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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-08-17 | Twins v. Mariners -115 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
7* graded play on Seattle (972) as they take on Minnesota in MLB action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Minnesota had been playing well back in the middle of May, but now have hit the skids losing seven of their last nine games before last night’s ninth inning blown save loss to Seattle. Now, losers of 8 of their last 10 games and facing the hottest team in MLB not named Houston for the third straight game is not the best scenario to get a W. Bergman starts for Seattle and he has posted a 1.35 ERA with a 0.975 WHIP in 2 home starts. Not a big sample size, but he is pitching very well and went 6 innings allowed 2 ER, 2 walks, and six strikeouts in his last start against Tampa Bay. What has been quite impressive is his progressions since the beginning of the season. In May, he threw hard type pitches 61.4%, breaking 19.3%, and off speed 19.3%. Not much confidence reflected on the fastball based on those numbers. In May, the hard stuff percentage rose to 78.5% and in June 80%. This also reflects his abilities to work ahead in the count and to get outs recorded earlier in an AB then he had previously done. Despite the much greater reliance on the fastball, his percentage of line drives BIP has not changed from 13% in May to 14% in June. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is a solid 31-24 against the run line (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Seattle. |
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06-05-17 | Blue Jays +101 v. A's | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
7* graded play on Toronto (913) as they take on Oakland in AL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Toronto starter Happ is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 7 career starts against the A’s. The team record in his starts has been 6-1. Oakland starter Sean Manaea has never faced the Blue Jays, but the scouting reports are well know. He throws a heavy sinking 93ish fastball. His change is above average and generates a lot of swings and misses. When batters do make contact on that pitch they generate an above average amount of ground ball outs. Look for Toronto batters to sit on the fastball early in the count and then to shorten up and look opposite field more often than normal when behind or deep into the count. He has only walked 2 batters in his last three starts, so the Toronto hitters will have pitches to put into play with a disciplined approach. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 95-64 hitting 60% winners and has made 42.3 units/unit wagered since 2012. {;ay against home teams (OAKLAND) with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, good power team averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The average play for this system has been a +111.9 over the 159 wagers made. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is just 24-51 (-19.9 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 2-13 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Toronto. |
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06-04-17 | Rockies -130 v. Padres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
7* graded play on Colorado (961) as they take on San Diego in MLB action set to start at (961) PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 80-32 hitting 71.4% winners and has made 55.8 units/unit wagered since 1997. The system has also averaged a favorable +125 DOG wager. Play against NL home teams (SAN DIEGO) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season and after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is a solid 18-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. Colorado is 20-10 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. Colorado is 14-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. San Diego is just 10-29 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Colorado. |
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06-04-17 | Braves +116 v. Reds | Top | 13-8 | Win | 116 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Atlanta Braves (951) as they take on Cincinnati in MLB action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Reds are just 10-29 (-19.7 Units) against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 16-35 (-19.8 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Braves. |
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06-03-17 | White Sox +126 v. Tigers | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Chicago White Sox (921) as they take on in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the CWS will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, THE CWS are today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 102-82 hitting 55.4% winners and has made 53.4 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive +132.8. Play against AL home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (DETROIT) with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season and with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the White Sox. |
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06-03-17 | Indians -164 v. Royals | Top | 5-12 | Loss | -164 | 1 h 14 m | Show |
7* graded play on Cleveland (919) as they take on in MLB action set to start at 2:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Indians will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 65-15 hitting 81.2% winners and has made 38.5 units/unit wagered since 1997.Plat against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (KANSAS CITY) that is a struggling AL offensive team scoring 3.6 runs/game against a team with a very good bullpen posting an ERA of less than 3.33) and is on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Indians. |
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06-01-17 | A's +1.5 v. Indians | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
10* graded play on Oakland (907) using the Run Line as they take on Cleveland in AL MLB action set to start at 12:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm projects that the A’s will win this game. We nearly always look to create a combination wager that is optimized by using the money line and the Run Line. In this game, we like playing a 6.5* amount using the Run Line and a 3.5* amount using the money line. The Run Line is currently at -110 and the money line is about +200 to 220 at the majority of books. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Oakland is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has produced a 52-23 record hitting 69% winners and has made 27.9 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive . Play on all underdogs using a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+110 to +155) (OAKLAND) and is a below average hitting AL hitting team batting.260 or less and with a batting average of .240 or worse over their last 20 games. and is now facing a team with a good bullpen posting an ERA of 3.75 or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 10-28 against the run line (-18.6 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. 7-21 against the run line (-14.8 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +135 to -190 this season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the A’s today and expect the upset. |
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05-29-17 | Red Sox -172 v. White Sox | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -172 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
7* graded play on Boston (965) as they take on the CWS in MLB action set to start at 2:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Price is making his first start since having modest elbow stiffness. However, he did leave to go to the NFL combine to seek out the opinions of two elite orthopedic surgeons. He has had two rehab assignments that have not been good with an opposing scout stating he had poor command of all pitches and worked far too slowly. Here is what we expect from Price. In 2013, when Price was the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, he missed six weeks in May and June with a left triceps strain, the only other time he was on the disabled list. He made only two minor league rehab starts then, too, reaching 70 pitches over five scoreless innings in his final tuneup. Upon returning to the Rays in early July, he went on an eight-start run in which he posted a 1.40 ERA with 44 strikeouts and only two walks in 64⅓ innings. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Price’s team record is 34-12 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game. Boston had a 6-game winning streak snapped losing to Seattle 5-0. Teams, who have won 6 of their last 7 games and were shutout in the previous game and now find themselves installed as a -170 favorite have gone 6-0 SU since 2004. |
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05-28-17 | Cubs v. Dodgers -161 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
10* graded play on the Los Angeles Dodgers (912) as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Box this play with Kershaw. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, we have a favorite reflecting the fact that not all of the releases are dogs; just a smaller percentage of total releases are favorites. Kershaw is a major reason why we are on the Dodgers for this specific game. He is pitching arguably better than any of his other incredible seasons. He has posted a 2.01 ERA with a 0.823 WHIP in 10 starts spanning 71 ⅔ innings of work with 72 Ks and just 8 BB. He has been even better in this two starts allowing just 1 ER, walking zero batters and recording 15 Ks. Lester is a very good pitcher in his own right and has had a great career. However, he has been struggling in road starts with a 5.72 ERA and a horrid 1.908 WHIP in 4 starts spanning just 22 innings of work. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 59-18 hitting 77% winners and has made 33.7 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games and facing an opponent starting a pitcher who walked 1 or fewer hitters each of his last 2 outings. Here is a second system that supports the Dodgers and has gone 223-77 for 74.3% winners and has made 85.9 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play on all NL favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season and is now facing opponent with a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or less HR's/start. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dodgers are a solid 37-11 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Cubs are just 4-15 (-10.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dodgers with Kershaw on the hill. |
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05-28-17 | Padres +162 v. Nationals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 162 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
7* graded play on San Diego (901) as they take on Washington in MLB action set to start at 1:35 PM ET. The SIM algorithm projection report shows a solid game score and grading to invest in the Padres this afternoon. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, San Diego is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 39-28 hitting 58.2% winners and has made 26 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive 138 DOG play as well. Play against all NL favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) with a starting pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the San Diego Padres. |
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05-27-17 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +125 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 125 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
7* graded play on Milwaukee (956) as they take on Arizona in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Milwaukee is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 50-35 hitting 59% winners and has made 33.3 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive 138 DOG play. Play against all fNL favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ARIZONA) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season, with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a solid 27-14 (+20.6 Units) against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Milwaukee. |
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05-27-17 | Padres +215 v. Nationals | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
7* graded play on the San Diego Padres as they take on Washington in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Padres will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, The Padres are today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 37-31 hitting 54.4% winners and has made 44.1 units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive 203 DOG Play. on road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) team with a terrible OBP less than 300 and with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. against a very good NL starting pitcher posting a WHIP of 1.250 or less. Over the past three season, this system has produced a 22-21 record, BUT has made 25.6 units/unit wahered. This is a perfect dog playing example, that matches the ‘Black Jack’ methodology discussed above. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Padres. |
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05-22-17 | Twins +123 v. Orioles | Top | 14-7 | Win | 123 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
7* graded play on Minnesota (909) as they take on Baltimore in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Minnesota is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 86-47 hitting 65% winners and has made 37.7 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) with a starting pitcher that gives up 1 or more HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins.
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05-21-17 | Brewers +181 v. Cubs | Top | 6-13 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
7* graded play on Milwaukee (961) as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB NL action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Milwaukee is that +140 DOG and if we would play all of thee +140 dogs and hit 62% of them over the course of the season, our cash balances would climb significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points Milwaukee and Chicago had their Saturday date to play baseball postponed. On Friday, Milwaukee left a shocking 26 players on base in their win over the Cubs. So, these away dogs, who won their previous and had at least 18 men LOB are a solid investment in their next game producing a very nice 22.0% ROI. They have gone 18-15 for 54.5% and have made 7.52 units/unit wagered averaging a +127 Dog wager. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Milwaukee.
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05-21-17 | Nationals -169 v. Braves | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
7* graded play on Washington (951) as they take on Atlanta in MLB action set to start at 1:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared to a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington is a -165 favorite currently and has a better than 85% probability of winning today’s game. So, don’t focus on the probability alone as it must be combined with the line to get the full meaning and strength of the play. Over the course of the season, it can be expected, but not guaranteed to see a steady flow of profits from following the SIM Algorithm discipline.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The Braves have been on a strong winning run of late. They have won five of the last 6 games and 7 of the past 11 games. Playing against these hot teams that have won 7 or more of the last 11 games and are now installed as a 135 Dog or higher are 10-24 SU for 29.4% winners in 2017. This equates to a negative 25% ROI. If we add to the query that the dog is on the road, they have produced an even worse 8-21 record for 27.6% winners and a negative 29% ROI. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nationals.
