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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-05-19 | Colts +1 v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 101. 1:35 pm pst. These are the two hottest teams in football, but the Colts are just a bit hotter, winning 9 of their L10 SU, including a December 9th, 24-21 win and cover at the Texans. The Indianapolis defense has tightened up quite nicely and match up well here. Houston ranks 28th vs. the pass and must face the 6th ranked passing unit in the NFL. Andrew Luck has decimated the Texans secondary, throwing for 863 YP and 6 TD's in the 2 meetings against them this season. Indy is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 at Houston, 8-3-2 ATS the L13 overall vs. Houston, and 6-0 ATS the L6 vs. winners. Take the Colts. Thank you. Â |
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01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my ROSE BOWL WINNER. Game 276. 2:00 pm pst. Very simply, OSU has more talent, a smarter Head Coach, the better overall coaching staff, and Dwayne Haskins at the helm (70.2% CR, 4580 YP, 47/8). I don't normally judge a team from one or two recent performances, but the way Ohio State followed the narrow, 52-51 win at Maryland, with decisive victories over Michigan (62-39) and Northwestern (45-24), shows me just how strong of a unit they are at this point in the season. Washington was a 'dog twice this season, losing to Auburn and getting help from the weather against Washington State. HC, Urban Meyer is leaving after this Bowl game, so expect a big send off from his squad .The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS the last seven Bowls, 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 vs. the PAC 12, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 on neutral sites. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | Top | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 34 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my FIESTA BOWL WINNER. Game 274. 10:00 am pst. Giving a team that has won 25 straight games and beat another SEC representative in Auburn, in last year's Peach Bowl, 7.5 points, is a gift. Central Florida enters yet another Bowl game eager to prove they deserve more respect and a higher spot in the polls. Backup QB, Darriel Mack Jr. has been perfect in replacing injured starter, McKenzie Milton, accounting for 522 YP, 2/0 in the air and 340 YR and 6 TD's on the ground. The Knights own an offense that ranks 5th in rushing and 29th in passing. LSU has a good defense, but is playing this Bowl contest without two starting DB's (Fulton injured, Williams NFL draft). The Tigers possess an offensively-challenged "0" that have trouble maintaining sufficient ball-control to keep the Knights offense off the field. UCF has 22 seniors playing their final game that want to go out perfect. LSU is 1-6-1 ATS the last eight non-conference games and 2-5 ATS the last seven Bowl games. UCF is 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games and 5-1 ATS the last six overall games. Take the Knights. Thank you. |
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01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 45 m | Show |
Take Mississippi State.                                                         This is my OUTBACK BOWL WINNER. Game 270. 9:00 am pst. Iowa was an underdog three times this season, losing and failing to cover all three contests. Not only that, but the defense gave up 28 or more points in five outings in 2018. Despite mediocre offensive statistics, the Hawkeyes still managed to average, 31.5 PPG. They will be without one of their best receivers, TE, Noah Fant, who is skipping the game to prepare for the NFL draft. The Mississippi State defense is the best in the country, allowing only, 12.0 PPG, ranking 6th vs. the pass 10th vs. the run. The Bulldogs are a running team. The Hawkeyes defense is good against the rush, however, the Mississippi State "O" will keep the Iowa "D" on the field and tire the unit out. While, the Hawkeyes QB, Nate Stanley is a passer, the Bulldogs play-caller, Nick Fitzgerald, is a dual-threat QB, something that Iowa hasn't seen too much of this season. The Hawkeyes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS the last five games overall. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS the last five non-conference games and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games. Take Mississippi State. Thank you. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -106 | 104 h 38 m | Show |
Take Oregon. This is my SAN FRANCISCO BOWL WINNER. Game 262. 12:00 pm pst. The Michigan State offense is lethargic, averaging just, 19.8 PPG. They've accounted for a total of 26 points over their last three regular season outings. The Spartans are known for their defense, but have had issues when facing well-balanced offensive units. Well, Oregon can score points (18th, 37.2 PPG) in the air as well as on the ground, and finishing the season with two big wins, the Ducks come in here with confidence. QB, Justin Herbert (59.6% CR, 2985 YP, 28/8) is a better field general and more reliable than either Spartans play-callers, Brian Lewerke or Rocky Lombardi (49.3% CR, 2606 YP, 11/13 combined). Michigan State is 0-4 ATS the last four meetings vs. Oregon, 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. the PAC 12, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played following a SU win. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5.5 | 31-35 | Loss | -106 | 101 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my MILITARY BOWL WINNER. Game 258. 9:00 am pst. Virginia Tech has played the tougher schedule, but their losses to Old Dominion and Georgia Tech are hard to overlook. Cincinnati, one of college football's most-pleasant surprises (10-2), enter this Bowl contest with a very healthy team, the 7th ranked defense in the nation (16.1 PPG allowed), and the better QB-RB tandem. Desmond Riddler (62.5% CR, 2359 YP, 19/5) and Michael Warren II (1163 YR, 17 TD's) are explosive. The Bearcats are 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games. The Hokies are 2-6 ATS the last 8 overall games. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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12-30-18 | Eagles -6.5 v. Redskins | 24-0 | Win | 100 | 72 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NO LIMIT. 1:25 pm pst Philadelphia has had their way with Washington, winning and covering the last three meetings, including a 28-13 victory on December 3rd. The Eagles are red-hot, winning four of their last five SU and have last year's Super Bowl MVP back under Center. Nick Foles has looked very sharp. Not to mention that the reigning Super Bowl champs are playing for a chance at the last Wild Card spot. The Redskins are banged-up, have dropped five of their last six SU, and pose no offensive threat whatsoever (18.7 PPG). The Favorite is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-28-18 | Syracuse +1.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 193 h 16 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my CAMPING WORLD BOWL WINNER. Game 243. 2:15 pm pst. QB, Will Grier and LT, Yodny Cajuste will not participate here, as they are preparing for the NFL draft. This is going to drastically impact the 3rd ranked passing unit of West Virginia as sophomore backup, Jack Allison will take the reins. Reports are that the Miami transfer has problems in the pinch. Well, Syracuse like to blitz, and has success in doing so. The Mountaineers are already depressed after finishing the regular season with back-to-back losses and now must face a Syracuse offense that is a juggernaut, averaging over 40.8 PPG, equally good on the ground and in the air. Dual-threat QB, Eric Dungey (2565 YP, 17/7 in the air, 732 YR, 15 TD's on the ground) will outplay and outscore his youthful and inexperienced, counterpart. The Orange won and covered the last three meetings against the Mountaineers, in 2010, 2011. and 2012, by an average of 18.3 PPG. West Virginia is 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, 1-6 ATS the last seven neutral site games, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the ACC, and 0-5 ATS the last five Bowl games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | 63-14 | Loss | -104 | 190 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Purdue. This is my NCAAF MUSIC CITY BOWL WINNER. Game 242. 10:30 am pst. To be quite honest, the wrong team is favored here. Purdue should be a 1-2 point fav in this matchup. One of the biggest disappointments this college football season, is Auburn. This, 7-5 Tigers squad was a pre-season CFP hopeful. They just got smoked, 52-21, in their regular season finale to Alabama. QB, Jarrett Stidham, who had a very subpar year (2421 YP, 13/5), has announced that he is skipping his senior year to enter the NFL draft. Maybe he sees things getting worse, down the road. This is a team that once again is in a lower-tier, Bowl, just like a season ago when they lost in the Peach Bowl to UCF, 34-27. The offense is stagnant and we've seen their defense look mortal when facing tough opposition. Purdue is healthy, happy to be in a Bowl, love that HC, Jeff Brohm is sticking around, and have the best playmaker on the field in Rondale Moore (1164 YR, 13 TD's). The WR leads a very deep, receiving corps. QB, David Blough (66.6% CR, 3521 YP, 25/8) is going to move the chains in the air. Take the points with the Boilermakers here. Thank you. |
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12-26-18 | Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -4.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Georgia Tech. This is my NCAAF QUICK LANE BOWL WINNER. Game 232. 2:15 pm pst. There are quite a few factors that urge me to side with Georgia Tech here. Paul Johnson is coaching his last game. The Head Coach has had success at Georgia Southern (62-10), Navy (45-29), and Georgia Tech (82-59). Johnson is a very respected and well-liked HC. This season, the Yellow Jackets triple-option led the nation in rushing (335.0 YPG). The scheme will be terminated next year by replacement HC, Geoff Collins. So, expect this offense to go out with a bang. They will keep the 75th ranked run defense of Minnesota on the field, and by the 2nd half, gasping for air. Another big factor, is that the Golden Gophers have six players suspended here, and the team is distracted. Playing in the high-flying, ACC, the Yellow Jackets defense fared very well and are strong enough to contain the mediocre, Golden Gophers "O". Take Georgia tech. Thank you. |
