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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys -3 v. Vikings | Top | 17-15 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 33 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys, coming off a solid Thanksgiving Day win over the Washington Redskins, and now go on the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings who are coming off a loss to the Detroit Lions after a late INT by Sam Bradford. The Vikings are sitting at 6-5 on the season right now and have to be a little concerned about recent trends as they have dropped five of their last six overall. Sam Bradford seems to not be panning out in Minnesota just like he hasn’t at every stop in his career and is coming off an absolute stinker of a game against the Lions. Offensively, there is very little to like with the Vikes. Bradford can connect on short passes well, but thats about it. The Dallas Cowboys are looking like one of the best teams in the league and with two rookies leading the way for the offense you have to look a little deeper to find out why this team is playing at such an elite level. The Cowboys defense has been excellent this season and very much under the radar as the offense really gets all the credit. They play great defense in the redzone and I expect them to blitz the hell out of Bradford. Take the Cowboys to get the win and cover in this one as they are the better overall team and with the Vikings offense basically looking nonexistent this should be an easy win for Dallas here on Thursday night. The Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS this year and I like them to get their 10th spread victory here on Thursday and get us the cash. 10* |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | Top | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
Technically both of these teams are alive in the Playoff hunt, but they’re quickly falling out of the race. Whichever team loses on Monday night might as well turn their attention to next season, and I think that team will be the Packers. At some point the Packers will start to figure it out on both sides of the ball. GB gave up 515 yards to the Redskins last Sunday so I expect them to be much better vs the Eagles.
Entering Week 12, Rodgers has completed 259 of 410 passes for 2,761 yards, 25 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, which gives him a 96 passer rating. I like the better QB in a must win game to keep their playoff hopes alive. 5* |
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11-27-16 | Chargers -2 v. Texans | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Houston is on a short week having played in Mexico on MNF. San Diego is well rested coming off of their BYE week. SD has the much better QB this game with Rivers and he is coming off a loss and one of the worst games he played in a while throwing 4 INT's. All 6 of San Diego’s losses were one possession games. Texans are only averaging 4.7 yards per play, which is the 2nd worst in the league. San Diego comes in prepared, rested and they get the WIN on there road here.. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals v. Falcons -4 | Top | 19-38 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
5* The most impressive thing is that Atlanta has found a way to win in every way possible, with running the ball, attacking the QB, and even their special teams game. Atlanta has an offense that is virtually impossible to defend. The Falcons off a BYE and of course are one of the league's premier offenses, leading the league in points scored and net yards per attempt. At home, I think they'll be able to handle a good Arizona defense that hasn't been tested all that much this year. Carson Palmer has struggled this year and we have a west coast team playing early and the Falcons are rested. Cardinals are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record Take ATLANTA at home as Julio Jones has a monster game here. |
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11-26-16 | Florida +7.5 v. Florida State | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
Last week, the Gators went into Baton Rouge and upset #16 LSU with the help of a defensive stand at the goal line in the waning seconds of the game. The win not only clinched the Gators into the SEC Championship Game but it also sent a clear message that they can compete with any team in the nation. However despite the struggles, injuries, and inconsistencies, the Florida Gators have remained resilient with an 8-2 SU mark on the season. A large part of that success can be accredited to the Florida defense that has yielded just 282 total yards per game which ranks 5th in the FBS. In fact if you throw out the loss to Arkansas, you could make the case that Florida has been hottest team in the SEC and perhaps one of the hottest teams in the country during the 2nd half of the college football season.
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11-26-16 | Rutgers v. Maryland -14 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
I’ve seen the Terps play live against Michigan State and came away highly impressed with their ability to run the ball and create turnovers. I've seen Rutgers play as well and they are bad. They've lost four games this season by scores of 39-0, 49-0, 58-0, and 78-0. As you can see once they fall behind they give up. RU has major issues on offense, in all three facets: passing, rushing and blocking. 5* |
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11-25-16 | Arizona State -1 v. Arizona | Top | 35-56 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This matchup should help the Sun Devils get their passing game rolling. They have the better offense and a win here gets them into a Bowl game. I expect the Arizona Wildcats, on the other hand, to spend most of this one in their own territory, as they have not shown the ability to overcome pressure. Back ASU to snap its five-game skid and cover and get the win here on Friday night. Play on ARIZONA St. 5* |
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11-25-16 | Houston v. Memphis +6.5 | Top | 44-48 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Memphis looked good on last Friday with a dominant win over Cincinnati. The defense did its job, holding Cincy to one fourth quarter score. QB Riley Ferguson left the game after appearing to take a hit to the head and is questionable for this game. In his absence, Jason Stewart did well on 13-for-15 passing with two TD throws. They got two touchdowns on the ground by leading rusher Doroland Dorceus. Through the air, Phil Mayhue and Anthony Miller were both productive. With 38.7 points a game, this is an offense that can do damage. Memphis also had a very good defense. It was impressive how well the Memphis defense played against Cincinnati last week, holding the Bearcats to just a garbage touchdown late in the game. They are a defense that might not be all that robust on a consistent basis, but they can make things happen, as they have forced 25 turnovers this season and I'll back them at home as a nice dog this afternoon. 5* |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +1.5 v. Lions | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Detroit has trailed in the fourth quarter every game and has pulled out six wins The problem is they don't run the ball anymore (14 yards last wk vs Jax) and the Vikings defense will beat this one-dimension offenses. The Vikings stopped their free fall last week with a 30-24 win over the Cardinals despite 10 penalties and just 217 yards of total offense. Their defense and special teams accounted for two return TD's to help make up the difference. On Thursday, they will look for revenge against a Lions team that made a 58-yard field goal to force overtime and take a 22-16 win in Minnesota a few weeks ago. Look for the Vikings’ third-ranked defense to disrupt Matthew Stafford here today with the short week. Football is a game of adjustments, and playing a team twice in three weeks will yield itself to a very close game. This time however, I think the Vikings, because of their defense, get the win on Thanksgiving afternoon. 5* |
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11-21-16 | Texans v. Raiders -5.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
This game will be played in Mexico City on a neutral site. The biggest x-factor is Raiders QB Derek Carr, who has great chemistry with his wideouts and has shown above-average ability in situational football and making great decisions this year. I think Oakland wins this one by at least a touchdown as they've been great on the road this season going a perfect 5-0. The Raiders' defense has started to round into form and I expect them to beat Houston the way they did Denver with a mauling offensive line that creates running lanes and gives Derek Carr a clean pocket. 5* |