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05-19-17 | Brewers +149 v. Cubs | Top | 6-3 | Win | 149 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Milwaukee Brewers (951) as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB action set to start at 2:20 PM ET. The SIM algorithm projects that Milwaukee has a solid opportunity to win the game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Milwaukee is that +140 DOG and if we would play all of thee +140 dogs and hit 62% of them over the course of the season, our cash balances would climb significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is a solid 15-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Milwaukee Brewers.
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05-18-17 | Red Sox +100 v. A's | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Boston Red Sox (913) as they take on the Oakland A’s in MLB action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The Red Sox did something they have only done one other time since 2004 last night in St. Louis. They rallied from 4 runs down through 6 innings to win in extra innings. These are emotional wins and can carry over the next game. In fact, teams that have accomplished the feat, have produced a solid 15.4% ROI by playing on them in the next game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 67-30 hitting 69% winners and has made 36 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play on home teams (OAKLAND) that is a struggling team, outscored by opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, playing the first game of a series. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FARRELL is 49-35 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game as the manager of BOSTON.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Red Sox tonight. |
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05-16-17 | Braves +139 v. Blue Jays | Top | 9-5 | Win | 139 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
7* graded play on Atlanta (921) as they take on Toronto in MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Atlanta won Game 1 of this series with a solid 10-6 win over the Blue Jays. The Braves also left a very high 18 men on base with Jace Peterson accounting for 5 of those runners stranded. Adding the other parameters for this game this afternoon sees the Braves in a solid situation producing a 33% ROI. So, when the Braves win the previous road game installed as a DOG and now playing the same team and had left 18 or more runners on base, they are 12-10 making 7.54 units/unit wagered averaging a 137 DOG play since 2014. Date Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SU W/L O/U Line May 16, 2017 Tue away Braves Jaime Garcia - L Blue Jays Marco Estrada - R 152 May 13, 2017 Sat away Braves Julio Teheran - R Marlins Edinson Volquez - R 3-1 2 W U 113 Apr 27, 2017 Thu away Braves RA Dickey - R Mets Matt Harvey - R 7-5 2 W O 160 Apr 06, 2017 Thu away Braves Jaime Garcia - L Mets Matt Harvey - R 2-6 -4 L O 145 Sep 24, 2016 Sat away Braves Aaron Blair - R Marlins Wei Yin Chen - L 4-6 -2 L O 165 Sep 21, 2016 Wed away Braves Ryan Weber - R Mets Bartolo Colon - R 4-3 1 W U 170 Sep 20, 2016 Tue away Braves Julio Teheran - R Mets Robert Gsellman - R 5-4 1 W O 108 Sep 04, 2016 Sun away Braves Julio Teheran - R Phillies Jake Thompson - R 2-0 2 W U -160 Aug 24, 2016 Wed away Braves Julio Teheran - R Diamondbacks Zack Greinke - R 9-10 -1 L O 120 Aug 07, 2016 Sun away Braves Mike Foltynewicz - R Cardinals Adam Wainwright - R 6-3 3 W O 190 Jul 09, 2016 Sat away Braves Julio Teheran - R White Sox Jose Quintana - L 4-5 -1 L O 170 Jun 18, 2016 Sat away Braves Aaron Blair - R Mets Steven Matz - L 4-3 1 W U 240 Jul 07, 2015 Tue away Braves Manuel Banuelos - L Brewers Tyler Cravy - R 4-3 1 W U 150 Jun 14, 2015 Sun away Braves Mike Foltynewicz - R Mets Dillon Gee - R 8-10 -2 L O 115 May 31, 2015 Sun away Braves Julio Teheran - R Giants Madison Bumgarner - L 7-5 2 W O 180 May 17, 2015 Sun away Braves Shelby Miller - R Marlins Henderson Alvarez - R 6-0 6 W U 113 May 16, 2015 Sat away Braves Alex Wood - L Marlins Mat Latos - R 5-3 2 W O 115 May 12, 2015 Tue away Braves Mike Foltynewicz - R Reds Anthony DeSclafani - R 3-4 -1 L U 130 Apr 18, 2015 Sat away Braves Alex Wood - L Blue Jays RA Dickey - R 5-6 -1 L O 160 Jun 21, 2014 Sat away Braves Julio Teheran - R Nationals Doug Fister - R 0-3 -3 L U 110 Jun 20, 2014 Fri away Braves Mike Minor - L Nationals Stephen Strasburg - R 6-4 2 W O 150 Apr 17, 2014 Thu away Braves Alex Wood - L Phillies AJ Burnett - R 0-1 -1 L U -130 Apr 06, 2014 Sun away Braves Alex Wood - L Nationals Taylor Jordan - R 1-2 -1 L U -105 Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 26-15 hitting 65% winners and has made 25.7 units/unit wagered since 1997. The system has also averaged an impressive . Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) that is an average NL offensive team scoring between 4.0 to 4.5 runs/game and is now facing a good AL starter posting an ERA |
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05-14-17 | Philadelphia Phillies - Game #1 v. Washington Nationals - Game #1 OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
7* graded play ‘OVER’ in the Phillies-Nationals (903 and 904) game set to start at as they take on in MLB action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 8 runs will be scored in this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Phillies were our ‘Upset Alert’ Titran Saturday.The Phillies raced out to a 4-0 lead, but then the Nationals came back in the fifth with a four-spot with all 4 runs coming with two outs. The Nationals simply have a very good offense that has no significant weakness throughout it. The Philies are 22-10 ‘OVER’ after a road game where they blew a 4 run lead after the fourth inning since 2014. That record equates to a very strong 30.1% ROI. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a near-perfect 9-1 OVER (+7.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is 11-3 OVER (+8.0 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Philadelphia is a solid 25-10 OVER (+15.0 Units) as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. 7-2 ‘OVER’ in 2017.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’. |
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05-13-17 | Phillies +170 v. Nationals | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Phillies (953) as they take on Washington in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philadelphia can win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Phillies allowed 21 runs in their last two games at Seattle and due to a rainout have not played in three days. That rest is very critical to refreshing the bullpen and the overall team too. Since 2004, the Phillies are 29-18 making 13.91 units/unit wagered with average line of +118 after allowing 8 or more runs in two straight games. That translates to a very strong +25.7 ROI. Even better is when they have allowed 10 or more runs in two straight games. In that role, which matches today’s game, they are an incredible 9-1 with an average line of +125 and has made 10.17 units for a remarkable 95.5% ROI since 2004.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 35-17 hitting 67% winners and has made 31.7 units/unit wagered since 2012 . Play against NL home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season, with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Phillies. |
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05-13-17 | Cubs -101 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Cubs (957) as they take on St. Louis in MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Cubs bullpen is the big difference between these two teams. The Cubs bullpen sports a 2.18 ERA with a 1.144 WHIP in 19 road games spanning 57 ⅔ innings of work. Cards bullpen has been largely inconsistent and have posted a 4.36 ERA and a 1.455 WHIP in 18 home games spanning 55 ⅔ innings of work. Lester will get through 6 innings and then turn it over to the pen to secure the win. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 31-12 hitting 72% winners and has made 20.5 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged a +105 DOG play. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) that are below average hitting teams batting 0.255 or lower, but has an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season and is now facing a decent starting NL pitcher sporting an ERA between 3.70 to 4.20, The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cardinals are just 6-18 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cardinals are 5-18 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. Cardinals are 8-15 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cubs. |
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05-10-17 | Mariners -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 11-6 | Win | 145 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Seattle Mariners (917) using the Run Line as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game by 2 or more runs. The current Run Line is at Seattle -1 ½ +140 and the money line is at essentially pick-em. Make certain you always use the - 1 ½ line as it will equate to a dog line (+140 in this case) and offer a much better return. So, an alternative wager is to combine money line and run line by wagering a 2.5* play using the line and a 4.5* play using the Run Line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points Phillies had a 5-run lead and ended up losing the game at home last night to the Mariners. Teams that have replicated that type of disappointing loss are 58-6 with a 7.4% ROI and 40-56 with a 10.4% ROI using the Run Line. Applying the team filter, shows that the Phillies are 0-3 SU and 1-2 Run Line (playing the same opponent) after game blowing a 5-run or more lead and losing at home since 2004. Small dataset, but meaningful. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 17-9 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better. Phillies are just 5-20 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Mariners using the Run Line or by using the combination wager outlined above. Ryan’s Run Line SIM Algorithm Titan John Ryan's proven algorithm has identified a High-Powered winner in today’s MLB card |
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05-08-17 | Nationals v. Orioles +103 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 103 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
7* graded play on Baltimore (916) as they take on Washington in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics Baltimore and Washington are two of the best teams so far 2017. Baltimore is in a virtual tie with the surprising NY Yankees in the AL East while Washington is well under way to win the NL East with a 6 ½ game lead over the injury-riddled Mets. Washington had struggled to score runs for their starting pitchers in years passed, but that is certainly not the case this season. Washington ranks best scoring 6.46 RPG, best averaging 17.42 total bases per game, and best with a +53 run differential. Baltimore can’t match those offensive numbers, but they offset it partially with solid defense that has turned many DP when the opponent has players in scoring position. Baltimore’s bullpen is one of the nest in the Majors sporting a 2.38 ERA with a 1.321 WHIP and 41Ks in 13 home games spanning 53 innings pitched. This will be critical knowing their starter tonight, Gausmann, has struggled so far in his 7 starts. Washington has a horrid bullpen that has been masked by the explosive offense. They rank as one of the worst with a 6.50 ERA and 1.399 WHIP in 15 road games spanning 44 ⅓ innings of work.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 29-9 hitting 76.3% winners and has made 20 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against any team (WASHINGTON) starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing, hot hitting team batting .290 or better over their last 15 games.
