 of those 51 games go over the total (74.5%) since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 4* selection. |
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07-06-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This game has all the earmarks of a high scoring slugfest. For starters the Red Sox enter tonight hitting a sizzling .337 as a team over their last 7 games. In 4 career starts versus the Angels all coming since the start of the 2012 season Ryan Dempster has posted a monster 9.15 ERA and 2.03 WHIP. Needless to say all 4 of those starts went over the total. The Angels starter Jerome Williams will be pitching on just 2 days rest after being shelled for 7 earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings versus St. Louis on Wednesday night. In his last 4 starts Williams has a lofty 7.20 ERA, a 1.80 WHIP, and allowed a whopping 6 home runs in just 20.0 innings of work. As Jackie Gleason you to say on the Honeymooners, "to the moon Alice". Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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07-06-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 102 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants bats have been extraordinarily silent of late. San Francisco has scored 2 runs or less in 7 of their last 8 and 10 of their last 12 games. The Dodgers have gone under the total in 19 of their 23 games the last 2 seasons after going over the total in their last 3 or more games. The Dodgers starter Fife enters in very good form off his last 3 starts posting a sparkling 1.83 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. The Giants starter Bumgarner has also displayed very good form over his last 3 starts posting a stellar 2.14 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Bumgarner has seen his last 3 starts versus the Dodgers all go under the total with much having to do with his microscopic 0.78 ERA, 0.52 WHIP, and a remarkable 21:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those outings. Bumgarner has seen 23 of his 30 career home starts go under when the total is 7.0 to 8.5. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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07-06-13 | Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
The Royals starter Ervin Santana has been the model of efficient consistency all season long. Santana has seen 6 of his 7 starts during the day go under the total while posting a stellar 2.79 ERA in the process. The Royals have seen 19 of 29 day time results go under the total this year. Kansas City has gone under the total in all 10 of their games the last 2 seasons after leaving 7 men or less on base in each of their last 5 games. The Oakland starter jarrod parker has been rock solid over his last 7 starts posting a brilliant 2.15 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in those outings. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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07-02-13 | New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Both of these starting pitchers have shown decent form over their last 3 starts. The Twins Samuel Deduno has been excellent in his 3 home starts since his recall from AAA Rochester posting a 1.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in those outings. The Yankees starter Philip Hughes has seen his last 4 road starts this season go under the total while posting a stellar 2.22 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in the process. Hughes has been very good in 5 career starts versus the Twins posting a 2.84 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Don't be mislead by the Yankees offensive outburst yesterday versus a struggling Scott Diamond who had been in poor form in his recent starts leading up to last night. That was the first time the Bronx Bombers had scored 8 runs or more since May 24th. The Yankees have gone under the total in 25 of 34 games over the last 3 seasons following a game they scored 10 runs or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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06-30-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 | 9-8 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
The Royals starter Ervin Santana has been lights out over his last 5 starts posting a 1.56 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Santana has seen all 6 of his starts during the day this season go under the total. In his last 3 starts versus the Twins with all coming since the start of the 2011 season Santana has been dominant as evidenced by his 1.48 ERA in those outings. Kansas City has gone over the total in just 8 of 28 day games this season. The Minnesota starter Kevin Correia has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts posting a 2.55 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Twins have gone over the total just 10 times in 32 day games this season. Both of these teams have excellent bullpens. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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06-29-13 | San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -121 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
The Miami starter Jacob Turner has seen 4 of his 5 starts go under the total this season while posting a terrific 1.97 ERA in the process. Miami has gone over the total in just 6 of their 24 games this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The Marlins are hitting a paltry .215 as a team in those 24 contests. The San Diego starter Eric Stults has seen 5 of his last 6 starts go under the total while posting a stellar 1.83 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, and an almost 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Stults has seen his last 7 starts on the road all go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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06-25-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh starter Jeff Locke has seen 6 of his last 7 starts go under the total while posting a microscopic 0.82 ERA in the process. Locke has gone under the total in all 7 starts this season when facing a team with a losing record. The Seattle starter Joe Saunders has gone under the total in his last 5 starts while posting an excellent 0.82 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Saunders has seen 13 of his 17 starts go under the total over the last 2 seasons when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest. In 2 starts versus the Pirates in 2012 Saunders was dominant in allowing just 3 earened runs and 13 hits in 14.0 innings of work.
Any team that committed 3 or more errors in their previous game, and has a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.10 or less over his last 10 starts has seen 36 of those 42 games (85.7%) go under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under as my "10* Interleague Total of the Year". |
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06-24-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia starter Cliff Lee has seen 7 of his 9 road starts this season go under the total while posting an excellent 1.88 ERA, 084 WHIP, and an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lee has seen 12 of his 14 starts go under the total over the last 3 seasons after allowing 2 earned runs or less in each of his previous 2 starts. The Phillies have gone under the total in 9 of 10 games this season versus opponents that average committing 0.5 errors or less per game. Philadelphia is hitting a paltry .219 as a team versus left-handed pitching over their last 10 games.
The Padres starter Eric Stults has seen his last 5 starts all go under the total while he posted a terrific 1.69 ERA, a 0.75 WHIP, and had a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio in those outings. Stults has gone under the total in all 9 of his starts the past 2 seasons versus opponents with a losing record. The Padres are hitting a miniscule .211 as a team versus left-handed pitching over their last 5 games. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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06-16-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 187.5 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
The Heat have gone over the total in all 7 games this season with a total of 192.0 or less, and coming off a SU&ATS win in which they scored 105 or more points. The average combined score in those 7 games is 198.8. Miami has gone over the total in 11 of their last 12 games following a game they scored of 109 points or more in addition to shooting 50% or better from the field with an average combined score of 203.6. The Spurs have gone over the total in 7 of their last 8 home games in these playoffs with an average combined score of 200.2. Play on this game to go over the total for a 5* selection.