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11-20-16 | Eagles v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Last Sunday we had a top 10* play on the Eagles, but this week we'll go against them. Seattle is a more difficult environment is play in especially for a rookie QB. Since week 5 Eagles QB Carson Wentz has one of the lowest QB ratings in the league. Look for the Seahawks to put a lot of pressure on him. The Eagles have been incredible at home, especially on defense, but on the road is another story where their only win has come at Chicago. Philly is 0-4 ATS on the road. Russell Wilson just played his best game of the season and it came against the best team in the league Sunday night with a win over the Pats. He's apparently healthy again and I expect his upward trend to continue Sunday. Look for Seattle to get the win and cover here on Sunday evening. 10* GOW. |
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11-20-16 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
The Bengals are off a tough loss on MNF and also on a short week. Buffalo is now a Top 10 team on the efficiency numbers and coming off of their BYE week. Buffalo has been its own worst enemy, which is why they’re 4-5 and losers of three straight. I think this is a very winnable game for Buffalo as the Bengals are banged up and several players were limited this week in practice. 5* |
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11-19-16 | Arizona State v. Washington OVER 63.5 | Top | 18-44 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
The Sun Devils' last three games have sailed Over as they've allowed 37, 54 and 49 points. Washington is in an angry mood after seeing its perfect season go up in smoke last week and just put up 13 points in that loss and should hit the mid-40s here. That should help the Over improve to 9-2 in Huskies' games this season and I like this total to sail OVER THE TOTAL. 5* |
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11-19-16 | Stanford v. California +10.5 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
At home, California should put the Cardinal defense to the test. And it has been highly susceptible to big plays. Back California to cover as they have a ton of speed on offense and they must win out to have a shot at a bowl game. They've also lost 3 in a row all versus ranked opponents. Stanford is known for running the ball. Hopefully to eat up the clock and as a double digit favorite, make it hard to cover that many points on the road. With a home crowd for rivalry week, and the must-win stakes at play, Cal needs to come out aggressively early. Cal just needs to limit Christian McCaffrey's yards and I like CAL to keep this game close and we'll back the home underdog here on Saturday afternoon. 10* Diamond in the Rough |
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11-19-16 | San Diego State v. Wyoming +10 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
This game has San Diego St moving from sunny California surf weather to the cold cold weather of Wyoming. San Diego State has already clinched the West, and now it’s just playing for fun and its the temp is going to be in the 40's. Wyoming’s been amazing at home, so far this season and the strength of this Wyoming team is their offense so they will have to hope they can use that and energy of the crowd to pull of the upset. Wyoming still controls its own destiny in the race for the division title, but there is no more room for error and will play accordingly. Take the home underdog with Wyoming. 10* Game of the Month |
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11-17-16 | Louisville -14.5 v. Houston | Top | 10-36 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
In the beginning of the season, this looked like a primetime marquee matchup. Now, it doesn’t have the same luster. The biggest difference in this game will be the Cardinals' secondary. This is a group that helps in run support in addition to being great vs. the pass. Louisville won’t have an issue getting off the field against the Cougars and they are going to want to win and win big to try and move up in the rankings. Take Louisville as a 5* Play. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals v. Giants | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
The Cincinatti Bengals season is on the line here sitting at 3-4-1 and coming their BYE week. Here's another case of the wrong team being favored. Cincinnati comes off a bye and my projections show the Bengals winning by a field goal. They will be highly motivated coming off a BYE and also off a rare tie game through OT. |
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11-13-16 | Falcons v. Eagles +1.5 | Top | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
The Eagles have lost four of five, but they've been dominant in their three home games this year. Philly won those over Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Minnesota by an average of 20 points. Atlanta comes in after winning two shootouts and I beleive this will be much more of a grind. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-13-16 | Packers v. Titans +3 | Top | 25-47 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
Despite the Packers' struggles at 4-4, they remain a public team when it comes to casual bettors. With the public piling on the Packers, this line is severely inflated. While Green Bay has lost two straight, including one to the uneven Colts in a game they never felt competitive in, the Titans have been on a roll offensively, scoring at least 26 points in each of their last five games and getting great QB play with a 4-5 record. A strong Packers rush defense has wilted against elite competition, and that label applies to the Titans' running game. Expect a lot of points and a Titans win in the end here at home and they'll even up their record at 5-5. 5* |
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11-12-16 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -3.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 102 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
If you are 0-5 in conference play and the worst team in the SEC, why are you a 3.5 point favorite against Vanderbilt who is 4-5 ? Missouri hasn’t had a problem putting up points in the last several games and Vanderbilt doesn’t have a particularly potent offense. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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11-12-16 | West Virginia +2 v. Texas | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
If the Mountaineers can play great team defense like they have all season long, they’ll make Texas one-dimensional. This is only the 3rd road game of the season for W Virginia this season and they'll be fired up for this game. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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11-12-16 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -17.5 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
After a 6-0 start, Baylor has lost 2 straight and last week were crushed at home by TCU 62-22. With an interim coach, a depth-shy roster that will see them playing without RB Linwood here (suspension) and a lot of off-field turmoil, this is a team that you need to fade immediately. It’s not like they’ve been good anyways this year at 2-6 ATS while playing a very soft schedule. On the other side, Oklahoma has a couple of extra days to prepare following a 34-24 win at Iowa St last Thursday. They are 6-0 in Big 12 play and welcome back RB’s Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon this week. No doubt the Sooners want revenge from an embarrassing 48-14 (+5.5) home loss to the Bears 2 years ago and they’ll get it in easy fashion over a dumpster fire Baylor team. The recipe for the Oklahoma Sooners is to try and win with Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma is getting ready for a very tough 3 game stretch and needs to win every game convincingly. BLOWOUT CITY HERE! 5* |
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11-10-16 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -7 | Top | 33-26 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
UL Laff is only averaging 13 PPG in their last 3 games and Geo Souther is capible of putting up points quickly. Georgia Southern gets to go against some more gashable defensive units here over the next two weeks 2 which are at home, which should help their cause. This is a must win game for the Eagles if they're going to get to 6 wins and hopes for a Bowl game. I like Geo Southern to win this one by double digits on Thursday night. 5* |
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11-09-16 | Toledo -7 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 31-24 | Push | 0 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
We've got great weather for tonight's game being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, with temperatures at 49 degrees and very little wind. Toledo has lost six straight to NIU and the road team has covered the last five meetings. That means that none of the Toledo players have ever beat perennial MAC power NIU, and this is surely Toledo's best chance. Everyone in the MAC has been picking on the Huskies, as they've won only three games to six losses. Toledo's offenses averages 553 ypg and averages a 40-22 margin score. It’s payback time for Toledo and I like them to get the job done tonight! 5* |
