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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-09-18 | Eagles +4 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #129 Philadelphia Eagles over Dallas Cowboys (1:25p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) Everyone has just given the Cowboys the NFC East and disregarded the defending Super Bowl Champions. We will gladly take the points in this game and look for Philadelphia to come out strong in this must win game for them. The Eagles are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road divisional games when they are an underdog. The Cowboys are 9-18 ATS in their last 27 home divisional games when they are a favorite. The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the last 14 match-ups. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +4 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #124 San Francisco 49ers +4 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Broncos have made a rally of late winning three straight games to take some pressure off of Head Coach Vance Joseph. But I just do not trust them to win four straight games with three of those four games coming on the road. Losing Chris Harris Jr and Emmanuel Sanders will be too much for this team to overcome within a week. The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games played during Week 14 of the regular season. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. Denver does not have an explosive offense that can attack this San Francisco defense and if Nick Mullens can take care of the football, they should win this game straight-up. |
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12-09-18 | Tennessee v. Gonzaga -3.5 | 76-73 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #860 Gonzaga over Tennessee (3p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) Just do not trust Tennessee as much as I trust Gonzaga. This will not be a blowout but expect Gonzaga to pull away late and win this game by 7-9 points. Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory in their previous game. Gonzaga is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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12-09-18 | Giants -3.5 v. Redskins | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 120 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #121 New York Giants over Washington Redskins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 FOX) The Giants get to face a back-up quarterback for the second straight week but this time it will be Mark Sanchez who was just signed a couple of weeks ago after Alex Smith went down. New York dominated Chicago for most of the game last Sunday before the Bears made a late rally to send it into overtime. If the Giants can stop the run, they should win this game by double digits. Washington is 6-6 and that is truly amazing consider their 52-man roster is terrible. I could see them not winning another game all season. New York is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 divisional games. The will be a big public play but I still see the Giants winning this game easily. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots -7.5 v. Dolphins | 33-34 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #117 New England Patriots over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Patriots are a tough team to beat come November – December. Miami has played well at home this year, but New England cannot afford to take them lightly if they hope to secure a first round bye this season. The Patriots have been playing much better on defense and if their offense can repeat their past performances from years past this will be the team to beat in the AFC come January. New England has covered the spread in 5 straight divisional games. Miami is 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games in December. |
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12-09-18 | Ravens +7 v. Chiefs | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 120 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #105 Baltimore Ravens over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 CBS) The Chiefs were not that impressive against the Raiders last Sunday and now they play a much better team in the Ravens with another big spread. QB Lamar Jackson has not put up great stats but he has inspired this team with three straight wins and we will jump on the bandwagon. The road team has covered 6 of the last 8 meetings. Kansas City will have their explosive moments, but I believe Baltimore will be able to take this down to the wire and easily cover the spread. |
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12-09-18 | Arizona +3 v. Alabama | 73-76 | Push | 0 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #841 Arizona over Alabama (1p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN) This line keeps going up and I do not believe it is warranted. Arizona is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against SEC teams. 67% of the money is coming in on the underdog and it would not surprise me if Arizona wins this game straight-up. |
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12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers -9 | 121-98 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Miami is in a real bad spot here, missing players from injury and for personal matters. They face an angry Clippers team that played a very uncharacteristic bad game last time out in Memphis. This is a very professional team and we feel they will shake that performance off and come out here with a workmanlike effort and get a big win over a bad team. The Clippers are playing like every game counts this season, and we don’t think they will overlook this game, especially with their bad effort last time out. |
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12-08-18 | Wolves +2.5 v. Blazers | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wolves have covered six of their last seven games and this team is really under the radar right now but playing well. Portland looked good last time out against a hapless Phoenix squad but they had lost three straight before that and they have struggled with six losses in their last eight games. They got off to a hot start, but alas it seems like this team doesn’t live up to the hype. Minnesota has all the betting value here in a game that looks like a coin flip. In those cases, getting more than two points offers some great value as we think the Wolves could, and should, win outright. |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2 | 112-104 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
New York has been dominating in this series, cashing six straight tickets. We think they get No. 7 tonight. New York hasn’t played well lately but they have had one of the most brutal recent schedules in the NBA. They have actually covered in six of their last nine, however, and this looks like a great spot for a win against a Brooklyn team that had possibly their game of the year last night in an OT win at Toronto. They had lost eight straight before that, and this seems like the perfect spot for them to come back down to earth tonight. |
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12-08-18 | Florida State v. Connecticut +9 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #804 Connecticut +9 over Florida State (6:30p.m., Saturday, December 7 ESPN 2) Just never like Florida State as a big favorite. This team has always been poorly coached and they are 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games. UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 4 games. I expect this to be closer that what the experts think. |
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12-08-18 | Wisconsin v. Marquette | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #777 Wisconsin over Marquette (5p.m., Saturday, December 7 FOX) This battle of Wisconsin takes place at the new Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI. We used Marquette last week as our big play and won easily but I do not expect the kind of officiating in this game that we saw in that game. The road team has dominated this series having covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Wisconsin is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games. Marquette is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Wisconsin is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. The Badgers have the best player in the floor in Ethan Happ and they will not let Markus Howard go off like he did last Saturday. |
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12-07-18 | Nevada v. Arizona State +7.5 | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #530 Arizona State over Nevada (11:59p.m., Friday, December 7 ESPN 2) We will grab the points in this battle of undefeated teams tonight at the Staples Center. Nevada lost here to a similar team in TCU and this will likely be the highest rated team the Wolf Pack face all season long. Arizona State should be healthier for this game and expect them to take it down to the wire. The Sun Devils are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games against MWC teams. 57% of the money is coming in on ASU despite being an underdog and I believe they can win this game straight-up. |
