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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-22-24 | SMU +6.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 70-80 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs. AAC Game of the Week. Game 741 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. These are two extremely talented teams. They are currently tied for third place in the AAC at 10-3. However, the Mustangs come in here with momentum, winning six in a row and eight of their last 10, while the Owls have split out their last four games. One more thing about FAU, yes, they are extremely good, and overall, are 10-1 at the Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, but they just don't cover there. They are just 1-5 ATS their last six games played as host. It's true, FAU possesses an explosive offense. However, they're going up against one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Not only that, but SMU is equally strong on the offensive and defensive boards, and are one of the toughest teams in the NCAA at defending the arc. I think this game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the underdog. Thank you. |
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02-21-24 | UNLV -5.5 v. Air Force | 72-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
UNLV Rebels. Late Bail Out. Game 729. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. They say revenge of dish best served cold. Well, the last time these two teams met back towards the end of January, UNLV took the worst beating in as far back as I can remember. The Rebels were spanked on their own home court at the hands of the Falcons, 90-58. Prior to that UNLV took eight of nine matchups in this conference rivalry. Since that meeting, Air Force has lost six in a row, both straight up and against the spread. This does include all three games played at the Clune Arena. Take the Rebels. Thank you. |
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02-21-24 | Kentucky -6.5 v. LSU | 74-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. TV Game Winner. Game 721. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Wildcats head coach, John Calipari, finally put in his 7’0”, 250 lbs. sophomore for a significant amount of time, and he crushed it. Because the LSU Tigers play competitively in this rivalry, I believe you're going to see the big man play a lot of minutes once again here tonight. It is true, Kentucky has had their way with LSU taking seven of the last nine SU. With the muscle down low, and the nation’s #1 shooting three-point offense, I feel you'll see Kentucky prevailing pretty easily here. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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02-20-24 | Predators v. Golden Knights -130 | 5-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Vegas Golden Knights. Power Play. Game 66. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Losing back-to-back games at “The Fortress’ is a very rare occurrence and very uncharacteristic for the Golden Knights. After winning four of five overall, Vegas dropped back-to-back games at home at the hands of Minnesota and Carolina. They then went on the road into San Jose and shut them out, 4-0. They will come back here with a vengeance and prove in front of their loyal fans they are still a team to be reckoned with. Let's not forget they are 19-7-2 at the T-Mobile Arena this season. They face a Nashville team struggling, riding a 3-6-1 run. The Predators have had more than their share of problems with the Golden Knights, dropping seven of the last nine meetings with them. Take Las Vegas. Thank you |
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02-20-24 | Pittsburgh +6.5 v. Wake Forest | 58-91 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Pitt Panthers. ACC Annihilator. Game 641 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I feel the line is way off in this matchup, my friends. Pitt just took down Wake Forest at home, just under three weeks ago, 77-72. That gave them their third win in their last four meetings with their Conference rival. But this team comes in here rolling, winning and covering five in a row, and seven of their last eight outings overall. This does include winning a covering four of their last five as a visitor. Meanwhile, the Demon Deacons have lost their last two games, both on the road at the Blue Devils and the Cavaliers. This is a team that relies heavily upon their three-point shooting. This does not bode well, as Pittsburgh comes in here ranking 18th in the nation at defending “the three”. They're also much better overall defensively, and at both ends of the court on the glass. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-20-24 | Baylor +4.5 v. BYU | 71-78 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 643. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Making Baylor this much of an underdog against BYU is a huge mistake. I understand that they’ve lost one of their starting guards (check status) at the beginning of the month. But this team is loaded with playmakers, my friend. This team is getting better as the season is progressing, winning and covering five of their last six outings. By the way, they've also covered four consecutive games played as a visitor. They go up against a BYU opponent, which they have dominated. Just in their most recent matchup, back in the second week of January at home, they took down the Cougars, 81-72. Speaking of BYU, they have been pointspread poison, failing to cover four in a row and seven of their last 10. I understand the Cougars offense is just as explosive as the Bears, but Baylor’s three-point shooting offensively, and their fifth-ranked, defensive rebounding core will be the difference here. This game will be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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02-20-24 | Connecticut -3 v. Creighton | 66-85 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Connecticut Huskies. Big East Blockbuster. Game 633. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. This is a very short price to lay, despite being on the road for the Big East’s top team. That's right. Connecticut is 14-1 in Conference play, en route to an overall, 24-2 record. Let's not forget, they haven't dropped a game since before Christmas, winning 14 straight contests. They took down Creighton at home a little more than four weeks ago, 62-48. That gave them their second win in this rivalry in the last three meetings, but their third consecutive cover. While both offices can put up points, the Huskies defense is one of the best in the nation, ranking 15th in points allowed, 11th in field goal percentage, and third on the boards. That's where this game will be won. Take UConn. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -145 | Top | 70-69 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
UCLA on the Moneyline. Pac 12 Payday Game of the MONTH. Game 864. 4:00 PM PST at 7:00 PM EST. My friends, I'm a big believer in revenge. Especially on the college basketball court. Following a seven-game straight up win streak in this series, UCLA took an embarrassing, 90-44 defeat against Utah back on January 11. Since then, the Bruins have won and covered eight of nine outings. Meanwhile, the Utes, since that big game win over the Bruins, are just 3-6 straight up, and a lowly 2-7 against the spread. Oh, by the way, they have failed to win or cover the last four games played on the road. Take UCLA. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Kings +111 v. Penguins | 2-1 | Win | 111 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Kings Power Play. Game 31. 3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST. Making the Kings an underdog here is a huge mistake. Going back a few seasons, they have taken four of six meetings with the Penguins. They enter today's matchup winning four of their last five, while Pittsburgh is on a 1-3 game run. Oh, by the way, Los Angeles is also one of the best teams in hockey on the road, going 17-7-4 away from home. Take the Kings. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Seton Hall +6.5 v. St. John's | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Seton Hall Pirates. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 859. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. Guys, I have Seton Hall being at least a 1.5-point favorite here. There are much stronger in Conference play at 9-5 than their counterpart, St. John's, which own a conference record of 6-8. I believe they proved in their earlier matchup, a January 16, 80-65 home win that their guards are much more talented than their counterpart’s backcourt. As a matter fact, that win and cover gave Seton Hall three consecutive wins and covers over St. John's in the last three meetings. By the way folks, the Red Storm aren't so stormy, going just 2-7 their last nine games straight up and being outscored by 8.6 points per game during that span. Take the Pirates. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Memphis v. SMU -4.5 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs. AAC ANNIHILATOR. Game 856. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. There is a lot of reasons to like the Mustangs in this match up here today. For starters, the Tigers have failed to cover four consecutive games played on the road. Next, SMU is 12-3 the last 15 games and only allow 63.2 points per game at home. And lastly, my favorite reason is revenge. The Mustangs took a last second, three-point loss at the hands of Memphis in the most recent matchup. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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02-18-24 | Rangers -134 v. Islanders | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
New York Rangers. Game 27. 12:05 PM PST/3:05 PM EST. The Rangers certainly come in here the hotter team, winning six consecutive outings. Meanwhile the Islanders are struggling, dropping seven of their last 10 coming into today's meeting. While this game is being played at MetLife Stadium, you're going to see both Rangers and Islanders fans in the stands. But trust me when I tell you, you're going to see more fans wearing Rangers jerseys. Take the Rangers. Thank you. |
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02-17-24 | Utah State +6.5 v. Colorado State | 55-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Utah State Aggies. Mountain West Conference Money Maker. Game 725. 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST. It's hard to ignore the best team in the Mountain West getting this many points against the team they took down six weeks ago. The Aggies bested the Rams back at the beginning of January at home, 77-72. That win gave them six straight up victories in the last 10 meetings in this series, while covering eight of those last 10 meetings. They're starting to heat up, winning five of the last seven, both SU and ATS, while Colorado State took a bad beating in their last outing on the road at San Diego State. I know they have revenge in their eyes, but I just don't see the Rams winning by this many points. The Aggies are more explosive offensively, better on the glass at both ends of the court, and own the eighth-ranked three-point shooting defense in the nation. Take the points with the underdog here. Thank you. |
