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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-21-10 | Louisville v. Southern Mississippi UNDER 57 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
Exceptionally high Total (57-58 points at most books) posted by the Oddsmakers for Tuesday's St. Petersburg Bowl considering that Louisville has ended 7 of their 12 games this season with a Final combined scored of 48 points or less! In fact, Louisville scored 28 points or less in 9 of their 12 games. Southern Miss plays this after losing their final game of the regular season 50-56 at Tulsa, but toss out that high scoring game as Tulsa is ranked a horrible 119th in the country against the pass and averaged 40 points per game this season. Southern Miss has gone "Under" in 20 of 28 games when playing their second of back-to-back games away from home. While points will be scored, must play the "Under" as both teams like to use their powerful running attacks to control the clock and field position.
10* Play On UNDER |
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12-20-10 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 33 | Top | 40-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
Monday Night Football offers an extremely low Total due to possible bad weather conditions and the Vikings playing without QB Farve, and most likely to be led by rookie QB Joe Webb or newly signed QB Patrick Ramsey. However, the lack of ball control will force the Vikings' defense to be on the field all night against a Chicago squad that won the first meeting 27-13 at home. The Bears have scored 22 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games. With the Bears in the NFC Playoff hunt, expect another solid effort against the Vikings as we find Chicago going "Over" in 8 of their last 9 games as Division Favorites of 4 points or more.
10* Play on OVER |
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12-19-10 | Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 40 | Top | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show |
Miami (7-6) hosts AFC East Division rival Buffalo (3-10) on Sunday, where the Dolphins are a horrible 1-5 SU this season. Dolphins back to starting QB Henne to lead an offense that had only six first downs and five pass completions last week during a 10-6 victory over the Jets. That game marked the 6th time in their last 7 games that the Miami Dolphins held their opponent to 17 points or less. Expect another huge defensive effort from a Dolphins squad that has gone "Under" in 16 of 21 home games after allowing 9 points or less in their previous game. Miami won the first meeting against Buffalo 15-10 in a game that easily went "Under" the total and now the Bills enter Sunday's game scoring 19 points or less in 6 of their last 7 games. These division rivals know each other very well, which means we can expect a low-scoring defensive battle, as we find Buffalo at 2-10 (Over/Under) as Division road dogs of 8 points or less.
10* Play on UNDER |
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12-16-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 45 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
San Francisco comes off their highest scoring effort of the season, a 40-21 victory over Seattle last Sunday. Let's not forget that those 40 points were aided by 4 Interceptions by Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck and that these Niners have struggled to reach 5 wins even though they play in the worst division in the NFL. On Thursday night things won't be so easy for the struggling 49ers offense, as they'll play at San Diego, against a Chargers squad that has held 3 of their 4 opponents since the All-Star break to 14 points or less, including a 31-0 shutout of Kansas City last weekend! Combine those stingy Charger's defensive numbers with the fact that the 49ers have are 2-5 SU on the road, while scoring ONLY 6, 10, 14, 20 and 20 points in 6 of those road games and we're backing the "Under" in a low scoring defensive battle.
10* Play On UNDER |
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12-09-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans OVER 45 | Top | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
Indianapolis fell to 6-6 after losing their 3rd straight game, 38-35, to Dallas in Over Time. Not only was that loss to the Cowboys their second loss in a row at home, but they fell a game back of Jacksonville in the AFC South Division race. Since QB Payton Manning has been the signal caller for these Colts, it's EXTREMELY RARE to find a spot on their past performances where they lost 3 STRAIGHT games, but since the 2000 season Indianapolis has posted a 6-0 (Over/Under) record after losing 3 or more games in a row behind QB Manning! With ALL 6 of those games going "Over" the Total, we're looking "Over" for the 7th consecutive game in this Situation as the Colt's defense has allowed 31, 36 and 38 points in those 3 losses. Even worse, the Colts have allowed 24 points or more in 5 of their 6 road games this season which is great news for a Tennessee squad that's under tons of pressure from ownership and management to put points on the board after going without scoring a TD in their last 13 Quarters of play. Expect a high scoring shootout on Thursday Night Football.
