2020 PGA WGC-Mexico Championship Preview and Picks
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2020 PGA WGC-Mexico Championship Handicapping
- Where: Club de Golf Chapultepec, Naucalpan, Mexico
- Date: February 20-February 23, 2020
- Format: Stroke
- Defending Champion: Dustin Johnson
- TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
- Updated Sportsbook Bonuses For Today
After an unreal weekend at Riviera that ended in an Adam Scott win, we have a small-field, no-cut event hosted by our Southern Neighbor.
Last week was a wicked bad week for me, as I missed out on all three of my outright bets and lost a massive Top-10 bet (Justin Thomas). No worries, we continue to degenerate onwards.
2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Betting Odds:
Rory McIlroy +650
The Northern Irishman is the outright favorite for the second straight week on tour. And, it’s for a couple of damn good reasons!
First, he recently regained the #1 overall spot in the Official World Golf Rankings. Second, he’s on a string of great results recently, including a T-5th last week at Riviera (following a bad Sunday round, but whatever). Third, he took the runner up spot at this tournament last year, posting four-under on Sunday to finish five-back of the dominating Winner, DJ.
He should be the outright favorite. But, good gosh 11/2 is just not good value, even for a golfer of Rory’s caliber.
Dustin Johnson +750
Vegas likes the defending champion to repeat, as DJ is coming in at a very low number here. He’s a monster at in this tournament, as last year was his third victory at the WGC-Mexico.
What has he been up to lately? Well, he’s posted three top-10 finishes in four starts this calendar year, including a solo runner-up at the Saudi International. He’s also fifth in the OWGRs, and looks primed for a win.
Jon Rahm +1000
The hot-headed Spaniard is again a heavy favorite for a PGA Tour event. He has two runner-up finishes this season, and his worst finish so far is a T-17th.
At this event, however, he’s been getting progressively worse. He finished third in 2017, 20th in 2018, and then 45th in 2019. A degenerate can take that one of two ways: a) He’s going to bounce-back, or b) He has lost his touch on this course and will not find it this time around.
2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Free Picks (Our Recommended Betting Plays):
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Matsuyama should be the best bet going into this weekend.
Okay, he hasn’t won on tour since 2017. However, he’s a ball-striking machine who has posted seven top-15s, with five of them being top-5s, in his last 8 starts. Additionally, he’s a two-time winner of WGC events.
He’s had a great year this year, which includes a runner-up at the Zozo Championship and a T-5th at the Genesis Open. He’s going to get one, and I think it could be here.
Sergio Garcia +4000
Sergio is great value at 40/1, and is worth taking a flyer on him this weekend.
In Mexico City, Garcia has posted three straight top-15s and back-to-back top-10s, and CBS’s simulations project him to finish 10th this weekend. Moreover, Garcia has posted 12 rounds here, all under par with five of them being a 68 or less.
Full Handicapping Odds To Win The 2020 WGC-Mexico Championship
- Rory McIlroy: 11/2
- Dustin Johnson: 15/2
- John Rahm: 10/1
- Justin Thomas: 11/1
- Adam Scott: 18/1
- Webb Simpson: 18/1
- Hideki Matsuyama: 20/1
- Tommy Fleetwood: 22/1
- Xander Schauffele: 22/1
- Bryson DeChambeau: 25/1
- Paul Casey: 33/1
- Collin Morikawa: 40/1
- Gary Woodland: 40/1
- Louis Oosthuizen: 40/1
- Matt Kuchar: 40/1
- Patrick Reed: 40/1
- Sergio Garcia: 40/1
- Abraham Ancer: 50/1
- Bubba Watson: 50/1
- Jordan Spieth: 50/1
- Marc Leishman: 50/1
- Matthew Fitzpatrick: 50/1
- Shane Lowry: 50/1
- Sung-Jae Im: 50/1