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02-17-24 | Predators v. Blues +101 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
St. Louis Blues on the ML. Slapshot Play. Game 14. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. I see a big revenge factor here as Nashville took the only other meeting with St. Louis this season, handing the Blues an embarrassing, 8-3 defeat in front of their home crowd. However, the Predators are struggling right now, dropping seven of their last nine, which includes three of their last four as a guest. The Blues, on the other hand are playing some great hockey, winning eight of their last 10, which includes three of their last four at home. One more item that I find is key: Nashville has allowed 29 goals over their last six outings. This doesn't bode well as St. Louis is a scoring machine. Take the Home team. Thank you. |
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02-17-24 | LSU v. South Carolina -7 | 64-63 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
South Carolina Gamecocks. SEC Slam Dunk play. Game 682. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. South Carolina sits in second place in the SEC at 9-3, just one-game behind Alabama. The Crimson Tide have a tough early matchup with the Aggies this morning. Regardless of the outcome, the Gamecocks must keep their foot on the gas here. This is an ideal matchup for them as they took down the Tigers, straight up in the last two meetings, and against the spread in the last three. Speaking of LSU, they have dropped six of their last seven straight up, and to be honest with you, they lose a little luster when on the road. They sport a dismal, 1-6 record this year as a guest. Meanwhile, South Carolina is a monster team. Overall, they possess a 21-4 mark, and that home this season, they are near flawless, at 13-1. As a matter of fact, following their only loss on their home floor back in mid-January at the hands of Georgia, the team has now rattled off four consecutive wins over the likes of Kentucky, Missouri, Mississippi, and Vanderbilt, missing four ATS covers by just a half-point. This team does not like losing. Nor do they take a defeat lightly. They come off a road loss, and embarrassing defeat at the hands of Auburn, 101-61. I expect this team to bounce back here with a vengeance and redeem themselves. They possess a frustrating defense that will completely shut down their opponent’s offense. Not only are they stifling, yielding just 65.4 points per game, but there are one of the best in the nation on the defensive glass. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you. |
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02-17-24 | Florida -3.5 v. Georgia | 88-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Florida Gators. Early Winner. Game 619 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. To say the Gators have had their way in this series, would be an understatement. They have taken nine consecutive meetings over the Bulldogs, which includes this season’s, only matchup at the end of January in overtime at home, 102-98. They come in to today's contest winning six of their last seven straight up and covering five of those seven. They may not have the most impressive away record, however, they have covered on the road lately, getting us bettors paid ATS in their last three games played as a visitor. This is a team that's just a few wins away from contending in the SEC. They possess a 7-4 conference mark behind an explosive offense, which ranks 11th in scoring accounting for 84.6 points per game and top the nation on the offensive glass, snagging over 41.4 boards per game. I just don't see Georgia contending here. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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02-16-24 | VCU -4.5 v. St. Louis | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Virginia Commonwealth Rams. A 10 Annihilator. Game 877. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. At 8-3 in conference play and possessing an overall, 16-8 record, Virginia Commonwealth is playing some very good basketball. On the other hand, St. Louis is not. They are just 9-15 overall, which does include an ugly, 2-9 conference mark. The Rams have dominated the Billikens, taking four in a row, both straight up and against the spread, which includes a mid-January, 85-61 thumping at home. VCU enters this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering eight of their last nine. Oh, by the way they are money on the road as well, going 4-1 both SU and ATS as a true road guest this season. Their defense is one of the best in college basketball, particularly at defending the arc, which is the only bright spot for the St. Louis offense. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-16-24 | Niagara +7 v. Fairfield | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Niagara Purple Eagles. Under the Radar winner. Game 879. My friends, as much as we want sportsbetting to be entertaining, sportsbetting is about making money. And one thing Niagara does is make money for people that back them on the road, where they have covered nine consecutive outings. Not only that, but they come into this matchup winning and covering the last three meetings with Fairfield. This doesn't include a mid-January, 96-72 beat down at home. They come in into today's contest winning and covering seven of their last 10 outings. Meanwhile, Fairfield is also running a little hot. They won three in a row and six of the last eight straight up. However, they are absolute pointspread poison, failing to cover six of the last night overall contests. While they are both very similar statistically in points scored, points allowed, and on the boards, the Purple Eagles are much more accurate overall, and from downtown. I just think this is way too many points. Take the underdog here. Thank you. |
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02-15-24 | Warriors -125 v. Jazz | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors on the ML. Slam Dunk. Game 543. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. The Golden State Warriors were struggling for a quite a while in the first half of this basketball campaign. However, momentum is a big part of going into All-Star break. And right now, they're one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning and covering seven of their last nine outings. They are over .500 at 26-25. and want to keep their food on the gas here for sure. Meanwhile, Utah, which is a talented team, is starting to show signs of fatigue. They have dropped six of their last eight, both straight up against the number. This does include a loss at home just a few days ago to this very opponent, 129-107. The Warriors have taken eight of the last 10 meetings with the Jazz straight up and nine of the last 10 against the spread. Golden State knows what it means to go into the break with some momentum. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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02-15-24 | Panthers -148 v. Sabres | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Florida Panthers on the ML. Slapshot. Game 37. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. Florida is playing some great hockey and enter this matchup winning seven of their last eight, which includes all four road games during that span. They've dominated Buffalo, taking seven of the last eight matchups, going back to 2021. Speaking of the Sabres, they have dropped three straight home games. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-15-24 | SMU -142 v. Tulane | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs on the ML. Best Bet Play. Game 733. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. SMU took the first meeting with Tulane at home, exactly 2 weeks ago, 80–76. The Mustangs are starting to roll, winning four in a row and seven of their last nine straight up. They are currently tied for third place in the AAC at 8-3. Meanwhile Tulane has struggled in conference play, sporting a dismal, 4-7 record against AAC opponents. They've also struggled overall, winning just three of their last 10 SU. In the first meeting, SMU dominated the boards, 49-32. I don't see this matchup being any different. Especially because the Mustang defense is ferocious, ranking 20th in the nation, and allowing a mere, 64.6 points per game. Take SMU. Thank you. |
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02-14-24 | Southern Illinois +3.5 v. Belmont | 68-82 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
SIU Salukis. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 687. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Southern Illinois is playing some very good basketball, and have had their way with Belmont, winning and covering the last two meetings. The most recent matchup, back in the beginning of January, they prevailed, 73-63. They possess a monster defense, and are one of the best in the nation defending from beyond the arc. The Bruins offense lives and dies by their three-point success. Oh, by the way, SIU it's also one of the best in college basketball on the defensive boards. So, I don't see Belmont getting too many second chance opportunities. Take the Salukis. Thank you. |
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02-14-24 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -3.5 | 69-59 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Richmond Spiders. A-10 Annihilator. Game 662. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Spiders possess the best overall record in the Atlantic 10 Conference and are a perfect, 12-0 at home this season. They face a Minutemen opponent that has been struggling on the road, at 1-5. To say Richmond has had their way in this rivalry, would be an understatement. They have taken eight of the last 10 meetings straight up and seven of those 10 against the spread. The Spiders possess a ferocious and frustrating defense that will slow down their opponents offense this evening. Take the Home team. Thank you. |
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02-14-24 | St Bonaventure -3.5 v. Fordham | 85-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure. Crusher Play. Game 667. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Saint Bonaventure matches up very well with Fordham. I also see them coming into this matchup seeking a little vengeance. The Rams have taken the last three meetings against the Bonnies, both straight up against the spread, which includes a mid-January, 80-74 victory on the road. Since then, Fordham has struggled quite a bit, while St. Bonaventure has been money to us, sportsbettors, covering four of their last five. The Rams are just 2-5 straight up and against the spread since that matchup back in January. The Bonnies are much stronger on the defensive side of the ball and significantly better from the free throw line. Oh, by the way, Fordham has failed to cover their last five games played at home. Take St, Bonaventure. Thank you. |
