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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-19 | Lions v. Bears -2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. I will be the first to say I had these guys pegged correctly. Total under team and not making the playoffs or winning the North. That being said, the offense is so terrible. Thought about ML -140 here! Lions, dome team outside. I have no idea if it will be windy, snow, rain, cold. But, I know November football outdoors for dome QBs are something that has always been profitable. Chicago defense still fierce. Everyone so down on Tribusky. I won't be shocked to see a QB change at halftime or sooner if it's another pathetic outing. But something tells me Chicago really brings it today at home. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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11-10-19 | Ravens -10 v. Bengals | 49-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 51 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS as a small Money Maker today. Normally, I, probably like many others, looking to fade teams off huge win over Pats on national TV. But, to back Cincy, even off a bye week. Eh, tricky proposition. I know they have a new guy under center. Just don't think that helps the leagues worse rush defense. I think we see a steady run, run, TE, run, run, run, run, run, WR, TE. Well, you get the picture. Harbaugh will have something for a new QB to chew on. It won't be tasty. Ravens defense solid. Bengals got the backdoor win under 2 to play in Baltimore. I think they get a late score here, but it could be their first one of the game. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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11-10-19 | Falcons +14 v. Saints | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Oh the 1-7 Atlanta Falcons don't can their HC during the bye week. Matt Ryan back. You have to give them credit for sitting at 1-6 and not quitting against Seattle two weeks ago. Now. Brees back. All right in New Orleans. But I can't back them at this price, even with them having an improved defense. Ryan and Julio always put up numbers here. Add in Ridley and Hooper who is having a nice season. I think this is too many points. Saints 3-12 ATS last 15 as double digit home favorites vs division rivals. Underdog on a 8-3 ATS run last 11 in the series. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Giants | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Think this will be a bit of shootout, so maybe look a little at the over. But my top play is on the side. Dallas out of the bye. Getting healthy all around. The defense has under-achieved in my eyes. I think they really get after Jones behind center. NYG OL not great shakes at all. Key here to a nice double digit win is Zeke and Dak. They pound early, open things up, and you get the big plays from Dallas WRs. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +4 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 166 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Have to like these guys in off their bye week. We know this will be a low scoring affair. Thomas, Ingram and friends rolling along for over 200 yards rushing a game. That is some old school ground and pound. Going to grab the home dogs in this spot. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the BROWNS. I wasn't high on these guys to start to the year. Still not high on them. But they have the best offensive guys on the field. If they can't pull out a win here, fire the coach before the flight home. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Bucs +6 v. Seahawks | Top | 34-40 | Push | 0 | 51 h 9 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY. Like Russell for sure. This is a no brainer when it comes to the QBs here. But Seattle does like to run. And Tampa brings a solid run D. Also, I don't think Seattle can handle the Bucs WRs. These are two #1 wide-outs that could star on any team. Seahawks just not covering as faves. How about 10 straight dogs now in Seattle games? 1-5 ATS this season for Seattle and 0-4 ATS at home. Their 2 wins at home, 21-20 over Cincy, 30-29 over the Rams (remember Rams missed FG at end). Lost to Teddy Bridgewater 33-27, lost to Ravens 30-16. Can't trust them laying even vs this team. 8* Sure Shot TB BUCCANEERSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Vikings +2.5 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. You know I am high on these guys. I think the offense is vastly improved and not just because Diggs called out his QB. Cook has really come alive behind this OL lately. That is what makes this team go. Zimmer will have the defense ready for whoever they face. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Redskins +10 v. Bills | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. I'll go ugly people. We aren't scared of making money. Green is green. You can't have faith in the Bills to lay a big number like this. The offense is not built for scoring like that. I had the Bills last week. I like Buffalo. Just in this spot, too many points to pass up. Bills have scored 14,13,10 in 3 of their last 4 games. Points all day for us. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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11-03-19 | Bears v. Eagles -4 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 48 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. You can't win on the road, or at home even, without a QB. And the Bears are lacking a QB. Yeah. Great defense. But you aren't winning many games 2-0, 3-0, 9-3. Eagles too many weapons not to score something. And the defense is average enough to hold this team to 10 or less points. As great as Bears defense, let's not forget before holding the Chargers in check, 60 points to Saints and Raiders. Couldn't stop Oakland to win a game. 36 to Saints. Eagles look to build off last weeks win. I was against them there, 3 straight on the road. Home, they have to start getting some wins to keep pace with Dallas. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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11-03-19 | Jets -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -119 | 48 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the JETS, my Top Play of the Week. All the money pouring in on the Dolphins. I get Jets looking bad. But I am all over them today. Let's remember, Gase was run out of Miami last year. You don't think this is a huge game for him? You don't think any Jets players on the roster from last year wants payback for losing both games to Miami. Jets by double digits. 10* Money Bomb NEW YORK JETSÂ |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +5 | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Will take KC with Matt Moore behind center. This isn't a nobody rookie behind center. This guy has some starts and wins under his belt. Everyone coming in real heavy with the Packers and what they saw out of Rodgers. Forget that game. Past is past. Today, KC is the play. Have we forgot the gift officiating or just plays that went in GB's favor the last 2 weeks. 5 home games. Time for a road trip and you're favored? Andy Reid 37-17 SU in KC. How about Aaron Rodgers 46-46 career road record! 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFSÂ |
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10-27-19 | Panthers +6 v. 49ers | Top | 13-51 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the PANTHERS. Off a bye week, I think they are ready to pick off the Niners. We had the Redskins and managed a half point cover without scoring a point. Washington then proceeded to bite us in the butt on Thursday night as they don't force a punt, but still manage to cover the number. Back to the Niners. Just a spot I think is bad for them. Still banged up on the OL. Plus, short week with division rival Arizona on deck. That is where their focus will be. They can drop an out of division game. Heck, they can win and not cover. I just think that since Cam has been out, this is a different team. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ |
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10-27-19 | Jets +6.5 v. Jaguars | 15-29 | Loss | -103 | 41 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. People will be down on them after that MNF performance. And that is why we are getting a little extra value on the point spread. Jags no the Patriots and especially not the coaching staff. Can't trust Mishew laying this number. 4* Money Maker NY JETSÂ |
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10-27-19 | Broncos v. Colts -4 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 10 m | Show |
Taking the COLTS. Again, back as our Top Play this week. I can't believe this line is where it is. I am shocked is not over a touchdown. In fact, it has dropped a bit. I have no clue why. How can a sharp money player come in on Denver? They just traded a veteran WR. Their QB has looked awful in pocket. Their defense is ok which you would expect from this HC. But everything else is a mess. Indy a focused a group. I said this from the moment Luck went down. There is not really a huge drop off to Brissett. Kid filled in when Luck was lost for the season before. That is huge. The defense cost them games that season. That has improved. The OL has improved. The run game. Everything has improved. Like this HC. You see how Philly has struggled since he has left. Much like the guy in SF. He leaves ATL after the Super Bowl loss and Falcons can't muster anything. Huge end on the sidelines for us today. I don't care about extra rest for Denver. That team played scared even after Mahomes went down. If this isn't a double digit win I will be shocked. 10* Money Bomb INDIANAPOLIS COLTSÂ |
