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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans UNDER 49 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
Under. NFL TOW. Games 457/458. 10:00 am pst. These two head coaches know each other well enough to create smart game plans. I look for this matchup to be a slow-paced game. The Patriots will run, run, run the ball, eating away clock. The Under is 13-6 in the Patriots last 19 vs. losers and 4-1 in the Texans last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Steelers -10 v. Jaguars | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. RA. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. A few angles here I urge you not to get caught by. First, don’t fall in to the trap of judging a team solely from their last outing. Sure, the Jaguars made a nice showing in last week’s 4-point loss and cover to the Packers. But, rookie quarterback, Jake Luton is in for the longest day of his football career here as lines up against the stout, 3rd ranked (19.0 PPG allowed) Steelers defense. Second angle, there’s also no need to put stock into the fact that Pittsburgh has Baltimore on deck on Thanksgiving Day, they are focused. The 4th ranked Steelers offense (30.1 PPG) is going to shred the Jags 31st ranked “D” (30.1 PPG allowed). The road team is 5-0-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS the last five vs, the AFC. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the AFC. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10.5 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 18 m | Show | |
Auburn. SEC GOM. Game 416. 4:00 pm pst
Both teams were on a streak prior to a small Covid-19 hiatus. Tennessee is on a four-game loss and no cover streak while Auburn won and covered their last two outings. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that those four Vols losses were all by double-digits (11, 21, 24, 23 points). Bo Nix has led the Tigers offense with confidence making zero miscues the last several outings. The quarterback can rely on running back, Tank Bigsby (114.2 yards per game the last four) to keep the UT defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Volunteers have had trouble scoring (20.7 PPG) against just about every opponent, especially when facing the tougher SEC foes. And the Tigers own a tough “D”. The last time these two teams met, Tennessee prevailed, 30-24 as a 14.5-point underdog. Auburn hasn’t forgotten that stinging loss and will exact their revenge here. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS the last six following a bye week, 10-3 ATS the last 13 as a home favorite, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | San Diego State v. Nevada +1.5 | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
Nevada. GI. Game 388. 12:30 pm pst. Dillon Gabriel is putting up numbers not seen in Reno since Colin Kaepernick reined. Playing on their home field is a big edge for any MWC team. Not only that but SDSU is a one-dimensional offense and Nevada matches up very well on the stop side of the ball and will contain the Aztecs offense. The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS the last eight in conference play. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | UCLA v. Oregon -17 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -114 | 27 h 12 m | Show |
Oregon. 10 STAR WINNER Game 332. 7:30 pm pst. Chip Kelly returns to the stadium and the team he helped build. As the head coach of the Oregon Ducks, he racked up a 46-7 record, won the Pac-12 a few times, went to two Rose Bowls, a National Championship game, and a Fiesta Bowl. After a short stint in the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles and the San Francisco 49ers, he went back to the college football ranks to coach the UCLA Bruins. The team is just 1-1 this season and if you ask me, the offense relies a bit too much on their mediocre quarterback, Dorian Thompson-Robinson. He’s got some talent but makes a lot of mistakes. It seems that once again, the Bruins can not defend the run at all. Well sports fans, in comes the juggernaut which is the Oregon Ducks ground assault. Through just two outings already, Oregon ranks 6th in the nation in rushing, donning three 100+ yard ballcarriers. Quarterback, Tyler Shough is the next big name in the Pac-12. This kid is a stud, folks. Both in the air and on the ground, this dual-threat play-caller can do it all. He will be his own highlight reel in this matchup. UCLA will not have an answer for him. Oregon has taken the last eight meetings in this series SU, going 5-3 ATS. The Bruins are 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 1-3-1 ATS the last five on the road. The Ducks are 5-1 ATS the last six following a SU win, 5-2 ATS the last seven in conference play, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. I figured this game to be around a three touchdown or more blowout guys. My advice is to start working your arms out now because come Saturday you are going to do so many pushups, you won’t be able to count your winnings. QUACK QUACK. Take the Ducks and win. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati -5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 36-33 | Loss | -107 | 77 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati. EIM. Game 343. 12:30 pm pst. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this week and certainly one of the most anticipated in the AAC this season. I have won with the Bearcats four or five times in this column in 2020 and I’m going to ride that train again here. Cincy ranks 7th nationally and must stay undefeated to have a chance at the CFP. Not only are they winning games, they are covering too, riding a four game ATS streak. Central Florida does score a bit more behind college football’s top-ranked passing units and also owns the top “O” in total yards. Their two losses happened in two shootouts with Tulsa and Memphis. They have yet to face a defense as ferocious and well-balanced as they will here. The Bearcats stop-unit allows a mere 12.4 PPG and has snagged 12 turnovers. The defense will contain the UCF offense. Expect Cincinnati havoc-wreaker, DE Myjai Sanders (five sacks) to get to UCF quarterback, Dillon Gabriel and force mistakes. The Knights are 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play and 1-6 ATS the last seven at home. Under a TD is a gift.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-21-20 | Indiana +21 v. Ohio State | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
Indiana. TD play. Game 357. 9:00 am pst. Giving a team that is 4-0 both SU and ATS with wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State, nearly three touchdowns astounds me. Yes, Ohio State is one of the most-well-balanced teams in the nation. But, they, knowing how good Indiana is playing, will come in here with a conservative game plan as not to make mistakes. The Hoosiers have momentum and are 7-2 ATS the last nine meetings with the Buckeyes. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 52-44 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
CMU. WWW. Game 314. 4:00 pm pst. Jim McElwain and his Chippewas team are looking a bit sharper at this point in the season, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. The Broncos are 2-7 ATS L9 on the road and 4-17 ATS L21 following an ATS win. The Chippewas are 7-1 ATS L8 at home and 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-16-20 | Vikings -3 v. Bears | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Minnesota, after two consecutive victories, can put themselves back in the playoff race and pick up a full game on the NFC North 2nd place Chicago team here. Since Dalvin Cook has returned, the Minny offense is starting to roll. This team is 5-1 ATS L6 games overall. The Bears are riding a three-game SU losing streak in which they are averaging a mere, 16.6 PPG. They just don't have enough firepower to match the Vikings on the scoreboard here. Minnesota is 8-3 ATS L11in November, 5-2 ATS L7 vs. NFC North and 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Ravens -7 v. Patriots | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -109 | 65 h 23 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. SNGOY. Game 273. 5:20 pm pst. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. For almost two decades, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots have dominated the NFL, making a lot of enemies along the way. Well guys, the Ravens, having never won in five franchise regular season contests in Foxborough, are certainly on that list of enemies. The Baltimore defense, which tops the NFL in scoring (they only allow 17.8 PPG) will completely shut down the lackluster New England offense. But the biggest mismatch you're going to see here is between the league’s No. 1 rushing unit of Baltimore (170.1 YPG) lining up against one of the softest run defenses in football of New England (they rank 25th vs. the rush). The Ravens are 4-1-1ATS L6 at the Patriots, 11-3 ATS L14 vs. the AFC, 7-2 ATS L9 on the road, 6-1 ATS L7 in November, and 13-6 ATS L19 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bengals v. Steelers -7 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh. LVSM. Game 252. 1:25 pm pst. As of posting this game, reports are that Big Ben is most0liekly playing here. After last weeks come from behind win and no cover against the 2-7 Cowboys, the Steelers must come out here and shake off any rust and reaffirm themselves as an AFC elite team. They have a showdown with the Ravens in two weeks and the Bills in four, then to close out the regular-season, they face the Bengals, Colts, and Browns. Pittsburgh needs to get back in sync and boost their confidence. Defensively, they will shut down Cincy. You can expect a big letdown here following a win over Tennessee. They sat idle last week and it won’t benefit them here. The Bengals are 7-20-1 ATS L28 vs. the Steelers. The Steelers are 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 6-2 ATS L8 at home, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Chargers v. Dolphins OVER 48 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show | |
OVER LAC/MIA. TD. Games 277/278. 1:05 pm pst. The Chargers have been competitive in every outing this season. Seven points or less have decided every defeat in 2020. They can put up points on any defense in the NFL., averaging over 25.6 PPG. Tua Time has the Dolphins on the rise, as they are posting over 27.8 PPG. LA is on a five-game OVER streak and they can and will score on the Miami “D” here. The Chargers match up well in this one. The Dolphins will also light up the scoreboard on a “D” that’s getting burned for over 27.0 PPG. The OVER is 7-1 in LA’s L8 on the road and 5-2 in Miami’s L7 vs. teams with a losing record. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Bucs -5.5 v. Panthers | 46-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
