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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-19 | San Jose State +27.5 v. Nevada | 53-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #841 San Jose State over Nevada (11p.m., Wednesday, January 9 CBSSN) This is a get-well game for Nevada, a team that is coming off their first loss of the season at New Mexico in blowout fashion. Nothing good can be said about the Spartans, but they can play zone in this game and force Nevada to shoot it well from long range. This is something Nevada has not done well all season long. Nevada may win this game by 40 points, but we will grab the points since this is a conference game. |
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01-09-19 | Arizona -2.5 v. Stanford | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #843 Arizona over Stanford (11p.m., Wednesday, January 9 PAC12N) Arizona will be one of the top 4 teams in the conference and they are off to an impressive 2-0 start in conference play. Stanford lost both conference games by double digits and they are in a major rebuild without Redi Travis, who left them for Kentucky. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Palo Alto. Stanford is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. |
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01-09-19 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 108-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Despite the records, the Pacers are on the second tier of Eastern Conference contenders while the Celtics are the top tier. Boston just got off to a slow start this season while the Pacers have overachieved. But Boston is rounding into playoff form right now, and they are clearly the stronger team in this matchup. They have won and covered in three straight games. Once this team gets rolling they can cover a lot as they have been one of the best betting teams the last couple years. This team has now covered in 17 straight games where they have won, so when they win the spread normally doesn’t even come into play. The Pacers have actually won the last three meetings in this series, so we think the Celtics will give max effort here at home. This is the first meeting in Boston this season. |
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01-09-19 | Dayton -9 v. George Washington | 72-66 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #805 Dayton over George Washington (7p.m., Wednesday, January 9 ESPN+) The Flyers are the best team in the A-10 this season and expect them to stay atop the standing for the entire year. Dayton has covered the spread against George Washington in 8 of the last 9 meetings. The Flyers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. |
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01-08-19 | Hornets v. Clippers -6.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Charlotte is a really bad road team at 5-12 this season. They face a Clippers team tonight that has been playing well and will continue to provide betting value all season long because of the lack of big names on the roster. Preseason perception of this team was that this squad was a lottery team, and many think they will still fall short of the postseason, but we think, barring major injuries, that this will be a solid playoff team. They play unselfish basketball and the depth is great. They are the No. 3 earner in the NBA for betting, and we like this number again tonight on the south side of the NBA key betting number of 7. Both teams were off yesterday but the Hornets played the second of a back-to-back on Sunday, so this will be their third game in four nights, and this team is in the midst of a long road trip that can possibly sink their season unless they start to play better on the road. The Clippers have covered in seven of their last nine overall, and we think they are undervalued again here on Tuesday. |
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01-08-19 | North Carolina v. NC State -1 | 90-82 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #640 NC State over North Carolina (9p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN) Just not a fan of this Tar Heel team whatsoever. They will win a bunch of games, but I am not sure Luke Maye and company can lead you to the promise land. NC State will be up for this game and this is one of the few times they are on equal footing with regards to talent. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games. |
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01-08-19 | Southern Illinois -1.5 v. Drake | 70-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #629 Southern Illinois over Drake (8p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN+) The Bulldogs have gotten off to a bad start in MVC play losing two straight games to open up conference play. Southern Illinois is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Southern Illinois wins this game by 6-8 points. |
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01-08-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State -11 | 84-82 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #620 Ball State over Eastern Michigan (7p.m., Tuesday, January 8 ESPN+) The Cardinals have won 9 of their last 10 games and should have no problem taking down one of the worst teams in the league. The Eagles have played a brutal schedule of late and gotten blown out against ranked teams in their last 2 games. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. |
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01-07-19 | Jazz v. Bucks -5.5 | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 18-4, and they cover here at home more often than not. Utah is just not the same team this season. As soon as you think they have started to turn the corner they come back with a lousy game. Milwaukee is rolling right now and they have covered five of their last six games. We think they come out strong here and win this one comfortably. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS at home against .500 or under teams this season, and we think they will give max effort tonight. |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Houston has won eight straight in this series, and they have covered in six of those games. Denver has a great team this year and their depth is amazing compared to the Rockets, who are top heavy, but Houston is playing lights out right now and we think this line is short. Houston had their win streak broken last time out against the Blazers, so they will be anxious to get back on the winning track here tonight. Despite the records this is the better team, and the Nuggets have been mediocre on the road so far this season. No upset here tonight. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama -5.5 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 47 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #152 Alabama Crimson Tide over Clemson Tigers (8p.m., Monday, January 7 ESPN) For the first time in the playoff era an undefeated team will emerge victorious for this game. Both teams were impressive in their semi-final game, but I just cannot go against Alabama especially when the line is under a touchdown. Alabama has a quarterback that can move the ball at will in the passing game and I am just not sure a freshman quarterback will be able to match Tua Tagovailoa blow for blow. Alabama beat Clemson 24-6 last year and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. Just cannot go against Nick Saban in this type of a game. The Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against ACC teams. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 nonconference games. |
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01-07-19 | Nets v. Celtics -9.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Boston has scored double-digit wins in their last two games, and we think they make it three straight tonight. Brooklyn has won three straight, but one of those wins was against the Bulls, and that was yesterday, which means they are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights tonight. This team hasn’t been good with no rest at 2-7 ATS. Boston has had two nights off heading into this game, and rest is becoming very crucial at this point of the season. The Celts should have Irving and Morris back tonight. We expect a strong performance. |
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01-06-19 | Hornets v. Suns +2 | Top | 119-113 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Love the Suns in this spot. Phoenix has one more win at home than the Hornets do on the road! We think the wrong team is favored here. Charlotte is terrible on the road. They are coming in on a back-to-back after playing in the high altitude of Denver last night, and that is always tough as it takes a toll on the bodies of these players. The Suns have lost five straight, but they have played five strong playoff teams, and they have had one of the toughest schedules in the NBA lately. This is their most winnable game recently, and we think they put their best foot forward. This team is actually 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and this young team is quietly playing a lot better and has a bright future ahead if these players continue to develop. |
