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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-17 | Steelers v. Bengals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 35 m | Show |
While the first meeting between these teams this year ended with the Steelers winning 29-14 and barely going Over 41, this series has gone Under in 5 of the last 7 meetings (2-5 Over/Under). The Steelers come off their 2 highest acoring games of the season, scoring 40 against Tennessee and 31 against Green Bay last weekend. Expect this Pittsburgh offense to come back down to earth this Monday Night on the road against an AFC North division rival that knows them well. Combine the Bengals averaging just 18 points per game with the Steelers offense ready to "level off" after back-to-back high scoring games, and we're playing UNDER 43.5 points knowing the weather will be windy and 50 degees in Cincy on Monday Night Football 20* Play On UNDER 43.5 Points (MNF - Steelers at Bengals) |
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11-09-17 | Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 41 | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
The Cardinals are 1-6 Over/Under in their last seven games. Now they start QB Stanton and will depend on the running of newly acquired RB Peterson. They face a division rival, Seattle, that not only owns a solid defense but they know this Arizona offense. Expect Seattle to trust the "legion of boom" to handle Stantons passing and will be able to load up the box to stop the run. Expext that to produce a low scoring game and a ball control offense. With Arizona at 1-5 Over/Under this year when they rush for 90 yards or less, we're playing the UNDER 41. 20* Play On UNDER 41 |
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10-08-17 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 39 | Top | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 119 h 40 m | Show |
Despite the fact that both of these teams are struggling on offense, with the Browns averaging just 15.7 points per game and the Jets averaging 18.7 points per game, most bettors will stay away from the UNDER because these teams are only 2-6 SU combined this year. Forget it, with QB Kizer only completing 51% of his passes, we're looking Under 39 points. NFL Teams that are 0-3 heading into week #4 are 6-18 Over/Under since 2009, but are 0-7 Ovet/Under if playing at home- like these 0-3 Browns! 20* Play On UNDER 39 (Browns/Jets) |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 95 h 2 m | Show |
The Giants opened the 2017 season by losing to their division rival, Dallas Cowboys, 19-3. That 3 point effort moves these G-Men to scoring 19 points or less in 7 STRAIGHT games dating back to last year! Combine that with a nasty defensive unit that held foes to just 19 points per game last season, including 9 of 16 opponents to 20 points or less, and also held an explosive Cowboys offense to 19 points in their Week #1 battle. This is the Giants home opener on Monday Night Football, expect their defense to be "up" for a huge effort on National TV, especially knowing that the G-Men are 1-4 Over/Under in their home openers the last 5 years behind QB Eli Manning. 20* Play On UNDER 43.5 points |
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01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 32 m | Show |
Why is it so tough to win in Green Bay during the NFL Playoffs? Because a look at this weekend's weather at the "frozen tundra" of Lambeau Field shows that it's supposed to be a high of 15 degrees, with a low of 2 degrees and windy. That type of weather usually produces low scoring, defensive battles and forces teams to rely on their rushing games. The trouble with that is the Packers have been held to 99 rushing yards or less in 8 of their 16 games this year and they face a Giant's defense that's allowed just 86 rushing yards per game on 3.6 yards per carry. Since November 14th and the weather started to look like winter, the Giant's last 8 games ended with a combined final score of: 17, 23, 29, 38, 38, 40, 41 & 43 points. Note that ALL 8 of those games would have gone UNDER Sunday's posted Total of 44.5 points! With teams "turning it up" for the Playoffs knowing that it's lose and go home, we're backing another Under! 20* Play On UNDER 44.5 points (Giants/Packers) |
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12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys UNDER 47 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show |
These are the 2 HOTTEST teams in the NFC facing off on Sunday Night Football. Dallas had their 11 game winning streak (11-0 SU & 9-2 ATS) snapped last Sunday by their Division-rival NY Giants when losing 7-10. They host a Tampa Bay crew that's on a 7-2 SU & ATS winning run, with their only 2 losses coming against Playoff-caliber Oakland and Atlanta. The Bucs are winning with a stingy defense that's given up an NFL-low 12.8 points per game since week #10 and allowed just 6 TDs during that time. They've held 5 STRAIGHT foes to 21 points or less, including an explosive Saint's offense to only 11 points last week and previously holding postseason-headed Seattle to 5 points and KC to 17 points. With Dallas coming off their 2nd loss of the year and QB Dak Prescott playing more conservative this week after throwing just 166 passing yards against the G-Men, expect this nationally televised Sunday Night game to be a low scoring defensive battle just like when these 2 teams met last November during Tampa's 10-6 home victory! Playing the UNDER as we find the Cowboys owing an 0-6 Over/Under record during December games, including 0-2 Over/Under in December this year. 20* "Sunday Night Game of the Year" Play On UNDER (Cowboys/Bucs) |
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12-11-16 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 40.5 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
At 0-12 Cleveland hasn't won at game this season, but it seems like things are actually getting worse as the Browns have been held to 13 points or less in 4 STRAIGHT games. During November, they've scored 13 points against the Giants, 9 against the Steelers, 7 against Baltimore and 10 against the Cowboys. This Sunday, they'll start RG3 for the 1st time since he was injured during a 29-10 loss to the Eagles back on week #1. He'll be facing a Bengals defense that's allowing only 21 points per game this year, including holding 5 of their last 6 foes to 21 points or less! With the weather in Cleveland expected to be a cold 34 degrees and snowing, we'll play the UNDER 40.5 points knowing that the Browns have gone Under in 11 of 12 (92%) games since last year during the 2nd half of the season (Week #8 and after). 20* "NFL Gold Club Total" Play On UNDER (Browns/Bengals) |
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09-04-16 | Notre Dame v. Texas UNDER 59 | Top | 47-50 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
Notre Dame lost their last 2 games of the last season and now only return 10 of 22 starters (5 offensive and 5 defensive). Expect them to need some time to shake the rust off, especially on offense, so we're backing the UNDER. Our NCAA-F System has cashed is 8-30 Over/Under the first 2 weeks of the College season on Totals between 56 and 63 if the team lost their last 2 games of the previous year, but was over .500%. Texas had trouble scoring against Top 25 teams last season, including a 38-3 loss to this Notre Dame crew that held teams to just 24 points per game in 2015. This might be a Nationally televised game, but it's going to be a low scoring, defensive battle 20* Play On UNDER (Notre Dame/Texas) |
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01-24-16 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 44.5 | Top | 18-20 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 56 m | Show |
Sunday's AFC Championship game is a rematch from November 29th, when the Broncos won at home, 30-24, while getting +2.5 points at home and going Over the 43 point Total. The Patriots lead 14-7 at Halftime, before QB Manning rallied his Broncos for the home victory. Six of the last 7 meetings in this series have gone Over the Total and with these 2 All-Pro QBs, Manning & Brady, already getting a look at the defenses, expect the to put up more points in this second meeting. In fact, we find New England owning a 10-1 Over/Under record when seeking revenge from an upset loss as a road favorite behind HC Belichick, with the average final score of 54.8 points. |
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01-09-16 | Chiefs v. Texans UNDER 40.5 | Top | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 115 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City finds themselves as road favorites as they head to Houston for Saturday's Playoff game. These teams met way back in Week #1, September 13th, with Kansas City winning, 27-20, as -1 point road favorites. K.C led 27-9 at the Half and did NOT score any points in the final 2 quarters, while Houston only score 11 points in the 2nd Half. While this is a low Total on Saturday, we had almost an identical Total posted in the 1st meeting, as the opener had a Total of 40 points. These teams are both WAY DIFFERENT now, then back 17 weeks ago, as the Chiefs enter this on a 10 game winning streak and haven't lost since a week before Halloween. However, they've tighten up on defense, holding ALL 10 of those opponents to 22 points or less and 7 of them to 14 points or less! Houston is also playing MUCH better football, ending their year on a 7-2 winning steak, with 6 of those 9 games going "Under" the Total while holding their final 3 foes to only 6, 6 & 10 points. The Texans defense has allowed only 1 TD in the last 9 quarters of play. Backing the "Under" as we expect a conservative Playoff game that ends as a low scoring, defensive battle, especially with Houston getting better with every passing week and the combined points in their 8 home games were 26, 28, 30, 33, 36, 41, 47 & 47 points this season. |
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12-13-15 | Patriots v. Texans OVER 44.5 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -107 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
The Patriots comes off back-to-back losses after getting upset by the Eagles last weekend. We know that under HC Belichick and QB Brady it's very rare for New England to lose 2 STRAIGHT games, but what happens when they do? Well, it's only happened TWICE since 2010, but when it does the Patriots come up with a huge offensive effort. In 2011, after losing 2 consecutive games, the Patriots returned to win 37-16 against the NY Jets and then in 2012 they rebounded with a 52-28 victory over Buffalo. Due to the Patriots high octane offense, those games ended with combined scores of 53 points and 80 points, both games going easily Over the Total. With the Total in the low 40s, we're backing the Patriots to go Over on Sunday Night Football in front of a national TV audience. |
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11-29-15 | Patriots v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 35 m | Show |
This isn't Peyton Manning's Broncos team anymore, it's QB Brock Osweiler's offense using field position, ball control and a stingy defense to win games. This was seen last Sunday when Denver beat the 4-6 Bears, 17-15, combining for 32 total points. Since their "bye" week Denver is just 2-2 SU and they now host a Patriots team that's held 3 of their last 4 foes to 13 points or less (7, 10, 13 & 26 points). The Patriot's have also lost many offensive weapons, including WR Edlemen and RB Lewis, going "Under" the Total in 3 of their last 4 games. Not surprisingly, Denver has also gone "Under" in 3 of their last 4 games as well. Even with the injuries, this match-up might feature the 2 best teams in the AFC, as they combine for an 18-2 record, so we're expecting a hard fought, defensive-minded battle on Sunday Night Football. |
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10-26-15 | Baltimore Ravens v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 49 | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
While the home favored Arizona Cardinals look like they're going to get another win hosting the Ravens on Monday Night Football, we're not willing to lay the inflated number knowing that Baltimore comes in owning an 0-5-1 ATS record this season. It's EXTREMELY rare for NFL teams to fail to cover the spread 6 straight games since the Vegas Oddsmakers are constantly analyzing and changing their point spreads. Instead, we're playing the Over knowing that these Cardinals own a 5-1 Over/Under record this season, including going Over in ALL 3 of their home games while scoring 22, 31 and 47 points in those home contests. They now face a struggling Ravens defense that's allowing 27 points per game this year and have allowed 25 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games. Adding to their defensive troubles, the offense has scored 20 points or more in 5 straight games while averaging 24 points per game behind QB Joe Flacco and talented RB Forsett. The Ravens have trouble defending the pass, and these Cardinals throw down field with QB Palmer more than anyone in the NFL. Playing the OVER as we find Baltimore also going Over in 4 of their last 5 games and have gone Over in 20 of their last 29 non-conference games behind HC John Harbaugh. |
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10-25-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 101 h 19 m | Show |
