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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-15-23 | Cleveland State +9.5 v. Bradley | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
The Cleveland State Vikings bring their 6-5 record to Illinois tonight to face the Bradley Braves. The Vikings are coming off a loss at Kent State, 77-83, but covered the 12-point dog line. They have covered two straight and three of their last five games. They are 0-5 S/U on the road but 3-2 vs the number. Bradley is 6-3 S/U and 5-3-1 ATS. They have lost three straight games both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a loss at Akron, 52-67, as a 2.5-point dog. The Braves started the season with six straight wins before dropping their last three games. Now they have to lay almost double digits tonight. I'll take the points in this game. Play Cleveland State. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers -8.5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-137 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The Indiana Pacers come into tonight's contest with a 13-10 S/U and ATS record. The Pacers lead the NBA in scoring with a 128.4 ppg average. They are coming off a loss at Milwaukee, 126-140, as a 6.5-point dog. The club is 1-2 in their last three games both S/U and ATS. However, they are 4-2 ATS their last six games. They are also 5-4 S/U and ATS on the road and average 130.8 ppg away from home. The Washington Wizards having a terrible season at 3-20 S/U and 10-13 ATS. The Wizards only win since Nov 10 came on Nov 27 against an equally inept team, Detroit, 126-107. Washington has lost three straight games both S/U and ATS including last game vs the Pelicans, 122-142, as a 6.5-point dog. It doesn't get much better at home where they are 1-8 S/U and 2-7 ATS and are being outscore by a 13.2 margin. Going to be hard for the Wizards to keep up with the NBA's highest scoring team tonight. Play Indiana. |
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12-15-23 | Mt. St. Mary's v. St Francis PA +7 | 72-65 | Push | 0 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
The Mount St Marys Mountaineers travel to play St Francis PA tonight. The Mountaineers are 3-6 S/U and 5-4 ATS on the season. They are 1-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the road. The team averages 71.8 ppg while allowing 70 ppg. They are coming off a win at Loyola MD, 77-64, as a 2.5-point favorite. It was the team's third straight spread cover. St Francis PA Red Flash are 4-6 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. They average 64.4 ppg while allowing 70.5 ppg. They are 2-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS at home this season and average 81.7 ppg while allowing 62 ppg. They are coming off a loss at Iona, 54-61, but covered the 17-point dog line. That made three straight covers for the Flash. A bit surprised that St Mary's such a big road favorite here tonight. I'll take the points with the home team in this one. Take St Francis PA. |
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12-14-23 | The Citadel +14 v. College of Charleston | 71-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Citadel is 5-3 S/U and 2-5-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs average 71.2 ppg while allowing 64.4 ppg. They have won three straight games and covered three of their last four games. The have also scored at least 81 points in each of their last three games while allowing 68 points or fewer. The College of Charleston Cougars are 3-6 S/U and 4-5 ATS on the season. The Cougars are coming off a win over Rhode Island, 85-70, as a 10.5-point favorite. They average 74 ppg while allowing 75.1 ppg. And here they are tonight giving up around 13.5 points to the Cougars. My number has Charleston much smaller of a favorite and I'll stick with that number in this game. Play The Citadel. |
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12-13-23 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -7 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies are just 6-16 S/U and 9-13 ATS on the season. They are playing Rockets, back-to-back and tonight is the first of the two games in Houston. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss to Dallas, 113-120, as a 1.5-point home dog. That makes two losses in a row both S/U and ATS. The Grizzlies are 5-6 S/U on the road and 6-5 ATS. They have not performed well overall as a dog, going 2-13 S/U and 5-10 ATS and being outscored by 11.2 ppg. The Houston Rockets improved to 11-9 S/U with a win in their last game over the Spurs, 93-82, covering the 9.5-point spread. That was their third win in a row both S/U and ATS. In fact this Rockets team has now covered 14 of their last 17 games. They have been great at home, going 10-1 S/U and ATS and outscoring their visitors by a 12.7 point margin. I like the Rockets tonight at home. Play Houston. |
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12-12-23 | Cavs v. Celtics -10 | 113-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers off to a 13-10 S/U and 10-12-1 ATS start. They are 7-4 S/U and 5-5-1 ATS on the road. The Cavs coming off a road loss at Orlando, 94-104 yesterday, as a 2-point dog. Now they have to play in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot. They hit just 35.3% from the field and 22.5% from the 3-point arc. That loss snapped a three game win streak. The Boston Celtics are 16-5 S/U and 9-9-3 ATS on the season. The Celtics have had three days off to prepare for tonight's contest so they should be well rested. That game was a win over the Knicks, 133-123, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Knicks have won four of their last five S/U and three of the last five vs the spread. Boston has been perfect at home, going 10-0 S/U and 7-2-1 vs the spread. They are outscoring opponents on their home court by 16.8 ppg as they average 124 ppg while allowing 107 ppg. With Cleveland playing last night and the Celtics having three days off this one should have Boston running the Cavs wild. Take Boston. |
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12-12-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County +8 v. St. Peter's | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Maryland Baltimore County Retrievers are 5-7 S/U and 5-6 ATS to start their season. This team can score with a 79.9 ppg average. However, they do allow a lot of point too with a 83.7 ppg average. They have lost two straight games, including last time out vs Towson State, 73-89, as a 4-point favorite. The St Peter's Peacocks are just 3-5 S/U and 5-3 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a loss at Duquesne, 59-68, but covered the +14.5-point line. St Peters has been installed as the favorite just twice in their eight games and that was -3 over New Jersey Tech which they won, 75-48, and then -3 over Farleigh Dickinson, which they lost 70-71. This will be the biggest favorite line thus far for St Peters and it conflicts with own numbers. I'll take the points with MD Balt County in this one. |
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12-12-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. Wright State | Top | 91-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 7-3 S/U and 4-3 ATS on the season. They average 81 ppg and allow 72.9 ppg on the season for a +8.1 differential. They have a 2-1 S/U and ATS mark on the road and still outscore opponents by a 76.3 to 72.3 mark. The Hilltoppers have won three straight games including last time out at Buffalo, 82-65, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Wright State Raiders struggling out of the game to a 4-5 S/U and 4-4 ATS record. They have scored well with 81.3 ppg average while allowing 78.8 ppg. The Raiders coming off a win over Bethel College, 81-62 with no line. That following a loss a Davidson, 73-82, as a 3.5-point dog. Western Ky getting 5 or more points looks good to me as I think they have a good chance at the straight up win. Play Western Kentucky. |
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12-11-23 | Spurs v. Rockets -8.5 | 82-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs are just 3-18 S/U and 7-13-1 ATS on the season. You have to go all the way back to Nov 2 to the last win for this teams against Phoenix, 132-121. Since then, they are 0-13 S/U and 3-9-1 ATS. They did play well last game at home in a loss to Atlanta, 135-27, covering the 7.5-point spread. This team averages just 106.5 ppg on the road and allows 123.2 ppg. The Houston Rockets look to win their third game in a row tonight. They are coming off wins over Oklahoma City and last game over Denver, 114-106, as a 8.5-point dog. They are now 10-9 S/U and 13-6 ATS. This team had won 11 straight vs the number before going 2-3 the last week. I like the Rockets here tonight as they should hit a high number. Take Houston. |
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12-09-23 | Drexel +4 v. West Virginia | 60-66 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
Drexel and West Virginia meet here today in Morgantown, WV. The Drexel Dragons are 5-4 S/U and ATS on the season. They had their 2-game win streak snapped last game at Princeton, 70-81, as a 8.5-point dog. Drexel was coming off that big win over Villanova, 57-55, as a 10.5-point dog. The Dragons are 3-3 S/U and ATS on the road. They average 65.3 ppg and allow 65.2 ppg on the road this year. West Virginia struggled out the gate with just a 3-5 S/U and ATS record this year. They have lost two straight games and four of their last five games including last time out vs Pitt, 63-80, as a 3.5-point dog. The Mountaineers are 3-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS at home this year. They have averaged 66.7 ppg and allowed 67.7 ppg at home. Both these teams are lower scoring and slower paced. That makes the points even more valuable and with Drexel getting around 3.5 point I'll take that number. Play Drexel. |
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12-09-23 | Illinois +7 v. Tennessee | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Early action on the hardwood has Illinois taking on Tennessee. The Illinois Illini is 7-1 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. Their only loss coming back on Nov 14 to Marquette, 64-71, as a 2-point favorite. They are coming off a win over Florida Atlantic, 98-89, covering the 2-point dog line. In fact, after a 0-4 ATS start to the season, the Illini have won four straight vs the spread. The Tennessee Volunteers are 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS. They snapped a 3-game losing streak with a win last time out over George Mason, 87-66, as a 16-point favorite. The Vols have had a run of tough games with losses to North Carolina, Kansas and Purdue. Another tough one here today for Tennessee. I'll take the visitors, play Illinois. |
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12-08-23 | Wolves -5.5 v. Grizzlies | 127-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves off to a great start in the NBA with a 16-4 S/U record and 10-7-3 spread mark. The Wolves have won five straight games and eight of their last nine. They are coming off a win over the Spurs, 102-94, but failed to cover the 12.5-point line. They are 6-3 S/U and 3-4-2 ATS on the road this year. They have averaged 113.6 ppg on the road and 112.3 overall. The Grizzlies have struggled out of the game with a 6-14 S/U and 9-11 ATS record. Memphis is coming off a win over lowly Detroit, 116-102, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was their fourth cover in a row. They face the Wolves back on Nov 26 at home and lost 97-119, as a 6.5-point dog. They are just 1-8 S/U and 3-6 at home this season and outscored by a 103.6-111.2 mark. I like the visitor in this one. Take Minnesota. |
