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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-14-22 | Navy +12.5 v. SMU | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. Consensus play. Game 113. 4:30 PM PT/7:30 PM ET. These two conference rivals come in to this matchup in very different situations. Navy started getting hot, winning two of their last three straight up and all three against the spread, while SMU has turned ice-cold, dropping three in a row straight up and their last four against the number. I know the Mustangs will be able to throw the ball against the lax, Midshipmen pass defense. However overall Navy still plays a very tough “D“. They allow just 21.0 points per game. On the flipside, look for Navy to control the clock and the tempo of this game with their powerful 12th ranked rushing attack. They are going to run amok against 106th ranked SMU run defense. As I mentioned in the beginning of this analysis, the Middies are starting to get hot. They took down the Pirates, played very competitive against the Falcons, and just shredded the Golden Hurricanes. Because they mostly run the ball, they will keep the SMU defense on the field and their all offense off of it. This is way too many points to give a Navy team that can win this game out right. The Midshipmen are 7-2 against the spread the last nine meetings in this series. Take Navy. Thank you. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 31 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. MNF GOM. Game 480. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | Eagles -5 v. Cardinals | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles. Bookie Buster. Game 473. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. There is only one undefeated team in the NFL. And that is the Philadelphia Eagles. You know you would think that after the first full month of regular season, a team going 4-0, that they were due for a letdown. But the Eagles are showing no signs of taking their foot off the gas. They have covered three straight games, Guys, this is a team which has seen their quarterback, Jalen Hurts mature significantly coming into this season. You may not realize this, but this offense ranks second in total yards per game, sixth in passing yards per game, fifth in rushing yards per game, and fourth in points scored. Not only do they have a very dangerous receiving corps, but the legs of Miles Sanders and quarterback, Hurts, have combine for over 561 yards rushing and seven TDs on the ground. On the flipside, their “D” has played outstanding football. They rank in the top-10 in every major category defensively. And they lead the NFL in turnovers, already grabbing 10 takeaways. That is just outstanding to me. On the other hand, Arizona has been very typical thus far. They lost to two teams that on paper, they are better than in Kansas City and Los Angeles. But did beat two teams on paper, once again they should’ve beaten in Las Vegas and Carolina. They are struggling offensively. While Kyler Murray, I’m not going to argue the fact he is a very good athlete, but he is just not getting the job done. Neither is his supporting cast. And defensively, this team ranks 28th and the league, getting plowed for over 25.8 points per game. I’ll look for them to get absolutely picked apart in the air by Hurts and his arsenal of receivers, Brown, Smith, and Goedert. I know Philadelphia has failed to cover the last five meetings in Arizona, but these are two very different teams this season. The Cardinals are one of the worst home teams in the league ATS, failing to cover seven straight at State Farm Stadium. Not only that but they are also 2-5 ATS the last seven versus the NFC, 1-4 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the 10 overall. Take the Eagles here too soar. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys +5.5 v. Rams | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Late Info Move. Game 475. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. My friends, we’ve all heard of Super Bowl hangovers. However, it seems that the Los Angeles Rams are taking back to another level. I know they are just 2-2 after a month into the regular season and a lot can happen between now and December. But they be quite honest this team is in serious trouble. They beat the teams that on paper they should’ve beat in Atlanta and Arizona. And they lost to the teams that on paper they should’ve lost to in Buffalo in San Francisco. But it is the 49ers game that really influences my angle on this matchup. First of all, they come off a short week having played on Monday night. And normally I don’t gauge a current game solely on a previous team’s performance from the week before. But it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Rams just can’t move the chains or put any points on the board folks. I mean they rank 28th in total yardage, 20th in passing yards, 30th and rushing yardage and 29th and points scored. They are not just struggling; they are out of sync offensively. There are some underlying deep issues here for sure. They’re averaging a dismal 17.5 points per game. Granted the Cowboys “O” is not lighting up any scoreboards. But when your defense is allowing just 15.5 points per game, you don’t really need to light up the scoreboard folks. There’s a lot of talk this week that we may see the return of Dak Prescott. But with the way that Cooper Rush has looked, if I was a Dallas coach, I would definitely keep Prescott on the sidelines until I know he was 100% healthy. The backup quarterback has committed zero mistakes. And in my opinion, that’s the most impressive stat about Rush. They’re going to keep the ball on the ground with a heavy dose of the rushing attack. This will allow the passing game to open up and Rush can pick his spots in the air, guys. This is going to be a very slow-moving contest. Dallas is going to keep the ball on the ground, controlling the clock and the tempo, keeping the LA defense on the field. And more importantly their offense off of it. Not only do I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread, I think Dallas has a good chance of winning it out right. This is a team that is 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus the NFC. Meanwhile Los Angeles is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the points to the bank with the Cowboys here folks. Say it with me…GO COOPER RUSH!!! Take Dallas folks. Thank you. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 44 h 38 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. MVP Game of the Month. Game 471. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Starting the season off going 1-3 both straight up with against the spread, shouldn’t be too much of a shock for Carolina fans. I mean if you recall, last year they finished the season rattling off seven consecutive losses both straight up and against the number. Bringing in Baker Mayfield was supposed to be the remedy for this team. However, Mayfield’s quarterback rating of 30th is downright laughable. The offenses average a mere 19.5 points per game, ranking 24th in rushing, 30th in passing, and dead-last in total yardage. They must now go up against a San Francisco defense that has yet to allow an opponent to put up 20-points. The 49ers stop-unit tops the league in both total yards and points allowed while raking second against both the pass and the run. I see serious mismatches between these two squads here. Carolina has already coughed-up the ball six times, while San Francisco has snagged five turnovers already. No matter who is at the helm for the Panthers, I doubt very much they are going to be able to move the chains at all against this defense. On the flipside, Jimmy Garoppolo certainly has looked more comfortable at the helm. This last Monday he led the team to a 24-9 win and cover over the Los Angeles Rams. Some key cogs in the 49ers offensive wheel are returning as the entire offense is looking more and more in sync. And unbeknownst to many, this unit has a top-10 rushing attack. Throw into the mix playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel, and things are starting to significantly improve for San Francisco. They will completely shut down the Carolina “lack of” offense, while Garoppolo, Samuel and George Kittle make their way down the field and into the end zone at will. The 49ers are 7-1 ATS the last eight versus the NFC, 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a losing record, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Under a touchdown is a gift here. Take San Francisco. |
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10-09-22 | Lions +3 v. Patriots | 0-29 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. No Limit Play. Game 469. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Believe it or not, the wrong team is favored in the Detroit Lions/New England Patriots game on Sunday. Obviously, this is new territory for Bill Belichick and the Pats. We haven’t seen them start a season 1-4 in as far back as I can remember. Not only are they not winning, they are crushing bettors. They just got their first cover of the 2022 campaign. To add insult to injury they’re running out of quarterbacks up in Foxborough guys. Mac Jones out. Brian Hoyer out. That leaves the offense in the hands of Bailey Zappe. Who? Bailey Zappe. I mean in all sincerity, even with Jones and then Hoyer, they were struggling. They’re putting an atrocious 18.5 points per game on the board. And they’ve already committed nine turnovers. I know, I know, I know the Lions defense is absolutely horrible. But that’s old news. Nothing new there. But what is a new headline, is the fact that they possess the top-scoring offense in the NFL right now. That’s right, the Detroit Lions are accounting a whopping 35-points per game. They rank number one in total yardage, number five in passing yards, and number six in rushing yards. Jared Goff has a better receiving corps here that he has ever had in his tenure in the NFL. Not only that but he has the luxury of a very potent ground game to keep defenses honest. And it will be that ground game that will keep the Patriots defense backpedaling, allowing Goff to open up the very passing attack. Once again, yes, I know the Detroit defense is absolutely horrible. But I just don’t see the New England offense keeping pace with them score-for-score. And how about the fact that they’re 9-2 against the spread the last 11 in the underdog role. As a matter fact they’re ATS trends are some of the best in football; 13-3 the last 16 following and ATS loss, 6-2 the last eight on the road, 7-2 the last nine following a straight up loss, and 4-1 five overall. Personally, I think they win this game out right. But I will take the points just the err on the side of caution. I’m going to say something I haven’t said in years. Take the Lions folks. They are winner this Sunday. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-08-22 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -23.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 386. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Let’s talk about Texas A&M going to Bryant-Denny Stadium to face Alabama. Obviously, the big news this entire week is if the Crimson Tide quarterback, Bryce Young will play. Well reports over the last day or so are that he has practiced and he has looked pretty strong. Officially we’re not going to know as of posting this release. If he plays great. If he doesn’t, remember one thing. The Crimson Tide is stacked at key positions higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast café. Jalen Milroe is a very good quarterback. He’s the back up for the number one team in the nation. He was a great high school football star. The only difference is, he has a little less experience at this level. That’s all. Don’t overthink it. Just between us guys, I’m 53 years old, and although I was an all-state quarterback in high school only 5’6’, I could step in and lead Alabama to a victory here. Over the last several weeks we have seen Georgia leapfrog Alabama in the rankings when they had a better performance on a gameday. Then last week the Crimson Tide had a stronger performance than the Bulldogs and reclaimed the number one spot. Having said that, Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban does not want to relinquish the top-spot in the polls. He knows that he’s coming up against some good conference opponents, and he needs to keep his foot on the gas. Offensively, Alabama although has a very strong passing game, strongly depends on their rushing attack. They currently rank seventh in the nation averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground. Not only that, but they don’t make mistakes offensively. They don’t turn the ball over. They’ve had one turnover so far this season. And believe me, if Young does not play, the game plan will be run the ball, and pass off the run. And most importantly tuck the ball or throw it out if you don’t have a play. As we all know Texas A&M was a preseason darkhorse to make the College Football Playoff. After five games they sit at a disappointing 3-2 with a lackluster offense that is accounting for just 21.8 points per game. They rank about 100th or worse in just about every major offensive category. And they have to line up against one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the nation. The Tide only allow 11-points per game and rank in the top-10 and every major defensive category. Trust me when I tell you it will be a long, long day for the Aggie‘s. Texas A&M comes off a 42-24 spanking at the hands of Mississippi State a week ago. A game in which they were supposed to be a lot more competitive folks. Now they step up in class again even higher. We all know how much Nick Saban likes beating ex-assistant coaches. And Jimbo Fisher is no different. Don’t overthink this contest guys. Texas A&M doesn’t belong on the same field as Alabama. The Crimson Tide need to keep their foot on the gas to retain their number one ranking. And one more factor that prompts me to side with ‘Bama here. The Aggies bested the Tide last year at home. Saban and his boys did not forget that. They will open up a big can of whoop ass here. Texas A&M is just 1-5 ATS the last six on the road. Alabama is 17-5 against the number the last 22 at home. Don’t be afraid to lay the wood here. Roll Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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10-08-22 | Florida State v. NC State -155 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
NC State. Consensus Play. Game 336. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. My friends, both Florida State and NC State come off their first loss of the season. And if they weren’t playing one another here I would look for them to come back in “bounce-back” mode. Both offenses are pretty damn good. I would definitely say without a doubt, the Seminoles possess some bigger playmakers on their offensive unit. But it’s so hard to buck the Wolfpacks ferocious defense. They are equally tough against the pass and the run. And let’s face it, they wreak a lot of havoc against quarterbacks and create turnovers. They’ve already grabbed seven turnovers thus far in 2022. My own personal number on this game is closer to 5.5 or even 6.0. Florida State is 1-9-1 ATS the last 11 meetings at NC State. This team certainly has some issues covering the number on the road. For that reason, we are playing the home team here which is 12-4 ATS the last16 at Carter-Finley Stadium. But to err on the side of caution I would buy it down to -3. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | 14-30 | Loss | -120 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars. Touchdown Play. Game 365. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. USC certainly deserves all their praise, starting the campaign off 5-0. However, their high-flying offense does not match up well with the Washington State defense. The Cougars rank among the nations leaders in sacks (18) and tackles for a loss (45). Washington State comes in here sporting a 4-1 straight up mark, covering their last four consecutive outings. This includes a big outright win at Wisconsin, thumping Colorado State at home, a very tight heartbreaking three-point loss once again at home against Oregon, and the last weeks very impressive 28-9 win and cover playing host against Cal. This team certainly has momentum and the confidence to stand up to the Trojans. By the way, USC has failed cover their last two games as PAC 12 opponents have given them a little bit of a headache the last few weeks. The very smart Cougars coaching staff have watched the game films the last few weeks and will in fact exploit the Trojans weaknesses. Washington State is 4-0 ATS the last four versus conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the last seven on the road, and 20-6 ATS the last 26 in the month of October. The Trojans are 1-7 ATS the last eight versus Pac 12 opponents, 2-5 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four in the month of October. This is way too many points to give a very game, very scrappy Cougars team. Take Washington state. Thank you. |