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01-06-19 | Wisconsin +1 v. Penn State | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #825 Wisconsin over Penn State (7:30p.m., Sunday, January 6 BTN) Expect Wisconsin to bounce back on Sunday against a team that will be without their head coach. The Badgers shot the ball poorly last time out against Minnesota, especially from the free throw line. That will correct that and have had success against Penn State, a team that beat last year in Happy Valley. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. Penn State is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games. |
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01-06-19 | Nets -2.5 v. Bulls | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Many reasons to like the Nets in this spot, and mainly we feel this line is too short. Brooklyn has covered in four straight meetings and in six of the last seven. They have been pretty good on the road at 9-10, a winning percentage that some of the better teams in the league can’t achieve. They enter on a two-game winning streak, so they are in nice form and have momentum. And they are 4-1 ATS as a small favorite this season, in the spot they find themselves in today. We see a pretty good chance for a comfortable win on Sunday. |
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01-06-19 | Magic v. Clippers -6.5 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
This current road trip isn’t going well for the Magic, who were blown out by the two good teams they played. And they are playing the best team so far on the current road trip. The Clippers keep getting underestimated by the oddsmakers because of the lack of stars. But this team is a legit playoff team this year. They have great chemistry, above-average coaching, and nice offensive weapons. Orlando hasn’t beaten the Clippers in many years, and we don’t see it happening tonight as the Clips cruise to an easy win. |
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01-05-19 | Rockets v. Blazers +1 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
We think this is a massive letdown spot for the Rockets after their OT win over the Warriors on Thursday. They expended a lot of energy in that one, and they could be sluggish here. Even if they play well, Portland is very good at home, and they have a strong history against the Rockets, covering in five of the last seven matchups. Portland comes in on a back-to-back after a close home loss to OKC, but we think they were looking ahead to this game, and we expect them to give full effort here. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -1 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 80 h 1 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Saturday, January 5 FOX) The Seahawks closed out the regular season with back-to-back home games, but they are just not the same team on the road. Seattle beat Dallas earlier this season, but this game will be in the State of Texas. Dallas has they pass rushers to sack QB Wilson, something that happened 51 times this season. Dallas has won 7 of their last 8 games. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. |
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01-05-19 | Nevada v. New Mexico +15 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. #722 New Mexico over Nevada (8p.m., Saturday, January 5 ESPN U) These teams do not like each other, and these coaches do not like each other. Playing at the Pit is always a tough task and thus we do not see a blowout in this game. New Mexico has talent they just do not play up to it that often. The Lobos will be up for this game and thus expect to keep it around a 9-11 point deficit. The Underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. |
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01-05-19 | Clemson v. Duke -15 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #604 Duke over Clemson (8p.m., Saturday, January 5 ESPN) Duke has a chance to go 17-1 in the ACC and they will certainly not be the game they lose. Duke is the best team in the country talent wise and Clemson just will not be able to keep pace in this game. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. Clemson is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games. |
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01-05-19 | Jazz v. Pistons +4 | 110-105 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Pistons have been strong at home, and we like them to win here in their first game back home after a four-game road trip. We had this game handicapped at pickem and these teams are both having disappointing seasons so far. We think this game is a tossup, so taking the points is the only way to go here. We expect a close game throughout and think that the Pistons will pull away late in the fourth. |
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01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans | 21-7 | Loss | -125 | 76 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Houston Texans over Indianapolis Colts (4:35p.m., Saturday, January 5 ABC) Everyone is one the Colts bandwagon, but I just do not believe that can beat the Texans twice in one season in Houston. The Texans are 11-2 in their last 13 games and they have the pass rushers to get to QB Luck early and often. Beating Blaine Gabbert is not the same as beating DeShaun Watson on the road and Houston will advance to play New England. Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road playoff games. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. |
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01-05-19 | St. John's -1.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 97-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #617 St Johns over Georgetown (1p.m., Saturday, January 5 CBS) The Red Storm are for real and they continue to be undervalued by the odds makers. Both teams have played an easy schedule thus far in nonconference play. I just feel St Johns is farther along in year 4 of Chris Mullen compared to year 2 of Patrick Ewing. St Johns is still made from the officiating they received in New Jersey last Saturday and expect a similar performance to what we saw from them against Marquette during the week. St. Johns is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Big East games. Georgetown is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Big East games. The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. |
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01-04-19 | Wizards v. Heat -7.5 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Miami has been a covering machine lately as they are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games. We think they are undervalued here again tonight. Miami is the kind of team that can hold betting value all year long because of their lack of star power, and we think there’s a good chance for a double-digit win tonight. Washington has covered only one of five meetings in this series. Of course, they are without John Wall, their best player, who has been lost for the season. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS as a dog of 6 or more points this season, meaning they have failed every chance in a situation like they are in tonight. They are only 4-16 on the road this season, and that was with Wall leading the way most of the season. This team just doesn’t have any identity this season, and we don’t expect them to show up in this one tonight. |
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01-03-19 | Rockets +8.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
We just think that this is too many points. The Warriors are playing well, but when that happens the numbers get too high and this team has been one of the worst bets in the NBA the last couple seasons because of that fact. They are 16-22 ATS on the season, and they have covered only two of their last seven. Houston is the hotter team right now. They have won 10 of 11 and are playing well without Chris Paul. We expect them to put their best foot forward tonight in what should be a very competitive game. |
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01-03-19 | Minnesota +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #655 Minnesota over Wisconsin (9p.m., Thursday, January 3 BTN) We will grab the points in this game, as Minnesota has just as much talent as Wisconsin. Playing at the Kohl Center is worth some points but not this many. Wisconsin continues to be over valued evident by the spread over the weekend against WKU, a game they lost straight-up. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Expect a 5-6 point hard fought victory for Wisconsin. |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's v. San Francisco -2 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #660 San Francisco over Saint Mary’s (9p.m., Thursday, January 3 ESPN 2) This is the years teams from the WCC can get revenge on the Gaels. Saint Mary’s has already lost 6 times this year and USF is hanging around the bubble watch with regards to the NCAA Tournament. This is the type of game they must win in order to stay on the bubble. Saint Mary’s is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 WCC games. The home team has covered the spread in the last 4 meetings. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-02-19 | 76ers v. Suns +5 | Top | 132-127 | Push | 0 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The Suns got smoked last time out against the Warriors, but this team has been playing hard lately and their young nucleus is starting to come together. They have covered in eight of their last 10 games, so they are playing above oddsmakers expectations. Philly comes in on a back-to-back and this is their third game in four nights, and they go home after this game, so this may be a letdown spot for them. This team has not been very good on the road this season, where they are 7-12 ATS on the season. |
