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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-16 | Steelers v. Bengals +3 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 46 h 16 m | Show |
I like this Bengals team a lot. I like them much better when Dalton is the quarterback, but even without him, Cincinnati will go with McCarron who has been solid and has weapons. AJ Green, Jeremy Hill, and Giovani Bernard help the Bengals stay dangerous on the offensive side of the ball, but not only has the offense been good in 2015, the defense is very good and they are at home while the Steelers play their 3rd straight road game.
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders are a much improved team this year. Quarterback, Derek Carr and rookie wide receive Amari Cooper have the offense clicking in the passing game while Latavious Murray has gone over 1,000 yards on the ground and has six scores of his own. This offense is becoming very balanced and very feared around the league. If the Raiders have any hopes of getting this win on the road and finishing the season at 8-8, they are going to need to do a few things. First off, get the passing offense going. The only way to score points on this Chiefs defense is to keep them off balance. This is also Woodson's last game, this is a squad that symbolically getting to .500 would mean a lot for this franchise after years of dysfunction. And, seeing that this team is not going to the playoffs, this is their playoff game and even their Super Bowl. We like Oakland to step up here with a good game plan from HC Jack Del Rio on the road and give KC all they can handle. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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01-03-16 | Jets v. Bills +3 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The Jets need a win to get into the playoffs and they have to get it against the Bills now led by coach Ryan. The Public is all over the Jets but the oddsmakers knew that and I like the Bills here at home. You know Bills HC Rex will be very motivated to keep the Jets out of the post-season and he is in a good spot here since as a head coach he is 11-6 ATS when playing a team off of a SU dog win. The Jets traditionally choke in these spots as well as they are just 1-7 ATS after winning SU as a dog. That was a very big emotional win for the Jets last weekover the Pats in OT and they were celebrating all week. Lets play the +3 with Buffalo to get this win at home Sunday afternoon. 5* |
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01-02-16 | Kansas State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
AUTOZONE LIBERTY BOWL It was a solid season for Arkansas under 3rd year HC Bielema. He did break from his mold of power football by hiring former Central Michigan HC Dan Enos as his OC. With the talents of QB Allen, Arkansas balanced their offense with an attack that averaged 264/9.1 through the airways. Kansas St is not that good. They rallied at home behind their veteran HC to get a 6th WIN in their final game to become Bowl eligible. Arkansas has a ton of speed and have won 5 of their last 6 games, with a high powered offense. Different opponent, same results, matched up vs a team with zero defense. Kansas State has not put up 300YDs of passing offense all season. Kansas State QBs have really had a problem finding the spots they need to get the ball to. Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 bowl games. Arkansas wins as we get yet another BLOWOUT here in the Bowl games. 10* |
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01-02-16 | Penn State v. Georgia UNDER 43 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
This is a tough one for Georgia. Not only is former HC Mark Richt out, but many of the assistants won't be back after this game, either. In fact, DC Jeremy Pruitt is already gone, taking the DC job at Alabama. And the UGA injury list reads like a Leo Tolstoy novel. Penn State, meanwhile, fired their OC and the offensive play-calling for the bowl game will be done by HC James Franklin and QB coach Ricky Rahne before newly hired OC Joe Moorhead takes over following the bowl game. Penn St is excited to be here while Georgia is disinterested. Coach Franklin remains committed to a balance approach on offense. Despite quarterback Christian Hackenberg hitting just 53% passing, the Nittany Lions will throw the football just as often as they will run the football. The Nittany Lions are most efficient on the ground running the football. Freshman tailback Saquon Barkley eclipsed the 1,000 yard barrier this season with the majority of that yardage coming during the 2nd half of the season. The emergence in the running game should be a positive for a Penn State offense that will look to keep Georgia’s offense on the sideline by moving the chains. I dont expect many touchdowns so the UNDER is the best play in this game. 5* |
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01-01-16 | Iowa v. Stanford -6 | Top | 16-45 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
Stanford’s offense is led by Kevin Hogan, the senior quarterback who has shown immeasurable grit and passion this season. His willpower and motivation have been keys to the team’s success this season. He had 24 TD throws and 7 picks on the season, while completing nearly 70% of his throws. Christian McCaffrey is one of the top players in the nation, after setting the single-season record for all-purpose yardage. He is the team’s leading rusher and receiver, with 1847 yards on the ground and 540 in the air and will be the biggest weapon on the field on January 1. Right now, nobody is playing more confident football than this QB. He is doing anything it takes to put points on the board. He has to feel there's no secondary that can stop him, when he decides to get the job done, and I don't blame him. There is just nothing that C.J. Beathard can do consistently enough right now. Any kind of throw, whether for the big 1st down, or the deep 3rd downs. He has been too up and down, and in this very big game, for Iowa, being in their 1st Rose Bowl game in 25 years. The Stanford offense has more options that Iowa. Look for Stanford to really wear this Hawkeyes team down. Should the Cardinal get out to an early lead, they can really take the Hawkeyes focus out of this game. 5* |
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01-01-16 | Florida +4 v. Michigan | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
With the long layoff I expect Florida to spend a lot of time working on their offense. Their defense is tough as nails and I like Florida in this underdog spot on Friday. The Gators defense could win this game by themselves and I see the Gators defense causing major problems for Michigan. If Michigan can't move the ball then I see turnovers being the factor on who wins this game and with the Gators defense I see them forcing some turnovers in the game. Treon Harris the Florida QB is a duel threat and his shiftiness will need to be accounted for by Michigan both on the planned keep and the scramble to throw. Kelvin Taylor has been a bit of a plodder while averaging just 4.0 yards per carry but he does have 13 rushing scores to lead Florida so look for him to get his chances if the Gators get the ball in close. Florida is 5-1 ATS when playing on two weeks or more to prep and I'll back them here as a dog. 5* |
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01-01-16 | Tennessee -8 v. Northwestern | Top | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
OUTBACK BOWL This Tenn team is very young and these extra practices and time will really help them. NW had a fairly easy schedule and their offense is terrible. Tennessee is still being considered the team on the rise in the SEC. Both of these teams play a very physical style of football. Northwestern is still seeing most of the action getting 68% of the publics money for some reason I do not see maybe because NW is ranked higher. Tennessee may be 8-4 on the season, but if you are not an SEC fan and do not follow the conference, little do you know how close this team was to winning the SEC East. Tennessee not only lost a handful of close SEC games, but they blew a two touchdown lead over Oklahoma only to lose in double overtime 31-24. Along with the Oklahoma loss, they also blew a 13 point lead to the Florida Gators with under five minutes left in regulation. The Tennessee Vols offense is built around dual threat QB, Josh Dobbs and running back, Jalen Hurd. Dobbs passed for over 2,100 yards and 15 scores in 2015 while Jalen Hurd rushed for over 1,100 yards and eleven touchdowns. The Tennessee defense has also played well ever since Butch Jones took over as head coach. This is a very tough team that is much better than their record indicates and I like them to WIN BIG on Friday afternoon. 10* College Bowl Game of the Year |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma v. Clemson +4 | Top | 17-37 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
College football’s opening semi-final playoff match will take place this afternoon inside Sun Life Stadium with the # 1 ranked Clemson Tigers square off with the # 4 Oklahoma Sooners in the Orange Bowl. The top ranked Tigers were the only team in college football that posted a perfect 13-0 record this year marking their only undefeated campaign since their 1981 National Championship run. Clemson is now just one victory away from competing for another National Championship. The Tigers have been a dynamic force on the offensive side of the football as well averaging 512 total yards per game and just a tad shy of 40 points per game. Both marks rank inside the top 15 teams in the country. Quarterback Deshaun Watson is a very good dual threat quarterbacks who finished with a 69% completion percentage that resulted in 3,512 yards with 30 touchdowns and 11 picks. Watson also added 887 rushing yards with another 11 touchdowns on the ground as well. I expect to see a lot of points and I'll take CLEMSON plus the 4 pts here on Thursday afternoon. 5* |
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12-31-15 | Houston +7 v. Florida State | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Additionally, this matchup favor the Cougars in several ways I believe. Houston’s defense is really good against the run ranking 11th in the FBS yielding just 116 yards per game. If the Cougars can remain strong against the run, things could get really interesting if Florida State is forced into passing situations to move the football. FSU will have QB Sean Maguire behind center as QB Everett Golson didn't make the trip and I give Houston QB Ward Jr the edge Thursday afternoon. Florida St struggled on the road in their last 3 road games dropping 2 of them and I see the Cougars putting pressure on the FSU defense all game long. |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. USC | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with Wisconsin on Wednesday night. The Badgers finished 9-3 SU, with three losses coming against Alabama, Iowa, and Northwestern. The Tide are in the running for a possible national title, the Hawkeyes missed a spot in the CFB playoffs by one game, and the Wildcats are a sturdy 10-2 and playing in a New Year's Day bowl game. The three teams own a combined record of 34-4 SU. The Badger defense is nasty, stingy, and fierce, and I expect the unit to cause problems for the USC offense. They have the best statistical overall defenses in the land. UW is a top-10 unit in almost any metric you want to name but they are most importantly 3rd in total yards allowed and lead the NCAA by surrendering just 13.1 points per game. On the flip side the USC defense has been a mess most of the season, ranked 96th against the pass, while also allowing over 400 total yards per game. They were scorched for 41 points or more on four occasions this season. USC allowed nearly 5 yards per carry over their last three games and saw their last six opponents complete 123 of 175, a whopping 70.3% of their passes, with 14 TDs and only 4 INTs. I like WISKY plus the points. 10* Diamond in the Rough |