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06-13-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 187.5 | 109-93 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 36 m | Show | |
Miami @ San Antonio 9:05 ET
Game # 707-708 Play On: Under 187.5 (5*) These teams combine to make 24 three-point shots in the previous game in addition to converting a sizzling 48% of those attempts. The chances of that coming remotely close to that happening again in this contest are highly improbable. The Spurs also had 6 players score 18 points or more in the game versus a Miami team who for the most part this season has been one of the better clubs defensively in the NBA. Even in spite of all this occuring the game never went over the total until there was less than a minute to go. History strongly favors the under in this situation. All games since the 1997 NBA Finals with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 have gone under on 50 of those 64 occasions (78.1%). Miami has gone under the total in their last 4 games this season following a loss by 10 points or more with an average combined score of 177.6. The Spurs have gone under the total in 10 of their last 11 games this year after scoring 113 points or more in their previous game. Any home favorite of 5.0 or less that has a winning percentage of .600 or better and comes off a win by 29 points or more, in addition to scoring 110 points or more in that previous game has seen 14 of the 15 games (93.3%) go under the total since the start of the 1998-1999 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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06-11-13 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 188 | Top | 77-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
With all the star power on both sides the ability of these clubs to get it done defensively often flies under the radar. The Heat have allowed just 87.7 points per game during the playoffs including a paltry 84.4 over their last 5 games. Miami has also seen their last 5 games go under the total with an average combined score of 175.8. The Spurs are allowing just 92.0 points per game during the playoffs which is more than 3 points less than they allowed during the regular season. Both of these teams offensive production has slowed in recent games mostly due to the prowess on the defensive end by the opposition. San Antonio has averaged just 93.2 points per game in their last 5 while the Heat are at 91.4 over that same span. Miami has also gone under the total in 19 of their last 24 games versus an opponent with a winning record. The Spurs have gone under the total in 9 of their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. San Antonio has also gone under the total in their last 7 games this season as a favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less.
History is certainly on our side when playing under the total in this exact situation. Since the 1997 Finals when the total is 180.0 to 189.5 50 of those 42 games (80.6%) have gone under the total. We can tighten that up even further by saying that if the Finals involves a #1 seed with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 then 24 of those 27 games (88.9%) have gone under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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06-11-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Texas starter Derek Holland enters tonight displaying rock solid form over his last 3 starts posting a stellar 1.37 ERA. Holland is 5-1 in his career team starts versus the Indians with a very good 2.31 ERA. The Cleveland starter Cory Kluber also has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts posting a 3.07 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Both of these teams have struggled at the plate over their las7 games with Texas hitting a paltry .225 as a team and Cleveland a miniscule .196.
Any American League road team with a total of 9.0 or 9.5 that has a starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.70 to 5.20, and their bullpen ERA over their last 15 games is 6.00 or more has seen 64 of those 91 games (70.3%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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06-08-13 | Los Angeles Kings v. Chicago Blackhawks OVER 4.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
All the trends point toward a low scoring game. In addition the pivotal Game 5 of any NHL Playoff series has historically favored the under since most times than not there tends to be so much at stake. However the vast majority of those results haven't come with this low a posted total. I look for both teams to be razor sharp with their power plays tonight and that will be the key ingredient in our winning result. The last 3 games of this series have produced just an average of 48 shots on goal combined per game. That's an extremely low number yet 2 of the last 3 have gone over the total. At this point of the playoffs I look for one of these two goalies to have an off night especially considering this will be each of their 5th start over the last 8 days. The physical and mental stress will take its toll. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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06-08-13 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
The San Diego starter Stults has displayed fine form over his last 3 starts posting a 2.95 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP, and a better than 8:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Stults has seen all 7 of his starts go under the total when he's installed as an underdog of +150 or less. Jeff Francis will make his first start since 5/14/13. Francis showed solid form in his 3 previous starts this season prior to going on the disabled list posting a 1.07 WHIP in those outings. In his 1 start versus the Padres this season Francis was stellar in allowing just 1 earned run on 5 hits in 6 innings of work. Today's home plate umpire Jim Joyce has seen 8 of his 11 games behind the dish this season go under the total with an average of just 6.2 runs combined per game scored. Then if we add in the fact the wind will be blowing in from right field at 12 to 17 miles per hour we have ourselves a nice edge. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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06-07-13 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Oakland (Parker) @ White Sox (Sale) 8:10 ET
Game # 975-976 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The Oakland starter Jarrod Parker has been excellent over his last 4 starts posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. In 2 career starts versus the White Sox Parker has a microscopic 0.71 ERA. He will be facing a White Sox team that's hitting just a paltry .223 as a team at home this season and just .221 in their last 7 overall. Parker has seen 20 of his 26 starts go under the total in the last 2 season versus opponents that average stranding 6.9 or less baserunners per game. If Parker needs help from the bullpen he will get plenty from a staff with a sparkling 2.84 ERA. The White Sox starter Chris Sale has been spectacular over his last 5 starts posting an outstanding 0.97 ERA, a 0.70 WHIP, and 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In 3 career starts versus Oakland Sale has been rock solid with a 2.18 ERA, a 0.82 WHIP, and struck out 21 while walking only 1. Sale has seen 13 of his 15 starts go under the total the last 2 seasons after allowing 1 earned run or less in his previous start. Any home team with a total of 7.0 to 8.5 with a starting pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.00 or less in his last 5 starts, and their bullpen has pitched a combined 9.0 innings or more in their previous 2 games has seen 71 of those 102 games (69.6%) go under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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06-06-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat OVER 188.5 | Top | 92-88 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
The Spurs have gone over the total in all 8 road games in the last 2 seasons when the total is 185.0 to 189.5 with an average combined score of 205.3. The Spurs have gone over the total in 34 of 50 games the last 3 seasons when installed as an underdog with an average combined score of 200.4. The Heat have gone over the total in 18 of 26 games this year when the total is 180.0 to 189.5. Styles make fights and as good as both of these two teams can be defensively at times, they're both dynamic and explosive offensive teams. In addition both opponents that these two teams defeated in the Conference Finals ranked #1 and #2 in scoring defense during the regular season. Both the Spurs and Heat will be pleased to get back to playing the style they're accustomed to. This opening game has all the ear marks of a highly entertaining high scoring affair.