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12-06-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne -6.5 v. Southern Indiana | Top | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The IPFW Mastodons are off to a great start this year at 8-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win at Oakland, 98-77, as a 5.5-point dog. This team can score too, hitting 86 or more points in six of their nine games. They hit a blistering 66.7% from the field vs Oakland and 65.4% from the 3-point arc. This team is prolific at 3-pointers too, hitting 40% or more in five of their nine games. Now they hit the road to Southern Indiana. The Screaming Eagles are just 2-7 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Eagles are coming off a loss to Bowling Green, 52-54, but covered the 5.5-point dog line. They have just two wins and those cam over East-West University and Tiffin, not exactly schools that will pad the resume. Today the Eagles have to play this hot shooting IPFW squad and I believe that will go badly for them. I'll lay the points with IPFW. |
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12-05-23 | Cornell +4.5 v. Syracuse | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
 The Cornell Big Red put their 7-1 record on the line here tonight as they travel to Syracuse to take on the Orange. The Big Red have won four straight since their only loss of the season to George Mason, 83-90, as a 3-point dog. They are also 3-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Lafayette, 79-71, failing to cover the 8.5-point favorite line. This team has shot well all season, hitting at least 45% from the field in every game and over 31.8% from the 3-point arc in six of their eight games. Syracuse is 5-3 S/U and 2-6 ATS. The Orange are coming off a loss at Virginia, 62-84, as a 10.5-point dog. they started the season with five straight games where they didn't cover the spread before finally covering two and then losing the last game. They have hit below 40% from the field in three of their eight games. They have also hit 28.1% or worse from the 3-point arc in four of their eight games. Cornell a tough team and getting points makes them even tougher. I'll take the visitor in this one with Cornell. |
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12-04-23 | Iowa +12.5 v. Purdue | 68-87 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 matchup here on Monday has Iowa traveling to play Purdue. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the season. The two losses for Iowa coming vs Oklahoma, 67-79, and at Creighton, 84-92. They have won two straight games with wins over Seton Hall, 85-72, and last game over North Florida, 103-78, but failed to cover the 26.5-point favorite line. Iowa has hit 50% or better from the field in four of its seven games. The Hawkeyes have only play one away game, coming at Creighton where they lost by eight points but covered the +12-point spread. The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-1 S/U and 5-2-1 ATS. They suffered their first loss last game at Northwestern, 88-92, as a 5-point favorite. That was also their 2nd worst shooting performance of the season of 43.3% despite the 88 points. Conference games always a bit tougher and this is the first Big 10 game for Purdue. Boilermakers laying around 12 to 13 points here tonight. A bit too much for me. I'll take the points with Iowa. |
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12-03-23 | Creighton v. Nebraska +4.5 | 89-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Rivalry game here on Sunday has Nebraska hosting its instate rivals, Creighton. Both teams off to great starts this season. The Creighton Blue Jays are 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win at Oklahoma State, 79-65, as a 8-point favorite. Their lone loss coming last week at home to Colorado State, 48-69, as a 9-point favorite. The Jays shot horrid 27.9% from the field and 20.7% from the 3-point arc, both season lows. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 7-0 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They are coming off a win over Cal Fullerton, 85-72, as a 17.5-point favorite. That was only one of two spread losses this season. They also have a nice win over Oregon State, 84-63, as a 8-point favorite. This will be the first time the Huskers find themselves in the dog role. They are getting around 4 to 5 points at home. For me, that's too much to pass on with an undefeated team. Play Nebraska. |
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12-02-23 | Utah Valley +1.5 v. Utah Tech | 53-65 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
A couple of Bee State teams meet here on Saturday as Utah Valley State takes on Utah Tech. The Utah Valley State Wolverines are 5-2 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games including last game vs Seattle, 78-72, as a 3-point dog. They have hit at least 46.7% from the field in three of their last four games. Utah Tech, previously known as Dixie State, is 3-3 S/U and 3-2 vs the spread. The Trailblazers rebounded from their loss at Washington State, 59-93, with a win over Lindewood, 73-66, as a 3-point favorite. The Blazers best shooting performance thus far has been in their last game with 47.1%. Pick'em game here on Saturday. I look for Utah State to leave with the win. |
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12-02-23 | Tulsa +4.5 v. Oral Roberts | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane look to improve to 5-1 on the season here tonight as they travel to play Oral Roberts. Tulsa is also 3-1-1 vs the spread. They are coming off their first loss of the season at Arkansas Little Rock, 82-84, as a 4-point favorite. The Hurricane allowed their highest shooting performance in that loss, 47.1%. Prior to that loss, they have played great defense, holding three of the four wins to just 35.2% or less. The Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are 2-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS. They have lost three of their last four, including last game at Kansas State, 78-88, as a 14-point dog. They lost by 10 to Kansas State despite a 51.7% shooting performance and 47.6% 3-point shooting - both season highs. A bit surprised that Tulsa getting around 4.5-points here today. I have them closer to pick. Still, I'll take that number with Tulsa here today. |
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12-02-23 | St. Joe's v. Temple +6.5 | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
Another Philly matchup here on Saturday has St Josephs taking on Temple. The St Joe Hawks are 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Villanova, 78-65, as a 12.5-point dog. Their two losses coming at Kentucky, 88-96, and home vs Texas A&M-Comm, 54-57, as a 18.5-point favorite. In that loss to A&M-Comm they shot 27.3% from the field and 20% from 3-point arc. Temple had to go to three overtimes to put Lasalle away in their last game, 106-99, as a 4-point favorite. That snapped a two game losing streak to Columbia and Ole Miss. The Owls have covered five of their six games. Another great Philly shootout here on Saturday. I'll take Temple in this one. |
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12-01-23 | St. Mary's v. Boise State +4.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
The St Mary's Gaels take on Boise State at the Mountain America Center in Idaho Falls, ID. St Mary's is 3-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Utah, 71-78, as a 4.5-point favorite. They hit just 41.7% from the field and 33.3% from the 3-point arc. The Boise State Broncos are 3-3 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss to Butler, 56- 70, as a 1.5-point favorite. They had their worst shooting performance in that game, hitting just 32.3% from the field and 16.7 from the 3-point arc. This isn't a home game for Boise, but they should have the home crowd mostly here as the game plays in Idaho Falls. I'll take Boise State here on Friday night. |
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12-01-23 | St. John's v. West Virginia +6 | 79-73 | Push | 0 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
The St Johns Red Storm looks to improve to 5-2 today as they take on West Virginia. The Storm is 2-4 ATS, covering their last two games. They are coming off a win over Holy Cross, 91-45, as a 24-point favorite. They have hit at least 48.4% from the field in the last three games after a pair of games in the mid 30's. West Virginia is 3-3 S/U and ATS after six games. The Mountaineers are coming off a win over Bellarine, 62-58, but failed to cover the 8-point favorite line. That win snapped a two game losing streak. St John's laying 5.5-points here on Friday. I like the dog in this one. I'll take West Virginia. |
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11-30-23 | South Alabama +3 v. Jacksonville State | 52-70 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
 The South Alabama Jaguars are 4-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Maryland, 55-68, but covered the 15-point dog line. That loss snapped a three game win streak by the Jags. They have shot 43% or better in five of their eight games. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are 3-4 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games after losing four straight. They are coming off a win over Incarnate Word, 67-65, as a 6.5 point favorite though they failed to cover the line. The Gamecocks have shot at least 40.4% in every game except for their loss at West Virginia, 57-70, as a 7.5-point dog. Jax State a small favorite here on Thursday. I'll take the dog in this one. Play S.Alabama. |
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11-29-23 | Belmont +8.5 v. Northern Iowa | 90-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins are 4-3 S/U and 2-4 ATS to start the season. They have won two straight games over Penn and then last game over Lafayette, 76-69, as a 8-point favorite. They have also covered their last two games. The Bruins have hit at least 43.5% from the field in all but one game thus far. And with the exception of a 14.3% night from 3-point line vs Furman, they have at least hit 34.6% from the arc in their other six games. The Northern Iowa Panthers are 2-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. They snapped a three game losing streak with a win over Stanford last game, 73-51, as a 5.5-point dog. The Panthers are a 8.5 point favorite tonight and for me that's just a bit too much for a 2-4 team to cover. Play Belmont. |
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11-29-23 | La Salle +4.5 v. Temple | 99-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Lasalle Explorers bring their 5-1 record on the road tonight for this Philly rivalry with Temple. The Explorers are 3-3 vs the spread after their win vs Coppin State, 81-62, though they failed to cover the 21-point chalk line. Coppin State's only loos came at Duke, 66-95, as a 25.5-point dog. The team has shot at least 41.4% from the field in every game and with the exception of the Duke loss, at least 30.8% from the 3-point arc. The Temple Owls are 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They have lost two straight games including last game vs Ole Miss, 76-77, as a 4.5-point dog. The Owls have been favored twice, at Navy in a win, 75-68, as a 6.5-point favorite and then vs Columbia in a 73-78 loss as a 12.5-point favorite. They are favored tonight but I like the points in this one. Play La Salle. |