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10-08-22 | Air Force -10.5 v. Utah State | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
Air Force. Crusher Play. Game 361. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Utah State is absolutely point spread poison. They are just 1-4 against the spread in 2022. And following four lackluster performances, they came up big a little over a week ago covering a 25.5-point spread, losing straight up by 12-points at BYU. They are in a huge “let down” mode here as they are facing an Air Force team that has won eight of their last nine overall straight up going back to last November. And seven of those last nine against the spread. The number one ranked rushing offense in the nation will absolutely steamroll the Aggie‘s 108th ranked run defense. Not only will the Falcons control the tempo and the clock, but they will keep the Aggies offense on the sidelines most of the game. When Utah State does have the ball, they will have to line up against the 16th ranked scoring defense in the nation. Air Force has taken five of the last seven in this series both straight up and against the spread and are 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road and 4-1 ATS the last five versus conference opponents. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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10-07-22 | Colorado State v. Nevada -3.5 | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 30 m | Show | |
Nevada Wolfpack MWC MONEY MAKER. Game 308. 7:00 pm PT/10:00 pm ET. My friends, there is no arguing the fact that both the Rams and the Wolfpack are in for a very long regular season. Currently Colorado state is 0-4 both straight up and against the spread, while Nevada is 2-3, also both straight up and against the spread. The Rams are losing by an average of 30+ points per game. I’m not going to sit sit here and tell you that playing teams like Michigan and Washington State that we were surprised by those lopsided defeats. But they were a favorite against Middle Tennessee State and got shellacked, as well as being a small underdog and getting decimated by Sacramento State. This team has no offense whatsoever. They average less than 11-points per game. As a matter fact, they rank at or near the worst in the nation and most offensive categories. To add insult to injury, they have coughed up the ball five times already. Now the Nevada defense has given us some points. And after a strong start with decisive victories over New Mexico State and Texas State, winning and covering both, they have now lost and failed to cover three in a row. I expected them to lose to Iowa and Air Force. But losing to Incarnate Word was a shocker to me (LOL). But one thing this team can do is create turnovers. They’ve already snagged seven turnovers on defense. Offensively they leave a lot to be desired. But when you’re facing a stop-unit that allows over 41 points per game, and you’ve only turned the ball over twice so far, I expect the Wolfpack to generate some points here. They’ve got a decent quarterback at the helm in Nate Cox. But I really do look for them to run the ball with an enormous success behind the legs off Toa Taua, Devonte Lee, and even the dual-threat quarterback, Cox. The Rams are 0-4 ATS the last four meetings in this series 0-6 ATS the last six against conference opponents, 0-5 ATS the last five on the road, and 1-10 ATS the last 11 overall. Let’s take the Wolfpack here folks. Thank you. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show | |
Under in the Colts/Broncos matchup. AFC Total of the Month. Games 301/302. 5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET. My friends, it’s no secret that both Indianapolis and Denver are struggling. Both teams had high expectations coming into the regular season. And yet they are combined 3-4-1 straight up thus far. Both offensive units rank amongst the worst in the league as the Colts average just 14.3 points per game and the Broncos average only 16.5 points per game. Neither unit has had any success on the ground. And let’s face it overall, they are both experiencing a nightmare the first quarter of this campaign. To add insult to injury, both offenses have coughed the ball up a combined 13 times already. It’s no secret that Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor is banged-up. As of posting this play, he is listed as questionable. It’s also no secret that Denver’s leading ball-carrier, Javonte Williams is out. But both defenses have played pretty well. Indy ranks 14th in the NFL allowing just 21.3 points per game while the Broncos rank sixth, yielding a mere 17.0 points per game. One more thing they both have in common folks, is the fact that they have combined to play seven unders in their eight total contests in 2022. As a matter of fact, going back a bit, Indianapolis has played to nine consecutive unders. And the Broncos have played to 11 unders over their last 15 outings. Here’s a few more under trends that confirm why we are going under the total here; Indianapolis has played under in five straight on the road and eighth straight against the AFC, while Denver has played to six unders over the last eight in Mile High and nine of the last 12 overall played on grass. This game goes under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-03-22 | Rams +2.5 v. 49ers | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams. MNF winner. Game 279. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. All week long all I keep hearing about is how strong the San Francisco 49ers defense is. And granted, so far this season they are looking good, only allowing 12.3 points per game. However, folks, who have they played? They’ve gone up against the Chicago Bears, the Seattle Seahawks, and the Denver Broncos. Not one of those offenses is a powerhouse, let alone a mediocre squad. As a matter fact, all three of those units are struggling badly. So once again who have they faced? They must now go up against a Los Angeles Rams team that after a season opening embarrassing loss to the Buffalo Bills, rattled off two consecutive straight up wins against the Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers have also had problems putting points on the board themselves. Outside of putting up 27-points against the Seahawks, they put up 10-points against the Bears and 10-points against the Broncos. These are two defensive squads that have gotten smoked against good solid well-balanced offenses so far this campaign. Now, San Francisco has covered five straight in the series. But, they were an underdog in all five of those meetings. Now the Rams come in here as the underdog. And guess what folks? The ‘dog has covered seven consecutive matchups in this rivalry. The Rams are money on Monday Night, covering four of the last five. And are very good against the NFC sporting a 31-15-1 against the spread mark the last 47 against the conference. I think the wrong team is favored here. Los Angeles should be a field goal favorite for sure. And that is why we’re taking them tonight. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos. Late Info Move. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A lot of people out there in both the sports and the sports betting worlds feel that Las Vegas is due for a win. Well folks the “due for” factor only applies when you actually have some talent and some motivation. This team has neither. I know this team. I live here in southern Nevada. And I’ve watched several of their preseason games and I was in the stands for the debacle a few weeks ago when Arizona beat them in overtime. This team is not very talented. While there is some talent on the team, they have no organization. Their quarterback makes very bad decisions. And their coaches play calling is among the worst in the league right now. This is a team that has lost and failed to cover their last four games going back to last season. With a win here Denver can take hold of first place in the AFC West at least for a few hours. Because Kansas City, who is also tied with them at 2-1 in the division, has a very tough late-Sunday evening matchup against Tampa Bay. That game can go either way folks. So, the Broncos really have a chance of taking sole possession of first place in a very competitive division. Let’s face it, Denver played very competitively in their season opener in Seattle. Then came back to win the following two games against Houston and San Francisco at home. So far, this team has shown very little offensively. I’m not going to argue that fact. But when you’re playing a team that gives up nearly 26 points per game, your offense will to come to life. Trust me folks when I tell you that. One thing about this Broncos offense, they rarely turn the ball over. They have just three turnovers so far this season. But it will be their defense that will give them a win here this week. They have only allowed 12 points per game behind a very stingy stop-unit equally tough against the pass and the rush. The Raiders cannot run the ball at all. They own one of the worst rushing teams in the league, ranking 28th and averaging a dismal 80 yards per game on the ground. Any of their success comes in the air. And they must face the third ranked pass defense in football this week. The Broncos “D” will get to Carr and force mistakes from the shaky quarterback. The underdog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in the series. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 versus the AFC, 2-7 ATS the last nine on grass, and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Bills -3 v. Ravens | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. Touchdown Play. Game 257. 10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est. Sports fans, the Bills come off their first loss of the season as both their offense and defense looked out of sorts against the Dolphins last Sunday. It was the first time they looked to be outplayed in quite a while. They are now 2-1 and sit in second place in the division behind Miami. Well, Buffalo has to get back on track right now and make a statement. Not just a division, but to the rest of the AFC. And what better opponent to do that than Baltimore. News is that Lamar Jackson, through the first several games of the season is without a doubt the clear MVP. But who has he faced? The Jets, a loss to the Dolphins, and a banged-up Patriots squad. The last time these two teams faced one another, the Bills absolutely shut down Lamar Jackson, getting the win and cover 17-3 in January of 2021. I don’t think that will be a problem once again here as Buffalo owns one of the nastiest and most ferocious defenses in the NFL. They rank number one in total yards allowed, number two in passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, number four in points scored, and already have snagged six takeaways. The Ravens have yet to face a defense like this. Especially getting this team off a loss, they’re going to come in here angry and motivated. On the flipside, Josh Allen who, let’s face it had a very subpar game last week, will be able to pass at will against the Ravens 32nd ranked pass defense. One thing for sure, Baltimore gives up a lot of points. This doesn’t bode well when you’re going up against the third ranked scoring offense in the NFL that averages over 30.3 points per game. Josh Allen will bounce back here and have one of his best games so far the season. And Buffalo will come out and make a statement that they are back on track. The Bills are 7-1-1 ATS the last nine following an ATS loss, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 on field turf, and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Vikings -3 v. Saints | Top | 28-25 | Push | 0 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. No Limit Play. Game 251. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | West Virginia +9.5 v. Texas | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
West Virginia. Touchdown Play. Game 187. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. My friends, the oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But we’re not going to fall for it, are we? There is no way Texas should be nearly a double-digit favorite over West Virginia. The Mountaineers have covered five of the last seven meetings with the Longhorns, including the last two matchups. These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. West Virginia has won and covered their last two including a big win at Virginia Tech in which they dominated the Hokies, 33-10. Meanwhile, Texas had somewhat of a tough time against UTSA two weeks ago then lost an overtime heartbreaker at Texas Tech last week. West Virginia can certainly keep pace offensively with Texas. There’s no doubt about that. The fact that they have a well-balanced offense consisting of the 20th ranked rushing attack in the nation along with the 48th right passing attack, tells me they can and will control the tempo and the clock in this matchup. On the flipside, they own a very stingy defense. And they match up well with the Texas offense. Neither team can really afford another conference loss. But I believe the Longhorns are going to start to spiral as they dropped out of the top-25 this week. This is a team that certainly knows how to slump. Just last season, after starting their campaign 4-1, they then dropped six consecutive meetings both straight up and against the spread. I think another slump is on the horizon for Texas. The Longhorns are 1-7 ATS the last eight against conference opponents, 2-5 ATS the last seven following a straight up loss, and 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 in October. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | NC State +7 v. Clemson | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