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01-02-19 | Indiana State +7.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 44-79 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #819 Indiana State over Loyola Chicago (9p.m., Wednesday, January 2 ESPN+) The Ramblers are still getting too much respect from the odds makers after making the Final Four last year. This team is nowhere near that level and they are just 7-6 on the season and have yet to record a quality win. Loyola is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take the points in this game that should go down to the wire. |
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01-02-19 | New Mexico v. Air Force | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #823 New Mexico over Air Force (9p.m., Wednesday, January 2 ATTSN) New Mexico underachieved during the nonconference portion of the season but they still have talent. The No. 2 seed in the MWC is up for grabs and the Lobos have a chance to get it but they must win these type of games. The Falcons have not recorded any quality wins this season. The Lobos have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 MWC games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics -5.5 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics could be without Kyrie Irving tonight, but we don’t think that will matter and we expect them to win this one by 7+ even without him on the court. Boston has covered in five straight meetings between these teams, and we think they have the upper hand tonight over the inconsistent Wolves, who play much better at home than on the road. The Celtics are coming off a tough road trip but now have a homestand, and we think this team is trending up in betting markets. |
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01-02-19 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hornets | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Dallas hasn’t been able to win on the road this season, but this looks like a good spot where they can secure win No. 3 away from home. They are a better team in this matchup and we had them as a slight favorite in our handicapping of the game. Dallas has covered in five of their last six games overall, and this team continues to play well while under the radar. |
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01-02-19 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #786 Xavier over Seton Hal (6:30p.m., Wednesday, January 2 FS1) Much like our play with St. Johns yesterday, we will fade Seton Hall tonight. The Pirates got a gift over the weekend from the refs and karma will set in for them tonight in Cincinnati. Both teams lost a ton of talent from last season, but Xavier is always a tough team to beat at home. The Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Musketeers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on Wednesday. |
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01-01-19 | Marquette v. St. John's +1 | Top | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #606 St Johns over Marquette (7p.m., Tuesday, January 1 FS1) This game can go 1 of 2 ways for the Red Storm. They entered last Saturday undefeated and dominated for most of the game against Seton Hall. Missed some free throws and got hosed by the refs and they ended up losing at the buzzer but still covered the spread. Now this must regroup and make sure the conference season does not go down the drain. I think they will since they have the best player and Marquette has done most of their damage at home. The Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. St. Johns is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with Marquette. This is a game the Red Storm need to save their season and they get it by 6-8 points. |
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01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 149 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #276 Ohio State Buckeyes over Washington Huskies (5p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ESPN Rose Bowl) Urban Meyer may not be popular with the national media but he is loved in Columbus especially by his staff and he will get the proper sendoff in this game. Ohio State has a huge edge on offense and their defense has been playing much better of late. Washington got pounded by Penn State last year in a New Year’s Six Bowl Game, as the final score was not indicative of how Penn State dominated. Beating Washington State is not that same as beating Ohio State and I just do not believe they can keep this game in single digits. Dwayne Haskins will likely be heading to the NFL after this game and he will want to put on a show in a standalone game in Pasadena. Washington is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 145 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #272 Penn State Nittany Lions over Kentucky Wildcats (1p.m., Tuesday, January 1 ABC Citrus Bowl) Kentucky was overanked for most of the season and they are just not a good team whatsoever. Penn State is well coached, and they will be able to score points in this game and I just do not believe Kentucky will be able to keep up. The Wildcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 nonconference games. Penn State is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 nonconference games. Sometimes it is best not to overthink these things. Kentucky is a basketball school and Penn State is a football school. Expect Penn State to win this game by double-digits. |
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12-31-18 | Michigan State +3 v. Oregon | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 123 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #262 Michigan State Spartans over Oregon Ducks (3p.m., Monday, December 31 FOX Redbox Bowl) COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR. Never been a fan of Mario Cristobal as a head coach. He was a very uninspired hire and his recruiting greatness never seems to match his coaching ability. The same cannot be said about Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio, as he gets the most out of his talent and this year is no exception. Oregon may have the edge on offense, but Michigan State has the best defense they have seen all season long and Sparty also had a huge edge in special teams. QB Herbert will play in this game but I believe he is already thinking about the NFL draft and is not that concerned about winning this game. Oregon has been the favorite in their last 3 bowl games and they have lost all of them straight-up (2 of them by double-digits). Michigan State dominated Washington State in their bowl game last year and expect a similar performance this year in a California bowl game. Oregon is 5-15 ATS ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games following a victory in their previous game. Michigan State is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 neutral site games. |
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12-30-18 | 76ers +1 v. Blazers | Top | 95-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
The Sixers have been bad on the road this season, but they are getting better as they played well in their last two road games in Utah and Boston, winning against the Jazz and falling to the Celtics in OT. The main reason we like this play is because the Sixers are well rested. They have had two days off coming into this one. The Blazers are on a back-to-back, and they will be playing their third game in four nights, with both of the previous games coming against the Warriors. Those were very important games for the Blazers, and now they face a rested out-of-conference foe. We just don’t see them giving that maximum effort that would be required in a game like this. Philly has covered in five of the last six meetings. |
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12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 105 h 42 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #321 Indianapolis Colts over Tennessee Titans (8:20p.m., December 30 NBC) This is a winner take all game on Sunday Night Football. Not much needs to be said about this game except for this one stat: QB Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Titans. Tennessee has QB issues but regardless we are taking Indianapolis. |