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10-27-19 | Giants +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS. Might even sprinkle some +250 ML here. Giants getting healthy on offense. Rookie Daniel Jones with some new toys returning. Barkley, Tate, Engram. They will score some points here. Lions who I thought were off to a promising start, well, losing your RB hurts. I just can't back the Lions as a favorite of this size. 8* Sure Shot NY GIANTSÂ Â |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings -16 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. I think it is safe to say that Cousins will have all his teammates ready to face his old club. Yeah, AP makes a return to Minny, but, let's be honest here. If one of these guys is taking over this game, its' the guy who has tossed for 10TDs (1int) and nearly 1000 yards the last 3 games. Vikings offense starting to click behind their new line, and their defense is always a stout unit. Should have a fun game vs a revolving QB door set to see another ex Viking player in Case Keenum behind center. Perhaps Colt McCoy or even a forgotten rookie might see action in this short week skirmish. Vikes 19-2-2 ATS last 24 at home vs non-con foes. I doubt we see a repeat of them losing as huge faves as they did to Buffalo last year. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets +10.5 | Top | 33-0 | Loss | -130 | 179 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the JETS. New Jets team people. I thought at the start of the season, they were a playoff team. Then mono and injuries show up and you have a 3rd stringer in their behind center and the wheels are falling off. Well, Mono-Man is back. The OL is still a concern for me. But I do like the defense. I think with a real NFL QB you make your RB that much better. Everything improves. Jets HC has beaten Pats while in Miami. Always a tough series here. You can't really knock NE. The defense is taking the ball away every game. What I see is Brady throwing some end-zone INTs. Patriots offense is ok, but nothing really special. 5* Best Bet NY JETSÂ |
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10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys -2.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. This is it for Garrett. Guy needs to get this team together. And honestly, judging by the team walking by his open hands, he's in trouble. Eagles in off their own loss getting mauled in Minny. Much tougher losing to a guy who hasn't played since August though. Still think the Dallas offense is superior though. It was seems like a yearly thing since selling their souls to win the Super Bowl, Philly again decimated by injuries on both sides of the ball. I think we see some points tonight, but the Cowboys should win this one by double digits. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
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10-20-19 | Saints v. Bears -4 | Top | 36-25 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. Great run by Teddy B with 4 straight wins and the Saints can't be complaining. Guy was decent in Minny, so not exactly a true back up. But, back to back road games tough in the NFL. At Seattle, home vs Dallas and Tampa - road win vs hot Panthers. Bears going to be an angry bunch for sure. Bad loss in London. I don't care who is throwing the ball, Chicago wins with defense. And, we have seen when Teddy and the Saints get a good defense, they struggle. 13-6 last week. 12-10 over Dallas. We have seen Tampa and Seattle give up plenty of points. Bears allowing just 13.8ppg and are on a 17-6-1 ATS run at home last 24 games. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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10-20-19 | Raiders +6 v. Packers | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the RAIDERS. Raise your hand if you had Oakland with this many wins so far- Now stop lying. You know that nobody though they would be in this position. And yeah, this is a tough position as it is another away game. Next week in Houston and this is over a month on the road for the Raiders. But, they are off a bye and back from London. A game they mauled with their run game. Packers defense not on Chicago's level. I think Carr is a decent QB. When a team is playing with house money, there is no pressure. Pressure now on GB after the refs gifted them a win on MNF. This line was 7 to start and I see 5s now starting to show. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND RAIDERSÂ |
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10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins +10 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 63 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. So, faded both of these teams last week. Had Miami ML and was big on the Rams. Will fade SF laying this hefty number. As I said last week. They are coming in off a short week vs Rams who had lost 2 straight. They are missing 2 starting OL men plus a FB. Their WR corp is average at best. But yet, they won going away. Redskins canned their HC and came out with renewed fire. Expect more of the same. SF HC talking smack about the Redskins will inflame some here, but especially ownership. Bill Callahan taking over is a guy with his own chip on his shoulder. Run out of his HC job as the Raiders after taking team to Super Bowl (vs old HC Gruden). I know it's ugly, but we have to bite. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
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10-20-19 | Rams v. Falcons +3 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the FALCONS. Both of these guys in a bit of a free-fall. I think the Dan Quinn era(rror) is going to be coming to an end soon. Granted, the kicking has bit them in the butt, but what a waste of this offensive talent. Rams come in now losers of 3 straight, and have an early start time, while playing Matty Ice at home who has pretty good numbers here. That says all you need to know about the state of the Falcons. Ryan leading the NFC in TD passes and yards. He has a pair of pretty decent wide-outs if you don't know them. Job on the line here for the home team HC. Dog Outright. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 11 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER here. Faded these guys last week. Not a smart move. Broncos haven't given up a TD in 2 straight games now. So, home dog on a short week. I get everyone loves Mahomes. But he doesn't look the same to me. Up and down. Maybe a little nicked up. Denver with the RBs to keep the KC offense limited and off the field. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOSÂ |
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10-14-19 | Lions +6 v. Packers | Top | 22-23 | Win | 100 | 178 h 53 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS and will be looking at +215 on the ML. Everyone will be on the Packers after they dismantled Dallas early. They will probably over look the INTs, the missed FGs, the 500+ yards off offense they gave up. Oh, it's Aaron Rodgers at home and they only have to win by a touch down. Detroit off bye. Had that crazy KC game before. For me though. This is just a great situational spot for the road team. Extra prep time for division rival. I get it. GB will be looking for revenge off 31-0 loss here at home last year. But, no Rodgers. I don't put much merit in that angle. 5* Best Bet DETROIT LIONSÂ |
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10-13-19 | Steelers v. Chargers -6 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -106 | 154 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. This Pitt team is in trouble this year. Forget the QB problems. This defense has yet to get an offense off the field when it needs to. Enter the Chargers off a brutal home loss. Yeah, we had Denver and the points. But I thought they would hang tough and too much Rivers and Allen would win a close shoot-out. Instead. LAC couldn't do anything right. I expect them to get right here. A big offensive night for this team. 8* Sure Shot LA CHARGERSÂ |
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10-13-19 | Titans +2.5 v. Broncos | 0-16 | Loss | -118 | 65 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking TENNESSEE. Ugly pick for sure. Tough taking a team that is playing without a place kicker! Missed 4 last week. Yikes. Titans have 3 losses and didn't allow more than 20 points in any of them. ugh. Rough. But, that means we are in every game. Denver has scored more than 20 just once, their last game. 3 games less than 20. Flacco not doing much offensively. Broncos 2-7 ATS last 9 at home and just broke an 8 game losing streak. How about a 3-12-1 ATS run for Denver as favorites. Underdog has won every Titans game this season. 4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -4 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. So, we had ML play on Seattle last Thursday. Tough, tough loss as Rams miss FG at end of game. Looking inside the stats here. Rams put up basically 30 points in about 25 minutes of work. Closed in on nearly 500 yards of offense. This is a huge game for LAR sitting at 3-2. We have Niners here on Monday Night. I think they win this over the Browns. That means, a short week. Off a MNF win. While Rams sitting with extra for this monster divisional game. Everyone remembers what they last saw. That is Niner domination, and Rams chocking on a late FG. 10* Money Bomb LA RAMS |