Washington is coming off an extra inning loss at Philadelphia where they did blow a 3-run lead. Since 2004, the Nationals, are just 5-16 losing 10.77 units/unit wagered following a game where they blew a 3-run lead and lost in extra innings. Since 2012, they are 1-5 in this situation. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington starter Gio Gonzalez’ team record is just 1-8 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Baltimore Orioles. |
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05-07-17 | Giants -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
10* graded play on San Francisco (961) using the Run Line as they take on Cincinnati in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game by at least 2 runs. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 32-8 hitting 80% winners and has made 24.3 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play on all NL teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cueto’s team record in his starts are 13-4 against the run line (+10.5 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants using the Run Line. |
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05-07-17 | Marlins +105 v. Mets | 7-0 | Win | 105 | 1 h 9 m | Show | |
7* graded play on the Miami Marlins (951) as they take on the the NY Mets in MLB action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Marlins will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 27-14 hitting 65.9% winners and has made 23.2 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) that are poor fielding team averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 7 runs or more 4 straight games. The situations record is 3-1 this season. Here is a second system that has gone 35-14 good for 71.4% winners and has made 22.2 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against NL home teams (NY METS) allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 6 runs or more 5 straight games. This is the first time this situation has been qualified for the 2017 season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Mets are 36-22 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when facing NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Marlins. |
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05-06-17 | Diamondbacks +120 v. Rockies | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
7* graded play on Arizona (911) as they take on Colorado in MLB action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is just 33-48 (-22.1 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is 27-18 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 20-11 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Corbin’s team record is an outstanding 15-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in the first half of the season since 1997.
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Arizona.
In 6 starts, Corbin has posted a strong 2.55 ERA and a 1.302 WHIP and over his last three starts his ERA is 2.33 with a WHIP of 0.980. Even in Colorado, we expect him to post another strong quality start and get the win. |
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05-05-17 | Nationals -155 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
7* graded play on Washington as they take on Philadelphia in MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 2 runs. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the run line and a 1.5* play using the money line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 76-32 hitting 70.4% winners and has made 42.4 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against road teams (WASHINGTON) hot hitting team batting .280 or better over their last 20 games, with a hot starting pitcher with a WHIP |
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05-04-17 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* graded play on the ‘UNDER” in the St. Louis – Milwaukee matchup in MLB action set to start at 7:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 7 runs will be scored in this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STL starter Wainwright has really struggled so far this year with a horrid 6.12 ERA and a 1.840 WHIP in 5 starts spanning just 25 IP. Proven veteran starters, like Wainwright, have the capability of fixing things and getting back on track quickly. That’s one of the reasons they have become a certain in the first place. Starters with an ERA over 6.00, pitching at home, with a line -140 or higher, and with the team havig gone ‘over’ in 9 of the last 10 games have seen the ‘UNDER’ wager win with a 46-20 record and a solid 12.5% ROI. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’. Tis play is the highest and strongest possible gradig from the SIM Algorithm. It does NOT mean that this is a ‘Lock’ to win. To be successful utilizing our methods and strategies, it is imperative to exercise discipline on a day-to-day basis and resist the inherent temptation to wager more than required. These plays win at 70% and higher over the course of a calendar year in All Sports. It also means that these plays lose at a 30% rate. So, if you take the long-term vision of a 12-month horizon and wager with disciplined amounts you will have a great opportunity to show a significant profit. |
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05-04-17 | Pirates v. Reds +107 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 107 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
7* graded play on Cincinnati (902) as they take on Pittsburgh in MLB action set to start at 12:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 50-51 (-23.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh is |
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05-03-17 | Mets v. Braves +140 | Top | 16-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Atlanta Braves (956) as they take on the NY Mets in MLB action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. We had the Braves yesterday in their high scoring win over the Mets. This was a 9-3 game till the Mets scored 4 in the top of the 9th to make it look far closer than it really was. We write about Matt Harvey and his loss of control and velocity and it showed up even more last night. He has allowed 6 ER in 2 straight starts, which he has never had occur in his career. We are sports fans here at John Ryan Sports and we truly hope there is not an underlying injury with Harvey and the Mets can ill afford another loss to the starting rotation that showed so much promise in Spring Training. SIM algorithm shows a high probability in excess of 80% that Atlanta will win this game. The projections also show a poor performance late in the game by the Mets bullpen. That unit has been terrible to say the least as they have posted a lofty 6.09 ERA and a 1.714 WHIP in 11 road games spanning 44 1/3 innings of work. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Mets are just |
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05-02-17 | Mets v. Braves +105 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 105 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
7* graded play on Atlanta (902) as they take on the NY Mets in MLB action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 126-50 hitting 71.6% winners and has made 57.4 units/unit wagered since 1997. 6-13 (-12.4 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Harvey’s team reord is |
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05-01-17 | Rangers +188 v. Astros | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
7* graded play on Texas (967) as they take on Houston in MLB action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 30-10 hitting 75% winners and has made units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive +112 DOG considering it wins 75% of the time. Play on road underdogs in May with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) and is a below average AL hitting team batting 265 or worse against a team with a good bullpen posting an ERA of 3.75 or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rangers tonight. |
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04-30-17 | Phillies v. Dodgers -188 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
7* graded play on the LA Dodgers (912) as they take on Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LA will win this game and complete the sweep. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 162-52 hitting 76% winners and has made 68 units/unit wagered since 2012. |
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04-29-17 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 120 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
10* graded play on the NY Yankees (966) as they take on the Baltimore Orioles using the Run Line in AL East action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Yankees will win this game. We also like using an alternative combination ager consisting of a 3.5* play using the money line and a 6.5* play using the Run Line. The current RL is – 1 ½ +115, so this offers an optimized ROI when combined with the 3.5* play using the money line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yankees are 20-9 against the run line (+14.1 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start as the manager of NY Yankees. So, teams that scored 4 or more runs against the bullpen than the starter are 59-52 against the Run Line making 30.54 units/unit wagered ($3,054 per $100 wager) since 2012. The play has averaged a +140 Run Line and that alone is why this situation is credible and proven money maker. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Yankees. |
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04-29-17 | Rays +112 v. Blue Jays | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
7* graded play on Tampa Bay (967) as they take on Toronto in MLB action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rays will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 79-52 hitting 60.3% winners and has made 52.8 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an impressive +133 dog play, which also matches the current lines we are seeing this morning. 3-10 (-10.6 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. Toronto is 4-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rays. |
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04-27-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox -170 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
7* graded play on Boston (966) as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. 41-8 Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 41-8 hitting 83.7% winners and has made 27.7 units/unit wagered since 2012. 13-31 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Red Sox tonight. |
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04-25-17 | Reds +111 v. Brewers | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Reds (903) as they take on Milwaukee in MLB action set to start at 7:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Reds will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is just 10-28 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons. Starting Pitching and Team Metrics We really like Amir Garrett and especially in this matchup. He has made 3 starts and has posted a strong 1.83 ERA with a 0.864 WHIP with just 3 BB and 21 Ks in 19 2/3 innings of work. The big surprise for the Reds has been their bullpen. Although overused to date by many standard metrics, they have posted a 1.48 ERA and a 0.986 WHIP in 6 road games spanning 24 1/3 innings of work.
Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Reds. |
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04-23-17 | Nationals -148 v. Mets | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
7* graded play on Washington (963) as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 82-41 hitting 67% winners using the Run line and has made 37.9 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also covered the Run Line by more than 1 extra run in 58% of these games. Play against NL home teams against a 1.5 run line (NY METS) average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA |
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04-23-17 | Indians -184 v. White Sox | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -184 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Cleveland Indians (967) as they take on the Chicago White Sox in AL action set to start at 2:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid 10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 58-31 (+20.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 61-28 (+24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board |
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04-23-17 | Cubs -168 v. Reds | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -168 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Cubs (951) as they take on the Reds in NL Central action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 43-11 hitting 80% winners and has made 24.7 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CINCINNATI) with a top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are a solid 42-19 (+21.9 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 3 seasons. Reds are just 12-47 (-26.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 9-27 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cubs. |
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04-22-17 | Indians -210 v. White Sox | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
7* graded play on the Cleveland (917) as they take on CWS in MLB action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a solid10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 17-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) Cleveland is 93-48 (+32.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 20-8 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cleveland Indians. CWS are a very weak hitting team right now and have scored 4 or more runs in just 3 of their 15 games, and batting a horrid 0.213 on the season. Further, they send out a highly suspect Mike Pelfry to the hill to fend off a vastly superior offensive lineup in the Indians. Further, Cleveland starts Carlos Cattasco, who sports a stout 2.33 ERA with a 0.931 WHIP and 19 Ks in three starts spanning 19 1/3 innings of work. |
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04-21-17 | Royals +151 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
7* graded play on Kansas City (969) as they take Texas in MLB action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that KC will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is just 3-12 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Royals. Two of the worst hitting teams so far this season square off tonight. KC ranks 28th with a team batting average of 0.211. However, Texas is dead last in 30th position with a 0.206 BA. Texas ranks 9th in RPG at 4.56 and this reflects a ton of key situational hits. This type of scoring just is not sustainable by any team in any season. BWe believe that Nate Karns will have a solid start and complete at least 6 innings. Hamels is a very good veteran starter, but there are some red flags. He has made three starts and averaging 6 IP/start, but has record just 11 strikeouts with 7 BB and 3 HR allowed. He has allowed 1 HR exact in each of these three starts and yielding the HR has been a periodic problem for him in his career. |
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04-21-17 | Cubs -179 v. Reds | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Cubs (955) as they take on the Reds in NL Central action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs boxed with starter Jon Lester will win this game. We also like using an alternative combination ager consisting of a 5* play using the money line and a 2* play using the Run Line. The current RL is – 1 ½ -125, so this offers an optimized ROI when combined with the 5* play using the money line. Either wager is valid and the combination wager simply offers a different approach to play this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 49-9 hitting 84.5% winners and has made 33.4 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged a -173 favorite, which nearly matches the line for this game too. Play on all favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHICAGO CUBS) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Reds are a horrid 12-46 (-25.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cubs. |