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11-28-23 | Utah State v. St. Louis +7.5 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The Utah State Aggies come into tonight's game at St Louis with a 5-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS record. Their lone loss coming at Bradley, 66-72, as a 5.5-point dog. In fact, that's been their only road game thus far as they play road game No 2 here tonight. They have done well at home, but the test is tonight at St Louis. The Billikens are 5-2 S/U and 2-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a home win over Dartmouth, 66-65, but failed to cover the 12-point line. That snapped a two game losing streak for St Louis which started the season 4-0. I like St Louis here tonight at home against a Utah State team that I'm not sold on how good they are away from home. Play St Louis. |
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11-28-23 | Ball State +2.5 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 64-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
The Ball State Cardinals look to continue their good start to the season here tonight in Arkansas Little Rock. Ball State has won two straight since its only loss of the season coming at Evansville, 50-74, as a pick'em. The Cardinals then beat UCS Upstate, 75-58, as a 3.5-point favorite and then won last game vs Arkansas Pine Bluff, 92-74, as a 10-point favorite. They have shot 49.1% or better in four of their six games. The Arkansas Little Rock Trojans are a small favorite in this game despite their 2-4 S?U and ATS records. They snapped a four game losing streak last game with a win vs Tulsa, 84-82, as a 4-point dog. The team is not a good 3-point shooting team either, with their best performance being a 28.6% mark in that win over Tulsa. I'm taking Ball State here tonight as they not only are the better team but they should get a few points. |
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11-28-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Kentucky | 73-95 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Two teams with five wins matchup here today as Kentucky hosts Miami Florida. The Miami Florida Hurricanes are 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. They have won two straight games over Georgia, 79-67, and then last game over Kansas State, 91-83, as a 3-point favorite. This team has been hot from the field with four of their five games hitting 51% or better. And from the 3-point they have 42.9% or better in three of the five. Kentucky Wildcats are 5-1 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Cats have won three straight including last game over Marshall, 118-82, as a 18-point favorite. The Cats have scored at least 81 points in all five games. Both teams can score and this one looks to be a shootout here tonight. But for me, I'll take the points with the nice dog in Miami. |
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11-28-23 | Western Carolina -5.5 v. Tennessee Tech | 69-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Western Carolina Catamounts look to remain perfect as they hit the road tonight for their game at Tennessee Tech. The Catamounts are 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Northern Alabama, 81-63, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have hit over 51.8% from the field in three of their five games and over 44% from the 3-point arc in three of five games. The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles are 2-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the year. They are coming off a win over Presbyterian on Wednesday, 79-75, as a 5-point dog. Their only other win coming over Midway University, 82-70 with no line. This team has been all over the place with its shooting. But defense has not been good as they have allowed at least 40% from the field in every game thus far. I'm sticking with the undefeated Western Carolina club here tonight. |
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11-27-23 | Presbyterian +3.5 v. Elon | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
 Extra Board game here on Monday has Presbyterian taking on Elon. The Presbyterian Blue Hose are 5-2 S/U and 3-3 vs the spread this year. They are coming off a loss at home to Tennessee Tech, 75-79, as a 5-point favorite. This has been a very good shooting team, hitting at least 40.9% from the field in every game and over 50% in four games. They have also been good from the 3-point arc, probably why They have averaged 77 ppg overall and 82 ppg at home. The Elon Phoenix are 3-3 S/U and 4-2 ATS on the season. The Phoenix had their two game win streak snapped last game vs Winthrop, 70-78, though they covered the +9-point line. They also shot just 39.2% from the field in that game. The defense hasn't been all that good as opponents have hit at least 42.6% from the field in every game this season. Presbyterian can shoot and with the defensive issues Elon has had, I'll take the points with the visitors in this one. Play Presbyterian. |
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11-26-23 | Butler +1.5 v. Boise State | 70-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
ESPN Events Invitational Final Round here today has Butler taking on Boise State. The Butler Bulldogs are 4-2 S/U and 5-1 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs are coming off a win over Penn State, 88-78, as a pick'em. That win snapped a 2-game losing streak for Butler. The Bulldogs have been hitting well from the field with five of their six games seeing a 44.9% or better shooting. Boise State is 3-2 S/U but has yet to cover a spread at 0-3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over VCU, 65-61, pushing the 4-point spread. They also snapped a two-game losing streak with that win. These are pretty evenly matched teams, but I'll take Butler here today who has shown they can cover the spreads this year. Play Butler. |
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11-26-23 | Drexel v. Old Dominion | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
The Drexel Dragons come into this game with a 3-2 record both S/U and ATS. The Dragons have won two straight games and have hit at least 41.4% in all games but one. The Dragons have been playing very good defense of late, holding their last three opponents to 31, 33.3 and 32.8 percent shooting. Old Dominion is 1-3 S/U and 1-2 ATS. The Monarchs have lost three straight games. Their lone winning coming in the opener vs Virginia Wesleyan, 71-57. Since that game they have lost to Ball State, 68-73, Arkansas, 77-86, and Princeton, 56-76. The Monarchs have struggled this season while Drexel has looked much the better team. Drexel is laying just one point here today. Take Drexel. |
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11-25-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State +5.5 | 93-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
 Evansville looks to improve to 5-0 here today as they hit the road for a game at SE Missouri State. The Evansville Aces are not only 4-0 S/U but 3-0 vs the spread after their win over Ball State last game out, 74-50. They have hit at least 45.1% from the field in every game and at least 33.3% from 3-point arc. They have one road game and that came in a win at SE Missouri State on Nov 15, 76-57, as a 2.5-point dog. Now they play against at Se Missouri State. Evansville has averaged 84.5 ppg this season. The Se Missouri State Redhawks got their first win of the season last game with a win over Central Arkansas, 70-68, but failed to cover the 5-point line. They are 0-4 vs the spread. The oddsmaker made SE Mo State a favorite when these teams played just 10-days ago. Now they are a 5-point home dog. That's a 7.5-point adjustment. I don't think the oddsmakers where completely wrong in that first game, but have overcorrected here in game two between these teams. I'll take the points with SE Missouri State. |
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11-24-23 | Youngstown State +14.5 v. Dayton | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
A pair of 3-2 teams face off today as the Youngstown State Penguins take on the Dayton Flyers. Youngstown is 3-2 S/U and 1-2 ATS after their win on last Sunday over Lake Erie, 79-57 with no line. The Penguins spread win came over Utah Tech, 75-68, as a 5.5-point chalk. They have also lost to Michigan, 62-92, as a 16.5-point dog and lost to UL Lafayette, 62-72, as a 4-point dog. While they opened the season with those last two losses, they have won three straight games. Dayton is also 3-2 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS. They are coming off a loss at home to Houston, 55-69, as a 12-point dog. That loss snapped a two game win streak that included wins over St Johns, 88-81, and LSU, 70-67, covering both games. Today they will be their biggest favorite line since opening game vs SIU Edwardsville where they were 17.5-point favorites and came up short in the 63-47 win. Dayton should win today without much trouble, but covering this 14 or 14 1/2 point line is likely a bit much for them. Play Youngstown State. |
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11-22-23 | Florida v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | 86-71 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
 Two teams with one loss between them face off tonight in the NIT Tip Off from Brooklyn, NY between Florida and Pitt. Florida has won two straight games and is 3-1 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the season. Their one s/u loss coming at home to Virginia, 70-73, as a pick'em. That was also their worst shooting game, just 40% from the field and 28% from the 3-point arc. They are coming off a win over Florida State, 89-68, as a 8.5-point favorite. The Pitt Panthers are a perfect 4-0 both S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville, 107-56, as a 16-point favorite. They also have wins over Florida Gulf Coast, 86-74, Binghamton, 89-60 and N.Carolina A&T, 100-52. They have yet to score less then the 86 points. They have also been hot from the 3-point arc, hitting 42.9%, 37%, 47.1% and their lowest o 28.6% vs Gulf Coast. Getting points here tonight with the Panthers too much to pass on as I won't be surprised by a straight-up win. |
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11-22-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +13.5 v. San Francisco | 60-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The IPFW Mastodons put their perfect 5-0 record on the line tonight as they head to the West Coast to face San Francisco. The Mastodons are also 4-0 vs the spread this year. They have wins over Depaul, 82-74, Northern Arizona, 77-67, South Dakota, 93-81, in addition to Texas A&M Comm and Andrews. The have shot at least 44.4% from the field in every game and over 38.1% from 3-point in four of five games. The San Francisco Dons are 3-2 S/U and 3-1 vs the spread. The Dons two losses have come to Boise State, 58-63 and Grand Canyon, 72-76. They have wins over Bethesda-CA, St Francis-PA and last game over Depaul. They have also shot well, at least 40% in every game, thought their 3-point shooting has been inconsistent. Not sure why this SF team is such a big favorite here tonight. IPFW should give them all they can handle. Take IPFW. |