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10-10-19 | Giants v. Patriots -16 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 82 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I'll lay the big number again with New England. We had Minny over the Giants last week also. NYG are not a good team. Don't be fooled by a comeback win in Tampa. Or a win over the Redskins with a rookie QB who came in after an injury after not taking a snap. And, Danny Dimes wasn't that great there anyway with his turnovers. Now he is on the road, short week, after the team was exposed again at home. Good luck vs this Patriots defense. Big number, yes. But NE will get their 30. Won't be shocked if the defense sets up a couple short fields. Also on the Under. 4* Money Maker NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSÂ |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -3.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking the NINERS. Have not seen a single thing to warrant backing the Browns. I get it. You are thinking. Huge road win over division rival. Well. Baltimore looked good whipping Miami. They struggled vs Arizona. Got a back door in KC. And throttled by the Browns. Who. Struggled at the Jets. Couldn't do anything vs the Rams who gave up 50 to the Bucs. These Niners have surprised me out of the gate. Short number. Browns with a target on their backs because of their personalities. Don't like the Cleveland HC. All I know is that since Shanahan has come to SF, the Falcons can't do a lick on offense. Homers get it done. 4* Money Maker SF 49ers |
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10-06-19 | Packers v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 29 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. I get that people will be giddy getting Aaron Rodgers at a FG or maybe even 3.5. This game is going to be a Dallas BLOWOUT. One. Let's talk about what we last saw from Dallas. Them struggling in the Dome vs the Saints. Wasn't like the defense didn't show up. Hats off to Sean Payton and company out-coaching Jason Garrett though this is nothing new. At home, off a prime time loss, Dallas primed for a rout. So GB has some extra rest. They need it. They were just exposed by the Eagles. If you want to say Dallas didn't play anyone, let's talk about the Packers defense and their performances. You really impressed with them shutting down the Bears and Broncos. And getting Cousins at home to throw a bad INT - No DeVonte is a big blow to Rodgers WR corp. Someone will probably step up, but it won't be enough. Think Dallas OC adjusts, and Zeke has a monster game to open things up for Dak. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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10-06-19 | Broncos +6 v. Chargers | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. Ugly for sure. But I have to think to myself. Why is this line so low? I mean, Rivers at home should carve this team up. But, we have a brutal HC patrolling the sidelines. He looks across to a football lifer who was actually a pretty damn good DC for a lot of years. Win-less is not where Vic expected to be, that's for sure. Denver hasn't forced a turnover. Von Miller has been invisible. And yet, I see this line. I'm gonna sprinkle some ML on this puppy. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOSÂ |
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10-06-19 | Patriots -14.5 v. Redskins | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 143 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking PATRIOTS. I'll square play these guys. Didn't have any skin in the game last week. Kinda liked Buffalo and the points, but the numbers showed Brady historically destroys them. And to be honest. 13-0 early and Brady gets picked in endzone. It is 20-0 going half and not 13-3. Let's not forget Brady with 0 TD passes last week and just 150 yards passing. This guy is an ego maniac. He isn't talking another game off going through motions. He is throwing 3-4 TDs this week. Plus, a bonus if Redskins roll out Haskins for his first official start. Won't be shocked to see Gruden not even coaching this game depending how his week goes. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTSÂ |
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10-06-19 | Jets v. Eagles -13.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 60 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Will lay the 2 TDs basically here. Look. We have extra rest. We have Philly seemingly getting better as the games progress. Jets a hot mess. Darnold injury just buries the season for NY. They can't rush him back. Bell saying the right things, but the mercurial RB is basically, in my eyes, a time bomb. Eagles should be able to exploit the defense for 4 scores. Wentz should have a nice day. The defense has no excuse possibly facing a 3rd string QB. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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10-06-19 | Bucs +3 v. Saints | 24-31 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking TAMPA BAY. Should have grabbed these guys earlier for the extra hook. But honestly, not sure it matters. Yeah, maybe we get a couple average bettors jumping on TB cause of their huge outburst last week. Facts are though, they have played NO tough. At home winning heading into the 4th, lose 28-14 after 17 points from Brees. That was after beating NO on the road 48-40. 31-24, a Tampa home win the previous December. They have split out the regular season going back to 2015. And that is with Brees. Granted, Bridgewater isn't chopped meat. But he isn't Brees. Offense hasn't look good in 2 of 3 games. They got some TOs and special teams help in Seattle. Tampa can move the ball and put up points. I like their HC. This division is wide open right now. Anything is possible. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAYÂ |
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10-06-19 | Falcons +4 v. Texans | 32-53 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking ATLANTA. Will grab the Falcons here. Tough yes. Looked terrible last week at home as we did cash on the Titans in that spot. I do have that future ticket for Atlanta to win the NFC South. Just too much talented to be wasted on the offense here. And let's be honest. Houston is as bad an up and down club as the Falcons. Their coach may possibly be worse. Make no mistake. Falcons lose here and you can close the door on their season. Rally the troops Atlanta. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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10-06-19 | Bears -4 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. Call me crazy. Call me anything you want. Just don't call me late for dinner. Said on my video last Sunday about this Bears offense. I think they are better with Mitch OUT. Give me Chase all day long. The offense can't get worse. Oh yeah, LONDON ALERT. This isn't in Oakland or LA, or Vegas or wherever the heck the Raiders lay their heads down. These outfit is half a globe away from home. You don't think Mack is going to wind up his buddies to make sure to release the dogs of war on his former team and coach? If Chicago can get any offense going this is going to be a blood bath. This would be a normal 10* Play. But have to downgrade a bit based on the travel, time, field. Bears roar behind their defensive leader. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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10-06-19 | Vikings -5 v. Giants | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 9 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. On these guys AGAIN!! Yes, we have been on Minny all season long with mixed results. I'll tell you this - If Cousins can't solve this defense, it is really time for them to move on. Eat the contract. What a waste of this WR dynamic duo. Not to mention their TE. Cook should feast on this Giants defense. This is a BAD TEAM people. Don't be fooled by a crazy comeback at Tampa or the fact they beat a rookie QB who looked lost last week. Daniel Jones has some problems that just haven't come up and bite him yet. Fumbles and INTs vs this defense, rest assured, will be turned into points by this anemic offense. For me. This is really a season changer for the Vikings. They should come in here with their excellent HC and defense and really dictate this game to the Giants. Cousins, even with short passes should carve these guys up. The NFC North is there for the taking. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 79 h 52 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I can see where part of you wants to come on and back a team that scores 40. I can see where you want to back a team that gave up 55 at home, since, you want to prove you aren't that bad. But what we have seen, two very extreme sides to the Rams. We see them struggle to put up 20 points in Cleveland. We see defense vs Saints and Browns. We see they can't stop Bucs. We see Goff struggle. We see 500 yards. We see 3 INTs. We see Gurley clearly has something wrong. We see this team is not a Super Bowl contender. I had these guys under 10.5 wins to start the season, still feeling real good about that. Now they face Seattle. Always tough at home. We had our Top Play on Seattle last week. And with good reason. Pete Carroll isn't letting rookie QBs and HC make him look dumb. He just went to work and won. Last year, 2 slug fests that Rams won 36-31 and 33-31. Gurley 120 in one game, 3 TDs in another. That guy isn't showing up. You know who is. Russell Wilson. Guy has been doing it for years. Not a flash in pan like Goff or injured like Gurley. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKSÂ |
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09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 3-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking the BENGALS. Both these teams in for a long season. I'll grab the veteran QB who has performed pretty good in prime time. Cincy already moved on from their HC and has a new regime. Pitt facing those choices now with Big Ben out of picture and them struggling. I know Pitt at home is tough, But I just do no think they are that good. We see no quit in Cincy. Tough at Seattle. Tough at Buffalo. Won't be different vs rival. 4* Money Maker CINCY BENGALS |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Saints | Top | 10-12 | Loss | -112 | 168 h 9 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Have yet to see the Saints defense show up for a series this season. Not a chance they can slow down Dallas. Even if Brees was playing, we would be on Dallas. Tons of talent on both offenses. Just think Cowboys D is a step or two above N'awleans. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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09-29-19 | Vikings +3 v. Bears | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -115 | 164 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. We have been on these guys all season. Will come back again here on the road. We had Packers over Bears here. We will take Minny over Bears. Vikes bring their own pretty good defense to the battle today. Getting a FG, I know its tough with Cousins and how he screws things up sometimes. But, this is a balanced attack. Not high on Chicago offense at all. They will be coming off MNF so that helps us a bit in the rest department. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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09-29-19 | Bucs +10 v. Rams | 55-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the BUCCANEERS. Rams on a short week. Didn't look to impressive barely eking out a cover. I get they are home where Goff plays better. But tough spot with angry Bucs in town. They themselves off a heart-breaker. 4* Money Maker TB BUCS |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -5 v. Cardinals | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 36 m | Show |
Taking SEATTLE. Punt return and a fumble return for TD put Seahawks in a tough spot. Gotta believe in Pete Carroll to have these guys ready to rock a rookie QB and HC. Clear edge on the sidelines for us. Panthers just came here and did whatever they wanted to do. Something that the Ravens couldn't do at home. But with a backup QB across the field, Arizona was ambushed by a 4 TD outings. Russell Wilson comes in off a 400 yard game. 4 of the last 6 games have been decided by a FG. The other two, a tie and a 6 pt win. I think this is going to be a beat down in the 30-10 type range. 440+ yards per game for Arizona D with 0 INTs yet. Cards 1-15-1 SU last 17 games. 10* Money Bomb SEATTLE SEAHAWKSÂ |
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09-29-19 | Chargers -15 v. Dolphins | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 61 h 6 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I know. Laying huge numbers here. But this Miami team is terrible. Rivers to Allen alone should account for 28 points. And I am not saying he catches 4 TDs. I am saying along the course of the game that this combo is going to be position to put up at least 4 scores. Where is Miami getting 14 points from? Because I see at least 30 from the Chargers. 133-16! 6pts a game for Dolphins. Now back to back losses for LAC. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERSÂ |
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09-29-19 | Redskins +3 v. Giants | 3-24 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Man. You would think that the next Brady, Manning, Phil Simms just fell into the Giants laps last week. The hyps is strong on Danny Dimes. Maybe fellow rookie Haskins makes and an appearance this afternoon. Look. I am not as high as everyone after one game. Everyone loving NYG today. Redskins have some pride themselves after being humiliated on MNF (we had them). Sign me up for the real ugly dogs early. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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09-29-19 | Titans +4 v. Falcons | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 61 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. I like the Falcons. This is their division to lose know with Brees out. I have them at a nice plus money ticket to win the South. But my oh my do they play down to teams. Their failures on the road continue after losing to Vikings and last week to the Colts. They mauled Philly in a physical affair - but, let's not forget they had to pull that win out of their butts. 6 INTs for Matty Ice after 7 all of last year. For me though, we get extra rest with Tennessee. The are going to try to run, run, run and then throw to their tight end. I think this is going to be an ugly affair. Falcons seem to play down to teams. But, Titans 12-10 their last 22, how about 8-16 last 24 for Atlanta. We have the better defense in a game of two desperate teams. Coin flip game to me and we are getting a bit more than a FG. 5* Best Bet TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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09-26-19 | Eagles +4.5 v. Packers | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 96 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Also will be going ML +190 on this one. I know short week. On the road. Not high on the Packers here. Yes, we had them last week and faded the Lions. But, new day, new week. Getting more than a FG we have to play the dogs here. Banged up guys, questionable guys. Doesn't matter as long as we have our QB upright. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +4.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -110 | 191 h 18 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. Look. I have faded Washington in both first two weeks. And, faded the Bears in both weeks. 3-1 there for us. But honestly, how can you like Chicago. I get it. The defense will travel. It is tough. But that offense is brutal. Borderline offensive. At least sitting at 0-2, Redskins haven't quit. They have are battling. Off 2 division foes, it will tough to get up. But hello Monday Night Football. Taking the home dog in prime time. I said from Day 1 I thought Bears would be down a bit. Barking doggy here possibly outright. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Rams v. Browns +3 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -110 | 148 h 15 m | Show |
Taking CLEVELAND. Look. Can't be happy at the sloppy play on MNF vs the Jets. Some real dumbness from the Browns. We get a little reprieve as this is the night game as opposed to an early start. Rams good yes. Faded them at Carolina, big backing of them vs Saints. But this is a tough spot. The OL didn't look all that good last week. Cleveland for all the ugliness can still bring some pressure. Talented home dog in Prime Time vs NFC Super Bowl Reps from last year. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND BROWNSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks +1 | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 149 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. No Brees and can get a point. This line will be on the move. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Texans v. Chargers -3 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker LA CHARGERSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 164 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS. So Big Ben is injured. He plays, he doesn't. Steelers really have some issues brewing. They looked terrible at New England. That's allowed. But to not even be in control before Ben got injured. We saw Seattle basically lay an egg at home. And they are not historically good in September. Especially on the road. So now they may have a new man under center. We have seen the Niners perform pretty well on both sides of the ball so far. The rush attack is pretty solid. Defense getting it done. Actually shocked this isn't 3 with Big Ben. I guess the thinking is Pitt is desperate at 0-2. Home team for me. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRAN 49ers |