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12-30-18 | 49ers +10.5 v. Rams | 32-48 | Loss | -130 | 101 h 49 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #331 San Francisco 49ers over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., December 30 FOX) The 49ers appear to be on a carbon copy of their performance last season. They started off terrible only to play much better down the stretch. Most people are off of the Rams bandwagon and I do not see this game being a blowout. LA is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 17 over the last 5 years. The 49ers are pesky and that will be the case again on Sunday. |
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12-30-18 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #320 Buffalo Bills over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 30 CBS) Miami is not the same team on the road especially playing in the cold. Miami may have major changes come Monday and I just do not see their motivation for winning this game. The Dolphins have been outgained 9 consecutive games. Buffalo has a good defense and if they can take care of the football, they should win the game by at least a touchdown. Miami is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Week 17 games. |
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12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
The Clippers are definitely out of their slump, and they have won four of five and covered in five straight. Both teams are playing in a back-to-back here and both are on their third game in four nights. But the Clippers have been home the whole time (last night they were the “road” team against the Lakers but in their own arena). The Spurs had to play in the high altitude in Denver, and that can really wear a team down. We think revenge is an overrated handicapping angle, but we do think the Clippers remember their absolute beatdown at the hands of the Spurs in San Antonio a couple weeks ago. We think this will be a perfect spot to get some payback tonight. |
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12-29-18 | Warriors -4 v. Blazers | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is the second end of a home-and-home for the Warriors and Blazers. Golden State is playing some of their worst regular-season basketball we have seen in awhile, but the motivation is not there every night. But we think it will be here as the Blazers won a close one on Thursday, and this sets up a great revenge spot for the better team here, which should put their best foot forward in this matchup. |
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12-29-18 | St. John's +3.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #649 St Johns over Seton Hall (8:30p.m., Saturday, December 29 FSN) Top College Basketball Play of the Day We are not going into this game blindly. St Johns is undefeated, but they are not ranked and have not played a very good nonconference schedule. That being said they are much more talented than the Pirates who lost 4 straights off of last year’s team that reached the round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament. The Red Storm have the best player on the floor and I expect them to win this game straight-up in a game that goes down to the wire. The Pirates claim to fame is beating Kentucky, but the Wildcats have had an up and down season thus far. The Underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings. St Johns is an NCAA Tournament team and they will start off Big East play with a road win to keep their undefeated streak in-tact. |
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12-29-18 | Nets v. Bucks -9.5 | Top | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
We expect a big game from the Bucks, who were off on Friday, while the Nets played the second game of a grueling home-and-home with Charlotte, the first of which went to OT. So they are on a back-to-back here and playing their third game in four nights. We don’t see things going well for them. The Bucks are 23-8-1 ATS in this series, so they always seem to get up for this matchup. The early start time goes against the Nets here as well as the back-to-back. This looks like it could be a massive blowout as the Nets should be running on fumes here. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame +14 v. Clemson | 3-30 | Loss | -126 | 76 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #255 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Clemson Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, December 29 ESPN Cotton Bowl) Clemson is getting Alabama like respect with this spread and they just do not warrant it. They have played a very easy schedule this season and outside of their defensive line I believe the Irish match-up well with them. Notre Dame has been playing in big games all season long and they will not be intimidated by this match-up. Brian Kelly is a great offensive mind and they will be able to move the football and score points on Clemson. This is the type of team Clemson just does not see often in the ACC. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. |
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12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #247 Iowa State Cyclones over Washington State Cougars (9p.m., Friday, December 28 ESPN Alamo Bowl) The line has come down since it was posted in early December and I expect Iowa State to win this game straight-up. Mike Leach has not done well in bowl games since being the coach in Pullman winning just 1 of his 3 games (1-3 ATS). Iowa State is very familiar with this type of offense in the pass happy Big 12 and they have a defense that can slow down Washington State. The Cougars are -5 ATS in their last 5 Big 12 games. The Cyclones is 15-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-28-18 | Mavs v. Pelicans -4 | 112-114 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is another revenge situation as these teams met two nights ago in Dallas, and the Mavs won a close one and covered by only one point. That loss made it five in a row for the Pelicans. They will be desperate to get back on the winning track tonight, and we think they put their best foot forward in this one. The Mavs are an ugly 2-14 away from home this season, and we think the Pelicans will end the losing streak tonight on their home court. |
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12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Brooklyn has the better record but we think the Hornets are the better team. Like many lousy teams, the Hornets are much better at home (12-7) than they are on the road (4-10). These teams played last time out in Brooklyn and the Hornets played well enough to win in a OT loss. We think revenge is way overrated in the NBA as a handicapping angle but it does come into play when the teams met recently, and that is certainly the case here. We think the Hornets will get a comfortable win here at home. |
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12-28-18 | Bulls +5.5 v. Wizards | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Chicago is a very bad team, but we don’t think that this Wizards squad should be favored by this many over any team in the NBA. This team has stunk as a favorite this season, especially when the line is in this range. The Bulls have had some success in this series as they are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Washington. This game should be close, and the Bulls have a chance for a rare road win here tonight. |
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12-28-18 | Delaware v. Hofstra -10 | 46-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #810 Hofstra over Delaware (7p.m., Friday, December 28) CAA play gets underway Friday and we will side with the home team tonight in Hempstead. The Pride return a ton of talent from last season including Justin Wright-Foreman who is averaging around 25 points per game this season. Hofstra is 19-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games. |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL v. Wisconsin +4 | Top | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 220 h 43 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #238 Wisconsin Badgers over Miami Hurricanes (5:15p.m., Thursday, December 27 ESPN Pinstripe Bowl) Just do not see why Miami is favored in this no buzz rematch from a bowl game last year. Wisconsin picked apart Miami last year and their quarterback had a career game against them. I just get the feeling that they will rekindle some of that magic in this game against a warm weather team playing a late December game in New York City. Wisconsin has won 4 straight bowl games. Miami has lost three straight games and they are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. Miami is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams. Grab the points and expect Wisconsin to win this game straight-up. |
