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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-29-23 | Heat +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Crash The Boards Play. Game 509. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. It’s no secret that Miami took the first three games of this series, only to drop Games 4, 5, and 6. Game 6, we did see Jimmy Butler and company come to life, playing a lot more competitively than the two previous matchups. We all know the statistics that in 150 times teams were down 3-0, never, and I mean never has a team come back to win a seven-game series. Miami doesn’t want to be the butt of all jokes my friends. I expect them to come in here very competitively, fight for every loose ball, and crash the boards like they did in the first few meetings of this round. On the other side of the spectrum, the Heat can also make history themselves. They can be only the second team in the ever to make the NBA Finals as the number eight seed. If you recall, games 1 and 2 of this Eastern Conference Finals series were played at the TD Garden and Miami won both. They have also covered 15 of their last 21 meetings played in Boston, 11 of their last 15 games played on one days rest, five of their last seven games played following a straight up loss, five of their last seven games played on the road, and 11 of their last 15 games played overall. Take the points with the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 203 | Top | 103-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Heat/Celtics OVER. Games 509/510. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I think we all get the fact that this Game 7 matchup, we will see a very competitive contest. Having said that, do we really think that the odds makers are not looking to trap us here? With a total set of 203, it is by far the lowest total set in this series. Just FYI, my friends, every single game in this series would have gone over a total set at 203. Let’s forget about the fact that five of their last six meetings between these two Eastern Conference rivals played in Boston have gone over the total. Let’s forget about the fact that 10 of Miami’s last 12 games played on the road have gone over and 16 of their last 22 overall games have gone over the total. Let’s furthermore forget about the fact that 12 of the Celtics last 17 games played on one days rest have gone over the total and 11 of their last 16 games played overall have also gone over the total. My friends, these are two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference, and moreover in the entire NBA. And yes, both play very good defensive basketball. But I think we can all agree that both teams want to win this Game 7. We are going to see the best from both squads offensively, as well as some very good input from both benches. Take the over. Thank you. |
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05-28-23 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. Double Play release. Game 915. 1:07 PM PST/4:0 7 PM EST. A lot of people out there are shocked that Houston has climbed to second place in the AL West, just three-games behind Texas. But don’t forget that is the team that was picked to run away with the Division and once again be a true American League competitor. They struggled in the first portion of this campaign. But they have turned it on recently, winning 13 of their last 16 outings. The Oakland A’s are without question the worst team in baseball. With a winning percentage of .185 and the record of 10-44, this team is horrible. They are currently on a 10-game losing streak. Two of those losses, the most recent two, were in Games 1 and 2 of this series, being outscored by Houston, 11-5. They have been dominated by the Astros, losing six straight, which does include all five meetings this season. By the way folks, only one of those games were separated by one single run. Javier and Medina are scheduled here today. The Houston right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.07 ERA on the campaign. He is also unbeaten in four starts in May, going 3-0 with a 2.52 ERA, striking out 29 batters in 25 innings pitched. The Oakland right-hander is 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA in 2023. The Astros have taken 19 of their last 26 meetings over the A’s, eight of their last nine games played following a win, 13 of their last 16 games played 0on grass, and 36 of their last 52 games played on the road. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-28-23 | Giants -126 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -126 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants. Grand Slam Play. Game 901. 11:10 AM PST/2:10 PM EST. Winners of three in a row and eight of their last 10, San Francisco is starting to heat up. They sit just 4.5-games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, in third place. To say they have dominated Milwaukee would be an understatement. This season they have faced the Brewers six times, taking five of the six contests. Speaking of Milwaukee, they still own the top-spot in the Central, but by just a half-game. They have dropped three in a row and seven of their last 10. Today’s scheduled starters are Cobb and Rea. The Giants right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA on the campaign. And in four starts in his career against the Brewers, he is 2-1 with a 0.64 ERA. The Milwaukee right-hander is just 1-3 with a 4.71 ERA in 2023. The Brewers offense, or I should say lack of offense, has been hurting this team badly. They have accounted for just two runs during this series, being outscored by us combined 23-2. San Francisco has won five of their last six games played on the road, 19 of their last 26 games played against the NL Central, and nine of their last 10 games played versus right-handed starters. Take the Giants. Thank you. |
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05-27-23 | Padres v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Under in the Padre/Yankees matchup. Grand Slam Play. Games, 967/968. 10:05 PM PST/1:05 PM EST. San Diego took game 1 of this series yesterday, 5-1. The game went under. Going back the last several years, these two teams have played the four consecutive unders. There is no question that the Padres play to a lot of unders. As a matter of fact, they lead the Major League in unders, going 16-33-2, which means 67.4% of their games go under the total. The Yankees aren’t too far behind my friends. They rank seventh in baseball, playing to the under. They are 24-28-1 in 2023, which accounts for 53.9% of their games going under the total. Neither offense is hitting the cover off the ball However, both teams certainly have good pitching staffs. They both rank in the top-10 in Team ERA. Speaking of pitching, Michael Wacha and Luis Severino are scheduled here today. The San Diego right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.58 ERA on the campaign. In 10 career appearances, which includes eight starts against the Yankees, he is 2-1 with a 3.02 ERA. Just over the last two seasons, in seven outings, which includes five starts, playing for both the Rays and the Red Sox, against the Yankees, he was 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA. The New York right-hander is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 2023. In 16 career Interleague appearances, which includes 14 starts, he is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA. He has never faced San Diego. The Padres unders are 6-0 in their last 6 Interleague games played on the road, 18-5 in their last 23 games played on the road, 22-7 in their last 29 games played versus right-handed starters, and 35-16 in their last 51 overall games played. The Yankees unders are 5-1 in their last 6 Interleague road games, 5-1 in their last six games played versus the NL West, 37-15 in their last 52 games played following a loss, and 5-2 in their last seven games played on Saturdays. Take the under. Thank you. |
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05-26-23 | Padres v. Yankees +102 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
New York Yankees. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 920. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. My friends, overall, on the campaign the Padres are just 23-27, which includes an away record of 11-12. They sit in fourth place in the NL West. This is a team certainly underachieving and struggling once again this season. With a big payroll, big names, and high expectations, this team has fallen short the last few seasons. Even this season they are once again having trouble on the road, where they have won just two of their last eight games played as a guest. They also have trouble in Interleague play, having won just one of their last five IL contests. More specifically, they cannot win when facing the American League East, winning just three of their last 10 outings against teams from the division. Guys, very simply, you cannot compare any other division in the Majors to the American League East. All five teams possess winning records. I know the Yankees have been a bit inconsistent. But they are still 30-22, sitting in third place in the most competitive division in baseball, and they are a very good home team. When playing in the Bronx, New York is 17-12 this season. Joe Musgrove gets to start on the road. The right-hander is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA this season. My friends, he comes off some very bad outings, allowing four earned runs in each of his last two turns. As a matter fact, the team has lost his last three consecutive starts. While he has never faced the Yankees, trust me when I tell you, playing in the very loud and intimidating Yankee stadium, he is going to feel the pressure immensely. Making his Major League debut, is Randy Vasquez. H will not feel nearly as much strain and will get all the love and support from the New York fans as well as a Bronx Bombers offense that fell short in their last game, only accounted for one run. Yesterday’s loss to Baltimore was their lowest run output in eight games. I expect Aaron Judge and company to jump out on Musgrove as allow Vazquez to breathe easy in his first pro appearance. New York has taking seven of their last eight meetings with San Diego played at Yankee Stadium, their last four consecutive Interleague games played, six of their last seven games played following a loss, eight of their last 10 Interleague games played at home, five of their last seven games played versus the NL West, and five of their last seven games played versus right-handed starters. The Yankee should not be an underdog here. Take New York. Thank you. |
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05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-110 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Miami Heat. Slam Dunk Top-Rated GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 549. 5:30 p.m. PST/8:30 PM EST. After taking the first three games of the Eastern Conference finals, on Wednesday, the Miami Heat were outhustled and outplayed, losing to the Boston Celtics, 116-99. Obviously, the Celtics are a very good team folks. However, this long season has taken its toll on them. They went six tough games with the Hawks in the first round, and seven very physical matchups with the 76ers in the second round. Everything did go right for Boston in Game 4. However, Miami is a very good team also. And they match up very well with a Celtics. The Heat also know that if they allow their opponent to get another win here tonight, they can easily let this series slip away. There is another item also my friends. The Denver Nuggets closed out the Western Conference Finals over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. So, every day that the Eastern Conference Finals continues, the Heat be allowing the Nuggets to get another day of rest, another day to heal, and another day to prepare for them. I do expect Boston to show up here once again tonight at home. However, giving Miami this many points is a huge mistake. Boston is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played following a straight up win, 2-5 ATS their last seven games seven games played versus teams with winning record, 1-4 ATS their last five games played on one days rest, 2-5 ATS their last seven games play at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five Conference Finals games. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-24-23 | A's v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Seattle Mariners on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 924. 6:40 PM PST/ 9:40 PM EST. Seattle took Games 1 and 2 of this series to now extend their domination of Oakland, winning all five meetings this season. The A’s own the worst record in all of baseball at 10-40, which includes losing six in a row, and nine of their last 10 outings. Things go from bad to worse, as they travel, sporting the worst road record in the Majors. Currently, they have dropped nine straight as a visitor. Waldichuk and Miller are scheduled today. The Oakland left-hander has gotten plowed, to say the least. The Seattle right-hander has pitched well, proving he is reliable. The Mariners average nearly a run more per game offensively, while they’re pitching staff yields more than 3 1/2 runs per game less. Seattle is 12-2 their last 14 home games played versus left-handed starters, 8-3 their last 11 games played versus the American League West, 5-2 their last seven games played at home. During their current losing streak, Oakland has been outscored by 29-10. Take Seattle on the runline. Thank you. |
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05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat -120 | 116-99 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Miami Heat on the money line. Crash The Boards Play. Game 546. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. My friends, it is no secret that a team in the NBA postseason that were down 3-0, have never came back to win a series. As a matter fact, after last nights Western Conference finals ended, it is now 150-0 teams that are up three games to none in the postseason. You know, looking back at the first three games of this series, the Boston Celtics have played well. In certain games, they have rebounded the Miami Heat. In certain games, they have shot well. However, they are still down 3-0. The Celtics themselves know that they cannot win this series. Think to yourself, my friends, “are they going to risk any of their key players, to injury?“ I doubt it very much. I’m not saying they’re just gonna’ roll over, because they are a very good team. And the city is steeped in winning tradition, for sure. But I just don’t see them jeopardizing any of their players here. Once they fall behind, I don’t feel they’re going to go all out. No matter what, you cannot not ignore the fact that Boston is having a world of trouble against Miami’s defense. Not only that, but the Heat bench has stepped up considerably in this series. We really haven’t heard too much from the Celtics bench at all. One more thing guys, you’re going to see a lot of urgency on the Boston side here tonight. But they have played very sloppily the last few games while under the gun. Oh, by the way, Miami is on a home 7-0 straight up run in this playoff campaign, in which they have covered six of those seven games. Just to err on the side of caution, take the Heat on the money line for the extra few cents. Thank you. |
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05-23-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays -121 | 20-1 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. AL East Best Bet. Game 966. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. There is no question the Tampa Bay Rays have played the best baseball through the first quarter of the regular season. They possess the best overall record in the Majors at 35-14. Currently, they own the second highest-scoring lineup in baseball, as well as its second-best pitching staff. One thing for sure, they have to keep their foot on the gas as they play in the most-competitive Division in the Majors. Every team in the AL East sports a winning record. They sit just three-games ahead of Baltimore and six-games ahead of New York. Well, the Orioles and the Yankees square off in a series today. This is an opportunity for the Rays to put some distance between themselves and the rest of the division. The Blue Jays have sunk to last place in the East at 25-23. They are struggling, losing five consecutive games. There’s also a big difference between their play at home and on the road. While hosting, they are 13-9, but when they travel, they are just 12-14. Scheduled starters here are Berrios and Bradley. The Toronto right-hander, in nine career starts against Tampa Bay is 2-4 with a 5.44 ERA. The Tampa Bay right-hander is shaping up to be the clubs top pitching prospect. The team has won three of his four starts in 2023. This is his first time facing the Blue Jays. The Toronto offense has been inconsistent to say the least. And their pitching staff have been absolutely deplorable. They have lost four consecutive games against right-handed starters, five consecutive games against teams with a winning record, seven of their last 10 games played on the road, and 13 of their last 16 games played against the AL East. Takes the Rays. Thank you. |