NC State Wolfpack. Late Bail Out. Game 127. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. After they opened their campaign thumping Georgia Tech 41-10, Clemson supporters thought they would have an easy run to the ACC title. While this team is 4-0 straight up, they have failed to cover their last three in a row. And let’s face it when you’re playing teams like Furman, Louisiana Tech, for sure and maybe even Wake Forest, you should be covering. Something interesting I have uncovered about the Tigers. Each week they have allowed more points than the previous week. They started the season allowing 10, then 12, then 20, and then 45 points. Teams are exploiting their weaknesses. And one team that can certainly exploit their weakness, is the Wolfpack. Devon Leary is a monster quarterback. He also has the luxury of having a backfield of talented and capable ball-carriers. They can run the ball, control the clock, and keep the Clemson defense on the field. On the flipside, they own one of the nastiest and stingiest stop-units in the nation. They rank 10th in points allowed, ninth against the rush, 25th against the pass, 13th in total yards allowed, and have already snagged seven takeaways. Clemson does have a good defense. But they’re not the same team they once were. As I mentioned earlier, they’re allowing more and more points every opponent they face. While they are good against the rush, they are absolutely deplorable against the pass. They’re yielding over 267 yards per game in the air alone, which ranks them 104th versus the pass. Leary is going to exploit and dissect them in the air. NC State took last year’s meeting in overtime, 27-21. They’re also 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings at Clemson. Here’s a few more against the trends for you. The Wolfpack are 11-5 ATS the last 16 versus conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record, and 6-0 ATS the last six following an ATS loss. The Tigers are 4-9 ATS the last 13 following a straight up win, 1-5 ATS the last six in October, and 2-8 ATS the last 10 at home. Take NC State. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Florida State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
Wake Forest. Consensus Game of the Month. Game 123. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Don’t put too much stock to the fact that the Seminoles are undefeated and ranked. They played two deplorable opponents. And they also beat two teams that they should’ve beat in LSU in Louisville. Let’s face it, neither the Tigers nor the Cardinals are the teams that people thought they would be this season. On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off their first defeat of the season. Not only was it a loss, but it was an overtime heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Can you say “bounce back?” Granted, their previous opponents were less than stellar. I’m not going to argue that fact. I look for Sam Hartman to light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed 962 yards passing, on a 64% completion rate, with 13 TD’s and just two INT‘s. He has a backfield of two solid ball-carriers in Justice Ellison and Christian Turner. They have rushed for a combined 361 yards on the ground with three TD’s. This well-balanced offense will keep the Florida State defense on the field. The Demon Deacons have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series. The Seminoles are 11-23-3 ATS the last 37 versus teams with a winning record. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | Purdue v. Minnesota -11 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 146. 9 AM PST/12 PM EST. Minnesota has grinded opponents down to the tune of a 4-0 record. This team certainly has an outside chance at winning the conference. They have manhandled every opponent thus far, including their last, a big 34-7 win at Michigan State. They now face a Purdue team that they have had their way with, taking four consecutive meetings both straight up and against the spread. I know that laying double-digits or more is a lot between conference opponents. But, look for Mohamed Ibrahim to pad his stats even more. The running back already has over 567 yards rushing with eight TDs. By the way he’s averaging over 6.4 yards per carry. He offers quarterback Tanner Morgan a big luxury that most teams do not have. This team is the second ranked rushing team in the nation. His legs allow Morgan to open up the passing game. And that’s exactly what they are going to do here. Purdue gives up quite a few points. They’re equally porous against rush and the pass. On the flipside, the Boilermakers are very good at passing the ball. However, the Golden Gophers also ranked second in the country in points allowed, yielding a mere 6.0 points per game. They rank second against the pass and third against the rush. They’re going to completely shut down the Purdue offense. And when they do Ibrahim’s legs will control the tempo and the clock and keep the Boilermakers defense on the field. The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS the last five games at home, 19-7-1 ATS the last27 versus conference opponents, and 24-9-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky. SEC Game of the Month. Game 175. 9 AM PST/12 PM EST. My friends, if the line in this game was totally accurate, Mississippi should only be a one or a two-point favorite at most. Throw into the mix that Kentucky will see the return of running back, Chris Rodriguez and they become a small favorite here. That’s right, their best ball-carrier in years will come back after serving a four-game suspension. If you recall a year ago, between the regular and postseasons, the RB accumulated over 1300 yards and 10 TD’s on the ground. And now that the Wildcats have a running game to go with their stellar passing-attack, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. I understand the Rebels have a good defense. But they haven’t faced anybody yet. So far, their opponents have been Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, and Tulsa. Not one of those were they not a double-digit favorite. They are in for a rude awakening here stepping up in class big time. On the flipside, Kentucky does have a solid defense. Let’s face it, they kept quite a few offenses in check this season and going back a bit, since last season. I doubt Mississippi will have any luck in the air against the 15th ranked pass defense in the country. The Rebel strength offensively comes through running the ball. And that doesn’t bode well here as the Wildcats only allow 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The wrong team is favored here my friends, trust me. Kentucky is 23-7-2 ATS the last 32 versus teams with a winning record, 7-3-1 ATS The last 11 versus conference opponents, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-30-22 | Tulane +2.5 v. Houston | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Tulane Green Wave. Friday Night Lights Play. Game 105. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Houston is enduring a very disappointing season so far. Not only are they just 2-2 straight up, anyone that follows them in the Sportsbook is getting crushed as they are 1-3 against the spread. On the other hand, Tulane is playing quite well. There are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread so far. And I like the fact that they come off their first loss of the season. They will be in “bounce back” mode here. The Green Wave can certainly keep pace offensively with the Cougars here. They are actually averaging more points per game than their opponent. It is their defense that will be the major difference here. Granted they haven’t played some of the toughest offensive powerhouses yet. But defensively they are playing spectacular. I doubt Houston will be able to move the ball in the air in this matchup. And they’ve had a lot of problems establishing the rush this season. They have their main offenders playing at all key positions and yet they still had trouble against inferior defenses. Well, they’re playing a defense here that is not inferior in any way, shape, or form tonight. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 2-6 ATS the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. The Green Wave are 4-1ATS the last five versus conference opponents, 14-6 ATS the last 20 following a straight up loss, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Tulane. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Packers +1 v. Bucs | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 18 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Touchdown Play. Game 481. 1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est. Both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are two of the best teams in the NFC. The Packers redeemed themselves from a season-opening loss in Minnesota to come back last week and devour Chicago at home. Tampa Bay has won and covered both of their outings this season, both on the road in Dallas and in New Orleans. It’s no secret the Buccaneers offense is sputtering. I know how good their defense is but their offense is sputtering. Now they are stepping up in class and facing the best “D” they have had to face so far this season. That’s right, the Green Bay Packers own a very good defense. Tom Brady is going to run into some issues trying to get the passing game going as his receiving core is severely depleted. To make matters worse, he hast to face the fourth ranked pass defense in the NFL. Now I know how good the Buccaneers defense is. They currently ranked first, yielding just 6.5 points per game. However, the Packers are running the ball with enormous success. They will be able to control the tempo and the clock here, keeping the Bucs defense on the field and tired and come the second half. I feel Tampa Bay is due for a huge let down folks. As I mentioned earlier this is the first big test of the season and Green Bay knows they can’t afford another loss like they did two weeks ago. The Packers are 10-4 ATS the last 14 versus the NFC, 20-8 ATS the last 28 on grass, 12-5 ATS the last 17 following a straight up win, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 versus winners. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Falcons +1 v. Seahawks | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 11 m | Show | |
Atlanta Falcons. Late Info Move. Game 483. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. One of the worst mistakes to make in sports betting is the judge a current weeks games from the last few weeks outcomes. Having said that, I feel the Atlanta Falcons should not be an underdog in this game with the Seattle Seahawks. At the very least, this game should be pick ‘em or even the Falcons minus one. I understand that Atlanta is 0-2 straight up. But we don’t get paid here with wins. We get paid with covers. They are perfect 2-0 against the spread the season. They kept very close games with two very good teams; the New Orleans saints and the Los Angeles Rams. Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks, which own one of the worst offenses in the NFL, are favored here. Let’s face it, Seattle’s offense ranks 31st in total yards, 28th in passing yards, 32nd in rushing yards, and 29th in points scored. Not only that, but they’ve turned the ball over four times already. The Atlanta Falcons defensive statistics are not the most impressive. But they have improved quite a bit this season. On the flipside, the Falcons offensive passing game has struggled to say the least. But reports are that Marcus Mariota is going to get Kyle Pitts more involved this week. If that happens great. If it doesn’t, they can still rely on one of the most proficient running games we have seen so far this pro football season. They rank seventh in rushing, averaging over 145 yards per game on the ground. You are going to see a heavy dose of Cordarrelle Patterson here. He is running for over 5 yards per carry. And trust me when I tell you he is a workhorse. He he’s going to keep the lackluster 25th ranked rush defense of the Seahawks on their toes and honest. Thus, allowing Mariota to open up the passing game. Remember the Falcons are still scoring points, accounting for over 26.5 PPG already. And I do think Mariota will have success in the air in this matchup especially without safety Jamal Adams in the secondary for the ‘Hawks. Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread the last five meetings with Seattle. And they are money on the road covering seven of the last nine away from home. By the way just in case you’re keeping score, Seattle is a 6-13 against the spread the last 19 versus NFC opponents. I Like the Falcons outright here. But I will take the points. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Rams -3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 4 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. NFL Game of the Month. Game 485. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Raiders v. Titans +2.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 57 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. No Limit Play. Game474. 10:00 am pst.1:00 pm est. My friends I live here in Las Vegas. I watch the Las Vegas Raiders practice. And I was at the game last week when they blew the lead and lost in overtime to the Arizona Cardinals. In the second quarter of that game, while they were still up 20-0, I leaned over to my buddies and I said they’re gonna’ lose this game. My friends, this is not Fresno State. Quarterback Derek Carr, while he has talent, he is not a winner. He makes very bad decisions and does not react well to defenses. Not only that but the Raiders play-calling so far the first several weeks of the season has been absolutely atrocious. To be quite honest with you, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Tennessee Titans at least a two-point favorite on my power ratings. The Titans strength, without question comes from the legs of running back Derrick Henry. And they have certainly had trouble establishing the run so far thus resulting in their winless record, both straight up and against the spread sports fans. But coming off that embarrassing 41-7 loss in Buffalo last week is going to prompt this team to get back on track. That defeat will light a fire under their butts and will be the reason why they start winning again. This team has a lot of talent guys. And let’s face it, the Raiders defense is absolutely horrible. I know the Titans stop-unit’s numbers are just as bad. But that is a direct result of the fact that their offense isn’t running the ball with success and they are experiencing a lot of three and outs. That will all change here in this matchup. Like I said I know the Raiders team. And mentally they will not recuperate so fast from last week’s overtime loss. By the way, they are point spread poison. Here’s a few against the spread stats for you; Las Vegas is 1-7 the last eight versus teams with losing record, 1-5 the last six following a straight up loss, 1-4 the last five on the road, and 4-9 the last 13 overall. Tennessee will win this game out right. Look for Derrick Henry to run wild. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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09-24-22 | Arkansas +2 v. Texas A&M | 21-23 | Push | 0 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Arkansas Razorbacks. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of The Month. Game 403. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Let’s go to a big SEC matchup on Saturday with the Arkansas Razorbacks traveling to AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas A&M Aggies. One of the most pleasant surprises so far this college football campaign has been the Razorbacks. They started the season by getting a win and cover over Cincinnati at home. Then the following week did the same at home against South Carolina. They did take their foot off the gas a little bit last week to get a win and no cover against Missouri State. Don’t read too much into that, folks. They were in look ahead mode, had a lead through the third quarter, took their foot off the gas, and took out some of their starters. On the other hand, many people thought that Texas A&M would be a dark horse for the College Football Playoff this season. To say this team was overrated would be an understatement. They are having trouble moving the ball, lacking both an air attack and ground assault. While the Razorbacks defense has allowed a lot of points, I just don’t see the Aggies offense scoring too much here. I know, I know, I know Texas A&M has a good defense. They own the 10th ranked pass “D” in the country. But this game is not about the Arkansas passing game. It is about their potent and explosive rushing attack. This is a team running for nearly 250 yards per game. And they will absolutely steamroll the 82nd ranked Texas A&M run defense. Having that potent rushing attack will allow the Razorbacks to control the clock and the tempo in this matchup. They will keep the Aggies defense on the field and by the second half backpedaling and gasping for air. The Razorbacks have covered four straight in this series, are 8-1 against the spread the last nine in the month of September, and 5-1-1 against the spread the last seven overall. They are money and they are going to win this game out right. But I will take the pints anyway. Take the Razorbacks. Thank you. |
