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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-23 | Rider v. Monmouth -4.5 | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-16-23 | Towson v. Bryant +2.5 | 93-101 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-16-23 | Vikings v. Bengals -160 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 42 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It really is insane that Jamar Chase & Justin Jefferson were on the same college team, w/ Joe Burrow as their QB. My goodness. Bengals haven't missed a beat w/ Jake Browning under center (BB games scoring 30+ pts) as Cincinnati continues to own the month of December. They are 7-2 outside the AFC North TY (0-4 vs division). Vikings won the lowest scoring gm since '07. That one was played in a blizzard while this was played in perfect conditions in Allegiant Stadium. |
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12-16-23 | Georgia Southern v. Ohio +3.5 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 61 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio will need to rely on a defense that ranked No. 4 overall in the land, one that surrendered more than 23 points only once. As for the offense, well… the offense turned the ball over 26 times this season and they were 0-5 when they failed to gain 400 yards this year. Recent ATS results stand in the Bobcats’ corner: Georgia Southern is 0-11 ATS away off an away game and 2-12 SU, 3-11 ATS and 5-9 ITS versus bowl teams the last two years while Ohio is 6-0 ATS when coming off a road win and 7-2 ATS in their last nine bowl games. With MAC teams now 14-8-1 ATS in bowls games versus Sun Belt foes, we say back the Bobcats |
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12-15-23 | Portland State v. San Diego +2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-15-23 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado -21 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coach Prime has stolen all the headlines about the Colorado Buffaloes, but the men's basketball team is putting together a special season. Colorado (7-2), led by junior guard KJ Simpson, already has been ranked and is on the verge of getting back into the polls. The Buffaloes can state their case when they host Northern Colorado on Friday night in Boulder, Colo. Simpson leads the team in scoring with 19.4 points per game and is also averaging 4.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds. He had 20 points in a 90-63 rout of then-No. 15 Miami on Sunday, and his coach believes he should be in the conversation with the best guards in the nation. |
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12-15-23 | Magic v. Celtics -4 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite a dominant first quarter (30-19), the Celtics lost by 17 points to the Magic in their previous matchup this season. Orlando scored 94 points in the final three quarters, shooting 50.6 percent overall with a 60-40 scoring advantage in the paint and a +17 rebounding margin. The Magic put the C's on the free-throw line too much (37 FT attempts) and turned the ball over 18 times, but Boston struggled to find its stroke from three-point range (7-for-29). In Friday's rematch, I expect the Celtics to play a more complete game, knocking down more threes and holding their own inside. The Magic are unlikely to replicate their performance, as they rarely shoot the basketball that efficiently and won't dominate the Celtics again at the rim, as the C's boast the third-lowest opponent rim% in the league (57.2%). Porzingis, who only played 22 minutes in the first meeting, will do his duty as the team's rim protector, keeping Mo Wagner (27 points on 9-of-13 shooting) in check this time around. |
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12-15-23 | Pacers -8.5 v. Wizards | 123-137 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Indiana Pacers are solid on the road, winning four of their last six road bouts including a win against the Hawks and Heat. The Washington Wizards continue to struggle and only have one home win all season. They have lost 15 of their last 16 games. This is an ideal matchup for Indiana who leads the NBA in scoring. The Wizards are the worst defensive team in the NBA. They are last in points allowed and points conceded per 100 possessions. Indiana is sporting a dazzling 50.7% field goal percentage and opponents are shooting a stunning 50% against the Wizards. They have lost by at least 20 points in three consecutive games. |
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12-14-23 | Nets +9.5 v. Nuggets | 101-124 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-13-23 | Weber State +10 v. Nevada | 55-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nevada is arguably a much better offensive team than Weber State, but I think the Wildcats’ defense is good enough to contain the Wolf Pack and help the team beat the number. Weber State takes good care of the ball (25th in turnover percentage, 14.2%) and dominates on the defensive glass (13th in defensive rebound percentage, 77.5%) while keeping its rivals off the free-throw line (33rd in defensive free-throw rate (24.9). The Wolf Pack love to attack the rim and are third in the country in free-throw rate (50.2). They should win this game, but I’m not sure Nevada will be able to beat Weber State by double digits. The Wolf Pack will have a tall task to slow Dillon Jones down. |
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12-13-23 | Chicago State v. Northwestern -24.5 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Struggling Chicago State (3-9) hasn't faced a Power Five school this season and is coming off Sunday's 66-50 home loss to the St. Thomas (Minnesota). The Cougars shot just 38.8 percent from the floor, including 27.8 percent from 3-point range. Wesley Cardet and Noble Crawford paced Chicago State with 12 points each, but the team couldn't maintain its momentum down the stretch after drawing within 49-45 with seven minutes to go. Should the Cougars aim to trap Buie, who scored 31 points in the upset of Purdue, the Wildcats will be ready. Buie had eight assists against Detroit Mercy as Northwestern's ball movement kept the Titans off-balance. The Wildcats assisted on 29 of their 34 field goals. Reserve Nick Martinelli shot 10-for-12 from the floor en route to a career-best 22 points. Ryan Langborg hit five of Northwestern's 10 treys and scored 19 points, while Ty Berry (16) and Brooks Barnhizer (13) also finished in double figures. The Wildcats also were plus-four on the glass and had nine steals, four from Langborg. Northwestern is 15-0 against Chicago State all-time, including an 85-54 victory in its season opener a year ago. The Wildcats' 31-point margin of victory was their smallest in the series since a four-point win in December 2016. |
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12-13-23 | Bruins +112 v. Devils | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins are 9-5-2 since opening with a 10-game points streak. Three of those losses occurred in a four-day span when Boston was outscored 17-8 in lopsided losses to the Detroit Red Wings, New York Rangers and Columbus Blue Jackets. Since those one-sided setbacks, the Bruins are 4-1-0 in their past five with three of those wins coming by more than one goal. Their most recent game was a 5-3 home win over the Arizona Coyotes on Saturday afternoon. The Bruins scored five goals for the first time since Nov. 18 as David Pastrnak scored twice for his third multi-goal game this season. Charlie Coyle, Kevin Shattenkirk and Danton Heinen also scored as the Bruins recovered from allowing two goals in 32 seconds and held Arizona scoreless on five power-play chances. The Bruins have won the past six meetings and are 8-0-1 in the past nine. |
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12-13-23 | Murray State v. Mississippi State -16 | 81-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Bulldogs score 75.4 points per game (166th) on 43.6 percent shooting (236th), including 31.3 percent from long range (265th). They knock down 71.4 percent of their foul shots (161st) and average 38.9 rebounds per game (22nd). MSU's opponents score 62.0 points per game (19th) on 37.2 percent shooting (12th), including 24.9 percent from deep (4th), with 30.3 rebounds per game (126th). Mississippi State is ranked 28th nationally. |
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12-11-23 | Blazers v. Clippers -12 | 127-132 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Monday night's NBA lineup features four games with double-digit spreads, hinting at potential blowouts, and the Trail Blazers vs. Clippers game is no exception. The matchup looks particularly challenging for Portland, prompting me to side with the Clippers, who are favored by a significant margin. Portland's situation is tough, with key players Jerami Grant, Malcolm Brogdon, and Deandre Ayton all questionable due to injuries. Given that they're already struggling offensively, ranking last in the league, the potential absence or limited capacity of these scorers could severely hamper their performance. The Clippers, in contrast, are in good health and riding a three-game winning streak. Statistically, Los Angeles has a 6-5 record against the spread and a 7-4 overall record when scoring above 112.4 points. Additionally, they have an ATS record of 6-4 and an 8-2 overall record when holding opponents below 105.5 points. Considering these factors, I expect the Clippers to have a strong showing and comfortably handle Portland on their home court. |