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02-14-24 | Xavier +2.5 v. Seton Hall | 70-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Xavier Musketeers. Big East Blockbuster. Game 671. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Xavier may not be the best road team, sporting a 2-5 away record this season. But they have covered four of their last five games played as a visitor. They've also had their way with Seton Hall, taking three matchups in a row, straight up, and covering the last two, which does include this season’s only matchup, back at the end of December at home, 74-54. The Musketeers, match up very well with the Pirates. By the way, despite Seaton Hall owning a slightly better Conference record, they are just 2-4 SU their last six overall outings and 1-5 ATS in those outings. I see the visitor here coming in with some confidence, knowing they have had their way in this series. The wrong team is favored here. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 3 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 * Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170 Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170 Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120 10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 * 11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money 12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 ** 13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 ** |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 51 m | Show |
Over. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol. While, both defenses have consistently been two of the best in the NFL, I feel that both offenses can and will exploit their opponents’ defensive units here. Both offensive units have amazing receivers and great ground games as well. Mind you, a lot of people out there think the under is going to be a big play. But I think you're going to see two smart coaches with two smart quarterbacks commanding two very successful offensive units. Defense will probably win the game in the end. But only after a lot of scoring. Just FYI, the 49ers have played to 10 overs, eight unders, and one push. While the Chiefs have played to mostly unders this season, playing in the Super Bowl is a whole different monster. I see both teams scoring quite a bit consistently throughout the game. Take the over. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 |
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02-10-24 | St. Mary's -18 v. Portland | 76-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Saint Mary's. Game 813. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Not only are St. Mary's a perfect, 10-0 in Conference play, they have won 11 in a row, en route to an overall record of 19-6. Oh, by the way, they are also perfect as a guest, sporting a 7-0 record. They are shredding all opponents. This does include taking 10 consecutive meetings with Portland straight up, and covering, six of the 10, riding a five-game ATS win streak. By the way, they've never been less than a double-digit favorite in this matchup over those 10 meetings. The Pilots are in real trouble here. And I don't see why this outcome will be any different than the mid-January, 95-52 beat down at the hands of the Gaels. Portland is a little banged up, and very overmatched. Their lackluster offense will not be able to put up too many points against the nation’s third-ranked scoring defense, which also tops all of college basketball on the defensive boards. Take St. Mary's. Thank you. |
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02-10-24 | Baylor +8 v. Kansas | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Baylor. Game 769. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. We all know how good the Jayhawks are historically at the Allen Fieldhouse. This season again, they are perfect at 12-0 at home. However, I think we can all agree that this team isn't the same Kansas squad we are used to seeing. While Baylor is just 2-2 SU on the road this season, they are playing great basketball, riding a three-game SU win streak, and covering three of their last four as a guest. The Bears possess an offense that can score on any team in the country, averaging over 83.7 points per game. They are also monsters on both ends of the court on the boards. However, I do think their third-ranked three-point, shooting "O" will be the difference-maker here. This game is going to be a lot closer than the pointspread. Take the ‘dog here. Thank you. |
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02-10-24 | Auburn v. Florida +2 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida. Game 692. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Auburn might be tied with South Carolina and Alabama at 8-2 in conference play. However, this is a huge situation spot for them. The Tigers have won and covered three in a row and eight of their last 10. But Florida comes in here following a heartbreaking, one-point loss on the road at Texas A&M, following a four-game win streak, in which they covered three of four. They also had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this contest. By the way, the Gators have taken six of the last 10 meetings in this series, straight up, and eight of the last 10 against the spread. This includes all four matchups at home. Take the Gators. Thank you. |
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02-10-24 | Connecticut v. Georgetown +16.5 | 89-64 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Georgetown. Game 606. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Guys, I am well aware these two teams are at opposite ends of the Big East. The Huskies sit atop the conference at 11-1 and possess an overall record of 21-2. The Hoyas are next to last in the Big East at 1-10 and own an overall mark of 8-14. However, this is not about wins and losses, this is about covering the number. And one thing Georgetown does against Connecticut, is cover the number. They have covered four consecutive meetings in this conference rivalry. They enter this matchup having covered five of their last seven outings. Do I think they're going to win this game outright…absolutely not. However, this is way too many points to give a very pesky underdog. Take the Hoyas. Thank you. |
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02-10-24 | Clemson v. Syracuse +4.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Syracuse. Game 610. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Giving Syracuse points at home is a big mistake. The Orange are a very respectable, 11-1 when playing at the JMA Wireless Dome this season. These two teams play each other very competitively. I feel they catch the Tigers at the right time. Clemson is coming off a big upset on the road at North Carolina. I see a serious letdown situation for the team. Take the home ‘dog here. Thank you. |
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02-10-24 | Alabama -5.5 v. LSU | 109-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Alabama. Game, 611. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Losing sole possession of first place in the SEC does not sit well with the Crimson Tide. They are now in a three-way tie with the Gamecocks and the Tigers at 8-2 in conference play. I look for them to bounce back here with a vengeance against a team they have dominated. They have taken eight of the last nine meeting straight up over LSU, including a late-January, 109-88 blowout at home. There's no reason to think that this game will be any different. Roll tide. Thank you. |
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02-09-24 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Kings | 106-135 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk Play. Game 541. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. For a team that won the NBA Championship last season, and is currently tied for first place in the Western Conference, at 36-16, the Denver Nuggets aren't getting too much respect, are they? Trust me when I tell you, it's not sitting well with the team. Granted, the Sacramento Kings are very respectable, 29-21 overall this season. And I will admit, are a formidable foe. I know they are playing at home. But I still don't see them being favored here. As of posting this play, they are favored by one-point. I have the other side a favorite of 2.5 points. Having said that, I am aware the Nuggets played last night and took down the Lakers on the road, 114-106. It marked the third consecutive win and their eighth in their last 10 outings. They have been playing excellent on the road. And if you're worried about Denver playing on back-to-back days, don't be. They are money on the second of back-to-back games. Meanwhile, Sacramento dropped their last two outings. They got crushed four nights ago on the road in Cleveland, 136-110. They then followed that game up two days ago at home, losing to the sad-sack, Detroit Pistons, 133-120. Normally I would look to play a team to bounce back after an embarrassing defeat like the Kings suffered. But in their only meeting this season, back at the beginning of December, Sacramento took down Denver at home, 123-117. I see revenge as a motivation for the visitor here. While the Kings possess an explosive scoring offense, they leave a lot to be desired on the defensive side of the court. This does not bode well as Denver is superior on both ends of the court on the glass, and possess the NBA's fourth-ranked scoring defense. Once again, they say revenge is a dish best served cold, and I see the Nuggets coming in here with vengeance in their hearts. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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02-08-24 | Cavs -5.5 v. Nets | 118-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. EC GOW. Game 521. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Cleveland is playing some amazing basketball. They sit atop the Central Division at 33-16, which is good enough for them to have the second-best record in the Eastern Conference. They are rolling, winning seven in a row and 15 of their last 16 straight up covering, 11 of those 16 outings. They have dominated Brooklyn, taking the last four meetings in a row SU, which includes both this season. The Nets are in trouble. Not only are they banged up and depleted, but they are really struggling at 20-30. They have lost and fail to cover three consecutive games played at the Barclays Center. I just don't see their lackluster offense doing anything against the very frustrating, third-ranked defense of the Cavaliers here. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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02-08-24 | Warriors +6.5 v. Pacers | 131-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Play. Game 515. 4:10 PM PST/710 PM EST. Golden State is in a very uncharacteristic situation right now. They sit in last place in the Pacific Division with a record of 23-25. Overall, they are 11th in the Western Conference. If they are going to make a serious run at the postseason, they must turn the corner now. And believe it or not, they are starting to stride. The Warriors have won four of their last five, both straight up and against the spread which includes three of four during their current road trip. While the Pacers are a respectable, 29-23, they are showing some signs of inconsistency. They've only covered four of their last 10 overall games and have failed to cover three straight at home. Both teams can score a ton of points. But the Indiana defense has been absolutely atrocious, allowing over 122.5 points per game and 50.2% shooting from the field. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. But much of their offensive success relies upon their ability to shoot from beyond the arc. And facing a Golden State opponent, which ranks in the top 10 defending the three, is going to be very frustrating here. This is way too many points. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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02-06-24 | Thunder -138 v. Jazz | 117-124 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Thunder. Late Bailout. Game 581. 6:10 PM PST. Very quietly, the Thunder have taken over the Western Conference, sharing the number one spot with the Timberwolves, at 35-15. They enter tonight's matchup with confidence, knowing they have won and covered five straight meetings with the Jazz, including both this season. I am well aware that this morning’s injury report has a slew of OKC's players listed as questionable. But it looks like their nucleus are all healthy. Having said that, I just don't see Utah competing in this matchup. In every major category, the Thunders offense ranks in the top-five, which does not bode well for the Jazz, which possess a defense that has become a league doormat. Lay the short price with the visitor. Thank you. |
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02-06-24 | Boise State +5.5 v. Colorado State | 62-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
BSU. MWC MM. Game 649. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Boise State has a real opportunity to take hold of the Mountain West Conference with a victory here tonight. They are currently tied for first place with Utah State at 7-2 in conference play. Utah State is playing Nevada this evening with the same start time. No matter what, the Broncos must keep their foot on the gas here. They have dominated the Rams, taking the last three meetings in a row straight up, and covering two of the three, missing all three ATS wins by just a half-point. This is a team that does not falter when traveling, as they are 4-1 straight up on the road this season. So, I feel giving them points. Here is a mistake. While Colorado State is a good team, I don't see this would be any different of an outcome than the 65-58 win Boise State just had against them at home back on January 9. The Broncos possess a frustrating defense and are far superior on the boards. Oh, by the way, they're also monsters at defending “the 3”, an area of which CSU relies upon offensively. Take BSU. Thank you. |
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02-06-24 | Magic +3 v. Heat | 95-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Magic. SD play. Game 577. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. I feel the line is way off here. Miami, despite being at home, should not be this high of a favorite. I actually feel the line should be at least a “Pick ‘em” or maybe Orlando -1.0. I understand that each team has won and covered a meeting in this series this season at home. But Orlando comes in here red-hot, winning three in a row and four of their last five straight up, while covering their last five straight. Miami is a train wreck. They are the epitome of inconsistency. Moreover, they are a little bit banged up and depleted on their bench. I see their starters getting tired, especially come the second half. Take the points with the underdog. Thank you. |
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02-06-24 | VCU -3.5 v. Fordham | 75-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
VCU. A 10 GOM. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. VCU will take this opportunity against a lesser opponent, to notch another conference victory. This team sits in third place in the Atlantic 10 at 6-3 in conference play. They have dominated Fordham, taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 straight up. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning and covering six of their last seven overall outings. Meanwhile, their opponent just doesn't have the personnel to contend in this matchup. Fordham, already struggling offensively, is in for very long night here facing one of college basketball's most frustrating defenses. Take VCU. Thank you. |
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02-04-24 | Blazers +14 v. Nuggets | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Blazers. Late Bailout. Game 557. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. There is no question that Portland isn't a very good team, while Denver is. However, this isn't about wins and losses. This is about covering the number. The Nuggets took down the Blazers just a few days ago, 120-108 on their home floor. However, they failed to cover the big number. And yet there's another big number here tonight. I want you to know Portland enters this matchup covering seven of their last 10 overall, which does include three of four games as a double-digit underdog. On the other hand, Denver is once again being overvalued. This is a team that has failed to cover three straight as a double-digit favorite. As a matter of fact, my friends, they've only covered seven of their last 10 overall games. As I mentioned earlier, they are significantly overvalued. Take the points with the ‘dog and take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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02-04-24 | Clippers -4 v. Heat | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Clippers. Slam Dunk. Game 545. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. My friends, we all know how good Jimmy Butler is. And yes, the Heat have won and covered their last two outings. Let's not forget this team overall, is not great. Their supporting cast has just not stepped up when they need to. Prior to the last two games, this team was on a seven-game straight up losing streak, failing to cover eight in a row. Meanwhile, the Clippers are a solid team, folks. They won eight of their last 10 straight up and seven of those ten against the number. They took down Miami 121-104 on January 1 at home. And my opinion this line is very short. I just don't see the lackluster, Heat offense competing on the scoreboard with the top-10 ranked, explosive offense of the Clippers. To make matters worse, on the opposite end of the court, Los Angeles ranks the top-10 in every major category. I just don't see Miami grabbing any rebounds, let alone putting up a fight. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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02-04-24 | Providence +4.5 v. Villanova | 50-68 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Providence. Best Bet. Game 885. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. Very simply, the line is way off here. There is no way the Wildcats should be favorite here, let alone this much of a favorite. The Friars took both of last season’s meeting straight up, and have covered three in a row against their conference rival. Following a three-game win streak they fell short less than a week ago on the road at the Huskies. On the other hand, Villanova is absolutely horrible, dropping six of their last seven straight up, including five in a row, and failing to cover six of their last eight. I just don't see this team being a favorite here. Maybe it's because they're playing at home. But they're really no bargain at 6-4 at the Wells Fargo Center this season. Providence possesses the best player on the court tonight in guard, Devin Carter. The floor leader is averaging over 18.7 points per game and 8.1 rebounds per game. Not only that, though but their defense is absolutely ferocious allowing your 66.5 points per game less than 40% shooting from the floor. At both ends of the court they outclass the home team. Take the Friars. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Middle Tennessee v. Western Kentucky -6 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Late Bail Out. Game 772. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. There is no question that the line of this game is off. In all sincerity, it should be at least double-digits. Middle Tennessee is winless on the road, while Western Kentucky is 9-1 at home. The Hilltoppers possess an explosive offense, averaging over 80.4 points per game and our monsters on the glass, snagging over 36.6 rebounds per game on the offensive boards. While the Raiders have a decent defense, offensively, they are just deplorable. They will not be able to keep pace on the scoreboard. Take Western Kentucky. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Oregon State +10 v. USC | Top | 54-82 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Oregon State Beavers. Pac 12 GOM. Game 767. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Of course, I am aware Oregon State has not won a game yet on the road at 0-5 this season. However, USC isn’t much better. First of all, the Trojans possess the conferences worst record at 2-8 Pac-12 action. They are also just 5-5 straight up at home this season. They enter today's contest on a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover their last three consecutive outings. The Beavers have won the last two meetings with the Trojans SU, and have covered five consecutive matchups. This is just way too many points to give in a rivalry between two teams that play each other very closely, know each other very well, and dislike each other very much. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Tulsa +17.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 70-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Tulsa Golden Hurricanes. Shocker GOM. Game 749. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. With all respect to the AAC’s top team, the Florida Atlantic Owls, they are point spread poison of late, covering just one game since the end of December. That's right, they are on an 1-8 ATS cold streak. While they are a very good team, they just do not cover the spread. Meanwhile, the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes have won and cover three of their last four games entering this matchup. This is way too many points. Take the visitor here. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Western Illinois -4 v. SE Missouri State | 76-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Illinois. Under the Radar GOM. Game 713. 1:45 PM PST/4:45 PM EST. The Ohio Valley Conference is definitely a lesser conference. But guess what? Western Illinois is a powerhouse in it. The Leathernecks are in second place in the Conference at 7-2 and own an overall record of 14-8. They face one of the worst teams in the OVC in SE Missouri State. The Redhawks are 2-7 in conference play and an ugly, 7-15 overall. Western Illinois took an early-January meeting at home, 68-61. They enter this matchup playing some great basketball, and on both sides of the court are far superior. Oh, by the way, they are monsters on the boards. They will dominate the glass and dominate Southeast Missouri State here. Take WIU. Thank you. |
