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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-09-18 | Bucs +10 v. Saints | 48-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA. I know this is crazy. But I like the Bucs more with FitzMagic behind center. Veteran guy. Smart. Won't lose the team. He has good weapons to work with. This is a bundle of points. Tampa defense isn't that bad. TB went 2-1 with Fitz last season. The line is a bit inflated as everyone will be hammering the Saints with Winston out. They should be able to mount some pressure on Brees. Just once in the last 8 match-ups have the Saints won by more than 7. Can't lay double digits in division play. Dog time. 4* Money Maker TB BUCCANEERSÂ |
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09-09-18 | Jaguars -3 v. Giants | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 85 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS. Also like the Under in this game. But we are all in on Jax. First off. You don't think that Tom Coughlin has been telling these guys to stick to NYG on every play. The guy was run out of town and replaced by a joke of a coach. Jags were already miles ahead of the GMen in talent. Yes, they drafted a nice RB, signed some OL, have a healthy ODB. But do we really think Eli, a statue, is going to be able to buy some time and make something happen against this pass rush and secondary. Jags defense will dominate. The offense will do enough to win this by double digits. Coughlin gets revenge against a team he hoisted Super Bowl Trophies with and got a kick in the ass out the door as a thank you, while the crappy GM stayed on board. 10* Money Bomb JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
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09-09-18 | Bengals +2.5 v. Colts | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 42 m | Show |
Taking the BENGALS. Yeah, The Colts are 46-30 with Luck behind center. But did you see anything in his brief August games that say this is a guy ready to come under live fire? Bengals have missed the playoffs last 2 years. Marv clearly on the hot seat as many though he would be canned last year. We saw 53 points from these guys in Week 4 of pre-season! That is normally under territory. But we saw that the 'starters' for Cincy held a 20-7 lead at the half over the Colts. Look - Pre-Season doesn't matter much to me when the calendar says September. But Indy, I think has a long way to go with Luck getting up to speed with his new HC and the playbook. Cincy always has a tough defense. Daulton has some nice weapons. He can beat bad teams. This isn't Pitt or NE that he is battling. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI BENGALSÂ |
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09-06-18 | Falcons +3 v. Eagles | 12-18 | Loss | -113 | 174 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. I know it is easy to take Philly. Defending champs, Home opener. Crowd pumped up. They have guys who missed out on the Super Bowl run returning to the lineup. But the QB play is iffy for me. We now that Wentz is out for a big. Foles got banged up this August. Falcons have revenge from the playoff loss. And playing outside in Philly now, as opposed to later in the winter or January is a big difference. Atlanta has a pretty solid defense themselves. The offense isn't too shabby. I am also on the under 46 in this game. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -5 | Top | 41-33 | Loss | -106 | 332 h 21 m | Show |
Going to lock in early here with the PATRIOTS. 5* Best Bet NE PATRIOTS Alright everyone. Thanks for the follow this year. Going to cap off a great NFL season with a final winner for our pockets. 40-14 good for 74% since December 1. In that time, 11-4 with our Top Plays. Best Bets, Sure Shots and Money-Bombs. But I am not going to put out a huge 'name' play, just because it is the final game of the year. This, as always, the longest write up of the year. Let's get to it - As a big dog guy, especially with NHL and MLB, almost by instinct, I am pulled towards Philly. And why not. One of those 4 Top Game losses was Philly over NYG. I like Foles. As I said in previous write-ups, and last weeks Over analysis. Do people forget 27 TDs from this kid a couple years ago. The guy can play in the NFL. Not saying he is Wally Pip'ing Wentz out of a job, or Brady Bledsoe'ing for the younger crowd. But he can play. And let's be completely honest. Eagles probably rate better overall across the board except for the QB position. Plenty of offense for Philly vs, at best, a middle of the road Patriots defense. Yes. The Hoodie gets the, oh, Mr Adjustments. What a great defense. Come on. Bend don't break defense carried by the greatest QB/ HC combo of all-time. This total has already ticked up, and I still lean Over in this game. I am sure the sharps are going to be lying in wait. Seeing if the public comes heavy on NE as they normally do. Maybe we see 4.5 - Maybe we see 6.5. I am 2 weeks out with my play. When we grab dogs, like the Jags, we think they win outright. Which, maybe they should have. We will leave questionable play calling to the talking heads. Back to NE. Look. I am not a huge Pats fan. I did have a Top 10* on them to roll the Titans. I took the +9.5 out of the gate in the Championship Game. As much as I see Foles getting better. I see Brady cementing a legacy, if he hadn't already. If this was Wentz/ Brady. I would probably be on the Eagles. But it isn't. These guys, at this stage, look for any slight, to come out and piss people off. So we have all heard of that story about the owner/coach/QB - Next game. Utter destruction of the Titans. What better way to really get under peoples skin and win b2b Super Bowls. Did anyone miss that Hoodie didn't even hold onto the AFC Championship Trophy? Is that crazy? That is all you need to know about this team. That is how focused they are. Philly will get everyone's love since they are facing the Evil Empire. The, We wear Dog Masks. No respect. I get it. House money. Back-up QB. Rally around the role. Understood. And that isn't all it has going for them. I think they have the much better defense. Special teams are probably a wash. Again, this is why I am liking the Over a bit also. Plenty of weapons for Foles. Dome setting should help. As much as there are checks to cross in the Philly box. I just can't go against this HC/QB combo in a Super Bowl. Brady has proven time and time again. Champion. Down 10. No problem. 