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12-11-23 | Nets +5.5 v. Kings | 118-131 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +6.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 82 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Packers enter just 8-6 SU and 6-8 ATS under head coach Matt LaFleur against opponents coming off a SU underdog win, including 1-5 ATS versus sub .500 foes. They are also a non-division favorite coming off three uninterrupted underdog upset wins in a row, a role in which teams in the NFL are just 6-20-2 ATS since 1980. With that, and despite the fact they are averaging just 231 YPG in their last five contests, we expect Big Blue to rise to the occasion tonight. The G-Men take the field this evening sporting an 11-4 ATS record on Monday Nights in games where they sport a .333 or fewer win percentage when battling .500 or fewer opponents, including 8-0 ATS in anything other than a season-opening game. And while Jordan Love is enduring himself to Packer backers, New York fill-in QB Tommy Devito has become the first undrafted QB in rookie season to have back-to-back QB Rating of 100 or more. He’s also one of only two NFL backup QBs this season with a winning record (Gardner Minshew). Best of all, playing against any NFL team coming off three consecutive outright underdog wins if they are facing a non-division foe is 20-6-2 ATS. |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami brings along a glossy 6-0 ATS mark in matchups in which the Fish were favored in their last game against foes that were taking points the previous week and a 6-0 ATS ledger laying points after laying them the previous game. Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the AFC East and 3-13-1 ATS in non-division games when coming off a divisional home contest, including 1-10-1 ATS before Game Fourteen of the season. Miami is chewing up and spitting out losing opponents behind head coach Mike McDaniel (15-3 SU and 13-4-1 ATS –including 9-0 SUATS the last nine games), and Tennessee just 1-5 SUATS away in its previous six Monday nighters against .666 or greater opposition, we can only look one way here. |
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12-11-23 | Cavs v. Magic -135 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando will put its disappointing performance against Cleveland two games ago behind it with a convincing victory over the Cavs at home on Monday night. I don't expect the Magic to shoot the basketball as inefficiently from three-point range and they should have a serious advantage on the glass with Mobley potentially out or playing through a knee injury. Cleveland shot lights out in the last matchup between these teams, which is unlikely to happen twice against Orlando's defense (4th in defensive rating). The Cavs won't shoot the three-ball as well (41.9%) as they did in that game and are unlikely to get enough easy looks around the rim, as the Magic rank ninth in opponent rim FG%. |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 39 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Philadelphia isn’t currently scheduled to face another squad with a winning record for the remainder of the regular season. That should be good news considering the fact the Eagles are 9-4 SUATS in this series in games in which they own a .750 or greater win percentage, including 5-0 ATS when Dallas enters off a win. Take the points with the better team coming off an embarrassing loss, and if you’re uncomfortable, consider that the Eagles are 16-6 SU and 14-7-1 ATS versus winning foes during the regular season behind QB Jalen Hurts, including 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS the last fifteen games |
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12-10-23 | Boston College v. St. John's -5.5 | 86-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game may be on a neutral court, but St. John's will have the fandom edge based on where it is. Outside of that, they're already a better team. The Red Storm's greatest advantage will be on the glass, which will lead them to a comfortable win. One of the other key separators for this game is that the Red Storm hits 37.1% of their threes, and Boston College only knocks down 33.9%. Considering that both defenses allow opponents to hit more than 37% of their threes, sharpshooting will also make a massive difference. St. John's beats Boston College there too, and will win this game by more than six points. |
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12-10-23 | Elon v. NC-Greensboro -13 | 73-82 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UNC Greensboro Spartans use a very strong offense that is excellent at long distance shooting together with a defense that limits opponents to a low shooting percentage. UNC Greensboro shoots 39.7% from three point land which is 15th best in the nation and holds opponents to a field goal shooting percentage of just 40.4%. UNC Greensboro scores 79.9 points per game and allows 10.5 points less at 70.4 points per game. Elon is scoring an average of 82.8 per game but gives up 77.6 per contest and gives up high shooting percentages as opponents are making 46.3% overall and 32.2% from 3 point land against the Phoenix. Elon has failed to cover the spread in each of the last two while going 1-1 straight up over that span. UNC Greensboro has won each of its last six straight up and is 3-2 ATS over that span, which included a victory straight up over Arkansas as 15-point road dogs. |
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12-10-23 | Seahawks +11 v. 49ers | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Conference Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Seahawks bring artillery of their own into this battle with a jaw-dropping 24-8 SU and 25-6-1 ATS mark in games when coming off consecutive losses as a dog, including 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a win of 7 or more points. They are also 12-4 SU and 13-3 ATS in this series before Game Fourteen of the season, including 7-0 ATS when the Niners enter off a SUATS win. However, Seattle head coach Pete Carroll is 9-1 SUATS in his career when coming off three losses, including 5-0 SUATS with the Seahawks, as well as 8-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win. |
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12-10-23 | Tennessee Tech v. East Tennessee State -8 | 72-73 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-10-23 | St. Thomas -145 v. Chicago State | 66-50 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-10-23 | Rams v. Ravens -7 | 31-37 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Ravens went into their week of rest with a half-game lead for home-field advantage and the lone playoff bye but now trail Miami due to tiebreakers. That should get their attention today. Especially knowing they are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games in this series. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 3-0 since their Bye week, but find themselves facing the well-rested Ravens. It’s important given the fact the Rams are on 2-9 ATS against rested foes under Sean McVay, including a 0-7 ATS losing skid the last seven games (0-2 this season). And the Rams bring a hard-to-like 2-10 ATS log into this fray when coming off back-to-back SUATS wins. |
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12-10-23 | Bucs +2 v. Falcons | 29-25 | Win | 100 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta is ‘leaking oil’, having been outgained in its last three games. Sure, the Dirty Birds sport the better offense and the better defense, but they are 0-6 ATS when coming off a road win as a favorite and 2-9 ATS as home chalk of 4 or fewer points. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games and 7-2 SUATS in games off a win-no-cover, including 4-0 SUATS in division battles. With Baker Mayfield in a good rhythm with a 90.8 Passer Rating in his last five starts, the quarterback edge goes to Tampa. And with it, the points become the play today. |
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12-10-23 | Brown v. Providence -15 | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Friars have won seven of their last nine games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively at home, scoring more than 79 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Bears a lot of easy scoring chances. The Bears have struggled defensively and they play worse on the road, giving up more than 73 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Friars in this game. The Bears have lost eight of their last 11 games and four of their last five road games. They have struggled offensively and barely scored more than 60 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Friars and won’t get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Friars. The Friars have done a good job defensively, especially at home where they are holding opponents under 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Brown’s offense in check. Go with Providence to cover the spread. |