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04-20-17 | Royals v. Rangers +106 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 106 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
7* graded play on Texas (916) as they take on Kansas City in MLB action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 44-22 hitting 67% winners and has made 26.7 units/unit wagered since 2012. The system has also averaged an +111 DOG play. Play against road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent good power team averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 21-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games facing a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Texas Rangers. |
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04-17-17 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
7* graded play ‘OVER’ the posted total in the Chicago Whites and NY Yankees game set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 9 runs will be scored in this game. There is also a metric projecting that one of these teams will score 8 or more runs on their own merit. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Holland is 13-3 OVER (+10.0 Units) vs. teams outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season. Holland is 20-8 OVER (+11.6 Units) after giving up |
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04-16-17 | Rangers -108 v. Mariners | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Texas Rangers (925) as they take on in MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rangers will win this game. We also like playing a 5* amount using the Run Line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 53-23 hitting 70% winners and has made 30.5 units/unit wagered since 2012 . The system has also averaged a +102 line. Play on any team, who had a good bullpen last season that converted on 75%+ of their save opportunities, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is just 18-28 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Seattle starter Iwakuma is just 3-9 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rangers. Rangers lost yesterday and had just two hits. The good news, though, is that road teams that have had 2 or fewer hits in their last game and now are favored in their next game are a very strong 74-34 for 69% winners and a 18% ROI. So, if you wagered $1,000 per play you would have made $27,877 on this simply, yet profitable, situation. Moreover, the Run-Line fairs equally as well sporting a 43-36 mark for only 54.4% winners, BUT has produced a remarkable 21% ROI. The reason is that the Run Line averages +128 and Dime Players added $18,737 to their account. |
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04-15-17 | Astros v. A's +140 | 10-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
7* graded play on Oakland (976) as they take on Houston in MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Current line shows Oakland as a +125 home dog. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. McCullers is a near-imperfect 1-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) McCullers is 1-11 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) McCullers is just 4-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Oakland A’s. |
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04-14-17 | Mets -160 v. Marlins | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Mets (903) as they take on the Marlins in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Mets will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The following system has produced a 52-21 result good for 71% winners and has made 31.8 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on any team (NY METS) team who had a good bullpen last season that converted on 75%+ of their save opportunities and now starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing. Mets are a strong 41-13 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. Mets are 19-3 (+15.6 Units) against the money line off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Mets. Syndergaard gets the start tonight and is pitching at an elite level. In two starts, he has posted a 0.67 ERA with 16 K’s and ZERO walks in 13 IP. Moreover, he has posted a 3-0 record with a 1.67 ERA and a 0.926 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Marlins. |
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04-13-17 | A's +119 v. Royals | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
7* graded play on Oakland (969) as they take on Kansas City in AL action set to start at 8:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 31-9 for 78% winners and has made 24 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) AL team with a low on-base percentage of .320 or less and with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season and is now facing a team with a struggling bullpen posting a WHIP of 1.550 and higher. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the A’s. |
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04-13-17 | Rangers v. Angels +125 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
7* graded play on the LA Angels (964) as they take on the Texas Rangers in AL action set to start at 3:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game by at least 10 points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 42-21 for 67% winners and has made 25 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent good power team averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. LA Angels are 19-5 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LA Angels. |
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04-12-17 | Mets +106 v. Phillies | Top | 5-4 | Win | 106 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
7* graded play on the NY Mets as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in NL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the NY Mets will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Mets are a solid 38-13 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Mets. The Mets hit SEVEN home runs last night in their 14-4 drubbing of the Phillies last night. Normally, a team that exceeds an average performance level by this amount have a strong propensity to play back to that average or even below average in the next game. Not so fast. Teams who have hit 7 or more home runs in their previous game and find themselves playing on the road are a remarkable 8-2 SU having had an average line of -107 since 2004. This data set has produced a remarkable 52% ROI. Coincidentally, the Mets have been on the winning side of three of these 10 games. Back on August 24, 2015, the Mets were at Philadelphia and the two teams combined for 11 home runs. The next day Noah Syndergaard struggled but led the Mets to a hard fought 6-5 win. |
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04-11-17 | Reds +174 v. Pirates | Top | 6-2 | Win | 174 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Cincinnati Reds (957) as they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in NL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Reds will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pirates are just 13-26 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Reds. Granted, it is very early in the season, but the big surprise is the Reds bullpen. They have gone 3-for-3 in save opportunities and have posted a strong 2.02 ERA with a 1.343 WHIP and recording 25 Ks in 22 1/3 innings of work. This pen will be a critical part of the Reds win tonight. |
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04-10-17 | Mets -140 v. Phillies | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
7* graded play on the NY Mets as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies in NL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Mets will win this game. We also like using an alternative combination ager consisting of a 5* play using the money line and a 2* play using the Run Line. The current RL is – 1 ½ +125, so this offers an optimized ROI when combined with the 5* play using the money line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is an amazing system that has gone 46-5 using the money line and has made 37.5 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play on all NL favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season and is now facing an NL opponent with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season. DeGrom is a solid 22-7 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Mets. |
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04-09-17 | Giants v. Padres +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
7* graded play on San Diego (962) using the Run Line as they take on San Francisco in NL action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will lose this game by 1 run covering the Run Line and also may win the game. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the Run Line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the RL and a 1.5* play using the money line. This combination maximizes your ROI for this wager based on the probabilistic projections from the SIM. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 27-8 for 82% winners since 1997. Play on home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (SAN DIEGO) below average NL hitting team batting .255 or less and us now facing a team with a below average bullpen posting an ERA >=4.50, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season. SD is 16-4 against the run line (+13.0 Units) in home games facing a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board SD. |
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04-09-17 | Twins +120 v. White Sox | Top | 4-1 | Win | 120 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
7* graded play on Minnesota (973) as they take on the CWS in AL action set to start at 2:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Current line is +120 and we expect this line to climb modestly based on current public betting flows. Never hurts to shop for the best line, so over the last 2 hours before first pitch, look to try and get a line at =125 or higher. If not, then simply wager what line is available to you. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 92-58 for 61.3% winners and has made 31.6 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) American League team who had a batting average of .260 or worse last season. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Twins. Twins are playing well. Granted, it is just a 4-game sample size, but teams that have won 4 straight games in the month of April are 16-19 for just 46% winners, BUT has made 4.8 units/unit wagered averaging a +147 DOG line. So, another example of the power of the DOG in MLB and exploiting the money line opportunities. Erwin Santana is an excellent starter with an above average slider that generates far more GB outs than the MLB average. It has 12-6 movement and is largely the reason why he gest weakly hit GB outs on that pitch. His change, though is what is his most ‘out’ pitch and has amazing deception. This in turn, makes his FB look much faster and explodes late on the hitter with many late swing misses. |
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04-08-17 | Dodgers -200 v. Rockies | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -200 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Dodgers (911) boxed with Kershaw and using the -1 ½ RUN Line as they take on the Colorado Rockies in NL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game by at least 2 runs. Playing it as a straight money line play is acceptable as well, albeit with the obvious increased 2:1 risk. Another wager consideration is make a combination wager using a 3* play on the RL and a 4* play using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 103-20 for 84% winners using the money line and has made 59 unis/unit wagered since 2012. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (COLORADO) -NL team with a low on-base percentage of .350 or less against a team with a good bullpen posting a WHIP 1.350 or less, with a good bullpen that converts on 75% or more of their save opportunities. Here is a second system that has gone 29-11 good for 73% winners using the money line and has made 21 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against home teams (COLORADO) first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9 or more losses in last 12 games, marginal losing team from last season who won 40 to 49% of their games. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board The Dodgers boxed with Kershaw. |
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04-07-17 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
7* graded play ‘OVER’ Tampa Bay-Toronto (970 set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 8 runs will be scored in this matchup. Further, there is a 55% probability that one of these teams will score 8 on their own merit. There is a lean toward TB, but that is not a reason to play TB to win the game. The probability exists for either team to score 8 runs and of course there is a chance (11%) that both teams will score 8 or more runs. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Liriano is a solid 25-13 OVER (+11.5 Units) when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Andriese is 0-1 in three starts facoing Toronto with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.167 WHIP. Liriano is 2-3 in 9 starts against TB with a 4.67 ERA and a 1.288 WHIP. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ |
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04-07-17 | Nationals v. Phillies +165 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
7* graded play on Philadelphia (954) as they take on Washington in NL East action set to start at 3:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philadelphia will win their home opener. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 49-29 for 63% winners and has made 33 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play against road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) after 2 straight games where they committed no errors against opponent after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Philadelphia. |
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04-07-17 | Braves +137 v. Pirates | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
7* graded play on Atlanta (951) as they take on Pittsburgh in NL action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a nice system that has gone 78-43 for 65% winners and has made 36 units/unit wagered since 2012. Play on any team (ATLANTA) after a loss by 4 runs or more against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less. Atlanta is 30-28 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh is just 8-19 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Atlanta Braves. |
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04-06-17 | Giants -106 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
7* graded play on San Francisco (911) as they take on Arizona in NL action set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Francisco will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Here is a system that has gone 41-23 for 64% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ARIZONA) first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from prior season who won their last 3 games, team that had a losing record last season. Arizona is 32-60 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is 10-21 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board San Francisco. |
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04-06-17 | Rockies +112 v. Brewers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 112 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
7* graded play on Colorado (903) as they take on Milwaukee in MLB action set to start at 1:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Colorado will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 16-37 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 14-34 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Colorado Rockies. |
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04-05-17 | Mariners +103 v. Astros | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
