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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 3 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 * Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170 Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170 Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120 10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 * 11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money 12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 ** 13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 ** |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 32 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 322. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET. Game 148. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Saturday Wild Card Best Bet. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. National Championship Game Winner. Game 288. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Texans -125 v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Houston Texans on the Money line. NFL Consensus Game of the Week. Game 469. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. It seems as though every year during the last week of the regular season, you need graphs, charts, and diagrams to understand which teams need victories, which teams are eliminated, and which teams could certainly better their playoff situation. This game is very simple, a win and you will be in the postseason. Now there is a game being played earlier in the Jaguars/Titans matchup. If the Jaguars win, they take the division. If they lose, and the Texans win, Houston will take the division. Let me start off with something that really stuck out to me…the Texans are 7-0 ATS their last seven division road games. That is huge my friends. Quarterback, CJ Stroud has led this team to their first winning season since 2019. Now they want a playoff berth. In last week’s, 26-3 win at home against the Titans, the offense showed no signs of rust as Stroud made his return. The offensive line also looks very sharp, only allowing one sack. I see the Rookie of the Year candidate putting up some of his best numbers of the season here against a very vulnerable, Colts secondary. Indianapolis also ranks 27th in the league against the rush. That means Devin Singletary will get a lot of touches here and move the chains on the ground with his legs, opening up Stroud and the passing game. Defensively, Houston matches up well here with Indianapolis. I see a real mismatch in this contest. Oh, one more item, the Texans also have revenge as a motivator as they dropped the first meeting with the Colts back in mid-September at home. The line is moving between a -1.0 and a -1.5. So just err on the side of caution, take Houston on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 237 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 279. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -5.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Game 276. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon -18 | 6-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 278. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL). What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 11 m | Show |
Play LA. Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Play Dallas. Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -4.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Play PSU. As of posting this play, by far, Penn State will be affected less significantly than Mississippi as far as opt out or transfer portals. But more than that, the Nittany Lions were hoping for a New Year's day Bowl for sure. They feel a little short-changed here because they suffered two losses. But this is a team on both sides of the ball that are loaded with playmakers, and guys that are starters, which are coming back next year. They want this game. They want this Bowl. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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12-29-23 | Clemson -4 v. Kentucky | 38-35 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Play Clemson. Despite rumors that Kentucky's early NFL draft entrants are going to play and some of Clemson’s are not, it reflects in the number still. The Tigers want and more over need this win. This is a team for more than a decade dominated college football. And yet they're just 8-4 this season. But please remember they finished strong, winning of covering their last four games. They want to win this Bowl game and finish out the year on a high note. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. Game 2056. 6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST. There are certainly a lot of good stories in this matchup. Oklahoma begins a new era at the quarterback position. And they narrowly missed playing in a New Year's Bowl Six matchup. I mean playing in the Conference they play in and going 10-2 is pretty darn respectable, in my opinion. On the opposite Sideline, Arizona is trying to match their longest winning streak in 25 years. And they were certainly one of college football's biggest surprises this season. But the line is off my friends. I understand quarterback, Dillon Gabriel will not be at the helm here. This is truly a big loss. I also understand that overall, the Sooners rank 100th in pass defense. But they have a smart coach and a long tradition of winning Bowl games. This is a very well-balanced team that is truly deep at every major position. They had one of the best rushing attacks in the country and average over 43.2 points per game, which is good enough for being the third highest-scoring team in the nation. Defensively, they rank second in takeaways, snagging 19 turnovers. Oh, by the way, they only allow 22.3 points per game in a Conference known for some of the most explosive offenses. The Arizona defense is good, but they're not very good at creating turnovers. They're also not very good against the pass either. And trust me when I tell you, backup quarterbacks in Oklahoma can start for just about any other team in the country. The line is off here. Take the Sooners. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | NC State +2.5 v. Kansas State | 19-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
NC State. Game 253. 2:45 PM PST/5:45 PM EST. Several of the teams this Bowl season lost starters, and yet still played very well. Trust me when I tell you Kansas State will not be one of those teams. Losing quarterback, Will Howard and the teams second-leading rusher, running back Treshaun Ward, it's a big blow for this offense. This is a good team, don't get me wrong. But you just can't fill the shoes so easily of an on-the-field general and leader like Howard. Especially against the team like NC State, which ended the season with five consecutive wins and covers, four of which they were a ‘dog. Brennan Armstrong should be back at the helm here (check status). But I don't think it matters, because this team and their success solely revolves around their defense. And their defense is intact. They only allow 20.2 points per game. And have snagged over 17 takeaways already this season. Whoever is at the helm for the Wildcats, is going to be in for a long day. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | Rutgers v. Miami-FL +2 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami Florida. Game 252. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. With word starting quarterback, Tyler Van Dyke, and back up, Emory Williams, not playing here, oddsmakers have the line at Rutgers -1.5 (as of post). Please remember, this team was a solid team this season. They were only a handful of points away from 10 wins. Yes, they finished 7-5. But three of their losses were by a touchdown or less. I just don't see Rutgers, which ended the season on a four-game lose and no cover streak, competing with them. Yes, the Scarlet Knights have a very strong rushing attack. But they're going up against the 11th-ranked run defense in college football. Offensively, overall, the Scarlet Knights average a mere, 22.2 points per game. Yes, I see their defense overall played well. But please remember that those numbers are skewed as some of the teams they thumped were teams like the Owls of Temple and the Seahawks of Wagner. When they went up against strong defensive units, they folded like a chief suit as they will hear today once again. Let’s not forget they are riding a four-game slide, both SU and ATS Take Miami. Thank you. |
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12-28-23 | SMU -10.5 v. Boston College | 14-23 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
SMU. Game 249. 8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST. My friends, with no major opt outs in this Bowl game, it seems like we are in uncharted territories (lol). What amazes me is the fact that SMU, which finished first in the AAC at 11-2, is only a 10-point favorite over BC, which finished 10th in the ACC at 6-6. I know, I know, I know, there are some mismatches between these Conferences during the Bowl season. But I don't think this is one of them. The Mustangs enter this match up on a nine-game straight up winning streak, going 6-3 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Eagles finished their campaign on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, Boston College has a quarterback and a running back that put up some impressive numbers, facing the SMU very stingy defense is going to be a tall order for the team. The ‘Stangs allowed just 17.4 points per game this season against some very good offensive units. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. Because their defense is so good it allows their offense to tire out opponents defensive units and put points on the board as they average over 40.6 points per game, offensively. I think there's a major mismatch between their 36th-ranked, rushing attack and the Eagles 125th ranked run defense. This game is going to be won by more than two touchdowns. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State -150 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State. Game 248. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.
There is so much going on between the coaching staff and the players for Texas A&M, with so many big names, opting out on the field, as well as a good portion of the coaching staff going on to bigger and better next season. There is no question Oklahoma State is a little more intact. And the trio of Bowman, Gordon, and Presley, all of which are expected to play, is one of the best offensive arsenals in the country. For once I think the general public has it right. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | North Carolina v. West Virginia -6 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
West Virginia 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST.