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12-09-23 | Gonzaga -175 v. Washington | 73-78 | Loss | -175 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gonzaga, opening as a 5-point favorite against Washington, seems undervalued in the betting market, which has slightly lowered the spread. This adjustment doesn't sit right with me, considering Gonzaga's distinct edge. While Washington has faced solid competition, Gonzaga is a different caliber, particularly in their dominance over Pac-12 teams, winning their last 16 games against the conference, including 10 by five points or more. Gonzaga's ability to distribute the ball and capitalize on shooting opportunities is notable. They've been particularly strong against Washington, holding a 5-1-1 ATS record in the last seven meetings. With their knack for controlling the pace and an advantage on the offensive glass, Gonzaga is well-positioned for both stops and second-chance points. In this matchup, expect a high-scoring affair, with Gonzaga likely to push the pace before Washington sets up its defense. Their efficient ball movement and rebounding superiority on both ends should lead to another win and cover against Washington. I'm backing Gonzaga to extend their winning streak and cover the spread in this game. |
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12-09-23 | Notre Dame v. Marquette -20.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame has been solid defensively but their inability to shoot the ball with any kind of sustained success is going to be a problem here. The Fighting Irish lost both their road games this season, losing by 12 to South Carolina and by 14 to Miami, failing to score more than 52 points in either of those contests. That kind of production isn’t going to get it done against a Marquette team that has put up at least 85 points four times already this season. The Golden Eagles have already beaten Illinois, UCLA, Texas and Kansas while taking Purdue to the limit in a three-point loss in the Maui Invitational last month. Playing at home against an offensively challenged Notre Dame squad works in the Golden Eagles’ favor as they roll to a victory here. |
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12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has played solid basketball but they have yet to run into a team like the Pacers. Indiana can slice and dice teams offensively, as we’ve seen throughout the in-season tournament, led by the explosive Haliburton. Taking down a pair of division leaders in the Celtics and Bucks is no easy feat, much less under the pressure of a knockout stage situation like Indiana has faced. The Pacers seem unflappable and the Lakers, even with their pedigree and the duo of James plus Davis, isn’t going to rattle this Indiana squad. In a game that ends up being decided late, the Pacers’ youth and depth proves critical as they earn the NBA Cup crown. Take the points here to be safe but don’t be surprised if the Pacers win outright. |
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12-09-23 | BYU -160 v. Utah | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units The Cougars have won eight straight games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. Their ball movement has been very good and they also very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also don’t turn the ball over a lot and won’t give the Utes a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Utes have played well defensively at home, but they struggled in recent games and gave up more than 80 points in two of their last three home games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Cougars in this game. The Utes have won three straight games. They are also playing well offensively, scoring more than 90 points per game at home. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Cougars, so don’t expect them to get a lot of second-chance opportunities against them. The Cougars force a lot of turnovers and they’re playing well defensively, holding opponents under 60 points per game, so expect them to keep Utah’s offense in check. Go with BYU to cover the spread. |
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12-09-23 | St. Mary's v. Colorado State -180 | 64-61 | Loss | -180 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saint Mary’s plays tough defense, but I don’t want to stand in front of Colorado State. The Rams’ offense has been terrific since the opening night of the season. Colorado State has accounted for at least 81 points in eight of its nine outings this season. Isaiah Stevens looks like one of the best point guards in the country, and the Rams make 62.8% of their 2-pointers (3rd) and 38.8% of their triples (32nd). Colorado State turns the ball over on just 13.4% of its possessions, so I’ll lay six points with the Rams. |
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12-09-23 | Marshall +9 v. Ohio | 74-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Bobcats have been a strong offensive team as they are scoring 79.9 points per game, which is 87th in the nation. However, their defense needs some work as they are 268th in the United States with 74.9 points allowed per game up to this point. The Marshall offense has been doing decently well throughout the season as they are 208th in the country with 73.8 points per game. |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +3 | 17-11 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units When the ground troops marched to a 20-17 overtime win in this rivalry last year, it moved the revenge-meter to 10-2 ATS in favor of the avenger the last dozen meetings in this series. In fact, Navy is 14-7-1 ATS since 1999 when looking to avenge a military loss, including 10-1-1 ATS as a dog of 16 or fewer points. But the bottom line is neither team holds much of an edge today, and with it we’ll rely on the old military standby – revenge – as Navy proves once again that it’s a dish best served cold. In the 124th installment of this service academy showdown, we suggest you grab the points. |
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12-09-23 | Central Michigan v. Creighton -31 | 64-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one could get very ugly this afternoon. The Chippewas come in at 3-5 and struggle to put points on the board. The Creighton Bluejays are 21st in the nation in points per game and are coming off a 29-point thumping of Nebraska at home. The Bluejays are efficient with the basketball, move it well, and rarely give away possessions. In addition, they will battle with a CMU team that is just 246th in the nation in 3-point defense while ranking 22nd in 3-point shooting. Creighton is also ranked fourth in the nation in the percentage of points coming off 3-point field goals. Don't be frightened by this big line, the Bluejays will run away with this one. |
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12-09-23 | Northern Iowa v. Toledo -165 | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Toledo Rockets are giving up far too much on defense at a rate of 76.8 points per game but make up for that by scoring an average of 79.3 points per game on an above average 48.3% shooting overall and 38.8% shooting from long distance. Toledo has taken 121 shots from 3-point territory and hit 47, led by Maddox who has made 18 of 47 shots from behind the line. Northern Iowa scores its share of points at 75.7 per game but is also giving up far too many at 75.0 per game. Northern Iowa has struggled against teams from the Mid-American conference, failing to cover the spread in six of the last seven. Toledo has covered the spread in 11 of its last 16 overall and the Rockets have covered the spread in six of the last seven versus a MAC team. Toledo plays a much more uptempo game than Northern Iowa as the Rockets are 105th at 70.5 while Northern Iowa is just 211th at 68.5, which means the Panthers will not keep pace with the Rockets, who will also have an advantage playing at home. |
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12-09-23 | Coyotes v. Bruins -230 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Arizona had reeled off five straight wins and Boston had three straight victories before each team was held to a single goal in their respective losses. Both teams are above average on the offensive end of the ice and defensively as well. Boston has a major edge in the penalty killing department and they have the experience factor in their favor over a young Coyotes squad. The Bruins are a solid 9-2-1 on home ice this season while the Coyotes are 5-5-2 on the road this year. Arizona battles as a young, scrappy team does but Boston’s experience advantage pays dividends in crunch time as they skate away with the home victory. |
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12-08-23 | Mavs -8 v. Blazers | 125-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Malcolm Brogdon exited the Warriors game because of right knee soreness. Jerami Grant (concussion) didn’t play last Wednesday, and he could easily miss the Mavericks game. Anfernee Simmons’ return is a huge boost for the Trail Blazers’ offense, but I cannot go against the Mavs, who just beat Utah by 50 points. The Blazers defend the 3-point line very well, but the Mavs have enough weapons to attack the rim. Dallas will push the ball in transition a lot, and the Trail Blazers will struggle to contain the Mavs in transition. |
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12-08-23 | Bulls -125 v. Spurs | 121-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls will come out on top in this one, as it's a case of two teams going in opposite directions. Chicago has won three in a row and has momentum going for the first time since what seems like last season. For the Spurs, they can't find a win or any piece of success and even with the injuries that Chicago is dealing with, the Spurs will struggle to find answers. Vucevic is a key piece that can disrupt San Antonio's young frontcourt and quickly get them into trouble, while DeRozan is an experienced scorer himself who should have no issues finding offense. The Spurs simply lack of the elite levels on both ends right now for anyone to find much confidence in them. As mentioned, the Bulls have covered the spread in three straight and will make it a fourth in this one. |
