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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-21-16 | Astros v. A's +130 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-26 since 1997 good for 61.2% and made 30.4 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is 24-30 (-15.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 44-53 (-24.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 19-25 (-16.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 379-244 (+102.7 Units) against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997. Athletics are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Home team is 6-0 in Fagan's last 6 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 6-1 in Fagan's last 7 Wednesday games behind home plate. Fundamental Discussion Points Mengden is coming off the best outing of his brief time in the major leagues, a victory at Kansas City on Thursday in which he scattered three hits over a career-high seven innings. Oakland SS Marcus Semien is 7-for-15 with three doubles and a homer against McHugh. After beating the A's 2-1 in 10 innings on Tuesday night, Houston may get fatigued to play in the afternoon today. Taking 10 innings to beat lowly Oakland may be a warning sign for this game. Take Oakland Athletics. |
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09-20-16 | Red Sox +126 v. Orioles | Top | 5-2 | Win | 126 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
50* graded play on Boston as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 77-47 since 1997 good for 62.1% winners and made 46.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, playing on Tuesday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 215-187 (+43.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997; 32-24 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 26-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season; 30-16 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Red Sox are 4-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 Tuesday starts. Orioles are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. Fundamental Discussion Points Rodriguez tossed four hitless innings at Baltimore on Aug. 16 before leaving with an injury. Gausman is 3-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 13 career games - eight starts - against Boston. Betts is batting .500 with eight home runs and 15 RBIs in seven games at Baltimore this season. Boston 1B Hanley Ramirez, who was named AL Co-Player of the Week on Monday, is 10-for-20 with four home runs and nine RBIs in the last five games. Boston has the lower ERA in the season series (4.86 to 5.67) and throughout the entire season (4.06 to 4.37). Expect the Sox to continue with their dominant bats in this game. Take Boston Red Sox. |
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09-17-16 | Dodgers -153 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-33 since 1997 good for 67.3% winners and made 36.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (ARIZONA) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a below avg. starter (ERA= 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 15-49 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 13-29 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 29-46 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.Miller's team's record is 2-18 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons; 0-10 (-11.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 1-16 (-16.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 3-19 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Norris's team's record is 23-8 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a loss. Fundamental Discussion Points Stewart earned his first major-league victory by beating Arizona on Sept. 7, when he gave up one run and five hits in five innings. Miller lost to the Dodgers on Sept. 6 as he gave up five runs - four earned - and 11 hits in 4 1/3 innings to drop to 1-2 with a 7.02 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in six career appearances (four starts). He is winless in his last six overall starts, going 0-5 with an 8.35 ERA, and has allowed six or more earned runs on three occasions. Miller is 0-7 with a 7.85 ERA and a .332 batting average against in nine home turns this season. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-17-16 | Yankees v. Red Sox -244 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East rivalry action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. New York is 9-20 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this season and they are 8-21 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. Price's team's record is 83-36 (+32.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. Farrell is 53-39 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in September games as the manager of Boston. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Saturday games. Red Sox are 7-0 in Price's last 7 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Mitchell struggled in his second start since breaking a toe in spring training, allowing six runs (two earned) on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings in an 8-2 setback to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. Price owns a 14-9 career mark against the Yankees and a 9-3 record at home this season. Take Boston Red Sox. |
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09-16-16 | Dodgers -132 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 77-30 since 1997 good for 72% winners and made 34.6 units/unit wagered. Play on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG under .250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA over 4.50), playing on Friday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 14-49 (-30.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 12-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 4-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game this season; 9-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons; 25-53 (-32.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season; 11-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 4-1 in Maeda's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Dodgers are 4-1 in Maeda's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Diamondbacks are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 2 of a series. Diamondbacks are 2-9 in their last 11 Friday games. Dodgers are 39-15 in the last 54 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Los Angeles rookie Corey Seager is batting .333 with six multi-hit efforts this month and is 5-for-6 with two homers against scheduled Arizona starter Zack Greinke. Maeda defeated Arizona in his previous start, when he struck out eight and gave up one run and three hits in 6 1/3 frames to improve to 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA in five starts against the Diamondbacks. Greinke has lost back-to-back starts after serving up five homers while being rocked for eight runs and nine hits in 4 2/3 innings by the Dodgers on Sept. 5. The former Los Angeles pitcher is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA against his ex-teammates this season. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-16-16 | Marlins v. Phillies +111 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 111 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Miami in NL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 29-37 (-14.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season; 15-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season this season; 16-37 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Philly is 43-38 (+10.2 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and they are 237-170 (+55.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 since 1997. Philadelphia is 33-23 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Marlins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Marlins are 2-6 in Koehler's last 8 road starts. Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Koehler surrendered eight homers in his last six games - including three in five innings on Saturday in a 5-0 setback to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Morgan has a 3.64 ERA in his last five starts. Morgan's lone win in that run was a 4-3 victory over Miami on Sept. 6, as he permitted just one run on five hits in six frames. Miami SS Adeiny Hechavarria is mired in a 1-for-14 stretch. Phillies 2B Cesar Hernandez has hit safely in nine of his last 11 contests and is batting .344 with six runs scored in 16 games versus the Marlins in 2016. Miami 3B Martin Prado is  0-for-6 versus Morgan in his career. Take the Phillies. |
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09-16-16 | Rays -103 v. Orioles | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-28 over the last 5 seasons good for 62.2% winners and made 18.6 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 0.800 over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 35-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. Baltimore is 33-44 (-16.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Archer has pitched well over the last two months, allowing three runs or fewer in nine of 10 starts. The Rays have won four of their last five contests – all against teams in the chase for the division crown. The play here is that they will continue that magic to keep playing spoiler to their own division. Tampa Bay OF-DH Corey Dickerson boasts a nine-game hitting streak, going 17-for-35 with eight RBIs in that span.  Take Tampa Bay Rays. |
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09-15-16 | Cardinals +132 v. Giants | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Louis as they take on San Francisco in NL action set to start at 10:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that St. Louis will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 20-10 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 20-9 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 17-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season; San Fran is 10-18 (-18.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season and they are 6-15 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West. Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwright's last 5 Thursday starts. Cardinals are 9-3 in Wainwright's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings head-to-head. Fundamental Discussion Points Wainwright allowed one run, six hits and struck out seven in eight innings of a 5-1 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday. His most recent start against St. Louis was on June 3 when he allowed two runs in seven innings. Matt Adams is 6-for-16 with a home run versus Cueto, who is 6-8 with a 3.88 in 21 starts against the Cardinals. The Giants are the major league-worst 20-35 since the All-Star break. The Cardinals have an even 4.00 ERA (0.68 lower than the Giants) and have Carpenter hitting at a .545 clip in this season series. Take St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-15-16 | Blue Jays v. Angels +159 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Angels as they take on Toronto in AL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-80 over the last 5 seasons good for 55.3% winners and made 51.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 42-54 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 30-43 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Los Angeles is 75-47 (+26.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Gibbons is 29-57 (-37.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season as the manager of Toronto. Scioscia is 402-367 (+50.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) as the manager of the Angels. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Blue Jays are 1-6 in Happ's last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points Happ has struggled against the Angels with an 0-5 mark and 7.83 ERA in five career outings, including a loss Aug. 25 when he gave up four runs and six hits in five innings. He has experienced struggles with Kole Calhoun (5-for-10, two homers) and Trout (4-for-11). Toronto 1B Edwin Encarnacion, who leads the AL with 116 RBIs, was hitless in nine at-bats in the Tampa Bay series. Angels SS Andrelton Simmons (hand) could return after a three-game absence. Angels in the season series are posting a 3.81 ERA while the Blue Jays are struggling with a 5.33 ERA this series. Take LA Angels. |
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09-15-16 | A's +139 v. Royals | Top | 14-5 | Win | 139 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in AL action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-41 over the last 5 seasons good for 59% winners and made 48.5 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG under .265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA under 3.33), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas City is 260-377 (-107.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997; 16-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons; 10-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against AL West opponents this season. Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Royals are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Royals are 1-4 in Volquez's last 5 starts vs. American League West. Royals are 1-4 in Volquez's last 5 home starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Yonder Alonso went 3-for-4 and joined Khris Davis and Marcus Semien with two RBIs for Oakland, which has won three in a row for the first time since posting three straight one-run victories over Baltimore from Aug. 8-10. Alonso has driven in six runs during his four-game RBI streak and has hit safely in six of his last seven contests. Mengden pitched well against Seattle on Friday, allowing two runs over five frames. Volquez has yielded four runs in six of his last seven outings. In this season series Oakland has posted a stellar 2.00 ERA while KC has a horrid 6.23 ERA. Take Oakland Athletics. |
