Two Horse Race: Trump vs. Biden
Have you stopped by Cappers Picks today looking for 2020 US Presidential Election Gambling Odds and a free 2020 election free pick & preview? We’ve got your back! Donald Trump beat Hillary Clinton by 77 electoral votes in 2016. But he won painstakingly close contests in nine states: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
He won a couple other contests narrowly enough that they can be considered “swing” states in 2020 and he lost only one: New Hampshire and its 2 electoral votes.
USA Political Predictions
The nine aforementioned states sum 151 electoral votes. Joe Biden only must steal away 39 of them, assuming all the states that were blue in 2016 stay blue in 2020.
In the state polls published at realclearpolitics.com, Biden leads Trump in seven of the nine, all but Florida (29 electoral votes) and Georgia (16).
Those seven represent 106 electoral votes, which could be up to a 212-point swing.
What was a 77-point victory in 2016 could turn as ugly as a 135-point defeat in 2020. Biden certainly has the better chance of achieving some sense of bipartisanship and winning big.
Then again, many of the polls were too small for a confidence interval and conducted at universities, which skew left.
2020 US Presidential Election Gambling Odds: Donald Trump Biden
Trump will never be popular by the standards of a US President but he found a way to win almost all the battles in 2016. The question is whether or not he has at least as many tricks up his sleeve in 2020 as he did four years ago.
Common sense tells me he should as the incumbent but also that, given all the controversy he has drummed up already, whether it be about Russia, Ukraine or his relatives and associates in the States, his opponents (and he has many of them) will be watching his every move closer than before
2020 US Presidential Election Gambling Odds: Joe Biden
Biden is a weak candidate, just like Mrs. Clinton, who also led in the polls. He’s fumbled his words on the stage and even the Green Party’s nominee in 2016 Presidential Election, Jill Stein, tweeted that Biden was suffering from cognitive decline.
There are also sexual abuse allegations out there (not that allegations stopped Trump in 2016).
And if the situation weren’t muddled enough, the coronavirus has halted the world and, much like during the Republican Primaries four years ago, offered Donald Trump unlimited airtime.
By November, America will be slowly recovering from the pandemic that will fade away only after having done prolific damage.
The healthcare system will just be opening its eyes after lying on the floor unconscious for 60 seconds; everybody else will be too busy either looking for work or supporting all the businesses that suffered losses; and the economy, which Trump had roaring hot in his first three years, will be an even bigger disaster than it already is now.
Trump will be the man to fix it. He will already have started by the time November rolls around and the Democrats will either be too worn out or too uninspired to vote for somebody else to start all over.
Once again a weak Democratic nominee will go into the election favored in most of the polls and once again Mr Trump will emerge victorious.
Updated 2020 US Presidential Election Gambling Odds
- Trump -110
- Biden +110
- Cuomo +2500
- Sanders +3300
- Stein +50000
- Odds Updated April 4th, 2020
- Bovada Sportsbook Betting Odds
2020 US Presidential Election Gambling Odds – Free Pick: Donald Trump (-110)
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