After a slow start, the Eagles head into Sunday Night Football with a 3-3 record after winning back-to-back games in impressive fashion. These Eagles have looked much better during their last 2 victories, beating the Saints by 22 points, 39-17, and last week beating the Giants by 20 points, 27-7. In fact, these Eagles have now scored 20 points or more in 4 straight games, putting up 20, 24, 27 & 39 in their last 4 efforts. They face a Carolina crew that's now won 9 consecutive Regular season games dating back to week #14 of the 2014 season. They host the Eagles on SNF knowing that QB Cam Newton has the offense humming at 5-0, while scoring 20 points or more in ALL 5 games this year. This Sunday Night battle has both of these teams wanting to prove to a national TV audience that they are for real and expect this game to turn into an offensive shootout between the undefeated Carolina offense led by QB Newton and the now-on-track Eagles offense behind QB Bradford and RB Murry, who comes off a solid game which he rushed for 109 yards on 22 carries against the Giants. Backing the OVER knowing that these Eagles are 11-1 Over/Under as dogs against a non-division opponent that owns a record above the .667% win percentage. |
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09-24-15 | Washington Redskins v. NY Giants UNDER 44 | Top | 21-32 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
The Giants might be 0-2 as they host division rival Washington on Thursday Night Football, but led BOTH of those games by 10 points or more before losing those games late in the 4th quarter. Expect the G-Men to get their first win of the season while playing at home against a Redskins team that they've gone 4-0 SU & ATS during the past 2 seasons. They face a Washington crew that has put together a solid defensive unit this season while allowing just 27 combined points in their first 2 games against Miami (17-pts) and St. Louis (10-pts) as both games went "Under" the Total. Backing Washington to go "Under" for the 3rd straight game to open their season, especially knowing that the Giants are 0-5 Over/Under when hosting Washington in QB Eli Manning's career! |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers OVER 49 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
NFL week #2 Sunday Night Football features a rematch of last year's NFC Championship game as Seattle heads to Green Bay. Both teams scored 31 points last week in games that went "Over" the Total, with Green Bay beating the Bears 31-23 and Seattle losing to St. Louis in Over-Time 34-31. This is the Packer's home opener and their backers know that QB Rogers and company are 7-1 Over/Under their last 8 as home favorites. Seattle lost the Super Bowl last year, but they also lost a key member of the "Legion Of Book" as CB Cam Chancellor is sitting out in a contract dispute. How much does he mean to that defense? Well, the Ram's put up 34 points behind QB Foles, who was making his first start with the Rams. The Rams scored 14 points more than their 20 point average in 2014. This isn't the same defense that held the Packers to 22 points in that 2014 NFC Championship game and must expect QB Rogers to want revenge for that loss which cost him another Super Bowl appearance. Backing the "Over" in a game that will turn into a Sunday Night shootout as we find Seattle going Over in 14 of their last 16 games against NFC North teams. 20* Play on OVER (Packers/Seahawks) |
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01-11-15 | Dallas Cowboys v. Green Bay Packers OVER 51.5 | Top | 21-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
Green Bay is an unbeaten 8-0 at home this season while scoring 26 points or more in ALL 8 of those home games and are averaging 39.7 points per game (9.3 PPG more than season avg) at Lambeau Field this season for a 7-1 Over/Under record. On Sunday, they'll open their postseason by hosting a Dallas crew that's an undefeated 8-0 on the road this season while scoring 26 points or more in ALL 8 of those road games and are averaging 34.4 points per game away from home this season (5.5 PPG more that their season avg) for a 7-1 Over/Under record. The last time these Packers had an extra week to prepare for their opponent was back on November 9th, when they beat the Bears, 55-14, scoring 55 points at home, their best offensive effort of the year! Expect the Pack to be more than ready for another explosive effort as they've had 14 days to prepare for this Playoff game. Backing the Over as 12 of the last 15 games in this series have flow Over the posted Total! |
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01-10-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 40 | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 27 m | Show |
The defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks head into the Playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning 9 of their last 10 games, including a 6-0 SU & ATS streak to end their season. Those wins came behind a stingy defense that held their final 6 foes to 14 points or less and 5 of those 6 were held to a TD or less. The win that started that 9-1 SU winning streak came against this Carolina crew, as Seattle won 13-9 on the road in Carolina back on October 26th. Seattle wasn't playing solid defense back in October like they are now, but still managed to hold Carolina to just 9 points and 266 offensive yards on their own field. Now, Saturday's Playoff game will be hosted by Seattle, where they went 7-1 this season at Century Link Field. With Seattle's and Carolina's defenses ranked #1 & #2 during the past 2 months, combined with these Seahawks going Under the Total in 5 of their final 6 games (1-5 Over/Under), we're backing the Under in this NFC Divisional Playoff game with a loud, Playoff atmosphere in Seattle this Saturday. |
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12-21-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 36.5 | Top | 35-6 | Loss | -105 | 69 h 13 m | Show |
The Cardinals are 11-3 and leading the NFC West as they host the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks, who are 10-4 and just a game behind them in the division race. Seattle currently owns the tie breaker as they won the first meeting at home, 19-7, back on week #12 in a typical NFC West defensive battle. That's no surprise as Seattle's defense has allowed a total of just 27 combined points during their last 4 games, allowing 3, 3, 14 and 7 points over the last 4 weeks and those efforts came against explosive, Playoff-caliber offenses like the Eagles, 49ers and these Cardinals. On the other side of the ball, these Cards have held 12 of their 14 opponents to 20 points or less this year! While this was going to be another low scoring, Playoff-type game before, Arizona has lost it's QB Stanton to injury for the season and will now start their 4th QB this season in Ryan Lindley! If that wasn't bad enough, Arizona also has starting RB Ellington on the injury list and will be letting back-up RBs Williams & Taylor split time in the back field against Seattle's "Legion Of Boom." Vegas has posted a low Total on this game, but we're expecting something similar to Seattle's 19-7 win in the first meeting, or Arizona's 12-6 victory against the Rams last week. |
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11-23-14 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants OVER 47.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
The Cowboys easily won the first meeting at home, 31-21, five weeks ago. They meet in NY for the second time on Sunday Night Football knowing that the G-Men are 6-2 Over/Under as home Dogs with Eli Manning as their starting QB. The Cowboys come off their "bye" week and are finally rested and healthy after QB Romo and RB Murry both nursing minor injuries. That's bad news for the Giants, who were dominated by Seattle's running game, led by RB Lynch, two weeks ago when who Seattle beat them 38-17. Expect Dallas RN Murry, who already as 1,233 rushing yards and a 5.1 average to move the ball on this Giants defense. 4 STRAIGHT games in this series have gone Over the Total and we're expecting another high scoring game now that the Cowboys offense is finally healthy. |
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11-20-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 43 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
Kansas City heads west to face division rival Oakland on Thursday night. They're 1-4 Over/Under in their first five road games this season and don't see any reason to fade those numbers against a Raiders team that's averaging only 15 points per game. The Chiefs are willing to play low scoring, defensive minded games as seen by holding 3 of their lat 4 opponents to 13 points or less. Don't expect the young Raider's offense led by rookie QB Carr to put points on the board as they've been held to 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games! Raiders can't stop the run, and the Chiefs love to hand RB Charles the ball, eating up the clock and field position. Just like on Sunday Night Football, where we didn't make it more complicated than it needed to be and bet the easy Over on the Pats/Colts game, we're simply looking at the Under on Thursday Night Football. |
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11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans OVER 45.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show |
 The Steelers come off a 20-13 loss to the Jets last Sunday as they head to Tennessee for Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh is averaging 26 points per game this season and don't expect another 13 point effort against a slumping Titans team that's lost 7 of their last 8 games. In fact, we find Pittsburgh going Over the Total in both games after being held to 14 points or less this year. With both teams coming off low scoring losses, we get a very fair Total from the boys in Vegas, so we'll take advantage and play the Over knowing that the Titans are 6-0 Over/Under as a home Dog. |
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11-16-14 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 37 m | Show |
 The Vegas Oddsmakers have posted this as the highest Total of the season for a Monday night game and if they could go higher, they would have. The last 2 meetings between these teams both easily went Over the Total, with the Patriots winning both meetings, 43-22 (67 combined points) and 59-24 (83 combined points). This season the Colts are scoring more points, and allowing more points, while going Over in 6 STRAIGHT games as they've scored 27, 37, 43, 43 & 51 points in their last 5 games. They face a Patriots team that owns a RED HOT offense that's averaging 31.2 points per game this season and head to Indianapolis on a 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS winning streak. Don't make this Total more complicated than it is...Vegas made the line high begging you to take the Under- No thanks, we'll watch this "scorefest" fly Over the Total. |
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11-09-14 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 53.5 | Top | 14-55 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 5 m | Show |
Green Bay had their 4 game winning streak snapped in New Orleans on Sunday Night Football, but it's tough to win in the Super Dome on a nationally televised night game. That loss came 2 weeks ago and the Packers had an extra week to rebound from that loss as they return from their "bye week" to host Chicago. Note that the Pack is 1-6 Over/Under following their "bye week." Green Bay won the first meeting in Chicago back on September 28th, 38-17 in a game that snuck Over the 51 point Total by only 4 points. With these teams meeting for the 2nd time this season, we're expect a lower scoring game knowing that these Bears have gone Under in 12 of 14 games as Division Dogs of 8 points or less! With the Packers already going Over in 7 of their first 8 games this season, we get a very fair Total posted for Sunday Night Football- Backing the Under. |
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11-02-14 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 48 | Top | 23-43 | Win | 100 | 70 h 4 m | Show |
Pittsburgh is just 5-3 this season, but a different team at home where they're 3-1, mainly due to the fact that they're averaging 9 points more (34 points per game) on their own field! That scoring has put them at 4-0 Over/Under at home and expect a 5th straight Over knowing that Pitt QB Roesthlisberger is 4-1 Over/Under as a home dog in his career. With both of these Division rivals on winning streaks, as Pittsburgh has won 3 of their last 4 and the Bengals have won 2 of their last 3, expecting a high scoring game that both of these teams need to win to keep pace in the AFC North race. |
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10-12-14 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 50.5 | Top | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show |
The way both of these offenses have been playing the last 2 weeks, your initial reaction might be to back the Over. However, this is a nationally televised NFC East division game and these two teams know each other very well. In fact, 4 of the last 6 meetings have gone "Under" the Total, including the last meeting, that ended with a 15-7 win by the Giants last season. Not only do we know that these Giants are 1-9 Over/Under playing against a team with a winning record behind HC Coughlin, but NFL Division games with a Total of 49.5 or higher have gone Under in 74 of 114 games since 2009. With both teams winning last week and scoring 30 points or more (Giants won 30-20 over Atlanta & Philly won 34-28 over the Rams), expect this Division game to be a low scoring, defensive battle. |