Very simply, West Virginia is one of the most complete teams in the Bowl season, with only a few players opting out here. Meanwhile, North Carolina lost their entire offense. Quarterback, Drake Maye will be going to the draft. The dual-threat QB was their on-the-field at general. The combination of the nation’s third-ranked, rushing attack on offense, and a very stout intact defense, tells me West Virginia is the play here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +10.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Tulane. Game 242. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. This time of year, it seems more about the transfer portal and opt outs than it does the actual players that are playing. While the team lost a couple of key cogs in their offensive wheel, please remember the Green Wave wasn't about the offense this year. They are about the defense. Their stop-unit allows just 18.9 points per game and earned them victories over such teams as South Alabama, Memphis, and UTSA. They will completely shut down the Hokies ability to run the ball, thus taking away their entire offense. On the flipside, Tulane does have a solid ground attack and that is certainly a weakness for the West Virginia defense. And allows the Green Wave to control the clock. Take Tulane. Thank you. |
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12-26-23 | Bowling Green +3.5 v. Minnesota | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Bowling Green Falcons. Game 235. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Money was originally coming in on the underdog here. But the last few days the general public has been playing the favorite. My friends, I have the line here way off. My two sets of power ratings have Bowling Green a slight favorite of 1.5 points. Yes, I know Minnesota plays in a stronger Conference. But this is a team that was a doormat in Big Ten play. And they finished the season on a four-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. They have to take the field without their starting quarterback, Athan Kaliakmamis, who started every game this season, but has entered the transfer portal. They turn the reins over to Cole Kramer, making his first start. This is already a lackluster offense, averaging just 20.2 points per game, even when they had their first string QB at the helm, ranking 126th in passing and just 79th in rushing. The Falcons have a seasoned quarterback in Connor Bazelak, and a couple of strong rushers in the backfield. But is there defense that will shine here. They're one of the best in the nation in takeaways (16), only allow 23.5 points per game, and are equally strong against the pass as well as the rush. They will spend more time in the Minnesota backfield then the Minnesota players themselves (lol). Let's not forget this team comes in here red-hot, winning and covering five of their last six games. And they are not intimidated by their opponent. As the last time they faced one another, they beat the Golden Gophers, 14-10, just two years ago. Take Bowling Green. Thank you. |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -121 | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 44 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins on the moneyline. Game 472. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, I think the Dallas Cowboys are a good team. However, there's a few things that really stand out in my mind about this team. For starters, it seems each time are asked to step up, they fall short. Their last three losses this season were against San Francisco, Philadelphia and Buffalo. Sure, they can be teams like the Jets, the Chargers, the Giants, and the Panthers. But each time they have to step up in class and face an NFL elite team, they fall short. Secondly, they might be 7-0 at home, but they are just 3-4 on the road this season straight up. They have failed to cover four of their last six on the road in 2023. And lastly, I really don't think Dak Prescott is a big game quarterback. While he'll put up statistics and numbers, etc., he folds like a cheap suit in big game situations. And this is a big game situation. The Dolphins are a monster team, the number one scoring offense in football, averaging over 31.5 points per game. They are equally good in the air as they are on the ground. And defensively I like the way they match up here. Yes, the Cowboys own the number two scoring offense in the league. However, they face a defense here that matches up well with them as Miami’s stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass and forth against the rush. The dolphins are 6-1 SU at home this season, going 5-2 ATS. Being at home in front of a friendly crowd, I feel the Dolphins are the play here. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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12-24-23 | Colts +2.5 v. Falcons | 10-29 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 47 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, I understand that Atlanta is playing at home. But I still think the wrong team is favored here. The Falcons have dropped five of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread, including the last two games coming into this matchup. Meanwhile the Colts have been much more consistent, winning and covering five of their last six games coming into this contest. Taylor Heinicke has been named starter here. I could just leave the analysis at that and I think we'd all know what we should do (LOL). But I'm not crazy about this kid. I don't like the way he calls a game, and I don't think he's a leader. At least not yet. I see the 1-2 punch of Minshew and Moss moving the chains offensively for Indianapolis and wearing down an already-fatigued Atlanta defense. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | Bengals -150 v. Steelers | 11-34 | Loss | -150 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals on the moneyline. Game 453. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Bengals need wins. Yes, the Steelers need wins too. But I think we can all agree, Cincinnati is starting to run at the right time, winning and covering their last three outings, while Pittsburgh is ice-cold losing and failing to cover their last three contests. These two teams certainly know each other well and don't like each other. The Bengals have taken four of the last six both straight up and against the spread in the series and have revenge on their minds, because they did drop a November 26 meeting at home against the Steelers, 16-10. The Pittsburgh offense is non-existent. During their current three-game slide, they have accounted for an average of 13.6 points per game, while their defense has gotten blown up for 75 points during their skid. Good teams rise to the occasion. And Cincinnati is a good team. Take the Bengals on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -120 | 45-22 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies on the moneyline. Game 228. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Despite both of these teams, being 6-6 this season, there are a lot of disparities. Georgia State plays in the Sunbelt, while Utah State plays in the Mountain West. You cannot compare the two conferences. As most teams in college football this time of year, both of these teams were affected by the opt outs and transfer portals. But the Aggies were only slightly bit, while the Panthers have taken a significant loss. Georgia State also enters this matchup losing five in a row straight up and four of those five against the spread. Utah State has won three of their last four straight up and split out those ATS. As I mentioned earlier, the Panthers took more of a loss in opt out than did the Aggies. On both sides of the ball, I see Utah State dominating. Offensively, they will steamroll the Georgia State defense with a very well-balanced offense averaging over 34.1 points per game and only committing six turnovers. This is a big mismatch. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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12-23-23 | James Madison -116 v. Air Force | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
James Madison Dukes on the MONEYLINE. Game 225. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm asking you to take this game on the money line only because I see the line ping-ponging around a bit, and I want make sure we don't get hooked somewhere. Personally, I have the line much higher than the oddsmakers. I feel the Dukes should be favored by at least a touchdown or more. Having said that, this is James Madison's first ever Bowl appearance. And trust me when I tell you, they've been waiting for this moment for years. I know the Sun Belt isn't recognized as one of the strongest conferences in college football. However, this team is 11-1 straight up this season, covering eight of their 12 games. My friends this is no fluke. If you go back five years, this team has accumulated an overall record of 52-9. That's pretty impressive. This season their only setback was at the hands of Appalachian State in a heartbreaking, three-point loss. If you look at some of their opponents, they beat some very good teams; Virginia, Troy, Utah State, South Alabama, Georgia Southern, Marshall, Georgia State, and Coastal Carolina. That's just a few of the good teams they took down. I know Air Force is known to have a phenomenal rushing attack. But this is a team, after starting the season 8-0, that has dropped their last four outings, both straight up and against the spread. Going back to the rushing attack, it is quite impressive. However, take into consideration James Madison ranks No. 1 in the nation against the rush. They have allowed a mere, 61.5 yards per game of the ground this season. And if you want to go on further and say the Falcons are better than some of their opponents this season on the ground, the Dukes had extra time to prepare for their ground game here. They also come in here allowing just 18.5 points per game, and snagging 13 takeaways. This is a problem for Air Force as they tend to turn the ball over quite a bit. The Falcons are also going to be in for a long day defensively, although they are good against the run, the Dukes are an amazing team on the ground, and balance it out with the 17th ranked passing attack in college football. Take James Madison here for sure. Thank you. |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -3.5 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 452. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Despite both the Saints and the Rams possessing identical, 7-7 records, Los Angeles is in the seventh seed while New Orleans is in the ninth seed in the NFC. The Saints come off back-to-back wins and covers against the Panthers and the Giants. However, facing Bryce Young and Tommy DeVito are far cry from facing Matthew Stafford. Neither Carolina’s, Chuba Hubbard, or New York's, Saquon Barkley could do anything on the ground either. It's not because the New Orleans run defense is so good. It was because those running offenses are so bad. Tonight, they must face a very solid ground attack of Kyren Williams. Prior to their last two games, the Saints defense got thrashed for 27, 24, and 33 points against the likes of the Vikings, the Falcons, and the Lions. I expect them to get thrashed again this evening, facing the leagues ninth ranked-scoring offense. Speaking of Los Angeles, they enter this matchup winning four of their last five straight up, and their last four consecutive against the spread. This team is rolling. And they are rolling at the right time. They need victories to better their situation for a postseason opportunity. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | Top | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 44 h 56 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. Game 324. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Following their three-game straight up win streak, Los Angeles lost a heartbreaker last week on the road at Baltimore, however, extending their ATS cover run to three consecutive outings. The Rams sit at 6-7 and need wins right now. After this week’s matchup with the Commanders, they have a home game against the Saints, before finishing up the regular season on the road at the Giants, and then the 49ers. This is a team that certainly controls its own destiny. As far as Washington goes, they have now dropped four in a row straight up, and three straight against the spread. Possessing the NFL's worst defense in total yards, passing yards, and points allowed, it is evident that this game will be a nightmare. During their four-game slide, the commanders have allowed 29, 31, 45, and 45 points. Look for Matthew Stafford, who has accounted for 10 TD’s and just one INT over the last three games, to light up the leagues poorest secondary, while Kyren Williams keeps the Washington defense honest on the ground. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Jets v. Dolphins -8.5 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 41 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. Game 320. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. If you looked at this game and did your due diligence, you will see the Dolphins are the play. Money came in on the Jets early then bounced back on the ‘Fins. In your research, you had to have checked the remaining regular season games for Miami. Following this contest, they have Dallas at home, Baltimore on the road, finishing the regular campaign up with Buffalo at home. That is a tough slate to end the season. This is a must win for the team and sincerely, the only real pushover for the Dolphins. The Jets have only won one game since November began and only covered one outing since mid-October. They won last week and got their “face-saving” victory behind them. Now New York comes back down to Earth. No way their laughable offense, which has posted 13 or less points in five of their last six outings, can match up with the angry, redemption-seeking, second-ranked scoring offense of Miami here. This game gets ugly. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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12-17-23 | Falcons -2.5 v. Panthers | Top | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 2 m | Show |