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05-22-23 | Red Sox v. Angels -106 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Angels. Double Play. Game 916. 6:35 PM PST/9:35 PM EST. The Red Sox took three of four meetings in the first series with the Angels a little more than a month ago. But these two teams have gone in different directions since. Both teams possess top-10 lineups. And both have been struggling on the mound. However, the Red Sox pitching staff has been absolutely deplorable. Houck and Barria are scheduled starters today. Boston has lost three of Houck’s last four turns. It seems that he gives up a lot of earned runs every outing. He’s averaging a little over five innings pitched per performance and he is allowing 3.3 earned runs in each. We all know Barria is only going to be in for a short time here today. But he has pitched very well during his short stints. He also hasn’t given up the long ball in seven weeks. It’s no secret Boston struggles against right-handers as they are just 6-13 their last 19 games played on the road versus right-handed starters and 2-6 their last eight games overall played versus right-handed stars. Oh, by the way, they are also just 7-22 their last 29 road games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-22-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Lakers | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Crash The Boards Play. Game 543. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. My friends, very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a much better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. They are up 3-0 in this series. And will close it out tonight. So, making them an underdog is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Obviously, they feel that the general public is going to be compelled to side with the home team Lakers here because of urgency. Let me break this down for you, my friends. In Games 1 and 2, the Nuggets out rebounded and outhustled them and won both games with authority. Now granted, those games were at home where Denver happens to be one of the strongest home teams in the NBA. Game 3 took place in L.A. And despite Los Angeles winning the battle of the boards and making most of their free throws, they still lost. What does this tell you? That they are outclassed here. There is no way that they can win this series, and they know it. Even if they did win here, they would be humiliated the next game on the road. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that the Nuggets might want to take it easy here and then go home and win in front of their hometown fans. They want to close this game out quickly and get some extra time to rest, heal, and prepare for the Finals. Take the points with Denver. Thank you. |
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05-22-23 | Rangers -126 v. Pirates | 4-6 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers. IL GOW. Game 919. 3:35 PM PST/6:35 PM EST. Sports fans, the Rangers are heating-up, winning three in a row, and seven of their last 10 to take full control of the AL West, leading the division by two-games. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is starting to struggle, dropping two in a row, and seven of their last 10, falling out of first place in the NL Central, trailing Milwaukee by one-game. We normally see teams struggle a bit when they travel in the Majors. That is not the case with the Texas, which happened to be one of only three teams left in all of baseball that have just single-digit losses on the road. Guess what folks? Today they give Dane Dunning the start. The right-hander, since being put into the starting rotation is 2-0, with a 1.59 ERA. This is a guy that has not allowed more than two earned runs in any outing this season, thus far. Luis Ortiz gets to not at home. This will be his third start of the campaign, in which he is just 0-2 with a 5.62 ERA. Let’s face it, he has pitched just four innings so far, and has allowed a whopping, five earned runs. The Rangers enter this matchup possessing baseballs top-scoring offense and its eight-ranked pitching staff. Oh, by the way, they are also 4-1 their last five Interleague games played, 4-1 their last five road games played, and 5-2 their last seven games played versus right-handed starters. The Pirates are just 1-4 their last five games played at home, 1-6 their last seven games played versus the American League West, and 2-12 their last 14 games played versus right-handed starters. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 213.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Over in the Celtics/Heat matchup. Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR. Games 541/542. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. We all know Miami took both Games 1 and 2 on the road in this series with authority. Now, they go home to the Kaseya Center to host Game 3. Let’s face it, not many out there gave this team a snowballs chance in hell to win the series. But now they’re up 2-0 and are at home. This tells us that the Boston Celtics have to come in here and win to keep their hopes alive for advancement. My friends, both games in this round have gone over the total. As a matter fact, four of the last five meetings between these two teams have gone over the total. Today’s total is ripe to go over as well. While Boston overall, scores a little bit more offensively, Miami is a little tougher defensively. But both of these teams match up pretty well for another high-scoring affair on my friends. As far as the Celtics are concerned, the over is 11-2 their last 13 games played on one days rest, 10-2 their last 12 games played on the road, and 10-3 their last 13 games played overall. As far as Miami goes, the over is 17-5 their last 22 games played on one days rest, 10-2 their last 12 games played at home, and 21-7 their last 28 games played overall. My friends, take the over here. Thank you. |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets +6 v. Lakers | 119-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Crash The Boards Play. Game 539. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. My friends, I know a lot of people out there subscribe to the “zigzag” style of sports betting come the NBA playoffs. However, the Denver Nuggets took both Games 1and 2 with authority. I understand they are on the road right now. We all know they’re one of the best home teams in the league. And when they travel, they lose a little bit of luster. However, they cannot afford to allow the Los Angeles Lakers to get back into this series. Another win here tonight and it would be virtually impossible for the Lakers to have any chance to advance. This is a team that has dominated the boards in both contests during this round. Understand that Anthony Davis cannot do it all himself in the paint for Los Angeles. Let’s be honest, LeBron James, although will always get his numbers, is not the player he once was. But it doesn’t stop him for calling for the ball as much as possible. I just feel with the way the Nuggets have dominated the glass, they will get a more second-chance opportunities offensively, and will take away second-chance opportunities for their opponent here, defensively. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the points with a Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-19-23 | Twins -120 v. Angels | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Minnesota Twins. Home Run Play. Game 965. 6:35 PM PST/9:65 PM EST. If I had to choose one word to describe each one of these teams here today, for Minnesota, that would be “consistent.” And for Los Angeles, that word would be “erratic.” The Angels are just one-game over .500 at 23-22, sitting in third place in the AL West. The twins have been a top the AL Central for far back as I can remember, at 24-20, possessing a 3.5-game lead in the division. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. You can always count on the Twins offense to score. Maybe they only average 4.70-runs per game. But when your pitching staff ranks third in the Majors, that’s all you need to average. As far as the Angels go, overall, their offense scores quite a bit. However, on any given day, that lineup becomes very erratic as I mentioned earlier. Not only that, but they’re pitching staff has gotten pretty beat up lately. Speaking of pitching, today’s schedule starters are Ryan and Detmers. The Minnesota right-hander is 6-1 with a 2.16 ERA on the campaign, while the Los Angeles left-hander is 0-3 with a 4.89 ERA in 2023. I look for Minnesota to bounce back here as they are 7-3 their last 10 games played following a loss. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 0-4 their last four games played following a win, 1-4 their last five games played at home, and 2-5 their last seven games played versus right-handed starters. Take the Twins. Thank you. |
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05-19-23 | Stars +115 v. Golden Knights | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas Stars. Game 005. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Guys, Southern Nevada has been a home to me for over 32-years. I love Las Vegas and everything about it. Having said that, I’ll always root from my hometown teams. However, we are not in this to root. We are in this to make money. I know the Golden Knights team. They are an outstanding club. However, my friends, some teams are fun teams and some teams are money teams. And trust me when I tell you, they are not a money team. Case in point, since their inception into the league, they have been a monster team during the regular season, making the playoffs every single year. However, they just can’t get over the hump. Let me put it this way, always a bridesmaid and never a bride. Certain teams match up well with them. And the Dallas Stars matchup well with the Golden Knights. Dallas took all three meetings with Vegas this season, including two played at the T-Mobile arena. Going back to last season, they have taken four consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Not only that, but the Stars certainly have a better goalie in net with Jake Oettinger over Adin Hill. This is a team that has won 12 of their last 17 games against Western Conference opponents, seven of the last 10 games played versus teams to winning record, 13 of their last 16 games played on the road, four their last five Conference Finals games, and 14 of their last 19 games played overall. Dallas handles better under pressure. Take the Stars. Thank you. |
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05-19-23 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Game 537. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. I know many people out there subscribe to the “zigzag“ angle of sports betting in the NBA postseason. As an 8.5-point underdog in Game 1 of this series, on the road, the Miami Heat took down the Boston Celtics, 123-116. While, I did like the Miami Heat. I had no idea they were going to come in that strong. We all know what happened quarter by quarter in the series-opener. At one point, the Celtics were up by 11. The third quarter, the Heat took the game over. It’s hard to argue with the 30-points Jayson Tatum put up for the Celtics. But when he has to carry a game on his shoulders, that means some of the other players just aren’t doing their job. I know Boston will come in here a lot more competitive, looking to even this year is up, before they have to travel on the road. But giving Miami this many points, is a huge mistake. Please understand that Miami has won and covered the last three meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry, all since December. This is just way too many points my friends. By the way, Miami has covered 14 of their last 19 meetings played at the TD Garden. Let’s not forget that they have covered four of their last five games played on the road, eight of their last 10 games played on one days rest, and eight of their last 10 games played overall. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-19-23 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. AL West Best Bet. Game 962. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. You know, sports fans, before the season began, we all or at least most of us picked the Houston Astros to run away with the AL West. Granted they had a rough start to the campaign. However, very quietly this team has won four in a row and six of their last seven outings to bring them within just 2.0 games behind Texas for the lead in the division. In Game 1 of this series, they host the division cellar-dwelling team, which happens to possess the worst overall record in baseball. The Oakland A’s are absolutely deplorable at 10-35 overall on the campaign. They have dropped eight of their last 10 outings. And to be honest with you, you can’t even point a finger to blame at any one thing here. They’re pitching staff ranks 30th with a Team ERA of 7.13, while their offense ranks 27th in scoring average is 3.84 runs per game. Starting pitchers are scheduled to be Waldichuk and Bielak. The A’s left-hander gives up a lot of earned runs my friends. He allows on an average of 4.0-earned runs per outing. He’s in for another long day here folks. Both on the mound, and at the plate, the Astros significantly outclass them. Houston has taking six of the last seven meetings against their division rival, in which not one of their victories have come by just a single run. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 226 | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Over in the Los Angeles Lakers/Denver Nuggets matchup. Western Conference Top-Rated Total Of the Month. Games 535/536. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Game 1 of this series saw a combined score of 258-points as the game went over the closing number of 222.5. The oddsmakers set the total a little higher here because they know Game 2 is shaping up to be another high-scoring affair. These two teams have met five times just since late October. And with the number set on today’s game, four of those five would’ve gone over the total. Coming into today’s matchup, Los Angeles has played to three consecutive overs and 15 overs in their last 21 games played overall. They’ve also gone over in 13 of their last 16 games played on the road. As far as Denver goes, eight of their last 11 games played has gone over the total as well. Meanwhile, these two teams have played to seven overs in their last nine meetings played at the Ball Arena. With the Nuggets winning the opener, you can expect a lot more scoring here by Los Angeles to try to take this game. I expect them to be more competitive here. I think it we can all agree that as strong as these two teams are offensively, their defenses do not match up well with one another. You’ll see a heavy dose of Anthony Davis in the paint, while guards D’Angelo Russell and Lonnie Walker will bounce back from the poor performances in this series opener. As far as the Nuggets are concerned, they have six players averaging double-digits this post season. You can look for the combination of Jokic and Murray to light up the scoreboard once again, as the pair are combining for 57.3-points per game in the 2023 Playoffs. Take the over. Thank you. |
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05-17-23 | Rays +109 v. Mets | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play. Game 975. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. The Rays have dominated the Mets, winning five in a row and eight of the last nine meetings. New York is struggling, losing 10 of their last 14 overall games. Playing at home has been no benefit to the Mets, going a dismal, 3-7 their last 10 outings at Citi Field. Fleming and Senga are scheduled starters here today. The Tampa Bay hurler has had much more starts and certainly has been the more consistent pitcher. The New York pitching staff has been a doormat, ranking 25th in Team ERA and 30th in Quality Starts. This doesn’t bode well for them here having to face the lineup topping the Majors in Scoring, Team B.A., OPS, and Home Runs. The Mets are 1-7 their last eight games played versus left-handed starters and 0-4 their last four games played in Interleague contests. The Rays are 41-12 their last 53 games played versus the N.L. East and 26-9 their last 35 games played versus right-handed starters. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets. WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 532. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. I know these two teams have split out (both straight up and against the spread) four meetings this season. But let’s face it, when the Nuggets play at the Ball Arena, their game rises to another level. Overall, on the season they are 40-7 straight up at home. Not only that, but they’ve covered 23 of their last 32 games played as host. Let’s face it, the Lakers lose a little bit of their luster when they travel, as they are just 22-25 straight up away from home this season. Moreover, for our purposes, they’ve only covered one of their last five outings played as a visitor. By the way, Denver won and covered both meetings against Los Angeles this season at the Ball Arena. Having said that my friends, the Nuggets also come in here a bit better rested, having had an extra day off to rest, heal, and prepare. Furthermore, they have played three less contests this postseason than did the Lakers. Especially, with that tough, fast-paced series Los Angeles just came off of going six full games with Golden State. I believe they are going to come in here a little tired, especially come the second half. They will run out of gas. To make things worse for L.A., Denver is more accurate from beyond the arc, and overall, from the floor. They also come into this matchup possessing the league’s top-ranked defensive rebounding unit. This means Los Angeles will not get as many second-chance shots as they are accustomed to getting. The Lakers have only covered one of their last seven meetings played in Denver. Meanwhile, Denver has covered five of their last six games played on three or more days rest, 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight games played following a straight up win. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-16-23 | Guardians -120 v. White Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Cleveland Guardians. AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 915. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Winning back-to-back games, Cleveland is making a real run at the American League Central. They currently sit just 3.0-games back of Minnesota in the Division. Just behind them by a half-game is Detroit. Sitting in fourth place is their opponent, the Chicago White Sox. However, the White Sox are sitting at 9.0-games back. This is a team that really is struggling, dropping four of their last five outings. Entering Game 1 of this series, they have very little optimism as they have lost three straight against Cleveland. To make matters worse, they have lost five of their last seven meetings against the Guardians at Guaranteed Rate Field. Today’s starters are Bieber and Lynn. The Cleveland right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA on the campaign. Over his career, he has had quite a bit of success against Chicago. In 17 starts against the White Sox, he owns an impressive 8-4 record with a very respectable ERA of 2.64. The Chicago, right-hander is struggling to say the least. He is a dismal, 1-5 on the campaign, with a whopping ERA of 7.51. The team has lost seven of his eight starts this season. Guys, I’ve got to tell you, he has given up significant earned runs in every appearance he has made thus far. The Guardians are 31-15 their last 46 games played versus the American League Central and 31-15 their last 46 games played versus right-handed starters. The White Sox are 1-4 their last five games played versus the American League Central and 1-4 their last five games played versus right-handed starters. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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05-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -141 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. NL WEST GAME GOM. Game 956. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. The Dodgers are surging, winning three in a row and 11 of their last 13 outings. One thing Los Angeles really loves to do, is to put a whooping upon division opponents. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday by a score of 4-2, to extend their dominance over San Diego, winning three of four meetings this season. Going back a bit, they have dominated this rivalry, taking 69 of the last 100 overall meetings. When hosting the Padres, the Dodgers have really turned it up taking 39 of 53 contests at Dodger Stadium. Yesterday’s loss was the third consecutive defeat for San Diego and their fifth over their last six contests. Joe Musgrove and Jose Urias are scheduled here today. While the Padres right-hander is 1-0 on the campaign, he does possess a whopping ERA of 6.75. On the other hand, the Dodgers left-hander is 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 2023. His last two outings were superb, going a total of 12.2 innings pitched, allowing just three earned runs, and striking out 13 batters. By the way, both of those were wins for the team. The Padres bats are slumping. Over the last 10 outings the team has lost six games in which the team has combined for a total of 13 runs in those six losses. They just can’t compete on the scoreboard with the powerful Los Angeles lineup which is accounting for over 5.44 runs per game. By the way, the Dodgers are also crushing the long ball, hitting a whopping 66 home runs already. San Diego has dropped four of their last five games played on the road, five of their last six games played versus teams with a winning record, and five of their last six games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors +3 v. Lakers | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Play. Game 503. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. I’m gonna keep my breakdown of this matchup very brief, my friends. Very simply, under Steve Kerr, the Golden State Warriors are 8-2 when faced with an elimination game. This is a team that always has a punchers chance. And let me tell you right now, they are not going down without swinging. I am well aware of the fact they’re not the greatest road team overall. I’m also well aware of the fact they lost and failed to cover both games played at the Crypto.com Arena in this series. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover the last five games played in Los Angeles. But once again under Steve Kerr, this team is very good in an elimination situation. Not only that, but Steph Curry will take this game on his shoulders and show you why he’s one of the greatest to ever walk on the pro basketball hardwood. Also, one more thing folks... I’m not saying the Lakers are going to intentionally lose here. But being up 3-2, they don’t have to play as hard because they know they have a Game 7 to still try and win the series. We’ve seen this time and time again in the NBA postseason my friends. Take the points with Golden State. Thank you. |
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05-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers -131 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Double Play. Game 910. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST. Los Angeles is once again rolling, winning 10 of their last 12 outings. The Dodgers love, and I mean love to take down division opponents. They face a San Diego team that has certainly struggled, entering today’s matchup on a 3-5 cold streak. The Dodgers took two of three in the earlier series just a week ago. Today’s schedule starters are Snell and May. The San Diego left-hander is 1-5 with a 4.89 ERA on the campaign. The Los Angeles right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 2023. Both have had decent success against today’s opposing lineups. But Snell is having problems with control as he has issued a whopping 21 walks so far this season. He’s also allowed at least one home run in six consecutive turns. On the other hand, May has had three solid starts in a row in which the team has won all three of those turns. He does not issue walks or home runs. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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05-12-23 | Rangers -1.5 v. A's | 7-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers on the run line. AL WEST GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 919. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. My friends, it surprises many out there that the team at the top of the division in the AL West is either Houston or Los Angeles. Currently, the Texas Rangers have a 3.5-game lead in the division. They have played the most consistent baseball all season thus far possessing, the Majors top scoring offense and its seventh-ranked pitching staff. One thing that has not been a surprise in the West has been the poor play of Oakland. They not only have the worst record in the division. They not only have the worst record in the AL. They have the worst overall record in baseball at 8-31. The Rangers took two of three in the first match up with the A’s a few weeks ago. They also took Game 1 of this series, blanking Oakland yesterday, 4-0. Perez and Waldichuk are scheduled here. The Texas left-hander is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA on the campaign, while the Oakland left-hander is 112 with a whopping ERA of 7.25. the Rangers are running hot, no matter which trend you look at, as they are 5-1 their last six games played on the road, 5-1 their last six games played versus division opponents, and 6-2 their last eight games played following a win. Take Texas on the run line, as they account for 2.5-runs per game more than the A's and allow nearly 4-runs less per game. Oh, by the way, Oakland has failed to win and their last seven contests against division opponents. Take the Rangers on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk Play. Game 556. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. To say this series has been “heated“, would be an understatement. These two teams seriously do not like each other. To say that the Nuggets are a better team, would also be an understatement. I think we could all agree that Nikola Jokic has shined, while Deandre Ayton has tarnished. The absence of Chris Paul certainly plays a part in the outcome of this matchup. Losing a player with his postseason experience is significant. But this is still a professional basketball team, the Phoenix Suns, that are 51-41 this season. They seemed to have a real look of defeat on their faces and the faces of their coaching staff at the end of last game. Just since the beginning of January, these two Western Conference rivals have met eight times, as Denver has covered six of those eight meetings. Now they come in here with a chance to eliminate a hated rival from the postseason. Making them underdog is a serious mistake made by the odds makers. The Suns are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600. Oh and by the way, they are also 2-5 ATS their last seven Conference Semifinal games. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Fast Break Play. Game 554. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Boston was leading the series 2-1 and then things fell apart for the Celtics. Philadelphia has taken the last two games and have an opportunity to eliminate their Eastern Conference rival from the postseason. I keep hearing about Joel Embiid’s injury issues. My friends, on a bad knee the other night, he accounted for 33-points, seven rebounds, and four blocks. So, don’t put any stick into the injury rumors. Feeling the pressure now having to take it to the road, Boston is in big trouble. I just don’t see them coming back. Momentum is definitely on the side of Philadelphia. And momentum means quite a bit in the NBA. Now they got to close out the series of a hated rival at home in front of their loyal fan base. The 76ers are 27-13 ATS their last 40 games played at home, 5-2, ATS their last seven games played on one days rest, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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05-10-23 | Tigers +106 v. Guardians | 5-0 | Win | 106 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers. Game 915. 10:10 AM PST/110 PM EST. The AL Central currently has just one team sporting a winning record. The Twins, at 19-17 own a two-game lead over the Guardians, which sit at 17-19. The Tigers are just a half-game behind them at 16-19. Detroit has fared well against division rivals, winning 11 of their last 14 games played against the AL Central. They took the opening game of this series. But did drop Game 2, yesterday. This is a team that has won five of their last seven overall games played on the road and six of their last eight games played overall. They get us bettors paid, folks. Scheduled starters today are Rodriguez and Battenfield. The Tigers left-hander is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA on the season. Over his career, in five starts against the Guardians, he is 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA. Getting the start at home, the right-hander is winless in 2023, going to 0-3 with a 4.07 ERA. There is an argument that he just hasn’t gotten any run support this season. But you can’t ignore the facts, the trends, and the stats. The team has lost all five games that he has made an appearance in. This does include his four starts. Overall, Cleveland is just 2-6 their last eight games played following a win and 1-9 their last 10 games played versus left-handed starters. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -6 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk Play. Game 548. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. All four meetings in this playoff series have been won and covered by the home team. Denver took the first two at home, while Phoenix took the last two at home. Now this series moves back to the Ball Arena, a place that is by far the hardest in the NBA for any visitor to be successful at. The Nuggets are 39-7 straight up at home this season. Just going back the last several weeks, they have covered six of their last seven games played as host. We all know the Suns are not the greatest road team, sporting a 19-26 away record this season. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played as a guest. There is no question in my mind that Denver is a better team than Phoenix. And being that they allowed the Suns to even up this series on the road, I look for them to come out with a vengeance here tonight, prove something, and get a big win and cover. They have covered five of their last seven overall meetings in this Western Conference rivalry. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers +108 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. NL GOW. Game 956. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. We all know the Dodgers are once again, a force to be reckoned with. But my friends, as opposed to previous seasons, they are looking a bit mortal this season, especially on the road, where there are just 9-9 thus far. They were taken down in Game 1 of this series yesterday, 9-3. As a matter fact, the Brewers have taken three of the last five meetings, going back to last season in this National League rivalry. I know the beginning of May was a little tough for Milwaukee. But they have gotten back on track, winning their last two outings. This is a team with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball, ranking eighth, with a Team ERA of 3.58. Today’s schedule starters are Noah Syndergaard, and Eric Lauer. The Dodgers right-hander is off to an atrocious start to the campaign, going 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA this season. Don’t be fooled by his career record against today’s opponent as he is 2-1 was a 2.76n ERA in five lifetime appearances versus Milwaukee. He hasn’t faced the Brewers since April of 2019. He is allowing a lot of earned runs and a lot of home runs. The Brewers left-hander is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA in 2023. Over his career in 11 starts against Los Angeles, he is 7-1 with a 2.37 ERA, which happens to be a .875 winning percentage, the best among out of pitchers versus Los Angeles with at least eight decisions. With Syndergaard struggling and Lauer’s successful history against the Dodgers, I am compelled to side with the home team here. By the way, the Dodgers 1-5 their six road games played versus left-handed starters. The Brewers are 4-1 their last five games played at home. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | 76ers +7.5 v. Celtics | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. First Break play. Game 545. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. With the series now tied at 2–2, I feel we’re going to see a very competitive game here. It seems that Philadelphia’s success rides on the success of James Harden. If he plays, well, they win. If he doesn’t, they do not. I really feel the line here is inflated. I just don’t see Boston being a 7.5-point favorite, even at home. The 76ers are an excellent road team winning 28 of their 45 games played away from home this season. They have covered five of their last six games played as a visitor and eight of their last 10 games played overall. They have been very good to us bettors against the number. Granted, the Celtics are pretty good ATS as well. But once again, I just feel the odds makers have put out an inflated line here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Rays -129 v. Orioles | 2-4 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play release. Game 965. 3:35 PM PST/6:35 PM EST. Tampa Bay continues to play at such a high level, winning out of their last 10, including Game1 of this series yesterday. Baltimore, which sits 6.5-games behind them in the American League East, has dropped three straight, as their offense is starting to struggle. Going back to last season, the Rays have taken three straight over the Orioles, and overall, 37 of their last 52 meetings. Eflin and Rodriguez are scheduled here today. The Tampa Bay right-hander is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA on the campaign. The team has won all five of his starts in 2023. He is averaging over five innings per outing. And has only allowed seven earned runs in 28.0 innings pitched. The Baltimore right-hander is 1-0 with a 5.46 ERA on the campaign. Despite the team winning his last outing, he allowed six earned runs in just 3.2 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has won six of their last seven games played on the road, four of their last five versus the A.L. East, and six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. take the Rays. Thank you. |