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12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 69 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 102. 10:00 am pst. Dallas lost last week to an AFC foe, after a 5-game win and cover streak. They were blanked for the first time in 15 years. Expect a big bounce-back here at AT&T Stadium to lock up the NFC East title in front of a friendly, home crowd. They certainly don't want to leave anything to chance for their final regular season game, next week, against division rival, New York. Tampa Bay's defense is the perfect remedy after LW's poor offensive performance, as the Buccaneers rank 27th both against the pass and against the run. Look for Elliott and Cooper to put up big numbers. Offensively, the Bucs have fallen flat, posting a total of 26 points their last two outings. And facing the NFL's 4th ranked stop-unit (19.2 PPG allowed), won't help matters. Sean Lee is back on "D", and despite a few banged-up OL members, Elliott will still hit the century mark as the Buccaneers "D" has yielded 9-straight 100-yard rushing games. Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU on the road, going 3-3-1 ATS. Dallas is 6-1 SU at home, going 5-2 ATS. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | Top | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 69 h 44 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFL NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 115. 10:00 am pst.                                                                     Minnesota is in the playoffs and would certainly like to put up a few more wins to better their seeding situation. They finish up at home next week, against NFC North title holder, Chicago. This is potentially a big game for the Vikings. They took down the Lions, 24-9, back in Week 9. A game in which they sacked Matthew Stafford 10 times. In that meeting, Stafford was healthier, he had more weapons at his disposal, and his OL was intact. Now the QB has back issues, their receiving corps is a hurting, their best ball-carrier is most-likely going to miss his 5th game, and the OL is very banged-up. They've averaged only, 15.8 PPG over their L8 games. There's no way they can deal with the rejuvenated, Vikings offense that has gone back to running the ball. QB, Kirk Cousins has a healthy offense and the defense has been on point all year, yielding just, 22.0 PPG. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
Take Army. This is my ARMED FORCES BOWL WINNER. Game 224. 12:30 pm pst. Buy this number down for the extra few pennies, to air on the side of caution. At first glance, Houston looked like the play, but looking closer, I strongly reversed my decision. The Cougars, after starting 7-1, dropped three of their last four games. Things go from bad to worse for the team, which just fired HC, Mark D'Onofrio, and will be without four DL, including All-American DT, Ed Oliver. This doesn't bode well as they go up against the nation's #2 rushing attack. On the other side of the ball, Houston lost their biggest offensive playmaker, QB, D'Eriq King (2982 YP and 36 TD's in the air, 816 YR and 5 TD's on the ground). It's going to be a long day facing the stout, 13th ranked Army defense (18.0 PPG allowed).Take the Black Knights. Thank you. |
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12-22-18 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 52 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. This is my BIRMINGHAM BOWL WINNER. Game 221. 9:00 am pst. These are two very different teams at the moment. Wake Forest, which lost 13 players between the pre and regular seasons, has had time to rest, heal, and prepare. Several key personnel return here, including RB, Matt Colburn, which gives the Demon Deacons back their 1-2 , backfield punch of Colburn and Cade Carney (1693 YR, 13 TD's combined). Memphis RB, Darrell Henderson, who led the nation in all-purpose yards, is skipping the contest to prepare for the NFL draft. Wake Forest finished the season with a, 59-7 rout at Duke, while Memphis lost to Central Florida, in the AAC title game, 56-41. Reports are that the Demon Deacons are excited to be in their third straight Bowl, while the Tigers are not, after losing a chance to appear in a more prestigious Bowl. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS the last six in December and 4-1 ATS the last five Bowls. Memphis is 0-5 ATS the last five in December and 1-5 ATS the last six Bowls. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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12-21-18 | Florida International +6 v. Toledo | Top | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 91 h 29 m | Show |
Take FIU. This is my BAHAMAS BOWL WINNER. Game 217. 9:30 am pst. Florida International enters this Bowl game with a very healthy squad, led by a solid, MAC transfer at QB. James Morgan (65.8% CR, 2727 YP, 26/7) knows this Toledo team. As a member of Bowling Green, he threw for 335 YP and 5 TD's in an October, 2016 matchup. The Rockets have backup, Eli Peters under center. The QB has just a, 54.6% CR, and 15 TD's, against 7 INT's. The big difference here is the disparity in both QB's, along with a Toledo defense that is a doormat, ranking 105th vs. the pass, and allowing the most points, 30.2 PPG, in over four years. FIU is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. winners, 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 overall. Toledo is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners, 2-5 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 1-5-1 ATS the last seven in December. Take the Golden Panthers. Thank you. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. This is my FRISCO BOWL WINNER. Game 213. 5:00 pm pst. Talk about folding, San Diego State started the year at 6-1, only to finish with a record of 7-5, including three straight losses to end the season. To make matters worse, the Aztecs crushed bettors, riding a 1-6 ATS run. Rocky Long's boys are known for having a very poor offense and a solid defense. Their "O" averages just, 22.3 PPG. But, as we look closely, we see their "D" started to leak, allowing, 26.1 PPG over their last five outings. Ohio can score points, ranking 10th nationally, accounting for, 41.2 PPG. Defensively, they are good enough here in this matchup. There is no way San Diego State can keep pace on the scoreboard with Ohio. The Aztecs are 3-7 ATS the last 10 in December and 1-5 ATS the last six non-conference games. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS the last four in December and 5-1 ATS the last six Bowl games. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -2.5 | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 95 h 48 m | Show | |
Take UAB. Game 212. 4:00 pm pst. Â Both defenses are very tough. The Huskies allow just, 21.5 PPG. The Blazers yield a mere, 17.3 PPG. The big difference here is the superiority of the UAB offense. Their success begins on the OL. Head Coach, Bill Clark, who is in the talks for Coach of the Year honors, recruits some of the best players in the south. Please understand, he gets all of the Alabama also-rans, which results in the team rushing for over 208.9 YPG. Not only that, but the OL has the size and strength to hold off the NIU defense, particularly, their best player, DE, Sutton Smith. The Huskies are just 2-9, both SU and ATS, their last 11 Bowl games, including an 0-7 ATS slide as an underdog, and a current 0-5 ATS run. The Blazers are eager to earn the school's first Bowl victory ever. Northern Illinois is 1-5 ATS the last six vs. C-USA teams and 0-4 ATS the last four December games. Alabama Birmingham is 8-3 ATS the last 11 vs. teams with a winning record and 8-3 ATS the last 11 overall. Take Alabama Birmingham. Thank you. |
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12-17-18 | Saints -6.5 v. Panthers | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -100 | 72 h 11 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF GOY. Game 331. 5:15 pm pst. Normally, you should go against a team playing their third consecutive game on the road, but the Saints aren't "normal". They bounced back from their first loss since Week 1, to win and cover last week over the Buccaneers, with a 25-0, 2nd half edge. New Orleans (11-2) controls their home field destiny in the NFC playoffs. Expect Drew Brees and company (#2 offense, 34.4 PPG) to notch a big win over a division rival that they have beaten three straight meetings. Carolina is on a five-game lose and no-cover slide. The Panthers one man offense of Christian McCaffrey (leads the team in rushing, receiving, and TD's) will have problems against a stingy, Saints "D" that hasn't given up better than 17 points over their last five outings. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four in Carolina, 20-6 ATS the last 26 on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine vs. NFC opponents. Take the Saints. Thank you. Â Â Â Â |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 325. 1:05 pm pst. San Francisco, which by the way, has lost 10 or more games for four consecutive seasons, has not covered back-to-back games in 2018. They now face a Seattle team that has dominated them, taking the last 10 meetings SU, going 8-2 ATS. The Seahawks crushed the 49ers just two weeks ago, 43-16. Nothing has changed over the last 14 days to make me think that this will have any different of an outcome. With a win here, at Levi's Stadium, Seattle can sew up an NFC Wild Card slot. Veteran QB, Russell Wilson will once again outplay counterpart, Nick Mullens. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the 49ers and 11-2-1 ATS the last 14 overall vs. the 49ers. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. NFC opponents. The 49ers are 6-15 ATS the L21 home games and 0-5 ATS the last five against NFC foes. Take Seattle. Thank you. Â |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys +3 v. Colts | 0-23 | Loss | -100 | 41 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. This is my DOMINATOR play. Game 313. 