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12-08-23 | Pistons v. Magic -10.5 | 91-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons are a train wreck wrapped in a dumpster fire with a nice coating of Three Mile Island mixed in at this point. Eighteen straight losses have piled up as the Pistons’ last victory came back on October 28 against the Bulls. Going on the road against the Magic here isn’t a good matchup for them as their lone road win came against Charlotte back on October 26. Orlando has dropped two straight after a nine-game win streak but they are taking on a team that has had issues all season long. The Magic is 9-2 at home this season while the Pistons are only 1-9 on the road entering this game. Orlando should take care of business here and get back in the win column. |
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12-08-23 | Navy v. Quinnipiac -4.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-06-23 | Golden Knights -155 v. Blues | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues won the recent meeting and look to sweep the home and home series. The problem is that the Golden Knights have looked like one of the best teams in the NHL and look to bounce back and take over this game. The Golden Knights, who average 3.08 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Golden Knights, who allow only 2.31 goals per game, should limit the Blues offense, which averages only 2.88 goals per game, with Alex Pietrangelo, Brayden McNabb, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Adin Hill to make plenty of big saves. The Golden Knights should win the game to even up the score from the recent game. |
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12-06-23 | Nets +4 v. Hawks | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game should be another tight one, although overtime is unlikely to strike again. Dating back to last December, the Nets have taken three trips to Atlanta. They're 1-2 in those contests, with each loss coming by exactly two points. On the court (again) this season, Brooklyn should have the edge in overall shooting (especially from deep) and a slight rebounding edge. Atlanta should win at the free throw line and have a slight advantage with turnovers. This game should be tight, with the Nets potentially pulling out the win. Taking them to cover is the best bet. |
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12-06-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County -3.5 v. Morgan State | 80-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-05-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | 103-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Lakers have had Phoenix’s number of late but one has to wonder if they can maintain that momentum here. Los Angeles hasn’t faced the Durant/Booker combination in either meeting this season. In the first matchup, Booker and Beal both missed the contest while in the second meeting, Beal played one of his three games to date while Booker was out. We just saw Booker have a big game against Memphis Saturday night and Durant has been solid as well. The Lakers have their 1-2 punch of Davis and James though you always have to be concerned with the injury bug with those guys. Phoenix is motivated to earn a win here against a team that has beaten them four straight times and they want a shot at the NBA Cup crown. Give the edge to the Suns here as they earn the win. |
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12-05-23 | Indiana +7.5 v. Michigan | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Indiana Hoosiers have won three in a row and their only defeat was against #5 UConn. They have defeated Louisville and Maryland in their last three games. The Michigan Wolverines have dropped four of their last five games with the only victory in that span coming against Stanford. Long Beach State even dealt them an upset loss. The Hoosiers are the superior defensive squad here. They just kept Maryland to 53 points and are only allowing 98.7 points per 100 possessions, compared to 102.7 points per by 100 by the Wolverines according to Ken Pomeroy’s ratings. The Wolverines rank 125th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. Each of the Hoosiers' last five wins have been by eight or more points. |
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12-05-23 | Western Carolina v. High Point -125 | 71-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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12-04-23 | Pelicans v. Kings -150 | 127-117 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has had their issues on the road this season, going just 3-6 as the visiting team, including three straight defeats. The Pelicans dropped back-to-back games in Salt Lake City against the Jazz before getting dumped by the Bulls Saturday night. New Orleans beat the Kings twice earlier this season but both those games came at home. Sacramento is a stellar 6-2 at home on the season and they just downed the defending champs Saturday night. New Orleans got a boost to their rotation with the return of Murphy III Saturday night but their road woes against a confident Sacramento team burn them here. Take the Kings as they advance to the semifinals. |
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12-04-23 | Bengals v. Jaguars -10 | 34-31 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Before Burrow suffered his season-ending wrist injury, the Bengals were Super Bowl contenders that had the lead in a primetime road game against the best team in the AFC. By the end of the afternoon on Sunday, the Bengals were out of the playoff hunt as Jake Browning became the 50th quarterback to start a game in the NFL this season. To no one’s surprise, the Bengals totaled 10 first downs in a 16-10 home loss to the Steelers last week. Behind the league’s worst rushing offense, Browning stands little to no chance. It doesn’t get any better tonight, not with Cincy 1-8 ATS on the Monday night road. On the opposite side of the coin, the Jaguars are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS as Monday Night favorites. |
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12-04-23 | Penguins -109 v. Flyers | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is likely to have its No. 1 goalie Carter Hart in net on Sunday. Hart has a 2.68 goals against average .909 save percentage with one shutout. However, Philadelphia has lost each of the last four games that Hart has been in goal. Hart over that span of four games, has a goals against average per game of 4.06, 3.03, 3.16, and 3.09 which are all far above his season average. Pittsburgh's top goalie Tristan Jarry has a 2.47 goals against average and .918 save percentage and has already posted three shutouts in 18 appearances. Pittsburgh has won seven of the last nine head-to-head versus Philadelphia. The Flyers have lost four of their last six overall and Philadelphia has lost 13 of its last 19 against the team from the Metropolitan Division |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 45 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Kansas City totes an unacceptably weak rush defense into Lambeau that surrenders 4.6 Yards Per Rush. The Chiefs are also 2-9 ATS when coming off one win, including 1-5 ATS away. In addition, the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS versus .800 or fewer foes. Toss in QB Jordan Love’s 3-0 SUATS career mark at home against non-conference opposition, and finally Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win. |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -252 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating:2 Units The Bruins, who average 3.32 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against the Blue Jackets, who allow 3.36 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.50 goals per game, should limit the Blue Jackets offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -160 v. Eagles | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Last week, Philadelphia erased a double-digit fourth quarter deficit when they rallied back to beat Buffalo in overtime, thanks largely to a flagrant no-penalty tackle on Bills’ QB Josh Allen. The no-call was accentuated when Allen was flagged for intentional grounding on a play that could have just as easily been ruled a horse-collar tackle against Hassan Reddick during what ended up being a 37-34 Eagles overtime victory. And speaking of quarterbacks, Purdy also shines with an 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS record in his NFL career against foes with a winning record, including 6-0 SUATS in games in which San Francisco sports a .777 or fewer win percentage. Interestingly, the Niners lead the league in YAC (Yards After Catch), while the Eagles lead the league in allowing the fewest Yards After a Catch. With Philadelphia likely eyeing up next week’s pivotal clash with Dallas (0-6-1 ATS before the Cowboys), we put the final wrap on this call with the fact that playing on any NFL team coming off 3 wins if they came off a Bye week prior to the wins is a perfect 8-0. |
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12-03-23 | Dolphins -9 v. Commanders | 45-15 | Win | 100 | 46 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS against losing teams, including 7-0 SUATS in the last seven matchups. McDaniel is also 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a pair of losses. After opening the season 2-0, Washington has hit the skids, entering today’s fray as losers in 8 of its 10 games since. They are also 0-4 against better than .600 opposition this season. With that, look for Miami to improve on its 4-0 ATS record against foes coming off a Thursday contest, while the Commanders dip to 1-6 ATS in their last seven games hosting AFC foes, and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a road loss. |