Any team with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that's playing with same season double revenge, and is coming off a win versus a division opponent has seen 77 of those 113 games (68.1%) go over the total since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* selection. |
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06-04-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh starter Jeff Locke has seen all of his last 5 starts go under the total while he posted an excellent 1.19 ERA. Locke didn't allow an earned run over his last 3 starts. In 5 road starts this season Locke has been brilliant in posting a 1.45 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Locke has seen 9 of his last 10 starts go under the total following a Pirates loss. The Pirates have struggled offensively of late scoring just 2 runs or less in 4 of their last 5 games. The Atlanta starter Mike Minor has posted a terrific 1.59 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over his last 5 starts. Minor has seen 11 of his 13 starts go under the total over the last 2 seasons after allowing 2 earned runs or less in his previous start. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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06-03-13 | BOSTON GM2 v. PITTSBURGH GM2 OVER 5.5 | 6-1 | Win | 121 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
History has shown over the years that things loosen up a bit in Game 2 of a NHL Conference Final. As a matter of fact since 1997 Game 2 of a Conference Finals has seen 45 of those 61 results (7.8%) go over the total. (excluding any pushes.) The Penguins will come out with a determined effort after being shutout in the opening game of the series. It may not necessarily result in a win but look for their play tonight to inspire a more wide open offensive affair. In spite of not lighting the lamp in Game 1 the Penguins hit 3 posts and were stymied by some brilliant play by Boston goalie Tukka Rask. Hats off to Rask for that effort but he will be hard pressed to match that performance tonight. The Bruins will continue to use effective fore-checking and will have plenty of opportunities on the counter-attack. The Bruins have accumulated 30 or more shots on goal in their last 15 games and 21 of the last 22. Thomas Vokoun is solid in goal for the Penguins but he's far from dominant. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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06-01-13 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183.5 | 77-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
The general public has just hammered the books with over wagers in this contest. Obviously they have fallen in love with the low number and the fact that these two clubs have played on the high sides in the vast majority of their meeting in recent years. However this total is as low as it is for a reason. The Pacers were on or near the top of the NBA in about every defensive category during the regular season. Although their numbers defensively haven't been quite as dominating in the playoffs they're still very good. Miami has held opponents to just 88.2 points per game in 14 playoff contests. Miami knows they have to be on top of their game defensively since Dwayne Wade isn't close to being 100% as he continues to nurse a tender ankle, and Chris Bosh has struggled offensively in this series. With so much at stake this has all the ear marks of a closely contested low scoring affair.
Any team with a total of 191.0 or less that comes off a home win by 10-point or more in which they shot 50% or better from the field, and they have a winning percentage of .620 or better has seen all 8 of these games go under the total since the 1995-1996 season. The average combined score in those 8 games was 160.0. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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05-31-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
The Pittsburgh starter Wandy Rodrigues has been terrific in 4 home starts this season posting a 1.93 ERA, a 0.74 WHIP, and a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Rodriguez has seen his last 3 starts versus Cincinnati all go under the total while posting a stellar 0.92 WHIP and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio in the process. The Pirates have allowed 3 runs or less in 8 of their last 11 games. Pittsburgh has gone under the total in 24 of their 31 home games the last 2 seasons when the total is 7.0 or less. The Pirates bullpen has been outstanding this season posting a 2.64 ERA as a staff including 1.87 at home. The Cincinnati starter Johnny Cueto enters tonight in very good form over his last 3 starts posting a 2.98 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. In his last 5 starts at Pittsburgh Cueto has an outstanding 1.62 ERA and 0.96 WHIP with none of those games going over the total. Cueto has seen 11 of his 13 starts go under the total in the last 3 seasons versus a National League opponent that's hitting .245 or less as a team on the season. The Reds bullpen has been rock solid this season posting a stellar 3.36 ERA as a staff.
Any National League home team with a total of 7.0 or less that has an on-base-percentage of .310 or less on the season, and they're coming off a 1-run win has seen 63 of those 90 games (70%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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05-29-13 | Detroit Red Wings v. Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Both of these goalies have been stellar in the playoffs with Jimmy Howard posting a .923 save percentage and Cory Crawford at .935. These two teams have seen 14 of their 18 meetings go under the total (excluding pushes) including 6 of the last 7 played in Chicago (excluding pushes). In a deciding Game 7 expect both teams to be cautious and be focused on defensive details especially in the early going. When things do begin to open up both of these goalies will be more than up to the task. This one has all the earmarks of a closely contested low scoring game.
Any team that comes off a loss to a division opponent in which they allowed 4 or more goals, and they're playing their 4th game in 10 days has seen 40 of those 55 games (72.7%) go under the total since the start of the 2008-2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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05-28-13 | San Diego Padres v. Seattle Mariners OVER 8 | 6-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
The San Diego starter Edinson Volquez has been very shaky in 5 road starts this season posting a lofty 6.07 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. The Padres have gone over the total in a remarkable 30 of their 39 games the last 2 seasons after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. San Diego has gone under the total just once over the last 6 games. The Seattle starter Maurer has been horrible over his last 3 starts posting a hefty 8.36 ERA and 2.14 WHIP. Seattle has gone under the total in just 1 of its last 7 games. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection.