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09-22-19 | Panthers v. Cardinals +3 | 38-20 | Loss | -125 | 122 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. Faded these guys in both games so far - hasn't worked out well. What I do see in this team is zero quit. So why wouldn't we play them as home dogs vs Carolina. Panthers look terrible. Cam is banged up again. More worried about like Whitney Houston in The Bodyguard at his presser then looking like a NFL QB. Panthers on a 2-8 ATS run last 10 - absolutely zero right being any size fave. Cards on a 7-3-1 ATS run their last 11. They covered vs Seattle and Chicago both here last year, and beat San Fran. I don't think Carolina is as good as any of those teams. Homies playing tough for their new HC. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers -8 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 161 h 34 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. Had GB in Week 1, faded them against Minny. Had Denver both games. And the Broncos both games have looked brutal on offense. We saw Carr move the ball on these guys. I am sure Rodgers will be able to do the same. Packers defense was good vs Bears, but what does that mean. We just Chicago struggle at Denver. What I like was what we saw against Minny. Flacco not better than Cousins,and he does not have the skill players around him like the Vikings provide. This line will probably only go up. 4* Money Maker GB PACKERSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Ravens v. Chiefs -6.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -109 | 161 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the CHIEFS. Well. Interesting game vs the Raiders. Explode for 28 in the 2nd quarter, and decide to take the other 3 quarters off. Back to Back roadies to start the year, now their home opening. I had the Ravens both weeks. And I'll tell you what. If you can't contain a rookie QB and HC playing 3000 miles from home. And you want to get cute and not score TDs, well, you won't be winning 23-17 games. You will be losing 44-20 at KC and other good teams. Ravens don't look like an elite bunch. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Bengals v. Bills -5 | 17-21 | Loss | -115 | 160 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I am a Buffalo believer. Had them Week 1. Had them Week 2 as our Free Pick Video play. And will come again for their home opener. Cincy showing their true stripes at home as the Niners just absolutely rip them. Don't be fooled. Bills have a solid defense. And their OL can make some holes for their backs. Gore looks like the #1, but Singletary is the home run hitter coming out of the backfield. Cincy can't stop the run and have zero rush attack themselves. Bernard 13 for 27 and Mixon 17 for 27. Good luck sledding in Buffalo. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -7.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 160 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Time to fade away on the Raiders. The losses will start piling up. Ugly game from Minny at GB, so you know they will be 100% focused here and not overlooking Oaktown. We saw the Bills come in here and still a win last year. Not happening. 1-1 for Vikes, and need to keep pace with 2-0 GB who is also 2-0 in division. Zim at home always strong. Everything just better for Minny on their home turf. We saw KC not score in 3 quarters and still dominate Oakland. I think Vikings put up 30+ and Raiders don't know what hit them. Their defense won't allow RB Jacobs to control this game. They have their own RB who can put on a show. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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09-22-19 | Lions +7 v. Eagles | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 119 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the LIONS. So these guy buried us in Week 1. We avoided them last week against the Chargers. Now they take to the road getting a TD. You know I am no Philly fan. But the bias is not shying through here. This is an overvalued team right now. We saw it in Week 1 vs Washington. We even saw it last week against the Falcons. And we were on Atlanta. But that wasn't an easy win. Philly banged up all over the place. Plus, this can easily be a look ahead for them. Green Bay on Thursday night lurks ahead. Lions defense looked great first 3 quarters in Arizona before, I am assuming, not playing the 4th quarter. They held a pretty good QB in Brees in check last week. And we know Stafford is a stat compiler late in games. Back door wide open for him to come strolling in. 8* Sure Shot DETROIT LIONSÂ |
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09-16-19 | Browns -2.5 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 105 h 45 m | Show | |
Let's try of a middle here. BROWNS -- Like the Patriots line that has ran away from where we got it, a middle opportunity arises.. Fact is though. If Darnold and Bell were both playing, I would have been on the home dogs. Jets may keep it close for a bit, but the QB position is huge. I know Browns have OL problems, but they should be able to handle a depleted Jets team. 4* Money Maker CLEVELAND BROWNS |
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09-15-19 | Eagles v. Falcons +2 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Eagles took off the first half against the Redskins and then gave up a garbage TD with 6 seconds left to lose the cover. Falcons couldn't do anything right at Minny. Well. Matty Ice and friends are home in the dome. Matt Ryan 10-1 SU/ATS in home openers. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos +3 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS. Lost an ugly one with these guys on Monday night. But we are home and angry. Plus, as everyone probably already knows. Our HC was the DC of the Bears. Like I said when we took the Packers of Chicago. Bears defense will be good. But they won't be historically great. We saw how bad the offense looks. Are you telling me Miller and Chubb won't be able to get after Trubisky this afternoon? He's a statue. And the play calling is highly questionable. Give me Denver who has every player strength and weakness marked down on that Bears sideline. 5* Best Bet DENVER BRONCOS |
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09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. Not impressed by what we say from the Redskins. Think that is a combination of Eagles playing down, and everyone against Washington. Once Philly turned it on, Washington had no answer. Garbage TD with 6 seconds left for the back door. Dallas looks pretty fluid. Defense should have no problem shutting this team down. Offense was clicking. We'll lay the short number. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -105 | 159 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking MINNESOTA. Will grab the Vikes as a small dog. I get GB with some extra rest. They will need it after that opening night slug fest with the Bears. We cashed them as a nice Best Bet, but here as a fave, we will back off. Cook really looks good. The run game for Minny very nice in win over Atlanta. Think we have the better offense. Think we have the better defense. Getting points. Minny 5-1-1 SU last 6 vs Packers. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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09-15-19 | Cardinals v. Ravens -13 | 17-23 | Loss | -102 | 158 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Look. We had these guys last week. Scoring 59 was real nice. Do I expect that again. Of course not. Miami looks historically bad, and new out of the locker room looks very bad. Now Baltimore gets Arizona. A rookie QB and rookie HC. I will be the first to say my Lions picks was a brutal one. Up 24-6 in the 3rd and the team your playing having 3 first downs, you should really seal the deal. But hello Matt Patricia. Not that Kliffy is much better. We have the superior staff today. We have Arizona in an early time slot. More importantly, we have film on Kyler. This Baltimore is solid. If Hollywood is the real deal at WR, watch out. The run game is solid. Detroit should have sealed up a, at worse 24-10, 27-17 type of game. I can't see Cards pulling off the same stunt this week. I like the Over here as well because I think BLT gets in the 30s. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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09-15-19 | Patriots -14.5 v. Dolphins | 43-0 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking the Patriots. Miami as bad as advertised. No OL. Poor defense. Poor QB play. Patriots look like, well, defending Super Bowl champs. Defense looks very good again. I mean..they shut down the Steelers. Don't forget how they shut down the Rams offense either. Does Miami have 1 offensive player starting on either team. It's a huge number. I get it. AB maybe on the field. As if Brady needs another weapon. I know Pat's have problems playing in South Beach, but we're laying it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
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09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | 28-26 | Loss | -100 | 146 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. Please don't come in shocked off the Patriots beating these guys again. That is just what New England does. So Pitt at home. Big Ben always better at home. Not sold on this Seattle team. Looked a little dicey vs Cincy. For me, we have angry Steelers in home opener. Seattle can afford to lose a non conference game. Things get tricky if Pitt can't seal this one at home. They have to travel to San Fran next, which won't be easy if Jimmy G is shaping into form. Then home for back to back division games. Again. Seattle a different team on the road. Steelers a different team at home. Big Ben to JuJu for a big game this afternoon. 4* Money Maker PITT STEELERSÂ |