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09-29-14 | New England Patriots v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 47 | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 3 m | Show |
The Chiefs are 1-2, but are playing better than their record shows, especially on defense. Not only have they held 2 of their 3 opposing QBS to under 180 passing yards, they held the high octane Broncos, and QB Peyton Manning, to just 24 points and 247 passing yards! No one has scored over 26 points on these Chiefs and now they're off their 1st victory of the year and playing their best football- on both sides of the ball. Doubt that the struggling Patriots offense which only beat a winless Oakland team, 16-9, last Sunday will put up many points, or yardage, on the road in Kansas City. On the other side of the field, the Patriots are 2-1 and winning behind a stingy defense- not the play of QB Tom Brady! They've held their last 2 foes to 9 and 7 points, with both of those games going Under the Total. Expecting this to be a low scoring, defensive minded game between two of the best coaches in the NFL, the Pat's HC Belichick and the Cheif's HC Andy Reid. |
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09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 53 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 139 h 35 m | Show |
The Saints (1-2) started the season at 0-2, losing two close games by 3 & 2 points, but a home game week #3 woke New Orleans up as they beat Minnesota 20-9. A 5 point swing would have these Saints at 3-0 and they just might be the best 1-2 team in the NFL. They head to Dallas for Sunday Night Football and take on a (2-1) Cowboys team that only owns a winning record thanks to a weak schedule that included (1-2) Tennessee and (1-2) St. Louis, that's playing with their 3rd string QB under Center. The Saints went Over in both of their road games, with combined Final scores of 50 points & 71 points and things should be no different against a Dallas squad coming off a 34-31 (65 pts) win at St. Louis. both of these teams feature tons of speedy offensive weapons with big play potential and we're expecting a high-scoring SNF game knowing that Saint's QB Drew Breese is 3-0 Over/Under in his career against Dallas with HC Jason Garrett in charge. |
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09-25-14 | NY Giants v. Washington Redskins OVER 45 | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 67 h 34 m | Show |
Both teams getting better with every passing game. The G-Men put up more offensive yardage (193 rushing yards & 226 passing yards), and points (30), during last Sunday's 30-17 victory against a solid Texans' defense than it did during their first 2 games this season. Week #2's 25-14 loss to the Arizona Cardinals was better than it appeared, as the Cards are now 3-0 and own one of the toughest defenses in the NFL. They'll head to Washington to face a Skins team that's come alive behind "pocket passer," QB Kirk Cousins, as they've scored 41 and 34 points the last 2 weeks, including 2-0 Over/Under in games with QB Cousin's. In fact, Washington's pocket passing offense runs better behind the arm of QB Cousins, rather than QB RGIII, which can be seen by Washington now going Over in 7 of the 11 games with QB Cousins under Center! He tossed 427 passing yards, while completing 30 passes against the unbeaten, 3-0, Eagles last Sunday. These teams are better than their records indicate, as the Giants were 7-9 last year and Washington was 10-6 in 2012! Expecting both of these offenses to remain on track for Thursday Night Football, especially with the short 4 days between games. |
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09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 6-26 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 44 m | Show |
The Steelers opened the season hitting on all cylinders, with QB Roesthlisberger passing for 363 yards and the running game, led by Bell & Blunt, adding 127 yards on the ground. That offensive effort came against a solid Browns defense and led to 30 points last Sunday. Baltimore started slow as they got used to their new offensive system, but only managed 16 points despite the fact that QB Flacco tossed for 329 passing yards. but still went Over the Total in 2 of the last 3 meetings. These AFC North division rivals have gone Over in 2 of the last 3 meetings and both teams offenses hold the edge with a short week to prepare since this game is on Thursday Night Football. |
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09-07-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos UNDER 55.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
Denver opened last season by going Over in 8 STRAIGHT games in 2013. That's not surprising for a team that averaged 35 points per game. Hosting the Colts on Sunday Night Football, expect the Broncos to put points on the board at home, especially knowing that they're 14-1 Over/Under during their last 15 non-division games! Colts are more than happy to get into a shoot-out with the Broncos, as they averaged 25 points per game last season and beat these Broncos in a 39-33 shoot-out last year. |
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09-04-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 46 | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 19 m | Show |
After winning last year's Super Bowl, Seattle knows that they'll have a target on their back throughout the 2014-15 season. They rolled through their opposition during preseason play and get home-field advantage when hosting Green Bay to open the football season on Thursday Night Football. Seattle's CenturyLink Field is the toughest place to play in the NFL, as their "twelfth man" creates plenty of noise and confusion for visiting squads. Seattle is 17-1 SU at home the past two seasons, including 9-1 in 2013 (including the Playoffs), but more impressively, held opponents to 14.2 points per game at home. The Seahawk defense held 8 of 10 opponents to 17 points or less last season at home and no one was able to score more than 24 points! The Seahawks went Under in 7 of 10 home games last year and you can be sure that they'll be all fired up to defend their trophy in this national TV opener. |
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01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos UNDER 56 | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 120 h 55 m | Show |
These two teams met back on November 24th in New England with the Patriots winning as home Dogs, 34-31. That high final score has caused this Playoff Total to be inflated as this AFC Championship game moves to Denver, where the Broncos have gone Under in 3 of their final 4 home games this season. Expecting a much lower scoring game in this second meeting knowing that both Head Coaches, Belichick and Fox, will play a more conservative Playoff offense. Add in the fact that Denver was beating the Patriots at Halftime, 24-0, and feel that Broncos defense will study that game film and not get burned for 34 points in 2 quarters this time around.
20* Play On UNDER (Patriots/Broncos) |
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12-23-13 | Atlanta Falcons v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
At the end of the Football season, as the winning teams are fighting for postseason spots and the losers are just fighting for their jobs, we often see favorites of more than a TD. This week we saw 4 teams favored by 8 points or more and ALL 4 games went "Under" the Total (0-4 Over/Under). That's because the Playoff-caliber favorites are getting stingy on defense and playing conservative, "no mistake" football on offense, which lead to low scoring games. Monday Night Football features the 5th 8 point or higher favorite as the 49ers fight for a Playoff spot as they host Atlanta, who's already out of the postseason. Expect another Under as the Niners tough defense has held opponents to just 16.3 points per game this season and will be extra stingy against a Falcons team missing star WR Julio Jones to injury.
15* Play On UNDER (Falcons/Niners) |
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12-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 56 | Top | 11-54 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 52 m | Show |
Eagles now 8-6 SU and in first place of the NFC East. They had their 5 game winning streak snapped at Minnesota last Sunday, 30-48. That made it back-to-back weeks of Philadelphia scoring 30 points or more and we know that these Eagles are already 0-3 Over/Under after scoring 27 points or more in 2 straight games this season- Scoring 3, 16 and 24 points in the 3 games following back-to-back 30 point efforts! Bears saw starting QB Jay Cutler return to the lineup last Sunday in Cleveland while beating the Browns, 38-31, in his first start back. With the Eagles playing their final home game of the season, on national TV, with the division title on the line, expect them to be stingy on defense where they've held opponents to just 24 points per game at Lincoln Field this year while going "Under" in 5 of their 7 home battles.
15* Play On UNDER (Bears/Eagles) |
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12-16-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Detroit Lions UNDER 50.5 | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
Baltimore heads into Monday Night Football at 7-6, and have NOT played in a game with a Total posted at 50 points or higher in their first 13 games of this season! So, not sure why playing a 7-6 Lions team that's averaging just 26 points per game would cause the sport books to post such a high Over/Under. We're not taking the bait- We're playing Under knowing that Baltimore has held 12 STRAIGHT foes to 26 points or less and that 26 point effort can last Sunday, when beating Minnesota, 29-26. In fact the Ravens have held 7 of their 12 opponents to 20 points or less. With Baltimore putting up 29 points during last Sunday's victory, expect a lower scoring performance on Monday in Detroit as we find them at 0-3 Over/Under after scoring 26 points or more in their previous game! Backing the Under as these Ravens are 1-5 SU away from home this year and averaging 21 points per game in those 6 road trips.
15* Play On UNDER (Ravens/Lions) |
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12-12-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos UNDER 56.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 15 m | Show |
The Sport books have posted this Thursday Night Total might higher than expected and the public jumped on it and bet it up even higher. Since QB Manning has joined the Broncos, they've faced these Chargers 3 times, twice last season and once this year, with these 3 games ending with a combined Final score of 48 points, 53 points and 59 points- making 2 or those 3 games lower than tonight's Total. Now they host San Diego for the second meeting of the year and will have to score more points knowing that All-Pro WR Wes Welker is out with injuries and it will be a cold 40 degrees at Kickoff. The Chargers come off a 37-14 win over the Giants and are an INCREDIBLE 0-9 Over/Under (0-3 O/U this year & 0-6 O/U last season) after scoring 29 points or more since last season!
20* Play On UNDER (Broncos/Chargers) |
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears UNDER 48 | Top | 28-45 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
The Bears host Dallas after losing back-to-back road games, including a 23-20 loss at Minnesota last Sunday in Over-Time. Bears starting QB Jay Cutler is injured, so backup QB McCown with make his 4th start, but these Bears have scored 23 points or less in his previous 3 starts. Expect another low scoring effort from both sides in cold and snowy Chicago on Monday Night Football, as the Cowboys will be rusty from their 11-day Thanksgiving layoff and Chicago is 0-7 Over/Under at home after playing a road game since last season!
10* Play On UNDER (Bears/Cowboys) |
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12-08-13 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 46 | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 21 m | Show |
The Panthers are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, quietly winning 8 STRAIGHT games (8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS), including a 27-6 victory last Sunday over Tampa Bay. They're winning due to their stingy defense, which has held ALL 8 of those foes to 20 points or less while going "Under" in 5 straight games (0-5 Over/Under). Expect that chair of "Unders" to be broken on the road in New Orleans this weekend, as the last 4 meetings in this series have now gone "Over" the Total, including the last meeting when Carolina beat the Saints 44-38 for 82 combined points scored. In fact, the winner of the last 5 games in this series has scored 30 points or more! These Saints return home after back-to-back road games where they were embarrassed in their last game, being held to just a TD while losing to Seattle 34-7. Expect QB Drew Brees and company to rebound on national TV with a much better offensive effort knowing that they're averaging 33.2 points per game, compared to 26.0 points per game this year.