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12-06-18 | Drake -2 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 75-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #711 Drake over Milwaukee (8p.m., Thursday, December 6 ESPN+) The Panthers will struggle for wins this season and we will fade them tonight at the Cell. Drake has won 4 straight games and they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games against Horizon League teams. This will not be a blowout but look Drake to pull away over the last 5 minutes and win this game by 7-9 points. |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
The Grizzlies have lost four of five but they faced a real tough slate during that stretch that saw them lose to Toronto, at Philly, and at these same Clippers. The Grizzlies had that game in hand until some late Clipper heroics and then they lost in overtime and missed the cover by ½ point. They will put their best foot forward tonight against a traditional rival and with the venue now at home. Memphis has had two nights off and they are 6-0 ATS with this much rest. We think they will be very focused to get back on track in this one. The Clippers are one of the biggest surprises in the league this year and they are a very good team. But they are starting to be overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we think that is the case here tonight. We think this will be a high-scoring game and that the posted total is about four points too low. |
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12-05-18 | St. Joe's -3 v. Princeton | 92-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #537 St Joes over Princeton (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Hawks have played a difficult schedule and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Tigers have played a very light schedule thus far and will not be battle tested for this game. St Joes is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against Ivy League teams. Princeton is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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12-05-18 | Marshall -1.5 v. Duquesne | 82-93 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #525 Marshall over Duquesne (7p.m., Wednesday, December 5 ESPN+) The Thundering Herd put up a dud last time out, but we expect a much better performance tonight in Pittsburgh, PA. The Dukes have yet to record a quality win on the season and they were also blown out last time as well. Marshall will get hot from the three-point line at some point in this game and that will be the difference. Marshall is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Atlantic 10 teams. Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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12-04-18 | Bradley v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4 | 68-62 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #726 Little Rock over Bradley (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 4) The Braves continue to be overvalued and we will go against them for a second straight game. New Mexico pounded them on Saturday despite being a touchdown underdog and I think Little Rock has a chance to win this game straight-up as well. The Trojans have yet to play a close game thus far this season, but this will finally be the one that goes down to the wire and getting this many points is too good to pass up. Little Rock is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams. Bradley is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. |
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12-04-18 | Bulls +9.5 v. Pacers | Top | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
The Bulls are a terrible team, but they have covered just as many games this season as the Pacers have. We simply think that this line is too large on Tuesday. The Bulls fired Fred Hoiberg on Monday, and sometimes this gives the team some extra motivation as sometimes the coach’s message has stopped getting through to the players. We think they will play hard here. The Pacers are the much better team, but they are missing their superstar and best player in Oladipo and this squad has lost four out of its last six. They are also on the dreaded first game back home after a long road trip, not to mention they play on the road for one game after this home contest, and sometimes players don’t give full effort in these spots since they have off-the-court life dealings to consider. This is too many points on Tuesday. |
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12-03-18 | Wizards -2 v. Knicks | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Most times it would be tough to trust a 2-9 road team laying points away from home. But this team not only got off to a slow start, but they have had just a brutal road schedule this season and this is arguably their easiest road game of the year (they also played at Orlando). This team is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are playing much better basketball after a slow start. They seem to be taking nearly every game more seriously and we think they give it their all tonight in this very winnable contest. Washington is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in New York and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall, and we think there’s a good chance for a 7+-point win here. |
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12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +2 | Top | 110-83 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that are playing very well, but the Pistons have won five straight and seven of their last eight. They are in amazing form right now and clicking on all facets of the game when this team has underwhelmed so many times over the years. They are 9-3 at home this season while the Thunder are just average on the road at 5-4. Both teams have been winning against an easy schedule lately, but we have just been more impressed by what the Pistons have done, and they are the team catching points at home. Very live home dog here on Monday that should be able to get the outright win. |
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12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The wrong team is favored here. The Clippers have been one of the biggest surprises in the NBA this season and they sit No. 1 in the Western Conference. They have had a decently easy schedule lately and this team is just average on the road where they sit at 6-5 on the season (The Mavs are 8-2 at home). Dallas has won seven of their last nine so they are in fine form as well. DeAndre Jordan will be hyped to play against his old team, and the rest of his teammates will rally around him against what is becoming a bit of an overrated Clippers team. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 122 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #376 New England Patriots over Minnesota Vikings (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 2 FOX) These back to back road games on the docket for Minnesota will likely doom them in. Going to New England this week and Seattle the next week is as tough to travel as there is in the league. Minnesota just does not have the same defense that they had last year. New England will be able to score in the thirties in this game and I just do not believe Minnesota will be able to keep pace. The Patriots are starting to get healthy and they are always tough to beat in December (8-1 ATS last 9 December games). Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. The Patriots have just been going through the motions of late, but this is a game that they will get up for and win it by double-digits. |
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12-02-18 | UCF v. Missouri +2.5 | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #720 Take Missouri over UCF (3p.m., Sunday, November 2 ESPN U) We will go against the grain in this game as Missouri is desperate for a win. The Tigers have played a brutal schedule thus far, but they have talent and they will get better as the season progresses. UCF is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Missouri is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games played on Sunday. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -2.5 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #318 Boise State Broncos over Fresno State Bulldogs (7:45p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN) The Broncos are the best team in the MWC and playing the championship on the blue turf is a big advantage that the Bulldogs will not be able to overcome. Boise State has won 7 straight games and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games against Fresno State. This will not be a blowout, but Boise State just has a knack for pulling out close games especially at home. Usually the Broncos are double digits favorites at home, but we have used them the last two times the spread was low. QB Rypien will go out a winner and we will collect in the process as well. |