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12-30-15 | Louisville -3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Texas A&M is becoming a dumpster fire. Quarterbacks are leaving, players are not happy, the program is putting restrictions on the kids who want to transfer…it just isn’t pretty right now in College Station. Louisville, like Texas A&M, had much bigger dreams heading into 2015. They dropped their opener in the Georgia Dome to Auburn by a score of 31-24. At that time many people thought that was actually a good performance seeing as how Auburn was the preseason #6 team in the nation. Louisville played a very tough schedule. I think Louisville has more talent and should have no problem covering the 3.5 pts here tonight. 5* |
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12-29-15 | Nevada +3.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
The Nevada Wolf Pack offense owns a top-30 running game and is one of two teams with two 1,000-yard rushers. Meanwhile, the Colorado St Rams have been horrible against the run, allowing an average of 208 yards rushing per game, which ranks 108th in the nation. Nevada is on a 6-1 SU run when they rush for at least 200 yards in a game. I see Nevada controlling stretches of the game with their run-game and playing the better defense and getting the outright win. Colorado State's offense has shot themselves in the foot repeatedly with a high turnover rate which is one of the worst in the nation, and Nevada has a hungry secondary, ready to take full advantage. 10* |
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12-28-15 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Minnesota slogged through an emotional roller coaster of a season that watched them lose head coach Jerry Kill to retirement due to epilepsy off the field, and now have a chance to play in this Bowl game. The Golden Gophers are one of those teams that reached the postseason with a losing 5-7 mark, and while they finished the year with five losses in their last six games, we still believe they are the better overall team. That 1-5 losing streak to end the year had everything to do with their tough schedule, falling against Nebraska, Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, and Wisconsin - all teams that are playing in other bowl games. What we like about Minnesota is how they played in those losses, losing by three points vs. Michigan, by five points vs. Iowa, and even playing TCU tough in a six-point loss to start the season. Central Michigan played well against the lesser teams in the MAC Conference, but they are not at the level to hang with a quality Power 5 Conference team. Gophers pull away in the second half and win by double digits on Monday evening. 5* |
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12-28-15 | Pittsburgh +3 v. Navy | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
In this Bowl we have a ranked team versus an unranked team. The heart and soul of the Pitt offense is the combination of quarterback, Nathan Peterman and running back, Quadree Ollison. Peterman passed for over 2,100 yards in 2015 and had 19 touchdown passes and just five interceptions. As long as Pittsburgh doesn't turn the ball over or pick up some dumb penalties they should get the job done this afternoon. 5* |
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12-27-15 | Giants v. Vikings -6.5 | Top | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The New York Giants WR Beckham has been suspended one game and is OUT today. The Giants will have no motivation tonight as they are OUT of the playoffs and I think they get blown out. The locker room is a mess for NY too. The Vikings are a very impressive on the defensive side of the ball and they get a rare Sunday Night TV appearance. The GMen defense is ranked dead last (32nd) in yards allowed per game at 423. While the Vikings' defense is ranked 13 in all of football. Mike Zimmer is a great defensive coach and deserves a lot of credit this season. The Giants have one of the worst pass defenses, and I expect the Vikings to take advantage here tonight between passing and rushing AP. Take the Vikes on Sunday night. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska +7 v. UCLA | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
UCLA finished 8-4 with much higher hopes than playing in this Bowl game which is in their backyard. Most teams get excited to travel to a new area in a Bowl game. Nebraska is excited to be here since they finished with only 5 wins this season. They are a young team who gets an extra month of practices. Coach Riley is a good coach who has his team excited and their fans travel well. Nebraska has taken their share of knocks this season as they transition into the Riley era. But through all the struggles and strife, they managed to remain a dangerous opponent in a lot of tough spots, being competitive against the better teams they faced this season, while holding a win over a team that is now in the CFP. UCLA isn’t the best candidate to cover a big number against a decent defensive front like Nebraska, who ended the season with a little better momentum. I’ll take the points here tonight. 5* |
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12-26-15 | Indiana v. Duke +3 | Top | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
For all of Indiana's greatness on offense, it ranked among the very worst in College Football on defense. Their offense is nowhere near powerful enough to withstand a defense that gives up an average of 37.1 points and over 500 yards of total offense per game. They were ranked dead-last out of 128 times in passing-defense, with some quarterbacks literally exploding against this secondary. It was a bad sign when in their first game; they gave up 47 points against FCS opponent Southern Illinois in a one-point win. Duke lost to some of the better teams in the ACC, though falling to Virginia and narrowly beating Wake to end the season This will be the fourth straight season Duke has played in a bowl game. With time to prepare Duke is the better overall team and their defense will step up and get the win at Yankee stadium on Saturday afternoon. 10* BOWL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss v. Washington -8.5 | Top | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
The Washington Huskies take on Southern Miss in the first ever meeting between the two schools. Chris Petersen, Head Coach of UW, has a reputation for putting together winning teams and he’s begun to do this in Seattle at the U of W. Petersen’s Huskies finished 6-6 this season but their record really doesn’t do them justice as they have poured it on towards the latter part of the regular season. In the Husky’s last two games of the regular season they scored a combined 97 points and only allowed a total of 17 points. With the extra practice time Washington should come out strong here Saturday afternoon. Southern Miss has a good record but they played a weak schedule and conference. Now they face the best defense in the Pac-12 and will be a serious step-up in level of competition for Southern Miss. Washington is on an 8-1 ATS run as a favorite of 4-10 points, outscoring those nine opponents by 22 ppg. Take the Washington Huskies here. 5* |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -3 | Top | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show |
Not having Gunner Kiel will equal trouble in this game on Christmas Eve. He is their leader and just 6 days ago he took a personal leave so CIncy didn't have much time to prepare with their backup QB. San Diego State can run the heck out of the ball and they play tremendous defense. It’s not an altogether-complicated recipe for success, but a dependable one. And they have a little built-in advantage with being familiar with the stomping grounds they enter in this game, having played Hawaii on the road this season in this very venue, winning 28-14 on October 10.
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12-23-15 | Boise State -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 55-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL Boise State measured against its own expectations may have been a letdown in some respects, but they still won 8 games and look to cap off the season with a nice bowl win. The Boise offense looks to have a good future in the hands of QB Brett Rypien. Though he came on in late-September after an injury to the original starter, he threw for almost 3000 yards on the season. The youngster leans heavily on running back Jeremy McNichols, who was one of the more-productive backs in the MWC this season with 18 touchdowns on 1244 yards running, along with 46 receptions. WR Thomas Sperbeck figures to be a handful in this game, as will be Chaz Anderson and Shane Williams-Rhodes. This is an offense that averages nearly 38 points per game. Boise is by far the better team in my eyes and should win handily by double digits. 5* |
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12-22-15 | Akron +7.5 v. Utah State | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Terry Bowden's team is cresting right now, as they come to Boise having won and covered 4 straight! The Zips also punched the ticket in 7 of their final 9 games against the spread this season.Akron defense has been tough and I think that their defense will keep them in this game The same cannot be said for Utah State, as injuries really stymied the Aggies season this year, and Matt Wells' team struggled down the stretch with losses in 3 of their final 4 games, and spread losses in all 4 of those games! True, Utah State is playing in their 5th straight bowl game (3 straight wins and covers), and playing in this very bowl game for the third time in those 5 years, but that could very well translate into a "been there, done that" attitude and usually teams returning to the same bowl game as the previous year have struggled and lack motivation. Play the Akron Zips as the live dog. 5* |
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12-21-15 | Western Kentucky v. South Florida +2.5 | Top | 45-35 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
I like the way USF has been playing as of late beating teams like Cincinnati and Temple. The South Florida offense has been rolling scoring 153 points in their last 3 games and I see USF not only scoring in this game but their defense controls the Hilltoppers offense.