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02-03-24 | Connecticut -150 v. St. John's | 77-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Connecticut Huskies on the ML. Morning Coffee Money Maker. Game 607. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The top-ranked UConn Huskies are rolling. They own the Big East’s best record at 9-1, and an overall record of 19-2. They have won nine consecutive games in which they are 6-3 against the spread. They are facing a St. John's Red Storm opponent here they certainly do not like. And they are catching them at the right time. The Red Storm are 5-5 in conference play, with an overall mark of 13-8. The team is truly struggling for the first time in this regular season. They have dropped four of their last five straight up, and four of their last six against the number. Mind you, a couple of those losses are against teams they should've definitely beaten on paper. The Huskies took them down in the earlier meeting back at the end of December at home, 69-65. This is a short price to lay for UConn, as they certainly do not want to take surprise defeat here, and drop from the No. 1 ranking. With five double-digit scores, an explosive offense, and one of the best defenses in college basketball, I look for the Huskies to flex their muscles here. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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01-31-24 | Kings +1.5 v. Heat | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings. Slam Dunk play. Game 571. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Maybe it's because they made it to the NBA finals last year that so many people are shocked at how the Miami Heat are struggling right now. They currently ride the longest active losing streak in the NBA of seven games. They've failed to cover eight in a row. Oh, by the way. surging at the moment, are the Sacramento Kings. They are on a four-game straight up winning streak, covering three of the four contests. By the way, three of those four consecutive wins (their last three) we're all played on the road. They're playing very well as a visitor, going 13-10 away from home this season. This is a team that is relatively healthy and can score points with the best of them. That's right, they average over 118.4 points per game, which does not bode well for the Heat which only average 110.4 points per game. While Miami has a decent defense, they just can't compensate for their lack of offense. Take Sacramento. Thank you. |
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01-31-24 | Richmond -130 v. Fordham | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Richmond Spiders on the moneyline. NCAAB January Top Release. Game 691. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I have the line in this game between -5.0 and -7.0 for the visitor. They sit at top the Atlantic 10 at a perfect, 7-0 in conference play, and an overall 15-5 on the campaign. They have won 10 in a row Straight up, covering nine of those 10. And have had their way in this rivalry. Richmond has taken five in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings over Fordham. The Rams are a dismal, 9-11, which does include a 3-4 mark in A 10 play, and are on a 1-3 cold streak, both SU and ATS. The best player on the floor is guard, Jordan King, who averages over 19.0 points per game. But it will be the Spiders defense that will shine here. They rank 34th in the nation, allowing just 64.9 points per game and 12th in college basketball in field goal percentage allowed. They will frustrate their opponent here tonight and win big. Take Richmond on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-31-24 | South Florida +2.5 v. East Carolina | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
South Florida Bulls. AAC Game of the Week. Game 688. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, the line is way off here. In every way, on both sides of the court, the Bulls outclass the Pirates. They enter this matchup winning and covering five in a row and sit in third place in the conference at 6-1 in AAC play. They are relatively healthy, possess three double-digit, scorers, and have taken six of the last 10 meetings in this series. I just don't see ECU and their very lackluster offense keeping pace on the scoreboard in this match up. Take USF. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Houston -5 v. Texas | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
*BIG GAME WINNER* HOUSTON COUGARS/TEXAS LONGHORNS WINNER. Houston Cougars. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST. The Cougars aren't just a top-10 ranked team. They've also been money to us, bettors, covering 11 of their last 16 outings. They rank in the top-25 in both offensive and defensive rebounds, and possess the top defense in the nation. Let's face it, they only allow 51.9 points per game on 35.1% shooting from the floor and 28.3% shooting from downtown. They will frustrate the Texas offense, create turnovers, and capitalize on them. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Wolves v. Thunder -132 | 107-101 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Best Bet play. Game 546. 5:10 PM PST/810 PM EST. Yes, I will admit the Timberwolves are a decent road team, at 15-10 away from home this season. However, they just can't seem to beat the Thunder. Oklahoma City has won and covered both meetings, this season (one at home and one on the road). And enter this matchup off a tough road loss at Detroit (of all teams), following a five-game straight up win streak, in which they went 4-1 against the spread. OKC is a very talented team and they are monsters at home (17–5). They will bounce back here and get back on the winning track and take down a team they have dominated this season. Take the Thunder. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Suns +3.5 v. Heat | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns. Slam Dunk Play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Following a seven-game straight up win streak, the Suns have now dropped their last two outings. What better team to face than the struggling Heat, which are riding a six-game straight up slide and have failed to cover seven in a row. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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01-29-24 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +3.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech Hokies. Game 882. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Blue Devils, they lose a little luster when they travel. They are just 3-2 on the road this season. Oh, by the way, they are also point spread poison, failing to cover their last four outings in a row and five of their last six overall. On the other hand, the Hokies are rolling, winning and covering their last three contests. They have also won and covered two of the last three meetings in this conference rivalry. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 32 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 322. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | SMU -5 v. Wichita State | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs. Revenge Game of the MONTH. Game 857. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. SMU has been dominated by Wichita State, losing seven consecutive meetings, going back to February of 2018. Last season’s two matchups were separated by a total of four-points. This season these are two very different teams. The Mustangs are 13-6, which includes a 4-2 record in conference play, while the Shockers are 8-11 and own the worst record in the AAC at 0-6. As a matter fact, Wichita state is on an eight-game straight up losing streak and have only covered one of their last 10 outings. They are points spread poison. SMU outclasses their opponent here. They also possess a top-10 defense in most major categories. They're going to frustrate the Shockers and force some real turnover issues. Oh, by the way, they are also far superior at both end of the court on the boards. Lay the short price here with the Mustangs. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | TCU v. Baylor -4.5 | 105-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. BIG 12 BB. Game 712. 1;00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Uncharacteristic for the Bears, but they are riding a two-game losing streak. There is an enormous amount of urgency for them to bounce back here and get back on track. While the Horned Frogs are no pushover, they have not done well in this conference rivalry, dropping six of the last eight straight up, and only covering two of the last nine matchups. Baylor is a perfect 10-0 at the Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion this season. I see them bouncing back here big time at home and getting back on track in conference play. Take the Bears. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Miami-FL | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Pitt Panthers. ACC Annihilator. Game 667. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. While Miami has had their way in this conference rivalry over the years, and do enter this matchup scoring almost 81.9 points per game, they have had problems dealing with pesky defenses. And Pittsburgh has just that, a very pesky defense that is yielding just 66.6 points per game. The Hurricanes rely heavily upon their outside shooting. But the Panthers possess one of the best three-point shooting defenses in college basketball. To add to our reasoning, Pitt are monsters are the offensive glass, and will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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01-27-24 | Nebraska +5.5 v. Maryland | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Early winner. Game 603. