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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-17-16 | Mississippi State +14 v. LSU | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Mississippi State. This is my Inside Info play. Game 197. 4:00 pm pst. It's hard to lay 2 TD's with any Les Myles team, especially one that's a bit banged-up. Soph QB, Nick Fitzgerald can do both, run and pass the ball. Lest not forget that this Bulldog's team covered the L2 meetings, having been decided by a combined 7 points. They possess a defense that held South Carolina's running game in check and news is that Leonard Fournette won't be 100% for this one. Mississippi State is 15-6 ATS their L21 Conference games. take the 2 TD's here with the 'Dogs. Thank you. |
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09-17-16 | Western Michigan -3 v. Illinois | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
Take Western Michigan. This is my Touchdown play. Game 113. 1:00 pm pst. Lovie Smith and Illinois are in a rebuilding year. Western Michigan has already knocked off Northwestern to cover against 5 of their L6 Big Ten foes and is riding a 20-7 ATS overall run. Big edge here for the Broncos at QB with Zach Terrell over Wes Lunt as Terrell has superstar wideout, Corey Davis. The Illini are 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take Western Michigan. Thank you. |
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09-17-16 | Boston College +6 v. Virginia Tech | 0-49 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Boston College. This is my ACC Game of the Month. Game 147. 12:30 pm pst. Virginia Tech turned the ball over 5 times against an "overrated" Tennessee squad LW and haven't covered over their L4 outings. They have lost more fumbles through 2 games (8) than they did all of last season. The Hokies must face the Eagles' #3ranked defense here. Boston College is a team that hung in and covered against Duke, Clemson, Louisville, and Notre Dame in 2015. Pat Towles has showed a lot more poise than Jarod Evans to this point. The Eagles are 8-3 ATS their L11 games played at the Hokies and 4-1ATS overall their L5 vs. the Hokies. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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09-17-16 | Alabama -11 v. Ole Miss | 48-43 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. Game 193. 12:30 pm pst. Everyone watched as 'Bama HC, Nick Saban literally almost chewed off a piece of OC, Lane Kiffen's butt LW. On top of that, not only did Mississippi hand Alabama their only loss LY, but the Rebels have taken the L2 meetings over the Crimson Tide. This has only happened 3 times in Saban's 10-year tenure...all 3 were avenged, 32-7, 32-13, and 21-0. Ole' Miss has a 3-13 ATS run at home vs. SEC revenge teams. Plus, the Rebels really did unfold against Nol's freshman QB, Francois. On offense, I don't see QB Chad Kelly having time to pass freely vs. this stout, angry, Alabama "D." I have to lay the DD's with the Tide to roll. Thank you. |
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09-17-16 | Fresno State v. Toledo -20.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Toledo. This is my Ten Dimes play. Game 146. 12:00 pm pst. Toledo is rolling with big wins and covers over Arkansas State and Maine to bring the team up to a 14-2-2 ATS run. QB, Logan Woodside has over 700 YP, a 64.3% CR, and a 7/1 TD/INT ratio. Fresno State took beating in 2015 on the road vs. winning home teams, going 0-2 both SU and ATS and already got smoked by Nebraska, 43-10. The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS their L8 games played on the road, 0-4 ATS their L4 non-Conference games, and 3-9 ATS their L12 games played overall. Take Toledo. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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09-12-16 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. Game 482. 7:20 pm pst. When you share the Division with Arizona and Seattle, it's easy to get lost in the crowd. Los Angeles and San Francisco finished last season with a combined 12 wins and are touted to be around the same number again this season. These two teams were ranked 31st and 32n2 offensively in 2015, with the host winning both games. Considering the QB situation on both squads, I'm looking at this game to be a ground and pound. One thing about Chip Kelly is that he is very strong at game planning preparation so I feel the 49ers LB corps can and will keep Todd Gurley in check. They are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played in Week 1 and 24-6 ATS their L30 MNF games. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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09-12-16 | Steelers v. Redskins +2.5 | 38-16 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Washington. Game 480. 4:0 pm pst.
There is no bigger setting in the regular season than Monday Night Football. Traditionally, Pittsburgh is a good MNF team while Washington is not. BUT, no Le'Veon Bell at RB for Pitt, nor will the Steelers have WR, Martavis Bryant. Their OL is shaky. I mean guys, they are a real mess, Big Ben ain't no kid no mo'. Lest not forget, the team is notoriously slow starters, with a 1-4 ATS mark their L5 season openers. Washington closed strong LY, winning and covering their L4 regular season games (did get knocked out by GB in the playoffs), but did win and cover their final 3 pre-season contests. They are very underrated as far as the NFC East goes. And in this specific matchup, De Sean Jackson will wreak havoc on LY's 30th ranked pass defense. I'll tell you right now, the Redskins at home will surprise everyone, by winning outright on MNF. Take Washington plus the points. Thank you. |
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09-11-16 | Vikings -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 25-16 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my Best Bet. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. Whether it is Hill or Bradford at the helm, the Titans are going to get a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson. The NFL's best RB will move the chains, keeping the Tennessee defense on the field, allowing the passing game to open up. The Titans have to deal with the LY's 5th rankled "D." HC, Mike Mularkey has both DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry combining to run, run, run the ball. This is a team that had 3 wins a season ago and won't be any better this year. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings over the Titans and 7-0 ATS their overall L7 games played on the road. The Titans are 16-33-3 ATS their L52 games played at home. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-10-16 | SMU v. Baylor -32 | 13-40 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Baylor. This is my Las Vegas Strip Move play. Game 370. 12:30 pm pst. Baylor is taking this game very seriously. The Bears have taken 12 in a row in this series, going 11-1 ATS. The Green and Gold are averaging over 52 PPG their L10 at McLane Stadium while SMU (despite their Week 1 win over UNT) gave up 46 PPG LY. QB, Seth Russell (70% CR, 4TD/0 INT) and RB, Shock Linwood (10.8 YPC) will devour the Mustangs defense while the Bears "D", currently ranked #1 in the nation, will remain #1 for the second straight week. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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09-10-16 | Ohio +2.5 v. Kansas | 37-21 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Ohio. This is my Inside Info play. Game 311. 11:30 am pst. Kansas ended their 15-game losing streak, but will start a new one here today. The Jayhawks allowed 561 YPG in 2015 and have to face a Bobcats team that squandered a 4th quarter lead to the other Bobcats of Texas State, also committing 13 penalties, which is rare for a Frank Solich-led team. QB, Greg Windham was 27-for-45, 380 YP, a 4 TD/0 INT ratio LW and will light up the Kansas secondary. The Jayhawks are 2-6 ATS their L8 games played at home, 1-7 ATS their L8 games played following a SU win, and 4-11ATS their L15 games played overall. The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS their L8 non-Conference games, 6-1 ATS their L7 games played in September, and 4-1 ATS their 5 games played overall. Take Ohio. Thank you. |
