Free Preseason Week 3 Prediction: Browns vs Falcons NFL Odds
Looking for Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL Preseason Week 3 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Browns taking on the Falcons on Sunday, August 29th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta Georgia. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Browns Falcons matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Preseason Week 3
(2-0) Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons (0-2)
Date: Sunday, August 29th
Time: 8:00 PM
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta Georgia
NFL Preseason Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: Atlanta +5.5
NFL Preseason Week 3 Moneyline Odds: Cleveland -255, Atlanta +205
NFL Preseason Week 3 NFL Betting Total: O/U 36
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The last week of a shortened preseason is here with plenty of coaching decisions to be made on who makes the team and/or who gets to start.
In 2019, Cleveland was 3-1 in the preseason and Atlanta was 1-4 counting the Hall of Fame game. The Browns finished that season 6-10 and the Falcons finished 7-9. In 2020, Cleveland ended up a much improved 11-5 while Atlanta fell off a cliff at 4-12.
The Browns won their last game 17-13 against the Giants. Kase Keenum started for the first half and ended 9 of 12 for 74 yards, one TD and one interception.
Both running backs Chubb and Hunt were rested in Week 2. Their next running back is D’Ernest Johnson who looked pretty good running and receiving.
Defense was not Cleveland’s strong suit last year, but they held both the Jaguars and Giants to 13 points while winning both games. If they make significant improvements on defense this season, they will be a tough team to beat.
According to Football Insiders’ DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), the team ranked 18th in the league in 2020. This is a measurement of successful plays considering both total yards and yards towards a first down, with extra “points” awarded for big plays.
There is an offensive and defensive component to the stat. The Browns were 9th in offense and 25th in defense.
Cleveland is 2-0 so far but they have not been playing, or playing against, many starters. Their backups and 3rd strings have looked good so far though on their way to 2-0.
The Falcons lost to the Dolphins 37-17 in their last preseason game. The big disadvantage for Atlanta seemed to be their offensive line.
Miami was able to get pressure consistently and either record sacks or otherwise disrupt the offense. The big storyline for the Falcons is that QB Josh Rosen will play in this game after getting picked up as a backup recently.
A.J. McCarron was supposed to be their backup QB but he is now out for the season after taking a big hit last game. We will see how Rosen handles the pressure.
In 2020, Atlanta ranked 17th overall in DVOA (21st in offensive, 14th in defensive). So far, they’ve shown that they need to improve offensively and defensively after letting up 23 points in their first game and 37 in their second.
Runnings backs Ollison, Hawkins, Huntley, and Foreman were able to rack up 148 yards on the ground in what was their most consistent form of attack on offense.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Browns are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Browns are 3-5 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Falcons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
- Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 CLE games as a favorite.
- The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 ATL games as a home underdog.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta Falcons +5.5
The Falcons are the bet in this matchup. They have struggled so far this preseason, but the Browns shouldn’t be playing many starters.
The Dolphins exposed some weaknesses in the offensive line but that shouldn’t be as much of an issue against the Browns.
Home underdogs are usually good bets in the preseason but have done terrible so far this year. This should correct soon.
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