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST This is way too many points to go to Nebraska team, which took down Maryland last year in overtime. And enters this matchup on back-to-back wins over Northwestern and Ohio State. With the conference’s top-team, the Badgers on deck, the Cornhuskers have to get in sync in this matchup before that matchup. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Boise State -5.5 v. Fresno State | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos. MWC Money Maker. Game 661. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. These two conference rivals enter this matchup on opposite side of the spectrum. Just outside the bubble of the top-25 rankings, Boise State is 13-5 overall, which does include a 4-1 record in the Mountain West. They are currently in second place, one-game behind Utah State. They are red-hot, winning eight of their last 10 straight up, and going 7-2 against the spread the last nine. Meanwhile, Fresno State is struggling. They have dropped six of their last eight straight up, failing to cover seven of their last nine. They own an overall record of 8-9, and are just 5-11-1 against the spread this season. They are near the bottom of the barrel in the MWC, at 1-4 in conference play. To make matters worse, the Broncos have had their way with the Bulldogs, taking five of the last six straight up, and five of the less seven against the spread, this includes three consecutive SU victories in this rivalry. The team is healthy, motivated, and certainly are a step up in class for Fresno State. I believe Boise State will dominate at both ends of the court both, down low and on the glass. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Knicks -4 v. Nets | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Slam Dunk Play. Game 519. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. New York is one of the season’s most pleasant surprises. The Knicks currently sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, at 26-17. On the other hand, to say Brooklyn has been disappointing, would be an understatement. They sit in 11th place in the East, at 17-25. The Knicks have dominated the Nets, winning and covering all three meetings just in the last 11 months. They also enter tonight's matchup rolling, winning nine of their last 11 SU, and eight of those 11 ATS. They've had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare for tonight's crosstown matchup. Brooklyn is on a 4-15 straight up run, in which they have only covered three of those 19 contests. They are a little more banged up, and in my opinion, are inferior at both ends of the court. Speaking of both ends of the court, look for the Knicks to dominate the boards, as they rank third on the offensive glass and second on the defensive glass. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-23-24 | Kentucky -4.5 v. South Carolina | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. SEC Smash Play. Game 627. 4:00 PM PST should 7:00 PM EST. The new rankings just came out, and the Wildcats are sitting in sixth nationally. They are tied for second place in the conference at 4-1, along with the Volunteers and the Crimson Tide. Of course, the Tigers of Auburn are a perfect 5-0 in SEC action. The Gamecocks are a respectable, 3-2 in conference play so far. And are an equally respectable, 15-3 overall. Kentucky (11-6 overall) has dominated South Carolina, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those 10 matchups. They enter today's contest red-hot, winning eight of their last nine straight up, and covering seven of those nine against the spread. Meanwhile the home team here, since starting to step up in class, has fallen a bit short, splitting their last four games, both SU and ATS. This is a big game for the Wildcats. And one thing they know how to do is prepare for a big game matchup. I look for them to come out and flex their muscles and show the rest of the conference exactly what they are made of. By the way, they lead the nation in scoring and are in the top-10 in both, field goal percentage overall and three-point percentage. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Washington State -130 v. California | 75-81 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars on the moneyline. Best Bet play. Game 745. 2:00 PM PST 5:00 PM EST. The line is way off here, my friends. For starters, the Cougars have had their way with the Golden Bears, taking eight consecutive meetings, straight up. The lowest margin of victory of those eight wins was four points. They have dominated their conference rival. Cal enters this matchup just 6-12 overall, which does include a 2-5 Pac 12 record. I know that in some of these conferences, home court advantage plays a part. But this team is just 5-5 at the Haas Pavilion this season. Washington State is on a three-game win and cover streak, which does include two straight up victories as a visitor on the road at USC and Stanford. Sandwiched in between those two wins was a very solid home victory over the very respected, Arizona. Defensively, I look for the Cougars to stifle the very lackluster, Golden Bears offense. I see the visitor dominating the boards at both end of the court and truly frustrating the home team here. Just to err on the side of caution, because I don't know where this line will fall before gametime, take Washington State on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Clemson v. Florida State +2.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles. ACC Annihilator. Game 720. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. There is no denying Clemson has had their way over the last three or four years in this rivalry. They have taken five of the last seven meetings straight up, going 4-2-1 against the spread. But this season, these are two very different teams. The Tigers enter this matchup losing four of their last five, both SU and ATS, en route to an overall record of 12-5. They are just 2-4 in ACC play thus far. To be honest with you, when they hit the road, things go from bad to worse as they are just 2-3 in true road games this season. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Seminoles are rolling. They have won five in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, and are red-hot ATS, covering five consecutive games. They have played some very good opponents since the New Year started and have taken down all of them in the: Yellow Jackets, the Hokies, the Demon Deacons, the Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes. Mind you, a couple of those games that were underdog. Speaking of underdogs, I feel the wrong team is favored here. I feel this game should be a pick ‘em or even Florida State a slight one-point fav. Take the Seminoles. Thank you. |
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01-20-24 | Baylor +3 v. Texas | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Early Winner. Game 615. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. These two teams are certainly both looking for a victory here today. The ninth-ranked Baylor Bears are a monster team, my friends. They are tied with the Kansas Jayhawks, the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and the Kansas State Wildcats, atop, the conference, all at 3-1. Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns are just 1-3 in Big 12 play this season. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. The line should be closer to a pick ‘em as far as I am concerned. The Bears have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 straight up and covering seven of those 10 meetings. Following a five-game win streak, in which they went 4-1 ATS, they come off, a tough loss on the road at the Wildcats, just four days ago. Meanwhile, the Longhorns are struggling. They are on a 1-3 straight up run. And they have covered only one of their last five outings. Going back a little further until the beginning of December, they are on a 3-7 ATS cold streak. Both teams are about the same defensively. However, you must be in awe of the explosiveness of the Baylor offense which ranks 14th in the nation in both points (84.8) and field goal percentage (49.6%). That would be enough for me to side with the underdog here. However, they are also one of the best in college basketball from downtown, ranking third nationally, hitting over 40.4% from beyond the arc. I just don't see the Texas “D”, which is allowing over 33.5% from three-point land, even slowing down the sharp shooting squad here. Even further, the Bears rank 12th in the nation on the defensive glass. I don't see Longhorns getting too many second-chance opportunities. Take the underdog. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets v. Celtics -6 | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Slam Dunk play. Game 536. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. You may not realize this because it's so early in the regular season, but this game is a big matchup. Very possibly, these two teams can face each other come the NBA Finals. Trust me when I tell you, each wants to win this contest. However, there's a few things that certainly compels me to take the home team here. First of all, the Denver Nuggets, although they are very good, are 17-4 at home, but just 11-10 on the road. As a matter of fact, when it comes to covering as a visitor, their numbers aren't very impressive at all, failing to cover their last four games played as a guest. On the other hand, the Boston Celtics are 20-0 at home this season and have covered three of their last four as host. But going even further into this, the last time these two teams met was last New Year's Day, January 1, 2023 in Denver when the Nuggets bested the Celtics, 123-111. That stopped a six-game Boston straight up win streak in this rivalry. By the way, the Celtics still covered six of the last eight meetings, going back several seasons. Boston certainly is one of the most complete teams in the NBA at both ends of the court, ranking in the top-five and most major categories. They are excellent from beyond the arc, which will be a big advantage for them as Denver ranks 16th in the league at defending the “3”. Two other major factors really urge me to side with the “green and white” here. First, they are the best in basketball on the offensive glass, which means they're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. And secondly, they are significantly stronger from the free-throw line. You can expect this game to get very physical. The Celtics hit over 80.6% from the line, while the Nuggets are just 75.2% from the line. This might be a lot of points, but it doesn't scare me. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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01-18-24 | Oregon +6.5 v. Colorado | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 839. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. Even with the absence of one of their big men (out since November), I still don't see the Pac 12's top team, the only undefeated team in the conference, getting this many points here. I know Colorado is a decent team. However, they’ve dropped three of their last four straight up and five of their last six against the spread. I know they are a lot better at home than they are on the road. But Oregon is no slouch when playing visitors, themselves. The Ducks are 3-0 in true road games this season. And they are riding an amazing, six-game win streak, in which they have played and beaten some solid opposition. I know the Buffaloes are pretty good at both ends of the court. But they aren't good enough to lay this many points against a team which doesn't want to lose a game in Pac 12 play. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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01-18-24 | Illinois -145 v. Michigan | 88-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Illinois Fighting Illini on the moneyline. BIG TEN BLOCKBUSTER. Game 799. 5:30 PM PST. The No. 14th ranked Illinois Fighting Illini has dominated the Michigan Wolverines, winning five in a row straight up, and just a point away from covering all five of those matchups. They come into this matchup following their worst defeat of the season, a 76-67 loss at home against the Maryland Terrapins, a team in which they were favored by nine-points. Prior to that, the last time they failed to cover was back in mid-November. They have been money. They also don't like losing conference matchups. I expect them to bounce back with the authority today and make a statement against an opponent they really don't like. Speaking of Michigan, this is a team that's just 7-10 SU, only covering six of their 17 outings this season. Let's face it, they got a win over Ohio State in their last contest a few days back. That was their first win since mid-December and their first cover since the second week of December. They just don't match up well here. This game is going to get ugly. But just to err on the side of caution, take Illinois on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-16-24 | Baylor +1.5 v. Kansas State | 64-68 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Big 12 Money Maker. Game 639. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I am aware of the fact Kansas State won and covered both of last year's meetings in this rivalry. However, prior to that Baylor had taken seven in a row. The Bears enter this matchup with a top-10 ranking (ninth), winning five in a row straight up, and covering four of those five. The Wildcats are a good team, don't get me wrong. And they are a respectable 2-1 in conference play. However, the Bears are a perfect 3-0 against Big 12 opponents this season. And let's face it, they want to stay undefeated in the conference. They are running hot, are relatively healthy, own a top-10 scoring offense, and are the best squad in the nation from beyond the arc. I believe that's where this game will be won. Oh, by the way, they are also monsters on the defensive glass. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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01-16-24 | Richmond +4.5 v. Duquesne | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Richmond Spiders. Best Bet. Game 611. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Guys, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Spiders favored on all of my power ratings by at least one-point. They come in here hotter, winning six in a row straight up and covering five of those six. And they have had the Dukes number, for sure. Richmond has taken eight of the last 10 meetings in this conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those 10 meetings. This team is playing very good basketball. Meanwhile, Duquesne is riding a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. As a matter fact, they've been point spread poison of late, covering just once since mid-November, riding a 1-8 no cover streak. The Spiders possess a frustrating defense and shoot lights out from downtown. Those two factors will be the difference. Take Richmond. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Bulls v. Cavs -3.5 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers. Slam Dunk. Game 560. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Cleveland comes into tonight's matchup, both with momentum and well rested. The Cavaliers have won their last four games, covering three of the four. They will have fresh legs to boot, having not taken the floor since January 11. Granted, Chicago has won four of their last five, straight up. But they have failed to cover their last few games. And as we all know the Bulls lose a little something when they travel. They are just 6-12 on the road this season, and have only covered one of their last four as a guest. To say Cleveland has had their way in this rivalry would be an understatement. They have taken five in a row, both straight up and against the spread over Chicago. This does include a 109-95 win and cover on the road in the only meeting this season, back at the end of December. The Bulls certainly have some talent. But facing a Cavaliers team on the road, that is well rested, riding a win streak, and that has had their number will be fatal for the team. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET. Game 148. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Alabama +2.5 v. Mississippi State | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. SEC Slam Dunk. Game 779. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I feel Mississippi State is going to come in here a little overconfident following their first victory over a top-five opponent since 2002. They took down the fifth-ranked Tennessee team the other night. Granted, this team is playing some good basketball, at 12-3 overall. But Alabama is a pretty darn good team too. And giving them points, I believe as a mistake. The Crimson Tide are 10-5 and are riding a four-game win streak, in which they went 3-1 against the spread. They have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 SU. The Bulldogs have a good defense, no doubt about that. But the Crimson Tides offense is explosive, averaging over 90.6 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the floor and 39.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Too much firepower here on the visitor. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Saturday Wild Card Best Bet. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Houston -3.5 v. TCU | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars. Big 12 MONEY MAKER. Game 737. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. Facing a Houston team, following their first loss of the campaign will prove to be fatal for the undermanned and outclassed TCU squad. I know the Horned Frogs are 8-0 straight up at home this season. But facing the No. 1defense in college basketball is going to be an impossible task for the home team here. That's right, the Cougars allow just 50.3 points per game on 34.6% shooting from the floor. I just don't see TCU putting up too many points. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Texas A&M | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. Odds Makers Mistake Play. Game 657. 11;00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. The wrong team is favored here. I have the Wildcats a slight favorite of -1.5. The team will record its seventh consecutive victory along with its seventh consecutive cover here. This team is on fire, and they've had the Aggies number, taking eight of the last nine straight pp covering six of those nine meetings. Speaking of Texas A&M, they are ice cold, dropping two in a row, and four of their last six straight up, failing to cover five of those last six. I just don't see Texas A&M keeping pace on the scoreboard offensively with the second-ranked scoring offense in college basketball. Take Kentucky. Thank you. |
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01-12-24 | Minnesota +5 v. Indiana | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers. Big Ten Blockbuster. Game 867. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Minnesota is on fire, winning seven consecutive games straight up and covering their last nine. They are in second place in the conference, tied with Northwestern and Illinois at 3-1. Overall, this team is a very respectable, 12-3. Granted, Indiana has had their way in this rivalry, but these are two very different teams this season. The Hoosiers are just 11-5, which includes a 3-2 record in Big Ten play. At both ends of the court, I see the Golden Gophers far superior. They're averaging over 78.9 points per game, on a whopping 48.9% shooting from the floor. Defensively, they have been very stingy, allowing a mere 66.3 points per game. I also see them far better on both ends of the court on the boards. I really feel the line is off here only because the oddsmakers are giving the Hoosiers too much credit for being at home. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. National Championship Game Winner. Game 288. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Texans -125 v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Houston Texans on the Money line. NFL Consensus Game of the Week. Game 469. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. It seems as though every year during the last week of the regular season, you need graphs, charts, and diagrams to understand which teams need victories, which teams are eliminated, and which teams could certainly better their playoff situation. This game is very simple, a win and you will be in the postseason. Now there is a game being played earlier in the Jaguars/Titans matchup. If the Jaguars win, they take the division. If they lose, and the Texans win, Houston will take the division. Let me start off with something that really stuck out to me…the Texans are 7-0 ATS their last seven division road games. That is huge my friends. Quarterback, CJ Stroud has led this team to their first winning season since 2019. Now they want a playoff berth. In last week’s, 26-3 win at home against the Titans, the offense showed no signs of rust as Stroud made his return. The offensive line also looks very sharp, only allowing one sack. I see the Rookie of the Year candidate putting up some of his best numbers of the season here against a very vulnerable, Colts secondary. Indianapolis also ranks 27th in the league against the rush. That means Devin Singletary will get a lot of touches here and move the chains on the ground with his legs, opening up Stroud and the passing game. Defensively, Houston matches up well here with Indianapolis. I see a real mismatch in this contest. Oh, one more item, the Texans also have revenge as a motivator as they dropped the first meeting with the Colts back in mid-September at home. The line is moving between a -1.0 and a -1.5. So just err on the side of caution, take Houston on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-06-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Florida | 87-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. SEC Early Winner. Game 615. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Kentucky and Florida know each other very well. Trust me when I tell you they don't like each other too much either. However, the Wildcats have taken nine of the last 10 meeting straight up, covering eight of those 10 meetings, which includes four straight in both of those areas. Both squads have bounced back following early-season losses to start rolling. However, I feel Florida just isn't exactly where they want to be at this point in the season. I feel Kentucky is a little more in sync, a little deeper, and a lot hungrier. Let's not forget they also rank second in the nation from beyond the arc, hitting over 41.6% from downtown. This is a major mismatch as Florida allows over 34.1% defensively from the arc. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-05-24 | Illinois +10.5 v. Purdue | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Illinois Fighting Illini. Illinois/Purdue Winner. Game 691. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I'm not going to ruffle any feathers and say Purdue isn't deserving of their top-ranked college basketball status. This is an amazing team. And they have taken the last three meetings in this series. But Illinois is playing some very good basketball this season, at 11-2 overall, winning four in a row straight up, and nine in a row against the spread. By the way, they have covered all four games they have played away from home this season. The Fighting Illini possess a very deep roster with one of the best starting back courts in the land. They have speed, they have height, they have muscle. Obviously, the Boilermakers are a monster squad. Arguably, they have the best player in college basketball at the helm. But these two teams mirror one another statistically. They both score north of 80 points per game, while both defenses allow under 70 points per game. I do feel college basketball’s second-best offensive rebounding core of Illinois will be the difference. They're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. I just think this is way too many points. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you. |
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01-05-24 | Rider v. Quinnipiac -4 | 84-88 | Push | 0 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Quinnipiac Bobcats. Under the Radar play. Game 590. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Bobcats have dominated this conference rivalry, taking six in a row, and eight of the last nine straight up, and eight of the last 10 against the number. While both teams will be making their first appearance of the New Year here, Quinnipiac certainly comes in hotter and possessing a much better record. Overall, they are 9-4, including 1-1 in conference play. They return home to the M&T Bank Arena, where they are 5-1 this season. Rider is struggling, dropping 10 of their first 13 overall games and both contests played in the Metro Atlantic conference. They are also just 1-7 on the road this season. Granted, neither team puts up impressive numbers, but the Bobcats are certainly stronger at both ends of the court. And as expected, this game will be physical, which benefits them as well as they hit nearly 79% from the line. Take the home team here with Quinnipiac. Thank you. |
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01-04-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Michigan | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Minnesota. Michigan has certainly had their way in the series, taking eight of the last 10 straight up. However, Minnesota has covered six of those 10 meetings. And my friends, the worm has turned this season. The Golden Gophers enter this matchup with a 10-3 overall record, winning five in a row SU. Meanwhile, they are one of the best covering teams in college basketball right now, going 12-1AT. And just FYI, they've covered both of their Conference matchups thus far. On the other hand, the Wolverines are a disappointing 6-7 straight up, only covering five of their 13 outings this season. At home they are just .500, at 3-3. To make matters worse, they've only covered two of their last 10 games. Both teams possess high-powered offenses. They both average over 80 points per game. But there's no denying Minnesota's rebounding superiority. They are also a little tougher on the defensive end of the court. Giving this team this many points, especially the fact that they are a covering machine this season, is a gift. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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01-04-24 | Oregon +4.5 v. Washington | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon. I know Washington has taken the last two meetings over the last two seasons in this Conference rivalry. But prior to that, Oregon took six straight. This season these teams are on opposite sides of the Pac-12. The Ducks are tied atop the division with three other teams at 2-0 in Conference play, possessing an overall record of 10-3. The Huskies are towards the cellar at 0-2 against Pac-12 opponents, owning an overall mark of 8-5. The visitors are certainly hotter as I mentioned earlier. While Washington puts up a few more points on offense, they also are allowing a lot more points on defense. I think that's where this game will be won. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks | Top | 138-141 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML. Best Bet play. Game 535. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | St. Joe's -5.5 v. Rhode Island | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph's Hawks. Slam Dunk play. Game 671. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Hawks have taken the last two meetings in this conference rivalry over the last two seasons, both straight up and against the spread. They enter this season's matchup running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight straight up, and seven of their last nine against the spread. They have played very competitively against the likes of Kentucky. But they have won some matchups with such notables as Villanova, Temple, and Princeton. The Rams have not done so well. The only bright spot they have this season was starting to campaign off 3-0. But since then, they have dropped seven of 10 straight up, and eight of 10 against the number. On both sides of the court, St. Joe’s outclasses Rhode Island. The Rams already have trouble putting points on the board, and now they have to face a very frustrating hawks defense, that is putting up impressive numbers in every major defensive category. Take Saint Joseph’s. Thank you. |
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01-03-24 | Fordham v. George Washington -3.5 | 119-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
George Washington Revolutionaries. Atlantic 10 Annihilator. Game 676. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, in my opinion, GW should be a favorite of at least seven or eight points here. This line just doesn't make sense to me. This is a team that is tied with George Mason for the best overall record in the Conference, at 11-2. They are 9-0 at home this season. And they are riding a five-game win streak. Fordham is off to a very lackluster, 6-7 start. This is a team having trouble putting points on the board, averaging just 72.9 points per game on 41.1% shooting from the floor. To make matters even worse, they hit just 30.8% from downtown, and a dismal, 65.1% from the line. Their defense isn't that much better. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the sharpshooting, explosive offense of George Washington, which is averaging over 80.8 points per game and shoot lights out from beyond the arc, hitting over 37.3%. They are also monsters on the offensive glass, which means they will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. That would be enough for me to decide with this team at home. However, they also allow just 38.6% shooting on defense. The line is way off here. Let's make the oddsmakers pay for their mistake. Take the Revolutionaries. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 237 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 279. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -5.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Game 276. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon -18 | 6-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 278. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL). What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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12-31-23 | Rams -5.5 v. Giants | Top | 26-25 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 11 m | Show |
Play LA. Los Angeles needs victories right now. And let's be honest, this is a team that has turned it up when they needed to, winning five of their last six straight up, and five straight against the spread. Word has come down that New York is basically throwing in the towel here, as many of their starters are going to be sidelined in place of backups. The Rams need the game, while the Giants have already made January vacation reservations. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -4.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Play Dallas. Having suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, the Dallas Cowboys return home and get back on track. They are a perfect 7–0 at AT&T Stadium this season, covering six of those games. As far as Detroit goes, I think they're a very good team. However, every time they need to step up in class, they truly let us down. I'm not saying they are posers. I'm just saying they can't win in crunch time. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -4.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Play PSU. As of posting this play, by far, Penn State will be affected less significantly than Mississippi as far as opt out or transfer portals. But more than that, the Nittany Lions were hoping for a New Year's day Bowl for sure. They feel a little short-changed here because they suffered two losses. But this is a team on both sides of the ball that are loaded with playmakers, and guys that are starters, which are coming back next year. They want this game. They want this Bowl. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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12-29-23 | Clemson -4 v. Kentucky | 38-35 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Play Clemson. Despite rumors that Kentucky's early NFL draft entrants are going to play and some of Clemson’s are not, it reflects in the number still. The Tigers want and more over need this win. This is a team for more than a decade dominated college football. And yet they're just 8-4 this season. But please remember they finished strong, winning of covering their last four games. They want to win this Bowl game and finish out the year on a high note. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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