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09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6 | 20-14 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking CAROLINA. Tough loss backing these guys last week. But, short week. Home. Everything out of the locker room points to a big game. Tampa doing Tampa things with Winston still being turnover prone. 2 fumble. 3 INTs, INTs for TDs. Guy is a mess. Angry Panthers get it done. 5* Best Bet CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Lions -2.5 v. Cardinals | 27-27 | Loss | -115 | 102 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. Should have put this out earlier when it was 1, but what can you do. Still think we have value here. Look. I am not high on rookie QBs and HCs getting together. This is going to be a long year in Arizona. Across the field, we see a HC who needs to get out of the gate fast. Detroit looks like it finally has a bit of a run game to help their franchise QB. If you can't come in and take care of a rookie, even on the road laying a short number, you are going to have a long season. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 273 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. I will tell you this. At -3 with Luck, I am on the Chargers. Rivers is back with a talented team around him. But this just seems like a huge over-reaction. Brissett has been in this role before. And he didn't do that bad. Problem was they couldn't hold on to any leads late in the game. This team was thought of as a Super Bowl sleeper. Now, Luck to Jacoby is a drop off. But the talent still surrounds him. Out of the gate, I look at this game like a rally around the leader type of situation. Everyone giving up on Indy. No hope. I think they hang around and can shock LAC with an outright win. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Ravens -6 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 186 h 42 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Will tell you this, thought about taking Miami before this monster trade. Stills, Landry, Drake, FitzMagic. You had some pros that, even though this is a rebuilding team, they wouldn't just not show up. Now you trade a franchise OL and your best WR. The surrender flag has been raised. I think Baltimore would be an average team this year. Nothing sexy. I know they win every preseason. Would like to see Lamar take a step forward at QB before really getting behind these guys. No way we see Rosen now that the OL has been weakened. The total tells us what exactly Vegas thinks of both of these teams. From what I read before this trade, they players didn't want Clowney for Tunsil. They can't be happy that he was dealt. If this team was tanking before the season, then they are officially dead man walking now. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Chiefs v. Jaguars +4 | 40-26 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking the JAGUARS. I know everyone loves KC and Mahomes and he'll throw 50 TD passes. Look. We don't need Foles to be Mahome. We need him to be Foles. We have the much better defense. Remember, this team was in the AFC Championship Game 2 years ago. Now they have a Super Bowl Winner under center. Bortles was just brutal. This defense is still a top unit. At home, in what could be sloppy conditions, have to lean to the defense here. We control the clock here and Mahomes doesn't get a chance to kill you at every turn. And this secondary will be looking to show everyone that this unit is back in top form. 4* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Rams v. Panthers +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 94 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking the PANTHERS here, also leaning on the Under. First, I think we could have some sloppy conditions here with the hurricane passing by. That plays into slowing down the Rams. And the Rams. 4 straight road unders for them. West coast team playing early game. Panthers always tough at home. Going back we see them 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS before that collapse after their 6-2 start last season. I think we have the best guy on the field in McCaffrey. I am not sold on Gurley being 100%. And I know Cam was a bit banged up coming in. But the guy is tough as nails, and I am not even a huge fan of his. I think we can even go ML and score the win today. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERSÂ |
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09-08-19 | Redskins v. Eagles -10 | 27-32 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 53 m | Show | |
Taking the EAGLES. Yeah. Laying double digits in Week 1. Look. I have this Redskins team rated at the bottom. Not only in the NFC East, but even in all of football. This team is going to be bad. Maybe not Miami bad, but bad. The defense is decent. I will say that. But, that being said. They will be worn out late and teams will take advantage. Eagles looking to prove something with Wentz back. Foles won their Super Bowl. The proverbial chip on the shoulder comes out to, cliche alert again, circle the wagons around their field general. Great defense. Weapons all over the skill positions. If this game isn't 34-10, and somehow close, the Iggles faithful will reign down with boo birds. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA EAGLESÂ |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 756 h 30 m | Show |
Taking GREEN BAY to open up the season. So real fast - You know we had a nice season in 2018. In 2017 we led ALL handicappers in NFL. And going back to 2010 and over 1000 picks, we are cashing at a 56% clip. This season, I feel a 60+ % season on deck. I've redone worked some numbers, and man, if I adjusted faster last season we would have added at a minimum, a half dozen more wins. -- For 2019 kick-off though, we are grabbing the dogs. I've said in videos already that I expect the Bears to take a step back. Losing their DC will be felt, especially early. Let's not forget that even though we cashed Chicago when they jumped to that 20-0 lead before losing 24-23. I still don't expect Mitch to outperform Aaron. Rodgers, I feel, has a lot to prove. New HC and now he has to show that his old HC was keeping him down. Getting a nice number, have to play the division dogs with a chip on their shoulder. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -103 | 101 h 51 m | Show |
Taking the CHIEFS. So I would really be looking to move on the ML if it gets to about -130. But for the sites here, we will lay the 3 points. I think money will come in on Brady. I had the Chargers last week, and I wish I could have gotten out of it on the sites as by Friday, it seemed the entire world was fading the Patriots. I think the cold and travel was just too much to overcome when you have a NE team on a 16-0 13-3 ATS run at home over their last 16 games. We took that loss and look to bounce back today. KC is tough at home. I know the defense isn't that good, but here, they play a lot better. I think that is the difference maker. Brady and the Patriots haven't won a road playoff game since 2007! Ok, that is 3 Super Bowl losses and a loss at Denver - Look, we have seen NE struggle on the road this season. 3-5. Jags and Lions took it to them. Titans took it to them. 43-40 at home vs KC this year. Last year, Alex Smith 4 TDs 368 yards in a 42-27 KC win. I know Andy Reid doesn't get much love. But he has shown he is tough vs NE. I know it is tough taking Reid and rookie QB over Brady and The Hoodie. Pats scoring and defense all trend down on the road. 5* Best Bet KC CHIEFSÂ |
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01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -100 | 97 h 8 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Pretty easy thinking here for me. Right off the bat, I though they would roll over Philly last week. That first quarter sunk any hope of a big win. But we move on. So home teams in Championship Round a perfect 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS. New Orleans defense also playing much better football. Forget that last game vs Carolina. That was an exhibition game for the Saints. We remove those 33 points and we see NO defense giving up 14.5ppg. Also. Rams at home, 1 team, Rams on the road, a different team. How about Goff with 10TD 9INTs on the road this year. I'll back Brees and Payton, the old guys, over the new kids on the block, McVay and Goff. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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01-13-19 | Eagles v. Saints -8 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 9 m | Show |
Taking SAINTS. So 3rd straight road game and 5th in 6 weeks for Eagles. That is a tough run. Especially when every game is a playoff a game. Saints at home, rested, very dangerous. Yes, we can say, oh 48-7, should be just as easy. Well. I do think this is a 2 score win for New Orleans. Will it be a 40 pt win, that would be nice, but I don't think so. Now, Could the Saints get 48 again. Of course. Look. Mitch Trubisky just passed or 300 yards on this defense. Brees could have 250 at the half. Please throw out their final loss at home to Carolina. That was a pre-season finale game with the players they used. Saints getting knocked basically for a 3 game run of losing at Dallas, a sluggish game at the Bucs. And a horrible win over the Panthers 12-9. They go 2-1 and win ugly. They won ugly at Minnesota. That is what a great team will do. Eagles defensive backs to not put any scare into me. Brees will do Brees in the dome Playoff stuff. 3-4 TDs 325+ yards. - Back to Philly. I like Foles. Thought he should have gotten the nod the entire season or most of it. Guy can play a bit, and it's clear the players rally around him. But that being said - Eagles a great Cinderella story last year. But Cinderella only goes to the ball once. Season turns into a pumpkin this evening. 10* Money Bomb NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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01-13-19 | Chargers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -108 | 134 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS, again. Cashed last week and a little too close for comfort. But that is what happens when you are in cruise control most of the game. That won't be the case vs the Patriots. Who needs extra motivation to play these guys? Look. I have been on the Chargers numerous times this year. We have seen these guys win at Seattle, Pitt, Baltimore and KC. Technically, undefeated on the road since they had a 'road' loss at the Rams. It isn't like they have a great home field in that joke Center they play in. Bosa and Ingram can and will get pressure on Brady. He will be whining early when he starts getting knocked around. They say maybe snow. It won't matter. Chargers can run the ball or just do the short passing thing to move the chains. This is not a vintage Patriots team. We know this. Loss at Jacksonville and Detroit in back to back weeks. Lost at Tennessee. That crazy loss at Miami. The loss at Pittsburgh. This is a tough, all around talented visitor coming to down. Not a pair of rookie QBs like the Pats have faced the last 2 weeks. This is a HOF QB getting points with arguable the better defense and offenses that aren't that far apart. Sprinkle some ML. 5* Best Bet LA CHARGERSÂ |