7* graded play on Seattle (975) as they take on Houston in MLB action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Seattle will win this game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. This system has gone 90-48 for 65% winners and has made 40.3 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play against home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) American League team who had a batting average of .260 or worse last season. This system is 3-2 making 0.8 units/unit wagered through 2 days of MLB action. Houston is a money burning 3-12 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Houston Astros. |
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04-02-17 | Yankees v. Rays +108 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 108 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
7* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on the New York Yankees in AL action set to start at 1:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Tampa Bay. Tanaka is making his third consecutive Opening Day start and the 28-year old ace, who was 14-1 with a 3.07 ERA in 31 starts last seasons. He set caeer highs in wins and innings (199 2/3) K’s (165) and quality starts at (19). Archers is coming off a very disappointing last season and is looking to rebound to his elite ace form in 2017. He has been lights out all Spring and made a solid start in the WBC too. He is throwing at 97 MPH with significant movement and his slider is still one of the best in the Majors. HI improvement from an 0-4 horrid start in 2016 was quite evident before the season was over. Over his final 13 starts, however, Archer pitched to a 3.11 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, striking out 97 batters over 84 innings while holding hitters to a .605 OPS. So, with three new youngsters, albeit very good players, we like Archer and the Rays for Opening Day. |
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11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians +109 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they take on Chicago Cubs in Game 7 of the 2016 MLB World Series set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win Game 7 and the 2016 World Series. I also like adding a 5* play using the – 1 ½ RUN LINE and also a 5* play using the -2 ½ RUN LINE. So, safe to say the projections call for the Indians to get out fast and never look back. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 67-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.3% winners and made 36.5 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is 24-8 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 3-7 in Hendricks' last 10 Wednesday starts. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass. Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Indians are 13-4 in their last 17 overall. Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central. Indians are 15-5 in their last 20 interleague games. Indians are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 16-6 in their last 22 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 24-9 in their last 33 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 46-18 in their last 64 home games. Indians are 5-0 in Kluber's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 7-1 in Kluber's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Indians are 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in Kluber's last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Indians are 22-5 in Kluber's last 27 starts on grass. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 Wednesday starts. Indians are 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 20-6 in Kluber's last 26 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points There will be at least 40 million viewers for Game 7 and is certainly very good for the sport given the declining viewership in the NFL this season. Kluber is attempting to be the second pitcher to record 3 wins in a single WS and if he does win, he will be the unaminous MVP choice. One situation is certain in this game. The longer Cleveland is in the game and the more likely Cubs will have to use an uncertain bullpen, the better the chances for the Indians. Twitter went ‘nuts’ last night when Chapman entered the game with a 5-run lead. He threw 20 pitches over a 2 inning span, but gave up a 2-run HR to Napoli. It is rare that Maddon ever gets caught with his pants down, but when the HR occurred and he had NO ONE warming up in the bullpen it forced Chapman to throw more pitches. It certainly points to the current lack of confidence Maddon has with his middle relief. Of the available bullpen pitchers, they have combined for a 5.40 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over their last 3 games. Now, its’ Game 7 and all hands will be on deck, but it will be very interesting to see how Chapman is greeted by the Indian hitters if the game is close. There have been 36 winner-take-all World Series Game 7s, most recently two years ago when the Giants defeated the Royals. The National League has the edge over the American League in Game 7s, having won 22, and four of the past five, dating back to 1997. The home team has gone 18-18, but before the Giants won the title at Kauffman Stadium two years ago, the home team had won nine straight dating back to 1982. This would be the second World Series Game 7 for both the Cubs (1945, lost to the Tigers at home) and Indians (1997, lost to the Marlins on the road). Four World Series -- in 1903, '19, '20 and '21 -- were played under a best-of-nine format, and none reached a rubber ninth game. Interesting fun facts for sure. Home field and Kluber will be too much for the Cubs to overcome tonight. I also do not see any significant impact to the Indians with Kluber starting on his third straight short-rest start. The total number of innings with Kluber and Andrews combined will be at least 7 innings with Andrews on full rest. |
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11-01-16 | Cubs v. Indians +137 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on Chicago Cubs in World Series action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game and win the World Series as the SIM Algo stated before game 1. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 81-67 over the last 5 seasons good for 54.7% winners and made a nice 48.8 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - excellent defensive catchers - allowing under 0.35 SB's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less. Another proven system supports this play posting a 117-86 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.6% winners and made 29.8 units/unit wagered. Play Against road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team - scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Cubs are 15-22 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season. Cleveland is 25-12 (+16.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game this season; 24-7 (+19.7 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 46-17 (+20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season Tomlin's team's record is 13-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season and they are 17-4 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 11-2 in their last 13 games on grass. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games. Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League Central. Fundamental Discussion Points Tomlin surrendered two hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings in Game 3 and the Indians went on to win 1-0. Tomlin allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last eight appearances going back to the regular season and yielded only one home run in that span. Tomlin is going on three days' rest in Game 6 but only threw 58 pitches in Game 3. Indians SS Francisco Lindor is batting .421 in the World Series and hit safely in four of five games. Both teams' pitching stats remain consistent from throughout the playoffs to the World Series with Cleveland posting a 1.80 ERA and a 1.84 ERA respectively, while Chicago is posting a 3.04 ERA and a 3.27 ERA respectively. Take Cleveland Indians. |
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10-28-16 | Indians +190 v. Cubs | Top | 1-0 | Win | 190 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Cleveland Indians as they take on the Chicago Cubs in MLB WS action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 72-78 record good for 48% winners, BUT has made 63 units/unit wagered averaging a +195 DOG play since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CLEVELAND) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. If we slice this data to include ONLY road dogs the record over the same span becomes 59-62 for 49% winners making 55 units/unit wagered and averages a 197.4 DOG play. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is a stout 23-11 (+14.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Tomlin starts for Cleveland and his team record is a solid 16-4 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Santana will be playing LF for the Indians in order to keep his big bat in the lineup. You will hear a lot of media noise focused on the Santana playing an unfamiliar position tonight. He is the DH for the Indians and Francona has stated that he hopes MLB comes to their senses and makes a rule change that applies to all MLB teams. Either have a DH or do not have a DH. Santana has played four innings in LF back in 2012 so it I s certainly a risk, but one that I do not see having a direct impact to the outcome of the game. I fully expect, though, to see Francona replace Santana in LF once he gets a multi-run lead. Given the SIM projections that CLV will win this game this always implies that Cleveland will get out to a fast start against Kendricks tonight. |
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10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians +105 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 105 | 20 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland as they take on the Chicago Cubs in World Series action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game and take the championship. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-16 since 1997 good for 70.9% winners and made 24.7 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - average AL offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. Another proven system supports this play posting a 59-30 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.3% winners and made 24.7 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or higher) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games. Indians are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a win. Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games. Indians are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games. Fundamental Discussion Points Kluber has an ERA of 1.17 and a WHIP of 0.522 when starting against the Cubs. Andrew Miller was ALCS MVP and is proving his worth in the playoffs with 21 strikeouts and five hits allowed in 11 2/3 scoreless innings over six games - in each of which he recorded at least four outs. The ALCS went much better for the Indians than the NLCS did for the Cubs taking 2 more games to close out. So far in the playoffs Cleveland has a 1.77 ERA, .208 average against, and 81 strikeouts pitching, while the Cubs have a 2.93 ERA, .222 average against, and 10 less strikeouts despite playing more games. Some may believe in the Cubs' curse to say that's why they had to take 6 games in the championship series to even get here. Take Cleveland Indians. |
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10-22-16 | Dodgers -130 v. Cubs | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on the Chicago Cubs in NLCS action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game and take the entire series. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 93-38 over the last 5 seasons good for 71% winners and made 42 units/unit wagered. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or more) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are 5-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season and are 187-206 (-68.0 Units) against the money line in home games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span since 1997. Dodgers are 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. Maddon is 22-33 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games in all games he has managed since 1997. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 Saturday games. Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games following a loss. Dodgers are 17-8 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 3-9 in their last 12 League Championship games. Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games. Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 League Championship home games. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw is 6-3 when starting against the Cubs with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.972. Kershaw allowed two hits in seven scoreless innings to earn the win in Game 2 at Wrigley Field. Dodgers 3B Justin Turner has reached base safely in 15 straight postseason games. Chicago RF Jason Heyward is batting .071 in the postseason, including 1-for-16 in the NLCS. Los Angeles committed five errors, leading to five unearned runs, in the last two games. I have confidence they've shored that up. Take LA Dodgers. |
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10-18-16 | Cubs v. Dodgers +114 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 114 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on the Chicago Cubs in NLCS Game 3 action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. There has been the emergence of alternate and -2 ½ Run Lines this season and they will offer added opportunity for many of our releases. For this play consider playing a 20* amount on the money line and a 5* play using the alternate –1 ½ run line, which you will see in the +175 range for the Dodgers lined at -1 1/2. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 105-61 over the last 5 seasons good for 63.3% winners and made 41.5 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team (62% or more) playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 Tuesday games. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 1-4 in Arrieta's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 League Championship games. Arrieta's team's record is 1-3 (-3.4 units) when starting against the Dodgers. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw was amazing in Game 2 and now the Dodgers enter this game with the bullpen completely rested with the exception of Jansen. We anticipate that Hill will go 5 innings and then the bullpen will be engaged. Dodgers pen posted a 2.50 ERA with a 1.018 WHIP in 83 games spanning 302 2/3 innings of work. This is not to say Hill will not pitch longer than 5 innings. After all, he did post a skimpy 2.38 ERA with a 1.048 WHIP in 22 starts spanning 117 2/3 innings with an impressive 142 K’s. |
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10-17-16 | Indians +178 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 178 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland Indians as they take on the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 3 of the ALCS set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cleveland will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-15 mark good for 76% winners and has made 35 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on any team (CLEVELAND) after 3 straight wins by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is 20-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on this season; 19-4 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 18-6 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 5 straight games this season. Stroman’s team record is a money burning 8-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win. Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 overall. Indians are 6-1 in Bauer's last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fundamental Discussion Points Bauer enjoyed one of his best starts against Toronto on Aug. 19, when he allowed two runs in eight innings and struck out a career-high 13. Stroman, who held Baltimore to two runs and four hits over six innings in his ALDS start, has not earned a victory since Aug. 14. Miller was the star of the Indians' AL Division Series sweep of Boston as he recorded seven strikeouts in four scoreless innings and was even better in the first two games of the ALCS, fanning 10 batters and yielding one hit in 3 2/3 scoreless frames of relief. It seems Toronto got all their hits and runs in the ALDS, and will have a tough time scoring in this series. Take Cleveland Indians. |