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles +4 | Top | 40-17 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Eagles are very much in contention for a division title after beating the Buffalo Bills last Sunday. They aren't turning the ball over and playing much better. Chip Kelly’s men have come back to life to win their last two games against the Patriots and the Bills. QB Sam Bradford’s good play has helped the Eagles overcome their continued inability to run the ball with much consistency. DeMarco Murray has a chance to make good on his claims as being needed in a larger role and should have the big game of which he's capable. THe Eagles are at home in chilly Philly and I'll grab the home underdog here tonight with the Green Birds. 5* |
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12-20-15 | Dolphins v. Chargers -1 | Top | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
The Miami Dolphins come to face the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium on Sunday. This game could carry a little extra emotion with it for the Chargers, with this possibly being their last home game in San Diego. For the second straight game, they scored 3 measly points on Sunday. On the flip side the SD defense has been stout, giving up just 20 combined points in their last two games against division studs Denver and KC. They even managed to pick off Alex Smith, who threw his first pick in 10 games. The Miami defense isn’t picking up the slack. Their 26th-ranked passing defense was exploited on Monday, as they were picked apart by Manning. I look for a little extra emotion from San Diego and Rivers here at home, as they get the win and cover on Sunday evening. 10* |
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12-19-15 | BYU +3 v. Utah | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Brigham Young overcame a lot this season. Taysom Hill was lost for the season, forcing Tanner Mangum into the starting role, where he’s been a nice surprise. He has thrown 21 touchdowns and 7 picks with over 3000 yards, Mangum leads this offense and has been a real gamer, fighting with a lot of grit for his team. Mangum works with a nice cast of receivers who provide matchup concerns with almost every defense they face, led by excellent Mitch Mathews, Devon Blackmon, Nick Kurtz, Terenn Houk, and Mitchell Juergens. Houk is 6’5,” while Mathews and Kurtz are 6’6.” They are very tough because of their size and strength. The run game is now led by Algernon Brown,and they average 34.2 points per game. The BYU defense is pretty good too as they are a balanced group that gives up an average of just 21.8 points per game and forces turnovers. Bronson Kaufasi is a difference-maker with 11 sacks, as he applies a ton of pressure. Utah will have to fend off a potential letdown spot here in this game. This is far from what they were envisioning. And their offense just couldn’t hold up. They will be without Devontae Booker, who had 1261 yards on the ground through 10 games before going down for the season. And the pass-game is stripped dry with injuries to Kenneth Scott (questionable) and Britain Covey (doubtful). I like BYU to send off their coach a BIG WINNER as he's been great for the BYU program and school. PLAY BYU! |
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12-14-15 | Giants v. Dolphins +1 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Two teams with identical 5-7 records, but seemingly heading in opposite directions on the season will tussle in week 14 NFL action inside Sun Life Stadium, when the New York Giants and Miami Dolphins get together. The Dolphins should be able to move the ball in this game. The Giants are 31st in yards allowed (423 ypg) and dead-last 32nd in passing yards allowed per game (315 ypg). Its been awhile since the Dolphins have played in the NFL’s primetime featured game on Monday, and hopefully that will fire them up here. The Giants haven’t enjoyed the Monday Night spotlight either, going 1-5 ATS in their last six games in primetime. The public is all over the favorite with the Gmen, but I'll take the Dolphins here at home on MNF. 5* |
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12-13-15 | Redskins v. Bears -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
Washington comes to the Windy City off a terrible MNF loss against the Dallas Cowboys and now the Skins have a short week to prepare. The Bears are also coming off a horrible loss last week as they lost to the 49ers at home 26-20 in overtime where Robbie Gould missed a pair of easy FG's. The Redskins offense has also been inconsistent and often struggles to move the ball with the 25th-ranked total offense at 333 yards per game. I see a pissed off Bears squad taking this home game in a big way. Washington has dropped 3-straight road games by double-digits and hasn't won a road game all season long. Chicago has a very solid offense and Washington is 1-5 ATS in the month of December and the Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. 10* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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12-10-15 | Vikings v. Cardinals -10 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
One quick note - despite being a horrible stretch with our picks, nothing is getting done differently and unfortunately this type of stretch happens during a season. I've been in business for 22 years and
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12-07-15 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Redskins | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
The Cowboys season is on the line and Matt Cassel is back at the controls and will at least have a healthier Dez Bryant to work with. Dallas also has a great offensive line and should be able to rush the ball tonight. 5* |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals v. Rams +6 | Top | 27-3 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
The public is all over the Cards here but I like the home dog with the Rams. The leading rusher for Arizona is out due to an injury. Chris Johnson is rumored to have a broken leg. His backup, Andre Ellington is also out. So much for a Cardinals rushing game this afternoon. The Cardinals have struggled playing in St Louis and if the Rams lose this game they have no outside chance at the playoffs so this is their season on the line. Nick Foles played alright last week completing 30 of 46 passes against a good Cincinnati defense. Foles had his best game of the year in the Rams' 24-22 victory at Arizona on Oct. 4, throwing for three TDs. Todd Gurley had 146 yards of rushing in that game. I also look for Tavon Austin to make some plays here today. 10* |
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12-05-15 | Michigan State -3 v. Iowa | Top | 16-13 | Push | 0 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I look for Spartans QB Connor Cook will shine Saturday night. Iowa didn't have to face Ohio St or Michigan this year while Michigan St had to face both of them (won both) and beat Oregon earlier in the season. |
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12-05-15 | North Carolina v. Clemson -4.5 | Top | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
We are 11-3 on our College Football 10*'s this season and haven't dropped back-to-back 10*'s all year. Championship weekend will conclude this Saturday night with a heavily anticipated matchup between the#1 Clemson Tigers and the 8th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in a battle for the ACC Championship. Clemson held off a tough challenge from rival South Carolina last week in a 37-32 but the game wasn't as close as the final score. Clemson was up big early but 3 turnovers allowed SC to get back in it. Clemson had over 500 total yards in the game. Victory to seal their first perfect season since their 1981 National Championship campaign. Clemson will have the chance to join the 4 team playoff and compete for another National Championship if they can take care of the Tar Heels this Saturday night in Charlotte. Clemson gave up 181 on the ground vs South Carolina and I expect their defense to bounce back big here on Saturday night. Every game after their defense allowed 24 or more points in their previous game this Clemson defense came back strong and only allowed an average of 14 points in their next game. From what I read their practices were intense this week and I look for Clemson to win by double digits here on Saturday night! |
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12-05-15 | Temple +6 v. Houston | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
Three years ago, current Temple head coach Rhule took over a 4-win Temple team. In the 3 years at the helm, Rhule has built the program from 2 to 6 to 10 wins this year, including a 9-3 ATS pointspread run and 7-1 SU conference record. Temple is a very good team with a tough defense that shut-down explosive Memphis for a 31-12 victory, then last week concluded their conference slate with a 27-3 blowout of UConn, in which they outrushed the Huskies 161-9 and held UConn to 138 total yards. Houston is coming off a HUGE win over Navy last week and I look for Temple to keep it close here. The difference here will be the defense as Temple is tough and Houston struggles. They allowed 30 or more points, 4 times, to Louisville, Cincinnati, Memphis and Navy (with the latter 3 of those in the last month). I'm back Temple plus the points here in the early kickoff on Saturday at Noon EST. 5* |
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12-03-15 | Packers v. Lions +3 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
The Packers have only 1 win in their last five games. Jordy Nelson not being in there this year has hurt and Davante Adams has been a profound disappointment as his role has been increased. The Lions have looked good the past few weeks and I like them in this spot at home. Detroit is not doing a ton of damage with their ground game, but at least they’re trying now. It’s opened things up a bit. On Thanksgiving, Stafford threw for five touchdowns on 337 yards passing. Calvin Johnson looked like vintage Megatron, catching three touchdown passes. Theo Reddick and Golden Tate each snared a TD pass, as well. Joique Bell added nice production on the ground and through the air. Really making it come together for the Lions is the play of their defense. The front has been disrupting quarterbacks while stifling the opposing ground game. Everyone is saying revenge for the Packers but I like the Lions as a home dog here on THursday night. 5* |
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11-30-15 | Ravens v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
This is a great spot for the Browns coming off their bye playing at home on Monday night football and I expect to get their best effort in this game. The Ravens will struggle without Joe Flacco and running back Justin Forsett for the season. With a 3-7 record and now without their starting quarterback and running back, the Ravens officially know that this is a lost season. I like the Browns here on MNF at home. 5* |
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11-29-15 | Giants v. Redskins +3 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK: The Washington Redskins still have a punchers chance to win the NFC East. At 4-6, they are just a game out and a win over the Giants this weekend can make things really interesting within the division. It is almost like every Sunday is a playoff game for every team in the division. I expect the Redskins to put up some points here at home. The Giants defense is 25th in the NFL so I look for Washington to be able to move the ball and put up some points this afternoon and get the outright win. |
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11-29-15 | Bills +5 v. Chiefs | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
The Chiefs have allowed a whopping 34 sacks in 10 games and I look for a big game from the Buffalo defense here on Sunday afternoon. Look for the Bills to use even more blitz packages than normal, as Alex Smith has struggled with a QBR of 23 when facing teams that blitz more than 50% of the snaps. Last season, the Bills outgained the Chiefs 364-278. Buffalo was up 13-3 in the fourth quarter before the Chiefs scored 14 unanswered points to steal a win. The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after playing on Monday Night Football. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last last seven meetings. Too many points here and I like Buffalo in a tight game +5. 5* |
