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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 49 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
Under. NFL TOW. Games 457/458. 10:00 am pst. These two head coaches know each other well enough to create smart game plans. I look for this matchup to be a slow-paced game. The Patriots will run, run, run the ball, eating away clock. The Under is 13-6 in the Patriots last 19 vs. losers and 4-1 in the Texans last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Steelers -10 v. Jaguars | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. RA. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. A few angles here I urge you not to get caught by. First, don’t fall in to the trap of judging a team solely from their last outing. Sure, the Jaguars made a nice showing in last week’s 4-point loss and cover to the Packers. But, rookie quarterback, Jake Luton is in for the longest day of his football career here as lines up against the stout, 3rd ranked (19.0 PPG allowed) Steelers defense. Second angle, there’s also no need to put stock into the fact that Pittsburgh has Baltimore on deck on Thanksgiving Day, they are focused. The 4th ranked Steelers offense (30.1 PPG) is going to shred the Jags 31st ranked “D” (30.1 PPG allowed). The road team is 5-0-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS the last five vs, the AFC. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the AFC. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
Auburn. SEC GOM. Game 416. 4:00 pm pst
Both teams were on a streak prior to a small Covid-19 hiatus. Tennessee is on a four-game loss and no cover streak while Auburn won and covered their last two outings. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that those four Vols losses were all by double-digits (11, 21, 24, 23 points). Bo Nix has led the Tigers offense with confidence making zero miscues the last several outings. The quarterback can rely on running back, Tank Bigsby (114.2 yards per game the last four) to keep the UT defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Volunteers have had trouble scoring (20.7 PPG) against just about every opponent, especially when facing the tougher SEC foes. And the Tigers own a tough “D”. The last time these two teams met, Tennessee prevailed, 30-24 as a 14.5-point underdog. Auburn hasn’t forgotten that stinging loss and will exact their revenge here. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS the last six following a bye week, 10-3 ATS the last 13 as a home favorite, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +1.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
Nevada. GI. Game 388. 12:30 pm pst. Dillon Gabriel is putting up numbers not seen in Reno since Colin Kaepernick reined. Playing on their home field is a big edge for any MWC team. Not only that but SDSU is a one-dimensional offense and Nevada matches up very well on the stop side of the ball and will contain the Aztecs offense. The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS the last eight in conference play. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon -17 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
Oregon. 10 STAR WINNER Game 332. 7:30 pm pst. Chip Kelly returns to the stadium and the team he helped build. As the head coach of the Oregon Ducks, he racked up a 46-7 record, won the Pac-12 a few times, went to two Rose Bowls, a National Championship game, and a Fiesta Bowl. After a short stint in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers, he went back to the college football ranks to coach the UCLA Bruins. The team is just 1-1 this season and if you ask me, the offense relies a bit too much on their mediocre quarterback, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. He’s got some talent but makes a lot of mistakes. It seems that once again, the Bruins can not defend the run at all. Well sports fans, in comes the juggernaut which is the Oregon Ducks ground assault. Through just two outings already, Oregon ranks 6th in the nation in rushing, donning three 100+ yard ballcarriers. Quarterback, Tyler Shough is the next big name in the Pac-12. This kid is a stud, folks. Both in the air and on the ground, this dual-threat play-caller can do it all. He will be his own highlight reel in this matchup. UCLA will not have an answer for him. Oregon has taken the last eight meetings in this series SU, going 5-3 ATS. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five on the road. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS the last six following a SU win, 5-2 ATS the last seven in conference play, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. I figured this game to be around a three touchdown or more blowout guys. My advice is to start working your arms out now because come Saturday you are going to do so many pushups, you won’t be able to count your winnings. QUACK QUACK. Take the Ducks and win. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati -5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 77 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati. EIM. Game 343. 12:30 pm pst. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this week and certainly one of the most anticipated in the AAC this season. I have won with the Bearcats four or five times in this column in 2020 and I’m going to ride that train again here. Cincy ranks 7th nationally and must stay undefeated to have a chance at the CFP. Not only are they winning games, they are covering too, riding a four game ATS streak. Central Florida does score a bit more behind college football’s top-ranked passing units and also owns the top “O” in total yards. Their two losses happened in two shootouts with Tulsa and Memphis. They have yet to face a defense as ferocious and well-balanced as they will here. The Bearcats stop-unit allows a mere 12.4 PPG and has snagged 12 turnovers. The defense will contain the UCF offense. Expect Cincinnati havoc-wreaker, DE Myjai Sanders (five sacks) to get to UCF quarterback, Dillon Gabriel and force mistakes. The Knights are 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play and 1-6 ATS the last seven at home. Under a TD is a gift.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana. TD play. Game 357. 9:00 am pst. Giving a team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State, nearly three touchdowns astounds me. Yes, Ohio State is one of the most-well-balanced teams in the nation. But, they, knowing how good Indiana is playing, will come in here with a conservative game plan as not to make mistakes. The Hoosiers have momentum and are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings with the Buckeyes. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 52-44 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