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09-10-16 | Central Florida v. Michigan -35.5 | 14-51 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Michigan. This is my Early Winner. Game 314. 9:00 am pst. The Michigan defense picked up right where it left off and that is by holding 7 of 14 opponents to single-digits. Understand that UCF's win over South Carolina State was moot. This is a team that went 0-12 in 2015 and was 0-4 ATS as a 'dog of 20 or more points. HC, Jim Harbaugh will take this opportunity to hone his teams skills to razor sharp perfection before they take on a Colorado and then b-2-b Conference games against Penn State and Wisconsin. The Knights are 3-11 ATS their L14 games played overall while the Wolverines are 4-1 ATS their L5 non-Conference games. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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09-05-16 | Ole Miss v. Florida State -4.5 | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Florida State. Game 212. 5:00 pm pst. This is an interesting matchup as Ole' Miss has Chad Kelly at the helm, arguably the best QB in the SEC, however, the offense lost 4 key players. Florida State returns all 11 starters from LY's offensive squad and to be honest, if they stay healthy, should end the season with just 1 loss, and that's to Clemson at the end of October, so no problems looking ahead here. The Rebels have Wofford up next then back-to-back games against Alabama and Georgia, which tells me they can get caught in their opener. Despite a foot injury to QB, Sean Maguire, FSU has highly-touted, Deondre Francois calling the plays and he has all-universe RB, Dalvin Cook 1691 YR and 19 TD's LY). The Mississippi defense was very beatable a season ago and really hasn't made too many strides and with Jordan Wilkins being declared academically ineligible, this leaves Ole' Miss thin at the RB slot, which makes a bad case worse as their OL consists of 3 sophomore starters that have to face one of the nation's most-feared defenses. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas +3.5 | 47-50 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Texas. Game 210. 4:30 pm pst. Texas has some motivation here. They are at home. They have a revenge factor , having suffered an embarrassing, 38-3 opening week loss at South Bend LY. The Longhorns return 15 starters, including their top 2 rushers, 3 of their top 4 receivers, and 7 of their 9 best defensive tacklers, not to mention having won 15 straight home openers. The Irish lost key players at the RB, WR, C, and LT positions, including their leading rusher, 6 of their top 7 receivers, and 7 of their top 8 tacklers on defense and all the new, inexperienced players have to play their first game of the season in a very hostile environment. Take the points with Texas. Thank you. |
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09-03-16 | USC v. Alabama -11.5 | Top | 6-52 | Win | 100 | 43 h 46 m | Show |
Take Alabama. This is my Ten Dimes play. Game 202. 5:00 pm pst. Nick Saban and Alabama has won 3 of their L4 national titles with 1st year QB's. So no need to worry there. The Crimson Tide have the #1 recruiting class again this season and Saban loves to come out of the gate and show the SEC just who's boss. Max Browne has thrown just 19 career passes for USC and faces an Alabama "D" that allowed just 15.1 PPG, 2.4 YPC, and had 52 sacks LY. ON defense, the Trojans return just 4 starters and have to go up against a loaded ground game and receiving corps here. Note that the Tide have won by 10 or more points in 29 of their L33 regular season victories. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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09-03-16 | Southern Miss +7 v. Kentucky | 44-35 | Win | 100 | 43 h 37 m | Show | |
Take Southern Mississippi. This is my Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 175. 4:30 pm pst. There are quite a few factors that urge me to take Southern Mississippi over Kentucky. For starters, as or print/taping, we are getting almost a TD. Southern Miss's new OC, Shane Dawson knows the Kentucky offense, as he was their OC until the end of last season when HC, Mark Stoops abruptly fired him. It's also reported that Golden Eagle's HC, Jay Hopson has the best-conditioned team in the nation. QB, Nick Mullins is a stud. He racked up almost 4,500 YP with 38 TD's and just 12 INT's a season ago. He will outshine counterpart and inexperienced Wildcat's QB, Drew Barker. RB, Ito Smith returns from an 1,128 YR, 6.6 YPC performance LY and goes up against a youthful and inexperienced Front-7 of UK (6 frosh/sophs are starting). Southern Miss is 4-0 ATS their L4 games played in September, 6-1 ATS their L7 non-Conference games, and 10-4 ATS their L14 games played overall. Kentucky is 1-6 ATS their L7 games played on grass, 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home, and 1-7 ATS their L8 games played overall. Take the Golden Eagles. Thank you. |
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09-03-16 | Hawaii +40.5 v. Michigan | 3-63 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Hawaii. This is my ESPN Winner. Game 155. 9:00 am pst. Michigan has a lot of expectations this season. But this is not a team that runs up the score and watching Hawaii put up 31 points on Cal showed me they have the running attack to slow this game's tempo down. The Wolverines are 2-8 ATS their L10 games played in September. Take the Rainbow Warriors. Thank you. |
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09-03-16 | Western Michigan +5 v. Northwestern | 22-21 | Win | 100 | 35 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Western Michigan. This is my Early Winner. Game 159. 9:00 am pst. WMU has an explosive QB in Zach Terrell and a pair of 1,000 yard rushers behind an experienced OL. NW comes into this matchup 6-14 ATS their L20 at home and 0-7 ATS their L7 vs. MAC. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS their L5 non-Conference games and 18-7 ATS their L25 games played overall. Take Western Michigan. Thank you. |
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09-03-16 | Oklahoma v. Houston +12.5 | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Houston. Game 198. 9:00 am pst. Oklahoma has a solid team but is highly overrated. They are replacing several key players at key positions. Houston has dual-threat QB, Greg Ward jr. at the helm. This is a team that was 13-1 LY and beat FSU in the Peach Bowl. The Cougars are loaded at the LB position and have an experienced "D" that led the nation in TO's and Rushing Yards Allowed in 2015. The Sooners are 0-4 ATS their L4 games played on neutral sites while the Cougars are 4-0 ATS their L4 non-Conference games. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina +4.5 v. Vanderbilt | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Take South Carolina. This is my Inside Info Play. Game 141. 5:00 pm pst. South Carolina has a new era under Will Muschamp. The HC has 3 outstanding QB's to choose from. The Gamecocks have taken 7 straight in this series and getting points here against a Commodores team that has problems scoring is a big mistake. Vanderbilt's offense is horrible, posting 17 or less points in 9 of 12 contests a season ago and they have made no changes. Take South Carolina. Thank you. |
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02-07-16 | Panthers -5.5 v. Broncos | 10-24 | Loss | -100 | 55 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 101. Sunday, February 7, 3:30 pm pst. I like Carolina. They’ve got a big, healthy OL, they are really just as good on defense. Denver doesn’t have the luxury of playing in Mile High where visitors have problems, Come on, the New England secondary is beatable, and in all sincerity, there was a HUGE mismatch on the right side of that line in which Denver (who does have a very good pass rush) basically walked through all game. They won’t be able to have that type of success as Jonathon Stewart and Cam Newton are in the backfield here. Plus, Cam can play-action as good as anybody in the game and that will keep The Bronco’s “D” honest. New England can’t run the ball therefore 3-and-outs and whatnot, kept the Denver “D” fresh. They have to deal with Stewart and Newton eating up clock, and then passing off the run, making them tired. Let's not forget that the Panthers led the NFL with a +28 TO margin as their entire squad is successful because of their defense. Sean McDermott's "D" finished up with 12.4% of opponents possessions ending up with an INT. To be honest with you, Peyton Manning had two weeks to prepare for the Patriots and he was still shaky and will turn the ball over numerous times here or at the very least, throw the ball away a lot. He was never swift afoot and now a month away from 40 years old, Manning will go down like Frazier here. Oh, yeah, the Denver receivers are STILL dropping passes. I don’t feel they can go score for score with Carolina, especially without a very good ground game. The Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS their L9 Playoff games while the Panthers are 9-4 ATS their L13 Playoff games. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals v. Panthers -3 | 15-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 314. 3:40 pm pst. Arizona has had problems with powerful run-based offenses this season, of which they have not had to face over their L4 games (Philly, Green Bay twice, and Seattle). Carolina owns the #2 rushing unit in the NFL and with Jonathan Stewart back in top-form (106 YR last week), the Panthers, Stewart-Cam Newton ground attack will succeed and also open up the passing game and allow Newton to hook up with Olsen, Ginn, and company. The Panthers also have the secondary to slow down the Cards passing game while their stellar LB corps get to Carson Palmer, who is known to make costly mistake when on this platform. Carolina is a perfect, 9-0 SU (7-2 ATS) at home where the Home Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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01-24-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 18-20 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Take New England. Game 311. 