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11-28-15 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Virginia | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Tough overtime loss by VT last week at home against North Carolina as we had them with the cover, and retiring 29 year head coach Frank Beamer does need the win here to make it back to a bowl game and extend Beamer's career. I will look for that motivation to be enough to carry the Hokies to the road win against a Virginia team they always seem to beat. Tech has dumped UVa 11 straight times straight up, and they are 8-3 against the spread in those 11 series meetings. That includes a 4-1 spread mark at Scott Stadium the last 5 series meetings. Virginia probably even wants to see Frank Beamer make it to one last bowl game before his retirement and their tough defense should be enough to cover the 3 pt spread here this afternoon.! Play the Hokies to make it a 12 straight series wins, and a 9-3 cover mark in those 12 wins. 5* |
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11-27-15 | Iowa v. Nebraska +2.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
In key Big Ten action, the unbeaten Iowa Hawkeyes come into Lincoln to face the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Friday afternoon. Nebraska is team that already beat an unbeaten team this season, spoiling the plans for Michigan State a few weeks ago. At 5-6, this is Nebraska’s last chance to become bowl eligible, and they could very easily be 11-0 as they had the lead in all 6 losses late and 5 of their losses in came the final seconds. Nebraska is rested, having played two Saturdays ago in a 31-14 win at Rutgers. It was their second win in a row, as they try to salvage a 3-6 start to the season. Iowa won their 11th in a row to start the season on Saturday, a 40-20 home win over Purdue. Tommy Armstrong, Jr. Has given it his best effort in the new Mike Riley Cornhuskers offense, as he has 21 TD throws and 12 picks on 2560 yards passing. He has 5 picks in the last two games, a pattern that would really hurt in this game against the opportunistic Hawkeyes. Armstrong, Jr. Is also useful with his feet, having run in 6 touchdown scores. The run game is in the hands of talented backs like Terrell Newby and Imani Cross. The ‘Huskers have a nice 1-2 punch at receiver with Jordan Westerkamp and Brandon Reilly. They put up an average of 33.6 points a game—a respectable figure in what is really a transitional season for Nebraska. The Nebraska defense has been pretty good against the run, but that might be a result of teams having so much success with what is really a backwards secondary. They give up an average of over 300 yards per game and this area of the team is a big reason why Nebraska will be at home during bowl season if they don’t score the win this week. They have shown some fight in the last two games, holding off Michigan State, before allowing only 14 to Rutgers. Lincoln is a very tough place to play especially late in the season and the Cornhuskers will be pumped here. An 11-0 team versus a 5-6 Nebraska team and Iowa is only a 2.5 pt favorite. The Oddsmakers are begging you to take Iowa but we aren't biting and we'll take the under-rated Cornhuskers here on Friday afternoon as our 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR$$. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 0 m | Show |
This is a big game for Dallas, who ended a 7-game losing streak on Sunday with a 24-14 road win over Miami in Tony Romo’s first game back after being out with a shoulder injury. His presence makes Dallas much better and they look to notch a big win on Sunday. The odds-makers have upgraded Dallas on their Power Rankings with Romo and Dez back. Romo's passing and mobility should also open up the running game. The Carolina Panthers Cam Newton threw for a career-high 5 TD passes last week so I don't expect that again on the road with a short week. The Cowboys are 3-0 with Romo as the starter, and 0-7 in the seven games he missed. The Cowboys are also 15-2 in his last 17 starts, so there's reason for optimism in Dallas. The Cowboys will be primed for a really good start and game this week at home. 5* |
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11-23-15 | Bills +7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show |
On MNF the Patriots will be looking to remain undefeated on the season while the Bills are hoping to continue their recent AFC East winning streak, having beaten the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets the previous two weeks. Rex Ryan has had 11 days to prepare for this game and I expect a close game here.
The Bills should be able to move the ball on offense against the Pats The Patriots suffered another injury to a key player this eason as they lost leading receiver Julian Edelman for two months due to a broken bone in his foot that he suffered in last week’s 27-26 win on the road against the Giants. He is one of Brady's favorite targets and goto guy. This is the second straight week New England has lost an offensive skill position starter after Dion Lewis tore his ACL seven days earlier against the Redskins and will miss the remainder of the season. Look for Buffalo to give the Pats all they can handle on MNF. 5* |
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11-22-15 | Raiders v. Lions +1 | Top | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
The Oakland Raiders make the long trip to the Motor City to face the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on Sunday. The Raiders have raised their profile this season, but after two straight losses and a home defeat to the Vikings on Sunday. Detroit scored a nice win on Sunday, going into Lambeau and beating the Packers—something they haven’t done in a very long time. Matthew Stafford didn’t have an electric game, but got the ball into the hands of his receivers, big talent like Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, and Lance Moore, who caught a TD pass. The Raiders are brutal against the pass, with only one other team having given up more yards through the air than Oakland. They are giving up nearly 27 points per game, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Detroit should have a field day here at home with their passing game led by Matthew Stafford. |
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11-21-15 | Tennessee -7 v. Missouri | Top | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Tennessee visits Missouri for this 7:15pm ET kick, as televised by ESPN2. Last Saturday, Tennessee recorded their 6th win of the season to qualify for a Bowl Game in successive seasons (had not played in a Bowl the 3 previous years before that). Tenn scores 34 ppg and averages over 400 total yards each game. They are playing a very bad Mizzu team who only puts up 15ppg. I expect Joshua Dobbs to have a monster game here on Saturday night. Tennessee has to score TD's here because their kicking game is not good. Moving the ball into the end zone is crucial to their success. Under 3rd year HC Jones, the rejuvenation of the Vols’ program continues. This year, the offense has improved from 29 to 34 points and the defense from 24 to 21 points. It is the 3rd consecutive year for scoring improvement under Jones. The Vols now gain a balanced 210 yards, both running and passing, with a defense that allows just 21/381. They are clearly deserving of their Bowl invite. Losses have come only against quality teams Alabama by 5, Arkansas by 4, Florida by 1 and Oklahoma by 7. TENN VOLS have played a very tough schedule and have a balanced attack and should put the Mizzu Tigers away here by double digits. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-21-15 | Michigan v. Penn State +4 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
The Penn State Nittany Lions have fared quite well in recent meetings with the Michigan Wolverines, posting a record of 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their last five meetings. Included in there are three-straight wins at home in Beaver Stadium, the most recent of which was a 43-40 win as 2-point home dogs in 2013. Penn St is coming off their much needed BYE and ready for a HUGE home game on Saturday. The brilliant early season Michigan defensive run is a thing of the past. Following their October 10th (38-0) shutout of Northwestern, Michigan have allowed more potent Big 10 offenses to score 110 points for an average of almost 28 PPG. Last week, that defensive decline culminated when Michigan allowed 527 yards to Indiana including the Hoosiers winning the overland battle 307-141. Michigan was fortunate to emerge with a victory in OT. Penn St. has had 2 weeks to prepare for this revenge game and I expect them to be very hungry and I look for a low scoring grind it out game with Penn St plus the points at home getting us the cash. 5* |
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11-19-15 | Titans v. Jaguars -3 | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Jacksonville’s ability to become a more competitive entity this season can be attributed to the growth within their offense. There are a lot of first and second-year players who give the Jaguars something to look ahead for in the future. You can begin to see the beginnings of a true identity forming on this offense, with QB Blake Bortles showing some major improvement behind center this season. I really like the way this Jax team is playing right now. |
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11-16-15 | Texans +11 v. Bengals | Top | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The Houston Texans enters this week’s game on Monday Night Football fresh off of a long 15 day layoff, having won their last time out on November 1st over Tennessee then going into their BYE week. With the extra week to rest and also prepare, there should be no excuses for the Texans to come out strong in front of the country on MNF as a huge underdog to boot. The Texans will have to try and keep the Bengals pass rush off of Hoyer all game. Historically, the Texans have had the Bengals number in head-to-head matchups. Houston had won five straight meetings with Cincinnati from 2008 to 2013 before the Bengals finally broke the string in last year’s game, 22-13. With 15 days to prepare for this one, it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Texans come out of the gate strong in this game and cover the double digit spread. 5* |
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11-15-15 | Saints v. Redskins +1.5 | Top | 14-47 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
The Redskins are looking to win their 4th straight home game, which should surprise a lot of people. The NFC East is wide open and the Redskins are getting healthy. Kirk Cousins is playing confident as if he and the entire team have something to prove. Pierre Garson should have a big day against the Saints defense and should put up big numbers(Great fantasy WR pick this week). The Saints defense is terrible and even worse on the road. The Redskins have a lot of heart. They will continue to play hard for Coach Jay Gruden. They have a few more tough games down the stretch and if they have any desire to make a post season run, as unlikely as it may seem, they must win this home game. The key is defense. Just like I said for the Saints, the Redskins need to slow down the Saints offense. Washington can put up some points on that awful New Orleans defense and win this game today. 5* |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys -1 v. Bucs | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
I like the Dallas Cowboys on the road to get the win over the young TB Bucs. The Buccaneers, led by rookie quarterback Jameis Winston, have averaged 23.25 points scored per game on their home turf, but the defense has allowed the opposition to score an average of 35.5 points per game. This is the week the Cowboys offense should get back on track. Dallas has played much better over the last three weekends. They had a tough luck loss versus the Giants, another difficult loss versus the Seahawks, and then nearly beat the Eagles last weekend. This team is starting to figure out how to play without Tony Romo, and this will be the game that breaks their six-game losing streak. The Cowboys are getting solid play from Darren McFadden behind their great offensive line and Dez Bryant is nearly 100% healthy. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games on grass and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Look for Dallas to score some points here and get the win by double digits. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-14-15 | SMU +21.5 v. Navy | Top | 14-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