Buccaneers. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. You can expect Bruce Arians, Tom Brady, and the rest of the Buccaneers to bounce back here from last week’s beatdown. Especially against a division rival. The Panthers are riding a four-game losing streak and it looks like their best offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey is sidelined again (check status). The struggling Carolina offense is in for a long day here facing an angry, 9th-ranked Tampa Bay “D” looking to redeem themselves. The road team is 9-4 ATS L13 meetings. The Buccaneers are 9-2-1 ATS L12 following a double-digit loss at home and 5-2 ATS L7 as a road fav. The Panthers are 4-9-1 ATS L14 vs. the NFC and 1-6-1 ATS L8 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-15-20 | Jaguars v. Packers -13.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
Green Bay. BB. Game 258. 10:00 am pst. With Gardner Minshew II out, the situation with Jacksonville goes from bad to worse. Offensively, they weren’t too much of a threat to begin with. But having to try and contend with Aaron Rodgers and the explosive Green Bay offense is going to be impossible. The Jaguars rank 31st in scoring defense, yielding over 30.96 PPG. Well, in comes the Packers “O” that accounts for over 31.6 PPG. Green Bay, which is tied for the best record on the NFC, has to keep their foot on the gas in this one to hone their skills as they have Indianapolis and Chicago on deck. Of their six victories this season, five have come by double-digits. The Jaguars are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. The Packers are 4-1 ATS L5 at home, 10-3 ATS L13 in Week 10, and 6-2 ATS L8 overall. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | SMU +3 v. Tulsa | Top | 24-28 | Loss | -120 | 41 h 38 m | Show |
Take SMU. AAC GOM. 4:00 pm pst. SMU’s sole defeat this season came against the AAC’s top team and the 7th ranked team in the nation, Cincinnati. Yet again this season, the Mustangs own an explosive offense posting over 40.5 PPG. There are NFL teams that would be envious of their backfield. Quarterback, Shane Buechele (2,581 yards passing, 66.8% completion rate, 20/3) and running back Ulysses Bentley IV (774 yards rushing, 10 touchdowns) are one of the most exciting and talented 1-2 punches in college football. That would be impressive enough for anyone to side with them here. But they are also joined by one of college football’s top receiving corps (13th). The quartet of Rice, Granson, Page, and Gray (126 receptions, 1,801 yards receiving, 14 touchdowns combined) will give the Tulsa secondary nightmares for years to come. The Golden Hurricane is no slouch. But in all reality, they just don’t have the firepower to keep pace offensively here. You can count on Tulsa’s mistake-prone quarterback, Zach Smith to continue his INT streak (he has tossed at least one pick in every game thus far). The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. SMU is 5-2 ATS the last seven at Tulsa and 5-2 ATS the last seven overall. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS the last four as a home fav and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall as a favorite. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -4 | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Tulane. TD. Game 204. 9:00 am pst. We have all heard the saying “Looks can be deceiving.”The Black Knights 6-1 record is impressive. But being impressive on paper and impressive on the field are two totally separate things. On paper, it’s all about statistics. On the field, it’s about who you have played. Let me shed some light on the subject, sports fans. They beat Middle Tennessee State, Louisiana Monroe, Abilene Christian, The Citadel, Texas San Antonio, and Mercer. They weren’t an underdog in any of those matchups. As a matter of fact, the disparity in the opposition was so vast, they were a fav of 24-31 points in four of those outings. Army stepped up in class just once this season and got smoked by Cincinnati, 24-10. And guys, the game wasn’t nearly as close as the score made it look. Tulane has gotten bettors paid, covering five of the last six games coming in to this meeting. Not only that, but they have gone up against much stronger adversaries. Head coach, Willie Fritz has won and covered the last three meetings in this series. He has outcoached and outclassed the BK’s head coach, Jeff Monken. Defensively, once again, the Green Wave owns a tough stop-unit against the run. They rank 35th nationally, yielding only 128.0 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback, Michael Pratt and his tandem of 500-yards rushers, Stephon Huderson and Cameron Carroll possess the firepower to light up the scoreboard here. As importantly, they have the ground game to control the pace, keep the Black Knights defense on the field, and their offense off of it. Army is 1-3-1 ATS the last five vs. the AAC, 2-5 ATS the last seven on the road, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Tulane is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. INDEP, 17-5 ATS the last 22 at home, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a fav. Take the Green Wave. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Miami-Florida. GI. Game 155. 9:00 am pst. 9th-ranked Miami comes in here red-hot and brimming with confidence winning three straight and six of seven overall in 2020. Virginia Tech is banged-up and comes off a loss to Liberty as a 17-point favorite. Dual-threat quarterback, D’Eriq King (1,828 yards passing 16/4 in the air, 406 yards rushing two TD’s on the ground) will decimate the Hokies cardboard defense. On the flipside, V Tech is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying on the run. The ‘Canes have held some solid rushing attacks and will contain this one here. The Hokies are 6-13 ARS L19 as a favorite. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-14-20 | Wake Forest +13.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 53 h 42 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. EIM. Game 149. 9:00 am pst.
You’d be hard-pressed to find a team that is more Jekyll and Hyde than the Tar Heels. Consistency is important in both football and in sports betting. And, one thing for sure, the Demon Deacons have been a consistent moneymaker, covering five of six outings this season. Wake Forest has been competitive in every contest on the campaign, including an opening-season loss, which they covered to Clemson. Smart and savvy Wake quarterback, Sam Hartman (1,253 yards passing, 62% completion rate, 4/0) doesn’t make mistakes, nor does the rest of the offensive unit (one turnover through six games). As a matter of fact, the team is +14 in turnover margin. Not bad for a squad that puts up over 37.0 PPG. Giving a clever head coach like Dave Clawson two touchdowns is a mistake. The Demon Deacons are 11-4 ATS the last 15 as a road ‘dog. The Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS the lasts seven following an ATS win. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan -7.5 v. Northern Illinois | 40-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
CMU Game 155. 5:00 pm pst. CMU thrashed Ball State last year, 48-10 to give the team their sixth consecutive ATS cover over their conference rival. NIU starts five freshmen on defense. Chippewas head coach, Jim McElwain is one of the sharpest minds in college football today and will exploit the inexperienced stop-unit here. CMU is 19-6-2 ATS L27 as a road favorite, 5-1 ATS L6 overall as a favorite, 4-1 ATS L5 in conference play, and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9.5 v. Ball State | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
EMU. Game 117. 4:00 pm pst. Too many points to lay for a BSU team that can’t lay wood, especially at home where they are 6-15 ATS the L21 in the role as a home fav. As a matter of fact, the Cardinals are a dismal, 12-25 ATS L27 overall when playing host. EMU is a very game team, covering four of the L5 coming in to this matchup and outside of last season’s six-point loss, they took the previous three meetings in this series both SU and ATS. The Eagles are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Cardinals and 23-7 ATS L30 as an underdog. Take EMU. Thank you. |
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11-09-20 | Patriots -7 v. Jets | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Take NE. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bill Belichick and his Patriots team have dropped four in a row SU. This is a real opportunity for the storied coach and his successful squad to show some pride and give both the team and the fans something to feel good about. New England is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 22-7 ATS L29 vs. losers. New York is 1-5 ATS L6 vs. AFC and 1-7 ATS L8 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs OVER 50.5 | Top | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 5 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the NO/TB matchup. This is my NFC SOUTH TOM. Games 473/474. 5:20 pm pst. Last week’s win and cover on a windy Cleveland field showed me that Derek Carr and the Las Vegas team has some spunk, my friends. L.A., let’s be honest, they have been competitive in every game this season, every game. Both offenses will pass the ball with great efficiency against each other’s “less than stellar” secondaries. I also see both squads moving the chains on the ground here. Prior to last week, every other outing this season for the Raiders has gone OVER the total, while the Chargers enter this contest riding a four-game OVER streak. Watch this game fly over the total and watch your bankroll get bigger. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 18 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my BB. Game 472. 1:25 pm pst. No question, “Tua Time” is exciting for football. But, last week, the Dolphins were outgained, 471-145. The rookie QB now faces the experiences and hungry 9th ranked defense in the NFL. The Cardinals had a bye week last week, so they had time to rest and prepare for Tua here. ‘Zona and their 2nd ranked ground attack will decimate the overmatched Miami “D”. Kyler Murray and Kenyan Drake are an explosive duo. The Cards are 7-1 ATS L8 in week 9, 4-1-1 ATS L6 following a SU win, and 7-2-1 ATS L10 overall. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Seahawks -3 v. Bills | 34-44 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my HR play. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. If you don’t count their outings against the Jets and Pats, the Bills are giving up 30.2 PPG. In comes the top-scoring team (34-3 PPG) in the NFL. Buffalo has played three good teams in 2020, getting thumped by the Titans, outgained by 260 yards by the Chiefs, and got bailed out by the refs to eke out a win over the Rams. Seattle, which is 5-2 ATS this season, has too much firepower offensively behind Russell Wilson (2,151 YP, 71.5% CR, 26/6). By the way, the team has won 10 in a row SU playing in Eastern Time Zone, going 8-1-1 ATS. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Bears +6.5 v. Titans | 17-24 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my SMP. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. A few weeks ago, these two teams were a combined, 10-1. They are now 10-5. But Chicago covers, going 3-1 ATS L4 games. Tennessee has crushed bettors, covering just twice since mid-January (2-6 ATS run). The Titans offense revolves solely around the running game. The Bears own one of the NFL’s best stop-units. They will contain the rush while their stellar LB corps get to the flat-footed, Ryan Tannehill. Chicago is 5-2 ATS L7 as a ‘dog. Tennessee is 1-5 ATS L6 as a fav. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-08-20 | Lions v. Vikings -4 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 6 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my TD play. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. I feel this line is off several points, folks. The Vikings should be closer to a TD favorite. This game is do-or-die for them to turn their regular-season around and make a run at the postseason. Sure, the Vikings pass defense leaves a lot to be desired. But, with Matthew Stafford’s status up in the air (he’s eligible to play if tests negative five straight days), either way, the Detroit team will be distracted and out of sync. The Vikings are an entirely different team with Dalvin Cook on the field, s the Packers found out last week (3 rushing TD’s, 1 receiving TD). The Lions rank 23rd in run defense and 26th overall in scoring, giving up 29.4 PPG. With Cook in the backfield, it also allows Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game. And he will, guys. Detroit has lost and failed to cover five straight in this series, is 4-1 L14 vs. the NFC, and 5-13 L18 overall Minnesota is 7-3 L10 in November, 19-9-1 L29 vs. losers, and 38-18-1 L57 at home. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Oregon State. This is my Pac-12 Payday. Game 362. 7:30 pm pst. Oregon State is a moneymaker, riding a 9-2 ATS streak. Washington State lost their QB and their three top receivers from a unit that ranked No.1 in the nation in passing a season ago. They really don’t seem to have the tools to come near duplicating those stats. The Beavers have a good defense, and a very good rushing attack. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS L5 in November and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -6.5 | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 60 m | Show |
Take FAU. This is my BB play. Game 396. 3:00 pm pst. Western Kentucky covered just one game by a half-point since last November. The Hilltoppers now rank towards the bottom in every major offensive category (106th total yards, 101st passing yards, 91st rushing yards, 105th scoring, 115th turnovers). Things will go from bad to worse facing an Owls defense that allows a mere, 13.3 PPG. They have also won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ARS L6 at home, 6-2 ATS L8 in November, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take FAU. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Houston v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 72 h 27 m | Show |
We cashed in with the Bearcats last week here in the and once again this week, we will do it again. Cincinnati is a perfect, 5-0 in 2020. For the next month, this team faces four AAC creampuffs until their season-finale against the other undefeated conference rep, Tulsa. They must keep their engine revved for both style points and as not to get stale. They catch an overrated Houston team here that has stepped up in class three times this season, and as a result went 0-3 both SU and ATS (Navy, BYU, UCF). The Cougar defense is getting burned for over 34.8 PPG. In comes Desmond Ridder and the high-flying Bearcats “O” (39.6 PPG). That would be enough. But the Houston offense is going to get stuffed by the nation’s 7th raked stop unit of Cincy (12.0 PPG allowed). The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Fresno State -11 v. UNLV | 40-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my NL. Game 363. 12:30 pm pst. This just might be the worst UNLV squad I have seen in decades. They have already suffered two beatings at the hands of San Diego State and Nevada. They really don’t possess and physicality and are once again going to be manhandled here. Fresno State, which has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, showed an enormous amount of heart, as they bounced back from an opening-season loss to Hawaii, to shellack Colorado State last week. With very little threat of a pass rush and a lax secondary, look for improved Bulldogs quarterback Jake Haener to have a career day here against the Rebels. Fresno State is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on the road, 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 in conference play, and 33-16-2 the last 51 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -37.5 | 9-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Oklahoma. This is my GI play. Game 372. 12:30 pm pst. Without an undefeated team and because two of the one-loss reps are facing each other this week, Oklahoma has a real chance to rise in the conference standings. They need victories, big victories. Facing a team that accounts for just 16.2 PPG while yielding 46.2 PPG can also give the Sooners the well-needed style points they need. The 0-6 ATS Jayhawks just can’t get withing a slew of TD’s against any foe. FYI, this team started to look like the team they are known to be last week when a few key players returned to their offensive unit. The home team is 7-2 ATS L9 meetings. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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11-07-20 | Nebraska v. Northwestern -3.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
Take NW. This is my ETVGW. Game 380. 9;00 am pst. Northwestern isn’t just a good football team, they are also believing they are a good football team. The thumped Maryland 43-3 then came from a 17-point deficit to beat Iowa in Iowa last week. The Nebraska team is shaky, particularly on defense. Well, NW possesses a very well-balanced offense that will steamroll here. The Cornhuskers are 2-6-1 ATS L9 meetings in this series, 15 ATS L6 on the road, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-06-20 | San Jose State v. San Diego State -7.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Take SD STATE. This is my FNL play. Game 312. 6:00 pm pst. Two 2-0 (SU and ATS) MWC teams square off here. SJ State has a solid passing game but facing the SD State defense will change all that. The Aztecs have not allowed an opponent to score more than 23 points since the end of the 2018-2019 campaign. That includes such foes as UCLA, CSU, Wyoming, Nevada, FSU, Hawaii, BYU, and yes, even SJ State. As a matter of fact, they have taken seven in a row SU in this series, going 5-2 ATS. QB, Baker (300 YP, 3/0) and his quartet of ball-carriers, Bell, Bell, Byrd, and Williams, who each have over 100 yards rushing already (combined for 626 YR, six TD’s in 2020) will shred he inferior SJ State defense, which is certainly stepping up in class here. The Spartans “D” got scorched a season ago for over 444.6 YPG, and ranked 125th vs. the rush. The Aztecs are 4-0 ATS L4 at home, 7-3 ATS L10 on Friday, and 4-0 ATS L4 overall. Take San Diego State. Thank you. |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Colorado State (0-2 SU) did play two tough defenses in BSU and FSU. But, Wyoming also has a pretty darn tough “D”. Whoever head coach, Stave Addazio puts at the quarterback slot, it will be a moot point. The Rams just do not have the talent to score points on strong defensive units. Especially without a true ball-carrier. Wyoming bounced back from their season-opening loss to Nevada to downright terrorize Hawaii last week. The Cowboys have a smart quarterback and by far the best athlete on this field tonight, in dual-threat running back, Xazavian Vallady. A 1000-yard rusher last year, Vallady already has 250 yards rushing and 76 yards receiving this year. Outside of their 2020 opener, Wyoming has held every opponent to 22 or less points since the end of the 2018 campaign. They have won and covered the last four meetings in this series, are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-1 ATS l6as a road fav. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-04-20 | Ohio v. Central Michigan +2 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
CMU, which had a good regular season a year ago isn’t too worried on offense. They return a ton of talent on that side of the ball. There is some question though on defense, where they lost several starters. But, in this conference, as we all know, it’s about offense, offense, offense and how many points you can put on the board. Ohio took a hit on offense, defense, and Special teams, including the loss of seven all conference selections. I mean guys, this is a team that really lost their entire top layer of talent. The Chippewas have won and covered the L4 meetings in this series and are 6-1 the L7 at home. The Bobcats are 3-7 both the L10 on field turf and overall. When a season begins, you have to side with the team with proven playmakers…and that’s CMU. Take the Chippewas. Thank you. |