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09-24-22 | Texas -7 v. Texas Tech | 34-37 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. Touchdown Play. Game 399. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Right now, it looks like to back up quarterbacks will take the helm in this matchup. For Texas, Hudson Card will be calling the plays. And Texas Tech will have Donovan Smith under center. Granted Smith has taken a few more snaps in his tenure than his counterpart. However, he does not have the luxury of a solid running attack. Bijan Robinson is a monster running back, guys. Last year, in 10 games he tallied over 1,127 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns. He’s also pretty darn good out of the backfield, adding another 26 receptions and four TD’s. This season he is off to an amazing start, accruing 311 yards on the ground with five scores, averaging over 6.1 yards per carry. By the way, he has also added seven receptions for 132 yards and another touchdown. The Red Raiders were pushed around last week by the Wolfpack. As a matter fact, they were downright manhandled. The Longhorns will exploit their weaknesses here. Not only did they lose 27-14, but it was their second consecutive game without covering the spread. On the other hand, the Longhorns are riding a four-game ATS win streak. Please remember that this team lost a squeaker, 20-19 to Alabama just a few weeks ago. A lot of teams would have folded after that. But they came back to crush UTSA last week. They have won the last four meetings in this series straight up, going 3-1 against the spread. This includes a 70-35 drubbing a season ago. They have covered five of the last six meetings at Texas Tech and nine of the last 12 overall meetings guys. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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09-24-22 | Maryland v. Michigan -17 | 27-34 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. High Roller Play. Game 328. 9 AM PST/12 PM EST. We are going to go to the Big Ten as two 3-0 teams will meet. Maryland demolished Buffalo, Charlotte, and SMU, while Michigan steamrolled Colorado State, Hawaii, and Connecticut. To say that this matchup would be a step up in class for both teams, would be an understatement. However, it is significantly more of a step up in class for the Terrapins. The Wolverines have dominated this series, winning and covering six consecutive meetings, with the average margin of victory coming by 33.6 points per game. Maryland quarterback Tualia Tagovailoa is going to be in for a long day trying to have any success in the air against the very stingy Michigan secondary. Not only because the Michigan defensive backfield is loaded with playmakers. But also, because Maryland does not have the luxury of a strong well-balanced office. Even if they did have a good ground game, the Wolverines front-seven is ferocious. On the flipside, Michigan does have a well-balanced offense. Quarterback JJ McCarthy is going to dissect the very young and inexperienced Maryland secondary. He does have the luxury of having an awesome rushing attack. The Wolverines are loaded with talented ball-carriers. Blake Corum and CJ Stokes will get the bulk of the workload on the ground. The tandem have already tallied 349 yards rushing and eight TDs. If you recall a year ago, the Terrapins started the season off 4-0. Then their conference schedule began and they finished the regular-season campaign going 2-6 straight up and 1-7 against the spread. The Wolverines must come out here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten that they are a true force to be reckoned with. And they will give the Buckeyes some serious competition. Maryland is 6-14 ATS the last 20 on the road, 17-36 ATS the last 53 versus conference opponents, and 17-37 ATS the last 54 versus teams with a winning record. Michigan is 8-3 ATS the last 11 home, 5-0 ATS the last five versus conference opponents, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. The Wolverines will make a statement not just to the Big Ten, but to the rest of the top-25. Lay the points with the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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09-24-22 | Clemson -7 v. Wake Forest | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. Consensus Play. Game 339. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST Say what you want about DJ Uigaleile, but the Clemson Tigers are 3-0. They opened up the campaign with a conference win and cover at Georgia Tech. Then at home, they beat both Furman and Louisiana Tech straight up but didn’t cover either outing. This may worry many people out there who are looking to bet Clemson. However, it doesn’t worry me. That tells me that the Tigers took their foot off the gas the last few weeks. But are looking to make a statement in their conference. No, the quarterback is not very exciting or explosive. But with this team you don’t have to be a big play quarterback at all. They can move the chains on the ground and pass off the run with 5-yard dinks and dunks over the middle. DJ knows that Cade Klubnik is right over his shoulder if he can’t get the job done. This is further motivating the more experienced play-caller. We’re hearing a lot about the Wake Forest passing attack. Yes, they’re averaging over 300 yards per game in the air. But who the heck are they played? VMI, Vanderbilt, and Liberty are not formidable foes. None of those teams measure up defensively like the “D” they are facing this weekend. Once again, this season the Tigers stop-unit is outstanding. The news this week is that they give up yardage in the air and that this is not a good match up for them with the Demon Deacons. Well, they shut down the Yellow Jackets in the season opener 41-10. I expect their defense to frustrate and smother the Wake Forest offense here big-time. Understand that this is a conference game and the Tigers want everyone in their conference to know that they own the ACC. Clemson has taken the last 10 meetings in this rivalry straight up covering three of the last four. Now I could tell you that the average margin of victory was huge in each one of those wins. Let me just use last years meeting as an example. The Tigers had their way with the Demon Deacons winning 48-27. Their “D” is better this season. Clemson is 4-0 ATS the last four conference games, 4-0 ATS the last four road games, and 12-5 ATS the last 17 road games versus team with a winning home record. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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09-23-22 | Virginia v. Syracuse -10 | 20-22 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Syracuse Orange. Friday Night Lights Winner. Game 308. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Don’t look now, but Syracuse is 3-0, both straight up and against the spread this season. They opened the campaign up by slamming Louisville 35-7. They followed that up with a demolishing 48-14 win over Connecticut. And last week they showed what they were made of by getting a 32-29 win at home against Purdue. They stepped up in class twice this season and have proved that they are for real. On the other hand, point spread poison, Virginia has yet to cover a game this season despite going 2-1 straight up. They had a hard time with Richmond in their season-opener, was absolutely manhandled by Illinois losing their second-game of the year, 24-3, and had a hard time the entire game eking out two-point victory over Old Dominion. Orange quarterback Garrett Shrader has been superb, throwing for over 705 yards passing on a 66.2% completion rate with eight TDs and zero INT‘s. The play-caller is a dual-threat, adding over 202 yards on the ground with three more scores. The backfield of Sean Tucker (252 yards rushing two TDs) along with a stellar receiving core consisting of four wideouts already at or approaching 100-yards receiving, makes this Syracuse team very dangerous offensively. They are averaging over 37-points per game. On the other hand, Virginia is having a very hard time putting any points on the board, averaging a mere 17.7 points per game. They’ve already committed five turnovers. This does not bode well as Syracuse already has three takeaways on defense. The Orange stop-unit matches up quite well with a Cavaliers “O”. Virginia stepped up in class against Illinois and gave up big plays, both in the air and on the ground. Syracuse is just as loaded and just as well-balanced. The fact that the Orange has a strong running game will allow them to control the clock and the tempo here, keeping the Cavaliers defense on the field and their offense off of it. Even when Virginia does have the ball guys, they will run into a very stout, very angry, very capable Syracuse “D.” The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played on field turf, 1-5 ATS the last six games played in September, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played overall. The Orange are 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played versus conference opponents, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, and 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played overall. By the way, Syracuse are also great starters, getting us bettors paid in the month of September, going 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Bears v. Packers -10 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Late Bail Out Play. Game 288. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. The Green Bay Packers are one of the favorites to win the NFC and furthermore, to win the Super Bowl this season. And yet in their season-opener against the Minnesota Vikings, they took a 23-7 spanking. On the other hand, the Chicago Bears fans are talking playoffs already after their season-opening 19-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers. One thing about Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers is that they do not take losing lightly. They are 6-0 against the spread after the last six regular season losses, with an average margin of victory coming by better than 15-points per game. You have got to admit, Chicago is severely outclassed here. And with the way Green Bay is looking for some vengeance and little payback after the week 1 ass-whoopin’, the Bears are in big trouble. To add insult to injury, the Pack have dominated this division rivalry, taking six consecutive meetings, both straight up and against the spread. By the way, the average margin of victory in those six wins is 12.5-points per game. I think we can all agree that Justin Fields is a long way away from running the Chicago office with any efficiency. And trying to compete with an angry Green Bay team…wow I feel bad for the young quarterback. Green Bay is 11-3 ATS the last 14 following a straight up loss, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, and 9-4 ATS the last 13 versus the NFC. Chicago is 4-12 ATS to last 16 as an underdog, 0-5 ATS the last five versus the NFC North, and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall. I’m not crazy about laying double-digits in the NFL, especially in Week 2. However, the Packers are going to open up a can of whoop-ass here and get back on track, making a statement to the NFC and the entire league. Lay the points and take Green Bay to the bank. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Falcons +11 v. Rams | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show | |
Atlanta Falcons. Late Info Move. Game 277. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Guys, I’m not looking to take away anything from the Rams. But they are way overvalue here. They were outscored by 21-points in the second half and absolutely dominated by the visiting Bills, getting thumped, 31-10 and their season-opener a week ago. Granted Buffalo is one of the AFC‘s favorites to take the conference and moreover the Super Bowl, but coming off a beating like that will affect any team mentally. On the other hand, Atlanta will come in here, I believe a little extra-motivated, having blown a 26-10 fourth-quarter lead at home against their division rival, New Orleans last week. Let’s face it, losing the game by two-points with a field goal with 19 seconds left in regulation, will sting quite a bit. Watching Los Angeles’ defense get gashed last week tells me that Atlanta’s running back, Cordarrelle Patterson and rookie wide receiver, Drake London can and will move the chains here this week against them. Let’s not forget that the Falcons defense was one of the poorest in the league last season and did rank dead-last in sacks. However, last week they did get to the fleet-footed Jameis Winston four times. Until Matthew Stafford gets the luxury of a capable ground attack to keep the defenses honest, I think he’s in for a very long season. I’m not trying to compare the Falcons defense to the Bills, which did tally seven sacks and three interceptions a week ago. But the Atlanta stop-unit is definitely much-improved. And certainly, good enough to make some noise here. And once again, because they have a good ground game to control the clock and the tempo. This game will be a lot closer than the double-digit point spread. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings against the Rams and 5-2-1 ATS the last eight on the road. The Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five as a favorite and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. This is way too many points for Los Angeles to lay. Especially looking the way they look right now. Take Atlanta here. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Bucs -133 v. Saints | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 8 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 271. Sunday, September 18. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Both Tampa Bay and New Orleans opened this season with wins. The Buccaneers dominated the Cowboys, 19-3 to get the victory and the cover. Meanwhile, the Saints had a very tough time with what was supposed to be the division doormat Falcons, needing to outscore them 17-3 in the final quarter to get a one-point victory, 27-26, failing to get a cover as a six-point favorite. Tampa Bay is slated to win the NFC South and touted want to win 11.5-games this season. On the other hand, New Orleans many people predict to finish second in the competitive division. But are forecasted it to win just 8.5-games. If the Buccaneers are going to get their goal of an NFC Title, they must beat their division rival here. Last season they dropped both meetings straight up and against the spread in this rivalry. Trust me when I tell you the Buccaneers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. They are fully aware of the fact that the only team that could give them a hard time in the NFC South season is the Saints. There is no arguing the fact that Tom Brady is a much more reliable and capable quarterback than Jameis Winston. Although the Saints roster is chock-full of ball-carriers, none of their running backs had a season opening performance as good as Leonard Fournette’s 127 yards rushing. The 1-2 punch of Brady and Fournette will keep the New Orleans defense very honest. They cannot key on either their passing game or the run game. They have to be ready for anything as Brady and Fournette are one of the most-dangerous QB/RB tandems in the NFC. The Saints defense have a few leaks in it and playing against the Falcons last week exposed those leaks. Head Coach, Todd Bowles is looking to make a splash here in his first year in Tampa Bay at the helm and make a statement to the rest of the division, and moreover the entire conference that the Buccaneers are a team to be reckoned with. His coaching staff, a unique one, as both Kacy Rogers and Larry Foote are sharing the role of defensive coordinators, have watched the tapes from last week’s game and will further exploit those leaks here in this week’s matchup. New Orleans is 4-9 ATS the last 13 versus teams with a winning record, 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played in Week 2. Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record, 6-2 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC South, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-18-22 | Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show |