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11-07-16 | Bills +7 v. Seahawks | Top | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Except for the Patriots' revenge game last week, the Bills' losses have all come by less than a touchdown. Buffalo is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven against winning teams. This Seahawks' offense does not resemble the Patriots as Seattle has only scored 1 offensive TD in its last 2 games. Buffalo's defense and LeSean McCoy, who practiced all week, should do enough to stay within this number. |
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11-06-16 | Broncos +1 v. Raiders | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
We are going with the Denver Broncos here on Sunday night. Derek Carr has been sacked nine times in eight games, but I think the Broncos -- with DeMarcus Ware now at 100 percent -- will put enough pressure on him to limit Oakland's offense. The Oakland offense is good but their defense is bad. The Raiders have yet to cover a home game and are giving up a league-worst 6.5 yards per play. Back the Broncos to improve to 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. 5* |
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11-06-16 | Saints v. 49ers +4.5 | Top | 41-23 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Making a case for the 49ers against the offensively dangerous Saints is comparable. San Fran’s has had 2 weeks to prep for this game and I think their offense will be on track here at home. 10* NFL Game of the Week |
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11-05-16 | Nebraska v. Ohio State UNDER 52.5 | Top | 3-62 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have gone Under the total in their last six games and seven of eight this season. They've got a defense that battles hard every game and they face a struggling Ohio State offense on Saturday, which looks like a perfect spot for another UNDER play. The Buckeyes themselves have stayed Under in four of their last five and nine of their past 11 in Big Ten play. QB J.T. Barrett had 16 TDs in his first four games but has tossed just three in the last four. Everyone expects a shootout but I look for a defensive battle and this game staying UNDER the total on Saturday night. 5* |
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11-05-16 | Iowa +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* GAME OF THE WEEK: There’s big value on an Iowa squad that likely would have likely been favored in this matchup just a few weeks ago. This line is way out of wack just because Penn St is now ranked #12 in the Nation and they have a target on their back and this line is extremely inflated for unjust reasons. Iowa is tough on both sides of the ball and II believe Iowa can stop Barkley. Iowa coming in off a BYE after losing to Wisconsin with 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Iowa still has a ton to play for including a shot at the Big Ten Championship game if they win out. Iowa’s head coach Kirk Ferentz is 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS the last 6 times he is off a bye in the regular season. First of all Penn State has allowed 6 of 8 opponents to run for 150 or more yards. Iowa is 26-2 since the 2013 season when they are able to run for over 150+ yards which includes a 5-0 record this season. The three-loss Hawkeyes have underachieved but their rugged style is hard to separate from, and they should perform well as a nice juicy underdog here. |
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11-05-16 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +6 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Northwestern is playing some great football during its 4-game ATS cover run and their QB Clayton Thorson has been a big reason why, throwing for 10 TDs and only 2 INT's. The Wildcats gave Ohio State a scare last week with an underrated defense and have road wins at Michigan State and Iowa during their 4-0 ATS run. I dont expect to see too many TD's in this game with a lot of FG kicks. I’m taking the Wildcats and the points as I think they continue the good play that they have shown over the last month. Also, the home team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. 5* |
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11-05-16 | Navy v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -101 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
Last week’s win provided Notre Dame with a much needed boost in trying to turn their season around from utter failure to at least some redemption by attempting to get to a bowl game, something they can only do by winning three of their last four games to close out the year. Navy finds themselves in this week having to travel to Florida for the second straight week as this game is at a neutral site. The biggest question for the Midshipmen will be their pass defense. I think that’s a matchup Notre Dame can exploit in a big way. We know Navy’s offense will give the Irish problems, but can its defense get stops? Not enough, as the Fighting Irish win and cover by double digits I beleive. 5* |
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11-04-16 | Temple v. Connecticut UNDER 45 | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
The last seven meetings between Temple and UConn have stayed Under so why switch the trend now, especially since the Huskies average just 19 points per game. In their last two games, they scored 19 points combined. The Uconn defense has been solid as of late. |
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10-31-16 | Vikings -4 v. Bears | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
The Bears are getting back Jay Cutler at QB, which on the surface looks like it’ll help the offense and the team. But do you trust Cutler and this Bears' offense going up against an angry Vikings team coming off its first loss? NO. Sam Bradford played terrible last week and I except him and the offense to come out hungry and fired up against a divisional opponent. The Vikings won the last three matchups and I like the Vikings to make it four in a row come Monday night minus the small number. I expect the Vikings defense to be tough in a low-scoring affair. 5* |
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10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
A BYE week plus the great play of QB Dak Prescott plus the return of WR Dez Bryant plus NFL rushing leader Ezekiel Elliott pounding away at a defense allowing 4.5 yards per carry behind the best offensive line in football. The Cowboys defense has also been solid this year with Dallas yet to give up 100 yards to any rusher or receiver all year. The like Dallas at home with a run game with the fact that Dak Prescott plays efficient, mistake-free football, and that will be the difference with the boys playing at home. Look for Dallas to force some turnovers and get another big win and push their record to 6-1. 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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10-30-16 | Seahawks v. Saints +2 | Top | 20-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
Seattle just played a tough 5 quarter game ending in a tie after OT against a tough Arizona team.
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10-29-16 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +4.5 | Top | 40-29 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Auburn is coming off an SEC record for most rushing yards last week against Ark. Ole Miss opened -1 and now Auburn in -4.5 because of the 56-3 blowout of Arkansas last week. This Ole Miss team has a ton of talent despite their record. . Remember that Ole Miss was ahead by three TD's against Florida St and Alabama but ended up losing both late. I'm all over the small dog with OLE MISS plus the points at home. 10* College Game of the Week |
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10-29-16 | Washington -10 v. Utah | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
The Oline of Utah has not been playing right. They allowed 5 sacks when matched up against UCLA - and Washington. Utah is also banged up on both sides of the ball. Washington can really push the ball down field, and Sophomore QB Jake Browning has been great this season - the Heisman hopeful is never afraid to make the play when he needs to. He has big targets who he can throw to at any time.
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10-29-16 | Kentucky +6 v. Missouri | Top | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
Kentucky has a running game that can make plays, bottom line. The Wildcats have made plays with their strong ground game and their very good front push. Battling the Dline of the Tigers shouldn't be a tough to handle situation.