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05-08-23 | Dodgers -102 v. Brewers | 3-9 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Home Run Play. Game 905. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. The Dodgers are surging, winning eight of their last nine outings coming into today’s Game 1 matchup with the Brewers. They catch Milwaukee struggling, dropping six of their last seven contests. The Brewers have been dominated in this rivalry, taking losses in eight of the last 11 meetings with the Dodgers. Tony Gonsolin and Freddy Peralta are scheduled starters here. The Los Angeles right-hander is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in 2023. A season ago, he made his only two career starts against Milwaukee, going 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA. The Milwaukee right-hander is 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA on the campaign. In three lifetime turns facing L.A., he is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA. The team has lost three of his last four starts. Despite respectable numbers, Peralta allows hits, gives up runs (especially the long ball), and is going through some control issues, walking batters. The Brewers are 1-5 their last six games played against the NL West, 2-5 their last seven games played against right-handed starters, 1-4 their last five games played during Game 1 of a series, and 1-6 their last seven games played overall. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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05-06-23 | Dodgers +113 v. Padres | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Game 909. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. A season ago, Los Angeles got the better of San Diego, taking 14 of 19 regular season matchups. However, when they met in October, the Padres sent them home packing for the season. The Dodgers dropped Game 1 of this series yesterday, 5-2. That followed a six-game win streak. L.A. is now just a half-game ahead of the Arizona in the West. And if there are not careful, can lose control of this division very quickly. They must win here today, my friends. Over their careers, starter Blake Snell has done better against the Dodgers lineup than counterpart, Dustin May has done against the Padres offense. But this season things are going very differently for these two pitchers. The Los Angeles right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA on the campaign. He comes off back-to-back victories. The San Diego left-hander is just 1-4 with a whopping ERA of 5.28 in 2023. The team has dropped five of the six turns this season. In each of his outings, he has allowed no less than two earned runs. One more item my friends, in five consecutive performances Snell has allowed at least one home run. This does not fare well as he must take the mound 60-feet away from the third-best home run hitting team in baseball. The Padres are just 2-5 their last seven home games played versus a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 60-26 their last 86 games played following a loss, 48-22 their last 70 games played versus the NL West, and 70-27 their last 97 games played versus right-handed starters. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-06-23 | Twins -105 v. Guardians | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins. Game 913. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Very quietly, the Minnesota Twins have taken control of the American League Central with a four-game lead. This is a team that has a winning record, both at home and on the road. Something that is a rarity these days. The Cleveland Guardians sit in third place in the division, 4.5-games back. They have lost three straight outings, including Game 1 of the series yesterday, 2-0. A season ago, the Guardians had their way with the Twins, taking eight of the final nine matchups between these division rivals. However, 2023 is a very different campaign for them. Their offense, or should I say, lack of offense, ranks at or near the bottom in every major category. They rank 27th in scoring, 29th in batting average, 30th in OPS, and 30th in home runs. I am afraid things are going to go from bad to worse for the team as they go up against the Majors third-ranked pitching staff here. I mean their lineup has accounted for three runs or less in 12 of their last 16 outings. Sonny Gray and Logan Allen are schedule starters here. The Minnesota right-hander is off to an amazing start, going 4-0 with an anemic ERA of 0.77, which leads the Majors. He has made six starts this season, in which the team has won five of those 6 turns. And by the way, he has not allowed more than one earned run in any outing in 2023. The Cleveland left-hander is off to a good start as well, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA. However, he has only made two starts. He hasn’t worked out the kinks yet. Playing at home would normally benefit a team. But the Guardians are a dismal 4-9 at Progressive Field this season. They are also 0-5 their last five games played during Game 2 of a series, 1-4 their last five games played versus right-handed starters, at 1-5 their last six games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 531. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Sports fans, I expect this game to be the most competitive yet in this series. We all know Denver is up 2-0 in this round as they have taken both games so far with at home with authority. They took Game 1 by 18-points and Game 2 by 10-points. We are also all well aware of the fact that they are a much better home team than they are a road team. The same could be said for Phoenix. And normally being down 2-0 in a series and going home for your first contest played in front of your fans, I would look to play that team. However, the Nuggets did cover the last two games played at the Footprint Center. But that’s not all, folks. The Suns will be without Chris Paul. While he hasn’t put up monstrous numbers this round, the point guard is a true veteran that has a ton, and I mean a ton of postseason experience. He has averaged a lot of minutes both during the regular and the postseason. They lose a true seasoned veteran with him on the bench here tonight. I think that will be a major factor in this matchup. Please remember Denver has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry, their last five games played on three or more days rest, 20 of their last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record, five of their last six games played following a straight up win, and six of their last eight games played overall. Meanwhile Phoenix has only covered one of their last five games played on three or more days rest, three of their last 10 games played following a straight up loss, one of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, none of their last four Conference Semifinal games played, and only one of their last five games played overall. I have to take the points with the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -107 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Home Run Play. Game 957. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Oh boy! The Dodgers have had this series circled since the schedule came out. During the 2022 regular season, Los Angeles went 14-5 against San Diego. They even took the NL West. However, when they met in October for the NLDS, they were sent home early to play golf instead of competing for the National League Pennant. Revenge is a dish best served, cold my friends. And the Dodgers are looking to serve up some revenge here today. They enter this series opener here, red-hot, winning six in a row and eight of their last 10 outings. Granted, the Padres have won seven of their last 10 as well. However, Los Angeles has accounted for six or more runs in seven of those eight victories over the last 10 contests. Their offense is absolutely exploding. Today’s pitching matchups are Kershaw and Darvish. The Dodgers left-hander is 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA on the campaign. And in his career, in 45 starts against San Diego, he is 23-9 with a 2.03 ERA. By the way, if you’re worried about him pitching on the road, don’t be, as Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 starts at Petco Park. The Padres right-hander is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 2023. Against the Dodgers in his career, he is 3-5 with a 2.47 ERA in 10 starts. The team has lost three of his five turns this season. And he does come off a very poor performance, despite the team winning, allowing four earned runs in six innings pitched against San Francisco less than a week ago. Oh, by the way, San Diego is also 2-5 their last seven home games played versus teams with a winning record and 1-5 their last six games played following an off day. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-04-23 | Orioles -173 v. Royals | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore Orioles. |
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05-03-23 | Angels -123 v. Cardinals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Angels. Home Run Play. Game 979. 4:45 PM, PST/7:45 PM EST. My friends, the line is way off in this matchup. The Angels, which have won five of their last seven outings including yesterday’s Game 1 matchup with the Cardinals, are playing some very solid baseball. On the other hand, one of the biggest disappointments so far this season is the Cardinals, which are in the cellar of the NL Central, 10-games back in the division, tied for the poorest record in the NL. So why is this line so off? Because Ohtani comes off his worst performance of the season, while Mikolas comes off his best performance of the campaign. The Los Angeles right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA on the campaign. One thing for sure, he rarely has back-to-back “off“ outings. The team has won his last five turns, sports fans. And I expect him to be revved up and motivated here today. The Cardinals right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.97 ERA on the campaign. And prior to his last outing, in which he allowed zero earned runs, he was roughed up in just about every performance thus far. The Angels average nearly a run more per game on offense, while their pitching staff allows nearly a run less per game. Something I want you to take it to consideration folks is that the Cardinals have dropped seven of their last eight outings. In those seven defeats, they have averaged a mere, 2.0 runs per game. I expect Ohtani to come out here with something to prove against a lackluster lineup, while his offense gets him quite a bit of run support. Los Angeles is 4-1 their last five games played against right-handed starters, while St. Louis is just 1-7 their last eight games played versus the American League West. Oh, by the way, they are also 3-8 their last 11 games played at home and 7-27 their last 27 games played versus right-handed starters. Take the Angels. Thank you. |
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05-02-23 | Orioles -156 v. Royals | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Baltimore Orioles. Double Play. Game 917. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Playing in the most the competitive division in baseball with the Major Leagues top team, the Baltimore Orioles are getting too much ink. However, very quietly they are just 3.5-games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the division and overall possess the third best record in the Majors at 19-9. This does include a 10-5 away mark. They travel to Kauffman Stadium to face a team with the second-worst record in all of baseball, the Kansas City Royals. K.C. is just 7-22, which does include the poorest home record in the Majors, A deplorable, 1-12 when hosting. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. But the Orioles enter today’s Game 1 matchup on the 1122 run, while the Royals are just 3-12 their last 15 outings. Both at the plate and on the mound, Baltimore is just simply far better. They average almost two runs a game more, while their pitching staff allows more than a run less. Just over the last nine outings, the explosive Baltimore lineup has accounted for five or more runs twice. Tyler Wells and Ryan Yarbrough are scheduled for today. The Baltimore right-hander is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA this season. The team has won four of his five turns and he has looked spectacular so far. The Kansas City left-hander is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA on the campaign. Both as a starter and as a reliever, he has made quite a few appearances in 2023. However, the team has lost each of his last three appearances. The Orioles are 35-16 their last 51 games played in Game 1 of a series, 8-2 their last 10 games played following a win, 6-1 their last seven games played on the road, 6-1 their last seven games played versus left-handed starters, and 7-1 their last eight games played versus the AL Central. I can give you a ton of stats and trends about the Royals. But they are all ugly. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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05-02-23 | Braves +114 v. Marlins | 6-0 | Win | 114 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves on the money line. Home Run Play. Game 901. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Tuesday, April 2, 2023. Sports fans, the Braves are proving that last season’s success was no fluke. With over a month of the regular season in the rearview, they lead the competitive, NL East by three-games, at 19-10. They aren’t just winning, they are winning with authority. No team in all of the Majors are a strong as Atlanta is on the road. They are an astounding, 12-3 when they travel this season. They visit LoanDepot Park to face the divisions second-place team, the Miami Marlins. The Marlins are a respectable 16-13, which does include a 10-6 record at home. These two rivals met a week ago in Atlanta, as the Braves took the series 3-1. Atlanta outscored Miami 28-13. Going back a little further, to say Atlanta has gotten the better of Miami would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last 10 meetings and 62 of the last overall 88 matchups. Bryce Elder and Sandy Alcantara are schedule starters here. The Atlanta right-hander is off to a wonderful start, sporting a 2-0 record with a 2.17 ERA. The team has won four of his five turns in 2023. Over his career, the 23-year-old has made five starts against the Marlins, going 0-2 with a 3.54 ERA. But this season he is looking very different from previous campaigns. Speaking of looking differently this season, the Marlins, right-hander is off to a deplorable start, going 1-2 with a whopping ERA of 5.04. People expected a lot more of Alcantara, who is the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner. In 11 career starts against the Braves, he is 4-2 with a 2.48 ERA. But as I mentioned a moment ago, things are very different for him this season. As a matter of fact, the team has dropped four of his five turns in 2023. Both at the plate and on the mound, Atlanta significantly outclasses Miami. They average nearly a run and a half more on offense, while their pitching staff allows nearly a full run less. The Braves are 4-1 their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, 4-1 their last five games played versus right-handed starters, 5-2 their last seven games played versus the NL East, and 36-15 their last 51 games played during Game 1 of a series. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 228.5 | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Over in the Phoenix Suns/Denver Nuggets matchup. Games 513/514. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Game 1 of this series went over the total to now make it five overs in the last seven meetings between these two Western Conference rivals. The first game saw Denver absolutely embarrass Phoenix, 125-107. Kevin Durant committed an uncharacteristic seven turnovers. The Suns also shot just 7-23 from downtown. I expect Phoenix to come in here a little bit stronger and motivated. The way both offenses are lighting up the scoreboard, you can expect a very high-scoring affair. The over came in eight of Phoenix’s his last nine outings and seven of Denver’s last nine contests. These two teams do not match up well with one another defensively. You can expect another high-scoring game as I mentioned earlier. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings in Denver, 10 of the Suns last 12 games played on the road, and five of the Nuggets last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-30-23 | Guardians +111 v. Red Sox | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Cleveland Guardians. Game 913. 10:35 AM PST/1:35 PM EST. Cleveland took Game 1 of this series and lost a heartbreaker yesterday in Game 2 in extra innings. This is a team that has been very successful on the road, winning 19 of the last 27 games played as a guest. Logan Allen and Chris Sale are scheduled starters here. The Guardians left-hander owns a 1-0 record with a 1.50 ERA on the campaign, while the Red Sox left-hander is just 1-2 with a whopping ERA of 8.22 this season. Sale has not won since his second start back on April 6, going 0-2 in three decisions since. He is having problems with control and over his career in 31 appearances, which includes 20 starts against Cleveland, he is just 5-8 with a 4.76 ERA. The Red Sox are 1-5 the last six games played following a win. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -144 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Game 962. 6:10 PM, PST/9:10 PM EST. The Dodgers, which have won six of their last 10 outings, are currently sitting one-game behind the Diamondbacks in the NL West. My friends, taking a backseat to any team in the division, does not sit well with Los Angeles. They enter today’s matchup following yesterday’s Game 1 win over St. Louis, 7-3. They have had their way in this NL rivalry. Going back to last season, they have taken three in a row and five of the last six meetings. Jordan Montgomery and Clayton Kershaw are scheduled here today. The Cardinals left-hander is 2-3 with a 3.81 record on the campaign. The team has lost his last three turns. On the other hand, the Dodgers left-hander is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA on the season. The team has won four of his five turns in 2023. In 20 career regular season starts against the St. Louis, Kershaw is a very respectable, 9-5 with a wonderful ERA of 2.97, striking out 134 batters in 124 1/3 innings pitch. In his only start against Los Angeles a season ago, Montgomery was shelled for 6 earned runs in just 4-0 innings pitched. He allowed a whopping three home runs in that short stint, my friends. L.A. currently ranks second in the Majors in home runs, hitting a whopping 47 round-trippers. It looks like it’s going to be another long day for the Cardinals pitching staff. They are just 1-5 the last six meetings in Los Angeles, 1-4 the last five overall games played on the road, 5-12 the last 17 games played versus teams with a winning record, and 1-4 the last five games played overall. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers. Game 550. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Angels v. Brewers -129 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. Game 926 5:10 PM, PST/8:10 PM EST. With all respect to Los Angeles Angels, which does possess quite a bit of talent, in my opinion, they are one of the most inconsistent and erratic teams in baseball. Let’s face it, they’re sitting at 14-12 overall, which does include a 6-7 road record. They come off a series with the Oakland A’s in which they took the last three of a four game home stand. As a matter fact, this is the first time they are away from home since the 20th of the month. On the other hand, Milwaukee is a very good team. They are 16-9, which does include a respectable home record of 7-5. When it comes to Interleague play, statistics can be very deceiving as teams don’t face one another sometimes for several years. That is the case here. The last time these two teams met was April of 2019. So, folks the trends and streaks in this rivalry can be thrown out the window. Today’s schedule starters are Anderson and Miley. The Los Angeles last-hander, despite a 1-0 record, possesses a whopping ERA of 7.20. He has allowed 16 runs over his last three outings, in which he went a total of 13.3 innings pitched. By the way, the team has lost his last two turns. The Brewers left-hander is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA on the campaign. The team has won three of his four starts this season. He has allowed a total of five earned runs in 23 innings pitched, blanking two opponents. Over his career in eight starts versus the Angels, he is a very respectful 5-1 with a 3.30 ERA. Anderson in four lifetime starts against the Brewers is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA. He has done very poorly at American Family Field, allowing 14 runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched, going 1-2 is 8.59 ERA. Los Angeles is just 2-5 their last seven games played on the road, 5-13 their last 18 Interleague games played, and 2-10 their last 12 road games played versus left-handed starters. On the other hand, Milwaukee is 4-0 their last four games played versus the American League West, 4-0 their last four games played at home versus teams with a winning record, 20-8 their last 28 Interleague games played, and 7-2 their last nine games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Rays -144 v. White Sox | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. GAME OF THE MONTH Game 919. 4:10 PM PST for 7:10 PM EST. Many people thought in the preseason that Tampa Bay and Chicago had a good shot at fighting it out for the American League Pennant down the road. However, a month into the campaign, Tampa Bay sits atop the American League East at 21-5, which by the way, is the best overall record in baseball, while Chicago dwells in fourth place in the Central at 7-19. The Rays, which have won seven of their last nine, travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to take on a White Sox squad riding an eight-game slide. Tampa Bay swept Chicago three games to none at home, less than a week ago. Both on the mound at the plate, they outclass their opponent here as they top the Majors in both Team ERA (2.83) and RPG (6.58). Eflin is certainly off to a much better start than Giolito. And over their careers, he has fared much better against today’s opponent than his counterpart. Chicago is just 1-4 their last five games played at home, 7-20 their last 27 games played versus the AL East, and 1-10 their last 11 games played against right-handed starters. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Braves -126 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves. Game 905. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. All of last season, even before it started, I preached that the Braves are the best team in the NL East. They battled it out with the Mets and edged them out because they took the season series 10-9. I’m here to tell you that once again this season, Atlanta is a much better team than New York. Let’s face it, they have the Mets number. They took four in a row and six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. They enter this matchup scoring a bit more at the plate and allowing a bit less on the mound. Max Fried is certainly without question a much stronger, better, more consistent, and reliable pitcher than David Peterson. The Atlanta southpaw is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA this season, while the New York left-hander is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA. The Braves have been nearly unstoppable on the road, winning eight of their last nine while taking five of their last seven versus the NL East, and 38 of their last 53 versus left-handed starters. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Los Angeles Angels on the run line. AL West Game of the Month. Game 962. 1:07 PM PST/4:0 7 PM EST. Without question, the Oakland A’s are the worst team in baseball. Just in the last week of April, at 5-20, this team is already 9.5-games back in the NL West, dwelling in the division cellar. Their offense ranks 27th in both runs scored and Team batting average, accounting for just 3.68 runs per game and hitting just .225. Their pitching staff is the poorest in the Majors, with a Team ERA of 7.97. They face a division rival in the Los Angeles Angels, which has had their number. LA has taken four of the six meetings between these two teams this season, including the last two matchups. The Angels, on the other hand, possess some pretty good stats. They rank fifth in baseball, accounting for over 5.24 runs per game. And their pitching staff is still in the top half, with a Team ERA of 3.98. Speaking of pitchers, JP Sears and Shohei Ohtani are scheduled here today. The A’s left-hander is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA’s on the campaign. He has allowed at least two earned runs in every outing this season. The Angels right-hander is 3-0 with an anemic 0.64 ERA in five starts on the campaign. He has yet to give up more than three hits in a game. He will be facing Oakland for the 12th time over his career, which is the most he’s faced any Major League team. He has a 4-4 record against them in his career, with a 2.66 ERA. My friends, Oakland is struggling so badly, they have dropped eight of their last 10 games overall, and only twice in those last 10 outings, have they scored more than three runs. Their lineup is deplorable to say the least. And I doubt that they are going to have any success here against Ohtani. Let alone, against a bullpen that has certainly improving. THE A’s are just 1-5 their last six games played at the Angels, 1-4 their last five games played versus the AL West, 18-43 their last 61 games played versus right-handed starters, and 17-40 their last 57 games played on the road. By the way folks, each of the four victories Los Angeles has over Oakland, this season, not one has come by just one run. Take the Angels on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Heat +12 v. Bucks | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Game 527. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. With another victory, Miami will send Milwaukee home for the season. Not many out there gave the Heat a chance in this series with the Bucks. After all, Milwaukee was the top seed. While the Heat are dealing with injuries, what has helped them is the way head coach Eric Spoelstra has rotated in players in their absence. It makes it very difficult for Milwaukee to prepare for any one starting lineup. You can expect the Greek Freak to come out here today and try to take this series on his shoulders. However, this will also benefit Miami, as Milwaukee’s offense will become more one-dimensional. No matter what, you can expect the Heat, which have covered seven of their last 10 overall meetings with the Bucks, to come out here and be extremely competitive. They do not want their opponent to gain any momentum. They have also covered five consecutive outings played on one days rest. Meanwhile, the Bucks have failed to cover five of their last six games played overall and four straight outings played on one days rest. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs +100 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs. Home Run Play. Game 908. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Chicago took Game 1 of this series with a authority, blanking San Diego, 6-0. That victory brought the Cubs two .500 this season at Wrigley Field, at 7-7. Both at the plate and on the mound, the Cubs significantly outclass the Padres. They average over two runs per game more in scoring, while they’re pitching staff is yielding nearly one run per game less. Speaking of pitching, Michael Wacha and Drew Smyly are scheduled today. Despite a 2-1 record, the San Diego, right-hander has a whopping ERA of 7.08. He comes off two very bad outings, getting smoked for 12 earned runs in just 8.1 combined innings pitched. The Cubs left-hander is also 2-1. However, he possesses a 3.13 ERA. The team has won his last three starts, in which he has allowed a total of two earned runs in just under 18 innings pitched. If you recall, he was very close to a perfect game in his last outing. Normally, I would love to fade a pitcher on the following start. However, he’s looking to prove a point here. And he can against the team he has been successful against. In four career games, which includes two starts against the Padres, he is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA. In his past seven home starts, Smyly is 3-1 with an anemic ERA of 0.89. The Padres are just 1-5 their last six games played versus the NL Central and 0-4 their last four games played versus left-handed starters. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Game 529. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. A lot of people did not give the New York Knicks even a slim chance in this series with the Cleveland Cavaliers. Coming into the postseason, Cleveland possessed the NBA’s top-ranked scoring defense. However, the switch has been flipped in this match up with New York, as the Knicks have swarmed them with a stifling defense, allowing just 94.0-points per game. In the series opener, the New York proved that they can beat the Cleveland on their own court. My friends, New York has covered six of their last seven meetings with Cleveland going back to December. By the way, they’ve also won six of their last seven meetings straight up. They are a monster road team as far as us bettor‘s are concerned, going 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 games played on the road. They also seem to step up against good teams against the spread, covering 16 of their last 21 games played versus teams of the winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Cleveland has struggled, covering just one of their last five games played at home and one of their last six games played versus teams with a straight up winning record. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-25-23 | Padres v. Cubs -116 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs. HOME RUN PLAY. Game 958. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. We are just be about a month into the season. But make no mistake of it, his is an important game for the Chicago Cubs. A win here would bring them back to .500 at Wrigley field this season. It would also give them some well needed payback for getting swept four games to none the last time they met the San Diego Padres. Very quietly, Chicago possesses a top-three offense in several categories, including the most important, scoring. They rank third in the Majors, accounting for over 5.76 runs per game. Their pitching is also doing quite well. They possess a pitching staff ranking ninth with a Team ERA of 3.67. Speaking of pitching, Blake Snell and Justin Steele are scheduled here today. Snell is just 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA on the campaign, while Steele is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA this season. Both at the plate and on the mound, the Padres are outclassed today. They are accounting for a dismal 3.83 runs per game which ranks them 24th. Their Team Batting Average is almost the worst in baseball, ranking 28th at .216. Just over the last four games, in which they went 3-1, their pitching has allowed 22 combined runs. They are also 0-4 their last four games played following an off day, 1-4 their last five games played versus the NL Central, and 1-4 their last five games played during Game 1 of a series. Chicago is 6-1 their last seven games played following an off day, 5-1 their last six games played following a loss, and 12-3 their last 15 games played during Game 1 of the series. Take the Cubs. Thank you. |
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04-25-23 | Rangers -131 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers. BEST BET PLAY. Game 973. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Add 14-8, the Rangers own one of the best records in baseball. They currently have a 2.5-game lead over the Astros in the AL West. However, they lost yesterday in Game 1 of this series to the Reds. Trust me when I tell you, that won’t would sit well with them. Especially coming against a team that prior to Monday’s opener was on a six-game losing streak. Cincinnati isn’t known to score too many runs. But did outlast Texas yesterday, 7-6. This is a team that both on the mound and that the plate is significantly outclassed here. The Rangers are crushing the ball. Their offense is absolutely exploding, ranking second in the Majors, accounting for over 6.59 runs per game. Their pitching is also top-10, ranking sixth, with a Team ERA of 3.46. Starting today are scheduled to be Perez and Weaver. The left-hander for Texas is off to a 3-1 start with a 3.38 ERA. The Cincinnati right-hander is 0–1 with a 6.00 ERA. The team has won three of Perez’ four starts this season in which he is went a minimum of 5.0 innings in each. Texas is 4-1 their last five games played on the road, 4-0 their last four games played versus right-handed starters, and 4-0 their last four games played following a loss. Take the Rangers. Thank you. |
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04-24-23 | Astros v. Rays -145 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play. Game 908. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Both teams come in to his series on win streaks. But Tampa Bay is undefeated at home, donning a 13-0 mark at Tropicana Field. Owning both the top scoring lineup and the Majors best pitching staff, the Rays are just simply playing the best baseball in the game. Both starters are solid. So, this matchup will come down to the more consistent offense along with the stronger bullpen. And those both belong to Tampa Bay. The Rays are 13-3 their last 16 games played against right-handed starters, 39-13 their last 52 games played at home, and 19-7 their last 16 games played overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 507. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. I feel the line is a little low here, because the odds makers are looking to throw a trap at you folks. Don’t fall for it. Denver has dominated Minnesota, winning and covering all three games of the series thus far, taking the first meeting by 29-points, the second by 9-points, and the third by 9-points as well. Yes, they can afford to ease back a bit. But my friends, why would they? They finish the series off today, and they will have a huge edge over their next opponent, resting, healing, and preparing. The Timberwolves have only covered two of their last 10 games played at home, one of their last seven games played on one days rest, and one of their last five games played following a straight up loss. They are deeply overmatched and they are going to end their season today and start making plans to play golf. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 505. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Knowing that their next opponent, the Philadelphia 76ers are already resting and preparing for the upcoming series, the Boston Celtics can not take their foot off the gas here. It is obvious that they are a better team than their opponent in this series. After taking Games 1 and 2, they were beat in the first road game played on Friday, 130-122. They don’t want to let Atlanta back into series, nor do they want to give up any edge whatsoever. There is no way the Hawks, which are seriously overmatched, can contend with the Celtics. Understand that Boston has dominated Atlanta prior to Friday’s loss, taking seven in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They want to finish the series off so they can get a little time to rest against Philadelphia. By the way, they’ve also covered five of their last six games played following a straight up loss. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings. Game 503. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Taking Games 1 and 2 at home was big for Sacramento. But Game 3, which obviously was the first game being played at Golden State, they were not just embarrassed, they were downright humiliated, being downed 114-97. Perhaps the Warriors have gotten back on track. However, giving a team like the Kings this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Don’t let them trap you here, my friends. Sacramento is not just a healthy squad they also possess the top-scoring offense in the NBA. This is a team that matches up very well with their opponent here. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 15 of their last 21 overall meetings with Golden State, 11 of their last 14 meetings played at Golden State, and 11 of their last 14 overall road games. Take the Kings. Thank you. |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -128 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers on the money line. Game 563. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The number is so low in this match up because Joel Embiid has been listed as out for Game 4. While he is one of the most dominant big men in the NBA, Philadelphia does not need him to beat Brooklyn. The Nets just don’t have the personnel to contend here. They have lost and failed to cover four consecutive outings, all against Philadelphia. They dropped the last game of the regular season back on April 9 at home, 134-105. And as you know, they’ve dropped all three matchups in this series. They are just not loaded up front to take advantage of Embiid’s absence here today. They will also get decimated once again trying to slow down the top-ranked three-point shooting offense in the NBA with their 21st ranked three-point “D”. Going back to November, the 76ers have taken seven consecutive meetings over the Nets, covering six of the seven. Take Philadelphia on the money line. Thank you. |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -5 v. Hawks | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Vegas Insider Move. Game 555. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Obviously, up to two games to none in the series, Boston has had their way with Atlanta. But their domination in this rivalry goes much further back. The Celtics have now taken seven consecutive meetings over the Hawks, both straight up and against the spread. Two of those games were played at the State Farm arena. Speaking of Atlanta, and their home court “advantage,“ they used to be one of the most bankable teams in the NBA when hosting. That’s not the case anymore folks. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played at home. But overall, this team has been quite inconsistent of late, winning just one of their last five outings, both straight up and against the spread. Overall, their defense has been absolutely deplorable, ranking 26th in the league, allowing 118.1 points per game. They just cannot stop, let alone slow down the Boston offense. The Celtics enter this contest running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight games, straight up. And also covering seven of those last eight games as well. You can expect the same outcome here tonight as they will once again dominate Atlanta. And get another win and cover. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-20-23 | Mets -114 v. Giants | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
New York Mets. Double Play release. Game, 909 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. New York enters Game 1 of today’s series with San Francisco as they have started to stride, winning seven of their last nine outings. They are playing exceptionally well when they travel, winning five of their last six road games. Meanwhile, the Giants are struggling. This is a team at 6-11 overall on the campaign, dropping five of their last six overall, and own a dismal home record of 2-4. Today’s starters are scheduled to be Kodai Senga and Sean Manaea. The Mets right-hander is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA on the campaign. The team has won all three of the games that he has appeared in this season. This will be his first ever appearance against the Giants. The San Francisco left-hander is off to a rocky start, having yet to earn a decision, at 0-0 with a 4.76 ERA on the campaign. He has only faced New York twice over his career, with a 3.55 ERA against them. New York is extremely successful when opening a series, winning 42 of the last 60 during Game 1 of a series. Meanwhile, San Francisco has failed to win any of the last four during Game 1 of a series, seven straight following a win, and four of their last five against right-handed starters. Take the Mets. Thank you |
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04-20-23 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. VI MOVE. Game 547. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. There is no way around it. No matter how you cut it, the Brooklyn Nets just do not possess the personnel to compete with the Philadelphia 76ers. Not only do they not have the talent to run in this series, but they are being outcoached as well. Doc Rivers adjustments have been crucial to Philly’s success, taking an overwhelming lead two games to none. For our purposes, not only has the 76ers won four games in a row, they have also covered fourth straight overall outings. They have certainly had Brooklyn’s number. They have won all six meetings with them this season straight up, covering five of the six. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, they dominate Brooklyn. Oddsmakers continue to overvalue the Nets, particularly at home, where they have only covered three of their last seven games played. By the way, they’ve also failed to cover five straight Conference Quarterfinals games as well. The 76ers are just too strong, too deep, too well-coached, and have too much power in the paint. They will once again own the glass here and get another win and cover. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +106 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers. Double Play. Game 963. 11:10 AM PST/2:10 PM EST. Texas has taken Games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 16-2. Kansas City is on a five-game slide. The Rangers have dominated the Royals this season, taking four of five meetings. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Rangers are just too strong for the Royals. They have also won five of their last six road games, six of their last eight games versus right-handed starters, and four of their last five games played versus the AL Central. Kansas City has lost 11 of their last 12 games played at home, four of their last five games played versus left-handed starters, and 92 of their last 134 games played versus the AL West. Take the Rangers. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Braves -127 v. Padres | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves. Double Play release. Game 907. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Once again, this season, the Atlanta Braves are showing that they are not just going to vie for the NL East title, but they will also compete for the National League Pennant as well. At 13-4, they currently possess the best overall record in the NL and the second-best overall record in baseball. They enter today’s Game 2 match up with the San Diego Padres the hottest team in the Majors, winning seven consecutive games. Obviously, this includes yesterday’s Game 1 victory, 2-0. That defeat was San Diego’s fifth over the last six outings. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Braves possess some of the best numbers in baseball. Statistically, offensively they average over 1.3 runs per game, while their pitching staff has a Team ERA of more a half a run less. They have dominated the Padres at Petco Park, taking nine of the last 11 meetings there. Strider and Snell are scheduled starters today. The Atlanta right-hander is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA, while the San Diego left-hander is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA this season. The Braves are money when they travel, winning seven straight games played on the road, while the Padres are just 1-5 the last six games played at home. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Above The Rim Play. Game 553. 4:30 PM PST for 7:30 PM EST. I know a lot of people subscribe to the zigzag method of betting when the NBA postseason comes around. However, I just don’t see the Cavaliers coming out here and dominating the Knicks. New York came out in the series opener with authority, winning and covering, 101-97. That win and cover gave them four consecutive wins and covers against their Eastern Conference rival. A few things did not go their way in the first meeting, and yet they still prevailed. The way the Cavaliers defense has been playing, I just don’t see them stopping the motivated New York offense right now. Just since the last few days of March, they have allowed 120, 130, 105, 113, 94, 106, and 101-points in consecutive contests. New York has covered six of the last eight meetings played in Cleveland, while the Cavaliers have failed to cover four consecutive outings played at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 231 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Under in the Hawks/Celtics matchup. Vegas Insider Move. Games, 531/532. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Game 1 of this series resulted in an under. The way the Boston defense has been playing, they will once again come out and swarm the Atlanta offense. Now, I do feel the Hawks will have to make some sort of an adjustment here. But those adjustments will slow down the pace of this game, which once again, will aid in the results of this game going under the total. The under is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last eight versus teams with a winning record and 4-0 in Boston’s last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the under. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors -115 v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors on the money line. Fast Break Play. Game 523. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. A lot of things went wrong for Golden State in Game 1 of this series with Sacramento. And yet they still only lost by three points. The Warriors are one of the most experienced postseason teams in the NBA. They entered the playoffs winning five of their last six games straight up, and covering four of those games against the spread. They also know that if they go down two games to none, it will be very, very tough to dig themselves out of that hole. I look for this team to step up defensively and frustrate the Kings here tonight. I also look for Steph Curry to lead his team and take this game to on his shoulders. They are 4-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS loss and 32-15 ATS their last 47 Conference Quarterfinals games played. Sacramento is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played after scoring 125 points in the previous game and 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home. Take the Warriors on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Over in the Brooklyn Nets/Philadelphia 76ers matchup. Slam Dunk Play. Games 521/522. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Game 1 of this series saw a combined score of 222 points as the over came in once again. Four of the last five meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry have gone over the total. This matchup, we see two explosive offenses. I think we could all agree that both defenses do not match up well against today’s opponents. Coming into today’s matchup, Brooklyn has played to three overs in the last four outings while Philadelphia has played to four consecutive overs. The stats don’t just stop there as the over is 6-0 on the Nets last six games played following a straight up loss, four of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, and five of their last seven games played on the road. For the 76ers, the over has come in four of their last five games played following a straight up win, five of their last seven home games played against teams with a winning road record, and four straight games played following their defense yielding 100 or more points in the previous game. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Giants v. Marlins -119 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Miami Marlins Double Play release. Game 952. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Losers of three in a row, San Francisco is certainly slumping. Now they travel to LoanDepot Park to face Miami. The Giants have always had trouble away from home. And this season is no different, as they are just 3-5 as a guest. Their pitching has been absolutely deplorable. And today, Logan Webb gets the nod. The right-hander has made three appearances so far this season as the team has lost all three of those contests. He has allowed nine runs on 18 hits in just 17.0 innings pitched. Taking the mound at home is Jesus Luzardo. The left-hander sports a 2-0 record with a 1.93 ERA so far, as a team has won all three games in which he has appeared. In 18.7 innings pitched, he is allowed just four earned runs and fanned a whopping 20 batters. The Giants are just 1-4 their last five games played versus left-handed starters, 1-5 their last six games played during Game 1 of a series, and 10-26 their last 36 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Marlins. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Rays -145 v. Reds | 1-8 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves. RD 1 GOY. Game 513. 7:30 PM PST. Coming into the postseason healthier than your first-round opponent means a lot. There is no question the Timberwolves enter today’s Game 1 matchup with the Nuggets with a bit of a healthier edge. Not only that, but something else I put a lot of stock in going into the playoffs, is momentum. Minnesota has won four of the last five games straight up, covering all five of those outings. They also come in here a little fresher. Denver has not taken the floor since the ninth of the month. And has only won two of the last seven outings straight up. The Timberwolves have covered six of the last seven meetings overall. And going back a bit 24, of the last 31 matchups played in Denver. They have also covered five of the last six games played on the road. This is way too many points to give a very game team that comes in here healthier and riding some momentum. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 507. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Guys, in my opinion this is one of the best matchups we will see in this round of the playoffs. Both teams are very talented. Both teams have some veteran leadership. Both teams have some solid youth. And both teams also go pretty deep bench wise. Unlike several of the other matchups in this round, these two teams aren’t listing a million players on the injury reports. straight up, Golden State got the better of Sacramento this season, taking three or four meetings. They also enter this contest a little bit hotter, both straight up and against the spread. Personally, as I mentioned, I think it’s going to be a very competitive contest. But it’s hard to go against the team that has without question one of the most successful postseason players of this or any generation. And yes, I’m talking about Steph Curry. I really do like Golden State in the first game. The Warriors are 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played on three or more days rest and 32-14 ATS the last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Kings are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played on three or more days rest and 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. The Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors/Sacramento Kings UNDER the total. RD 1 TOTALS GAME OF THE YEAR. Games 507/508. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. With two of the top scoring offenses in the NBA facing two of let’s just say “less than stellar defenses”, you can expect a lot of scoring. However, this is the highest total they have set in the four matchups between these two teams this season. As a matter of fact, this is one of the highest totals set in a playoff game, as far back as I can remember. If you do your math correctly, these two teams have to combine for approximately 60 points per quarter for this game to go over. That means everything must go right for this game to go over the total. As you know very rarely in the NBA does everything go right. And even more rarely, in a Game 1 of a playoff series does everything go right. The under is 7-2 overall the last nine meetings in the series and 4-0 the last four meetings in the series played in Sacramento. Take the under. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Game 505. 3:00 PMN PST/6:00 PM EST. Sports fans, it’s no secret that both of these squads have a laundry list of injuries. For New York, they have questionable‘s on Brunson and Keels. While, Randall and Washington are both out. For Cleveland, they have quite a few players questionable in Okoro, Windler, LeVert, Garland, and Mitchell. Now a couple of those names have no real significance. But several of those players certainly will have a bearing on the team having success in this series. Having said that, the Cavs come into this matchup possessing one of the best defenses in the NBA. However, the Knicks have won and covered both meetings in this rivalry this season. This does include a matchup just two weeks ago on the road at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. As you know, Cleveland tends to get overvalued when hosting, covering just two of the last seven at home. Their ugly, against the spread trends don’t stop there either folks: they’ve also only covered one of the last five games played on three or more days rest, one of the last five games played versus teams with a winning record, one of the last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and just one of the last five overall games. New York may not do it very pretty, but they do, do it. What I’m talking about is covering: they have covered 37 of the last 52 games played on the road, four the last five games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600, and four the last five games played on three or more days rest. Oh, by the way, they have also covered five of the last six games played on the road against teams with a winning home record. I do feel this is way too many points to give New York. Take the Knicks plus the points here in Game 1. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Orioles -113 v. White Sox | 6-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Baltimore Orioles. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +6 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 569. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. It is impossible to overlook Chicago winning and covering all three meetings against Miami this season. They enter today’s match up winning and covering five of the last seven contests. For the most part, which is very rare for this season, particularly at this time of the campaign, they are relatively healthy. The Heat, on the other hand have lost and failed to cover two of the last three outings. And have several key players either banged up or out this evening. Momentum certainly plays a part in a matchup like this. And the Bulls certainly have momentum, winning 11 of the final 17 regular season games and continued to win to rally back from a 19-point third quarter deficit to beat the Raptors two days ago. They have covered eight of the last 11 meetings at the Kaseya Center, four all the last five games played on one days rest, and seven of the last nine games played on the road. Take the points with Chicago. Thank you. |