You cant just look at the 1-7 currentl record SMU has. They will be pumped up for this game as they get to play a top 25 team. SMU is a much better team than their record shows. This team nearly beat Temple on National TV and though they did lose by 20 points, the game was nearly tied in the 4th Q. The SMU team scored 40 points on Temple who has a very good defense. This is a squad that only lost by 19 points to TCU 37-56 as 37 point underdogs. This team also covered against Baylor and Houston. THey have played some very stiff competition so I expect a tight game on Saturday. 5* |
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11-14-15 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +8 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Alabama Left tackle, Rufus Warren, who injured his left leg in the last game, could have some lingering problems this week. Alabama is great at stopping the run but Miss St will spread them out and beat them by passing. Look for QB Dak Prescott to have a good game. |
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11-14-15 | Southern Miss -7.5 v. Rice | Top | 65-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Southern Mississippi is coming off a bye, which allowed for an extended celebration of its first season of bowl qualification since 2011. They are well rested for this game and playing with revenge from last years loss to Rice by 18 prs. Southern Miss has been HOT winning 3-straight games by double-digits and their defense continues to get better and lately outstanding in those 3 wins holding opponents to 11ppg. Rice has dropped 2-in a row at home and they are not that good. The favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS and again Southern Miss should win this game by double-digits. S Miss QB Nick Mullens who has 25 tds and is averaging over 320 yards a game and a solid two-man run attack of senior Jalen Richard and sophomore Ito Smith, they're not only going to be bowling but also have a shot at the West Division title. Rice has lost 2 in a row. At 9.6 yards per attempt, only two other teams in FBS are worse against the pass than Rice. I am expecting a BLOWOUT here Saturday afternoon. 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH! |
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11-12-15 | Virginia Tech +3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This Thursday’s matchup is intriguing with VT Head Coach announcing his retirement but I expect him to go out strong these last 3 games and especially with 2 weeks to prepare for this one. Both offenses focus heavily towards running the football. The Yellow Jackets run the triple option while Virginia Tech uses a more traditional style set. The Hokies freshman running back Travon McMillian will likely be the most exciting player to watch. McMillian is a tough runner that has a lot of upside to go along with his youth. Georgia Tech has absolutely zero confidence or ability to throw the football so when they get into 3rd and long plays they are screwed. QB Michael Brewer has provided the Hokies offense with a spark since taking over for Brendan Motley. Brewer has thrown 4 scores compared to just 1 picks in the last two games and he looked great against a tough Boston College defense. Frank Beamer is 24-9-1 ATS in his career when playing with revenge, including 10-0 ATS from Game 10 out in the season. Rambling The Host in this series is 1-8 ATS, including 0-5 ATS the last five. Take VTECH here on Thursday night. 5* |
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11-09-15 | Bears +4.5 v. Chargers | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
The Chargers have a ton of injuries on the offensive line and at WR. Just as it appeared that they could get healthy again, we saw players go down on the field in Baltimore on Sunday. Last Sunday, an already-battered Chargers squad saw injuries with WR Keenan Allen (out indefinitely), TE Ladarius Green, G Orlando Franklin, C Chris Watt, T King Dunlap, LB Manti Teo, CB Brandon Flowers, DE Corey Liuget, and S Eric Weddle all listed as questionable for Monday’s game.
Take tbe BEARS plus the pts. |
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11-08-15 | Giants v. Bucs +3 | Top | 32-18 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
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11-07-15 | LSU v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
These LSU vs. Alabama games have been great matchups over the last several years. Alabama has had the upper hand winning the last 4 but they have all been tough hard fought games by both teams. This Alabama defense is for real and I cant see LSU scoring more than 15 points here. The Tigers will struggle to rush the ball as Alabama will stuff the run. Interestingly Alabama’s offense is designed with a heavy focus on the run. The Crimson Tide have an outstanding running back in Derrick Henry who has already eclipsed the 1,000 yard barrier and has 14 touchdowns on the season. Since Nick Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa, he has put an enormous amount of effort towards recruiting excellent offensive lineman and talented running backs to build his offenses. Alabama still has that same pedigree of offensive talent that yields one of the best rushing offenses in the country. I think Alabama has a major advantage in terms of flexibility on offense. Quarterback Jake Coker has developed into a good passing quarterback this season and offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin has opened the playbook up quite a bit since the start of the season. If these game goes back and forth in favor of the defenses, I like Alabama’s ability to draw up isolation passing situations and simply call shots down the field. A few big plays could easily decide the outcome of this game and Alabama appears to be the team most suitable to pull off the big plays with their ability to throw the football down the field. This is a major mismatch and I look for Alabama to win by double digits. ROLL TIDE! 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-07-15 | TCU v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | Top | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
High scoring Oklahoma State is very real. And Emmanuel Ogbah is as real as real can be especially while playing opposite of lengthy Jimmy Bean, they terrorize teams. And the Olines will have their hands full dealing with these two, all day long. But this will be, by far their toughest game of the season thus far. I never saw this coming with Oklahoma State being unbeaten so late in the 2015 season. Oklahoma State is not far behind TCU in the scoring category. The Cowboys themselves are averaging 44 points a game and giving up 24. They also are passing for over 350 a contest too. These two teams are very similar, but this is not a very good Gary Patterson defensive unit and on the road, it will show. and I like the Home Underdog on Saturday afternoon +5.5 |
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11-06-15 | BYU v. San Jose State OVER 56.5 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
I am expecting to see plenty of scoring here as the Spartans haven't seen an offense like this yet this year. BYU QB Tanner Mangum threw for 237 yards and three TDs on 12-of-13 passing in a 70-6 win over Wagner last week. He's been putting up big numbers since replacing Taysom Hill in Week 1, and you can expect him to fill the stat sheet tonight. San Jose has won three of four home games, scoring 40+ points in all three of those wins. They've gone over in six straight home games versus a team with a winning record. BYU always seems to put up big numbers after their BYE week as well. |
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11-04-15 | Ohio v. Bowling Green -21 | Top | 24-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Bowling Green is currently riding a three-game win streak over Ohio, including last year’s, 31-13 victory in Athens. Ohio U has scored more than 24 points just once against a FBS opponent all season long, and based on their 24 and 35 points margins of defeat in their last two games, this has all the makings for another lopsided final score. |
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11-02-15 | Colts +6 v. Panthers | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
The Colts are 3-4 and have dropped 2 in a row but it looks that Luck is starting to get his strength back. It's true the Carolina is undefeated at 6-0. But a close look at its schedule reveals they defeated weak opponents vs Jacksonville, Houston, New Orleans and Tampa Bay to open the season. We have a play in a game where we think the Panthers will run the ball at will and Andrew Luck and the Colts will finally get their offense back on track in a nationally televised game Monday night. I look for a close grind it out game here and the Underdog Colts to get the cover. 5* |
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11-01-15 | Packers v. Broncos +3.5 | Top | 10-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
The Denver Broncos will look to stay undefeated here in 2015 when they welcome the Green Bay Packers Sunday night. The Broncos have posted a 14-6 ATS record in their last 20 games following a BYE week and they have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Manning is coming off a tough game and I look for him to be keyed in tonight! The Packers come into the game undefeated as well but they have struggled in November ATS as they have gone just 3-7 dating back to the 2012 season. First and foremost is that the Broncos are allowing a league low 17 PPG, 281 YPG, and only 4.5 YP play. I love seeing Denver with their #1 defense as an underdog at home. Secondly, is the strong home field of the Broncos, which finds them to be 24-2 SU the last 3+ years since QB Manning joined the Broncos. Denver's defense is ranked #1 in yards against and #2 in passing yards against, while allowing just 281 ypg this season. Denver leads the NFL with 26 sacks and will add to their total in getting to Rodgers. Rodgers’ only poor performance this season came against the St. Louis Rams, who like the Broncos, have a top pass rush. Look for Manning and the Broncos to come out smoking here Sunday night quieting his critics. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-01-15 | Seahawks v. Cowboys +5 | Top | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
I like Dallas at home with their season on the line here Sunday as a home underdog. Now that Cassel has had time to learn this Cowboys offense and an extra week of practice. My sources tell me that Dez Bryant will likely return The Cowboys need this game to save their season and try to stay close to .500 for when Romo returns. Even with all of the Cowboy's injuries they would have won outright against the Giants if it was not for 3 interceptions in the second half. I look for Cassel to be a lot better with the ball this week after having the time to practice with this offense. The Cowboys had 14 more first downs than the Giants, 171 more total yards, and also dominated them in almost every category, however when you throw 3 INT's and also lose a fumble in any game you have no chance to win or cover. The Seahawks are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against the Cowboys and the underdogs is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 games between these two teams. Seattle hasn't played good on the road and I'll take Dallas behind their strong offensive line to get the ATS Win here at home. 5* |
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11-01-15 | Chargers +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
I like the Chargers plus the pts here on Sunday afternoon. Melvin Gordon has not been what was expected so far. Getting less than 4 YPC. And hasn't ever seemed right in the system for the Chargers, yet. But when Philip Rivers is leading the team on the field, he can make magic happen. Baltimore's defense is not that good and SD will take advantage. The Chargers fell behind last week but they came out smoking in the 2nd half vs the Riaders. That showed me something about their character in the second half and I believe it will carry over to today. The Ravens, on the other hand, used a lot of energy in Monday Night's loss at Arizona. Now, not only are they going to be a tad emotionally fatigued, but they've got secondary issues and the left side of their offensive line could be out. Chargers get the win here. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Michigan v. Minnesota +13 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