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05-27-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -128 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
St. Louis (Wainwright) @ Kansas City (Shields) 2:10 ET
Game # 909-910 Play On: Under 7.5 (5*) The St. Louis starter Adam Wainwright enters this afternoon tilt in excellent form over his last 3 starts posting a 1.61 ERA, a 0.67 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In 2 starts versus the Royals last season Wainwright was outstanding in posting a 1.93 ERA. The Royals starter James Shield has seen each of his last 3 starts go under the total while displaying stellar form with a 2.35 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Shields has seen 3 of his 4 home starts go under the total this year while posting an excellent 1.97 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. The Royals have seen 13 of their 18 days games this season go under the total. Kansas City has also gone under the total in 28 of 42 games over the last 2 seasons versus opponents with a 0.5 or better run per game differential. With both of these clubs playing with no rest, in addition to both playing on the West Coast on Sunday, look to see some tired and lazy bats. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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05-25-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 180 | 104-93 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Considering how the Spurs average 102 points per game this season, and the fact the Grizzlies are averaging 95 points per game in the playoff, then it has to be awfully enticing for the general public to play the over at this low of a number. However, under coach Popovich the Spurs have gone under the total in 7 of 8 games since the start of the 2007-2008 season when the total is 180.0 or less and they scored 93 points or less in their previous game. The average combined score in those 8 games is 168.9. The Grizzlies have gone under the total in all 8 games this season with one push when coming off an away loss in which they scored 90 points or less. The one push came in the previous game in this series and that contest went overtime. The score of that game was 85-85 at the end of regulation. The average combined score in the above mentioned 9 games was 173.0. These are two very good defensive teams that will tightened the screws even more on that end of the court as this series progresses.
Any home favorite with a total of 179.5 or less and a winning percentage of .500 or better, that comes off an away straight up loss in overtime has seen all 6 of those games go under the total since the start of the 1995-1996 season. The average combined score in those 6 games was 154.2. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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05-24-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat OVER 182 | Top | 97-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
We can start by saying that 6 of the last 7 meetings between these 2 clubs have gone over the total with an average combined score of 192.2 including all 3 games played in Miami which averaged 199.7. The Heat have gone over the total in all 5 home games this season when the total is 193.0 or less versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or better. Miami has also gone over the total in all 5 games this season following a home win by 4 points or less with an average combined score of 219.6. The Pacers have gone over the total in their last 9 games this season when the total is 181.0 or more and they shot 45% or less from the field in their previous game with an average combined score of 199.5. Indiana has also gone over the total in 12 of their last 14 games following a straight up loss and in 8 of their last 9 if they're off an away loss. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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05-24-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
There is a reason why this total so low and bettors are always enticed to go over the number in this situation. However as college football analyst Lee Corso so eloquently says "not so fast my friend". The Phillies have gone under the total in all 9 of their games this season after allowing 3 runs or less in each of their last 2 with an average combined 4.7 runs per game scored. Philadelphia has gone under the total in 12 of 14 road games this season versus a National League opponent that is hitting .255 or less as a team. The Nationals are hitting a paltry .194 as a team over their last 7 games. The Washington starter Jordan Zimmerman has been super this season. Zimmerman has been untouchable at home in 4 starts posting a miniscule 1.24 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. The Philadelphia starter Kyle Kendrick has been terrific in 4 road starts in 2013 posting an excellent 1.20 ERA, a 0.67 WHIP, and a better than 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The weather forecast calls for wind gusts blowing in from left field at 15 to 25 miles per hour.
Any National League home team with a total of 7.0 or less, that has an on-base-percentage of .310 or less on the season, and is coming off a 1-run win has seen 62 of those 86 games (72.1%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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05-15-13 | Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat UNDER 181 | Top | 91-94 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
I had to dig deep into the archives to find situations pertaining to a team that comes off the type of anemic offensive performance in a home loss like the Bulls suffered on Monday night. I isolated it down to 7 games since the start of the 1995-1996 season. Any away underdog of 10.5 or more that comes off a home loss by 20 points or more, in a game in which they scored 69 points or less has seen 6 of those 7 games go under the total. The average combined score in those 7 games was 176.5. This blends right into to the other factors in which under the total is the edge in this contest.
Miami has seen 17 of their 20 home games go under the total since the start of the 2011-2012 season following a win by 20 points or more. The Heat have played stifling defense so far in their 8 playoff games holding opponents to just 83.9 points per game. Contrarily the Bulls have really struggled on the offensive end over their last 5 playoff games scoring just 85.8 points per game. Since the start of the 2011-2012 season Chicago has gone under the total in 10 of their 11 games following a home loss by 10 points or more with an average combined score of 165.4. Any home team with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that averages 99 or more points per game and is coming off a win by 20 points or more has seen 54 of those 77 games (70.1%) go under the total since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 8* selection. |
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05-14-13 | SAN JOSE GM1 v. LA KINGS GM1 UNDER 5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Both of these clubs received outstanding goaltending in their 1st round playoff series. The Sharks Antti Niemi had a stellar .937 save percentage in the 4-game sweep of the Vancouver Canucks. After a below average regular season Jonathan Quick returned his Conn Smythe form in the 6-game series win over St. Louis posting a terrific .945 save percentage. The Sharks have gone under the total in all 5 of their games this season after scoring 3 or more goals in each of their last 4 games. San Jose has failed to go over the total in their last 8 road games. The Kings have gone over the total in just 2 of their last 14 at home.
Any road team that has won 4 or more games in a row and has a money line win percentage of .510 to .600 on the season, versus an opponent with a winning record on the money line for the season has seen 56 of those 81 games (69.1%) go under the total since the start of the 2008-2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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05-14-13 | Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 195 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
The books have adjusted the total each of the last 4 games by continuing to move the number down in light of the last 3 going under. They especially made a significant adjustment for this game moving the opening number to 195.0 from the closing number of 198.0 in Game 4 of the series. Considering the fact the total for the opening game of the series closed at 205.0 we are talking about a 10.0 point adjustment 4 games later. Having said that in my professional experience that is a huge move for fear of sharp money coming in on the under. Especially since Game 4 of the series was never in danger of going over the total in spite of overtime being required.