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12-03-23 | Colts v. Titans +1 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units QB Gardner Minshew has stepped in and has the Colts in playoff contention, riding a 3-0 SUATS heater entering this contest. He’ll need to overcome a watered-down dog log today, though, as the Stache is only 4-13 SU and 6-11 ATS against .333 or greater opponents in his NFL career starts, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS against those coming off a win. Complicating matters, star RB Jonathan Taylor is out after surgery on an injured thumb. The Titans enter the game at 12-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off an ATS win and 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series. Meanwhile, the unlucky horseshoes are 1-5 ATS in their last six division road outings and 0-5 ATS in division games when both teams are coming off ATS wins |
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12-02-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -4.5 | 97-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Houston Rockets are currently facing a challenging phase, having lost their last two games and conceding at least 121 points in each. This streak of losses has brought them down to a .500 record. In a recent matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers in L.A., the Rockets narrowly lost by just one point but managed to cover the spread. The Lakers, on the other hand, have a record of 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall when they score more than 107.3 points. Additionally, they are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall when allowing fewer than 110.9 points. Despite LeBron James being listed as questionable, the Lakers are expected to perform strongly in their return home after a four-game road trip. The Rockets, who have not secured a road win this season, are likely to face another setback in this game. It's anticipated that the Lakers will excel on both ends of the floor, securing a win, covering the spread, and handing the Rockets their third consecutive loss. |
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12-02-23 | Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units FSU brings a tattered 3-14 ATS mark into this contest against foes coming off a loss as a favorite, including 0-10 ATS as a favorite when the Seminoles are off a win. The Cardinals can thank their lucky stars for hiring former player Jeff Brohm as head coach, as he immediately turned U of L into a contender and guided them to this title game, Louisville’s first since joining the ACC. Brohm brings a 28-15-1 ATS career dog log into tonight’s battle, including 8-3 SU and 11-0 ATS when coming off a loss. With it, the Red Birds are 15-6 ATS as a dog coming off a defeat the last five years. |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Iowa +22.5 | 26-0 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Harbaugh brings in an 18-23-2 ATS overall career record as a college football favorite of -20 or more points, including 2-7-1 ATS versus winning foes and 2-9-2 ATS against foes coming off a win. There’s no question Iowa fields one of the top defenses in the nation and Jimbo is just 8-12-1 ATS against defensively staunch .800 or greater foes who allow fewer than 12.5 PPG, including 1-5 ATS as a favorite of -18 or more points. Ferentz is 11-7 ATS as a dog of more than 14 points, including 4-0 ATS with a winning record and 8-0-1 ATS when playing with triple conference revenge. Michigan is hell bent to make it back to the CFB Playoff but with the Wolverines standing 8-15-1 ATS after battling the Buckeyes, will they have enough to get up and over this huge impost? |
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12-02-23 | Bruins -110 v. Maple Leafs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have stumbled a bit recently but they still have the best record in the Eastern Conference and tied for the points lead. Take full advantage of this very reasonable money line for a Bruins' team that typically has to be played with the puck line to get value. The Bruins are healthy and face a Maple Leafs team that has injuries along the blue line and is just 19th in goals allowed per game this season. The Bruins will turn to Linus Ullmark in net and the current Vezina-winner should be rested after sitting out Thursday's game against San Jose and only playing less than half the game against Columbus. The Bruins allowed 17 goals over a three-game stretch before rebounding to shut out San Jose. They may not shut out the Leafs but the B's are certainly back on the defensive. |
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12-02-23 | Santa Clara +1.5 v. California | 69-84 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Broncos have done a great job thus far even though they returned just 20.1 percent of minutes and 17.3 percent of scoring from their 2022-23 roster. Per Bart Torvik, Santa Clara is a top-30 team in the nation in both 2-point percentage (57.1%) and opposing 2-point percentage (43.3%). I’ve mentioned the Broncos big win over Oregon, the second of the season against the Pac-12 team (89-77 at Stanford). I think the Broncos have the length to compete against the Bears, who also have a lot of new faces on their roster. Cal turns the ball over on 20.9 percent of its possessions while handing out just 9.1 assists per game. The Broncos are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination, but their offense is 43rd in assists per game (16.8) and 177th in turnover percentage (17.7%). |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +6 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Nick Saban’s crew is 20-4 SU and 15-9 ATS versus undefeated foes (2-0 SUATS as a dog). Saban also owns some strong ATS results in today’s role, going 17-8-1 ATS as a dog with revenge, including 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS as a dog of fewer than 7 points. Those numbers match up nicely with the fact that conference title favorites of 7 or fewer points against .900 or better opponents are 5-10-1 ATS, including 0-4 SUATS this decade. The Dawgs haven’t beaten Alabama in back-to-back seasons in the last 20 years. The Tide will have to earn it, though, as this game figures to play out like it should, right down to the wire. I say take the points. |
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12-02-23 | Boise State v. UNLV +2.5 | 44-20 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV has been like a hot slot machine for its backers this season, going 9-2 ATS, including 5-0 ATS when taking points. Even better, dogs in MWC championship games are 8-2 ATS, including 4-0 ATS when they own a .750 or greater win percentage. That fits like a glove with the Rebs’ 6-0 ATS record as a dog of 5 or fewer points and their recent 4-1 ATS dog log. Boise State is 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS when riding a 3-0 SUATS win skein, including 0-7 ATS when coming off a win of 8-plus points, and Big Blue is 0-3 SU versus .750 or greater opponents this season. Remember, the Runnin’ Rebels are playing at home this afternoon and coach Odom is 12-1 SU at home in his career in games in which his team sports the better win percentage. |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH +7.5 v. Toledo | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockets are just 6-14-1 ATS against avenging opponents and have misfired in today’s role, going 1-6 ATS against MAC foes seeking double revenge, as well as 1-6 ATS as conference chalk away from the Glass Bowl. MAC dogs in conference title games have gone 15-6-2 ATS, including 13-2-2 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive wins. The RedHawks are also 8-1 ATS with conference revenge, including 5-0 SUATS this season, and 7-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss against a foe coming off an ATS win. Finally, Miami is 21-5 ATS as a dog under head coach Chuck Martin when coming off an ATS loss, including 8-0 ATS the last eight games. |
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12-01-23 | Nuggets -123 v. Suns | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Denver Nuggets have demonstrated a strong track record in their recent matchups against the Phoenix Suns, securing victories in 4 of their last 6 encounters. Additionally, from a betting perspective, the Nuggets have shown notable consistency, covering the spread in 7 out of their last 10 games against the Suns. Despite the potential disadvantage due to injuries, the Nuggets still hold considerable potential to cover the 2.5-point spread, especially if Devin Booker remains sidelined for the Suns. |
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12-01-23 | Purdue -5 v. Northwestern | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Experience matters, that's why scheduling a soft non-conference schedule just to pick up some easy wins can be detrimental to the growth of your team. Northwestern has not had the easiest non-conference slate in the land, but they were only listed as underdogs once and lost that game to Mississippi State without covering. Northwestern should have pounded Western Michigan as they were 23.5-point favorites, but only won by four. Purdue on the other hand has played one of the toughest schedules in the country and won every single game. Purdue has defeated three top-15 teams and will roll into their first conference game with confidence. Northwestern has a 7-footer in Nicholson, but he is not an answer to their Edey problem. At 7'4 Edey is still too big and powerful and will dominate inside again. Northwestern's strength is on the perimeter with Boo Buie, but Purdue's Braden Smith is an excellent perimeter defender and will crowd Buie and take away his open looks. Too much talent for the Boilermakers. |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +10 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 45 m | Show |