10* Play On OVER (Panthers/Saints) |
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12-05-13 | Houston Texans v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 15 m | Show |
Jacksonville comes off a rare victory, beating the Browns in Cleveland, 32-28, as their highest scoring effort of the season! 32 is a ton of points for the NFL's lowest scoring offense that's averaging 14.5 points per game and have been held to 14 points or less in 7 of their 12 games this year. They now host their Division rival, Houston Texans, who knows their offense since they play twice a year. In the first meeting, Jacksonville won 13-6, improving the "Under" to cash in 4 of the last 5 meetings! Expecting a huge offensive letdown on Thursday Night Football, as Jacksonville is 0-7 Over/Under at home against Division rivals the last three years.
10* Play On UNDER (Texans/Jags) |
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12-02-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Battle of 10-1 Seattle hosting 9-2 New Orleans will turn into a shootout more than a defensive battle as expected by Seahawks fans. Three (3) STRAIGHT games in this series have gone Over the Total and these Saints have gone Over in 10 of their last 12 road games against NFC West division opponents. Seattle has scored 27 points or more in 7 of 11 games this season behind QB Wilson, including 4 of their 5 homes games, scoring 27, 29, 41 and 45 points at home. Backing the Over as HC Carroll is 19-5 Over/Under when playing against a team with a winning.
10* Play On OVER (Seattle/New Orleans) |
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12-01-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 42 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 51 h 56 m | Show |
Carolina has won 7 straight games behind a stingy defense that held ALL 7 of those foes to 20 points or less. When these two met the first time back on October 24th, Carolina won 31-14 in Tampa Bay, but we move to Carolina this Sunday knowing that Tampa is 4-16 Over/Under on the road seeking revenge from a loss in which they allowed 28 points or more. With Carolina allowing just 13 points per game this season, we're backing the Under in this second meeting.
10* Play On UNDER (Bucs/Panthers) |
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11-24-13 | Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots OVER 55.5 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 120 h 6 m | Show |
Sunday Night Football features the 2 most explosive offenses in the NFL, the Broncos averaging 39.8 points per game and the Patriots averaging 25.4 points per game! Expecting a shootout between QBs Manning and Brady, especially knowing that the Pats are 7-0 Over/Under against teams completing 64% or better of their passes since last year! Pats have allowed 24 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games and QB Manning will be the 5th. It's OVER.
10* Play On OVER (Broncos/Pats) |
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11-18-13 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 47 | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
Carolina has won 5 STRAIGHT games (5-0 SU & ATS), both straight-up and against-the-spread, behind a stingy defense that's allowing just 12.8 points per game this season! During this 5 game streak they've held ALL 5 opponents to 15 points or less and have now held 7 of their 9 foes to 15 points or less. Expect this underrated Panthers defense to earn the respect they've been looking for on MNF in front of a national audience, especially against a high profile QB like the Patriot's Tom Brady. While Brady and company come off an explosive 55-31 victory hosting Pittsburgh last Sunday, they've struggled away from home this year, posting just a 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS road record. Sure, QB Brady is one of the best in the league and he's finally getting some of his receivers back from injury, but their NOT in Playoff form and we'll backing the Under as these Panthers have held their opponents to 0, 10, 12 and 15 points at home in Charlotte at America Stadium this season!
10* Play On UNDER (Pats/Panthers) |
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11-10-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 54 | Top | 17-49 | Loss | -115 | 116 h 34 m | Show |
The Saints come off an upset loss, 26-20, in New York to the Jets as 6 point road favorites. The Saints return home to host Dallas on Sunday Night Football knowing that they're 3-7 Over/Under at home after losing their previous game. Dallas has scored 27 points or more in back-to-back games, but split those games while posting a 1-1 SU record, dropping a 1 point decision at Detroit, 31-30, and won 27-23 at home after trailing the Vikings for most of the game. Cowboys haven't been the same offense away from home, being held to 21 points or less in 3 of their 4 road games this year. Expect Dallas to focus more on their running game and controlling the clock to keep Saint's QB Drew Breese off the field. Backing the UNDER as we find the Boys at 0-6 Over/Under after 2 straight games with 50 or more combined points scored.
10* Play On UNDER (Cowboys/Saints) |
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11-04-13 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Green Bay improved to 5-2 after beating Minnesota last Sunday, but this Packers offense is injury riddled, with Wide Receivers Jermicheal Finely, James Jones, Kevin Doresy and Randall Cobb all missing tonight's game. While QB Rodgers keeps finding ways to win, how many points can he expect to score without any of his main targets to throw to? Now he faces Division rival Bear's defense that sees this Packer offense twice a year and knows how to stop it! 3 of the last 4 games in this series have gone Under the Total, with the Bears holding the Pack to only 10, 17, 17, 21, 21, 21, 23, 27, & 35 points during the last 9 meetings! The Pack put up 31 and 41 points the last 2 weeks, but with the injuries and playing against a Division rival's defense, expect a let down as we find them at 1-4 Over/Under after scoring 30 points or more in back-to-back games!
10* Play On UNDER (Packers/Bears) |
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10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams UNDER 43.5 | Top | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
Since the 2007 Football season, these Division rivals have met 12 times and this Seattle defense has held the Rams to 20 points or less in ALL 12 games- Allowing 0, 6, 6, 7, 13, 13, 13, 17, 19, 19, 20 & 20 points and going "Under" in 8 of those 12 games! Now the Rams must recover from losing star QB Sam Bradford to a knee injury just last Sunday and replace him with QB Kellen Clemens, making his 13th career start under center. QB Clemens will face a stingy Seahawk defense that's allowed just 16.6 points per game and tied for 4th in QB sacks with 24! Seattle has struggled to score on the road this season, putting up only 12, 23 & 28 points in their first 3 road games this year. The Total's posted low, but this game is going to sneak "Under" as QB Clemens won't put many points on the board.
10* Play On UNDER (Sea/Rams) |
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10-27-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 47 | Top | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
Until last Sunday when they faced an 0-6 NY Giants team, these Vikings had gone "Over" the Total in EVERY game they played this season- Now owning a 5-1 Over/Under record heading into Sunday Night Football. Expected that 23-7 loss to the G-Men to go "Under" the Total for 2 reasons, the Giants were winless and struggling on offense this season and the Vikings started new acquired QB Josh Freeman and he only knew 30% of the Viking's playbook, so it's no surprise they only put up 7 points, which was NOT an offensive TD. With the Vikings allowing an average of 30.2 points per game and taking on a Packers team that's scored 28 points or more in 4 of their 6 games, we're backing the "Over." Now that the Viking's will start former starting QB Ponder under Center for this game, expect them to add some points to the scoreboard (scored 24 points or more in each of their first 4 games behind QB Ponder) as they're 5-2 Over/Under during their last seven as home Dogs against Division rivals.
10* Play On OVER (GB/Minny) |
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10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 41 | Top | 34-22 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
Arizona has struggled on offense since last season, as they head into Thursday Night Football at 3-3, averaging just 18.5 points per game this season! They have bettered their season average in back-to-back game, beating Carolina 22-6 on October 6th and losing to the 49ers, 32-20. Now they face one of the toughest defenses in the NFL, a Seahawks unit holding foes to 15.7 points per game, knowing that they're 1-6 Over/Under after scoring 20 points or more in 2 straight games since last year (22 game span), including their WORST offensive effort this season, as they scored just 7 points when losing to the Saints, 31-7, after opening the season scoring 24 and 25 points during Week #1 and Week #2. With Seattle already holding 4 of their 6 opponents to 17 points or less, and holding Division rival Arizona to 0 and 20 points during last season's two meetings, we'll back the Under, as these Cardinals won't string 3 straight solid offensive efforts together and go Under for the 7th of 8 games after scoring 20 or more points.
10* Play On UNDER (Cardinals/Seahawks) |
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10-06-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44 | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 22 m | Show |
eattle is not the same team playing on the road as they are at home at Century Link Field. No team has a bigger home field advantage, as can be seen by Seattle's 10-0 SU home record since last season, compared to their 6-6 SU road mark. When their offense struggles away from home, Seattle depends on their defense to pick up the pieces and earn the victory. In fact Seattle scores an average of 37.5 points at home, but drop 20 points per game to 17.5 points scored on the road! Seattle is undefeated this year at 4-0 SU, and went 11-5 SU last year, so their play is consistent- And, pointing to another low scoring Under on Sunday as they head to Indianapolis. We find Seattle going Under in 5 of their last 7 games in the road favorite role, while holding ALL 7 of those road dogs to 24 points or less and an impressive average of only 14 points allowed per game! With Seattle's issues scoring on the road, as mentioned above averaging only 17.5 points per game, expect this improving Colt's defense to be willing to play a low scoring, controlling the field position, type of game. Especially knowing that these Colts are holding opponents to a solid 12.7 points per game, while holding back-to-back opponents to 7 points or less; San Francisco 7 points followed by Jacksonville's 3 points last Sunday.
10* Play On UNDER (Seahawks/Colts) |
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09-30-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 48.5 | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -107 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Who would have though that the Saints defense would be getting everyone's attention and not QB Drew Breese and the offense? With HC Sean Peyton back and new defensive coordinator, Rob Ryan, together on the sidelines, the Saints defense is getting better with every game! They've held their first 3 foes to 17, 14 and 7 points- less in every game played. Not only are they not allowing points, they are not allowing yardage either, holding those opponents to 367, 273 and 247 total offensive yards- again, less with every passing week. They remain at home and host a Dolphins team that has trouble with their offensive line, both protecting QB Ryan Tannehill (allowing an NFL-high 14 sacks after 3 games) and developing a running game, as they're averaging just 70 rushing yards and 3.2 yards per carry with 101 rushing yards their best total thus far. With the Saints ranking among the NFL leaders allowing just 12.7 points a game now that the defense has changed to a 3-4 scheme behind DC Rob Ryan, we'll back the UNDER on Monday Night Football.
10* Play On UNDER (Dolphins/Saints) |
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09-29-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Houston Texans OVER 41 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 55 m | Show |
Our NFL Total System tells us that teams that are an undefeated 3-0 heading into Week #4 as Favorites with a Total of 47 or less points have posted a 14-2 Over/Under record.
10* OVER (Seattle at Houston) |
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09-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 40.5 | Top | 40-23 | Loss | -106 | 118 h 30 m | Show |
Our NFL System tells us that NFL teams that are an unbeaten 2-0 and are road favorites in Week #3 have gone UNDER 16 of 21 games (5-16 Over/Under). Like that System even more knowing that Pittsburgh is playing on a short week of rest after losing on Monday Night Football, 20-10, at Cincinnati. In fact, the Steelers have NO running game (32 rushing yards vs. Tennessee & 44 rushing yards vs. Cincy) and trouble protecting QB Big Ben with the youngest offensive line in the NFL (and injury plagued after losing their veteran Center Week #1). With Pitt's first two games ending with 25 combined points (16-9) and 30 points (20-10), we'll expect another low scoring SNF battle knowing that Pittsburgh is 2-10 Over/Under hosting non-conference opponents behind HC Mike Tomlin.