12:00 pm pst. Tom Brady owns an 11-5 career record over Peyton Manning. In the November loss, Brady was without Edelman and Amendola, while Gronkowski was carted off late in the game. Dropped passes are still an issue for the Denver offense but the 7-game absence of Manning was evident in his 21-for-37 performance LW. The New England defense is very underrated and Belichik will have them go after Manning and force TO’s. The Broncos can not keep pace here offensively. The Patriots add to their 5-2 ATS mark the L7 in this series. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-17-16 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -100 | 44 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. Game 305. 10:15 am pst. As the season progressed, Seattle got healthy and became the team they were the L2 years. Carolina got lucky to eke out wins over New Orleans and the New York Giants before eventually losing to Atlanta. The Seahawks have the #2 run defense in the NFL and will neutralize the focal point of the Carolina offense, forcing Cam Newton to throw the ball, an area where the Panthers offense sputters. Marshawn Lynch is expected to play. The workhorse is healthy and well-rested while Russell Wilson (4024 YP, 68.1% CR, and 34 TD's with just 8 INT's) has Baldwin, Kearse, and Lockett. Don't forget the Seahawks IL is big, stout, and now healthy. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS their L5 Playoff games while the Seahawks are 6-2 ATS their L8 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-16-16 | Chiefs v. Patriots -4 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my Playoff GOY. Game 302. 1:35 pm pst. Yes, Kansas City beat Houston, 30-0 LW. But the Texans were the first playoff/playoff bound team that the Chiefs had faced in two months. Starting center, Mitch Morse and top receiver, Jeremy Maclin are both banged-up and LB, Justin Houston just isn't 100%. Moreover, Houston seemed to hand that game over rather than KC taking it a week ago. Tom Brady and Julian Edelman had an extra week to get in sync, while OT, Sebastian Vollmer has had three weeks to rest. Lest not forget, Steven Jackson has had time to learn the playbook now. Oh yeah, the Pats also have Rob Gronkowski and the best kicker in the game in Stephen Gostkowski. New England's defense matches up well here, ranking 9th vs. the run, while their front-7 is 2nd in the NFL with 49 sacks. Alex Smith and the 30th ranked passing unit is in trouble here. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS their L7 playoff games while the Pats are 36-17-1 ATS their L54 following a SU loss. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-11-16 | Alabama -6.5 v. Clemson | 45-40 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. National Championship Game Winner. 5:30 pm pst. Game 151. Clemson has played SEC teams while Alabama has played ACC teams this season. But don't be fooled as 'Bama has faced a much higher-class of opponent all season long. The Tigers have a mobile QB in DeShaun Watson but the Tide went up against dual-threat QB's and beat them in the Rebels, Prescott, and the Vols, Dobbs. As a matter of fact, the #1 ranked (13.4 PPG allowed) Alabama "D" only allowed a total of 20 points in those games. Watson and RB, Gallman are good but the stout, #1, run defense of Alabama is better, giving up a mere 70.8 YPG on the ground. The Clemson ground game won't have the same success here as they did against Oklahoma State in that Bowl matchup. 'Bama completely shut down Connor Cook and the Spartans offense, 38-0 in the Cotton Bowl. NFL-bound, Robinson, Reed, Ragland, and Jackson will get to Watson and force mistakes. Don't forget the Crimson Tide are +9 in TO margin while the Tigers are -1. This will crush Clemson. Heisman winner, Derrick Henry (2061 YR and 25 TD's) and the big OL, will wear down the Clemson "D" and allow the "now-matured", Jake Coker to continue to make big plays downfield to receivers, Ridley, Stewart, and Howard. Coker comes off his best game as a starter and is reeling with confidence. With lane Kiffen at OC, Alabama's offense will flourish. Remember that Clemson got lucky with Okie State's RB's getting hurt in the Orange Bowl. 'Bama outscores opponents by an average of 21.0 PPG. The Tide are 7-1 ATS their L8 vs. teams with a winning record, 5-2 ATS their L7 Bowl games, 4-0 ATSA their L4 vs. the ACC, and 5-1 ATS their L6 overall. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-10-16 | Packers v. Redskins +1 | 35-18 | Loss | -107 | 91 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Washington. Game 108. 1:40 pm pst. Green Bay enters this matchup on a 4-6 run both SU and ATS, riding a 2-game skid where they mustered a mere 21 total points. Washington comes in 5-1their L6 both SU and ATS. Kirk Cousins has matured this season. Since the teams bad loss to Carolina in November, the QB has amassed 14 TD's with only 1 INT. The team has averaged 32.7 PPG over their L4 outings. Green Bay has a "makeshift" OL that allowed 14 sacks just in the L2 games. It's been a long, tough season for the Packers, consisting of a difficult schedule, injuries, and problems with TO's. Cousins and his quartet of receivers, Garcon, Jackson, Crowder, and Reed will move the chains while Alfred Morris pounds the ground against the 21st ranked run defense of GB while the talented pass "D" of Washington gets to the aging, Aaron Rodgers. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC and 5-2 ATS their L7 at home. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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01-10-16 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Vikings | 10-9 | Loss | -106 | 88 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my WC GOY. 10:05 am pst. Game 103. Seattle has been on a tear, winning 8 of their L10 SU, going 7-3 ATS, including a 4-1 away mark (both SU and ATS, including L3 straight). These two teams met December 6th, with Seattle prevailing, 38-7. The Seahawks owned the line of scrimmage and held Minnesota to just 31 yards on the ground. They have the best rush defense in the NFL and will once again slow down AP and the rushing game, leaving the Minnesota offense up to the 31st ranked passing unit led by the erratic, Teddy Bridgewater. There is a good chance Marshawn Lynch will play but even if he doesn't, the Seahawks have a few solid backups to rely upon. Minny has beaten the teams they were supposed to beat and lost to the better teams they faced this season. Seattle is a far better team right now. Russell Wilson (4024 YP, 68.1% CR, and 34 TD's with just 8 INT's) has a ton of firepower and a solid OL. The favorite here is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-09-16 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-16 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 57 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my No Limit. Game 105. 5:15 pm pst. Second-year backup, AJ McCarron will be at the helm for Cincy. This doesn't bode well for HC, Marvin Lewis, who is 0-6 in post-season games since taking over the reins and a Bengals team that hasn't won a Playoff game since 2002. McCarron's three starts all came against backup QB's. Big Ben and the Steelers have won 6 of their L8, while the Bengals have split their L8 contests. Pitts "D" has gotten better as they have gotten healthier and rank 3rd in sacks with 43. They will go after the inexperienced, McCarron and force TO's. Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown lead the #3 passing attack in the NFL and will exploit the 20th ranked pass "D" of Cincinnati. The Steelers are 16-4-1 ATS their L21 at the Bengals and 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs v. Texans +3.5 | 30-0 | Loss | -113 | 67 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Consensus play. Game 102. 1:35 pm pst. Kansas City has won 10 straight while Houston has won 7 of their L9 with four different QB's. The Texans come into this game red-hot, winning and covering their last 3 regular season games to give the team the AFC South crown. KC has failed to cover 3 of their L4, all against subpar teams, with their offense sputtering a bit. Now, they enter the post-season, where they have lost 8 straight. Over their L7 games, Kansas City hasn't faced a playoff-bound team. They now have several LB's (Houston and Hali) playing banged-up. If you recall, Houston faced and beat two very good defense in NY and Cincy. The Texans have not allowed a TD in 9 quarters and with Watt and Mercilus on a "manhunt," I see the 30th ranked pass unit of the Chiefs and Alex Smith in trouble here. Hoyer, Blue, and Hopkins make for a well-balanced offense. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS their L6 Playoffs games and 1-4 ATS their L5 January games. The Texans are 4-1 ATS their L5 home games and 7-2 ATS their L9 overall games. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 20-13 | Win | 104 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my Late Bailout. Game 325 5:30 pm pst. Green Bay had a 9-sack, 4-giveaway performance LW, using a "makeshift" OL made up of mostly backups. Minnesota has the defense to exploit this. The Vikings offense is soaring under Teddy Bridgewater, throwing for 6 TD's and 0 INT's over the L3 outings. AP has beaten up on the Packers, rushing for 455 yard and 2 TD's the L3 at Green bay. Minnesota is 6-0 ATS their L6 road games. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Patriots -9.5 v. Dolphins | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my Consensus. Game 305 10:00 am pst New England losing LW to NY, means they need to win here to have home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. The Patriots have lost the L2 at Met Life and Belichik won't take any chances here. Miami is done and won't jeopardize any of their playmakers. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series. The Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS their L53 following a SU loss. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS their L8 vs. the AFC East. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Jaguars v. Texans -6.5 | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my AFC South GOM. Game 312 10:00 am pst. The Texans control their own destiny. Brian Hoyer is back at the helm. Houston has won and covered the L3 meetings SU, including a win and cover back in October and enter this game winning and covering their L2 overall while Jacksonville has lost and failed to cover their L2. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Steelers -10.5 v. Browns | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my No Limit. Game 313 10:00 am pst. With a loss LW to Baltimore, Pittsburgh needs this win today. they need a win here and a Buffalo loss for a WC spot. The Steelers posted 30 or more in six straight before LW's meltdown. Cleveland has lost 5 of 6 in this series, including a 30-9 beating back in November. Their defense has allowed 26.9 PPG (29th) while their offense only musters a mere, 17.7 PPG (29th). Pitt lights this game up. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-03-16 | Redskins +4.5 v. Cowboys | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my NFC East GOM. Game 319 10:00 am pst. Washington wrapped up the Division LW. But their coaching staff stated they will have all their starters in this contest. Kirk Cousins has a passer rating over 100 for five straight games. The Redskins are 8-3 ATS their L11 in this series. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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01-01-16 | Notre Dame v. Ohio State -6.5 | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 496 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Ohio State. This is my Bowl GOY. Ohio State is playing for the Final 4 Playoffs and a National Championship spot. The better coach is certainly Urban Meyer, who had a ton of time to prepare for this matchup. They face a Notre Dame team that has 2 losses and has failed to cover 3 of their L5 games. The Buckeyes got better as the season progressed and they certainly faced a higher level of opposition. Remember that the Irish are still a very banged-up team depleted of some key starting personnel. This game will be won in the trenches where on both the OL and DL, OSU is far superior. This will allow Heisman-candidate, Ezekiel Elliott to run amok while their 2nd ranked defense gets to soph QB, Deshone Kizer. take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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12-31-15 | Houston +7.5 v. Florida State | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Houston. 9:00 am pst Game 257 The ACC hasn't fared well in December. Greg ward and the Houston offense has what it takes to do what Georgia tech and Clemson did to Florida State. With their dual attack and a smart QB, they can take the Seminoles down. The Cougars can slow down Dalvin Cook and the FSU ground game. The one place Houston has issues is within their secondary but this won't be a problem here as Florida State QB, Everett Golson is mediocre at best. Ward and his explosive offense will keep FSU's defense on the field and tired. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-30-15 | NC State v. Mississippi State -6 | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Take Mississippi State. This is my 5 Dime Bowl play. 12:30 pm pst Game 252 A weak early schedule allowed NC State some cheap wins but the Wolf Pack got exposed against Louisville, Virginia Tech, Clemson, and Florida State, all teams with fleet-footed QB's. In comes Dak Prescott with 3413 YP and 541 YR and his explosive arsenal of weapons. NC State is 0-4 ATS as a 'Dog this season, 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. the SEC, and 1-4 ATS their L5 overall. Take Mississippi State. Thank you. |
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12-30-15 | Memphis +4.5 v. Auburn | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Memphis. This is my Consensus Bowl of the Year. Game 249 9:00 am pst Both teams will be without key members of their coaching staff here but it won't matter. The best player on the field is Memphis QB, Paxton Lynch (3670 YP, 69% CR, and 28 TD's, with just 3 INT's). Lynch leads the 13th ranked offense in the land. On the defensive side, Memphis is strong vs. the run (29th), which will shut down the only threat Auburn has. Auburn fell flat when facing stout rush-oriented defenses (LSU, MSU, ARK, GA, ALA). They are also horrible against the number going 3-10 ATS their L13 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-8 ATS their L8 non-Conference games, and 5-18 ATS their L23 overall. Take Memphis. Thank you. |
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12-29-15 | Baylor v. North Carolina -3.5 | 49-38 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Russell Athletic Bowl December 29 North Carolina 2:30 pm pst (game 244) Baylor is down to soph QB, Chris Johnson, who will be without the units top receiver, Corey Coleman. The Bears have dropped 3 of their L5 SU and 5 of their L6 ATS. North Carolina rolled off 11 straight victories before a tough loss to Clemson and will look for redemption here. The Tar Heels 20th ranked pass "D" will rattle the inexperienced Bears QB. |
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12-29-15 | Air Force +7 v. California | 36-55 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Armed Forces Bowl-Tuesday December 29 Air Force 11:00 am pst (game 241) Two different styles here as Air Force owns the 3rd ranked rushing team in the nation, averaging 322.1 YPG on the ground and Cal is a passing team, ranking 4th in the nation. But, the big difference is that the Falcs are very good at defending the pass (23rd) but the Bears are 104th vs. the run. The Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS their L7 Bowls and 1-5 ATS their L6 overall. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS their L5 Bowls and 6-1 ATS their L7 overall. Take Air Force. Thank you. |
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12-28-15 | Bengals v. Broncos -3.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my MNF GOY. Without QB, Andy Dalton and TE, Tyler Eifert, young backup, AJ McCarron will make his second start with an offense that will sputter against the NFL's #1 ranked defense (in total defense and pass defense). If you don't think it's hard to win in Mile High, just ask the Packers and Patriots. I see -3.5 and some -3's. I would suggest buying it down if you can't find it to err on the side of caution. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Bears v. Bucs -3 | 26-21 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Take Tampa bay. This is my No limit. Chicago's December losing streak has now hit 9 straight games. They own the 27th ranked rush defense and must face Doug Martin (1305 YR and 6 TD's) and the dangerous Tampa Bay ground game. Jameis Winston is coming off his best pro start and HC, Lovie Smith will have his Bucs up to beat his former team. The Bears are 3-7 ATS their L10 vs. the NFC and 2-7 ATS their L9 in December. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Panthers v. Falcons +7 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my Consensus play. Carolina has had some scares the last few weeks and despite beating Atlanta, 38-0 a few games ago, HC, Ron Rivera has stated that he will not jeopardize some of his star players the last few games. Atlanta had a good look at what Carolina can do and will come in here prepared and ready to give a solid effort. Lest not forget that Julio Jones is looking for a little redemption against the Panthers. Take the Falcons. Thank you |