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12-01-18 | New Mexico +7.5 v. Bradley | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #552 New Mexico over Bradley (8p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) We will grab the points in this game with the team from the better conference and I truly believe the talent level is equal as well. New Mexico had an outstanding MWC season and I do not believe they warrant to be a touchdown underdog. |
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12-01-18 | Nevada -5.5 v. USC | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #563 Nevada over USC (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 FOX) The Wolf Pack are a legit top 5 team and we will ride them again after easily collecting with them against Loyola earlier this week. USC has talent, but they do not have a home court edge and a couple of their key players are questionable for this game. Need to keep riding Nevada with these short numbers until we are proven wrong. Nevada is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. USC is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory last time out. |
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12-01-18 | Memphis +3.5 v. Central Florida | 41-56 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 44 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #309 Memphis Tigers over UCF Golden Knights (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 1 ABC) It ends tonight! The winning streak for the Golden Knights will come to an end on Saturday against a team that nearly beat them in the regular season. It will be imperative for the Tigers to stop the Golden Knights rushing attack and make Darriel Mack beat them through the air. Memphis is 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 AAC games. UCF just does not have a path to the College Football Playoff and that will show up in this game, as Memphis wins it straight-up. |
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12-01-18 | Stanford -2.5 v. California | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 97 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #333 Stanford Cardinal over California Golden Bears (3p.m., Saturday, December 1 PAC-12 Network) Stanford has won 8 straight in this series by an average of 20 points per game (6-2 ATS). Stanford has had a brutal schedule this year, but they have regrouped of late having won their last two games. This game comes down to Stanford being efficient on offense and if they can score in the twenties, they will likely win this game. Stanford plays better on the road going 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 7 Big Games! |
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12-01-18 | Kansas State v. Marquette -2 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #534 Marquette over Kansas State (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 FS1) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams return a ton of experience, but Marquette needs this game more to bolster their hopes of an NCAA Tournament bid. Always like a game that features an unranked team that is favored against a ranked team. The Golden Eagles are a much better team at home and this will be the first two road game for Kansas State and their Milwaukee native coach. Marquette has two losses on the season, but they have played a much more difficult schedule, but they have yet to record a quality win. This will be the day that it happens. Generally, to win on the road against good teams you must shoot the ball well from long range and that is just not something this Wildcat team does well. This will be a contrast in styles with Marquette having the edge on the perimeter compared to K-State having the edge in the pant. Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big East teams. Marquette has yet to hit their stride and play a complete 40 minute game but I expect that to happen on Saturday. |
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12-01-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Chattanooga -4.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #628 Chattanooga over Tennessee Tech (2p.m., Saturday, December 1 ESPN+) No play against Tennessee Tech is a bad play. They are 1-6 on the season and are coming off a home loss to Winthrop by double digits. 80% of the money is coming in on Chattanooga and the line is jumping with good reason. This will be an 8-10 point win by the visitor and we will collect big in the process as well. |
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11-30-18 | Oklahoma State v. Minnesota -3.5 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #738 Minnesota over Oklahoma State (10p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Would go higher on this game if it were at the Barn but it is still in Minneapolis and feel Minnesota will bounce back in a big way tonight. The Pokes are coming off their best win of the season last time out against LSU. That being said they already lost to Charlotte this season in their only true road game thus far. Oklahoma State is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on Friday. The line is trending up and look for Minnesota to win this game by 6-8 points. |
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11-30-18 | Wisconsin -1.5 v. Iowa | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #735 Wisconsin over Iowa (8p.m., Friday, November 30 BTN) Iowa is undefeated, higher ranked, and playing at home yet Wisconsin enter as the favorite. That tells me that the Badgers are the right side in this game. The road team is 6-2 in the last 8 match-ups. Wisconsin is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games. |
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11-30-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -2 | Top | 119-111 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
We had this game handicapped at Charlotte -6, so very nice value here in this line. This number seems very public and not a real representation of how these teams have played on the court thus far. Kemba Walker for the Hornets is putting in an MVP-like season so far, and he has the Hornets at 14-7 ATS and 8-3 at home this season. This team will be undervalued no matter how they play since they are so under the radar on a national level. Utah is the “name” team in this matchup, but they haven’t lived up to the massive preseason hype. They are under .500 on the season and they are not playing the stellar defense that we are used to seeing from this team. There isn’t the same teamwork we saw last season. Their star players have underperformed. This team will probably turn it around at some point, but right now they are overvalued by the oddsmakers, and we will take advantage of this bad line tonight with a big play for the Hornets. |
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11-30-18 | Mississippi State v. Dayton +2.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #726 Dayton over Mississippi State (7p.m., Friday, November 30 CBSSN) The Flyers are undefeated at home this season and both of their losses have come against Power 4 teams in Virginia and Oklahoma. They have had a week off to prepare for this game and expect them to win it straight-up. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Flyers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against SEC tams. |
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11-29-18 | Northern Arizona +8 v. UC-Davis | 57-73 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #519 Northern Arizona over UC Davis (10p.m., Thursday, November 29) Both of these teams are bad and thus we will take the points in this mid-major battle tonight in Davis. The Aggies are scoring just under 56 points per game and I just do not believe they can cover this spread by not scoring in the high sixties. NAU is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. UC Davis is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #302 Dallas Cowboys over New Orleans Saints (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 29 FOX) New Orleans is the best team in football but Dallas is the type of team that can contain them on both sides of the football. The Cowboys have won three straight games and I just do not see them getting blowout at home. Dallas needs this game more and thus I think they can take this down to the wire. Dallas has won 4 of their 5 home games this year. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between New Orleans and Dallas. |
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11-28-18 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Michigan | 67-84 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #761 North Carolina +3.5 over Michigan (9:30p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN) |
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11-28-18 | Purdue +4 v. Florida State | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #759 Purdue +4 over Florida State (9:15p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN 2) |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