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11-22-23 | Ole Miss v. Temple +4 | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Early game on the schedule today has Temple hosting Ole Miss. Ole Miss is 4-0 S/U but 0-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Sam Houston State, 70-67, as a 9.5-point favorite. The game before they got a 1-point win over Detroit, 70-69, as a 23-point favorite. In fact, the Rebels have been at least 9.5-point favorite in every game and their biggest margin of victory has been 11 points. They will face a 3-1 S/U and ATS Temple team here today. Temple lost its first game of the season last time out at home vs Columbia, 73-78, as a 12.5-point favorite. They won and covered vs MD-Eastern Shore, Navy and Drexel. They haven't shot great from the field, with their best coming vs Navy and MD-Eastern Shore. Still, don't believe that Temple needs four points at home here today. I'm looking for the Owls to win this game outright, but I'll take the points. Play Temple. |
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11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +3 v. Detroit | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
 Bragging rights on the line as Eastern Michigan takes on Detroit here tonight. Eastern Michigan Eagles are 2-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win over Cleveland State, 69-62, as a 7-point dog. They have hit over 42% from the field in each of their last three games. In their wins they have held their opponent to under 34.3% shooting and in their losses they allowed over 57% from the field. Detroit still looking for it's first win of the season here tonight. Detroit Titans are 0-4 S/U and 1-3 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at Ohio U, 52-71, as a 16.5-point dog. In fact, they have been at least a 15.5-point dog in each of their four games. Now they are a small favorite. Not really sure how we get a favorite from a team with no wins. Yes they have played some tough competition in Toledo, Cincinnati, Ole Miss and Ohio. This looks to be their best spot at a win thus far. However, I'm going to take the points with the road team in this one. Play Eastern Michigan. |
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11-21-23 | La Salle +26.5 v. Duke | 66-95 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Lasalle Explorers will be put to the real test tonight. They bring a 4-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS mark into this game at Duke. The Explorers opened with a win over Drexel, 67-61, then beat Northeastern, 79-74, then Bucknell, 69-57 and last game over S.Indiana, 79-78. They have shot at least 42.6% from the field in every game and over 30% from 3-point. Duke is over a 20-point favorite here tonight. The Blue Devils are 3-1 S/U and 2-2 vs the spread. Duke's only loss coming at home to Arizona, 73-78, as a 5-point favorite. The Blue Devils are coming off a win over Bucknell, 90-60, as a 34.5-point favorite. They shot 49.2% from the field and 38.2% from 3-point arc. This Lasalle team is decent and I believe the 20+points they are getting will be a bit too much. Take Lasalle. |
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11-21-23 | Akron +2.5 v. Drake | 59-79 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Final Round of the Cayman Island Classic has Akron taking on Drake. The Akron Zips are 4-1 on the Season S/U and 2-2 vs the number. The Zipps coming off a loss last night to Utah State in this tournament, 63-65, as a 2-point dog. This will mark their third game in three days as they won on Sunday vs Fla International, 77-71. The Zips had their worst shooting performance of the season in their loss last night, hitting on just 37.7% of their shots and 20.8% from 3-point arc. Drake is 3-1 S/U and 0-3 ATS on the season. The Bulldogs lost big last night to Stephen F Austin, 68-92, as a 3.5-point favorite. That was the first loss for Drake this season after wins over Lipscomb, SW Minnesota State and Oakland. Akron played much better last night then Drake faired. I'll take the points here today with the Zips. Play Akron. |
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11-20-23 | Wisconsin v. Virginia -2.5 | 65-41 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Tourney action here on Monday in college hoops has Wisconsin taking on Virginia. The Wisconsin Badgers are 2-2 S/U and 1-3 ATS thus far this season. They bounced back from a 2-game losing skid with a win over Robert Morris, 78-68, but failed to cover the 20-point spread. The Badgers also have losses to Providence, 59-72, and at home to Tennessee, 79-80. Now they will face the 4-0 Virginia Cavaliers. Virginia is coming off a win over Texas Southern, 62-33, as a 22.5-point favorite. The Cavs have covered three of their four games this season. The Cavs biggest win was over Florida, 73-70, as a pick'em. They have shot at least 43% in every game and over 38.9% from three-point arc in three of their four games. I'm going to lay the short number here on Monday with Virginia. |
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11-19-23 | Vermont +5 v. Liberty | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Myrtle Beach Invitational Final Round from Conway, SC goes today and Vermont takes on Liberty. The Vermont Catamounts are 4-0 on the season after wins over College of Charleston, 73-64, and then St Louis, 78-68, in this tournament. They also have covered both games. While they shot only 36.8% vs Charleston, they hit 55.8% vs St Louis with 45.8% from 3-point arc. They will face a 4-0 Liberty Flames team that has also won both games in this tournament. The Flames beat Furman in the opener, 88-74 and then Wichita State on Friday, 83-66. They have covered all three of their spread games this season. Both teams have played great thus far and today one of them will drop from the undefeated ranks. For me, I like siding with the dog and that's Vermont here today. |
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11-18-23 | Seattle University +8.5 v. VCU | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
The Seattle Redhawks look to improve to 3-1 here today as they travel East to face Virginia Commonwealth. The Hawks lost their first game of the season last game vs Northern Arizona, 60-62, as a 13.5-point favorite. They hit just 35.3% from the field and 18.8% from 3-point arc. The VCU Rams are also 2-1 and looking to improve to 3-1 today. The Rams lost their opening game to McNeese State, 65-76, as a 10.5-point favorite. They have since won two straight over Samford, 75-65, and then last game over Radford, 73-50, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Rams have played good defense, holding Radford to 33.3% from the field and Samford to 34.8% Now the Rams are laying right around 8-points today. This is the most they have laid since their loss to McNeese State. I'll take the points with Seattle in this one today. |
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11-17-23 | Towson +4.5 v. Wake Forest | 61-71 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Charleston Classic Tourney action here on Friday from Charleston, SC has Towson State taking on Wake Forest. The Towson Tigers are 2-2 and looking to rebound from their loss to Houston, 49-65, as a 20.5-point dog. Their other loss coming in the opening game at Colorado, 57-75, as a 14.5-point dog. Those two big dog game were both spread losses too. Their wins coming against Robert Morris, 66-62, and Coppin State, 70-49. The Tigers losing last night to Houston in the first round of this tourney. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are 1-2 on the season after losing in last night's tourney game to Utah, 70-77, as a 5.5-point dog. The Deacons opened the season with a win over Elon, 101-78, but have since lost two straight games. Both teams here today coming off losses last night. I'll take the pints in this one with Towson. |
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11-17-23 | Denver +5 v. South Alabama | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
The Denver Pioneers hit the road here on Friday to face South Alabama. The Pioneers are 2-2 on the season. They opened with a loss to Cal San Diego in their opener, 87-95, as a 7-point dog. They then beat Cal Poly, 97-76 as a 10-point favorite and Nicholls State, 91-85, as a 1-point dog. They are coming off a loss to SIU Edwardsville, 74-77, pushing the 3-point dog line. This team can score as 74 points have been their fewest this season. They have done well from 3-point arc too, hitting at least 31% in every game thus far. The South Alabama Jaguars are just 1-3 to start their season with losses to Mobile U, 74-83, Alabama, 46-102 and last game to Nicholls State, 97-102. Their only win coming at Buffalo, 70-56. That has also been their only cover too against a pair of spread losses. Losing to Mobile really stands out to me as they hit just 35.5% against this team and allowed a whopping 60% shooting ad 41.7% from the 3-point arc. They also got lit up by Alabama which hit 61.8% from the field and 52.2% from 3-point. The Jags have given up back-to-back 102 point games and now face a very fast paced and high scoring Denver team. I'll take Denver in this one. |
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11-17-23 | St. John's v. Dayton | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Charleston Classic tourney action here today from Charleston, SC has St Johns taking on Dayton. Both teams are 2-1 thus far. St Johns Red Storm now led by Rick Pitino who comes over from his stint as HC at Iona. The Red Storm rebounded from their loss to Michigan, 73-89, with a win over North Texas last time out, 53-52, failing to cover the 5.5-point line. The Red Storm have not hit well from the field in their last two games with 36% and 34% respectively. They allowed Michigan to hit 51.6% in their loss and 42.3% from the 3-point arc. They improved the defense last game allowing only 32.7% from the field to North Texas with 31.6% from 3-point. Dayton opened the season with a win over SIU Edwardsville, 63-47, failing to cover the 17.5-point line. Then they lost at Northwestern, 66-71, pushing the 5-point dog line. They rebounded with a win last game vs LSU, 70-67, as a 1-point favorite. They beat LSU despite shooing just 39.3% from the field and allowing the Tigers 52.1% shooting and 43.8% from 3-point. Dayton a very small favorite here today. I'll take the Flyers in this one. Play Dayton. |
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11-17-23 | Norfolk State +4.5 v. Fordham | 64-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Paradise Jam first round action from the Virgin Islands has the early game here between Norfolk State and Fordham. The Norfolk State Spartans look to improve to 4-0 on the young season here today. The Spartans opened with a win over PSU Wilks-Barre, 102-55 then Newport News, 90-56 before their last win over Hampton, 75-68. The only game with a line was their win over Hampton, which they failed to cover the 10-point chalk line. Have to toss out those first two softball games. The Spartans won vs Hampton despite just 34.5% from the field shooting and 17.6% from the 3-point line. The Fordham Rams are 1-1 with a win in their opener over Wagner, 68-64, as a 10.5-point favorite. Then they lost to Cornell last game, 73-78, as a pick'em. They allowed Cornell to shoot 54% from the field and 38.9% from 3-point arc. Fordham didn't fair too well vs Cornell, while Norfolk has had a pretty easy go of it. A bit surprised that Fordam around a 4-5 point favorite. I'll take the points with Norfolk State. |