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12-26-18 | Suns +5 v. Magic | Top | 122-120 | Win | 101 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Suns have now covered six straight games and this team is playing their best basketball of the season. They have won four out of their last six games, and they could have won another but fell at Washington in OT. On a back-to-back the next night they played their only lousy game recently, but that was to be expected after that barnburner of a game that was multiple overtimes in the nation’s capital. This team is completely healthy right now and they are really coming together as a team. Rookie Ayton is starting to show why he was the No. 1 pick in the draft, and Booker is a star. Orlando is 3-5 ATS this season as a favorite and this is tied with the biggest number they have laid all season. Just don’t think this team is good enough to be giving up a number like this, especially against a surging team like the Suns. Phoenix has covered in all of the last five meetings in Orlando. |
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12-25-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Boston has a strong history in this series and they are the better ballclub. And the number is right here for a big win on Christmas. The Sixers haven’t covered a line in their last four trips to Boston and they are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. Philly is great at home but they have struggled on the road, and they have very few quality wins away from home. They lost to Boston on the road in the season opener by almost 20 points. They were blown out in Milwaukee. Toronto (twice). San Antonio. Those were their toughest road games, and they lost by double digits in each. We think they have a very good chance to lose here by double digits. Boston has been a bit streaky and they followed up a long winning streak by losing three straight. But they got back on track last time out in a 16-point home win vs. Charlotte and they led that game by as many as 33 before taking their foot off the gas. They shot 50 percent from the field, and we think that hot shooting will carry over here. Philly has won two straight, but they were both at home. They are just 6-9 on the road, however, and they have covered just 5 of 15 away from home this season. Boston has been one of the best and most stable betting teams the last couple years, and we think they have a great chance to win this one by 10+ on Tuesday. |
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12-23-18 | Clippers +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
When the Clippers had Blake Griffin and Chris Paul, the Warriors seemed to take pleasure in running up the score on the Clippers. They liked to get into these guys heads, and it always worked. But this is a different Clippers team and they are mentally tougher than previous editions. They also play better team basketball, and the team has great depth. The Clips already won the first meeting between these teams, at home in overtime. LA is coming off one of their best games of the season yesterday in their win over Denver. That was an early game so eliminated some of the brunt of the back-to-back here. We see this being a competitive game. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 127 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #130 Seattle Seahawks over Kansas City Chiefs (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 23 NBC) Seattle let one get away last week in Santa Clara and still need to win 1 of their final 2 games to ensure a wild card berth. Kansas City has a terrible defense QB Mahomes will struggle to pick apart this defense especially in a night game on the road. Seattle is 23-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 34 games played during December. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games. |
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12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -6.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Celtics have a strong recent history in this series as they are 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Charlotte has had a home-heavy schedule lately, but this squad is just 4-8 on the road this season, and they face a real tough matchup on Sunday. Boston hasn’t been playing well with three straight losses, but before that they were on a long winning streak and we think they will be primed for a big bounce back here and we don’t see them overlooking this squad tonight after losing three straight. |
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12-23-18 | Pelicans v. Kings +1 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
The Kings are a pretty good team this season and one of the best ATS teams in the NBA. But they keep getting disrespected by the oddsmakers, and that is the case again here tonight as we had Sacramento as a small favorite in this matchup. The Pelicans are 4-13 on the road this season. They are 7-10 ATS away from home and 1-4 ATS as a small favorite. The Kings are 5-1 ATS as a small dog like they are here tonight, and we think they will get another win in a close one on their home court. |
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12-23-18 | Texans v. Eagles -1 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 119 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #114 Philadelphia Eagles over Houston Texans (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) The Eagles rekindled the magic last week with Nick Foles that they had in 2017 and we will use them again in a must win situation playing at home. Houston has a lot to play for as well, as they can claim the No. 2 seed in the AFC if they win out. But the Texans just cannot be trusted, and they never seem to handle prosperity well under Coach Bill O’Brien. Houston has running back issues and I just cannot see them closing out the season winning 12 of their last 13 games. The line has already moved a lot since the Sunday Night Football game and I just feel that Philadelphia is going to make the playoffs as a wild card team. Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a winning road record. Houston is 1-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games played in December. |
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12-23-18 | Bills v. Patriots -12.5 | 12-24 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #104 New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, December 23 CBS) This is a get-well game for the Patriots. If they win their final two games against two terrible teams, they will likely earn the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. New England already beat Buffalo by 19 points this season in upstate New York and they are on a 4-0 ATS run in this matchup. Buffalo will not be able to score enough points to keep this deficit under double-digits. New England is 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games. Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Just too much on the line for the Patriots to take this game lightly. |
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12-22-18 | Kansas v. Arizona State +5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #670 Arizona State over Kansas (9p.m., Saturday, December 22 ESPN 2) The PAC-12 Conference as a whole needs this win. They may be lucky to get two teams into the NCAA Tournament come March and they have not recorded many quality wins on the season. Kansas is ranked No. 1 in the country but they are nowhere near the best team especially without Udoka Azubuike. That is a major void for them to fill in the paint and they are not as good on either side of the court without him. They have struggled in Lawrence against them suspect teams and this will be their first true road game of the season. Arizona State won in Lawrence last season and they need this win to ensure their at large status into the NCAA Tournament come March. This team has the size and strength to match-up with Kansas and I believe they have the edge in rebounding missed shots off the glass. Kansas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC-12 teams. Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 12 teams. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens +5 v. Chargers | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #123 Baltimore Ravens over Los Angeles Chargers (8:20p.m., Saturday, December 22 FOX) The Chargers may be the best team in the NFL at the moment, but in order to avoid the No. 5 seed they must win their final two games. Injuries are still a major factor for them on offense and they are facing the best defense in the AFC tonight. Baltimore just has a spark since Lamar Jackson took over as the starting quarterback and I see them taking this game down to the wire. The Chargers do not have a home field edge and they are coming off an emotional win last week against Kansas City. Expect a slight letdown in this game. LA has failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 home games (lost to Denver straight-up). The underdog has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 match-ups. |
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12-22-18 | Spurs +6 v. Rockets | 101-108 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rockets are a thin team, so the loss of Chris Paul really hurts right now. This team will figure out what to do in his absence, but it might be a rough go of it to start off with in these first few games. The Spurs are getting punished too much for their back-to-back here. We see them getting up to play their Texas rival as a lot of pride is normally involved in these games. San Antonio has been playing well lately for the most part, and we think this will be a close game. |