No.15 Michigan is playing their 1st game over their heartbreaking loss to Michigan State on the final play and its still on their mind. Minnesota won this game last year and I like them getting double digits at home here on Saturday night. Heavy hearted Minnesota Gophers team hosts the Michigan Wolverines Saturday night and I see this game being much closer then the oddsmakers posted playing for their coach who resigned this week due to medical problems. I believe every Minnesota football player will be playing to win this game for their former head coach Jerry Kill with heavy heartsteam and the success of the ground game I see Minnesota hanging around and covering this double-digit number. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State +11 | Top | 56-41 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
I don’t think there’s any doubt we are seeing an inflated line here with Clemson coming off that 58-0 win over Miami. This is a massive lookahead spot for Clemson. The ACC Atlantic Division title will be on the line next week when the Tigers host FSU, and they will certainly be thinking about that game rather than focusing on the task at hand. Over the last 5 years NC St is 5-0-1 ATS when hosting a ranked opponent. Last 3 years: Upset No. 3 Florida State 17-16 as a 16-point dog in 2012, covered as a 13-point dog against No. 3 Clemson in 2013 and covered as a 18-point dog last year against FSU. I think getting an inflated line only adds that much more value here to the Wolfpack. I like the double digit home dog here. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Ole Miss -7 v. Auburn | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
Ole Miss who is 6-2 on the season is undoubtedly in the hunt for the SEC West crown despite being trailing #4 LSU and #7 Under quarterback Chad kelly, the Rebels boast the SEC's top offense in scoring, total yards and passing. Ole Miss looked like the best team in the SEC last week in large part because left tackle Laremy Tunsil returned from a seven-game suspension. The 6-foot-5, 305-pound All-America candidate played a big part if the Rebels’ 471 total yards in a 23-3 win over Texas A&M. Quarterback Chad Kelly was hurried only twice and sacked once as he threw for 241 yards. Auburn has had major issues applying pressure with its front seven. Auburn won't be able to line up against this Ole Miss defense and march down the field. On the season, Auburn has been outgained by 1.20 yards per play in SEC action. Ole Miss meanwhile hold a very solid 1.14 ypp advantage on SEC opponents. I like this underrated MISS team to take care of business once again here on Saturday. 5* |
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10-31-15 | Illinois +6 v. Penn State | Top | 0-39 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Penn State is 6-2 overall coming into this one but I'm not buying into it that at all. The Nittany Lions have gotten the worst from a few opponents thus far as they benefited from a +3 fumbles situation in their win over San Diego State, faced a Rutgers squad that was missing a ton of key guys due to suspensions including their head coach, won against an Indiana sqaud who was without their starting quarterback in the game and Penn State was also +5 in turnovers combined in their two close wins over Army and Maryland, both of which they failed to cover the point spread against either. Overall they've only won just one game this season against a team that has a winning record. Illinois has a big edge in this one as the Illini play in their 2nd game back from a bye week while Penn State plays for the 9th straight week in a row. The Fighting Illini are yielding just 20.3 points per game and 345 yards, down from 456.4 a season ago so their defense is really stepping up. Illinois also beat Penn State last season and also played the much tougher schedule this season. The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Penn State. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. 10* College Game of the Week |
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10-30-15 | East Carolina -7 v. Connecticut | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
We won by fading East Carolina at home against Temple last week but will switch gears and back the Pirates on Friday night as they should dominate UConn. UConn is coming off back-to-back losses, including a blowout loss at Cincinnati last week. The Huskies were outgained by a whopping 346 total yards in that contest. I have a tough time believing they'll get things sorted out against another tough offensive opponent here. This is a classic case of contender vs. pretender. The Huskies have been one of the worst bets around this season while the Pirates are capable of rising to the occasion, and I like them by double digits here on Friday night, 5* |
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10-29-15 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | Top | 10-40 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
After opening the season with 3 straight wins, West Virginia hits Fort Worth with 3 straight losses as they take on undefeated TCU. The Horned Frogs have covered in 9 of their last 10 at Carter Stadium, TCU looks like the play tonight against the Mountaineers who are a poor 3-10 against the spread on the Big Twelve road under Dana Holgorsen. With 2 weeks to prepare, it is a positive situation for the Frogs who are 12-0 ATS with rest. That’s a far dichotomous number than the 0-7 ATS mark of WVU against conference opponents when rested. With a TCU defense getting healthier by the week, it is bad news for WVU and I like TCU big here tonight at home. 5* |
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10-25-15 | Oakland Raiders +4 v. San Diego Chargers | Top | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
I like the Oakland Raiders here on Sunday coming off of their BYE week. SD is coming off a pair of heartbreaking losses on the final plays vs the Steelers and Packers. Rivers threw for a record da over 500 yards and the team will be emotionally spent. |
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10-25-15 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots -7 | Top | 23-30 | Push | 0 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Tom Brady threw a rare INT last week vs the Colts. He has thrown 14 touchdowns with just 1 interception for the season (71%). The Home team is 29-8 ATS in Pat games, and New England is at 36.4 points per game in their last 8 games. New England has a very heavy pass attack and will spread out the Jets and expose the rookie HC. Tom Brady has been amazing, getting every throw that is needed, and has been remaining on his torrid pace, over the last 3 games. They are also the best on 3rd down conversion, converting 51% on the crucial down, they keep drives alive and score TD's not FG's. THe Pats are 8-0 ATS at home versus opponents who are off 2 wins and cruise this afternoon to be big win at home. This is a statement game for the Super Bowl Champs! 10* |
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10-24-15 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Texas A&M is off of a bad loss and they got physically beat up in that game. Last week, the Aggies entered as an undefeated home dog against Alabama. They leave College Station FOR THEIR FIRST TRUE ROAD GAME with the embarrassment of a (41-23) loss in which the Aggies suffered a trio of pick 6s. Last year, A&M was in a similar situation. They began the year with 5 consecutive victories before traveling to Starkville where they were beaten (48-31) by Mississippi St. The ensuing week, they returned home to face Ole Miss. With their bubble burst, they fell (35-20) courtesy of a (-3) net TO margin which included both a pick 6 and fumble 6 return. Well aware that Ole Miss is off its own embarrassing defeat, when they lost (37-24) at Memphis. But, that situation puts the advantage directly in the favor of the Rebels, who already suffered their own bubble burst after a Florida loss, only to bounce back with a (52-3) win and cover against New Mexico St. the following week. Texas A&M defense is bad at stopping the rush giving up 10 TDs on the ground. Ole Miss, I feel this team will be be primed at home on Saturday. Jaylen Walton is experienced and is a very talented RB he will be wanting to come back after his letdown play recently. This teams offensive firepower is very good and surprising. 10* College game of the month. |
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10-24-15 | Kansas State v. Texas -7 | Top | 9-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
One week after the Kansas State Wildcats were pummeled by the Oklahoma Sooners, 55-0, they travel to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns, and it could be just as bad. That game was in Manhttan, now the 'Cats have to travel? Texas may have saved its season and coach Charlie Strong's job with a win over Oklahoma. Now the Longhorns will make a run at six wins, and become bowl eligible. Look for the difference here to be Texas' running game. Texas has shown success on the ground this season and I think will be able to carry the momentum into this game, after a 313-yard rushing performance against Oklahoma. Freshman Jerrod Heard is crafty, and knows how to make the most of open spaces. He will terrorize the Wildcats once he gets into the secondary. Texas is at home and need a win here to continue momentum and should win this one big on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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10-23-15 | Utah State -3 v. San Diego State | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
4* |
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10-22-15 | Temple +3 v. East Carolina | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
this Temple team is a very solid football team. The defense has been great holding opponents to just 296 total yards per game (13th in FBS). In fact it is the defense’s success that has played a large role in their impressive start. The Owls have allowed just 29 points combined in the last 3 games and their defensive play will be an important factor this Thursday. 5* |
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10-19-15 | NY Giants +5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Eagles despite recent signs of their offense clicking are not yet ready to face a quality team like the Giants, who could very well be 5-0 to start the season, if it was not for some unlucky breaks in the 4th quarter. THe Eagles tend to turn the ball over a lot and this is a big divisional game. The Giants have averaged 26.4 ppg this season and they are stout against the run defensively allowing the 4th least rushing yards in the NFL. Did you know that the Monday-night underdog is 5-1 against the spread this year? The Giants are also, 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. The Eagles have struggled at home recently going 12-25 their last 37 home games. The Giants are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The GMen are playing with double revenge after getting swept last year and I like them in the underdog spot here tonight on MNF. 5* |
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10-18-15 | Washington Redskins v. NY Jets -6.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
The Jets have the NFL's top rated scoring defense. Allowing just 13.8 points per game, the Jets have given up only 55 points in their four games played which is pretty impressive. They are also coming off of a BYE with 2 weeks to prepare for the Redskins who lost a heardbreaker to ATL last week in OT. The Redskins are riddled with key injuries right now. They’ll be missing two starting offensive linemen, including Kirk Cousins best protector, tackle Trent Williams; bad news on a week where the Jets get behemoth defensive lineman Sheldon Richardson back in the lineup. Washington’s secondary is a mess as well, and the Jets will take advantage.. |
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10-18-15 | Arizona Cardinals -4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 13-25 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
We roll with Arizona this week as we have consistently felt that it is great to fade the Monday Night Football winner the following week, and that is why we took the Eagles last week over New Orleans as our top 10*. In a similar fashion, we roll with Arizona who is the much better team than the Pittsburgh Steelers. Arizona stayed on the East coast and practiced this week after their game last Sunday.