10* Play On UNDER (Chi/Pitt) |
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09-12-13 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots OVER 43 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
These two AFC East division rivals have played 6 times during the last three seasons and ALL 6 games have gone Over the Total. Now New England comes off a 23-21 victory over Buffalo in their season opener and QB Tom Brady was disappointed in their offensive play. That's no surprise as he was playing without his 2 starting Tight Ends (Gronk & Hernandez) and leading WR Wes Welker (now w/Denver). QB Brady should put up big numbers on national TV, especially knowing that he's 4-1 (Over/Under) playing a Division opponent after scoring 27 points or less in his previous game.
10* Play On OVER (Pats/Jets) |
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09-08-13 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 48.5 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 24 m | Show |
Giants open against the Cowboys again this season on Sunday Night Football. Last year, the G-Men won at home, 24-17, in a game that easily went "Under" the 45 point Total. This seasons match-up will be played in Dallas, with the Cowboys in the home favorite role. That's important to the Giants, who went UNDER in 5 STRAIGHT games as a Dog. In fact, those were some of the lowest scoring games for the G-Men, with those five games ending with Total combined scores of 29, 36, 37, 38 & 41 points! Now, with both offenses rusty from a long off-season, and both teams using zone blocking more to feature their running games, we're expecting this to be one of the STRONGEST Unders of opening weekend play.
10* Play On UNDER (Cowboys/Giants) |
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02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 48 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 39 m | Show |
Baltimore has an aging defense, but their defensive leader, LB Ray Lewis, is playing in his last NFL game and has his teammates playing their best football of this season, posting a 4-1 SU & ATS record while going Under in 4 of their last 5 games (1-4 Over/Under). In fact, these Ravens have gone Under in 6 of their 9 road games (3-6 Over/Under) while allowing just 21.1 points per game this season. In the Playoffs, the Ravens faced 3 of the explosive AFC offenses, holding QB Luck and the Colts to just 9 points and QB Brady and his Patriots to just 13 points! With the 49ers starting second year QB Collin Kaepernick, expect the 49ers to play more conservative as the Ravens used their 2 weeks to prepare for his running style performances. With San Francisco allowing just 18 points per game, expect a defensive Super Bowl.
10* Play On UNDER (Super Bowl) |
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 137 h 30 m | Show |
Atlanta advanced to this NFC Championship Game by defeating Seattle, 30-28, last Sunday. While 30 points doesn't seem like an explosive effort, it was the FIRST and ONLY time that a team put up 30 points on the Seahwaks defense this season, as they had held ALL 17 of their opponents to 28 points or less! QB Matt Ryan has the Falcons offense playing their best football of the year right now, scoring 30 points or more in 3 of their last 4 games. On the other side of the ball, the Falcons allowed rookie QB Russell Wilson to put up 28 points. He is a young, rushing QB with a very similar playing style to that of San Francisco's QB Collin Kaepernick. While he's only started 8 games in his career, QB Kaepernick put up 45 points last Saturday on Green Bay while rushing for 181 yards and passing for another 263 yards. The 49ers will have no trouble scroing points on Atlanta, especially when you add RB Gore to QB Kaepernick's talent, as Gore added 119 rushing yards for a $9ers offense that ended with 323 rushing yards in Green Bay. That's trouble for a Falcon's defense that's not only 1-4 ATS when they allow 148 or more rushing yards this season, but also 4-1 Over/Under when allowing 148+ rushing yards, including 3-0 Over/Under when allowing 152 rushing yards or more!
10* Play On OVER (49ers/Falcons) |
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01-13-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 46.5 | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 54 m | Show |
Seattle won on the road in Washington during last weekend's WildCard round, 24-14, making it the 6th STRAIGHT game in which they allowed 17 points or less. Seattle is now 12-5 this season behind a stingy defense allowing just 15.2 points per game, with NO TEAM scoring more than 28 points in their 17 games this year! Atlanta has been almost unbeatable at home this season, owning a 7-1 SU record, but the Falcons defense has been the main reason for those home victories, not QB Matt Ryan, as they've held opponents to just 18 points per game as we find the Falcons at 1-7 Over/Under at home. With the Playoffs causing these teams to be ultra conservative, we'll expect another defensive battle in Atlanta on Sunday.
10* Play On UNDER (ATL/SEA) |
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01-12-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
It took a few games for QB Manning to shake the rust off from a year layoff due to his neck injury, but when he gelled with his new team the Broncos went on an 11 game winning streak (11-0 SU & 9-1-1ATS) to end the regular season! Led by QB manning, the offense averaged 30.1 points per game in his first year with Denver, but more impressively, they put up 30 points or more in 9 of their last 11 games. Now the Broncos host this Playoff game at Mile High Stadium, where they're 7-1 SU (6-1-1 ATS) this year knowing the Ravens defense is not the stingy unit it once was, as they allowed 21 points per game. Baltimore allowed 23 points or more in 5 of their 6 games in the Dog role this year, including a 17-34 loss at home to this Denver team. With Baltimore posting a 3-1 Over/Under record as a road Dog this season and Denver QB Manning having a week of rest to analyze the aging Ravens defense, we'll play the Over.
10* Play On OVER (Balt/Denver) |
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01-07-13 | Alabama v. Notre Dame OVER 40.5 | Top | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
Unbeaten 12-0 Notre Dame has won this season behind a stingy defense, allowing just 10-1 ponts per game. They've gone Under in all but 2 games this season, posting a 2-10 Over/Under record heading into Monday's National Championship. However, those numbers have forced the Oddsmakers to post too low of a Total on this game, knowing that Alabama (12-1) is scoring an average of 38.5 points per game. In fact, Bama has put up 21 points or more in EVERY GAME this season, and 40 points or more in 7 of their 13 games - if they score that 40 tonight, they'll put the game Over all by themselves! Bama has rushed for 100 yards or more in ALL 13 of their games and expect them dominate the line of scrimmage again tonight. When Notre Dame allows 141 rushing yards or more, they are 2-2 Over/Under, marking the ONLY 2 games in which they went Over this season. With Bama 5-1 Over/Under on the road this year, we're backing the Over at Sun Life Stadium in Miami tonight.
10* Play On OVER |
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01-06-13 | Arkansas State v. Kent State UNDER 62 | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 45 h 32 m | Show |
Both teams had such successful seasons that their Head Coaches have been lured away by larger, more prestigious colleges. Kent State (11-2) had their 10 game winning streak (10-0 SU & 9-1 ATS) snapped in their final game of the season by Orange Bowl bound Northern Illinois, losing 37-44, in double Over-Time. Kent State wins behind a two RB offensive system that averaged 228 rushing yards per game, and 5.4 yards per carry, behind RBs Dri Archer and Trayion Durham. When Arkansas State (9-3) allowed 180 rushing yards or more they went "Under" in 3 of 4 games (1-3 Over/Under) this season as their opponent controlled the clock and the field position. Kent State was 6-2 SU & 6-1-1 ATS away from home this year, going 2-6 Over/Under in those eight road affairs, even though they averaged an impressive 34.6 points per game. Kent State won 11 games this year behind a running game that ranked 16th in the entire country and will dominate the line of scrimmage against a smaller Arkansas State line, that had trouble against Bowl-caliber offenses, as we find fellow Bowlers Oregon gaining 297 rushing yards and Nebraska rushing for 347 yards. Expect this 16th ranked Kent State rushing attack to control the game as we find Arkansas State goging Under in ALL 7 games (0-7 Over/Under) away from home against teams averaging 200 or more rushing yards per game.
10* Play On UNDER (Kent State/Arkansas State) |
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01-06-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins UNDER 46 | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 108 h 46 m | Show |
Seattle heads into the Playoffs at 11-5, but that's an impressive 8-0 at home and a losing 3-5 on the road this season. While they've only won 3 games away from home, their defense is one of the best in the NFL regardless of the game's location. This Seahawk defense has held opponents to just 15.3 points per game, including holding their FINAL 5 opponents to 17 points or less! In fact, 10 of their 16 foes scored 17 points or less this season behind a defensive unit that allowed just an average of 378 yards per game (96 rushing, 282 passing). Seattle dominates the line of scrimmage, as 11 of 16 opponents were held to 89 rushing yards or less this year! That's trouble for a Redskins offense that depends on rookie RB Morris to establish the running game- When he doesn't, the Redskins can't score and lose. Back on October 28th, Pittsburgh held Washington to their lowest rushing yards of the season (86 yards) and the Skins scored a season-low 12 points during their 27-12 loss in a game that easily went "Under" the Total. With Seattle NOT scoring more than 24 points in ANY of their 8 road games this season and Washington going to be forced to pass, expect a defensive Playoff game.
10* Play On UNDER (Seattle/Washington) |
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01-02-13 | Louisville v. Florida UNDER 46.5 | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 10 m | Show |
Louisville (10-2) opened their season with 9 straight wins before losing back-to-back games in November and ending the season on a 1-2 SU & ATS losing skid. Louisville's success came behind sophomore QB Teddy Bridgewater's arm, but that came against softer Big East defenses and now the young gunslinger must face a stout Gator defense that ranked 3rd in the country, while allowing just 12.9 points per game despite playing a tough SEC Conference schedule filled with explosive offenses and fellow Bowlers Texas A&M, LSU, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida State. In fact, this Gator defense held 9 of their 12 (75%) opponents to 17 points or less behind a stingy secondary that shut down opposing QBs to just 51% completions and 180 passing yards per game. Even Texas A&M's Heisman Trophy-winning QB Johnny "Football" Manziel was held to a season-low 173 yards passing and just 17 points (Gators won 20-17)! That's bad news for Louisville, who was 1-3 ATS when held to 260 passing yards or less this season, while 3 of those 4 games went "Under" the Total. Florida's only loss came against Georgia, who won the Capitol One Bowl this week and they capped their season by winning their final 4 games, including a 37-26 victory in their final game against Florida State. Expect a much lower-scoring effort by the Gators, who are just 1-6 Over/Under after scoring just 35 points or more, behind HC Will Muschamp during his 2 seasons with the Gators, including 0-3 Over/Under this season. Gators defense bites Bridgewater in the Sugar Bowl.