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11-16-23 | Wichita State v. Coastal Carolina +9.5 | 86-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Third game in the Myrtle Beach Invitational has Wichita State taking on Coastal Carolina from Conway, SC. Wichita State Shockers looking to improve to 4-0 here today. The Shockers opened with a win over Lipscomb, 76-59, covering the 9.5-point line. Then they beat Western Kentucky, 71-61, also covering the 7.5-point line. Last game they played Friends University and cruised to a 95-65 win with no posted line. The Shockers have shot about the same from the field in each game, hitting 47.7%, 481.% and last game 49.3%. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have just one game this season and that was a win over Piedmont, 88-86 with no line. They shot 44.1% from the field and 30% from the 3-point stripe. The two areas they need to improve are defense, allowing 86 points to Piedmont and free throws as they shot just 52.8% in that win. I see the Chanticleers being able to use their offense to stay close in this game. And, with nearly double digit line, I'll take the points. |
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11-16-23 | St. Louis v. Wyoming +3 | 79-69 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
First round of the Myrtle Beach Invitational has St Louis taking on Wyoming from Conway, SC. Both teams come into today's matchup having won all their early season games. TGhe St Louis Billikins are 3-0 after wins over Southern Indiana, Lincoln and last game over Illinois State, 80-71, as a 8.5-point favorite. They are also 1-1 vs the spread. After shooting lights out in their first two games, they came back down to earth last game with a 42.3% mark and 28.6% from 3-point. They will face a 2-0 Wyoming Cowboys team tonight. Wyoming opened with a win over Northern New Mexico and then last game over Cal Poly, 80-66, as a 15.5-point favorite. Wyoming has shot 62.1% and 52.1% in the two games with 56.5% from 3-point in their first game and 38.9% from 3-point the last game. Both teams looking to build on a good start with their toughest matchup to date. I'll take the small points in this one with Wyoming. |
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11-15-23 | Cornell +2.5 v. George Mason | 83-90 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cornell Big Red are 3-0 S/U and 1-1 ATS to start their season. The Big Red opened with a win over Lehigh, 84-78, but just failed to cover the 7-point favorite line. They then beat Suny-Morrisville, 107-86, before going to Fordham in their last game and winning, 78-73, covering the pick'em line. They have shot well from the field, hitting 54% vs Fordham and 38.9% from 3-point. They have hit at least 36.7% from 3-point in all three games. The George Mason Patriots are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS after two games. The Patriots opened with a win over Monmouth, 72-61, pushing the 11-point line. Then last game they beat Austin Peay, 67-45, covering the 6.5-point line. They only shot 39.6% vs Austin Peay and 28% from the 3-point arc. However, they held them to just 28.8% from the field and 15.8% from the 3-point arc. I've been more impressed with Cornell to this juncture then George Mason. I'll take the couple of points with the road dog here today. Play Cornell. |
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11-15-23 | Richmond +5.5 v. Boston College | 61-68 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
A pair of teams both looking to start the season 3-0 matchup here tonight as Boston College hosts Richmond. The Richmond Spiders have started 2-0 both S/U and ATS. They opened the season with a win over VMI, 93-75, covering the 17-point line. Then last time out the Spiders beat Siena at home, 90-48, easily covering the 13-point chalk line. The Spiders shot 59.3% from the field and 55.6% from the 3-point arc in that win over Siena. Boston College Eagles also are 2-0 S/U, but 1-1 ATS. They opened with a win over Fairfield, 89-70, covering the 14-point spread. Then last time out beat Citadel, 75-71, but failed to cover the 9-point line. They hit 53.3% from the field last game, but just 26.7% from the 3-point arc after a 40.7% mark in their win over Fairfield. Both teams have played well, but I will take the points with Richmond as I believe they can win this game outright tonight. Play Richmond. |
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11-14-23 | Appalachian State +2.5 v. Oregon State | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
 The Appalachian State Mountaineers look to rebound from their first loss of the season as they head to Oregon State tonight to face the Beavers. App State is 1-1 S/U and 0-1 ATS after their loss at Northern Illinois, 78-91, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Mountaineers shot 41.6% from the field and 26.3% from the 3-point arc. However, the defense wasn't good, allowing 50% shooting and 39.1% from 3-point to the Huskies. They will look to get back to winning tonight at 2-0 Oregon State. The Beavers had an easy win in their opener vs Linfield, 82-46. However, it was down to the wire in their last game, a narrow win at home over Troy, 81-80, as a 7.5-point favorite. The Beavers shot 42.4% in that win over Troy and 23.8% from 3-point. They didn't do any better vs Linfield, hitting on just 26.1% of their 3-point shots. These teams evenly matchup here tonight, but I'll be on the road team. Take App State. |
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11-14-23 | Western Kentucky +1.5 v. Murray State | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers look to get back in the win column here tonight as they hit the road to face Murray State. W.Ky opened with an easy win over Kentucky Wesleyan, 90-64, with no line on the game. Then they lost last time out at Wichita State, 61-71, as a 7.5-point dog. They hit just 29.6% from the field in that loss. The Murray State Racers look to improve to 3-0 tonight after wins over Midway Univeristy (91-58) in their opener and then over Tennessee Tech last time out, 78-72, as a 12.5-point favorite. They have shot over 50% from the field in both games and 33.3% from the 3-point stripe in their last game. The issue vs Tenn Tech was that they allowed 50.8% shooting to Tech and 33.3% from the 3-point stripe. Western Kentucky is a little bigger favorite according to my numbers. I like them here tonight as a 1-point dog or pick'em. Play W.Kentucky. |
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11-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Providence +1.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers look to rebound tonight at Providence after losing at home last game to Tennessee, 70-80, as a 2.5-point dog. The Badgers are 1-1 with their win coming on opening night at home over Arkansas State, 105-76, as a 14-point favorite. After hitting 65% from the field in that win, they hit just 41% vs Tennessee and 25% from 3-point. This will be the Badgers first road game as they go to 2-0 Providence. The Friars opened the season with a win over Columbia, 78-59, but failed to cover the 19-point line. Then last game they beat Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 76-69, but again failed to cover the 13.5-point home line. The defense has been very good, holding WI-Milwaukee to just 37.7% from the field and 17.6% from 3-point. They did even better vs Columbia, holding them to 29.6% from the field. Providence hasn't been able to cover those big double digit lines, but I like them here today as a small home dog. Play Providence. |
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11-13-23 | South Dakota State +10.5 v. Kansas State | 68-91 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
A pair of 1-1 teams face off tonight in college hoops as the South Dakota State Jackrabbits take on the Kansas State Wildcats. The Jackrabbits opened with a loss at home to Akron, 75-81, as a 2-point favorite. They followed that with their first win over Dakota Wesleyan, 83-55 with no line. They have shot well in both games, hitting 50% vs Akron and 47.2% vs D.Wesleyan. Kansas State opened with a loss at home vs USC, 69-82 as a 3-point home dog. They got their first win last time out vs Bellarmine, 83-75, but failed to cover the 16-point line. The Cats shot just 31% vs USC but a improved 44.4% vs Bellarmine. Both teams struggled vs better opponents and won vs the softball teams. Still, I like the dog here today and will be on South Dakota State. |
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11-12-23 | UC-Davis +4 v. Montana | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
 The UC Davis Aggies have started the season 2-0 and look to keep that perfect record in tact today at Montana. Davis opened the season with a win over William Jessup, 86-51, but then followed that win with a win over Pepperdine, 79-78, but failed to cover the 8-point spread. The Aggies shot 44.4% from the field vs Pepperdine and 54.2% from the 3-point arc. The problem was they got out rebounded by the Waves, 22-32. The Montana Grizzlies are 1-1 after two games, winning their opening game over NWIC, 107-59, with no posted line. Then they came back and lost at Oregon, 61-75, but just did cover the 15-point dog line. They didn't shoot well in that Oregon game, hitting just 37.9% from the field and 25% from the 3-point stripe. Now they face a UC Davis team that has shot well in both games. I have these two teams pretty much even today and therefore I'll take the points with the dog in this one. Play UC Davis. |
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11-12-23 | Elon +5 v. North Dakota | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
The Elon Phoenix looks to improve to 2-1 today with a win at North Dakota. Elon is coming off it's first win of the season over East Tennessee State, 79-76, as a 1.5-point dog. The Phoenix shot 50.8% in the game and a blistering 47.4% from the 3-point arc. They held ETS to 43.3% from the field and 33.3% from 3-point arc. This coming after their opening game loss at Wake Forest, 78-101, as a 19.5-point dog. They shot well in that game too at 47.5% from the field and 43.5% from the 3-point arc. The North Dakota Fighting Sioux are 0-1 after losing their opening game at Iowa, 68-101. The Sioux shot 40.3% from the field but just 16% from the 3-point arc. They gave up 50% shooting to Iowa from 3-point. That doesn't look good for ND State today as Elon proved they can shoot the three pointers and hit them. I'll take the points here with the road dog. Play Elon. |
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11-11-23 | Montana State +11.5 v. Seattle University | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
The Montana State Bobcats look to improve to 2-0 on the young season. They are coming off a win over NWIC in an easy 103-63 win with no line on the game. They had an easy time, hitting 55.4% from the field and 44.1% from the 3-point arc. They will get their first real test here today at Seattle. Seattle opened up with a win over Prairie View A&M, 71-60, but failed to cover the 16.5-point chalk line. They hit 43.1% from the field and 37.5% from the 3-point arc. The held A&M to just 30.4% shooting and 18.2% from the 3-point arc, yet weren't able to cover the double digit line. Now here they are again, double digit favorites. I have Montana State a better team then A&M was and I doubt the Bobcats will shoot worse then A&M did. I'll take the double digits with Montana State. |
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11-11-23 | Campbell +13.5 v. East Carolina | 63-77 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