PAC-12 Championship Best Bet Rating: 4 Units Ironically, the Huskies are the first – and only – undefeated team to land a berth in the Pac-12 championship game. While QB Michael Penix Jr. gets the lion’s share of media attention, we’d like to heap some praise on second year Washington head coach Kalen DeBoer. Not only is he 23-2 SU since taking the job in Seattle, DeBoer is 15-1 SU with the Huskies when they own a better record than their opponent, including 13-0 the last 13 games. He also fits right into tonight’s role, going 6-1 ATS in his career as an underdog, including 3-0 SUATS as a dog with the Huskies. The Ducks may have cashed more tickets in this series of late, going 14-4-1 ATS, but they’re just 3-8 SU with revenge when Washington sports a .875 or greater win percentage. |
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12-01-23 | Southern Miss v. UAB -9 | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blazers were run over in the second half of their last game, but I feel confident predicting a more complete performance from them on Friday at home. UAB ranks as the better offensive and defensive squad, plus it's much more battle-tested. The Eagles have played the 190th-toughest strength of schedule, per KenPom, while the Blazers' schedule is rated 107th-toughest. Having already played Bradley, Clemson, and Maryland, UAB should be able to handle Southern Miss. The Eagles have not shot the basketball efficiently (321st nationally in FG%) and don't focus on one area of the court more than another. Per Hoop-Math, they attempt 34.8% of their shots at the rim, 33.1% from the mid-range, and 32.1% from beyond the arc. That figures to be easier for the Blazers to defend. |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
Thursday Night Game of the Month Rating: 4 Units Dallas looks to close the gap on the Lions, 49ers, and Eagles in the NFC Playoff Picture. For all of their success, though, there is a tax that must be paid, and tonight it comes as an inflated 9-point favorite. It’s more than they laid here to the Jets and 3-points more than what they were favored by here against New England. Topping it off, they have a same-season revenge rematch on tap with the Eagles. Pete Carroll’s crew enters this affair 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four games in this series. Carroll is also 16-2 SU and 15-3 ATS in Game Twelve of the season, including 8-0 ATS as a single-digit dog. With those boxes checked we wrap it up with the fact that Seattle is 14-1 ATS when coming off consecutive losses as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS in the last ten games |
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11-30-23 | Hawks -7.5 v. Spurs | 137-135 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Antonio has lost 12 straight games and haven’t won since downing the Suns in back-to-back road games October 31 and November 2. The Spurs are a dismal 1-8 at home this season and they are trying to get their young players up to speed, which of course, leads to a lot of growing pains. Atlanta has been up and down this season but they have a variety of guys that can pile up points in a hurry. San Antonio has a generational talent in Wembenyama but he’s still adapting to the NBA style. Meanwhile, Atlanta is a team full of guys that have been around and contributed at this level for a while. Young and Murray lead the way as the Hawks cruise to a victory to get back to the .500 mark on the season. |
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11-30-23 | NC-Wilmington +1.5 v. East Carolina | 66-74 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The UNC Wilmington offense will overpower the East Carolina defense. The Seahawks are too deadly from long range to be stopped by an inferior defense such as East Carolina’s which is allowing 74.0 points per game and 48.2% shooting. East Carolina’s opponents shoot 34.3% from 3-point territory and UNC Wilmington is second best in the nation from three-point territory hitting 43.5% of their 3-point bombs. Wilmington is averaging 85.7 points per game and it's not because they play uptempo, as they are just 237th in adjusted tempo at 67.8. It's because they are excellent shooters. Leading scorer Trazarien White is shooting 60.6% overall and 36.4% from 3-point territory and three of the top five scorers shot 51.7% or higher. East Carolina doesn't have the shooters to keep pace with the hot shooting Wilmington. East Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five. |
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11-30-23 | Texas Tech +3 v. Butler | 95-103 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Fresh off its biggest victory of the young season, Texas Tech takes on another challenge today with a road game against Butler as part of the inaugural Big East-Big 12 Battle. The Red Raiders rolled past Michigan 73-57 last week at the Battle for Atlantis to finish 2-1 at the event. The Bulldogs (5-2) delivered a similar showing in Orlando at the ESPN Events invitational, with back-to-back wins against Penn State and Boise State after a narrow loss to No. 19 Florida Atlantic. Now two teams with reconstructed rosters collide as they work toward establishing a long-term identity. For Texas Tech (5-1), this is the first true road game, and that's a challenge first-year coach Grant McCasland wants his team to embrace. |
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11-29-23 | CS-Northridge +4 v. Pacific | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This game could easily go either way. Just take a look at the teams’ recent results. The Matadors lost to Le Moyne and embarrassed Mississippi Valley State, while the Tigers barely defeated those two teams at home. Interestingly, each of Pacific’s last four games has been decided by three or fewer points. I’m expecting to see a high-tempo battle between CSUN and Pacific. The Matadors should have enough weapons to keep it close down the stretch, so I’m going with the underdogs. Pacific is struggling to defend the paint which suits CSUN’s style of play. The Matadors are 359th in the country in 3-point rate and 89th in 2-point percentage (53.6%). |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets -7.5 | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Facing a degree of uncertainty, the Denver Nuggets are dealing with the potential absence of key players Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, and Jamal Murray, all listed as questionable for the upcoming game. Despite these concerns, the Nuggets are still favored by 6 points in their home game, a confidence likely bolstered by the Houston Rockets' challenging schedule, as they enter this game without any days of rest. Denver's performance against the spread stands at 7-8, but they have an impressive 12-3 overall record when they score more than 105.5 points in a game. The Rockets, on the other hand, showed a strong effort in their last game against the Mavericks. However, their struggle on the road is evident, having lost all six away games this season. This pattern is expected to continue in their upcoming matchup. The Nuggets, coming off a solid win, are anticipated to maintain their momentum and secure another victory in this encounter. |
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11-29-23 | Louisiana Tech +7.5 v. New Mexico | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units La Tech looks to keep its five-game winning streak going on the road against New Mexico. The Bulldogs are 203rd in points per game this season. They are 167th in field goal percentage and 184th in 3-point field goal percentage. The Bulldogs are 55th in the country in points allowed per game. They are 80th in field goal defense and 80th in defensive field goal percentage. They are 63rd in three-point defense in the country. La Tech is 151st in turnovers per game this season. They are an above average rebounding team, ranked 125th in the country in total rebounding. |
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11-29-23 | Lakers -7 v. Pistons | 133-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Lakers come into Detroit with a chip on their collective shoulders following a 44-point loss to the Sixers on Monday night. James' cryptic response about the team needing changes quickly should put fear in the hearts of any Laker who doesn't have a firm spot on the roster. In the short term, the Lakers should be able to dominate a Pistons' team that has lost 14 straight games. The Lakers have struggled recently as well, mainly due to injuries to several key bench players such as Vanderbilt, Hachimura, and Vincent. Luckily, the Pistons are also banged up with two key shooters out in Brogdonovich and Harris. The loss of both players has hampered the team's shooting from outside and forced them to be a team that relies on points in the paint. The presence of Davis in the paint should hamper some of those plans on Wednesday night. The Lakers are 3rd in the NBA in field goal percentage and sixth in defensive field goal percentage. I expect them to dominate the game on both ends on Wednesday and pick up an easy win. |