10:00 am pst. With serious playoff implications here, I must side with a Dallas team riding the longest active win streak in the NFL (5 games). A win here will clinch the NFC East title. Since acquiring Amari Cooper, the Cowboys are 5-1 (both SU and ATS). The WR (642 YR, 6 TD's, 16.1 YPC) gives the offense a true aerial threat to go along with a solid ground assault behind RB, Ezekiel Elliott (1262 YR, 6 TD's). But, it has been the League's 2nd ranked defense (18.9 PPG allowed) that has been the key to their success. Indianapolis also needs this game, but QB, Andrew Luck has no ground game and just can't do it all by himself. The Colts "D" folds like a cheap suit when facing mediocre offensive units, let alone solid "O's". The Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of December and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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12-16-18 | Titans -1 v. Giants | 17-0 | Win | 100 | 41 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my VI play. Game 319. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee looks to stay in the playoff race, so a win is a must here. New York has notched just 1 victory over a playoff caliber team this season, and that was against Chicago with a backup at QB. The Giants defense has struggled when facing mobile QB's. Marcus Mariota is as mobile as they come. On the other side of the ball, WR, OBJ is banged-up (check status), which leaves the offense entirely reliant upon the legs of Saquon Barkley. The rookie RB is going up against the #4 overall defense in the NFL (19.5 PPG allowed), which has yielded just 6 rushing TD's this year. The Titans are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the Giants and 4-1 ATS the L5 in the months of December. The Giants are 2-8-1 ATS the L11 following an ATS win and 1-4-1 ATS the L6 games played at home. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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12-15-18 | Browns +3 v. Broncos | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 305. 5:20 pm pst. With a new sense of pride, Cleveland has won 5 games this season and has a shot to take the division and a possible, post-season slot. Baker Mayfield will exploit the depleted, Denver secondary missing Harris Jr., and also may be without (check status) Brock and Yiadom. The Broncos offense is struggling with the absence of WR, Sanders, They are 3-7 ATS the L10 in December and 3-7-1 ATS the L11 at home. Take the Browns. Thank you. Â |
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12-15-18 | Texans -7 v. Jets | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Bookie Buster. Game 303. 1:30 pm .  Don't put any stock in New York's, 27-23 win at Buffalo last week. Come on guys, it's Buffalo! Prior to that, the Jets lost 6 in a row SU, going 1-5 ATS. Sam Darnold, to me is very overrated. And now, he must face Watt, Clowney, and the 5th ranked Houston "D", that's yielding just 19.9 PPG and have tallied, 43 sacks. The Texans still have a shot at a playoff bye with a win here. The "Big 3" of Watson, Hopkins, and Miller are just too much offense for the Jets defense. Houston is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the AFC and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. New York is 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -6 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my LAS VEGAS BOWL WINNER. Game 206. 12:30 pm pst. Â As soon as this matchup was announced, I went out and picked up first row, 50-yard line seats. Guess where? On the Bulldogs side of the field. Not to take any credit away from an Arizona State team that beat Michigan State, Southern Cal, Utah, and Arizona, but, they must face the nation's #3 stop-unit, without one of their biggest offensive stars. WR, N'Keal Harry (1080 YR, 9 TD's), who is an expected 1st round draft pick, will forgo the Bowl game to avoid any possible chance of injury. Harry is QB, Manny Wilkins' "go-to" guy and the offenses biggest playmaker. The Sun Devils must rely upon 1524-yard rusher, Eno Benjamin. The RB is outstanding, but the Bulldogs, already-fierce defense will be able to key on the ball-carrier. Offensively, Fresno State puts up 34.9 PPG, mostly in the air. This doesn't bode well for a porous, ASU defense that ranks 82nd vs. the pass. Arizona State is 2-7 ATS the last nine Bowl games, 0-4 ATS the last four in the month of December, and 1-6 ATS the last seven vs. MWC foes. Fresno State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 non-conference games, 4-1 ATS the last five in the month of December, and 27-6-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Rams -3 v. Bears | 6-15 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my NO LIMIT  Game 119. 5:20 pm pst. The NFC West champ, Los Angeles, are looking to stay ahead of New Orleans for home field in the conference playoffs. So, I don't have a problem laying a short price here with a Rams offense that accounts for over 34.9 PPG. The 1-2 punch of QB, Jared Goff (66.4% CR, 3754 YP, 27/7) and RB, Todd Gurley (1175 YR, 15 TD's) can light up any defense in football. The Bears have a good "D", but haven't faced a tandem of the caliber of Goff and Gurley all season. Moreover, the only two able QB's they have went up against (Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady combined for 573 YP, 6/1), tore them up (both losses). Mitch Trubisky (check status) is most-likely playing, but the QB does not have the arsenal to contend here. The Los Angeles offense ranks 2nd in total yards, 4th in passing yards, 4th in rushing yards, and 2nd on points scored. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Steelers -10 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my LVSM. Game 131. 1:25 pm pst. Normally, I wouldn't lay DD's with Pittsburgh here, especially with New England on deck for them. They just blew a 16-point halftime lead in last week's, 33-30 loss to Los Angeles. And, James Conner is out. But playing Oakland trumps all that. Look for the Steelers to bounce back here with a vengeance. Last Sunday, with under two minutes left, the Chiefs let the Raiders score 10 points with the game in hand, to beat Oakland, 40-33. That seven-point deficit was the only defeat over Oakland's last seven losses to come by less than 14 points. Pittsburgh will try to establish a ground attack with Stevan Ridley and Jaylen Samuels, but Big Ben is going to do most of the damage against an Oakland "D" that hasn't been able to stop any good throwing QB's this year. The Raiders "stop-less" stop-unit ranks 31st, allowing over 30.6 PPG. Offensively, they rank 29th, averaging a mere, 18.3 PPG and must face a healthy and ferocious Steelers "D". Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS the last seven following a SU loss. Oakland is 2-6 ATS the last eight at home. Take the Steelers. Thank you |
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12-09-18 | Broncos -3.5 v. 49ers | 14-20 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my DOMINATOR. Game 123. 1:05 pm pst. In just four starts, Nick Mullens has gone from a hero to a punch line. The QB, who looked great, tossing three TD's vs. Oakland in his debut, has now just 2 TD's and 5 INT's over the last three games since, all losses, both SU and ATS. The 23-year old must now step up to the line against a vastly improving, Denver "D", consisting of the fierce, Von Miller-Bradley Chubb pass rush. The Broncos are riding a three-game win and cover streak to bring the team to 6-6, and right back into the AFC Wild Card race. Case Keenum can rely upon RB, Phillip Lindsay (937 YR, 8 TD's) to keep the 49ers defense off-balance and open up the passing game, even without WR, Emmanuel Sanders (out, achilles). Â Denver is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. San Francisco is 1-4 ATS the last five at home and 1-5 ATS the last six overall. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Falcons +5 v. Packers | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my Underdog Outright Winner. Game 111. 10:00 am pst. Two pre-season, NFC favorites enter this contest with seven combined losses. The Packers are banged-up on both sides of the ball and are dealing with a new HC for the first time in 13 years. Atlanta has taken the last three meetings in this series by a combined, 35 points and come into this matchup with more weapons in their arsenal. The road team is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings in this series. Atlanta is 5-0 ATS the last five in Green Bay. Green Bay is 1-5-1 ATS the last seven vs. NFC opponents. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 15 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 117. 10:00 am pst. Don't put any stock in reading that Miami has given New England trouble over the years. This is Belichick and Brady in December. The Patriots can lock up a record, 10th straight division title with a win here and are just one game behind the Chiefs for the best overall mark in the AFC. Tom Brady and company routed the Dolphins, 38-7, back in September, to give the team their fourth win and cover in the last five meetings in this series. Since then, New England has gotten healthier and better. New England is 17-6 ATS the last 23 on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. the AFC, and 37-15-2 ATS the last 52 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore This is my BOOKIE BUSTER. Game 105. 10:00 am pst. This is an interesting matchup as the League's best scoring offense goes up against its best scoring defense. Facing a stingy, Baltimore stop-unit without a proven ball-carrier, is going to be a much tougher task than last week's matchup against a cushy, Oakland "D". HC, John Harbaugh mentioned that he may use both, Joe Flacco and Lamar Jackson at the helm. Flacco can exploit the Chiefs 32nd ranked pass defense, while Jackson and RB, Gus Edwards will team up to exploit the 22nd run defense of Kansas City. Baltimore is 5-2 ATS the last seven in the month of December. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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12-09-18 | Saints v. Bucs +10.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -130 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Tampa Bay. This is my SHOCKER. Game 114. 10:00 am pst. Tampa Bay has played their division rival very tough, winning and covering the last two meetings, including an early-September, 48-40 victory. Granted, New Orleans suffered their first defeat since Week 1, and they've had a few extra days to rest and prepare, but the Bucs own the #1 passing unit in the NFL and if the Saints have a weakness, it's their 30th ranked defense vs. the pass. Jameis Winston hasn't turned the ball over the last two games (both wins and covers) and the Bucs "D" has tightened up. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. New Orleans is 1-4 ATS the last five in Tampa Bay and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU loss. Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS the last four in December and 5-2 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC South. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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12-08-18 | Navy v. Army -6.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Army. Game 104. 10:00 pm pst This is the 119th edition of this storied contest. Army has taken the last two meetings, but has covered seven of the last nine. Over the last five years, each matchup has been separated by seven points or less, including a 14-13, Black Knights win and cover last year. But this year, these are two very different squads. The Middies are 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS away from Annapolis in 2018, being outscored by 16.8 PPG. Both teams can run the ball (Army #2, Navy #3). The Army QB situation is a bit more stable, behind Kelvin Hopkins. Navy has rotated three play-callers in Garret Lewis, Zach Abey, and Malcolm Perry. The Black Knights offense eats up more clock than any other team in the nation, with an average TOP of 39:15. Another big edge is on defense, where Army ranks 17th overall (18.7 PPG allowed), 30th vs. the pass, and most importantly, 12th vs. the run. The Navy "D" has been a doormat, yielding over 34.9 PPG, ranking 98th vs. the pass, and 89th vs. the run. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS the last four non-conference games, 2-6 ATS the last eight vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the L10 overall games. The Black Knights are 4-0 ATS the last four games following a bye week, 4-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of December. Take Army. Thank you |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +7 v. Eagles | 13-28 | Loss | -130 | 93 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my NFC EAST GOM. Game 379. 5:15 pm pst. Do you know what Vanilla ice and the Philadelphia Eagles have in common? They are both one-hit-wonders. Colt McCoy was a little rusty LW, tossing 3 INT's, in his first start in 4 years. And still, Washington only lost by 8 points to Dallas. The QB had a few extra days to get in sync. he gets to face a banged-up, Philly secondary that ranks 28th in the League. The offense can also crush Adrian Peterson as the veteran ball-carrier goes up against the lax, eagles run defense, yielding over 4.7 YPC. The Philadelphia offense is struggling. With no real running threat, QB, Carson Wentz is in trouble here. The Washington "D" will blitz, blitz, and blitz more. They've got 32 sacks and Wentz has not fared well against heavily blitzing defenses. The Redskins are 8-3 ATS the L11 at the Eagles, 5-0 ATS the L5 following an ATS loss, and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS the L5 at home, 1-4 ATS the L5 vs. the NFC East, and 2-8 ATS the L10 overall. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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12-02-18 | Colts -4 v. Jaguars | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my VI play. Game 351. 10:00 am pst. Cody Kessler gets the start here for Jacksonville, without Leonard Fournette in the backfield (suspended 1 game). Indy has won 5 in a row, both SU and ATS, while Jacksonville is riding a 7-game SU skid, failing to cover all 7 (2 pushes). The Colts, Andrew Luck leads the 4th ranked offense in the NFL, averaging over 29.5 PPG. The Jags just can't keep pace (17.9 PPG, ranking 28th), especially without their #2 and #3 rushers (Bortles and Fournette). Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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12-02-18 | Bears -3.5 v. Giants | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my HR. Game 363. 10:00 am pst. This line moved down as Mitch Trubiskey was downgraded to doubtful. If the rookie QB does not play, Chase Daniel, who got the team the win and cover LW over Detroit, will get the nod. Please remember that Chicago is riding a 5-game win and cover streak. This team is winning because of their defense, which ranks 2nd in scoring (19.2 PPG). The difference in this contest is the Bears defense. The New York coaching staff has made bad decisions. Saquon Barkley is not getting enough touches. And Eli Manning is finding new and improved ways to lose. The Giants can't score and their defense can't stop anyone. NY has failed to cover yet at home this season at 0-4-1 ATS. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 at New York. And the Road Team is 7-1 ATS the L8 overall meetings. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 22 m | Show |
Take Texas. Game 311. 9:30 am pst. Can you believe two "Red River Rivalry" battles in one season? The first meeting, at the beginning of October, saw Texas best Oklahoma, 48-45. That defeat resulted in the only blemish on the Sooners, 11-1 campaign. The OU offense can score points on any defense in the country, ranking 1st in scoring (50.3 PPG). The problem is their defense is just horrible, ranking 100th (32.8 PPG allowed overall). The team finished the regular season, getting shelled for 46, 47, 40, and 56 points. Dual-threat QB, Sam Ehlinger, makes very few mistakes and has the weaponry to keep this matchup, once again, very close. Let's not forget, the Longhorns have covered the last six meetings in this series. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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11-30-18 | Utah +6 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Utah. Game 305. 5:00 pm pst. Washington looked like the pre-season, forecasted, PAC 12 powerhouse, last week, putting an end to both the Washington State seven-game win streak and their conference title hopes. Just like the mid-September meeting, the Huskies are laying under a TD here. They did best the Ute's, 21-7 back then, even before Utah's starting QB and RB (Tyler Huntley and Zack Moss) suffered season-ending injuries. On paper, U-Dub looks like the play, but after looking closely, we find that the Huskies haven't covered back-to-back games all season. Grab a magnifying glass because we are probing further. Utah's backups have filled in quite nicely. Jason Shelley and Armand Shyne are solid and also give Washington no advantage, having not seen this offense before. Washington QB, Jake Browning is "shaky" at best, therefore the Huskies rely upon RB, Myles Gaskin. But the nation's 6th ranked rush defense and the 17th overall stop unit (19.2 PPG), will get to him. I honestly feel that the "over-rated", Washington squad played their best football last week. Utah keeps this game close. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | 30-29 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. Game 304. 4:00 pm pst. NIU is known for their strong defense, particularly against the rush. They face the very high-scoring Buffalo offense, averaging 35.2 PPG. But the Huskies will be without DE, Josh Corcoran (8 sacks) for the first half (suspension). The Bulls have an NFL prospect in Tyree Jackson (2605 YP, 25/11). The QB has a stable of talented receivers. Northern Illinois, despite a good overall defense, is just mediocre against the pass (76th). Offensively, the Huskies rank 122nd in scoring, averaging just, 19.9 PPG. The Bulls have the defense to contain them and the offense to outscore them. Buffalo is 8-1 ATS the L9 conference games, 5-2 ATS the L7 November games, and 19-7 ATS the L26 overall games. Take the Bulls Thank you. |
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11-29-18 | Saints -7 v. Cowboys | 10-13 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. Game 301. 5:20 pm pst. New Orleans has rattled off 10 consecutive victories, in which they are a perfect, 5-0 on the road, both SU and ATS. With their trio of offensive stars, Dallas is riding a 3-game SU and ATS win streak. Defensively, the Saints rank 30th against the pass. But that's alright as the Cowboys have struggled offensively in the air, ranking 28th. The bigger matchup is Ezekiel Elliott going up against the #1 ranked run defense in the NFL. Without a ground game, Dallas is going to have a hard time moving the chains. New Orleans is 8-3 ATS the L11 meetings in this series. Take the Saints. |
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11-25-18 | Dolphins v. Colts -7.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 36 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my AFC GOM. Game 266. 1:25 pm pst. Don't look now, but very quietly, Indianapolis has rattled off 4 consecutive SU wins. Andrew Luck has tallied some impressive stats, with 2769 YP, a 67.3% CR, and 29/9. His OL has not allowed a sack in 5 games. As a matter of fact, the QB has tied Dan Marino for 3rd all-time, tossing 3 or more TDP in 7 straight contests. This does not bode well for a porous, Miami secondary that has gotten shredded by every good QB this season. Ryan Tannehill is expected to start here. But it won't matter if it's Tannehill or Osweiler, as both are pretty bad. To make matters worse, the4 Dolphins have a banged-up OL. What a time for this to happen as the Colts "D" are starting to heat up (5 sacks and 8 TFL in LW's, 38-10 win and cover over the Titans). Miami accounts for just 15.8 PPG on the road where they are 1-4, both SU and ATS. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers -3 v. Broncos | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my CONTRARIAN GOM. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst. Playing in Mile High is no longer an advantage for Denver, which has dropped their L3 SU at home. A red-hot, Pittsburgh team (6-0 SU L6, 5-0-1 ATS) is looking to lock up home field come the post-season. Look for the Steelers fierce pass rush to shake up the erratic, Case Keenum (11 TD's/10 INT's), and create TO's, while the 1-2 punch of QB, Ben Roethlisberger and RB, James Conner exploit the Orange "Slush." The Broncos are 7-18-1 ATS the L26 vs. AFC opponents and 1-4-1 ATS the L6 at home. Take the Steelers. Thank you. Â Â |