10* Play On OVER (Colts/Titans) |
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11-21-10 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 31 m | Show |
Both of these teams have explosive offenses, as we find the NY Giants going "Over" the Total in 4 straight games and Philadelphia going "Over' in 5 games in a row. The Eagles come off a 59-28 win over Washington on Monday Night Football, and have now scored 27 points or more in 6 of their 9 games this year while going posting a 18-9 (Over/Under) record in their last 27 games. They'll host a NY Giants squad that's scored 27 points or more in 5 of their 9 games and own a 8-3 (Over/Under) record during their last 11 road games. The Oddsmakers can post this Total as high as they want, but we're still playing the "Over" as both games between these Division rivals went "Over" last season (45-38 & 40-17).
10* Play On OVER (NY Giants/Philadelphia) |
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11-14-10 | New England Patriots v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 45 | Top | 39-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 8 m | Show |
New England looked rusty on the road last Sunday in Cleveland when returning from their Bye week and losing 34-14 to drop to 6-2 SU. They stay on the road to take on a Pittsburgh (6-2) squad in a game which will determine who has the best record in the AFC. That loss marked the WORST offensive effort by the Patriots this season (only 14 points scored)and expect a better effort against the Steelers as Pat's QB Tom Brady is 3-1 against Pitt QB Roethlisberger. In fact, we find New England going "Over" the Total in 10 of 12 games after being held to 14 points or less under Head Coach Bill Belichick.
10* Play On OVER (NE/Pitt) |
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11-08-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41.5 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 15 m | Show |
Pittsburgh (5-2) in the midst of an AFC North Division battle with Baltimore after losing to New Orleans, 20-10, last weekend. With QB Roesthlisberger missing the first 4 games of the season, the Steeler's had to rely on the defense in order to win games. "The Steel Curtain" is alive and well in Pittsburgh, as the Steelers posted a 3-1 record using their second and third string QBs the first 4 games. In fact, Pitt has HELD ALL 7 opponents to 22 points or less, while allowing an NFL-low 14 points per game this season! Cincinnati has struggled on offense this year, especially their running game, which has been held to 94 yards or less in 4 of their 7 games. Without a running game, the Steeler's will have no trouble stopping QB Carson Palmer. With Pittsburgh owning a 15-4 SU record during their last 19 trips to Cincinnati, we're backing the "Under" as we find Pittsburgh going "Under" in 13 of 16 Road games after a loss by 10 points or more.
10* Play On UNDER (Pitt/Cincy) |
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11-01-10 | Houston Texans v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 51 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
After winning 15 straight games in this series, Indianapolis finally lost to Houston, 34-24, back on the NFL's opening weekend on September 12th. Indianapolis Head Coach Caldwell is 2-0 SU & ATS when playing with revenge since taking control of the Colts last season. Expect him to put together a winning defensive game plan as the Colts get home field advantage for this second meeting, especially knowing that Indy has only allowed 9 & 14 points in their other two home games this season! Much has changed in the 7 weeks since these two squads last met, as the Colts have improved each week and posted a 4-1 record since opening the year losing in Houston. Houston is just 3-2 since upsetting the Colts and won their previous game 35-31 at home over Kansas City. Houston is 2-5 (Over/Under) after scoring 29 points or more in their previous game and now play play on the road. Must play on "Under" as both teams return from their Bye week, and we find Houston going "Under" in 5 of 6 games when playing with a week of rest.
10* Play On UNDER (Colts/Texans) |
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10-31-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 45 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
The Saints not looking like the Super Bowl champions from 2009, as they host Pittsburgh on Sunday Night Football, owning a 4-3 record after getting upset 30-17 by the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. We find the Saints going UNDER in EVERY GAME after losing OUTRIGHT as the favorites in their previous game since the 2008 season! In fact, the Saints are 0-5 (Over/Under) after losing as favorites, including 0-2 (Over/Under) this season, as they won 18-14 (32 points scored) over Carolina and 31-6 (37 points scored) over Tampa Bay following their first two losses this season. Playing the UNDER, as the Saints fly under the Total for the 6th straight time in this Situation as they host a Steelers defense that has held 4 of their 6 opponents to 13 points or less and are ranked #1 in the NFL for points allowed, holding their foes to just 13.7 points per game.