Let me now get to the facts of the matter. We are still talking about two of the NBA best offensive teams in spite of the last 3 results. The Warriors are statistically the best 3-point shooting team in the league while the Spurs are #5 in that category. The Spurs are #4 in the NBA in scoring offense while the Warriors are #7. If we wiped out the last 3 games from our memory bank, started the series this evening, considered all the previously mentioned statistics, then going over this particular number would be a monster value. The Warriors have gone over the total in all 7 games this season with the total at 196.5 or less with an average combined score of 206.7. Golden St. has gone over the total in all 9 of their games this season with a total of 202.0 or less when coming off 2 or more unders in a row. Those 9 games averaged a combined 206.0 per game. This will be the 9th meeting between these 2 clubs. In the previous 8 the average closing total was 202.6 which is a shade over 8 points where the current number is at the time of this writing. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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05-11-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia starter Cliff Lee has been brilliant in 4 road starts this season posting a 2.48 ERA, a 0.83 WHIP, and a better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Lee has seen 12 of his last 13 go under the total following a quality start. The Arizona starter Trevor Cahill has seen all 5 of his home starts go under the total. In those 5 starts Cahill posted an impressive 2.61 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Cahill enters this start in terrific form off his last 3 posting a 1.80 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Cahill has seen 11 of his 13 starts go under the total in the last 2 seasons when he is -100 to -150 on the money line. Arizona has gone under the total in 26 of their 36 games in the last 2 seasons versus National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection.
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05-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 187.5 | Top | 81-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
History has shown in recent years that when a playoff series is tied the defensive intensity picks up dramatically in the following game. The should be no problem for Memphis who ranks at or near the top of the league every defensive category. In addition this Memphis team prefers to play in a deliberate style of offense that uses the shot clock and utilizes their big men in the interior. The Grizzlies aren't a good three-point shooting team. Memphis has also been terrible from the free throw line in the first 2 games of this series going just 37/56 (66.1%). The Thunder's offensive production has suffered since the loss of star point guard Russell Westbrooke who went down early in the Houston series with a season ending knee injury. The Thunder are a vastly underrated defensive team. That part of their game has been overshadowed for much of the season by their dynamic and athletic offensive abilities. Oklahoma City has gone under the total in 9 of their last 11 games overall. The Thunder have also gone under the total in 17 of 20 games this season following 2 straight at home. Play on this game to go under the total as a 7* selection.
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05-10-13 | Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls OVER 186.5 | Top | 104-94 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Miami has gone over the total in 12 of their 16 games this season when the total is 180.0 to 189.5. The Heat have shot a sizzling 49.6% from the field in the playoffs so far. The Bulls have gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 games. With the physical style of play that was displayed in Game 2 that resulted in the officials being on the cusp of losing control, look for this game to be called very closely tonight, and both teams being in the penalty situation for most of the night.
Any home team with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that allowed 110 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent that scored 110 points or more in their previous game has seen 40 of those 50 games go over the total since the start of the 1996 season. play on this game to go over the total as a 10* selection. |
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05-10-13 | NY RANGERS GM5 v. WASHINGTON GM5 UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
This will be a close checking tight to the vest defensive affair in a pivotal Game 5 in a series which is tied 2-2. The Rangers have gone under the total in 7 of 8 road games this season versus opponents who are averaging 3.0 or more goals per game. New York has gone over the total in just 6 of their 26 road games this season. Washington has gone under the total in 10 of their 13 home games this season versus opponents that average 29.5 or more shots on goal per game. These 2 teams have seen 9 of their 11 meetings played in Washington go under the total in the last 3 seasons. Both of these starting goaltenders have been outstanding in the first 4 games of the series with Henrik Lundquist posting a .926 save percentage and Brandon Holtby at .927.
Any road team with a total of 5.0 or less that has scored 4 goals or more in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that has seen a combined 7 goals or more scored in each of their last 2 games has resulted in 25 of those 33 contests (75.8%) going under the total since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection. |
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05-08-13 | Chicago White Sox v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
The weather tonight calls for winds to be blowing in from right field at approximately 15 miles per hour. With two right-handed starting pitchers on the mound both managers are sure to stack their lineups with left-handed hitters making the wind a huge factor that will favor the starting pitchers. The White Sox starter Jake Peavy enters tonight in stellar form of his last 3 starts posting a 2.18 ERA and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The White Sox have gone under the total in 15 of their 17 road games the last 3 seasons following 2 straight games in which they scored 2 runs or less in each. Chicago is hitting a miserable .206 as a team over their last 7 games. The Mets starter Hefner heads into tonight in stellar form as well off his last 3 starts posting a 2.84 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. The Mets are hitting a paltry .194 as a team over their last 7 games.
Any National League home team with a total of 7.0 or less that has an on-base-percentage of .310 or less on the season, and is coming off a 1-run win has seen 60 of those 82 games (73.2%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 5* selection. |
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05-06-13 | Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 202.5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Both of these teams are well rested entering this series and will provide a highly entertaining game. The Warriors are a terrific 3-point shooting team (40.3%) led by their exciting guard tandem of Stephen Curry (45.3%) and Klay Thompson (40.2%). Golden St. has gone over the total in 11 of 14 road games this season when playing 6 games or less in the last 14 days with an average combined score of 211.0. The Warriors are also allowing an average of 103.2 points per game on the road this season. San Antonio has been a prolific offensive team as well especially at home where they average 104.2 points per game, shoot a sizzling 49.5% from the field, and convert a very good 38.5% of their 3-point attempts. Both of these teams are excellent free throw shooting teams as well converting an identical 79% of their attempts on the season. The scoreboard operator will be a busy man this evening.