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11-25-18 | Raiders v. Ravens -10 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 38 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my LVSM. Game 254. 10:00 am pst. Lamar Jackson adds a different dimension to the Baltimore Ravens offense. The QB ran for 119 yards in LW's, 24-21 win over Cincinnati. The entire backfield of Baltimore are salivating, knowing that they are going up against the NFL's 31st ranked run defense. Jackson will also gain confidence as a passer as well. This game is going to be won with the other big mismatch. The Ravens own the #2 defense vs. the pass, the #4 vs. the run, and the #1 overall in points allowed (18.1 PPG). The fierce, Baltimore pass rush will get to the very immobile, Derek Carr and create TO's. Let's face it, Oakland's offense is just horrible, ranking 30th, and averaging a mere, 17.0 PPG. The home team is 1-5 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. The Raiders are 1-5 ATS the L6 at the Ravens, 3-8-1 ATS the L12 on the road, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -112 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Notre Dame. This is my GOY. Game 225. 5:00 pm pst. Well, Notre Dame has certainly made a believer out of me. Expect nothing less than a decisive win here, to secure the Fighting Irish a spot in the College Playoff. Don't know what's going to be more of a mismatch, the offensive side or the defensive side, as Notre Dame outclasses USC on both. The Trojans are 1-6 ATS the L7 home games, 0-7 ATS the L7 vs. non-conference opponents, 1-6 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record, and 6-19-1 ATS the L26 overall games. Take the Fighting Irish. |
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11-24-18 | LSU +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my SEC WEST GOM. Game 209. 4:30 pm pst. LSU has dominated Texas A&M, winning and covering the last seven meetings in this series. We all know just how ferocious the Tigers "D" is (8th, 16.1 PPG). Mediocre QB, Kellen Mond (59.1% CR, 17/8) is on for a long day here. But, the difference-maker will be LSU QB, Joe Burrow, who's coming off his best performance of the season (307 YP, 2/0), as he faces the 104th ranked pass defense of Texas A&M. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Kansas State +13.5 v. Iowa State | 38-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my SHOCKER GOM. Game 207. 4:00 pm pst. Kansas State has taken the L10 meetings over Iowa State SU. The L4 years have been decided by 4, 3, 5, and 1 point. Kansas State is just 1 win away from bowl eligibility for the Head Coach, Bill Snyder, who may be coaching his last of 27 season's for the Wildcat's. Making a team, that outscores opponents by just, 4.5 PPG, nearly a 2 TD favorite, is a mistake. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS the L7 vs. Conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, and 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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11-24-18 | Wyoming -6.5 v. New Mexico | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. This is my MWC GOM. Game 187. 11:30 am pst. Riding a 3-game SU win streak, Wyoming needs 1 more victory for bowl eligibility. Meanwhile, New Mexico is on a 6-game SU slide (1-5 ATS). The Lobos are a complete train wreck. They can't pass at all, and their defense is "defense-less", ranking just about the worst in every category. To make matters worse, injuries and suspensions to major players have hit this team hard in recent weeks. Wyoming has a solid "D", but it will be Nico Evans taking this game on his shoulders. The RB has 1183 YR and 7 TD's. He will shred the 103rd run defense of New Mexico. the Lobos are 1-6 ATS the L7 at home, 1-5 ATS the L6 vs. Conference opponents, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -2 | 28-15 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Take WSU. This is my NL. Game 144. 5:30 pm pst. The winner here will go on to play for the PAC 12 Title vs. Utah. The Cougars and the nations #1 passing attack have won 7 consecutive SU games, are a perfect, 6-0 SU at home, sporting a 5-1 ATS mark at Martin Stadium, en route to a 10-1 overall record, both SU and ATS. Washington is 2-3 SU on the road, going 1-4 ATS. There is no way erratic QB, Jake Browning can keep pace with Gardner Minshew here. Washington is 0-7 ATS the L7 vs. Conference opponents 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-7 ATS the L8 on the road. Washington State is 25-10 ATS the L35 vs. Conference opponents, 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning record, and 19-7 ATS the L26 at home. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-22-18 | Bears -3 v. Lions | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TURKEY SHOOT SPECIAL. Game 105. 9:30 am pst. Even is Mitchell Trubisky (check status) is sidelined here, which I doubt, veteran backup, Chase Daniel can get the job done against a very weak, Detroit defense. The Lions offense is even worse, accounting for 22.2 PPG. Injuries and departures have left the "O" depleted. The leaky, OL, has to deal with Khalil Mack and a Bears "D" that sacked Matthew Stafford 6 times in the 34-22, Chicago win and cover, just 11 days ago. Very quietly, the Bears stop-unit has become one of the NFL's best, ranking 11th vs. the pass, 1st vs. the run, and 4th in points allowed (19.5 PPG). Chicago is 9-3-1 ATS the L12 games played in the month of November, 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. the NFC North, 6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-0 ATS the L4 overall. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Rams | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my VI play. game 473. 5:15 pm pst. In what may be a preview of the Super Bowl, got to take the points with a KC squad riding a 4-game SU win streak and is 8-2 ATs on the season. LA is a very good team but their defense is starting to spring leaks. This, at the same time the Chiefs "D" is tightening up. KC is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the L6 MNF games, and 12-3 ATS the L15 overall. LA is 2-6 ATS the L8 at home, 2-6 ATD the L8 MNF games, and 1-6 ATS the L7 overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers -7 | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -104 | 66 h 10 m | Show |
Take the Los Angeles Chargers, This is my AFC WEST GOM. Game 468. 1:05 pm pst. Don't look now, but the Chargers are striding, with 6 consecutive SU wins. I don't have a problem laying a TD with LA as they return home to a friendly, Stub Hub Center crowd after 2 road wins and covers. They face a rival, Denver team that is on a 1-6 SU and 3-5 ATS slides. Philip Rivers is having another great season (67.3% CR, 2459 YP, 21/4), but it is Melvin Gordon that will take this game on his shoulders. The standout, RB, goes up against the 26th ranked rush defense of the Broncos. Denver is 3-11 ATS the L14 on the road, 0-6 ATS the L6 in November, and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 overall. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. losers, 6-0 ATS the L6 in November, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -103 | 63 h 56 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my Crusher play. Game 471. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh lost both meetings to Jacksonville LY, including a mid-January matchup that got them bounced from the post-season. Right now, these are 2 very different teams. The Steelers have won 5 in a row, both SU and ATS, while the Jaguars have dropped their L5, both SU and ATS. Jacksonville is known for their pass defense, but haven't faced a top-tier QB of the caliber of Big Ben, since a Week 2 meeting with Tom Brady and the Patriots. Leonard Fournette is back but he must line up against the #4 rush defense in the NFL. The Jags are averaging just, 17.8 PPG which won't be nearly enough for a Steelers "O" accounting for over 31.0 PPG. The Road team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Arizona v. Washington State -10 | 28-69 | Win | 100 | 49 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Washington State. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 378. 7:30 pm pst. Washington State is no longer an under-the-radar secret. The Cougars lead the PAC 12 North, with a 6-1record in the conference, en route to a 9-1 overall mark (both SU and ATS). The big mismatch here is the Wazzu #1 ranked passing unit, going up against the 91st ranked pass "D" of 'Zona. They get payback from last year's, 58-37 loss to the Wildcats. Take Washington. State. Thank you. Â Â |