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11-02-20 | Bucs -10.5 v. Giants | Top | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 25 m | Show |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my MNF GOM. Game 273. 5:15 pm pst. One of the NFL's top-scoring teams faces one of its lowest scoring here. Tampa Bay accounts for over 31.7 PPG as Tom Brady is putting up MVP numbers (1,910 YP, 18/4). He will decimate the New York secondary here. On the flipside, the Giants account for 17.4 PPG and might not touch the end zone here let alone the scoreboard. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS L7 on the road. The Giants are 6-20-1 ATS L27 at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Saints v. Bears +5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 53 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TD play. Game 268. 1:25 pm pst. Don't judge New Orleans from last week's performance against a depleted, Carolina secondary. Drew Brees must face one of the NFL's stingiest pass defenses here, Overall, Chicago yields only 20.0 PPG. Coming off a poor showing on MNF, expect Nick Foles and the Bears offense to put up points against a Saints "D" that has gotten scorched for 26, 26, 34, 37, 29, 27, and 24 points. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. winners and 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win. Chicago is 12-4-1 ATS L17 as a 'dog and 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | 49ers +3 v. Seahawks | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 46 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my NFC WEST MM play. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst. While Seattle sports a 5-1 record, take note that four of their five wins have come by single-digits. As a matter of fact, 15 of their last 17 W's are by single-digits. San Francisco is getting healthier and improving because of it. Jimmy G is one of the best in the NFL at play-action work and the Seattle "D" ranks 24th, yielding 28.7 PPG. The 49ers have a ground attack to keep the Seahawks honest. Defensively, San Fran matches up well here. They are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 7-1 ATS L8 as a 'dog, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. winners, and 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the NFC. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -6 | 28-22 | Loss | -106 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. These two teams aren't heading in opposite directions, they are as far away from one another as the North and South Poles. Minnesota sports a 1-5 SU record, going 3-3 ATS, while Green Bay is 5-1, both SU and ATS. The Packers have dominated the series, taking three consecutive meetings SU and ATS, including a September 13, 43-34 victory in which Aaron Rodgers scorched the Vikings secondary for 364 Yards passing and four TD's. The future Hall of Famer also has something he hasn't had too often in his career, and that's a stable of solid ball-carriers. The ground game will keep the Minny defense honest while Rogers hooks up often with his stellar receiver, Davante Adams. the Vikings (lack of) defense ranks 30th, yielding 32.0 PPG. Well, the Packers "O" ranks 2nd in scoring (32.8 PPG) and doesn't make very many mistakes, ranking 1st in the NFL with only two TO's. Look for the struggling Kirk Cousins to force plays here and add to his whopping 10 INT's. Minnesota is 3-8 ATS L11 in Green Bay, 1-5 ATS L6 on grass, and 7-15 ATS L22 vs. winners. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS l4 at home, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC North, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals OVER 52 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Titans/Bengals matchup. This is my CONSENSUS PLAY. Games 257/258. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee enters this matchup having played five consecutive OVERS while Cincy's last two outings have gone OVER the total. The Titans come off their first loss of the season and the NFL's 4th ranked scoring offense (31.3 PPG) will certainly look to exploit a Bengals "D" that has been smoked for 23 or more points in six straight outings. Derrick Henry will run amok here. Joe Burrow set a rookie record last week with 406 YP and three TD's. he's got the talent and the confidence to beat the 26th ranked pass defense of Tennessee. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Jets v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 9-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Jets/Chiefs matchup. This is my SMART MONEY PLAY. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. At 0-7, the Jets are done for the season and are looking at draft day already. Their offense averages just 12.1 PPG and have mustered a dismal, 20 combined points over the last three weeks. Don't expect too much here as they face a Chiefs "D" that is getting better since their loss to the Raiders. KC also knows that they have this game in the bag and will play conservative as to not make any mistakes or suffer any injuries. The UNDER is 8-3 in the Jets L11 vs. the AFC and two of the L3 meetings in this series have gone UNDER the total. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my HR play. Game 282. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore had a bye last week to rest, heal, and prepare. This is a perfect matchup for the superstar, Lamar Jackson to do what he does best, and that's make big plays on the fly. While the Pittsburgh defense is very good, they have given up points to some less than stellar NFL offenses. The league's top-scoring "D" of the Ravens have made a meal out of Steelers QB's in three of the last four meetings. Pittsburgh is 3-7-1 ATS L11 meetings in this series. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 in November, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. the AFC North, and 12-5 ATS L17 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-01-20 | Raiders v. Browns OVER 50.5 | Top | 16-6 | Loss | -102 | 50 h 38 m | Show |
Take OVER in the Raiders/Browns matchup. This is my TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 259/260. 10:00 am pst. 20 MPH winds or not, these two teams have combined to play 10 OVERS, two UNDERS, and one PUSH this season. Both offenses are putting up points (57.3 PPG combined). And both defense are among the worst in the NFL, getting burned for a combined, 64.4 PPG. Each defense also possesses two of the poorest and most-beatable secondary's we have seen in 2020. Derek Carr is gaining confidence to continue his success in the air, while Baker Mayfield impressed once again last week, tossing five TD's after OBJ went down. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the Raiders L6 overall and 7-0 in the Browns L7 as a favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | San Diego State -7.5 v. Utah State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 45 h 15 m | Show | |
Take SD STATE. This is my NL. Game 143. 6:30 pm pst. Right about now, Aggies head coach, Gary Andersen is wishing current Green Bay Packers backup quarterback, Jordan Love was still sporting a Utah State uniform. The team mustered a lowly 92 passing yards (203 total yards) in their season-opening 42-13at Boise State. Things will go from bad to worse here as new starter, 5'11, 200 lb., Jason Shelley has to line up against the unorthodox, 3-3-5 stop-unit. You can expect a heavy dose of the Aztecs gang of ball-carriers to control the tempo here and take no prisoners. An added factor to further motivate San Diego State is revenge. After winning and covering the three previous meetings, they lost last year's matchup. The Aztecs are 7-2 ATS the last nine as a favorite and 4-1 ATS the last five in October. Take San Diego State. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | North Carolina -6.5 v. Virginia | 41-44 | Loss | -130 | 44 h 1 m | Show | |
Take UNC. This is my HR. Game 113. 5:00 pm pst. Virginia and their lackluster offense (23.8 PPG) can not match the mighty North Carolina "O" (37.8 PPG) score for score. The Tar Heels have too much firepower and come in here with confidence after crushing the Wolf Pack last week, 48-21. They are also motivated by triple-revenge. UNC has the far superior squad and they know it. The road team is 5-1 ATS L6 meetings. UNC is 4-1 ATS L5 at UVA, 5-1 ATS L6 on grass, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, 7-2 ATS L9 as a fav, and 6-2 ATS L8 overall. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Texas +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Texas. Game 163. 1:00 am pst. With RB, Chuba Hubbard looking mortal this season and the fact that Sam Ehlinger is a BIG GAME QB, taking the points in this rivalry matchup between two teams that know each other well is a gift. The road team is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | TCU v. Baylor +3 | 33-23 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Baylor. This is my SMP. Game 176. 12:30 pm pst. On both sides of the ball, Baylor has better number, bigger playmakers, and are playing at home. Don’t get caught in a trap here by the odds makers. The Bears have played very competitive against some very tough opponents and step down in class here for sure. Giving them a FG at home is a mistake. The Horned Frogs are 11-26 ATS L37 on grass, 7-17 ATS L24 in conference play, and 10-29 ATS L39 as a favorite. The Bears are 4-0 ATS L4 on grass, 6-1-1 ATS L8 in conference play, and 8-1-1 ATS L10 as an underdog. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Kansas State +6 v. West Virginia | 10-37 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Take K state. This is my LATE INFO. Game 117. 9:00 am pst. Kansas State is currently a 3.5-point underdog as they visit West Virginia. Sometimes you must be cautious in a look-ahead situation. K State has a showdown with the only other unbeaten Big 12 rep, Oklahoma State next game. But, this is a team riding a four-game win and cover streak. As a matter of fact, three of those wins came against teams that were superior on paper. Quarterback, Will Howard has led the team to three straight wins in place of injured starter, Skylar Thompson. West Virginia, which was supposed to be known for their defense, is looking very beatable. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS L5 on the road. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 36 h 51 m | Show |
Take Cincinnati. This is my GOM. Game 138. 9:00 am pst. Cincinnati has been plowing through opponents en route to a 4-0 start. Granted, they've faced a few powder-puffs, but last Saturday's 42-13 thumping of SMU as a 1-point 'dog has confirmed this team is a force to be reckoned with. This is a very healthy team led by dual-threat quarterback, Desmond Ridder on offense. Defensively, the Bearcats have held their last three foes to a combined, 30 points, containing the Black Knights ground assault and completely shutting down the SMU potent attack. Memphis, which has only covered once since last November (1-6 ATS run) is going to sorely miss their most productive and experienced receiver, Damonte Coxie here (left this week to enter the draft). The Tigers "D" is getting burned for over 33.0 PPG this season. Memphis is 2-8 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 1-4 ATS the last five in conference play, and 0-5 ATS the last five as a road 'dog.Under a TD is a winner.Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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10-30-20 | East Carolina v. Tulsa -16.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Tulsa. This is my FNL winner. Game 108. 6:00 pm pst. The Golden Hurricanes defense is for real, ranking 15th nationally, allowing just 18.3 PPG. they are equally good against the pass and the rush. Offensively, their ground game is starting to rev up, which doesn't bode well for a Pirates stop-unit that hasn't stopped any runners lately, getting plowed for 12 rushing TD's over the last four games. ECU is 0-4 ATS L4 meetings in this series, 7-17 ATS L24 on the road, 8-20 ATS L28 in October, 4-10 ATS L14 on field turf, and 0-7 ATS L7 on Friday. take Tulsa. Thank you. |