The Tigers are just not good and the Wildcats are playing pretty solid football with more to play for than Mizzou. One more win in SEC play should guarantee a bowl bid for Kentucky with Austin Peay left on the schedule.. Mizzu Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games Kentucky gets my call here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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10-28-16 | San Diego State -5 v. Utah State | Top | 40-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
I expect the powerful Aztecs to have their way against a Utah State club that has been erratic this season. 5* |
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10-27-16 | Ohio v. Toledo -17 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Toledo is an offensive high octane machine, their OL has a major advantage and so does their SPecial Teams. While Ohio U has played every game close they really haven't played anyone good outside of Tenn. Toledo is also a cover machine going 17-5 ATS their last 22 games overall, and I Toledo gets an impressive win tonight behind QB Logan Woodside. 5* |
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10-24-16 | Texans v. Broncos -7.5 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
Brock Osweiler returns to Denver after somehow getting the win over Indy last Sunday night. He has played terrible for most of the season so far. The Texans are 4-2 but they rank 30th in defense and looked absolutely terrible last Sunday before Indy melted down in the 2nd half. They're banged up in the secondary, which should help Trevor Siemian get back on track after struggling against the Chargers. Denver has posted a 3-1-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team from the AFC 5* |
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10-23-16 | Vikings v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
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10-22-16 | Ohio State v. Penn State +19 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Ohio State is coming off a tough 30-23 overtime win at Wisconsin last week in which the Buckeyes were outgained 450-411 in total yards and the players got beat up pretty good. Ohio State must now travel again and face a rested Penn State squad that is coming off their BYE week and well rested. Its raining there and going to be a sloppy cold game on Saturday night. Penn State has a solid 4-2 SU record this season with only one loss coming by more than three points. Look for a tight game and I'll take the pts with PENN ST at home. 5* |
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10-22-16 | Arkansas v. Auburn -10.5 | Top | 3-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Auburn is still alive for the SEC title while Arkansas is officially out of the race. Ever since Gus Malzahn was put on the hot seat the team has stepped up on both sides of the ball. The Auburn Tigers come into the game on a three-game winning streak putting a a focus on the run game and trusting their better-than-average defense. Auburn’s defense is allowing just 16 points per game, and playing tougher than anyone in the country. Starting running back Kerryon Johnson and Kamryn Pettway have been a deadly duo with Johnson rushing for 538 yards on 105 carries with six scores and Pettway rushing 91 times for 505 yards with four touchdowns. I give major edges with Auburn here playing at home, getting 2 weeks to prepare for this game and their QB can beat you with his legs and arm. I think this game turns into a major blowout in the 2nd half. 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH |
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10-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +4 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 4 m | Show |
Wisconsin should be drained after playing close games and losing by a total of 14 points to Michigan and Ohio St. Now Iowa has to travel again to Iowa City and play a very good Iowa team. Both defenses are exceptional but Wisconsin's QB Alex Hornibrook's inexperience will be the difference. Four of Wisconsin's six games this season have had totals that have come in at 40 points or below. Look for a defensive battle and this game decided by a FG. I'll take the home underdog with IOWA plus the points. 10* |
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10-20-16 | BYU +7 v. Boise State | Top | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
BYU has a habit of being involved in wild, close games, as all of it contests except one this season have been decided by seven points or fewer. This isn't your usual Boise St team. The Broncos might be a bit overrated in the market as they struggled to get past mediocre Colorado State last week. The Cougars have the physicality to match the Broncos, and the touchdown spot is a strong position on this solid team who plays solid defense. Take BYU on THursday night. 5* |
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10-20-16 | Miami (Fla) +6.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
This is an intriguing game because you have two very good defenses facing two solid QBs and running games. But the Hokies' ground attack can be inconsistent. I like the Hurricanes to keep this one close with their tough defense and big play offense which is coming off a terrible game last week. 5* |
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10-17-16 | Jets +7 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-28 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
The Cardinals have struggled in the role of a home favorite since 2015, putting together a 4-8 ATS mark in the last 12 games at University of Phoenix Stadium. Arizona has already lost outright to New England and Los Angeles in the favorite role, while blowing out Tampa Bay for its only home cover in Week 2. The Jets have played the toughest schedule in the league, facing teams that are a combined 14-9 while taking on four squads that made the playoffs last season. A league worst -9 turnover margin has also been a big factor in the results with three of the five games this season also being on the road. |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs v. Raiders +2 | Top | 26-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
On paper, the Raiders look to be the right side here today. Oakland is ranked No. 4 in yards per game, 8th in passing yards, 9th in rushing yards, and 5th in points per game. On the flip side, Kansas City checks in at No. 21 in yards per game, 15th in passing yards, 21st in rushing yards, and 20th in points per game. All week all I've been hearing is how Andy Reid is 15-2 coming off a bye and the public is all over the Chiefs. 10* NFL Game of the Week |
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10-15-16 | Nebraska v. Indiana +3 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
Nebraska has yet to record a quality victory on the season. Their win against Oregon looks less and less impressive as the Ducks are in a total colapse. Indiana has covered the spread in five straight Big 10 games. The Hoosiers have a solid QB Richard Lagow has put up a 93-of-155 line for 1460 yards and 11 TD's. They have grown into a competitive football team and a tough out for most opponents. 10* |
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10-15-16 | West Virginia -1 v. Texas Tech | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Texas Tech doesn't play much defense and W Virgina should be able to score at will in this game. To win Texas Tech, which does not recognize defense as part of the game, has to get into a shoot-out and hope to score enough points to win. That is not going to happen against a very good WVU team that plays everybody tough and has the ability to control the pace of the game with solid defense and Special Teams edges here today. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-13-16 | Broncos v. Chargers +3 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Philip Rivers has kept this offense dangerous despite losing the bulk of their anticipated production. Melvin Gordon has yet to become the consistent producer in the backfield, but he is better this season and had a score on Sunday. Role receivers like Tyrell Williams and Travis Benjamin have both been forced to do more and both had 117 yards receiving on Sunday. The tight end duo of Antonio Gates and Hunter Henry is shaping up nicely.
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10-09-16 | Giants +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
New York is an underdog here but they are loaded on offense, ranked #6 in yards, including #4 in passing yards, led by veteran QB Eli Manning, WR Odell Beckham and rookie WR Sterling Shephard along with WR Victor Cruz. These are 3 huge threats. You cant look at last weeks performance because NYG always struggles with the Vikings for some reason. I expect a big effort here on Sunday night. While New York has that solid front seven that limits opponents to 84 rushing yards per game, the defense overall has underwhelmed. The Giants have yet to force a turnover and have recorded just four sacks. On the flip side, the Green Bay offensive line has not performed well in protecting Rodgers so there is a chance that Giants can have some success in hurrying Rodgers. Pressuring the quarterback is all but necessary if New York wants to do anything in this game as you can’t beat Green Bay without disrupting the efficiency of the passing game. The Giants are 31-16-2 ATS in October, and I like them here getting a Touchdown to get us the ATS cash. 10* NFL Game of the Week. |
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10-09-16 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 14 m | Show |
Coming into this matchup, San Diego QB Philip Rivers has been hot, hitting 68% of his passes and 7 TDs over the first 4 games. Rivers is going to demolish the CBs of the Raiders - Oakland has been giving up 8 TDs in the air to opponents this season and their defense has been awful - it doesn't stop here. |
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10-08-16 | Virginia Tech -1 v. North Carolina | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
After getting an extra week to prepare for the North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Tech comes in rested and looking for revenge. This Virginia Tech team has a lot of talent and that has considerable defensive talent, North Carolina will need to achieve some offensive balance. Rushing against North Carolina is the Hokies game plan. North Carolina gave up more than 200 rushing yards last week and currently sit at No. 116 nationally in rush defense. So far this season the Hokies have rushed for nearly 200 yards per game, so look for a big dose of Virginia Tech RB Travon McMillian. Quarterback Jerod Evans, who’s gotten off to a great start throwing the football, is a major rushing threat as well. If Virginia Tech has success on the ground, its offense will be difficult to stop this afternoon and I like the Hokies to get the WIN. |
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10-08-16 | Army +5.5 v. Duke | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Weather could come into play here. There’s likely to be some big wind for this game due to the hurricane, and if that’s the case I want to be on the team that runs the football and also stops the run. Actually, both these teams have been reasonably effective in that area defensively. But Army and its option attack definitely would have the clear offensive advantage. Army struggled in their last game and with extra time to prepare here. I'm on ARMY plus the points here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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10-06-16 | Temple v. Memphis -10 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
I like Memphis here on Thursday night. THis is a big revenge game for Memphis who was hammered 31-12 by Temple last season. Memphis opened the season with some lopsided wins over outmanned opponents, including a 35-17 win over SE Missouri, a 43-7 win over Kansas, and a rollicking 77-3 win over Bowling Green. Memphis’ Riley Ferguson threw for 343 yards against Ole Miss, but tossed three INT's and they hung with them for a while but the turnovers did them in. Memphis put up 474 yards on offense on Ole Miss and they should have their way with this Temple team. The Tigers’ defense had given up just 27 points in three games prior to allowing 48 to Ole Miss, including 624 total yards on offense. Memphis is by far the better team here. 5* |