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11-17-18 | San Diego State v. Fresno State -13 | 14-23 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my HR. Game 422. 7:30 pm pst. Fresno State needs a win here to lock up the MWC West. This is a team that comes off a loss after a 7-game win and cover streak. The Bulldogs own the #5 stop-unit in the nation, yielding just, 13.5 PPG, while possessing an offense ranking 16th, averaging 38.1 PPG. San Diego State has no offense to compete here, score for score. The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Rice +42 v. LSU | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Take Rice. This is my UD GOM. Game 395. 4:30 pm pst. At 1-10 SU, Rice is just deplorable. The Owls are 0-6 SU as a road team this season. But, one good thing about being so bad...huge point spreads. They get the bettors paid, going 4-2 ATS on the road in 2018, while covering three straight as an underdog of 24 or more points. LSU has not won a game by a margin of this size since September of 2014 (56-0 vs. Sam Houston, 63-7 vs. New Mexico State). With a record of 0-5 ATS the last five vs. non-conference opponents in Baton Rouge, and having Texas A&M up next, it's just too many points to lay here. Take Rice. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Iowa -14.5 v. Illinois | 63-0 | Win | 100 | 42 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my BIG TEN WEST GOM. Game 323. 12:30 pm pst. This line opened up at -16, and I liked it then. As a successful "contrarian" gambler, I love when the general public is against me. Illinois is 0-5 ATS the L5 games played as double digit underdog and now with the teams only offensive weapon, RB, Reggie Corbin, banged-up (foot, check status), I don't mind laying the wood here with an Iowa team looking for a little redemption after three straight losses. The Hawkeyes have won the L4 years over the Fighting Illini, by an average of, 20.5 PPG (3-1 ATS). Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-17-18 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 3-36 | Loss | -114 | 41 h 7 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 367. 11:30 am pst. In a game set in Yankee Stadium, there is no home field advantage for Notre Dame here. As a matter of fact, there will be a large amount or Orange in the stands. The Fighting Irish are a solid football team, however, they still haven't played a top-tier opponent since a Week 1meeting with the Wolverines. Making Eric Dungey (2193 YP, 14 TD's in the air and 690 YR, 12 TD's on the ground) and a Syracuse offense that's posting, 44.4 PPG a 10.5-point underdog, is an early Christmas present. This is a team that had Clemson on the ropes back in September. The Orange is 5-2 ATS the L7 neutral site games, 4-0-1 ATS the L5 non-conference games, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 games following a SU win, 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 overall games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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11-16-18 | Boise State -20 v. New Mexico | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Take BSU. This is my FNL. Game 317. 6:00 pm pst. BSU is 1 GB USU in the MWC Mountain division. The Broncos need to keep their foot on the gas here, especially because they face USU in the final regular season game. So, I have no problem laying wood against division cellar dweller, New Mexico. The Lobos sport some of the nation's worst defensive rankings. BSU is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 vs. teams with a losing record and 8-3-1 ATS the L12 on the road. New Mexico is 2-8 ATS the L10 vs. Conference foes and 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo +2.5 v. Ohio | 17-52 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my WMW. Game 303. 4:00 pm pst. Buffalo needs 1 more win to lock up the MAC East. This is a very healthy squad, listing zero injuries in mid-November. Ohio is banged-up and can not defend the pass (112th). The Bulls are 5-2 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS the L4 games on the road, and 7-0 ATS the L7 games played in the Conference. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan -7 v. Ball State | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Take WMU. Game 301. 3:00 pm pst. Both teams have backup QB's starting here, but WMU's, Eleby, is a bit more reliable. The Broncos are a rushing team anyway. BSU can not stop the run, ranking 113th nationally. The Cardinals have worse problems offensively, where that account for just, 22.7 PPG. WMU comes off a bye week, rested and better prepared here. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take WMU. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Lions v. Bears -6.5 | 22-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Game 266. 10:00 am pst. The Bears need every division win they can get right now, and playing the Lions will give them what they need. With back-to-back losses, Detroit's offense is awful, accounting for a combined 23 total points, while their OL has yielded 12 sacks in those 2 outings. Khalil Mack will return here to lead one of the League's most-ferocious defenses. Look for RB, Jordan Howard to explode against the 30th ranked run defense of Detroit. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 games played at home. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Saints -5.5 v. Bengals | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my LVSM. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. New Orleans has rattled off 7 consecutive SU wins, and 6 straight covers. The Cincinnati defense is giving up over 29.6 PPG and ranks dead-last vs. the pass. In comes Drew Brees and the NFL's #2 scoring offense (34.9 PPG). Andy Dalton is without his top receiver, AJ Green and just can't trade blows with Brees here. The Saints are 19-7 ATS the L26 on the road, 5-2 ATS the L7 in November, and 40-17-1 ATS the L58 vs. winners. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots -6.5 v. Titans | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 70 h 41 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my VI Move. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. Sports fans, New England is rolling, as the Patriots are on a 6-game win streak, going 5-1 ATS. Going back to '03, Tennessee has lost 7 in a row in this series SU, failing to the L5 (1-6 ATS overall). The Titans just don't have the offense (16.8 PPG) to keep pace with Tom Brady and the Patriots mighty "O." New England is 16-5 ATS the L21 on the road, 23-8 ATS the L31 vs. the AFC, and 37-16 ATS the L53 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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11-11-18 | Falcons -5 v. Browns | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 11 m | Show |
Take Atlanta. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. With 3 consecutive SU wins (2-1 ATS), Atlanta's, Matt Ryan is putting up MVP numbers (70.8% CR, 2685 YP, 19/3). The QB heads up the NFL's 2nd best air attack. This doesn't bode well for a Cleveland "D" that ranks 29th vs. the pass. Offensively, the Browns just can't keep pace with the high-flying, Falcons "O". Take Atlanta. Thank you |
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11-10-18 | Southern Miss v. UAB -11.5 | 23-26 | Loss | -108 | 55 h 42 m | Show | |
Take UAB. This is my HR. Game 218. 4:30 pm pst. UAB is streaking, riding a 7-game win streak, both SU and ATS. The Blazers own a perfect, 5-0 mark at home (SU and ATS), outscoring visitors by an average of 27.4 PPG. Their #1 nationally ranked defense (12.1 PPG allowed) will ensure they stay perfect in C-USA play. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -14 | 23-35 | Loss | -108 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my AAC GOM. Game 156. 4:00 pm pst. South Florida's weaknesses have been exposed in their L2 outings, yielding 1110 yards in losses to Houston and Tulane. The Bulls can not stop the rush, ranking 124th in run defense. They now face the 15th ranked bearcats ground attack. Defensively, Cincinnati owns the #6 stop-unit (14.0 PPG allowed) in the nation. In my opinion, Like Fickell deserves Coach Of The Year. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is my OM PLAY. Game 153. 12:P30 pm pst. I don't think that Iowa has the offense to lay DD's here, against an underrated and undervalued, Northwestern team that have a good chance at the Big Ten West title. The Wildcats have won and covered the last two years in this matchup, each by seven points, and own a remarkable, 20-5-1 ATS mark their last 26 games played in the conference. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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11-10-18 | Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Ohio State. Game 219. 9:00 am pst. As of print, there are mostly 3.5's around on this game. Buy it down, for the extra few cents, just to air on the side of caution. However, my power ratings have Ohio State at least a seven-point favorite. The Buckeyes have not covered over their last five outings. But, this is their opportunity to widen the pad over the Spartans and keep pressure on the Wolverines in the Big Ten East title race. Michigan State might be good against the run, but their defense is horrible against the pass. Urban Meyer is an excellent strategist and whether you like him or not, the head coach wins in big games. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse -21 | 23-54 | Win | 100 | 33 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my Consensus. Game 112. 4:00 pm pst. Louisville has had their way with Syracuse the L4 years, winning and covering all 4 matchups, including a 56-10 whooping, a season ago. Well, the Cardinals and the Orange are 2 very different teams this season. Louisville is 2-7 SU, riding a 1-9 ATS run, which includes an 0-4 road mark TY, both SU and ATS. Syracuse, at 2-7 SU, is 5-0 at home, going 3-1-1 ATS. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS their L4 conference games, 0-5 ATS their L5 road games, and 6-20 ATS their L26 overall games. Take the Orange. Thank you. |