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10-18-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Buffalo Bills +3.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
This game opened at a pickem, but the public loves undefeated teams and it quickly pushed the Bengals to -3. We went against the Bengals last week and had to settle for a push after watching Seattle blow a 24-7 lead, and then lose in OT. Cincinnati allowed over 400 yards to each of their previous three opponents, then allowed another 397 yards last week to Seattle. I think the Buffalo's offense will be able to move the ball with EJ Manuel likely starting behind center. LeSean McCoy may even see action, upgraded to probable for this one. The Bills' have a tough front four to get after Bengals QB Dalton and cause some turnovers. I liket his home underdog as the Bills are 9-2 ATS their last 11 when getting points. 5* |
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10-17-15 | Arizona State +5.5 v. Utah | Top | 18-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
ASU quarterback Mike Bercovici has thrown 7 touchdowns in his past two games. ALso DJ Foster is peeling off big runs, with Bercovici adding off some key plays, as well. Receiver Tim White was fantastic last week, with 144 yards and a pair of TD catches. ASU is playing some good ball right now and this is a good undedog spot here on Saturday night. With the way ASU is playing the last couple weeks, it’s not hard to imagine them hanging in there with Utah, with a chance to even win the game. After all, Cal only lost by 6 points to the Utes last week and that was with 6 Cal turnovers in the game. Look for the Sun Devils to pull the upset here. 5* |
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10-17-15 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +4 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
This is a major revenge game as Texas A&M was down last year 45-0 at halftime against Bama and ended up losing 59-0. They had this game circled here all season long. The Aggies are 5-0 home dogs in Game 6, playing with revenge and I like them in this spot on Saturday afternoon! 5* |
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10-17-15 | Iowa v. Northwestern +2 | Top | 40-10 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
Northwestern comes off a brutal beating last week as they got blasted 38-0. Their QB were a pathetic 15-33 with one INT. They only rushed for 38 yards on 25 carries and their special teams were bad. Not only will Northwestern want to erase last weekend's blowout loss, 38-0, but also last year in Iowa the Hawkeyes beat Northwestern 48-7 so they have some major revenge on their minds. Northwestern has had some big home wins already this year, beating Minnesota 27-0 and in their first game this year they beat Stanford 16-6 and Saturday look for Northwestern defense to bring home another defensive win. I see Northwestern coming out at home with a chip on their shoulder. Northwestern is 6-1 ATS following a SU loss of 20 points or more, and the Cats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. The home team in this series is a perfect 5-0 ATS, and I expect a huge all out effort here at home on Saturday afternoon and NW to get the WIN! 10* |
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10-12-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. San Diego Chargers -3.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
SD is a much different and better team at home. San Diego will welcome back from suspension TE Antonio Gates for this one, giving QB Philip Rivers another option in an already potent passing attack. Gates will be his #1 target on MNF. Under Mike Tomlin's guidance, the Steelers have never won a game in California. QB Michael Vick's throwing ability has become noticeably worse. There is little zip and hardly a spiral on the veteran QB's passes. Defenders can give Pittsburgh's speedy receivers plenty of room knowing Vick's limitations. Now 35 years old, Vick averaged just five yards per completion in his start against Baltimore to go along with four sacks. The Chargers also have healthier offensive line here and they should win big on Monday night! 5* |
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10-10-15 | California +8 v. Utah | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
I like CAL in this game on Saturday night. They have probably the best QB in the nation right now with Jared Goff. He is a beast having thrown for 15 TD's and 1630 passing yards. Cal's defense leads the nation in creating turnovers and is the Pac 12's number 1 team in sacks. This CAL team is very good all around and coming off a poor showing last week despite the win. These two teams are the only undefeated teams in the PAC 12 so the winner will have steam to get into the College Football Playoffs. Look for Jared Goff to come up HUGE and raise his 1st round NFL stock by leaps and bounds. Look for Goff to hit WR Kenny Lawler time after time for big yardage. Goff can also hand it to Daniel Lasco as he is fully recovered from his injuryand CAL was a perfect 5-0 ATS last year as underdogs on the road. TAKE CALIFORNIA 10* |
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10-10-15 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 21-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Florida could have a letdown after defeating Tennessee and Ole Miss in back to back weekends in the tough SEC. Missouri is #2 in the nation in tackles for a loss so getting inside the Gators backfield can stop many drives and keep the crowd in the game. Pay special attention to Tigers Walter Brady as he will live in Florida's backfield and is a monster. Defensive home dog supreme with a situational advantage against the Florida team laying an inflated after two 2 wins for Florida spells letdown with travel to Mizzu on Saturday night. 5* |
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10-10-15 | Northwestern v. Michigan -10 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan just continues to play better each week. Their offensive line is playing great and I think they'll keep NW in check. Northwestern has a solid defense but their offense is not good. Michigan also has a great D, but its more of timely great defense. They have been amazing vs 3rd down conversions. Keeping drives short, if the Wolverines defense can stop them on 3rd downs, and at home Michigan will be rocking. This is only NWestern's 2nd road game and I think they are in trouble. NW is ranked#13 and getting 7.5 pts. The oddsmakers are begging out to take them but we aren't biting. Michigan pulls away in a defensive battle. 27-10 |
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10-10-15 | Georgia v. Tennessee +3.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses, so this is a team that could very well be a perfect 5-0. They have 18 returning starters from last season. This TENN team is very good and despite their record this team has talent. |
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10-05-15 | Detroit Lions +10.5 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
The Lions blew an early 21-3 lead in a season-opening loss to San Diego and have gone down meekly in losses at Minnesota (26-16) and to Peyton Manning and Denver (24-12) in last weekend's home opener. "I think our team is right there," Detroit coach Jim Caldwell insisted. "You just can't see it, but we can." Quarterback Matthew Stafford should have a solid game along with Golden Tate with his return to Seattle. Also look for RB Ameer Abdullah to be used a lot in screens and out of the backfield. I expect a tight game to take the Lions PLUS THE DOUBLE DIGITS here on MNF. 5* |
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10-04-15 | Houston Texans +6 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Texans will keep Julio Jones and company off the field with their defense and pressure. Houston is one of the best 3rd down defensive teams in the NFL. With the 3-0 start the Falcons have gone from being a +3 home underdog in the opening week to being nearly a touchdown home favorite in Week 4. Houston's losses have both come by just seven points and with just 20 points allowed per game as the Texans figure to be the superior defensive team in this matchup. The Texans also finally got back to running the ball with success last week posting 186 yards on over 4.0 yards per carry and Ryan Mallett's confidence should grow with a win under his belt. The Houston defense will attack Matt Ryan and make the offensive line uncomfortable throughout and I think this will be very tight and the Houston Texans are ready to pull the upset on the road. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Arizona State +14 v. UCLA | Top | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
UCLA always has a history of losing a game at home to a team they shouldn't be losing to and this game screams trap game. They are sandwiched between a nationally televised primetime game and a team who Jim Mora hasn't beaten yet ( Stanford ). I expect Arizona St to have a crazy pass rush and all out blitzing of the Arizona St Sun Devils. At best, Josh Rosen will be forced to throw short passes as going deep will be remove from the offense tonight. The key to the upset is the Sun Devil's potent pass rush. The top 3 tacklers for a loss in the Pac 12 are all on the Sun Devils side. The Devils can run the ball which bodes well against the Bruins main weakness as they have little in the form of a run defense. This is a major revenge game as ARZ St lost by 38 last year against UCLA. Look for a letdown after just destroying Arizona on the road last week opening up their conference play action. This is too many points to give a solid defensive team. 10* |