28-3. No problem. Do we have to go back and see the stats vs the Legion of Boom? Do we remember how 'legendary' that Seattle defense was suppose to be? 13-15 2TDs in the 4th quarter as Seattle was for 2 straight Super Bowls. Maybe the Eagles are like the Giants. Getting pressure. Knocking Brady off his spot. Or. Brady gets the ball out and carves them up. I think the really underrated unit is the Patriots OL. These guys are quietly, a solid bunch. So. I am going PATRIOTS as a 5* BEST BET here in Super Bowl action. I think they get this done by a TD or more. My FREE PLAY is on the UNDER 48.5 -- |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Patriots | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 113 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. So. We had the Jags over the Bills. And we faded them last week vs the Steelers. Not really the way I want things to be working out on Jax. We cash very nicely with the Patriots as our Top 10* Money-Bomb over the Titans. That being said. There were reasons I liked/disliked them in spots. We won't rehash those. That is the past. Let's get to it. -- Defense. Clear edge for the Jags. Arguably the best in the league this year. Yes. We have seen Big Ben last week, and prior the Seahawks and SF put some points on the board on these guys. And Brady is the best in the biz. I probably shouldn't write Brady and Bortles in the same sentence. Look. Marrone is familiar with NE after going 2-2 ATS vs them when he was HC in Buffalo. It sure as heck can't hurt to have Tom Coughlin, who beat these Pats TWICE in Super Bowls in case you have been under a rock. Much like those Giants teams, defense is this teams strength. And like Marrone's old Biils teams, running the ball, is what dictates this offense. I know. I know. Pats looking like the last go around. Internal power struggles. I said last week, the Hoodie was ready.. On to Tennessee. But the fact is this. Both OC and DC are probably out to HC gigs. The HC and QB have been the best in the biz for a long time. You have to think this is their swan song. Either way. I think this defense keeps us in the game. Weather shouldn't be a problem. It will be warmer here than it was in Pitt last week. Maybe some rain. Will also be on the under here. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 150 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Real simple for me. One. We are rested. Two. We have the much better defense. Three. We have seen the last 2 weeks that New Orleans has had trouble stopping Tampa and Carolina. A pair of teams that are pretty generic with their offenses. - Now they face a Minny team that has a bunch of options for their QB to turn to. This is no knock on Brees. I just thin that their defenses injury and depth will catch up with on the road, and vs a team with probably the most under-rated HC in the league. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers -7 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Have to play a little on Pitt. First we have that revenge working for us. Utterly wrecked at home with Big Ben tossing, what, 10 INTS! - Seriously. That was a joke. Yes this Jags defense is very good. But the offense is putrid. And I had them last week. I thought they can put up points. Because they have. But I have seen Seattle and SF both carve this team up recently. This is an experienced Steelers team. Lots of explosiveness on offense. We are laying just a TD. I thin this should be a 10pt game for us. 8* Sure Shot PITTSBURGH STEELERSÂ |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots -13 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 33 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I'll lay this beast. And try to keep my reasons brief. So Titans down 21-3 to KC. KC loses best player to take advantage of poor Tenn pass defense. Titans get, let's just say, a few calls in their favor. Won't get into detail. Safe to say that everything that needed to happen, happened. Enter the Pats. We are going to go against Hoodie? In a week where we see a problem between Brady, Kraft and Hoodie. It's mass chaos in New England. Coach vs Trainer vs Owner vs QB. Forget that nonsense. The defense has been an absolute monster down the stretch. Toss out those early games. 14ppg since. 'All in on Tennessee' - Belichick 10* Money Bomb NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS |
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01-13-18 | Falcons -3 v. Eagles | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -100 | 146 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the FALCONS today. You can grab the 2.5, but I will go 3 just to take back a little extra cash. So, we cashed on Atlanta last week. I am not sure why everyone is shocked they won. As I said. Against a rookie HC and basically, a rookie QB, I would take a veteran QB and HC playing with a chip, the size of a Super Bowl Trophy, on their shoulder. And what do they walk into here. Only an Eagles team that has been average at best. Now, I like Foles. In fact, I backed Philly over the Giants and while they won, they couldn't cover. Then we had that Monday night game vs the Raiders. Finally, the Nate Sudfeld game. Enter our Falcons. This isn't last years team. They are playing much better defense. The fact is, with no Wentz, this game is a toss up. ATL the fave really based on the QBs. Both defenses are pretty solid. And both teams can run the ball. I am just coming back to what they learned last year. Philly, like the Rams, are rolling the dice with house money, up-starts. Bright futures. Falcons on the other side of that. Veterans. Looking to redeem themselves. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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01-07-18 | Panthers +7 v. Saints | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS. So. We have the old, it's hard to beat a good time 3 times playing out. Saints won 34-13 and 31-21 this already this year. But it is January football. I am not a fan of Cam at all. But I like his legs and the rest of the RBs vs this depleted Saints defense. Not a lot of depth and they are missing 5 starters. We saw the Bucs march down the field last week as time was running out to score a win. On a side not, that TD sent it Over the total and we go 7-2 instead of a super 8-1. I just think that we have seen Carolina knock off the Pats and Vikes. A pair of pretty good teams. We cashed with the Falcons over these same Panthers. Everyone saying, oh Carolina has a lot to play for. Well what about Atlanta. They were playing for their season. (had them yesterday also) - Road team 23-10 ATS last 33 in the series. Underdog 6-1 ATS last 7 in the series. Panthers 0-6 ATS last 6 in the series. Something has to give. I am betting on Cam being 'Superman' and not 'Laptop Man' - 8* Sure Shot CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ Â |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars -8 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Forget the line here. To me, this game is pick the winner. And if you think the Bills cover, then you think they win outright. I don't think they win outright. I think the Jaguars defense is a beast. I think with a gimpy McCoy, if he even plays, we know he is not near 100%, that Taylor will force some things. That plays into the Jax strength, their defense. Yes, it is frightening laying near double digits with Blake Bortles. Jags have won their last 5 at home, last 3 putting up 35ppg. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 79 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS here. Now. I know that the Rams had a great year. Rookie HC takes off with a 2nd year QB who looked like a bust and turns 4-12 into 11-5. But those two combinations is exactly why I am on the visitors in this spot. Atlanta really changed gears down the stretch going 6-2. Rams not exactly with a huge home field edge here either. Falcons couldn't make a stop in the 2nd half of the Super Bowl. But the defense is what has improved this year while the offense has taken a step back. I do like this Rams team. But all I have heard from people is, how don't the Rams win by a touchdown? For me, this is too many points to give to a playoff tested experienced team. Don't be shocked if Falcons win this outright. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -8 | Top | 22-21 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS here. Man oh man with all these lines wild-card weekend. Normally I am shying away from near double digit faves come playoff time. But I see a pair of totally different teams. Yes. We cashed the Titans as our Top 10* Money Bomb last Sunday. But we don't fall in love with teams. We like numbers. Value. We started the season backing the Titans over the Raiders. And we will end their season fading them vs the Chiefs. KC a bit different now with their new OC calling plays. I just don't see Tennessee being able to hang close here. I think that KC gets a big edge on special teams that gets us this 10-14 pt win. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFSÂ |
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12-31-17 | 49ers +2 v. Rams | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 14 m | Show | |
-- I know this line has moved since we put it out -- Still take SF - They will cover a TD -- Taking the NINERS. Well. Faded the Jimmy G show last week. That didn't work out well. But we see they aren't playing for a higher pick. I said in games we took SF that they like Jimmy and their HC. Rams I think will rest up here after a fine season and get ready for the playoffs. 4* Money Maker SF NINERS |
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12-31-17 | Jaguars v. Titans -3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 56 h 4 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. Not sure where the Jags motivation is? They are locked into the 3 seed. They host a home game. Even off that SF loss, I can't see them risking getting guys injured. Maybe they play a half. I had Tennessee last Sunday. Win and they are in. I'll back the small home fave. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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12-31-17 | Panthers v. Falcons -4 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
Taking the FALCONS here. Man. All I am hearing is talk about the Panthers. I know this isn't the same Super Bowl team as last year. The offense clearly not the same. I know Julio is banged up. But hell. It is Week 17. Playoff spot on the line. Time to man up. They win, they are in. They lose. And they need Arizona to beat Seattle. Just take care of business yourself. As for Carolina. They have some possible seed movement. Anywhere from 2-6. Not sure how they play it. They get down early, they might pull back. They just played a really tough game vs TB needed everything to win. Atlanta 7-2 ATS last 9 here at home vs Panthers. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONS |
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12-31-17 | Texans v. Colts -5.5 | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. So Indy has lost 6 straight and 9 of 10. Yet, are favored. Look. Normally this a game I would mark a giant X through during the regular season. But final game of the season. Most likely, final game of Pagano's reign for the Colts. I will back the home team. As bad as this team is, likely assured the 3rd pick in the draft, they haven't quit. Oh, they blow 10pt leads like that is what you are suppose to do to win games. But they aren't mailing games in. Can't see them doing it here. Not with Frank Gore also probably heading out the door. They will play for that old timer for sure. Texans have been riddled with injuries all year. Not even sure they get off the plane. This is the game the Colts should win by 10+. Not get up 17-0 and somehow lose 21-20. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