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11-07-18 | Ohio -4.5 v. Miami-OH | 28-30 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. This is my TD play. Game 103. 4:00 pm pst. Ohio has dominated Miami-Oh, taking 11 of the L12 meetings SU, going 8-3-1 ATS, including 4 straight wins and covers. The big difference here is the ground game of the Bobcats, which rank 15th nationally. Don't mind laying a short number with an Ohio squad that needs a win to contend with Buffalo for the MAC East title. The Bobcats are 14-6 ATS the L20 on the road, 4-0 ATS the L4 vs. conference foes, and 6-2 ATS the L8 vs. losers. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas and their #1 ranked defense is back at home after having a week off. The well-rested, Cowboys are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS at AT&T Stadium. This will be the debut of newly acquired, star WR, Amari Cooper. Expect QB, Dak Prescott to hook frequently with his new weapon. Tennessee ranks 30th in scoring, averaging just 15.1 PPG. QB, Marcus Mariota's throwing arm issues, along with the absence of TE, Delanie Walker (out), has crushed the Titans, offensively. Throw in the mix the fact that their "D" ranks 19th vs. the rush and must face Ezekiel Elliott and one of the best ground attacks in the NFL, and it spells trouble for the team. Dallas is 13-6 ATS the L19 games played following a bye week. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Texans +1 v. Broncos | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 465. 1:05 pm pst. Houston has won 5 in a row to take hold of 1st place in the AFC South, at 5-3, as DeShaun Watson looks like he's back at 100%. Denver is a mess. HC, Vance Joseph is on the hot-seat, as the Broncos are 1-5 SU their L6, with the only victory, coming over a 2-6 Cardinals squad. Denver only "contends" because of their ground game. But, facing the 7th ranked run defense of Houston will totally shut down the Broncos offense. Denver is 0-5 ATS the L5 in November, 5-15-1 ATS the L21 vs. the AFC, 2-6-1 ATS the L9 at home, and 5-14-1 ATS the L20 overall. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Steelers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 64 h 29 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. Do you believe in coincidences? Pittsburgh has rattled off 3 straight wins and covers, coinciding with 3 consecutive 100+ yards performances for RB, James Conner. Baltimore has dropped their L2 games (both SU and ATS), as their defense yielded a combined, 60 points. The Steelers are a much better team than in the late-September matchup. The Road team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-04-18 | Falcons v. Redskins -1 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -123 | 64 h 20 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my VEGAS INSIDER PLAY. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Winning and covering 3 straight, the Redskins are playing solid football. They own the top-spot in the NFC East at 5-2, while the Falcons are tied with the Bucs for the bottom-spot in the NFC South at 3-4. Washington is 3-1 SU and ATS at home while Atlanta is 0-2 both SU and ATS on the road. The Redskins offense, behind Adrian Peterson, is starting to roll. Look for AP to get another 100 plus yards here and allow Alex Smith to open up the passing game. Let's face it, the Falcons defense is deplorable (30.3 PPG allowed). Atlanta is 1-5 ATS the L6 on the road, 1-6 ATS the L7 following a SU win, and 1-4 ATS the L5 overall. Washington is 6-1 ATS the L7 at home, 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. the NFC, and 7-2 ATS the L9 in November. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International -2.5 | Top | 49-14 | Loss | -107 | 46 h 20 m | Show |
Take Florida International. This is my CONFERENCE USA GOM. Game 418. 4:30 pm pst.  Revenge is a dish best served cold. Lane Kiffin and FAU ran up the score in last year's, 52-24 meeting with FIU. But these are two very different teams this year. The Owls, at 3-5 SU, and just 1-7 ATS overall this season, are riding an 0-5 ATS away skid and an 0-4 ATS mark their last four games against teams with a winning record. Take Florida International. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Utah -7 v. Arizona State | 20-38 | Loss | -106 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
Take Utah. This is my NO LIMIT PLAY. Game 379. 1:00 pm pst. Utah needs to keep their foot on the gas to take the PAC 12 South crown. Arizona State had their first November victory, eking out a three-point win over a beat-up, USC squad. The Utes 14th ranked "D" gets revenge from last season's, 30-10 defeat. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Iowa +3 v. Purdue | 36-38 | Win | 100 | 43 h 41 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 323. 12:30 pm pst. Both teams come off disappointing losses and both need to win here to stay in the Big Ten West mix. The 11th ranked Iowa defense is just too strong. Throw into the equation that the road team is 8-0 ATS the last eight meetings in this series and that the Hawkeyes have covered the last four at the Boilermakers, and that equals up to a play on the 'dog. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my Consensus Play. Game 399. 12:30 pm pst. TCU is point spread poison, having not covered a game since mid-September (0-5 ATS run). The Horned Frogs shouldn't be laying better than a TD to any team above the High School level. Kansas State is 5-0 ATS their last five games played following a SU loss, while TCU is on an 0-7 ATS run vs. conference opponents. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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11-01-18 | Northern Illinois -6 v. Akron | 36-26 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Take NIU. This is my TD play. Game 311. 4:00 pm pst. NIU has had no problems dispensing with Akron, having won the last four meetings SU, going 3-1 ATS. The Huskies enter this contest red-hot, riding a four-game win streak (3-1 ATS). Remember, this is a team that is perfect in conference play and need to stay that way. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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10-28-18 | Redskins +1 v. Giants | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 67 h 2 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my NFC EAST GOM. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. These 2 NFC East rivals, are going in opposite directions. Washington leads the Division at 4-2, while New York dwells in the cellar at 1-6. Eli Manning and a Giants OL that has more holes than the Titanic, are in for a long day here as they go up against the very tough, Front-7 of the Redskins, that rank 3rd vs. the rush and 13th vs. the pass. Look for QB, Alex Smith to pass off the run, utilizing RB, Adrian Peterson. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | UAB -15.5 v. UTEP | Top | 19-0 | Win | 100 | 50 h 13 m | Show |
Take UAB. This is my NL. Game 155. 4:30 pm pst. UAB is money, going 16-5-1 ATS their L22 games. The Blazers are sporting a 6-1 (both SU and ATS) mark this season and are a perfect, 3-0 ATS laying DD's. They are also 4-0 in Conf USA play and must win to stay atop the Division. UTEP is riding a 19-game SU losing streak. the Miners have one of the worst scoring offenses in the nation and are facing one of college football's best defenses here. UTEP is 4-10 ATS the L14 games played at home. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Washington State +3 v. Stanford | Top | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 46 m | Show |
Take Washington State. This is my PAC 12 GOM. Game 161. 4:00 pm pst. This is a huge, PAC 12 North contest, with serious conference implications. We must side with a Washington State team that is a perfect, 7-0 ATS this season, and owns the nation's #1 ranked passing offense (400.7 YPG in the air). QB, Gardner Minshew (2745 YP, 69.8% CR, 23/6) will carve up a Stanford pass defense that ranks 100th in college football. The Cougars can score points on any squad in the land, but it is their defense that will shine here, as they match up well with the erratic, Cardinal "O". Take Washington State. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | NC State v. Syracuse +2 | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my ACC GOM. Game 156. 4:00 pm pst. Giving a hot-handed, Syracuse team 2.5 points at home is a gift. NC State got routed by Clemson LW, 41-7, and will come in here shell-shocked. BTW, the 'Cuse went to the mat in a 27-23 loss to Clemson as a 24-point 'dog, just a month ago. The Orange can score points, a lot of points, and very fast. The Underdog is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Kentucky +7.5 v. Missouri | 15-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Kentucky. This is my OM play. Game 175. 1:00 pm pst. They have the wrong favorite in this game. Despite their 14-7 win over Vandy LW, Kentucky slept through the game. Expect the bowl-eligible, SEC East Title seeking Wildcats and their #2 ranked defense (12.9 PPG Allowed) to contain Tigers QB, Lock. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Army v. Eastern Michigan | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 43 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Army. This is my HR. Game 141. 9:00 am pst. EMU can not stop the rush, ranking 112th vs. the run. In comes Army and their #2 ranked ground attack. Defensively, the Black Knights match up well here. They have also taken 6 of the L7 meetings in this series, including the L3. Take Army. Thank you. |
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10-27-18 | Purdue +1.5 v. Michigan State | 13-23 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Purdue. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 187. 9:00 am pst. Don't expect a "letdown" for Purdue here, after beating Ohio State, 49-20 LW. The Boilermakers have been hot, winning 4 in a row SU and their L5 ATS. Michigan State's offense is stagnant, and defensively, rank 117th vs. the pass. Purdue QB, Blough and his 6th ranked passing unit will light it up here. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS the L5 games played at the Spartans and 5-1 ATS the L6 games played vs. Conference foes. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the L4 games played at home and 2-5 ATS the L7 games played overall. Take Purdue. Thank you. |
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10-25-18 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -6.5 | 51-24 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Take WMU. This is my TD play. Game 106. 4:00 pm pst. WMU has rattled off 6 consecutive SU victories while Toledo has dropped their L2 outings SU and are riding a 4-game ATS skid. The Broncos have the stringer defense, by far and the Home Team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take WMU. Thank you. |