We like this pick for several reasons, the biggest being that we think the Pelicans are the better team, and this number seems short as we had our handicapped number on the other side of the key betting number of 7. This is also a revenge spot for the Pelicans since they lost in Washington less than a week ago. Teams forget about games after a couple weeks, but this will be fresh on their minds. These teams have been on opposite trajectories lately but that just gives value to the line for the home team as this looks like a prime spot for them to get back on track. |
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11-28-18 | BYU v. Illinois State +2.5 | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #752 Illinois State +2.5 over BYU (8p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN+) BYU is coming off a bad home loss to Houston and they have yet to record a quality win this season. The Redbirds are undefeated at home this season and already beat Boise State by three points. BYU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. |
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11-28-18 | Syracuse +5 v. Ohio State | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #737 Syracuse +5 over Ohio State (7:15p.m., Wednesday, November 28 ESPN 2) |
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11-28-18 | Hawks v. Hornets -12 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
The Hornets are one of the best ATS teams in the league this season. We don’t often like to lay this many points in the NBA, but we think this game will be a blowout tonight. This is a prime revenge spot for the Hornets after losing to the Hawks in Atlanta recently. But this team rebounded with a win vs. Milwaukee last time out and they will be riding sky high coming into this game and will be looking for payback. The Hornets have covered in four of their last five games overall, and this looks like a prime spot for another cover. |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The Grizzlies are 12-7 ATS and they keep getting disrespected by the oddsmakers. That is the case here tonight as we had them +1 in this matchup and give them a good chance to win outright. They lost a tough one on Friday in OT at the Clippers then had a letdown in their last game against the Knicks, so they will be anxious to get back on track here against one of the top teams in the east. Toronto plays Golden State next, so they will probably be more concerned about that matchup, and the Grizzlies head on the road after this game so they know they need a win here. Memphis is 6-3 ATS against above-.500 teams this season, and they are undervalued once again by the bookies tonight. |
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11-27-18 | Nevada -4.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #523 Nevada over Loyola Chicago (8p.m., Tuesday, November 27 ESPNN) This is a rematch of the 2018 Sweet 16 games. Nevada returned everyone that played in that game, but the same cannot be said for Loyola. They appear to be a one hit wonder currently sitting at 4-2 on the season with a pair of losses to teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament this season (Furman and Boston College). Nevada has revenge on their minds and they will get this game by double digits. |
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11-27-18 | Virginia Tech -3 v. Penn State | 62-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #517 Virginia Tech over Penn State (7p.m., Tuesday, November 27 ESPN 2) Virginia Tech has a big edge in talent this evening and the line is way to short. Penn State has two bad losses on the season to DePaul and Bradley and this line should be around -5. The Hokies already have a win against Purdue and they have a good chance to run the table in the nonconference portion of the season. Virginia Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. |
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11-26-18 | Magic v. Warriors -8 | 110-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
The Warriors went through their rough patch and we made some money by fading them during their four-game losing streak, but this team has now won two straight and they are playing much better. They will get reinforcements soon, also, as Draymond Green and Steph Curry should be back soon. The Warriors have a long history of success in this rare matchup and they have covered three of the last four meetings despite laying massive numbers. We actually think this number is very short tonight and the Warriors are being punished too much for missing players here. We think they will roll to a double-digit win tonight. |
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11-26-18 | Rockets v. Wizards +2.5 | 131-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
We think the wrong team is favored here, especially with Rockets PG Chris Paul listed as questionable for this matchup. Both teams started off the season ice cold but both are heating up and playing better now. But the Wizards have won five of eight and they have won and covered their last two on the road while the Rockets enter having dropped two straight, both on the road, to Cleveland and Detroit. We think Washington is in better form right now and we think they have a great chance to win this one outright. |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska v. Clemson -3 | 68-66 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #716 Clemson over Nebraska (7p.m., Monday, November 26 ESPN 2) The Cornhuskers have never been a strong road team and I expect them to lose this game tonight. We will take advantage of a short number with a team that is always tough to beat at home. In their only competitive game of the season Nebraska got pounded by Texas Tech and I see an 8-10 point loss tonight. The Tigers have a bad taste in their mouth after losing to Creighton last time out but they are a much better team at home. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-25-18 | Packers +3.5 v. Vikings | 17-24 | Loss | -120 | 121 h 23 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #271 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 25 NBC) The Packers have extra days to prepare for this game and I just do not see a blowout by the home team. Green Bay has yet to win a road game this season, but they always seem to take it down to the wire and this game should be no different. Green Bay has an easy schedule after this game and they could run the table if they can beat Minnesota in Minneapolis. The underdog has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings. Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. QB Rodger is still the best player on the field and the extra rest should allow some of his playmakers to get healthy for this game. |
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11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 10 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #668. Take Calgary -4 over Ottawa (Sunday, November 25, 6:00 p.m.) The Calgary Stampeders were the odds-on favorite to win the Grey Cup this year and they are going to do just that this coming weekend. Look, the Stampeders were the best team in the league for all 20 weeks and now they get to play in their third Grey Cup in a row, and they will be eager, desperate, hungry, and any other adjective you can think of to reverse their fortunes and not lose a third in a row. We like their ability on offense with Bo Levi Mitchell leading the way and Don Jackson running the ball. The Stamps finished the regular season averaging 29 points per game which was second best to just Winnipeg. The Stamps make their hay on the defensive side of the ball and that will be evident in this game and it will be the difference in this game against an Ottawa team that, sure beat Hamilton and put up 46, but has been inconsistent week after week. The QB play for the Redblacks has been spotty and Trevor Harris has caught some flack at times from fans and coaches alike in his performances. We don't believe he has enough in him to overcome this Calgary defense. The Stampeders are also playing this game with revenge as they lost their first of two Grey Cup appearances to the heavily underdog Redblacks 39-33 in 2016. They were nine and a half point favorites in that game, and that game still stings around the club. This outcome will be much different and we expect Calgary to win and win going away. |