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09-14-16 | Rangers +125 v. Astros | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is 38-23 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 57-36 (+25.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season; 48-20 (+32.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 62-40 (+27.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 57-30 (+33.1 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 63-39 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. Houston is 11-19 (-12.4 Units) against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Rangers are 24-8 in their last 32 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 overall. Astros are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 1-9 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points Holland defeated the Astros on Sept. 3, when he gave up two runs and six hits in six innings to improve to 5-2 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 career starts versus Houston. Musgrove suffered the loss on Sept. 3, when he was hammered for five runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 frames. He has served up homers to Beltre (3-for-6) and Nomar Mazara (2-for-6). Astros' RF George Springer is 0-for-9 in the series and hitless in 14 at-bats over his last four games. Take Texas Rangers. |
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09-14-16 | A's +135 v. Royals | Top | 8-0 | Win | 135 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in AL action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kansas City is 10-21 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against AL West opponents this season. Oakland is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against KC this season. Melvin is 67-52 (+13.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 as the manager of Oakland. Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 6-1 in Manaea's last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Royals are 2-8 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 home games. Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Royals are 0-4 in Ventura's last 4 starts vs. American League West. Fundamental Discussion Points The Royals have dropped eight of their last 13 overall, yielding at least five runs in each setback. Manaea has been done in by a lack of run support en route to a 2-4 record in his last 10 outings, yielding just 20 earned runs in that span. Ventura suffered a loss on Friday after allowing five runs and a season-high 10 hits in seven innings of a 7-2 road setback against the Chicago White Sox. He also struggled in his last encounter with the Athletics, permitting five runs in 3 1/3 frames to take the loss. Athletics SS Marcus Semien has recorded a homer and four RBIs in the series and is 3-for-6 with two blasts and four RBIs versus Ventura. Royals LF Alex Gordon is 0-for-10 with four strikeouts in his last three contests.Take Oakland Athletics. |
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09-14-16 | Dodgers -175 v. Yankees | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kershaw's team's record is 57-21 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in day games in his career. Pineda's team's record is 3-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 Wednesday starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw has only allowed two runs in 15 career innings against New York and is 12-4 with a 2.28 ERA in 27 interleague starts. Pineda is winless in his last six starts and allowed two runs in 4 2/3 innings against Tampa Bay on Friday but was pulled with runners at the corners and the game on the line. He is upset about the quick pull, while his season stats are 6-11 with a high 5.07 ERA, considering he's facing the Dodgers line-up. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-13-16 | Dodgers -136 v. Yankees | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -136 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
50* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yankees are 28-42 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday over the last 3 seasons and they are are 54-70 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.. Sabathia's team's record is 28-35 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997. Girardi is 8-14 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 in all games he has managed since 1997. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 overall. Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 Tuesday games. Dodgers are 4-0 in Urias' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 8-1 in Urias' last 9 starts. Yankees are 2-6 in Sabathias last 8 home starts. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 0-6 in Sabathia's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fundamental Discussion Points Urias has not lost since being recalled at the beginning of August and allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last five appearances. Sabathia is winless in his last three starts and was bounced after four innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday. The hefty veteran surrendered three runs - all on solo home runs - and seven hits in the outing and has yielded 13 homers in his last nine outings. Sabathia is making his third interleague start of the season and was rocked for 11 runs - 10 earned - and 15 hits over 10 total innings in his two previous chances against NL teams. Dodgers RF Yasiel Puig homered on Monday and has three blasts in 14 at-bats since returning from the minors. New York rookie 1B Tyler Austin is 0-for-9 with eight strikeouts in his last three games. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-12-16 | Rangers +111 v. Astros | Top | 4-3 | Win | 111 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas as they take on Houston AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is 37-23 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 56-35 (+25.8 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season; 61-39 (+27.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 47-20 (+31.3 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 56-30 (+31.9 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 85-58 (+31.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.. Houston is a bad  6-15 (-14.5 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season. Fister's team's record is 1-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. Rangers are 8-2 in Perez's last 10 starts vs. American League West. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Fundamental Discussion Points Perez is coming off back-to-back victories over Seattle in which he allowed four runs — two earned — over 12 innings. Fister looks to halt a three-start losing streak during which he has yielded 18 runs — 15 earned — and 26 hits over 12 1/3 innings while registering only three strikeouts. He has worked more than 4 1/3 frames just once in his last five overall turns and is 0-5 in his last seven outings at home. Fister dropped to 5-6 with a 5.18 ERA in 14 career starts versus the Rangers on Sept. 2, when he was tagged for eight runs — seven earned — and 10 hits in only 3 2/3 innings at Texas. Take Texas Rangers. |