Dolphins/Ravens Under. NFL Total Blockbuster. Games 263/264. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m going to keep this analysis just like me, very short and extremely sweet. (Lol) Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a total of 32-points scored. As a matter fact, coming into this match up eight of the last 11 Dolphins contests have gone under the total. And seven of the Ravens last 10 have gone where? That’s right, under the total as well. Both offenses seem to be a little bit out of sync at the moment, looking like it’s going to take a little while for the squads to mesh and get in a groove. However, both defenses are looking pretty strong right now. Both head coaches are looking to continue their winning ways. And therefore, will not tolerate any mistakes or turnovers by their teams here. I think this is going to be a very slow-moving game as both teams will try to establish the run. Something they’ve yet to do this season. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins list five on the road as well as seven of their last nine versus the AFC. It is also 6-0 in the Ravens last six as a favorite and 5-2 in their last seven versus the AFC as well. Take the under here in a very low scoring contest. Thank you. |
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09-17-22 | Miami-FL +6.5 v. Texas A&M | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
Miami Florida. Top-Rated Play. Game 197. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. You know sports fans, it was only a few short weeks ago Texas A&M was a preseason top-five team. But to be honest guys, it feels like years, doesn’t it? They opened up the campaign with a very unimpressive, 31-0 win over Sam Houston State. While quarterback Haynes King threw for 364 yards and three touchdowns, he still tossed two interceptions. All this and the Aggies couldn’t establish the run against the outclassed Bearkats. Then, last week their offense sputtered drastically tallying a mere 186 yards, while allowing 315 yards of offense in a 17-14 loss at the hands of Appalachian State at home. This team has serious quarterback issues. And let’s face it they aren’t running the ball with any success either. One team that is not having quarterback issues, is the Miami Hurricanes. Tyler Van Dyke has already passed for over 446 yards, while his tandem of ball-carriers Henry Parrish Jr. and Thaddius Franklin Jr. have run for over 340 yards and seven scores already. Traditionally, we have seen the Hurricanes struggle in the trenches against SEC opponents. However, with the way they have controlled the clock by running the ball and then passing off the run, I don’t think that’s going be an issue here this week. They have playmakers. And the Aggies do not, plain and simple. Up next for both teams are middle Tennessee for Miami and Arkansas for Texas A&M. I feel that the Hurricanes come in here a lot looser, a lot more confident, and don’t have the same problem the Aggie’s have in looking ahead to next week’s opponent. Miami is 5-1 ATS the last six on the road. While Texas A&M is just 1-4 ATS the last five overall. I think the ‘Canes can win this game outright. But I will take the points here. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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09-17-22 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Washington | 28-39 | Loss | -119 | 43 h 16 m | Show | |
Michigan State. TD PLAY. Game 185. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Guys, I understand that Michael Penix Jr. is causing some excitement up in Washington. And I also understand that he’s familiar with Michigan State from his days with Indiana. However, for the life of me, I can’t figure out why so many people are siding with the Huskies here. Granted, neither team has really been tested so far this season. But please understand that Michigan State went 10-2 in the regular season a year ago, beating some very tough teams, including Michigan and Penn State. Then devoured Pitt in a late-December Bowl game. On the other hand, Washington was a disaster a season ago. They went just 4-8 finishing the campaign with four consecutive losses. Oh, and by the way just in case you’re keeping score, they took a beating in mid-September, losing to Michigan 31-10. The same Michigan team that in late-October, Michigan State bested, 37-33. Both offenses can pass the ball with success. However, I expect the Spartans running game to be the difference here folks. Michigan State is 6-0-1 ATS the last seven nonconference games, or 4-0-2 ATS the last six games played in September, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played overall. Washington is 2-5 ATS the last seven following a straight up win, 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four versus the Big Ten. Take the Spartans here plus the points. Thank you. |
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09-17-22 | South Alabama v. UCLA -15.5 | 31-32 | Loss | -103 | 37 h 24 m | Show | |
UCLA Bruins. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 134. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Both teams have gotten off the solid 2-0 starts. But Chip Kelly’s Bruins are certainly stronger and deeper by far. They have a monster offensive line that has paved the way for a ground attack averaging 241 yards per game on 5.8 yards per carry. And DTR, is the real-deal at quarterback, completing 75.9% of his passes for 399 yards, and three TDs already. The Bruins have a backfield of very talented ball-carriers to go along with the dual-threat quarterbacks dangerous arm. Going back to last season, this team has now won five consecutive games straight up going 4-1 against the spread. While South Alabama shows some promise, let’s face it, they don’t face the same level of competition as UCLA does. As a matter fact, a season ago they stepped up in class in late-November and got thumped 60-14 at the hands of Tennessee. They actually finished the 2021-2022 campaign on the four-game losing streak. The Jaguars are traveling for their second consecutive week and have to face a well-rested Bruins team that have the luxury of playing home for the third consecutive contest. South Alabama is just 1-6 ATS the the last seven on the road while UCLA is 4-1 ATS is the last five overall. This is the Bruins last chance to fine-tune their squad before hitting their conference schedule. Take UCLA. Thank you. |
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09-17-22 | Georgia -24.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. SEC Game of the Month. Game 121. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, the Georgia Bulldogs leapfrogged the Alabama Crimson Tide in the polls this week to take over the No. 1 spot in the nation. Stetson Bennett has matured quite well, growing into an amazing quarterback. So far this season, he has thrown for 688 yards, with a 75.4% completion rate, three TDs and zero INTs. He will dissect the South Carolina Gamecocks defense that allowed Arkansas to light them up for 44-points a week ago. The Gamecocks are dealing with a banged up secondary here. This does not bode well going against the highflying offense of the Bulldogs. Offensively, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler has been utterly unimpressive, throwing three interceptions against just two touchdowns. More importantly guys, if Georgia doesn’t annihilate South Carolina here knowing that Alabama faces Louisiana Monroe later today, they may lose their top-ranking. Kirby Smart is not going to let that happen. They must keep their foot on the gas here, run the score up, and leave no doubt for pollsters. They took last year’s September meeting by score of 40-13. And this year’s matchup should be even more of a mismatch. The Gamecocks are 3-12 ATS the last 15 versus the SEC and 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS the last 26 following an ATS loss and 35-16 ATS the last 51 on the road. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Giants v. Titans -5.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans. Touchdown Play. Game 475. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have become the favorites to take the AFC south. A lot of smart money here in Vegas came in on them to actually win the Super Bowl at 15-1. And here in Week 1 of the regular season, they match up against the New York Giants team that is touted to finish dead-last in the NFC East, and win only seven games. New York is in a rebuilding year once again. And to be quite honest there’s a lot of question marks surrounding the team. Their quarterback has it big question mark on him as well as the entire offensive line. The team was the dismal 4-13 a season ago. Now they must face a perennial playoff contender which ranked second in the NFL in rushing defense and sixth on third down defense. The Giants are 0-5 ATS the last five on the road, 0-5 ATS the last five during Week 1 of the season, and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Saints -5 v. Falcons | Top | 27-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints. High Roller play. Game 455. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. |
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09-10-22 | Baylor +3 v. BYU | 20-26 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 54 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 403. 7:15 pm pst/10:15 pm est. Whispers are saying that this contest is a big revenge game for BYU. If you recall a season ago, they got knocked out of the rankings by Baylor in a 38-24 defeat. Reports are that most of the Cougars defense is back this season. The Cougars are expected to be a solid on the “D”. There is also talk that Baylor might not be at the same level this year as they were last year. But it’s hard to argue the fact that this team went 11-2 during the regular season and then crushed Mississippi in the Bowl campaign. They are money to us bettors, coming off a 10-4 against the spread mark a season ago. BYU’s well-balanced offense looked pretty good, piling up 50-points on South Florida last week. But, South Florida ain’t no Baylor. The Bears are one of the toughest teams in the Big 12. I feel the wrong team is favored here. Baylor has been money to us bettors, going 4-0 ATS to last four in September, 4-0 ATS the last four versus non-conference opponents, 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road versus teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. I like the Bears outright here. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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09-10-22 | Tennessee v. Pittsburgh +6.5 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Panthers. Touchdown Play. Game 348. 12:30 pm pst/3:30 pt. The Panthers are 3-0 all-time against the Volunteers. This includes last years, 41-34 win at Neyland Stadium. USC-transfer quarterback, Kedon Slovis will dissect the Tennessee secondary. The Vols give up a ton of yards and moreover, a lot of points when having to face gunslinging QB’s. The wrong team is favored here. Tennessee is 6-13 ATS the last 19 on grass, 16-36-1 ATS the last 53 following an ATS win, and 2-6 ATS the last eight versus the ACC. Pitt is 5-0 ATS the last five games following an ATS loss, 6-2 ATS then last eight versus a team with a winning record, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 games overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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09-10-22 | Alabama -20 v. Texas | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Annihilator Play. Game 335. 9:00 am pst/12:00 pm est. This line opened up just over -14 and was quickly bet up to -20-ish. I normally fade the general public. But even they have to win sometime. And I agree with them here. I see a lot of news out there saying that Texas is 7-1-1 all-time against Alabama. They are hoping to jump back into the national spotlight with a big win here. But hope doesn’t win games, folks. As expected in both of these team’s season openers, Alabama blew up Utah State, 55-0. And Texas devoured Louisiana Monroe 52-10. With all respect to the Longhorns, this team was absolute point spread poisonous a season ago, failing to win or cover six of their final seven games. This season they are touted as an also-ran to take the Big 12 conference behind the Sooners. Reality check here as Alabama is an entirely different monster. This is the number one team in the country. And this is their first big test. Make no mistake of it, head coach Nick Saban is going to go out of his way make a statement here and destroy Texas. ‘Bama has a stout defense that will frustrate quarterback, Ewers and running back, Robinson. Dual-threat Alabama QB, Young has an arsenal at his disposal offensively. Granted, going from Utah State to Texas is a step-up in class for Alabama. However, don’t think for a second they don’t have the personnel to pile up points here. To add insult to injury, look for Saban and his coaching staff to send a message to the Longhorns for future reference when they look to join the SEC in a few years. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games. While the Longhorns are just 1-4 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record. The number may scare you at first, but don’t let the oddsmakers affect you. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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09-09-22 | Louisville v. Central Florida -5.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 57 m | Show | |
Central Florida. Friday Night Lights Winner. Game 316. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. My friends, these two teams had very different season-opening contests. Louisville, as a 5.5-point favorite, got shredded by Syracuse, 31-7. Central Florida devoured South Carolina State, 56-10. Please keep in mind that the Knights have had two extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup than did the Cardinals. The Louisville offense is in trouble. Granted, this is just Week 2 for this team, but they have now lost and failed to cover three straight (going back to last season) getting outplayed and outclassed in all three of those contests. On the other hand, Central Florida has won four straight (going back to a season ago) and seven of the last eight SU going back to October of last season. John Rhys Plumlee is a monster quarterback. Not only is he a solid passer, but he can also run the ball with great efficiency. He has the luxury of having a talented core of receivers and a backfield chock-full of solid ball-carriers. Malik Cunningham is a good QB. But as we have seen through his tenure at Louisville, he can’t carry this offense alone. Knights head coach, Gus Malzahn really fortified his team. Particularly on the “O” where he has an Alabama-transfer in Javon Baker and a Florida transfer in Kemore Gamble. This tandem will be one of the most exciting in college football this season. I just don’t see Louisville and their lackluster secondary contending with the Central Florida passing attack. Please remember that last season the Cardinals won a heartbreaker, 42-35 in this matchup. The Knights have had this game circled since the schedule came out, looking for a bit of revenge. Louisville is 7-15-1 ATS the last 23 on the road, 3-8 ATS the last 11 versus the AAC, and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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09-05-22 | Clemson -22.5 v. Georgia Tech | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 75 h 16 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. Monday Money Maker. Game 235. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. One of the best teams in the nation is the Clemson Tigers. This is a team that a season ago went 6-2 in the ACC and 10-3 overall, ending the campaign with the win over Iowa State in the Cheez-It Bowl. They’ve got a great coaching staff, a quarterback with another year experience under his belt, and from what reports are saying, one of the most-ferocious defenses in the nation. They were in a rebuilding year a season ago, and yet they still finished at 10-3. What most impressed me about this team last season, was the fact that they closed it out with six straight wins. Not to mention five covers in those six wins. They must come out here and begin the campaign making a statement. Not just to the rest of the conference, but the rest of college football. They want the nation to know they are a force to be reckoned with and they’re going to make a statement here in their season opener and crush Georgia Tech. They’ve had this game circled since the schedule came out anyway, because last year‘s 14-8 victory over the Yellow Jackets was the closest margin over the last seven meetings. Dabo Swinney likes to make teams pay for stuff like this, guys. They’ll make them pay for that here. FYI, Georgia Tech is on a 1-7 ATS run. This game is going to get ugly folks. Mark my words. Clemson wins, covers, and make a statement. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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09-03-22 | Boise State +2.5 v. Oregon State | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show | |