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11-25-18 | Steelers v. Broncos +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #270 Denver Broncos over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 25 CBS) We used the Broncos last week and won the game straight up despite being around a touchdown underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a remarkable comeback against Jacksonville but playing in Denver is always a tough task. 4 of the Broncos losses have come against top teams in the NFL by a combined 16 points. Pittsburgh is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games played during Week 12 of the regular season. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. The underdog is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 meetings. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -119 | 114 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Carolina Panthers over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 25 FOX) The Panthers have lost two straight games, but they are a perfect 5-0 this season at home. The Hawks are still rebuilding around QB Wilson and they just do not have many playmakers on either side of the football. Carolina needs this game more to ensure they reach the playoffs as a Wild Card team. Carolina is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Seattle is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a victory in their previous game. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Harvard v. St. Mary's -8.5 | 74-68 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take Saint Mary’s over Harvard (9p.m., Saturday, November 24) We are using Saint Mary’s and the over in this game. The Gaels are coming off two straight losses, but they are a different team at home. Harvard is missing a couple of key players for this game and will not be able to keep this deficit under double digits. Harvard has gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 road games. Saint Mary’s is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. |
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11-24-18 | Spurs v. Bucks -9.5 | Top | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
This is a real tough spot for the Spurs, who are on a back-to-back on the road and playing their third game in four nights despite all NBA teams getting the night off for Thanksgiving. The Bucks have similar rest, but they had a much easier game on Friday against the Suns and they get to stay home for this back-to-back, which is a big advantage. San Antonio is down this season from what we are used to, and this team isn’t very good on the road. The Bucks are nearly unbeatable on their home court and they are one of the best ATS teams in the league this season, which means you can trust them laying a big number like this. |
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11-24-18 | Notre Dame -10.5 v. USC | 24-17 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #225 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over USC Trojans (8p.m., Saturday, November 24 ABC) USC has a lame duck coach and Notre Dame continues to cover spread and show they are one of the top 4 teams in the country. A win by the Irish will allow them to reach the College Football Playoff. USC has lost 4 of their last 5 games. The Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played at the Coliseum. The talent would indicate a single digit spread but USC has quit and this will be the last game they play in the 2018 season. The favorite has covered the spread in the last 6 meetings. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. USC is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games. |
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11-24-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -2 | 72-74 | Push | 0 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 Texas A&M Aggies over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 SECN) LSU still gets a lot publicity for beating Georgia but they still have the same issues that have plagued this team for years. Their offense is vanilla and Texas A&M has the much better offensive mind in Jimbo Fisher. If the Aggies defense can stop the running attack of the Tigers they will win this game by double-digits. The favorite is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in the last 8 meetings. The previous regime struggled in November and Coach Fisher knows the importance of finishing strong and getting the 8th victory of the season. Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. |
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11-24-18 | Arizona State v. Arizona +2 | Top | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 93 h 35 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #234 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 24 FS1) PAC 12 GAME OF THE YEAR The home team has won the last 5 meetings in the Territorial Cup. Arizona needs to win this game to become bowl eligible and they have played much better down the stretch winning 2 of their last 3 games (both wins have come against teams that beat ASU). Arizona State should not be favored as they are just 1-4 straight-up on the road in 2018. There will be a lot of points in this game, but I like the way QB Khalil Tate has been playing over his last three games (12 touchdown and 3 interceptions). Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 Territorial Cup meetings. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +4.5 | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 89 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Ohio State Buckeyes over Michigan Wolverines (12p.m., Saturday, November 24 FOX) Just have a feeling Ohio State is due for a complete 60-minute game. If they cannot get up for this game, then this team is just not very good. Michigan has not won in Columbus since 2000 and Ohio State has won 13 of the last 14 meetings. Michigan still has a monkey on their back and Harbaugh has yet to win the Big 10 or beat his hated rival. This will be the best offense Michigan has seen this year and likely even better than Notre Dame. Michigan is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Coach Meyer has never been a home underdog at Ohio State and I feel they will not only cover the spread, but win this game straight-up. |
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11-23-18 | Jazz +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 83-90 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Overjoyed to get Utah as an underdog here as they are the superior team and should get the straight up road win tonight at Staples Center. Don’t be fooled by the records for these teams; the Jazz have gotten off to a slow start against a tougher schedule. And even at 10-7 straight up, the Lakers have been overvalued by the oddsmakers, as all LeBron James teams tend to be, as they are just 6-11 ATS on the season. Utah has won seven straight in this series. Yes, the Lakers are stronger with LeBron now, but you can’t ignore that long stretch of dominance. The Jazz are pretty fresh off a long road trip where they went 2-3 and then they dropped the normally-tough first game back home after a long trip to the Kings. We think they really need this game to get back on track and we think they give max effort here in a very winnable game. For whatever reason the Jazz have played better on the road than at home this season, and they have also covered five of the last seven meetings between these two teams in LA. |
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11-23-18 | Washington +3 v. Washington State | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 74 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #143 Washington Huskies over Washington State Cougars (8:30p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) The Apple Cup takes place in Pullman, WA on Friday night. The Huskies have owned this series winning 8 of the last 9 meetings by an average of 22 points per game. Washington State still has an outside chance to reach the College Football Playoff, but I just feel Washington is the better all-around team. Washington is 8-3 yet nobody is talking about them. A win by Washington will put them in the PAC 12 Championship Game with he potential to reach the Rose Bowl. Washington is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played in Pullman. |
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11-23-18 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Virginia | 46-53 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #545 Wisconsin over Virginia (2p.m., Friday, November 23 ESPN) This may be a low scoring game and thus we will grab the points with Wisconsin. The Badgers have the best player on the floor in Ethan Happ and if they can shoot the ball anywhere close to what they did yesterday they will win this game straight-up. Virginia did not look that impressive against Dayton yesterday and this is just not a good match-up for them unless they are making jump shots. The Badgers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska +10 v. Iowa | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 11 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Iowa Hawkeyes (12p.m., Friday, November 23 FOX) Just like the way Nebraska has been playing over the last month. We have hit two top plays with them and feel they can keep this game closer than the posted number. This will be the final game for Nebraska and you can bet Coach Frost wants to set the tone for 2019 in this game. Nebraska got embarrassed by Iowa last and pride will be on the line in this game. The future looks much brighter for Nebraska and Iowa appears destined to be an 8-4, 7-5 type of team. The road team has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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11-22-18 | Oklahoma v. Wisconsin -4.5 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #702 Wisconsin over Oklahoma (1:30p.m., Thursday, November 22 ESPN) Wisconsin did not play that well yesterday on offense, yet still won the game by 16 points despite having only 2 assists for 40 minutes. Their defense is rock solid and if they can shoot the ball better, they will win this game by double digits. Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. |