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10-03-16 | Giants +4.5 v. Vikings | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
The Giants blew it late last week against the Redskins, but you saw what their offense could be. Eli had 2 costly INT's late in that game. The Vikings have played well, but the team has gotten nothing out of its running game, and the offense has managed just 3 touchdowns while ranking 28th in points per drive. 5* |
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10-02-16 | Chiefs v. Steelers -3.5 | Top | 14-43 | Win | 105 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Steelers looked terrible in a loss to the Eagles last week getting thumped 34-3 and it wasn't even that close. Steelers RB Bell missed the first three games this year on suspension so he will be fresh and ready to take on a below average Kansas City defense that feels fat and happy after last weeks performance where they got 8 turnovers from the Jets. The Chiefs offense is ranked 23rd overall and their defense allows an average of 348 total YPG. Pittsburgh played awful last week and they were embarrassed. This team was not even in the game after the half way point it seemed as they were out coached and out-classed. Pittsburgh needs a nice bounce back win and this is the perfect spot for them to get it as KC is mostly been inconsistent under Andy Reid. Look for Ben to get Bell moving early and use him often as the Steelers bounce back with a big win here as they'll be motivated on Sunday night. 10* NFL GOW |
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10-02-16 | Bills +7 v. Patriots | Top | 16-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now. Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury. Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers as I dont trust him at all vs the Bills defense. Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been one score games. The Bills gave the Pats fits in both meetings last year. The Bills offense has gotten on-track, hanging 64 points on two solid defensive foes over the past two weeks, including their ’save our season’ win against Arizona last Sunday. And the Bills powerful defensive line is poised to put pressure on the Pats QB's forcing them into mistakes. Take the BILLS with the +7 here on Sunday. 5* |
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10-01-16 | South Florida -5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Willie Taggart is a fantastic ball coach. This team started to show improvements last year when they were really coming together as a squad and that has translated into great progress this year as they are 3-1 out of the gates. This team is much improved and plays with a lot of heart and spunk. This team struggled last week vs Florida State and we like them here consequently to bounce-back because of that. This is a team that beat Cincinnati last year by a score of 65-27 as Taggart is well aware of what Cincinnati runs and has his team well prepared well and S Florida should dominate this game from start to finish on the road after a hard and focused week of practice. With this team coming off a bad loss, with the fact that this team and this coaching staff frankly is making a statement this year and I say South Florida win in a blowout Saturday Night. This is the same team that routed Syracuse on the road and who has scored at least 35 points in each game as well. Take S FLA here on Saturday evening. 10* |
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10-01-16 | Tennessee v. Georgia +4 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
The Bulldogs gave up 330 yards through the air and over 500 yards in total to Ole Miss last week in an embarrassing 45-14 loss. The loss was one of the worst in recent memory for Georgia fans and did not shed anything positive on Coach Kirby Smart in his first big game. Nows its time to bounce back against a Vols team who was slow to start the game last week with the Gators. Now Georgia team is at home with something to prove is a team few would want to face. Sony Michel is back and rumbling with 66 yards against Ole Miss, and Nick Chubb should be fine even though he hurt his ankle last week. Considering this is the true comeback game for Chubb – who suffered his knee injury against the Vols last year – it’ll be an emotional moment for team and the crowd. I think they take it to Tennessee from the opening kickoff and it’s close throughout, coming down to a last second field-goal by the Bulldogs. This has been a series that has been decided by one possession each of the past five seasons and getting the Bulldogs +4 looks very tasty to me. PLay on GEORGIA. 10* GOW. |
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09-30-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | Top | 6-44 | Win | 100 | 48 h 44 m | Show |
Stanford is a more-visible team based on their recent success and the talk of Christian McCaffrey for Heisman are getting backed by the public. Washington is perhaps the lowest-profile top-ten team in college football. This Pac-12 showdown will likely determine the North division’s representative in the conference title game, and the winner will be favored to take the crown. I thought Stanford got outplayed and got beat up pretty good against UCLA last weekend. They were very conservative with their play-calling. I think Washington, which had 512 yards of offense against Arizona, has the more varied offense and a big edge at quarterback in Jake Browning. The Huskies have the home-field edge and the better overall club. 5* |
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09-25-16 | Broncos +4 v. Bengals | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Most times Denver has guys in all the right places, and their defense just keeps playing better. Yes I know it's Trevor Siemian's first road start, and no DeMarcus Ware, but Shane Ray can bring the heat opposite Von Miller, too. I'm looking for a big day out of C.J. Anderson against the NFL's 32nd-ranked rush defense (138 yards per game), which is still without suspended LB Vontaze Burfict. The Bengals are coming off a physical game against the Steelers while the Broncos had a relatively easy win against the Colts. Including last year's playoffs, the Broncos have won seven straight games. Pittsburgh is very physical and most teams have a hard time preparing for its next opponent. NFL home favorites (Bengals) are 19-23 SU and just 12-30 ATS in games after facing Mike Tomlin's Pittsburgh Steelers. Andy Dalton also got banged up in that game and he will see a stronger defense here on Sunday. Play the Denver Broncos +4 here as our Game of the Week. 10* |
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09-25-16 | Cardinals v. Bills +4.5 | Top | 18-33 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
Buffalo is a strong team with their defense vs the passing game, giving up only 2 TD passes in the air so far this year. Teams are never quite sure which direction Buffalo will be going. Terrible for the passing game of Arizona. As good as he has been for Arizona, Carson Palmer sometimes can try too hard when looking for his big play guys, which can actually backfire for Arizona. Arizona also has had some issues defending the run as well - and Buffalo can exploit that in a manner of Tyrod Taylor, that along with the accruing injuries on the Arizona team are not boding well. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points, With 10 days to prepare for this game and Buffalo needing a win at home I am taking the Bills plus the points in a tight game. 5* |
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09-24-16 | Florida v. Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
Florida has faced UMass, Kentucky, and North Texas and is in for a rude awakening against a much more talented VOLS team. Last year, Florida won coming back from a 13-point deficit with 14 points in the final four minutes. Don't think the Volunteers have forgotten. College revenge games are huge. Florida is starting a new quarterback Austin Appleby that struggled during his stint as a starter at Purdue. It’s never a positive when you have to go into a big game with a backup quarterback, and it’s doubly bad when you have to go into a big game with a guy who couldn’t cut it at Purdue. This is the Volunteers chance to rocket into the next dimension and remain undefeated and move into the talk of winning the SEC East. The loss of Gators starting QB Luke Del Rio last Saturday is a setback that will be hard to overcome and TENN will be out for a HUGE National TV WIN by double digits behind Josh Dobbs. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-24-16 | Mississippi State v. UMass UNDER 47.5 | Top | 47-35 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
UMass is not a good football team, but the Minutemen have played some good defense this year. Mississippi State is not an offense that consistently drives down the field for points in a hurry, and the Bulldogs' defensive line should wreck havoc on UMass' offense. Mississippi State wins this one but the UNDER is the strong play here. Take the LOW! 5* |
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09-24-16 | East Carolina v. Virginia Tech -12.5 | Top | 17-54 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Look for VT QB Jerod Evans to have a HUGE game on Saturday afternoon. We love Virginia Tech and their young coach who looks for blowouts. See how this team responded last week by blowing out Boston College and they want to win and win big against letter opponents. Combine that with the fact they played much better against Tennessee than the score shows and you have a very motivated and talented Virginia Tech team who is playing with revenge! VT is highly talented on the offensive end and with East Carolina still reeling from the near defeat of South Carolina, and VT just has so many weapons and too much speed. I see a major BLOWOUT here! 10* |
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09-24-16 | Central Michigan -3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
Cooper Rush is a very good QB for C Mich who can do it all and they are the better team, no doubt about it, which is why they are favored on the road. They are 3-0 and face an 0-3 UVA team that is just a bad team this year. They lack the athleticism of most ACC teams. Central Michigan's coach also battled cancer recently and now after that treatment, this team has rallied behind him. This team returns a ton of talent especially on the offensive side of the ball and this team has been playing fantastic this season. With some revenge to dish out to Virginia and the fact this team is going to be looking forward to playing this game, I think C Mich gets the win and stays undefeated. 5* |
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09-24-16 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 30-6 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
Wisconsin coach Paul Chryst made a bold move by making a QB change the week of playing at one of the Big 10's most hostile environments at Michigan St here. The really big deal here is that the replacement is redshirt freshman Alex Hornibrook, making his first start on the road at Michigan State, which just won at South Bend. I expected this spread to be 7 or more. On offense, Michigan State has gotten good production from Tyler O’Connor. The senior QB has completed 73% of his passes in the early going, throwing for 431 yards and five touchdowns. He spreads the ball around well with five different MSU receivers splitting those touchdown receptions and O’Connor is a tough runner that is not afraid to use his legs to pick up a key first down. LJ Scott is grinder at running back, getting stronger as the game goes on and he has found the endzone twice already. Play the Spartans. 5* |
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09-19-16 | Eagles v. Bears -3 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 20 m | Show |
5* Rookie QB Carson Wentz on the road, primetime, MNF so now let’s see how you handle the lime light. Of equal significance is the absence of TE Zach Ertz (rib), the recipient of six Wentz passes last Sunday.