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10-29-20 | Colorado State -1.5 v. Fresno State | 17-38 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
CSU has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU, going 4-2 ATS. You can bet Rams HC, Steve Addazio is going to establish the run again vs. a defense that yielded 323 YR last week while his veteran QB, Pat O'Brien, who threw for 2,803 YP and 13 TD's a season ago, lights up the Bulldogs' defense here. FSU has some QB concerns after Haener tossed three INT's against an unthreatening Hawaii 'D". The rams are 5-0 ATS L5 as a fav, 7-3 ATS L10 in conference play, and 8-2 ATS L10 on Thursday. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS L4 at home, 1-4 ATS L5 in conference play, and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take CSU. Thank you. |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -2 | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Whether Christian McCaffrey is on the field or not, Carolina is still the play here. The Panthers bested the Falcons, 23-16 just a few weeks ago. Teddy Bridgewater will once again (313 YP, 2 TD's in the first game) exploit the lax Atlanta secondary which ranks 31st. The Falcons have found new and improved ways to lose this season and the campaign can't end fast enough for a few big names that are now in trade talks around the league. The Home Team is 11-5 ATS L16 meetings. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS L5 on grass, 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 8-21 ATS L29 in October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. MNF WINNER. Game 475. 5:15 pm pst. Bears QB, Nick Foles rallied Chicago to a 20-26 win against the Falcons in Week 3 and has gone 2-1 as a starter since. The defense, which has held the last three opponents all to 19 points or less, is allowing Foles all the time he needs to get the offense going. All four of the Rams wins this season have come against NFC East foes (Cowboys, Eagles, Giants, WFT), which are a combined, 7-20. Chicago has covered all three road contests in 2020 and has been money against the spread going 4-0 ATS L4 MNF, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the Rams. Take The Bears. Thank you. |
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10-25-20 | Panthers +8.5 v. Saints | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 35 m | Show | |
It's not who wins, it's who covers. And the line here of +7.5 is a gift, sports fans. New Orleans comes off a bye week which will help the aging but still dangerous, Drew Brees. However, the Carolina pass defense is nothing to shake a stick at. They have faced several solid quarterbacks and yet rank 7th, yielding a mere, 218.0 YPG in the air. Teddy Bridgewater ran into a very frustrating, Bears stop-unit last week, however, on the season he has a 70.9 percent completion rate and has tallied 1,676 yards passing. Look for him to bounce back here and produce. These two teams, being in the same division, know each other very well and the Saints are not the team they once were at home, donning a 2-6 ATS mark their L8 games played at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Panthers are 15-5 ATS L20 at the Saints and 4-1 ATS overall L5 vs. the Saints. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys -104 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 3-25 | Loss | -104 | 38 h 27 m | Show |
The Dallas Cowboys were humiliated on MNF, getting thumped by the Arizona Cardinals, 38-10. Don't blame Andy Dalton folks. No, he's not the most athletic guy and he has the mobility of a hot air balloon, but he's smart and experienced. Ezekiel Elliott was stricken with "fumbleitis". And the defense, which is the worst in football (36.3 PPG allowed), spent so much time on the field. Dalton couldn't get any rhythm going. You can bet your bottom dollar, your iron lung, and your cowboy hat (no pun intended) that Jerry Jones read the coaching staff and the team the riot act following this debacle. This is the week the team must turn it around and facing the Washington Football Team is just what the doctor ordered to do just that. The WFT just lost to the previously winless, New York Giants to give the team five consecutive losses in which the average margin of defeat is 12.8 PPG. The pushover Dallas "D" will basically phone it in here as there is no threat from the flat, WFT offense (30th, 18.0 PPG). On the flipside, you can expect a heavy dose of mistake-free ball carrying by Elliott to keep the WFT defense honest. This will allow Dalton to move the chains in the air. Dallas has won and covered the last three meetings in this series and are 5-1 ATS L6 at FedExField. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Air Force -7 v. San Jose State | Top | 6-17 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
Take Air Force. MWC GOM. Game 379. 7:30 pm pst. Air Force has won and covered the last three meetings in this series by an average of 13.6 PPG. San Jose State will once again have no answer for the potent, Air Force triple-option that will control the clock and keep the Spartans defense on the field and gasping for air come the second half. The Falcons are in top-shape as they showed in their 40-7 dismantling over the Middies on October 3. They come in here rested, healed, and focused. The Falcons are 5-1 ATS L6 in conference play, 4-0 ATS L4 in October, and 4-1 ATS L5 overall. Take Air Force. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | West Virginia -3 v. Texas Tech | 27-34 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 26 m | Show | |
Take West Virginia. TD play. Game 355. 2:30 pm pst. These are two teams going in opposite directions. Texas Tech hasn't beaten a conference opponent since early last November. Things go from bad to worse as the Red Raiders give transfer QB, Columbi his first start for the team. West Virginia has won and covered their last two outings, both against league foes. QB, Jarrett Doege (1,042 YP, 8/3) and RB, Leddie Brown (606 YR, 4 TD's) leas a well-balanced attack. Defensively, the Mountaineers own one of the toughest units in the nation. The favorite is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings. Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS L5 and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. West Virginia is 4-1-1 ATS L6 in conference play and 5-1-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Kentucky -4.5 v. Missouri | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
Take Kentucky. TEN DIMES. Game 403. 1:00 pm pst. The 1-2 Missouri Tigers are in a big letdown situation here after eking out a 4-point win over this seasons train wreck, LSU Tigers. But that game was two weeks ago. This team has been idle and will once again show rust. RS frosh QB, Bazelak is in way over his head here as he lines up against a nasty Kentucky "D" that is allowing a mere, 20.0 PPG and has forced a combined 10 TO's the last two weeks in wins and covers over Mississippi State and Tennessee. The Missouri "D" is getting plowed for over 38.0 PPG. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series, 8-2 ATS L10 as a favorite, and 7-0 ATS L7 on field turf. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 in October, 2-8 ATS L10 in conference play, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 59 m | Show |
Take Alabama. Even a Covid-19 scare couldn't stop Nick Saban from beating and beating up a former assistant last week. As Alabama put up 41 points on the highly-touted Georgia defense, Saban took his record against former assistants to 22-0, taking down Kirby Smart. An ex-defensive coordinator, Jeremy Pruitt is in the crosshairs this week as the Crimson Tide face the Volunteers. Mac Jones and Najee Harris lead the nation's second-ranked scoring offense (48.5 PPG). Very few units in college football can match this team score-for-score. Tennessee is not one of those units. They stepped up in class the last two weeks, and the Vols could only muster a combined 28 points in two losses and two no covers vs. the Bulldogs and Wildcats. UT quarterback, Jarrett Guarantano (four TD's/three INT's) just won't be able to move the ball in the air. Especially without the luxury of a true ground game (57th, 134.8 YPG) to keep the 'Bama "D" honest. Saban has owned any UT head coach he's faced since taking the reins at Alabama, winning 13 consecutive meetings SU, and going 9-4 ATS. The Crimson Tide is 8-1 ATS the last nine at the Vols and 6-2 ATS the last eight in October. The Volunteers are 8-18 ARS the last 26 at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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10-24-20 | Kansas v. Kansas State -20 | 14-55 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Kansas State. OM play. Game 360. 9:00 am pst. Wanna' make money? Just keep riding the train against KU until college hoops starts. The only sunlight that shined upon Kansas just got darkened by a cloud. Running back, Pooka Williams has opted out for the season. This doesn't bode well for a Jayhawks team that just can't seem to stay within 21 points of any Big 12 opponent. After a surprising opening-season loss to the feisty Arkansas State teams, Kansas State has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers against teams that appear to be better on paper (Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU). Quarterback, Will Howard will continue to fill in nicely for the injured, Skylar Thompson. The backfield is solid. The receivers are outstanding. And FYI, the Wildcats have not turned the ball over this season. Look for Les Miles' team to sink deeper into the abyss. On both sides of the ball, Kansas is once again in trouble. The Jayhawks are 3-8 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big 12, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. The Wildcats are 9-3 ATS the last 12 following an ATS win, 5-0 ATS the last five in conference play, and 9-3 ATS the last12 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +3 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Take UAB. TV GAME WINNER. Game 310. 