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11-22-18 | Bears v. Lions +4.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -115 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #106 Detroit Lions over Chicago Bears (11:30am, Thursday, November 22 CBS) The Bears are the team to beat in the NFC North, but I still do not believe in them. Throw in the face the Mitch Trubisky may not play and I feel that the wrong team is favored. The Bears have super short rest after playing on Sunday Night Football and now must play the first game of the day on Thanksgiving. Detroit is 3-1 straight-up (3-1 ATS) in their last 4 games played on Thanksgiving. Chicago is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Ford Field. |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -7 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
After a hot start the Bucks had some struggles as they went through a tough stretch (3-4 SU and ATS). But they have won and covered two straight and this team is trending up again. This is a more complete and better team than the Blazers, and we expect a comfortable win from the home team tonight. These teams have almost identical records and yet the Bucks are laying a decent-sized number here. We think it’s not big enough, however. Also, the Bucks have owned this series as they are 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The Blazers are coming in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights while the Bucks were off Tuesday and they have had a mellow schedule recently. They are primed for a big game tonight. |
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11-21-18 | Minnesota +1 v. Washington | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #533 Minnesota over Washington (6:30p.m., Wednesday, November 21 BTN) Washington just has not been playing well early in the season. They needed to rally to beat a so-so Texas A&M team last night and I do not believe they will have much left in the tank for this game. Minnesota had an easier game last night against Santa Clara and they should be better rested for this game tonight in Vancouver. Washington got blown out Auburn and they have struggled to cover the spread during much of the early season. Washington is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against PAC-12 teams. |
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11-21-18 | Wisconsin -8 v. Stanford | 62-46 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #549 Wisconsin over Stanford (11:30a.m., Wednesday, November 21 ESPN) Stanford lost their best player to Kentucky and they appear to be in for a long season. Wisconsin has bounced back nicely from missing the NCAA Tournament last season and they should be able to reach the finish of this Battle 4 Atlantis. Stanford is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Wisconsin is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games. |
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11-20-18 | Washington -3 v. Texas A&M | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #767 Washington over Texas A&M (11:30p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Washington is going to make the NCAA Tournament this season. They laid an egg against Auburn but other than that have been solid. Texas A&M is in complete freefall currently sitting at 1-3 on the season and they will lose this game by double digits. The Aggies are 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against PAC-12 teams. |
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11-20-18 | Pacific +5 v. UNLV | 70-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #719 Pacific over UNLV (10p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Both teams are bad and thus we will take the points in this match-up. UNLV has played cupcakes thus far in 2018 and this will be the toughest team they have faced at this point of the season. The Tigers are 3-1 with their only loss coming against a top 10 team in Nevada. UNLV is 7-17 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 26 games. 72% of the money is on UNLV yet the line is coming down, so that is a good indicator we are on the right side. |
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11-20-18 | CS Sacramento v. UC-Davis -1.5 | 58-55 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #778 UC Davis over Sacramento State (10p.m., Tuesday, November 20) Jim Les has quietly built a solid program at UC Davis and they are always one of the top teams in the Big West led by TJ Shorts II this year. They are off to a bad start but they get to face a team on Tuesday that has only one game under their belt because of the wildfires in California. The Aggies are 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games against Big Sky teams. The Hornets are 1-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games against Big West teams. |
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11-20-18 | Clippers v. Wizards +1.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
We like this Clippers squad a lot this season and we have been down on the lousy Wizards, but we think this is a good spot for the home dog to get the straight up win. This is not only a back-to-back for LA but their third game in four nights, all on the road. Things have gone pretty well in the first two games of this road trip, but now this is a fatigued team playing the toughest matchup yet on the last game of this three-game trip. The Wizards have struggled mightily, and John Wall and Bradley Beal have been mentioned in trade rumors. We just think this team steps up tonight. If this game was the first game of the season this line would probably be Wizards -5. But perceptions have changed. But we see value in this line and think Washington should win this one outright. |
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11-20-18 | Clemson -6 v. Georgia | 64-49 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #729 Clemson over Georgia (1:30p.m., Tuesday, November 20) The Tigers are farther along with Coach Brownell and should be able to win this game by double digits over Georgia. Tom Crean is in his first year at Georgia and this is the type of team he will struggle against. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against SEC teams. Clemson is also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. |
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11-19-18 | VCU v. Temple -2.5 | 57-51 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #578 Temple over VCU (9:30p.m., Monday, November 19 ESPN 3) Both teams are undefeated, but the Rams have played cupcakes thus far and they are not the mid0major power they once were. This is the swain song for the Temple coach and expect them to make a run towards the NCAA tournament. Temple is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. VCU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. |
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11-19-18 | Clippers -8 v. Hawks | Top | 127-119 | Push | 0 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Clippers are a Top 4 team in the west in the standings right now, and not many expected this. But if they stay healthy all season, this is going to be a playoff team and one that the top teams in the west will not want to play in the postseason. They are 9-6 against the spread this year so far, so they are defying oddsmakers expectations. This team plays great team basketball and they are unselfish. They have guys that can score and they play decent defense. They started their road trip last time out against Brooklyn in what could have been a letdown spot after home wins against the Spurs and Warriors, but they won and covered in that contest. Now they face a much weaker team in Atlanta tonight. This is arguably the worst team in the NBA. They have lost seven straight and covered in only three of those games, despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers. This Clippers team seems like one that will not lower itself to the level of competition like past Clippers squads, and we think they take advantage of this situation for an easy road win tonight. |
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11-19-18 | Duke v. San Diego State +16.5 | 90-64 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #558 San Diego State over Duke (5p.m., Monday, November 19, ESPN 2) Duke is a machine this year but they lack experience and the long trip over from North Carolina may allow them to come out flat in this game. San Diego State has covered the spread in 4 straight neutral site games and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 nonconference games. If they can withstand Duke early they should be able to keep this game around 10-12 points for 40 minutes. |
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11-18-18 | Warriors v. Spurs -3 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