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12-27-15 | Browns v. Chiefs -11 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. This is my Blowout play. 6 of Cleveland's L7 losses have come by DD's and with LC still having a chance to beat Denver in the AFC West, tells me the Chiefs blow this game up. They have a defense that creates TO's and let's face it, the Browns are already vulnerable to begin with. Cleveland is 0-4 ATS their L4 road games, 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. winners, and 1-7 ATS their L8 overall. Kansas City is 9-4 ATS their L13 at home, 6-1 ATS their L7 vs. the AFC, and 7-1 ATS their L8 overall. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Colts +2 v. Dolphins | 18-12 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my 'Dog Outright Winner. Indy has had 3 straight losses but if they win out and Houston doesn't, the Colts take the Division. Miami has dropped 4 of their L5 SU and their L5 ATS. The Dolphins defense is a doormat and just doesn't match up well here. The Colts are 20-6 ATS their L26 vs. losers while the Dolphins are 2-12 ATS their L14 vs. the AFC, 1-8 ATS their L9 at home, and 1-10 ATS their L11 in December. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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12-27-15 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | 20-26 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOY. New England signed veteran RB, Steven Jackson as a post-season hired gun this week. These two teams met back in October with the pats prevailing, 30-23. New England has rolled off 4 straight wins and covers and needs this victory to ensure all their post-season wants. Rob Gronkowski is back at 100% and he and Brady will light up the scoreboard and take down the erratic Jets here. The Pats are 12-4 ATS the L16 meetings in this series. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA -5.5 | 37-29 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Foster Farms Bowl-December 26 UCLA At 5-7, Nebraska somehow backed into a Bowl. Their defense ranks 9th vs. the rush but 122nd vs. the pass and have to face Josh Rosen (3350 YP and 20 TD's) and a very dangerous receiving corps here. UCLA also has RB, Paul Perkins (1275 YR and 13 TD's) to keep the Nebraska defense honest. The Bruins got healthy over the last few week and have won and covered the L2 meetings over the 'Huskers back in 2012 and 2013. The Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. the PAC 12 while the Bruins are 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the Big Ten. Take UCLA. Thank you. |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss +9 v. Washington | 31-44 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Heart of Dallas Bowl-Saturday December 26 Southern Miss Washington was 6-6 on the year and that was after finishing the season with two wins over a winless Oregon State and a Wazzu team without their starting QB. They do have a very strong defense but are anchored by a true freshman at QB in 5'9", Miles Gaskin. Southern Miss played very strong this season against very good competition, going 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS. they own the #12 passing unit and average over 191.9 YPG on the ground. Not to mention a very well-balanced stop unit. Too many points here. Take Southern Miss. Thank you. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -3 | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Hawaii Bowl-December 24th SD State Cincinnati has lost to every good they have faced this season. While SD State is riding a 9-game (8-1 ATS) win streak. The Aztecs can run the ball behind Donnel Pumphrey (1154 YR and 16 TD's) which doesn't bode well for Cincy's 92nd ranked rush defense while the Bearcats passing game can be contained by the 13th ranked secondary of the Aztecs. Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS their L8 Bowl games. Take San Diego State. Thank you. |
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12-23-15 | Georgia Southern v. Bowling Green -7 | 58-27 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
GODADDY.COM BOWL-December 23rd Bowl Mismatch of the Year Bowling Green Georgia Southern is making their first Bowl appearance. This is a team that ranks 1st in rushing but 128th in passing in the "lower tier" Sun belt Conference. Bowling Green ranks 3rd in passing and 49th in rushing behind one of the best OL"s in the land. This squad has 24 players with 4 or 5 years experience, going to their 4th Bowl game, and are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the Sun Belt. Take BG. Thank you. |
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12-23-15 | Boise State v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | 55-7 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
Poinsettia Bowl-December 23rd NIU Despite reaching a Bowl for 14 straight seasons, BSU just isn't as explosive as they were a few short years ago and springing late season leaks against USU, UNM, and Air Force, losing outright as big favorites in all three tell me that NIU, who by the way is 65-18 SU since 2010 (only Alabama, Oregon, and Florida State have more wins) and their well-balanced team can and will keep this game very tight. Take NIU. Thank you. |
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12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple -2.5 | 32-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Temple. The Owls win 10 games, played a tougher schedule, and almost took down Notre Dame. They have the 20th ranked run defense which will slow down the Rockets main threat, the ground game of Hunt and Swanson. Toledo is distracted with losing their HC (MAC Coach of the Year), Matt Campbell. The 1-2 punch of Walker and Thomas gives Temple an edge on offense. The Owls are 10-4 ATS their L14 overall. Take Temple. Thank you. |
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12-21-15 | Western Kentucky -2.5 v. South Florida | 45-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky's only losses this season were to LSU and Indiana. Two words, Brandon Doughty (4594 YP, 71.8% CR, 45 TD's and just 7 INT's). He has a couple of RB's to keep the South Florida defense honest. The Bulls don't have the secondary to compete with WKY's 5 super start receivers. Under a FG is a gift. Take Western Kentucky. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Broncos +7 v. Steelers | 27-34 | Push | 0 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Denver. Cincy's lost last week gives Denver a chance at a first-round bye. Brock Osweiler suffered his first loss as a starter LW, due to dropped passes. HC, Gary Kubiak read the offense the riot act and this will be there strongest game of the season. The Broncos defense tops the League in just about every category and will be, by far, the most-ferocious Ben Roethlisberger has had to face, not to mention that RB, DeAngelo Williams is playing ill. The Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Packers -3.5 v. Raiders | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Green bay. This is my Consensus play. Green Bay looks to clinch a playoff spot as well as maintaining the top spot in their Division. The Packers have won their L2 road games and with Mike McCarthy taking over play-calling duties, the offense is humming. Oakland has failed to cover 3 of their L5 overall, including their L2 at home. The Raiders are horrible against the pass and with Aaron Rodgers back in a groove, along with owning an OL that can hold off the Oakland pass rush, all adds up to a win and cover here. Green bay is 6-2 ATS their L8 on the road. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-20-15 | Bears v. Vikings -5.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Minnesota comes off of two losses but still has a solid grasp on the final WC spot and sits one game behind Green Bay in the Division. Chicago just keeps finding new ways to lose and their 26th ranked rush defense can not and will not slow down AP. The Vikings are 19-7 ATS their L26 road games and the Bears are 13-29 ATS their L42 vs. the NFC. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-19-15 | BYU +3 v. Utah | 28-35 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Take BYU. These two rivals haven't played each other in two years due to Utah moving the PAC 12. Bronco Mendenhall is leaving for Virginia and taking a good part of his staff with him. The Utes are without their number one player, RB, Devontae Booker. They may also be without their only other top offensive weapon, WR, Britain Covey. The Cougars won 7 of their L8 SU and freshman QB, Tanner Mangum can pass well beyond his years (3062 YP, 62.1% CR, and 21 TD's). This doesn't bode well for Utah, who has gotten smoked by passing offenses the latter half of the season. The 'Dog is 14-3 ATS the L17 meetings in this series. Take BYU. Thank you. |
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12-19-15 | Arizona v. New Mexico +9.5 | 45-37 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Take New Mexico. Arizona's season has been a disappointment. They can blame some of it on being bitten by the injury bug, however overall the team fell way short of expectations. New Mexico can run the ball, with the 8th ranked rushing unit in the nation behind Jhurell Pressley. This is a team that beat USU, BSU, and Air Force outright. The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS their L7 games played in December and 1-4 ATS their L5 Bowl games. Take the Lobos. Thank you. |