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12-22-18 | North Carolina v. Kentucky +4.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky over North Carolina (5:30p.m., Saturday, December 22 CBS) Like using Kentucky in the role of an underdog. The Wildcats have not looked impressive this season, but talent is not their issues. Remember that this team was favored over Duke to open up the season. Just not a fan of North Carolina’s talent this season. They are experienced but not sure Luke Maye can lead them to the promise land. Kentucky will have an edge in the stands and they need this game more. North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Kentucky is 17-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 neutral site games. |
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12-22-18 | Nuggets v. Clippers -1 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
The Clippers hit the skids recently after a hot start, but they got back on the winning track last time out and they have actually played pretty good their last three games since that blowout loss in San Antonio. They were competitive against the Thunder, Blazers and in a win over the Mavs. They have seemed to play better in all three of those games, so we think the momentum will carry over here. The Clippers are very strong at home, while the Nuggets are average on the road. We think that Los Angeles has a very good chance to win this one. |
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12-21-18 | Jazz +2 v. Blazers | 120-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Utah has a better record on the road than at home, for whatever reason, and we think this is a very winnable game for them tonight. They have gone under in four straight and six of seven, and when this team starts playing defense they are a force to be reckoned with. Once this team gets it’s act together, and the defense is part of that, they are a much better team than the Blazers, and we think they will show it tonight with another outstanding defensive effort. And the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and we think that’s where this one is headed as well. |
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12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Love the Kings in this spot. They have been one of the best betting teams in the league this year and they will hold value all season long because of their lack of big names on the roster as well as their lousy reputation. But they face a Memphis team tonight that is not playing well. The Grizzlies have lost four straight and six of their last seven. They will not be very confident in this game and we think the Kings will be the squad with more swagger tonight. |
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12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Neither of these teams is in top form right now after both started off the season defying expectations to become two of the best ATS teams in the NBA. But this looks like a great spot for the Clippers to get back on the winning track. They played well enough to win in their last two matchups vs. Portland and at OKC, but the opponent played a bit better. They have had two days off to focus here. The Mavs have been horrible on the road at 2-10 on the season, and they are in the midst of one of the toughest road trips any NBA team will see this season. They had been one of the best bets in the NBA but have lost their last three ATS as of this writing. The Clippers have had more time to regroup, and they have been able to do it at home, while the Nuggets have only one day off and should be road weary. We expect the number to be right here and we think this is a great spot for the home team to get a comfortable win. |
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12-20-18 | Utah State v. Houston -4 | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #610 Houston over Utah State (8p.m., Thursday, December 20 ESPN 3) The Aggies may be the second-best team in the MWC but they have played a very easy schedule in the nonconference portion of the season and they have yet to record a quality win on the season. Houston will be an upper team in the AAC and should be able to win this game at home by 8-10 points. The Cougars are 18-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games. |
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12-19-18 | Montana v. Arizona -8 | 42-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #746 Arizona over Montana (8:30p.m., Wednesday, December 19 PAC-12 Network) The Wildcats do not have as much talent as they have had in past years but they are always a tough team to beat at home. They are coming off two straight losses and it is important that they right the ship before conference play starts in two weeks. The Grizzles are 0-2 this season in true road games and they have not been competitive in either of those games. Montana is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Wednesday. |
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12-18-18 | Wizards -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
The Wizards haven’t been very good on the road, where they have won only four games all season. But the Hawks have been just as bad at home, where they have won only four. One of those road wins was less than two weeks ago in Atlanta against these same Hawks. That was a 14-point win but only because the Wizards took their foot off the gas when up by as much as 25 at one point. The Wizards went on to lose four straight after that, but this team looks like it might be on the way back up after one of the best wins of the season last time out in an 18-point home win over the Lakers. This Wizards team has not had enough success this season to overlook a team like the Hawks, and the talent discrepancy between these two clubs is large. We see the Wizards getting another comfortable win here in a game that sure looks like a mismatch. |
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12-17-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 131-127 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
The Clippers haven’t been playing well, having dropped five of their last six, and this team has lost the confidence of bettors. But we think this is a great spot for them to get back on track tonight. This team has played seven of the last nine on the road, and overall their strength of schedule has been very tough. But this team is still 9-3 SU at home and 8-4 ATS. We have bet against the Clippers in their last two games, and they failed to cover both. But they barely missed the cover last time out at OKC, and we liked what we saw from them down the stretch in that tough matchup. But we think they can continue that momentum here at home against a Portland team that is lousy on the road. They are 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS on the season in road contests. Damian Lillard also missed practice yesterday and is attending to a personal matter to which we are not sure of the nature, but he might not have his head in the game 100%, and we think the Clippers will be very focused to get a win here and put an end to their current losing streak. |
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12-17-18 | Pepperdine +14 v. Oregon State | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #767 Pepperdine over Oregon State (10p.m., Monday, December 17) The Beavers have not found the same magic that they once had from making the NCAA Tournament a couple of years ago. They are back to being a bottom feeder team in the conference and should not be giving this many points against anyone in the country. Pepperdine is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Oregon State is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against WCC teams. |
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12-16-18 | Kings v. Mavs -5.5 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
These are two of the best ATS teams in the league facing off in Dallas tonight, but we think the Mavs are the better ballclub and we like them laying fewer than seven here on Sunday Night. The Mavs are coming off a somewhat embarrassing loss to the Suns, and they should bounce back well here. We think they will put their best foot forward here after playing lousy last time out. This is also their last home game before they go on a four-game road trip against WC playoff contenders, and that makes a win here imperative. They should be heavy dogs in all those road games. The Kings are coming off a home loss to Golden State where they played well and covered. This is probably a letdown spot after that strong effort. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots -2 v. Steelers | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #327 New England Patriots over Pittsburgh Steelers (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Both teams need to turn the page quickly after bad losses last Sunday. The Patriots seldom lose two games in a row and they are playing a team in disarray at the moment. Pittsburgh has not beaten New England since 2011 and the Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss in their previous game. Over this winning streak, the Patriots average margin of victory is 11 points against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played during the month of December. New England is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played in December. |