We have faded the Golden State Warriors the last two games, and it has worked out pretty well, so we will go for three in a row here. We have the feeling the Warriors may enter their toughest stretch of this current regime. They have off-court drama going on, impending free agency and injuries. They also don’t have the fire they have had in previous seasons. And we don’t think they give a crap. As long as they are healthy and synched heading into the playoffs, we don’t think this team cares about playoff positioning as long as they are a Top 4 seed. The Spurs are in a more desperate situation tonight as they have lost five of six. But they have played a road-heavy schedule. They are still dominant at home at 5-2, and they will put their best foot forward tonight. They aren’t going to give the Warriors any breaks because of their current problems, and we think they win this one by a comfortable margin tonight. |
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11-18-18 | UCF -2 v. Western Kentucky | 78-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #723 Central Florida over Western Kentucky (6:30p.m., Sunday, November 18 ESPN2) UCF is a buzz saw early in the season and we will ride them again in the Championship Game of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. The Golden Knights have great size in the pant and the Hilltoppers will struggle to match that. UCF is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on Sunday. |
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11-18-18 | Wofford v. Oklahoma -9.5 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #778 Oklahoma over Wofford (2p.m., Sunday, November 18) This is a home game for the Sooners and should be able to win this game by double digits. Oklahoma is 2-0 on the season and both wins have come over today’s posted number. Wofford is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 12 teams. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games played on Sunday. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #453 Dallas Cowboy over Atlanta Falcons (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) Both teams have been streaky, but it appears Dallas is trending up whereas Atlanta laid an egg last week at Cleveland. Dallas should be able to run the football in this game and that will allow them to have success passing as well off of play action. Atlanta will put up some points and yards in this game but in the end, Dallas will pull it out by a field goal. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants -1 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 119 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #466 New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 FOX) The Giants just have to many playmakers to be this bad. They picked up a big win last Monday in San Francisco and should be able to make it two in a row against another bad team in Tampa Bay. Tehir offensive line played their best game of the season last time out. The Buccaneers have lost 6 of their last 7 games and not being able to decide on a quarterback has cost them dearly. Their last two games have been over early and I just do not see them being able to win on the road at the Meadowlands. Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. New York is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay. |
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11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | 20-16 | Loss | -108 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #471 Pittsburgh Steelers over Jacksonville Jaguars (1p.m., Sunday, November 18 CBS) Things have gotten bad in a hurry for Jacksonville as they have been flexed out of Sunday Night Football in favor of a better match-up. Pittsburgh is currently on pace for a bye in the playoffs and cannot afford to look past this game. Jacksonville beat Pittsburgh twice last year and that just makes this a strong play for us with the visitor. The Jaguars are 11-22 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 home games when they are an underdog. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games and I just do not believe Jacksonville can beat them again. The road team has covered 5 straight games in this series. |
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11-18-18 | Hamilton +3.5 v. Ottawa | 27-46 | Loss | -103 | 49 h 24 m | Show | |
7-Unit Play. #663. Take Hamilton +3.5 vs Ottawa (Sunday November 18 @ 1:00p.m.) It's the meeting we've all been waiting for in the Eastern Conference. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs the Ottawa Redblacks. Hamilton is in this position thanks to a dominating 48-8 win over BC. Now they get a chance to redeem themselves and extract a little payback on the Redblacks, a team who the Ti-Cats have lost to three times during the regular season. Maybe the Redblacks just have the Ti-Cats number. But we are not willing to believe that for one second. Every game and every situation is different and the Tiger-Cats are a different team than what they were a month ago. Look, the TiCats are led by their QB Masoli and he is a nominee for Most Outstanding Player. He threw three touchdown passes in the game against BC - a team that has a much better defense than Ottawa, so it's very likely he replicates that performance. On the other hand, Ottawa is led by Trevor Harris, but he hasn't always been consistent this year. In a one-game scenario, Harris has just as much a chance to bust, then boom and we believe the Tiger-Cats defense - who stepped up in a big way last week - will continue to play at a Grey Cup winning level. The TiCats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Redblacks are just 1-5 ATS vs at team with a losing record. |
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11-17-18 | Warriors v. Mavs +3.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
We think that this is a great time to fade the Warriors. The turmoil in this squad is real, and they will continue to be overvalued by the oddsmakers regardless of their performance on the court. After their record-setting season a couple years ago this team started caring less and less about the regular season after they lost in the finals to the Cavs. They started to become a lousy regular-season bet at that point. This team started hot ATS, but they have now failed to cover in four of their last five, and the ATS losses will keep coming. Curry and Green are out tonight, and we don’t see the Warriors playing to their potential against a Dallas team is 5-2 at home and should give their best effort against the world champs. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati +7.5 v. Central Florida | 13-38 | Loss | -114 | 103 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #353 Cincinnati Bearcats over UCF Golden Knights (8p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Both teams have explosive offenses, but they difference in this game will be the play of the Bearcat defense. If they can get a lead in this game and make UCF play from behind, they will win it straight-up. Cincinnati has the fifth ranked defense in FBS and UCF will finally have some resistance on offense. UCF is 2-8 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of November. UCF will have their moments in this game and there will be some points scored but getting around a touchdown is just too good to pass up with Cincinnati. |
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11-17-18 | Jazz +4.5 v. Celtics | 98-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Both teams come in on a back-to-back, but the Celtics played in OT last night in a much bigger game and we think this might be a letdown spot against a Jazz team that needs a win before a couple lousy games snowball into a concerning losing streak. We see think both offenses might come out a bit flat in this one and there is a good chance for a low-scoring game, which makes the points for the underdog even more valuable. These teams played recently in Utah and the Jazz won that one pretty comfortably, so we know they can match up against Boston. We think the dog has a great chance to bark tonight for the outright win. |
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11-17-18 | Furman v. Villanova -16 | 76-68 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #584 Villanova over Furman (5p.m., Saturday, November 17 FS2) The Wildcats looked awful against Michigan this week but expect them to bounce back in a big way Saturday afternoon against an inferior opponent. Villanova is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games played on Saturday. This should be a game where Villanova scored in the nineties and that will allow them to cover this big number. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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11-17-18 | Pittsburgh -5.5 v. Wake Forest | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 95 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ACCN) The Panthers are for real having won three straight games against better competition from what they will see today in Winston – Salem. They just need to win one of their two remaining games to earn a spot in the ACC Championship Game. Wake Forest is coming off a major upset against NC State last Thursday and because of that this line is three points shorter from what it should be. Wake Forest is 0-3 ATS this year as a home underdog. The Demon Deacons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh has covered the spread in 5 straight games. |