5:00 pm pst. UAB is a very talented and healthy team with their only defeat in 2020 coming to Miami-Florida. The offense is putting up points behind a very stout, veteran OL consisting of four seniors. They have yielded just three sacks through five games. ULL does not get a lot of pressure on opposing QB's to begin with (four sacks). The trio of ball-carriers, Brown, McBride, and Brown JR., have combined for over 878 yards rushing and nine TD's. They will keep the ULL defense honest while tandem QB's, Lucero and Johnston III hook up with the dangerous duo of wideouts, Watkins Jr. and Mitchell. The Blazers aggressive "D" (15 sacks) will make it impossible for the Ragin' Cajuns to pass the ball. ULL is 2-6 ATS L8 vs. CUSA, 0-5 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. UAB is 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the Sunbelt, 26-9-1 ATS L36 as a home 'dog, and 9-1 ATS L10 in the month of October. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa -10.5 v. South Florida | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Tulsa. FNL play. Game 307. 4:30 pm pst. Due to the current health situation, Tulsa hasn't played since their 34-26 outright win and cover over UCF as a 20.5-pt underdog on October 3. This is a very well-rested and healthy squad. The Golden Hurricanes offense will shred the porous Bulls "D" that has been burned for over 163 points in their current four-game skid. Look for the talented Tulsa stop-unit (21.0 PPG allowed, 3.5 sacks per game) to steamroll the South Florida OL that has given up 12 sacks just over the last three contests. The Golden Hurricanes have covered three straight, seven of the last eight on the road, and 10 of the last 12 on grass. The Bulls are 4-10 ATS L14 at home. Take Tulsa. Thank you. |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Arkansas State. In this very unique college football campaign, being idle has been fatal to many teams. Mistakes, penalties, and rust has been issues. Well, Appalachian State, which haven't covered since the beginning of December (0-4 ATS L4), haven't played a game in four weeks. The coronavirus has thrown a monkey wrench in to the Mountaineers schedule. This is a very good team, but not having played in a while will hurt them here as they face a Red Wolves squad that has played three games in the month of October with an offense that has erupted for 109 points in the last two weeks, both wins and covers. While the Appalachian State pass defense has been solid, their timing will be off against quarterback, Logan Bonner (938 yards passing, 11/3) and his stellar trio of wideouts, Jonathan Adams Jr., Dahu Green, and Brandon Bowling (86 receptions, 1,232 yards receiving, 16 TD's combined). Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS L5 on field turf, 4-1 ATS L5 as a 'dog, and 5-1 ATS L6 overall. Take the Red Wolves. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals +1 v. Cowboys | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. Andy Dalton takes over the reins for Dallas. He's a capable QB but understand that Cowboys success on offense comes from Prescott's mobility. Dalton has the mobility of a hot air balloon. Looking at the Arizona offense rank fifth in rushing and face the 30th ranked rush defense in football. They will control the clock and the tempo and do what every other opponent has done to the Cowboys, score points on the worst "D" in the NFL. Understand that Dallas is 0-5 SU and just two plays from also being 0-5 ATS. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the Cowboys and 8-2-2 ATS L12 on the road. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS L7 as a favorite and 2-5 ATS L7 at home. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs -5.5 v. Bills | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Take KC. Yes. KC lost last week at home. They are still a force to be reckoned with and know that Buffalo is also a top-rated AFC team and will make an example of them here. The biggest mismatch is between Patrick Mahomes and the NFL's fourth ranked passing unit going up against the 24th ranked pass defense. The Bills have only face one solid opponent this season in the Titans and got blown up by them, 42-16. Look for more of the same here. The Chiefs are 9-2-1 ATS L12 vs. the AFC, 6-0-1 ATS L7 MNF, and 12-3-1 ATS L16 overall. The Bills are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home 'dog, 2-5 ATS L7 in October, and 14-29-2 ATS L45 home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 273. 5:10 pm pst. This is a chance for LA to gain some ground in the division. A rusty Garoppolo must face the NFL's second ranked pass defense here and will be pressured the entire game. On the flipside, San Francisco lost too many key players on :D" to slow down Goff, Henderson Jr., and Kupp. The road team is 4-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. LA is 10-3 ATS L13 on the road, 5-0-1 ATS L6 on grass, and 15-5-1 ATS L21 vs. the NFC. take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my ANNIHILATOR play. Game 271. 1:25 pm pst. Penalties, mistakes, pressure, and injuries are hurting Tampa Bay. Their run defense lost one of the best DL in football in Vita Vea. Expect RB, Jones to gain yards here and keep the Bucs "D" honest while Rodgers opens up the passing game as he sees the return of his favorite target, WR, Adams. The Packers are also healthy on the defensive side of the ball and the ever improving stop unit will pressure Brady. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS this season, 4-0 ARS L4 vs. the NFC, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. winners, and 5-1 ATS L6 in October. Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS L8 following a SU loss, 3-8 ATS L11 vs. the NFC, 0-5-1 ATS L6 vs. winners, and 1-7-2 ATS L10 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers UNDER 45 | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/PANTHERS matchup. This is my LVSM. Games 251/252. 10:00 am pst. Both teams match up well here. Neither Foles nor Bridgewater has the luxury of a true running threat. Both defenses are excellent against the pass while both offenses rank in the bottom third in scoring. The Bears come in here playing two straight UNDERS and the Panthers three straight UNDERS. The UNDER is 18-8 in Chicago's L26 overall and 17-4 in their L21 on grass. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 40-23 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my BB play. Game 256. 10:00 am pst. Dalvin Cook is out. But, Minny backup, Alexander Mattison is solid and will reach the century mark here, allowing QB, Kirk Cousins to open up the passing game against the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense. The Vikings have won four in a row over the Falcons, both SU and ATS. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the NFC and 7-20 ATS L27 in October. Minnesota is 38-17-1 ATS L56 at home and 10-2-1 ATS L13 in October. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers OVER 51 | 7-38 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Cleveland/Pittsburgh matchup. This is my AFC NORTH TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 261/262. 10:00 am pst. Both teams are winning at a combined, 9-1 and both offenses are rolling, averaging a combined, 60.7 PPG. Look for the Browns to move the ball on the ground while the Steelers in the air. These two teams are a combined 7-2 in OVERS this season. The OVER is 5-1 in the Browns L6 on grass and 16-5 in the Steelers L21 as a home favorite. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my HR play. Game 262. 10:00 am pst. Both offenses are starting to roll. Cleveland owns one of the best rushing units in football. However, Pittsburgh ranks second in the NFL vs. the rush and sixth overall in scoring. The ferocious, Steelers stop unit will pressure the mistake-prone, Mayfield (four INT's) and force turnovers. Look for Big Ben and his arsenal of receivers, including his new favorite target, Claypool (four TD's) to shred the 30th ranked pass defense of the Browns. The home team is 4-0 ATS L4 meetings in this series. The Steelers are 7-3 ATS L10 vs. the AFC North. The Browns are 1-7 ATS L8 on the road. take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-18-20 | Ravens -9.5 v. Eagles | 30-28 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my TD play. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. This is the matchup that the depleted Eagles team is going to sorely miss their injured playmakers. The struggling Philly offense is going to be in for a long day here facing the top-ranked, stingy Ravens "D" (15.2 PPG allowed). But without several OL, a real deep threat, and a mediocre running game, this contest is going to get ugly. The Ravens are 6-1 ATS L7 on the road, 17-7-1 ATS L25 on grass, and 12-4 ATS L16 overall. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS L7 at home, 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU loss, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Boston College +13 v. Virginia Tech | 14-40 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
Take BC. This is my STL play. Game 112. 5:00 pm pst. Virginia Tech's once feared stop unit has sprung a leak, allowing over 37.0 PPG. Notre Dame transfer, quarterback, Phil Jurkovic is putting up numbers not seen since Matt Ryan was at the helm. More importantly, he is making almost no mistakes. The Eagles won the last two meetings, covering the last three and seven of the last nine. They are also 20-5-1 ATS L26 in conference play and 19-7 ATS L26 as a road 'dog. The Hokies are 4-11 ATS L15 as a favorite and 1-4 ARS L5 overall. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +8 | 28-16 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Take UTSA. This is my OM play. Game 152. 10:30 am pst. This line is way off. Should me much closer to 1.5-3 points. UTSA has played very competitively against better opponents while Army only face one decent team and got crushed (Cincinnati). Their two wins against FBS foes that are a combined 1-9 and their two other victories were against Abilene Christian and The Citadel. The Roadrunners are 5-0 ATS L5 as a 'dog, 5-1 ATS L6 in October, and 8-3 ATS L11 overall. The Black Knights are 6-17 ATS L23 as a road favorite, 1-5 ATS L6 in October, and 16 ATS L7 vs. winners. Take UTSA. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Clemson -27 v. Georgia Tech | 73-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Clemson. This is my TD play. Game 131. 9:00 am pst. Georgia Tech frosh quarterback, Jeff Sims has never faced a defense as complete or as ferocious as Clemson. The Tigers have no problem running up scores against conference foes as they did last week against the Hurricanes, 42-17. Clemson is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 11-3 ATS L14 on the road. Georgia Tech is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners and 2-9 ATS L11 at home. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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10-17-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia -21.5 | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