Any home team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that comes off 2 straight wins by 10 points or more and allows an average of 92 to 98 points per game, versus an opponent that allows an average of 98 to 102 points per game has seen 37 of those 49 games (75.5%) go over the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* "Best Bet" selection. |
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05-05-13 | INDIANA GM1 v. NEW YORK GM1 UNDER 183 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
The Knicks struggled offensively versus the Pacers in their 4 meetings this season. In those 4 contests New York averaged just 86.3 points per game and shot a paltry 36.9% from the field. The Knicks have allowed 92 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games while scoring 90 or less in their last 6. New York has seen 6 of their last 7 and 8 of their last 10 games go under the total. The Pacers were one of the better defensive teams for a good part of the season. They slacked off a bit in that area down the stretch of the regular season but was an integral part of closing out their opening series holding the Hawks to 33% shooting from the field over the last 2 games.
Any team that went under the total by 30 points or more in their previous game, and both team in this contest have a winning percentage of .600 to .750 has seen 92 of those 140 games (65.7%) go under the total since the start of the 1996 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection. |
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05-04-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
In spite of being held scoreless last night the Red Sox are still hitting a very good .311 as a team over their last 7 games. The Rangers haven
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04-29-13 | San Diego: C Richard v. Chicago (N): Samardzija UNDER 9 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
The San Diego starter Richard has been excellent in 2 career starts versus the Cubs in posting a microscopic 0.57 ERA. The Padres have scored just 3 runs or less in 7 of their last 8 games. San Diego has gone under the total in 28 of 42 games since the start of the 2012 season following 2 or more consecutive games that went over the total. In 2 career starts versus the Padres both coming in 2012 the Cubs starter Pete Samerdzia posted a stellar 2.57 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and has an almost 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The current Cubs ace has seen all 8 of his starts go under the total since the beginning of last season when the total is 8.5 to 10.0. The Cubs have gone under the total in all 6 games this season versus a southpaw starting pitcher and are hitting a paltry .204 as a team versus southpaw pitching overall on the season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-28-13 | Miami Heat v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 195.5 | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
You know we are in the playoffs when you see the pace of the games slow down to a crawl. This has been especially the case in this series. The Bucks have attempted just 75 field goal attempts per game in the first 3 games of the series. When you compare that to their 88 attempts per game on the season, it would be like going from the pace the Denver Nuggets like to play at, compared to a Princeton style of offense. These two teams have gone under the total in all of their last 6 meetings this season with an average combined score of 190.5.
All teams in the NBA Playoffs with a total of 190.0 to 199.5 and are playing in Game 4 of a series has seen 40 of those 54 (74.1%) games go under the total since the 1997 playoffs. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection. |
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04-26-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210.5 | Top | 108-110 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Golden St. has gone under the total in 7 of their last 8 games this season as a home underdog or favorite of 3.0 or less. The Warriors have also go under the total this year in the last 4, 6 of the last 7, and 10 of the last 12 following a game in which they shot 50% or better from the field. Although the pace of this game doesn
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04-25-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 179 | Top | 82-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Grizzlies have gone under the total in 6 of 7 home games this season when the total is 180.0 or less. The combined score in those 7 games was just 172.8. If we dig even deeper the Grizzlies have gone under the total in all 3 home games in the exact same scenario mentioned above versus an opponent who scored 90 points or more against them in the last meeting. The average combined score in those 3 games was even lower at 168.7. Memphis has also gone under the total in 12 of 13 games this season when playing 4 games or less over the last 10 days with an average combined score of 171.5. The Clippers did put up pretty good numbers versus the best defensive team in the NBA in the first 2 games of the series. However the numbers were a bit skewed especially in Game 2. My personal observation was that the Grizzlies played terrific defense and were victimized by the Clippers making some low percentage difficult shots. It isn
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04-24-13 | Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 188.5 | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers have gone under the total in all 3 games since Kobe Bryant was sidelined with a season ending injury with an average combined score of 180.3. The Lakers just lack any type of perimeter game without the shooting and penetration that Bryant usually provides. On a positive note I was very impressed with the focus the Lakers had in the opening game of this series. The Spurs have gone under the total in all 8 games this season versus teams that average 27 free throw attempts or more per game. All 4 meetings between these 2 clubs have gone under the total this season with an average combined score of 181.5. The Spurs have shot just a combined 40.5% in those 4 games including 37.6% in game 1 of the series.
Any team with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that has played 3 games or less in the last 10 days and has a winning record on the season, versus an opponent with a winning record has seen 34 of those 47 games (72.3%) go under the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection. |
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04-24-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers OVER 187 | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The Hawks are a team that likes to play up tempo and contrary to their customary style the Pacers have obliged them in recent meetings. In the last 4 meetings this season alone all 4 games went over the total with an average combined score of 204.3. In addition the Pacers at one time this season were considered one of the top three defensive teams in the NBA. Their play in recent weeks has seen its defensive play drop off considerably. Indiana has allowed 3 of its last 4 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field, and 7 of their last 9 foes to shoot 47% or better. Indiana has gone over the total in 5 of their last 6 and 7 of the last 9. The Hawks have allowed 98 points or more in their last 7 games and have seen 5 of the last 6 go over the total. Atlanta has gone over the total in 8 of their 9 road games this season when playing with same season revenge from a road loss in which they allowed 100 points or more. The average combined score in those 9 games was 206.4. The Hawks have also surpassed the number in 18 of 27 games this season when the total is 180.0 to 189.5 with an average combined score of 194.8. Play on this game to go over the total as a 25* selection.
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04-22-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 179.5 | Top | 91-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The books have gone from an opening total of 179.5 in Game 1 of this series to 181.5. The Clippers have gone over the total in their last 5 home games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game. The Clippers have also gone over the total in all 8 home games this season as a favorite of 5.5 or less with an average combined score of 206.1. Los Angeles has also gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 home games overall with an average combined score of 203.0. Memphis has gone over the total in their last 5 games this season after allowing 100 points or more with an average combined score of 199.0. I understand how good Memphis has been defensively this season but the books have adjusted the number accordingly. The Grizzlies had no answer defensively for the Clippers athleticism in the opening game and those physical attributes aren't going change overnight. I also look for the Grizzlies big men Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol to bounce back with big games tonight after lackluster performances in Game 1 of the series. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Best Bet selection.