Boise State. High Roller Play. Game 201. 7:30 PM PST 10:30 PM EST. I really feel the wrong team is favored here. I know Oregon State won all six of their games at Reser Stadium a season ago. But up until last season this team was absolutely horrible at home, going 6-16 their previous 21 games in their own house. We always hear about how great Boise State is on the blue carpet. However, on the road they’ve been money, going 19-6 straight up the last 25 away from home and covering five of the last six as a visitor. Standout quarterback, Hank Bachmeier is back at the helm along with an arsenal at his disposal, returning all four lineman and his workhorse running back, George Holani. In the ball carrier, Bachmeier has the luxury of passing off the run and keeping the Beavers defense honest. They can control the clock and keep the OSU “D” on the field. And more importantly, their offense off of it. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-03-22 | Notre Dame +17 v. Ohio State | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Notre Dame. TV Game Winner. Game 171. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. We put together two of the most successful and storied schools in the history of college football. There’s no doubt that Ohio State is a very good team. They rank number two in the preseason poll. And are supposed to run away with one of the toughest conferences in the nation. However, Notre Dame comes in ranked fifth in the country. There’s a lot of pressure on the Buckeyes to win and win right away. What concerns me about this team is their defense. We all know offensively they’ve got a couple of guys that are potential first rounders for sure. But I think we would all agree, their “D” has slipped over the last few years, giving up a lot of points. And sometimes not just to ranked opponents. Notre Dame can come in here with some confidence. They’ve got seven starters returning on offense and eight starters returning on defense. Reports are that new defensive coordinator; Al Golden has got this team believing they can shut down just about any offense in the nation. I feel this is way too many points to give a game a team like Notre Dame, which comes in here with a lot less pressure. The Fighting Irish is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight nonconference games, 4-1-1 ATS the last six versus the Big Ten, and 7-1 ATS the last eight overall. I’ll take the points with Notre Dame here folks. Thank you. |
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09-03-22 | Oregon v. Georgia -16 | 3-49 | Win | 100 | 23 h 0 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. Touchdown Play. Game 210. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. When playing against the Pac-12, Oregon did very well last year. But when they stepped out and up in class, they took a beat down at the hands of Oklahoma. That’s what they’re doing here in their season opener. They are stepping out and up in class. I know Georgia lost a lot of key players. But please understand that the SEC and particularly the Georgia Bulldogs are deep, deep, deep. Bo Nix is at the helm for the Ducks. To be honest with you I wasn’t all that’s crazy about the quarterback when he was with Auburn. And let’s face it, the Bulldogs know Bo Nix. He had a better ground game and a much better “D” on his last squad. And yet, he couldn’t get the team over the hump of beating solid opponents. Please understand that the Georgia defense, outside of one game a season ago in which day exacted their revenge later on in the National Championship, did not allow a single opponent to post more than 18-points. And usually, it was seven or less points allowed. The Bulldogs need to come out here and make a statement to the SEC and to the nation that they are a true force to be reckoned with. Quarterback, Stetson Bennett is it an experienced, intelligent, play-caller. Not only that but he makes very few mistakes. He only tossed seven INT’s compared to 29 TD’s a season ago. That along with the fact that this team has got a solid ground game and a ferocious defense tells me that Oregon is in for a very long day here. The Ducks are 8-18-1 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of September, 1-4 ATS the last five games played versus non-conference opponents, and 6-13 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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09-03-22 | Arizona v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
San Diego State. Bookie Buster. Game 206. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Let’s go to Snapdragon Stadium where the Arizona Wildcats visit the San Diego Aztecs. My friends, I doubt I will hurt anyone’s feelings if I come out and state that Arizona football absolutely sucks. Let’s face it, this team is on a 1-23 straight up run. On the flipside, San Diego State is a very complete and solid football team. They come off a 12-2 season. Once again, this year they are known to have a phenomenal ground attack, while also possessing a ferocious stop-unit. They now have Braxton Burmeister at the helm to bring a new dynamic to the offense, a passing attack. Not only does this team come in here excited to have a new 35,000-seat stadium, but they will come out here confident, knowing that they went 2-0 against Pac-12 opponents a season ago. One of those wins was a 38-14 victory over Arizona. Overall, this team is 6-2 against ATS the last eight versus this conference, including straight up wins over Utah, UCLA, and Stanford. I just don’t see how the Wildcats can possibly either move the chains on this stingy defense, or slow down this powerful, now double-threat offense. Arizona is 5-12 against the spread the last 17 nonconference games, 8-24 against the spread the last 32 road games, and 0-4 against the spread the last four versus the Mountain West Conference. Under a touchdown here as a gift. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
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09-03-22 | NC State v. East Carolina +12.5 | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
East Carolina. Consensus Play. Game 194. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I’m gonna’ go back to the drawing board. There’s an old rule to sports betting, keeping an eye on in-state rivalries. Well. NC State and East Carolina will renew an in-state rivalry when the two sides kick off their season on Saturday. ECU comes off their best season in years winning seven games and was supposed to go to a Bowl, but unfortunately due to a Covid outbreak their game was canceled with Boston College. NC State ranks 13th in the nation. Coming off a solid 9-3 finish a 9-3 campaign. They’ve got all four starters returning on the offensive line and 10 returning starters on defense that was second in the nation against the past last year. But these two teams and these two coaching staffs know each other very well. While the Wolfpack has had the upper hand in recent years, the Pirates certainly come in here motivated. And with a punchers chance to win this game outright, let alone cover the point spread. If NC State does have a weakness, it is when they travel with a 5-13 ATS slide the last 18 on the road. By the way, as an interesting sidenote, the home team is 5-1 against the number the last six in this series. That’s why I’m taking East Carolina. Thank you. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
Bengals. Super Bowl 56 Winner. Game 102. 3:30 pm pst. Two evenly matched teams. But Joe Burrow has already won on a national level at LSU. And Zac Taylor is 100% in the NFL postseason. We all know what happened to Sean McVay and the Rams the last time they made it to the Big Game. Not to overlook the fact that the Bengals have faced and beaten some tougher competition to get here. By the way, without question, Los Angeles is carrying way more pressure here. With all sincerity, Stafford isn’t the best when under pressure. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS the last six games played as a ‘dog, 6-0 ATS the lats six games played following an ATS win, 3-0-1 ATS the last four games played in the playoffs, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played overall. I like the Bengals outright. But I will take the points here. Thank you. PROPS Joe Burrow To Throw 2 Or More TD’s Sony Michel Rushing Yards Over 16.5 Cooper Kupp To Score A TD in 1H Game Will Be Tied After 0-0 Totals QB Sacks Over 5 Total FG’s By Both Teams Over 3.5 Totals INT’s By Both Teams Over 1.5 |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
49ERS. NFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 323. 3:40 PM PST. San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 70 h 20 m | Show |
CHIEFS. AFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 322. 12:05 pm pst. When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | 30-27 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay. NFL GOM. Game 316. 12:00 pm pst. Rematches in the NFL are tricky. Los Angeles bested Tampa Bay, 34-24 back in September. But if you recall, last season the Buccaneers beat several teams in the postseason they had lost to in the regular season. They are an outstanding rematch team. Over his career, Matthew Stafford has played in just four playoff games. Tom Brady has played in 45. Things change come the playoffs. They change significantly. Both teams should be able to pass the ball here. But once again the playoffs change things. And if you’re not used to playing in January, the pressure is evident. Leonard Fournette is expected back and gives the Bucs the luxury of a ground game to keep the Rams defense honest. Brady will see the return of a key offensive lineman to give the seasoned veteran a bit more time in the pocket. Let’s be honest, defenses have been trying to contain the quarterback for decades without success. With two underdogs winning outright Saturday, Tampa Bay won’t take any chances here. This game rests on Brady’s experience and shoulders. L.A. is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the postseason, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed vs. NFC foes. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers OVER 47 | 13-10 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
Let’s start with the health of Jimmy Garoppolo. I don’t care what you hear about his shoulder or his thumb. It’s all propaganda and no merit. The QB is healthy and playing some of his best football ever. The offense is now utilizing Deebo Samuel very creatively and will move the chains here. On the other side, you have on of the best QB’s in the history of the sport having a career year. There hasn’t too many opponents, if any this season that has contained Aaron Rodgers when he is 100%. Both teams will be able to have success in the air which will allow both offenses to open up their ground games. When these two teams met in September, it resulted in 58 points scored making it the third consecutive matchup going over the total just since January of 2020. Green Bay comes in here with six of their last seven going over the total. Granted San Francisco, just three of their last eight have gone over the total. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t faced too many spectacular offenses. This game flies over the total folks. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings between these two teams, 5-0 in the Packers last five vs. the NFC and 7-0 their last seven playoff games, 5-2 in the 49ers last seven Saturday games and 9-4 in their last 13 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 22 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 146. 10:00 am pst. We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
New England. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 143. 5:15 pm pst. As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +6 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
Las Vegas. HIGH ROLLER. Game 141. 1:30 pm pst. Joe Burrow has had a good season. But he is playing with a sore knee and his team is just 5-5 the last 10 regular season contests. And some of those wins were against depleted opponents. Things change drastically come the playoffs. The QB doesn’t have the postseason experience needed to succeed. Derek Carr has nearly 5,000 yards passing (4,804 YP). His fourth consecutive season throwing 4,000-plus yards and has some playoff swagger under his belt and much more overall savvy. He and his team which has momentum winning four in a row SU and three in a row ATS (last three all as a ‘dog), will pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of the Bengals. Look for Waller and the 6th ranked receiving corps in the NFL to have a season-best performance here. Looking closely at the Las Vegas defense, they have held their last six foes to an average of 294 YPG. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. The Bengals are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia v. Alabama +3 | 33-18 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Alabama. Title Game Winner. Game 288. 5:00 pm pst. Nick Saban enjoys demolishing his ex-assistants. He and his staff will come in here with a different gameplan than in the SEC Title game to confuse both the Georgia offense and defense. And will have the same outcome. Giving ‘Bama points is a mistake as the ‘dog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6.5 v. Dolphins | 24-33 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 4 m | Show | |
New England. EIP. Game 455. 1:25 pm pst. Bill Belichick has his team back in the playoffs and with a chance to win the AFC East. He wants his Patriots primed and ready to roll into the postseason. If you want proof as to how much, just look at last week’s, 50-10 demolishing of the Jaguars. The Dolphins are done for the season. Next Sunday, they will be playing golf. LOL. Outside of maybe a rookie receiving record, they have nothing to play for here. Nor do they want to jeopardize next season by getting any of their key players injured here. Let’s throw into the mix that revenge plays a factor too. If you recall, Miami bested New England back in September. And the Patriots are a team that do like their revenge. Here’s some trends you might find interesting: New England is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played as a favorite, 6-2 ATS the last eight games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, and most importantly, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of January. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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01-09-22 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 70 h 57 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. HR play. Game 462. 1:25 pm pst. Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs -4.5 v. Bengals | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 2 m | Show | |