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12-24-17 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 21-12 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 16 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS this afternoon. Tough laying with Dallas at home especially with their terrible HC. But we are getting a fresh and angry Zeke back. That is enough to move the needle for us to Dallas. This Seattle team is in turmoil. Giving up tons of points. 72 points allowed last 2 weeks! Defense players tweeting at each other. Wilson is a great QB. Guy, by himself, has this team still alive for the playoffs. Now, we have seen Dallas and their brain dead HC crumble with playoffs on the line before. But I can't undervalue the return of Elliot. That is a huge boost. Coming off a 35pt home loss, you expect Seattle to be angry. But the defense is a shell of its former self. My thinking. Zeke, fresh off his break, bullies Seahawks late and Dallas wins this by 10. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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12-24-17 | Giants v. Cardinals -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 10 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA. Simple thinking for me here. Giants mail it in here on Christmas Eve. The Eli show comes to an end at home, against rival Redskins. That is the game the Giants go all out. This has been a brutal year all around for NY. The coach. The QB. The WR. The defense. Everything. Good news is they will draft high. Last week they left it all on the field in a near win vs the Eagles. They can't get up like that again. Not a chance. Not 3 weeks in a row. Next week. We'll look to NYG. Both teams playing for pride. Final home game for the Cardinals. Give the fans an early Christmas gift with an easy win! 10* Money Bomb ARIZONA CARDINALSÂ |
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12-24-17 | Jaguars -4 v. 49ers | 33-44 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. Man. Every where I look I see the Niners are back with Jimmy G. I had these guys with Jimmy the Gent. I get it. They are playing hard. I wrote this in previous write ups. They are playing hard for the new coach, and their QB. But as they say. Defense travels. We can mock Bortles all day long. And who can blame you? Fact is though, the guy has been very good lately. 900+ yards and 7TDs 0 picks last 3 games. And the Jags have been getting into the end zone. Not getting FGs like SF. Jimmy G is moving the ball, but trading 3 and 7 just doesn't add up to Ws. We saw this Jax defense frustrate Big Ben and a pretty good Steelers team to the tune of 5 INTs. Back to how our defense travels. This defense has 51 sacks. SF has given up 42. Good for 8th worse in the league. Jags have allowed just 21 (4th best). SF at tied for 6th least sacks. Jags 2nd in INTs with 20. SF 5th worse with 7. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 43 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Had these guys last week ML and they let me down. Now I will grab them as a nice home puppy. Rams off a huge win over Seattle, 42-7. That was their statement game. Much like when we had the Jags over the Seahawks as their statement game. Now, we can see a bit of a let down. They have the Niners at home to close out their season. I just think with a desperate Tennessee team, this is too many points. Titans 9-1 SU their last 10 at home. Have to take the home team this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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12-24-17 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -10.5 | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS today. Hate laying huge numbers like this. Went 1-1 last night with the big faves. But this NFL season is crazy. I think the gap between the teams is this big. And not just this game. Look across the card. Just huge lines. As a big dog guy, you can only hold your nose so many times as you get burned during a season. So for here. Win and in KC gets the nod. I thought Miami would be a playoff team. I thought Cutler back with his old coach would produce nice numbers. They have some decent WRs in Miami. They had a decent home run hitting RB before trading him away. The defense has talent. And it will get them a new HC on Black Monday in 2 weeks. Andy Reid isn't calling plays on offense and lo and behold they scored 30 in 2 of the last 3 games. I think Dolphins are going through the motions. We saw how good KC can be as they roared out of the gate. And we saw them flat out awful. They are on the upswing again. Dolphins have been bad on the road. They pulled out a miracle win for us in Week 1. Lost to Jets 20-6. Shut out by Ravens 40-0. Lost by 24 at Carolina, 18 at NE, 8 at Buffalo. Pulled a gem out of the butts in Atlanta 20-17. We know they aren't scoring 20. Chiefs averaging nearly 30ppg last 3. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFSÂ |
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12-23-17 | Vikings -8 v. Packers | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Again. I will lay the big number. Not happy about it. But Minny is playing for a bye week, and a shot at home field throughout the playoffs. Possible since Eagles lost their QB. Ya never know. Now. If GB had A-Aron behind center. Different story. But that went out last week in their loss. No Rodgers. That is a dagger. They might be OK for a half. But I think the reality sets in. Fact is Hundley has been terrible. OT wins at Cleveland and over TB. Not exactly Vikings type teams. Did we see them get blanked by Baltimore? The only game he looked half-way decent in was against the Steelers. And we now that Pitt plays down to teams. And the fact that they admitted to looking ahead to New England. I think McCarthy is a terrible coach. It is obvious. No Rodgers, the team is pathetic. Zimmer is a great coach. They will be playing for blood tonight. Just look at this line. They are begging us to take the Packers. 8-9pt division home dog rivalry game. I'm not buying it. This is a deflated Packers team. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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12-23-17 | Colts v. Ravens -13 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. I'm going say this. I can make a case for taking every dog this NFL weekend. But then we will be dead broke. Like last December, the faves continue to crush. We have picked our spots with faves. Some cash, some lose. Laying basically 2 TDs in the NFL is not a recipe for long term success. But I look at Ravens as a team still alive for the playoffs. They get a Colts team that has an OL that has gotten their QB sacked 43 times this season. We had them last week on Thursday. They couldn't contain Brock! You would think they would play with some pride at home. You figure their HC is done after this season. Ravens win out, and are in the playoffs. 5 straight losses for the Colts. They blew another double digit lead, at home to boot! Indy hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game in over a month. Baltimore somehow averaging 30ppg their last 7 games. Ravens have forced 33 TOs, most in the league. I think our D is good for a pair today, and that should generate at least 10 extra points for us. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys -3 v. Raiders | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 29 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Would be easy to grab the home dogs, but not happening. Dallas sees playoff hope here. They have strung together a couple wins. They get their RB back soon. Eagles lose their QB. They have a playoff shot if they can win out. Raiders a lost season. I said at the start of they year when I had the Titans in Game 1 that the Raiders were lucky a lot last year. You can't sustain that 2 years in a row. Not going to get every break, or 1 point win or 2 pt conversion. Cowboys defense strong lately forcing TOs. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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12-17-17 | Jets v. Saints -15.5 | 19-31 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Yeah. I will lay more than 2 TDs with Brees at home. First. We have extra rest from that Atlanta loss (Though we cashed the Falcons) We catch the Jets coming off getting shut out and losing their QB. They will turn to Petty. Good luck in the dome kid. Bottom line for me here is this. New Orleans needs to keep winning as the Panthers 9-4 and Falcons 8-5 are right on their heels. Things are getting crazy in the NFC with Wentz out and Rodgers on the mend. And who knows about Dallas running the table to get back in the hunt. Saints 17-2-1 ATS last 20 at home when they are sporting a winning record. Final though on this one. Brees tossed that INT in the end-zone real late last week. You know that is killing him. He is coming out breathing fire today. Won't be shocked to see 14-0 end of 1st quarter en rout to a 40+ point day. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7.5 v. Giants | Top | 34-29 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the EAGLES. 9-1 ATS last 10 for Philly. Yes, they lost their QB. But Foles is no slouch. Guess people forget the guy had 27 TDs and 2 INTs back in 2013 in 13 games, 10 starts for these same Eagles. And right now, let's be honest. He is probably better than Eli. He has the better parts around him that is for sure. Really for me though is this. Giants are done. Last week would have been the game for them. New coach. Eli back. Home vs Cowboys. Nope. Doors blown off in the 4th. You can hear any life being sucked out of the building. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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12-17-17 | Bengals v. Vikings -10.5 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Two teams in total opposite directions. Cincy off getting smoked at home by the Bears. Where is there motivation? Their season was lost 2 weeks ago when they blew the game vs the Steelers. There will be, or least should be, a coaching change for the Bengals. Do we really think they rally around the coach? Time for a change from the top down. Minny home after 3 straight road games. Still have a lot to play for. I can't see their defense giving up more than 10-14 points today. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +5 v. Steelers | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS here. One really thing I like here is that Pitt is off that Cincy game. Man they hate Cincy. Almost as much as they hate Baltimore. Tough to come off such a physical, and emotional game like that. Now to get up for another hated division rival. Steelers appear, not to play down, but to always be in a game late. Maybe they are begging us to take Baltimore and Pitt rolls 34-17. But Ravens 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in the series. Pitt won 26-9 back in October. They have the Patriots on deck. I know they battled all the way back over Cincy. But the talk has been all New England and home field. I'll take the flyer on a division road dog. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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12-10-17 | Seahawks v. Jaguars -2.5 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS. Look. We cashed Seattle ML last week. But that was a home game. It was a totally disrespect game with a line starting at 6. This is a tougher game. First. Flying to the opposite coast. They get a break with a 4pm start. But they have a much bigger division game on deck vs Rams. And let's be honest here. This Jags defense is a beast. They will eat up this OL. Wilson will make a couple plays. But I think he is going to make a couple costly mistakes also. I think this is actually a 'statement' game for Jacksonville. They hear that Bortles is garbage and they can't win with him. I think they rally and show the league they are for real. We have to win by a FG not 2 TDs. 5* Best Bet JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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12-10-17 | Redskins v. Chargers -6 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS here. Easy to jump on LAC and say. Oh, no way they don't win by TD. I feel that every square will be on this play. And believe me. I have taken my lumps with dogs all year while the public has reaped the rewards of season of favorites. I'll tell you why I like this. Defense. Yes. Defense. LAC has been winning with their defense. 0-4 start for them. How about those first 2 losses. OT loss on the road to Jags. They have given up more than 24 points once on the year. To Philly (26). Not the Patriots in New England where they blew a cover losing 21-16. I can't take anything away from Cousins. Guy just fills the stat sheet. But I think Bosa (11.5 sacks) Ingram (8.5 sacks) get to him behind his banged up OL. Chargers 4th in sacks and 4th in INTs on the year. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