10* Play on UNDER (Florida/Louisville) |
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01-01-13 | Northern Illinois v. Florida State UNDER 59.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
Both of these teams own solid defenses that have flown under the radar this season. Despite playing a tough ACC schedule loaded with explosive offenses, Florida State held opponents to just 15.1 points per game this year, including holding 5 opponents to 7 points or less! While Northern Illinois is 12-1 this season, they struggled to score points in the only game in which they were a Dog, losing 18-17 to the Big Ten's Iowa. Tuesday's Orange Bowl will be just the 2nd time that this N. Illinois squad finds themselves in the Dog role and expect them to struggle offensively again, as we find them going Under in ALL 7 games (0-7 Over/Under) as Dogs playing on a Neutral field. Things won't be easy for the FSU offense either, as N. Illinois is ranked 18th in the country while allowing just 19 points per game this season.
10* Play On UNDER (FSU/N. Illinois) |
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12-22-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. Detroit Lions UNDER 51 | Top | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show |
Detroit (4-10) hosts Atlanta for this Saturday NFL game on a 6 game losing skid (0-6 SU & 0-5-1 ATS). They'll face an Atlanta squad that's 12-2 SU and currently seeded #1 in the NFC playoff race after an impressive 34-0 shutout victory over the Giants last Sunday. Expect an offensive letdown following that emotional victory over the defending Super Bowl champion Giants, especially knowing that it was only the 4th time this year that Atlanta broke the 30 point barrier. Backing the "Under" as these Falcons have gone "Under" in 8 of 10 (80%) games after scoring 30 points or more behind Head Coach Mike Smith since last year, including ALL 3 games (0-3 Over/Under) this season!
10* Play On UNDER (ATL/DET) |
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12-20-12 | BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 48 | Top | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show |
BYU (7-5) earned their Bowl bid behind a stingy defense that allowed just 14.7 points per game this season while holding 7 of their 12 opponents to 17 points or less despite playing a tough schedule that included #1 ranked Notre Dame, offensive powerhouse Boise State and a bunch of PAC 12 squads like Oregon State. The BYU defense dominates the line of scrimmage, holding foes to just 84 rushing yards per game on 2.7 yards per rush, forcing teams to pass the football- A strategy that held 7 of their 12 opponents to 65 rushing yards or less this year. That's especially bad news for San Diego State (9-3), as they averaged MORE rushing yards (229 yards per game) than passing yards (179 yards per game) per game this season. BYU has gone "Under" in 20 of 25 games against opponents averaging 4.75 yards per rush or more. We're looking "Under" on Thursday knowing that BYU's defensive strategy almost upset #1 ranked Notre Dame's undefeated season, losing just 14-17 to the Irish.
10* Play On UNDER (BYU/San Diego State) |
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12-17-12 | NY Jets v. Tennessee Titans OVER 41.5 | Top | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
The Jets were on a 2-6 losing streak before winning back-to-back games the last 2 weeks, but don't put too much stock in those wins, as they were against teams combining for a 6-20 SU record this season, with both teams in the bottom 5 for NFL wins. While the Jets offense has appeared to struggle all season behind QB Sanchez, they've been productive, scoring 27 points or more in 7 of their first 11 games. While the Jets have won their last 2 games, they struggled offensively, escaping with a 7-6 win over Arizona (4-9) and a 17-10 victory at Jacksonville (2-11), but these Jets are 4-0 Over/Under after scoring 17 points or less in back-to-back games during the last 3 seasons behind QB Sanchez. Even better, these Jets are now 8-1 Over/Under when playing their 2nd of back-to-back road games, including 2-0 Over/Under this season (9/23 @ Miami, 23-20 "Over," 11-11 @ St. Louis, 27-13 "Over"). The Jets reputation for playing stingy defense and owning a stagnant offense has forced Oddsmakers to keep the Total on Monday Night Football at a very fair number. We're backing the "Over," as we expect Jets QB Sanchez to wake up in front of a national television audience against a Titans squad that's allowing 30 points per game this season.
10* Play on OVER (NY Jets/Titans) |
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12-03-12 | NY Giants v. Washington Redskins OVER 50 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
These two teams met for the first time back on October 21st in New York, with the Giants winning, 27-23, but failing to cover as 6.5 point home favorites. The G-Men won that game on the final drive, but both teams dominated on offense as the Skins earned 24 First Downs and 480 offensive yards despite turning the ball over 4 times (3 Fumbles & 1 Int). The Giants added 22 First Downs and 393 total yards despite 2 Interceptions by QB Eli Manning. Expect more offensive fireworks on Monday Night Football as Washington's rushing game moved the ball at will, gaining 248 rushing yards and 6.5 yards per carry. This second meeting moves to Washington and QB Griffin III continues to get better with every game, leading the Skins to back-to-back Division wins over the Eagles and Cowboys while scoring 31 and 38 points in those 2 games. The Giants are known for the solid defense and with 5 of their last 6 games going "Under," the public will be betting on another low scoring battle, but the Giants are 9-1 Over/Under as a road favorites of 3 points or less behind HC Coughlin in his 9 years as their leader and 3-1 Over/Under their last 4 in the road Favorite role!
10* Play On OVER (NY Giants/Washington) |
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11-12-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 33 h 17 m | Show |
Since returning from their Bye Week, the Steelers (5-3) are 4-1 SU, allowing just 17.9 points per game, while holding 3 of those 5 foes to 17 or less points. The Steelers host Kansas City on Monday Night Football, knowing that they have gone Under in 6 straight on their home turf, and NO ONE has put up more than 14 points this year at Heinz Field - holding the Jets to 10 points, the Eagles to 14 points, and Washington to 12 points! Don't expect this struggling 1-7 Chiefs offense to break that barrier either, as KC have scored, 13, 16, 10, and 6 points in their last 4 games against MUCH weaker defensive units than the Steel Curtain, including San Diego (4-4), Tampa Bay (4-4), and Oakland (3-5). With the Pittsburgh offensive line finally healthy, they have 3 straight games with a 100+ yard rusher and the Steelers will once again control the ball and the clock. Backing the Under, as Pitt more than willing to win a low-scoring battle behind a strong defense and rushing game.
10* Play On Pitt/KC UNDER |
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11-01-12 | Kansas City Chiefs v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
For the first time this season, the Chiefs (1-6) meet an AFC West Division rival for their second meeting. Back on Sept 30th, San Diego (3-4) won in Kansas City, 31-20, and now host the Chiefs on Monday Night Football. The Chargers offense has struggled the past 2 games, failing to score a TD in 5 straight quarters now, after losing Sun to the Browns, 7-6. While Kansas City allowed 37 points in the first meeting in a game that went over the Total by 13 points, expect the Chiefs to clamp down on defense for this 2nd battle. In fact, we find these Chiefs owning a PERFECT 0-6 Over/Under record the past 2 seasons when playing a Division opponent for the 2nd time that season, with all 3 games against the Chargers, Raiders, and Broncos going Under in both 2010 and 2011 seasons. As Kansas City heads to San Diego for Thursday Night Football, it marks the 1st time this season that Kansas City will meet an AFC rival for the 2nd time - and we're backing the Under.
10* Play On KC/SD UNDER |
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10-08-12 | Houston Texans v. NY Jets OVER 41 | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -101 | 50 h 31 m | Show |
With the Jets offense having trouble scoring (losing 34-0 to 49ers last Sunday) and everyone talking about the QB controversy between Sanchez and Tebow, the first reaction is to back the Under. However, the Oddsmakers have set this Monday Night Football Total low based on those factors and we're backing the Over knowing Houston's scored 27 points or more in ALL 4 of their games this season and averaging 32 points per game. Now they'll face a Jets defense missing it's All-Pro corner Revis for the second straight game after allowing San Francisco to put up 34 points last Sunday. Expect the well balanced Texans offense, led by WR Johnson and RB Foster, to put up plenty of points on this Jets defense and expect the Jets to rebound offensively after that embarrassing shutout loss to the 49ers. Take the Over as we find the Jets at 6-1 (Over/Under) the last 4 seasons behind HC Rex Ryan after scoring 10 points or less in their previous game.
10* Play On OVER (Jets/Texans) |
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09-23-12 | NY Jets v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 40 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 31 m | Show |
The NY Jets offense started to struggle at the end of last season when being held to 19 points or less in each of its final 3 games. Things didn't get any better during the preseason behind QB Sanchez, which is why the Jets flew in QB Tebow to try and spark a stagnant offense. Just toss out the Jets 48-28 home victory over Buffalo in week 1, as they returned to put up just 10 points last Sunday in Pittsburgh. The Jets completed just 10 of 27 passes for 129 yards, while only picking up 16 first downs against the Steelers. Now, they play their 2nd straight game on the road and head to Miami to face a Division rival that knows their offense. Both of last season's meetings were low-scoring defensive battles that fell under the Total, with both teams winning at home, 24-6 (Jets) and 19-17 (Miami). Expecting another AFC East Under on Sunday, as both offenses match up poorly - Jets QB Sanchez will be forced to pass, as Miami held Oakland's running game, led by star RB McFadden, to just 23 yards on the ground and Miami's rookie QB Tannehill will be tested by CB Revis.
10* Play On UNDER |
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09-17-12 | Denver Broncos v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 53 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Atlanta's offense looked great while beating the Chiefs 40-20 in their season opener. However, the effort wasn't as good as it first appeared, as the Chiefs defense was missing 4 starters due to suspensions and injuries and was burned with them in the line-up for 31 points or more in 5 games last season. This week, Atlanta will have to face a revamped Bronco's defense featuring DBs Champ Bailey and Terry Porter, who held a solid Steeler's offense to 19 points last Sunday night (holding QB Roethlisberger to completing 22 of 40 (55%) passes for 245 yards). Facing a better defense on Monday night, expect the Falcons' point production to be grounded, knowing that these Falcons have flown under the total in 7 of their last 8 home games following a road win. Must back the UNDER, as we know that Atlanta struggles at home on Monday Night Football, posting just a 3-11 ATS record during their last 11 as hosts on MNF.
10* Play on Under |
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09-16-12 | Detroit Lions v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show |
Last year the 49ers finished at 13-3 and were 3 points away from heading to the Super Bowl, mainly due to the fact that they owned the toughest defense in the NFL. San Francisco's defense allowed just 16 points per game while holding 10 of their 16 opponents to 17 points or less. With a year of experience behind HC Harbaugh's defense, the Niners opened this year even better, dominating QB Rodgers and his Packers in a solid 30-22 victory. This Sunday Night game they host a Detroit team and get a great match-up, especially in the rushing game. San Fran allowed only 76 rushing yards per game last year and already held Green Bay to 45 yards on 14 carries in the season opener, while Detroit struggled to gain 83 rushing yards last Sunday against a St. Louis defense that allowed 152 yards and 4.8 yards per carry last year. San Francisco dominated the line of scrimmage when these teams met last year and beat the Lions, 25-19, after leading 12-10 at Half-Time in a game that went "Under." The Lions were held to 66 rushing yards and 3.6 yards per carry in that game. Expect San Francisco to stop the run and force the Lions to pass, so we're backing the "Under" as 7 STRAIGHT games in this series have gone "Under."
