Free Week 4 Prediction: Colts vs Dolphins NFL Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 4 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, October 3rd at the Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida . Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Colts Dolphins matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 4
(0-3) Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins (1-2)
Date: Sunday, October 3rd
Time: 1:00 PM
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Miami -2.5
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis +120, Miami -140
NFL Week 4 NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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The Colts lost last game in an unimpressive ATS loss against the Titans, dropping them to 0-3 on the season and 1-2 against the spread. The Dolphins made a furious comeback late in the game against the Raiders after being up by multiple scores early, and just barely covered the spread. That dropped Miami to 1-2 on the season and 2-1 ATS.
Football Outsiders has these teams ranked at 26th (Indianapolis) and 25th (Miami). PFF has the Colts at about the same and the Dolphins ranked slightly better.
Carson Wentz continues to play mediocre football, which is less than he was expected to do for this team. He was under pressure most of the game, so there is blame to share. He didn’t take too many shots down the field.
It appeared that the Colts should have run more, as that was the only thing working for them. They continue to pretend Wentz is a good quarterback. Miami’s pass rush and coverage are both better than Tennessee’s, so it seems like we’ll get more of the same this week.
The Indianapolis defensive line isn’t great, which will give Miami more time to throw on offense. The secondary was pretty good in this game but was helped by A.J. Brown leaving the game with an injury, and poor throws for two interceptions by Tannehill.
The Colts have had a difficult schedule so far, and they did only lose by 3 to the Rams. That, however, was largely because of special teams issues that gave the Colts a free touchdown. They outplayed Indianapolis in every other category.
Jacoby Brissett wasn’t bad in his season debut for the Dolphins. He had no touchdowns and no interceptions, but that might honestly be a step up for Miami at QB. PFF has Brissett graded higher than Tua.
Miami’s defense isn’t bad. Even counting the blowout loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense is rated better than the Colts’. That could be their savior in this game against the Colts’ lackluster offense. The Colts struggle with pass defense too, so this bodes well for the Dolphins.
Last game Miami looked dead in the water against the Raiders but stormed back to take the game to OT, where they inevitably lost. It was a strange game, where the Dolphins started the game strong but then fell apart, only to come back and almost win.
The secondary was decent in this game. They did give up 386 yards and 2 TD, but also had an interception and seemed to limit big plays well.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
- Colts are 3-0-2 ATS after allowing more than 150 rushing yards.
- Dolphins are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a losing road team.
- Dolphins are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
- The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 IND games vs. a losing team.
- The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 MIA games vs. a losing team.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Miami Dolphins -2.5
The Dolphins are the bet in this matchup. The Colts are a mess and can’t get anything going on offense. Miami isn’t great, but they should be able to put points on the board and limit big plays (if Wentz even tries to throw it downfield). Take the short home favorite in this one.
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