Atlanta Falcons. Game 307. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The NFC South has three teams tied at 6-7 and one team bringing up the rear, at 1-12. With last week’s loss at home against Tampa Bay, Atlanta dropped from the number four seed in the NFC, all the way down to the number 10 seed. The Falcons need every victory they can get right now. And what better team to face than the Panthers. Carolina is only one of two teams in the NFL eliminated from any chance at postseason play. possess the worst record in all the football at 1-12. And as far as sportsbetting is concerned, they've only covered two games in 2023. Atlanta comes into this matchup a little angry and looking for a vengeance after letting their two-game win and cover streak come to an end a week ago. Surely, they are very confident here, knowing they took down Carolina back in early September, 24-10. I just don't see the Panthers, which rank 30th in the league in scoring, and during their current six-game slide has averaged a dismal, 11.6 points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard here. It's just might be Atlanta’s biggest offensive output this season. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -3 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
Texas Tech Red Raiders. Game 212. 6:15 PM PST/9:15 PM EST. It's been reported the Red Raiders are expected to be without better than a dozen players for this contest. Don't overthink this. The Golden Bears will also be without quite a few playmakers. I know Cal ended their campaign winning and covering three straight. But going up against Texas Tech, coming off a loss, their first loss in November, an embarrassing defeat at the hands of Texas, will prove to be fatal for California. The Red Raiders are riding a Bowl hot streak, earning back-to-back outright upset wins over the last two seasons, beating the Mississippi State Bulldogs as a 10.0-point underdog in 2021, and ‘Ole Miss as a 4.5-point underdog last season. While, Texas Tech on paper is going to be shorthanded, offensively, expected to play is quarterback, Behren Morton, and running back, Tahj Brooks. Morton had a 61.8% completion rate, passing for 1,498 yards, with 12 TD’s and just seven INT’s, while Brooks tallied over 1,447 yards rushing and nine scores. There's also a significant advantage in turnovers, both offensively and defensively for the Red Raiders. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My numbers have the line here closer to 1.0 or maybe 1.5. Detroit, which was one of the most exciting stories this season, has dropped two of their last three straight up, and three of the last four against the spread (which includes their last two games played at home). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid for a while. But it seems every time the Lions are asked to step up or play big, they fall short. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning six of their last seven straight up, and covering five of those seven outings against the spread. Since mid-October, their stop-unit has been one of the toughest in football. Coincidentally, when their defense stepped up, so did their offense. Looking at the history between these two squads, the Broncos have dominated, winning and covering the last three meetings going back eight seasons. With each of these teams completing the regular season on January 7, after this week, the Broncos certainly have a smoother ride, playing at home against the Patriots and Chargers before going on the road to face the Raiders. However, the Lions path is a lot tougher. After this week, they play visitor to both the Vikings and the Cowboys, before finishing the regular season at home once again against their division rival, Minnesota. The statistics are obvious. Detroit should have success on the ground against the NFL’s poorest run defense. However, that is a ranking that comes from the regular season, overall. And to say the Broncos "D" has significantly improved, would be an understatement. Look for quarterback, Russell Wilson to put up some of his best numbers so far in 2023. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-16-23 | New Mexico State -3.5 v. Fresno State | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
New Mexico State Aggies. Game 207. 2:45 P PST/5:45 PM EST. Both teams here will be missing some key players due to the usual opt outs this time of year. However, it looks like the Bulldogs have been hit a little bit harder with this issue than the Aggies. Following an eight-game win and cover streak, New Mexico State took a loss against Liberty on December 1. I expect this team to bounce back with a vengeance and earn a big Bowl victory here. This is a team that can put up points on just about any opponent, with a well-balanced offense. But it will be their ground game, which ranks 12th in the nation that will absolutely devour the 98th ranked rush defense of Fresno State. We are all well aware the Aggies secondary is vulnerable. I doubt this will be a problem, as the Bulldogs are having serious concerns at the quarterback position. Fresno State has also crushed bettors, covering just one of their last eight contests. Take New Mexico State. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -115 | 133 h 49 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Game 127. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, there is no question that these are two of the best teams in football. They just happen to both be NFC representatives. And also, both share the NFC East division. This game has serious implications down the road, for sure. The Philadelphia Eagles own an NFL-best, 10-2 record. The Dallas Cowboys are at 9-3. There are only two other teams in the NFC at 9-3, the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. As far as us sports bettors go, Philadelphia is 6-3-3 ATS this season, while Dallas is 8-4 overall against the number on the campaign. The Eagles are money on the road, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. But it's hard to ignore the fact the Cowboys are a perfect 6-0 straight up at AT&T Stadium this season, covering five of their six games played as host. But even more than that, Dallas is riding a 14-game straight up home winning streak, which happens to be the second-longest in franchise history. Philly took a November 5 meeting at home over Dallas, 28-23 to give the team two wins and covers over the last three meetings with their division rival. The Eagles, who got caught, looking in a mid-October contest on the road at the New York Jets, just suffered their most embarrassing defeat in quite a while, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on national TV. This isn't a team that takes losing lightly, sports fans. I expect them to bounce back here and make a statement against a team they know very well. Not only that, this victory would certainly give them control over the Division. Remember, this is a team chock full of talent on both sides of the ball. Put a pin in that we're gonna’ come back around to it in a moment. They have manhandled just about every opponent they have faced this season, including some of the NFL elite (Miami, Dallas, Kansas City, and Buffalo). As far as Dallas goes, they have been one of the most exciting teams in the 2023 regular season. They're currently riding a four-game SU hot streak, covering three of the four. However, I've got to tell you, a lot of their wins have been against subpar opponents. Looking at their schedule thus far, they beat all the teams they should've beaten. But a late-September road loss at the hands of Arizona, throws up a red flag to me. And they did get embarrassed a few weeks later on the road at San Francisco. Other than the 49ers and the Eagles (games they both lost), they haven't faced too many of the Leagues powerhouse opponents. During their current hot run, they took down the New York Giants, the Carolina Panthers, and the Washington Commanders (a combined record of 9-28) before last week’s, 41-35 squeaker over the Seattle Seahawks. As far as injuries, both teams are relatively healthy at major positions as of this post. Both quarterbacks are seasoned, both possessing the luxury of an arsenal of receivers, and both running backs are outstanding. Statistically, the Cowboys own better numbers, both offensively and defensively. And on paper, they look like the better team. However, I think we can all agree that football is not played on paper. It is played on the gridiron. The Cowboys have an explosive passing attack and can exploit the sometimes, leaky Eagles secondary. However, Dallas’ offensive success relies upon their ability to run the ball to open up the passing game. And they're going to have a lot of problems here, moving the chains on the ground against the NFL’s stout, fourth-ranked rush defense. And at times on defense, the Cowboys stop-unit struggles come the second half against solid ground attacks. And the Eagles certainly have a solid ground attack. They rank eighth in the League, averaging over 126.0 yards per game on the ground. A combination of the Cowboys not facing a high-level of opponents this season along with the Eagles needing to bounce back and make a statement after last week’s loss, and throw in the fact, I just don't like Dak Prescott in big game situations, compels me to take the points here. Jalen Hurts has proven he can succeed in must-win games, while Prescott has not. Speaking of the points, the +3.5 is huge here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-10-23 | Lions -3 v. Bears | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 109. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit is tied for the second-best record in the NFC at 9-3. They have won five of six road games this season straight up, and are 6-2 SU in conference play. As far as the NFC North goes, they are 2-1 SU against Division opponents this season. As far as covering on the road, they have gotten sports bettors paid, going 5-1 ATS as a visitor in 2023. They have taken the last three meetings against Chicago SU, going 2-1 ATS. I am well aware the Bears are rested, coming off a bye week. But I think we can all agree they really aren't too much of a team. With all respect to Chicago fans, this team is downright atrocious. And my friends, they've only covered one game at Soldier Field this season. Things have changed for sure for them as they have no more home field advantage. Granted, they do lead the NFL against the rush, defensively. Looking at their schedule, you will see the defensive numbers are skewed, having not lined up against too many solid running attacks. Detroit ranks third in the NFL in rushing, averaging over 137.7 yards per game on the ground. The ground assault will keep the Bears defense honest, and open up their passing game, which ranks fourth in the football. That is the mismatch that really caught my eye here. Because Chicago is one of the worst defensive teams against the pass in the League, ranking 25th. They have given up a ton of yards in the air to every decent quarterback they have faced. I see the 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jared Goff, and running back, David Montgomery, putting up their best numbers of this regular season here. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. Game 104. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. We all know these teams know each other very, very, well. For many years, Navy dominated this rivalry. Then in 2016, Army began their first of three consecutive wins in this historic rivalry. However, over the last four years, they have alternated wins, both straight up and against the spread. If you recall, a season ago, the Black Knights bested the Midshipmen, 20-17 in overtime. Now that's not enough reason for me to side with Navy here. But it certainly peaked my curiosity. Both teams are known as rushing powerhouses. However, this season both tried to open up their passing games with a little more success than they have had in previous years. There are a few key items that prompt me to take the Midshipmen here. For starters, they are much stronger against the rush than their counterpart. As a matter of fact, they rank 30th nationally against the run, yielding just 121.9 yards per game on the ground. Army allows 178.4 yards per game on the ground, ranking 114th. Turnovers are big, especially in matchups like this. And there is no question that the Midshipmen are better on both sides of the ball in that category. Army turned the ball over 11 times on offense, while their defense has only snagged eight takeaways. Meanwhile, Navy has just seven offensive turnovers, while their defensive unit snagged 10 takeaways. Also, on defense, although they both allow about the same amount of points, the Midshipmen have blanked three opponents this season. At times yes, it is true, they have allowed several solid opponents to put up numbers on them. But those three shutouts really mean a lot coming into this matchup, in my opinion. Outside of an early- season contest against Delaware State, Army has allowed every single opponent to score on them. Going back to the revenge factor, the last dozen meetings in this series, the avenger is 10-2 ATS. Take Navy. Thank you. |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 467. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, these are certainly two of the best teams in football. This game will also have some serious implications down the road. Having said all that, we all know that San Francisco is 8-3, while Philadelphia is an NFL-best, 10-1. But there's a few items I would like you to remember. For starters, the last time these two face one another was in late-January, a season ago when the Eagles ousted the 49ers, and then went on to the Super Bowl. San Francisco has had this game circled since the schedule came out. Not only are they a smart, well-coached team, but they are perhaps the most-complete team in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Their offense is clicking on all cylinders, ranking at top-10 in every major category. And their defense is the best in football. I don't think the matchup favors the Eagles here at all. I'm not looking to take away anything from their success. They've earned all of it. But their defense at times, has shown flaws. And I believe those flaws will be exploited here in this matchup. I know they're one of the best in football against the rush. But they rank 29th against the pass. Going back to the 49ers stop-unit, it is the best “D” Philly has faced this season. The Eagles rely upon their ability to move the ball on the ground, thus opening up the passing game. However, this is the second-best run defense in the League. And I think they're going to get very frustrated here and add to their 16 offensive turnovers. One more item I would like you to keep in mind; the next few opponents for San Francisco are definitely beatable. However, coming on deck for the Eagles is the Cowboys on the road. They might be caught in a little bit of a lookahead situation as well. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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12-03-23 | Lions -4 v. Saints | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 453. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Detroit Lions have a nice cushion in the NFC North and are currently tied for the third seed in the NFC at 8-3. They come off a disappointing, Thanksgiving Day loss at home against the Green Bay Packers. The first time they dropped the game this season in mid-September, they followed it up with four consecutive wins and covers. They lost their next game in late-October, following that defeat up with three consecutive straight up wins, going 2-1 ATS. This is a team that bounces back very well. They are also 4-1, both straight up and against the spread as a visitor in 2023. Meanwhile, New Orleans is just 5-6 overall on the season, covering just two games on the campaign. At home, they split out at 2-2 straight up, failing to cover all four on their home field. They are riding a two-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover their last three outings. On both sides of the ball, the Lions outclass the Saints. They own a top-10 offense, averaging over 26.7 points per game. And what better team to face to change things around for their leaky defense. The Saints offense is mediocre at best. They are in for a very frustrating day here. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all, which is not good in this matchup. I just look for the Lions, which are a well-coached, talented team to bounce back here and get back on track and start getting some victories to close out the season. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville v. Florida State -118 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles on the moneyline. Game 322. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Louisville Cardinals, they are not perfect. Do you know who is perfect? The Florida State Seminoles are at 12-0 this season. I know they lost starting quarterback, Jordan Travis. But they have an able back up that has played in seven games this season, throwing for 510 yards, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions, in Tate Rodemaker. This is a team that runs the ball with great success and has one of the best defenses in the country. That's right, they own the nation’s 11th ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.8 points per game, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. I know the Cardinals are a good team. But the Seminoles and their dual-threat offense can pound the ball on the ground to open up the passing game, while they are defense certainly contain the Louisville offense. By the way, the Cardinals have only covered one road game this season. And this is certainly one of the most-complete teams they have had to face in 2023. Take FSU on the moneyline just to err the side of question. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +5.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 318. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, Nick Saban doesn't lose too many big games. Not only that, but as far as us sports bettors are concerned, the Alabama Crimson Tide has covered eight of their 12 outings this season, while their opponent has only covered five of their 12 contests in 2023. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has matured this season, better than just about any other player in college football. He proved he can lead, he can win, and he can win in big games. The situation is very simple, Alabama beats Georgia and they could jump into the four-team College Football Playoff. The early season loss to Texas stunned many people, including the Tide themselves. But they went on a 10-game straight up winning streak, covering seven of the 10. And last weeks late comeback victory on the road at the Tigers showed me exactly what Milroe and the Alabama team are made of. I think the line in this matchup should be a lot closer to two or maybe even a field goal. But no higher than that. And that's only because Georgia is undefeated this season. I'm not sold on Kirby Smart in big game situations. This is the most complete team the Bulldogs have gone up against this season. It is a big step up in class for them. and I think they're going to come in here overconfident and underestimating their opponent. Take the points and Roll Tide! Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
UNLV Rebels. Game 314. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. While three teams were tied at 6-2 for the best Conference record, the team with the most wins overall in the MWC was the UNLV Rebels at 9-3. Not only that, but they were monster moneymakers for sports bettor’s, covering 10 of 12 contests this season. While Boise State is a good team, there were just 7-5 overall on the season and covered just six of their 12 games on the campaign. By the way, they only covered one of their five away games in 2023. The Rebels possess quite a few of the Conference’s best players for sure. And believe it or not, they own the nation’s 19th ranked scoring offense, averaging over 35.5 points per game. They're offense makes very few mistakes, while their defense snagged 13 takeaways. Not to take anything away from the Broncos, but I feel quarterback, Jayden Maiava is going to have his best performance of the season going up against the 117th ranked pass defense in college football. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Take UNLV. Thank you. |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks. Game 311. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The line here is a little skewed, because the RedHawks are without their starting quarterback, Brett Gabbert. But backup QB, Aveon Smith has filled in quite nicely in his absence, winning all four of his starts since Gabbert went down. My friends, this offense does not revolve around the passing game. They are a ground and pound attack that wears down defenses. Speaking of defense, Miami (Ohio) possesses the nation’s eighth-ranked stop-unit, yielding just 16.3 points per game. While the Toledo Rockets have a pretty solid offensive unit, the matchups heavily favor their opponent here in this contest. The Rockets do not have the same type of defense. Although they are good, they have sprung some leaks lately yielding quite a few points to some less than stellar offenses. By the way, the RedHawks have also covered nine of their 12 outings this season. Take Miami (Ohio). Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Ravens -3 v. Chargers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. Game 271. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. With the Miami Dolphins victory the other night, prior to this Sunday's contest, the Baltimore Ravens share the AFC’s top-spot with them at 8-3. They have an opportunity to take sole possession of the top-seed in the Conference with a victory here. They had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this meeting. After this game, they will be idle with a bye week prior to a December 10 home game against the Rams. This team is running hot, winning five of their last six games straight up, covering four of those six. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Chargers dwell in the AFC West cellar, at 4-6, and own the Conferences 13th spot. They have lost and failed to cover their last two outings, while only covering one of five home games in the 2023 regular season. The Chargers offense certainly can be dangerous. However, running into the NFL's second-ranked defense is going to be a problem. That's right, the Ravens allow a mere, 16.1 points per game, ranking 30th against the pass and 13th against the run. But I think it will be on the other side of the line of scrimmage that will prove to be fatal for Los Angeles. They ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 32nd in passing yards allowed, and 25th in total points allowed defensively. Dual-threat quarterback, Lamar Jackson will light up the scoreboard, both on the ground, and in the air here. If you recall, he heads up the NFL’s top-ranked rushing offense, while sitting at fourth in the League in points scored, accounting for over 27.6 points per game. Justin Herbert was listed as questionable with a left finger injury. Guys, I expect him to play (check status). But the point is moot, as he must lineup against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, particularly against the pass. Oh, by the way, the Baltimore stop-unit is by far and away the best in pro football at sacking the quarterback, leading all teams with 44.0 sacks. This game gets ugly. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -125 v. Bengals | Top | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 6 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers om the moneyline. Game 259. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Pittsburgh has a chance to better themselves in the Division, while putting some distance between them and the disappointing, AFC North’s last-place squad, the Cincinnati team. They have done well when facing Division opponents this season, going 2-1 SU, while the Bengals have failed to win any meetings against AFC North opponents thus far in the 2023 regular season. The Bengals have had a few extra days to rest and prepare. But it won't matter. There is certainly a fire under the Steelers backsides, as this week, head coach, Mike Tomlin fired offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and replaced him with Eddie Faulkner. Quarterback, Kenny Pickett will be at the helm, with the luxury of Najee Harris, heading up the ground attack. Say what you want about Pittsburgh’s statistics, but you can't argue with the 60.5% completion rate for the QB, or the fact he heads an offense that ranks second in the league, committing just eight turnovers. This will be the game that Pickett will put up his best numbers, facing the League’s, 27th ranked pass defense. But it won't stop there as the ground game will be very successful lining up against the NFL’s 30th ranked rushing defense. We all know Jake Browning will be the starter for the Bengals. He took his first significant snaps more than a week ago in a loss on the road at Baltimore. Despite having a solid workhorse in the backfield in Joe Mixon, the offense ranks 30th in the League on the ground. Without a solid, rushing attack, the Cincinnati offense is in real trouble here. Pittsburgh will exact a bit of revenge as they have lost and failed to cover four of the last five meetings in this heated rivalry. I know the Steelers are on the road and laying a small number here. I believe they will dominate this contest. But just to err on the side of caution, take the Steelers on the money line. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Kansas -6 v. Cincinnati | 49-16 | Win | 100 | 55 h 4 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 145. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Kansas, despite being Bowl-eligible had higher expectations than a 4-4 Conference record this season. They are a respectable, 7-4 overall. And they have covered six of their 11 outings this season. However, two losses in a row over the last two contests compels this team to bounce back here against the Conferences poorest representative. That's right, the Cincinnati Bearcats are 1-7 in Big 12 play this season, and tan overall, 3-8. To make matters worse for the team, they have absolutely crushed any supporters, going just 2-7 ATS their last nine outings. Their defense has gotten steamrolled. The matchup here heavily favors the visitor, for sure. Kansas averages over 32.2 points per game with one of the most dominating rushing attacks in the nation. They are just as good in the air, too. This does not bode well as I see Cincinnati experiencing the same issues they have experienced all season long against Conference opponents…and that is getting steamrolled on defense. The Jayhawks seriously wants to earn eight victories this season and this is the opponent to accomplish their goal. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Florida State -6.5 v. Florida | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 54 h 22 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles. Game 153. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friend, the money this week has been coming in on Florida. I understand why. They are at home, and Florida State has quarterback issues. However, so does Florida. Having said that I want you to know that the Seminoles need this win badly. They are one of only five undefeated teams in college football right now and they round out the top-five as a number five team in the country. They need to keep their foot on the gas here. Georgia is going to have a tough time coming up with Alabama in the SEC Title game next week, Ohio State and Michigan square off on Saturday and Washington has a tough game as well. They have a chance to sneak into the top-four, for sure. Having said that, I'll tell you why I like FSU so much. It's not just because they are perfect 11-0. I understand the quarterback issue is a major issue. However, this team possesses a solid ground attack, and one of the best defenses in the country. Those two reasons alone make me side with them here. However, they also do have an arsenal of receivers for their backup quarterback to connect with. Let's face it, the gators are horrible. They started off the season good enough. But over the last month have lost four in a row, failing to cover three of the four. They have also failed to cover three of their last four on their own field. They have their own quarterback problems. But they don't have a solid ground attack or a smart backup like their counterpart does. And their offense makes a lot more mistakes while their defense is mediocre at best. The Seminoles keep their foot in the gas and run the score up to make a point to the pollsters. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Northwestern +6 v. Illinois | 45-43 | Win | 100 | 51 h 39 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Game 221. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. For the life of me guys I cannot understand why Illinois is nearly a touchdown favorite in this matchup. They are just 5-6 this season overall, going 3-8 ATS. This does include a Conference record of 3-5 SU. This is not the same Fighting Illini team that we have seen over the last few seasons. Their once-feared defense is allowing over 28.0 points per game this year and has gotten beaten equally on the ground and in the air. Offensively, they are one of the poorest scoring teams in the Conference. And their offense has committed eight turnovers, while their defense has just five takeaways. The Northwestern offense is just as lackluster. But they rank number one in the nation in turnovers. They have committed just one turnover this season. They don't make many mistakes. That's for sure. They are a smart, well-coached team that comes into each contest prepared. Defensively, they can counter their opponents 45th ranked passing offense with the nation’s 13th ranked passing defense. I think they win this game outright. This game will certainly be a lot closer than the pointspread dictates. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -13 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 213. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The only way Alabama will stay in the College Football Playoff hunt is with an annihilation of Auburn this Saturday. You may not realize this, but since their September 9 surprise loss at home against Texas, this team has rattled off nine consecutive straight up victories, going 7-2 ATS. They have gone out of their way to crush every Conference opponent they have gone up against. Let's face it, they have had Auburns number. This is a team that has taken seven of the last nine meetings in this Conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those nine against the spread. This does include three consecutive wins, by an average of 17.6 PPG. The Tigers, at 6-5 are Bowl-eligible and really don't need to keep their foot on the gas here at all. They just want to get away with their lives. The Crimson tide quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured very nicely this season. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal and a solid ground attack as well. He has not made many mistakes at all this season. Thus, why the “O” ranks 16th in scoring, averaging over 36.5 points per game. But it has been their defense that has been solid and stellar all season long, ranking 14th in the nation, allowing a mere 17.4 points per game. If Auburn has a weakness, and trust me, they have more than one weakness, it is going up against aggressive defenses. They don't have a passing game. They solely rely on their ground game. So, Alabama can and will key on this. And I promise you, their linebackers will spend more time in the Auburn backfield, and the Auburn players themselves. The Crimson Tide as I mentioned earlier doesn't just need a win, they need a big win. They will get it. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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11-24-23 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes. Game 121. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Iowa has already locked up the Big Ten West Division Title and a spot in the Conference Title game on December 2. And normally I would shy away from playing a team like this in this situation. We all know that Nebraska needs this win to become Bowl-eligible. However, Iowa, despite all their accolades and playing in the Conference Title game, is still ranked 17th right now. Let's face it, that they won three in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 9-2 this season. And yet they're not getting the respect that they deserve. Yes, I know their “O” is stagnant. But when your defense yields just 12.4 points per game against some of the best offenses in the country, let's face it, you don't need an explosive offensive unit. This is one of the strongest stop-units the Cornhuskers have faced this season. And just over the last several games, their offense has sputtered. They put up 17 points against the Spartans, 10 points against the Terrapins, and 17 points against the Badgers: all games that they lost and failed to cover. The matchups heavily favor the Hawkeyes here. What's funny about Iowa is their defense is so strong, they get their opponents offense units off the field very quickly thus allowing their opponents defensive units to become tired from overwork. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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11-23-23 | 49ers -6.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 56 h 18 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 109. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, currently following the Monday Night contest, the Eagles possess the best record in the NFC, at 9-1, followed by the Detroit Lions at 8-2, then at 7-3, sits the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers started off the season winning their first five outings, covering four of the five. Then they suffered a three-game slide in which they were crushed by injuries. I don't think it's a coincidence that as they’ve gotten healthy, they've won their last two games. This is a team that I feel is one of the best in the National Football League. After this week, they take a little hiatus until a December 3 meeting on the road at the Philadelphia Eagle's. I don't see them overlooking the Seattle Seahawks or being in a lookahead spot at all. They must take this game very seriously. They have to. They have a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare for their biggest matchup of the season in their next game. I know the Seattle Seahawks are getting some money put on them here in Vegas (as of post). For the life of me, I don't see why. They were beaten in their last outing by the Los Angeles Rams, 17-16. They allowed Los Angeles to put up 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to lose the game very late. This isn't just a reflection of their roster and personnel, it is a reflection of the coaching staff as well. Please understand that the 49ers have won both of their divisional games this season. They took both NFC West games in 2023 thus far: on the road at the Rams in mid-September, then a few weeks later at the beginning of October at home against the Cardinals. As far as the Seahawks go, their quarterback, Geno Smith, banged up his elbow in Sunday's loss. As of Tuesday morning, posting this play, he is questionable. I feel he's going to play. Whether he does or it's back up, Drew Lock, I don't think it matters. They will be going to go up against the NFL's top-ranked scoring defense. San Francisco allows just 15.7 points per game and have already snagged 19 takeaways. That does not bode well for a Seattle offense that's already coughed up the ball 11 times. Let's face it, their offensive unit is mediocre at best. They are horrible at running the ball and middle of the pack at throwing the ball. But either way, they are overmatched with a fast, ferocious, and furious San Francisco stop-unit. On the defensive side, they are facing a top-10 offense, both on the ground and in the air. Let's face it, the 49ers offensive unit has gotten healthy and are truly dangerous. I feel this team should be a favorite of nearly double-digits. So, laying right now less than a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Oh, by the way, San Fran took all three meetings last season, both SU and ATS. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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11-21-23 | Bowling Green -130 v. Western Michigan | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Bowling Green Falcons on the moneyline. Game 103. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Both Bowling Green and Western Michigan have been good against the spread the season, covering seven of their 11 contests in 2023. However, I don't think there's any question that the Falcons are deeper and stronger on both sides of the ball than the Broncos. There is a question mark on running back, Terion Stewart. He has an able back up in Ta’ron Keith. So, I wouldn't be too worried about that. The big difference in this matchup is on the defensive side of the ball. Bowling Green has a monster defense. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Vikings +2.5 v. Broncos | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. Game 473. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Guys, I've worked in every facet of this business. I spent several years working in line services. And even worked alongside the original Vegas odds makers. I'm pretty good at creating lines for games. And yet, for the life of me, I just don't see the line the odds makers put on this game. It looks like a trap to me. I have the Minnesota Vikings 1.0 to 1.5 points favorites here. This is currently the hottest team in the NFL, winning and covering five in a row and six of their last seven. As a matter fact, they have covered 5 straight road games. Is this all because Kirk cousins is out? My friends, he's been out for quite a while. Joshua Dobbs has done a very good job filling in at the helm. And their defense has certainly been much-improved. Maybe the odds makers made the line what it is because the Broncos are riding their own three-game win and cover streak. But let's face it, they beat a subpar Packers opponent, happen to catch the Chiefs at the right time, and come off a road win against the struggling Bills. Granted, two of those three teams are known as NFL elite. But I think they have just been very lucky. I feel Dobbs is going to have an enormous amount of success in the air here. I also feel they're going to establish the run against the NFL's worst rush defense. You know overall, the once-feared Denver “D” ranks dead last in points allowed this season, getting plowed for over 27.6 points per game. Meanwhile, offensively, I don't see them moving the chains as easily as they have against their last few opponents. Please remember that prior to the current win streak, the Broncos failed to cover their first five games of this season. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Game 472. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Where to begin...hmm. For starters, this is definitely a disappointing season for the Buffalo Bills. They sit in second place in the AFC East at 5-5. This was a team touted to definitely be in the AFC Title game. Having said that, they began the 2023/2024 campaign off with a big nationally television broadcast loss back on September 11 on the road at the New York Jets. This was a very well publicized game. If you recall, Aaron Rodgers went down in the first series for New York. Everybody gasped, everybody said that's it for the Jets, and everybody said the Buffalo Bills will crush them here tonight. Well, that didn't happen. Following that loss, the Bills then rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But have since gone just 2-4 straight up and 0-6 ATS. They come off an embarrassing home defeat to the Denver Broncos. This is a team that does not take a losing lightly. This is a team that especially does not losing in front of their loyal fans. They must kickstart the season with the win here, or they are in dire straits. So, this brings me to my next point...revenge. They don't like losing period. They furthermore don't like losing to Conference opponents. And to go one further, they especially do not like losing to Division opponents. They've had this rematch circled since the opening season lost. The New York Jets are horrible. They lost their last two and failed to cover their last three. Their offense is nonexistent. To be quite honest, they haven't scored a touchdown in 36 straight drives as quarterback Zach Wilson has only thrown one touchdown in his last five games. Over the last two contests, they have zero touchdowns, while Wilson has been sacked 10 times. This does not bode well as they face a very angry Bills defense looking for a little redemption. You know overall the Buffalo's stop-unit still ranks fifth in points allowed, yielding just 18.4 PPG. Offensively, they still score quite a bit, ranking eighth and averaging over 26.2 points per game. If Buffalo is going to get their season back on track, they must start with a big revenge win here. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | North Carolina +7.5 v. Clemson | 20-31 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
North Carolina Tar Heels. Game 341. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. North Carolina possesses one of the most well-balanced and explosive offenses in college football. They average 39.9 points per game behind a solid quarterback, and a devastating ground attack. Offensively they don't make too many mistakes, only committing two turnovers. Now I do understand that their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their offense is so well-balanced and they have such a good ground game, that they will keep the Clemson defense on the field. Please remember that when they're on “D”, there stop-unit has already grabbed 12 take away's already. That does not bode well for a Tigers “O” known to be mistake-prone, committing 11 turnovers. I just think this is way too many points to give a team like UNC. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Illinois v. Iowa -150 | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes on the moneyline. Game 360. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Yes, it's true. Iowa owns an offense that ranks 123rd in scoring, accounting for a measly, 18.8 points per game. But they also have a defense that ranks third in the nation, allowing just 12.3 points per game. As a matter fact, the Hawkeyes are on track to play in the Conference title game. They need another big win here to ensure that. Let's face it, Illinois does not have a very explosive offense to begin with. And going up against this opponent, is going to be one of the toughest tests so far this season for the team. They have yet to face a defense this ferocious. Maybe the last time they faced any sort of defense that comes near this was a mid-September meeting at home against Penn State, in which they were thumped, 30-13. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Georgia -9 v. Tennessee | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. Game 329. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The top-RANKED Georgia Bulldogs cannot take their foot off the gas HERE. With only a few games remaining in the regular season, they have Tennessee up here, then a road game at Georgia Tech, and then finish the season on neutral ground against Alabama in the SEC Title game. There are a few other undefeated teams that round out the top-five in Ohio State, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington. This week a few of those teams have tough conference competition. And next week the No. 2 and No. 3 teams, the Buckeyes, and the Wolverines square off against one another. So, if the Bulldogs keep their foot on the gas, run the gauntlet and stay perfect, they guarantee themselves a spot in the CFP. Even if they drop the game against Alabama and win everything else big time, they should still be in that CFP. The Volunteers just got spanked a week ago at the hands of the Tigers, 36-7. There is no way they could face this weeks opponent on either side of the ball as they are outclassed. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Louisville v. Miami-FL | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Louisville Cardinals. Game 333. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Guys, the Cardinals should be at least a three-point favorite in this match up. They are stronger on both sides of the ball, come in here with momentum, and are playing for a big-time Bowl spot. Miami has lost their last two straight up and two of the last three against the spread. I keep hearing how good the Hurricanes defense is. But in consecutive outings, they've allowed 23, 41, 20, 26, 20, and 27 points. Offensively, they leave a lot to be desired and they make a lot of mistakes. They're running into perhaps one of the strongest defenses they've had to go up against in quite some time this week. The Cardinals only allow 17.1 points per game and have snagged 11 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. We’ve seen Miami struggle offensively. But we've also seen their defense give up a lot of points. That is not a good combination against this week's opponent. Take Louisville. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +3 | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Game 352. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. One more win and the Wildcats become Bowl-eligible. They enter this matchup getting bettors paid, covering four straight games. This is a feisty bunch that really don't match up well for the Purdue Boilermakers. Purdue just got off a four-game slide, beating Minnesota. The balloon will pop my friends, as they plummet back down to Earth. If you recall, Northwestern got their top quarterback back from injury last week as they took down Wisconsin, 24-10. That's a big win for the team. They get another big one here and earn Bowl-eligibility. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-18-23 | Oklahoma -24.5 v. BYU | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
Oklahoma Sooners. Game 371. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. You know, folks, Oklahoma is not happy about missing the CFP. This is the team that was running perfect through the end of October. Then losses on the road at Kansas and that Oklahoma State snuffed out any chance they had at the CFP. They did follow that up with an annihilation, 59-20 over West Virginia. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. This is a team that had high expectations this season. One thing for sure, they still have a chance at the Conference title. But they must win their last two games. Please remember they have covered point spreads of 37.0, 16.5, 28.0, 13.5, 20.5, and 13.0. Not only do they have to win, they have to absolutely annihilate the remaining opponents. That starts with BYU this week and finishes with TCU next week. Trust me when I tell you, they will crush both. The Cougars have had a hard time this season. As a matter fact, since the end of September things have gotten very hard for the team. It just so happens that coincided with Conference play. BYU was just 2-5 straight up in Big 12 action. And have only covered three of their 10 outings this season overall. That does include just two games in Big 12 play. Just over the last three outings, they lost by 31 at the hands of the Longhorns, 31 at the hands of the Mountaineers, and 32 at the hands of the Cyclones. Don't think that they have any dreams about even making a bowl. They just want to get this season over and done with. Their offense is atrocious. Their defense is atrocious. They have no team leadership. And let's be honest, their coaching is horrible. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly outclassed. This game will get ugly. Take the sooners. Thank you. |
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11-17-23 | Colorado +4.5 v. Washington State | 14-56 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Game 317. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. I think it's safe to say that both Colorado and Washington State fell a little short of their expectations this season. Now if this would've been an early season matchup, this would've been one of the most exciting matchups on the board. But it isn’t. While both teams are 4-6 overall, and both teams own identical 1-6 Conference records, to us bettors, this isn’t about which team wins, this is about which team covers. And the Buffaloes have been covering. They are on a three-game ATS cover streak. This is a team that plays very close games. Meanwhile, the Cougars are not only riding a six-game straight up losing streak, they've only covered one of those six outings. A few items to please keep in mind here; Deion Sanders is a prideful man. And I believe he's going to give his all and have his team ready to make a good showing on television this evening. Something else to keep in mind: Washington State has a lawsuit against the Pac 12. Now, I'm not saying the referees are going to be on the side of Colorado. But I am saying that WSU may not get many very favorable calls this evening. I just feel the Buffaloes have played a lot of competitive games and are covering the point spread. Deion Sanders will have his team revved up and ready to go. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Lions -3 v. Chargers | 41-38 | Push | 0 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. Game 257. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. There's still a lot of questions surrounding the Detroit Lions around the league in around the sports betting industry. People are deciding whether they are a contender or a pretender. In my opinion, they are a contender. They own the second-best record in the NFC at 6-2. Believe it or not, the same questions surround the Los Angeles Chargers. They certainly have a solid roster of talent. But each time they're asked to step up in class, they lose, and they fail to cover. Sure, they can beat teams like Minnesota, Las Vegas, Chicago, and New York. But this season, they took losses against Miami, Dallas, and Kansas City. Don't kid yourself, Detroit deserves to be put in the same class as those teams. They are equally good at home as they are on the road. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense is only allowing 20.6 points per game. I feel the major mismatch between the leagues sixth-ranked passing attack going up against its 32nd ranked pass defense is going to be the factor here. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-12-23 | Texans v. Bengals -6 | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals. Game 246. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The early season funk of the Cincinnati Bengals is now in the past. This is a team looking as strong as we expected them to be this season. I think we all know that a few injuries, especially to quarterback, Joe Burrow, not being 100% to kick off the campaign was the reason why they fell short of expectations early. However, over the last month, they have won and covered all four games against some formidable opponents; on the road in Arizona, at home against Seattle, on the road in San Francisco, and at home against Buffalo. Not only has their offense have gotten it done, but their defense has stepped up. While the Houston Texans certainly have talent, and in my opinion, the best young quarterback playing today, this team just falls short overall. They don't have a ground assault to complement the passing game. It hurts them offensively. On defense, while they have played well overall, they rank 24th against the pass, and that does not bode well as they go up against the Burrow and the surging aerial assault of the Bengals. I do believe this is the game in which Cincinnati establishes their ground assault behind the legs of Joe Mixon. Remember, the Bengals are tied for second place in the AFC north, along with the Browns and the Steelers. A big win today and they can certainly move up a notch. Overall, they could notch another AFC victory. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -15.5 | 27-36 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
Oregon. Game 186. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. The Ducks are making all opponents pay since their sole defeat a while back. They know they must close out the regular season strong. With huge lopsided wins throughout, OU can make a case for the CFP. Trojans are vulnerable. By the way, USC have not covered a game this season as a guest while the Ducks are 4-1 ATS at home in 2023. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Iowa State -8 v. BYU | 45-13 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa State. Game 171. 7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST. The Cyclones come off a loss. The last time that occurred, they rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. The Cougars are outmanned and overmatched. A win here, and Iowa State becomes Bowl-eligible. Look for their swarming stop-unit to completely shut down the BYU erratic offense. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Washington State +2.5 v. California | 39-42 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
Washington State. Game 175. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. The Cougars have won and covered the last two meetings with the Golden Bears. After a 4-0 start, WSU has now dropped their last five. They know they dominate Cal and this their shot to earn a well-needed, ego-boost, and get back on track. Washington State steps up huge here. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri +3 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Missouri. Game 196. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. A win here and the Tigers out some distance between the rest of their SEC East reaps, and take a stronghold in the Conference as the second-place team, behind the Bulldogs. Missouri matches up well with Tennessee, makes fewer mistakes on offense and has the talent to win this one outright. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Utah +9.5 v. Washington | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah. Game 177. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The matchups just favor the Utes here. The Huskies are an outstanding team. But they have started to show cracks and thew long season has taken its toll on the squad. Utah can and will exploit those weaknesses and keep this contest much closer than the number. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | New Mexico State +4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 38-29 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
New Mexico State. Game 211. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The Aggies are on a five-game win and cover streak. The Hilltoppers are killing bettors, failing to cover their last three outings. NMSU can and will control the clock with their powerful ground game on offense and do possess a much more balanced defense. They have also covered their last four as a guest. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +1.5 | 48-22 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
Boston College. Game 134. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The Eagles are surging at the right time, riding a five-game SU winning streak. And to add to their advantage, Boston College had and extra day to rest, heal, and prepare. The Hokies have yet to win an away game this season, going 0-4 SU on the road, and 1-3 ATS as a visitor. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Maryland v. Nebraska +2.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
Nebraska. Game 218. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. It’s not about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. Right now, the Terrapins are sliding, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. With Michigan on deck, I see Maryland in a lookahead spot here and Nebraska, matches up well with them. Winning five of their last seven SU against some formidable foes will give the Cornhuskers the momentum and the motivation to win this one. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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11-11-23 | Michigan -4 v. Penn State | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
Michigan. Game 149. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Yeah, yeah, yeah…we have all read the news about Michigan not having been tested thus far this season. But can you blame them? Just because the opposition has been less than stellar, it doesn’t take away from the fact the Wolverines are the strongest team in the nation. Despite the off-the-field news, they will go out of their way to crush a Nittany Lions foe that gave the Buckeyes all they can handle. Just like Michigan hasn’t faced solid teams, Penn State fell short when they went up against a strong adversary. This is the Wolverines opportunity to make a statement. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