The Campbell Fighting Camels have started their season 1-0 as they head to East Carolina today for their second game. They started with a win over Navy, 59-48, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Camels shot 52.5% from the field but just 22.2% from the 3-point arc. They held the Middies to just 33.9% shooting and 18.2% from the 3-point arc. The East Carolina Pirates installed as a double-digit favorite here today. They opened with a win over Ferrum, 91-61 with no line on the game. They hit 51.9% from the field and held Ferrum to 45.8%. Early like this I tend to look for live dogs. Campbell should be able to stay inside the double digit line today. Play Campbell. |
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11-10-23 | Chattanooga +4 v. Louisville | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The UT-Chattanooga Mocs look to build on their win over Covenant in their opening contest, 89-44. They hit 54.2% from the field though just 68% free throws and 28.6% from the 3-point arc. They held Covenant to just 25.8% shooting, though considering the opponent they have to take that number with a grain of salt. Louisville also started with a win, but a much tougher game as they just got by MD-Baltimore County, 94-93, as a 7.5-point favorite. They did hit 50% from the field but a dismal 14.3% from the 3-point arc. They did allow MD Bal County to hit on 47.8% of it's 3-point shots, something they have to improve on. The Mocs made it all the way to the conference Championship last season before losing to Furman and missing out on that automatic NCAA bid. Louisville was horrible last year, going 4-28 overall and 2-18 in the ACC. Not sure Louisville is ready to return to the glory days of old after that one-point win over UMBC. I'll take UT-Chatt here on Friday plus the points. |
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11-10-23 | Monmouth +14.5 v. West Virginia | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
I'll be on Monmouth here in this game on Friday. The Hawks are coming off a loss in their opening game at George Mason, 61-72, pushing the 11-point dog line. They had a poor field goal shooting night, hitting just 34.6% of their shots from the field. They will face a West Virginia team that won its first game of the season over Missouri State, 67-59 as a 4-point favorite. They didn't shoot well either, just 34.9% from the field though they held State to just 35.4%. But the main reason for liking the dog here today is that West Virginia will be without three plays, two of which are starters. Guard RaeQuan Battle (Eligibility), forward Akok (heart) and guard Kerr Kriisa (suspension) will all miss tonight's contest. A lot of points to lay with that many key cogs missing from the lineup. Take Monmouth. |
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11-10-23 | Pennsylvania +7 v. St. Joe's | 61-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Penn looks to improve to 3-0 after winning its first two games of the season. The Quakers have averaged 91 points and hitting 51.5% thus far. They are also hitting 35.3% from the 3-point arc. They have wins over Bucknell (80-61) and John Jay (102.57). St Joe Hawks also started with a win in their first game over Lafayette, 81-60 as a 14-point favorite. Penn looks very good early in their two games and here they are a decent dog tonight. I'll take the road dog in tonight's contest. |
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11-09-23 | Tarleton St +5 v. Florida International | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Tarleton State Texans started off their season with a loss to Virginia, 50-80. The Texans shot jut 33% from the field and 23% from 3-point arc. Florida International didn't fare any better, losing to UCF in their first game, 62-85. FIU shot 36.2% from the field and 22.2% from the 3-point arc. Both these teams struggled out of the gate and both had offensive issues. FIU was 2-4 ATS last year when favored by 4.5-points or more. I'll take the dog here in this one as it could go either way. Play Tarleton State. |
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11-08-23 | Raptors v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 127-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors visit Dallas tonight to take on the Mavericks. Toronto looks to get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight as they sit 3-4 overall on the season. They are also 4-3 vs the spread. The Raptors are averaging 107.1 ppg while allowing 107.4 ppg. This will be their third straight game on the road as they are coming off a win at San Antonio, 123-116, as a 3.5-point favorite. Dallas is off to a nice start at 6-1 on the season. They are coming off a blowout win on the road at Orlando, 117-102, as a 1-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season thus far is to defending champ Denver, 114-125. The Mavs are also 4-3 vs the spread and are outscoring opponents at home by 6.7 ppg. I like the Mavs tonight. Play Dallas. |
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11-07-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne +11.5 v. DePaul | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
First game of the season for both the IPFW Mastodons and the DePaul Blue Demons. IPFW won 17 games last year as they play their 10th season under HC Jon Coffman. DePaul won only 10 games last season. The Blue Demons lost three of their four double-digit scorers from last season. They have a number of transfers coming in this year but it might take a few games for the new players to gel. I believe DePaul will be better this year but not in this first game. Don't believe that they should be laying double digits to this IPFW squad. Play the road dog here today. Take IPFW. |
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11-06-23 | Towson +15 v. Colorado | 57-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Towson coming off a decent campaign last year where they went 21-11 S/U and 16-15 ATS and 12-6 in the CAA conference. Colorado was 18-17 S/U and 13-17-1 ATS. The Towson Tigers will have to replace three starters. They did pick up transfer Messiah Jones from Wofford. This team ranked 41st in the country last year in 3-point shooting. Colorado looks to improve this year around their best player from last year, Tristan daSilva, an All-Pac 12 selection. They added TCU transfer Eddie Lampkin. Early season pick for me here is with the dog, Towson State. |
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11-06-23 | Monmouth +11.5 v. George Mason | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Monmouth opens its season at George Mason here tonight. George Mason was 18-15 ATS last season and covered two of three times as a double digit favorite. Monmouth was just 12-21 vs the spread last season and 7-26 S/U. It's the second season for Monmouth in the CAA conference. The Hawks improved once the new year started, winning five of six games. They also return several players to this season including their best player, 6'5" sophomore Jack Collins. George Mason has a new HC in Tony Skinn. The Patriots will have a rebuilding task this year as they have a new starting five. Taking the point early here with Mommouth against this rebuilding George Mason team. |
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06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
Game four of the NBA Finals has the Denver Nuggets with a two games to one lead. The teams split the first two games in Denver and in their first game in Miami, the Nuggets dominated from start to finish winning, 109-94, covering the spread and the game going under. The Nuggets have now shot above 50% from the field in all three games while game three was their worst 3-point shooting at just 27.8%. Miami had their worst shooting performance in game three, hitting just 37% overall and 31.4% from the 3-point arc. This series has thus far been a classic rebound type series. The Nuggets take game one, Miami game two and then Denver game three. I look for the Heat to rebound again here in game four. They had a pretty dismal performance in game three and will look to make amends for that showing. Take the points here in game four with the Miami Heat. |
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06-04-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Nuggets | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
 No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. Denver still looks to be the best team and I expect them to win this series, but this is a lot of points again tonight. In game one, the Heat rallied late and almost back ended the number. I expect them to be much more competitive tonight. I'll take the points. Play Miami. |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami coming off that hard fought series vs the Celtics. Miami winning game seven on the road in a blowout after blowing a three-zero lead in the series. I think many people wrote them off in game seven. I took the points with the Heat but am surprised at how Boston didn't show up at all in that game. Now it's game one of the NBA Championship. Denver has been waiting for a while and see some rust, but I don't see that. What I do see is major letdown in game one by the the Heat. They have to travel, they have hardly any time off and they have to play in the nearly 6,000 foot elevation of Denver. Perfect spot for Denver here in game one for a blowout.  |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics look to make history here today as the only team ever to come back from an 0-3 deficit to win a series. Game 6 was a great game and we can only hope game 7 here on Monday is as good. For me, I'm taking the points here today. I don't feel Miami will just roll over and give in. This is still a lot of points to lay in a NBA conference finals. Take Miami plus the points. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
 The Celtics could have easily rolled over and went quietly after being down 0-3 in this series with the Heat. But, they didn't and won easily on game four, 116-99. The Celtics shot 51.2% from the field and a series best 40% from the 3-point arc. The only negative is that they were out-rebounded for the third time in the series. So here we are in game five and the Celtics face the arduous task of trying to become the ONLY team in NBA history to come from a 0-3 deficit to win a series. The oddsmaker thinks they have a good shot tonight, making them an eight-point favorite. For me, that's too many points to give this Heat team that has already beaten the Celtics at Boston twice in this series. I'll take the points here tonight with Miami. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat -1.5 | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat can wrap up the NBA Eastern Conference Finals here tonight in their own home building. The Heat have dominated the Celtics, winning by seven and six at Boston and then by 18 in game three at home. They have already beaten the Bucks in this postseason and now look to beat the two best teams in the East during the regular season. The Celtics have been the worst underperforming team in the NBA postseason as many expected them to win it all. Will they bounce back here tonight? Consider no team has ever come back from a 0-3 deficit in the playoffs and one has wonder if they even care at this point. I don't expect the Heat to take their foot off the pedal here tonight. Miami's offense was something to be desired as the playoffs started. However, Jimmy Butler has looked very dominant averaging 29.9 ppg. I don't look for Boston to roll over here tonight. However, do they have an answer for Butler? They haven't so far. I'm taking Miami to close this one out tonight. |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