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10-13-16 | Dodgers +140 v. Nationals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 140 | 32 h 45 m | Show |
50* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Washington in NLDS action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-27 over the last 5 seasons good for 59.7% winners and made 29.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA DODGERS) - excellent fielding team - averaging under 0.5 errors/game on the season, playing on Thursday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is 6-15 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 34-44 (-18.3 Units) against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 19-23 (-16.3 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games this season; 82-118 (-49.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a one run loss since 1997. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 17-7 in their last 24 vs. National League East. Dodgers are 18-8 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Scherzer's team's record is 2-7 (-4.8 units) when starting against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 7-3 (+4.2 Units) against Washington this season and they are 9-3 in their last 12 meetings. The Dodgers continue to have their hot bullpen pitch well. Rich Hill got a wake-up call in his last outing he's in the playoffs and should return to his earlier form. Take Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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10-07-16 | Dodgers -142 v. Nationals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Washington in NLDS action set to start at 5:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 85-27 over the last 5 seasons good for 75.9% winners and made 47.6 units/unit wagered. Play on road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA DODGERS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (under .400) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP under 1.350), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a poor 5-14 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 23-51 (-24.2 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons; 15-18 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against NL West opponents this season. Dodgers are 5-1 (+4.8 Units) against the Nationals this season. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 15-5 in their last 20 vs. National League East. Dodgers are 8-1 in Kershaw's last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 58-21 in Kershaw's last 79 starts. Dodgers are 10-1 in Kershaw's last 11 starts vs. Nationals. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games. Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Fundamental Discussion Points Kershaw missed more than two months with back issues but finished the season strong by compiling an 0.72 ERA over his last four starts. Kershaw has thrived against Washington with a 10-2 mark and 2.02 ERA in 14 career appearances (13 starts), including a victory June 20 when he gave up one run and six hits over seven innings. Scherzer didn't face the Dodgers this season and is 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 career appearances (eight starts) against Los Angeles. Slumping Washington RF Bryce Harper, who homered once in his final 27 contests, is 1-for-15 with 10 strikeouts against Kershaw. Take the LA Dodgers. |
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10-06-16 | Red Sox -139 v. Indians | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Cleveland in action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 25-18 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 18-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of this season; 30-18 (+10.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season; 36-19 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Cleveland is 19-29 (-16.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season and they are a poor 15-21 (-15.8 Units) against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. Porcello's team's record is 25-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 games following an off day. Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 9-21 in their last 30 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Indians are 4-12 in their last 16 vs. American League East. Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games. Indians are 3-8 in Bauer's last 11 starts vs. American League East. Fundamental Discussion Points Porcello emerged as an AL Cy Young candidate in the second half and went 8-1 over his final 11 starts, yielding three or fewer earned runs in each of those outings. Porcello earned a home win over Cleveland on May 22 and is 10-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 22 career starts against the Indians. Bauer might have slotted fourth in a fully healthy Cleveland rotation and struggled down the stretch with a 7.20 ERA in his last five starts. Bauer faced Boston twice this season - once in relief - and allowed a total of six runs and 10 hits in six innings. The Red Sox took the season series 4-2, winning two of three in Cleveland. Indians SS Francisco Lindor batted .233 after Sept. 1 and was 6-for-23 against Boston this season. Take Boston Red Sox. |
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10-05-16 | Giants v. Mets +100 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Mets as they take on San Francisco in NL Wild Card action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Mets will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 116-51 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.5% winners and made 49.9 units/unit wagered. Play against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Fran is 12-19 (-19.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of this season; 10-17 (-19.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 5-13 (-12.8 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games this season; 6-19 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 3 seasons. NY Mets are 37-12 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 games following an off day. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games. Giants are 1-4 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-6 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 8-0 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Mets are 5-0 in Syndergaard's last 5 Wednesday starts. Fundamental Discussion Points There are plenty of worries as far as the Giants are concerned as they really struggled out of the All-Star break. Bumgarner wasn't always sharp down the stretch as he gave up four or more runs in four of his last nine starts and is well aware he'll need to be in top form in the wild-card game. Syndergaard finished third in the NL in ERA (Bumgarner was fourth) and fourth in strikeouts (Bumgarner was third) while putting together one of the top all-around seasons in the league. He has a 3.66 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in three career starts against the Giants. The Mets won four of the seven regular-season meetings to earn homefield advantage. New York slugged a franchise-record 218 homers, which ranked second in the NL. Take the New York Mets. |
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10-04-16 | Orioles +140 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Toronto in AL Wild Card action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-58 over the last 5 seasons good for 56.7% winners and made 51.1 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor OBP (under .320) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP under 1.300) -AL, playing on Tuesday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 39-39 (-19.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season; 0-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% this season; 21-31 (-19.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. Tillman's team's record is 10-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 16-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season; 10-3 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season; 22-8 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season; 12-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. Stroman's team's record is 5-14 (-16.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season and it is 4-11 (-13.0 Units) against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East. Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Orioles are 8-0 in Tillman's last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Blue Jays are 3-14 in Stroman's last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Blue Jays are 1-5 in Stroman's last 6 starts. Blue Jays are 1-7 in Stroman's last 8 starts vs. American League East. Blue Jays are 0-7 in Stroman's last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore should have plenty of confidence after finishing the season winning seven of its last nine games with a series win in Toronto last week that included a 3-2 triumph Wednesday in which Hyun Soo Kim belted a pinch-hit, two-run blast off Blue Jays closer Roberto Osuna in the ninth inning. Grilli, who works the eighth inning for Toronto, allowed a total of six runs on seven hits - three home runs - in 1 2/3 innings over his last three appearances. Tillman at Toronto on Wednesday he allowed just two runs (one earned) in 5 2/3 innings. Thursday against Baltimore Stroman was reached for four runs on nine hits and two walks in seven innings. Orioles LHP Zach Britton converted all 47 of his save opportunities in the regular season with five versus Toronto, tossing eight scoreless innings over seven appearances against the Blue Jays. Take Baltimore Orioles. |
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10-01-16 | Astros v. Angels -101 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Angels as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 63-22 over the last 5 seasons good for 74.1% winners and made 43.8 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (LA ANGELS) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games. Another proven system supports this play posting a 101-59 over the last 5 seasons good for 63.1% winners and made 42.1 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing, with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 15 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Angels are 21-13 (+12.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of this season; 15-2 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 over the last 2 seasons; 19-7 (+16.1 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 12-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Houston is a poor 8-16 (-10.8 Units) against the money line with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games this season and they are 25-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Fundamental Discussion Points Trout is 6-for-19 with two home runs against McHugh. Skaggs last appearance was on Sept. 9, when he tossed six scoreless frames against Texas. He made three starts against Houston two years ago and was 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA over 20 innings. The Astros are shutting down rookie 3B Alex Bergman, who has been battling a right hamstring injury. Just look at which direction these two teams are trending here and note yesterday's game wasn't a fluke. Take Los Angeles Angels. |
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09-30-16 | Dodgers +111 v. Giants | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on San Francisco in NL West action set to start at 10:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 229-130 over the last 5 seasons good for 63.8% winners and made a huge 77.4 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (SAN FRANCISCO) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest. Another proven system supports this play posting a 52-31 since 1997 good for 62.7% winners and made 32.1 units/unit wagered. Play ON road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (LA DODGERS) - with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Fran is 15-25 (-22.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 19-28 (-23.5 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of this season; 9-18 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. Bumgarner's team's record is 3-9 (-13.6 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season and it is 0-6 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing this season. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Hill faced San Francisco on Tuesday and allowed one run with seven strikeouts in five innings. Hill is 3-2 with a 2.60 ERA while striking out 38 batters against 10 walks in seven career starts against the Giants. Bumgarner took the loss against San Diego on Wednesday after yielding five runs over six innings, including three home runs. Enrique Hernandez is 11-for-22 with three homers against Bumgarner, who owns an 0-2 record against the Dodgers with a 3.91 ERA in four outings this season. The Giants are 0-62 when trailing after eight innings this season. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-30-16 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -139 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on San Diego in NL West action set to start at 9:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Arizona will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Diego is 46-63 (-25.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons and they are 7-19 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Jackson is 2-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is 83-61 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Padres are 1-4 in Jackson's last 5 road starts. Padres are 1-5 in Jackson's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Padres are 0-4 in Jackson's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Padres are 0-5 in Jackson's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Shipley's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Arizona did win in the last matchup against San Diego just 9 days ago. Jackson is 2-4 with a 4.55 ERA in 12 career appearances (nine starts) against the Diamondbacks. Goldschmidt is hitting an impressive .354 against the Padres this year. If Arizona sweeps this series they'll put their rival San Diego into the bottom spot in the NL West. Take Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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09-30-16 | Rays v. Rangers -206 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on Texas as they take on Tampa Bay in AL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 148-96 since 1997 good for 60.7% winners and made 46.7 units/unit wagered. Play on any team (TEXAS) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 33-60 (-27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 27-41 (-20.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season; 41-63 (-24.8 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season; 10-25 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season; 39-62 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season; 26-53 (-32.4 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Texas is 61-38 (+27.7 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season; 68-45 (+26.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 58-31 (+33.4 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging under 0.6 errors/game this season; 74-47 (+29.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season; 48-24 (+25.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season; 26-7 (+18.8 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games this season. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Rays are 2-8 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 1-6 in their last 7 overall. Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. Fundamental Discussion Points Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre homered versus Andriese, who took the loss against Texas on Aug. 19 as he permitted five runs over 5 1/3 innings. Darvish comes in off his finest outing of the season, when he yielded two hits and struck out nine over seven scoreless innings against Oakland. Darvish, who owns a 5-2 record at home this season, is 3-0 with 1.00 ERA in four career starts against the Rays. Texas SS Elvis Andrus has gone 8-for-15 with two homers and five RBIs over his last four games to raise his average to .304. Texas is the better team and will want to wrap up home field advantage. Take Texas Rangers. |