Take West Virginia. This is my BIG 12 GOM. Game 128. 9:00 am pst. The sad-sack, Kansas team is 0-3, both SU and ATS. As a matter of fact, they have crushed bettors, covering just once since last October (1-6 ATS last seven). Averaging a dismal, 14.7 PPG this season, Kansas is stuck in the past. This doesn't bode well here as they line up against a very progressive, West Virginia Mountaineers team. Head coach, Neal Brown brought over some schemes from his days at Troy and they are starting to pay off. West Virginia comes in here brimming with confidence, after last week's overtime win and cover over Baylor. The offense will steam roll here with Bowling Green-transfer, quarterback, Jarret Doege and running back, Leddie Brown, while the defense shuts down the lackluster, Kansas "O". The Jayhawks are 3-13 ATS the last 16 following a bye week and 1-5 ATS the last six in conference play. Take West Virginia. Thank you. |
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10-16-20 | BYU -4.5 v. Houston | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 10 m | Show | |
The fact that BYU had a close game with a lesser opponent in UTSA this past week, will actually make the BYU Cougars a better team. Perhaps, they have played a bit of a light schedule, but they still have four games under their belt, including three contests over the last three weeks to sharpen their skills. Due to the current health situation, Houston has had to endure four cancellations and one postponement. As expected, in their first outing, the Houston Cougars were rusty, turning the ball over five times against the Tulane Green Wave, which put up whopping 31 points. BYU owns a well-balanced offense that will keep Houston on their toes. Quarterback, Zach Wilson (1,241 yards passing, 8/1) has the offense running like a Swiss clock. This is a huge step up in class for Houston. On the opposite side of the ball, expect BYU to force as many or more turnovers than Tulane did a week ago.BYU is 8-2 ATS the last 10 following an ATS win and 11-5 ATS the last 16 on the road. BYU |
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10-16-20 | SMU -6 v. Tulane | 37-34 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Take SMU. LI MOVE. Game 107. 6:00 est This line is a bit short because SMU lost two offensive starts their last outing. However, the Mustangs are loaded at both the RB and WR positions and have had a week off to prepare here. They have taken five in a row SU in this series, going 4-1 ATS> Tulane lost both AAC matchups this season, blowing leads in both, and failing to cover in both as well. The Green Wave is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. AAC, 2-5 ATS L7 as an underdog, and 2-10 ATS L12 on Friday. Take the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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10-12-20 | Chargers v. Saints OVER 49.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Chargers have not been out of any of their three consecutive losses (all by seven points or less). Look for these two teams to light up the scoreboard in a shootout between 22-year old rookie, Justin Herbert and 41-year old, Drew Brees.The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 4-1 in the Chargers L5 overall, and4-0 in the Saints L 4 overall. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my SNLB. Game 476. 5:20 pm pst. A huge mistake in betting is judging a team solely on their last performance. Minnesota got their first win last week at Houston, which is now 0-4. The Vikings once-feared defense is getting steamrolled for 426.5 YPG and 31.3 PPG. They will not be able to stop or even slow down Russell Wilson and the mighty Seahawks "O", which has put up 31 or more points against every opponent this season. One of the few bright spots for Minnesota has been their running game. Bad news for Minny, Seattle is one of the best teams in the league at stuffing the run. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS L4 at the Seahawks and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. teams with a winning record. The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS L8 following an ATS win and 4-0 ATS L4 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Panthers +1.5 v. Falcons | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my HR. Game 451. 10:00 am pst. Atlanta has found new and improved ways to lose, while their division rivals enter this contest winning and covering their last two outings. Teddy Bridgewater will exploit the NFL's 31st ranked pass defense and further ignite the flame under Dan Quinn's hot seat. Look for the Panthers ball-hawking defense (seven takeaways) to create turnovers. Falcons are 3-7 ATS L10 as a home favorite and 7-19 ATS L26 in the month of October. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Raiders v. Chiefs -11 | 40-32 | Loss | -109 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my NL. Game 454. 10:00 am pst. There's going to be some naysayers out there talking about how this matchup is a storied rivalry with two teams that dislike one another, therefore it will be a tight game. Well, the first part is true. It is a longtime rivalry and they don't like each other at all. As far as the second part, this game is going to get uglier than the MNF hit Lawrence Taylor put on Joe Theismann in '85 to end his career. Patrick Mahomes and the well-balanced Chiefs offense (29.3 PPG) is deserving of all their praise. But, it will be their defense (ranked second, yielding just 17.5 PPG) that will shine here against a Raiders "O" that had problems with both the Patriots and the Bills the last two weeks (both losses and no covers). This is the game that will allow KC to truly separate themselves from the rest of the AFC West. Derek Carr has a career, 0-6 record at Arrowhead Stadium. And, the LV defense, which ranks in the bottom third in every major category (only four sacks and two takeaways) won't be able to slow down Mahomes at all. Las Vegas is 0-4 ATS L4 at Kansas City, 2-7 ATS L9 vs. the AFC, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Kansas City is 8-0-1 ATS L9 at home, 21-8-1 ATS L30 vs. the AFC West, and 18-7-1 ATS L26 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Rams -7 v. Washington Football Team | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
Take LA. This is my ANNIHILATOR PLAY. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Kyle Allenwill be making his first start of the season and must face the improving and very hungry, Rams stop-unit here. The Washington Football Team have no ground game whatsoever. So, the eighth-ranked pass defense of Los Angeles can focus solely on the rusty Allen and the passing game. Look for a heavy dose of tandem ball-carriers, Henderson Jr. and Brown (405 YR, four TD's combined) to attack the very lax, WFT run defense here and open up the passing game for quarterback, Jared Goff (72.1% CR, 1,063 YP, 6/2) and his arsenal of receivers, Kupp, Woods, Higbee, and Reynolds (65 receptions and six TD's combined).This is a chance for LA to put themselves in with the NFC elite. The Rams are 14-4-1 L19 vs. the NFC and 9-3 L12 on the road. WFT is 1-4 L5 vs. the NFC and 2-8 L10 at home. Take LA. Thank you. |
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10-11-20 | Eagles v. Steelers -7 | 29-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my TD play. Game 466. 10:00 am pst. The 3-0 Steelers come in here well-rested after an unscheduled bye week. Big Ben (777 YP, 7/1) and James Conner (224 YR, 2 TD's) will move the chains with ease. But, it will be the fifth-ranked Pittsburgh defense (19.3 PPG allowed) that will wreak havoc on the depleted Philadelphia offensive line and get to the shaky, Carson Wentz (7 INT's) and force mistakes. This is a pass rush that got the mobile, DeShaun Watson five times in their last outing. Wentz would be smart to take out extra life insurance before kickoff. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS L7 at home and 20-7-1 ATS L28 in the month of October.The Eagles are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame -20.5 | Top | 26-42 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 49 m | Show |
Despite some recent health issues for Notre Dame, this game is set to go. I read an interesting column this week claiming that the Seminoles have out recruited the Fighting Irish over the last several seasons. HMM. But since 2017, they are just 19-23 compared to the Notre Dame record of 35-6. That might further motivate Brian Kelly in this one. Mike Norvell named Jordan Travis the starter here. In his three seasons, the quarterback has completed just 21 passes, with two TD's and two INT's. He doesn't have the experience or the savvy to go up against the ferocious Irish "D". But, the real problem FSU faces is on defense. They were manhandled by both Georgia Tech and Miami-Florida (both SU and ATS losses) and looked confused in their win and no cover last week against nobody, Jacksonville State. This doesn't bode well here as they face a very well-balanced Notre Dame "O". Notre Dame doesn't have a tough opponent until November when they face Clemson. So, they must stay sharp here. The Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight on the road and 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 overall. Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS the last 11 at home and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take Notre Dame. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +10 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my OM play. Game 335. 1:00 pm pst. I have been doing this a long time and I can not figure out this line. Yes, Kansas State quarterback, Thompson (check status) is listed as questionable. But, backup, Howard looked like a veteran filling in last week getting an outright win at home vs. Texas Tech. Not only do the Wildcats get the bettors paid as an underdog (22-7 ATS the last 29 in the role) but they have been money in this series, covering four of the last five meetings. The Horned Frogs defense is a far cry from the once-feared unit they were only a few years ago. They have been torched by just about every opponent they have lined up against the last year and change. Kansas State is 4-0 ATS the last four in conference play and 8-3 ATS the last 11 overall. TCU is 7-15 ATS the last 22 vs. the Big 12 and 8-22 ATS the last 30 at home. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College +6.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Boston College. This is my STL play. Game 312. 1:00 pm pst. NC State exposed Pitt's weaknesses. BC quarterback, Phil Jurkovec will exploit those weaknesses here. These two rivals match up well, so expect a very tight game. A lot tighter than the spread. The Panthers are 1-4-1 ATS L6 as a fav and 1-5-1 ATS L7 overall. The Eagles are 15-5-1 ATS L21 as a 'dog and 20-6-1 ATS L27 in conference play. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +2 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my LVSM. Game 320. 9:30 am pst. To be honest, the wrong team is favored here. Syracuse owns the better units on both sides of the ball here. The winless Duke team can't move the ball offensively and are getting flattened defensively. They are 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, 3-9 ATS L12 as a fav, and 2-6 ATS L8 vs. the conference. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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10-10-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas +3 | 53-45 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Texas. This is my RRR winner. Game 324. 9:00 am pst. Back-to-back SU losses to KSU and ISU has taken the wind out of Oklahoma's sails and has put them out of a CFP. Sam Ehlinger and the Texas team know with a win here, they are very much alive for the coveted, Big 12 crown and can also get some payback for the last two meetings. The Longhorns are 7-1 ATS L8 meetings in this series and 11-5-1 ATS L16 as a 'dog. The Sooners are 1-7 ATS L8 vs. conference opponents and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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10-08-20 | Bucs -3.5 v. Bears | 19-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Take TB. This my TNW. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. Chicago is the worst 3-1 team in the NFL. Even with the upgrade of Nick Foles replacing Mitch Trubisky, the Bears still have no offense. They rank 21st in passing and 20th in rushing. They also turn the ball over a lot. They have yet to face a solid defense and still average a mere, 21.3 PPG. Tampa Bay is improving with each passing week on both sides of the ball. They are well-coached on "D" and own one of the best stop-units in football against the run. Offensively, they are posting over 30.0 PPG. Tom Brady, who is 5-0 with a 109.2 passer rating lifetime vs. Chicago. He and the offense are brimming with confidence after last week's come from behind win. Look for Brady (65.2% CR, 1122 YP, 11/4) and RB, Jones (253 YR, 1 TD) to keep the Bears defense on the field and pick them apart. The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. The Bears are 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 1-8 ATS L9 following a SU loss, and 4-12 ATS L16 overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers -6 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Take GB. This is my NL. Game 280. 5:50 pm pst. Green Bay, at 3-0 both SU and ATS are playing great football. Aaron Rodgers and the top-ranked Packers offense (40.2 PPG) will shred the 31st ranked defense of the Falcons (31st in PA, 36.0 PPG and 31st in PY allowed). Atlanta is 2-11 ATS L13 in October. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Take the OVER in the FALCONS/PACKERS game. This is my MNF TOM. Game 279/280. 5:50 pm pst. Two of the highest scoring offenses in the NFL face each other here on MNF. Green Bay (40.7 PPG) and Atlanta (30.0 PPG) have combined to play to six overs this season. The Packers enter tonight on a five-game over streak while the Falcons are riding a four-game over streak. Both Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan own top passing units and both defenses are having issues stopping the pass. The over is 5-0 the L5 meetings in this series, 6-0 in Atlanta's L6 vs. the NFC and 5-0 in Green Bay's L5 vs. the NFC. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs UNDER 49 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the PATRIOTS/CHIEFS game. This is my TD play. Games 281/282. 4:05 pm pst. Both defenses are playing very well and both coaching staffs are excellent at preparing for opponents. With the absence of Cam Newton, the dynamics change for the Patriots as Brian Hoyer gets the start. The KC stop-unit is one of the best in the NFL defending the pass. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 59 h 0 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my ANNIHILATOR. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. New Orleans, which after opening the season with a big win over Tampa Bay, has dropped their last two outings. They come in here with something to prove. They also should see the return of several key role players. Not to mention, they are about the best ATS road team in football. They face a Detroit team that got a bit of luck last week, stopping an 11-game losing streak. One of the highest scoring offense in the NFL will devour one of its worst scoring defenses here. The Saints are 6-2 ATS L8 meetings with the Lions, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, 35-17 ATS L52 on the road, and 11-4 ATS L15 overall. The Lions are 3-9 ATS L12 vs. the NFC, 2-5 ATS L7 at home, and 3-11 ARS L14 overall. Take New Orleans. Thank you |
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10-04-20 | Browns v. Cowboys -4.5 | 49-38 | Loss | -104 | 59 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my LVSM. Game 200. 10:00 am pst. Dak Prescott and the No. 1 passing unit in the NFL will decimate the depleted Cleveland secondary that is already a league doormat. With the issues Baker Mayfield is having (31st ranked passing unit), the Cowboys can key on Nick Chubb and the ground game. The Browns are 0-7 ATS L7 on the road and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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10-04-20 | Ravens -14 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 31-17 | Push | 0 | 59 h 47 m | Show |
Take Baltimore. This is my BB play. Game 269. 10:00 am pst. The Washington Football Team might want to change their name again. After this matchup, the team, the fans, and the city, are going to want to forget everything about this Sunday. Baltimore, which many feel (including yours truly) are serious AFC contenders, got embarrassed on MNF by the defending Super Bowl champs, Kansas City. Thus ending their 14-game regular season win streak. Facing this opponent six days later will allow the team to take out their frustration and will earn them their redemption. Look for Lamar Jackson and the offense to light up the scoreboard here, while their very angry defense, particularly John Harbaugh's pass rushers to get to the shaky, Dwayne Haskins Jr., and create turnovers. If he tossed three INT'S against the mediocre, Browns "D", the fierce, Ravens stop-unit will definitely take advantage. Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 as a road fav, 4-0 ATS L4 vs. teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS L14 overall. WFT is 3-8 ATS L11 at home, 1-5 ATS L6 as a 'dog, and 1-5 ATS L6 overall. Take BALTIMORE. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7 v. Georgia | 6-27 | Loss | -113 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 153. 4:30 pm pst. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Since taking over the reins at Auburn, head coach, Gus Malzahn has suffered three consecutive losses at the hands of Georgia head coach, Kirby Smart, and six defeats in the last eight overall meetings with their conference rival. This is the meeting that will cost the Bulldog's revolving door quarterback issue dearly. Whether it's USC-transfer, Daniels (just received medical clearance, last start August 2019), the shaky Bennett, or redshirt freshman Mathis under center, look for the experienced Tigers defense to wreak havoc on any quarterback Smart names here. They have the size and the speed to exploit this issue in this matchup. Auburn sophomore quarterback, Bo Nix (233 yards passing, 3/0) looks to be on top-form after breaking down the competitive Kentucky defense a week ago. He can keep the Georgia "D" on the field and on their heels come the second half. The Tigers are money as they are 11-4 ATS the L15 overall. Buy the half point just to air on the side of caution here. Take AUBURN. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -17.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 40 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. This is my CRUSHER. Game 144. 12:30 pm pst.
Alabama is not just the No. 2 ranked team in the nation, they are also one of the healthiest. Role players, play makers, coaches, and even the towel boy will be suited up here as they are one of the few college football squads presently at full strength.Head coach, Nick Saban enjoys only one thing as much as winning titles, and that's beating former assistants, like Jimbo Fisher. As a matter of fact, Saban is 19-0 SU vs. his former assistant coaches. Trying to match up with the well-balanced Alabama offense is going to be a nightmare for Fisher and the Texas A&M stop-unit.The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take ALABAMA. Thank you. |
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10-03-20 | TCU v. Texas -11 | 33-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Texas. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 142. 9:00 am pst. The once feared TCU defense is no more. Their stop-unit showed no improvement from last season, as they allowed the pedestrian Iowa State "O" to put up 37 points last week. One of the Heisman contenders not named Trevor Lawrence, Texas, gunslinging quarterback, Sam Ehlinger (688 yards passing 10 TD's, one INT in 2020) leads the top-scoring offense (61.0 PPG) in the nation. Look for him to hook up with standout receivers, Moore and Schooler at will and burn the Horned Frogs (lack of) defense. After seeing the Sooners go down this past week, the Longhorns won't take this matchup lightly, knowing they can take control of the conference here. TCU is1-6 ATS L7 in the month of October, 1-4 ATS L5 on the road, and 6-15 ATS L21 vs. the Big 12. Take TEXAS. Thank you. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos +1.5 v. Jets | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Denver. We go from the Chiefs/Ravens MNF matchup to the battle of winless teams here. Brett Rypien gets his first start for Denver here. He looked pretty good last week filling in late for the benched, Jeff Driskel. Word is that RB, Lindsay (check status) will join Gordon in the backfield here. The Broncos defense, even without Von Miller, are still playing decent football. The Jets are a mess on both sides of the ball. they rank 32nd in scoring (12.3 PPG) and 27th on "D" (31.3 PPG allowed). Denver is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 6-1 ATS L7 in October, and 10-3 ATS L13 on Thursday. New York is 4-11-1 ATS L16 vs. the AFC, 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite, and 2-6 ATS L8 overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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