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12-16-18 | Seahawks v. 49ers +7 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #326 San Francisco 49ers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) The 49ers are coming off an impressive win against the Broncos and we will use them again this week against Seattle. Their game last month was closer than what the score would indicate, and Seattle was not that impressive last week on offense against Minnesota especially in the passing game. San Francisco took the foot of the gas last week and thus the final score was not reflected in how they dominated (led 20-0 at half). Seattle does not need to win this game to make the playoffs and I just do not see a blowout by the visitor. The 49ers performed well down the stretch last season after a terrible start and it would not surprise me if history repeats itself in 2018 as well. |
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12-16-18 | Dolphins v. Vikings -7 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 120 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #308 Minnesota Vikings over Miami Dolphins (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) A see a lot of comparisons to how Green Bay performed last week. Miami is coming off an unthinkable win last week against New England, but they now must travel north to take on a team desperate for a win. Minnesota played well on defense last week against Seattle and they just fired their offensive coordinator and expect to see a spark on the offensive side of the football this week. Miami is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games when they are an underdog. Remember last year when Minnesota had a remarkable win against New Orleans and then laid an egg the next week against Philadelphia? Expect that to happen to Miami this week, as they will lose by double digits. Minnesota is 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games following a loss in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #317 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) The Packers played much better last Sunday after firing their head coach. Do not see them getting blown out in this game and thus expect them to take it down to the wire decided by only a field goal. QB Rodgers is 17-4 against Chicago and had a remarkable comeback on one leg to beat them in the first game of the season. The Bears have all but clinched the NFC North (need 1 win or 1 Minnesota lost) and thus they have a margin of error in this game. Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Chicago. The Bears are 14-40 ATS (1 push) in their last 55 games after accumulating over 150 yards rushing in their previous game. |
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12-16-18 | Bucs v. Ravens -7.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 16 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #312 Baltimore Ravens over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 FOX) Both of these plays feature a shady home favorite against a terrible team. This is the time of year teams tend to mail it in and I expect Tampa Bay to fire their coach and Arizona just does not have enough weapons to hurt Atlanta. Expect double digit wins by each of these home teams. |
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12-16-18 | Raiders v. Bengals -2.5 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 15 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #310 Cincinnati Bengals over Oakland Raiders (1p.m., Sunday, December 16 CBS) Somebody must win this game between two terrible teams. It has been 17 games since the Raiders have won two games on the road. Both teams have bad defenses but look for the Bengals to score some points and I just do not believe the Raiders can keep pace with them. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Cincinnati. The Bengals are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games played in December. |
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12-15-18 | Clippers v. Thunder -6 | 104-110 | Push | 0 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
We believe in this Clippers team and think they are a playoff-caliber squad. But they at one point held down the No. 1 spot in the west. Now they are No. 4 and will probably drop further after Saturday. This team is just not on good form right now. They have failed to cover in five straight games and four of those were double-digit blowout losses. The Thunder are coming in on a back-to-back here, but we think the oddsmakers are punishing them too much. The Thunder have been good in limited B2B’s this season. Los Angeles hasn’t covered here in five trips, and we expect another rough outing on Saturday. |
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12-15-18 | USC +8 v. Oklahoma | 70-81 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #649 USC +8.5 over Oklahoma (9p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPNU) Oklahoma is not good enough to be laying this many points against a similar teams in talent. This game is not in Norman and thus some of the home court advantage is minimized. USC is 5-4 but they do not have a bad loss on the season and I just do not see them getting blown out in this game. USC is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Big 12 teams. Oklahoma is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games played on Saturday. |
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12-15-18 | Browns v. Broncos -3 | 17-16 | Loss | -103 | 103 h 57 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306 Denver Broncos over Cleveland Browns (5:20p.m., Saturday, December 15 NFLN) The Broncos laid an egg last week against San Francisco but expect them to bounce back in a big way at home against Cleveland. The Browns dominated the NFC South covering every game against those 4 teams, but they are playing a team desperate for a win on Sunday. Denver now has a week to adjust to key injuries on both sides of the football and expect them to be much better on Saturday. Cleveland is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland. |
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12-15-18 | Rockets -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 105-97 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
If the Rockets were a stock, we would be buying right now. We knew this team would start to turn it on, and now it seems like that is taking place after wins and covers in their last two games, against the Blazers and Lakers. The Grizzlies had a very strong start to the season, but they are trailing off now. Their offense has failed to reach the century mark in five of their last six games. The Houston offense has really got in rhythm and we don’t think the Grizzlies will be able to slow them down. Houston has won and covered the last two meetings by double digits, and they have covered in four of the last six meetings. Those trends hold firm tonight. |
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12-15-18 | Indiana -1.5 v. Butler | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #667 Indiana over Butler (3:45p.m., Saturday, December 15 CBS) This 4 team tournament always seems to feature competitive games and upsets but I just do not believe Butler has the same magic under this coaching staff. The Bulldogs are 7-2 on the season but both of their losses have come against teams that will likely not make the NCAA Tournament come March. Indiana is 8-2 and both of their losses are against quality teams with one of them (Duke) possessing the most talent in the country. Indiana can score points and they are shooting over 51% on the season. Butler will have to be on fire from long range to make a game of this and I do not expect that to happen. The Hoosiers are in year two under Archie Miller and they have already shown flashes of brilliance this year and I expect them to make the NCAA Tournament come March. They pick up another quality win today at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State -4 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 98 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #206 Fresno State Bulldogs over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, December 15 ABC Las Vegas Bowl) We have had good success using the MWC team in this game over the years. This is the only bowl game that the MWC gets to play against a Power 5 conference and unlike previous years the MWC team is the favorite in this game. Arizona State got a gift last time out against Arizona who self-destructed and costs them a chance to become bowl eligible. Fresno State is better on both sides of the football and should be able to control this game for 60 minutes. Over the last 2 years under Coach Tedford, the Bulldogs are 18-6 ATS (2 pushes). Arizona State will not have N’Keal Harry for this game and that is a big loss that will be tough to overcome. Arizona State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against MWC teams. |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #201 North Texas Mean Green over Utah State Aggies (2p.m., Saturday, December 15 ESPN New Mexico Bowl) We will grab the points in this game since both teams have stud quarterbacks and this should be a high scoring game. Utah State lost their coach and I just do not see them blowing out the Mean Green since their new coach is not on the current staff. |