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10-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Jets | 37-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my CRUSHER. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Sam Darnold has looked like a veteran QB his L2 outings, lighting up Denver and Indianapolis, who are a combined, 3-9. Now, the rookie must line up against a legitimate, NFL stop-unit. BTW, prior to that 2-game win streak, the New York offense accounted for just, 12, 17, and 12 points against Miami, Cleveland, and Jacksonville. Minnesota QB, Kirk Cousins (1921 YP, 71.2% CR, 12/3) is going to decimate a Jets pass "D" that ranks 22nd in the League. If the Vikings are going to make a run at the NFC Title, they MUST start now. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-21-18 | Patriots -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 35 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my CONTRARIAN GOM. Â Game 453. 10:00 am pst. I have made a successful and profitable career going against the grain. Just about everyone I know and most of the gaming publications are all taking the Bears here. We saw the line move from -3.5, down to -3, and as of print, -2.5. After 3 wins in a row, Chicago came back down to Earth last week, in a 31-28 loss at Miami. Meanwhile, New England has won 3 in a row and are just a 1/2-point from covering their L3. The Bears defense held opponents to13.6 PPG during their 3-game win streak. But they didn't face any great offenses and now with Khalil Mack hobbled (ankle, but scheduled to play here), and not 100%, I am siding with Bill Belichick, who has Terrific Tom on offense and will have some surprises on defense for Chicago's rookie QB, Trubisky. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 14-5 ATS the L19 on the road, 36-15-2 ATS the L53 in October, and 31-13 ATS the L44 overall. Take New England. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Fresno State -13 v. New Mexico | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Fresno State. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 361. 4:30 pm pst. Fresno State isn't just a winning team, at 5-1 SU, the Bulldogs also get the bettors paid, with a 5-1 ATS mark this season. They have dominated New Mexico, winning and covering the L6 meetings. They are currently riding a 4-game win and cover streak behind an outstanding passing game and one of the toughest defenses in the nation. QB, McMaryion (1578 YP, 71.4% CR, 11/2) will shred the 112th ranked pass defense of the Lobos. The UNM offense will get completely shut down by the 2nd ranked FSU "D" (13.5 PPG allowed). The Lobos 1-5 ATS the L6 Conference games, 0-4 ATS the L4 home games, and 3-8 ATS the L11 overall games. The Bulldogs are 36-17-1 ATS the L54 Conference games, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 road games, and 22-4-1 ATS the L27 overall games. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -11 | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 51 m | Show |
Take Kentucky. This is my SEC EAST GOM. Game 312. 4:30 pm pst. This situation benefits the Wildcats, who come off a bye week, rested and looking for vengeance, after dropping their first game of the season. Kentucky won and covered the L2 meetings in this series, and enter this year's matchup, 5-1 overall, and vying for the SEC East Title, behind the #4 ranked defense in the nation. Vanderbilt comes off back-to-back SU losses (1-4 SU L5) to Georgia and Florida, while failing to cover 4 straight. The Commodores defense will once again get steamrolled on the ground. The Favorite is 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. Vanderbilt is 1-9-1 ATS the L11 vs. conference opponents, 3-7-1 ATS the L11 vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5-1 ATS the L6 games played in the month of October. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Utah State -14.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
Take Utah State. This is my MWC GOM. Game 359. 11:30 am pst. Utah State is red-hot, rattling off 5 consecutive SU wins and 6 straight ATS covers. On the flipside, Wyoming is riding a 3-game SU skid (1-5 SU L6) and haven't covered a game since August (0-6 ATS L6). The Cowboys have no offense whatsoever, ranking 122nd in the air, 102nd on the ground, and 129th in scoring, averaging a dismal, 15.4 PPG. The Aggies own the #2 scoring team in the land, posting 51.7 PPG. The Favorite in this series is 6-0 ATS the L6 meetings. Wyoming is 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. conference foes, 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS the L5 games at home. Utah State is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. conference opponents, 8-1 ATS the L9 vs. teams with a losing record, and 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -106 | 39 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Army. This is my MISMATCH play. Game 330. 9:00 am pst. Over the last few days, I have read about the Miami Ohio defense against the run. But what great rushing team have they actually faced? Moreover, facing the triple-option is a whole different monster. Army and their #2 ranked ground attack keeps defenses on the field and by the 2nd half, gasping out of their mouths. I don't normally judge teams by their past performances, but the Black Knights were good enough to keep the Sooners matchup tight, so I feel they will steamroll a Redhawks team that is 0-7 ATS the last 7 vs. non-conference foes and 1-5 ATS the last 6 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Army. Thank you. |
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10-20-18 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +4 | 31-16 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Mississippi. This is my Underdog Outright Winner. Game 400. 9:00 am pst. Getting 3.5 with Mississippi here is a sharp play. Auburn just might be the most disappointing college football team this season. Mistakes, TO's, and penalties have ravaged the Tigers, who have now lost their L2 SU and failed to cover 3 straight. Auburn is known to have a solid defense but the 'Ole Miss offense ranks 4th in passing, 5th on total yards, and 16th in scoring, averaging 41.6 PPG. The Tigers "O" just can't keep pace with the Rebels "O" here. Auburn is 1-4 ATS the L5 Conference games, 0-6 ATS the L6 vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take Mississippi. Thank you. |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers -9.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -109 | 99 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. San Francisco is riding a 3-game SU skid, en route to a 1-4 overall record (both SU and ATS), and enter this contest limping. RB, Breida and WR, Garcon left Sunday's game, while the team is already missing several DB's (check status on all injured players). It took 4 missed FG's and a missed PAT by Crosby for Green Bay to lose last week. Future Hall Of Famer, Aaron Rodgers passed for a season-best, 442 YP in that game, and I expect him to have another huge day here, as he will devour a banged-up, 49ers secondary. The Packers are 11-4-2 ATS the last 17 meetings in this series. Take Green Bay. Thank you. Â |
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10-14-18 | Bears -3 v. Dolphins | 28-31 | Loss | -125 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. Surprisingly, not Green Bay or Minnesota, but Chicago, is atop the NFC North, at 3-1. The Bears have won 3 in a row SU, and own a 3-1 ATS mark on the campaign. After a solid start, Miami has now dropped their L2, both SU and ATS. The Dolphins "D" is weak, both against the pass and the run. Chicago QB, Trubisky is heating up, while he, Howard, and Cohen have combined to own the #9 rushing unit in the NFL. Defensively, the bears rank #2 in Points Allowed (16.2 PPG), #1 vs. the rush, and 9th vs. the pass. Khalil Mack is a monster. Chicago is 4-1 ATS the L5 on grass, 4-1 ATS the L5 in October, and 5-1 the L6 overall. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7.5 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -119 | 54 h 24 m | Show |
Take Colorado. Colorado can take total control of the PAC 12 South with a win here. The Buffaloes are a perfect, 4-0 ATS against FBS opponents, en route to a 5-0 SU mark. The Trojans are 0-4 ATS the last 4 at home, 1-4-1 ATS the last 6 vs. Conference foes, and 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 overall. I like Colorado SU here, so getting a TD is a gift. Take Colorado. Thank you. Â |
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10-13-18 | Virginia Tech -5.5 v. North Carolina | 22-19 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech has taken 4 of the L5 meetings over North Carolina (going 5-0 ATS), including the L2, by a combined, 93-10 score. The Tar Heels have just 1 win and 1 cover on the season and come in here with real QB woes. The Hokies own a well-balanced offense and defensively will shut down the Tar Heels rushing game with their stop-unit that ranks 8th vs. the rush. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Memphis | 31-30 | Loss | -109 | 47 h 10 m | Show | |
Take UCF. This is a very short number to lay for a Central Florida team that wants to both, remain in the Top-10, and keep their 18-game win streak alive. Last year's meetings saw the Knights win and cover both, outscoring the Tigers, 102-68. UCF's defense is going to frustrate UM's QB, White. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
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10-13-18 | UAB -16.5 v. Rice | Top | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 44 h 22 m | Show |
Take UAB. The odds makers wanted to make this line more attractive, but I feel it should be closer to -24. UAB likes to beat up lesser teams, and believe me, Rice is certainly a lesser team. They proved that again last week, as they put up a mere, 3 points against UTSA. The Blazers have covered 3 in a row and 4 of 5 this season. The Owls rank 110th offensively and 120th defensively. This game is going to get ugly. Take UAB. Thank you. Â |
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10-13-18 | Florida -7 v. Vanderbilt | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Florida. Vanderbilt is clearly outmatched here, as the Commodores have experienced double digit losses in 8 of their last 9 SEC defeats. Florida's quick and stingy defense (14.8 PPG Allowed) is going to shut down an already stunted, Vandy offense. The road team is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last 6 games at the Commodores and 4-0 ATS the last 4 games overall. take Florida. Thank you. |
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