Any team with a total of 180.0 to 189.5 that allows 91 points or less per game on the season, versus an opponent that scored 105 points or more in their previous game has seen 45 of those 64 games (70.3%) go over the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Best Bet selection. |
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04-20-13 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 178.5 | 91-112 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have gone under the total in their last 5 games as an away underdog with an average combined score of 170.4, and has gone under the total in 10 of their last 12 as well in that exact role. Memphis finished the regular season by going under in 8 of their last 9 games. Memphis is #1 in scoring defense allowing 89.3 points per game while the Clippers aren't bad themselves at #4. These clubs are the two best defensive rebounding teams in the NBA so 2nd chance opportunities figure to be few and far between. The last 3 meetings this season between these two teams all went under the total with an average combined score of 177.0. The defensive intensity will be cranked up for both teams in the playoffs. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-19-13 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
The Toronto starter Brandon Morrow is a perfect 6-0 in his career home starts versus the Yankees with a magnificent 1.06 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. The Yankees starter Andt Pettite has seen 42 of his 60 career team starts go under the total versus opponents that are hitting .255 or less on the season. Both of these clubs have gone under the total in each of their last 6 games. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-18-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
The Boston starter John Lester is off to a terrific start to the season. Lester is 3-0 with an excellent 1.42 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In his last 3 starts versus the Indians Lester has compiled a very impressive 0.47 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Cleveland starter McCallister has been solid in 2 career starts versus Boston with a 3.60 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, while striking out 12 and walking none. In his first two starts of 2013 McCallister has been superb in posting a 2.19 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and struck out 9 while walking none. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-18-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | 6-10 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
The Tampa Bay starter David Price has a terrific 1.03 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his last 5 versus Baltimore. The Rays as a team have scored just 22 runs combined over their last 9 games. The Rays haven't seen any of their last 8 games go over the total. The Orioles starter Gonzalez has been superb in his last 4 versus the Rays posting a 1.40 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Baltimore has failed to go over the total in any of their last 6 games. The Orioles have scored just 17 runs combined over their last 6 games. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-18-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
Both of these starting pitchers are off to a terrific start to the season. In his first 3 starts of 2013 Jason Verlander has posted an excellent 1.96 ERA. The Seattle starter Iwakuma has been equally impressive if not better in his first 3 starts with a 2.18 ERA, a 0.48 WHIP, and has struck out 16 while walking just 1. The Mariners have gone under the total in 38 of their 52 day games since the start of the 2012 season. Detroit has gone under the total in 28 of their 41 road games since the start of the 2012 season versus AL teams that are hitting .260 or less as a team on the season.
Any American League home team with a total of 7.0 or less that has a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 3.50 or less, and has walked 1 or less men in each of his last 2 starts has seen 35 of those 44 games (79.5%) go under the total since the start of the 2009 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection. |
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04-17-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. New York Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
The Yankees C.C. Sabathia is off to a good beginning of the year posting a 2.35 ERA in his first 3 starts. He was especially good in his last 2 starts allowing just 1 earned run in 15.0 innings of work. The Yankees have gone under the total in their last 4 games overall. New York has also gone under the total in 30 of their 41 home games since the start of the 2012 season as a favorite of -150 to -200. The Diamodnbacks have gone under the total in 3 of their last 4 overall. The Arizona starter Wade Miley has been stellar in his first 2 starts of the year posting a very good 2.13 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Arizona is hitting just .226 versus southpaw pitching this season while the Yankees are at a dismal .210 versus lefties on the year. Those numbers take on special significance with a couple of hot southpaws taking the hill this evening. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 204 | Top | 116-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
The Thunder has gone under the total in 13 of their last 16 games. In addition Oklahoma City has held 4 of their last 5 opponents to less than 40% shooting from the field. Mark Jackson has seen his Warriors team more focused defensively coming down the final stretch of the regular season. Golden St has gone under the total in 8 of their last 11 games while also holding 4 of their last 6 opponents to less than 40% shooting from the field. In a game that has all the makings of one that will be played with a playoff type intensity look for both teams to be at their defensive best.
Any team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that has gone under the total by 48 points or more in their last 10 games and has a winning percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a winning record has seen 39 of those 53 games go under the total since the start of the 2008 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Best Bet selection. |
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04-09-13 | Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets OVER 211 | Top | 98-101 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
Phoenix has shown some explosiveness offensively in recent games averaging 101 points and shooting 48% from the field over their last 5 games. The Suns have gone over the total in 15 of their 19 road games this season versus teams with a winning record. The suns have gone over the total in 4 of the last 5 and 6 of the last 8 games overall. They will be facing a Houston team that averages 11 three-point makes per game, they've scored 111 points or more in each of their last 4 games, and is averaging 106 points per game on the season. The rockets will be licking their chops to face a Suns team that's allowing an average of 112 points per game in their last 5. Phoenix has allowed 9 of their last 15 opponents to shoot 51% or more from the field.
Any home team with a total of 210.0 or more that's won 4 of their last 5 games with a winning percentage of .510 to .600, versus an opponent with a losing record has seen 26 of those 30 games (86.7%) since the start of the 1996 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Best Bet selection. |
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04-08-13 | Michigan v. Louisville OVER 138 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
You can be rest assured that Louisville won't get away from what got them here. The Cardinals will extend full court pressure off scores and dead ball throughout the entire 40 minutes. The Cardinals won't be faced with the same defensive resistance that they faced in the semifinals versus Wichita St. Unlike the Shockers the Wolverines are a bit flawed in certain spots defensively. Louisville has gone over the total in their last 9 games. Michigan already faced a similar style earlier in the tournament versus VCU. The Rams love to play an up tempo helter-skelter style which includes constant defensive full court pressure. Michigan shredded the Rams by easily breaking the press and creating outnumbered situations resulting in easy baskets or getting to the free throw line. This is a Michigan team that averages 75.2 points per game, shoots 48.3% from the field, and a very good 38.3% from beyond the three-point line. Michigan has gone over the total in 11 of 14 games the last 2 seasons versus opponents that shoot 45% or better from the field and have a defensive field goal percentage of 42% or less on the season. I'm supremely confident that this will be a wildly entertaining NCAA Title Game that will be played at a very brisk pace. Play on this game to go over the total as a 100* Best Bet selection.