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09-29-16 | A's +144 v. Mariners | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Seattle in AL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 101-92 over the last 5 seasons good for 52.3% and made a huge 58.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG under .265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA under 3.75), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is 41-21 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Seattle is 12-17 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season; 29-37 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons; 8-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season; 27-30 (-15.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Athletics are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 9-4 in Graveman's last 13 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games. Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Fundamental Discussion Points Graveman has been keeping the ball in the park of late, serving up just one homer over his last four turns. Miranda had his four-start winning streak snapped Saturday when he gave up three runs and three hits — two homers — in four innings at Minnesota. The Mariners are just 2-4 at home against the Athletics this season. Oakland rookie 3B Ryon Healy is 9-for-15 over his last four games. Davis leads all players in this season series with 7 homers and 12 RBIs. Oakland will want to play spoiler here. Take Oakland Athletics. |
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09-29-16 | Cubs -103 v. Pirates | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they take on Pittsburgh in NL Central action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 166-119 over the last 5 seasons good for 58.2% winners and made 51.8 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are 113-68 (+23.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons; 88-45 (+31.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons; 44-20 (+14.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Arrieta's team's record is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons; 25-4 (+17.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons; 23-3 (+17.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons; 9-0 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. Pittsburgh is 12-26 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 4-19 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. over 62%) this season; 8-18 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season; 3-14 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. Fundamental Discussion Points Cubs own the Pirates as they are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Pittsburgh and 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. Arrieta is 10-2 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 0.839. Taillon started at Wrigley back on June 19th giving up three homers, 4 runs, 8 hits, and a walk in just 4 innings. Rizzo owns Pittsburgh hitting .439, 6 homeruns, and 19 runs scored this year. Also Chicago has a 3.54 ERA to Pittsburgh's 5.98 ERA in this season series. Take Chicago Cubs. |
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09-29-16 | Red Sox +150 v. Yankees | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-19 since 1997 good for 69.4% winners and made 25.4 units/unit wagered. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - team with a good SLG (over .440) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 road games. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 4-0 in Owens' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Yankees are 1-4 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-5 in Sabathia's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Yankees are 2-10 in Sabathia's last 12 starts vs. American League East. Yankees are 1-6 in Sabathia's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-7 in Sabathia's last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Owens' lone quality start in this season came against New York on April 29, when he allowed two runs on six hits and three walks in six innings without factoring in the decision. Sabathia has gone six straight starts without a win and did not factor in the decision in any on his last four turns. Sabathia started at Boston on Sept. 18 and was reached for four runs on eight hits and three walks in five innings, bringing his total to 17 hits allowed in 10 1/3 innings against the Red Sox this season. New York RHP Adam Warren has allowed at least one run in four of his last six appearances. The famous David Ortiz won't allow his longtime nemesis sweep them in his last series against the Yankees. Take Boston Red Sox. |
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09-28-16 | Diamondbacks +162 v. Nationals | Top | 3-0 | Win | 162 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona as they take on Washington in NL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is 21-18 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging under 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games against NL East opponents this season; 18-12 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games this season. Gonzalez's team's record is 11-18 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons and they are 4-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Baker is 87-94 (-38.5 Units) against the money line in home games against NL West opponents in all games he has managed since 1997. Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Fundamental Discussion Points Miller looked ready to earn his first win since June 20 on Friday at Baltimore and left the game with the lead after scattering three hits over six scoreless innings but the bullpen could not secure the victory. Miller is 2-2 with a 2.85 ERA in seven career starts against Washington. Gonzalez managed just three quality starts in his last nine outings. The Florida native was ripped for six runs at Atlanta on Sept. 17 and could not get past the fifth at Pittsburgh on Friday while surrendering three runs on five hits and three walks in a no decision. Arizona 2B Jean Segura homered three times in the last two games to reach 20 on the season. Nationals RF Bryce Harper (thumb) and 2B Daniel Murphy (glute strain) both sat out the first two games of the series and remain day-to-day. Take Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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09-28-16 | Mets v. Marlins +103 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 189-163 over the last 5 seasons good for 53.7% winners and made a MASSIVE 78.3 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 44-36 (+15.7 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 16-5 (+14.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season; 35-24 (+16.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. New York is 37-47 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Mattingly is 28-17 (+18.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better as the manager of Miami. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 Wednesday games. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Urena came within one out of a complete-game shutout against the Dodgers on Sept. 11. He is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four appearances (two starts) versus the Mets. In the season series, Miami has limited the homers with Granderson leading the Mets in the series with only 3 homeruns. The Marlins in the season series post Yelich with a .377 average and Stanton with 6 homers. Take Miami Marlins. |
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09-28-16 | Orioles +129 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-2 | Win | 129 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Baltimore as they take on Toronto in AL East action set to start at 7:07 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Baltimore will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-36 since 1997 good for 64.7% winners and made 33 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Baltimore is 28-22 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season; 94-69 (+27.4 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons; 123-100 (+28.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons; Tillman's team's record is 18-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season; 9-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season; 21-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season; 11-2 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series. Orioles are 7-0 in Tillman's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Fundamental Discussion Points Tillman allowed just two runs in 5 2/3 innings at Toronto on July 31. Francisco Liriano is 8-13 with an ERA of 4.88 on the season. Blue Jays RHP Joaquin Benoit suffered a torn left calf during a benches-clearing incident against New York on Monday and is likely to miss the rest of the season. Toronto 2B Devon Travis (left shoulder) aggravated an injury in Monday's brawl and is day-to-day. Take Baltimore Orioles. |
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09-26-16 | Reds +181 v. Cardinals | Top | 15-2 | Win | 181 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cincinnati as they take on St. Louis in NL Central action set to start at 8:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Louis is 10-15 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season; 10-17 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 over the last 2 seasons; 9-15 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season; 2-11 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season; 33-41 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season; 7-14 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season; 20-32 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Garcia's team's record is 2-7 (-8.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central. Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Cardinals are 1-4 in Garcia's last 5 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Adleman allowed only two runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings in his last outing. Garcia was pulled from his last start Sept. 13 when he yielded two runs on three hits and two walks in 1 2/3 frames against Chicago after suffering the loss in each of his previous four turns. One of those setbacks took place at Cincinnati, where he fell to 11-5 lifetime versus the Reds despite giving up only two runs in six innings Sept. 3. Cincinnati 1B Joey Votto enters the series with a seven-game hitting streak. Take Cincinnati Reds. |
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09-26-16 | Mets v. Marlins +110 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-33 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.7% winners and made 36.7 units/unit wagered. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 43-36 (+14.7 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season; 27-17 (+17.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season; 34-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. New York Mets are 36-47 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Marlins are 10-2 in Conley's last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Marlins are 8-2 in Conley's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Marlins are 4-1 in Conley's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Fundamental Discussion Points Following the tragic death of their ace, Miami will win this one for Fernandez. Conley was scheduled to go in Sunday's cancelled game but is instead expected to be activated from the disabled list in time for Monday's turn. Conley has been tough on the Mets in his young career, going 1-0 with a 1.27 ERA in four games - three starts. Miami 2B Derek Dietrich homered in three of his last eight games. Mets INF Wilmer Flores (wrist) could miss the rest of the season. Take Miami Marlins. |
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09-26-16 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -186 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -186 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. At home Toronto is 7-1 (+5.9 Units) against NY Yankees this season. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a loss. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. Yankees are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. Yankees are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games on astroturf. Yankees are 1-4 in Severino's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 1-10 in Severino's last 11 starts. Yankees are 0-5 in Severino's last 5 road starts. Yankees are 0-5 in Severino's last 5 starts vs. American League East. Yankees are 0-6 in Severino's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series. Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Happ's last 5 starts during game 4 of a series. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Happ's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Blue Jays are 15-1 in Happ's last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 8-1 in Happ's last 9 starts vs. American League East. Fundamental Discussion Points Happ became baseball's second 20-game winner when he allowed two runs in five innings of a 10-2 victory at Seattle on Tuesday. He has won 14 of his last 15 decisions overall and owns a 2.39 ERA in his four meetings with the Yankees in 2016. The 33-year-old is 11-2 in 14 home starts. Severino was 0-8 with an 8.58 ERA as a starter earlier this year and is 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA in four games (three starts) against Toronto. Bautista has reached base in 32 straight games and has eight RBIs in his last four contests. New York rookie C Gary Sanchez is 2-for-14 with five strikeouts in four games since Wednesday. Take Toronto Blue Jays. |
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09-25-16 | Cardinals v. Cubs -160 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they take on the St. Louis Cardinals in NL Central action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game. I like taking advantage of the -2 ½ run line in these situations, which offers a very nice return normally at 2:1 line or higher. So, make this a 38* play using the money line and then a 12* play using the -2 ½ Run Line. If you do not have access to that line, then consider making a 42* play using the money line and a 8* play using the Run Line, which will be near even money risk. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cubs are a solid 26-7 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season; 31-10 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. Cardinals are a miserable 9-17 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Jon Lester is in peak form posting a 0.41 ERA with a 0.773 WHIP winning his last three starts, walking 1 batter and striking out 20 batters. He is 18-4 in 30 starts with a 2.36 ERA and a 1.010 WHIP spanning 191 innings and certainly in Cy Young discussions. |
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09-24-16 | Giants v. Padres +200 | Top | 9-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Diego as they take on San Francisco in NL West action set to start at 8:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-26 since 1997 good for 52.7% winners and made 33.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG under .250) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA under 3.00) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 3 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Francisco is 5-12 (-18.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 10-17 (-14.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season; 8-15 (-18.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 31-41 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season. Bumgarner's team's record is 2-9 (-14.6 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.San Diego is 14-10 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 1-4 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts vs. National League West. Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Fundamental Discussion Points Padres have won seven of their last eight games against the Giants. Bumgarner is just 4-5 with a 3.55 ERA since the All-Star break and has dropped his last two starts against lowly San Diego. Posey is a poor 1-for-11 over the past three games. San Diego 2B Carlos Asuaje had his first two major league hits and scored twice Friday. Take San Diego Padres. |