CMU. WWW. Game 314. 4:00 pm pst. Jim McElwain and his Chippewas team are looking a bit sharper at this point in the season, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS L9 on the road and 4-17 ATS L21 following an ATS win. The Chippewas are 7-1 ATS L8 at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings -3 v. Bears | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Minnesota, after two consecutive victories, can put themselves back in the playoff race and pick up a full game on the NFC North 2nd place Chicago team here. Since Dalvin Cook has returned, the Minny offense is starting to roll. This team is 5-1 ATS L6 games overall. The Bears are riding a three-game SU losing streak in which they are averaging a mere, 16.6 PPG. They just don't have enough firepower to match the Vikings on the scoreboard here. Minnesota is 8-3 ATS L11in November, 5-2 ATS L7 vs. NFC North and 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -109 | 65 h 23 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. SNGOY. Game 273. 5:20 pm pst. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. For almost two decades, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots have dominated the NFL, making a lot of enemies along the way. Well guys, the Ravens, having never won in five franchise regular season contests in Foxborough, are certainly on that list of enemies. The Baltimore defense, which tops the NFL in scoring (they only allow 17.8 PPG) will completely shut down the lackluster New England offense. But the biggest mismatch you're going to see here is between the league’s No. 1 rushing unit of Baltimore (170.1 YPG) lining up against one of the softest run defenses in football of New England (they rank 25th vs. the rush). The Ravens are 4-1-1ATS L6 at the Patriots, 11-3 ATS L14 vs. the AFC, 7-2 ATS L9 on the road, 6-1 ATS L7 in November, and 13-6 ATS L19 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bengals v. Steelers -7 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. LVSM. Game 252. 1:25 pm pst. As of posting this game, reports are that Big Ben is most0liekly playing here. After last weeks come from behind win and no cover against the 2-7 Cowboys, the Steelers must come out here and shake off any rust and reaffirm themselves as an AFC elite team. They have a showdown with the Ravens in two weeks and the Bills in four, then to close out the regular-season, they face the Bengals, Colts, and Browns. Pittsburgh needs to get back in sync and boost their confidence. Defensively, they will shut down Cincy. You can expect a big letdown here following a win over Tennessee. They sat idle last week and it won’t benefit them here. The Bengals are 7-20-1 ATS L28 vs. the Steelers. The Steelers are 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 6-2 ATS L8 at home, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER LAC/MIA. TD. Games 277/278. 1:05 pm pst. The Chargers have been competitive in every outing this season. Seven points or less have decided every defeat in 2020. They can put up points on any defense in the NFL., averaging over 25.6 PPG. Tua Time has the Dolphins on the rise, as they are posting over 27.8 PPG. LA is on a five-game OVER streak and they can and will score on the Miami “D” here. The Chargers match up well in this one. The Dolphins will also light up the scoreboard on a “D” that’s getting burned for over 27.0 PPG. The OVER is 7-1 in LA’s L8 on the road and 5-2 in Miami’s L7 vs. teams with a losing record. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs -5.5 v. Panthers | 46-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Buccaneers. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. You can expect Bruce Arians, Tom Brady, and the rest of the Buccaneers to bounce back here from last week’s beatdown. Especially against a division rival. The Panthers are riding a four-game losing streak and it looks like their best offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey is sidelined again (check status). The struggling Carolina offense is in for a long day here facing an angry, 9th-ranked Tampa Bay “D” looking to redeem themselves. The road team is 9-4 ATS L13 meetings. The Buccaneers are 9-2-1 ATS L12 following a double-digit loss at home and 5-2 ATS L7 as a road fav. The Panthers are 4-9-1 ATS L14 vs. the NFC and 1-6-1 ATS L8 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Jaguars v. Packers -13.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Green Bay. BB. Game 258. 10:00 am pst. With Gardner Minshew II out, the situation with Jacksonville goes from bad to worse. Offensively, they weren’t too much of a threat to begin with. But having to try and contend with Aaron Rodgers and the explosive Green Bay offense is going to be impossible. The Jaguars rank 31st in scoring defense, yielding over 30.96 PPG. Well, in comes the Packers “O” that accounts for over 31.6 PPG. Green Bay, which is tied for the best record on the NFC, has to keep their foot on the gas in this one to hone their skills as they have Indianapolis and Chicago on deck. Of their six victories this season, five have come by double-digits. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. The Packers are 4-1 ATS L5 at home, 10-3 ATS L13 in Week 10, and 6-2 ATS L8 overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | SMU +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