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04-05-13 | New Orleans Hornets v. Utah Jazz OVER 193 | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
The Jazz have averaged 106.4 points per game and shot a sizzling 51.6% from the field over their last 5 contests. Utah has gone over the total in their last 4 and 7 of their last 8 games. Neither of these teams would be considered a great three-point shooting team if you examined their whole body of work. However Utah is converting a very good 38.2% of their three point attempts at home while the Hornets are at 37.3% on the road. The Hornets haven
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04-04-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 200.5 | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
These two clubs have seen all three of their meetings go under the total this season with an average combined score of 189.3. The Spurs have gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games. In those 6 contests the Spurs have held opponents to less than 100 points in 5 of those while scoring less than 100 in 4 of the 6. San Antonio has gone under the total in 18 of 25 games this season versus opponents that convert 36% or more of their three-point attempts. The Thunder has also gone under the total in 5 of their last 6 games. They also have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to less than 100 points. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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04-04-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
The numbers just don't lie in this one. The Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie was terrific in all 4 of his starts versus the White Sox last season. All 4 of those starts went under the total while Guthrie posted a microscopic 0.30 ERA and an almost 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has seen his last 3 home starts versus the Royals all go under the total. In those 3 starts Floyd posted an excellent 1.16 ERA and. 0.81 WHIP. The home plate umpire is slated to be Hunter Wendelstedt. Wendelstedt has seen 9 of his last 11 games behind home plate go under the total. Play on this game to go under the total as a 100* Best Bet selection.
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04-03-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 207 | Top | 107-98 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
Any home team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that has beaten the spread by 24 points or more in their last 3 games and has a win percentage of .400 to .490, versus an opponent with a losing record has seen 33 of those 40 games (82.5%) go over the total since the start of the 1996 season.
Any home team with a total of 200.0 to 209.5 that shoots 43.5% to 45.5% from the field on the season and they allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field in each of their last 2 games, versus an opponent that has a field goal percentage defense of between 45.5% to 47.5% on the season has seen 36 of those 49 games (73.5%) go over the total since the start of the 1996 season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 50* Best Bet selection. |
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04-02-13 | Brigham Young v. Baylor OVER 152 | 70-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears are averaging a whopping 93.3 points per game and shooting a sizzling 52.8% from the floor in 3 NIT games thus far. Those 3 NIT games that Baylor has been involved in averaged a combined 166.7 points per game. In their 3 NIT games those far BYU is averaging an outstanding 86.3 points per game. In those 3 BUT NIT tilts the average combined score is 157.0 points per game. This total is as high as it is for a reason. This will be a high scoring and entertaining affair. Play on the game to go over the total as a 25* selection.
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04-02-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 | 7-4 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Tampa has gone under the total in 16 of their last 18 day games at home. In Price's 3 starts versus Baltimore in 2012 he was practically untouchable posting a microscopic 0.40 ERA. Price has seen his last 6 home starts versus Baltimore all go under the total. Tampa Bay has gone under the total in 19 of their 25 home games the last 2 seasons in April. The Orioles have gone under the total in 47 of 74 games the last 2 seasons as a road underdog. Baltimore has also seen 24 of their last 30 games go under the total at Tampa Bay. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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03-30-13 | Weber State v. Northern Iowa OVER 136.5 | Top | 59-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
This is a Weber St. team that's #1 in the nation statistically in both offensive field goal percentage (50.8%) and three point offensive efficiency (41.9%). In 3 CIT contests so far the Wildcats are averaging 82.0 points per game, shooting 54.4% from the field, and made an outstanding 42.4% (28/66) of their three-point attempts. Northern Iowa has been just as efficient offensively in 3 CIT games averaging 76.7 points per game, shooting 49.1% from the field, and a remarkable 48.3% (28/48) from beyond the three-point line. Both of these teams are far from terrible defensively which has held this total down a bit to our liking. I just can't ignore the fact how dynamic both of these clubs have been through each of their first 3 games of this tournament. Play on this game to go over the total as a 100* Best Bet selection.
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03-30-13 | Evansville v. East Carolina UNDER 151.5 | Top | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
East Carolina has gone under the total in all 3 games of the CIT allowing just 59.0 points per game and holding the opposition to just 37.5% shooting from the field. The Pirates haven't exactly been dynamic offensively in the CIT shooting just 40.1% from the field in those 3 contests. Evansville has really been on fire in their 3 CIT games all be it versus lower level competition. The Pirates know they need to stick to the formula that has brought them here which is stellar defensive play and limiting the opposition's possessions.
Any home team that comes off 3 or more home wins in a row, and they have a winning percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .510 to .600 has seen 45 of those 59 games (76.3%) go under the total since the start of the 1997 season. Play on this game to go under the total as a 50* Best Bet selection. |
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03-29-13 | Michigan v. Kansas UNDER 136 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Kansas has gone under the total in 11 of their 12 NCAA Tournament games over the last 3 seasons with an average combined total score of 127.1. The Jayhawks are a terrific defensive team again this season allowing just 61.2 points per game and holding opponents to a terrific 35.7% shooting from the field on the season. The Wolverines are no slouch either defensively holding opponents to 62.4 points per game this season. Michigan has seen both of their NCAA Tournament games go under the total with an average combined score of 129.0. Kansas has seen both of their tournament games go under as well with an average combined total score of 124.5. This one has all the earmarks of a game being played in the low sixties. Play on this game to go under the total as a 25* selection.
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