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09-24-16 | Mariners v. Twins +117 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 117 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Seattle in AL action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 63-30 since 1997 good for 67.7% winners and made 32.5 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or more over his last 10 starts. Another proven system supports this play posting a 128-99 over the last 5 seasons good for 56.4% winners and made 46.6 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP under 1.000 over his last 3 starts, with a slugging percentage of .370 or worse over their last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Seattle is 12-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season and they are 148-154 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Duffey's team's record is 8-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and they are 11-3 (+10.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Mariners are 1-4 in Miranda's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Twins are 5-1 in Duffey's last 6 Saturday starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Seattle was swept by the Twins in late May. Duffey, who never has opposed the Mariners, will try to rediscover the form that allowed him to go 3-0 with a 3.79 ERA over his first three starts in August. With a victory on Saturday or Sunday, Seattle will earn its first series win against the Twins since the start of the 2013 season (0-5-2). The Twins won't be a 100 loss team yet, nor lose the series on Saturday. Take Minnesota Twins. |
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09-24-16 | Red Sox v. Rays +136 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Boston in AL East action set to start at 6:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-13 over the last 5 seasons good for 69.8% winners and made 29.4 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TAMPA BAY) - bad offensive team (under 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA under 3.50) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 100-87 (-21.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Red Sox are 3-7 in Porcello's last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 5-1 in Andriese's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Rays are 5-2 in Andriese's last 7 Saturday starts. Home team is 7-1 in Torres' last 8 games behind home plate. Fundamental Discussion Points Porcello gave up two runs and four hits in a complete-game victory over Baltimore his last time out, which followed a 1-0 loss to the same team. Even the best of pitchers tend to perform poorly their next start after a complete game outing. Corey Dickerson is 5-for-16 with three doubles and a homer versus Porcello. Andriese has won his last two starts while allowing three runs over 10 1/3 innings combined. Tampa Bay INF Brad Miller has hit 22 homers at home this season, one shy of Carlos Pena’s club record in 2007. The Rays did win the season series the last two years. Take Tampa Bay Rays. |
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09-23-16 | Giants v. Padres +132 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 132 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Diego as they take on San Francisco in NL West action set to start at 10:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 79-58 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.7% winners and made 38.5 units/unit wagered. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN DIEGO) - team with a terrible SLG (under .390) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP under 1.250) -NL, playing on Friday. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Fran is 4-12 (-19.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season; 9-17 (-15.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season; 15-25 (-22.9 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season; 15-25 (-22.9 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. San Diego is 33-18 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; is 8-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season; 15-9 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season. Giants are 0-4 in Suarez's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Giants are 0-5 in Suarez's last 5 starts. Padres are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Fundamental Discussion Points Suarez lost to the St. Louis Cardinals in his last turn when he gave up two runs and five hits over five innings. He has dropped three straight decisions and hasn't notched a victory since beating Pittsburgh on June 23. Jackson defeated San Francisco in his San Diego debut on July 17 when he allowed three runs (two earned) and one hit in 6 1/3 innings. Giants 2B Joe Panik has 1 hit in 25 at-bats during his past eight games. San Diego RF prospect Hunter Renfroe — who was MVP of the Pacific Coast League this season — went 2-for-4 on Thursday in his first major-league start. Take San Diego Padres. |
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09-23-16 | Rockies v. Dodgers -145 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on LA Dodgers as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-9 over the last 5 seasons good for 82% winners and made 32 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), in the second half of the season. Another proven system supports this play posting a 84-34 over the last 5 seasons good for 71.2% winners and made 38 units/unit wagered. Play ON home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA DODGERS) - poor hitting team (AVG under .250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The LA Dodgers are 165-95 (+46.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season since 1997. Colorado is 3-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season; 17-49 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 330-508 (-98.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997; 33-81 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rockies are 15-41 in their last 56 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Rockies are 1-4 in Grays last 5 Friday starts. Rockies are 3-14 in Grays last 17 road starts. Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 14-5 in their last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 41-16 in their last 57 home games. Dodgers are 4-1 in Kazmirs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Fundamental Discussion Points Gray has struggled on the road with a 3-6 mark and 4.56 ERA in 13 starts. Kazmir is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in three career starts against the Rockies, including a no-decision July 2 when he struck out 10 while pitching six innings of three-hit shutout ball. Colorado RF Carlos Gonzalez, who is one RBI from reaching 100 for the second time, is hitless in 11 career at-bats against Kazmir. Los Angeles rookie SS Corey Seager is 5-for-9 with a homer against Gray. Take Los Angeles Dodgers. |
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09-23-16 | Angels +138 v. Astros | Top | 10-6 | Win | 138 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on LA Angels as they take on Houston in AL West action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Angels will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-18 over the last 5 seasons good for 68.4% winners and made 23.1 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring under 4.7 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 5 starts. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LA Angels are 77-49 (+27.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and they are 12-6 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season. Fister's team's record is 1-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Hinch is 27-42 (-24.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 in all games he has managed since 1997. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Astros are 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 starts vs. American League West. Astros are 0-4 in Fister's last 4 home starts. Astros are 0-5 in Fister's last 5 starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Albert Pujols has hit more home runs against the Houston Astros than versus any other team and looks to go deep for the second straight game. Meyer picked up his first major-league victory in his last turn, when he struck out seven while scattering two hits over five scoreless innings. Fister is 0-4 with a horrific 10.71 ERA over his last five starts and hasn't lasted more than five innings during the stretch. He has allowed five homers during that span and has given up six or more earned runs in three of the defeats. Angels SS Andrelton Simmons recorded two hits on Thursday and is batting .306 in 62 at-bats this month. Take Los Angeles Angels. |
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09-22-16 | Rockies v. Dodgers -181 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Dodgers as they take on Colorado in NL West action set to start at 10:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-6 over the last 5 seasons good for 87.8% winners and made 31.2 units/unit wagered. Play against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (COLORADO) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Colorado is 16-43 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 17-49 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 30-85 (-32.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League West. Dodgers are 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 40-16 in their last 56 home games. Fundamental Discussion Points Chatwood is looking to bounce back from a rough outing against San Diego on Friday when he allowed seven runs on eight hits over five innings at Coors Field. Anderson was encouraged after his last rehab appearance, when he allowed three hits and one run in five innings for Triple-A Oklahoma City in the Pacific Coast League playoffs. Arenado is 5-for-10 with a home run against Anderson, who has gone 1-0 with a 4.43 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies. Take LA Dodgers. |
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09-22-16 | Pirates v. Brewers +103 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 103 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Milwaukee as they take on Pittsburgh in NL Central action set to start at 8:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 105-79 over the last 5 seasons good for 57.1% winners and made 45.5 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 40-35 (+7.9 Units) against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season; 27-19 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season; 22-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games this season; 13-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games this season. Pittsburgh is 8-16 (-11.8 Units) against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 1-5 in Vogelsong's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Pirates are 1-7 in Vogelsong's last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 4-1 in Anderson's last 5 home starts. Fundamental Discussion Points Vogelsong is winless in his last four starts and did not record an out in the sixth inning during any of them. He yielded six runs - four earned - over 4 2/3 frames at Cincinnati last time out. Anderson’s only loss in his last 12 starts came against Pittsburgh on Aug. 28, but he is 2-1 with a 2.33 ERA in four outings versus the Pirates this season. Gregory Polanco is just 4-for-17 versus Anderson. Brewers UTIL Hernan Perez has hit safely in his last five games and is 18-for-58 with three homers, 10 runs scored and 11 RBIs against the Pirates this season. Take Milwaukee Brewers. |
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09-22-16 | Phillies +185 v. Mets | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on the NY Mets in NL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 187-160 over the last 5 seasons good for 53.9% winners and made a MASSIVE 79.8 units/unit wagered. Play against any team (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philly is 13-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season; 37-35 (+18.0 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons; 22-15 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season; 14-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. NY Mets are 2-8 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season this season and they are 9-21 (-21.5 Units) against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East. Fundamental Discussion Points Morgan has allowed two or fewer runs in four straight starts. Mets RF Jay Bruce struck out in the ninth as a pinch hitter in Wednesday's loss and is 3-for-38 over his last 12 games. Phillies 1B Tommy Joseph is batting .480 with three home runs and eight RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak. Phillies love to play spoiler for their New York rivals. Take Philadelphia Phillies. |
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09-21-16 | Yankees v. Rays +122 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on the NY Yankees in AL East action set to start at 7:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-22 over the last 5 seasons good for 66.7% winners and made 27.3 units/unit wagered. Play against road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (NY YANKEES) - bad offensive team (under 4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA under 4.20) (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.Another proven system supports this play posting a 60-34 since 1997 good for 63.8% winners and made 38.2 units/unit wagered. Play on home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY Yankees are 141-140 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997: 12-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons; 8-23 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. At home Tampa Bay is 4-2 (+2.1 Units) against NY Yankees this season. Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games on astroturf. Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rays are 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Fundamental Discussion Points Tanaka was superb again in his last outing, only to watch his bullpen unravel in the ninth in a stunning 7-5 defeat. That same bullpen has given up 32 homers on the road this season. Kevin Kiermaier is 4-for-8 versus Tanaka. Cobb permitted only one run on two hits over 6 2/3 innings at Toronto last time out. He is 5-2 with a 2.13 ERA against New York. In the season series the Rays are outhitting the Yanks (.243 to .237) and allowing less runs (3.85 ERA) compared to New York (4.59 ERA). Take Tampa Bay Rays. |
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09-21-16 | Red Sox -104 v. Orioles | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston as they take on Baltimore in AL East action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-11 since 1997 good for 81.4% winners and made 34.9 units/unit wagered. Play against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL). The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is 216-187 (+44.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997; 33-24 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons; 29-15 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons; 31-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Baltimore is 79-100 (-39.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 since 1997. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Orioles are 2-5 in Jimenezs last 7 starts during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore. Red Sox are 6-1 in Buchholz's last 7 road starts vs. Orioles. Fundamental Discussion Points Buchholz held the New York Yankees to two runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in six innings on Friday. Jimenez went seven innings and allowed four runs on Friday. He made two starts against Boston in the first half of the season and was lit up for a total of nine runs in 10 innings. Baltimore 3B Manny Machado is 2-for-17 in the last five games. Boston 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) sat out Tuesday but is expected to be back in the lineup on Wednesday. Boston is almost exactly a 1.00 ERA lower than Baltimore in the season series. Take Boston Red Sox. |
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