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09-12-16 | Marlins +105 v. Braves | Top | 7-12 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on Atlanta in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 33-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season and they are 21-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.. Atlanta is 96-125 (-36.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons; 40-60 (-22.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-36 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewicz's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Fundamental Discussion Points Cashner matched a season high with nine strikeouts and scattered four hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 6-0 rout of Philadelphia on Wednesday. Foltynewicz owns a 1-0 mark in two career meetings with the Marlins but permitted three runs in three innings on June 30 before his evening ended following a 68-minute rain delay. Miami 2B Dee Gordon has hit safely in four straight games and five of his last six. Take the better team, Miami Marlins. |
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09-12-16 | Dodgers +100 v. Yankees | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the NY Yankees in Inter-league action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yankees are 258-208 (-89.0 Units) against the money line after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1997. Girardi is 79-86 (-32.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off as the manager of New York. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Fundamental Discussion Points De Leon picked up the win in his major-league debut on Sept. 4 against San Diego, allowing three earned runs and five hits in six innings while striking out nine. The 24-year-old went 7-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 86 1/3 innings at Triple-A Oklahoma City. Mitchell posted a 4.29 ERA in six minor league starts prior to being recalled. Yankees SS Didi Gregorius is 3-for-34 this month. Gregorius still leads the Yankees this season in average, hitting .273 as opposed to Seager leading the Dodgers with a .319 average. Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.72 while the Yankees have an ERA of 4.17. Take the LA Dodgers. |
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09-11-16 | Rockies v. Padres +108 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Diego as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 4:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 131-97 mark good for 58% winners and has made 61 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN DIEGO) below average NL hitting team batting =5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.  The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is just 12-25 (-18.2 Units) against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season. |
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09-11-16 | Rangers v. Angels +118 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 118 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Angels as they take on the Rangers in AL West action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Weaver is a solid 29-6 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record); 44-14 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record) 42-14 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) Fundamental Discussion Points Even comedians are now poking fun at Weaver’s 82-84 MPH fastball and 33 HR allowed. However, he still has that pinpoint control that gets batters swinging off balance and not squaring up the ball. He has won 2 of this last three starts and his team has been hitting much better in run-scoring situations. |
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09-11-16 | Mets v. Braves +123 | Top | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will Atlanta win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-25 mark good for 62% winners and has made 31 units/unit wagered since 2010. It has averaged a very nice +133 DOG play as well. Play against all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), good power team averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. Fundamental Discussion Points Perez has really struggled in his last 2 starts, but he is now pitching at home against a weak offense. He has posted a 3.25 ERA with a 1.012 WHIP in 5 starts. Take Atlanta |
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09-09-16 | Cubs v. Astros +126 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Houston as they take on the Chicago Cubs in inter-league action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 127-95 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.2% winners and made 49.3 units/unit wagered.  Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 1.000 over his last 3 starts.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Chicago Cubs are 9-18 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 6-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 188-230 (-92.7 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start since 1997; 121-154 (-52.7 Units) against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base since 1997. Houston is 54-33 (+17.2 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 42-29 (+12.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 15-7 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 0-5 in Lester's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 Friday games. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Houston. Fundamental Discussion Points Lester's team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) when starting against Houston with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.800. Joe Musgrove is 1-0, 0.54 in three games (two starts) at home. The Cubs lost in Milwaukee on Tuesday and Wednesday. Houston 2B Jose Altuve is four stolen bases shy of becoming the first player in history to reach 200 doubles and 200 steals in his first six seasons. Chicago CF and leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler is hitless in his last 19 at-bats. Take Houston Astros. |