This is a must win for Chicago frankly as they are in a very tough division and we'll back the Bears here at home on MNF. |
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09-18-16 | Dolphins +6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
If you didn’t see the Dolphins play in Week 1, then all you see is another loss however if you saw the game, then you know they deserve more respect than they’re getting. The Dolphins, who are shaping up to be a more aggressive team under Adam Gase, will learn from their mistakes and their offense will get better. Their defense looks strong and I expect they’ll put a ton of pressure on Garoppolo. The Dolphins forced two turnovers and held Seattle in check all day but allowed a last-minute TD and lost 12-10. The public will likely continue to back New England based on Week 1 outcomes and all I heard all week is Jimmy Garoppolo and replacing Brady. Cant judge a guy off of one game performance. Not only do I think the Dolphins will cover the spread, I think they’ll win this game outright. 10* |
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09-18-16 | Titans +6 v. Lions | Top | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
The Titans took a 10-0 lead into halftime, and towards the end of the 3rd quarter were driving deep in Vikings’ territory up 10-6 at the time. A terrible decision by Mariota led to a 77-yard INT for a TD by the Vikings and another defensive TD on a fumble two drives later pretty much sealed the game for the visitors. Tenn should be able to move the ball against the Lions defense. But let’s not forget that the Titans looked pretty good for most of the game. Detroit is coming off a road win where they were involved in a shoot-out with the Colts. Indy D is horrible, and I don’t think it’ll be as easy against the Titans. One major issue for the Lions is that Levy is doubtful, and he’s their best linebacker. Against a Titans team that wants to run the ball, Detroit is going to be at a huge disadvantage in the middle level of their D. I actually expect a close game here and taking the underdog Titans here on Sunday. 5* |
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09-17-16 | UCLA -3 v. BYU | Top | 17-14 | Push | 0 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
The UCLA Bruins come to Provo to take on the BYU Cougars in big week three late-game action. UCLA got on the right track last week with a routine 42-21 win over UNLV and are still looking to make up for their heartbreaking overtime loss to Texas A&M in week one. It’s a really big game for both teams. UCLA should really be 2-0. That week one loss was a bad one, as they came all the way back to tie A&M to get the game to overtime, only to see a few errors cost them the win. The UCLA defense was seen as the strength of this team, with a slew of returning starters and guys back from injuries, along with some compelling youngsters in the mix. We had BYU last week in a big revenge spot but their short screens and dip and dunking wont be enough to keep up with high powered UCLA. Just stop Tayson Hill and the Bruins will be fine. Look for UCLA to win big and QB Josh Rosen to have a monster game passing. 10* College Game of the Week |
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09-17-16 | Georgia -6.5 v. Missouri | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
If you'd asked me to give you this number after Week 1 it would've been close to two TDs, now it's under one after Georgia sleepwalked to a 2-point win over Nicholls State and Mizzou hung 61 on Eastern Michigan. Both of those performances were outliers and Georgia is the significantly better team that will be feeling embarrassed after that showing. Mizzou's offense, despite what last week may suggest, is still not good and I like GEORGIA by double digits on the road here. 5* |
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09-17-16 | Alabama v. Ole Miss +11 | Top | 48-43 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly made headlines when he declared himself the best quarterback in the country. In Week 1 against Florida State, he threw for three first-half scores while leading the Rebels to a 22-point lead. But a series of second-half turnovers spelled doom against the Seminoles. Kelly has a chance at redemption here at home against an Alabama team the Rebels have beaten in two straight. Nick Saban was unhappy with his team's effort in a win against Western Kentucky, and I think the Tide are in for a day-long fight against a home dog that has a history of giving them one. Mississippi has the firepower to hang within 11 points here as Ole Miss should be able to stop the Bama rushing attack. I like MISSISSIPPI at home as the double digit dog. 10* Underdog Diamond in the Rough |
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09-17-16 | Florida State v. Louisville +1 | Top | 20-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
The Cardinals have the nation's top-rated offense and they're facing a Seminoles defense that will be without preseason All-American defensive back Derwin James, who tore knee cartilage during last week's blowout of Charleston Southern. Last week Louisville just completely destroyed Syracuse inside the Carrier Dome in a 62-28 final. Quarterback Lamar Jackson accounted for 5 touchdowns as the Cardinals offense posted over 600 yards of total offense. Surprisingly 4 of Jackson’s touchdowns came on the ground as he rushed for 199 yards on 21 carries. After two straight weeks of huge performances, Jackson has started catching some national attention. The Cardinals quarterback has posted Heisman Trophy type numbers in his first two games of the season with 697 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 pick through the air along with another 318 yards with 6 touchdowns on the ground. I think the X-factor will be explosive QB Lamar Jackson. I like the Cardinals here at home to get a big win. 5* |
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09-15-16 | Houston -7.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 40-16 | Win | 102 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
Last season in Houston, Cincinnati lost only 33-30. Houston, however, looks to be in a different class this year. Houston looks to be taking some people by surprise, but they didn’t just up and beat Oklahoma out of nowhere. This is one of four teams to face 4 ranked teams last season and beat them all. They defeated three of those opponents by double-digits, adding another double-digit win over a ranked opponent with their victory over Oklahoma in week 1. Cougars HC Herman seems to it going with this talented Houston bunch. The Houston offense has a lot of firepower, led by a versatile threat in Greg Ward, Jr. Houston is the much better team. The Cougars' starting QB and RB missed last week's 42-0 win over Lamar, but both are practicing and are fine for Thursday. Motivated Houston should win by 15 or more. 5* |
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09-12-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Redskins | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
I think the Redskins will be tough this season with their defense but I think it will take time for them to gel. |
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09-11-16 | Giants v. Cowboys +1.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The Cowboys will start the year with rookie quarterback Dak Prescott who had stellar numbers during the preseason, completing 78% of his passes and scoring 7 total touchdowns with no interceptions thrown. The NY Giants dealt with some struggles offensively during the preseason, scoring 12 points per game. The X-factors are the Dallas weapons surrounding Prescott as he is playing behind one of the league’s best offensive lines in the NFL plus Ezekiel Elliott, Dez Bryant, Witten, and Cole Beasley at his disposal. It puts Prescott in a good position to manage the offense effectively, particularly against a Giants defense that still grades out as league average and one of the worst last season. I’ll support the home team here with the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday evening. 10* |
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09-11-16 | Raiders +2.5 v. Saints | Top | 35-34 | Win | 102 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