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12-17-15 | Bucs +3 v. Rams | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is my No Limit. Don’t be fooled by St. Louis’ first win and cover in 6 games last week over the last place Lions. This matchup doesn’t favor the Rams as they rank dead last in passing while Todd Gurley has to face the stout and stingy 8th ranked rush defense here. The League’s #2 rusher, Doug Martin will devour the St. Louis “D” and open up the passing game for the maturing, Jameis Winston. Tampa Bay is 9-1 ATS their L10 following an ATS loss. The Buccaneers get the money. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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12-14-15 | Giants +1 v. Dolphins | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Miami’s 22nd ranked pass defense is going to get lit up by the streaking, Manning/Beckham jr. connection. New York thrives on the road (6-2 ATS) and will prolong the Miami 1-7 ATS skid at Sun Life. Take New York. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | Patriots -3 v. Texans | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Play New England. This is my Consensus play. New England has lost 2 games in a row and the #1 seed in the AFC. That doesn't sit well with either Bill Belichik or Tom Brady, whose receiving corps is getting healthy. Houston fell back to Earth LW, in their 31-20 loss at Buffalo. Brady and the #1 passing unit will have the edge here. The Patriots get back on track. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | Falcons v. Panthers -7.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 19 m | Show | |
Play Carolina. This is my No Limit. Carolina has locked up the NFC South Title and can notch themselves a first-round bye with a win here as they face an Atlanta team that has dropped 5 in a row SU and 8 in a row ATS, while mustering a mere, 17.2 PPG during their current skid. With a close call LW vs. the Saints, the Panthers won't take any chances here and keep their foot on the gas. The line is floating from -7 to -7.5 and I'd prefer to buy it down just to be on the safe side. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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12-13-15 | 49ers +2 v. Browns | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 40 h 11 m | Show | |
Play San Francisco. This is my High Roller. Johnny Manziel is going to start for a Cleveland team that has dropped 7 in a row SU and their L6 ATS. San Fran has shown signs of life since giving Blaine Gabbert the reins. The Browns are dead-last in rushing which will put Manziel in the cross-hairs. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS their L5 at home. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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12-12-15 | Army v. Navy -21.5 | 17-21 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Navy. Navy has had their way with Army, taking 13 in a row and 15 of the L16 meetings. Behind Keenan Reynolds, the Midshipmen own the #2 rushing offense in the nation, averaging 330.1 YPG on the ground while posting over 37.5 PPG. Army has an offensive unit full of young and inexperienced players and no superstars, ranking 106th in scoring (22.5 PPG). With this being Reynolds' last game with Navy, the Heisman hopeful will put up some huge numbers and get the win and cover. The Black Knights are 6-21 ATS their L27 after a bye week and 0-5-1 ATS their L6 overall. The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS their L8 on grass and 4-1 ATS their L5 overall. Take Navy. Thank you. |
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12-10-15 | Vikings +11 v. Cardinals | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. Minnesota comes off of their worst loss of the season but the Vikings have covered 5 straight on the road. While the Cards continue to win but haven't covered laying more than 7 points this campaign. AP will run the ball and eat up some valuable clock and without Chris Johnson, the Arizona offense is shaky at times. The 'Dog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Panthers -6.5 v. Saints | 41-38 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my Powerhouse play. Carolina returns to New Orleans where their regular season win streak began and has now reached 16 straight. Cam Newton has the offense4 improving every week as he and Jonathan Stewart lead the 4th ranked rushing unit in football. New Orleans has the worst defense in the NFL, allowing, 30.8 PPG, which includes the 31st vs. the pass and the 30th vs. the run. Drew Brees and his offense failed to reach the endzone against Houston LW. The Panthers are 12-2 ATS the L14 games played at the Saints. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Texans +3.5 v. Bills | 21-30 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my Shocker play. Houston controls their own destiny and facing this Buffalo defense that has been springing leaks tells me to side with Brian Hoyer here. Especially now that the Texans "D" has stepped it up, allowing a mere, 8.9 PPG during their current 4-game win and cover streak. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-06-15 | Cardinals -4 v. Rams | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my Consensus play. Can you say revenge? Arizona lost the first meeting to St. Louis, 24-22, two months ago in which quite a few strange things happened to result in the loss. The Rams QB issues is ongoing, as it looks like Nick Foles (who has more INT's than TD's 9/7) will take over again. Word is that we might even see rookie, Sean Mannion if Foles can't get it done. St. Louis can't pass the ball, ranking 32nd in the League and must face the Cardinals 4th ranked rush defense. Carson Palmer heads up the top-scoring offense in the game. The Cardinals are 18-7 ATS their L25 vs. the NFCF, 17-6 ATS their L23 vs. teams with a losing record, and 13-6 ATS their L19 on the road. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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12-05-15 | Florida v. Alabama -17 | 15-29 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. This is my SEC Championship game winner. Florida is the only thing standing in the way of the Playoffs for the 2nd ranked, Alabama team. The Tide have rolled off 9 straight victories and seem to be getting better with each one. Treon Harris makes mistakes and facing the #3 stop-unit here, won't end up well, particularly because Florida can't run the ball, which allows 'Bama to focus on Harris and force thee-and-outs, and more importantly, TO's. Derrick Henry is the best RB, the gators have faced this season, and will keep their defense honest. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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12-05-15 | Texas State v. Arkansas State -25 | 17-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Take Arkansas State. This is my Consensus Game of the Year. A few things give Arkansas State then edge here. For starters, they are a solid team, outscoring visitors by 18.8 PPG at home this year, while Texas State is 0-5, both SU and ATS on the road, being beaten by 28.6 PPG. The Red Wolves have a well-balanced offense, ranked #14 nationally, which doesn't bode well for the Bobcats "D" that ranks 119th and allows over 37.7 PPG. Take Arkansas State. Thank you. |
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12-05-15 | Georgia State +21 v. Georgia Southern | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Georgia State. This is my Oddsmakers Mistake play. The surging Georgia State squad (3-0 SU & ATS their L3) matches up well here against an "untested" defense of Georgia Southern. This is a team that is 5-0 ATS as a road 'dog this season, including a cover against PAC 12 powerhouse, Oregon. The Panthers have a big edge with their 8th ranked passing unit, something the Eagles haven't had to face in Sunbelt play. Take Georgia State. Thank you. |
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12-05-15 | Texas v. Baylor -20.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Baylor. This is my Shocker play. With two losses over their L3 games, Baylor is out of the Playoff hunt, but is playing (most-likely) for a Sugar Bowl appearance, moreover, pride. Texas is 0-4, both SU and ATS, on the road in 2015. Their freshman QB, just doesn't have the experience or the savvy to rise to the occasion in this platform. The Bears own the highest-scoring offense in the nation, including the #4 overall rushing unit which will shred the 102nd ranked rush defense of the Longhorns. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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12-05-15 | Temple +6 v. Houston | 13-24 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
The Owls have been money as a road 'dog, going 8-1 ATS their L9 in this situation. A big concern is that Houston gave up 30 or more points to Louisville, Cincinnati, and Memphis, all high-powered offensive units like Temple. With PJ Walker (2450 YP) at the helm and Jahard Thomas (1188 YR) running the ball along with their 16th ranked defense (18.8 PPG) overall, including the nations #11 stop-unit against the run, led by all-universe LB, Tyler Matakevich, this team will keep this contest very close. Take Temple. Thank you. |
