Free Week 12 Prediction: Jets vs. Texans NFL Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. Houston Texans free NFL Week 12 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Texans on Sunday, November 28th at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York- Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(2-8) New York Jets vs. Houston Texans (2-8)
Date: Sunday, November 28th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: New York +2.5 | Houston -2.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 12 Moneyline Odds: New York +120 | Houston -140
NFL Week 12 NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Does Tyrod Taylor really mean this much to the Houston offense, or did the Texans just catch the Titans sleeping and looking past them after a bunch of big wins? The Texans are coming off a 22-13 stomping over the Tennessee Titans for just their second win of the season after losing 7 straight.
The Jets had their magic moment with Mike White leading the team to a huge victory over the Bengals right after Cincy’s big win, but lost three straight after that, two of which were blowout losses. They’ve since turned to Flacco at QB while waiting for Wilson to return.
Football Outsiders has the Jets ranked 31st up until this point and the Texans ranked 29th.
New York Jets
The Jets had their winnable game last week against the Dolphins but couldn’t get anything going in the 4th quarter after it was tied. They let up a TD and field goal but could only muster a last minute field goal themselves.
New York’s main issue is their defense, which ranks dead last in the league in DVOA. Their offense isn’t very good either at 24th. Surprisingly enough, Houston’s defense ranks 10th in DVOA while their offense is dead last.
What I find funny is that both of these teams beat the Titans. Out of their three losses, two came from two of the worst teams in the league. Very strange. That’s why they play the game.
I would consider betting the Texans here even with Davis Mills as QB. We now have Tyrod Taylor back after getting warmed up with a loss to Miami and then beating the Titans. The Jets are so much worse he should be able to do enough to cover the spread.
Houston really is a different team with Taylor at QB. It’s the most important position on the field, and I think the line and public doesn’t account for how much that change at QB helps this team.
Currently, the Texans have more money on the spread than bets. That means each bet on the Jets is bigger on average than bets on the Texans. Usually that’s indicative of sharp money. There are less than 40% of the bets on Houston right now and over 50% of the money.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Jets are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 games overall.
- Texans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Texans are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games overall.
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston Texans -2.5
This bet comes down to trusting Tyrod Taylor at QB to patch up some of the problems on this team. Their defense hasn’t been bad so the Jets will have a hard time running away with the game. I think it’s much more likely Houston wins by a TD or more in this one than the Jets winning at all.
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