New York Jets. Game 476. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 EST. Very simply, I feel the wrong team is favored here. On my two sets of power ratings, I have New York a 2.0-point favorite at a 4.3-point favorite. For starters, the Chargers are not the best road team. They have won just one game straight up on the road since January 1. They've also covered just one game on the road since January 1. They have to face a Jets team that have won three in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering their last four outings. During their current win streak, their defense has allowed just 15.0 points per game, while their offense has stepped up to account for 21.3 points for game during the hot streak. Zach Wilson is showing significant signs of improvement and leadership, which does not bode well for a Los Angeles defense that ranks dead last in the NFL against the pass. Meanwhile, the erratic Chargers offensive unit, which solely relies upon the pass, lines up against the League’s fifth-ranked, pass defense and it's eighth overall stop-unit in points allowed. As I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, I think the wrong team is favored in. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys +3 v. Eagles | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. This may sound crazy my friends. But despite possessing the best record in the NFL, I just don't feel the Philadelphia Eagles are in sync yet. They have looked vulnerable, fatigued, and at times, outclassed this season, despite their league-best record. Their defense, which tops the NFL against the rush, ranks 26th against the pass and 19th in points allowed. Guys, just over recent weeks they allowed the Washington Commanders to twice put up 31 points on them. They also let the Jets post 20 points on them. Guys, elite defenses don't allow teams like that to put up that many points. They must face the NFL’s third-ranked scoring unit in the Dallas Cowboys "O". The problem for the Eagles is that the Cowboys offensive unit is equally good in the air as well as on the ground. They account for over 28.0 points per game. And as far as a home field advantage goes, Philadelphia does not have one when it comes to covering the spread. They have covered just one game at home this season. Statistically, this is the best defense they've had to face this season. On both sides of the ball. They are in for a very tough battle here. Stepping up in class is going to hurt them. Personally, I think this line should be about to pick him. I will take the Dallas Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Cowboys v. Eagles OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 142 h 34 m | Show |
Cowboys/Eagles OVER. NFL BOOKIE BUSTER OF THE WEEK. Games 471/472. Sunday, November 5, 2023. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Cowboys and Eagles are two of the best teams in the NFC. They just happen to also be in the same division, the NFC East. Normally, this is one of the most competitive divisions in football. However, so far this season, these two teams are separating themselves from the rest of the pack. Philadelphia sits at 7-1, the best overall record in the NFC. Just behind them is Dallas at 5-2. FYI, two other NFC teams also own a 5-2 record, Detroit and Seattle. As of posting this play, these two teams are two of the highest-scoring teams in all of football as the Cowboys average over 28.1 points per game, while the Eagles account for 28.0 points per game. Both offenses are well-balanced: equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Granted, these are two of the stronger defenses in the league. But my friends their last five meetings have all gone over the total. Four of the Cowboys last six contests coming into this matchup have gone over the total, while Philly just comes off a 69-point contest against Washington. Both teams need this victory. And both teams match up well with the others. You will see quarterback, Dak Prescott exploit the 26th ranked pass defense of the Philly, while the leagues seventh ranked rushing attack of Eagles will exploit the Cowboys lax run defense. Expect a lot of scoring here. Take the over. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Giants v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
Under in the NYG/LV matchup. Games 469/470. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. On one side to side of the field, you've got starting quarterback, Daniel Jones, returning to an offense that averages just 11.9 points per game. However, the Giants defense have certainly stepped up lately, allowing the bills the score just 14, the Commanders to put up just 7, and the Jets to account for just 13 points. On the other side of the field, it's reported that Aiden O'Connell will start. He heads up the 30th ranked scoring offense in the NFL here, which averages a mere 15.8 points per game. And let's face it, I've seen more action on a field than he has. Lol. These two teams have combined to play three overs and 13 unders this season. They only met once in recent years. And that was in November of 2021, when the game went under the total. Take the Under. Thank you. |
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11-05-23 | Colts -135 v. Panthers | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
Indianapolis Colts on the moneyline. Game 467. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. This is the ideal situation for Indianapolis to get off their three-game slide. The well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Gardner Minshew, and running back's Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss will be too much for a Carolina defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in points allowed, getting plowed for over 28.4 points per game. Despite their current losing streak, the Colts are still averaged 28.3 points per game during their slide. I see the offense absolutely lighting up the scoreboard here. By the way, the Panthers have covered just one game since last January. Take Indianapolis on the money line. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Washington -143 v. USC | 52-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington Huskies on the moneyline. Game 371. 4:30 PST/7:30 PM EST. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 on the season, which does include a 5-0 Conference record. Believe it or not, they need to keep their foot on the gas if they want to take the Pac-12 regular season crown. There are two teams in the rearview, the Trojans at 5-1 in Conference play and the Ducks at 4-1 in Pac-12 action. If they can put USC to bed here, they have some tough, but beatable opponents on deck in Utah, Oregon State, and Washington State. Not only could they go perfect during the regular season, but they can make a big argument for the Conference Football Playoffs. Especially if they destroy their remaining opponents. With two losses, the Trojans can't be in the CFP. My friends this team is seriously overvalued, as they have failed to cover six consecutive games. Everyone they are faced, outside of the three earliest games of the season with pushovers, San Jose State, Nevada, and Stanford, have put points up on them. Look for the nation’s 112th-ranked defense to get beat badly. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas v. Iowa State -142 | 28-21 | Loss | -142 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Iowa State Cyclones on the moneyline. Game 380. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Iowa State has had their way with Kansas, taking seven of the last eight meetings straight up, and covering five of those eight contests. I expect the Jayhawks to be in a serious letdown mode, following last week’s outright win over the Sooners. This team has failed to cover their last seven games played away from home. My friends this includes all three road games this season. Something happens when they travel. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have won and covered their last three outings over the Horned Frogs, the Bearcats, and the Bears. They have an amazing quarterback at the helm, and one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the country. And when it comes to turnovers, their offense doesn't make too many, and their defense snags a ton. The difference in this game will be defense and turnovers. And both of those point to Iowa State. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Missouri v. Georgia -15 | 21-30 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. Game 402. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. There are five undefeated teams at the top of the nation’s polls. Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, and Washington rank in the top-five, and are all 8-0 overall. While there aren’t any easy opponents in the SEC, the Bulldogs certainly need to keep their foot on the gas, as the number one and number three ranked teams, the Buckeyes and Wolverines, will face one another in a few weeks. The number five team, the Huskies have a big matchup this week against the Trojans. Georgia cannot ease up at all. Not only do they need to win, but style-points mean quite a bit right now. While Missouri is 7-1 straight up, I just don't see them being in the same class as Georgia. The Bulldogs have taken the last nine meetings in this rivalry, straight up, I've got a tell ya’, they have been major favorites in most of them. Last year's meeting was a little too close for comfort as the Bulldogs pulled it out with a four-point victory. Trust me when I tell you they will not take this game lightly here. They can't. They have yet to allow any opponent this season to post more than 21 points. They will completely shut down the Tigers offense. On the opposite side of the ball, I just don't see Missouri's defense doing anything but getting flattened here. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | UTSA v. North Texas +8.5 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green. Game 388. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. Guys, in my opinion, UTSA shouldn't be anywhere near better than a touchdown favorite against North Texas. Yes, I know they've won four in a row, going 3-1 ATS. But the Mean Green have made a lot of green for those who bet on them, covering four straight, and five of their last six outings. They play some very solid competition. And my friends, they cover the point spread. No, they are not going to win the National Title. And no, they are not going to win the Conference Title either. But they continuously get undervalued. They have a well-balanced offense that can and will own the time of possession here, keeping the Road Runners defense on the field and their offense off of it. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Nebraska -150 v. Michigan State | 17-20 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers on the moneyline. Game 343. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. One more win, and Nebraska is Bowl-eligible. With Maryland, Wisconsin, and Iowa up next, this is their one chance at a pushover game. Let's face it, everyone that has faced Michigan State has more or less manhandled them. The team has dropped six in a row straight up, and five of those six against the spread. They are absolutely getting crushed. Meanwhile, the Cornhuskers are riding a three-game SU win streak. They have the momentum and the personnel to not just win, but cover, and become Bowl-eligible. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you. |
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11-04-23 | Kansas State +3.5 v. Texas | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 405. 9;00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Yes, it's true, the Longhorns have taken the last six meetings over the Wildcats, straight up. And despite being 7-1 this season SU and 4-1 in Conference play, Texas is showing signs of weakness and fatigue. This is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State to leapfrog them and stay in the Conference regular-season Title hunt. My friends, there are five teams at 4-1 in the Big 12, the Sooners, the Cowboys, the Cyclones, the Longhorns, and the Wildcats. Several of these teams will be playing each other over the final weeks of the regular season. So, this is an ideal opportunity for Kansas State jump ahead this week. The Wildcats are on a three-game win and cover streak. Meanwhile, the Longhorns, haven’t faced an opponent of this caliber in a few weeks since their loss at home against the Sooners. They faced the Cougars of Houston and the Cougars of BYU their last two outings. Both defenses here are quite good. But the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing attack of Kansas State along with their offense that makes very few mistakes, will be the difference in this matchup. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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11-02-23 | TCU +3 v. Texas Tech | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
TCU. Touchdown. Game 311. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, neither of these teams have really impressed too much this season. Both have some key players that are listed as questionable or out (check status). But coming off an embarrassing loss on the road at Kansas State, 41-3 will certainly motivate Texas Christian to bounce back here. They only have four games left in the regular season. And after this week, they have to face Texas, Baylor, and then Oklahoma on the road. They need every win they can get to at least become Bowl-eligible. On the other hand, Texas Tech has lost and failed to cover their last two outings, both as a favorite: at home against Kansas State, and on the road at BYU. It's highly unlikely that his team could earn a Bowl spot as they have three games remaining in the regular season: obviously this week against the Horned Frogs, then go on the road to face the Jayhawks, and then finish the regular season as a visitor against the Longhorns. In my opinion, they threw in the towel already. Oh, by the way, TCU has won and covered the last four meetings in this series. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you. |