I had the Lakers in game two because I liked the momentum that had in the fourth quarter of game one. They made that huge comeback and gave Denver a big scare. Game two they had that same energy for the first three quarters and led by as much as 10-points. But Jamal Murray went wild in the 4th with 20 points and the Lakers lost, but did get the cover - just barely. So, how will game three play out? First, the Lakers transition game has to get better than it did in games one and two. Second, while the Lakers have a very deep team, Lebron and Anthony Davis need to step up their scoring. If Davis and James get their rear ends in gear here in game three, they will win. Plus, both teams have been much better on their home courts. Must win spot here today for the Lakers. I'm taking them minus the points. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers +6 v. Nuggets | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
The Lakers may have lost game one of the NBA West finals but in reality they have a moral victory. They trailed through three quarters by as much as 21 points. They gave up 74 half time points. They gave Jokic a new record, the only player to have more than 10 rebounds and 5 assists in one playoff quarter. Their transition game looked bad, they were getting killed on the offensive and defensive boards. Bad, huh. But somehow they rallied in the four quarter and trailed by three points with just over one minute to play. The final score was Denver by six, which just happened to be the line on the game. So Laker players really had found money as they got a push. The Lakers showed up in Denver 48 hours early to get acclimated to the high altitude and that may have played a part in their rally. No matter what, the Lakers have something to build on as we get ready for game two. They can use the momentum from that game one fourth quarter and the fact that they took the best Denver had to give them, but still came close at the end. The Lakers also took Anthony Davis off Jokic and that helped the Lakers and Davis. Plus, you can't overlook the pedigree the Lakers have with Lebron and having won the Championship just a few years ago in the "bubble" season. For these matters, I'm taking the points with the Lakers here in game two. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Boston Celtics had to survive a seven game grueling series with the Philadelphia 76ers to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. This marks the third time in the last four years that these teams will face off in the Finals of the East. The Miami Heat disposed of the NY Knicks in six games so they got a bit of extra rest. The Heat had to win that series without two key players in Victor Oladipo and Tyler Herro. Both players will be out tonight. The Celtics should be fortunate to be here after trailing Philly 2-3 in that series and getting blown out in game five. It took the heroics of Jayson Tatum in both game six and seven to pull the Celtics butts from the fire. Miami is the more rested team here tonight and the Celtics might be set for a letdown after that comeback vs the Sixers. This line is too big for me and I'll gladly take the points in game one. Play Miami. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 126-132 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
The Lakers and Nuggets begin their seven game Western Conference Finals here tonight from Denver. The Lakers went six games to dispose of the Golden State Warriors, winning game six in a blowout, 122-101. In fact, only two of the six games in the series were decided by five points or fewer. The Lakers also lost two of three on the road in that series, by 15, 27 and they won game one by 5-points. The Lakers are now 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Denver also won their series with Phoenix in six games. And like the Lakers series, only two games were within seven points. The other four were blowout wins. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS their last seven at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the Lakers from Denver. I'm taking Denver in game one and if it sticks to script, likely a blowout win by the Nuggets. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Game seven of this NBA Eastern Conference Semifinal match between the 76ers and the Lakers. The winner goes to the conference finals. Philly could have closed this series out in game six at home but came up short to the Celtics, 86-95. The Sixers shot just 36.1% from the field (their lowest of the series). They also shot 23.5% from the 3-point arc, their second worst of the series. While Boston has regained home court, home court hasn't been all that kind to them. The Celtics have lost two of their three games at home to Philly, including game five, 103-115. The Sixers star forward, Joel Embiid, is probable today with a knee injury. I like the Celtics today, mainly because the Sixers blew their chance in game six. Boston just too good a team all season long to give up a game seven on their home court. Play Boston. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State and the Lakers play game five of their best of seven series with the Lakers holing a 3-1 lead and the Warriors facing elimination here tonight. The Lakers took game four at home on Monday, 104-101, and either covered or didn't depending on the number you got. For me, I had the Warriors but found a 3.5 and got the win. The Warriors are a very experience and well seasoned team and I don't expect them to go quietly. I'm taking the Warriors here tonight to get back in the fight. Play Golden State. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
This series all tied up at two games each after Denver won the first two games at home and then lost the next two at Phoenix. The Suns took game three 121-114 and game four 129-124. Now the series goes back to Denver for game five here tonight. The Nuggets have only covered one of the four games in the series. So far this has been a home series, the home team winning and covering. The Nuggets won by 10 and 18 points at home in the first two games. The Suns are now 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Nuggets have now covered five of the last seven in this series. And, with the series going back to Denver, I'll take the Nuggets here tonight. |
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05-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
The Lakers and Golden State Warriors play game four of their best of seven series here tonight from LA. The Lakers lead this series two games to one after winning game three, 127-97. The Lakers hit 52.5% from the field to just 39.6% for the Warriors. They also hit 48.4% from the three-point arc to just 29.5% for the Warriors. Both teams are as healthy as they have been all year so that won't be of concern tonight. The Warriors usually bounce back well, going 6-1 ATS their last seven games after a straight-up loss and 4-0 ATS after a straight-up loss of 10-points or more. We saw Golden State do this in the Kings series, losing game six by 19-points and then coming back and winning game seven by 20-points. I look for a rebound game here tonight from the Warriors as they even this series tonight. Play Golden State. |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns play game four of their best of seven series here today. The Suns finally got a win to make the series 1-2 in favor of Denver with their win at home on Friday, 114-121. They will have to continue playing with their star guard in Chris Paul who is out with a groin injury. The Suns outshot the Nuggets in game three, 50-5% to 44.3% while both teams were very close in 3-point shooting. It's going to be a tough series for the Suns without Paul. I'm still taking the points here in game four with Denver. Play the Nuggets. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns find themselves in a must win spot here for game three. The Suns lost both games in Denver, 107-125 in game one and 87-97 in game two. The biggest blow came when they lost guard Chris Paul. CP3 is more than a great guard, he's their floor general and without him they are like an army without their leader. The oddsmaker has installed the Suns as a 4-point favorite here tonight. Without Paul I just don't think the Suns have anything left in the tank. I'll take the Nuggets plus the points. |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Philadelphia got out of Boston with a split and that was fine with them. They were without star J.Embiid in game one and came from behind to win that game, 119-115. Then Embiid returned for game two and they lost, 87-121. Now the venue goes back to Philly and Embiid will play today. Philly saw their numbers plummet from game one to two. They went from 50.6% from the field and 44.7% from 3-point arc to just 39.2% and 20% from 3-point arc in game two. How the Celtics lost game one I'm not sure as they shot 58.7% from the field and 38.5% from the 3-point line. They also had double digit leads in that game and the Sixers were without Embiid. That's the NBA for you. I'm taking Philly today plus the points at home. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Had to expect the Warriors to come out in game one of their Semifinals match with the Lakers a bit flat. They had just come off an emotional seven game series with the Sacramento Kings and had to win game seven on the road. Their loss to the Lakers, 112-117, has them in a must-win spot here in game two. Lose and go back to LA down 0-2. I don't see that happening. If you look at if from the Lakers point of view, they stole game one and if you asked them, they would be more than happy to go back to LA with home court advantage and the series tied 1-1. That could lead to some complacency here tonight on their part. Too much experience and history winning big games and championships for this Warriors team and Stephen Curry to go down 0-2. I'll take the Warriors in a rebound effort here on Thursday. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics blew a big lead in game one of this best of seven series with the Sixers. Now they are in the hole down 0-1 in the series and almost in a must win situation. What's more impressive is that Sixers won this game without their star forward Joel Embiid, who missed the game with a knee injury. Today, Embiid has been upgraded to probable. We are looking at an inflated line here tonight. I can see the Celtics winning this game, but not by the seven or eight points the line is now and was once at 10 points. With Embiid back, I look for the Sixers to once again be in this game. Embiid is rested, is the MVP and will be ready for a big game tonight. I'm taking the points in this one. |
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05-02-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
 The Golden State Warriors survived their best of seven series with the Kings by taking game seven in Sacramento. They used their experience and Stephen Curry to get them to this round. The Lakers might be as healthy as they have been all season and that showed in their series with the Grizzlies as they won four games to two, including a blowout win to get here, 125-85. Both teams look healthy heading into game one. The Lakers two big stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, both show up on the injury report, but both are probable tonight. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning straight up record. They have also covered their last four conference semifinal games. Conversely, the Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference semi's. The Lakers have also covered five of their last seven vs the Warriors. With the Warriors coming off that emotional game seven, I expect them to be in for a bit of a letdown here in game one. I'll take the Lakers plus the points. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat and NY Knicks play game two of their seven game conference semifinals game here tonight. The Knicks lost at home in game one, 101-108 as a 4-point favorite. While the Knicks had a better overall field goal percentage (47.7 to 42.4), they failed from the 3-point arc, with just a 20.6% to the Heat 33.3%. That was the lowest percentage the Knicks have hit from three in the playoffs. Could be some players missing tonight too. The Heat list their start guard Jimmy Butler as questionable with an ankle injury. The Knicks list Jalen Brunson (ankle) and Julius Randle (ankle) both as questionable. I will take the Knicks here tonight as they can ill afford to lose both games at home as they head to Miami. Play New York. |