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11-17-18 | Ohio State v. Maryland +15 | 52-51 | Win | 100 | 95 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #350 Maryland Terrapins over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 ABC) Ohio State has not looked good in recent weeks and this is a classic look ahead situation with a winner take all game on deck against Michigan. Ohio State won last week against Michigan State, 26-6 but that score is very misleading as Michigan State self-destructed in the second half. Maryland needs win victory in their last two games to become bowl eligible. They will not accomplish that but would be able to keep this game around a 10-point deficit. Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Maryland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. |
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11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +2.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #416 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan State Spartans (12p.m., Saturday, November 17 FOX) Nebraska is one of the most improved teams in the country and they have a good chance to win their remaining two games on the schedule. They have been playing a home heavy schedule of late and this has allowed them to get healthy. Michigan State has a terrible offense and I just do not believe they will be able to attack and score consistently on this suspect Husker defense. Nebraska has covered the spread in 5 straight games including our top play a few weeks ago when they blew out Minnesota. This is just a classic case of two teams heading in different directions. QB Arian Martinez can play and will be a force to be reckoned with for years to come in this conference. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Michigan State (4-1 in Lincoln). |
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11-16-18 | Towson v. Pepperdine -2.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #752 Pepperdine -2.5 over Towson (8p.m., Friday, November 16) The Waves can only go up after last season with Lorenzo Romar. The Tigers lost a ton of talent from their squad last year and Romar has always shown he is a good recruiter. Towson is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games. Pepperdine has covered the spread in 7 straight games. |
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11-16-18 | Jazz +3 v. 76ers | Top | 107-113 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
We love to back a good team after a bad loss, and that handicapping angle doesn’t get any better than this matchup tonight. The Jazz suffered what will go down as one of the worst (and most head-scratching) losses of the season last time out when they lost by 50 points in Dallas. That is just a super embarrassing result and this team will come out and give max effort tonight, we have no doubt about that. This is one of the best teams in the NBA. Teams just have off nights like this where nothing goes right, and there was a real lack of effort there after things got out of hand. But starters played limited minutes and they will have extra energy to get things back on track here tonight. The Jazz had won and covered three straight before that loss, so overall we will give them a mulligan for that game and assume they will return to current form here. And they are 5-3 on the road this season. Philly is undefeated at home, but this team hasn’t had a very tough home slate. This is their toughest home game of the season by far. And we think overall the Jazz are a much better team. Philly is just 6-10 ATS this season, so it’s obvious they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. We think Utah has a great chance for the outright win here. |
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11-16-18 | Connecticut +4 v. Iowa | 72-91 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #791 Connecticut +4.5 over Iowa (7p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN2) I believe the odds makers over adjusted this line by making Iowa this big of a favorite. Both teams were underdogs yesterday and I expect this game to go down to the wire and we will gladly take the points with UCONN have a proximity edge in location. |
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11-16-18 | Northern Iowa v. Pennsylvania -1.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #774 Penn -1.5 over Northern Iowa (5:30p.m., Friday, November 16) |
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11-16-18 | Syracuse v. Oregon | 65-80 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #789 Syracuse (pk) over Oregon (4:30p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN2) Many expected this to be the Championship game but now it is must win as neither team wants to leave NYC 0-2. Syracuse is always a tough team to beat at the Garden and expect a home crowd edge that will allow them to emerge victorious. |
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11-16-18 | St. Joe's v. UCF | 57-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #764 UCF -1.5 over Saint Joes (1:30p.m., Friday, November 16 ESPN 2) Both teams are coming off impressive wins to open this Invitational in Myrtle Beach. Saint Joes had the more impressive victory but I just do not believe they can follow that up on consecutive days. UCF has great size and we used them yesterday and expect a similar victory today. |
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11-15-18 | Oregon v. Iowa +4 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #548 Iowa +4 over Oregon (9:30p.m., Thursday, November 15 ESPN 2) This might be a make or break year for Fran McCaffery and he likely needs a good year to keep his job. Iowa always seems to start off the season on a high note before fading in March. Expect them to take this game down to the wire with a good chance to win this game straight-up. Iowa is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Oregon is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 neutral site games. |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 50 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Seattle Seahawks over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Thursday, November 15 FOX) Both teams need this game in order to remain in the playoff hunt for a wild card spot in the NFC. Green Bay has had no recent success in Seattle and they will be playing their third road game in the last four weeks. The home team is a perfect 6-0 straight-up and against the spread in the last six match-ups. It is always tough to play on the road on Thursday nights and I feel that the team that runs the ball the best will win this game. That will be the Seahawks. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Seattle is 7-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games played on Thursday. |
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11-15-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -3 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Love the Rockets in this spot. They started the season real slow, but now they have won five of seven and they enter this one on a two-game winning streak. It seems like parting from Carmelo Anthony did this team a world of good, and they seem to have their confidence back. On the other side of the court is the Warriors. And you have to wonder if the cracks they have shown lately are the start of the end for this dynasty. Draymond Green is starting lots of drama with this team, and one of the best things about this squad in recent years was their ability to mesh on and off the court. This team has now covered only one of their last four, and the Hawks have them all they could handle last time out (we cashed on Atlanta as a big underdog). You get the feeling that the Warriors are not invested in this game as much as the Rockets. Houston is a team that wants to do a lot of damage in the regular season, while the Warriors just want to make sure everything is good before the postseason, and that is their biggest concern. And Curry is the stabilizing force with this Warriors team, and with the current drama surrounding this club, his presence on the court will be sorely missed tonight. |
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11-15-18 | Ohio State v. Creighton +2 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
6 Unit Play. Take #508 Creighton +2 over Ohio State (7p.m., Thursday, November 15 FS1) Playing in Omaha is always a tough challenge and with the talent Ohio State lost from last year I do not expect them to win this true road game. Creighton lost a bunch of talent as well but they do have the advantage of playing this at the CenturyLink Center. Most of the money is coming in on Ohio State yet the line is going the other direction. Creighton is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. |
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