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11-28-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In their first matchup, the Golden State Warriors triumphed over the Sacramento Kings 122-114 without Draymond Green. In their second encounter, the Warriors narrowly won 102-101, but the Kings were missing key player De'Aaron Fox. Draymond Green's absence in the last five games has been felt by the Warriors, particularly in their defense, but his return is expected to bolster the team's offensive opportunities for players like Curry, Thompson, and Wiggins. In the previous games, Domantas Sabonis had a significant impact against the Warriors, and De'Aaron Fox scored 41 points in their first meeting. Both teams have been strong offensively, with the Warriors ranked 12th and the Kings 10th in offensive rating. However, the game's outcome may hinge on the Warriors' defense, currently 12th in the NBA, and the inconsistent performance of the Kings' role players. The return of Draymond Green could elevate the Warriors' defense. The Kings' bench struggled in both meetings, and they may be without starter Keegan Murray due to a back injury. Additionally, the Kings' defensive rating is only 21st in the league. The Warriors, aiming for a three-way tie for first place in In-Season Tournament Group C, will rely on Curry for another strong performance and plan to challenge the Kings by focusing on players other than Sabonis or Fox. |
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11-28-23 | Akron v. UNLV -160 | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rebels split their last four games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 72 points per game while making 47 percent of their shots. They rebound the ball well and they’re very active on the offensive glass, which will lead to more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Zips a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Zips have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 70 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Rebels in this game. The Zips have lost two straight games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They also struggled at the charity stripe in recent games, making less than 70 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Rebels and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’re also careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Rebels. The Rebels have done a good job defensively at home, giving up less than 70 points per game, so expect them to keep Akron’s offense in check. Go with UNLV to cover the spread. |
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11-28-23 | Idaho State +8 v. Pepperdine | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I think the Waves will put an end to their losing streak, but I don’t want to lay all these points with them. Pepperdine’s interior defense has been awful so far this season, and the Waves are traditionally a bad defensive team. The Bengals make 54.2% of their 2-pointers (79th in the nation), so I’m going with Idaho State to beat the number. The Waves lean on their 3-point shooting, and the Bengals’ defense is 13th in the nation in 3-point rate (27.8) and 4th in 3-point percentage (29.3). Idaho State will look to slow the pace down as much as possible and force Pepperdine into half-court basketball. I’m expecting the Bengals to hang around down the stretch. |
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11-28-23 | Portland v. Portland State -140 | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-28-23 | Southern v. Marquette -32.5 | 56-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marquette (5-1) went 2-1 in the stacked Maui Invitational field, including taking down then-No. 1 Kansas before coming up short in the championship game to then-No. 2 Purdue by a 78-75 final. The Boilermakers are now the top-ranked team in the country. The Golden Eagles trailed by as many as 15 in the second half against Purdue and got within one before the comeback bid stalled. Marquette's Tyler Kolek led the way with 22 points, along with seven rebounds and six assists, while Kam Jones added 17 points. Southern (1-5) arrives on a four-game losing streak, most recently falling 71-59 on the road at Valparaiso on Saturday. Marquette is 2-0 against Southern since the 2013-14 season, with the last matchup in 2018 when Marquette won in an 84-41 blowout in Milwaukee. |
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11-28-23 | Thunder +3.5 v. Wolves | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder come in just a game behind Minnesota in this one and will not only cover the spread but will come out with the win too. The Thunder have been able to put it all together on both ends of the court and have the length to match the Timberwolves, which is something many others have struggled with. The Thunder have the best player in this game in SGA and with Holmgren coming along nicely too, especially from the perimeter, it gives this team quite a few more options to lean on. The key advantage for Oklahoma City is on the offensive end, where they are one of the league's most efficient teams, which translates well to success on the road. They have confidence and momentum, and their youngsters won't be daunted being on the road, while covering the spread in all but one of their last seven games, shows a trend building. |
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11-28-23 | Utah State v. St. Louis +7 | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Utah State looked impressive at a neutral site, but giving up 6.5 points on the road is different. The Aggies are proud of their in-season tournament championship, as they should be, but the field in the Cayman Islands Classic was watered down. Defeating teams like Marshall, Akron and Stephen F. Austin does not do much to improve your resume. Keep in mind, Utah State has only played one true road game this season, and lost on the road to Bradley. Saint Louis is undefeated at home on the season, they have a chance to spring an upset on their home floor, but taking the 6.5 points is still the play. Utah State's offense is only ranked 102nd in the nation, and their tempo is 182nd; they do not score with great efficiency or play at a break-neck pace. Utah State will not run up the score here, they lost their only road game, and Saint Louis is undefeated at home. Hargrove Jr. and Jimerson provide the Billikens with a strong enough inside-out game to keep this close. |
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11-28-23 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Bucks have had their difficulties with the Heat, going 2-2 last season during the regular season but losing in five games in the opening round of the playoffs to the Heat. In fact, the Bucks are now 0-3 in their last four games in Miami. The Heat have not just won the four games, they've done so handily in each case. The four home wins against the Bucks have come by an average of just over 12.5 points per contest. While Lillard's presence changes the dynamic somewhat, the Bucks lose a key defender like Jrue Holiday in the process. Holiday was capable of guarding both the point guard and Jimmy Butler at times but the Bucks won't have that luxury with Lillard, an inferior defender to Holiday. I like the Heat to exploit their matchup advantages in this game and pull out a win over the Bucks. If you are feeling aggressive, forego the points and take this game on the money line. |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Vikings return home having had their 5-0 SUATS win skein snapped in a loss at Denver last week. The bigger problem they face tonight is they beat Chicago earlier this season in a game in which they mustered 220 yards while being outstatted in the contest. It was the game in which Justin Fields was injured, but he’s back. With it, the Bears bring a 6-1 ATS log in Monday Night road games. On the flip side, Minny is just 6-12 SU and 5-13 ATS on Mondays since 2009, including 0-6 ATS when coming off a loss. |
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11-27-23 | Houston Christian +35 v. TCU | 64-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With its Big 12-Big East Battle matchup at Georgetown set for Saturday, TCU has one last tune-up tonight as the Horned Frogs welcome Houston Christian to Fort Worth, Texas, aiming to keep their undefeated season intact. TCU (5-0) is coming off a 93-74 win over Alcorn State last Tuesday. Houston Christian is winless in four games, though the Huskies lost twice by single digits. |
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11-27-23 | Bruins -246 v. Blue Jackets | 2-5 | Loss | -246 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston has lost each of its last two after falling to Detroit on Friday and the New York Rangers on Saturday. Therefore, the Bruins will have a bit more incentive to snap that two-game skid and attempt to return to the top of the NHL standings. Boston has the fourth best goals against average in hockey at 2.50 and the Bruins are averaging the 12th most goals per game at 3.40. Regardless of who is in goal for Boston, the Bruins have an advantage over most other NHL teams and that will be the case on Monday when facing Columbus. Boston's two goalies have a 2.29 and 2.58 goals against average and both have a save percentage of above .917. Boston has won 14 of its last 20 games and the Bruins have won 16 of the last 21 games played on the road. Columbus will have a slight disadvantage as the Blue Jackets are playing on the road Sunday against Carolina before returning home to host the Bruins today. Columbus has lost nine of its last 11. |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating; 5 Units If the NFL playoffs were to begin this week, Philly would own the No. 1 seed in the NFC. However, due to its recent funk, Buffalo would be on the outside looking in as the No. 8 seed in the AFC. Remember, though, the Bills are one of only five NFL teams that rank in the Top 10 on both offense and defense this season – the Eagles do not. We top it off with the fact that Buffalo is 5-0 SUATS the last ten years against foes coming off a Monday Night game. Finally, playing against any NFL home team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in its last game is 6-0 ATS. |