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05-01-23 | Suns +4.5 v. Nuggets | 87-97 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
 The Phoenix Suns never really were in game one of this series with the Nuggets. The lost game one at Denver, 107-125 as a 4.5-point dog. The Suns actually hit well from the field with 51.2%. They actually outshot the Nuggets who hit 47.5%. Where they got killed was Denver hitting three-points at a clip of 43.2%. That was the difference in this game one. Will Denver keep up that clip here in game two? The Suns have covered five of their last seven meetings with the Nuggets in Denver. I don't think Denver can hit that percentage again here in game two from the 3-point arc. I'll take the Suns in game two as they look to even the series. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
 Game seven here tonight. The Warriors blew a big chance to advance with their game six at home, but lost 99-118 as a 6.5-point favorite. So now we have game seven back in Sacramento. The Kings lost game five at home, 116-123. So really each team has lost their last game on their home court. Game seven for me comes down to this. The Warriors have been here before, they are extremely experienced in the playoffs and have the veteran players to take over this kind of game. The Kings have not been in this spot, in fact just being in the playoffs. In fact you have to go back to 2005-06 when they lost 2-4 to the Spurs for their last playoff series. So for me, it comes down to experience and the Warriors hold all the cards in this one. I'll take Golden State. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers can close out this series tonight with the Memphis Grizzlies. The Lakers have a 3-2 lead and definitely don't want to go back to Memphis for game seven. They are coming off a loss at Memphis in game five, 99-116. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis continue to show up on the injury report, but both will play tonight. The Lakers are a 4 to 5 point favorite tonight. They need to close this series out tonight and I look for a supreme effort to do just that. Play the Lakers. |
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04-26-23 | Warriors v. Kings +2 | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors best of seven matchup is all tied at 2-2. The Kings took games one and two on their home court before going to Golden State and dropping games three and four. They have covered three of the four games in this set. The venue switches back to Sacramento here on Wednesday. Despite losing games one and two at the Kings, the Warriors still are installed as a 1.5-point favorite tonight. Good news for the Kings, De'Aaron Fox has been upgraded to probable with a finger injury tonight. The Warriors have not been good away from home, not only losing the two games in this series, but going 15-36-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They have also covered just one of their last six Conference quarterfinal matchups. The Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. The Kings have covered seven of the last 10 meetings with the Warriors in Sacramento. I'll take the Kings here on their home court tonight. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in this best of seven series here tonight. The Lakers won game one in Memphis, 128-112, lost game two, 93-103 then came back to LA and easily won game three, 111-101. The final score might have been the closest the score was since LA jumped out to a 35-9 lead in the 1st quarter. Memphis shot just 37.6% from the field in game three. The Lakers hit a series low 25% from the 3-point arc despite the blow out win. The Grizzlies are now 4-9 ATS in their last 13 quarterfinal games and 2-6 ATS overall their last eight games. They have also covered just one of their last five road games. The Lakers are now 6-2 ATS the last eight times these teams have met. Grizzlie Ja Morant is back from his hand injury. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis both remain on the injury report, but probable for tonight's game four. I'm sticking with LA at home against a poor road Memphis club. Play Lakers. |
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04-23-23 | Cavs +2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers look to even their best of seven series with the Knicks here today. The Knicks lead the series 2 games to 1 after winning on Friday, 99-79. All three games have gone under the total and the Cavs have gone under in five straight games. The Cavs where held to just 38.8% from the field in their 79 points in game three. They also hit just 21.2% from the 3-point arc. The Cavs usually bounce back well after an ATS loss, evidenced by their 13-6-1 ATS record the last 20 times. Cavs have been the better team all season and I don't see them going down 1-3 in this series today. I'll take the few points but look for an outright Cavaliers win here on Sunday. Play Cleveland. |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
It's been an injury plagued NBA postseason thus far and none bigger than the Timberwolves guard Ja Morant who has been battling a hand injury. Morant missed game two but has returned to full practice, though he's considered questionable for game three here on Saturday. The Lakers didn't take advantage of his abscense in game two, never being in the game from the start to the 10-point loss, 93-103. The Lakers had been hot too, taking game one vs Memphis 128-112 and winning eight of their previous nine games before that loss in game two. Their two stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis both still show up on the injury report but both remain probable here tonight. The Grizzlies are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall road games. The Lakers have been rebounding nicely of late, evidenced by thei 7-2 ATS record their last nine following a straight-up loss. The Lakers have covered five of the last seven meetings in LA and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play the Lakers. |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have taken a 2-0 lead in their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves. Denver held home court by taking game one at home, 109-80 and then game two, 122-113, covering both games. Now the venue switches back to Minnesota. The T'Wolves have had a very good home season, going 36-7 S/U and 26-16-1 ATS on the season. They have also outscored opponents by a 119.2 to 109 margin. This is basically a must-win game for the Wolves. They can't go down 0-3 and look for a series win. However, a win here today and they are right back into the mix. Take Minnesota. |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 129-124 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
The Clippers return home after splitting the first two games at Phoenix. They took game one, 115-110, but lost game two, 109-123. Now they hold home court advantage as they return to LA. This will actually be the third game in a row between these teams as they met on the final day of the regular season and won at Phoenix, 119-114. LA has been out-shot in both playoff games, 47.6% to 44.1% in their win and 58.8% to 43.8% in their loss. The Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine times following a ATS loss. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. The Suns have been just average on the road this year, going 22-21 S/U and ATS and scoring 114.3 ppg while allowing 115.6 ppg. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Yet, here the Suns are a 2 to 2 1/5 point favorite at LA tonight. I'll take the points since I look for the Clippers to win game three. Play LA. |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
The LA Lakers look to be peaking at just the right time of the season. They took game one of this seven game series at Memphis on Sunday, 128-112 and now look to take a commanding 2-0 lead as they head back to LA. The Lakers have won four straight games and 11 of their last 13 games. Most of this due to the fact that for really the first time all season their stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, are both healthy. But they also got their best game out of a player they got mid season from the Wizards, Rui Hachimura, who had 29 points. Austin Reaves was also a standout for LA with 23 points. While both popped up on the injury report with foot issues, they are both probable for tonight. Can't say the same for the struggling Grizzlies. Their star guar Ja Morant, is questionable tonight with a hand injury. Morant missed the final six minutes of game one after the injury occurred. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row and four of their last six games. Also remember that their two best big players, Steven Adams and Brendan Clarke are out for the playoffs. Must win spot for the Grizzlies and with injury concerns. Plus they are facing a resurgent Lakers team! I'll take the Lakers here in game two. |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers got here by virtue of winning their Play-In game against the Timberwolves, 108-102. Despite trailing in each of the first three quarters, the Lakers rallied in the 4th to tie it up and send the game to OT where they came out ahead. The Lakers have really picked it up to end the season too, winning three straight and 10 of their last 12 games. They are 5-5-2 ATS during that span. The Grizzlies finished the season with a 51-31 record. They were 2-3 S/U and 1-4 down the final five games. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games with 3 or more days of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games. The Lakers are about the healthiest they have been all season. With Lebron James and Anthony Davis both not having any issues the Lakers will be at full force. I'll take the Lakers plus the points here in game one. Play LA Lakers. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams haven't played since last Sunday on the final day of the season. The Knicks finished with a pair of losses to Indiana and New Orleans. That snapped a 5-game win streak for the Knicks. One of those wins was on March 31 at Cleveland where the Knicks won 130-116. The Knicks have been very good on the road, going 36-15-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. The Cavs dropped their season final to Charlotte, 95-106. That snapped a 3-game Cavs winning streak. The Cavs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games with more than 3 days rest. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven quarterfinals games. The Knicks have done well vs the Cavs, going 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last seven at Cleveland. I like the points here on Saturday. Take the Knicks. |
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