I think that this is a great value on the Raiders. This is a very good young team that could be ready to compete in the AFC West. Derek Carr is one of the top young quarterbacks in the league. He leads a strong passing game and the Raiders boosted their offensive line to help them out. Look for Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and potentially rookie DeAndre Washington to light up the Superdome. An improved Raiders defense will do its job too. Carr has excellent arm strength, and his rhythm with Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree is always there. New Orleans is not the team it once was. They went 0-4 and looked terrible this preseason. They have questions all along the offensive line. The defense was still adding players that other teams cut. Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and get my call on Sunday here. 5* |
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09-10-16 | Virginia Tech v. Tennessee -11 | Top | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Tennessee entered the season with high expectations under head coach, Butch Jones. Tennessee has a ton of talent and the SEC East is for the taking with a down South Carolina team, a Georgia team with a new coach and eventually a new QB, and a Florida team with the same question marks as Georgia for the most part. Look for the Vols offensive and defensive lines to play much better. They overlooked App St last Thursday for sure. Now you're getting QB Josh Dobbs and the Vols at a discounted rate in this game. Tennessee is the far superior team, and while I like new Hokies coach Justin Fuente, he doesn't have the horses to hang with the Vols. Jalen Hurd will have a monster game on the ground and Tennessee will get back on track in front of over 100,000 fans at home. VOLS by 21. 5* |
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09-10-16 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Utah beat the Cougars in the Las Vegas Bowl last December 35-28. We had BYU in that Bowl game and it was one of our rare losers. BYU fell behind 35-0 early with 5 sloppy turnovers and then woke up and fell short by 7 pts. QB Taysom Hill leads the BYU Cougar offense. The 6’2 230-pound Hill is a senior who would like nothing more than to win the Holy War before he graduates. BYU just sneaked by the Arizona Wildcats in week one to open their season. A late field goal gave the Cougars a road win which they hope they can do again at Utah this weekend. BYU’s offense can be effective as they racked up plenty of yards throughout the game and did not turn the ball over. If the Cougars can remain consistent with their offensive schemes they will be in this game all the way to the finish. BYU looked to be clearly the better of these two teams at the line of scrimmage in that game last season and I like them to win this one outright on Saturday night! 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-10-16 | Cincinnati -4.5 v. Purdue | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati made a surprising move last week by starting QB Hayden Moore over the highly productive Gunner Kiel. Cincinnati was much better than its record suggested last year and they can score points in a hurry. They are the better team and after last week's lackluster showing I expect a much better effort against Big Ten team here on Saturday afternoon. 5* |
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09-10-16 | Penn State v. Pittsburgh -4 | Top | 39-42 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Penn St did not impress me last week. They had a pick-6 and the defense did not look that good overall. Pitt is a very good team and primed for a very strong season. This team returns 8 on offense and 8 on defense and is very strong up front on both sides of the ball and that will make the difference against a Penn State team that lost a lot of key defensive lineman to the NFL last year. Pitt has its way more or less running the ball and should pull away in the 2nd half and win this one by 10 or more. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-08-16 | Panthers -3 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
Stepping into Peyton Manning's worn shoes is Trevor Siemian here on Thursday night. He takes his first legitimate NFL snap against last year's sixth-stingiest defense, which also ranked first in interceptions, tied for first in fumbles recovered and sixth in sacks. Good luck kid! Carolina also gets their best WR Kelvin Benjamin back from injury to go along with Ted Ginn Jr and TE Olsen. Look for the Panthers to make a statement here on Thursday night and win big by double digits. 5* |
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09-05-16 | Ole Miss +6 v. Florida State | Top | 34-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
For a team whose quarterback has yet to take a snap in a live game, expectations are sky-high for the Seminoles. FSU will start QB redshirt freshman Deondre Francois. This cast is highlighted by all-purpose back Dalvin Cook, who rushed for 1,691 yards and 19 touchdowns despite missing some time because of injuries. However the Miss defense is very good and will stop the run and pressure the freshman QB. The Rebels are coming off a 10-win season that saw them upset Alabama for the second straight year. They have a stud at quarterback, with Chad Kelly who led the SEC in passing last season, and he threw a conference best 31 TD passes and passed for over 4000 yards. MISS Head Coach Hugh Freeze’s teams tend to thrive in an underdog role, and I expect them to perform well in a game where their opponent is receiving the majority of the headlines here on Monday night. 5* |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 | Top | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
Notre Dame has beaten Texas five straight times, including 38-3 in South Bend last season. This is a major revenge play for TEXAS here at home on Sunday night. Texas should be a better team than the one that got blasted by the Irish in last year's season opener in South Bend, Ind. But the Longhorns are throwing a freshman quarterback into the fire against a very aggressive defense that will give him lots of different looks and ltry to capitalize on his inexperience. With plenty of time to prepare for this game I like Texas and their speed to get the win and cover. 5* |
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09-03-16 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NC's defensive coordinator made a huge difference last year for the Tarheels. Their defense improved by 14.5 PPG. Heels QB Mitch Trubisky was a 4* recruit and he is more than capable of running a spread attack and he had 2 years of experience backing up Marquise Williams. NC still has RB Elijah Wood who is very good. Larry Fedora is a very good coach and NC has 13 returning starters back from last years team. North Carolina is an underrated program and this shapes up as a nice value pick. I like UNC to win outright here on Saturday evening and I love getting 3.5 points as the underdog. PLAY NORTH CAROLINA as our 10* GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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09-03-16 | Kent State v. Penn State -23 | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Trace McSorley is proficient enough to throw the deep ball with touch and more than tolerable precision. McSorley doesn't have a lot of experience behind him, but once he gets over the opening jitters - he will end up with good enough poise from pocket, and looking down the barrel of the D-line of Kent State isn’t going to shake him. If Kent State doesn't connect on the long passes they will not be in this game - bottom line. And with Malik Golden surveying the field from the safety position it is going to be a challenge. Missing tackles can be another big problem for Kent State - Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC. Penn State wins this one big by 30 or more. 5* |
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09-03-16 | Missouri v. West Virginia -9.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
Morgantown is a brutal road trip first of all, and Mizzou has some issues at QB for sure this season. West Virgina is always tough at home. Mizzou has a new head coach, a scheme and all new coaches without Gary Pinkel around. Add in the fact they were a bottom feeder with little offense in the SEC last year, and this is West Virginia’s year to make or break Dana Holgorsen and they have a ton of weapons to do so. Junior college transfer, Natereace Strong, has various speeds as a runner and can call on second gear when he sees daylight. Other than their hopes for him - their running game is going to struggle. Problem is, the defense of West Virginia doesn't work well with allowing big chunk plays like he likes to put together. Skyler Howard has a great vibe offensively for West Virginia, after last year's high scoring season. He has the ability to move the ball - and will. J'Mon Moore is not going to get a ton of targets for MIzzou - Moore is normally a pretty dangerous guy, but this matchup is a nightmarish one for the lengthy WR. West Virginia will not let off the throttle in this one, they never do. Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games West Virginia wins by double digits here early action Saturday. 5* |