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11-26-23 | Browns +1.5 v. Broncos | 12-29 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland enters Mile High this week feeling a Mile High themselves. Meanwhile, Denver enters today’s game on a 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS run in its last five games against the AFC North. They also had a -52 net PPG on the season, as opposed to Cleveland’s +47 net PPG this campaign. On the other side of the field, Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. With Denver, 2-12-1 ATS in its last fifteen games as a favorite, look for Kevin Stefanski’s magical patchwork show to continue its winning ways today. |
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11-26-23 | New Orleans v. Central Arkansas +5 | 79-74 | Push | 0 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-26-23 | Blazers v. Bucks -12.5 | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks have won six of their last seven games and six straight home games. They have played well offensively, scoring more than 121 points per game while making over 49 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They have also protected the ball well and won’t give the Trailblazers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Trailblazers aren’t very good defensively and they play worse on the road where they are giving up more than 114 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bucks in this game. The Trailblazers have lost eight of their last nine games and four straight road games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 110 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Bucks and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Bucks, who average more than seven steals per game. The Bucks aren’t great defensively, but they play better at home, so expect them to keep Portland’s offense in check. Go with Milwaukee to cover the spread. |
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11-26-23 | Wyoming v. Texas -15.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Texas has the advantage of playing at home against a Wyoming team that hasn't had a true road test yet. Wyoming hasn't played a team close to this tough either. Along with that, the Longhorns need to bounce back from their first loss. All of that is to say, that Texas should blow out the Cowboys. The Longhorns have a defense that will completely stymie Wyoming. Texas will also control the rebounding battle. Nobody is stopping Texas from scoring, and that won't change on Sunday. Take Texas to cover. |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals +2.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Biggest Achilles without Joe Brr is the Bengals’ pitiable ground game which ranks last in Rush Attempts Per Game and No. 30 in overall rushing. Still, the bottom line is Pittsburgh is still 0-10 ‘In the Stats’ this season, and you won’t find us laying points with them any time soon. Not with the Bengals 5-0-2 ATS when coming off two losses, including 4-0 outright in the last four games. While this appears a strange “Best Bet” consider that the Bengals head coach Zac Taylor is 12-3 ATS as a dog against an opponent the Bengals defeated in their most recent meeting, including 12-1 ATS as a dog of more than one-point |
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11-26-23 | Panthers v. Titans -170 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Imagine the anguish Carolina Panthers’ owner David Tepper is going through. He insisted Carolina make Bryce Young the first pick of last year’s draft, only to watch C.J. Stroud carve up the league en route to a certain Rookie of the Year award. His young Cats hit the road with the worst record (1-9) in the NFL, standing 2-8 ATS when coming off a home loss while owning the second-to-worst offense in the league (thanks to the Giants). Sure, Carolina is 10-3 ATS against the AFC South, but they catch Tennessee in a nasty mood after taking an 0-3 SUATS hat trick in its last three games – all on the road. With the Titans 9-0 ATS before facing the Colts and 9-2 ATS after tackling the Jaguars, look for Tepper to blow another gasket here today. |
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11-26-23 | Patriots -190 v. Giants | 7-10 | Loss | -190 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York Giants undrafted rookie QB Tommy DeVito was sacked nine times Sunday, yet also threw a career-best three TDs against the Washington Commanders, notching his first NFL win. It’s what having a 6-0 turnover edge in your favor will do for you. With the Pats 6-0 ATS recently as non-conference road chalk and 7-2 ATS versus .333 or fewer foes, look for the Giants to return to their losing ways today. |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +2 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today’s game is a battle for the top spot in the AFC South and with it, the Texans bring the better offense and the better defense into this contest. Houston is 5-1 ATS as a dog behind Stroud, winning 4 of the games outright. They are also 21-5 SU and 15-10-1 ATS in this series, including 8-2 ATS as a dog. With the ‘Ville 1-5 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division games and 4-8 ATS in its last dozen division games, we’re on the take here today. |
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11-26-23 | New Mexico State v. Louisville -8 | 84-90 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I have renewed confidence in the Cardinals following their strong showing in New York City. They were in position to win both games and truly had the 19th-ranked Longhorns on the ropes before falling on a last-second shot. That confidence should carry over in this spot against a New Mexico State team that has struggled on both ends of the court this season. The Aggies have had difficulty scoring, shooting, and defending the opposition. Louisville has been above average defending the opposition this season, ranking 170th in defensive field goal percentage and 134th in 3-point defense. The biggest differential in this game is rebounding. Louisville is 50th in the nation while the Aggies are just under 300th in the nation. The Cardinals should dominate the glass and dominate the interior. |
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11-26-23 | Austin Peay v. Appalachian State -9 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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11-25-23 | California +9.5 v. UCLA | Top | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 60 h 7 m | Show |
PAC-12 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bruins are just 6-14 ATS when playing against revenge in this series and are a miserable 3-7 SU and 1-8-1 ATS at home after facing USC. Add to that a 2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in LHGs and we put up the stop sign in Pasadena. Meanwhile, Cal head coach Justin Wilcox is 13-5 ATS as a home dog, including 7-0 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite versus a foe coming off a win as a dog. UCLA has the nation’s second-ranked rushing defense, but Cal’s sophomore RB Jadyn Ott has averaged nearly 145 yards on the ground over the last four games and scored 6 TD’s and is the Pac-12’s leading rusher. Finally, Cal is 9-1 ATS in this series when UCLA is coming off a win |
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11-25-23 | Notre Dame -25.5 v. Stanford | 56-23 | Win | 100 | 32 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS as road chalk of more than 7 points, and 5-1 ATS with single revenge (lost to the Tree last year on a fourth quarter field goal in a 16-14 defeat). As for the Cardinal, it’s been a disastrous campaign in the wake of David Shaw’s departure, capped off by losing The Big Game to Cal, 27-15, for the fourth time in the last five years. (Stanford had been victorious nine times in a row before that.) Today they enter with a 1-6 ATS mark in their last seven roles as home dogs. They are also 1-5 ATS versus single revenge and 0-7 ATS off an ATS loss versus a foe off an ATS win. |
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11-25-23 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +2.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Season-ending games have not been kind to Wisconsin either as they’ve gone a puzzling 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in season finales the last six years. Yes, Minnesota is coming off consecutive losses of its own, but the Gophers are 18-6 ATS when coming off a pair of losses, including 9-1 SUATS at home. They’re also a sweet 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a dog. Finally, Minnesota head coach P.J. fleck is 6-2 ATS as a dog in his career in season finales, including 4-0 ATS versus sub .800 opponents. |
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