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10-31-23 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Toledo | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bulls. Game 301. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Toledo owns the best overall record in the MAC. They are also the only undefeated team in the Conference. Having said that, they could coast through the rest of the regular season and not worry. Buffalo, despite a 3-5 overall record, is 3-1 in MAC play. They won and covered the last three meetings in this Conference rivalry, including last year's, 34-27 victory. They enter today's contest covering four of their last five. And do matchup well with tonight's opponent. While the bobcats possess one of the best rushing units in college football, they also turn the ball over quite a bit. This doesn't bode well as the Bulls defense have already snagged 10 takeaways this season. I just think the circumstances prompt us to side with an underdog getting better than two touchdowns. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs -7 v. Broncos | 9-24 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West Game of the Week. Game 271. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. Granted, these two teams met just a few weeks ago as the Chiefs prevailed at home, 19-8. They did get the win and cover there. Speaking of covering, this is a team that is 5-2 ATS this season. And going back a little bit further, have covered seven of their last nine outings. Playing in Denver is no benefit to the Broncos anymore. I remember a while back when the Broncos were a “gimmee” at home folks. But this team has covered just one home contest going back to last January. The Chiefs are rolling. Granted they have a meeting on deck with the Dolphins. But I don't see this team falling in the trap of being in a look ahead mode. They know how to stay focused on the task at hand. Let's face it, Denver has a lackluster offense that turns the ball over a lot (11 turnovers) and a defense that ranks 32nd points allowed, 32nd in rushing yards allowed, 30th in passing yards allowed, and 32nd in total yards allowed. I look for quarterback, Patrick Mahomes to have his best performance yet this season. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Bengals v. 49ers -5 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Afternoon Bailout. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The number in this game has been going up and down since it came out. Every time somebody comes in on one side, the line gets pulled back on the other side. Granted, the Cincinnati Bengals have one back-to-back games for the first time this season. They've also covered their last two as well. However, they line up against a 49ers opponent that just might be the most complete team in football. To make matters worse for the Bengals, the 49ers have lost and failed to cover their last two games. Please take a note that both of those games are played on the road and in both outings, they were without some key personnel. Several guys are expected to be back for San Francisco here at home in front of their faithful fans. They are certainly further along I believe than Cincinnati. Brock Purdy (check status) is expected to be on the field. Christian McCaffrey is a monster. And let's face it, they have more superstars on both sides of the ball than just about any other team in the NFL. Many people out there thought that these two teams might be competing down the road in the Super Bowl. And anything can happen between now, and then, my friends. However, I just don't see the Bengals defense containing Purdy and his arsenal of weapons. On the flipside, I do see the NFL’s third-ranked stop-unit of San Francisco, getting pressure on Joe Burrow. FYI, the 49ers have covered 10 straight on their home field. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Jets -2.5 v. Giants | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
New York Jets. Best Bet. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In a battle for New York, the New York Jets are certainly in better shape at this point in the season than the New York Giants. They enter this matchup winning their last two games; on the road at the Denver Broncos, and at home against the Philadelphia Eagles. Not only that, but they've covered three consecutive outings. No let down situation here as this team has had some extra time off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are expected to see the return of two of their starting defensive secondary stars. That's spells doom for the New York Giants, which will be without starting quarterback, Daniel Jones. That leaves the offense in the hands of Tyrod Taylor. Granted, the Jets passing unit is one of the worst in football. But so is the Giants passing unit. At least the Jets have a monster running back to rely on in ball-carrier, Breece Hall. They also possess a much stronger stop-unit, yielding just 19.8 points per game. I expect their defense to put pressure on Taylor and create turnovers. Please remember you'll see as many green jerseys in the stands as you will blue jerseys. Take the Jets. Thank you. |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline. NFC NORTH GOM. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM ET. It may be just the end of October, but my friends, this game has serious implications down the road. The Detroit Lions are in first place in the NFC North at 5-2. They have a Monday Night matchup at home against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. Sitting in second place is the Minnesota Vikings at 3-4. Third place sees the the Green Bay Packers at 2-4. And bringing up the rear at 2-5, is the Chicago Bears. If Minnesota wins, they pick up a few games on Green Bay. If Green Bay wins, they leapfrog Minnesota. Having said all that the Vikings are starting to stride. They have won and covered their last two outings: on the road at the Bears, the game wasn't as close as their 19-13 victory. Then at home last week as an underdog, they manhandled the 49ers. That game gave them their third ATS cover over their last four contests. Meanwhile, Green Bay is now riding a three-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The Vikings are also looking for a little payback here. They're looking for revenge from last January’s, 41-17 beat down at the hands of the Packers. Granted, Green Bay has a pretty good best defense. However, not too many have been able to slow down, let alone, stop the third-ranked passing unit of Minnesota. On the flipside, the mistake-prone Jordan Love (seven INT's) is in trouble here as he goes up against the very stingy, very nasty, defense of Minnesota that has already snagged 10 takeaways. This line is going up and down a little bit. Just the err on the side of caution, take the Vikings on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Oregon State -3 v. Arizona | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
Oregon State. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 175. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. Sports fans, I looked at this game up and down and inside and out, and I just can't figure the line being this short. These two teams haven't met since 2019, when the Beavers took down the Wildcats, 56-38. Oregon State enters this match up on a win streak. Yes, 6-1 straight up this season, and going back to last season, on a 10-1 straight up run. And guys, when it comes to covering the spread, they are even more impressive. They are actually on a 16-1 ATS run. Let's face it, they get the bettors paid. Yes, Arizona is pretty good against the spread, covering six of seven this season. But the matchups just don't seem to be very kind here for the home team. They do put up some pretty good numbers on both sides of the ball. However, their numbers do not compare to the numbers Oregon State is showing. OSU averages just about seven points per game more on offense and do yield a little bit less on defense. They make less mistakes offensively, and have a lot more takeaways, defensively. I also like the more well-balanced, 1-2 punch of quarterback, Uiagalelei, and running back, Martinez. 'Zona has a question mark on their starting QB, de Laura again. Even if back up, Fifita, who had a good game last week against Washington State, takes the helm, I'm just not in love with this kid. And their running back, Coleman is good, but not good enough to keep the very hungry Beavers defense at bey. Oregon State has covered five of their last six away from home. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Purdue v. Nebraska -1 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Nebraska. TD PLAY. Game 158. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Sorry, Boilermaker fans, but Purdue is absolutely horrible. They are 2-5, both straight up and against the spread this season. But going back a little bit further, they are a dismal, 2-7 both SU and ATS their L9 outings. They really haven't looked too good at all this season. They're only solid performance was over the “Jekyll and Hyde”, Illinois Fighting Illini. Meanwhile, Nebraska enters this match, hot, winning four of their last five straight up, including the last two. And by the way, they are less than a field goal away from covering those last two outings. They took down the same Illinois opponent three weeks ago, 20-7. I like the matchups for the home team here laying less than a FG, for sure. Purdue has a very lackluster offense. Outside of getting caught off guard earlier in the season by the very surprising, Colorado Buffaloes, and the shellacking at the hands of one of the top teams in the country, in the Michigan Wolverines, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have not allowed a single opponent to break 20 points, going back to last November. They've got a very strong defense, my friends. They are going to completely shut down the Boilermakers offense, meanwhile look for the nations 21st ranked rushing attack to absolutely dissect the Purdue defense. This game will get out of hand. I think it's one of the biggest mismatches on the board. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Iowa State -150 v. Baylor | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
Iowa State on the moneyline. BIG 12 GOM. Game 187. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The Big 12 is once again, shaping up to be one of the most competitive Conferences in college football. Oklahoma is the only undefeated team at 4-0 in Conference play. Meanwhile Iowa State is one of four teams sitting into second place right now at 3-1. Needless to say, they need every victory they can get. Meanwhile Baylor has fallen. It was only two short years ago that this was one of the best teams in the country. Now they are 3-4 overall, including a 2-2 record and Big 12 action. Yes, it's true, they have had their way in this series, straight up and against the spread. They've taken seven of the last 10 straight up and six of the 10 against the spread. This does include wins and covers the last two meetings. However, I really do like the way Iowa State is playing. Now their offense does leave a lot to be desired. But when your defense allows 20.0 points per game, you're going to be competitive. Think of it guys, as the Big 12 is one of highest-scoring Conferences in college football. And yet this team allows just 20.0 PPG. The Bears have a very solid passing attack. However, they are absolutely atrocious at running the ball. Without that well-balanced offense to keep defenses honest, they are in trouble. The Cyclones counter with a 33rd ranked pass defense in the nation. Guys ISU also ranks number one in college football with zero turnovers on offense, and number three nationally with 12 takeaways on defense. You can expect this team to cause some turnovers here. I just think they are too much overall for the home team. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +3 | 45-21 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan. MAC GOM. Game 150. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, it doesn't have to be a Power Five Conference matchup for us to make money in it. And believe me, we're gonna’ make money in the MAC this Saturday. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored. On my two different sets of power ratings, I have Eastern Michigan -1.0, and Eastern Michigan -1.5. My friends, the Eagles have won and covered four consecutive meetings in this Conference rivalry. They enter this matchup covering their last four outings. While both offenses are "less than stellar", in my opinion, this game will come down to defensive play. And you cannot ignore the fact that Western Michigan's defense has gotten plowed this season for over 34.3 points per game, while Eastern Michigan allows under 20-points per game (19.5 PPG). I think they win outright. But I'll take the points with the home ‘dog here for sure. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-28-23 | Indiana v. Penn State -31 | 24-33 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State. OM play. Game 156. 9:00 AM PST/12;00 PM EST. With Michigan and Ohio State facing each other on the last regular season matchup (Nov. 25), one of them has to lose, obviously. Anything can happen between now and that as well. This means Penn State must keep their foot on the gas throughout the regular season. They have a match up with Michigan in a few weeks, and you never know what can happen. At the very least, this team has a chance at a Major Bowl game. Having said that, getting this team off their first defeat of the season is huge. They must come back and make a statement. And what better team to face to do just that, than Indiana. The Hoosiers are winless in Conference play and own an overall record of 2-5. They have failed to cover a single game over their last four outings. Obviously, the Nittany Lions have had their way in this series, taking eight of the last nine straight up, including six of the nine against the spread. This does include wins and covers in the last two meetings: 24-0, and 45-14. PSU allowed 20 points to OSU last week. That was the most allowed since January of last season. This is a team that yields just 9.7 points per game, equally good against the pass and the rush. They will completely shut down the lackluster, IU offense. On the flipside, expect their explosive ninth-ranked scoring “O” to completely steamroll, an Indiana defense that has gotten decimated by just about every opponent this season. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you. |
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10-24-23 | Liberty -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 42-29 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
Liberty Flames. C USA GOM. Game 103. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Liberty isn't just a perfect 5-0 in Conference play; they are also 70 overall. And to be quite honest, after they put Western Kentucky to bed here this week, they can easily run the gauntlet and go perfect, facing remaining opponents, Old Dominion and Massachusetts. They have a real chance at a respected Bowl game. Not only that, but they are a covering machine. As a matter fact, when laying 10 or less points, they have covered six in a row, which includes all five in that situation this season. They possess a 1-2 punch of a great quarterback and an outstanding ball carrier. They rank second in the nation as a matter fact, in rushing, averaging over 274.6 yards per game on the ground. Western, Kentucky by the way, ranks 129th against the rush. Not only that but defensively this team does not allow a lot of points. The Flames defense yields just 19.7 points per game and are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. They also t0p the nation in takeaways, accumulating 15 snags already. The Hilltoppers are in way over their heads here. Take liberty. Thank you. |
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