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04-12-23 | Bulls v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Under in the Bulls/Raptors matchup. Slam Dunk Play. Games, 565/566. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Eastern Conference’s ninth and 10th seeded teams go at each other here this evening. Granted, Toronto took two of the three matchups with Chicago this season. But, all three meetings went under the total. Going back to last season, four straight contests between these two teams have gone under the total. While both offenses possess some less than stellar numbers, both defenses rank in the NBA’s top-10. This is going to be a slow-moving, physical, defensive-minded game. Take the under. Thank you. |
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04-12-23 | Mariners v. Cubs -105 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs. Best Bet Play. Game 928. 11:20 AM PST/2:20 PM EST. These two teams are facing one another going in opposite directions right now. Chicago has taken both Games 1 and 2 of this series to extend their domination of Seattle to seven consecutive victories. The Mariners are in real trouble here, riding a three-game slide and having to face a Cubs opponent starting to surge winning five of the last six outings. The Cubs lineup has been impressive, topping the Majors in Team Batting Average and ranking third in scoring. Logan Gilbert and Marcus Stroman are set to start today. Yet to give up a run this season, Stroman owns a 2-0 record with a 0.00 ERA. Going back to last season, he is 5-0 with a 1.18 ERA in his last six starts. Gilbert has looked good, but sports a losing record at 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA. The only thing worse than the Mariners offense, has been their pitching. Playing the Cubs has been fatal to this team, failing to win the last five games played in Wrigley and 10 of the last 11 overall meetings. They are also just 2-5 the last seven games played on the road, 2-6 the last eight games played versus right-handed starters, and 4-11 the last 15 games played overall. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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04-11-23 | Dodgers -148 v. Giants | 0-5 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. NL WEST GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 961. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. The cure to rebound from a three-game slide for Los Angeles is playing San Francisco. The Dodgers took Game 1 of this series yesterday, 9-1 to extend their dominance in this Division rivalry, taking the last six consecutive meetings. Not only have they won six in a row and nine of the last 10 with the Giants, but the Dodgers, going back a bit, have taken 20 of the last 27 meetings. And that does include eight straight victories at Oracle Park. There’s no debate Los Angeles is a monster team. Both on the mound and at the plate, they are loaded with talent. They currently rank second in the Majors in scoring, averaging over 6.27 runs per game. Believe it or not, they are doing it with the long ball, as they have crushed 21 home runs already. And surprisingly rank second in baseball in stolen bases, accumulating 20 steals. On the other hand, San Francisco is mediocre offensively, and subpar as far as their pitching goes. They’ve also committed quite a few errors already in the field. Today’s starters are scheduled to be Dustin May and Alex Wood. May is off to a wonderful start this campaign, going 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA. The right-hander has pitched over 13.1 innings and has only allowed a single earned run on five hits. Over his career, he has done very well against the Giants in four appearances, which includes two starts, he is a very respectable 2-0 what is 0.79 ERA. The Giants left-hander did not get a decision in his first start less than a week ago. He only went three innings and allowed six hits and one earned run. In his last appearance against Los Angeles, he took a loss going 5.1 innings, allowing nine hits and six earned runs. That was August of last season. The Giants are 9-26 the last 35 games played versus teams with a winning record, which does include a 1-4 mark the last five games played at home versus winners. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-11-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +161 | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Colorado Rockies. Diamond Play. Game 958. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. There is no question the Rockies lineup is starting to heat up, accounting for 25 runs over the last four contests. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday, 7-4. Although the Cardinals have done well overall in this rivalry, they have a tough time playing at Coors Field, where they are just 1-5 the last six meetings. As a matter fact, St. Louis, which happens to be a highly touted team in the NL once again this season, is struggling. They are just 3-7 overall on the campaign, which does include a 1-3 away record. Miles Mikolas and Kyle Freeland are scheduled starters today. The St. Louis right-hander is off to a rocky start, going 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in two outings this season. He has faced Colorado seven times over his career, which does include five starts, sporting a 1-1 record with a whopping ERA of 8.67. Four of those games, which does include three starts and both decisions have come on the road, where his ERA soars to 13.50 at Coors Field. The Colorado left-hander is off to a wonderful start this season, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He is averaging over six innings per start, showing incredible control. Don’t be fooled by his 0-3 career record (in five starts) against St. Louis, Freeland has not gotten the run support during those turns. However, the way the Cardinals are struggling and the fact that they aren’t playing competitive on the road, compels me to side with the home team here. St. Louis is just 1-5 the last seven games played on grass, 2-5 the last seven games played versus the NL West, and 1-6 the seven games played overall. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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04-10-23 | Brewers +129 v. Diamondbacks | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. Monday Money Maker. Game 909. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. At 7-2, the Brewers possess the best record in the National League. With a combination of an explosive lineup and a stellar pitching staff, Milwaukee is surging. They rank sixth in the Majors, averaging over 5.33 runs per game. They also own the third ranked pitching staff, sporting a Team ERA of 2.59. Despite a solid lineup, Arizona is shaky at best. No question this is due to the 24th ranked pitching staff in baseball, with a Team ERA of 5.28. Left-hander, Miley and the right-hander, Gallen are scheduled starters today. Without question, the Brewers starter has looked stronger than the Diamondbacks hurler. Milwaukee has taken 18 of the last 25 meetings with Arizona, four of the last five outings versus the National League West, five straight contests versus right-handed starters, and five of the last seven games played on the road. Take the Brewers. Thank you. |
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04-09-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Best Bet Play Game 966. 10:10 AM, PST/110 PM EST. Pertaining to Tampa Bay yesterday, I made a statement saying, “You can’t argue with success, let alone perfection.” Well folks, the Rays are the only undefeated team left standing in the Majors, at 8-0. This is team that has outscored opponents 64-18 thus far. Not a single game in their eight contests has been decided by less than four runs. This includes games 1 and 2 of this series with the A’s. They have taken Oakland down by a combined score of 20-5. Going back to last season, they have won five consecutive matchups in this rivalry. And my friends, the lowest margin of victory in those five games was three runs. The Rays are doing it both on the mound and at the plate. They currently own the No. 1 pitching staff in baseball, possessing a Team ERA of 2.13. As a matter fact, they rank in the top-three in just about every major category. When batting, they also top the majors in scoring, averaging over 8.00 runs per game. Offensively, they rank in the top-four in just about major category. On the other hand, Oakland is struggling. They are tied for the worst record in the American League as well as dwelling in the West’s cellar at 2-6. Both on the mound and at the plate, their statistics are some of the worst in baseball. They rank 28th in pitching, with a whopping Team ERA of 7.00. They also rank 26th in scoring, averaging a dismal, 3.38 runs per game. Today, James Kaprielian and Drew Rasmussen are schedule starters. The Oakland right-hander was shelled on April 3 for five runs on seven hits in just five innings pitched. A season ago, he was just 5-9 with a 4.23 ERA in 26 starts. The Tampa Bay right-hander held Washington to just two hits over six shutout innings, with seven strikeouts and no walks, also back on April 3. In his only career start against Oakland, Rasmussen earned a victory approximately one year ago, giving up one run and on just one hit in five innings pitched. A season ago, in 28 games started, he was a very respectable, 11-7 with an anemic ERA of 2.84. The A’s are just 18-40 the last 58 games played on the road, 10-21 the last 31 games played versus right-handed starters, 7-19 the last 26 games played versus the American League East, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take the Rays on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-08-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. |
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04-07-23 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-6 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Diamond Play. Game 957. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Los Angeles took Game 1 of this series yesterday by a score of 5-2, to give the team their fifth victory in the seven games they have played this season. At 5-2, they have taken over the top spot in the NL West. And once again, possess one of the best records in all of baseball. Yesterdays, victory gave Los Angeles their third consecutive win. The team is doing it both at the plate and on the mound. They rank fourth in the Majors averaging over 6.14 runs per game. They also rank second in baseball with a Team ERA of 2.14. On the opposite side of the spectrum, Arizona, despite a respectable 3-4 record, is putting up some of baseballs poorest statistics, both at the plate and on the mound. They rank 26th in scoring, averaging a dismal, 3.15 runs per game. They also rank 22nd in pitching, with a whopping Team ERA of 5.40. In a rematch of an April 1 meeting in which the Dodgers prevailed, 10-1, Clayton, Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner are scheduled to start here. The left-hander, Kershaw improved to a 21-11 lifetime record against the Diamondbacks, with a 2.67 ERA in 42 starts. The left-hander, Bumgarner, in 42 career appearances against the Dodgers, which includes 41 starts, is just 16-18 with an ERA of 3.03. He got lit up in the earlier start, allowing five runs in just 4.0 innings pitched. Los Angeles has taken 40 of the last 51 overall meetings in this series. And 21 of the last 28 matchups played in Arizona. They are also 35-16 the last 51 games played on the road, 46-17 the last 63 games played versus the NL West, and 52-22 the last 74 games played versus left-handed starters. On the other hand, Arizona is just 1-6 the last seven games played at home, 0-5 the last five games played versus left-handed starters, and 48-98 the last 146 games played versus the NL West. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-06-23 | Dodgers -145 v. Diamondbacks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. NL West Game of the Week. Game 909. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Once again, this season, the Dodgers are one of the favorites to win the World Series. Once again, this season obviously they are one of the favorites to take the National League Pennant. And once again this season, they are the favorite to win the National League West. At 4-2 thus far, Los Angeles sits atop the division with a one-game lead over Arizona. This is an ideal opportunity for the team to put a little distance between themselves and the rest of the division. This is a rematch of the first series of the 2023 campaign for both teams. A matchup in which the two rivals split out a four-game series. In all sincerity, the Diamondbacks play the Dodgers very tough. However, they enter this matchup struggling, both on the mound and at the plate. They rank 21st with a team ERA of 5.29. They also rank 25th, averaging just 3.17 runs per game. On the other end of the spectrum, Los Angeles began this season off exactly where they left off last season…and that is succeeding both on the mound and at the plate. They rank third with a team ERA of 2.17. They also rank third in runs scored, averaging 6.33 runs per game. While both starting pitchers here have had issues with today’s opposing lineups, there is no question that Dustin May look a lot stronger in his first appearance of the campaign, than did Merrill Kelly. The Dodgers have also dominated this rivalry, taking 20 of the last 27 meetings in Arizona and 41 of the last 53 overall meetings against Arizona. The Diamondbacks have lost five of the last six games played at home, seven consecutive games during Game 1 of a series, and four straight outings following an off day. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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04-05-23 | Tigers v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Tigers/Astros Over. AL Total of the Week. Games, 959/960. 11:10 AM PST/2:10 PM EST Games 1 and 2 of this series have both gone over the total as these two teams had combined to score 24-runs. Going back to last season, Detroit has played to six overs in the last eight outings, while Houston enters today’s matchup playing to five consecutive overs. Rodriguez and Javier are scheduled starters. Neither fared very well in their earlier starts this season. With the way both teams are hitting the ball, and the way both pitchers seem to look in the short campaign thus far, you can expect another high-scoring affair here. The over is 19-6-2 in the Tigers last 27 road games and 5-0 in the Astros last five home games. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-05-23 | Mets v. Brewers -128 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. Diamond Play. Game 956. 10:40 AM PST/1:40 PM EST. The Mets have been blanked thus far in this series with the Brewers, losing the first two games by a combined score of 19-0. Milwaukee has now won four straight games to currently possess one of the best records in the National League. Their pitching has been solid. And their bats have come alive. As a matter of fact, during the current four-game win streak, they have outscored opponents by a combined 31-6. 2021 Cy Young Award winner, Corbin Burnes takes the hill today at home. Over the last two seasons, the right-hander is a very impressive 23-13. In five career games versus New York, which includes four starts, he is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Taking the mound on the road is David Peterson. The left-hander lost a heartbreaker in his first start of the campaign. However, he is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in two career appearances, which includes one start versus the Brewers. New York is just 1-8 the last nine games played versus teams with a winning record and 7-20 the last 27 games played at Milwaukee. The Brewers are 4-1 the last five games played at home and 13-6 the last 19 home games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Brewers. Thank you. |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -155 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