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11-30-15 | Ravens +4 v. Browns | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. Baltimore just might be the most injured team in the NFL as Flacco, Forsett, and Smith have joined Suggs and a slew of other starters on the sideline and with another episode of the Manziel soap opera, it looks like Josh McCown will go up against Matt Schaub here. The Ravens still have better defensive personnel and without a running game (ranked 31st), Schaub is vulnerable behind one of the worst OL’s in football. Got to side with Baltimore, who is 4-0 ATS their L4 MNF contests. Take the +3.5 here with the Ravens. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos +3 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 55 h 11 m | Show | |
Play Denver. This is my Late Bailout play. Peyton Manning will sit for the second straight game, giving Brock Osweiler the reins. The backup was 20 of 27, 250 YP, 2 TD's and 0 INT"s in last week's , 17-15 victory over Chicago. The New England receiving corps is depleted, with the majority of their WR's injured (check status), leaving the offense to rely upon the 28th ranked, rushing game. The 2nd ranked, Denver defense will keep this game very tight and allow Osweiler the opportunity for a home win. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in Mile High the L5 vs. the Patriots. take the home 'Dogs here. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-39 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 15 m | Show | |
Play Pittsburgh. This is my Best Bet. With a line of +4 here, Pittsburgh is the play as they are the first team with a winning record Seattle has faced this season. Coming off a bye week gave the Steelers time to rest, heal, and prepare. Their speedy LB corps will manhandle the Seahawks OL that has yielded 25 sacks. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-29-15 | Vikings +1.5 v. Falcons | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 48 h 59 m | Show | |
Plat Minnesota. This is my Consensus play. Minnesota took their first loss last week, since the beginning of October while Atlanta is riding a 3-game SU losing streak and a 6-game against the spread funk, against all sub .500 teams. Now, Devonta Freeman is doubtful with a concussion, which makes the Flacons offense one-dimensional. The Falcs defense has faced a lot of rookie and backup QB's lately and despite the NFL's top-ranked rush "D", they haven't went up against too many solid RB's. In comes, Adrian Peterson (1006 YR and 6 TD's) and the #2 ground game in the League. The Vikes are 4-1 ATS on the road this season and 23-9 ATS their L32 overall. The Falcs are 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. the NFC and 1-5 ATS their L6 games played in November. Thank you. |
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11-28-15 | Alabama -14 v. Auburn | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Alabama. This is my SEC GAME OF THE YEAR. Alabama is still very much in the race for the CFP and with 2 more wins, they are in. They have won 8 in a row SU (5-3 ATS), and 3 in a row against the number. The Crimson Tide have a Heisman-Candidate in RB Derrick Henry (1526 YR and 21 TD's) that will devour the 81st ranked Tigers rush defense, that is already allowing 180.9 YPG on the ground. On defense, 'Bama owns the #2 stop unit vs. the run and the overall #3 "D", yielding a mere, 14.5 PPG. Alabama is a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road this year, while Auburn is 1-6 ATS at home in 2015 and 1-9 ATS their L10 overall at home. Roll Tide. Thank you. |
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11-28-15 | UCLA +3.5 v. USC | 21-40 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Take UCLA. The winner will take the PAC 12 South title. The Bruins have recovered from several defensive injuries and are ready to take on their nemesis here as they go up against a very thinned-out Trojans OL that has already given up 30 sacks. Freshman QB, Rosen doesn't rattle. This kid was one of the most sought after HS QB's in the country and he is the real deal. UCLA has won nine of its last 10 conference road games and 11 of its last 12 road games overall and is 4-1 ATS on the road in 2015. Take the Bruins. Thank you. |
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11-28-15 | Ohio State v. Michigan | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Ohio State. This is my LVSM GOY. Losing to Michigan State has dropped Ohio State's stock and because of this, the naysayers are already turning on them. This is still the defending National Champions with one of college football's all-time greatest coaches. I know Michigan has won 4 in a row but that was against Minnesota, Rutgers, Indiana, and Penn State. If you recall, in the beginning of the year, the Wolverines were a huge long shot team, at best. Yes, they have a good defense, but so does the Buckeyes. As a matter of fact, OSU has the nation's #2 "D", yielding just 14.1 PPG. I know Urban Meyer will have his stop unit prepped and ready to face a very mistake-prone, Jake Rudock and force him to turn the ball over. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS their L5 at Michigan and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall vs. Michigan. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you. |
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11-27-15 | Marshall +11 v. Western Kentucky | 28-49 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Marshall This game decides the C USA title. Marshall comes in here well-rested and certainly owns the superior defense. The Hilltoppers are 2-7 ATS their L9 vs. teams with a winning record while the Thundering Herd is 10-4 ATS their L14 vs. teams with a winning record. Take Marshall. Thank you. |
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11-26-15 | Panthers +1.5 v. Cowboys | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Carolina (Game 107). This is my NFL Game of the Month. This line opened up a pick ‘em and it looks like the oddsmakers are setting a trap. Just as Tony Romo returned to give Dallas a win in Miami last week, he was a bit rusty and RB, Darren McFadden will not have the same success against this very tough Top 10 Carolina “D”. The Panthers are an excellent road team, going 4-0 ATS their L4 as a visitor. I’m not taking the bait. I’m taking Carolina here. Thank you. |
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11-24-15 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois -13 | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Play NIU (Game 104). This is my Consensus play. NIU is riding a 6-game win and cover streak, are 9-1 ATS their L10 straight, and can clinch the Conference Championship with a win here. Aside from their 18th ranked rushing attack, the Huskies are very stingy against the run too, holding visitors at home to just 3.2 YPC, which will force the Bobcats to put their offense in the hands of the every erratic QB, Derrious Vick (10 TD's and 6 INT's). The Huskies are 33-16-3 ATS their L52 Conference games and 16-5-1 ATS their L22 games played in November. The Bobcats are 2-7-1 ATS their L10 road games and 4-9 ATS their L13 vs. teams with a winning record. Take NIU. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Packers v. Vikings | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay (Game 463). This is my NFC NORTH GOM. Green Bay was 6-0 and considered to be the top NFC team in the League. They have lost their L3 and are now in a must-win situation. I know Minny is riding a 5 game win streak SU but Green Bay is money when their back is to the wall, especially now that Minnesota sits atop the Division. The Packers are 39-18 ATS their L57 vs. the NFC North. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Redskins v. Panthers -7 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Take Carolina (Game 452). This is my Best Bet. Washington hasn't won back-to-back games this season and their 30th ranked run defense is no match for the NFL's #3 rushing "O." The Panthers are 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the NFC and the Redskins are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Cowboys -1.5 v. Dolphins | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Dallas (Game 455). This is my TV Game winner. Dallas won their first 2 games under Tony Romo. Then lost the next 7 without him. The QB returns today and faces an erratic Miami defense that is thinned-out with injuries. Cowboys owner, Jerry Jones needs to show season ticket holders and their fans they have something to look forward to. The 'Fins are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home. Take the 'Boys. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Colts +5 v. Falcons | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis (Game 457). This is my Consensus play. Atlanta has lost 3 of their L5 SU and all 5 ATS, with all 3 SU losses coming to sub .500 teams. Indy's, Matt Hasselbeck is 2-0 as a starter and the offense is flourishing since OC, Rob Chudzinski took over. The Colts are 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings in this series. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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11-22-15 | Broncos -1 v. Bears | 17-15 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Denver (Game 467). This is my Shocker. Denver has dropped their L2 and will be without Peyton Manning here. Brock Osweiler is at the helm. The Broncos own the best defense in football and will force Jay Cutler to revert back to his old ways and turn the ball over. The Bears offense is already limping with Matt Forte being hampered with a knee issue, but he will still play. Chicago only posts 20 PPG and will have problems putting anything on the board here. The Broncos are 10-2 ATS their L12 following a SU loss and the Bears are 6-19-1 ATS their L26 at home. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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11-21-15 | Colorado State v. New Mexico +2.5 | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Play New Mexico (Game 392). This is my NCAAF GOM. New Mexico is not just Bowl eligible, but the Lobos also control their own destiny in the Mountain West. The trio of UNM rushers, Gipson, Pressley, and Jordan (1727 YR and 16 TD’s combined on the ground) will shred the 102nd ranked CSU run defense. The 'Dog is 11-3-1 ATS the L15 meetings and giving New Mexico points at home is a mistake. The Lobos howl. Take NM. Thank you. |