10* Play On UNDER (49ers/Lions) |
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09-02-12 | Kentucky v. Louisville UNDER 42 | Top | 14-32 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
Kentucky averaged just 16 points per game last season and return only 6 offensive starters (2 of 5 offensive linemen) from a team that ranked an unbelievably low 118th of 119 teams! They play on the road Sunday at Louisville knowing that their offensive troubles have been even worse away from home as they scored 3, 7, 8, 10 & 14 points during their 5 road efforts last year, for an average of only 8.4 points per game. Expect those problems to continue against a Louisville defense that returns 9 starters from a very stingy unit that held foes to 20 points per game last year. In fact, the Cardinals defense really came together at the end of last year while ending the Regular season on a 5-1 SU & ATS winning streak that was good enough to earn them a Big East title. Louisville held ALL 6 opponents to 24 points or less when hosting in Papa John Stadium in 2011 and with both of these teams playing for the first time after 9 months of rest, we're expecting both offenses to need some time to shake off the rust.
10* Play On UNDER (KY / Louisville) |
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02-05-12 | NY Giants v. New England Patriots UNDER 54.5 | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 103 h 54 m | Show |
These two teams already met this season back on November 6th, with New England winning at home 24-20. It was another example of the Patriots offense struggling against a tough defensive unit this year, just as they did against Pittsburgh (held to 17 points), Dallas (held to 20 points) and Baltimore (held to 23 points). They will now meet for the second time in Sunday's Super Bowl on a neutral site and the Giants defense is playing it's BEST football of the season in the Playoffs, holding the NFC's most powerful offenses- Atlanta, San Francisco and Green Bay- to a total of just 39 points in 3 games, for an average of just 13 points per game! The Giants already held QB Brady and Company to 24 points in New England and you can be sure they'll have a few tricks for him the second time around.
10* Play On UNDER |
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01-22-12 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots UNDER 50 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
The Ravens know they must control the clock, and field position, with their running game and let it become a defensive battle. This is how Baltimore won all year, as they have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 16 points or less and are allowing just 16.4 points per game this season. The Ravens are holding opponents to 196 passing yards per game and ended the season by holding 7 STRAIGHT foes to 270 passing yards or less. We find QB Tom Brady going "Under" in ALL 4 games (0-4 Over/Under) when he passes for 270 or less yards this season!
10* Play On UNDER |
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01-15-12 | NY Giants v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 | Top | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 51 h 44 m | Show |
The Packers are averaging 35 points per game this season and broke the 42 point barrier in 6 of their 16 games this year. When they get to face the same defense twice, QB Rodgers & company just get better and are able to take advantage of what they learned in the first meeting. We find them posting a 3-0 (Over/Under) record this season when meeting an opponent for a second time, putting up 45 points beating Detroit, 45 on Minnesota and 35 on the Bears. They already beat these Giants, 38-35, on December 4th while QB Rodgers completed 28 of 47 passes for 360 yards. Must play the "Over" as they get a second crack at this New York defense knowing that Head Coach Coughlin has gone "Over" in 8 of 9 games against teams averaging 29 points or more since he's been with the Giants!
10* Play On OVER |
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01-06-12 | Kansas State v. Arkansas OVER 62.5 | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -108 | 47 h 31 m | Show |
Arkansas (10-2) only lost 2 games this season, which came against #1 ranked LSU and #2 ranked Alabama, who are playing in the BCS Championship Game. These teams might own the best 2 defenses in the country and if you take them from Arkansas' schedule you'll find that these Razorbacks put up 29 points or more in ALL 10 other games, while averaging an INCREDIBLE 42 points per game! That's great news for "Over" players as we find Kansas State allowing an average of 28 points per game this season while allowing 3 of their final 5 foes to break the 50 point plateau- Oklahoma 58, Oklahoma State 52 & Texas A & M 50 points! In fact, we find K-State going 6-0 (Over/Under) on the road against teams completing 62% or better of their passes (Arkansas is completing 63.4%) behind HC Snyder. With Arkansas going "Over" in 8 of their 11 games this year, expecting the Razorbacks high octane offense to force this Total to fly "Over."
10* Play On OVER |
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01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 62 | Top | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Clemson is averaging 34 points per game, behind explosive QB Tajh Boyd and a well-balanced orange offense. They rebounded to put up 38 points against a tough V-Tech defense during their 38-10 win in the ACC Championship game. Doubt that the WVA defense will be able to stop Clemson, who had 4 weeks to prepare, and expect this Clemson offense to be in full-throttle, as they put up 31 points or more in 9 games this season, including breaking the 55-point plateau in 2 games. Led by QB Geno Smith, West Virgina will put points up as well, since they scored 30 points or more in 8 of their 12 games, including 21 points against LSU's #1 ranked squad. Backing the "Over," as WVA is 21-9 Over/Under when playing with 2+ weeks of rest.
10* Play On OVER |
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12-15-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 42.5 | Top | 14-41 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
Neither of these teams are known for their explosive offenses, but BOTH of them enter this Thursday night game following exceptional offensive efforts last Sunday. Jacksonville put up a season-high 41 points while beating Tampa Bay, 41-14, more than doubling their second highest performance, which was 20 points back on October 9th. They'll head to Atlanta knowing that they're 0-6 (Over/Under) on the road this season. Atlanta also won Sunday, beating Carolina 31-23, which was their second-highest points scored the season, just missing their 35 points scored on Philadelphia during Week #2. Atlanta has only scored 24 points or more in 5 other games this year, returning the next week with very weak offensive numbers, coming back to score just 10, 13, 14, 23 & 23 points and ALL FIVE of those games went "Under" the Total! Combine that with the fact that Atlanta is 0-7 (Over/Under) at home off a road win. Atlanta must win to stay in the NFC Playoff race and expect both teams to clamp down on defense during this nationally televised Thursday Night Football event.
10* Play On UNDER |
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12-11-11 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 49.5 | Top | 37-34 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 3 m | Show |
Dallas (6-6) meets the NY Giants for the first of their two season meetings and the Oddsmakers have posted a high Total on this Sunday Night game as the last 4 in this series have gone "Over." However, the Giants are 7-5 and lead Dallas by a game in the NFC East despite losing 4 straight games, including defensive breakdowns in their last 2 games while allowing 49 & 38 points! Expect a MUCH better defensive effort as the Division title is on the line in front of a national TV audience as we find the NY Giants going "Under" in 15 of 19 road games after allowing 25 points or more in back-to-back games.
10* Play On UNDER (Giants/Cowboys) |
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12-01-11 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 54 h 60 m | Show |
Before getting ripped for 38 points by QB Tom Brady and company last weekend, the Eagles were playing solid defense. Before that 38-20 loss, they held 3 of their last 5 opponents to 13 points or less. It's a big drop in class from New England to Seattle and expect the Eagles to turn it up a notch on Thursday as they've posted a 3-13 (Over/Under) record on the road after a double digit home loss. Philadelphia should have no trouble containing this struggling Seattle offense that's averaging only 16 points per game while putting up 17 points or lower 7 times this year! Must play UNDER as explosive QB Vick will once again be replaced by QB Vince Young and this Eagle offense hasn't scored more than 20 points in 3 weeks!
10* Play On Philadelphia |
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11-27-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 40.5 | Top | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City started QB Tyler Palko in place of injured QB Matt Cassel last weekend against New England and they lost, 34-3, while putting up just a field goal and 334 total offensive yards. Now they'll face a Steeler's defense that's MUCH tougher than the Patriots, as Pitt has now held ALL 7 of their Non-Division opponents to 20 points or less and just 14 points per game! With Pitt QB Roethlisberger playing with a fractured thumb, expect them to focus on the running game, especially against a Chief's defense that's ranked 28th in the NFL against the rush. With Pittsburgh well rested from their "Bye" week, expect them to be more than ready to shut down QB Palko in his 2nd start of the season.
10* Play On UNDER |
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11-21-11 | Kansas City Chiefs v. New England Patriots OVER 46.5 | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
New England handed the Jets a 37-16 victory last Sunday night and improved to 7-3 , while getting back into first place in the AFC East. That victory snapped a 2-game losing streak and got New England's offense back on track to when they opened the season with 5 straight efforts of 30 points or more. In fact, New England is 9-1 (Over/Under) after scoring 35 points or more since last season. The Patriots host Kansas City on MNF, knowing that they already put up 35 points against San Diego and 31 points against Oakland in victories over other AFC West opponents. Expect them to put up even bigger numbers against this Chiefs defense that's allowing 24.2 points per game and has the weakest unit in the their AFC West Division. With KC's non-existent pass rush, owning a NFL low of 9 sacks this season, expect QB Brady to have no pressure all night, as he'll have plenty of time to find open receivers.
10* Play On OVER |
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11-14-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 50.5 | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Minnesota lost to Green Bay a few weeks ago, 33-27, in rookie QB Ponder's first start for the Vikings. He returned to win his second career start against another rookie QB Cam Newton, defeating Carolina 24-21, as 3 point Dogs. Playing for the second time in just a 3 game span, expect the advantage to go to the defenses who will now know what to expect and have more game film to study QB Ponder and force the Vikes to run often with star RB Petersen. While RB Petersen is a workhorse and will move the ball, he will also eat up the clock and force the Packers into horrible field position. Backing the "Under" as we find Minnesota going "Under" in 9 of 11 games after winning their previous game outright as Dogs behind Head Coach Brad Childress, including a perfect 0-5 (Over/Under) when they are Dogs again!
10* Play On UNDER |
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11-13-11 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets UNDER 47.5 | Top | 37-16 | Loss | -108 | 45 h 3 m | Show |
QB Brady and crew rolled to a 5-1 record to start their season and things started to look a lot like the Pats were back to their dominating ways of the past. However, they returned from their "Bye" week to lose 17-25 at Pittsburgh and then again to the Giants, 20-24, and lost back-to-back games for the first time in more than 2 years. Things actually started to break down the week before the "Bye," as the Pats clawed their way to 20-16 home victory against the Cowboys. After scoring 30 points or more in 5 straight games to open the season, New England has put up 20 or less in 3 straight games now and the offense appears to be struggling. That's not good news for QB Brady, who now must face a Jets defense that knows him very well and has beaten him in New York both games under Head Coach Rex Ryan, holding the Patriots to just 9 points and 14 points in those 2 games. While the Patriots don't lose back-to-back games very often, they do return with a solid effort on BOTH SIDES of the ball, especially defensively, as they posted an 0-4 Over/Under record after losing back-to-back games since 2002 under Head Coach Belichick (holding opponents in those games to 0,7,10, and 24 points). With these 2 teams tied up at 5-3, the winner of this Sunday night game takes control of 1st place in the AFC East, so expect this to be a defensive battle and points to be at a premium.