10* Play On UNDER (PITT/NO) |
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10-24-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 44 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
QB Farve not only beat his former Packer teammates twice last year with the Vikings, he covered the spread in both of the games (2-0 SU & ATS) while throwing for 515 yards with seven touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Both of those games went "Over," ending with 53 (30-23) and 64 (38-26) points scored. In fact, 4 straight games in this series (2008 & 2009 series) have all gone "Over" the Total. That's not surprising as Minnesota has gone "Over" in 41 of their last 64 road games against Division opponents. Minnesota (2-3) is not as good of a team as they were last season, but last Sunday's game against Dallas was a "must win" situation for both teams and the Vikings kept their season alive with the victory. Now that Green Bay (3-3) has lost back-to-back games, the Vikings could officially put that slow start behind them and put themselves in a Division race tie with the Packers. With WR Randy Moss learning more of the offense every week, the Vikings deep threat will make it easier to open holes for RB Petersen. Combine the powerful offensive with the possibility of getting back in the Division race, and we're playing "Over" as we know that Minnesota is 6-0 Over/Under as road Dogs of 3 points or less!
10* Play On OVER (GB/Minny) |
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10-04-10 | New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 48 | Top | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
Monday Night Football features a battle between AFC East rivals, New England (2-1) at Miami (2-1). The Patriots find themselves as slight road Favorites as both teams enter at 2-1, with both of their losses coming against the New York Jets. Miami lost to the Jets last weekend on Sunday Night Football, 31-23, they remain at home for Monday Night Football knowing that they have gone "Under" in 7 of 8 games at home following a home loss. New England lost to the Jets 28-14 in their only road game of the season, in a game that went "Over" the extremely low 39 point Total late in the game. Since last season, it was the FIRST TIME that these Patriots went "Over" the Total as road Favorites, as we now find them at 1-5 (Over/Under) in the road Favorite role. The Patriots have gone "Over" in each of their first 3 games this season (2 of these 3 games were played at home), but their offense has struggled away from New England, having gone "Under" in 6 of their last 9 road games. These two Division rivals know each other well, with Miami covering both meetings last year. These games have been closely played since Head Coach Sparano took over in Miami, as both games last year also going "Under" the Total with final combined scored of 43 (22-21) and 44 points (27-17).
10* Play On UNDER (NE/Miami) |
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10-03-10 | Chicago Bears v. New York Giants OVER 44 | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
The Giants (1-2) host an undefeated Chicago Bears (3-0) squad on Sunday Night Football while trying to avoid losing their 3rd straight loss, after winning their season opener over Carolina. They enter this off back-to-back losses, including a 10-29 home loss last Sunday to Tennessee. Expect QB Eli Manning and company to put some points on the board in front of a home crowd as we find them going "Over" in EVERY GAME (6-0 Over/Under) after being held to 10 points or less in their previous game since the 2005 NFL season. while those six games ended with an average of 55 combined points scored and ALL 6 games ending with at least 45 points scored (Note: 45, 51, 55, 59, 62 & 62 points scored).
10* Play On OVER (Chicago/NY Giants) |
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09-26-10 | New York Jets v. Miami Dolphins OVER 35 | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show |
The NY Jets (1-1) head to Miami (2-0) unexpectedly trailing the Dolphins in the Division race, as it was the Jets that just missed going to the Super Bowl by one game last season. However, the Dolphins won and covered the spread in both meetings last season, which is not surprising as Miami QB Henne is now 6-1 ATS in Division games. While the Jets are known for the stout defense, last year's 2 meetings ended going "Over" the Total, with 55 and 58 combined points scored! That's trouble for a Jets squad that already lost starting Nose Tackle Jenkins and now saw star CB Reavis pull a hamstring last week. Reavis is the Jets best man-to-man coverage back and without him, they must change schemes into a zone, especially to cover leading Dolphins WR Marshall. This will be Miami's home opener after 2 low scoring road victories, but expect a higher scoring game as we find the Fish going "Over" in 6 of 7 games as home Favorites after back-to-back road games and 16-6 (Over/Under) at home off a road win as Dogs.