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11-21-15 | USC v. Oregon -4 | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Play Oregon (Game 410). Since the return of Vernon Adams, Oregon is 4-0 both SU and ATS. The mobile QB will give the USC defense fits, especially after So Cal lost 2 starting LB's LW. OU is in line to represent the PAC 12 North if they win their final 2 Conference games against USC and Oregon State and Cal can beat Stanford. The Trojans are 8-22 ATS their L30 games following a SU win. The Ducks soar here. Thank you. |
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11-21-15 | Syracuse v. NC State -16.5 | 29-42 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Play NC State (Game 358). This is my ACC GOY. Syracuse has lost their L7 games, and have allowed 43.8 PPG on the road TY, where they are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. NC State gets the bettor's paid, as they are 6-1 ATS their L7 as a favorite. Take NC State. Thank you. |
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11-21-15 | Michigan -3.5 v. Penn State | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Play Michigan (Game 375). This is my BIG 10 GOY. Michigan has won 8 of their L9 games SU and are in the hunt for the BIG 10 East crown. They need this win to stay in the hunt. Penn State has had trouble with mobile QB's and adding to their issues, is the fact that they are unable to run the ball at all. This combination will be fatal here. PSU is 4-9-1 ATS their L14 Conference games. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-20-15 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +2.5 | 27-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Take USF (Game 316). This is my AAC GOM. South Florida beat Temple last week to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2010. They also come into this contest with revenge in their eyes after LY's 34-17 loss to Cincy in which star RB, Marlon Mack (1065 YR and 6 TD's) was held to just 54 YR. He and Quinton Flowers (747 YR and 8 TD's on the ground) will pound the Bearcats "D" and open up their passing game. Cincinnati can't pass the ball at all and their rushing game will flutter against this stout and stingy Bulls defense. USF is 4-1 SU at home and 4-0-1 ATS this season. Take South Florida. Thank you. |
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11-18-15 | Central Michigan -10 v. Kent State | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Central Michigan (Game 307 5:00 pm pst). This is my Consensus play. The Kent offense has had trouble all season (14.3 PPG), but since RS frosh, Bollas has taken over, it's downright anemic. The QB has 6 INT's, and just 2 TDP's, with the entire offense accounting for only 2 TD's in his 4 starts. CMU, under QB, Cooper Rush (2980 YP, 68.2% CR, and 22 TD's) has an explosive air attack and while both teams possess decent defenses, the Golden Flashes just can't keep pace here in scoring. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS their L4 at home, 1-5 ATS their L6 Conference games, and 1-6 ATS their L7 overall. The Chippewas are 13-3 ATS their L16 road games, 17-8 ATS their L25 Conference games, and 9-2 ATS their L11 overall. Take Central Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-16-15 | Texans v. Bengals -10.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati (Game 276 5:30 pm pst) Cincinnati is not just winning at 8-0 SU, they are covering at 7-0-1 ATS. They took LY's meeting over Houston, 22-13 and are currently outscoring visitors at home by an average of 11.0 PPG. The Texans are horrible on Monday Night at 0-7 ATS their L7 MNF games and 5-16-1 ATS their L22 following an ATS win. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS their L7 vs. the AFC and 18-6-2 ATS their L26 at home. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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11-15-15 | Cowboys +1 v. Bucs | 6-10 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Play Dallas (Game 253 10:00 am pst) This is my No Limit. Matt Cassel comes off his best performance since becoming a Cowboy. Darren McFadden has strung together consecutive solid performances. And WR's, Dez Bryant and Cole Beasley are becoming a very dangerous tandem. The Dallas OL is going to win the battle in the trenches over a "thinned-out" Tampa Bay front-7. The Cowboys have taken the L5 meetings in this series and match up very well here. They are 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. the Buccaneers, 7-0 ATS their L7 on grass, and 9-3 ATS their L12 on the road. This doesn't bode well for a Bucs team that crushes bettors at home, going 16-38-1 S their L55. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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11-15-15 | Panthers -4 v. Titans | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Take Carolina (Game 255 10:00 am pst). This is my Powerhouse play. Carolina has now won 12 regular season games in a row, and has covered all 3 of their road games this season. Cam Newton and the passing game is improving with each passing week, but as long as they own the top-rushing unit in the NFL, wins will continue. Tennessee got their first win since Week 1, however, rookie QB, Marcus Mariota won't have the same success here vs. this defense as he did LW against New Orleans. The Titans are 8-20-2 ATS their L30 at home. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-15-15 | Dolphins v. Eagles -5.5 | 20-19 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia (Game 262 10:00 am pst). This is my MVP play. Philadelphia has won and covered the L3 meetings over Miami and enter this contest winning and covering their L3 straight and under Chip Kelly, they have covered 9 of their L13 at home. Their rushing game is getting better each week (ranking 10th) and will have no problem exploding here vs. a Miami rush-defense that is 31st in the NFL and allowed Buffalo 266 yards on the ground LW. The Dolphins offense mustered a mere, 24 total points over their L2 games while their "D" was shredded for 69 points. they are 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. the Eagles, 2-5 ATS their L7 road games, and 3-10 ATS their L13 overall. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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11-14-15 | Washington State +10.5 v. UCLA | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Washington State (Game 165 7:45 pm pst). This is my 'Dog Outright Winner. Washington State has covered the L3 in this series and this Cougars team is even hungrier than past teams. They have covered all 4 road games in 2015 as QB, Luke Falk leads the #2 passing attack in the nation. UCLA comes in here "soft", playing Colorado and Oregon State their L2 contests and the Bruins secondary will have problems here. The 'Dog in this series is 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings, while WSU is 5-1 ATS the L6 at UCLA, and 10-2 ATS the L12 overall vs. UCLA. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-14-15 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt -3 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
Play Vanderbilt (Game 154 1:00 pm pst). This is my Consensus play. Vanderbilt has covered 3 of their 4 home games TY, outscoring visitors by 7.0 PPG while Kentucky is 1-2 ATS and is being outscored by 15.3 PPG as a guest in 2015. The Commodores have taken the L4 in this series ATS, winning 3 of the 4 SU. This Vandy defense yields a mere, 17.4 PPG. The 'Dores are 5-12 ATS their L6 Conference games, 4-1 ATS their L5 at home, and 7-3 ATS their L10 overall. The 'Cats are 8-23 ATS their L31 Conference games, 7-20 ATS their L27 road, and 0-5 ATS their L5 overall. Take Vanderbilt. Thank you. |
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