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12-14-18 | Pacers +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
We will go with the hot team here as the Pacers come in riding a five-game winning streak. This team is healthy now, while the Sixers have some injury issues, and Butler is questionable here for this one tonight. The Pacers always get up to play the Sixers, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in Philly and 9-4 ATS overall in the last 13 meetings. We see this as a very competitive team and the Pacers have been a much better betting team than has the Sixers thus far this season. An outright win is not out of the question here. |
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12-13-18 | Clippers v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 87-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
The Clippers are trending down right now with four straight ATS losses and five of their last six. They won only one of those ATS loss games, at Phoenix, and the feeble Suns took them to overtime where LA squeaked out the win. Every NBA team goes through these downturns, and you can’t fault the Clips after the way they started the season. But San Antonio is trending up, and they have won and covered three straight, all at home. We thought that this line should be about 4.5 and we would lean Spurs at that number but this small number offers up a lot of value tonight. |
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12-13-18 | Lakers v. Rockets -5 | 111-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
We really liked the way the Rockets played last time out in a big home win over Portland. This squad is a much better team than the Lakers, despite the records, and once they get their act together they have a much higher ceiling than does LA. We think maybe they turned a corner in that last game, and they will not have a lack of motivation here tonight against LeBron and Co. on national TV. The Lakers are always overrated by the oddsmakers and they are a bit overvalued tonight. The Rockets seem to get up to play the Lakers historically as they are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. We think they win by 7+ tonight. |
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12-12-18 | Hawks v. Mavs -9 | 107-114 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
We expected a double-digit spread here but the Mavs are still being underestimated by the oddsmakers. This is the best ATS team in the league at this point, and Atlanta is the third-worst. Dallas is so good ATS by winning games like this, and they don’t often take a night off or overlook an opponent. We expect another workman-like effort from this blue collar Mavs team tonight. |
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12-12-18 | Jacksonville State v. Wichita State -8 | 65-69 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #714 Wichita State over Jacksonville State (8p.m., Wednesday, December 12 ESPN 3) The Shockers have taken a step back in talent this year and likely will not make the NCAA Tournament come March, but they do have enough talent to win this game by double digits. The Shockers beat the Baylor Bears in their last home game and should be determined to play better after getting blown out at Oklahoma in their last game. Jacksonville State’s wins have come against terrible teams. Wichita State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Jacksonville State is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. |
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12-12-18 | Celtics -3 v. Wizards | 130-125 | Win | 102 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
We love the way the Celtics are playing right now. This team has been one of the safest bets in the NBA the last couple seasons since Coach Stevens took over, and they are a much stronger team than the Wizards when both squads are playing their best. Kyrie Irving is listed as probable in this one, but as we saw last time out against the Pelicans, this team can get the job done even if he doesn’t play. |
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12-12-18 | Knicks +1 v. Cavs | 106-113 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
These are two bad teams but the Knicks are the lesser of two evils and they can put together a complete game on a more regular basis than the Cavs can. New York has covered in three of the last four meetings and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cleveland. Great chance the Cavs show up uninterested to this one, and we think the road team should win outright here. |
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12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers +5 | 123-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Clippers are being punished too much for this back-to-back situation. They are 3-1 ATS and SU in back-to-backs this season, and they probably overlooked the Suns last night as they focused on this marquee matchup. They have won and covered two straight in this series, and we like their chances to keep this one close tonight. The Raptors are not in the best form right now as they have lost three of four. They have been overrated by the oddsmakers as they have covered just one of their last six. The Clippers are one of the better ATS teams in the league, and they seem they are getting disrespected again. We see this game as a coin flip as to who wins outright, so getting this many points provides good value. |
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12-11-18 | Colorado v. New Mexico +5 | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #606 New Mexico over Colorado (9p.m., Tuesday, December 11 ESPN 2) The Lobos are a much better team at home and I feel they have a good chance to win this game straight-up. The line keeps coming down on this game since Colorado is nothing special for a conference that is way down this season. Colorado is 3-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 12 games against MWC teams. |
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12-10-18 | Pelicans v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
After a slow start to the season, the Celtics have come on strong lately and this team has now won and covered in five straight. Most of those games were blowouts, including a matchup at New Orleans to start the streak, a 124-107 Celtics win. We think revenge is an overrated NBA handicapping angle, and the Pelicans have been inconsistent lately and they are just trying to get on the same page as a team. If they are hunting for revenge then they will have a lot of teams in their target as they have been racking up too many losses lately. We have to go with the hot hand here as the Celtics are now playing to their potential, and that potential has them as a Top 2 team in the Eastern Conference. |
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12-09-18 | Hornets -6 v. Knicks | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
We were on New York last night as it looked like a good spot at home against Brooklyn, but the Knicks played an absolutely dreadful game and now they face a much tougher matchup on the second end of a back-to-back. Things will not go well for them, and this looks like a possible blowout. The Hornets are one of the better ATS teams out there at 15-10 ATS, and they are very under the radar so as long as they don’t get their win total up too high but keep covering numbers, they can keep their betting value all season long barring major injuries. |
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12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors -5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
The Bucks have been just average on the road this season at 4-5 on the year. We thought that this line should be above 7, so we think there is some great value with what looks like the best team in the NBA during the first part of the season. The Bucks won the last matchup very early in the season, but they are not in the best form right now as they have covered in only one of their last seven games. This one looks like a real mismatch and we expect the home team to win comfortably. |
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12-09-18 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon +10.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #862 Grand Canyon over Nevada (5:30p.m., Sunday, December 9 ESPN U) This is a short turnaround for the Wolf Pack and a defacto home game for Grand Canyon. The line is been coming down and we will follow that trend after going against Nevada on Friday. |
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