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12-10-17 | Titans v. Cardinals +3 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA today. Now. Many times you will see just grab ML when there are +2.5/ 3 points dogs. Not in this case. As much as I want to, I have to ease up just a bit. This is more of a fade play on the Titans. How the heck are these guys 8-4 and have been outscored on the season. They get another end of game cover on a break away run. I'm not sold. And that is completely opposite of how I started the season on them over the Raiders. Arizona knocked off the Jags here. Is this team better? I don't think so. Plus, how can you lay points with Mariota on the road? 3rd road game in 4 weeks for Titans, while this is 3rd straight at home for Cards. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALSÂ |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs -3.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 89 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS this afternoon. We cashed the Jets last week over KC as we had a nice 6-1 of NFL action. I think we start off today just like last Sunday. Andy Reid handed over the reigns of the offense and Alex Smith aired it out for 4 TDs and 366 yards. We have revenge for that crazy 31-30 loss back in Oakland. Go youtube that ending. Tough for us KC backers. We know that the Chiefs have allowed more than 20 points once (21) in their last 11 home games. After a 5-0 start, the desperation is reaching a fever pitch. Remember that Oakland was in the same desperate hole on Thursday night. They were 2-4 having dropped 4 straight. Now the shoe is on the other foot. 8* Sure Shot KC CHIEFSÂ |
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12-03-17 | Panthers v. Saints -4.5 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Yeah, the win streak is over. But losing to the Rams was expected from me. This is their must win game. They already took care of Carolina on the road and went on a nice run. They win this one and they wrap up the division like an early Christmas gift. Panthers with a lucky cover last week. I think they are in for a battle today. Saints bringing a pretty good run game to counter Brees and his accurate arm. Granted, the NO defense is always leaky. But Cam can bring a clunker when times get tough. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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12-03-17 | Browns v. Chargers -13.5 | 10-19 | Loss | -108 | 98 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS today. Yeah. Big number. Last week we lost with the Bears and Dolphins as big dogs. Pulled out Bills. That being said. The Browns aren't either of those teams. This franchise is a train wreck. 1-26 SU last 27 games. We laid the number with Cincy last week over Cleveland. Let's not forget. Browns BEAT the Chargers last year. What an embarrassing loss for the franchise! Payback time. 4-17 ATS last 21 for Cleveland. Chargers in a groove. Extra rest with win over Cowboys on Thanksgiving. Playoffs are in site. 4* Money Maker CHARGERS |
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12-03-17 | 49ers +3 v. Bears | 15-14 | Win | 105 | 40 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS here. Should probably just go +140/160 in the ML this afternoon. Look. I just think we have 2 teams, organizations if you will, heading in opposite directions. Where the Bears look to be moving on from Fox, SF is firmly behind its new hire. The players will be extra motivated with Jimmy G getting his first start. The guy looked good in his only starts. Granted. That is with the Hoodie directing the attack. Also. This Bears offense is anemic. How can you trust them laying any points. They had 6 rushing yards last week. Again, I am not saying SF is Philly. But I think we have at least the 'spark and motivation' factor with our QB. I'll take the 1 win Niners. 4* Money Maker SF NINERSÂ |
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12-03-17 | Bucs v. Packers -2.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Obviously, we had a nice showing from GB last week in Pitt. I hate just going off 1 game. But after 6 games, you would think he is grasping, or at least, getting better in the system. And let us not mistake Tampa for some great team. I think that HC Koetter could be given his walking papers at the end of the year. The Bucs give up the most yards per game. Tough to not like GB at home laying such a short number. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERSÂ |
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12-03-17 | Colts v. Jaguars -9 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGS. Can't believe I am backing Bortles laying this number. But the defense is no joke. And at least for us, the Colts are a complete joke. Jags with the road shut-out 27-0 in Indy. Now home, off a pair of back to back road games going 1-1 ending with a loss in Arizona last week. I think they come out angry. I think that 7-2 in conference play, they need every win they can get with the Titans breathing down their necks here in the South. Jax with 10 sacks in the first meeting. Colts still having problems on the OL as the Titans sacked the QB 8 times last week. Jags 3-0 SU/ ATS after a loss this year winning each game by at least 21. 44-7 over Ravens. 30-9 over Steelers and 27-0 over these Colts. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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12-03-17 | Chiefs v. Jets +3.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS here. Might even go +150 ML today. No way you can step on the KC train right now. Are you playing the they are do card? I get they have some nice weapons. But the run game has been awful. The QB play terrible. And the coaching is just not getting it done. Jets have played hard every game for their HC. This is the joke team that was suppose to go 0-16 or win 3 games this year. Jets have blown 4 4th quarter leads this year. They should be undefeated ATS at home. 4* Money Maker NY JETSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Saints v. Rams -2 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 46 h 7 m | Show | |