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10-03-15 | Ole Miss v. Florida +7 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Florida have definitely played some very solid defense as well against Kentucky and squeaking by Tennessee. This Florida team is young but very athletic and fast. Look for a tight game throughout and the Gators to pull the upset late at home. 5* |
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10-03-15 | Arkansas v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
My biggest problem with Arkansas however is its defense. There are some alarming red flag-type numbers to be aware of. Three weeks ago, Toledo hit them up for 237 yards through the air which while not horrible, was a precursor of things to come. Both Texas Tech and Texas A&M had no trouble against UA's secondary with 673 yards combined at well over 10 yards per pass. Tennessee's passing numbers don't look all that impressive but it's had more to do with the in-game situations rather than their capabilities. The Vols stuck to the ground with big leads against Bowling Green and Western Carolina and were wise not to test Florida's elite level secondary. Tennessee has weapons at the receiver position and will assuredly unleash them against Arkansas' soft secondary. Tenn already has 2 losses and they need to run the table and win every game big and it starts today! Play the VOLS! 5* |
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10-01-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
The Steelers are 3-0 ATS in 2015, have Le'Veon Bell back, and are only allowing, 17.3 PPG. The Ravens are 0-3 (both SU and ATS), can't run the ball, WR's are old and the secondary is terrible. The Steelers are 7-1 ATS their L8 overall, 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the AFC, and 6-2 ATS their L8 at home. Giving Pittsburgh some extra hope moving ahead without Big Ben is a defense that is getting better and better with each game. This is a Pittsburgh defense that is in the midst of a transition, with a leaning toward youth and the departure of Dick LeBeau in the offseason. On Sunday, Baltimore allowed 383 yards in the air by Andy Dalton, with AJ Green having a monster game with 227 yards receiving. Vick has had a week to prepare and I'll back the Steelers at home catching 3 points. 5* |
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09-28-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Green Bay Packers -5.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The Green Bay Packers are looking to jump to a 3-0 start as they welcome the Kansas City Chiefs to Lambeau Field for a Monday Night matchup. KC plays too conservative for my liking and I expect them to fall into a hole against the high powered GB Packers on MNF. The Packers enter the week as the top ranked team in the Power ratings with the Chiefs checking in at the #9 spot. In his last 17 home games, Rodgers has thrown for 41 touchdowns and zero interceptions on 512 pass attempts. Rodgers has completed 77% of his passes through two contests and the Packers are 5th in points scored, averaging 29 a game. Eddie Lacy is battling a sprained ankle but does hope to play with the extra day of rest. If the bruising back can’t go, veteran James Starks should be able to pick up the slack without too much dropoff and Green Bay didn’t miss a beat in the run game last week against a tough Seattle defense. Both teams have good but not great defenses. Green Bay typically plays with a lead and that lets guys like Julius Peppers and Clay Matthews go for big plays. KC has been stout against the run so far, allowing just 80 yards on average but ranks outside the top-20 in pass yards allowed, not exactly a good stat as you go up against the best QB in the business and their pass happy offense. I think 6.5 points is safe to lay, especially in Lambeau. Look for the Packers to get a big win on MNF over the Chiefs. 5* |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos v. Detroit Lions +3 | Top | 24-12 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Denver comes in at 2-0 off a miracle win at rival KC last week a game they had 5 takeaways and barely won. The defense is very good, and manning showed glimpses of the old Peyton in the 2nd half of that game. But can he keep it up? Especially behind an terrible OL with 3 new starters? Detroit's season may be on the line as they have started out 0-2 and they have a solid defense and a lot of weapons on offense. Lions are still able to throw the deep ball with touch and tolerable accuracy. Look for a lot of screens to the Lions RB's and Detroit to keep Denver off balance. I expect the Lions to win this game outright. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +7.5 | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This annual SEC matchup again takes place at the home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas. Last year Texas A&M won this contest 35-28, but in so doing, they were outrushed by Arkansas 285-137 so I am looking for a similiar outcome this year. I expect HC Bielema is rebuilding this Arkansas program in that same mold as he did with Wisconsin. Arkansas does, however, have one of the largest OLs in the country. My what I have heard Bielema is going to return to the ground game on Saturday and just keep pounding it and controling the ball in an effort to control the clock and the flow of the game. With the Hogs off two horrendous performances, we are now getting 2 TDs more from where this line would have been opening week. Although Arkansas (1-2) needs to work on its leaky pass defense, its power offense should find some success against a vulnerable Aggies run defense. Lost amid the glossy offensive numbers Texas A&M (3-0) has posted thus far is a shaky run defense that gave up 393 combined rushing yards to Ball State and Nevada. The Razorbacks are capable of pounding the ball downfield and shortening the game with their offense. They gained 285 rushing yards on Texas A&M last year. Look for a close game throughout and Arkansas to pull the upset catching 7.5 points at home. 10* |
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09-26-15 | Virginia Tech v. East Carolina +10 | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
For East Carolina, WR Jones will be an extremely valuable asset in this game, Isaiah Jones has shown excellent concentration especially in his receiving routes. EC has a strong home field, where in the last 3 years under 6th year HC McNeill, they are 16-3 SU with only losses to UCF by 2, VA Tech by 5 (last time here in 2013) and Navy which they struggled to prepare for their option. With extra value in the line, look for the Pirates to bounce back in a game they can take to the wire as QB Kemp has admirably replaced 4 year starter Carden in putting up 300 PYPG. Look for another close game here in EC. 5* |
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09-21-15 | NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts -6.5 | Top | 20-7 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Andrew Luck simply does not lose back to back games. He has a great record coming off of a loss and the Jets will be without number 2 corner Cromartie. The Colts will play better on both sides of the ball in this one and they will have a huge boost from the home crowd in the home opener on MNF. The Colts are 18-3 ATS in their last 21 games after a loss and 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are hoping their second matchup with an AFC East foe goes better than the first. Playing at home should provide an added lift for the Colts, who will try to rebound from a season-opening drubbing in Buffalo when they host the New York Jets on Monday night. Play the Indianapolis Colts -7 with confidence Monday night as Luck should bounce back with a big night on MNF. 5* |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6 | Top | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
With 10 days to prepare, the Pittsburgh Steelers play their home opener after losing last Thursday against the Patriots. SF is on the short week playing late on MNF plus traveling to the east coast. Even though the Steelers lost 28-21, they outgained the Patriots by 103 yards. New England lost the stats by a 464-to-361 margin, proving the Steelers offense looks dynamic. Mike Tomlin usually bounces back strong with extra time to game plan. The Steelers have enjoyed a lot of success at home when playing the NFC West. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS at home against NFC West teams in his career. Pittsburgh has scored 30 or more points in five of their last six home games. The Steelers actually could have won the game late. I just do not like the SF team this year and I look for Pittsburgh to even up their record at 1-1 with a big win on Sunday afternoon at home. 10* |
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09-17-15 | Clemson v. Louisville +6.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
ACC Football takes over this Thursday night as the Louisville Cardinals host the no. 11 Clemson Tigers inside Papa John’s Stadium. Louisville has suffered two straight close losses to start the season including a tough match to open the season against no. 6 Auburn. This week the Cardinals continue the search for that first win with their 3rd straight home contest. Meanwhile the Clemson Tigers have got off to a quick 2-0 start as the 11th ranked team in the land. However, the Tigers have beaten the likes of Wofford and Appalachian State meaning this week’s Thursday night battle on the road in Louisville will be their first true test of the year. Everyone knew that Louisville coach Bobby Petrino was going to have his hands full this year after losing the most starters in the ACC and the 3rd most starters in all of college football from last year’s team. Louisville will be too much to handle in this game on both sides of the ball as a 7 pr home dog. This is a nice rebound spot for the Cardinals and they win big on Thursday night. 5* |
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