10* Play On UNDER |
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers OVER 47.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
Oakland dropped to 4-4 after losing back-to-back games to Division rivals Kansas City and Denver mainly due to injuries to star RB McFadden, while trying to break in new QB Carson Palmer. Last Sunday, QB Palmer made his first start in a Raiders uniform, which came just 17 days after he joined the team. While QB Palmer looked rusty, he managed to put up 316 yards and 24 points, even without the benefit of RB McFadden in the game. With a full game under his belt and RB McFadden returning for this Thursday battle against San Diego, expect the Raiders offense to start to click against a Chargers defense that's allowed 23, 27, and 45 points in their last 3 games since returning from their "bye" week. With Oakland (4-4), San Diego (4-4), and Kansas City (4-4) all tied for first place in the AFC West Division race, expect San Diego to continue putting up big offensive numbers, as they've scored 20 points or more in ALL 8 of their games this season. Chargers QB Rivers should have no trouble moving the ball against a Raiders defense that's allowed at least 28 points in 4 of their last 7 games. We're looking OVER on Thursday, as Oakland is now 4-1 (Over/Under) in their first meeting of the season against a Division opponent since last year.
10* Play On OVER |
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11-07-11 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 47 | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
The Eagles defense has allowed just 7 and 13 points the past two weeks and looked better than it really is, allowing an average of 21.7 points per game. Both of those big defensive efforts came against NFC East division rivals that they know well, and the Redskins are loaded with injuries and have struggled on offense scoring 17 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games. The Bears should have no trouble scoring on this Eagles defense that's allowing 5 yards per rush with RB Matt Forte, who has amassed 553 rushing yards and 16 catches the last 4 games! Expect a high scoring affair on Monday Night football.
10* Play On OVER |
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 42 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
These Division rivals meet for the 2nd time this season on Sunday Night Football after the Ravens scored a decisive 35-7 victory at home to open their season. But, what a difference a couple weeks makes, as Pittsburgh (6-2) now leads Baltimore (5-2) in the AFC North Division race. Now Pittsburgh seeks revenge and gets home-field advantage, knowing that a win here puts them a full game up on the Ravens and expecting this one to be a low-scoring defensive battle for Division dominance. We find the Ravens stingy defense posting an 0-6 Over/Under record during the 2nd meeting of the season of Division rivals the last 2 years. We're backing the Under, as we find Pittsburgh going Under in ALL 3 games (0-3 Over/Under) when playing with revenge against Division opponents under Head Coach Tomlin.
10* Play on UNDER |
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10-31-11 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 44.5 | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show |
Monday Night Football features an AFC West Division rivalry between last seasons' Division winner Kansas City hosting current division leader San Diego. Kansas City has had some success behind third-year Head Coach Todd Haley, who will be facing the Chargers for the 6th time as the Chief's HC. He's contained Charger's QB Phillip Rivers better than most teams, as those five meetings have ended on a 1-4 (Over/Under) record, including the first meeting of this season which easily went "Under" the 45 point Total when San Diego won 20-17 at home. SD QB Rivers has lost his RB Sproles to the Saints and has tossed more Interceptions (9) than TDs (7) so far! After getting blowout their first 2 games of the season, Kansas City has won 3 of their last 4 games while holding ALL 4 of those opponents to 24 points or less as 3 of those last 4 games also went "Under" the Total.
10* Play On UNDER (SD/KC) |
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10-30-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 49 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 52 m | Show |
It took new Cowboys Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan 4 games to get his defense to properly use his schemes, but the last 2 weeks they've played great, allowing just 20 points to QB Tom Brady and his Patriots and 7 points last Sunday against the Rams. It's a unit that has been coming together all season, as they've impressively held 5 of their 6 opponents to 75 rushing yards or less! If QB Brady and company are 5-1 this season while averaging 31 points per game and they could only generate 20 points against this Cowboys revamped defense. This Sunday night they face a Division rival Eagles squad that they play twice each year and know their offense very well. With the Eagles struggling- losing 4 of their last 5 games- We'll expect this new and improved Dallas defense to keep this a low scoring game.
10* Play On UNDER |
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10-24-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | Top | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
The Ravens are known for their stingy defense, led by LB Ray Lewis and DL Ngata, but have gone "Over" the Total in 4 of their 5 games this season. That's due to the fact that Baltimore is averaging 29.6 points per game this season and that the odds-makers consistently set the Total lower on Ravens games based on the public's perception of their defense. However, we're backing the "Under" on Monday Night Football, as the Jaguars have only scored 13 points per game since rookie QB Blaine Gabbert took over as the starter. Tonight he'll be forced into passing situations more than usual, as the Ravens have held 4 of their 5 opponents to 93 yards rushing or less and will focus on shutting down Jags RB Jones-Drew. Knowing Jax is 0-5 (Over/Under) during their last 5 appearances on Monday Night Football, expect a struggle on offense, as they have been held to 13 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games.
10* Play On Under |
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10-23-11 | Indianapolis Colts v. New Orleans Saints OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-62 | Win | 100 | 44 h 3 m | Show |
The Saints (4-2) have only played 2 home games this season and they've been their best two efforts by far! Not only did the Saints win and cover both of those home games, they easily beat two very tough squads, beating Chicago by 17 points (30-13) and scoring a season-high 40 points against a stingy Houston defense (40-33). They now host a Colts team on Sunday night that's gone "Over" in 5 of their 6 games this season, mainly due to sloppy defensive play, allowing ALL 6 opponents to score 23 points or more for an average of 27.2 points per game! And, now that the Colts have benched QB Collins for QB Curtis Painter, they're scoring points as well, scoring 24 & 17 points the last 2 weeks. The Saints had a 4 game winning streak snapped last Sunday at Tampa Bay, losing 26-20, and now find themselves in second place behind those Bucs in the NFC South. With New Orleans needing a victory to stay in the Division race and finally getting to play in front of their home crowd again, expect plenty of points to be scored. Backing the "Over" as we find these Saints at 9-0 (OVER/UNDER) after back-to-back Division games behind Head Coach Sean Payton.
10* Play On OVER (Saints/Colts) |
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09-29-11 | South Florida v. Pittsburgh UNDER 52 | Top | 17-44 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
South Florida is off to a 4-0 start behind a stingy defensive unit that's held ALL 4 of their opponents to 24 points or less, while allowing an average of 17.0 points per game. They have dominated the line of scrimmage, holding 3 of those 4 foes to 95 rushing yards or less, and only Notre Dame broke the 100 yard rushing mark (117 rushing yards) in South Florida's season opener. Pittsburgh is averaging 27.2 points per game on offense, however, that number is inflated due to their first 2 games against outgunned opponents (Maine & Buffalo) in games which Pitt was favored by 30 points in both games, but only managed to score 35 points against those weak defenses. Last season these teams ended with Pitt earning a 17-10 victory, in a game that was tied 3-3 at the Half. Expect another low scoring affair this year, as we find South Florida posting a 7-21 (Over/Under) record against teams allowing 120 rushing yards or less.
10* Play On UNDER |
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09-26-11 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 46 | Top | 16-18 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 41 m | Show |
The Cowboys have played better football since Jason Garrett took over as their Head Coach, however, the games have become run-and-gun offensive battles as 9 of the 10 games he's been the HC have gone "Over" the Total. That 9-1 (Over/Under) record includes BOTH of this season's games going "Over" the Total as they scored 51 combined points in each of their first two games. HC Garrett was only running the team for the 2nd meeting between Washington and Dallas last season and that game ended in a 33-30 shootout (They combined for 63 points in a game with a 44 Total). Both teams are averaging 25 points per game this season and don't expect the Cowboys to fix their defensive troubles anytime soon.
10* Play On OVER |
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09-22-11 | North Carolina State v. Cincinnati UNDER 60.5 | Top | 14-44 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Both of these teams are 2-1 mainly because they have been facing over-matched opponents. During NC States two victories they were favored by -27 & -26 points. Cincinnati was favored by even more, -34 & -41 points, for their two victories. The victories- and points- came easy against these outgunned opponents as they continually turned the ball over, with NC State forcing 11 TOs while Cincinnati has already forced 13 TOs. Due to these high scoring wins, Thursday's game has an unusually high Total and we're taking advantage by playing the Under. NC State lost star QB Wilson as he transferred to Wisconsin and they'll have trouble scoring against a better opponent, especially as we find NC State going 0-6 (Over/Under) on the road against non-conference opponents since Head Coach O'Brien took the position.
10* Play On UNDER |
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09-18-11 | Seattle Seahawks v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 39.5 | Top | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
Pittsburgh opened their season last Sunday by losing to division rival Baltimore, 35-7. They return home to host Seattle this Sunday, knowing that they have gone Over in EVERY GAM following a SU loss to a Division rival since Head Coach Mike Tomlin took over in 2008! The Steelers are a perfect 6-0 (Over/Under) in this situation:
Lost to Baltimore (2007) OVER 29-31 vs. Jax Lost to Cincinnati (2009) OVER 38-28 (60 total points) vs. San Diego Lost to Cincinnati (2009) OVER 24-27 (66 total points) vs. KC Lost to Baltimore (2009) OVER 24-27 (51 total points) vs. Oakland Lost to Cleveland (2009) OVER 37-36 (51 total points) vs. Green Bay Lost to Baltimore (2010) OVER 28-10 (38 total points) vs. Cleveland 10* Play on OVER |
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12-27-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 49.5 | Top | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
First meeting in New Orleans ended with the Falcon's winning 27-24 in Over-Time. Monday night's meeting moves to the Georgia Dome, where the Falcons are 19-1 SU with QB Matt Ryan as their starter. The Saints play this after having their 6 game winning streak snapped last Sunday, when losing 30-24 at Baltimore. Now New Orleans plays their second of back-to-back road games knowing that they're 1-7 (Over/Under) after allowing 27 points or more in their previous game. With these teams seeing each others offenses for the second time, expect a low scoring Monday Night Football game.
10* Play On UNDER |
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12-26-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47 | Top | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 75 h 15 m | Show |
For the first time in years, the Colts are not running away with the Division title and needed a victory last Sunday at home over Jacksonville, 34-24, to stay ahead of the Jaguars in the AFC South Division race. They head to Oakland knowing that they have gone "Over" the Total in 6 of their 7 road games this season. Now they must play an Oakland squad that's that owns the 3rd ranked rushing attack in the NFL and Indianapolis' defense is ranked 29th in the league. With both teams able to score on each other, we'll back the "Over," knowing that these Colts have gone "Over" in 18 of 19 road games against non-division teams after playing a Division home game.
10* Play On OVER |
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