10* Play On OVER (JETS/MIAMI) |
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09-20-10 | New Orleans Saints v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 44 | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
New Orleans returned to win their season opener at home, successfully defending their Super Bowl title off during last Thursday's 14-9 victory over Minnesota, winning a rematch of the NFC title game. While they walked away at 1-0, the Saints scored their fewest points in a win in Sean Payton's 4 seasons as Head Coach. New Orleans finished the game with 308 total yards, about 100 yards below their league-best average of 403.8 during the 2009 season. However, it was their first game in 7 months and they faced a very tough Viking's defensive unit, but QB Breese still managed to completed a very impressive 27 of 36 (75%) passes! Things should be easier against a 49ers crew that allowed 31 points to Seattle (lost 31-7) last Sunday, especially knowing that QB Breese is Brees is 4-0 against the Niners, passing for 1,221 yards, 10 touchdowns & only 2 Interceptions in the last four meetings. Playing the "Over" as these Saints have now gone "Over" in 10 of 11 (91%) games when playing a team that has not won a game yet that season (Week #1 games not included).
10* Play On OVER (Saints @ 49ers) |
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09-19-10 | New York Giants v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 48 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
The Colts opened their year with a 34-24 loss to Houston, marking just the 3rd time in the past 10 seasons that Indianapolis opened their year with a loss behind QB Peyton Manning. With QB Manning at the controls these Colts have always been an offensive minded club, but their defense showed how much work it needed when allowing 34 points and 257 rushing yards to Division foe Houston, who they had beaten 6 straight games since 2007. With the Colts needing a victory to avoid an 0-2 start, which has not happened in the past 10 years, they'll depend on QB Manning and company to trade points with a NY Giants squad that look solid while putting up 31 points against Carolina last Sunday. This Sunday Night game will fly over the Total as we find the Colts going "Over" in 15 of 19 games following a loss to a Division opponent.
10* Play On OVER (NY Giants @ Indianapolis) |
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09-13-10 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 42 h 4 m | Show |
Kansas City won 4 games last season, which doubled their 2 wins in 2008 behind new HC Todd Haley, GM Scott Pioli and QB Matt Cassel. With a full season under their belts, the "big 3" are feeling much more comfortable in their roles with the Chiefs and expect more improvement during 2010, including the addition of 1st round Safety Eric Berry. The Chiefs host division rival San Diego on Monday Night Football and it's important the "big 3" to put forth a good showing at home in front of a national TV audience and and they know exactly what to expect from QB Philip Rivers and company. We find Kansas City at an incredible 1-16 (Over/Under) in their first home game of the season, including solid efforts since 2005, with those 5 games ending with a combined Final scores of just 23, 31, 23, 33 and 30 combined points.
10* Play On UNDER (SD @ KC) |
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09-12-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 40 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features an NFC East Division rivalry, as Washington hosts Dallas. The Cowboys enter as the reigning NFC East champs, winning their first Playoff game in 13 years last season and return 20 of 22 starters from that squad. Dallas Head Coach Wade Phillips enters his 4th season as Head Cowboy and has gone "Under" in his previous 3 road trips to Washington. Those 3 games have all been defensive battles, ending with 17 (17-0), 24 (14-10), and 33 (27-6) Total Points Scored. No reason for anything to change in front of a national television audience, especially as Washington begins their first campaign under former Broncos Head Coach, Mike Shanahan and former Eagles QB, Donovan McNabb and 8 other signed Free Agents. While Shanahan will no doubt improve this Redskins team, it won't happen overnight and Washington opened last season by scoring 17 points or less in their first 8 games. Sunday Night Football begins with a low-scoring Under.
10* Play on UNDER (Dallas@Washington) |
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