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09-09-16 | Indians v. Twins +145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Cleveland in AL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-23 since 1997 good for 62.9% winners and made 35.4 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Another proven system supports this play posting a 42-23 over the last 5 seasons good for 64.6% winners and made 22.1 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is 21-13 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 15-23 (-12.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 11-20 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season; 20-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Duffey's team's record is 14-4 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 14-6 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Indians are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Indians are 2-5 in Salazar's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest. Fundamental Discussion Points Dozier is 11-for-23 with two home runs and five doubles versus Salazar, who is 3-3 with a 4.63 ERA in nine starts against Minnesota after a 12-5 loss Aug. 1 in which he permitted six runs in two innings. Duffey won his first three starts in August, including a 13-5 victory over Cleveland on Aug. 3. Duffey fares well against Lindor (1-for-13, five strikeouts). Dozier has six home runs versus Cleveland this season. The Indians are 36-17 against the AL Central, but 8-8 versus Minnesota. Take Minnesota Twins. |
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09-08-16 | Rangers v. Mariners -108 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
50* graded play on Seattle as they take on Texas in AL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-21 since 1997 good for 72% winners and made 31.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 17-6 (+11.6 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. Rangers are 1-4 in Holland's last 5 Thursday starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Seattle first baseman Adam Lind fueled Wednesday's 8-3 victory with two homers and five RBIs. Mariners left fielder Seth Smith joined Lind in the starring role by going 3-for-3 with a homer Wednesday for his first multi-hit outing since Aug. 21. Holland has struggled against Robinson Cano (16-for-45, two homers). Cano (foot) went 1-for-3 to extend his hitting streak to 11 games one night after departing a game early. Cano leads all hitters in this season series with 6 homers. Although Walker may not have good stats coming in, he can ride the momentum of Seattle's last game. Also the last time Holland faced the Mariners, he allowed 5 earned runs in as many innings giving up 3 homers and 2 walks back on June 10th. Take Seattle Mariners. |
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09-07-16 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -150 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Arizona in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 31-74 (-33.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-47 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-29 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season; 57-78 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. Ray's team's record is 6-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season and they are 9-18 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. Diamondbacks are 7-17 in Rays last 24 starts. Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 road games. Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Ray's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 2-10 in Ray's last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Ray's last 8 Wednesday starts. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Ray escaped with a no-decision at Colorado on Friday after surrendering six runs — five earned — and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings. Stewart produced his best major-league effort Aug. 28 against league-leading Chicago as he limited the Cubs to two hits and two walks while striking out eight in five scoreless innings of a no-decision. Los Angeles recalled RHP Pedro Baez, who went 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA in 62 relief appearances earlier this season, from Tulsa. Dodgers are on a roll, especially in hitting, so don't over-complicate this. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-07-16 | Royals v. Twins +133 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 133 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Kansas City in AL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 148-115 over the last 5 seasons good for 56.3% and made 45.7 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is 18-33 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. Minnesota is 52-52 (+13.1 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 27-24 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Molitor is 64-61 (+26.1 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start as the manager of Minnesota. Twins are 8-2 in Gibson's last 10 Wednesday starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Dozier has been on a white-hot tear for the Twins, belting seven home runs during a five-game streak and hitting 11 in 14 contests this season against the Royals. Dozier has clubbed 22 homers since July 31, becoming the first player to hit 22 during a 36-game span since Shawn Green in 2002. Duffy gave up three homers and was rocked for seven runs at Boston in his next to last start and did not factor in the decision after yielding four runs versus Detroit last time out. Gibson is 5-4 lifetime with a 3.10 ERA against Kansas City. Royals C Salvador Perez sustained a bone contusion in his right wrist after he was hit by a pitch in Tuesday's game. Dozier has hit in 11 straight games overall and 15 in a row at home, belting 13 homers over the latter streak. Take Minnesota Twins. |
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09-07-16 | Orioles v. Rays +106 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 106 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-14 over the last 5 seasons good for 76.3% and made 28.8 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (TAMPA BAY) - team with a terrible OBP (under .310) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP under 1.300) -AL, playing on Wednesday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 106-92 (+35.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Baltimore is 34-57 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons; 19-31 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 31-55 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons; 39-60 (-21.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons; 15-29 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Rays are 4-0 in Smyly's last 4 home starts. Rays are 5-0 in Smyly's last 5 starts on astroturf. Rays are 14-6 in Smylys last 20 starts vs. American League East. Fundamental Discussion Points Bundy may have won two of his last three starts, but his 11 walks leave plenty to be desired. He has come a long way since he made his first major-league start at Tampa Bay on July 17, yielding three homers and four runs over 3 1/3 innings. Smyly owns a 4-0 mark over his last eight starts. Smyly has enjoyed success in his career versus Baltimore with a 4-1 mark. Rays 2B Logan Forsythe is 10-for-20 in his last five contests. Tampa Bay CF Kevin Kiermaier is 13-for-41 during his 10-game hitting streak. Take Tampa Bay Rays. |
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