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01-12-19 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 32 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Had these guys last week, back on them. Dak a total beast last week with the game on the line. But he is not new to comebacks. I think people forget a couple years ago he went toe to toe with a healthy, good Aaron Rodgers and just ran out of time as his terrible coach cost the team a win. Rams a good team. Coming in off bye, but before that taking Arizona and San Fran. But those QBs aren't Dak. And neither team has Zeke. Or even Amari. This team really changed with the arrival of Cooper. But let us not forget this defense either. Both teams with strong Ds - But maybe the Rams really peaked early. Is Gurley 100%? I know everyone is banged up after a season of football. Basically 3 weeks off. Will he be rusty? Good? Who knows? Let's not forget the Cooper Kupp loss. This is a lot of points for the Rams and Goff. Only his 2nd playoff start. 1st one wasn't that good. Dallas with house money getting a TD. Can eat clock and keep offense off the field. I think we have a live dog here. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -6.5 | 16-15 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS. It is a tough call fading Foles. I think Philly really rally's around the guy. But something tells me this is all Chicago. I faded the Bears last week thinking they would rather face Minny who they have controlled this season, over the defending champs and St Nick at QB. But the coach has the players behind him and this team is really a tough club on both sides of the ball. I just think the Bears defense will maul this team. And the Philly defense is average on its best day. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARSÂ |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -4.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. So we like the UNDER in this game also. Same thinking. If you like the Bears here, then you must be all over the 0-7 on the road SF 49ers beating the 12 win Rams as double digit dogs. No cover. Winning. I can't see it. You are telling me the Bears will be pulling new tricks out of their bag, and throwing in new wrinkles to confuse Minny who they are more than likely playing again next week. They want to try to knock out the Vikes to face the defending champs, Eagles with Foles behind center who the team does nothing but rally behind? Not buying it. Taking the Vikings who seem to have turned the offense around since canning their OC. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
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12-30-18 | Browns v. Ravens -6 | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the RAVENS. Another Super Contest pick for me.. Tied for 42 heading into the final Sunday. So I like Baltimore. Everyone will be on the upstart Browns. I think this defense is too much for the rookie to deal with on the road. Ravens bringing some fire today - let's not forget a TD pass with 40 something seconds left, at home, to knock them out of the playoffs last year. Focused, they deliver us the W . 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE RAVENSÂ |
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12-30-18 | Lions v. Packers -7.5 | 31-0 | Loss | -106 | 62 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the PACKERS. So we had the Jets last week and Rodgers came to play. So there is zero chance I don't back him at home. No way he lets the Lions come in here and hand him an L. Detroit 2-29 SU last 31 here. Packers with a lame duck fill in HC. He will let Rodgers do whatever the heck he wants to do. Again - Rodgers came to play in the Meadowlands. Down 14-0, 21-7, 35-20. There was no quit. And I expect the same here at home. Domers like the Lions want nothing to do with the weather in Green Bay last Sunday in December. 4* Money Maker GREEN BAY PACKERS |
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12-30-18 | Cowboys v. Giants -5.5 | 36-35 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Grabbed these guys in the Super Contest and will play them here. Don't think we see much from Dallas. It is their bye week. Could be Eli's last game. Either way, if they can't beat Cooper Rush by 10, this team has huge problems heading into next season. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTSÂ |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 102 | 120 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the BILLS. These guys haven't given up. They did lose (covered late) vs NE last week. But if we look at their 2 previous games at home. Beating the Lions and losing a tough one to the Jets. As we saw with the Jets vs GB, they haven't quit on their coach. This Bills team still has a pretty solid defense. And Miami wants no part of being in Buffalo in January. Back to teams showing fight. I think its safe to say the Dolphins have given up on their coach. We faded them 2 weeks ago in Minny and the Vikings ran them out of town. They still had a shot at the playoffs. And after scoring first to take a 7-0, Jags control the entire game. Nothing. No desperation. Jags off a loss to a 4th string QB picked up off the street. Where was their motivation? But pros with pride showed up for a road win. And as long as we are on road wins. How about Miami 1-11 SU last 12 on the road. 0-6 and 1-5 ATS last 6. Back on Dec. 2, Bills put up over 400 yards of offense and lost 21-17. That is what 3 TOs will do to a team on the road. 10* Money Bomb BUFFALO BILLSÂ |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 170 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the RAIDERS here. Should really go ML here on the sites for +120. Final game here for Oakland. Should be an insane atmosphere. Now- Normally I like to fade home teams when they honor former players or come out with retired jerseys and so-on. But not here. We have a complete disaster on the other sideline with the Vance Joseph led Denver Broncos. Guy should have been canned for that FG on Saturday night. So Denver limps in officially eliminated from playoff action. Raiders have shown life playing at home. Dog outright tonight. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND RAIDERSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +3 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 41 m | Show | |
Taking SEATTLE. I will say this. I thought this would be a down year. Have these guys Under their win total. But yet, here they are. Fighting for a playoff spot. Now, last week was a brutal loss losing to San Fran. But that just gets us in a prime spot today. No way they are losing at home. Especially off a poor performance. KC comes in off that Thursday loss (we had LAC) with extra rest and time to stew on blowing that game. There is more going on in KC so. They lost hunt and we see a close game vs the Raiders. An OT game vs Baltimore at home. Blowing 14pt leads and losing at home. This line is 2.5 or 3 in most spots. If this game was in KC, would you be laying 8 points on a team 0-4-1 ATS last 5? Home about this - Seattle 11-1-1 ATS last 13 as home dogs. 4* Money Maker SEATTLE SEAHAWKSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints -6.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Had NE over the Steelers last week and that bit me in the behind. We will again fade Pitt though. New Orleans not looking overly impressive of late. And, as I said when we took Dallas on Thursday night, they were losing at Dallas or Carolina. Well, they lost at Dallas. A total flat spot vs Tampa on the road. Then in their 3rd road game, it was ugly vs the Panthers. I don't think the Steelers can slow down any part of this Saints offense. Do you know what I see after 3 games like that. I see a team that can win ugly. A team that isn't, just Brees putting up 40. A team that can make some stops when it needs them. After dropping 3 straight Pitt had all their marbles ending the Patriots hex on them. They won, finally. Speaking of wins, a W here wraps up home field for New Orleans. Lay it. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Packers v. Jets +1 | 44-38 | Loss | -107 | 139 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Smacking myself for not taking them last night when I saw 3s and even a 3.5 pop up on the sites. I was liking NYJ before the Rodgers will or will not play rumors swirled. New York not a great team. But as we saw Saturday (we ended up with a push at 7) there is no quit in this bunch. Now we have GB in off having their season officially ended by the Bears. But has this team really impressed us this year at all? They are playing for a lame-duck coach who won't be back. I think they are thinking about Christmas with their families. This is one of those do they even get off the plane games. If A-Aron is sitting today, I would expect this line to move even more. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