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09-02-16 | Army v. Temple -14.5 | Top | 28-13 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
I like Temple at home here on Friday night. We are going against a team who was 2-10 last year and might even be worse this season. Temple is a very good team and Army failed to cover its final six games playing well below their rating and then playing Navy tough in their big rivalry game to end their season. Temple comes off a fantastic 10-4 season and the key members of the offense all return -- 18 starters overall. Look for Temple to win by 24 points or more. 5* |
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09-01-16 | Indiana v. Florida International +11 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
I like the home underdog in this matchup on Thursday night. Last year in Bloomington the Hoosiers beat FIU 36 -22 , but what a difference a year makes as it always does. The Hoosiers lost two huge pieces of their offense with Nate Sudfeld and Jordan Howard going to the NFL. The Hoosiers return only 6 starters to their offense and they will have competition at the QB position which will cause difficulty for the team early in the year. Indiana will rely heavily on their running game with Devine Redding who ran for just over 1,000 yds last yr being their main RB. The defensive returns 7 starters to what was a very porous unit last year ranking 120th. Florida INT returns 9 starters to their offense, led by 3rd year QB Alex McGough. McGough threw for 283 yards in Indiana last year and we see more success at home for McGough against the Hoosiers in this years game. They also have a new defensive coordinator so it will be tough for Indiana to prepare for as they dont know what to expect. I think this line is too high and I like Flor-INT with the double digits points here at home. 5* |
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02-07-16 | Panthers v. Broncos +5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 58 h 33 m | Show |
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Denver will spy Cam and could even have two spies on him frankly just to keep an eye on him and let the Panthers receivers beat them.
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | Top | 15-49 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Arizona can and will exhaust the clock, tiring out the secondary of the Panthers. The Cards can play slower paced or fast paced, and I fully expect them to make the Panthers D tired. Arizona will be finding more appropriate running plays for David Johnson, which will spark the ground game for the weakended rushing of the Cards. The fact is David Johnson will be too quick hitting the holes they open up to the right side. Carolina will not move the ball with efficiency. Their defense is great, but Trai Turner can get beat up in the trenches, and Arizona has those kind of guys in there. OT Jared Veldheer from Arizona won't get beat by Carolina and the well below average pass rush of Charles Johnson. Jonathan Stewart is not giving them strong enough running between the tackles, and with him having tweaked his ankle recently it's going to make it that much more difficult. And that is where Carolina is going to have to work hardest, in this game. Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and Cam is going to have to have the game of his life to beat this well coached and very good Cards team. 5* |
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01-24-16 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | Top | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
I dont think Manning is 100% and I see him throwing short passes. The Denver defense knows it has to play great and I expect to see a lot of FG attempts. The Pats aren't a quick score offense either as they like short quick passes. These two teams as you know hooked up earlier this year and the contest went over the posted total in a shootout. Expect the opposite here on Sunday afternoon as both defenses will be stout as this game likely falls under the posted total. The Under is 4-1 in the Patriots last 5 Championship Games and the Under is 5-1 for Denver in their last 6 home games when they face teams with a winning road record. Take the UNDER here on Sunday as our 10* Playoff Total of the Year. |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
I'm taking the points with the Seahawks on Sunday here on the road. This is a much different Seattle team that the one Carolina beat back in October. And we should note that in that game, Seattle actually led by nine points (23-14) with less than five minutes to go in the game. Doug Baldwin has become Russell Wilson's favorite target since the Graham injury and the Seattle offense began calling plays that suit them best. Seattle enters on a 6-1-1 ATS run on the road against teams with a winning home record, and under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks are 19-6 ATS when playing with revenge, outscoring opponents by an average of 8 pts per game. Lets back Seattle as the small dog here on Sunday as our 10* NFL Playoffs Game of the Week. |
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01-16-16 | Chiefs +5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
On Saturday, the AFC divisional playoffs begin, with the Kansas City Chiefs meeting the New England Patriots. I like the RED HOT Chiefs behind Alex Smith, a quarterback who controls the game and doesn't turn the ball over. Smith has been aided a great deal by the play of Chancandrick West and bruising Spencer Ware, a pair of backs who really helped fill the void left by Jamal Charles. Tight end Travis Kelce was a key part of the offense again on Saturday. A knee injury that looked really bad took out Kansas City’s leading receiver in Jeremy Maclin, but an MRI revealed no tears and if he can play through a sprain, that would really be a big help to the KC effort this Saturday. |
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01-11-16 | Alabama -6.5 v. Clemson | Top | 45-40 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
I look for the Alabama SEC offense to have success in this one against an ACC defense that will get bowled over as Alabamas power with their running game early and, in turn, that forces the Tigers defense to crowd the line which will lead to some big opportunities for the Alabama aerial attack. The Crimson Tide scored 38 points against a good Spartans team and Alabama has averaged 38 points in their last four games overall. Bama's offense has produced over 400 yards in each of those four games. The Clemson Tigers gave up at least 27 points in 4 of their last 6 regular season games. Alabama continues to get better each game and I feel they are out to prove a point in the NCAA Championship Game on Monday night! Look for another one Monday night. ROLL TIDE! Thanks for all your College Football business this season as we are coming off our best College Football Season in our 22 years in business winning 67% of our picks and a remarkable 82% on our top 10*'s. The bowls were even better and overall I hope you collected plenty of cash. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins -1 | Top | 35-18 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Redskins Cousins has been playing great lately and Washington has been very good at home. Green Bay has been playing some sorry football and the Packers head to Washington losers of back-to-back games. In those two losses the Packers scored a total of 21 points and their last road game the Packers defense gave up 38 points to the Arizona Cardinals. DT Chris Baker is at times almost impossible to stop on the Dline when he gets moving. Ryan Kerrigan is a great young LB as well, too much to handle. Going to be a long game for Mr. Rodgers. Green Bay gets themselves into bad field position at times with penalties, with David Bakhtiari having plenty of issues, and he look to be ready to go. Packers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Washington has won 4-straight games and three of those wins the Skins averaged 35.6ppg. Playing the better team with Washington at home here on Sunday evening. 5* |
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