Chiefs. HR play. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. With last week’s 36-10 demolishing of Pittsburgh, Kansas City clinched a playoff spot. Right now, the Chiefs own a one-game lead over the Titans for the AFC’s best record. They want to be the top-seed come the postseason guys. Patrick Mahomes leads the No. 4 scoring offense in the league. This is a huge mismatch as the quarterback the will absolutely shred the Cincy 29th ranked pass defense. That would be enough for me to side with them here. But the Chiefs defense puts the icing on the cake my friends. They have allowed 17 points or less in seven of the last eight outings, which by the way were all wins. That’s right, this team has rattled off eight straight victories and six straight covers. Now folks Joe Burrow and the Bengals have come a long way. But this is still a young squad and I feel after last week’s beating of the Ravens, they are in serious let down mode here. KC is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents while Cincy is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take the Chiefs all the way to the bank. Thank you. |
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01-02-22 | Raiders v. Colts -2.5 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 9 m | Show |
Colts. TEN DIMES play. Game 101. 10:00 am pst. Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you. |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas -120 v. Penn State | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 62 h 18 m | Show |
Arkansas. OM GOM. Game 275. 9:00 am pst. The struggling Penn State team which finished the campaign losing five of seven, is in real trouble here. The offense which averaged just 26.3 PPG, relies solely upon the pass. Well, their top receiver, Jahan Dotson opted-out. Without him, they have to run the ball with a rushing unit that ranks 118th. Like I said, they are in real trouble here. The Nittany Lions also lost some big -name defenders. The Razorbacks are without their top wideout. But folks this really doesn’t affect them because they are a running team, ranking 14th nationally on the ground. And all ball-carriers are expected to play here guys. Remember this is a team that ended the season 4-1 with their only defeat, a seven-point loss to the mighty Alabama. They are 16-7-1 ATS the last 24 games played overall while PSU is 1-5 ATS the last six games played vs. SEC opponents. Lay the short price here. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 | Top | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 9 m | Show |
Michigan Consensus GOM. Game 270. 4:30 pm pst. The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you. |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
Wisconsin. Bookie Buster Game 262. 7:30 pm pst. Wisconsin began the season struggling, dropping three of their first four outings, both SU and ATS. The Badgers turned things around rattling off seven consecutive victories SU, going 5-2 ATS. They then fell flat against the Golden Gophers back on November 27. This is a smart, resilient with a sharp coaching staff. Arizona State showed very little consistency this season. The only bright spot was the contributions from their ball-carriers. Things don’t look to promising here as their two top running backs, White and Trayanum are not playing here. Also not suiting up for the Sun Devils are two of their starting cornerbacks and their starting center. The Badgers own a top-10 stop-unit in every major category, leading the nation in yards allowed (241.4) and rushing yards allowed (65.8). Overall, the stifling “D” ranks 6th, yielding a mere, 16.4 PPG. When Wiscy has the ball, they will run, run, run, keeping the ASU defense on the field and come the 2nd half, back-peddling and gasping for air. Head coach, Paul Chryst will have his team hungry and excited to earn a big Bowl victory. The Sun Devils are 3-8 ATS the last 11 Bowl games played, 3-9 ATS the last 12 games played on neutral sites, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played vs. nonconference opponents. Take the Badgers. Thank you. |
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12-29-21 | Iowa State v. Clemson -132 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Clemson. Game 252. 5:45 pm pst. Despite a disappointing 9-3 (LOL) season, Clemson began to stride in October to ride a five-game SU win streak, covering four of the five outings. The Tigers just simply have more talent on both sides of the ball than does the Cyclones. Iowa State at 7-5 did have a disappointing campaign. Their biggest offensive threat was running back Hall, who has opted out for the NFL draft. Not only was he nearly a 1500-yard rusher with 20 TD’s, but he was also the units third leading receiver with another three TD’s in the air. The “O” will also be missing several other wideouts here. They will have their two top wide receivers. But Clemson counters with the nation’s 2nd ranked scoring defense, allowing just 15.0 PPG. Tigers had coach, Dabo Swinney has won nine and covered 10 of his last 11 Bowl/playoff games. Clemson is 14-2 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of December, 10-3 ATS the last 13 Bowl games played, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played neutral sites. Iowa State is 1-4 ATS the last five games played in the month of December, 1-5 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played on neutral sites. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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12-28-21 | West Virginia v. Minnesota -5 | 6-18 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 246. 7:15 pm pst. Golden Gophers head coach, PJ Fleck fired offensive coordinator, Mike Sanford Jr. and replaced him with 2021 Mountaineers offensive analyst, Kirk Ciarocca. Ciarocca is not participating here but has provided behind-the-curtain intel into West Virginia’s offense. This is going to further bolster the nation’s 9th ranked scoring defense of Minny. The Mountaineers also lost some key personnel to opt-outs. The Golden Gophers are intact. This is an outstanding team that overcame losing their three top ball-carriers, one after the other and still managed to be one of the most-potent rushing units in the land. They will keep the ball on the ground, control the tempo and the clock, keeping the Mountaineers defense on the field, and more importantly, their offense off of it. When West Virginia has the ball, they will rely upon the pass. Well, Minnesota counters with the 11th ranked passing defense in college football. The line here should be at least a TD and perhaps almost nine points. Keep in mind that this team thumped Colorado, Purdue, Nebraska, Maryland, Northwestern, Indiana, and Wisconsin this season. And their last two postseason appearances, they shellacked both Georgia Tech and Auburn. The Mountaineers are 3-13 ATS the last 16 Bowl games played, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-14-1 ATS the last 18 games played in the month of December. The Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS the last four Bowl games played, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played as a favorite, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of December. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn -1 | 17-13 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Auburn. Game 238. 9:00 am pst. While Houston is a talented squad, playing in the ACC is a far cry from playing in the SEC. Bo Nix is gone and TJ Finley is the future of Auburn. The quarterback has shown poise and consistency. He also has running back, Tank Bigsby and a slew of outstanding receivers. Yes, the Tigers are on a four-game slide. But they have been competitive facing tougher opposition. The Cougars faced two solid foes this season. The Red Raiders and the Bearcats, losing both by a combined 73-48. Oh, and failing to cover in both too. The team is without all-universe player, CB/WR/KR/PR, Marcus Jones. No longer will they have good field position and will have a hole in the secondary. This game will be won in the trenches where Auburn owns a huge advantage with the bigger, stronger, stouter trenchmen. Houston is 1-5 ATS the last six games played on neutral sites, 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, and 0-4 ATS the last four Bowls games played. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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12-26-21 | Bills v. Patriots -1 | 33-21 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
New England. HIGH ROLLER. Game 472. 10:00 am pst. With a win here, New England will lock up the AFC East. These two teams met a few weeks ago with the Patriots prevailing, 14-10. That game was won in the trenches where the Bills are outmanned and outclassed. Bill Belichick and the much-sharper New England coaching staff prepared a perfect game plan for that contest. And will come in here with a different scheme but still very effective. Josh Allen is in for another long and unproductive day here facing one of the NFL. The Bills “O” took a big hit with the loss of WR, Cole Beasley. Coming off a loss, following a seven-game win streak (SU and ATS) expect the Patriots to win here with authority. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four game splayed following a SU win. New England is 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-25-21 | Colts +1 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 47 m | Show | |
Colts. HR play. Game 415. 5:15 pm pst. If you recall, a season ago, Arizona flatlined down the stretch going 3-6. Well history repeats itself here and this season, they dropped four of their last seven outings. Kyler Murray hasn’t been the same since returning from his ankle injury and with WR Deandre Hopkins sidelined, the offense has shown very little consistency. Just the opposite for Indy which has won seven of their last nine SU and eight of their last 11 ATS. The Colts are very much alive in their division, coming off a big win vs. the Patriots last week. And if you’re concerned about them being on the road, Don’t be, they are 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a visitor winning some big games on the road vs. such notables as San Francisco and Buffalo. Jonathan Taylor and the 2nd ranked rushing unit in the NFL will take this game on his shoulders, or should I say his legs and demolish the beat-up, ‘Zona run defense. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played at home. Take Indy here. Thank you. |
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12-25-21 | Browns v. Packers -7 | 22-24 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 15 m | Show | |
Green Bay. LVSM. Game 454. 1:30 pm pst. I don’t care how depleted a team is, when you lose to the Raiders, you’ve hit rock bottom. Playing with just five days to rest, heal, prepare, and travel is tough. When you still have a slew of players in COVID-protocol that can’t practice and not knowing if they’re gonna’ play is even tougher. But the toughest thing of all is having to go into Lambeau and face the Packers and their loyal fans. The only 11-win team in the NFL still needs victories to lock up the NFC’s top seed and home field come the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is on the cusp of being the teams all-time leader in TD passes. Look for this game to get uglier than Patrick Mahomes’ brothers tik tok videos. The Browns are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the Packers and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. The Packers are 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a home favorite. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-25-21 | Ball State v. Georgia State -5.5 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 51 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State. Game 232. 11:30 am pst. Somehow, Ball State made a Bowl game. One of the worst offenses in the nation and their defense isn’t too far behind. Following a mid-season surge, they went just 1-5 ATS their last six games and really didn’t face any solid opposition. Riding 6-1 SU and ATS hot streaks, Georgia State owns the nation’s 8th ranked rushing unit that will control the clock and the tempo here. Defensively, the Panthers held some very good teams in check. They played Auburn and ULL very tough and beat Coastal Carolina. Georgia State is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played following a SU win and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a favorite. Ball State is 1-4 ATS the last five Bowl games played and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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12-23-21 | 49ers -3 v. Titans | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
49ers. TNW. Game 451. With no real offensive threats to rely on since Derrick Henry went down, the Tennessee “O” has been nonexistent. Ryan Tannehill can not carry the load all by himself and has started to crack committing multiple turnovers on a regular basis. Well, in comes Nick Bosa and the mighty San Francisco defense. The 49ers are in a key position to earn an NFC WC spot, winning five of their last six. Jimmy G has the offense humming like a 57” Chevy. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +3 | 27-14 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
UNT. Game 292. 12:30 pm pst. A few angles seem to get us paid a bit more regularly guys. I’m talking about hot streaks and momentum. North Texas…5 straight wins…6 straight covers. And coming off a 45-23 outright win against an undefeated UTSA team as a 9.5-pt ‘dog. This team is brimming with confidence to not just compete, but to win here. Folks, this is the No.3 ranked rushing team in the nation lining up against a very pedestrian run defense. The Mean Green have five, yes five very talented ball-carries and as of post, all five are expected to play. The Red Hawks are 2-5 ATS the last seven as a fav, 4-13 ATS the last 17 nonconf, and 2-6 ATS last eight vs. Conference USA. Take the points with UNT here. Thank you. |
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12-22-21 | Missouri v. Army -6.5 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Army. Game 226. 5:00 pm pst. Mismatch alert! Army boasts the nation’s 2nd ranked rushing attack, averaging over 286.9 YPG on the ground, resulting in the 27th ranked scoring offense, accounting for over 33.6 PPG. Missouri is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying upon the run. However, running back, Tyler Badie (1,612 yards rushing 14 TD’s on the ground, 330 yards receiving four TD’s in the air) will not be active here. The next ball-carrier only has 150 yards rushing this season. Coming off a loss to the Midshipmen will motivate the Black Knights to finish off the campaign on a high-note. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. nonconference opponents, 3-14 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of December, and 8-21 ATS the last 21 games played overall. Take army. Thank you. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams -6.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rams. BLOCKBUSTER. Game 328. 4:00 pm pst. The Rams won at the Cardinals on MNF. They are just one GB or Arizona in the conference. Seattle, at 5-8 mathematically can still make the postseason. But most-likely must win-out to do so. L.A. has Minny, Baltimore, and San Francisco remaining on the schedule. So, they really need a victory here to boost their confidence as it looks to be the least competitive foe left. The 3rd ranked passing offense in the NFL will shred the 32nd ranked pass defense here. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS the last six meetings in this series, 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played vs. the NFC. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | 52-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Wyoming. Game 221. 12:30 pm pst. Kent State is not playing a conference opponent here and are a bit overmatched. They can run the bal. However, Wyoming counters with a very tough defense (22.5 PPG allowed). They too can run the ball and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they are 2-0 against MAC teams this season. The Golden Flashes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites, 2-6 ATS the last eight nonconference games played, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played as a ‘dog. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-19-21 | Packers -5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay. LVSM GOM. Game 315. 1:25 pm pst. Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | Marshall v. UL-Lafayette -4 | 21-36 | Win | 100 | 34 h 31 m | Show | |