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12-23-18 | Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 95 h 5 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Cam looked absolutely terrible. Probably will be out as reports are starting to come he could be done. I had the over MNF and man, what a pathetic pick by me. And for that, I am sorry. But as I said on my free pick video taking Carolina, that was a game I felt they were playing for their coach. Won't be shocked to see him get the boot after the way things have gone after a 6-2 start. 6 straight losses now, no QB and a coach with a cloudy future. Look - I will be the first to say Falcons were a disappointment. And I won't be shocked to see them part ways with at least their OC who wastes, arguably, the best WR in the NFL. Atlanta doesn't want to end up in the basement of the South. Sitting at 5-9, same as Tampa, I think they take care of this beaten Panthers team. They left everything they had on the field vs the Saints. Packing it in for Christmas, road team gets the call. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Texans +2.5 v. Eagles | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the TEXANS. Now. Before last week, Eagles as a home dog. I'm on them. Dome team outside for 2nd straight week. We pulled out a push with NYJ +7 last week in bad weather. Shouldn't be too bad tomorrow. Back to Philly. Though Foles should have started and stayed behind center a bit longer. But they yanked him for a non 100% Wentz. I have raved about Foles in this posts in the past. Not so much in this spot. Double digit dog with a HUGE road win. Maybe the Rams are down a bit. Either way huge win. Just feel that Houston playing some great ball right now. Getting points makes this a no-brainer play on the road team. 4* Money Maker HOUSTON TEXANSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | Top | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 95 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Only way to go in this spot. Off their first shut-out since Quincy Carter was their QB! Look. We had Indy last week. Real tough spot for the Cowboys off that OT Philly win. And a rough stretch in general. 5 straight. Road wins over Philly and Falcons. A Redskins game. That Saints Thursday nighter. A stinker was coming. It came. Let's not sell the Colts short either. They are a tough foe right now. So Bucs in a back to back road spot. 5 wins. Looks like they have lame duck coach who could be canned after the season. Perhaps the GM heads out also. As good as the TB QB tandem has been putting up points, 31 TDs it also has 15 INTs. And we won't talk about the terrible defense. Don't be confused by last week vs the Ravens. And I type that knowing we had Baltimore to get it done. Dak won't throw the ball 23 times for 131 yards. Amari Cooper could have 100 yards by half-time. Zeke will Zeke. Cowboys need to lock up their playoff spot. This is the spot. Now next week in New York with a wild-card game vs possible Seattle after that. They win this by double digits. Rest some guys vs the Giants. Ready for the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb DALLAS COWBOYSÂ |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | Top | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 39 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the VIKINGS. Cashed with these guys last week, back on them again. I know that taking a division home dog in revenge spot is nice. Especially with a guy like Stattsford who can garbage time a back-door cover. But like last week, this play is based on the new OC getting things done. This team has been waiting to break out and I think with their season on the line again, we get another good effort. Let's not short change the defense that recorded 9 sacks last week. Safe to say Year 1 of the Patricia Era is closing out poorly. Lions scoring 16ppg and are getting out-yarded every week. Minny should crack 30 and this is a 10+ point win. 5* Best Bet MINNESOTA VIKINGSÂ |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -3.5 | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. I know that this could be a bit of let-down spot for LAC. There is no home field advantage. Winning out and a KC loss somewhere will get them a bye week. I thought that Chargers were a good team starting the year. I think they are better now. They have 2 nice comebacks under their belts. Zero quit in these guys. I know Baltimore is a good defense. But I think LAC can put up what KC did, and possibly more. Against KC and NO, two offense I would say rate well to the Chargers, we saw 24 points allowed. This LA team has a better defense. They will stop the rush game. And if come to Lamar Jackson throwing the ball. Let's look at his last 5 games. Yards -- 131-147-125-178-150. We won't talk about his completion % - Or the rankings of the Tampa, Chiefs, Raiders, Falcons or Bengals defenses. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERSÂ |
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12-22-18 | Redskins v. Titans -10.5 | 16-25 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the TITANS. Was close to using these guys in the Super Contest (was in the Top 20, now Top 40) - It does look painful laying points with this offense. But I can't see a 4th string QB getting it done on the road. Yes, Redskins have over achieved with the way they have been playing. They are 4-3 on the road (Tampa, Giants, Arizona, Jaguars) - Are any of those teams playoff bound or alive here in December? Washington with 16-16-13 points scored their last 3 games. I won't be shocked to see a 30-9 game like the Titans dropped on the Jaguars two weeks ago. 4* Money Maker |
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12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -9 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the RAMS. LA offense sure didn't look good in Chicago. I think things will be different at home. Both teams in off losses. But Rams still battling for that home field with New Orleans. Eagles defense has been a MASH unit nearly all season. Dallas put up nearly 600 yards off offense. Again. Bears defense and the cold a lot different than this Philly team that looks like it sold its soul for last years Super Bowl Win. 38-17 sounds about right. 5* Best Bet LA RAMSÂ |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
Taking the PATRIOTS. Had both of these losing sides last week. And I gotta tell ya. What was The Hoodie thinking? How do you not punch it in and go up 37-28. If you fail, Miami is pinned in their 5 or closer. You take a FG and all hell breaks loose on the final play. I can't blame Tomlin too much. The guy is a big dummy. Takes Big Ben out and then puts him. The FG attempt. Just terrible. Now - Who do we think is bouncing back this afternoon? What HC/QB combo do you think we should be backing? Big Ben with rib issues. Maybe they get their RB back. They couldn't do anything against the 2nd worse rush defense in the league. 5 straight wins for NE in the series. How about Pats off SU loss and a fave of 3 or less, 20-0 ATS run. They are on a 14-4 ATS run in games after losses regardless of line. Now 3 straight losses for Steelers. Big Ben 7 TDs 6 INTs last 4 games. The run game has been lost. Anytime we get the Pats and a short number like this, we have to grab it. 4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTSÂ |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS here. As a Dallas fan, tough to go against them as they are playing some inspired football right now. But the way this game falls, it is a great situational spot for Indy. 5 straight wins anchored by wins over bitter rival Philly. The last game, a wild OT affair. That off of a huge home upset of New Orleans. Colts in off big win over the Texans. Just feels like the way Indy has been playing (minus that Jax game), this is spot they win 27-17. I can see the Boys and their flake HC really mailing it in here. They have Tampa at home, then close at the Giants. With a 2 game lead in the NFC East, I think we see them lay an egg. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTSÂ |
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12-16-18 | Titans +3 v. Giants | Top | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 87 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS here. Should really be playing +125/+130 that the sites are offering. I am trying to get back to that #1 NFL Capper Spot. No shame being ranked where I am right now. But we are looking forward to a big month here after we go 31-10 (76%) last December - Let's jump right in on the Giants. Are you really impressed with a 5-8 record. Wins over Mark Sanchez and the Redskins. Chase Daniel and the Bears in OT (and let's not forget Bears nearly lost at Arizona, lost at Miami. Totally different on the road) A final minute over the Nick Mullens led 49ers. A wild shoot out vs Tampa and back up QB Fitzharris before Winston came in. 7 straight losses. A last minute win over a backup QB. A wild-shoot out over a backup QB and the worse defense in the league. A loss to Philly. An OT win. And a gift bag of Mark Sanchez and Josh Johnson. Oh Christmas came early for sure for the GMEN. Give me Tennessee all day with extra rest. They will run over the soft Giants all afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANSÂ |
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