Free Week 17 Prediction: Dolphins vs. Titans NFL Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans free NFL Week 17 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Titans on Sunday, January 2, at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, TN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami- Tennessee matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(8-7) Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans (10-5)
Date: Sunday, January 2, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: Miami +3.5 | Tennessee -3.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 17 Moneyline Odds: Miami +145 | Tennessee -175
NFL Week 17 NFL Betting Total: O/U 41
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Miami is on a total tear, winning their last 7 games after losing 7 straight just before that. A truly incredible run. Their competition wasn’t too difficult, but they did crush a Lamar Jackson-led Ravens team in prime time as well.
The Titans are going in the opposite direction. They won 6 in a row earlier in the season, and 8 of 9, but lost to the Jets and Texans randomly. They’re currently on a 2-3 run and need one more win to be safely in the playoffs.
Football Outsiders has the Dolphins ranked 22nd up until this point and the Titans ranked 20th. However, Tennessee’s defense ranks 11th and Miami’s offense ranks 8th.
The biggest improvement for the Dolphins was on defense in their recent winning streak. They held opposing offenses to 10 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. That’s insane, even if the competition was a bit light.
At QB, Tua has made some big improvements. He’s not turning the ball over nearly as much anymore, and they’re making their identity a strong, defense-first team that doesn’t need to do anything crazy on offense to win.
Something to mention about this recent winning streak is that 4 of the 7 wins took place in Miami. The two road wins were against the Jets and a banged up Saints team starting a rookie QB for the first time.
This is a big statement game for the Dolphins. If they can keep winning as an underdog against a decent Tennessee team, they will be considered a legitimate contender for an upset win if they get to the playoffs.
This game narrative is mostly about whether Miami is legitimate, or if they just beat up on bad teams. That, and if they’re as good on the road as they are at home. Tennessee is seen as a good team when healthy but average to bad if they’re not.
The Titans have some big players on the COVID list, but most have a chance of suiting up for the game with the possible new testing guidelines of 5 days quarantine instead of 10. They have been dealing with injuries all season and it would be a huge positive for them to get some players back.
Another encouraging sign is that Tennessee came back from down 10-0 at half last game to win 20-17 against San Francisco. The previous week they were on the losing side of the comeback, starting 10-0 and losing 19-13 to the Steelers.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The Dolphins are 8-6-1 ATS this season.
- Titans are 9-6 ATS this season.
- Dolphins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after more than 150 yards rushing.
- Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee Titans -3.5
When a team on a 7 game winning streak is more than a FG underdog, you have to take notice and think the sportsbooks are trying to tell you something. As of the time of writing this, most of the bets are on the Dolphins, but most of the money is on Tennessee (another sign that TEN is the right side).
I think we’ll see some players coming back for the Titans and they will be just as motivated as the Dolphins are to win this one to secure a playoff spot. Miami will be desperate as well, so it won’t be easy, but the Titans are the much better team when healthy.
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