Take SMU. AAC GOM. 4:00 pm pst. SMU’s sole defeat this season came against the AAC’s top team and the 7th ranked team in the nation, Cincinnati. Yet again this season, the Mustangs own an explosive offense posting over 40.5 PPG. There are NFL teams that would be envious of their backfield. Quarterback, Shane Buechele (2,581 yards passing, 66.8% completion rate, 20/3) and running back Ulysses Bentley IV (774 yards rushing, 10 touchdowns) are one of the most exciting and talented 1-2 punches in college football. That would be impressive enough for anyone to side with them here. But they are also joined by one of college football’s top receiving corps (13th). The quartet of Rice, Granson, Page, and Gray (126 receptions, 1,801 yards receiving, 14 touchdowns combined) will give the Tulsa secondary nightmares for years to come. The Golden Hurricane is no slouch. But in all reality, they just don’t have the firepower to keep pace offensively here. You can count on Tulsa’s mistake-prone quarterback, Zach Smith to continue his INT streak (he has tossed at least one pick in every game thus far). The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. SMU is 5-2 ATS the last seven at Tulsa and 5-2 ATS the last seven overall. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS the last four as a home fav and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall as a favorite. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -4 | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Tulane. TD. Game 204. 9:00 am pst. We have all heard the saying “Looks can be deceiving.”The Black Knights 6-1 record is impressive. But being impressive on paper and impressive on the field are two totally separate things. On paper, it’s all about statistics. On the field, it’s about who you have played. Let me shed some light on the subject, sports fans. They beat Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Monroe, Abilene Christian, The Citadel, Texas San Antonio, and Mercer. They weren’t an underdog in any of those matchups. As a matter of fact, the disparity in the opposition was so vast, they were a fav of 24-31 points in four of those outings. Army stepped up in class just once this season and got smoked by Cincinnati, 24-10. And guys, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the score made it look. Tulane has gotten bettors paid, covering five of the last six games coming in to this meeting. Not only that, but they have gone up against much stronger adversaries. Head coach, Willie Fritz has won and covered the last three meetings in this series. He has outcoached and outclassed the BK’s head coach, Jeff Monken. Defensively, once again, the Green Wave owns a tough stop-unit against the run. They rank 35th nationally, yielding only 128.0 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback, Michael Pratt and his tandem of 500-yards rushers, Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard here. As importantly, they have the ground game to control the pace, keep the Black Knights defense on the field, and their offense off of it. Army is 1-3-1 ATS the last five vs. the AAC, 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Tulane is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. INDEP, 17-5 ATS the last 22 at home, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a fav. Take the Green Wave. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Miami-Florida. GI. Game 155. 9:00 am pst. 9th-ranked Miami comes in here red-hot and brimming with confidence winning three straight and six of seven overall in 2020. Virginia Tech is banged-up and comes off a loss to Liberty as a 17-point favorite. Dual-threat quarterback, D’Eriq King (1,828 yards passing 16/4 in the air, 406 yards rushing two TD’s on the ground) will decimate the Hokies cardboard defense. On the flipside, V Tech is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying on the run. The ‘Canes have held some solid rushing attacks and will contain this one here. The Hokies are 6-13 ARS L19 as a favorite. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Wake Forest +13.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. EIM. Game 149. 9:00 am pst.
You’d be hard-pressed to find a team that is more Jekyll and Hyde than the Tar Heels. Consistency is important in both football and in sports betting. And, one thing for sure, the Demon Deacons have been a consistent moneymaker, covering five of six outings this season. Wake Forest has been competitive in every contest on the campaign, including an opening-season loss, which they covered to Clemson. Smart and savvy Wake quarterback, Sam Hartman (1,253 yards passing, 62% completion rate, 4/0) doesn’t make mistakes, nor does the rest of the offensive unit (one turnover through six games). As a matter of fact, the team is +14 in turnover margin. Not bad for a squad that puts up over 37.0 PPG. Giving a clever head coach like Dave Clawson two touchdowns is a mistake. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS the last 15 as a road ‘dog. The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS the lasts seven following an ATS win. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
CMU Game 155. 5:00 pm pst. CMU thrashed Ball State last year, 48-10 to give the team their sixth consecutive ATS cover over their conference rival. NIU starts five freshmen on defense. Chippewas head coach, Jim McElwain is one of the sharpest minds in college football today and will exploit the inexperienced stop-unit here. CMU is 19-6-2 ATS L27 as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS L6 overall as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 in conference play, and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
EMU. Game 117. 4:00 pm pst. Too many points to lay for a BSU team that can’t lay wood, especially at home where they are 6-15 ATS the L21 in the role as a home fav. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are a dismal, 12-25 ATS L27 overall when playing host. EMU is a very game team, covering four of the L5 coming in to this matchup and outside of last season’s six-point loss, they took the previous three meetings in this series both SU and ATS. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Cardinals and 23-7 ATS L30 as an underdog. Take EMU. Thank you. |
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