Taking the RAMS. LA home after taking an ugly loss vs the Vikings. But make no mistake. Minny defense at home is 100 times tougher than a Saints unit, on the road to boot. Saints had to come all the back with some OT to score a win over the Redskins. Again, Washington defense a notch below who the Rams trot out. Finally. New Orleans outside, no turf. 4* Money Maker LA RAMSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Bills +10 v. Chiefs | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 99 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking BUFFALO here. So. We had the Giants ML last week over KC. We bucked all the Andy Reid off bye trends. So what has changed? How are they a double digit favorite? These guys have stunk up the place since their fast start. Now, a little turmoil with the Bills. They bench Taylor. Backup tosses 5 INTs in a half. But we get Tyrod today. I think he will want to really stick it to his coach. He is looking for a payday after the season. KC defense not threatening at all in my eyes. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Dolphins +17 v. Patriots | 17-35 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS here. Uh. Man. These guys again. We had them for what ,5 straight weeks. Up and down. Nearly impossible to get in front of the Pats and Brady train. But this is a lot of points. NE home after spending 2 weeks away. They stayed in Denver to prep for the Mexico atmosphere. So this is a welcome home for them. Schedule makers have these guys meeting up in 2 weeks on a Monday night. I think we see Pats go through motions. While Moore could get nod for Miami and would want to prove he can QB in the NFL. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Browns v. Bengals -8 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 44 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. I know that I shouldn't be laying this number with Cincy as they are a team I really can't get a grasp on. But they have some guys on offense who can actually score some TDs for us. Browns 1-8 ATS last 9 games. How about 1-25 SU under Hue Jackson! 4-43 SU last 47. Holy Cow. My 11 year old has better numbers in Madden. Bengals a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 in the series. 4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Panthers -5.5 v. Jets | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 43 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS. I know the Jets are nice feel good story. We cashed them and have faded them. But I think a little reality sets in as the season goes on. First. Carolina is a playoff team. They seem to peaking. Jets were said to be an 0-16 team, though I was thinking they would win about 4-5 games. So here we are. As much blood Bowles has been getting out of this rock, the law of averages can, and will catch up to the Jets. They just aren't that talented. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ |
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11-26-17 | Bears +14 v. Eagles | 3-31 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 29 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. Big number. Gotta grab it. So, we cashed Chicago a few times already this year (Falcons, Steelers). They have beaten the Ravens, Steelers and Panthers who are a combined 20-10. The lost by a FG to Minny. Hung tough with the Saints. Covered vs the Falcons. Their 2 bad road losses. At Tampa, 2 INTs by Glennon, also 2 fumbles. At GB v Rodgers 2 INTs by Glennon, 2 more fumbles. A much improved product with the rookie behind center. And the defense is a solid bunch. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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11-23-17 | Chargers v. Cowboys | Top | 28-6 | Loss | -113 | 78 h 4 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS here. What a set up for us today. Are you kidding me. Down to a pk right now. Holy cow. Nothing like people betting on what they just saw. And what better for Chargers backers then seeing 54 points put up and Dallas getting crushed at home allowing 30 points in the 2nd half to Philly. Look. I like the Chargers. We have cashed with them a few times. Dallas looking lost with no Zeke the last 2 weeks. I have never liked Garrett. You can go through my write ups over the years about how he is a terrible coach. But this team is still pretty talented. As I write this, no word if Lee is suiting up for us. He is a huge key to the Boys defense. But again. It is about perception. Is LAC as good as what we saw, and is Dallas as bad? I don't think so. Thanksgiving short week. You damn well know the Cowboys will want to show the NFL World they are still 'America's Team' and going to make the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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11-23-17 | Vikings -2 v. Lions | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 74 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS here. Had them Sunday, and even though this a short week, will go back to the well. Case is having a nice little year. Leave the guy in there. 8-2 and the defense is doing there thing. I like Zimmerman as an edge on the sidelines. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -4 v. Cowboys | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 72 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES tonight. Ugh. Waited a bit instead of loading up early and we lose at least a point, maybe a point and half. Even with Elliot, I was leaning towards Philly. But after seeing the OL and problems last week, this is going to be a tough home game for the 'Boys. So. Birds with the week off. As I have said numerous times over the years, Garrett is a terrible coach. You see now, even with Dak, what Romo had to go through for all those years. Talent is great. Having guys around you is great. But if your defense doesn't help the cause, more often than not you will on the losing side of games. And, it hasn't happened much yet as Dak has wheels. But he will start throwing bad balls that will be picked. Lee is again banged up for Dallas. When that guy is healthy and playing, he totally lifts the entire defense. Eagles just look very good and out of their bye, we have to back the square play here. Thankfully, the Cowboys have a big public following, so instead of laying an even bigger number, we have a bit of an added edge. Philly by 10. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7 | 33-8 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS this afternoon. Nearly went the +270 on the ML here. Raiders desperate for a win. NE now with 12 straight road wins after crushing Denver. They stayed at AF to practice in the thin air. Raiders won here beating Texans so they are a bit more familiar with things. This is it for the Silver and Black. At 4-5, off their bye week. Circle the wagons and save your season time. Not a lot of faith in their HC so we will grab the points as opposed to going all in on ML. 4* Money Maker RAIDERSÂ |
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11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants +11 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 65 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS here and going +360 on the ML. You can grab 10.5/ 11. I am looking for the bigger payday. Now. I think that NYG are absolute trash. What can you possibly say positive about them? What a performance at SF! I see reports a player sent a text saying we hate the coach. Watch. Then after the game, another one. Told you so. Geez. I am no fan of Ben McAdoo, or McAdoo-Doo as I like to call him. But the last time the nails were in the Giants coffin, I, along with probably a lot of other people were stabbed to death with their win at Denver. I'm not going lie. I get it. Andy Reid off byes (16-2 SU). Nearly unbeatable. Alex Smith, 1 INT on the year. I'm sure Andy Reid has no love lost for the Giants organization after being with the Eagles. So he will want to show no mercy. But again. I have to think. These guys are pros. This is NY. Do they really want to be an absolute joke on the season? I know Eli has the dumb look on his face, and McAdoo-doo is in over his head. But knocking off a pretty good KC team will at least make for a happy Thanksgiving dinner. I haven't read or heard a person NOT on the Chiefs. We will also be on the over just as a little hedge if NY has a complete no-show and we get another performance like the one they gave the fans vs the Rams. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTSÂ |
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11-19-17 | Redskins +8 v. Saints | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 65 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS here. We also will be on the over as I think we get a bunch of points this afternoon. We know Washington has problems slowing things down. And, well Brees in the dome is good for a 30 spot. But Saints haven't faced many good QB. Cousins is a pretty decent arm who moves the ball and generates points. Tough to get in front of this hot New Orleans team no doubt. But , this is a decent number to be getting. And if things break right for us, forget the back door. We could be walking out the front door with a straight up W. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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11-19-17 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 21 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS here. So, maybe this is a bit of a sucker line. Bears have been tough, especially at home. We had them in games here at home vs the Falcons, Steelers and Vikings. The offense is just so hard to get behind at times. Lions offense, though limited with the short passes, does move the ball. Defense improved. Look at these Lions losses. 30-26 vs Falcons, which, some say should have been a TD for Detroit. 27-24 loss to the Panthers. And a tough 20-15 loss to the Steelers. Saints lit them up in New Orleans. Can we say the Bears are on those kind of levels? 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
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11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns +7.5 | 19-7 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
Late add here on the BROWNS. It took me this long to find the balls to play them. I do like the Jags. And we have cashed with them in other spots. But as much as I love the defense, laying a TD on the road is hard for me to. Nearly as hard as taking the crappy BROWNS. Make this a half points/ half ML 4* Money Maker |
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11-19-17 | Rams v. Vikings -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 65 h 26 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. I do like this Rams team. We have cashed them a few times already. But in this spot, I have to go Minny. I think their coach is just better right now. That is not a knock by any means on the youngster on the LA sideline. But I think this defense will rattle the Goff this afternoon. Again. I am not knocking the Rams or their defense. They have an old dog in Phillips calling things that will trip up boy Case for sure. That being said, this should be a very good game. Rams 117-24 their last 3 games. But beating up on the Texans with Savage at QB and nary a defense to field and dropping a pitiful Arizona team 33-0 at home is nice for the fantasy fans. Let's not overlook Minny putting up a respectable 95 points their last 3 games, 2 on the road. So we can score a bit. As hot as the Rams have been, they are due for a market adjustment. I think it comes this afternoon. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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