New York Yankees. Grand Slam Play Game 968. 10:05 AM, PST/1:05 PM EST. Well folks, Philadelphia finally got off the schneid yesterday, beating New York, 4-1. It wasn’t so much the pitching was strong for the Phillies. It was just finally the Yankees did not produce offensively. I look for their explosive lineup to bounce back here today, folks. In the previous four outings, New York accounted for 24 combined runs as they went 3-1. With Gerrit Cole on the mound, I expect the ace to get a ton of run support and go deep into the game. Aaron Nola takes the hill on the road in the Bronx. He was shelled in his first outing. Philadelphia is just 1-6 the last seven road games, 1-7 the last eight Interleague games, and 4-9 the last 13 games versus the AL East. New York is 6-1 the last seven Interleague games versus right-handed starters, 14-4 the last 18 Interleague home games, and 12-5 the last seven games played versus the NL East. Take the Yankees. Thank you. |
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04-05-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line Best Bet Play. Game 969. 10:05 AM, PST/1:05 PM EST. My friends, you can’t argue with success, let alone perfection. The Rays stand alone as the only undefeated team in baseball. Going 5-0 to kick off the campaign is big. They are doing it with a combination of stellar pitching and explosive hitting. As a matter of fact, they have outscored opponents 37-11. Of course, this includes winning both Games 1 and 2 of this series against the Nationals. There are high expectations for the Tampa Bay this season. Let’s face it, they play in the most competitive division in baseball. And they have the personnel to win the American League East. On the other hand, preseason predictions say the Washington should figure to be one of the poorest teams in the Majors this year. This is a team that has started the campaign just 1-4, once again they are having problems both at the plate and on the mound. There is no doubt that Shane McClanahan outshines counterpart Patrick Corbin. McClanahan will once again keep another line up at bay, while the Rays light up another starting pitcher. The statistics are bad for the Nationals. But here’s a few just for you to take note of; they are 0-5 the last five games played versus the AL East, 0-4 the last four games played against Interleague opponents, 14-41 the last 55 games played versus left-handed starters, 16-41 the last 57 games played at home, and 27-63 the last 90 games played overall. Take Tampa Bay on the runline. Thank you. |
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04-04-23 | Twins +128 v. Marlins | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Minnesota Twins. Interleague Game of the Week. Game 921. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST Minnesota is only one of two teams left in the Majors still undefeated. The Twins came out of the gate winning their first-four contests with authority. Their hitting has been good. Their pitching has been good. They took Game 1 of this series against Miami yesterday, 11-1. Once again, this season not much is expected of the Marlins. They are off to another rough start at 1-4 thus far. In their five contests thus far, their offense has accounted for a total of nine runs scored. New season, same story. They come into today’s matchup a favorite because they have Sandy Alcantara on the mound. This will be the right-handers second start of the campaign. He went 5.2 innings pitched in his first start with an ERA of 4.76. And did not get a decision. In his career, Alcantara has faced the Twins just once, taking a loss back in July 2019, getting routed for seven runs on 6 hits in just 4.2 innings pitched. He is a very solid and one of the most durable pitchers in the League. Taking the mound on the road today is Kenta Maeda. The right-hander will be making his first start since August 2021. If you recall, he missed last season due to Tommy John surgery. However, a few years back in 2020 shortened season, he was an astounding, 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA to finish second in voting for the American League Cy Young Award. In five career appearances (four starts) against the Marlins, he is 1-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Even with a few players questionable or out here for Minnesota, I still see Maeda getting very solid run support from an offense that has been exploding. Going back several years, Minnesota has taken five of the last seven meetings against Miami. They have also won four consecutive Interleague games, five consecutive games against right-handed starters, and five consecutive games overall going back to last season. Meanwhile, the Marlins are just 16-35 the last 51 home games, 16-36 the last 52 games versus right-handed starters, and 16-39 the last 55 games played versus Interleague opponents. Take the Twins. Thank you |
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04-03-23 | Tigers v. Astros -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the Run Line. Home Run Play. Game 966. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Detroit heads to Minute Maid Park, winless, as the Tigers were swept 3-0 at the hands of Tampa Bay, being outscored, 23-3. They must face a Houston team which, despite splitting a four-game series with Chicago, has had their number. The Astros have taken 20 of the last 27 overall meetings against the Tigers. And this does include four consecutive meetings at home. Going back to last season, Detroit has now dropped six consecutive outings. Left-hander, Matthew Boyd will be making his first start September 2021. Hunter Brown is scheduled to make his third Major League start today. The right-hander made seven appearances, which includes two starts for the Astros a season ago. He was an astounding 2-0 with an anemic ERA of 0.89. On a team full of talent, Brown is creating quite a buzz. The Tigers are 0-6 the last six games played on the road. The Astros or 40-11 the last 51 games played versus left-handed starters, 46-18 the last 64 games played at home, and 38-13 the last 51 games played overall. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
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03-31-23 | White Sox v. Astros -143 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Houston Astros. Diamond Play. Game 908. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Astros are once again predicted to be one of the best teams in the Majors. Taking an Opening Day, 3-2 loss at home against the White Sox does not sit well with the squad. Houston knows that there was a very good chance that they will be seeing the Chicago down the road in the postseason. Granted, that’s a long day away and we are only on the second day of the regular season, but the Astros hate, and I mean hate losing to other top AL opponents. With one of the most explosive lineups in baseball, the they were held to just four hits on Thursday. I look for them to break out here offensively and exact a little revenge from yesterday’s defeat. Starting today for Chicago is Lance Lynn. The right-hander comes off an 8-7 campaign, with the ERA of 3.99. Now folks, I’ve always been a fan of Lynn. In my opinion he has always been a workhorse. And you knew that you’re going to get solid starts from him. However, he is not a kid anymore. And to be quite honest, the Astros are his kryptonite. He will be making his 15th career appearance, which includes 14 starts against Houston. He is winless, at 0-5 with a whopping ERA of 8.80 over his last five starts against the Astros. Christian Javier takes the hill at home. The right-hander, in 30 games last season, which does include 25 starts, went 11-9 with a very respectable ERA of 2.54. And his only career start against the White Sox, which took place last June, he only allowed one run on two hits in five innings to earn a win against them. Chicago is just 5-16 the last 21 meetings in Houston and 10-22 the last 32 overall meetings against Houston. The Astros are a whopping 38-13 the last 51 games played following a loss, 19-7 the last 26 games played versus right-handed starters, and 44-17 the last 61 games played at home. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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03-31-23 | Mets -109 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
New York Mets. Grand Slam Play. Game 901. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. New York, which, despite a few injuries, is still predicted to be a National League elite squad this season. They took Game 1 of this series on Opening Day yesterday, 5-3. Going back to July of last season, the Mets have dominated the Marlins, taking seven of nine meetings. Moving up in the rotation, David Peterson takes the hill on the road for New York. The left-hander won a career high, seven-games a season ago, with a 3.83 ERA in 28 appearances, which included 19 starts. Over his career in five appearances, which does include force starts against Miami, he is a very respectable 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA. Once again, this season, the Marlins are predicted to be one of the poorest teams in the NL. Jesus Luzardo takes the mound at home. The left-hander was just 4-7 a year ago. And in his lifetime, he has faced New York in four starts, amassing a whopping ERA of 5.40. Granted, these are not the best starting pitchers. However, the Mets are significantly stronger both at the plate and in the bullpen. They are also 39-19 the last 58 games played versus the NL East, 5-2 the last seven games played versus left-handed starters, and 5-2 the last seven games played overall. Oh, by the way, they have also taken six of the last seven meetings at a LoanDepot Park. Take New York. Thank you. |
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03-30-23 | Mets -121 v. Marlins | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
New York Mets. Home Run Play. Game 969. 1:10 PM, PST/4:10 PM EST. Once again, this season expectations are high for the New York Mets. Despite some preseason injuries, they are one of the favorites to win the National League pennant. They are touted to win 94.5-games and battle it out with the Atlanta Braves for the NL East crown. For the Miami Marlins, although they’ve made some additions to the club, it seems like it’s going to be another long and disappointing season. Sandy Alcantara takes the mound at home today. The right-hander comes off his best campaign since coming into the Majors in 2017. However, I still don’t see the team putting up too many runs. So, I doubt he’s going to get a ton of run support. Veteran, Max Scherzer takes the hill on the road. Once again, this season, he is touted to be a major part of his teams success. He also comes off a very good campaign. As division rivals, these two squads know each other very well. To say the Mets have dominated would be an understatement. Just over the last few months of the 2022 campaign, New York took seven of the final 10 meetings with Miami. This does include five of the last six matchups at the LoanDepot Park. And while overall the Mets struggle a bit on the road, they are one of the best teams in baseball opening a series, winning 37 of the last 54 in Game 1 of a series. On the other hand, the Marlins are just 12-28 the last 40 games played at home, 10-26 the last 36 games played versus the National League East, 15-31 the last 46 games played versus right-handed starters, and 30-65 the last 95 games played during Game 1 of a series. Take New York. Thank you. |
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03-29-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | 100-107 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota Timberwolves. Fast Break Play. Game 547. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST. With all the brouhaha surrounding the anticipation of Kevin Durant finally back in the lineup, don’t be fooled by the smoke and mirrors. Minnesota is surging, winning four in a row straight up, and going 3-1 ATS. By the way, they’ve covered all three road games during that span. The Suns are safely above the postseason cut line. The Timberwolves are just on the border and can better themselves significantly by winning here tonight, and then again through the next several games. Minnesota has been money, covering the last four games played versus teams with a winning record, seven of the last nine games played on the road, and five of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, Phoenix has failed to cover four of the last five games played versus teams was a winning record and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the T-Wolves. Thank you. |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -115 | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green on the moneyline. No Limit Play. Game 662 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The general public has certainly jumped on Wisconsin here. As of this morning, approximately 65% of all wagers are coming in on the Badgers. I understand why folks. Wisconsin plays and in the stronger conference in the Big Ten. I mean come on, North Texas plays in the lowly, Conference USA. However, the Mean Green were 16-4 in conference play, while the Badgers were the bottom of the barrel in their conference, going 9-11 in the Big Ten. Overall, these two teams have good records. But you cannot deny the fact UNT has amassed a record of 29-7 straight up, covering 20 of 34 lines games. You can ignore the fact this team possesses the No. 1 defense in the nation, allowing just 55.4-points per game and a mere, 40.1% shooting from the floor. You also further cannot ignore the fact they rank third in college basketball on the defensive glass. I doubt Wiscy, which already has a lackluster offense, averaging a mere, 65.2-points per game, is going to put up any points or get too many second-chance opportunities. Yes, I understand North Texas doesn’t score too much either. However, you don’t have to when you’re holding opponents under 60-points per game. Now as of this morning, forward Abou Ousmane is listed as doubtful tonight for the Mean Green. He is a heck of a player, folks. And Wisconsin does have a strong front court. But…and there is always a but…but North Texas, certainly has the depth to rotate in other big men. The Mean Green have also been money, covering 14 of the last 20 games played on neutral sites, 10 of the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record, 10 of the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 11 of the last 14 games played overall. Meanwhile, the Badgers have only covered one of the last 12 games played following a straight up win and seven of the last 24 games played overall. Take North Texas on the money line. Thank you. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls +5 v. Clippers | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 515. 7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST. Following a very embarrassing loss for a playoff-bound team, I would normally look to jump back on the Clippers in a situation like this. Los Angeles comes off at 131-110 defeat at home against New Orleans two nights ago. However, this team is banged up. And there are certain angles here that prompt me to side with Chicago. With only a handful of games left in the regular season, the Bulls are just north of the postseason cut line. They need every win they can get right now. They are starting to run hot, winning seven of the last nine ball straight up and against the spread. They come in here off of back-to-back road wins and covers. As a matter fact, they won and covered five consecutive outings as a visitor. Chicago is looking for a little payback, as they took a home loss the last day of January to the Clippers 108-103. It looks like Paul George (check status) will not be ready again this evening. Los Angeles has struggled, to say the least, in his absence. In the first meeting, the forward put up 16-points and 10-rebounds. As I mentioned, they are struggling without him on the floor. I just don’t see the Clippers and their lack luster offense putting too many points up on the very nasty, very frustrating, seventh ranked defense of the Bulls. Chicago has covered four of the last five meetings in Los Angeles and five of the last seven overall games played versus Los Angeles. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 655. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. With all respect to the Longhorns, the Hurricanes match up well with them. They also come in here 100% healthy. Texas will not know until just prior to the game time if their top postseason scorer and rebounder, Dylan Disu (check status) will be playing here. Even if he plays, the forward will not be 100% as he is dealing with a foot injury. As I mentioned earlier, Miami matches a very well here. Offensively, they score a little more per game. They are also more accurate from downtown, the free throw line, and overall, on the floor. Let’s not forget that defensively, the Hurricanes are monsters on the boards. Arguably, one of the best backcourts in college basketball belongs to the Hurricanes with Wong and Miller. Throw into the mix that forward, Omier and guard, Pack have taken their games up a notch, and that spells doom for Texas. The Hurricanes have the speed, the height, the muscle, the intelligence, and the depth to not just contend here this matchup, but to win it. Giving this team four-points (at the time of posting this) is a huge mistake. They have covered six of the last seven games in NCAA Tournament, nine of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record, and four of the last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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