Free Preseason Week 3 Prediction: Colts vs Lions NFL Odds
Looking for Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions free NFL Preseason Week 3 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Colts taking on the Lions on Friday, August 27th at the Ford Field, Detroit Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Colts Lions matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Preseason Week 3
(2-0) Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions (0-2)
Date: Friday, August 27th
Time: 7:00 PM
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit Michigan
NFL Preseason Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Detroit +2
NFL Preseason Week 3 Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis -135, Detroit +115
NFL Preseason Week 3 NFL Betting Total: O/U 33.5
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The last week of a shortened preseason is here with plenty of coaching decisions to be made on who makes the team and/or who gets to start.
In 2019, Indianapolis was 1-3 in the preseason and Detroit was 0-4. The Colts finished that season 7-9 and the Lions finished 3-12-1. In 2020, Indianapolis ended up an impressive 11-5 while Detroit was an improved, but still not good, 5-11.
The Colts won their last game 12-10 over the Vikings. QBs Jacob Eason and Sam Ehlinger both had a chance to contend for the 2nd QB slot behind Wentz.
Ehlinger finished 8 of 13 for 70 yards but with two interceptions. Neither were really his fault as they were both tipped. Jacob Eason wasn’t too much better, going 16 of 27 for 132 yards.
The Colts’ defense was the real shining star as evidenced by the very low scoring game. Without a legitimate starting QB at center, the defense will have to carry this team. First round pick Kwity Paye (Defensive End) seems like he’ll be a great addition to an already great defense.
According to Football Insiders’ DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), the team ranked 10th in the league in 2020. This is a measurement of successful plays considering both total yards and yards towards a first down, with extra “points” awarded for big plays.
There is an offensive and defensive component to the stat. The Colts were 12th in offense and 7th in defense.
The Colts only put 12 points on the board last game but were able to get 21 against Carolina in the first game. We will see what they can do against a Detroit team that shouldn’t be great this year and who had the league’s worst defense last year.
The Lions lost 26-20 to the Steelers in their last preseason game but were without their top QB Jared Goff and two RBs, but their defense was also not good. They allowed Roethlistberger to throw for 137 yards and two TDs and get a perfect rating.
Detroit scored all their points in the 4th quarter of the game, which means against the worst lineup for the Steelers.
In 2020, Detroit ranked 27th overall in DVOA (16th in offensive, 32nd in defensive).
Detroit sat a bunch of starters last game, and it looks like they will do the same tonight. That will give the Colts a big advantage as they’ll likely play more starters.
The Lions have lost their last six preseason games going back to 2019. They will want to get a win here to end the streak, but they may not have what it takes against a very good Colts defense.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Lions were 7-9 ATS in 2020.
- Lions are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 IND games.
- The Over is 12-3 in the last 15 DET home games.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -2
The Colts are the bet in this matchup. With the Colts defense playing great and the Lions likely resting some key starters, look for the Colts to keep rolling and the Lions to keep losing.
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