ULL. Game 218. 6:15 pm pst. ULL hasn’t tasted defeat since the first week of September. And won’t here. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won 12 straight contests behind a well-balanced offense and the nations 11th ranked defense. Not only do they outclass the struggling Thundering Herd but they also have the luxury of playing in front of a friendly New Orleans crowd. With an outstanding QB and three talented ball-carriers, Lafayette will control the clock and the tempo here, taking a page from Marshall’s last opponent, in which they suffered a 53-21 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky. The Thundering Herd are 2-6 ATS the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of December. Take the Ragin’ Cajuns. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots +2.5 v. Colts | 17-27 | Loss | -106 | 32 h 19 m | Show | |
New England. HR play. Game 311. Guys I have been rooting for Jonathan Taylor all season. And much of Indy’s success is because of the running back. But New England comes in here with the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing defense and the overall top-scoring stop-unit. They are a swarming and stifling squad that will frustrate the Colts offense and slow down Taylor. During their seven-game SU and ATS winning streak the Pats “D” has allowed a mere, 10.4 PPG. On the flipside, Mac Jones is playing well beyond his years. He’s got a 70% completion rate on the campaign and over the last seven games, just two INT’s. He doesn’t make mistakes and the offense wears down opponents BIG TIME. The wrong team is favored here folks as the Patriots are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Colts, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a bye week, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State v. Utah State +7.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
Utah State. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 216. 4:30 pm pst. Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU -6.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
BYU. Game 212. 12:30 pm pst. BYU is a very good team that has faced and beaten quite a few other good teams in 2021. And with all respect to UAB, they really only stepped up once this season, resulting in a 56-7 beating at the hands of Georgia. For starters, there’s the potent 1-2 punch of 2500-yard passer Jaren Hall and 1400-yard rusher Tyler Allgier. Then there’s the fact that the team is going to come out firing on all cylinders because their head coach, the very well-liked, Kalani Sitake, just signed a long-term contract, and the team is excited about it. Then, there’s the elephant in the room folks. The coaching staff and the team will go out of their way to prove to pollsters that they deserved a New Years Day Bowl. Guys, don’t forget, this is a team that went 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents this season. They are also 7-2 ATS the last nine games played against Conference USA foes. Take BYU. Thank you. |
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12-16-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Kansas City. TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Kansas City has won six in a row SU while covering four straight. During their last six games, the Chiefs defense has forced 16 turnovers while yielding a mere 10.9 PPG. Los Angeles is getting plowed for a ton of points and seem to lose to any solid foe. The last two months the Chargers have been defeated by the Ravens, Patriots, Vikings, and Broncos. With KC’s defensive issues behind them we must side with the hot-handed Chiefs. They are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chargers, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of December, and 22-10-1 ATS the last 33 games played vs. the AFC West. The Chargers are 19-40-1 ATS the last 60 games played at home, 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -128 | 54 h 14 m | Show |
Arizona. MNF GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 130. 5:15 pm pst. This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Bills v. Bucs -3.5 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 33 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay. HR play. Game 126. 1:25 pm pst. This is the time of year when cream rises to the top in the NFL. Over the course of the week, I keep hearing one thing. The Bills are a very good road team. Looking closely at their away record, they beat the Dolphins and the disappointing Chiefs, lost to the Titans, lost to the Jaguars, then beat two last-place doormats in the Jets and Saints. Now they must travel to Tampa to take on a Bucs team that has won and covered three straight. Tom Brady will dissect and decimate the overworked and overrated Buffalo defense here. On the flipside, Josh Allen is in for a long day lining up against a Tampa Bay “D” that is back at full strength and ranks 2nd against the rush. Without a successful ground game to crutch on, Allen is going to be a sitting duck here. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home, 12-3-2 L17 games played in the month of December, and 5-2 L7 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Lions v. Broncos UNDER 42.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Under in the Lions/Broncos matchup. LVSM play. Game 121/122. 1:05 pm pst. These two teams have combined to play six overs and 18 unders in the 2021 season. When you match up two offenses that combine for a dismal 36.7 PPG, expect a low-scoring affair. The Broncos defense is top-10 in every major category while the Lions “D” has vastly improved over the last month (18.0 PPG allowed last four games). The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five games played on the road and 5-1 in Denver’s last six games played at home. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Saints -5 v. Jets | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans. CONSENSUS play. Game 107. 10:00 am pst. Riding a five-game SU slide, if the Saints are going to salvage their season and save head coach, Sean Payton’s job, they must win here. No matter who is under center, New Orleans is expected to see the return of running back, Alvin Kamara and a few other key players. Let’s be honest, facing the 32nd ranked scoring defense of New York would remedy any offenses ailments. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS loss and 17-8 ATS the last 25 games played as a road favorite. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 0-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
Under in the Jaguars/Titans. AFC SOUTH TOTAL of the Month. Games 111/112. 10:00 am pst. Ever since running back, Derrick Henry went down, so did the Tennessee offense. They went from scoring 34, to 28, to 23, to just 13 points each of the last two outings. Granted, Jacksonville accounts for a mere 15.0 PPG. With both the Titans and the Jaguars struggling to cross the goal line. I doubt this will be a high-scoring contest. As a matter of fact, the scorekeeper can probably take a nap here. The under is 5-2 in the Titans last seven games played at home and 10-1 in the Jaguars last 11 games played overall. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-12-21 | Cowboys -4 v. Washington Football Team | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
Dallas. NFC EAST BB. Game 117. 10:00 am pst. The general public moved on the WFT team early this week because they have won and covered four in a row. But they will not be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with Dallas’ high-flying “O”. The Cowboys got back a few key cogs in the wheel on both sides of the line of scrimmage last week when they beat New Orleans on the road, 27-17. Dak Prescott and the 4th ranked aerial assault will shred the WFT’s 30th ranked pass defense. Throw in the mix the stellar 6th ranked rushing attack controlling the clock and the tempo and the Cowboys are going to hand the WFT and general public a big loss here. Dallas is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-11-21 | Navy v. Army -6.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Army. Game 104. 12:00 pm pst. QUESTION: What do you get when you match up two of the best rushing attacks in the nation that neither throws the ball? ANSWER: 15 straight unders WOW! But the lowest total (34.5) that there has been in at least a decade, oddsmakers have made a pre-empted strike here guys. I don’t know about the total folks. But I do know that Army has faced and beaten better teams this season. And they score 15 PPG more and allow about 7 PPG less than Navy. The Black Knights are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of December, and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. nonconference foes. The Midshipmen are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. INDEP and 0-6 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference opponents. |
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12-09-21 | Steelers +3 v. Vikings | 28-36 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Steelers. TNW. Game 101. 5:20 pm pst. Minnesota is struggling. With back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Detroit, things have gone from bad to worse for the team. To add insult to injury (no pun intended), OT, Darrisaw and WR, Thielen will be sidelined here. Their only true offensive weapon, RB, Cook (check status) is questionable. Defensively, the Vikings have gotten plowed, allowing a total of 94 points the last three contests. Pittsburgh’s numbers aren’t too much more impressive. But QB, Roethlisberger (check statis) is most-likely playing and with the team coming off a win against rival Baltimore, the come in here with some momentum. The Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS the last 54 games played as a ‘dog and 13-5 ATS the last 18 games played as a road underdog. The Vikings are 2-7 ATS the last nine games played at home and 1-9 ATS the last 10 games played as a fav. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Patriots. MNF Winner. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Guys the Bills are a very good team. But they are not a great team. At least not yet. Not crazy about the coaching staff and not crazy about the quarterback. The staff has made some poor late-game decisions and Allen, he has the physical talent, but guys, he’s a lunkhead. He takes too many unnecessary chances. Bill Belichick and his coaching staff knows this and will throw a lot of different schemes at him, shake him up, and force turnovers. The Patriots “D” rank No.1 in the NFL, allowing just 15.8 PPG and as importantly, have snagged 25 takeaways. Mac Jones is not, I repeat, is not a lunkhead. Apparently, you get a much better education in Alabama than you can in Wyoming. Guys every game he matures more and more and he has the confidence of six straight wins and for us we have the confidence of six straight covers. Not only that but New England also has the luxury of an ever-improving running game to keep the Buffalo defense honest. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the AFC while the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. I like New England outright here. But I will take the points anyway. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | 49ers -3 v. Seahawks | 23-30 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
49ers. LVSM play. Game 473. 1:25 pm pst. Very simply, San Francisco is starting to heat up while Seattle is as cold as ice. One team has won and covered three straight while the other has not. Jimmy Garoppolo has the 49ers offense purring like a 57’ Chevy. They have accounted for over 95 points during their three-game hot streak. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson and the dismal Seahawks (lack of) offense has tallied a total of 28 points over their three-game skid. Look for the NFL’s 6th ranked rushing attack to exploit the 23rd ranked run defense and allow Jimmy G to open up the passing game. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road favorite. Seattle is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC West. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 54 m | Show | |
Under in the Vikings/Lions matchup. NFC NORTH TOM. Games 451/452. 10:00 am pst. The Lions are trying everything they can to earn their first victory, playing extremely competitive in four of their last five outings. Their lack of offense along with their scrappy defense has resulted in playing to eight unders over their last nine games. The Vikings lost their only true offensive weapon in running back, Dalvin Cook. The under is 11-5 the last 16 meetings in this series. Take the under. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 37 h 46 m | Show |
Eagles. HR play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa v. Michigan -10.5 | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
Michigan. Game 322. 5:00 pm pst. Guys, with all respect to Iowa, they more or less got to the conference championship sneaking through the back door. Yes, they are 10-2, I am not looking to take away anything from that. However, Michigan, not only did they get here coming through the front door, they kicked the damn door in. They demoralized Ohio State last week. As a matter of fact, since their sole loss of the season to MSU, they’ve rattled off four straight wins and covers. As good as the Hawkeyes defense is, the Wolverines “D” is even better. This is going to play a huge part here folks as Iowa’s offense is stagnant. They own some of the ugliest numbers in college football. On the other hand, Michigan is 20th in total yards, 13th in scoring, owns a solid passing attack, and the nation’s 10th ranked running game. The Hawkeye’s two losses (Purdue and Wisconsin) were against two teams that played very aggressive defensively, each holding Iowa to just seven points. The Wolverines will do the same with their stellar stop-unit and offensively with the tandem of combined 2100-yard rushers, Haskins and Corum, will control the clock, the tempo, and wear down the overworked Hawkeyes “D” here. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
Alabama. Game 318. 1:00 pm pst. We all know how good Georgia is. But the Bulldog’s can have a poor showing here or even lose and still own a spot in the CFP. Alabama has a sharper head coach, a better QB, and defensively matches up well against the rush, which is Georgia’s bread and butter. And most of all, thy need the win. The Bulldog’s really haven’t had to face too many well-balanced, aggressive stop-units. ‘Bama has taken six in a row SU in this series. The underdog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 11-3 ATS the last 14 games played following an ATS loss. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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